MISR2015 w5 PDF
MISR2015 w5 PDF
MISR2015 w5 PDF
the Information
Society Report
2015
Measuring the Information
Society Report
2015
2015 ITU
International Telecommunication Union
Place des Nations
CH-1211 Geneva Switzerland
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or
transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying,
recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of the
International Telecommunication Union.
ISBN 978-92-61-15791-3
The United Nations 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development recognizes the great potential of ICTs
and calls for significantly increased access to ICTs, which will play a crucial role in supporting the
implementation of all the sustainable development goals (SDGs). It is ITUs priority to support our
membership in the achievement of the SDGs, in close collaboration with other partners.
One of the core features of the MIS Report is the ICT Development Index (IDI). This years report analyses
ICT developments over the past five years. The results show that all of the 167 economies included in
the IDI improved their IDI values between 2010 and 2015. This is good news and reflects the continuous
evolvement of the global information society.
The progress in a number of developing countries which have displayed significant improvements in
their IDI values and rankings since 2010 is particularly encouraging. These more dynamic countries have
seen substantial increases in, among others, mobile-broadband penetration, household ICT access and
international Internet bandwidth. Their experience confirms the importance of developing enabling
environments for ICT investment and innovation, and the policy approaches of these dynamic countries
could be relevant to other developing economies.
Over the past five years, there has been a widening of the gap in IDI values between countries ranked in the
middle and those towards the bottom of the distribution. In the LDCs, the IDI grew less compared to other
developing countries and, in particular, the LDCs are falling behind in the IDI use sub-index, which could
impact on their ability to derive development gains from ICTs.
The latest data show that the price of mobile-cellular services continues to fall across the world, as the
number of mobile-cellular subscriptions approaches 7.1 billion and mobile network population coverage
reaches close to 95 per cent. In LDCs, the mobile-cellular price basket continued to fall, down to 14 per
cent of GNI p.c. by end 2014, compared with 29 per cent in 2010.
Mobile broadband tends to be cheaper than fixed broadband. Mobile-broadband prices have fallen
significantly and are expected to continue falling over the next years. Prices in this market segment are
The rapid spread of ICT infrastructure and devices is accelerating the progress of the Internet of Things
(IoT). IoT is expected to significantly impact almost every social and economic sector, including education,
healthcare, agriculture, transportation and manufacturing. Most of the value derived from IoT comes from
the generation, processing and analysis of new data. This report shows how IoT and big data analytics can
help address major development challenges such as those related to megacities, climate change, food
security and resource management.
The potential of IoT is determined by the available ICT infrastructure and data-processing capacity. While
some IoT applications may run with low-speed and low-capacity connectivity, others will require high-
capacity broadband connections that rely on fixed-broadband infrastructure, larger international Internet
bandwidth and backbone capacity.
I hope you will find this report informative and useful in mapping strategies to grow the ICT sector and
drive the socio-economic development of countries.
Brahima Sanou
Director
Telecommunication Development Bureau (BDT)
International Telecommunication Union
The 2015 edition of the Measuring the Information Society Report was prepared by the ICT Data and
Statistics Division within the Telecommunication Development Bureau of ITU. The team included Susan
Teltscher (Head of Division), Vanessa Gray, Diana Korka, Esperanza Magpantay, and Ivan Vallejo. The
following consultants to ITU provided substantive contributions: David Souter (Chapters 1, 2 and 3),
Steve Chan (Chapter 5) and Doris Olaya (Chapter 1). Helpful inputs were received from the following ITU
colleagues: Reillie Acks (during her internship at ITU), Rosheen Awotar-Mauree, Mohamed Ba, Cristina
Bueti, Yvon Henri, Mythili Menon, Reinhard Scholl, Susan Schorr, Nancy Sundberg, and Alis Daniela Torres.
Nathalie Delmas provided statistical and desktop publishing assistance. The work was carried out under
the overall direction of Cosmas Zavazava, Chief, Project Support and Knowledge Management Department,
Telecommunication Development Bureau.
Andr Wills, Fernando Callorda, Lisa Kreuzenbeck and Shazna Zuhely contributed to the compilation of
datasets on prices, and Michael Minges to the compilation of data on international Internet bandwidth.
Michaela Saisana and Marcos Dominguez-Torreiro of the European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC)
carried out the statistical assessment of the ICT Development Index (IDI).
The report includes data from Eurostat, OECD, IMF, the UNESCO Institute for Statistics, the United Nations
Population Division and the World Bank, which are duly acknowledged.
ITU also appreciates the cooperation of countries that have provided data included in this report.
The report was edited by the ITU English Translation Section, led by Bruce Granger. The desktop publishing
was carried out by the ITU Publication Production Service, led by Simon De Nicolas, and the cover was
designed by Jess Vicente.
Forewordiii
Acknowledgementsv
Table of Contentsvii
Annex 2. JRC Statistical Assessment of the 2015 ICT Development Index1 195
Summary 195
Conclusions 203
Annex 5. Statistical tables of prices used to compute the ICT Price Basket 235
Fixed-telephone prices 2014 236
Fixed-broadband prices 2014 240
Mobile-cellular prices 2014 (on-net) 244
Mobile-cellular prices 2014 (off-net) 248
Mobile-cellular prices 2014 (to fixed telephone; SMS) 252
Notes 256
Tables
Table 1.1: The Connect 2020 Goals and Targets 6
Table 1.2: The WSIS targets, 2003 and as adapted in 2010 7
Table 1.3: Broadband Commission targets to 2015 8
Table 1.4: Connect 2020 Agenda Goal 1 Targets 8
Table 1.5: Affordability of ICT services: baseline, current status and Connect 2020 target for each
telecommunication service 11
Table 1.6: Connect 2020 Agenda Goal 2 targets 12
Table 1.7: Percentage of individuals using the Internet, by gender, development status and region,
2015* 22
Table 1.8: Gap in Internet user penetration rate between males and females, 2013 and 2015* 23
Table 1.9: Connect 2020 Agenda Goal 3 Sustainability 25
Table 1.10: Global Cybersecurity Index (GCI) performance indicators16 26
Table 1.11: The Sustainable Development Goals 32
Table 1.12: Sustainable Development Goals with direct reference to ICTs 33
Table 1.13: The relationship between WSIS action lines and SDGs 34
Table 1.14: ITU-proposed ICT indicators for the SDG monitoring framework 35
Table 2.1: IDI values and changes, 2010-2015 44
Table 2.2: IDI overall rankings and ratings, 2015 and 2010 46
Table 2.3: IDI access sub-index rankings and ratings, 2015 and 2010 47
Table 2.4: IDI use sub-index rankings and ratings, 2015 and 2010 48
Table 2.5: IDI skills sub-index rankings and ratings, 2015 and 2010 49
Table 2.6: Most dynamic countries changes in IDI value and ranking, 2010-2015 51
Table 2.7: Most dynamic countries access sub-index, 2010-2015 52
Table 2.8: Most dynamic countries use sub-index, 2010-2015 54
Table 2.9: IDI ratings by development status, 2010 and 2015 55
Table 2.10: IDI ratings for LDCs compared with global ratings and with all developing countries 57
Table 2.11: IDI values by IDI quartile, 2010 and 2015 58
Table 3.1: IDI by region, 2015 and 2010 63
Table 3.2: Highest- and lowest-ranking countries by region 65
Table 3.3: IDI rankings, Africa region, 2015 69
Table 3.4: IDI rankings, Arab States region, 2015 70
Table 3.5: IDI rankings, Asia and the Pacific, 2015 72
Table 3.6: IDI rankings, CIS region, 2015 73
Table 3.7: IDI rankings, Europe region, 2015 74
Table 3.8: IDI rankings, Americas region, 2015 76
Table 3.9: Most dynamic countries 81
Table 4.1: Fixed-telephone sub-basket, 2014 99
Table 4.2: Mobile-cellular sub-basket, 2014 102
Table 4.3: Fixed-broadband prices as a percentage of GNI p.c., by region, 2014 106
Table 4.4: Fixed-broadband sub-basket, 2014 109
Table 4.5: Top three countries with the cheapest mobile-broadband services in each region, PPP$,
2014 126
Table 4.6: Average mobile-broadband prices and ranges by region, as a percentage of GNI p.c., 2014 127
Table 4.7: Mobile-broadband prices, postpaid handset-based, 500MB, 2014 136
Table 4.8: Mobile-broadband prices, prepaid handset-based 500MB, 2014 137
Table 4.9: Mobile-broadband prices, postpaid computer-based 1GB, 2014 138
Table 4.10: Mobile-broadband prices, prepaid computer-based, 1GB, 2014 139
Table 4.11: ICT Price Basket and sub-baskets, 2014 140
Figures
Figure 1.1: The Connect 2020 Goals5
Figure 1.2: Levels of cybersecurity, 2014 Global Cybersecurity Index27
Figure 1.3: The relationship between WSIS action lines and SDGs33
Figure 2.1: Three stages in the evolution towards an information society40
Figure 2.2: ICT Development Index: indicators, reference values and weights41
Figure 2.3: Quartiles by IDI value, 201559
Figure Box 4.1: Timeline of ITUs ICT price data collection95
Figure 4.2: Mobile-broadband services by type of device/plan 119
Figure Box 4.3: Mobile-broadband data usage examples, 500 MB and 1 GB per month 124
Figure 5.1: Timeline of developments that led to IoT 148
Figure 5.2: Path to IoT: from people-to-people to machine-to-machine communications 148
Figure 5.3: Diagram of IoT connectivity 150
Figure 5.4: Sectors in which IoT can play an enabling role for development 152
Figure 5.5: Evolution from the Internet of Things to the Internet of Everything 153
Figure 5.6: Typhoid incidence and human mobility from highly infected areas in Uganda during the
January-May 2015 typhoid outbreak 160
Annex Figure 2.1: Uncertainty analysis of the IDI (ranks vs median rank, 90 per cent intervals) 201
Boxes
Box 2.1: Assessment of the IDI43
Box 3.1: ICT and IDI developments in the Republic of Korea79
Box 3.2: ICT and IDI developments in Denmark80
Box 3.3: ICT and IDI developments in Saudi Arabia81
Box 3.4: ICT and IDI developments in Lebanon83
Box 3.5: ICT and IDI developments in Costa Rica85
Box 3.6: ICT and IDI developments in Brazil86
Box 3.7: ICT and IDI developments in Kyrgyzstan87
Box 3.8: ICT and IDI developments in Thailand88
Box 3.9: ICT and IDI developments in Ghana89
Box 4.1: Adapting ITUs price data collection to ICT developments95
Box 4.2: Prices and affordability relative and absolute ICT price values96
Box 4.3: Ghanas steady way to low prices and high mobile penetration 105
Box 4.4: Romanias Neighbourhood Networks increase competition and bring down prices 110
Box 4.5: 111 countries meet the Broadband Commissions target for broadband price affordability 112
Box 4.6: How much service for your mobile-broadband package? 123
Box 4.7: Cambodias mobile-broadband market 130
Box 5.1: IoT communications across borders 149
Box 5.2: Wireless sensor networks 151
Box 5.3: Surface web and deep web 158
Box 5.4: IoT-enabled management of photovoltaic (PV) systems 161
Box 5.5: Monitoring the worlds deep oceans 163
Charts
Chart 1.1: Global changes in major ICTs, 2000-2015* 2
Chart 1.2: ICT access by development status, 2015* 3
Chart 1.3: ICT access by region, 2015* 4
Chart 1.4: Percentage of individuals using the Internet by development status and region, 2015* 4
Chart 1.5: Households with Internet access worldwide, 2005-2015*, against target and 2020 projection 9
Chart 1.6: Percentage of individuals using the Internet worldwide, 2005-2015*, against target and
2020 projection 10
Chart 1.7: The IPB and sub-baskets, worldwide, 2008-2014 11
Chart 1.8: Households with Internet access, by region and development status, 2015* 13
Chart 1.9: Households with access to the Internet, developing countries, 2005-2015*, against target
and 2020 projection 13
Chart 1.10: Households with access to the Internet, LDCs, 2005-2015*, against target and 2020
projection 14
Chart 1.11: Percentage of individuals using the Internet, by region and development status, 2015* 15
Chart 1.12: Percentage of individuals using the Internet in developing countries, 2005-2015*, against
target and 2020 projection 15
Chart 1.13: Percentage of individuals using the Internet in LDCs, 2005-2015*, against target and 2020
projection 16
Chart 1.14: The IPB and sub-baskets, by development level, 2008-2014 17
Chart 1.15: Mobile-broadband prices, by level of development, 2013-2014 17
Chart 1.16: Mobile-broadband and fixed-broadband penetration, 2015* 18
Chart 1.17: Country performance against the affordability target, 2014 18
Chart 1.18: Mobile-broadband prices, developed and developing countries and LDCs, 2013-2014 19
Chart 1.19: Rural population covered by a mobile-cellular signal, by region, 2003-2012 20
Chart 1.20: Population coverage by 3G networks, urban and rural areas, 2015* 20
Chart 1.21: GSMA data and projections for global 3G and 4G coverage, 2009-2020 21
Chart 1.22: Percentage of individuals using the Internet, by gender, development status and region,
2015* 22
Chart 1.23: Levels of cybersecurity by region, 2014 Global Cybersecurity Index 27
Chart 1.24: Global ICT emissions (gigatonnes of CO2 equivalent GeSI estimates and projections) 29
Chart 2.1: Distribution of countries by IDI values, 2010 and 2015 45
Chart 2.2: IDI ratings by development status, 2010 and 2015 56
Chart 2.3: IDI ratings for LDCs compared with global ratings and with all developing countries 56
Chart 2.4: IDI and GNI p.c., 2015 57
Chart 2.5: IDI values by IDI performance quartile, 2010 and 2015 60
Chart 3.1: IDI by region compared with global average, 2015 64
Chart 3.2: Average IDI rating for each indicator, world regions, 2010 and 2015 67
Chart 3.3: IDI values, Africa region, 2015 70
Chart 3.4: IDI values, Arab States region, 2015 71
Chart 3.5: IDI values, Asia and the Pacific, 2015 73
Chart 3.6: IDI values, CIS region, 2015 73
80
Per 100 inhabitants/households
70
60
50 47.2
46.4
40 43.4
30
20
10.8
10
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015*
fixed networks. The proportion of the global see below). A continued decline from 15.2 to
population covered by mobile-cellular networks 14.5 per 100 persons is reported in the ratio
is now over 95 per cent (ITU, 2015a), while the of fixed-telephone subscriptions to population,
number of mobile-cellular subscriptions has while there has been limited reported growth
quintupled since WSIS (although this is partly from 10.3 to 10.8 per 100 inhabitants in the
attributable to multiple subscriptions). The growth number of fixed-broadband subscriptions. Growth
in fixed-broadband subscriptions illustrated in in the penetration of active mobile-broadband
Chart 1.1 has been more sluggish than that of subscriptions has, however, been very sharp, rising
mobile broadband, with the number of fixed- from 37.2 to an estimated 47.2 per 100 persons
telephone subscriptions worldwide having fallen over the last twelve months, reflecting the wider
over the past decade owing partly to fixed-mobile availability of mobile-broadband networks, falling
substitution. prices and the rapidly growing use of smartphones
and tablets. Individual use of Internet and
The number of Internet users is estimated to household access to it have continued their steady
have grown almost as rapidly as that of mobile- rates of growth, from 40.6 and 43.4 per cent,
cellular subscriptions, quadrupling since WSIS, respectively, to 43.9 and 46.4 per cent at the
with over 40 per cent of the worlds population global level.
now estimated to be using the Internet. Data
concerning household access to and individual use Closer consideration, however, shows that there
of the Internet are discussed in below. are still very considerable variations in these data
sets, with substantial digital divides between
Available data suggest that these trends have different regions, and particularly between
continued during the period 2014-2015, although countries in different development categories.
with some variations.5 There has been little Chart 1.2 compares access to fixed and mobile
additional growth from 96.1 to an estimated telephone and broadband subscriptions in
96.8 subscriptions per 100 persons worldwide 2014 between developed countries, developing
in the ratio between mobile subscriptions countries (including LDCs) and LDCs. The data
and population, as the number of subscriptions for Internet use and household access to the
approaches 100 per cent (although this does not Internet, which are discussed in section 1.3,
mean that everyone now has a mobile phone show very similar digital divides. It should be
120
100
Per 100 inhabitants
80
60
40
20
0
Mobile cellular Mobile broadband Fixed telephone Fixed broadband
noted in this context, however, that fixed and incorporating targets relating to digital divides
mobile subscriptions are not entirely comparable, between countries, and to particular social and
since the former tend to make access available economic groups within societies.
to households and businesses (with multiple
users), while the latter tend to make it available to The many other important developments that
individuals. have taken place in the global ICT sector since
WSIS form part of the context for forward-looking
The regional breakdown between these indicators measurement and monitoring through the
also shows a substantial digital divide, with Africa Agenda, as well as for implementation of WSIS
achieving lower ICT density levels than other outcomes and SDGs. The capabilities of networks
regions. This is illustrated by the data for mobile and devices have continued to grow extremely
phone and broadband subscriptions in Chart 1.3 rapidly, doubling about every two years. The
and for Internet users in Chart 1.4. quality of ICT networks and devices, particularly in
terms of bandwidth and speed of connectivity, has
Digital divides are found within as well as between therefore also grown very rapidly, with broadband
countries, and result from differences in the quality and even high-speed broadband networks
of available networks as well as basic connectivity. becoming the norm in developed countries.
