Coconuts in The Mekong Delta
Coconuts in The Mekong Delta
Coconuts in The Mekong Delta
AUTHOR: Nigel Smith, Nguyen My Ha, Vien Kim Cuong, Hoang Thi Thu Dong Nguyen Truc Son, Bob Baulch, Nguyen Thi Le Thuy DATE: August 2009
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank all those that have contributed to this study. The study has been made possible by the support of the Provincial Peoples Committee of Ben Tre province and the financial assistance of IrishAid, the Swiss Agency for Cooperation and Development and IFAD. We would like to thank the managers and staff of the many businesses and agencies in the Philippines, Sri Lanka, Thailand and Ben Tre that have been generous in their time and information and the consultants that made the benchmarking visits possible; Divina Bawalan (The Philippines), Zahra Cader (Sri Lanka) and Malinvisa Sakdiyakorn (Thailand). In Ben Tre, the study has benefited from the input from staff of various line departments and agencies. The staff of the Project Management Unit of the IFAD project have played a central role in organising a series of industry consultation meetings in the province as well as collecting updated information from the local industry. Finally, this study has built on the earlier work of Dr Nguyen Anh Phong and the team from the Centre for Agricultural Policy and to a large extent on the analysis of Fred Levitan, Antony Feeny, Jenny Scharrer, Philipp Essl and Terrance Mohorak. The study would not have been possible without all these efforts. However any omission or errors in this report are the responsibility of the authors alone.
Contents
Summary ............................................................................................................................................... 5 Introduction....................................................................................................................................... 5 The world coconut industry .............................................................................................................. 5 Industry issues ................................................................................................................................... 8 Examples of best practice at a company level ................................................................................ 10 Lessons from the rest of the world ................................................................................................. 11 Impact potential .............................................................................................................................. 13 Industry strategy recommendations for Ben Tre ............................................................................ 14 1 2 Introduction................................................................................................................................. 15 The world coconut industry ........................................................................................................ 16 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 3 World coconut supply ......................................................................................................... 16 World coconut demand....................................................................................................... 18 Kernel product industry....................................................................................................... 21 Husk product industry ......................................................................................................... 28 Shell product industry ......................................................................................................... 30 Trends and Issues ................................................................................................................ 32
Profile of selected competitor countries..................................................................................... 35 3.1 3.2 3.3 The Philippines .................................................................................................................... 35 Sri Lanka .............................................................................................................................. 40 Thailand ............................................................................................................................... 45
Current industry situation in the Mekong Delta ......................................................................... 47 4.1 4.2 Mekong Delta Industry ........................................................................................................ 47 Ben Tre Industry .................................................................................................................. 47
Examples of best practice at a company level ............................................................................ 53 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 The SAMBU Group, Indonesia ............................................................................................. 53 Peter Paul Philippines.......................................................................................................... 54 Renuka Group, Sri Lanka ..................................................................................................... 55 Wonderfarm / Interfood Processing Industry Ltd, Vietnam .............................................. 56 Hayleys Export and HayCarb ............................................................................................... 56 Cocogreen Technologies Corp. (COCOTECH), The Philippines ............................................ 60 Common themes in business success ................................................................................. 61
Lessons from the rest of the world ............................................................................................. 62 6.1 The key conclusion: Move quickly to a high value-added industry .................................... 62
6.2 7
Impact potential from the industry ............................................................................................. 71 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 Socio-economic impacts...................................................................................................... 71 Coconuts and poverty ......................................................................................................... 71 Poverty impact potential from the industry ....................................................................... 73 Environmental Impacts ....................................................................................................... 76
Acronyms and Glossary ....................................................................................................................... 85 Bibliography......................................................................................................................................... 88 Annex 1 - Business interviews in Ben Tre ............................................................................................ 89 Annex 2 - Comparative data on selected countries ............................................................................ 90 Annex 3 - Contact details for selected coconut enterprises ............................................................... 94
Table 2: Output from a 100 million nut per year industry ...................................................... 11 Table 3: World coconut market volume, 2006......................................................................... 19 Table 4: Possible output from a 100 million nut per year industry ......................................... 33 Table 5: Poverty incidence and poverty gap for coconut selling and rural households in the Mekong Delta and Ben Tre - $1.25/day PPP .......................................................................................... 72 Table 6: Poverty incidence and poverty gap for coconut selling and rural households in the Mekong Delta and Ben Tre - $2.50/day PPP .......................................................................................... 73 Table 7: Poverty impact potential among coconut selling household in rural areas............... 74 Table 8: Employment creation in an improved coconut industry ............................................ 76
Summary
Introduction
55 billion nuts p.a. world output USD 6 billion market The numbers surrounding the world coconut industry are substantial 55,500,000,000 coconuts produced every year from 12,000,000 hectares supporting an industry worth USD 6 billion at wholesale. Yet despite the size and wealth of the industry most coconut growers are among the poorest in their society and over 1 million tonnes of coconut dust are dumped into the environment every year. In the Mekong Delta, riverbanks shaded with coconut trees are an iconic part of the landscape, but only in the last decade has the local coconut industry taken the first steps to becoming a modern, competitive industry. Much of this recent development has happened in Ben Tre province, at the heart of the industry in the Delta with the greatest concentration of coconut trees and businesses. The Ben Tre authorities and industry leaders are now looking to help the industry mature into an internationally competitive and sustainable coconut industry that maximises the value created for the local community, businesses and coconut farmers. This study is part of that process and aims to provide evidence of the current state of the global coconut industry and the local industry in Ben Tre and the wider Mekong Delta and to assess specific opportunities for the industrys future development. The study also identifies several promising commercial opportunities for local coconut businesses and the impacts these could have on the companys own bottom-line profits as well as the wider industry. It supplements extensive secondary data with insights and evidence gathered through an international benchmarking exercise with leading competitor countries, including the Philippines, Sri Lanka and Thailand as well as the local industry in Ben Tre.
Evidence-based insights
International benchmarking
Domestic markets in producing countries dominate world demand, consuming around 58% of all nuts each year with a value of USD3.8 billion. Thus, India, Indonesia and Philippines are the biggest coconut consumers, with Brazil and China the fastest growing markets. Export markets were worth approximately USD 2.3 billion in 2006, consuming 42% of nuts and are dominated by kernel products. For kernel products, 97% of all exports (in nut equivalent) were in the form of oil (82%), copra1 (4%) and desiccated coconut (11%). In volume terms, coconut meal is a major byproduct from oil production and is consumed for animal feed in domestic and export markets. In terms of other kernel products, coconut milk is one of the largest volume high value products, with an estimated annual market volume of 150,000 - 250,000 MT and growing. Sales of husk products are equivalent to the husks from approximately 5 Billion nuts per year just 9% of all available husks. Major products are coir yarn, rope, matting and mats. Of these products, 60% by volume are consumed in domestic markets, mostly in India, and 40% are exported. Exports of husk products (mostly as coir products) and shell (mostly as activated carbon) are relatively small in value terms at approximately USD 210 million and USD 110 million, respectively in 2006. This is mainly due to the small amounts of available husks and shells that are processed in most countries. The notable exceptions to this are Sri Lanka, Vietnam and some areas of India and Thailand. In terms of unit value addition, kernel products are the most important in terms of industry level value creation. Kernel products on a commercial scale can achieve values of USD 300 / 1000 nuts or more. Husk products can also create significant value at commercial scale of around USD 90 / 1000 nuts while shell products can create USD 10-30 / 1000 nuts. In terms of supply, the Asia Pacific region accounts for 87% of global production, with the Big Three countries producing 76% - Indonesia (16 billion nuts), India (13 billion) and Philippines (13 billion). Brazil is the fourth biggest producer (3.5 billion) and the only big producer outside Asia-Pacific. Sri Lanka, Thailand, Vietnam (and Ben Tre in particular) have good yields, of 5000 7,700 nuts per hectare per year compared to the world average of 4,676. Despite high yields, Thailand, Sri Lanka and Malaysia have seen significant falls in the coconut production area in the 5 years to 2006, of 31%, 11% and 28% respectively. Vietnam and India are the only two higher yield countries that have not seen recent declines in their production area. Kernel Product Industry There are three main processing routes for different kernel products: the traditional alternatives of Oil or DC and the more recent Integrated kernel processing routes, as illustrated below.
Export markets dominated by oil and DC Yet sizeable markets for coconut milk in absolute terms Just 9% of husks processed
Only countries with good use of husk are Sri Lanka and Vietnam Kernel products create most value per nut Husk products also valuable
Copra is an intermediary product in oil production and exports fell by 66% between 1996 and 2006 as countries processed into oil directly themselves.
Route 3 - Integrated
+
Residue 210 kg
Oil and desiccated coconut are the main products sold in volume terms, as outlined above. However, in terms of unit value, these are low value commodity products. A number of other products available through integrated processing achieve significantly higher unit value per coconut (see Figure 2) and several products can be produced and sold in parallel. This enables competitive businesses to achieve in excess of USD 300 per 1000 nuts and often much more through integrated kernel processing.
Figure 2: Unit value - selected kernel products (USD/000 nuts)
Fresh Coconuts Liquid Milk Powdered Milk Coconut Candy Flour (milk by product) Water (by product) Virgin Coconut oil DC Oil + Copra meal
3
Milk, candy and other products achieve high unit value Oil and DC have low unit value Husk products as valuable as commodity kernel products
2
Husk product industry Husk markets have two main segments: husk fibre and coconut pith. These are independent end markets but coconut pith is an unavoidable by-product
Numerous product variations and manufacturing arrangements exist in real businesses. The diagram illustrates some of the main products from each processing routes. 3 APCC reported international averages, 2006. Coconut candy and fresh coconuts based on data collected in Ben Tre. For coconut candy, the value shown is the price paid for the fresh nuts by the candy companies as the cost of the coconuts is less than one third of the total cost of goods sold.
of husk fibre production. If fully utilised, husk products can generate approximately USD 130 per 1000 nuts - significantly more than DC (USD113) or Oil and copra meal (USD80). India is the worlds largest producer and consumer of coconut husk fibre products, with total annual production of around 435,000 MT of products, 80% of which are sold domestically. The three other major husk fibre producers are Sri Lanka, Thailand and Vietnam all of whom export around 90% of their products. The main import markets are China, Netherlands, USA, Spain and Germany which accounted for 85% of imports in 2006. China is by far the largest importer, importing over 115,000 MT in 2006, or 45% of world imports. Husk fibre imports grew by an average of 11% per year from 2002 to 2006. The only two major exporters of cocopith are Sri Lanka and India, who accounted for 60% and 36% of total exports in 2006, mostly as substrate and coco peat. The major import markets are the EU, Korea, Japan and USA. These four countries accounted for 74% of total imports from Sri Lanka. The world substrate market is reported4 to be growing steadily at 5% per year. Reported exports of coco pith products consume approximately 200,000 MT of raw pith. Despite these exports and similar volumes of domestic use, over 1 million tonnes of coco pith from husk fibre processing is unaccounted for every year, often being dumped into the environment. Shell product industry
Only Sri Lanka and India export pith Export markets growing in EU, Korea, Japan and USA
Around 85% of shells are consumed domestically, mostly burnt as fuel. Only around 15% of the world production of shells are processed for export, with an estimated 8 billion shells processed in 2006. Of this, activated carbon accounted for 93% of total volume with the balance being mostly shell charcoal. The global production of all activated carbon is reported5 to be 660,000 MT of which 120,000 MT is for water purification. Global coconut activated carbon production is reported to be around 130,000 MT, with exports of 120,000 MT. The unit value generated from shell is relatively low even when processed, at just USD 10-30 per 1000 nuts. The export value of activated carbon creates around USD 18 per 1000 nuts and shell charcoal and shell powder create USD 14 and USD 33, respectively. Shell powder is an emerging product with promising applications as a resin and glue additive.
Industry issues
The four major issues in the coconut industry are currently: Major industry issues 1. 2. 3. 4. Upheaval in the coconut oil industry Low productivity and farmer income Missed opportunities from not using the entire nut Dealing with cocopith
4 5
Interview with substrate company in Sri Lanka, February 2009 Interview with Haycarb, Sri Lanka, February 2009
Upheaval in the coconut oil industry While coconut oil has been losing market share to palm oil in recent years, the strong growth in global vegetable oil consumption has made it possible for coconut oil to still sustain positive growth, albeit at around 2.5% per years. This is primarily from the industrial use market with food use all but stagnant, with growth of less than 1% per year. Will stagnation turn to outright decline? A major question for the entire coconut industry is whether or not the loss of market share to palm oil will accelerate in the coming years. If so, it is likely that the current stagnation of coconut oil in the edible oil segment could turn in to an outright decline. This would most likely be triggered by a collapse in coconut oil use by consumers in producing countries, especially India and Sri Lanka. Already, the domestic coconut oil industry is in crisis in both countries. Sri Lanka has introduced protectionist tariffs to restrict imports of palm oil to support the domestic coconut oil industry at the expensive of the export industry and local consumers. Such measures appear to be unsustainable over the medium term. In India, Keralas coconut farmers are protesting at the collapse in coconut prices. How will major producers respond to the current crisis? The planned response of the Philippines oil industry to the competition is to attempt to dramatically increase the yield of coconuts at the farm level. If successful, this plan would greatly increase nut supply, lower nuts prices and allow the oil millers to produce more oil at lower cost. For the millers this would help address their over capacity problems, and raise their competitiveness. The benefit to the farmers is unclear. Either a collapse in domestic coconut oil consumption in producing countries or a surge in yields in a major producer like the Philippines would result in a significant shift in the balance of supply and demand for nuts in the entire coconut industry, equivalent to up to 20% of annual world coconut production. Changes on this scale would have far reaching consequence. Nut prices would fall, but initially unevenly between countries. Production would shift to lower cost producers and coconut farmers worldwide would see lower income and there could be an accelerated reduction in coconut production in badly affected areas. These changes would be slow and painful and the exact impact is hard to determine. What is clear is that the current crisis is set to continue. Low productivity and farmer income The relatively low productivity at farm level, combined with low farm gate prices in several major producing countries, especially the Philippines and India, is a major long term weakness of the industry. Farmers gain little from the coconut industry In the Philippines, coconut farmers are regarded as being among the poorest with few alternatives. In other producing countries, such as Malaysia and Thailand, the low income from coconuts has driven farmers to switch to other more profitable crops and an overall decline in the local coconut industry. Missed opportunities from not using the entire nut Opportunities being missed
Local industries
Globally, the coconut industry makes very poor use of anything other than coconut kernel meat. Millions of tonnes of potentially valuable material, from husks, shells or water, are thrown away every year. At the same time, the value achieved per nut is low and coconut farmers struggle to make an acceptable living. This is especially true at the moment with the crisis in the coconut oil markets. Efficient use of the entire nut in a local coconut industry could triple, or more, the value created compared to simple DC or oil supply chains. While market limitation mean that this is not possible for the entire global industry, those local industries that succeed in making the transition to an efficient industry will create a sustainable competitive advantage for themselves and deliver significant benefit to their business and farmers alike. Dealing with cocopith Necessary for competitiveness Best opportunities in Vietnam, India and Thailand The most successful industries in the future will be those that have integrated kernel processing in tandem with good use of husks and shells. Proper use of cocopith within a local industry is therefore not only necessary to avoid major environmental pollution but is a necessary part of developing an internationally competitive coconut industry. Vietnam, India and Thailand have the greatest opportunities in the immediate future to benefit from this.
