Module 14 Alternative Investments
Module 14 Alternative Investments
Module 14 Alternative Investments
The regulation of the market would be much more liberal and less
stringent
The players of the market would be high Net Worth Individual and
institutions of capable of taking higher risks
Since the sources of money are of higher amount per individual lender
, the enhanced due diligence is required before administering the
scheme
This source can be a good sources of fund for many business when
traditional market is not able to assess the risk properly. Specially during
the slow down of the economy , the rating agencies and traditional lending
institutions behave more negative way than they should . In this process,
these traditional lenders eliminate good borrowers too. So during this time ,
these good borrowers should avail the Alternate Investment Market ( AIM) .
As of July 2013, Indian economy is going through very negative phase and
this has resulted in the dearth of fund for good borrowers too. During this
time, the AIM can be a very good sources of fund. So we can build some
ground rules when to access the AIM market rather than the traditional
market :
Part funding of promoters equity can be met through the AIM market.
In this type of product, the main lender would be the traditional
lender and the margin money for this senior loan can be brought in
the AIM market . This would work well for the companies which would
be requiring to bring in the margin money for the senior loan
Funding riskier projects where traditional lender would not lend due
to lack of proper assessment of risks. This would be useful for second
or third level of growth of new age business. Venture Capital funding
would be falling in this category
A business entity can raise money in the form of loan from banks and
financial institutions
A business entity can raise money from other entity in the form of
loan provider the number of lender is not more than 50
A business entity can raise money in the form of bond from investors
under Private Placement route provided the number of investors are
not more than 50 only after compliance of Private Placement
regulations as stipulated by SEBI
A business entity can raise money in the form of bond from investors
under Public Issue route provided the number of investors are more
than 50 and in such case the business entity has to comply with the
Public Issue guidelines
Same rule applies for raising fund in the form of equity by the
business entity . The general principle of public issue and private
placement is that if the number of investors are more , more stringent
norms and regulatory compliances are required.
A business entity can raise money in the form of debt or equity from
investors or lenders having number more than 50 but without
following the public issue norms only under the Scheme of AIM
guidelines , Collective Investment Schemes .
Under this
in India;
As per the regulations , we have got clear definitions of certain category of
funds in India. This clarity has come first time and this would help these
types of fund to show a steady growth . These are :
Private equity fund means an Alternative Investment Fund which invests
primarily in equity or equity linked instruments or partnership interests of
investee companies according to the stated objective of the fund;
SME fund means an Alternative Investment Fund which invests primarily in
unlisted securities of investee companies which are SMEs or securities of
those SMEs which are listed or proposed to be listed on a SME exchange or
SME segment of an exchange;
social venture fund means an Alternative Investment Fund which invests
primarily in securities or units of social ventures and which satisfies social
performance norms laid down by the fund and whose investors may agree to
receive restricted or muted returns;
(c) in case the applicant is a Trust, the instrument of trust is in the form of a
deed and has been duly registered under the provisions of the Registration
Act, 1908;
(d) in case the applicant is a limited liability partnership, the partnership is
duly incorporated and the partnership deed has been duly filed with the
Registrar under the provisions of the Limited Liability Partnership Act, 2008;
(e) in case the applicant is a body corporate, it is set up or established under
the laws of the Central or State Legislature and is permitted to carry on the
activities of an Alternative Investment Fund;
(f) the applicant, Sponsor and Manager are fit and proper persons based on
the criteria specified in Schedule II of the Securities and Exchange Board of
India (Intermediaries) Regulations, 2008;
(g) the key investment team of the Manager of Alternative Investment Fund
has adequate experience, with at least one key personnel having not less
than five years experience in advising or managing pools of capital or in
fund or asset or wealth or portfolio management or in the business of
buying, selling and dealing of securities or other financial assets and has
relevant professional qualification;
(h) the Manager or Sponsor has the necessary infrastructure and manpower
to effectively discharge its activities;
(i) the applicant has clearly described at the time of registration the
investment objective, the targeted investors, proposed corpus, investment
style or strategy and proposed tenure of the fund or scheme;
(j) whether the applicant or any entity established by the Sponsor or
Manager has earlier been refused registration by the Board.
1) The Board may require the applicant to furnish any such further
information or clarification regarding the Sponsor or Manager or nature of
the fund or fund management activities or any such matter connected
thereto to consider the application for grant of a certificate or after
registration thereon.
(2) If required by the Board, the applicant or Sponsor or Manager shall
appear before the Board for personal representation.
Procedure for grant of certificate :
(1) The Board may grant certificate under any specific category of Alternative
Investment Fund, if it is satisfied that the applicant fulfills the requirements
as specified in these regulations.
(2) The Board shall, on receipt of the registration fee as specified in the
Second Schedule, grant a certificate of registration in Form B.
(3) The registration may be granted with such conditions as may be deemed
appropriate by the Board.
Conditions of certificate.
(1) The certificate granted
(c) the Alternative Investment Fund shall forthwith inform the Board
in writing, if any information or particulars previously submitted to
the Board are found to be false or misleading in any material
particular or if there is any material change in the information already
submitted.
(2) An Alternative Investment Fund which has been granted registration
under a particular category cannot change its category subsequent to
registration, except with the approval of the Board.
Procedure where registration is refused.
(1) After considering an application made under this regulation, if the Board
is of the opinion that a certificate should not be granted, it may reject the
application after giving the applicant a reasonable opportunity of being
heard.
(2) The decision of the Board to reject the application shall be communicated
to the applicant within thirty days.
(3) Where an application for a certificate is rejected by the Board, the
applicant shall cease to carry on any activity as an Alternative Investment
Fund:
Provided that nothing contained in these regulations shall affect the liability
of the applicant towards its existing investors under law or agreement.
10
11
Investment
by
issue
of
Fund
shall
information
raise
funds
through
memorandum
or
private
placement
12
Schemes :
13
Listing :
14
15
more than four occasions in a year and not more than ten percent of
the corpus.
