X X Y Nderiv Y X X Y Nderiv Y

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Now lets simulate the spread of a virus by using our calculator and the random number

generator. We will then graph the logistic curve produced and find the general equation,
the first and second derivatives, and analyze the information from the graph.
1. Count off and REMEMBER your number.
2. The overhead calculator will generate random integers between 1 and the total
number of participants. The first sick person is determined by randIn (1, N, 1)
where N is the number of people in the room. The second person by (1, N, 1)
and then continue with (1, N, # people infected) to generate more infected
people. The simulation ends when all participants are infected.
3. The person with the number shown will be asked to sit and is the first person
with the disease.
4. A person can only infect on other person at a time in this simulation. The
calculator will be used to generate one additional number for each person who
is currently infected.
5. Use this table to keep track of the total infected participants at the end of each
round.
ROUND-DAY
NUMBER OF SICK PEOPLE
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
6. Now enter your data in lists in your calculator and perform a logistic regression on the
data. Use the command Logistic L1 , L2 , Y1 and this will put the equation in the
Y-editor.
7. Next ask the calculator to graph the first and second derivatives of this function.

Y = nDeriv(Y , x, x )
2

Y = nDeriv(Y , x, x )
3

8. Answer the following questions:


A) What information do the derivatives give about the function?
B) What was the horizontal asymptote of your graph? How does this relate to the
number of students in the experiment?
C) Find the functions for the first and second derivatives. (Hand-calculate)

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