2 Year Paleo Trial
2 Year Paleo Trial
2 Year Paleo Trial
0.41) kg/m
2
in the PD group and 1.2 (
0.27), 1.7 (
0.38) and
1.4 (
0.34) kg/m
2
in the NNR group at 6, 12 and 24 months,
respectively. The loss in BMI was more pronounced in the PD
group at 6 months (Po0.001) and 12 months (P 0.002) but not
at 24 months (P 0.059). In both the diet groups, waist
circumference decreased signicantly during the whole study
period, with a signicantly more pronounced decrease in the PD
group at 6 months ( 11.1 vs 5.8 cm; P 0.001; Figure 2).
Table 1. Baseline characteristics of the study participants
a
Palaeolithic
diet (n35)
Nordic Nutrition
Recommendations
diet (n35)
P-value
Age (years) 59.55.5 60.35.9 NS
Body weight (kg) 87.0
10.6 86.8
10.0 NS
Body mass index (kg/m
2
) 32.7
3.6 32.6
3.3 NS
Waist circumference (cm) 105.4
10.0 104.7
10.4 NS
Sagittal diameter (cm) 21.7
2.2 21.7
2.2 NS
Total fat mass (kg) 39.87.2 40.98.6 NS
Total lean mass (kg)
b
42.65.0 41.74.0 NS
Abbreviation: NS, not signicant (P40.05).
a
Data are reported as
means.d. Differences between the groups at baseline were tested by
independent sample t-tests.
b
Hypothesis testing after logarithmic trans-
formation.
Long-term weight loss with a Palaeolithic-type diet
C Mellberg et al
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& 2014 Macmillan Publishers Limited European Journal of Clinical Nutrition (2014) 1 8
Table 2. Changes in energy expenditure, dietary intake and biomarker of protein intake during 2 years of intervention among obese
postmenopausal women
a
Palaeolithic-type
diet
Nordic Nutrition
Recommendations
diet
Model effect
diet time
b
Difference
between
the groups
c
REE (kcal/day) (MJ/day) 0.231
Baseline 1324
21.0 (5.54
0.09) 1292
25.1 (5.41
0.11)
Change 06 months 50.0
22.9 ( 0.21
0.10) 27.8
14.5 ( 0.12
0.06)
Change 024 months 29.9
13.4 ( 0.13
0.06) 3.1
14.8 (0.01
0.06)
PAEE (kcal/day) (MJ/day) 0.559
Baseline 769
33.4 (3.22
0.14) 750
43.0 (3.14
0.18)
Change 06 months 16.733.4 ( 0.070.14) 1.933.4 (0.0080.14)
Change 024 months 33.443.0 (0.140.18) 7.235.8 ( 0.030.15)
TEE (kcal/day) (MJ/day) 0.956
Baseline 2331
47.8 (9.76
0.20) 2288
64.5 (9.58
0.27)
Change 06 months 52.6
45.4 ( 0.22
0.19) 38.2
43.0 ( 0.16
0.18)
Change 024 months 4.78
54.9 (0.02
0.23) 0.72
50.2 (0.003
0.21)
Energy intake (kcal/day) (MJ/day) 0.304
Baseline 2000
59.0 (8.37
0.25) 2019
59.1 (8.45
0.25)
Change 06 months 37561.0 ( 1.570.26) 35961.2 ( 1.500.26)
Change 024 months 40189.5 ( 1.680.38) 25162.2 ( 1.050.26)
Protein (E%) o0.001
Baseline 17.1
0.32 17.2
0.41
Change 06 months 6.30
0.54
z
1.59
0.45
z
o0.001
Change 024 months 4.79
0.72
z
0.16
0.40 o0.001
Protein (g/day) o0.001