10
International distribution networks are essential and Joint ventures (or long term relationships) with partners in end markets are often an important part of the success of export led companies Domestic markets also have potential, if marketing activity is properly addressed Manufacturing sites with good port access are an advantage Businesses need to be of a medium scale, providing them: o management capacity to access export markets o sufficient volume to support a diversified product range o production volumes to achieve processing efficiency o resources to invest in ongoing product development
Product
USD
/000 nuts
Output
MT per year
Total value
USD p.a. FOB
Coconut milk
290 37 50 68 62 13 520
Kernel
Residue
for animal feed
Water - 33% of
available water
By comparison, Ben Tre produces around 310 million nuts per year
11
The need Ben Tre is a high cost producer Not competitive in coconut commodities: DC or Oil Need to compete on value added not lowest cost nuts Need to sustain higher farmer income for supply security As well as the opportunity, there is an increasing urgent need. The current industry has high nut costs by international standards and is not competitive in the mainstream commoditised coconut products of DC and Oil, especially in relation to the very large, low cost production capacity in the Philippines and Indonesia. These problems will be further aggravated by the upheavals in the coconut oil markets. High value added industries, outside of the commodity markets, will be best placed to withstand the harsh market conditions within the mainstream markets in the coming years as their competitive advantage comes from the efficiency of utilisation of the entire nut for value added products and a diversity of end markets, as opposed to simple competition on the lowest price of a nut. In addition to the pressure for market competitiveness, maintaining higher farmer incomes is important for the security of raw material supply. The two most effective mechanisms for achieving this are intercropping and moving to an efficient, high value added industry that can still be competitive even with higher nut prices Ben Tre well placed as an industry to take the opportunity The existing conditions in Ben Tre are favourable to moving to a high value added industry: Ben Tre well placed - Existing DC businesses interested in diversifying - Some proven high value product companies - Established domestic demand for some products There is a sizeable and stable domestic demand for coconut candy a high value product already consuming over 130 million nuts per year. There are already examples of successful integrated kernel processors in Vietnam, severing both domestic and export markets (e.g. Wonderfarm) Ben Tre has recently succeeded in attracting foreign investment into similar new integrated processing factories Several DC businesses operate in Ben Tre and have already expressed interest in investing to diversify into integrated processing businesses Vietnam already has established demand for coconut residues for feed, currently being imported from the Philippines, that would be a by-product of integrated kernel processing by the local industry A few smaller businesses have already proven the market for high value finished husk fibre products and pith products and nearly all husks already enter the processing industries (although not yet for these high value products) There is a rapidly improving business environment and infrastructure, with HCMC now just 2.5 hours by road and a highway under construction.
Commercial interests strongly aligned to industry interests Most of the modern, integrated kernel processing businesses began as desiccated coconut processors or oil millers. They gradually added related product lines to make them the big integrated coconut processing enterprises that they are today.
12
The commercial benefits of this business strategy are self evident. At current market prices, a DC business processing 10,000 nuts per day could increase its profits (EBIT7) from around VND 3 million per day (approx. USD 180) to around VND 10 million (approx. USD 615) by investing an additional USD 60,000 USD 100,000 to take the first step towards integrated kernel processing, initially selling coconut milk and residue. With an incremental investment of around USD 0.5 0.7 million, and a move to full integrated production of high value products, daily profits could rise to over VND 40 million (USD 2285).
Figure 3: Rising profits with increased integrated processing
8
Proven business growth route Similar production lines for easy migration from DC to integrated processing
Similarly, the existing businesses selling high value finished products from husk fibre, pith and shell have already identified the greater profit margins that can be achieved in these finished products and have an interest in expanding their business in these areas. Technology and equipment are now widely available from commercial equipment suppliers for all major products from integrated kernel processing and high value husk fibre and pith products.
Technology available off the shelf In Ben Tre, total household income from industry p.a. VND 1,100 billion ~ 70% on-farm
7 8
Impact potential
In Ben Tre, the total annual household income from the coconut industry is approximately VND 1,100 billion (USD 64 million). Of this, around 70% comes from on-farm sales of coconuts and around 30% from paid labour in the
EBIT Earnings Before Interest and Tax Values are per 10,000 nuts processed a typical daily amount for a small-medium scale factory with a throughput of 3 million nuts per year. Estimates use current prices for finished goods & estimates of costs of good sold from company interviews and team research.
Million VND
This pathway takes advantage of the fact that there are similar processing step 130 s 120 betw 110 Nut een 100 cos t 90 coco 80 nut Other 70 milk 60 cos ts 50 and 40 desic EBIT 30 cate 20 10 d coco DC Cocomilk + Cocomilk + Various milk, Various milk nut Residue VCO & flour drinks & VCO & drinks + prod + Residue Flour & VCO uctio n, so Increa s i ng Devel opment of Integra ted Kernel proces s i ng it is easy to integrate these two product lines. Similarly, liquid coconut milk processing and coconut water can share the same UHT packaging or canning system, also assisting integration.
13
industry which employs an estimated 19,000 workers in Ben Tre (excluding onfarm labour). Competition and higher value added should raise coconut prices and create jobs With greater value creation and strong competition in the local industry, farm gate prices for coconuts can be expected to rise. An increase in farm gate prices is likely to be the most important mechanism for poverty impact, given that on-farm sales income is the most important mechanism for local household to benefit from the industry and that coconut farmers are poorer than the rural average in Ben Tre. Increases in farm gate prices of coconuts will lead to higher household income for coconut sellers without addition costs or labour and therefore, across the populations, a reduction in poverty rates. Estimates of the combined impact of an improved coconut industry in Ben Tre from increased on-farm incomes9 and new job creation10 can be estimated to be in the order of:
Rising coconut prices reduce poverty Combined impact from: On-farm income
+ +
35,000 70,000 people of out poverty11, on-farm from a sustained average increase in coconut prices of 25%-50%, respectively 5,000 10,000 new FTE jobs off-farm, mostly in additional husk fibre processing
Off-farm jobs
Industry objectives
On-farm poverty impacts based on VHLSS06 data. Note that this analysis does not assume any increase in the volume of nuts sold or yields. 10 Job creation estimates are based on actual numbers of workers and factory capacities from interviews with business in Ben Tre, Sri Lanka, the Philippines and Thailand for target products gathered, supplemented with data from manufacturing experts on labour input needs for different manufacturing processes 11 against a $1.25 PPP extreme poverty line
14
1 Introduction
Riverbanks shaded by coconut trees are an iconic part of the landscape of the Mekong Delta. Yet only in the last decade has the local coconut industry taken the first steps to becoming a modern, competitive industry. Much of this recent development has happened in Ben Tre province, at the heart of the industry in the Delta with the greatest concentration of coconut trees and businesses. The Ben Tre authorities and industry leaders are now looking to help the industry mature into an internationally competitive and sustainable coconut industry that maximises the value created for the local community, businesses and coconut farmers. This study is part of that process and aims to provide clear evidence of the current state of the global coconut industry, the status of the local industry in Ben Tre and the wider Mekong Delta and to assess specific opportunities for the industrys future development. As well as providing evidence for local policy makers, the study also identifies some promising commercial opportunities for local coconut businesses and the impacts these could have on the companys own bottom-line profits and also on the wider industry. A central part of the study has been a detailed international benchmarking exercise, in which the project team has met business leaders and policy makers in world leading industries in the Philippines, Sri Lanka and Thailand as well as in Ben Tre. The insights and lessons from these industry conversations have been supplemented by extensive analysis of external published reference data and a series of technical research studies prepared for the project and available separately (see Bibliography). This report begins by providing an overview of the world industry and specific insights on the major sub-sectors. It then provides profiles of The Philippine, Sri Lankan and Thai coconut industries followed by a similar assessment of the industry in the Mekong Delta and Ben Tre in particular. The following chapter provides a series of examples of successful real world coconut businesses that serve as benchmarks to aspire to. The final three chapters of the report draw out the key insights and lessons from the rest of the industry for Ben Tre. A quantitative analysis of the potential impacts of the industry is provided and finally a series of priorities and objectives are proposed for the industry strategy in Ben Tre. The study has been managed jointly by the Ben Tre Investment Promotion Centre and Prosperity Initiative.
15
40000 30000 20000 10000 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
4000
2000
Yield (Nuts/ha)
12 13
Data in this section is taken from the Asia Pacific Coconut Community (APCC) Yearbook 2006, unless stated otherwise. Coconut production is typically reported as either nut equivalent or copra equivalent because different species and conditions produce nuts of varying size and composition. When considering use of whole nuts, the nut equivalent data is arguably most relevant. When concerned with using just the kernel, eg. for oil in Philippines, then the copra equivalent measure is most relevant. Through the later sections of this paper nut equivalent values are used as the focus is on whole nut utilizations.
16
Yield (nuts/ha)
50000
Global production is stable yet differences exist between countries. The Big 3 High yields in India India is the most productive of the Big 3 producing countries at about 6,600 nut per hectare annual, while Indonesia and the Philippines have low productivity of around 4,000 nuts per hectare. In yield terms, India is on average 35% and 65% more productive in copra and nut equivalent, respectively, than Indonesia and The Philippines. While part of this difference can be explained in terms of agronomic conditions, varieties, age of trees and production practice, a major factor is the extent to which coconuts are grown in intercropping system with low planting densities as in much of The Philippines. All of the Big 3 countries have had relatively stable production areas since 2002, with The Philippines reporting a small increase in area while Indonesia a small decrease and India almost no change. Sri Lanka, Thailand, Vietnam (and Ben Tre in particular) have good yields, of 5000 7,700 nuts per hectare per year. Malaysia and PNG have low yields of less than 3,500 nuts per hectare and are the least productive of the main producing countries. Despite high yields, Thailand and Sri Lanka have seen significant falls in the coconut production area in the 5 years to 2006, of 31% and 11% respectively. Malaysia also saw a 28% drop in coconut area over the same period, and is now a large importer of coconut. In 2007 Malaysia imported 176 million nuts14, mainly from Thailand and Indonesia, as oil, copra and fresh nuts. Vietnams coconut area stabilised since 2003 at 135,000 hectares, having fallen 36% from 1990 to 2003, as land was switched to higher value uses during its rapid economic growth, especially in the south. Vietnam and India are the only two higher yield countries that have not seen recent decline in their production area. They are therefore well positioned in terms of their productivity competitiveness.
Stable areas
Mid-sized producers Several have good yields, including Ben Tre Large falls in area in Thailand, Malaysia and Sri Lanka
Figure 5: Difference in Productivity and Change in Area between countries Copra equivalent Nut equivalent
10% Philippines 5% PNG 0% 500 700 Indonesia 900 -5% 1,100 1,300 1,500 1,700 Viet Nam (incl. BT) India Ben Tre Average Change in area = -1%
Ben Tre Viet Nam (incl. BT) India Average Change in area = -1%
2,000
5,000
6,000
-10% -15%
Sri Lanka
-20%
-25% -30%
Malaysia
-30%
Thailand
-35%
14
A. Sivapragasam, (2008) Coconut in Malaysia Current developments and potential for revitalisation, Rice & Industrial Crop Centre, Malaysian Agricultural Research & Development Institute
17
Global average yields are low at 4,700 nut per hectare annually, mostly due to the drag of Indonesia and Philippines. It is notable that various research institutes15 suggest that more intensive management can give annual yields of over 10,000 nuts per hectare from traditional varieties and up to 20,000 nuts per hectare from improved varieties.
Domestic markets in producing countries dominate world demand, consuming around 58% of all nuts produced each year with a value of USD3.8 billion. India, Indonesia and Philippines are the biggest consumers of coconuts, while Brazil and China are the fastest growing markets. In domestic markets, an estimated 63% of coconuts are consumed as fresh nut and 35% consumed as coconut oil. A range of other processed products are often also available, such as milk products or drinks. South Asia in particular produces and consumes large volumes of coir products made from coconut husks.
15
See Coconut Research Institute (Sri Lanka - www.cri.lk), Philippines Coconut Authority, Oil Palm Research Institute (Ben Tre, Viet Nam) 16 World market size estimates are based on APCC volumes, summarized in Table 1, and average market prices reported for exports plus local prices for main products in India as the basis for calculating the value of domestic markets all data as per APCC Statistical Yearbook.
18
Sales of husk products are equivalent to the husks from approximately 5 Billion nuts per year just 9% of all available husks. Major products are coir yarn, rope, matting and mats. Of these products, 60% by volume are consumed in domestic markets, mostly in India, and 40% are exported.
Table 3: World coconut market volume, 2006 Markets Products Nuts millions Total Oil Fresh (%) nuts Total Export Domestic 55,500 (100%) 23,310 (42%) 32,190 (58%) 30,269 (55%) 18,852 (34%) 11,417 (21%) 20,371 (37%) 242 (0.5%) 20,129 (36%)
Export markets annually worth USD 2.3 billion dominated by oil USD1.4 billion
Export markets were worth approximately USD 2.3 billion in 2006, consuming 42% of nuts annually and are dominated by kernel products. For kernel products, in 2006, 97% of all exports (in nut equivalent) were in the form of oil (82%), copra17 (4%) and desiccated coconut (11%). In volume terms, coconut meal is a major by-product from oil production and is consumed for animal feed in both domestic and export markets. Exports of products from husk (mostly as coir products) and shell (mostly as activated carbon) are small at approximately USD 210 million and USD 110 million, respectively in 2006. This is mainly due to the relatively small amounts of available husks and shells that are processed in most countries. The notable exceptions to this are Sri Lanka, Vietnam and some areas of India and Thailand. The husk industry consumes around 5 billion nuts per year, serving both domestic and export demand. When processed into fibre, this volume of nuts produces around 1.5 million MT of cocodust or pith. World exports of coco pith products consume approximately 200,000 MT and a similar quantity may be consumed domestically. However, this suggests that over 1 million tonnes of coco pith is dumped into the environment each year mostly in India, Vietnam and Thailand. Sri Lanka is the only country that has a well developed husked and pith industry consuming most of the available materials.