In many developing countries, for example, Smartphones and tablets are displacing basic
there are substantial differences in telephone mobile phones and traditional PCs for many users,
and Internet penetration between urban and making connectivity both more mobile and more
rural areas, often exacerbated by the lack of capable, in a process that will be strengthened by
broadband capacity in the latter. A significant the spread of LTE networks. Social media services,
digital divide persists between men and women in in their infancy at the time of WSIS, have become
many countries, and there are widespread digital crucial drivers of demand for connectivity.
divides between those with more or less income,
associated with ICT affordability; with higher The cloud computing market has likewise grown
or lower educational attainment, particularly rapidly, driven by vast data-storage capacities and
associated with the capabilities required for increasingly by applications in the cloud, allied with
Internet use; and with other factors affecting the flexible user devices. Data-traffic volumes have
inclusion or marginalization of particular social been driven by higher bandwidth applications,
groups, for example persons with disabilities. The particularly video, while big-data storage and
Connect 2020 Agenda addresses these diverse analysis has become very big business, it being
aspects of digital inclusion and exclusion by estimated that the volume of data generated in
140
120
Per 100 inhabitants
100
80
60
40
20
0
Mobile-cellular subscriptions Mobile-broadband subscriptions
Africa Arab States Asia & Pacic CIS Europe The Americas
Note: *ITU estimates.
Source: ITU.
Chart 1.4: Percentage of individuals using the Internet by development status and region, 2015*
90
80
70
Per 100 inhabitants
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Developed Europe The CIS Arab States Asia & Developing Africa
Americas Pacic
Note: *ITU estimates.
Source: ITU.
digital format is doubling every two years.6 The latter and establish evidence-based approaches to
Internet of Things is rapidly becoming a reality and bridging the digital divide.
machine-to-machine (M2M) communications are
also expected to grow significantly.
1.2 The Connect 2020 Agenda
All of these developments illustrate the
continued dynamic growth of ICTs, which have The Connect 2020 Agenda sets out a series of
the potential to transform other social and goals and targets for improvements in global
economic sectors. However, it is clear that ICTs ICT access, use and sustainability, and in the
are likely to be adopted more rapidly and more contribution of innovation and partnerships. The
extensively in developed countries with higher Agenda was elaborated during the year preceding
levels of prosperity than in developing countries, the ITU Plenipotentiary Conference in 2014,
particularly LDCs. This makes it especially crucial through dialogue involving Member States and
to monitor the adoption and use of ICTs in the other stakeholders including equipment vendors,
Source: ITU.
Target 1 Making broadband By 2015, all countries should have a national broadband plan or strategy or include
policy universal broadband in their Universal Access / Service Definitions
Target 2 Making broadband By 2015, entry-level broadband services should be made affordable in developing
affordable countries through adequate regulation and market forces (amounting to less than 5% of
average monthly income)
Target 3 Connecting homes to By 2015, 40% of households in developing countries should have Internet access
broadband
Target 4 Getting people online By 2015, Internet user penetration should reach 60% worldwide, 50% in developing
countries and 15% in LDCs
become a much more crucial factor in assessing the importance of this to both short- and long-
the changing digital divide. term social and economic development as well
as its significance for the ICT sector itself. It builds
The Connect 2020 Agenda targets have also on experience in monitoring and measuring
drawn on work undertaken by the Broadband the connectivity and access targets which were
Commission for Digital Development, which brings adopted at WSIS in 2003 and the more ambitious
together expertise from ITU, the United Nations targets for broadband connectivity adopted by the
Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization Broadband Commission for Digital Development
(UNESCO), other UN and international in 2011, both of which are described in section 2
organizations, the private sector and civil society above.
to encourage broadband deployment in pursuit of
developmental goals.8 In 2012, the Commission The Connect 2020 Agenda includes three global
adopted four targets concerned with broadband targets for growth in access and usage, as set out
policy, affordability and uptake, with terminal dates in Table 1.4.
in 2015, which are set out in Table 1.3. In 2013, it
set a further target to achieve gender equality in
Table 1.4: Connect 2020 Agenda Goal 1 Targets
broadband access by 2020.9
Finally, the Connect 2020 targets were adopted in 1.1 Worldwide, 55% of households should have access to
the context of wider targets concerned with other the Internet by 2020
areas of social and economic development, in 1.2 Worldwide, 60% of individuals should be using the
Internet by 2020
particular the eight MDGs, concerned with poverty
1.3 Worldwide, telecommunication/ICT should be 40%
reduction and basic needs, which were agreed by more affordable by 2020
the United Nations in 2000, achievement of the
WSIS targets often being linked with achievement Source: ITU.
of the MDGs. As previously mentioned, in
September 2015 the United Nations agreed the
17 SDGs to succeed the MDGs, covering a much Target 1.1: Worldwide, 55 per cent of
wider range of issues. The relationship between households should have access to the Internet
the Connect 2020 Agenda, the WSIS+10 review, by 2020
the SDGs and the Post-2015 Development Agenda
of which they form part is discussed in the final This global target is associated with Targets 2.1.A
section of this chapter. and 2.1.B, which are comparable targets for the
proportion of households in developing countries
and LDCs that should have access to the Internet
1.3 Connect 2020 Agenda Goal 1 by 2020.
Growth
Currently available data illustrating the
development of this target over the past decade
The first goal in the Connect 2020 Agenda seeks
are set out in Chart 1.5, which shows a figure
to enable and foster access to and increase the
for household Internet access of 43.9 per cent
use of telecommunications and ICTs, recognizing
in 2014, rising to an estimated 46.4 per cent in
50
Per 100 households
40
30
20
10
2015*
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
projection
2020
2020 target
Note: * Estimate.
Source: ITU.
2015. The compound annual growth rate in this Internet by 2020, seven percentage points below
indicator has been 9.7 per cent over the period the Connect 2020 target. As noted above, the
2005-2015. ITU estimates that 56 per cent of increasing deployment of wireless-broadband
households worldwide will have Internet access by networks in rural areas of developing countries
2020, and that the Connect 2020 target will thus and the displacement of feature phones by
be met. The increasing deployment of wireless- smartphones are expected to accelerate the pace
broadband networks in rural areas of developing of growth in this indicator in developing countries
countries and the displacement of feature phones during this period.
by smartphones are expected to accelerate the
pace of growth in this indicator in developing
countries during this period and contribute to the Target 1.3: Worldwide, telecommunication/ICT
achievement of the target. However, this target should be 40 per cent more affordable by 2020
should also be considered in conjunction with
Target 2.1, which shows a less satisfactory rate of This global target is associated with Targets 2.3.A
progress in developing countries and LDCs. and 2.3.B, which are concerned with affordability
in developing countries and with the affordability
of broadband. ITU has selected the year 2012 as
Target 1.2: Worldwide, 60 per cent of the baseline year against which price changes for
individuals should be using the Internet by 2020 this indicator will be measured.
This global target is associated with Targets 2.2.A The diversity of ICT services, from voice telephony
and 2.2.B, which are comparable targets for to broadband Internet, means that affordability
the proportion of Internet users in developing cannot be evaluated by focusing on just one such
countries and LDCs that should have access to the service but must include a variety of services.
Internet by 2020. Since 2008, ITU has published the results for three
baskets of telecommunication services fixed
Data illustrating the development of this target telephone, mobile cellular and fixed broadband
over the past decade are presented in Chart 1.6, and presented the prices as a percentage of
which shows a figure for Internet usage of 40.6 average monthly GNI per capita (GNI p.c.), thereby
per cent in 2014, rising to an estimated 43.4 per indicating the affordability of each ICT service.
cent in 2015. This indicator recorded a compound Since 2012, ITU has also been gathering and
annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.6 per cent over publishing data for mobile-broadband prices,
the period 2005-2015. ITU estimates that 53 per including four sub-baskets concerned with
cent of individuals worldwide will be using the different mobile-broadband packages. ITU data on
40
30
20
10
2015*
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
projection
2020
2020 target
Note: * Estimate.
Source: ITU.
prices covers some 180 countries, and the latest in relation to monthly GNI p.c., in developed than
results are reported and analysed in depth in in developing countries, but have fallen most
Chapter 4 of this report. markedly in LDCs.
Data illustrating the evolution of the global level Table 1.5 shows the results of applying Target
for the fixed-telephone, mobile-cellular and 1.3 of the Connect 2020 Agenda to each of the
fixed-broadband sub-baskets over the period telecommunication services for which ITU collects
since collection of those data began are set out price data, as well as the progress achieved in
in Chart 1.7. This shows that there was a marked the period 2012-2014. For instance, the cost of a
drop in fixed-broadband prices over the period mobile-cellular service corresponded on average
2008-2012 (-36 per cent CAGR).10 Price reductions to 5.0 per cent of GNI p.c. in 2012, having fallen to
in fixed-broadband services saw a slowdown 4.4 per cent of GNI p.c. in 2014. Considering that
between 2012 and 2014 (-5 per cent CAGR for the by 2020 the cost of the service should, according
two years), despite the fact that average fixed- to the Connect 2020 target, correspond to 3.0 per
broadband prices are still relatively unaffordable in cent of GNI p.c., this means that 29 per cent of the
several developing countries. Fixed-telephone and price reduction required to meet the target has
mobile-cellular service prices also fell during the already been achieved in the period 2012-2014.
period 2008-2014, albeit at slower rates (-6 per The progress made towards achieving the target
cent CAGR and -11 per cent CAGR, respectively) is somewhat lower for the fixed services: 26 per
than fixed broadband given the initial lower levels cent for fixed broadband and 21 per cent for fixed
of fixed-telephone and mobile-cellular prices. telephony. These findings provide a clear indication
Further analysis of these data can be found in that significant progress has already been achieved
Chapter 4. in terms of improving the affordability of these
three services, but that sustained regulatory and
Data concerning mobile-broadband prices for 2013 policy attention will be required in the coming
and 2014 are presented in Chart 4.16 in Chapter4, years to keep prices on track to meet the target.
where they are analysed in depth. Price data show
that there was a decrease in all four of the sub- Concerning mobile broadband, 2013 is taken
baskets used to assess mobile-broadband prices as the baseline because in 2012 a number of
(computer-based 1GB and handset-based 500MB, countries did not yet have all the four mobile-
in each case for both prepaid and postpaid plans). broadband plans available. Despite it having taken
Prices in all four cases remain substantially lower, only one year to assess the progress made towards
35
91.8
49.9
33.7
30
23.4
25
As a % of GNI p.c.
20
15.6
14.0
12.7
12.5
15
11.0
9.4
8.7
8.6
10
7.3
7.3
7.0
6.3
5.9
5.6
5.3
5.0
4.6
4.4
4.4
4.4
4.1
3.9
3.6
3.5
5
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Fixed telephone Mobile cellular Fixed broadband IPB
Note: Simple averages. Based on 140 economies for which price data on the three services were available for 2008-2014.
Source: ITU.
Table 1.5: Affordability of ICT services: baseline, current status and Connect 2020 target for each
telecommunication service
Progress achieved (% of the
Value in 2012 Value in 2014 Target value for target reduction for the
Service
(% GNI p.c.) (% GNI p.c.) 2020 (% GNI p.c.) period 2012-2020 achieved
in the period 2012-2014)
Fixed-telephone 3.9 3.6 2.3 21
Mobile-cellular 5.0 4.4 3.0 29
Fixed-broadband 15.6 14.0 8.4 26
Mobile-broadband
Postpaid handset-based 6.5* 5.1 3.9 55
(500MB)
Prepaid handset-based 6.7* 4.8 4.0 72
(500MB)
Postpaid computer-based (1GB) 8.9* 7.2 5.3 48
Prepaid computer-based (1GB) 10.4* 7.1 6.2 79
Note: Simple averages. Fixed-telephone, mobile-cellular and fixed-broadband averages based on 140 economies for which price data on the three
services were available. Mobile-broadband average based on 119 economies for which 2013 and 2014 data on mobile-broadband prices were available
for the four types of data plan. * For mobile broadband, 2013 is taken as the baseline because, in 2012, mobile broadband services (or some of their
modalities, such as handset-based plans) were not yet available in several countries.
Source: ITU.
the target, the decrease in prices recorded is 1.4 Connect 2020 Agenda Goal 2
remarkable, reflecting both the dynamism of the Inclusiveness
mobile-broadband market and the relatively high
starting prices of the service in 2013. Considering The growth in ICT access and use, measured in
the significant progress achieved in a single year, Goal 1, is only one dimension of the development
the target set for 2020 is likely to be met in the of an information society as envisaged by the
case of mobile broadband. international community. Inclusiveness bridging
the digital divides between and within countries
and enabling broadband access for all is equally
important. Bridging the digital divide requires
focus to be given not just to access but also to
accessibility, affordability and use of ICTs in all
2.1.A In the developing world, 50 per cent of households should have access to the Internet by 2020
2.1.B In LDCs, 15 per cent of households should have access to the Internet by 2020
2.2.A In the developing world, 50 per cent of individuals should be using the Internet by 2020
2.2.B In LDCs, 20 per cent of individuals should be using the Internet by 2020
2.3.A The affordability gap between developed and developing countries should be reduced by 40 per cent by 2020
2.3.B Broadband services should cost no more than 5 per cent of average monthly income in developing countries by
2020
2.4 Worldwide, 90 per cent of the rural population should be covered by broadband services by 2020
2.5.A Gender equality among Internet users should be reached by 2020
2.5.B Enabling environments ensuring accessible telecommunication/ICT for persons with disabilities should be
established in all countries by 2020
Source: ITU.