Baseline 84.4
2.60 85.2
2.44
Change 06 months 9.343.34
y
8.742.48
z
o0.001
Change 024 months 0.393.28 8.842.99
y
0.037
Carbohydrate (E%) o0.001
Baseline 46.2
0.67 45.3
0.86
Change 06 months 16.9
1.09
z
1.05
0.89 o0.001
Change 024 months 12.7
1.68
z
2.02
1.84 o0.001
Carbohydrate (g/day) o0.001
Baseline 224
7.83 222
8.15
Change 06 months 1047.38
z
40.87.88
z
o0.001
Change 024 months 87.211.9
z
32.59.56
y
o0.001
Total fat (E%) o0.001
Baseline 33.4
0.60 34.6
0.73
Change 06 months 10.1
1.13
z
2.34
0.87
y
o0.001
Change 024 months 7.02
1.40
z
0.26
1.76 0.003
Total fat (g/day) o0.001
Baseline 74.6
2.45 78.6
3.00
Change 06 months 3.433.56 18.03.32
z
o0.001
Change 024 months 3.774.39 9.984.65
z
0.331
SFA (E%) 0.09
Baseline 12.7
0.34 13.5
0.35
Change 06 months 2.87
0.53 1.71
0.43
Change 024 months 2.16
0.54 0.17
1.02
SFA (g/day) 0.227
Baseline 28.2
1.07 30.5
1.32
Change 06 months 10.61.24 8.411.57
Change 024 months 8.911.83 3.682.43
MUFA (E%) o0.001
Baseline 13.0
0.31 13.1
0.38
Change 06 months 7.69
0.69
z
1.07
0.39
y
o0.001
Change 024 months 5.08
0.88
z
0.24
0.65 o0.001
MUFA (g/day) o0.001
Baseline 28.8
1.07 29.6
1.24
Change 06 months 8.201.84
z
7.061.35
z
o0.001
Change 024 months 2.412.02 3.371.60
z
0.025
PUFA (E%) o0.001
Baseline 5.39
0.21 5.54
0.22
Change 06 months 4.32
0.52
z
0.07
0.30 o0.001
Change 024 months 3.19
0.58
z
0.31
0.50 o0.001
Long-term weight loss with a Palaeolithic-type diet
C Mellberg et al
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European Journal of Clinical Nutrition (2014) 1 8 & 2014 Macmillan Publishers Limited
In addition, the sagittal diameter decreased signicantly over time
in a similar manner in both the groups, with a larger decline in the
PD group at 6 months ( 3.7 vs 2.0 cm; Po0.001; Figure 2).
Concomitantly, hip circumference decreased over time with a
signicant difference between the groups at 6 months ( 6.8 with
PD vs 2.7 cm with NNR at 6 months; Po0.001).
Triglyceride levels decreased signicantly in the PD group over
time with a 0.26 and 0.22 mmol/l difference between the diet
groups at 6 and 24 months (Po0.001 and P 0.004), respectively
(Table 3). Other benecial cardiometabolic changes occurred in
the study population as a whole over time (Table 3). At both 6 and
24 months, diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, CRP, LDL
cholesterol and PAI-1 activity decreased, as well as systolic blood
pressure and total cholesterol at 6 months, and HDL cholesterol
increased at 24 months. No differences were measured over time
or between groups with regard to fasting glucose, fasting insulin
concentrations and tissue plasminogen activator activity.