17
Copra is an intermediary product in oil production and exports fell by 66% between 1996 and 2006 as countries processed into oil directly themselves.
19
Whole coconut
Husk
Kernel / Meat
Husk 33%
Kernel 30%
Kernel 74%
Shell
Shell 15%
Water 33%
Water can create $150 /000 nuts, but rarely used at present
Coconut products can be grouped into 4 segments, based on the part of the coconut they are made from: Kernel products, Husk product, Shell product and Water products. Kernel and husk products have most value While each part of the coconut has a similar weight, kernel products are the most important in terms of industry scale value creation, with commercially achievable value of USD 300 / 1000 nuts or more. Husk products can also create significant value at commercial scale of around USD 90 / 1000 nuts. Coconut water products can be highly valuable in an industry as well as to individual businesses. However, while there are successful businesses selling coconut water products, the vast majority of coconut water is not currently captured and processed in the industry globally.
18
Value estimates assume full use of kernel, husk and shell using FOB price for typical commercial products. For Kernel Industrial use products this assumes use for higher value products such as milk and flour through semi-integrated processing rather than lower value bulk products such as oil and DC. Source: APCC 2006, expert interviews, team analysis growing
20
19
+
3 major kernel processing routes: Oil, DC or Integrated
Route 3 - Integrated
+
Copra 239 kg Coconut milk 190 kg Residue 210 kg
Oil and desiccated coconut are the main products sold, as outlined above. However, in terms of unit value, these are low value commodity products. A number of other products available through integrated processing achieve significantly higher unit value per coconut.
Figure 9: Unit value - selected kernel products (USD/000 nuts)
20
Milk, candy and other products achieve high unit value Oil and DC have low unit value
Fresh Coconuts Liquid Milk Powdered Milk Coconut Candy Flour (milk by product) Water (by product) Virgin Coconut oil DC Oil + Copra meal
19
Numerous product variations and manufacturing arrangements exist in real businesses. The diagram illustrates some of the main products from each processing routes. 20 APCC reported international averages, 2006. Coconut candy and fresh coconuts based on data collect in Ben Tre. For coconut candy, the value shown is the price paid for the fresh nuts by the candy companies as the cost of the coconuts is less than one third of the total cost of goods sold.
21
Integrated processing gives highest value Coconut oil losing market share, especially to palm oil Most industries achieve low value Coconut oil productivity not competitive
As several products can be produced and sold in parallel, competitive businesses achieve in excess of USD 300 per 1000 nuts and often much more (see Figure 7). However, many businesses as well as entire sections of the coconut industry in some countries, focus on the production of low value commodity products of oil and DC. While necessary to find markets for the large volumes of products, this greatly reduces the unit value created by the industry. It is notable that, at a national level, nearly all coconut industries achieve relatively low value from their kernel exports compared to that achieved by individual businesses using an integrated processing business model. Major exporters, such as the Philippines and Indonesia are unable to move large parts of their industry towards integrated processing due to market demand limitations and their scale of production. However, smaller and medium size industries, such as Thailand, Sri Lanka and Vietnam have a greater opportunity to raise the value they achieve by moving a significant part of their industries to integrated processing and higher value products. At an industry level Thailand is perhaps the best current example of this for which some data is available. Anecdotally, Hainan Province in China may be another example. At a business level, there are numerous examples, such as Sambu Group in Indonesia that runs an integrated processing operation from a 100,000 hectare plantation.
Figure 10: Kernel export product mix and unit value achieved
21
21
Based on APCC data, assuming de-husked nuts (fresh and mature). Export unit values calculated from export volumes and prices for fresh nuts, oil + meal, desiccated coconut and copra. Thailand value excludes other as no data on prices or products available, but believed to be milk and drink products and as ingredient in other foods.
22
DC
Indonesia Philippines PNG Vietnam Sri Lanka Thailand
a
66 76 52 79 150
288
0 100 200 300
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Coconuts oils importance in the vegetable oil market is in long term decline dropping from 3.8% of the market in 1998 to 2.9% in 2006. From 1998 to 2006, total growth in coconut oil consumption of 19% lagged far behind the rapid growth in vegetable oil markets of 54%, with palm, soybean and rapeseed driving the growth. Coconut oils productivity of around 2,800 litres/ha. is not competitive compared to palm oil which produces 6,000 litres/ha.
Figure 11: World consumption of vegetable oils (MT millions)
140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0
Palm Palm Kernel Soybean
Coconut
Source: USDA
Yet, coconut oil use is still growing at an average of 2.5% per year, despite losing market share. The growth in the coconut oil market has been primarily driven by growth in industrial uses, which now represents 42% of market volume compared to 54% for food use.
23
4 3 2
185 998 118 1228
125
1479
1 0
1751
1826
1881
1998
2002
2006
Source: USDA
The major markets for coconut oil are the EU, India, Philippines, USA and Indonesia representing 72% of total demand. The EU and USA have been driving growth for industrial uses. Philippine oil mills run a <50% capacity Copra meal markets Copra meal is the major by-product of coconut oil production. It is high in protein and other nutrients and is valuable for animal feed uses. In 2006, 770,000 MT were exported, slightly below the 5 year average of 850,000 MT. The two biggest import buyers are Korea (407,000 MT) and Vietnam (102,000 MT) together accounting for 66% of copra meal imports in 2006. Vietnam is the fastest growing importer of copra meal in the world, with a 500% increase in imports in the five years to 2006. Europe used to be the biggest importer of copra meal until 2002, but since then imports dropped by 83% to 81,000 MT in 2006.
22
Differences exist in reported coconut oil consumption between USDA and APCC
24
Copra meal prices averaged USD 72 / MT FOB Philippines between 20042007 and then spiked at an average of USD 133 / MT in 2008. Industry issues and outlook Over capacity is significant across the coconut oil industry. Oil mills in the two biggest producers are running well below capacity23: at 42% in the Philippines (2007) and 70% in Indonesia (2006). Yet despite this, there are few signs of any consolidation in the industry. In fact, Indonesias production has increased in recent years, increasing competition within the industry. Slow growth, mostly from industrial use markets in EU and USA, provides some opportunity for the industry, but is not sufficient to restore the industry to full scale production and is unlikely to off-set the loss of edible oil market share to palm and other cheaper oils. Competitive pressure from palm oil is now widespread in all markets. It is most acute in food and edible oil markets in more price sensitive coconut producing countries, including India, Indonesia and Sri Lanka, but is also present in industrial use markets. High commodity prices in 2008 further increased the pressure as buyers sought to limit costs by switching to cheaper palm oil. In the major domestic markets for oil in coconut producing countries coconut oil is now widely uncompetitive, and demand is only being supported by protectionist government policies (see profile of Sri Lankan industry). Biofuel demand is a new area of significant domestic utilisation of coconut oil, particularly in the Philippines in the form of coconut methyl ester (CME) used as diesel fuel enhancer. Market demand is driven by clean energy legislation, such as the Philippines Biofuels Act which stipulates that a minimum of 2% Biodiesel (CME) shall be blended into all diesel engine fuels sold in the Philippines. At 2% blend, 140,000 MT of coconut oil are required equivalent to between 10%-12% of annual production. This amount is equivalent to about one fifth of the over capacity in the industry and is also comparable to the variation in export volume of coconut oil that has moved back and forth between Indonesia and the Philippines each year over the last 5 years for example from 2006 to 2007 Philippine coconut oil exports fell by 210,000 MT with a corresponding increase in Indonesian exports. The poor production competitiveness of coconut oil compared to other oils can be expected to limit the wider market opportunity for coconut oil as a biofuel outside of producing countries. Without further major initiatives in producing countries to increase demand, biofuel can be expected to have only a limited impact on the overall state of the coconut oil industry as major over capacity and pressure from palm oil will remain. Higher value niche markets for coconut oil based products, such as virgin coconut oil (VCO), organic oil, glycerine and others are likely to continue to attract attention from the industry and can be expected to yield profitable opportunities for a small number of businesses. However, export markets
23
Sources: Philippines data United Coconut Association of the Philippines (2008) Coconut Statistics Annual 2007; Indonesia data - APCC (2007) Coconut statistical Yearbook 2006
25
remain very small, even by comparison to small and medium scale countries. The main market for VCO appears to be the domestic market in the Philippines. In export terms they DC market are mostly immature with uncertain demand, increasing the risk for businesses export led trying to develop these markets. For example the dominate oil exporter, the Philippines in 2007 exported 16,500 MT of glycerine and 1,850 MT of VCO compared to total oil exports of 887,000 MT, equivalent to 1.9% and 0.2% of coconut oil exports respectively. Overall these niche markets can therefore be expected to make only a very small contribution to the industry in practical terms, despite much interest.
The main 1200 import marke 1000 ts are 800 Europ 600 e (43% by 400 volum 200 e), 0 USA (15%), Singap Consumption Price ore (13%) and the Middle East (9%). The Philippines is the dominant exporter with 50% market share by volume, followed by Indonesia (25%) and Sri Lanka (17%) with all three countries with long established industries. Vietnam is a recent entrant to the market with approximately 4% market share24, reportedly gained largely in the Middle East at the expense of Sri Lankan exporters.
185 200 182 180 161 162 163 161 156 150 160 141 1148 140 1051 120 1031 999 915 100 842 878 791 80 701 60 40 20 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1400
Despite relatively flat demand and historic over capacity in the industry, especially in the Philippines, there is currently not significant over capacity in the DC industry, for example Philippine DC mills are reported to be running at an average of over 90% of capacity in recent years. A significant factor in this has been that a number of bigger and more progressive DC companies have diversified into new products and more integrated processing business models. Examples include Peter Paul Philippines
USD / MT
MT '000s
26
Ltd which has the worlds largest DC mill and other major companies in Philippines, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, Malaysia and Thailand. However, Indonesian businesses are reported to have been expanding production capacity in recent years to compete more directly with the Philippines. Vietnams production capacity has also been growing. This is likely to result in intensified competition in the industry and downward pressure on prices. Producers with higher raw material costs, such as Sri Lanka and Vietnam will find it increasingly hard to compete in this market.
Traditional coconut water products have domestic markets but small exports
25 26
converting actual tonnage for milk powder back to equivalent volumes of coconut milk a type of jelly made from by fermentation of coconut water
27
approximately USD 640 MT FOB Philippines in 2007, equivalent to approximately USD 150 per 1000 nuts. Little data is available on the markets for these products. Coconut vinegar and nata de coco have established domestic markets in some producing countries such as the Philippines, however reported exports are small. For example in 2007, Philippines reported export of Nata de coco of 4,500 MT and just 418 MT of vinegar. These are small compared to the assumed domestic demand where they are an established part of the local cuisine. Coconut water and drinks are now widely available in both domestic and export markets, with numerous manufacturers. Growth markets are reported to be in East Asia, including China as well as in USA and Europe. However, no reliable data has been identified on total market size or value as it is part of the beverages market. Coconut meat residues are by-products from integrate processing and are similar but higher quality than copra meal and can be processed for human consumption as flour or defatted coconut. Coconut flour is a high fibre, gluten free flour and can be used in similar ways to normal flour. Coconut flour has a market value27 of approximately USD 850 per MT FOB, equivalent to USD 37 per 1000 nuts. Alternatively, residues can be sold without further processing as a high quality additive to animal feed at a premium over copra meal that sells at approximately USD 72 per MT FOB, equivalent to USD 14 per 1000 nuts. The markets in which these products compete are very large and production volumes are likely to remain small in comparison. As such, market size is not expected to be a constraint to growth for these products in the foreseeable future.
Husks very underutilized Two segments: 1: Husk fibre 2: Cocopith Together worth USD 130/000 nuts more than DC or Oil
India is biggest fibre consumer and producer Coir yarn worth USD 68/000 nuts
27
Source: Coconut flour - UCAP (2008) Coconut statistics 2007, Defatted coconut CDA (2008)Sri Lanka coconut statistic 2007
28
2.3 MT of pith for every 1MT of husk fibre Big importers EU, Korea, Japan, USA
of which are sold domestically. The three other major husk fibre producers are Sri Lanka, Thailand and Vietnam all of whom export around 90% of their products. The average export price for coir yarn in 2006 was USD 613 / MT FOB India, equivalent to approximately USD 68 per 1000 nuts. The main import markets are China, Netherlands, USA, Spain and Germany which accounted for 85% of imports in 2006. China is by far the largest importer, importing over 115,000 MT in 2006, or 45% of world imports. Husk fibre imports grew by and average of 11% per year from 2002 to 2006. Coconut pith is the fine dust removed from the husk during fibre production. Its main applications are as a substrate or soil conditioner, for which its water retention characteristics and slow biodegradability, of around 20 years, make it ideally suited. For every 1 MT of husk fibre produced approximately 2.3 MT of pith are also produced. The only two major exporters of cocopith are Sri Lanka and India, who accounted for 60% and 36% of total exports in 2006. The major import markets are the EU, Korea, Japan and USA. For example, these four countries accounted for 74% of total imports from Sri Lanka. The world substrate market is reported28 to be growing steadily at 5% per year. The competing materials to coco pith substrate products are peat moss and rock wool as growing mediums.
The average export price for cocopith was USD240 per MT FOB Sri Lanka in 2006, equivalent to USD62 per 1000 nuts. Husk industry issues There are two main issues related to the coconut husk industry:
1. Greatly under-utilised resources Husk products can make a very significant contribution to the value created by a coconut industry and is potentially more value than either DC or oil production. However, they are grossly underutilised at present in almost every industry other than Sri Lanka and, to a lesser extent, Vietnam. Both husk fibre and pith need to be used to obtain maximum value. At present only Sri Lanka achieves this on an industry scale. While not as big in absolute scale as India, Sri Lanka is arguably the most sophisticated husk industry in the world and the only major husk product producer that achieves nearly full utilisation of both the husk fibre and cocopith. 2: Cocopith utilisation Even within the existing husk processing industries, the large imbalance between the volume of husk fibre production and cocopith use is a major issue. It is destroying value and polluting the environment. In terms of scale, it is currently primarily an issue in India, Thailand and Vietnam but present in almost all husk fibre industries. Reported exports of coco pith products consume approximately 200,000 MT of raw pith. If it is assumed that that a similar quantity is used domestically this
28
29
suggests that over 1 million tonnes of coco pith is unaccounted for every year. As pith takes around 20 years to breakdown naturally, it is typically left in very large mounds or dumped in rivers creating significant pollution. Variety of products
Sri Lanka and Indonesia generates higher value from export due to shell powder & coconut shell
29
30
coconut shells also earns good income, at approximately USD 40 per 1000 nuts, but only Indonesia is exporting and demand may be limited.