Chart 1.8: Households with Internet access, by region and development status, 2015*
100
90
82.1 81.3
80
70
60.1 60.0
Per 100 households
60
50 46.4
40.3 39.0
40 34.1
30
20
10.7
10 6.7
LDCs
Arab States
The Americas
World
Africa
Developed
Developing
Europe
Note: * Estimates.
Source: ITU.
Chart 1.9: Households with access to the Internet, developing countries, 2005-2015*, against target and
2020 projection
60
50
50
45
Per 100 households
40
30
20
10
0
2015*
projection
2020 target
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2020
Note: * Estimate.
Source: ITU.
14
12 11
Per 100 households
10
2015*
projection
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2020
2020 target
Note: * Estimate.
Source: ITU
in this case was 33.9 per cent between 2005 and Target 2.2.A: In the developing world, 50 per
2015, and 25.6 per cent in the five years between cent of individuals should be using the Internet
2010 and 2015, much higher than for developing by 2020
countries in general. Despite the high growth rates, Target 2.2.B: In LDCs, 20 per cent of individuals
LDCs are starting from a much lower baseline and should be using the Internet by 2020
therefore the progress in absolute terms is smaller.
This is also reflected in the projections: ITU These targets establish separate goals for
estimates that 11 per cent of households in LDCs developing countries and for LDCs within the
will have Internet access by 2020, four percentage overall global target for individual Internet use
points below the target of 15 per cent set in the established by Chart 1.10.
Connect 2020 Agenda.
Worldwide data for Internet use in 2015 are
This is consistent with other evidence suggesting presented in Chart 1.6 above. As with household
that LDCs may be falling behind other countries access, there are very substantial differences
in ICT access and usage, and that additional between the results for different regions and
measures may be needed to stimulate faster development categories for this indicator. Chart
growth in Internet access where they are 1.11 shows that, as with household access, the
concerned. Mobile-broadband networks and level of Internet usage is much higher in developed
smartphones have become the norm in developed than in developing countries, and much higher in
countries and are increasingly available in middle- developing countries overall than in LDCs.
income developing countries, as is evidenced
by data in the IDI and reported on in Chapter2. Chart 1.12 illustrates the trend in Internet usage
It is possible that additional efforts from the in developing countries for the period 2005-2015.
public and private sectors, such as regulatory This indicator recorded a CAGR of 16.4 per cent
changes, investment and new public-private for developing countries over the period, the
partnerships, but also technological development, same as that for all countries, although from a
may accelerate the trend illustrated in Chart 1.10 lower baseline. ITU estimates that 46 per cent
during the period to 2020. of individuals in developing countries (including
LDCs) will be using the Internet by 2020, this
being four percentage points below the target set
in the Connect 2020 Agenda. As with household
access, however, it is possible that other factors,
such as regulatory changes, investment including
70 66.0
59.9
60
50 43.4
37.0 36.9 35.3
40
30 20.7
20 9.5
10
0
LDCs
Arab States
The Americas
World
Africa
Developed
Developing
Europe
Note: *Estimates.
Source: ITU (2015a).
Chart 1.12: Percentage of individuals using the Internet in developing countries, 2005-2015*, against
target and 2020 projection
50 50
46
45
40
Per 100 inhabitants
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
2015*
projection
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2020
2020 target
Note: * Estimate.
Source: ITU.
new public-private partnerships, and further Target 2.3.A: The affordability gap between
technological development, may have a positive developed and developing countries should be
impact that will help to achieve the target more reduced by 40 per cent by 2020
quickly.
Target 2.3.A is concerned with the relative
Chart 1.13 illustrates the comparable data trend affordability of services between developed and
for Internet use in LDCs. The CAGR in this case was developing countries, and is related to Target 1.3
28.4 per cent between 2005 and 2015, also on a which is concerned with affordability at the global
very steady trend. ITU estimates that 16 per cent level. Target 1.3 seeks to improve the affordability
of individuals in LDCs will be using the Internet by of ICTs globally by 40 per cent, and is assessed
2020, this being four percentage points below the above in relation to fixed telephony, mobile cellular
target set in the Connect 2020 Agenda. and fixed broadband, as well as mobile broadband.
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
2015*
projection
2020 target
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2020
Note: * Estimate.
Source: ITU.
1.3, the baseline date selected for this target is Target 2.3.B: Broadband services should cost
2012. no more than 5 per cent of average monthly
income in developing countries by 2020
Data illustrating the evolution of fixed-telephone,
mobile-cellular and fixed-broadband prices over The IPB includes data for fixed-broadband and
the period since 2008 are presented in Chart 1.14, mobile-broadband services, both of which can be
while Chart 1.15 presents data for the four mobile- assessed in measuring this target, while average
broadband packages for which data were collected monthly income refers to GNIp.c.
in 2013 and 2014. These show that the difference
in the affordability of fixed and mobile-cellular In recent years, in broadband as in telephony,
services between developed and developing the growth in mobile/wireless connections/
countries fell steadily and significantly during the subscriptions has greatly exceeded the growth
period 2008-2012, followed by a slowdown in the in fixed connections. This is particularly so in
period 2012-2014, and even an increase in the developing countries, and most particularly in
case of fixed broadband in 2014. On the other LDCs. As illustrated in Chart 1.16, the estimated
hand, the difference in the affordability of mobile fixed-broadband penetration in 2015 is 7.1 per 100
broadband between developed and developing persons in developing countries and just 0.5 per
countries narrowed from 2013 to 2014. 100 persons in LDCs, compared with 29.0 per cent
in developed countries. The estimated mobile-
Fixed broadband remained the service with the broadband penetration is 39.1 per cent and 12.1
largest affordability difference between developed per cent, respectively, compared with 86.7 per
and developing countries (prices 14 times less cent in developed countries. As noted earlier in
affordable in developing than in developed this chapter, however, the two indicators are not
countries), followed by postpaid computer-based directly comparable since they are principally
mobile broadband (ten times less affordable in associated, respectively, with household/
developing countries). Differences in affordability businesses and individual access.
were smaller for the other services, yet still
significant, with fixed-telephone and mobile- Target 2.3.B is derived from the second of the
cellular services around five times less affordable four targets agreed in 2012 by the Broadband
in developing countries, and prepaid mobile Commission for Digital Development, which
broadband eight times less affordable. sought to achieve affordability at the 5 per cent
level of monthly average income (as measured
by GNI p.c.) for entry-level broadband services
by 2015. By early 2015, a total of 111 economies
had achieved that target, out of 160 for which
15.3
71.9
16 80
13.1
As a % of GNI p.c.
As a % of GNI p.c.
11.8
14 70
10.0
12 60
48.4
9.6
10 50
8.1
33.3
8 40
22.1
19.8
6 30
17.9
4 20
2.0
1.7
1.5
1.5
1.4
1.3
1.3
2 10
2.3
1.9
1.6
1.6
1.5
1.4
1.4
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
11.6
7 12
6.0
5.9
As a % of GNI p.c.
As a % of GNI p.c.
9.6
5.5
6
5.2
10
8.4
4.7
4.7
7.4
8
6.5
6.0
4
5.7
6
3
4
2.4
2
2.2
1.2
1.1
1.8
1.8
1.1
1.1
1.0
1.0
1.0
1.6
1.5
1.4
1 2
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Developed Developing
Note: Simple averages. Based on 140 economies for which price data on the three services were available for 2008-2014.
Source: ITU.
30 30 30 30
As % of GNI p.c.
As % of GNI p.c.
As % of GNI p.c.
As % of GNI p.c.
25 25 25 25
20 20 20 20
15 15 15 13.98 15 12.17
8.8 9.11 9.48 9.80
10 10 10 10
6.9 6.49
5 5 5 1.87 5
0.9 0.8 1.08 0.79 1.45 1.02 0.90
0 0 0 0
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Postpaid handset-based Prepaid handset-based Prepaid Computer-based Postpaid Computer-based
(500MB) (500MB) (1GB) (1GB)
Developing Developed
Note: Simple averages. Based on 119 economies for which price data on the four services were available for 2008-2014.
Source: ITU.
data were available, including all of the developed Chart 1.17, however, a small number of countries
countries and 67 developing countries in the data had very much higher broadband prices, including
set (ITU, 2015a). Of these, 102 had achieved the 22 countries with broadband prices equivalent
target for fixed-broadband prices and 105 for to more than 20 per cent of monthly GNI p.c.
mobile-broadband prices. As can be seen from Altogether, 49 developing countries for which data
60
43
50
40
1
30
20
35 32
10
12 10 11 11
0 5
0-2 2-5 5-8 8-10 10-20 20-30 >30
2014 broadband prices as a % of GNI p.c.
Source: ITU.
were available need to achieve further reductions either a computer or a handheld device such as a
in broadband prices in order to achieve the target, phone or tablet. Chart 1.18 illustrates the average
together, it should be assumed, with a number of values for developed and developing countries for
other countries for which no data were available. each of these mobile-broadband packages in 2013
and 2014 for the 119 economies that offered all
The global average price of an entry-level fixed of these services in the market. It should be noted
broadband package is also 1.7 times higher than that these average values relate to the experience
that of a comparable mobile broadband package of different countries, and are not weighted
(PPP$ 52 compared with PPP$ 30) (ITU, 2015a). according to those countries populations.
As noted above, however, it is mobile-broadband As Chart 1.18 shows, LDCs in particular have a
prices that are currently more significant in considerable way to go in order to achieve the
developing countries, especially LDCs. The IPB target for these particular mobile-broadband
includes data concerning four separate packages packages. The affordability challenge is particularly
of mobile broadband services, each of which it acute in LDCs because their average GNI p.c. levels
measures against monthly GNI p.c. These are are so low, making it more difficult to secure a
concerned with prepaid and postpaid access using positive return on network investment. It will be
7.1
2014 9.5
Prepaid
21.5
(1GB)
10.4
2013 14.0 37.6
4.8
(500MB)
2014 6.5
Prepaid
15.2
2013 6.7
9.1 23.6
5.1
2014 6.9 16.3
(500MB)
Postpaid
2013 6.5
8.8 22.4
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
% GNI p.c.
World Developed Developing LDCs
Source: ITU.
important in this context for broadband providers as wireless networks can be, and have been,
to offer services and applications geared towards more widely deployed in ways that enable quicker
low-income groups, such as prepaid packages that returns on investment to be achieved from the
allow users to buy data in small volumes, for small larger numbers of users adopting mobile phones.
cash sums, as and when required. Applications
and services can also be adapted to use lower The Final WSIS Targets Review included ITU
data volumes for those who need them. Such estimates, illustrated in Chart 1.19, for growth in
broadband-sector innovations focusing on the the percentage of the rural population in different
needs of low-income consumers can, alongside world regions covered by a mobile-cellular
policy and regulatory initiatives by governments, signal between 2003 and 2012 (Partnership on
contribute significantly to improving affordability. Measuring ICT for Development, 2014a).
100 98
96
90 8787
Proportion of rural population covered
80 84
by a mobile-cellular signal
79
70
60 Europe
50 Americas
Asia
40 World
30 Oceania
Africa
20
10
0
2003 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 2012
Source: ITU.
Chart 1.20: Population coverage by 3G networks, urban and rural areas, 2015*
2015*
2015*
3G rural
population
coverage,
29%
3G population
coverage, World rural population 3.4 billion
69%
2015*
3G urban
population
coverage,
World population 7.4 billion
89%
Note: * Estimate.
Source: ITU.
In 2015, the GSM Association estimates that 73 for household broadband access should be
per cent of the worlds population is now covered disaggregated between urban and rural areas.
by 3G networks, as against 90 per cent covered
by 2G networks, and predicts that this figure will
rise to 80 per cent by 2020, with 60 per cent Target 2.5.A: Gender equality among Internet
then enjoying 4G coverage.11 These data and users should be reached by 2020
projections, which still fall short of Target 2.4, are
illustrated in Chart 1.21. Digital divides occur within countries, not just
between different geographical areas but also
In its proposed ICT indicators for the SDGs, ITU between different sections of society. One of
has suggested that future data relating to network the most prominent such divides, which has
coverage should be gathered for both 2G and been widely discussed and is increasingly being
3G networks, with scope for later generations researched, is the gender digital divide, i.e.
of mobile networks to be added, and that data
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Source: GSMA.
differences in levels of access to, and use of, ICTs by Research ICT Africa, conducted in twelve
between men and women. African countries in 2011, demonstrated a close
relationship between Internet access differences
ICT access is considered important for gender by gender and other variables, such as level of
equality because it can enable women to achieve income and level of education (Dean-Swarray et
greater independence and autonomy, providing al, 2013). The Connect 2020 Agenda target of
them with new economic and social opportunities, achieving gender equality among Internet users by
including employment and access to money, 2020 will therefore depend as much on efforts to
thereby increasing their level of empowerment. address these structural inequalities within society
The measurement of ICT and gender is a critical as on ICT-specific interventions.
factor in understanding developments in the
information society and in informing policy- Since its launch in 2004, the Partnership on
makers, analysts and other stakeholders involved Measuring ICT for Development has been
with issues of gender equality and ICT for formulating core indicators in the areas of
development. The importance of equal access infrastructure and access, household ICT access,
for women to economic resources, and the value individual use of ICT, the use of ICT in education,
of ICTs for womens empowerment, have been business and government, and the ICT sector.
recognized in proposals for the SDGs.12 While many of these indicators can be broken
down by gender, the fact that not all of them are
It is generally agreed that the gender digital collected internationally and/or nationally means
divide stems primarily from the structural that data availability is patchy at best, particularly
inequalities that exist between men and women where developing countries are concerned.
in many societies, although there may also be
some ICT-specific factors. The Partnership on The Partnership launched a Task Group on
Measuring ICT for Development, for example, Gender in 2013, co-led by ITU and the United
noted in 2014 that Socio-cultural factors that Nations Conference on Trade and Development
cause a higher concentration of women in the (UNCTAD), with the aim of improving the
uneducated, unemployed and poor segments of availability of internationally comparable indicators
society also marginalize them in terms of access on gender and ICT, especially in developing
and use of ICTs (Partnership on Measuring ICT countries. Its 2014 report on Measuring ICT and
for Development, 2014a). Household surveys Gender recognized the need for much more
Chart 1.22: Percentage of individuals using the Internet, by gender, development status and region, 2015*
100
90
80
70
60
50
%
40
30
20
10
0
LDCs
Developed
Developing
World
Africa
Arab States
CIS
Europe
The Americas
Table 1.7: Percentage of individuals using the Internet, by gender, development status and region, 2015*
Region Female population Male population Total population
Developed 80.1 84.6 82.3
Developing 32.3 38.2 35.3
World 40.8 45.9 43.4
LDC 8.1 11.3 9.7
Africa 18.4 23.1 20.8
Arab States 34.1 39.8 37
Asia & Pacific 33.3 40.4 36.9
CIS 57.8 62.2 59.9
Europe 74.3 81 77.6
The Americas 66.2 65.8 66
Note: *Estimates.