(2) The following investment conditions shall apply to venture capital
funds in addition to conditions laid down in sub-regulation (1):(a) at least two-thirds of the corpus shall be invested in unlisted equity
shares or equity linked instruments of a venture capital undertaking or
in companies listed or proposed to be listed on a SME exchange or SME
segment of an exchange;
(b) not more than one-third of the corpus shall be invested in:
(i) subscription to initial public offer of a venture capital undertaking whose
shares are proposed to be listed;
(ii) debt or debt instrument of a venture capital undertaking in which the
fund has already made an investment by way of equity or contribution
towards partnership interest;
(iii)
preferential
allotment,
including
through
qualified
institutional
or
sick
industrial
company
whose
shares
are
listed.
16
(c) such funds may enter into an agreement with merchant banker to
subscribe to the unsubscribed portion of the issue or to receive or deliver
securities in the process of market making under Chapter XB of the
Securities and Exchange Board of India (Issue of Capital and Disclosure
Requirements) Regulations, 2009 and the provisions of clause (a) and clause
(b) of sub-regulation (2) shall not apply in case of acquisition or sale of
securities pursuant to such subscription or market making.
(d) such funds shall be exempt from regulation 3 and 3A of Securities and
Exchange Board of India (Prohibition of Insider Trading) Regulations, 1992
in respect of investment in companies listed on SME Exchange or SME
segment of an exchange pursuant to due diligence of such companies
subject to the following conditions:
(i) the fund shall disclose any acquisition or dealing in securities pursuant
to such due-diligence, within two working days of such acquisition or
dealing, to the stock exchanges where the investee company is listed;
(ii) such investment shall be locked in for a period of one year from the date
of investment.
(3) The following conditions shall apply to SME Funds in addition to
conditions laid down in sub-regulation (1):(a) at least seventy five percent of the corpus shall be invested in
unlisted
securities
or
partnership
interest
of
venture
capital
17
(c) such funds shall be exempt from regulation 3 and 3A of Securities and
Exchange Board of India (Prohibition of Insider Trading) Regulations, 1992
in respect of investment in companies listed on SME Exchange or SME
segment of an exchange pursuant to due diligence of such companies
subject to the following conditions:
(i) the fund shall disclose any acquisition or dealing in securities pursuant
to such due-diligence, within two working days of such acquisition or
dealing, to the stock exchanges where the investee company is listed;
(ii) such investment shall be locked in for a period of one year from the date
of investment.
(4) The following conditions shall apply to social venture funds in
addition to the conditions laid down in sub-regulation (1):(a) at least seventy five percent of the corpus shall be invested in
unlisted securities or partnership interest of social ventures.
(b) such funds may accept grants, provided that such utilization of such
grants shall be restricted to clause (a).
(c) such funds may give grants to social ventures, provided that appropriate
disclosure is made in the placement memorandum.
(d) such funds may accept muted returns for their investors i.e. they
may accept returns on their investments which may be lower than
prevailing returns for similar investments.
(5) The following conditions shall apply to Infrastructure Funds in
addition to conditions laid down in sub-regulation (1):(a) at least seventy five percent of the corpus shall be invested in
unlisted securities or units or partnership interest of venture capital
undertaking or investee companies or special purpose vehicles, which
are engaged in or formed for the purpose of operating, developing or
holding infrastructure projects;
18
(b) notwithstanding clause (a) of sub-regulation (5), such funds may also
invest in listed securitized debt instruments or listed debt securities of
investee companies or special purpose vehicles, which are engaged in or
formed for the purpose of operating, developing or holding infrastructure
projects.
Conditions for Category II Alternative Investment Funds.
19
20
21
extra-financial
risks,
including
environmental,
social
and
22
(i) any significant change in the key investment team shall be intimated to
all investors;
(j) alternative Investment Funds shall provide, when required by the Board,
information for systemic risk purposes (including the identification, analysis
and mitigation of systemic risks).
Valuation.
23
Real Estate Investment Trust ( REIT) and Real Estate Investment Fund
( REIF) :
Real Estate Funds are one of the most used financial instruments in the
developed world as an investment tool. They have become popular in the
developed world mainly because it does not have any correlation with the
movements in the equity markets and thus providing diversification
benefits.
With the second largest population in the world, Indias market possesses
inevitable characteristics that will relate strongly to the creation of
enormous real estate pressure and growth in this dynamic sector.
Present Real Estate Structure : The Present Reality :
The Indian economy was a closed market prior to 1991 with recognized real
estate in its infancy in India. Antiquated real estate laws have impeded the
development recently.
The Indian real estate market has traditionally considered illiquid, opaque
and conservative unlike the modern western states where organized real
estate is seen as an avenue for investment and forms a valuable cornerstone
of the economy.
But few years back this changed and the construction business was given
an industry status and some sort of finance flowed into it but not to that
extent. To that end the Indian real estate marketplace has been locked
outside the financial market and not leveraged for investment purposes.
Despite this India is poised for dizzying and rapid urbanization, which will
lead to major developments in Real Estate. However the continued demand
of quality real estate is yet to be achieved due to the shortage of space (Clear
24
Titled Lands) and funds. Secondly developments of new towns and cities,
which are on the anvil, and which India requires drastically, are in the need
of huge amount of investment and technical expertise. This cannot be
achieved under the present practices or by the present domestic developers,
who still work in a much disorganized manner.
The Indian Government is realizing that the Real Estate sector is a key
component of the infrastructure of ant economy and factors inhibiting
growth will have a subsequent negative impact on the economy. The real
estate sector in India has an untapped potential to become a catalyst for
economic growth. This has been demonstrated by the performance of the
industry in other economies but this will only happen if the industry can be
corporatised.
The Indian government has recently allowed the much awaited foreign direct
investment (FDI) in the real estate sector, which is expected to open doors
for much needed investments in the reality sector. However, this requires a
clear understanding of the structure of the industry, its relationship with
the rest of the economy and a focused effort on the reform process. More so
ever this FDI is actually allowed in selected areas only. These investments
would be in integrated township which would include housing, commercial
premises, hotels and resorts, while the urban infrastructure would
compromise roads bridges, mass rapid transit, systems and manufacture of
building materials. The minimum acreage that can be developed is 100
acres designed keeping into consideration the local bylaws and regulations.
The minimum capitalization would be US $ 10 million for a wholly owned
subsidiary and US $ 5 million for a joint venture with an Indian partner. FDI
is however not being allowed in the retail sector.
Real Estate Fund :
25
Real estate funds can be of four types based on the investment tools, which
they use.