31
32
But these changes would be slow and painful and the exact impact is hard to determine. What is clear is that the current crisis is set to continue.
At the same time, the value achieved per nut is low and coconut farmers struggle to make an acceptable living. This is especially true at the moment with the crisis in the coconut oil markets. Efficient use of the entire nut in a local coconut industry could triple, or more, the value created compared to simple DC or oil supply chains. To illustrate this, using actual market data and prices we could consider a local industry that processes 100 million nuts per year and sells them as the products set-out in the table below.
Table 4: Possible output from a 100 million nut per year industry 2006 Product 000 MT per USD Total value International nuts year /000 USD p.a. average /MT nuts FOB export prices (ave.) Coconut milk (liquid & powder) Kernel Residue for animal feed Water - 33% of available water Coir yarn Husk Shell Total Pith Charcoal 4.0 6.0 4.2 9.0 3.9 19.7 25,000 16,800 7,920 11,086 25,873 5,076 290 37 50 68 62 13 520 29,000,000 3,700,000 5,016,000 6,800,000 6,200,000 1,312,000 52,036,000
33
While market limitation mean that this is not possible for the entire global industry, those local industries that succeed in making the transition to an efficient industry will create a sustainable competitive advantage for themselves and deliver significant benefit to their business and farmers alike. The dramatically higher value creation and efficiencies will also make them more resilient to wider industry upheavals.
34
75%
Process export
75% of total production 9207 mn nuts Total export value USD 1.1 billion Oil (86%) and DC (11%) Unit value created USD 117/ 000 nuts
20% of total production Process Oil, DC, cream, oleo chemical 20% domestic Unit value created USD 124/ 000 nuts
5% 0%
5% of total production, 613 mn nuts Raw domestic Used at home for home made oil or food nuts Unit value created USD 127/ 000 nuts
Raw export
Banned export of raw nuts Only 0.645 M nuts sold as seed nuts Unit value created USD 266/ 000 nuts
30
Data in this section, if not specified otherwise, is taken from: UCAP (2008) Philippines Coconut Statistics 2007 and Bawalan, D. (2009) Consultant report on Philippines Coconut Industry Benchmarking for PI
35
31
Including copra
36
Oil
80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 11.5 10% 0% 5.6 3 80
Export oil industry use up 7.4 billion nuts per year Main export markets: Europe and USA Unit value created USD 99/ 000 nuts (2007) Total value creation USD 728.6 Million By-product, copra meal is exported mainly to Korea and Vietnam for animal feed Number 1 DC exporter Consume 1 billion nuts per year Unit value created USD 149/ 000 nuts Total value creation USD 157.2 million (2007) 3 largest export item Volume 98,599 MT copra equivalent Value creation USD 59.7 million (2007) glycerin, nata de coco, milk, milk powder, coco chips, coco parings, shampoo, soap, VCO, etc Value creation USD 42 million (2007)
rd
Oleo chemical
DC Others
The Philippines industry is facing two major competitive pressures: Substitution of coconut oil by palm oils: Philippines oil industry has confronted the strong competition from palm oil in both edible and non edible oil markets. Palm kernel oil has similar chemical property as coconut oil for oleo chemical uses. Moreover, palm oil is cheaper to produce and have higher yields and is out competing coconut oil in the edible oil market. An interview with the Horticultural Research Institute in Bangkok shows that the annual return to a hectare for palm oil is USD 3,788 while the income of coconut oil is USD 2,659 per hectare if the coconuts are grown under ideal conditions and fertilizer is applied which is rarely the case. 32 Major oil millers now privately concede33 that coconut oil has largely lost the battle in the edible oil export markets to palm oil. However, they see growing possibilities in the industrial and oleo-chemical markets, led by US markets. Competition from other major coconut producers34: Philippines also meet a head-on competition from Indonesia, the number 2 coconut oil exporter and major DC exporter as Indonesia has better freight cost and offer discount up to $20-40/MT on oil to win market share from Philippines. In addition, interviews with several oil millers in Philippines give the fact that most of oil millers typically run at approximately 50% capacity.
32 33
Thailand Horticultural Research Institute The Department of Agriculture, expert interview 2008. Private interview with senior executives of a major oil miller, April 2009. 34 Interviews with various Philippines coconut companies, April 2009
37
In the presence of fierce competition, each group of producers in Philippines has their own response: Giant oil millers, such as CIIF, hope to improve competitiveness versus palm oil (and also raise the utilization of their mills) by seeking to increase productivity at farm level (by increased yield). They are also looking to focus on the growing industrial use markets. In terms of productivity, they hope to triple the copra yield at the individual farm level in the next 2-3 years. If this is achieved over 50% of the production area this would result in a 100% increase in the Philippines raw material supply equivalent to more than a 50% increase in the world supply of nuts for export. So, if the Philippines is successful in increase their productivity, it would trigger a major change in the global coconut industry. It would affect the price of nuts and other coconut product in the market due to their huge scale increase. A triple productivity would enable the Philippines to be very competitive in every coconut market but may trigger a price collapse. In the world market. Smaller scale oil millers are looking to niche high value markets like organic, VCO and biodiesel (eg. SC Global) However, it is observed those successful VCO producers are the ones who produce it in parallel to other products (eg: SC Global, Peter Paul Philippines), not the ones who produce only VCO because of the uncertain but lucrative nature of the VCO market. This is equally true for other niche oilbased products. The major market for VCO is the domestic market and export markets are very recent an currently unproven. Beyond the mainstream oil industry, it is notable that a few of the currently most successful coconut business are former DC processors who have switched to integrated processing and became successful with the new business model. Peter Paul Philippines, having the biggest DC processing facility in the world, now moves into integrated processing, producing not only DC but also other high value products such as milk, powder, VCO. Other examples are Fiesta Brands, Atson Coco Inc. and Tropicana Food Products Inc. Each of these gradually added new products to their range over several years, typically starting their shift to integrated processing in the 1990s and are continuing to add new products to maximize value to this day. For many, some of the latest additions have been VCO and spray dried coconut milk powder.
Husk products Only 5% of husks processed, rest burnt or waste While kernel part is used up for manufacturing different end products, coconut husks are mostly used for fuel for drying copra (65%) or go to waste (30%). Only a small proportion of husks available (5%) is processed into coir products.
38
Husk products in Philippines are mostly limited to basic intermediate material rather than value added products. Husk exported products are mainly baled fibre, sold to China. However, in recent year the Philippines has suffered from strong competition from Vietnam for China market.. The pith business is very minor in Philippines. Coco pith is hardly moving since there is nearly no export of coco pith at the moment and small domestic demand. There are some efforts to turn pith into bio fertilizer but in very small scale. In the last 5 years, there are also some successful businesses making effort to create value from husk, such as the award winning Cocogreen, but overall the husk and pith industry is still very underdeveloped and unsophisticated and a missed opportunity for the industry. Shell products
76% of shells for charcoal for domestic market Activated carbon exported to EU, USA and Japan.
A majority of coconut shells generated in Philippines are converted into charcoals for the domestic market (76% of shells available). Shell based product exported is equal to 24% of total shell available. The primary product is activated carbon sold to Europe, Japan and USA. Philippines is also the biggest exporter of coconut shell charcoal with Japan as the biggest buyer. The value created from shell export product is $14/ 000 nuts.
39
Figure 17: The Sri Lanka Coconut Industry 2007 - at a glance 17% of total nuts 512 million mostly used for DCs Unit value created USD 299/ 000 nuts Total value creation USD 209 million 18% of total nuts - 551 million - used for edible oil milling for domestic consumption Unit value created USD 223/ 000 nuts Total value creation USD 123 million 63% of total nuts - 1.9 billion - consumed locally as curry nuts for culinary purposes Unit value created USD 192/ 000 nuts Total value creation USD 354 million 2% of total nuts - 47 million nuts are exported raw Unit value created USD 244/ 000 nuts Total value creation USD 11.4 million
2%
17%
Process export
35
Data in this section, if not specified otherwise, is taken from: CDA (2008) Sri Lanka Coconut Statistics Yearbook 2007; Cader Z. (2009) Consultant report on Sri Lanka Coconut Industry Benchmarking for PI
40
0% 45% 44%
Kernel
Shell
Husk
11%
Water
Kernel products: DC main kernel export DC is the dominant product in the kernel export kernel portfolio of Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka is the 3rd largest DC exporter, after Philippines and Indonesia with India as the biggest consumers. Sri Lanka is losing market
41
share to Vietnam in Middle Eastern markets. DC business faces difficulty in raw material supply in recent years as DC business (and other export coconut industries) cannot compete with domestic coconut oil industry. Governmental policy to protect domestic oil industry causes difficulty for export producers and consumers The domestic coconut oil industry is the main competitor for raw materials with the export industries. The domestic edible oil consumption in Sri Lanka is around 160,000 170,000 MT per year and more than 50% of this demand is currently met by imported edible oils (particularly edible grade of palm oil and palm kernel oil) and the rest from coconut oil. The prices of imported edible oils therefore determine the price of locally manufactured coconut oil prices with a strong influence on the price of nuts. Sri Lanka government recently imposed a very high import duties and charges on imported edible oil that adds up approximately 115% to the CIF value. The import duty was imposed to protect the local coconut oil industry. Consequently, the price of the oil produced locally also surge up to over twice the international price and nut prices rose accordingly including for the 60% sold as curry nuts for home consumption. The government has shown uncertainty in how to balance the interests of the competing parts of the industry and so import duties have been dramatically increased only to be reduced again with surprising frequency in the last 4 years. Export industries, such as DC, cannot compete with the domestic coconut oil industry for raw materials while very high import duties are in place on edible oils. The government policies, while trying to protect the domestic oil industry, have caused drastic decline in export production and a high price of nuts for domestic consumers. Export business now claim that between 10,000-15,000 jobs are now at risk due to the current policies. Successful integrated business model focusing on high value products Although the export industry is dominated by traditional products, such as DC and copra, Sri Lanka also has higher value added export products such as coconut cream, coconut milk, coconut powder and VCO which consume about 56 million nuts in total (account for 11% of total nuts used for kernel export products). An interview with Renuka Group Limited, the largest Sri Lankan company specialized in food and canned coconut products, shows that the milk and cream business is very much integrated in the food and beverage business, not just coconut business. It is also commented by Sri Lankan coconut processors that VCO is high value product but it has limited market demand. The consumption markets are Europe or US with strict quality certification. Husk products World leading husk industry Sri Lanka has a well developed husk processing industry with diversified product mix and high unit value. Sri Lanka has a Coir Research Development and Training Center dedicate to support the coir industry. Sri Lanka and India are the two single countries that currently add significant value to husk products successfully. In 2007, the husk industry utilized slightly more than 1 billion husks for export (almost twice the number of nuts used for export) and generated
42
about USD 93 million. Although more than half of husk products are exported as bales of mattress fibre, Sri Lanka has successfully turned the
Figure 19: Sri Lanka Husk Industry - product mix and value, 2007
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% % e xport vol ume 56 44
Husk chips Pith Geotextile Coir mould Coir yarn Twisted fiber Bristle fiber 28 16 48 48 72 68
167
Mattress fiber 0
rest into a wide range of high value finished products such as husk chips, geo textile, coir mould, coir yarn, twisted fibre, and pith products. The average unit value created from husk based products is USD 81 per thousand nuts. China is a large market for baled fibre, while US, Europe and Japan are large markets for other fibre based products. Successful Coir business Harleys Export, Tropicoir One example of a successful coir business is Hayleys Exports. The company is the largest designer, manufacturer and exporter of coir fibre products in Sri Lanka. Hayleys Exports is ISO 9000 system certified and has been a pioneer manufacturer and exporter of coconut coir erosion control products in the world. Hayleys Exports has sales offices in the US, Japan, and UK. Tropicoir, established in 1997, is another major exporter of coir from Sri Lanka, with a strong focus on quality production processes. As part of its expansion plans, Tropicoir has secured an investment of Pacific Wide group, a major player in New Zealands horticultural industry. The investment by Pacific Wide is believed to create substantial synergy for both parties. As illustrated by the Tropicoir, many successful husk companies have joint ventures with partners in major markets to better access end markets (e.g. Europe, USA). Those companies often have tight relationship with end markets like horticulture and agriculture industries, erosion control industry, etc. Husks used for coir industry are mainly collected from major curry nut wholesalers or big kernel processors. Over twice as many husks are
43
processed to value added products for export than nuts for kernel products marking the competitiveness of the husk industry in Sri Lanka. However, it is believed to be close to the limit on economic supply of husks thus unlikely to grow much more. This is further evidenced by the plans of several leading husk businesses36 to expand their production operations overseas. Shell products
Activated carbon production is the major coconut shell industry in Sri Lanka, accounting for 95% of shell product exports. The country is the 5th largest exporter of activated carbon. In 2007, Sri Lanka exported 22,453 MT of shell based products with a value of USD 22.3 million. Charcoal product is only 5% of total volume. The production of charcoal is diminishing in Sri Lanka. Some of the larger activated carbon companies37 are importing shell charcoal and looking for expansion of production facilities overseas as the economic supply of coconut shell is Well developed reaching its limit. institutional 3.2.4 Institutional structure structures Coconut is an important crop in Sri Lanka. The coconut industry is Inconsistent supported by a well developed institutional structure. Sri Lanka has a policies, especially on oil number of different organization which enables the industry to develop and commercially viable such as Coconut Development Authority (CDA), imports Coconut Research Institute (CRI), Coir Research Development and Training Center (CRDTC), the Industrial Technology Institute (ITI). Coconuts Besides the government agencies, private actors comprise most of important for specific coconut trade associations like Desiccated Millers Association, national food Coconut Growers Association, and Coconut Oil Millers Association. security Coconut plays a central role in Sri Lankas food security, thus, the institutional structures and policies appear to place the greatest priority on developing the coconut sector for the domestic market rather than as an export led industry.
36 37
Private interviews with managers of several husk product businesses in Sri Lanka, February 2009. Private interviews with managers of activated carbon businesses in Sri Lanka, February 2009.