Source: ITU.
case (0 for no activities, 1 for partial activities and Zealand, Norway, Brazil, Estonia, Germany, India,
2 for comprehensive activities). The outcomes Japan, the Republic of Korea and the United
of aggregate scores for the GCI will provide the Kingdom. At the other end of the scale, nine of the
basis for assessing progress towards the target countries included in the Index had zero ratings,
of improving cybersecurity readiness by 40 per while a further 42 also had ratings below 0.1.
cent by 2020. Further development of the Index,
including more detailed data-gathering, will Many of the countries with the highest rankings
enhance these indicators for the future. are countries with equally high rankings in the ICT
IDI, which measures the national ICT environment
Chart 1.23 and Figure 1.2 present findings from (see Chapter 2). Nineteen of the 27 countries
the first (and only) edition of the GCI, which show with the eight highest values in the GCI are also
a high degree of variation between countries in the highest quartile of the IDI. However, some
and regions in the results. The average rating countries such as Malaysia, Oman and Brazil have
in the GCI in 2014 was 0.28. The 40 per cent achieved a higher GCI than IDI ranking.
improvement in the GCI required by the target
would therefore require this rating to be improved
by 2020 to 0.39. The highest level of ranking Target 3.2: Volume of redundant e-waste to be
between the different indicator groups was that reduced by 50 per cent by 2020
relating to legal measures, which averaged 0.50,
while the other groups all averaged between 0.24 The use of ICTs can significantly mitigate
and 0.28, indicating that particular attention is environmental challenges to sustainable
needed in these areas. development, by enabling the more efficient use
of energy and natural resources, and helping
Chart 1.23 gives a regional breakdown of the countries, cities and individuals to adapt to
average ratings for each region, while Figure environmental threats. However, the ICT sector
1.2 shows the distribution of ratings between also adds to global environmental challenges,
countries. Countries in North America showed in particular to the generation of waste and
the highest level of cybersecurity preparedness, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. These challenges
and there were relatively high levels in most are addressed in Targets 3.2 and 3.3.
other developed countries, but very low levels
in many developing countries, particularly those There is no agreed international system for
in Africa. The United States had the highest GCI measuring e-waste flows at country level, but
rating, at 0.824, followed by Canada with 0.794 it is generally agreed that e-waste constitutes
and Australia, Malaysia and Oman with 0.765. one of the fastest growing streams of physical
Nine other countries had ratings above 0.7 New waste in todays global environment. Guidelines
0.45
0.4
2014 Global Cybersecurity Index
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
World Europe Asia & Arab States CIS The Africa
Pacic Americas
Source: ITU and ABI Research (2015).
for classification and reporting on e-waste have for Development, 2015). The United Nations
recently been developed by several stakeholders University (UNU), for example, has calculated
including the Partnership on Measuring ICT for that about 42 million tonnes of e-waste were
Development (Partnership on Measuring ICT generated globally in 2014, of which six million
Figure 1.3: The relationship between WSIS action lines and SDGs
C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 e- e- e- e- e- e- e- e- C8 C9 C10 C11
gov bus lea hea emp env agr sci
SDG 1
SDG 2
SDG 3
SDG 4
SDG 5
SDG 6
SDG 7
SDG 8
SDG 9
SDG 10
SDG 11
SDG 12
SDG 13
SDG 14
SDG 15
SDG 16
SDG 17
Source: ITU/WSIS.
in which individuals access social and economic between the development of the information
opportunities and interact with one another. society and sustainable development as a
whole (for example, regarding infrastructure,
The relationship between ICTs and the SDGs has capacity-building, cybersecurity and the enabling
been an important focus for discussion during environment for investment and innovation
the WSIS+10 review. ITU and other agencies Action Lines C2, C4, C5 and C6 respectively),
concerned with the implementation of WSIS action and areas in which ICTs can make a powerful
lines have drawn up a matrix juxtaposing action specific contribution to specific development
lines against the SDGs, which is presented in Figure sectors (for example, e-government, e-business,
1.3 and Table 1.13. This matrix identifies both health, education and agriculture all of which
areas in which there are important relationships have subsidiary action lines in Action Line C7).
Source: ITU/WSIS.
The future direction of these action lines was part in the monitoring and measurement of
addressed in the multistakeholder WSIS+10 Vision these indicators across the range of SDGs. ITU,
for WSIS Beyond 2015, which was agreed at the including through its work within the Partnership
WSIS+10 High Level Event organized by ITU, in on Measuring ICT for Development, is assisting
conjunction with UNESCO, UNCTAD and UNDP, in this work by identifying areas in which ICT-specific
2014. indicators can contribute to the monitoring of
particular SDGs25. Suggestions for indicators
Work towards developing indicators for the SDGs concerned with targets that explicitly mention or
is taking place under the auspices of the United most directly concern ICTs were presented by ITU
Nations Statistical Commission, and is scheduled to the Inter-Agency and Expert Group Meeting on
for completion in the first half of 2016. As well SDG Indicators (IAEG-SDGs), held by the United
as facilitating implementation of the SDGs, ICTs Nations in June 2015, as set out in Table 1.14.26
are expected to play an increasingly important
Source: ITU.
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data sets
Measuring
development policy and practice. In recognitionis
the Information Society Report and and
drawcan
on be
theeffectively
work of the measured against
Partnership historic
on Measuring
addressed
of the role inof Chapter
big data 5asofanthis report. source
important trends
ICT for within those data
Development sets. Others,
to establish core particularly
indicators
of information for the post-2015 development those
which concerned
can be usedwith gender, cybersecurity
by national and
statistical offices,
agenda, in 2014 the United Nations Statistical environmental impacts,
notably in household requireand
surveys, new thedata sets,
work of the
Commission created the Global Working Group which are currently
Broadband Commission in the forprocess
Digital of development.
Development
Measuring
Measuring the Information
the Information Society Society 2015 3535
Report Report
which set initial targets for broadband to be LDC inclusion will not be met until well after the
achieved by 2015. 2020 target date. This risk that the digital divide
will widen between LDCs and other countries,
The majority of those Connect 2020 targets including other developing countries, is consistent
which are concerned with growth/access and with evidence from the ICT Development Index
inclusiveness make use of established ITU data sets (which includes some of the same metrics) in
and can be effectively measured against historic Chapter 2. Affordability will be a critical factor in
trends within those data sets. Others, particularly overcoming this divide, and detailed attention
those concerned with gender, cybersecurity and should be paid to the ICT Price Basket and the
environmental impacts, require new data sets, Agendas three affordability targets.
which are currently in the process of development.
Three of the targets those concerned with The lack of evidence concerning trends for other
disability, innovation and partnerships require targets, such as those concerned with gender,
qualitative assessments of policy environments, accessibility and the environment, makes it more
and indicators for these are also under difficult to assess how likely they are to be met
development. by 2020. There is growing awareness of the
gender digital divide, but its roots in structural
The data challenges associated with measuring inequalities, particularly concerned with income
the information society, including the Connect and educational attainment, mean that it is most
2020 targets, should not be underestimated. The likely to be addressed through measures that
greatest difficulty lies with those targets in Goals 3 address those wider societal problems. The targets
and 4 which require further conceptual definition concerned with e-waste and GHG emissions
and agreement on indicators on which reliable and require sustained attention by diverse stakeholders
internationally comparable data can be gathered in throughout ICT ecosystems. More data are needed
a wide range of countries. Even where appropriate in these areas in order to assess progress more
indicators have been agreed, the data sets fully.
available to national administrations and thereby
to ITU vary in a number of respects. Regular The Connect 2020 Agenda provides a sound basis,
household surveys are not yet undertaken in many too, for the development of ICT indicators that
countries, especially LDCs, and do not always are relevant to the SDGs, both for measuring ICT
follow the same guidelines for data gathering on sector infrastructure (SDG Target 9.c) and in other
ICTs. The rapid pace of change in technology and goals. Work is under way to develop appropriate
markets also affects the comparability of data, so indicators that build on those reviewed in this
that targets and indicators need to be kept under chapter. Work to date has demonstrated the
review and updated from time to time to meet importance of greater granularity in data collection
changing data availability and policy requirements. and analysis, for example in assessing different
More attention also needs to be addressed to mobile generations and broadband speeds, in
building the capacity of national statistical offices disaggregating user data according to gender and
and others concerned with data gathering and other socio-economic categories, in differentiating
analysis. between urban and rural areas, and in
differentiating between LDCs and other developing
Projections for the Connect 2020 targets using countries. The nature of the digital networks and
data which are currently available suggest that, devices which deliver ICTs means that the volumes
if current trends continue, global access targets of data which could potentially be used to analyse
and targets for the inclusiveness of developing and understand evolving ICT environments are
countries overall are likely to be met or close constantly growing. Opportunities to build more
to being met by the target date of 2020. It is sophisticated indicators and analytical models will
possible, too, that increased deployment of increase, and ITU will work with other stakeholders
broadband networks and more widespread to enhance the quality of available data sets and
availability of smartphones will accelerate these the sophistication of analysis throughout the
trends. However, current trends in LDCs are implementation period for the SDGs.
much less positive, suggesting that the targets for
The ICT Development Index (IDI) is a composite Recognizing that ICTs can, if applied and used
index that combines 11 indicators into one appropriately, be development enablers is critical
benchmark measure that can be used to monitor to countries that are moving towards information
and compare developments in information or knowledge-based societies, and is central to the
and communication technology (ICT) between IDIs conceptual framework. The ICT development
countries and over time. The IDI was developed process, and a countrys evolution towards
by ITU in 2008 in response to requests from ITU becoming an information society, can be depicted
Member States to develop an overall ICT index, using the three-stage model illustrated in Figure
was first presented in the 2009 edition of the 2.1:
Measuring the Information Society Report (ITU,
2009), and has been published annually since Stage 1: ICT readiness reflecting the level of
then.2 This chapter analyses IDI 2015, which is networked infrastructure and access to ICTs;
derived from data concerning the year 2014, and
compares it with IDI 2010, compiled from data Stage 2: ICT intensity reflecting the level of
concerning the year 2010 (see below). use of ICTs in the society; and
This opening section of the chapter briefly Stage 3: ICT impact reflecting the results/
describes the main objectives, conceptual outcomes of more efficient and effective ICT
framework and methodology of the IDI. use.
The main objectives of the IDI are to measure: Advancing through these stages depends on a
combination of three factors: the availability of ICT
the level and evolution over time of ICT infrastructure and access, a high level of ICT use,
developments within countries and the and the capability to use ICTs effectively, derived
experience of those countries relative to from relevant skills. These three dimensions ICT
others; access, ICT use and ICT skills therefore form the
framework for the IDI.
progress in ICT development in both developed
and developing countries; The first two stages correspond to two major
components of the IDI: ICT access and ICT use.
the digital divide, i.e. differences between
countries in terms of their levels of ICT Reaching the final stage, and maximizing the
development; and impact of ICTs, crucially depends on ICT skills.
ICT and other skills determine the effective
the development potential of ICTs and the use that is made of ICTs, and are critical to
extent to which countries can make use of leveraging their full potential for social and
them to enhance growth and development in economic development. Economic growth
the context of available capabilities and skills. and development will remain below potential
if economies are not capable of exploiting
The Index is designed to be global and reflect new technologies and reaping their benefits.
changes taking place in countries at different The IDI therefore also includes indicators
levels of ICT development. It therefore relies on a concerned with capabilities within countries
limited set of data which can be established with which affect peoples ability to use ICTs
reasonable confidence in countries at all levels of effectively.
development.
Source: ITU.
A single indicator cannot track progress in all three As these are proxy indicators, rather than
of these components of ICT development, and it indicators directly measuring ICT-related skills,
is therefore necessary to construct a composite the skills sub-index is given less weight in the
index designed to capture the evolution of the computation of the IDI than the other two
information society as it goes through its different sub-indices.3
stages of development, taking into consideration
technology convergence and the emergence of The choice of indicators included in these sub-
new technologies. indices reflects the corresponding stage of
evolution to the information society. The indicators
Based on this conceptual framework, the IDI is in each sub-index may therefore change over time
divided into the following three sub-indices, which to reflect technological developments related
are illustrated, together with their component to ICTs and improvements in the availability and
indicators, in Figure 2.2: quality of data. For example, what was considered
basic infrastructure in the past such as fixed
Access sub-index: This sub-index captures ICT telephone lines is fast becoming less essential
readiness, and includes five infrastructure because of the growth in mobile networks
and access indicators (fixed telephone and fixed-mobile substitution. Similarly, while
subscriptions, mobile-cellular telephone broadband has historically been considered an
subscriptions, international Internet advanced technology, and is therefore included
bandwidth per Internet user, households with as an indicator in the use sub-index, it is now
a computer, and households with Internet increasingly considered essential and may become
access). more appropriate to the access sub-index. The
significance of these factors for analysis of the
Use sub-index: This sub-index captures current Index is considered in the text below.
ICT intensity, and includes three intensity
and usage indicators (individuals using the
Internet, fixed broadband subscriptions, and Methodology
mobile-broadband subscriptions).
The IDI includes 11 indicators. A detailed definition
Skills sub-index: This sub-index seeks to of each indicator is provided in Annex 1.
capture capabilities or skills which are
important for ICTs. It includes three proxy
indicators (adult literacy, gross secondary
enrolment, and gross tertiary enrolment).
Note: *This corresponds to a log value of 5.98, which was used in the normalization step.
Source: ITU.
The indicators used to calculate the IDI were While the core methodology of the IDI has
selected on the basis of the following criteria: remained the same since it was first published,
minor adjustments are made year on year in
The relevance of a particular indicator in accordance with these criteria. This also reflects
contributing to the main objectives and the dynamic nature of the ICT sector and related
conceptual framework of the IDI. For example, data availability. The indicators included in the IDI
the selected indicators must be relevant to and its sub-indices are regularly reviewed by ITU,
both developed and developing countries, in consultation with experts. Indicator definitions
and should reflect, so far as possible, the and the IDI methodology are discussed in the ITU
frameworks three components as described Expert Group on Telecommunication/ICT Indicators
above. (EGTI) and ITU Expert Group on ICT Household
Indicators (EGH).4
Data availability and quality. Data are required
for a large number of countries, as the IDI is a One important adjustment which has been made
global index. There is a shortage of ICT-related to the IDI for the current edition is a revision to the
data, especially on usage, in the majority of annual numbering of the Index, in order to make
developing countries. In addition, as indicators this consistent with the annual numbering of the
which are directly related to ICT skills are Measuring the Information Society Reports. In the
not available for most countries, it has been past, the annual number for the Index differed
necessary to use proxy rather than direct from that of the report in which it was published.
indicators in the skills sub-index. Thus, for example, IDI 2013 was published in
Measuring the Information Society Report 2014
The results of various statistical analyses. (ITU, 2014b). This has caused some confusion, and
Principal components analysis (PCA) is used to from this year forward the two annual numbers
examine the underlying nature of the data and will coincide. The IDI published in this 2015 edition
explore whether their different dimensions are of Measuring the Information Society Report is
statistically well-balanced. therefore IDI 2015. It should be noted, however,
The results of the analysis suggest that the conceptualized three-level structure of the IDI is
statistically sound in terms of coherence and balance: the overall index as well as the three sub-
indices on ICT access, use and skills are driven by all the underlying components. The IDI has a
very high statistical reliability of 0.96 and captures the single latent phenomenon underlying the
three main dimensions of the IDI conceptual framework.
The analysis further shows that the IDI country rankings are robust with respect to methodological
changes in the data normalization method, weighting and the aggregation rule (a shift of less than
3 positions with respect to the simulated median in 96 per cent of the 167 countries).
The assessment concluded that the IDI was developed using international quality standards and
tested using state-of-the-art statistical analyses. The added value of the IDI lies in its ability to
summarize different aspects of ICT development in a more efficient and economical manner than
is the case with a selection of 11 indicators taken separately. The results showed that, of the 167
countries included this year, for 26 per cent up to 52 per cent of the countries, the IDI ranking
and any of the three sub-index rankings (access, use and skills) differ by ten positions or more.