DISCUSSION
We found that a diet with reduced carbohydrate and SFA intake
and a relative increase in the intake of protein, MUFA and PUFA
has strong and long-lasting effects on fat mass, body weight and
abdominal obesity in postmenopausal women, but there were no
signicant differences in anthropometric measurements at 24
months between the groups. Notably, triglyceride levels
Table 2. (Continued)
Palaeolithic-type
diet
Nordic Nutrition
Recommendations
diet
Model effect
diet time
b
Difference
between
the groups
c
PUFA (g/day) o0.001
Baseline 12.00.59 12.40.59
Change 06 months 5.751.28
z
1.840.59
y
o0.001
Change 024 months 2.821.21
z
1.040.93 0.012
MUFA:SFA (ratio) o0.001
Baseline 1.05
0.04 0.99
0.03
Change 06 months 1.14
0.10
z
0.06
0.03 o0.001
Change 024 months 0.75
0.11
z
0.05
0.05 o0.001
PUFA:SFA (ratio) o0.001
Baseline 0.440.03 0.420.02
Change 06 months 0.600.07
z
0.070.03
z
o0.001
Change 024 months 0.440.07
z
0.040.04 o0.001
Omega 3 fatty acids (g/day) 0.001
Baseline 2.68 (0.18) 2.62 (0.13)
Change 06 months 1.13 (0.29)
z
0.20 (0.23) o0.001
Change 024 months 4.67 (0.52)
z
2.65 (0.44)
z
0.003
Omega-6 fatty acids (g/day) 0.005
Baseline 9.040.45 9.220.52
Change 06 months 3.561.01
z
0.650.81 0.001
Change 024 months 4.790.54
z
4.810.62
z
0.986
Dietary cholesterol (mg/day) o0.001
Baseline 305
14.3 342
17.4
Change 06 months 276
27.8
z
43.6
20.0
z
o0.001
Change 024 months 146
28.2
z
19.0
20.6 o0.001
Dietary bre (E%) 0.869
Baseline 2.450.06 2.180.08
Change 06 months 0.440.12 0.500.15
Change 024 months 0.290.10 0.240.13
Dietary bre (g/day) 0.548
Baseline 24.6
1.03 21.9
0.97
Change 06 months 0.94
1.17 0.35
0.98
Change 024 months 2.70
1.36 0.77
1.15
Sucrose (g/day) 0.547
Baseline 35.32.11 40.93.18
Change 06 months 8.361.77 11.23.24
Change 024 months 7.242.52 11.32.85
Nitrogen in urine (g/day)
d
0.374
Baseline 13.0
0.44 13.0
0.40
Change 06 months 0.04
0.33 0.68
0.43
Change 024 months 0.47
0.54 0.98
0.34
Abbreviations: E %, percentage of energy; MUFA, monounsaturated fat; PAEE, physical activity energy expenditure; PUFA, polyunsaturated fat; REE, resting
energy expenditure; SFA, saturated fat; TEE, total energy expenditure. Generalized estimating equations, with the PD group as a reference group, were used to
estimate the change from baseline to 6 and 24 months within each treatment group and to test the difference between treatment groups.
a
All values are
means.e. obtained from 4 days of estimated food records. Change over time vs baseline and within group;
z
Po0.05,
y
Po0.01 and
z
Po0.001 (only presented
if overall model effect was signicant).
b
The P-value represents the overall model effect of the diet time interaction during the 24-month study.
c
The P-value
represents the effect of the diet time interaction at 6 and 24 months and was only calculated if the overall model effect was signicant (post-hoc analysis).
d
Nitrogen in urine, used as a biomarker for protein intake, was determined by analysis of nitrogen excretion in 24-h urine (Kjeldahl technique).
Long-term weight loss with a Palaeolithic-type diet
C Mellberg et al
5
& 2014 Macmillan Publishers Limited European Journal of Clinical Nutrition (2014) 1 8
decreased signicantly more in the PD group than in the control
group based on the NNR diet. However, adherence to the target
intake of protein was poor in the PD group.
Increased visceral fat mass, associated with liver fat (that is,
ectopic fat accumulation), may contribute to increased risk for the
metabolic and cardiovascular complications after the meno-
pause.
18
Triglyceride elevations are an essential part of the
metabolic dysfunction seen with ectopic fat accumulation. Of
interest is that we recently showed a 5-week PD to be associated
with a 49% decrease in liver fat and increased insulin sensitivity
linked to a 41% decrease in serum triglycerides.
13
A diet with a
similar macronutrient composition as the present study was also
shown previously to reduce visceral fat more than total fat on a
long-term basis, albeit with a high dropout from the study after 2
years.
19
Further studies on the putative effect by a PD on visceral
fat and ectopic fat seem therefore warranted.
The lack of a signicant decrease in fasting glucose and insulin
levels in our study may be explained in part by the fact that
the subjects had normal glucose tolerance at baseline (that is,
obese but healthy), thereby reducing the possibility of improving
the metabolic status and these cardiovascular risk markers. In
contrast, we found signicant effects over time, but not between
the groups, of PAI-1 and CRP levels, with a mean decrease in the
PD group that was approximately twice that of the NNR group.