44
3.3 Thailand38
3.3.1 Highlights
6th largest coconut producer in the world (plantation area: 226,000 ha, production: 1,284 million nuts, 2006). High yield per hectare in copra and nut terms, but plantation area has declined by >30% since 2002, in part due to a growing shift to oil palm cultivation. 75% of Thailands annual coconut production is consumed domestically in the form of processing food, beverage and drinking nuts. Kernel based industry in Thailand is well developed and integrated into food processing industries. Thailand is possibly the largest producer of coconut milk, accounting for perhaps 20%-40% of global production. Husk industry processes around 20% of husk for export but at very low value Number 5 exporter of shell charcoal and activated carbon (30,588 MT)
Note: There is less complete and reliable data available on the Thailand industry.
3.3.2
>30% drop in plantation area and yield since 2002
Thailand has a production of 1,284 million nuts. Coconut is grown on approximately 226,000 ha located mainly in the southern and central plain part of Thailand. Since 2002, production area in Thailand has declined by >30% mainly due to a growing shift to palm cultivation which gives better yield and higher farm gate price. Approximately 60% of coconuts produced are sold in the market for consumption. There is no record data on how these nuts are utilized. Around 25% of total nuts are sold to factories for processing. There is limited information to identify the volumes of final products and utilization of these products although most are understood to be processed by integrated food processors as an ingredient into a wide array of food products as well as some specific coconut products. The remaining 15% are processed in coconut milk processing plant. There is no data on how much coconut milk is for export and for local consumption. A crude estimate may be that Thailand represents 20%40% of global coconut milk production.
High domestic consumption but in the form of processed food, milk and drinks
The domestic consumption of Thailand is high as much as Sri Lanka at the rate of >60% of total production. The difference between these countries is that the domestic market in Thailand is very well developed with many processed product (cream, milk, powder, drinks) with recognized brands, while in Sri Lanka, it is simply just curry nut selling in local market without brand name.
38
Data in this section is taken from the report of Thai Consultant which is mainly sourced from Office of Agriculture Economics, Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives, Royal Thai Government
45
This may, in part, explain the more limited data available on the industry.
46
47
30%
Process export
31% of nuts 114 million nuts DC (80%) and coconut candy (20%) Unit export value USD 254 /000 nuts* Total value creation USD 39 million USD**
31%
30% of nuts - 112 million - coconut candy Unit value created USD 270 /000 nuts Total value USD 30 million 7% of nuts - 26 million - food & drinking nuts Unit value created USD 200 /000 nuts Total value creation USD 5 million
32% of nuts - 118 million nuts No. 1 exporter of raw nuts in world Unit value created USD 149 /000 nuts Total value creation USD 17.5 million
High yields
Notes: Source: Ben Tre IPC * USD 184 from kernel, USD 16 from shell, USD 41 from husk and USD 13 from water based (jelly) ** USD21 million comes from full utilization of 114 million nuts, USD 18 million from use of extra husks & shells 3 See the work of the Coconut Research Centre of the Oil Palm Research Institute in Ben Tre and Ben Tre Department of Agriculture and rural Development.
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Intercropping returns: USD3,700 Usage - 30% to each of: - raw exports - coconut candy (domestic mkt) - processed exports Biggest exporter of raw nut in the world
per year (USD1,100), although it is not unusual to find annual returns equivalent VND 29 million (USD1,650). When intercropped with cocao the combined return per hectares is above VND 65 million (USD3,700) Coconuts usage in Ben Tre is split equally among raw nuts export, processed product export (75% DC and 25% candy) and processed products for domestic consumption (100% coconut candy, a unique product of Ben Tre), Each accounts for approximately 30% of total production. Only a small amount of nuts (7%) are consumed domestically as raw nuts for either food or drinking purposes. A significant feature of Ben Tre in comparison to other coconut producing countries is the highest proportion (32%) and volume (118 million nuts) of nuts being exported as raw nuts. Vietnam does not impose tariff or restrictions on coconut export products, even the raw nuts. Thus local processors have to compete in the open market with foreign traders for nut supply. At present, raw nuts are sold mainly to Chinese buyers. In the last two years these buyers have been able to pay significantly higher prices than many local DC processing businesses. This is believed to be because the nuts are more efficiently used for higher value products when processed in China. Such buyers have been active for around 3 months each year, although with limited activity in first half of 2009.
This is an important issue for the industry, creating both opportunities and risks. It delivers significantly higher prices to farmers for short periods during the year. However, on the negative side, it creates considerable volatility on both prices and supply volumes for these periods for local processors. These are hard to manage as raw nuts must be processed soon after harvesting and cannot be stockpiled for long periods to smooth supply. With businesses unable to secure affordable nuts, several DC businesses have largely suspended production during the periods of major export buying of raw nuts for the last two years. This significantly undermines the commercial viability of these businesses both in terms of profitability and meeting customer orders. At the same time, the absence of the raw nut export buyers during the first half of 2009 points to the uncertainty about this as a market, which is in any case limited to around 3 months each year. This is therefore a major risk to the local industry if DC processers become commercially unviable. Thankfully there are proven opportunities for DC processors to invest in more integrated kernel processing, raising the value they create from their nuts and making them more competitive both in export markets and in securing raw nut supplies against export buyers.
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has the biggest contribution to the export revenues at 55%. Husk based products contribute 38% share. and shell-based products 7%.
Kernel products Coconut candy is one of main kernel based products, mainly for home market Although the coconuts have been grown in Ben Tre for a long time, the local coconut industry is very new to the global market and technology. The largest single use of nuts is for the manufacture of Coconut Candy4, a traditional and unique product of Ben Tre province. The candy industry uses 140 million nuts per year. 80% of coconut candy produced is consumed domestically with 20% for export market, mainly sold to the Vietnamese overseas community. Coconut candy is a high value product with the final product achieving over USD 1000 per 1000 nuts. However coconuts represent only around one third of the cost of production, so a fairer value for comparison purpose is around USD300-330 /per 1000 nuts. Coconut candy also creates significant employment.
At present coconut candy is limited to mainly Vietnamese markets, and product packaging and finishing is relatively rudimentary. Little efforts have yet been made to test the potential for exporting the product into mainstream export markets, with the necessary improvements in packing, finishing and hygiene standard. However, the nature of the product and growing popularity of coconuts in some countries, such as China, suggests that there may be value in testing the export potential in Asian as well as Western and Middle Eastern markets. Recent DC industry Currently, the major exported kernel products in Ben Tre is DC with total income creation is USD 14.1 million in 2007, with a unit value of USD164 per 1000 nuts. The DC business has grown since 2001 when the first joint venture with Sri Lanka (Silver mill) was established. The main markets are Eastern Europe and Middle East where the price rather than quality is the main factor in purchase decision. The DC from Ben Tre is mainly exported in un-branded pack products. The quantity of DC exported from Ben Tre is insignificant in comparison to giant exporters like Philippines and Sri Lanka. Recently, DC business in Ben Tre suffered from significant raw material price fluctuation, as outlined above. For example in 2008, when the Chinese boats came to purchase nuts, nut price rose above 2,500 VND5 and up to 5,000 VND per nut, the local DC business could not afford to pay for the raw material inputs and some business closed down operation or reduced production to a minimum to fulfil outstanding orders. Ben Tre province has around 250 coconut processing businesse, mostly engaged in candy, DC and husk fibre production. The larger DC processing factories are centralized in Ben Tre town while coconut candy business are more numerous and smaller scale. Mo Cay and
4 5
Coconut candy is similar in appearance and consistency to toffee but with a sweet coconut flavour Exchange rate USD 1 = VND 17,500
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Chau Thanh districts are coconut candy production centres with over 100 workshops of various scales. New investment in integrated kernel processing Wonderfarm is the most well know integrated coconut processing company in Vietnam, based in the nearby province of Dong Nai. While there are not yet any integrated kernel processing businesses operating in Ben Tre, a Thai business has just received approval to open a USD 12 million modern integrated processing factory, making coconut milk, drinks and other products for export to US, EU and elsewhere. Husk products High utilization rate of husks Ben Tre has the highest rate of utilization of available husk of any reported coconut producing country, with an estimated 96% of available husks processed for making fibre and fibre net for export. The fibre business in Ben Tre began in the 1990s and flourished between 1993 1997. There are approximately 325 fibre small and medium sized processors, locating mainly along Thom River6 banks, providing jobs for around 10,000 local labourers. But low value products However, the fibre product is limited to intermediary raw material (baled fibre) rather than value added products. The province sold 53,846 MT of baled fibre in 2007 (equivalent to 331 million nuts) mainly to China, bring total earnings of USD 13.5 million. A small number of husks, equivalent to 28 million nuts are processed into fibre net and other higher value finished products.
There is significant potential for the industry to readily expand production of finished and higher value husk fibre products as the husk fibre is already available in the industry and some local businesses are already exporting to key markets and have unmet customer orders. This is an important opportunity to raise the competitiveness of the overall industry by creating significant additional value from the whole nut, as proven by Sri Lanka. Furthermore, production of finished fibre product is likely to be the largest sources of additional employment creation from within the industry, with the potential for several thousand new jobs. As a result of fibre business, there are huge amounts of coco dust or pith produced. The volume of fibre export would generate more than 110,000 MT of pith each year, but only around 20% is estimated to be used. There is therefore potentially more than 80,000 MT of coco pith A major being dumped into the Mekong River each year. This is causing major environmental pollution to the river and the living environment and is highly pollutant Essential to tackle unsustainable. Without addressing this, the husk fibre sub-sector is this for the entire unsustainable and this, in turn, undermines the competitiveness and industry viability of the entire industry. Recently, the provincial government has encouraged local and foreign companies to use coco pith to produce bio-soil, organic fertilizer, etc. One Korean company and a few local companies have begun small scale processing but none on significant scale. Limited usage of pith
Could readily expand output of finished fibre products creating thousands of jobs
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Shell products Basic shell export product - charcoal The only significant shell product exported by Ben Tre is charcoal. The province exported 11,006 MT in 2007 at the price of USD 16 per 1000 nut equivalent with a total value of USD 2.5 million. The volume of charcoal exported is equivalent to 42% of total shells available. There is no recorded data on the usage of the rest of the shells quantity in Ben Tre. It is observed that the coconut shells are used as fuel in some candy processors and small DC producers and for handicraft products. Vietnam, and Ben Tre in particular, hasnt exported coconut shell activated carbon yet. However, a recently established French-owned company in Ben Tre hopes to increase exports in the near future.
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20,000 workers
Began as oil miller Diversified gradually over 25 years No husk or shell products marketed
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Good social welfare for employees as the basis for long term sustainable operations
Focus on quality
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Hayleys Export A wide range of coir products to maximise value Raw material supply limits in Sri Lanka Looking overseas for expansion, cautiously
the world. Their products include: Mattress / bristle / twisted fibre, coir twine, geotextiles, erosion control blankets, vegetation fascines and coir beds. These products are used in brush manufacturing, mattress industry, automobile upholstery, erosion control and agriculture. The company has achieved considerable success from its Sri Lanka operation. However, it remains in need of additional raw materials as supply in Sri Lanka has reached its economic limit. The company recognizes that an off-shore production facility is a more efficient solution than importing materials. The company has a negative track record of joint ventures, following a poor experience in China. Therefore Hayleys Exports has an interest, in principle, to investigate the feasibility of an investment in Ben Tre. However, there are concerns about Vietnam and the Silvermills joint venture in particular. Haycarb, founded in 1973, is the worlds leading manufacturer of coconut shell activated carbon. Their product range covers standard, washed, and impregnated carbons in granular, pellet and powder forms. Activated carbon presently has a wide range of applications in air, gas and liquid purification and precious metal recovery. In addition to its wide scale usage in water purification, solvent recovery and waste water treatment, Haycarbs products have moved up the activated carbon value chain to serve high value niche applications such as vehicle cabin air filters, military and industrial gas masks, high purity water, for the electronic industry, medical applications, cigarette filters and pharmaceutical industry. Haycarb manufactures 24,000 MT per annum and operates two production centres in Sri Lanka, one in Thailand and one in Indonesia. As part of the manufacturing, they sell electricity back to the government electricity company at market price. The company markets through subsidiaries in Thailand, Australia and UK as well as through independent exclusive distributors elsewhere, who add value though further processing according to clients needs. With as sales turnover of US$380 million per year, about 90 % of production is for export and 50 % of exports go to the US. The company has long term distribution contracts and direct sales to large companies. Growth is being driven by US EPA and FDA considerations. Haycarb is growing at 20 % per year. The company imports charcoal to meet production requirements. Fourteen years ago the company set up export operations for charcoal in Ben Tre that went well for four years. However, specifications varied and volumes fell, even with a Haycarb person on site. The company considered investing in Ben Tre, but decided on Thailand - where they now have a factory. Both companies have been particularly successful in developing export led husk and shell businesses for high value applications but are now facing raw material shortages in their home industry.
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As well as generating good returns for themselves, the businesses create demand for shells and husk and value for the rest of the industry. They show that it is possible to consume a large volume of coconut shell and husk for high value export products.