This is a desired outcome because it evidences the added value of the IDI as a benchmarking
tool, inasmuch as it helps to highlight aspects of ICT development that do not emerge directly by
looking into ICT access, ICT use and ICT skills separately.
At the same time, these results also point to the value of taking due account of the individual
IDI sub-indices and indicators on their own merit. In so doing, country-specific strengths and
bottlenecks in ICT development can be identified and used as an input for evidence-based
policy-making. This is highlighted in the analysis of the IDI and each of its sub-indices included in
sections 2.2 and 2.3 of this report.
A more detailed description of the JRC assessment is available in Annex 2 to this report.
Revision of the definitions of the indicators for The remainder of the chapter is structured as
the percentage of individuals using the Internet follows:
(changing the reference period from the last
twelve months to the last three months) Section 2.2 presents the overall results of IDI
and for the percentage of households with a 2015 at the global level and compares these
computer (updating the definition of computer with results from IDI 2010.
to include tablet and other handheld
computers, while excluding smartphones). Section 2.3 analyses findings and trends
concerning the three sub-indices in greater
Differences among countries included in the detail.
IDI. The calculation of IDI rankings depends on
the values for the other countries included. In Section 2.4 considers the implications of these
each edition, some countries are excluded and findings for the digital divide, comparing
others added, depending on data availability. results and trends between developed and
developing countries and looking specifically at
outcomes for least developed countries (LDCs)
and least connected countries (LCCs).
Chapter 3 of the report analyses these findings Chart 2.1 illustrates the shifting balance in
and trends at a regional level, comparing overall IDI values between 2010 and 2015. It
results between ITUs six geographic regions. It shows that there has been an improvement in
also describes the experience of a number of outcome figures overall, with some evening of
individual countries which have high rankings or the distribution as countries in the middle of
which have improved their rankings markedly the distribution have improved their rankings.
during the five-year period. The experience of Middle-ranking countries have generally achieved
these more dynamic countries helps to illustrate improvements in their IDI values comparable
factors which facilitate the relationship between with those in higher-ranking countries between
ICT development and wider social and economic 2010 and 2015, including more substantial
development. improvements within the use sub-index.
2010 2015
IDI Values
8 to 9
7 to 8
6 to 7
5 to 6
4 to 5
3 to 4
2 to 3
1 to 2
Below 1
Source: ITU.
However the use sub-index also shows greater to the Republic of Korea. The difference in overall
improvement over the period between 2010 IDI values between these top-ranking countries is
and 2015 than the other sub-indices, and has relatively small, with less than 0.5 points between
therefore had the greatest impact on the overall the first and tenth positions in the rankings. This
improvement in IDI values during the period. The reflects the high level of ICT development that has
average value for the use sub-index has grown been achieved in most developed countries and
since 2010 from 2.21 to 3.64, an increase of 1.43 some high-income developing economies, where
points, while that for the access sub-index has there are continued high levels of investment in
grown from 4.83 to 5.53, an increase of 0.70 ICT infrastructure and innovation, as well as high
points. This difference in improvement rates levels of adoption of new services by consumers.
between use and access sub-indices is evident in More information about the experience of the two
all regions and development categories, suggesting highest-ranking countries, the Republic of Korea
that good levels of ICT readiness have been and Denmark, is included in Chapter 3.
achieved in many countries, and that most ICT
growth is coming from increased use of the ICT There has been relatively little change in the
infrastructure in place. range of economies with the highest rankings
since 2010. All ten of those with top ten IDI levels
The overall IDI results for 2010 and 2015, on a in IDI 2010 remained in the top 12 in IDI 2015,
country-by-country basis, are set out in Table 2.2, with Switzerland and Hong Kong (China) replacing
while results for the access, use and skills sub- Japan (ranked 11th in 2015) and Finland (12th in
indices are shown in Tables 2.3 to 2.5. The colours 2015) in the top ten. The average IDI value for the
associated with different countries in Table 2.2 top ten countries in the Index increased over the
represent the high, upper, medium and lower period by 0.62 points, from 8.06 to 8.68, with the
quartiles, which are discussed in Section 2.4 below. sharpest rise in rankings within the top ten having
been achieved by the United Kingdom, which rose
The country with the highest IDI ranking in 2015, from tenth position in 2010 to fourth in 2015.
as in 2010, is the Republic of Korea, with an overall The average value for the top ten countries in the
IDI value of 8.93 (up from 8.64 in 2010). Eight access sub-index rose by 0.24 points, from 8.94 to
of the top ten economies in the 2015 rankings 9.18, while that for the top ten countries in the use
are from Europe (Denmark, Iceland, the United sub-index rose by 1.82 points, from 6.48 to 8.31.
Kingdom, Sweden, Luxembourg, Switzerland, the
Netherlands and Norway), alongside one further
economy in Asia (Hong Kong (China)), in addition
Source: ITU.
Source: ITU.
Source: ITU.
Source: ITU.
mobile
2.3 substitution rather
The access, usethan
andany reduction
skills sub- in the
Maltause(30
sub-index
th in 2010
). Denmarks remain low
relatively in the top tenin
position
actual access. in
the2015,
accesswith Singapore
sub-index andto
is due Macao
a marked(China) beingin
decline
indices displaced by thesubscriptions
United Kingdom andcountry,
Switzerland.
fixed telephone in that and
Eight of thedifferences
Significant ten economies at identified
can be the top ofbetween
the overall At the bottom
would therefore of appear
the distribution,
to be the only resultLiberia
of fixed-
Index also fall into the top ten of the use
the overall Index and the three sub-indices sub-index
of (recovering from civilrather
mobile substitution war) andthanMyanmar
any reduction have in
with,
which it is composed. As noted in Section 2.1,Kong
in this case, the Netherlands and Hong the raised themselves
actual access. out of the bottom ten in the
(China) making
access and use way for Japan
sub-indices andmake
each Finland (11per
up 40
th
and access sub-index, although there has been a little
centinofthe
12 th
theoverall
overallIndex).
Index, with the remaining 20 more movement
Eight of at the bottom
the ten economies of top
at the the ofusethe sub-
overall
per cent derived from the skills sub-index. While index.
Index also fall into the top ten of the use sub-index
There is similarly
the access and use broad consistency
sub-indices in the
are composed with, in this case, the Netherlands and Hong Kong
access and use sub-indices at the bottom
of ICT-specific indicators, the skills sub-index of is There
(China)ismaking
much more way forvariation
Japan between
and Finland the(11 overall
th
and
the distribution. Eight of the ten lowest-ranking
composed of proxy indicators which are essentially Index
th and the skills sub-index, which, as already
12 in the overall Index).
countries
concernedinwiththe access sub-index
educational are theItlowest-
attainment. is mentioned, is derived from non-ICT-specific
ranking
therefore countries in therelated
less directly Index toas ICTs
a whole,
than the
the indicators. Only two
There is similarly broadof the economies
consistency in the top
in the
seven lowest-ranking being wholly consistent
other sub-indices. ten of the
access andoverall Index (theatRepublic
use sub-indices the bottom of Koreaof and
between the two. Among the lowest-ranking IDI Iceland) fall within
the distribution. the of
Eight topthe tenten
in lowest-ranking
this sub-index,
countries, only Burkina
Not surprisingly, Faso
given the and Mozambique
overall composition while several
countries of the
in the topsub-index
access ten in theare overall Index
the lowest-
record
of the Index, there is a strongrankings,
slightly higher access with Uganda
level of association have relatively
ranking countries lowinrankings
the Index in as
theaskills
whole, sub-index
the
and Cuba falling into the bottom ten.
between rankings in the overall Index and thoseNine of the for example, the United Kingdom
seven lowest-ranking being wholly consistent is in 44 th
position,
ten lowest-ranking countries in the overall
in the access and use sub-indices, while there is Index Switzerland
between theintwo. 48th Among
and Luxembourg in 80th. IDI
the lowest-ranking
also fallainto
clearly the bottom
disparity between twenty of the use
the overall sub-
Index and countries, only Burkina Faso and Mozambique
index, with Burkina Faso again having a
the skills sub-index, which is derived from proxy higher The following
record slightlyparagraphs
higher access lookrankings,
in morewith detailUganda
ranking than its peers.
indicators. at
andsome
Cubaoffalling
the changes
into thethat haveten.
bottom taken Nineplaceof the
within the access and
ten lowest-ranking use sub-indices,
countries in the overall and Index
in the
There
The tophastenbeen relatively
economies inlittle changeIDI
the overall in all
thefall
top individual
also fall intoindicators
the bottom of which
twenty they
of are
the composed.
use sub-
performers in the access and use
within the top twenty in the access and use sub-indices index, with Burkina Faso again having a higher
over the five-year
sub-indices. Eight period since
of the ten 2010. Nine
economies at of
thethe ranking than its peers.
ten
top economies
of the overall at the
Indextopareofamong
the access sub-index
the top ten in The access sub-index
in
the access sub-index. Denmark and Norwaywith
2010 are still within the top ten in 2015, are There has been relatively little change in the top
Denmark having fallen
the two countries which out
fallofout
thisofgroup (forten
the top Changes
performers in the access
in the accesssub-index
and usebetween
sub-indices 2010
reasons cited above)
for that index, while theto make
top tenway forfor Malta.also
access Eight and
over2015 have been
the five-year less dynamic
period since 2010. than those
Nine in
of the
of the economies which were in the
include Germany (14 in the overall Index) and
th top ten of the use sub-index. Countries at the
ten economies at the top of the access sub-index top of the
in 2010 are still within the top ten in 2015, with
12 CHAPTER 2 The ICT Development Index (IDI) Global Analysis Measuring the Information Society Report 51
distribution already had very high access values These findings suggest that middle-ranking
in 2010 and
Denmark thusfallen
having had relatively
out of this little scope
group (forfor countries
the may, in terms
use sub-index. of subscriptions,
Countries at the top ofbe theclosing
further improvement
reasons cited above) to in make
thoseway values. The top-
for Malta. Eight the overall digital
distribution already divide with high
had very countries
accesstowards
values
ranking country in the sub-index
of the economies which were in the top ten of in both years, the2010
in top ofandthe
thusdistribution,
had relatively but that
little they
scopemay for at
Luxembourg,
the use sub-index increased
in 2010 its remain
sub-index value
in the topfrom ten the same time be drawing away
further improvement in those values. The top- from countries,
9.40 to 9.49, while the second-ranking
in 2015, with Singapore and Macao (China) being country in particularly
ranking LCCs,intowards
country the bottom
the sub-index in both of years,
the
both years,
displaced byIceland,
the United increased
Kingdom its value from 9.32
and Switzerland. distribution which
Luxembourg, are persistently
increased its sub-index challenged
value from
to the
At 9.37.bottom
However, of thecountries at theonly
distribution, bottom of the
Liberia whentoit9.49,
9.40 comes to improving
while access levels.
the second-ranking It would
country in
distribution from
(recovering reportedcivil only
war) limited
and Myanmarimprovementshave be easier
both years, toIceland,
grasp the implications
increased of this
its value fromif a9.32
in terms
raised of access,out
themselves withofone thecountry,
bottom ten Madagascar,
in the more
to 9.37.detailed
However, understanding
countries atwere available
the bottom ofofthethe
access sub-index, although there has been than
managing to increase its value by no more a little data allowances and access speeds
distribution reported only limited improvements available to
0.03 points
more movement (fromat 1.64thetobottom
1.67). of the use sub- consumers
in in different
terms of access, withcountries.
one country, Madagascar,
index. managing to increase its value by no more than
The average improvement in sub-index scores over Manypoints
0.03 developed
(fromeconomies
1.64 to 1.67). and some developing
the period
There is much wasmore 0.70 variation
points, with most progress
between the overall countries already had very high rates of mobile-
being and
Index made thebyskills
countries
sub-index,in thewhich,
middleasofalreadythe cellular
The access
average in 2010, and
improvement in many
sub-index morescores
developing
over
mentioned, is derived from non-ICT-specific terms
distribution. The most dynamic countries in countries
the periodhave attained
was 0.70 points,such levels
with most byprogress
2015.
of access are
indicators. Only shown
two of in the
Table 2.7.
economies in the top Growth
being in this
made by indicator
countries worldwide
in the middle between
of the
ten of the overall Index (the Republic of Korea and 2010 and 2015 saw the average
distribution. The most dynamic countries value forinmobile-
terms of
Ghana saw
Iceland) fall by far the
within thehighest
top tenimprovement
in this sub-index, in this cellularare
access penetration
shown in Tablewithin2.7. the IDI grow from 94
sub-index,
while several raising
of theitstopscore
tenby in 2.37 points,Index
the overall from to 112 subscriptions per 100 inhabitants. Very
2.15 to
have 4.51 between
relatively 2010 and
low rankings in the2015,
skillsand
sub- jumping rapid growth
Ghana saw byinfar mobile-cellular penetration in this
the highest improvement a
36 places
index fortoexample,
rank 104the th
. Five
Unitedother countries
Kingdom is in 44th few countries
sub-index, led to
raising its very
scorelarge
by 2.37movements
points, from in this
Oman, Costa
position, Rica, Georgia,
Switzerland in 48th Lebanon and Belarus
and Luxembourg in indicator,
2.15 to 4.51with a number
between 2010 of and
countries,
2015, and including
jumping
increased
80 .th their scores by more than 1.50 points. Cambodia, Mali, Costa th Rica, Gabon, Suriname
36 places to rank 104 . Five other countries
Double-digit improvements in the rankings were and South
Oman, Africa,
Costa Rica,having
Georgia, substantially
Lebanon and improved
Belarus
alsofollowing
The made byparagraphs
five countries lookininthe
more African
detail region
at some their indicator
increased value
their compared
scores by morewith thanothers in the
1.50 points.
(Cabo
of Verde, Lesotho,
the changes that haveMozambique,
taken place within Cameroonthe access Index. Meanwhile,
Double-digit a numberinofthe
improvements other countries
rankings were
and use
and Mali), three countries
sub-indices, and in the in the Arab States
individual indicators of in particular,
also made by five some in the Caribbean
countries in the African fellregion
regionthey
which (SaudiareArabia,
composed. the United Arab Emirates and substantially
(Cabo Verde, in relationMozambique,
Lesotho, to other countries Cameroonwhere
Qatar), three in the Asia-Pacific region (Indonesia, this indicator
and Mali), three is concerned,
countries inaffecting
the Arabtheir States position
The
Nepal access sub-index
and China) and one in Europe (Monaco). in the IDI
region as aArabia,
(Saudi whole. the United Arab Emirates and
The specific factors behind these improvements in Qatar), three in the Asia-Pacific region (Indonesia,
some of those
Changes in the countries are discussed
access sub-index between Chapter
2010 3. Nepal and China) and one in Europe (Monaco).
and 2015 have been less dynamic than those in The specific factors behind these improvements in
Table 2.7: Most dynamic countries access sub-index, 2010-2015
Table 2.7 Most dynamic countries access sub-index, 2010-2015
Change in access ranking Change in access value
Access Access rank Access Access value
rank Country change rank Country change
2015 (2010-15) 2015 (2010-15)
104 Ghana 36 104 Ghana 2.37
47 Oman 21 47 Oman 1.85
133 Lesotho 17 70 Costa Rica 1.75
97 Cape Verde 17 73 Georgia 1.71
38 Belarus 16 66 Lebanon 1.54
41 Saudi Arabia 15 38 Belarus 1.52
70 Costa Rica 13 97 Cape Verde 1.41
29 United Arab Emirates 13 61 Moldova 1.36
102 Indonesia 13 80 Iran (I.R.) 1.35
19 Monaco 12 76 Armenia 1.35
145 Mozambique 12 41 Saudi Arabia 1.33
Source: ITU.