Analyses of the putative effects of a PD in subjects with a more
pronounced metabolic dysfunction are encouraged by short-term
studies indicating an improvement in the glucose tolerance and
cardiovascular risk markers of patients with T2DM and CVD.
9,10,20
The profound decrease in energy intake (20% vs 12% for the PD
and NNR groups at 24 months) is in line with earlier short-term
studies from us and others.
911,13,20
This may be due to effects on
satiety by increased intake of protein and low energy-dense foods,
as well as PUFAs.
2128
Notably, no signicant differences were
found in urinary nitrogen excretion between the diet groups at
any time point, which may have limited the differences between
the groups. Adherence to the target protein intake was thus poor
in the PD group, in line with earlier studies with the aim of
increasing protein intake.
29,30
There could be several reasons for
this, such as protein-rich food being more expensive, social
inuences on womens food choices or a lower food preference
for protein-rich food among women.
3133
Importantly, this
suggests that other factors than protein content contributes to
the benecial effects of the PD diet. One possibility is the higher
intake of PUFAs in the PD group. In line with this, increased satiety
after intake of long chain omega-3 fatty acids has been
demonstrated.
25
The magnitude of effects on body composition and triglyceride
levels do, however, suggest that larger randomized trials are done
regarding putative differences between a PD and other types of
diet with different macronutrient compositions. The reductions in
fat mass, weight and abdominal obesity were thus profound but
less different between groups than expected from our power
analysis.
Despite the stratication for BMI, the PD group had a more
benecial metabolic prole at baseline, including higher HDL
cholesterol levels. The NNR study group also had higher variability
in some of the study variables, which may have inuenced our
ability to detect differences between the groups. Therefore, we
may have underestimated the effects of the intervention on
various outcome variables. In addition, the dropout rate from the
study was larger than expected (37% and 23%, respectively, for
the NNR and PD group); the latter in line with recent data from
Jonsson et al.
22
We did not include an observational study group. Therefore,
we cannot conclude whether the changes observed in these
intervention groups differ from the natural course regarding
the study parameters in this population. However, our aim was to
investigate the possible effect of a diet regimen in comparison
with the low-fat, high-bre diet in Nordic countries generally
recommended when the study started.
In conclusion, a PD during 2 years with ad libitum intake of
macronutrients, including an increased intake of PUFAs and
Fat mass
0 6 24
Months
30
35
40
45
k
g
PD
NNR
*** NS
Body weight
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
0 6 12 18 24
Months
k
g
PD
NNR
* ** ***
NS
Waist circumference
90
95
100
105
110
0 6 24
Months
c
m
PD
NNR
**
NS
Sagittal diameter
16
18
20
22
24
0 6 24
Months
c
m
PD
NNR
***
NS
Figure 2. The effect of diet intervention on different anthropometric measurements. Generalized estimated equations were used, with the
Palaeolithic diet group as a reference group. P-values for the diet time interaction for (a) fat masso0.001, (b) weighto0.001, (c) waist 0.001
and (d) sagittal diametero0.001. Data are presented as mean
s.e., *Po0.05, **Po0.01 and ***Po0.001 for differences between diet groups
at respective time points based on estimated marginal means. NS, not signicant.