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Tropicoir, Sri Lanka Tropicoir Lanka was A world leading pith business with a joint venture led business model founded in 1997 committed to the task of offering high quality, environmentally safe coir-based substrates to professional horticulture and floriculture growers around the globe. Its products include: grow bags, coco cubes, blocks, bags, briquettes, coco husk chips, coir feed and mulch and roof top gardening products. Since it was founded, it has built several successful Joint Venture companies (Tropical International, Euro Substrates and Growrite Substrates) with professional substrate manufactures from the Netherlands, New Zealand and Korea to cater to the growing demand for coco substrates in these markets. These partnerships help create close relationships with clients to keep pace with changing technologies in the global horticultural market. Tropicoir has developed a wide range of crop specific products for hydroponic growing of flowers, vegetables and fruits through constant dialog with growers. Its Joint Venturess, Euro Substrates and Growrite Substrates, have emerged as tow of the world's leading high quality coir based substrate providers due to continuous product development through introduction of innovative and advanced production techniques. Furthermore, Euro Substrates has multiple supply sources through its production facilities in Sri Lanka, India, and Dominican Republic while Growrite is among the most advanced coir based substrates processing facility in the world with the ability to meet the need for consistent growing media. Tropicoirs uncompromising commitment to quality and determination to find the right solution for diverse needs of professional growers gives them a competitive edge in today's hightech horticultural production. Supply flexibility is also a key strength of the company. Raw material supply limits in Sri Lanka Future growth through overseas production Discussions indicate that the company is evaluating another supply source in the East Asian region for their next investment in 2010 due to raw material supply limits in Sri Lanka. The Philippines is the main candidate site for expansion as the company has already identified the necessary land and raw materials are plentiful. The company also has good relations with Covina a Korean company with operations in the cocopith industry in Ben Tre. The reasons behind Tropicoirs success include: a focus in innovation and quality, enabling Tropicoir to secure its market position through provision of a wide range of products for specific customer needs; business partnership with distributors in key markets, including Europe, Japan, Korea, Australia, New Zealand, and Middle East successful overseas expansion to maintain raw material supply and growth
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An expanding range of products Consulting services are key part of strategy to grow market
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Other successful businesses in Thailand and Malaysia include: Asiatic Thailand Ampol Food Processing Ltd Thailand Korn Thai Thailand Linaco manufacturing Malaysia Stancodex Malaysia M & S Food Industries - Malaysia Kapar Coconut Industries Malaysia
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Sizeable markets exist for a range of high value products from all parts of the coconut, both domestic and export. While only a fraction of the size of the main coconut commodity markets, they are still sufficient to provide good market opportunities for an industry of the scale of Ben Tre. The local industry could realistically raise the value added per 1000 nuts from its current level of USD 250 to around USD 520, by investing in the manufacture of commercially proven higher value products through integrated processing of the kernel and full utilisation of the husk fibre and pith for finished products and the shell. The existing conditions in Ben Tre are favourable to moving to a high value added industry: There is a sizeable and stable domestic demand for coconut candy a high value product There are already examples of successful integrated kernel processors in Vietnam, severing both domestic and export markets Ben Tre has recently succeeded in attracting foreign investment into similar new integrated processing factories Several DC businesses operate in Ben Tre and these would be a natural starting point for investment to diversify into integrated processing businesses Vietnam already has established demand for coconut residues for feed, currently being imported from the Philippines, but would be a by-product of integrated kernel processing by the local industry A few smaller businesses have already proven the market for high value finished husk fibre products and pith products and nearly all husks already enter the processing industries (although not yet for these high value products) There is a rapidly improving business environment and infrastructure, with HCMC now just 2.5 hours by road and a highway under construction.
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The need Ben Tre is high cost producers Not competitive in coconut commodities: DC or Oil Palm oil may trigger collapse in coconut commodity prices The industry already has high nut costs by international standards and is not competitive in the mainstream commoditised coconut products of DC and Oil, especially in relation to the very large, low cost production capacity in the Philippines and Indonesia. The rise of palm oil, especially in domestic edible oil markets in coconut producing countries, threatens to turn the recent slow growth of coconut oil markets into outright decline. If this becomes reality, the global industry could see major surplus supplies of coconuts and a worldwide collapse in coconut prices. Without a recovery in demand, a major restructuring of the industry would be likely. High cost producers competing in coconut commodity markets, as is currently the case for Ben Tre, would likely see a large scale collapse of their industry as demand moves to lower cost volume producers. High value added industries, outside of the commodity markets, would be best placed to withstand such market conditions as their competitive advantage comes from the efficiency of utilisation of the entire nut for value added products and a diversity of end markets, as opposed to simple competition on the lowest price of a nut. Regardless of the future impact of palm oil in the market, there is already pressure on farmers to look for higher income uses of their land. Neighbouring countries, such as Thailand and Malaysia, have seen steep declines in coconut production as farmers have switched to other crops. Maintaining higher farmer incomes is therefore important for the security of raw material supply. The two most effective mechanisms for achieving this are intercropping and moving to an efficient, high value added industry that can still be competitive even with higher nut prices
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replaced by other crops. Efforts to reduce nut prices without increasing overall farmer income through other mechanism may provide short term benefits to business but would quickly prove to be highly counterproductive for the industry. There are two main ways to sustain higher farm incomes: intercropping and achieving higher average nut prices. Yield increases are a third, and possibly smaller, mechanism. Intercropping is widespread in the global industry and is highly desirable. In Ben Tre, intercropping with cocoa appears to be an attractive option for both market and technical reasons. However, only around 50% of coconut land in Ben Tre is suitable for cocoa production. Intercropping on the remaining coconut land is also highly desirable but feasible options need to be explored further. Higher average nut prices can only be achieved if two conditions exist: 1. a majority of nuts are bought by a high value-added industry cluster that makes full use of the entire nut and is able to maintain competitiveness even with high nut prices (see chart) 2. healthy competition and demand for nuts is maintained among buyers, thus leading higher value-added business to raise nut purchase prices to economic levels to secure supply. For integrated kernel processing, individual businesses provide good examples, with Thailand as the best examples at an industry level. Sri Lankas export processing industry is the best role model for nearly full use of the entire nut, especially for value added husk fibre and pith products. It shows that the development of high value husk fibre and pith industries can make very significant contributions to the value created by the industry as a whole and helps Sri Lankas businesses be competitive while maintaining high nut price. These industries also provide much needed diversity of end markets. This may be especially important if there are major upheavals in the coconut commodity markets.
Figure 21: Rising breakeven nut prices with increased integrated 47 processing
Affordable price of nuts while still profitable (VND/nut)
8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 DC Cocomilk + Residue Cocomilk + Various Various milk VCO & flour milk, drinks & drinks + & VCO + Flour & VCO Residue
Intercropping is widespread in the global industry Cocoa promising for half of Ben Tre coconut growers
Higher nut prices need: High value added industry Healthy competition Integrated kernel processing vital
High value husk industries bring diversity and strength to entire industry
Increasing Development of Integrated Kernel processing Using current prices for finished goods & estimates of costs of good sold from company interviews and research. This exclude any contribution to farm gate prices form higher value husk processing.
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Help existing high value husk fibre and pith businesses to grow
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employment is often on an outworker basis, especially useful in targeting under-employed women and men in their own villages. Ben Tre will inevitably continue to be an export led industry. As such product standards will be important, as in the Philippines. Many of the kernel products are for human consumption and so will need to comply with international sanitary and phyto-sanitary standards a swell as manufacturing and agricultural standards, such as HACCP, GMP or GAP. Developing local capacity in these will be important. For coconut specific standards, such as a standard for low fat coconut milk versus coconut cream, these could be developed if judged necessary for the market. The Philippines has a wide range of standards already developed for different products. These would be a good starting point for any standards that need to be developed. For any local standards, appropriate certification and monitoring regimes would need to be established. Ben Tre has good levels of competition among nut buyers so the market is likely to be efficient in transmitting price changes down to farm level. This competition needs to be maintained at a healthy level. In this regard, the authorities should try to avoid any one or two businesses achieving dominant market positions in either the kernel or husk industries. The objective in terms of competition is to achieve a healthy, Goldilocks level of competition - not too hot - not too cold, but just right. Too much competition can lead to over capacity across the industry while having too many smaller uncompetitive businesses that then rely on driving down nut prices to survives. Too little competition and farmers will not benefit from the additional value being created as dominant businesses earn higher revenues but hold down nut prices. While subject to market forces, the local authorities should consider the desired level of competition in their plans for each sub-sector assessing maximum raw material supply capacity and output and attracting right size and number of enterprises. The appropriate use of investment permits and incentives can be a valuable tool in helping to achieve the desired level of competition. An example of unhealthy competition is the oil industry in The Philippines. A small number of giant millers have dominant market positions while at the same time, historic market distortions have led to large scale over capacity. The businesses now find themselves competing on price and driving down nut prices. This stifles farm production and yields and is counterproductive in the long term.
Aim for Goldilocks level of competition: not too much, not too little, but just right
6.2.3 Markets
Ben Tre is a relatively small produce by international standards. However, it is sufficient to be an important player in some of the markets for high value kernel and husk products. Market limits are not likely to be a major factor during the next few years, but if there is a
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very large expansion of any specific niche product then attention will need to be given to ensure it does not trigger a market collapse. Domestic demand for high value products can be important to coconut processing industries.. Examples include VCO in the Philippines, Candy in Vietnam, milk and drinks in Thailand, coir yarn and nets in India. Domestic market potential should therefore not be ignored in Vietnam. Selected products may be under exploited Some products may be currently under exploited in export and domestic markets and may be worth testing further in the marketplace. These include: Organic products will be valuable niche for some businesses Coconut shell powder as resin additive for both domestic and export markets Coconut milk, cream, ice cream, and drinks for domestic markets Coconut candy - for mainstream export markets Cocopeat (from pith) - in domestic horticulture (niche) and land improvement (bulk) Coconut flour for domestic bakery and confectionary
Large domestic demand for main by-product from integrated processing kernel residues
Organic products are a valuable niche product for many successful integrated processing businesses. This could be valuable in Ben Tre and could be linked to organic cacao production. It is not likely to be very extensive in scale, but could still be valuable especially as coconut milk and drinks are often marketed on health grounds.. Given the naturally high yields, Ben Tre may have a competitive advantage in organic production. Vietnam already has established demand for coconut residue for feed of over 100,000 MT per year, currently being imported from the Philippines. By comparison the total output of residues from integrated processing of 200 million nuts the amount not consumed by candy processors is around 40,000 MT per year. There is therefore an excellent opportunity to market this local. Current import buyers should be identified and contacted to understand their requirements and confirm the potential to substitute local supply for current imports. China appears to be a growing market, especially for high value kernel products, although firm data is difficult to obtain. Efforts to better understand the market in China are likely to be highly valuable to both the authorities and businesses in Ben Tre.
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profits48 as business move to increasingly sophisticated integrated processing (see chart). Most of the modern, integrated processing businesses began as desiccated coconut processors or oil millers. The gradually added related product lines to make them the big integrated coconut
48
68
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Million VND
Cocomilk + Various milk, Various milk VCO & flour drinks & VCO & drinks + + Residue Flour & VCO
processing enterprises that they are today. This pathway takes advantage of the fact that there are similar processing steps between coconut milk and desiccated coconut production, so it is very easy to integrate these two product lines. Similarly, liquid coconut milk processing and coconut water can share the same UHT packaging or canning system so they can be integrated as well. Technology and equipment are now widely available from commercial equipment suppliers for all major products from integrated kernel processing and high value husk fibre and pith products. However, successful integrated kernel processors are not household or village based enterprises but are genuine medium sized businesses. Some degree of scale helps them achieve the necessary diversity of products, production economies, gain access to export markets and invest in ongoing product development. For investment in integrated kernel processing there are several different types of business that have been successful: Integrated food businesses investing back down the supply chain Specialist coconut businesses selling a range of coconut products, often having evolved from DC or oil businesses.
Size matters
Businesses in several countries are understood to be looking for offshore investment opportunities, potential in Ben Tre, including Thailand, Malaysia, Sri Lanka and China. Given the current attractiveness of Ben Tre as an investment site and the relatively small
Values are per 10,000 nuts processed a typical daily amount for a small-medium scale factory with an throughput of 3 million nuts per year. Estimates use current prices for finished goods & estimates of costs of good sold from company interviews and research.
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Smaller local husk business have already found high value markets
scale of the industry, the local authorities are well positioned to be selective in ensuring the right type of businesses invest in the local industry and fit with the overall industry strategy. Local husk and pith businesses for higher value products appear to have already identified markets and customers but need to access finance for investment. This will be valuable to the overall industry and so should be supported. Finally, at an enterprise level the Integrated processing of entire nut is not a good business model, as the markets and skills are too different and there is little synergy between them.
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Daily pay (average, un/skilled) = 60,000 VND/day Total paid labour income = 342 billion VND = 19 million USD
These simple estimates suggest that in Ben Tre, total annual household income from the coconut industry is around VND 1,100 billion (USD 64 million) and that on-farm coconut sales contribute 70% of this.
50
The industry was reported to have 15,400 workers by 2005, with annual growth rate 7.5% since 2002. If this growth in worker numbers is assumed to have continued then there will now be 19,000. 51 This is the international extreme poverty line referenced in the Millennium Development Goals. (http://www.undp.org/mdg/goal1.shtml) Note that the 2008 Millennium Development Report Addendum has updated the $1/day (PPP) poverty line to $1.25/day (2005 dollars), based on new World Bank analysis. In local terms the updated $.125/day line equates to VND 2.943 million per cap. per year. This compares to the current nationally defined line (MOLISA) of VND 2.4 million per cap. p.a.. Stated poverty rates and poverty gaps will therefore be higher than nationally published figures.
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In the Mekong Delta, coconut farmers have similar poverty rates to all rural households In Ben Tre, coconut farmers are poorer than other rural households
Comparing coconut selling household with all rural household Across the Mekong Delta, coconut households have very similar poverty rates to all rural household against both the $1.25 PPP and $2.50 PPP poverty lines. However in Ben Tre, coconut selling household are poor than the wider rural population, with poverty rates of 12.5% and 11.5% respectively against a $1.25/day extreme poverty line. This is also the case against the higher $2.50/day poverty line. Targeting the development of coconuts in Ben Tre is therefore likely to deliver disproportionately more benefits to the rural poor and near poor rather than to richer households in the Province.
Against a $2.50/day poverty line Rural Ben Tre is poorer than the rural Mekong Delta.
Comparing Ben Tre with all coconut provinces in the Mekong Delta52 Against a $1.25 PPP extreme poverty line, rural household in Ben Tre are less poor than rural household in the Mekong Delta, with poverty rates of 11.5% and 14.8%, respectively. An even bigger difference is seen in terms of poverty gaps53, which in Ben Tre is 0.018 compared to 0.033 in the Mekong Delta (a difference of 46%). However, against a $2.50 PPP poverty line the situation is reversed, with rural households in Ben Tre poorer than rural household in the Mekong Delta, with poverty rates of 54.4% and 53.5%, respectively. This suggests that Ben Tre has a large number of households with income just above the extreme poverty line of $1.25 PPP, as can be seen by the peak in population distribution between upper and lower poverty lines in Figure 23.