Source: ITU
broadband indicator, which was even more volatile to-computer ratio; and (ii) gross enrolment ratio in
between 2010 and 2015 than the indicator for programmes with computer-assisted instruction.
mobile-cellular subscriptions in the access sub- The EGTI discussions are continuing during 2015.6
index. Overall, mobile-broadband subscriptions
increased from 11.5 per 100 inhabitants in 2010 to In practice, the average change in this sub-index
37.2 in 2014, but there were very big differences in the period between 2010 and 2015 was just
between the performances of individual countries, 0.19 points, reflecting the slower pace of change
reflecting the very low numbers of mobile- in the education as compared to the ICT sector.
broadband subscriptions in many countries in The position of most countries relative to others
2010, when numerous countries had very little for each of the three indicators in the sub-index
mobile-broadband availability. The performance changed by relatively small margins, although
of many countries rose or fell markedly in relation a few countries recorded large changes, which
to other countries for this indicator. The indicator may reflect changes in definition or the irregular
for fixed-broadband subscriptions was much updating of figures. Definitional changes are likely
less volatile between 2010 and 2015, reflecting to account, for example, for the fall of 1.48 points
the relatively small numbers of fixed-broadband recorded for Cuba, which had a significant impact
subscriptions in the majority of countries. on its overall standing in the IDI.
Chapter2 2
Particular attention should be paid in this context Source: ITU
(UNCTAD, 2015).7 values since 2010, the gap between them is
to two overlapping groups of countries, whose
persistent.
As shown inThe nominal
Chart 2.3, thedisparity between
divergence betweenaverage
experience is insufficiently represented by the
As a composite index, the IDI provides a useful developed-
LDCs and other and countries
developing-country values which
is most substantial in
distinction between developed and developing
tool for comparing differences in ICT development was evident in 2010 is marginally higher
the use sub-index. LDCs underperform developing in 2015
countries above. These are the LDCs and the LCCs.
between countries and regions which include both (3.29 points
countries as against
in general 3.24),
in the although
access developing
sub-index
basic and more advanced access and use. Previous countries have closed
(with an average growth theofproportional gap
0.72 points between
Measuring the Information
Least Developed Society
Countries 9 Reports have between
2010 andthemselves
2015 as against and developed
0.77 points). countries
In the
compared these changes on a year-by-year basis. (to
use44% from 50%).
sub-index, The data
however, show that
the average LDCthe rate
rating
The IDI performance of LDCs has been generally
By comparing data from the 2010 and 2015 of
hasgrowth
increasedin both the 0.51
by only access and use
points sub-indices
as against
poorer over the five years under review than
Indices, this years report can examine longer-term has
1.31been
pointsfaster in developing
in developing than in
countries asdeveloped
a whole,
that of higher- and middle-income developing
trends concerning the digital divide. countries, reflecting their lower starting
and 1.43 points in the global index. This reflects point.
countries. The bottom 20 countries in the IDI 2015
The
highergapperformance
between thelevels averages for developed
in middle-ranking
rankings are all LDCs, while the highest ranking
It is worth noting a number of points which arise and developing
developing countries
countries thanininthe access
LDCs, index
as well as has
LDC is Bhutan, in 119th place out of 167 countries.
from the United Nations classification of countries fallen
higherfrom 3.42 points
performance to 3.15.
levels among However, the
the high-income
A comparison of LDCs with developing countries
into the developed and developing categories8. corresponding
countries in thegap in the use sub-index
developing-country has grown
grouping. It
in general and with the total worldwide dataset,
The developing-country group, as defined in UN from
implies3.26
thattoLDCs
3.71.are failing to keep pace with
summarized in Table 2.10 and Chart 2.3, confirms
data sets, includes a number of economies with other countries in the transition from ICT access
that LDCs are falling behind in their overall IDI
high GNI per capita (GNI p.c.), including Singapore, Particular
through usage attention should which
to intensity, be paidlies
in at
thisthecontext
heart
rankings.
Hong Kong (China) and oil-exporting countries to twoconceptual
of the overlappingframework
groups of countries,
for the IDI whose
which is
in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region. experience
illustrated inisFigure
insufficiently
2.1. represented by the
The average growth in IDI values worldwide
Some of these notably the Republic of Korea, distinction between developed and developing
between 2010 and 2015 was 0.89 points, with the
Hong Kong (China) and Singapore have become countries above. These are the LDCs and the LCCs.
corresponding figure for the developing countries The relationship between the IDI and GNI p.c.
ICT champions with very high rankings in the IDI.
as a group being almost identical at 0.88 points.
Five countries defined by the UN as developing As noted above, one shortcoming of grouping
The average growth in LDCs, however, was only
countries are also member countries of OECD
0.56 points. Although this represents a higher
Least Developed
countries Countries
by development status
9 is that the
(Chile, Israel, the Republic of Korea, Mexico and developing countries category includes countries
percentage growth, as LDCs began from a much
Turkey). The developed-country grouping, by at very
The IDI different
performancelevelsofofLDCs
bothhas economic and ICT
been generally
lower starting point in 2010 (1.56 as against 3.24
contrast, includes relatively few countries with development.
poorer over theIt five
is useful,
yearstherefore,
under review alsothan
to look at
for developing countries in general), it implies
GNI p.c. levels which are significantly lower than the relationship
that of higher- andbetween IDI performance
middle-income and GNI
developing
that the gap in the level of ICT development
average. As a result, outliers within the developing- p.c.
countries. The bottom 20 countries in the IDI 2015
between the majority of developing countries
country grouping tend to raise its average IDI level rankings are all LDCs, while the highest ranking
and LDCs is growing. This is particularly important
more substantially than outliers in the developed- Chartis2.4,
LDC which
Bhutan, in plots
119thIDI 2015
place outoutcomes against
of 167 countries.
in view of the positive contribution that ICTs are
country category lower the average for that GNI
A p.c. data for
comparison of 2013, shows
LDCs with that therecountries
developing is a strong
seen as making to general social and economic
grouping. The range of values among developing and
in significant
general correlation
and with the totalbetween
worldwidethe two.
dataset,
development, since from that standpoint a
countries is also, in consequence, much greater summarized in Table 2.10 and Chart 2.3, confirms
widening digital divide will also tend to widen
than the corresponding range among developed This suggests
that LDCs are that
fallingthebehind
level ofin GNI
theirp.c. (andIDI
overall of
other development divides.$
countries. disposable income within societies) influences
rankings.
both investment in infrastructure and the adoption
Chart
IDI 2.3 -by
values IDIlevel
ratings for LDCs compared
of development with
are illustrated of ICT
The services,
average and that
growth in IDIinitiatives to stimulate ICT
values worldwide
global ratings and with all developing countries
in Table 2.9 and Chart 2.2. These show that, development may need to address
between 2010 and 2015 was 0.89 points, the implications
with the
while both developed- and developing-country of this if they are
corresponding to counteract
figure the growing
for the developing digital
countries
divide at the bottom of the IDI rankings. Outliers,
Table
Table 2.9:
2.9 IDI
IDI ratings
ratings by
by development
development status,
status, 2010
2010 and 2015
and 2015
IDI 2015 IDI 2010 Change in
Average Average average value
Min. Max. Range StDev CV Min. Max. Range StDev CV 2015-2010
value* value*
World 5.03 1.17 8.93 7.76 2.21 44.01 4.14 0.88 8.64 7.76 2.08 50.32 0.89
Developed 7.41 4.73 8.88 4.15 1.03 13.95 6.48 3.65 8.43 4.78 1.17 18.10 0.92
Developing 4.12 1.17 8.93 7.76 1.87 45.27 3.24 0.88 8.64 7.76 1.64 50.43 0.88
Note: *Simple averages. Stdev= Standard deviation, CV= Coefficient of variation
Source: ITU
Note: *Simple averages. StDev= Standard deviation, CV= Coefficient of variation.
Source: ITU.
Measuring
CHAPTER 2 The ICT Development theInformation
Index (IDI) Society Report
Global Analysis 17 55
Chart 2.2: IDI ratings by development status, Chart 2.3: IDI ratings for LDCs compared
2010 and 2015 with global ratings and with all developing
countries
IDI
9 IDI
8 9
7 8
6 7
5 % change: 6
IDI
+14.2%
IDI
4 5
3 4 % change:
% change:
2 +21.6% 3 +35.9%
% change:
1 +27.1% 2 % change:
+21.6% % change:
0 1 +27.1%
World Developed Developing 0
World Developing LDC
Access sub-index
9 Access sub-index
8 9
7 8
IDI access sub-index
6
IDI access sub-index
7
5 6
4 % change: 5
+6.9% % change:
3 % change: 4
% change: +37.3%
2 +14.5% 3
+19.9% % change:
1 2 +14.5% % change:
+19.9%
0 1
World Developed Developing 0
World Developing LDCs
Use sub-index
9 Use sub-index
8 9
7 8
IDI use sub-index
6 7
IDI use sub-index
5 6
4 % change: 5
+100% % change:
3 4
% change: +100%
2 3
% change: +38.5% % change:
1 +65.0% 2 +255%
0 1 % change:
+65.0%
World Developed Developing 0
World Developing LDCs
2010 2015
Source: ITU.
2010 2015
Source: ITU.
as a group being almost identical at 0.88 points.
The average growth in LDCs, however, was only in view of the positive contribution that ICTs are
0.56 points. Although this represents a higher seen as making to general social and economic
percentage growth, as LDCs began from a much development, since from that standpoint a
lower starting point in 2010 (1.56 as against 3.24 widening digital divide will also tend to widen
for developing countries in general), it implies other development divides.
that the gap in the level of ICT development
between the majority of developing countries As shown in Chart 2.3, the divergence between
and LDCs is growing. This is particularly important LDCs and other countries is most substantial in
Source: ITU.
the use sub-index. LDCs underperform developing The relationship between the IDI and GNI p.c.
countries in general in the access sub-index
(with an average growth of 0.72 points between As noted above, one shortcoming of grouping
2010 and 2015 as against 0.77 points). In the countries by development status is that the
use sub-index, however, the average LDC rating developing countries category includes countries
has increased by only 0.51 points as against at very different levels of both economic and ICT
1.31 points in developing countries as a whole, development. It is useful, therefore, also to look at
and 1.43 points for the world. This reflects the relationship between IDI performance and GNI
higher performance levels in middle-ranking p.c.
developing countries than in LDCs, as well as
higher performance levels among the high-income Chart 2.4, which plots IDI 2015 outcomes against
countries in the developing-country grouping. It GNI p.c. data for 2013, shows that there is a strong
implies that LDCs are failing to keep pace with and significant correlation between the two.
other countries in the transition from ICT access
through usage to intensity, which lies at the heart This suggests that the level of GNI p.c. (and of
of the conceptual framework for the IDI which is disposable income within societies) influences
illustrated in Figure 2.1. both investment in infrastructure and the
adoption of ICT services, and that initiatives to
stimulate ICT development may need to address
the implications of this if they are to counteract
3 Gabon
2 Equatorial Guinea
1
0
0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000
GNI p.c.
Source: ITU.
IDI Groups
Low
Medium
Upper
High
Data not available Scale: 1:1,000,000
UNCS Disclaimer: The designations employed and the presentation of material on this map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on
the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the
delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. Dotted line represents approximately the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir agreed upon by India and
Pakistan. The nal status of Jammu and Kashmir has not yet been agreed upon by the parties. Final boundary between the Republic of Sudan and the
Republic of South Sudan has not yet been determined. Final status of the Abyei area is not yet determined. A dispute exists between the Governments
of Argentina and the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland concerning sovereignty over the Falkland Islands (Malvinas).
The base map for this infographic is based on the UNmap database of the United Nations Cartographic Section. UNmap is being updated on a
continuous basis.
Source: ITU.
5
% change: implementation of the Post-2015 Development
4
3
+35.7% Agenda. The ability of ICTs to fulfil their catalytic
% change:
2 +12.4% % change: potential for development depends not only
+25.4% % change:
1 +30.4% on connectivity and access, but also on usage,
0 types of usage and the ability of individuals and
High Upper Medium Low communities to exercise that usage to the full. The
IDI provides a valuable foundation for comparing
ICT development as a whole, as well as between
Access sub-index
9
countries, regions and developmental groupings,
8
as these change over time.
7
The findings reported in this chapter show
IDI access sub-index
6
5 that there has been continued growth in ICT
4
% change: readiness around the globe. Every economy in
+35.8%
3 % change: the Index achieved a higher overall IDI rating in
+5.0% % change: IDI 2015 than it had in 2010. The average global
2 +14.7% % change:
1 +24.0% performance increased by a significant margin.
0 There was significant improvement in most
High Upper Medium Low countries in both the access and use sub-indices,
although greater improvement in most countries
was made in usage indicators.
Use sub-index
More specifically, in the access sub-index, there
9
was a continued trend towards mass markets,
8
7
and so towards the maximum indicator value, in
IDI use sub-index
6
mobile-cellular subscriptions. At the same time,
5 it should be noted that the number of unique
4
% change: subscribers worldwide has been assessed by
+156.9%
3 % change: the GSM Association to be only around half
% change: +219.9% the number of subscriptions (GSMA, 2015a),11
2 +33.2% % change: so there is still significant improvement to be
1 +86.8%
0 made. However, the indicator for fixed-telephone
High Upper Medium Low subscriptions was stagnant in most countries,
reflecting the slight fall in global fixed-phone
2010 2015 connections associated with fixed-mobile
substitution.
Source: ITU.
3.1 Introduction the 28 ITU Member States for which data were
not available, seven are from sub-Saharan Africa,
Chapter 2 described the ICT Development Index two from the Americas, five from the Arab States
and compared findings from the 2015 and 2010 region, eight from Asia (including seven from the
editions of the IDI at a global level. This chapter UN Oceania region), three from the CIS region and
extends that analysis in two ways. three from Europe.
Section 3.2 assesses IDI findings at a regional Table 3.1 sets out the results of IDI 2010 and
level. 2015 for each of the six ITU regions, while Chart
3.1 shows the distribution of the regional values
Section 3.3 explores findings for a number of for average, minimum and maximum IDI levels,
individual countries, including those at the top compared with the global average.
of the IDI distribution and some from among
those that have improved their position in the These data show that the European region has
overall IDI rankings most dynamically since the highest average IDI value, at 7.35 points, with
2010. only one country in the region (Albania) falling
below the global average of 5.03 points. The
average regional values for the CIS region, the
3.2 Regional IDI analysis Americas and the Arab States all now exceed the
global average of 5.03. Africa has by far the lowest
ITU Member States are divided into six regions average IDI rating, at 2.53, less than half of that in
Africa, the Americas, the Arab States, Asia and the every other region apart from Asia and the Pacific.