Long-term weight loss with a Palaeolithic-type diet
C Mellberg et al
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European Journal of Clinical Nutrition (2014) 1 8 & 2014 Macmillan Publishers Limited
Table 3. Changes in bioindicators during 2 years of intervention among obese postmenopausal women
a
Palaeolithic-type diet Nordic Nutrition
Recommendations diet
Model effect
diet time
b
Difference
between the
groups
c
Insulin (mIU/l) 0.500
Baseline 8.43
0.69 9.02
0.77
Change 06 months 1.29
0.91 0.10
0.91
Change 024 months 0.18
0.53 0.87
0.77
Glucose (mmol/l) 0.465
Baseline 5.130.15 5.170.20
Change 06 months 0.21
0.15 0.05
0.24
Change 024 months 0.04
0.13 0.002
0.22
Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) 0.293
Baseline 1412.2 1382.2
Change 06 months 12.22.2 8.51.9
Change 024 months 3.73.5 1.72.2
Diastolic blood pressure (mmHg) 0.349
Baseline 83.0
1.3 82.9
1.5
Change 06 months 6.61.1 5.01.5
Change 024 months 4.81.5 1.51.8
Heart rate (beats/min) 0.401
Baseline 72
1.6 71
1.7
Change 06 months 2.2
1.4 3.2
1.1
Change 024 months 3.6
1.8 1.4
1.7
High-sensitivity CRP (mg/l) 0.464
Baseline 2.140.29 2.400.31
Change 06 months 0.42
0.20 0.22
0.17
Change 024 months 0.45
0.23 0.05
0.29
Tissue plasminogen activator (IU/ml) 0.544
Baseline 0.510.05 0.460.06
Change 06 months 0.060.05 0.030.06
Change 024 months 0.05
0.06 0.05
0.06
PAI-1 (U/ml) 0.431
Baseline 21.3
2.7 24.3
2.3
Change 06 months 5.62.3 3.32.3
Change 024 months 4.52.1 2.33.3
Cholesterol (mmol/l) 0.127
Baseline 5.91
0.14 5.52
0.23
Change 06 months 0.67
0.13 0.39
0.15
Change 024 months 0.200.10 0.070.11
HDL (mmol/l) 0.896
Baseline 1.49
0.06* 1.28
0.05
Change 06 months 0.05
0.05 0.04
0.04
Change 024 months 0.16
0.04 0.18
0.04
LDL (mmol/l) 0.291
Baseline 3.870.13 3.640.21
Change 06 months 0.43
0.10 0.29
0.11
Change 024 months 0.26
0.08 0.07
0.09
Triglycerides (mmol/l) 0.001
Baseline 1.220.09 1.270.10
Change 06 months 0.380.07
z
0.120.07 o0.001
Change 024 months 0.230.07
z
0.010.06 0.004
Abbreviations: CRP, C-reactive protein; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; PAI-1, plasminogen activator inhibitor type 1. Generalized
estimating equations, with the PD group as a reference group, were used to estimate the change from baseline to 6 and 24 months within each treatment
group and to test differences between the treatment groups.
a
All values are means.e. Change over time vs baseline and within the group;
z
Po0.001 (only
presented if overall model effect was signicant). *P 0.01 for difference between the groups at baseline.
b
The P-value represents the overall model effect of
the diet time interaction during the 24-month study.
c
The P-value represents the effect of the diet time interaction at 6 and 24 months and was only
calculated if the overall model effect was signicant (post-hoc analysis).
Long-term weight loss with a Palaeolithic-type diet
C Mellberg et al
7
& 2014 Macmillan Publishers Limited European Journal of Clinical Nutrition (2014) 1 8
MUFAs, reduces fat mass and abdominal obesity with signicantly
better long-term effect on triglyceride levels vs an NNR diet.
Adherence to the prescribed protein intake was poor in the PD
group, suggesting that other components of the PD diet are of
greater importance. The putative long-term benecial effects of
different components of the PD on obesity-related diseases,
notably T2DM, need to be explored.
CONFLICT OF INTEREST
The authors declare no conict of interest.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
We thank all of the women who participated in this study for their invaluable
patience and cooperation. Erik Ha gg, Jonas Andersson, Lars-Go ran Sjo stro m, Go ran
Ericsson, Inger Arnesjo , Katarina Iselid and Monica Holmgren made important
contributions to screening the health of study subjects and technical assistance.
Johanna Larsson helped process food records. Kate Westgate and Stefanie Mayle
(MRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK) assisted with
processing physical activity data. Paul Franks contributed important views on
planning the study. This study was supported by grants from The Swedish Council for
Working Life and Social Research (2006-0699 and 2010-0398), the Swedish Research
Council (K2011-12237-15-6), the Swedish Heart and Lung Foundation, the County
Council of Va sterbotten and Ume University, Sweden.
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