NewPaper Problem

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Shashwat Shriparv

dwivedishashwat@gmail.com
InfinitySoft
Problem :

To determine the optimal no: of papers


the newspaper seller should purchase.
Solution:

Simulating demands for 20 days and


recording profits from sales each day.
Problem Description
Cost price = 33 cents

Selling price = 50 cents

Newspaper not sold at the end of the day are sold as


scrap for 5 cents

Newspaper can be purchased in bundles of 10.


Three types of news days
&corresponding probabilities

Good(0.35)
Fair(0.45)
Poor(0.20)
Profit ?

Profit = [ ( revenue from sales ) –


( cost of newspapers ) –
( lost profit from excess demand ) +
( salvage from sale of scrap papers ) ]
Demand Probability Distribution
Demand Good Fair Poor

40 0.03 0.10 0.44


50 0.05 0.18 0.22
60 0.15 0.40 0.16
70 0.20 0.20 0.12
80 0.35 0.08 0.06
90 0.15 0.04 0.00
100 0.07 0.00 0.00
Types of Cumulative Random-
Newsday Probability Probability Digit
Assignment

Good 0.35 0.35 01-35

Fair 0.45 0.80 36-80

Poor 0.20 1.00 81-00


Cumulative Random-Digit
Demand Distribution Assignment
Good Fair Poor Good Fair Poor

40 0.03 0.10 0.44 01-03 01-10 01-44


50 0.08 0.28 0.66 04-08 11-28 45-66
60 0.23 0.68 0.82 09-23 29-68 67-82
70 0.43 0.88 0.94 24-43 69-88 83-94
80 0.78 0.96 1.00 44-78 89-96 95-00
90 0.93 1.00 1.00 79-93 97-00
100 1.00 1.00 1.00 94-00
Shashwat Shriparv
dwivedishashwat@gmail.com
InfinitySoft

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