Pacific, the CIS region1 and Europe. These regions
differ in a number of respects from those in other There is considerably more variation in some
UN data series, including those published in the regions than in others. The CIS region shows the
Final WSIS Targets Review, most notably where the least range in IDI values, reflecting its relatively
Europe and Africa regions are concerned, and this small number of countries and their relative
should be borne in mind when undertaking any homogeneity in terms of both ICT and more
comparative analysis with other data sets. general economic development. The Europe
region also has a relatively narrow range between
The IDI 2015 data published in this volume are its maximum and minimum IDI values, together
derived from the 167 economies for which both with low standard deviation (StDev) and coefficient
2010 and 2015 data are available (166 economies of variation (CV), reflecting relative ICT sector
for IDI 2010, with the addition of South Sudan, and general economic homogeneity. The IDI
which was part of Sudan in 2010, for 2015). Of distribution within Africa is more variable, around
8
7.35
7
6 5.81
5.10 5.09
IDI 2015
5
4.70
4
3
Regional average 2.53
2
World average: 5.03
1 Range
0
Europe CIS Arab States The Americas Asia & Pacic Africa
Source: ITU.
much lower IDI values consistent with its lower country (Albania) increased by more than that of
average level of economic development. The range its highest-ranking country (Denmark), which was
of IDI values is greater in the Americas and the already quite close to the maximum in 2010. The
Arab States, both of which are characterized by a range of IDI values increased most dramatically in
wider range of GNI p.c. levels, and greatest in the Africa, where the lowest-ranking country (Chad)
Asia and Pacific region, which includes a number of improved its value much less than the highest-
top performers in the Index, such as the Republic ranking country (Mauritius).
of Korea, Hong Kong (China) and Japan, as well as a
number of least connected countries (LCCs), such Comparisons between minimum and maximum
as Afghanistan, Myanmar and Bangladesh. values, however, are easily influenced by outliers
and therefore less valuable than those between
The rate of growth in average IDI values by region standard deviation (StDev) and coefficient of
between 2010 and 2015 was highly influenced by variation (CV). CV values fell in all regions other
the benchmark level set in 2010, and a comparison than the Arab States between 2010 and 2015,
between data from these two years should while those for StDev rose in all regions other than
therefore draw on both absolute and relative Europe (where it fell) and the Asia-Pacific region
performance. Thus, Africa has experienced a (where it effectively remained unchanged). The
growth rate of 35 per cent while raising its average most dramatic changes in these indicators were in
value by 0.65 points (from 1.87 to 2.53), while the Arab States, which saw significant increases in
Europes growth rate of 13.4 per cent is the result both StDev and CV, reflecting the substantial rises
of a rise of 0.87 points in its average value (from in IDI ratings and rankings that were achieved by
6.48 to 7.35). Africa aside, the regions that have a group of high-income oil-exporting countries, of
shown the highest rates of growth, both absolute which three (Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates
and relative, between 2010 and 2015 are the and Saudi Arabia) rose from the upper to the high
CIS region and the Arab States. These findings quartile of the overall distribution.
suggest that, in spite of its relatively high rate
of growth in IDI values over the period, Africa is Table 3.2 illustrates the five highest- and lowest-
not experiencing sufficient growth to reduce its ranking countries in each region in terms of IDI, in
relative disadvantage and so reduce the digital order to provide further insights into differences in
divide between it and other regions. ICT development.
The difference between highest and lowest IDI The top four European countries are from
values fell sharply in Europe between 2010 and Northern Europe, and European countries,
2015, as the value of the regions lowest-ranking including all five Nordic countries, fill nine of
the top twelve positions in the global rankings. an IDI level above the world average and is in the
The nine countries towards the bottom of high and upper quartile of the overall distribution.
the European distribution are all from south-
eastern Europe, and the lowest five are outside The top five countries in the Asia and Pacific region
the common telecommunications regulatory (three high-income economies in East Asia and
framework of the European Union. However, all two in Oceania) are all within the IDI top twenty
but one of these lower performing countries has economies worldwide. The five lowest-ranking
The top five countries among the Arab States In one region Europe the distribution of
are all oil and gas exporting countries belonging IDI values reflects high levels of performance
to the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC). Three of across the board, with relatively small
these Bahrain, the United Arab Emirates and increases towards maximum values for access
Saudi Arabia feature among the most dynamic and usage, and with the most significant
countries in the IDI between 2010 and 2015. All increase in values being derived from the
but one of the countries from this region with IDIs indicator for mobile-broadband subscriptions.
towards the bottom of the distribution are from
north Africa (and would be included in the Africa Four regions the Americas, the Arab
region in other UN data sets). The fifth country States, the Asia and Pacific region and the
among those with low IDIs, Syria, which has been CIS region have broadly similar average
experiencing civil conflict, has fallen significantly in distributions, beginning from significantly
the rankings since 2010. lower levels for access and use indicators
than those in Europe, and with broadly
All of the countries within the CIS region are comparable increases in those indicators over
within the top 100 IDI rankings (although it should the period under consideration. These regions
be noted that data are not available for three generally have much lower values for fixed-
countries in this region). The CIS has the narrowest telephone subscriptions than Europe. The
overall range of rankings of any region. most significant areas of growth in indicator
values since 2010 have been those for mobile-
The Africa region shows by far the lowest broadband subscriptions, Internet users and
performance levels of any region, with no households with Internet access.
country in the high quartile and only one country
(Mauritius) in the upper half of the overall One region Africa shows a differently-
distribution. The five countries with the lowest IDI shaped overall distribution, reflecting its much
levels in Africa, all of which are LDCs, are also the lower baselines in 2010 as well as differences
five countries at the bottom of the global rankings. in the relative distribution of particular ICT
Altogether, 29 of the 37 countries from the Africa resources for example, the extremely
region in the Index fall into the lower quartile of IDI low average rating for fixed-telephone
rankings. Data were not available from a further subscriptions, and more rapid growth,
seven African countries. These results suggest from a lower baseline, in mobile-cellular
that there is a considerable ongoing challenge subscriptions. In this region, on average, it is
in ensuring that African countries, particularly the growth in mobile-cellular subscriptions
LDCs, can overcome the digital divide and derive and international Internet bandwidth per user
maximum benefit from ICTs for their development. that have been the most dynamic indicators,
rather than growth in mobile-broadband
Some of the similarities and differences between subscriptions or number of Internet users
regions can be explored in more detail by (although these two indicators have also
Fixed-telephone
subscriptions
1.0 Mobile-cellular
Adult literacy subscriptions
0.8
0.6 International
Tertiary Internet bandwidth
enrolment 0.4
per Internet user
0.2
Fixed-telephone Fixed-telephone
subscriptions subscriptions
1.0 1.0
Adult literacy Mobile-cellular Adult literacy Mobile-cellular
0.8 subscriptions 0.8 subscriptions
Tertiary
0.6 International Tertiary
0.6 International
enrolment 0.4 Internet bandwidth enrolment 0.4 Internet bandwidth
per Internet user per Internet user
0.2 0.2
Fixed-telephone Fixed-telephone
subscriptions subscriptions
1.0 Mobile-cellular 1.0
Adult literacy Mobile-cellular
Adult literacy 0.8 subscriptions 0.8 subscriptions
Tertiary
0.6 International Tertiary
0.6 International
enrolment 0.4 Internet bandwidth enrolment 0.4 Internet bandwidth
per Internet user per Internet user
0.2 0.2
2010 2015
Fixed-telephone Fixed-telephone
subscriptions subscriptions
1.0 1.0
Adult literacy Mobile-cellular Adult literacy Mobile-cellular
0.8 subscriptions 0.8 subscriptions
Tertiary
0.6 International Tertiary
0.6 International
enrolment 0.4 Internet bandwidth enrolment 0.4 Internet bandwidth
per Internet user per Internet user
0.2 0.2
2010 2015
Source: ITU.
seen significant growth). This is on account Altogether, 29 out of 37 African countries ranked
of the lower baseline for mobile-cellular as LCCs in the bottom quartile of the overall
subscriptions in Africa in 2010, the impact distribution, including the 11 countries with the
of the new submarine cables that have since lowest overall Index rankings. A number of African
landed along the East and West African coasts, LDCs are not included in the IDI for 2015 owing
and the high cost in lower-income countries to a lack of data, including the country which
of broadband subscriptions, which are beyond recorded the lowest ranking in IDI 2013 (the
the reach of Africas more numerous low- Central African Republic). These findings illustrate
income households. the extent to which Africa continues to lag behind
other regions in ICT development, and the
The limited significance of the skills indicators consequent importance of addressing the regions
on the majority of IDI values is evident from a ongoing digital divide.
comparison between these charts, although
changes in these indicators have significantly While all countries in the region showed an
affected the IDI ratings and rankings of a small improvement in IDI levels between 2010 and 2015
number of individual countries. (as was the case in other regions), only a minority
saw substantial improvements in their IDI rankings
The averaged results for each region described between 2010 and 2015. The most significant
above should be borne in mind while reading the improvements occurred in Ghana (up 21 places),
following paragraphs, which outline the results for Lesotho (up 13 places), Cape Verde (up 11 places)
each region in more detail. and Mali (up ten places). Nigeria, the regions
most populous country and largest economy in
terms of nominal GDP, which has seen substantial
Africa investment in ICTs in recent years, ranked only
134th, almost exactly the same as in 2010, while
The IDI values for Africa are set out in Table 3.3 South Africa, its second largest economy, had the
and Chart 3.3. As noted above, this region shows same ranking, 88th, in both years.
by far the lowest IDI performance levels of any
region. Only one country, Mauritius, had an IDI
value above the global average in IDI 2015, and Arab States
only four countries Mauritius, Seychelles, South
Africa and Cape Verde ranked in the top 100 IDI ratings for the Arab States region are set
out of 167, or exceeded the average value for out in Table 3.4 and Chart 3.4, where they are
developing countries in IDI 2015. compared with the global average and averages
for developed and developing countries. The top
Source: ITU.
five countries in this region in IDI 2015 Bahrain, These countries at the top of the rankings have
Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and seen higher-than-average improvements in their
Kuwait are all oil-rich high-income economies IDI levels since 2010, with five of them achieving
that are members of the GCC. These countries all improvements that are among the most dynamic
have IDI levels over 6.50 and appear in the top worldwide. Bahrain improved its position in the
50 countries in the global rankings for 2015. Two global rankings by 21 places, from 48th to 27th,
other countries in the region Oman and Lebanon between 2010 and 2015; the UAE, Saudi Arabia
also exceed the global average value in 2015. and Oman by 17, 15 and 14 places, respectively;
7 Developed
6
5 World
IDI 2015
4 Developing
3
Africa
2
1
0
South Africa
Ghana
Botswana
Namibia
Kenya
Senegal
Gabon
Nigeria
Gambia
Angola
Mali
Uganda
Equatorial Guinea
Cameroon
Benin
Zambia
Rwanda
Liberia
Tanzania
South Sudan
Guinea-Bissau
Malawi
Ethiopia
Eritrea
Chad
Zimbabwe
Lesotho
Mozambique
Cte d'Ivoire
Congo (Rep.)
Togo
Burkina Faso
Congo (Dem. Rep.)
Mauritius
Seychelles
Cape Verde
Madagascar
Source: ITU.
Source: ITU.
and Lebanon by 21 places. The improvement States and other countries in the region. Those
in the rankings by Bahrain and Lebanon was values rose in the GCC countries by an average of
exceeded globally only by Costa Rica. Much less 1.78 points between 2010 and 2015, while in non-
progress was achieved at the lower end of the GCC countries they rose by an average of only 0.89
scale, however. A number of countries in the points (or 0.75 points if high-performing Lebanon
region saw their IDI rankings fall, with substantial is excluded). This suggests that there is a growing
falls for Syria, which has experienced extensive digital divide between the GCC Member States and
conflict during the period (down 11 places), and most of the other countries in the region.
Jordan (down eight places).
The strong performance of the GCC countries
Even more concerning, in terms of the digital reflects the association between IDI and GNI p.c.
divide, is the growing differential in IDI values discussed in Chapter 2, while the performance of
which can be observed between GCC Member countries lower down the rankings, particularly
7 Developed
6
Arab States
5 World
IDI 2015
4 Developing
3
2
1
0
Bahrain
Mauritania
Saudi Arabia
Lebanon
Jordan
Tunisia
Algeria
Syria
Djibouti
United Arab
Emirates
Kuwait
Oman
Morocco
Egypt
Qatar
Sudan
Source: ITU.
the regions LDCs (Sudan, Djibouti and Mauritania), Pacific region. A further five countries in the
reflects the experience of lower-income countries region Malaysia, Brunei Darussalam, Thailand,
in other regions. This growing digital divide within Maldives and China have IDI rankings within the
the region has been noted with concern by the top half of the distribution, while another three
United Nations Economic and Social Commission Mongolia, Iran and the Philippines fall within the
for Western Asia (ESCWA).2 top hundred. Several of these countries have risen
significantly in the rankings over the half-decade,
including Thailand (up 18 places), Mongolia (up 13
Asia and the Pacific places), Iran (up eight places) and the Philippines
(up seven places), while there has been one
Asia and the Pacific is the most diverse region in substantial fall (Brunei Darussalam, down 18
terms of ICT development, reflecting the stark places). These eight middle-ranking countries have
differences in levels of economic development seen an average improvement of 1.25 in their
between OECD member countries and other high- IDI values between 2010 and 2015, higher than
income economies, on the one hand, and LDCs on any of the economies above them in the regional
the other. IDI values for this region are set out in rankings other than Hong Kong (China).
Table 3.5 and Chart 3.5.
The remaining 17 countries in the region, with
The IDI rankings in the region are headed by seven IDI rankings below 100, form a diverse group
economies the Republic of Korea, Hong Kong encompassing very large countries including
(China), Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore India, Indonesia, Pakistan and Bangladesh, as well
and Macao (China) which have IDI levels above as small island States such as Samoa, Vanuatu
7.50 and which rank among the top 25 economies and the Solomon Islands. These countries have
worldwide. These include the global leader, the experienced an average improvement of 0.72
Republic of Korea. All of these economies were in their IDI values over the period 2010-2015,
also near the top of the IDI rankings in 2010, less than the corresponding figure for the group
although there has been a significant drop in of countries above them in the rankings, but
the rankings of Singapore (down eight places starting from a lower base. The sharpest rise in
from 11th to 19th) and Macao (China) (down ten the rankings within this group of countries came
places from 14th to 24th) during this period. The from Bhutan (up nine places) and Myanmar (up
average nominal growth in IDI rates in these seven eight places), while significant falls were recorded
countries since 2010 is 0.70 points, much less than by Vietnam (down eight places), India (down six
that of the highest performers in the Arab States places) and Pakistan (down five places).
region, reflecting the starting position of these
countries towards the high end of potentially
achievable values. Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS)
There is a substantial gap in IDI values and rankings IDI values for the CIS region are set out in Table 3.6
between these high-performing economies and and Chart 3.6. As noted above, the CIS region has
the next-highest-ranking countries in the Asia-
Source: ITU.
the fewest countries of any region, only nine of within the region, with an IDI level of 6.91 and
which have been included in IDI 2015. a global ranking of 45th. All nine of the countries
in this region fall below the average developed-
The average increase in IDI values in this country IDI value of 7.41 for 2015. However, all but
region over the five-year period (1.43 points) is one Kyrgyzstan in Central Asia have rankings in
significantly above the average increase for the the top half of the distribution and a value for IDI
world as a whole (0.89 points). Belarus is the 2015 which is above the global average. Kyrgyzstan
highest-ranked country, at 36th, with an IDI level has, however, experienced the greatest rise in
of 7.18 in 2015, having risen by 1.88 points and ranking since 2010 (up 15 places), while only one
14 places, and having overtaken the Russian country in the region, Ukraine, has experienced a
Federation, since 2015. It is the only country in fall in its global rankings, during a period of conflict.
the region within the highest quartile of global
rankings. The Russian Federation is in second place
World
5 Asia and the Pacic
4 Developing
3
2
1
0
Japan
Macao, China
Malaysia
Thailand
Philippines
Lao P.D.R.