Pure Equity Fund : This fund invests in shares of companies, which have
substantial interest (at least 50%) in Real estate sectors, e.g. Construction,
REITs, infrastructure development, etc. this is like any other pure equity
sectoral fund, which has a potential of high returns, accompanied by high
risk brought by a single sector concentration. Examples of such funds are
ABN AMRO Real Estate Fund and AIM Real Estate Fund. These funds invest
in securities of companies, which are in the business of real estate.
Mortgaged Backed Securities Fund : This kind of funds invests in
mortgaged backed securities of companies by investing directly in these
companies or by buying mortgage backed securities. This is very new in
India and not much used here as of now.
Hybrid Fund : This kind of fund invests in shares and mortgaged backed
debt instruments issued by companies involved in the real estate sectors or
generate a substantial part of their business from the real estate sector. This
again is nothing but a hybrid sectoral fund and has higher sector specific
risk attached to it. An example of such a fund is Gaa Blueprint Property
Fund. It is a UK based fund, which invests in real estate equity, debt
instruments issued by real estate firms, property trusts funds and
commercial property funds.
Real Estate Investment Trust ( REIT) : This kind of fund will invest in
different kinds of Real Estate properties like Retail Stores, Industrial
Properties, Commercial Properties and Residential Properties, etc. and earn
their income from rents, lease payments and possible appreciation of the
value of these properties. Examples of such funds are Norwich Property
Fund and Guardian Property Fund.
Baring the last one i.e. Real Estate Investment Trust, the first three kind of
funds cab be launched in India as per the current SEBI regulations, the only
26
problem they might face in India is that there arent many company listed in
India which have substantial part of their business in Real Estate. As of now
the India laws do not allow us to form a Real Estate Investment Trust, but
the finance ministry, SEBI and RBI have taken steps and are trying to evolve
a route to introduce a Real Estate Investment Trust.
REMF Framework :
and
invest
them
in
the
real
estate
sector.
are
the
users
of
funds
in
the
whole
framework.
The FUNCTIONS, which REMF performs, includes entering into Real Estate
Transactions on behalf of its investors, performing valuations of the
properties either internally or through external agencies. The REMF is also
responsible in maintaining liquidity in case of any redemption pressures or
to fulfil any financial obligations or to undertake trades. The REMF is also
responsible for maintaining the properties, which it has brought under its
control.
The REGULATORY BODIES involved in the working of REMF include the
Finance Ministry, the SEBI, the RBI and any other body as per the rules
formed by the concerned authority.
27
A Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) is a company that invests its assets in
real estate holdings. Investors get a share of the earnings, depreciation, etc.
from the portfolio of real estate holdings that the REIT owns. Thus, investors
get many of the same benefits of being a landlord without too many of the
hassles. Investors also have a much more liquid investment than investors
do when directly investing in real estate. The downsides are that investors
have no control over when company will sell its holdings or how it will
manage them, like you would have if investors
owned an apartment
building.
Advantages :
REIT is a company that buys, develops, manages and sells real estate
assets. REITs allow participants to invest in a professionally managed
portfolio of real estate properties. REIT qualify as pass through entities,
companies who are able distribute the majority of income flows to investors
without taxation at the corporate level (providing that certain conditions are
met). As pass through entities, whose main function is to pass profits on to
investors, a REITs business activities are generally restricted to generation
of property rental income. Another major advantage of REIT investment is
its liquidity (ease of liquidation of assets into cash), as compared to
traditional private real estate ownership which are not very easy to liquidate.
One reason for the liquid nature of REIT investments is the its shares are
primarily traded on major exchanges, making it easier to buy and sell REIT
assets/shares than to buy and sell properties in private markets.
Essentially, REITs are the same as stocks, only the business they are
engaged in is different than what is commonly referred to as stocks by
most
folks.
Common
stocks
are
ownership
shares
generally
in
28
is
important.
However,
they
are
rather
conservative
investment, with long term returns lower than common stocks of other
industries. This is because rental revenues do not usually vary as much as
revenues at a mfg. or service firm.
Types of REITs :
REITs fall into three broad categories:
EQUITY REITs
Equity REITs invest in and own properties (thus responsible for the equity or
value of their real estate assets). Their revenues come principally from their
properties rents.
Mortgage REITs:
29
Hybrid REITs :
30
SATWALEKAR COMMITTEE:
The Structure :
The favoured model for India being that prevalent in the UK the pooled
managed vehicle (PMV) a Mutual Fund Structure. In the United Kingdom,
real estate investments are done through pooled managed vehicles. While
these are different from open ended Investment companies (OICs), they can
be in the form of trusts. The regulator for these however, have a variable
capital and are similar to open ended funds. PMVs may get tax qualify for
benefits. However, there are no tax benefits for the regular PMVs. This would
be comparable to have no tax benefits for typical OICs. The PMV has ability
to delay redemption if there is excessive pressure to exit the fund.
31
low
volatility,
Professional
management,
Conservative
leverage,
Have no more than 50% held by five or fewer individuals during the
last half of each taxable year.
Have no more than 20% of its assets consist of stocks in taxable REIT
subsidiaries.
REITs were started without tax benefits and did not do well until the
US tax laws were amended in 1986. The new laws provided them with
tax benefits under the condition that they conform to certain
requirements that have been laid down. REITs are very popular now in
United States. as per the data available, there are approximately 300
REITs operating in the country with assets in excess of US$300
32
investments,
the
securities
and
exchange
board
of
India
33
that the REIT can take on group companies projects and projects of its
majority shareholders.
fundamentally
regulations
do
not
based
have
on
any
specific
investment
project
rationale,
restrictions.
CIS
Extensive
contain
investment
restrictions
similar
to
the
ones
scheme
and
may
impair
the
possibility
of
better
returns.
34
provide a fair and transparent underlying NAV, against which the market
price could be benchmarked.
recall the
experience of the USA where REITs gained popularity after receiving tax
benefits.
The need of appropriately structured Real Estate investments can be
hardly overemphasized. It may be noted that the Deepak Satwalekar
Committee went into great detail on the benefits of Real Estate Funds,
including channeling small savings into the housing sector, which
currently faces a huge shortage, as well as providing investors with
another
investment
alternative,
hitherto
unavailable.
It is suggested that the mutual fund structure for introducing Real Estate
investments in India
close
ended
of an Interval structure
for
minimum
period
is given below:
of
years.