Against a $1.25/day extreme poverty line - Rural Ben Tre is richer than the rural Mekong Delta
Table 5: Poverty incidence and poverty gap for coconut selling and rural households in the Mekong Delta and Ben Tre - $1.25/day PPP
Mekong Delta Rural areas only All households Coconut selling household Poverty incidence 14.8% 14.9% Poverty Gap 0.033 0.032
Ben Tre Poverty incidence 11.5% 12.5% Poverty Gap 0.018 0.019
Source: VHLSS06
52
The main Mekong Delta coconut provinces are taken as: Ben Tre, Tra Vinh, Tien Giang, Ca Mau, Kien Giang, Vinh Long, Hau Giang, Bac Lieu, An Giang, Soc Trang, Con Thu, Long An 53 Poverty gap is the average income gap below the poverty line of the poor population. For example if the average income for the poor is $100/year, and the poverty line is $150/year, the poverty gap is $50/year or a ratio of 0.30
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Table 6: Poverty incidence and poverty gap for coconut selling and rural households in the Mekong Delta and Ben Tre - $2.50/day PPP
Mekong Delta 54% of coconut farmers live on less than $2.50 per day Rural areas only All households Coconut selling household Poverty incidence 53.5% 54.2% Poverty Gap 0.192 0.195
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Ben Tre Poverty incidence 54.4% 55.7% Poverty Gap 0.181 0.186
Source: VHLSS06
Figure 23: Histogram of Per Capita Incomes and Poverty Lines in Ben Tre, 2006
250000
Poverty lines (per capita) VND 200,000 /month $1.25/day PPP $2.50/day PPP
50000 0
100000
150000
200000
25
Source: VHLSS06
Value added could be raised to >$500 /000 nuts 100% higher than today
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The x axis is truncated at VND 25 million. This means 12 of the 702 sample households in rural Ben Tre are excluded from the graph.
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Competition and higher value added should raise coconut prices Rising coconut prices reduce poverty
With greater value creation and strong competition in the local industry, farm gate prices for coconuts can be expected to rise. An increase in farm gate prices is likely to be the most important mechanism for poverty impact, given that on-farm sales income is the most important mechanism for local household to benefit from the industry and that coconut farmers are poorer than the rural average. Increases in farm gate prices of coconuts will lead to higher household income for coconut sellers without addition costs or labour and therefore, across the populations, a reduction in poverty rates. The following changes in poverty can be estimated using VHLSS06 data for an increase in average farm gate prices55 of coconuts of 25%, 50% and 100% compared to 2006 levels.
Table 7: Poverty impact potential among coconut selling household in rural areas Poverty $ 1.25 / day PPP Line Price Poverty People Poverty Poverty rise head- leaving inciGap count Poverty dence % over 2006 (people) (people) (%)
$ 2.50 / day PPP Poverty People Poverty Poverty head- leaving inciGap count Poverty dence (people) 575,083 550,357 515,278 (people) 24,726 59,805 (%) 55.7% 53.3% 49.9% 42.4% 0.186 0.163 ? 0.116
438,636 136,447
Mekong Delta52
Poverty $ 1.25 / day PPP Line Price Poverty People Poverty Poverty Poverty rise head- leaving inciGap headcount Poverty dence count % over 2006 (people) (people) (%) (people) 2006 740,539 14.9% 0.032 2,693,534 25% 50% 100% 658,006 82,533 592,974 147,565 518,629 221,910 13.2% 11.9% 10.4% 0.028 0.025 0.022
$ 2.50 / day PPP People Poverty Poverty leaving inciGap Poverty dence (people) (%) 54.2% 53.0% 51.9% 49.0%
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Note that this analysis does not assume any increase in the volume of nuts sold or yields.
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Figure 24: People out of poverty (on-farm) from rising coconut prices A 50% increase in coconut prices leads to: 68,000 people out of poverty in Ben Tre 148,000 people out of poverty in Mekong Delta
250,000 221,910
People out of poverty vs $1.25 PPP
50%
75%
100%
This analysis indicates that 40%-45% of the on-farm impact from an increasingly competitive coconut industry would occur in Ben Tre province. From increased wage labour demand The coconut industry employs an estimated50 19,000 workers in Ben Tre and an unknown number in the Mekong Delta. The following analysis therefore relates to Ben Tre only. Higher labour demand from improved industry Raising the competitiveness of the industry will require changes in several areas that will have an impact on labour demand in the industry as set out in Table 8. However, the shift of existing businesses from DC to integrated processing is expected to be broadly neutral in terms of employment creation. The increased labour demand from these changes can be expected to be partially offset by improved production efficiencies as businesses invest in new processing equipment and themselves become more efficient operators. With improved investment and management practices a 10% improvement in labour productivity could be expected across the industry. Job creation especially important to functionally landless Additional off-farm job opportunities are especially important in provinces such as Ben Tre where agriculture land per household is very low, below 0.5 hectares per household. It is also particularly important for the functionally landless for who cannot benefit from on-farm income opportunities. In neighbouring Tra Vinh Province, the
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second largest coconut producing province in the Mekong Delta, 40% of poor households are functionally landless56.
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Improved industry in Ben Tre may create 5,000 10,000 new jobs,
Change in industry 1. Increased volume of processing of raw nuts in the local industry as processors are able to compete with the price paid by export buyers for bulk volumes of raw nuts. Assume 50% reduction in raw exports (60 million nuts equivalent) 2. Increased processing of husk fibre into finished products, rather than just to bailed fibre. 50% of bailed fibre into geotextile OR 100% of bailed fibre to geotextile 3. Increased collection and processing of pith ( near full utilization) 4. Increase labour productivity with new investment assumed to be 10% Total job creation in Ben Tre (FTE) in improved coconut industry
Job creation
1,000
Impact in Ben Tre, 35,000 70,000 people out of poverty plus 5,000 10,000 jobs
The additional labour demand from an improved coconut industry will contribute to a tightening of the local labour market and higher wage rates across the province. However, the impacts of this on household incomes and poverty has not been estimated. Combined impacts in Ben Tre The combined impact of an improved coconut industry in Ben Tre from increased on-farm incomes and new job creation from can be estimated to be in the order of:
+ +
Cocopith dumping is major issue
56 57
35,000 70,000 people of out poverty, on farm from a sustained average increase in coconut prices of 25%-50% 5,000 10,000 new FTE jobs
IFAD Rural Impact Monitoring System survey, 2008, conducted for the IFAD IMPP Tra Vinh project Job creation estimates are based on actual numbers of workers and factory capacities for specific target products gathered from interviews with business in Ben Tre, Sri Lanka, the Philippines and Thailand. These are supplemented with data from manufacturing exports on labour input needs for different steps in the manufacturing process for DC and integrated processing .
76
At present the main negative environmental impact from the coconut industry in Ben Tre comes from the husk industry and the dumping of coco pith into local water ways. Local authorities estimate that only 20% of cocopith produced is used by locally for fertilizer or purchased by a few small-scale pith processing companies. The rest of the cocopith is stored in storage area along the river banks. When the storage areas are full, the fibre processors dispose the pith in the river causing pollution, affecting the water supply of local people and damaging local aquaculture. Local authorities are very aware of this issue and have taken initial steps to identify potential solutions. However a comprehensive solution has not yet been achieved. Water quality test conducted by the provincial Department of Natural Resources and the Environment in 4 different areas along the Thom river58 in 2006 showed that all the indices exceed the acceptable level according to the national TCVN 5942 1955 Water quality Standard quality of water surface: Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD) index is 22mg/l, 5.5 times over the national standard of 4mg/l Coliform: 45,000 MPN/ 100ml, exceed the standard of 5000 MPN/ 100ml by 9 times Total suspended solids (TSS) is from 49 77 mg/l, exceeding acceptable level
Development of a viable cocopith industry combined with strengthened environmental regulation and enforcement regimes should achieve very significant reductions in water pollution from the industry, and within national water quality standards. This would be a very significant positive impact form the industrys future development.
58
77
Industry objectives
To achieve these objectives specific priority actions for each of the main sub-sectors, and the corresponding rationale, are summarised below. Kernel use is currently divided almost equally between coconut candy, DC and raw exports. Coconut candy is a high value product and a valuable part of the industry. DC is a low value product and increasingly uncompetitive in world markets. Raw exports can generate high value but are intermittent and unreliable and create significant disruption in the local industry. 1. Existing DC businesses, and other interested businesses, should be assisted to invest in diversifying their operations to become integrated kernel processing businesses with each business manufacturing several products in parallel such as milk products, flour or residue products and, over time, drinks, VCO and other high value products. Specific activities should include support to selected businesses on: a. Technology and equipment selection and implementation b. Customer and market identification c. Facilitating access to finance (only if needed) d. Export promotion 2. New domestic and foreign investment in integrated kernel
Priorities
78
processing should be promoted. Potential domestic investors should be sought among the integrated food processing industry (as in Thailand) and existing integrated coconut processors operating elsewhere in Vietnam. Foreign investors should be sought in Thailand, Malaysia, China and, possibly, Sri Lanka. Immediate activities include: a. Promote investment opportunity to Vietnam based integrated food processing businesses. Facilitate investment, if interest, with a focus on technology transfer. b. Promote investment opportunity to potentially interested overseas businesses targeting China, Thailand, Malaysia and Sri Lanka. Facilitate investment, if interest 3. Candy processing businesses should be encouraged and support provided to test mainstream export market potential while maintaining existing markets. Activities include: a. Assess feasibility of market test of candy into mainstream export markets with progressive coconut candy businesses, b. Complete market test and export promotion, in line with feasibility assessment, potentially with adjusted formulation and improved packaging. 4. No new investment in DC or other low value kernel products should be supported. Immediate activities should include: Husk fibre sub-sector Rationale a. Announcement of priority products and business areas for investment b. Updating provincial Investment Incentives Framework and SME support policies to reflect new priority business areas The husk fibre sub-sector is already highly efficient in obtaining almost all available husks for processing. However, the vast majority of its output is low value intermediary and semi-finished products, such as bailed fibre. There are some smaller businesses already making and exporting high value finished husk fibre products. The husk industry creates over 110,000 MT of coco pith every year, most of which is not properly disposed of and ends up being dumped into nearby rivers. 5. Renewed environmental enforcement regimes should be implemented, to ensure all husk businesses are held fully accountable for the proper disposal of the pith they produce. (See below for specific activities). 6. Existing businesses making higher value finished fibre products, such a coir rolls, coir bag, geotextiles and similar products should be assisted to expand their operations. Support to selected businesses should include: a. Facilitating access to finance
Priorities
79
b. Export promotion support of high value fibre products (only if needed) 7. Businesses currently producing and exporting large volumes of bailed fibre and other low value product should be encouraged to invest in producing higher value finished fibre products. Specific activities should include support to selected businesses on: a. Technology and equipment selection and implementation b. Customer and market identification c. Facilitating access to finance (only if needed) Husk pith sub-sector Rationale d. Export promotion of high value fibre products 8. No new investment in low value and intermediary husk fibre product should be supported. (See Priority 4, above, for activities) The vast majority of pith is not currently used or disposed of properly, despite recent interest from 3-5 local businesses in selling pith based products, like coco peat and substrates. The current situation is environmentally unsustainable and threatens to undermine the wider husk fibre industry and, as a result, the entire coconut industry in Ben Tre. Most industries worldwide have also struggled with this problem. Only Sri Lanka has found market based mechanisms to use the majority of pith produced. For Ben Tre, both proper environmental regulation and market-driven mechanisms will be necessary to tackle this problem. 9. Commercially viable businesses making higher value finished pith products, such as agricultural substrates and soil conditioners, should be supported to expand their operations. Support to selected businesses should include: a. Facilitating access to finance b. Facilitating access to suitable land and infrastructure c. Export promotion support of high value pith products (only if needed) 10.Domestic market opportunities for pith based products should be investigated and tested. a. Conduct survey of potential domestic market segments, identifying customers and estimating likely volumes and prices. b. If viable growth opportunities identified in domestic market, support should be given to selected businesses to complete initial sales and marketing, if needed. 11.Existing environmental regulations and enforcement regimes should be reviewed and strengthened to ensure husk fibre businesses are all held accountable for the proper disposal of the pith they produce. 12.Progressive mechanisms for both enforcements and market based solutions should be investigated and piloted, for example receipt schemes for pith disposal, linking husk fibre businesses with pith product manufacturing business.
Priorities
80
In additional to the need to achieve sustained higher nut prices through the priorities outlined elsewhere, positive steps have been taken at the farm level to improve the income of coconut growers. These include the promotion of intercropping with cocoa and in promoting increased yields. Intercropping has the greatest potential impact but intercropping of cocoa is only suitable for around half the coconut growers. 13. Promotion of cocoa intercropping should be supported in suitable areas, primarily through the DARD led programme but with the avoidance of direct production subsidies if possible. a. Specific mechanism for supporting the DARD cocao development programme, potentially through the IFAD funded DBRP project, should be implemented but with the avoidance of direct production subsidies if possible. 14.For areas not suitable for cocoa intercropping, additional research and trials should be conducted on alternative intercropping or production systems to raise farmer income, including assessment of potential from aquaculture or livestock raising as well as crops. Specific actions include: a. Review previous research and trials on alternative intercropping systems b. Identify any systems warranting further investigation and piloting, in terms of likely cost, benefits and risks to individual households and market viability c. Conduct field trials of promising systems and scale up successful pilots, where identified. 15.Current activities to promote yield improvements, through improved varieties and better management practices, should be supported if they are confirmed to be cost effective in raising farmer incomes, especially in areas not suitable to cocoa intercropping. a. Review current yield promotion activities, in particular within DARD, to assess evidence of cost effectiveness and benefits at household level of different activities, e.g. improved varieties versus improved management practices. b. Review targeting of current activities against areas that are suitable versus not suitable to cocoa intercropping c. Prepare updated action plans for support, based in most cost effective mechanisms and prioritising non-cocao areas, if feasible
Priorities
81
The wider business enabling environment is improving rapidly in Ben Tre and positive efforts have been made in relation to the coconut industry, with the current launch of a new industry association. Ben Tre already has numerous coconut businesses, good competition and has succeeded in attracting new investment into the industry recently for higher value product areas. However, at present there is little research and development or innovation within local businesses and limited awareness of wider market issues and opportunities. 16.The local authorities should complete specific analysis to determine the target number and capacity of different types of businesses within the industry based on realistic assessments of the supply base. Initial activities should include: a. Audit of current capacity and volumes of production, (ideally combined with the survey of businesses for the publication of the Industry Directory) b. Detailed analysis of target industry capacity and business numbers in specific product groups for each sub-sector. c. Targeting of investment promotion activities should be set based on the above audit and detailed target analysis. 17.Several areas of current business regulations and support policies should be reviewed to assess the specific benefits or constraints they have on the development of a high value coconut industry. Activities should include reviews of: a. Tax regulation and their application within the industry b. Investment and SME support policies and mechanisms for priority businesses, especially in terms of access to land, infrastructure, training support etc. 18. The new Industry Association should be supported to become vibrant and sustainable, including helping provide selected services to the industry. Specific activities include: a. Preparation of a plan to achieve financial sustainability of the Industry Association b. Publication of an industry directory of local businesses and other associated organisations c. Review of the business service needs and expectations of the local businesses and development of plans to facilitate these with support from the Association and other agencies and programmes. Desired services may include market intelligence, equipment supplies, GMP/GAP/ HACCP advisors and certification. 19.Research and development within the local industry should be actively promoted. Initial activities should include:
Priorities
82
a. Review and piloting of potential mechanisms and incentive schemes to promote business led R&D, including financial and non-financial incentives. b. Review of current public research and development activities against new industry priorities 20. Access to relevant market intelligence within the local industry should be improved. In the medium term this should, in part, be through the Industry Association. However, in the short term other agencies and programme should conduct the following activities: a. A review of the coconut market and industry in China, focusing specifically on market opportunities for priority products and potential inward investments businesses b. Detailed market research for coconut milk products for domestic and international markets. c. Linking local businesses making higher value products to existing export promotion programmes within Vietnam Enforcement of appropriate environmental regulations remains a weakness for the industry and is in urgent need of improvement. While the main acknowledge pollution concern is from pith, local authorities need to ensure that all sub-sectors of the industry reduce environmental pollution below regulated safe levels and dispose of processing wastes appropriately. 21.The local authorities should develop and implement a comprehensive environmental action plan for the industry. Specific activities should include, if not already completed: a. An environmental impact assessment (EIA) of each subsector and specific product/business groups. b. Review and strengthening of current environmental regulations and enforcement regimes, inline with the findings of the environmental impact assessments. c. Development of an industry environemental action plan based on the above EIAs and review, with clearly defined responsibiltiies, mielstones and resources d. Inclusion of appropriate waste treatment and by-product disposal plans and implementation should be included as a condition in all new investment licenses, for both existing and new enterprise. Mechanisms for ensuring compliance should also be developed and implemented. 22.Pith pollution should be seen as an urgent priority and a parallel approach of market-based use of pith and renewed environmental regulation and enforcement should be implemented. Immediate activities include:
Priorities
83
a. A detailed review of current obstacles to effective enforcement of appropriate environmental regulations specifically in regard to pith disposal. b. Feasibility assessment, and piloting, of a receipt scheme (or other mechanisms) to ensure appropriate pith disposal, using market-based use of pith combined with appropriate regulation and enforcement.