Open at the end of every quarter for sale of fresh units based on the
quarterly NAV calculation and remain open for a minimum period of 15
days. This will enable the fund to grow by soliciting fresh inflows from
investors, while giving potential investors a chance to participate in the
scheme after its Initial Offer.
35
there
are
very
few
such
companies,
which
are
listed.
36
Liquidity Risk
Some of these risks are natural and inevitable but a lot of these risks can
be controlled to some extent. A Real estate mutual fund should work in
37
such a way that the over all risk is optimized and matched to the
investors needs.
Risk Management :
Amendment in SEBI As recommended by the Satwalekar Committee, an
amendment in SEBI regulations is suggested enabling the SEBI to
regulate the establishment and functioning of the real estate mutual
funds schemes with all the existing regulations applicable to such
mutual funds pertaining to net worth of AMC; existing free structure;
initial launch expenses restricted at 6%; maximum limit of expenses; etc.
as
already
provided
in
the
Mutual
Fund
regulations.
can
be
found
on
page
24
of
that
report
38
Along with the regulatory issues, there are some legal issues that are
caused by our antiquated laws and which will hamper the smooth and
profitable functioning of the Real Estate Mutual Funds. thus these laws
need to be reformed since they also increase the risk level of a Real
Estate Investment. Some of these laws and proposed changes are given
below:
Stamp Duty This is a state subject and unless the Central Government
decides to make it uniform, it will be difficult and time consuming to
expect any changes in the stamp duty framework. It is recommended
that either there should be no stamp duty for a SEBI registered REMF or
even if a minor stamp duty is imposed it should take the form of value
added stamp duty structure and thus double stamp duty will be avoided
in
case
of
frequent
transfer
of
the
properties.
to
provide
better
returns
to
investors.
Urban Land Ceilings and Regulations Act This act lays a ceiling
(generally around 500 to 2000 square meter) on the land which a person
39
can hold in an urban area, the excess land is either to be handed over to
a competent authority or is to be developed by the owner for a specified
purposes only. Here a person stands for an individual, corporation, firm,
family, association or body of individuals etc. Thus if the REIT has to
come to any meaningful existence this law has to be scrapped.
Hedge Fund :
A hedge fund is a limited-partnership fund that invests private capital
speculatively to maximize capital appreciation. They invest in a diverse
range of markets, investment instruments, and strategies. Though they
are privately owned and operated, hedge funds are subject to the
regulatory restrictions of their respective countries. U.S. regulations, for
example, limit hedge fund participation to certain classes of accredited
investors. Hedge fund sources fund from High Net-worth Individual ( HNI)
as well as from Institutions. These funds operate with a lean operating
structure and uses different strategies to maximize the income. The fund
is not risk averse in nature. However the hedge fund strategy and under
lying operations have shifted to great extent post 2008 crisis which we
shall discuss in the detail later on.
40
1st Qtr
13
4th Qtr 12
3rd Qtr 12
$1865.5B
$1798.7B
$1827.3B
$485.5B
$501.4B
$515.1B
$38.6B
$38.9B
$39.9B
$142.6B
$124.4B
$120.7B
$232.5B
$211.6B
$211.8B
$163.8B
$149.9B
$151.0B
$176.9B
$170.2B
$176.0B
Sectors
Convertible
Arbitrage
Distressed
Securities
Emerging
Markets
Equity Long
Bias
Equity
41
Long/Short
Equity Long-
$59.5B
$53.5B
$87.2B
$20.2B
$23.2B
$28.8B
Event Driven
$174.4B
$164.8B
$168.7B
Fixed Income
$287.5B
$280.6B
$263.0B
Macro
$167.6B
$172.9B
$171.5B
$24.0B
$24.2B
$24.5B
Multi-Strategy
$241.6B
$239.7B
$242.1B
Other **
$30.3B
$33.3B
$29.8B
$106.2B
$111.6B
$112.3B
Only
Equity Market
Neutral
Merger
Arbitrage
Sector Specific
***
category.
42
Once we have discussed about the different categories of asset class within
the Hedge fund , now we shall see how Hedge Fund contributes to the
overall Alternate Investment Market :
43
percentage of the total investment has gone up due to lack of other avenues
of the Alternative Investment Industry and better regulations of the Hedge
Fund Industry.
During the US bull market of the 1920s, there were numerous private
investment vehicles available to wealthy investors. One of the most popular
funds during that time is the Graham-Newman Partnership founded
by Benjamin Graham and Jerry Newman . This is considered one of the
early hedge funds.
Financial journalist Alfred W. Jones is credited with coining the phrase
"hedged fund" and is wrongly quoted as the creator of the first hedge fund
structure in 1949. Jones referred to his fund as "hedged", a term then
commonly used on Wall Street, to describe the management of investment
risk due to changes in the financial markets. However this is not the true
spirit of the Hedge Fund what we hear today. In 1968 there were almost 200
hedge funds, and the first fund of funds that utilized hedge funds were
created in 1969 in Geneva .In the 1970s hedge funds specialized in a single
strategy, and most fund managers followed the long/short equity model.
As happened in the past , due to recession and adverse economic situation
many hedge funds closed, for example : many hedge funds closed during
the recession of 196970 and the 19731974 stock market. They received
renewed attention in the late 1980s. During the 1990s the number of hedge
funds increased significantly, funded with wealth created during the 1990s
stock market rise. It shows that immediately after wealth creation , hedge
fund industry boomed. The increased interest was due to the alignedinterest compensation structure (i.e. common financial interests) and the
promise of above high returns. Over the next decade hedge fund started
using multiple strategies with the use of computers and other sophisticated
modelling techniques . These
44
interest of these entities were to generate higher amount of return from their
investment .
During the first decade of the 21st century, hedge funds gained popularity
worldwide
and
by
2008,
the
worldwide
hedge
fund industry
held
June
2011,
the
hedge
funds
with
the
Group (US$39.2 billion), Paulson & Co. (US$35.1 billion), Brevan Howard
(US$31 billion), and Och- Ziff
had $70 billion under management as of 1 March 2012. At the end of that
year, the 241 largest hedge fund firms in the United States collectively held
$1.335 trillion. In April 2012, the hedge fund industry reached a record high
of US$2.13 trillion total assets under management.
Strategies :
Hedge fund employs lot of strategies to increase the return. However
classifying them is difficult due to rapid change in the same over time.
Broadly we can segregate the Hedge Fund Strategies into four categories :
45
Hedg
ge Fund
Traading
Straategies
Glob
bal Macro
Relativ
ve Value
( Arbiitrage)
Eventt Driven
Direectional
funds
utilizing
global
macro
investting
stra
ategy
tak
ke
ev
vents in
o
order
to
generatte
ris
sk-adjuste
ed
identify
a
and
selec
ct
investtments; sy
ystematic
trading
is
base
ed
on math
hematical models and
a
execu
uted by software
s
w
with limite
ed huma
an
46
Directional
Directional investment strategies utilize market movements, trends, or
inconsistencies when picking stocks across a variety of markets. Computer
models can be used, or fund managers will identify and select investments.
These types of strategies have a greater exposure to the fluctuations of the
overall market than do market neutral strategies. Directional hedge fund
strategies include US and international long/short equity hedge funds,
where long equity positions are hedged with short sales of equities or
equity index options.
For example , hedge fund manager may think that the equity of a particular
stock would go up. It would take a long position on the equity and it would
hedge the same with the short position with the futures.
47
"sector
funds"
specialize
in
specific
areas
including
There are many difficulties with managing long/short funds. These include
the difficulties of estimating and hedging the risks to which a portfolio is
exposed, and the requirement to manage unsuccessful short positions in an
active manner. Short positions that are losing money grow to become an
increasingly large part of the portfolio, and their price can increase without
limit.
However, the major difficulty is that to make money the hedge fund must
successfully predict which stocks will perform better. Most investors grossly
underestimate the difficulty of this task. It requires making intelligent use of
48
the available information, but this is not enough -- it also requires making
better use of the available information than large numbers of capable
investors.
Event-driven
Event-driven
strategies
concern
situations
in
which
the
underlying
investment opportunity and risk are associated with an event. An eventdriven investment strategy finds investment opportunities in corporate
transactional events such as consolidations, acquisitions, recapitalizations,
bankruptcies, and liquidations. Managers employing such a strategy
capitalize on valuation inconsistencies in the market before or after such
events, and take a position based on the predicted movement of the
security or securities in question. Large institutional investors such as
hedge funds are more likely to pursue event-driven investing strategies than
traditional equity investors because they have the expertise and resources to
analyze
corporate
transactional
events
for
investment
opportunities.
securities :
It
includes
such
events
as
restructurings,
49
50
price
discrepancies
in
securities,
including
51
Because FIA spreads contain long and short legs, they tend to cancel
out systematic market risks, such as changes to the yield curve.
Managers are free to hedge away specific risk exposures, including
risks due to changes in interest rates, creditworthiness, foreign
exchange risks, and default, though the extent of hedging employed
varies greatly among hedge fund managers. Managers are also free to
take directional positions instead of relying solely on pure neutral
hedges.
Returns from FIA trades can result from sudden market dislocations,
demand
or
supply
shocks,
changes
in
investor
preferences,
52
2)
and accounting
issues
3)
Systematic risk premia can result from several causes. For instance, a
hedged spread may feature long and short positions that differ in
liquidity or credit quality. In this case, a premium is earned by holding
lower quality or less liquid positions and shorting higher quality/more
liquid positions.
market
neutral:
exploits
differences
in
stock
prices
by
being long and short in stocks within the same sector, industry, market
53
convertible bonds and warrants are not accurately priced due to illiquidity
in the convertible debt and warrant markets as compared to the markets in
the underlying common stocks, uncertainty concerning the call or
redemption features of convertible securities and lesser market focus on
these derivatives as opposed to the equities into which they are convertible
or exercisable.
hedging is
the
process
of
setting
or
keeping
the delta of
a portfolio of financial instruments zero, or as close to zero as possible where delta is the sensitivity of the value of a derivative to changes in the
price of its underlying instrument; see Hedge (finance). Mathematically,
delta is the partial derivative of the portfolio's fair value with respect to the
price of the underlying security; Being delta neutral (or, instantaneously
delta-hedged) means that the instantaneous change in value of the portfolio
for an infinitesimal change in the value of the underlying is zero.
As with most successful arbitrage strategies, convertible arbitrage has
attracted
large
number
of
market
participants,
creating
intense
54
and short the equity, they were hurt on both sides. Going back a lot further,
many such "arbs" sustained big losses in the so-called "crash of '87". In
theory, when a stock declines, the associated convertible bond will decline
less, because it is protected by its value as a fixed-income instrument: it
pays interest periodically. In the 1987 stock market crash, however, many
convertible bonds declined more than the stocks into which they were
convertible, apparently for liquidity reasons (the market for the stocks being
much more liquid than the relatively small market for the bonds).
Arbitrageurs who relied on the traditional relationship between stock and
bond gained less from their short stock positions than they lost on their long
bond positions.
Asset-backed
securities
(Fixed-Income
asset-backed): fixed
income
Credit long / short: the same as long / short equity but in credit
markets instead of equity markets.
55
56
57
58
out one or more relevant risk factors. This will produce excess return where
in reality there is none.
Good examples of often forgotten but extremely important risks are credit
and liquidity risk. So far, no study of hedge fund performance has explicitly
figured in credit or liquidity risk as a source of return, despite the fact that
some hedge funds virtually live off it.
Providing liquidity to a market, can be expected to be compensated by a
higher average return. However, when this is not taken into account, we will
find alpha where there is in fact none.
The above makes it very clear that when it comes to hedge funds, traditional
performance evaluation methods like the Sharpe ratio and alpha can be
extremely misleading. A high Sharpe ratio or alpha should therefore not be
interpreted as an indication of superior manager skill, but first and foremost
as an indication that further research is required. One can only speak of
superior performance if such research shows that the manager in question
generates the observed excess return without taking any unusual and/or
catastrophic risks. Unfortunately, simply studying a managers past returns
will not be enough. Apart from the fact that most hedge fund managers do
not have much of a track record to study, extreme events only occur
infrequently so that it is hard if not impossible to identify the presence of
catastrophic risk from a relatively small sample of returns. Consider the
following example. A substantial portion of the outstanding supply of
catastrophe-linked bonds are held by hedge funds. These bonds pay an
exceptionally high coupon in return for the bondholder putting (part of) his
principal at risk. Since the world has not seen a major catastrophe for some
time now, these bonds have performed very well and the available return
series show little skewness. However, this does not give an accurate
indication of the actual degree of skewness as when a catastrophe does
eventually occur, these bonds will produce very large losses.