84
85
Glossary of terms
Copra Dehydrated coconut kernel Coco chemical Oleochemicals are chemicals from oil which are either plant or animal (oleo chemicals) based fats and oil or synthetic (petroleum based). Coco chemical is oleochemical derived from coconut oil Coconut activated A form of carbon that has been processed to make it extremely porous and carbon thus have a very large surface area available for adsorption or chemical reactions Coconut cream Coconut (coir) Coconut cream has higher fat content than coconut milk
fiber Found between the husk and the outer shell of a coconut
Coconut fiber dust Spongy material that binds the different types of coconut fiber in the (cocopeat, coir coconut husk pith, coir waste, fiber waste) Coconut flour/ The ground solid residue obtained after immediate extraction of oil from a defatted coconut dried comminuted coconut meat that is processed under sanitary condition/ obtained from further processing of the residue from coconut milk extraction. Coconut milk The white fluid obtained when fresh grated or comminuted coconut meat or kernel is pressed either by manual or mechanical means with or without the addition of water milk Coconut milk in solid powder form much like the consistency of dairy milk powder Obtained by drying the coconut kernel and then extracting oil from granulated dried kernel through the use of high pressure mechanical press or a combination of high pressure mechanical press and solvent extraction shell Product derived from carbonization of coconut shell from fully matured nuts under a limited or controlled amount of air
Coconut charcoal
Coconut shell Light brown, free flowing powder which is obtained by pulverizing shell of flour/ powder mature coconut Coconut vinegar Copra meal Desiccated Coconut (DC) Husk chips An alcoholic liquid from coconut water that has been soured Solid residue that separates out when coconut oil is extracted from copra. Normally sold in cake of pellet form Pure white, particulated shredded dehydrated food product obtained from fresh pared coconut kernel and processed under very strict sanitary conditions. Coconut husks from matured nuts which are sliced and cut in to or 1 inch size particle or chips and sun-dried to a moisture content of 14% and below.
Processed coconut Obtained from processing coconut water to prolong shelf-life water
86
Oil obtained from fresh mature coconut kernel by mechanical or natural means, with or without the use of heat, without undergoing chemical refining, bleaching or deodorizing, and which does not lead to the alteration of the nature of the oil
87
Bibliography
Agustin, Y. (Ed.) (2008) Coconut Industry Kit series of 2007, United Coconut Associations of the Philippines, Inc Agustin, Y. (Ed.) (2008), Coconut Statistics Annual 2007, United Coconut Associations of the Philippines, Inc Asian and Pacific Coconut Community (2007), Coconut Statistical Yearbook 2006, Asian and Pacific Coconut Community Center for Agricultural Policy with Prosperity Initiative (2008) Coconuts Small-scale review of coconuts, Centre for Agricultural Policy Coconut Development Authority (2008), Sri Lanka Coconut Statistics 2007, Coconut Development Authority Divina D. Bawalan (1999), Desiccated coconut and coco milk processing (unpublished) Divina D. Bawalan (2009), An input to coconut feasibility project investigation into best practices and benchmarking Philippine companies and institution in the coconut sector Malinvisa Sakdiyakorn (2009), Coconut feasibility project investigation into best practices and benchmarking Thai companies in the coconut sector for applications, end uses and market demand. Zahra Cader (2009), Coconut feasibility project investigation into best practices and benchmarking Sri Lankan companies and institutions
Useful Links 1. Coconut Development Authority www.cda.lk 2. Asian and Pacific Coconut Community www.apccsec.org 3. United Coconut Associations of the Philippines, Inc. www.ucap.org.ph
88
89
12,600,000 +4% 2 largest producer st 1 largest exporter Nearly 4,000 (44 nuts/ tree/ year, 100-120 59 trees/ ha)
nd
1.329 1400 85% (2451 mn nuts) Highest per capita consumption of coconut in the world (use as curry nuts or edible oil)
1.654 No clear data 75% (936 mn nuts) High domestic consumption but in processed form from food industry coconut cream/ milk/ powder/ beverage n/a missing and contradictory data in APCC 25,130
63
1,465,279 1,076,871
707,331 220,259
111,993 76,581
59 60
Philippines Coconut Statistics 2007 Information from the Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka 61 Information from Thailand Department of Agriculture 62 Ben Tre IPC 63 Thailand, APCC 06 know to be only partial as exclude coconut products from food processing
90
Sri Lanka
Thailand
Ben Tre
n/a missing and contradictory data from APCC 06. Food products such as coconut cream, liquid milk, milk powder, etc (but may not register under coconut category) Fresh nuts export for drinking (to US, Singapore, EU)
70% DC, 14% Copra, 5% Milk powder, 4% VCO, 4% liquid milk, 3% for others Produce low value commodity product but still have other high value added products (cream/milk/powder, etc)
51% raw nuts, 37% DC and 12% coconut candy (mostly in domestic market) Simple and underdeveloped product mix, especially for export
179
No clear data (Believed to be >300, but no firm data) Small and low value husk processing. No use of pith
184
Baled only
fiber
Well developed and sophisticated product portfolio with high value added products such as twisted fiber, geo textile, coir yarn, coir mould, etc
Majority as baled fiber, some higher value product Limited use of pith
20
81
17
41
Number 1 exporter in shell charcoal and activated carbon 82% Activated carbon, 18% charcoal
th
nd
Shell activated
14
19
No clear data
16
91
processed ($/1000 nuts) Water Alcohol, vinegar and water but in a very small volume (vs total production) Alcohol, vinegar but in a very small volume (vs total production) Canned beverage Coconut jelly for domestic use and export
No clear data
No clear data
No clear data
13
Utilization
Kernel Husk
Philippines 100% usage 65% used as fuel for drying copra 5% turned products into coir
Sri Lanka 100% usage 30% turned into coir products for exports (note this is 2x the number of nuts processed for export) The balance 70% might be retained at farms, used as fuel or wasted
Thailand 100% usage 20% processed for export, mostly as bailed fibre
Ben Tre 100% usage 96% husks are utilized for export, mostly as bailed fibres
Wasted
65% processed for export, some used locally The balance waste is
Shell
76% of shells for charcoal for domestic market 24% of shells available are exported, mostly as activated carbon (96%) and charcoal.
43% exported mainly as activated carbon (note this is equivalent to almost 100% of processed nuts) No recorded data on usage of the balance as at household level n/a Sri Lanka Well established
42% of shells available exported in the form of charcoal The balance might be used domestic as fuel (no recorded data)l
Water
Institutions
Institutional structure
Coconut
92
(PCA Philippine Coconut authority)) with the infrastructure of research Center, Training Center, laboratories and Seed Production centers. - Association for each group of participants by sub-sector -Umbrella association UCAP United Coconut Association of the Philippines
Development Authority (CDA) under Ministry of Plantation Development -Coconut Research Institute -Coir Research Development and Training Center -Industrial Technology Institute
Coconut Research Centre, long established in Ben Tre, - New Industry Association being launched in August 2009
93
Company
Country
Correspondence
Products
Tel
Fax
Website
KERNEL PROCESSING CONTACTS Coconut Palm Group Linaco Manufacturing (M) Sdn Bhd Jastar Food Industries Sdn Bhd Felix Koch Flavours & Fragrances (M) Sdn Bhd 16, Jalan Teknology 3/1, Kota Damansara, 47810 Pertaling Jaya, Selangor, Malaysia. Coconut cream & powder, low desiccated coconut, coconut dairy creamer +603-6156 1391 +603-6157 6701 China 41 Longhua Road, Haikou, Hainan, P. R. China Zip Code: 570102 NNo.12, Lintang Sungai Keramat 2B, Taman Klang Utama, 42100 Klang, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia Coconut Juice Coconut milk, coconut cream powder, low desiccated coconut, export to 30 countries (0086898) 66777124 (0086898)667738 91 web@yeshu.co m http://www.yeshu.c om/english.asp
Malaysia
+603-3291 4589
+603-3291 4588
linaco@linaco.c om.my
www.linaco.com.my www.Linacoasiaep.c om
Malaysia
Info@stancodex .com
www.stancodex.co m
94
Malaysia
Lot : 4813, 15 1/2 Mile, Jalan Kapar, 42200 Kapar Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia
Instant cocomilk powder, low fat desiccated coconut, Coconut extract, exported to German, HK, Middle East & Singapore Coconut cream,/milk, DC, packaged coconut water
+603-3250 6564
kcisdn@tm.net. my
Malaysia
19 & 21, Persiaran Rishah 7, Silibin Industrial Estate, 30100 Ipoh, Perak. Malaysia. S&P Food Industries (M) Sdn Bhd (98816-A) No. 27-2, Jalan PJU 5/13, Dataran Sunway, Kota Damansara 47810 Petaling Jaya, Selangor Darul Ehsan, Malaysia.
msfood@msfoo d.com.my
Msfood.com.my
Malaysia
info@sfood.com
www.sfood.com
Malaysia
Lot 6, Jalan Pemaju U1/15, Seksyen U1, Hicom Glenmarie Industrial Park, 40150 Shah Alam, Selangor
Coconut milk/cream powder, canned/ sterilized/frozen milk, low/high fat DC, grated coconut
+603-5032 2288
+603-5032 2280
www.sensorifood.c om
95
Malaysia
Lot 178, Batu 13, Jalan Bagan Datoh, 36400 Hutan Melintang, Perak Darul Ridzuan, Malaysia 11 floor Modernform Tower 669 Srinakarin Rd., Suanluang Bangkok 10250 Thailand 392/56-57 Soi Preechapanich, Maharat Rd. Praborommaharajwang, Phranakorn District, Bangkok 10200 99/9 Mu 5, Banggruay Jongthanom Rd., Banggruay, Nondaburi 11130 Thailand 413 Soi Khema Pattanakarn Road, Suanluang, Bangkok, Thailand, 10250
+605-6412469
+605-6413469
hotree@tm.net. my
hotree.com hotree.asiaep.com
ASIATIC
Thailand
export@asiatic.c o.th
Asiatic.co.th
Thailand
+66(0) 26223434
+66(0) 2226-1829
ampol.pr@amp olfood.com
Ampolfood.com
Thailand
Coconut juice & other foods Coconut cream powder/non-dairy creamer, canned coconut milk Coconut drinks, virgin oil coconut, organic coconut plantation Coconut milk, cream, juice
(662)4475537-8
(662)447-5472
chefschoicefoods.co m
Thailand
(66) 23193455
(66) 2319-3456
h_office@kornt hai.com
Kornthai.com
Thailand
39/16 M.3 Nongkangkok, Muang Chonburi, 20000 Thailand 11/13 M.3, T. Banbor, A. Muang Samutsakorn, 74000, Thailand
info@meritfood. com
Meritfood.co.th
Suree Interfoods
Thailand
+6634 419400
+6634 419448
Sureeinterfoods.co m
96
Thailand
Coconut milk
(662) 3154171-6
(662) 315-4169
Thaiagri.com
Srilanka
Coconut oil, copra, desiccated coconut, milk, powder, virgin coconut oil Desiccated coconut, coconut milk/cream, drinks, sweeten coconuts
00 94 11 244 54 21
00 94 11 244 54 26
adamjee@adam jeelukmanjee.co m
www.adamjeelukm anjee.com
Renuka Group
Srilanka
0094-112314750-5
0094-11-2445549
inquiries@renuk agroup.com
Renukagroup.com
COIR & FIBRE PROCESSING CONTACTS Horticultural products (coco husk chips, coir substrates) Mattress fibre, twisted fibre, geotextile, coir logs, control blanket, coconut husk chips(Variety of fibre products) +94 11 5 522770 janindha@tr owide.lk Tropicoirlanka.co m
Tropicoir
Srilanka
+94 11 2812585
Hayleys exports
Srilanka
2696331-6
2699299
com@hayex po.hayleys.c om
www.Hayleysexports.com
97
Malaysia
1545 Jln Alma Bukit Minyak 14000 Bukit Mertajam, Bukit Mertajam 14000, Penang
604-5393141
604-5385078
SHELL PROCESSING CONTACTS Haycarb PLC Srilanka Activated carbon, green carbon,.. 22, Jalan Sibu 8, Tmn Wahyu,, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, 68100 +94 11 2627000 General 60 3 62519541/ 60123660039 +94 11 2699630 haycarb@hayca rb.com Haycarb.com
Malaysia
Activated Carbon
60 3 62577510
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