Investment Ideas of Investment Gurus :
59
60
Investing in stocks means dealing with volatility. Instead of running for the
exits during times of market stress, the smart investor greets downturns as
chances to find great investments. Graham illustrated this with the analogy
of Mr. Market, the imaginary business partner of each and every investor.
Mr. Market offers investors a daily price quote at which he would either buy
an investor out or sell his share of the business. Sometimes, he will be
excited about the prospects for the business and quote a high price. Other
times, he will be depressed about the businesss prospects and will quote a
low price.
Because the stock market has these same emotions, the lesson here is that
you shouldnt let Mr. Markets views dictate your own emotions or, worse,
lead you in your investment decisions. Instead, you should form your own
estimates of the businesss value based on a sound and rational
examination of the facts. Furthermore, you should only buy when the price
offered makes sense and sell when the price becomes too high. Put another
way, the marketwill fluctuatesometimes wildlybut rather than fearing
volatility, use it to your advantage to get bargains in the market or to sell
out when your holdings become way overvalued.
Here are two strategies that Graham suggested to help mitigate the negative
effects of market volatility:
Dollar-cost averaging: Achieved by buying equal dollar amounts of
investments at regular intervals. It takes advantage of dips in the price and
means that an investor doesnt have to be concerned about buying his or
her entire position at the top of the market. Dollar-cost averaging is ideal for
passive investors and alleviates them of the responsibility of choosing when
and at what price to buy their positions.
Investing in stocks and bonds: Graham recommended distributing ones
portfolio evenly between stocks and bonds as a way to preserve capital in
market downturns while still achieving growth of capital through bond
income. Remember, Grahams philosophy was, first and foremost, to
61
preserve capital, and then to try to make it grow. He suggested having 25%
to 75% of your investments in bonds, and varying this based on market
conditions. This strategy had the added advantage of keeping investors from
boredom, which leads to the temptation to participate in unprofitable
trading (i.e., speculating).
Principle No. 3: Know What Kind of Investor You Are
Graham said investors should know their investment selves. To illustrate
this, he made clear distinctions among various groups operating in the stock
market.
Active
vs.
passive: Graham
referred
investors as
62
Buffett
investing.
Value
descends
investors
from
look
the Benjamin
for
securities
Graham school
with
prices
of value
that are
63
Warren Buffett takes this value investing approach to another level. Many
value investors aren't supporters of the efficient market hypothesis, but they
do trust that the market will eventually start to favor those quality stocks
that were, for a time, undervalued. Buffett, however, doesn't think in these
terms. He isn't concerned with the supply and demand intricacies of the
stock market. In fact, he's not really concerned with the activities of the
stock market at all. This is the implication this paraphrase of his famous
quote : "In the short term the market is a popularity contest; in the long
term it is a weighing machine
Here we look at how Buffett finds low-priced value by asking himself some
questions when he evaluates the relationship between a stock's level of
excellence and its price. Keep in mind that these are not the only things he
analyzes but rather a brief summary of what Buffett looks for:
64
Looking at the ROE in just the last year isn't enough. The investor should
view the ROE from the past five to 10 years to get a good idea of historical
performance.
2.
Has
The debt/equity
the
company
ratio is
another
avoided
key
characteristic
excess
Buffett
debt?
considers
This ratio shows the proportion of equity and debt the company is using to
finance its assets, and the higher the ratio, the more debt - rather than
equity - is financing the company. A high level of debt compared to equity
can result in volatile earnings and large interest expenses. For a more
stringent test, investors sometimes use only long-term debt instead of
total liabilities in the calculation above.
65
historical profit margins, investors should look back at least five years. A
high profit margin indicates the company is executing its business well, but
increasing margins means management has been extremely efficient and
successful at controlling expenses.
underestimate
the
value
of
historical
performance,
which
66
George Soros is a short-term speculator. He makes massive, highlyleveraged bets on the direction of the financial markets. His famous hedge
fund is known for its global macro strategy, a philosophy centered around
making massive, one-way bets on the movements of currency rates,
67
Simply put, Soros bets that the value of these investments will either rise or
fall. This is "seat of the pants" trading, based on research and executed on
instinct. Soros studies his targets, letting the movements of the various
financial markets and their participants dictate his trades. He refers to the
philosophy behind his trading strategy as reflexivity. The theory eschews
traditional ideas of an equilibrium-based market environment where all
information is known to all market participants and thereby factored into
prices. Instead, Soros believes that market participants themselves directly
influence market fundamentals, and that their irrational behavior leads to
booms and busts that present investment opportunities.
An investment based on the idea that the housing market will crash would
reflect a classic Soros bet. Short-selling the shares of luxury home builders
or shorting the shares of major housing lenders would be two potential
investments
seeking
to
profit
when
Major Trades
68
the housing
boom
goes
bust.
George Soros will always be remembered as "the man who broke the Bank of
England." A well-known currency speculator, Soros does not limit his efforts
to a particular geographic area, instead considering the entire world when
seeking opportunities. In September of 1992, he borrowed billions of dollars
worth of British pounds and converted them to German marks.
When the pound crashed, Soros repaid his lenders based on the new, lower
value of the pound, pocketing in excess of $1 billion in the difference
between the value of the pound and the value of the mark during a single
day's trading. He made nearly $2 billion in total after unwinding his
position.
He made a similar move with Asian currencies during the 1997 Asian
Financial Crisis, participating in a speculative frenzy that resulted in the
collapse of the baht (Thailand's currency). These trades were so effective
because the national currencies the speculators bet against were pegged to
other currencies, meaning that agreements were in place to "prop up" the
currencies in order to make sure that they traded in a specific ratio against
the currency to which they were pegged.
When the speculators placed their bets, the currency issuers were forced to
attempt to maintain the ratios by buying their currencies on the open
market. When the governments ran out of money and were forced to
abandon that effort, the currency values plummeted.
Governments lived in fear that Soros would take an interest in their
currencies. When he did, other speculators joined the fray in what's been
described as a pack of wolves descending on a herd of elk. The massive
amounts of money the speculators could borrow and leverage made it
impossible for the governments to withstand the assault.
69
Despite his masterful successes, not every bet George Soros made worked in
his favor. In 1987, he predicted that the U.S. markets would continue to
rise. His fund lost $300 million during the crash, although it still delivered
low double-digit returns for the year.
He also took a $2 billion hit during the Russian debt crisis in 1998 and lost
$700 million in 1999 during the tech bubble when he bet on a decline.
Stung by the loss, he bought big in anticipation of a rise. He lost nearly $3
billion when the market finally crashed.
His public stance and spectacular success put Soros largely in a class by
himself. Over the course of more than three decades, he made the right
moves nearly every time, generating legions of fans among traders and
investors, and legions of detractors among those on the losing end of his
speculative activities.
70
Part A
MCQ
1. If an economy is moving from developing economy to developed
economy, the scope of Alternate Investment Management would :
a. Go up due to higher risk in the economy associated with the
developed economy
b. Go up due to higher risk taking capability of more High Networth Individual created out of higher economic growth
c. Go down due to higher regulations by regulators
d. Both a and c
2. Alternative Investment Management is ................... than normal
investment
and
accordingly
common
peoples
money
should
.................................. Alternate
71
72
Short Questions
1. As a Chief Financial Officer of a SME company, at what stage would
you approach an Alternate Investment Management firm . Please give
reason for your answers .
Alternate investment management is a source of fund which can take
high risk and high return. So when an SME is in the growth phase
and it requires more fund , it may approach a bank for the funding .
The bank may insist that the SME should bring in more equity. Since
there is a limit up to which promoter can bring in the equity , the
company can approach the Alternate Investment Fund for equity
infusion. The risk of the investment is higher but at the same time
the return is also higher. Since investor of this fund belongs to High
Net Worth Individual , the
profile of the investor. Now once the SME grows to higher end or mid
corporate , the riskiness of the borrower would come down and then
the firm can be listed in the market and accordingly retail investor
would be able to participate. So as a CFO , you would approach the
AIM when the SME is into the growth phase and you think that listing
in the main exchange is about three to four years away .
2. State three differences between Category I and Category III fund as
prescribed in the SEBI AIM guidelines ;
Investment Objectives : The investment objective Category I is to
provide equity to the growth oriented sector like SME , Infrastructure ,
Social Sector. Where as the investment objectives of Category III fund
is to make profit from speculative activities
Use of Leverage : There should not be use of leverage by Category I
fund as it increases the risk of the fund . There should be use of
leverage by Category III find as its main aim is to generate higher
return from higher risk category
73
the targeted
security. While speculating the investor would take the help of supports
available and the investor would take a call on the directional movement in
the price of the security. If the prediction turns out to be correct, the
investor would make large profit. In case it does not make the correct
prediction , it would incur the loss. In case of this investment strategy, the
investor can incur loss some times and some times he can make profit. So
this strategy of investment is riskier and the investor should have higher Net
Worth to pursue this strategy .
5. If REIT is coming under Alternate Investment Fund ? What are the
differences between REIT and Real Estate Investment Fund ?
74
75
76
Overview
LTCM seemed destined for success. After all, it had John Meriwether, the
famed bond trader from Salomon Brothers, at its helm. Also on board were
Nobel-prize winning economists Myron Scholes and Robert Merton, as well
as David Mullins, a former vice-chairman of the Federal Reserve Board who
had quit his job to become a partner at LTCM. These credentials convinced
80 founding investors to pony up the minimum investment of $10 million
apiece, including Bear Sterns President James Cayne and his deputy.
Merrill Lynch purchased a significant share to sell to its wealthy clients,
including a number of its executives and its own CEO, David Komansky. A
similar strategy was employed by the Union Bank of Switzerland (The
Washington Post, 9/27/98).
Because these differences in values were tiny, the fund needed to take large
and highly-leveraged positions in order to make a significant profit. At the
beginning of 1998, the fund had equity of $5 billion and had borrowed over
$125 billion a leverage factor of roughly thirty to one. LTCM's partners
believed, on the basis of their complex computer models, that the long and
short positions were highly correlated and so the net risk was small.
77
Events
1994: Long-Term Capital Management is founded by John Meriwether and
accepts investments from 80 investors who put up a minimum of $10
million each. The initial equity capitalisation of the firm is $1.3 billion. (The
Washington Post, 27 September 1998)
End of 1997: After two years of returns running close to 40%, the fund has
some $7 billion under management and is achieving only a 27% return
comparable
with
the
return
on
US
equities
that
year.
Meriwether returns about $2.7 billion of the fund's capital back to investors
because "investment opportunities were not large and attractive enough"
(The Washington Post, 27 September 1998).
Early 1998: The portfolio under LTCM's control amounts to well over $100
billion, while net asset value stands at some $4 billion; its swaps position is
valued at some $1.25 trillion notional, equal to 5% of the entire global
market. It had become a major supplier of index volatility to investment
banks, was active in mortgage-backed securities and was dabbling in
emerging
markets
such
as
Russia
(Risk,
October
1998)
proportions,
dealing
severe
blow
to
LTCM's
portfolio.
78
told that they will not be allowed to withdraw more than 12% of their
investment, and not until December.
Fourth
quarter
1998:
The
damage
from
LTCM's
near-demise
was
79
April 1999: President Clinton publishes a study of the LTCM crisis and its
implications for systemic risk in financial markets, entitled the President's
Working Group on Financial Markets (Governance and Risk ControlRegulatory guidelines-president's working group)
Analysis:
The proximate cause for LTCM's debacle was Russia's default on its
government obligations (GKOs). LTCM believed it had somewhat hedged its
GKO position by selling rubles. In theory, if Russia defaulted on its bonds,
then the value of its currency would collapse and a profit could be made in
the foreign exchange market that would offset the loss on the bonds.
Unfortunately, the banks guaranteeing the ruble hedge shut down when the
Russian ruble collapsed, and the Russian government prevented further
trading in its currency. (The Financial Post, 9/26/98). While this caused
significant losses for LTCM, these losses were not even close to being large
enough to bring the hedge fund down. Rather, the ultimate cause of its
demise was the ensuing flight to liquidity described in the following section.
The Ultimate Cause: Flight to Liquidity
The ultimate cause of the LTCM debacle was the "flight to liquidity" across
the global fixed income markets. As Russia's troubles became deeper and
deeper, fixed-income portfolio managers began to shift their assets to more
liquid assets. In particular, many investors shifted their investments into
the U.S. Treasury market. In fact, so great was the panic that investors
80
moved money not just into Treasury, but into the most liquid part of the
U.S. Treasury market -- the most recently issued, or "on-the-run"
Treasuries. While the U.S. Treasury market is relatively liquid in normal
market conditions, this global flight to liquidity hit the on-the-run
Treasuries like a freight train. The spread between the yields on on-the-run
Treasuries and off-the-run Treasuries widened dramatically: even though
the off-the-run bonds were theoretically cheap relative to the on-the-run
bonds,
they
got
much
cheaper
still
(on
relative
basis).
What LTCM had failed to account for is that a substantial portion of its
balance sheet was exposed to a general change in the "price" of liquidity. If
liquidity became more valuable (as it did following the crisis) its short
positions would increase in price relative to its long positions. This was
essentially a massive, un-hedged exposure to a single risk factor.
As an aside, this situation was made worse by the fact that the size of the
new issuance of U.S. Treasury bonds has declined over the past several
years. This has effectively reduced the liquidity of the Treasury market,
making it more likely that a flight to liquidity could dislocate this market.
Systemic Risk: The Domino Effect
The preceding analysis explains why LTCM almost failed. However, it does
not explain why this near-failure should threaten the stability of the global
financial markets. The reason was that virtually all of the leveraged Treasury
bond investors had similar positions: Salomon Brothers, Merrill Lynch, the
III Fund (a fixed-income hedge fund that also failed as a result of the crisis)
and likely others.
There were two reasons for the lack of diversity of opinion in the market. The
first is that virtually all of the sophisticated models being run by the
leveraged players said the same thing: that off-the-run Treasuries were
significantly cheap compared with the on-the-run Treasuries. The second is
that many of the investment banks obtained order flow information through
81
their dealings with LTCM. They therefore would have known many of the
actual positions and would have taken up similar positions alongside their
client.
Indeed, one industry participant suggested that the Russian crisis was the
crowning blow on a domino effect that had started months before. In early
1998, Sandy Weill, as co-head of Citigroup, decided to shut down the
famous Salomon Brothers Treasury bond arbitrage desk. Salomon, one of
the largest players in the on-the-run/off-the-run trade, had to begin
liquidating its positions. As it did so, these trades became cheaper and
cheaper,
putting
pressure
on
all
of
the
other
leveraged
players.
Lessons to be learned:
firms
that
went
under
in
similar
circumstances.
One of the earliest was Franklin Savings and Loan, a hedge fund dressed
down as a savings & loan. Franklin's management had figured out that
many of the riskier pieces of mortgage derivatives were undervalued because
a) the market could not understand the risk on the risky pieces; and b) the
market overvalued those pieces with well-behaved accounting results.
Franklin decided it was willing to suffer volatile accounting results in
exchange for good economics.
82
Fed raised interest rates in February 1994, Wall Street firms rushed to
liquidate mortgage-backed securities, often at huge discounts.
Both of these firms claimed to have been hedged, but both went under when
they were "margin-called". In Franklin's case, the caller was the Office of
Thrift Supervision; in the Granite Fund's, the margin lenders. What is the
common theme among Franklin, the Granite Funds and LTCM? All three
depended on exploiting deviations in market value from fair value. And all
three depended on "patient capital" -- shareholders and lenders who
believed that what mattered was fair value and not market value. That is,
these fund managers convinced their stakeholders that because the fair
values were hedged, it didn't matter what happened to market values in the
short run they would converge to fair value over time. That was the
reason
for
the
"Long
Term"
part
of
LTCM's
name.
The problem with this logic is that capital is only as patient as its least
patient provider. The fact is that lenders generally lose their patience
precisely when the funds need them to keep it in times of market crisis.
As all three cases demonstrate, the lenders are the first to get nervous when
an external shock hits. At that point, they begin to ask the fund manager for
market valuations, not models-based fair valuations. This starts the fund
along the downward spiral: illiquid securities are marked-to-market; margin
calls are made; the illiquid securities must be sold; more margin calls are
made, and so on. In general, shareholders may provide patient capital; but
debt-holders do not.
The lesson learned from these case studies spoils some of the supposed "free
lunch" features of taking liquidity risk. These plays can indeed generate
excellent risk-adjusted returns, but only
if
held for
long
time.
Unfortunately the only real source of capital that is patient enough to take
fluctuations in market values, especially through crises, is equity capital.
83
In other words, you can take liquidity bets, but you cannot leverage them
much.
Liquidity risk is itself a factor :
As pointed out in the analysis section of this article, LTCM fell victim to a
flight to liquidity. This phenomenon is common enough in capital markets
crises that it should be built into risk models, either by introducing a new
risk factor liquidity or by including a flight to liquidity in the stress
testing (see the following section for more detail on this). This could be
accomplished crudely by classifying securities as either liquid or illiquid.
Liquid securities are assigned a positive exposure to the liquidity factor;
illiquid securities are assigned a negative exposure to the liquidity factor.
The size of the factor movement (measured in terms of the movement of the
spread between liquid and illiquid securities) can be estimated either
statistically or heuristically (perhaps using the LTCM crisis as a "worst case"
scenario).
Using this approach, LTCM might have classified most of its long positions
as illiquid and most of its short positions as liquid, thus having a notional
exposure to the liquidity factor equal to twice its total balance sheet. A more
refined model would account for a spectrum of possible liquidity across
securities; at a minimum, however, the general concept of exposure to a
liquidity risk factor should be incorporated in to any leveraged portfolio.
Models must be stress-tested and combined with judgement:
Another key lesson to be learnt from the LTCM debacle is that even (or
especially) the most sophisticated financial models are subject to model risk
and parameter risk, and should therefore be stress-tested and tempered
with judgement. While we are clearly privileged in exercising 20/20
hindsight, we can nonetheless think through the way in which judgement
and stress-testing could have been used to mitigate, if not avoid, this
disaster.
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85
86