Solomon Islands
Myanmar
Bangladesh
Korea (Rep.)
Hong Kong, China
Australia
New Zealand
Singapore
Brunei Darussalam
Maldives
China
Mongolia
Iran (I.R.)
Fiji
Viet Nam
Indonesia
Sri Lanka
Tonga
Bhutan
Samoa
Vanuatu
Cambodia
India
Nepal
Pakistan
Afghanistan
Source: ITU.
Source: ITU.
7 Developed
6 CIS countries
5 World
IDI 2015
4 Developing
3
2
1
0
Belarus Russian Kazakhstan Moldova Azerbaijan Armenia Georgia Ukraine Kyrgyzstan
Federation
Source: ITU.
Source: ITU.
While the region as a whole has very high IDI levels and Eastern Europe. The five Nordic countries
and rankings, positions at the top of the regional Denmark, Iceland, Sweden, Norway and Finland
rankings are mostly held by countries in Northern all rank within the top nine in the region and the
and Western Europe, while those towards the top twelve worldwide. Denmark, which is Europes
bottom of the rankings are mostly in Southern top performer with an IDI value of 8.88, was the
5 World
4 Developing
3
2
1
0
Croatia
Bosnia and H
Albania
Romania
Denmark
Iceland
United Kingdom
Sweden
Poland
Serbia
Portugal
Lithuania
Bulgaria
TFYR Macedonia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Montenegro
Greece
Andorra
Cyprus
Spain
Malta
Luxembourg
Switzerland
Netherlands
Finland
Israel
Latvia
Norway
Germany
France
Estonia
Belgium
Ireland
Austria
Monaco
Hungary
Turkey
Czech Republic
Italy
Source: ITU.
highest performing country the previous year, as rank within the top quartile of IDI 2015, with
reported in the 2014 edition of the Measuring the global rankings of 15th, 23rd and 29th, respectively.
Information Society Report. Its ranking this year
has fallen below that of the Republic of Korea, The three countries at the top of the regional
following a fall in fixed telephone penetration. The rankings significantly outperform all other
regions most populous country, Germany, ranks countries in the region, with IDI levels approaching
14th worldwide, with an IDI value of 8.22, but has one whole point above the next highest regional
a higher ranking (fifth) in the access sub-index. performer, Uruguay. As many as 29 of the regions
The United Kingdom has achieved the greatest countries fall within the upper and medium
improvement since 2010, rising six places to fourth quartiles, in the middle of the global rankings, with
in the global rankings, with an IDI value that has only one, Cuba, among the LCCs.
risen 1.13 points to 8.75.
Of all the regions, countries in the Americas region
The lowest 14 rankings in the region are held by have experienced some of the most significant
countries on the Mediterranean and in Eastern changes, both upward and downward, in IDI
Europe, including five of the countries that were ranking over the five-year period. The most
formerly parts of Yugoslavia. While only Norway dynamic country worldwide has been Costa Rica,
and Finland have lost significant ground to other which rose 23 places in the Index between 2010
countries at the top of the rankings, falling five and 2015. Other substantial rises were achieved
and six places respectively, more countries from by Suriname (up 15 places), Brazil (up 12 places),
the south and east of the region have done so, Barbados (up nine places) and Colombia (up eight
including Poland (down 12 places), Israel and places). At the same time, a number of countries,
Cyprus (each down nine places), and Portugal, particularly in the Caribbean, have seen their IDI
Slovakia and Hungary (each down seven places). rankings fall sharply, including St. Kitts and Nevis
Nevertheless, all countries in the region have (down 20 places), Grenada (down 19 places), St.
continued to see improvements in their IDI values, Lucia (down 16 places), Dominica (down 14 places)
with an average increase of 0.87 points since 2010. and Jamaica (down ten places). Other significant
This is a highly positive performance given that all falls were recorded for Peru (down 13 places),
but one country in the region was already in the Belize (down 12 places), Guyana (down 11 places),
upper half of the distribution in that year. and Panama and Cuba (both down ten places).
Thereductions in several of these countries appear
to be driven by reductions in the reported level of
The Americas mobile-cellular subscriptions, while that in Cuba is
partly accounted for by a fall in its rating for tertiary
The United States, Canada and Barbados lead the enrolment). The average increase in IDI level was
IDI rankings in the Americas, which are set out in substantially higher for countries in mainland Latin
Table 3.8 and Chart 3.8, with IDI values of 8.19, America (1.09 points) than for Caribbean and
7.76 and 7.57, respectively. These three countries Caribbean-facing countries (0.73 points).
Source: ITU.
3.3 Top performers and dynamic section illustrate the experience of these countries
countries in spider charts which compare the changes in
their ratings between IDI 2010 and IDI 2015 for
This section of the chapter looks at the experience each of the fifteen indicators included in the Index.
of a number of individual countries which are The charts help to illustrate the ways in which
at the top of the Index or have improved their these high-performing and dynamic countries have
position in the IDI rankings most dynamically improved their performance during the period.
during the period between 2010 and 2015.
Chart 3.9 presents spider charts for three
The following paragraphs look in more detail at the countries at or near the top of the overall IDI
experience of a number of the highest-performing rankings, namely the Republic of Korea, Denmark
and most dynamic countries. The charts in this and the United Kingdom.
5 World
4 Developing
3
2
1
0
United States
Barbados
Canada
Uruguay
Argentina
Chile
Costa Rica
Brazil
Antigua & Barbuda
St. Kitts and Nevis
St. Vincent and
Trinidad & Tobago
Venezuela
Colombia
Dominica
Grenada
Suriname
St. Lucia
Panama
Ecuador
Dominican Rep.
Peru
El Salvador
Guatemala
Nicaragua
Cuba
Mexico
Jamaica
Bolivia
Paraguay
Guyana
Belize
Honduras
Source: ITU.
The two highest-performing countries in the Index in Denmark is notably higher than in the Republic
in 2015 are the Republic of Korea and Denmark. of Korea. The fall in the number of fixed-telephone
As might be expected of countries with very high subscriptions reflects the global decline in this
overall Index scores, these countries show high indicator. The other area in which Denmark falls
levels of attainment across all indicators in all three significantly behind the Republic of Korea is in
sub-indices. one of the proxy indicators for ICT skills, namely
tertiary enrolment.
The Republic of Koreas ICT and IDI achievements
in recent years are outlined further in Box 3.1. The The principal area of improvement in Denmarks
country shows very high scores for all indicators performance since 2010 has been in mobile-
in 2015. Figures for skills indicators in the country broadband penetration, which has risen from
were already at, or almost, 1.00 (100 per cent) 63.9 to 115.8 per 100 people during the period,
in 2010, and have remained at that level since catching up with and slightly overtaking the
then. There have been significant rises in scores Republic of Koreas performance. The main
for the proportion of citizens with mobile-cellular area other than tertiary enrolment in which
subscriptions and for international Internet there is scope for improvement in the IDI level
bandwidth per user. Almost all of the countrys in the future is, as in the Republic of Korea, the
households have Internet access, while 87.9 penetration of fixed-broadband subscriptions,
per cent of the population are estimated to be which was 41.4 per cent in 2015.
Internet users.
These comparisons between the Republic of Korea
The second highest performer in the overall Index and Denmark reflect the broader differences
in both 2010 and 2015 was a Nordic country between high-performing countries in East Asia
Sweden in 2010, and Denmark in 2015. Denmarks and Northern Europe illustrated in Chart 3.2.
experience is described further in Box 3.2.
The most dynamic rise among the IDIs top-
The composition of Denmarks overall Index ranking countries was that of the United Kingdom,
performance shows some noteworthy differences resulting almost entirely from a higher rate of
when compared with that of the Republic of Korea. growth in the indicator for mobile-broadband
Denmark has higher levels of performance in three subscriptions, which more than doubled between
of the five access indicators, falling behind only in 2010 and 2015.
the proportion of households with Internet access
(although it has significantly more households with Data from Ofcoms consumer surveys show that
a computer) and in fixed-telephone subscriptions the percentage of the population using data
(which have fallen from 47.1 to 33.3 per 100 services on mobile phones more than doubled
inhabitants between IDI 2010 and IDI 2015). (from 26 to 57 per cent) over the period under
International Internet bandwidth per Internet user consideration, although the final figure was still far
This year, the Republic of Korea ranks first in the overall IDI, after ranking second last year. It ranks
ninth in the access sub-index, fourth in the use sub-index and second in the skills sub-index,
excelling in all categories. In particular, it has the highest percentage worldwide of households
with Internet access (98.49 per cent), meaning that almost all households are connected.
Since 2010, the Republic of Korea has seen the initial launch and subsequent proliferation of long-
term evolution (LTE) services, beginning in Seoul in 2011 and expanding elsewhere in the country
in 2012 and 2013. LTE traffic accounted for 9.5 per cent of total mobile-communication traffic in
2012, rising sharply to 72.8 per cent by the end of 2013, this being a reflection of the countrys
rapid switchover to LTE networks (Korea Communications Commission, 2013). In June 2013,
moreover, a mere two years after the commercial launch of LTE, SK Telekom launched the worlds
first commercial LTE advanced network, the speed of which already twice that of the countrys
initial LTE network was further increased in 2014. By April 2014, as much as 77 per cent of
the countrys total mobile-communication traffic went through LTE or LTE advanced networks
(Ministry of Science, ICT & Future Planning (MSIP and KISA, 2014). However, these developments
had only a limited impact on the national indicator for mobile-broadband penetration since this
was already at 97.7 per cent in 2010. The new technologies contributed to improving the speed
and quality of networks rather than expanding the subscriber base.
Internet use in the Republic of Korea increased from an already high value of 83.7 per cent in
IDI 2010 to 87.9 per cent in IDI 2015. Data from the latest household survey carried out by MSIP
and KISA show that a broad majority of Internet users (95.1 per cent) access the Internet using a
smartphone or smartpad (MSIP and KISA, 2015). While there are still Internet non-users (defined
by KISA and MSIP as those among the population aged three and over who have not used the
Internet in the past month), the proportion of non-users continues to decline. The main reason
cited for non-use among this group is lack of interest in or need to use the Internet, rather than
affordability.
Bahrain, Lebanon and Saudi Arabia in the Arab by Eritrea (up 0.09 points), St. Kitts and Nevis (up
States region, and Costa Rica in the Americas. 0.12 points) and Cuba (up 0.13 points).
Of these, Costa Rica, Lebanon and Bahrain have
all climbed by twenty or more positions in the Five of the most dynamic countries in the IDI
rankings, as has Ghana, the leading African country rankings identified in Table 3.9 are located in the
in terms of IDI improvement. Arab States region, of which four Bahrain, the
United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Oman
The most substantial falls in IDI rankings between are GCC Member States located in the Arabian
2010 and 2015 were recorded by St. Kitts and peninsula. Of these four, Bahrain began the period
Nevis (down 20 places), Grenada (down 19 places) with the highest IDI ranking (48th), rising 21 places
and Brunei Darussalam (down 18 places). The to 27th in 2015, and has achieved the highest
lowest rates of change in IDI values were recorded increase in its IDI level (up 2.22 points). The
spider charts for these countries, shown in Chart
The roll-out of LTE networks in the country is among the most important ICT developments since
2010. TeliaSonera was one of the first operators worldwide to launch commercial LTE services,
and by the end of 2011 it had covered 85 per cent of the population in Copenhagen, Aarhus,
Aalborg and Odense.4 By the end of 2014, LTE coverage in Denmark was widespread, with LTE
services being offered by all four mobile-network operators as well as other service providers
(European Commission, 2015).
The rapid development of LTE networks within the country was facilitated by the regulators
decision to refarm, allocate and assign new spectrum to mobile operators. In particular, the 2.5
GHz band was assigned in 2010, the 900/1800 MHz bands were refarmed and two new licences
assigned in 2010, and the 800 MHz band was auctioned in 2012 and made available as of January
2013.5 Extensive infrastructure upgrades have contributed to further increases in the relatively
uniform distribution of broadband coverage. Fixed-broadband coverage is 99 per cent, while
LTE mobile-broadband coverage increased from 74 per cent in 2013 to 99 per cent in 2015, well
above the European Union average of 59 per cent (European Commission, 2015).
Denmarks national broadband strategy aims to enable all households and businesses to
have access to at least 100 Mbps download speeds by 2020. An estimated 70 per cent of all
households and businesses had access to infrastructure that could support such speeds by
mid-2013, an increase from 60 per cent in the previous year (Danish Business Authority, 2013).
Data on the uptake of high-speed broadband plans shows that currently 33 per cent of all
fixed-broadband subscriptions are at speeds above 30 Mbps (compared with an EU average of
26 per cent), and that 3 per cent of all connections are at speeds above 100 Mbps (European
Commission, 2015).
3.10, show that they have had broadly similar the penetration of fixed-telephone subscriptions
experiences over the period 2010 to 2015, with is only 21.2 per hundred people. In all four
substantial improvements in the usage sub-index countries, however, there have been significant
driving their overall improvement in performance. improvements in levels of Internet access, as
The experience of Saudi Arabia is described further reflected in the indicators for households with
in Box 3.3. a computer and households connected to the
Internet. The levels for households with Internet
In the access sub-index, all four countries access in the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia
began the period with very high levels of and Oman were all lower than they were in
mobile-cellular subscriptions, which have been Bahrain in 2010, but had overtaken Bahrains
maintained. Penetration levels for fixed-telephone performance by 2015. The rise in computer and
subscriptions have remained largely unchanged, at Internet access in Oman represents the most
significantly lower levels than for mobile-cellular important driver increasing the IDI in that country,
subscriptions, reflecting the prevalence of fixed- alongside the rise in active mobile-broadband
mobile substitution in Bahrain, for example, subscriptions.
Progress in both ICT access and use has been facilitated by the governments implementation in
2006 of the countrys universal access and universal service policy, leading to a universal service
fund (USF) programme roll-out in 2010. The USF was introduced to finance the expansion of
networks and services to commercially unprofitable, underserved zones (MCIT, Saudi Arabia,
2006). Funded by a one per cent share of designated operators revenues and some additional
government sources, the USF has helped to bring affordable ICT services, and in particular
Internet access, to such remoter areas. The USF target is to bring fixed and/or mobile services,
as well as Internet access, to every village with over 100 inhabitants (ITU, 2013). By 2014, 82 per
cent of villages, amounting to a population of over 4million people, had been connected (MCIT,
Saudi Arabia, 2014). The USF project, which is expected to cover the remaining target population
by the end of 2015, has contributed to broadband deployment and Internet usage in rural and
underserved areas.
The biggest improvements in IDI rankings in subscriptions. While consistent with the indicator
the GCC countries have been driven by two of for fixed-telephone subscriptions, this may indicate
the indicators in the use sub-index: those for that the speed and data allowances available to
Internet users and for active mobile-broadband end users are lower in these countries than in
subscriptions. Bahrain rose from 50th position high-performing countries in other regions.
in the rankings for the use sub-index in 2010 to
18th position in 2015, while the UAE rose from The skills sub-index for Bahrain, the UAE and Oman
46th position to 22nd. These improvements were is virtually unchanged between 2010 and 2015,
driven in particular by growth in the proportion of with very high levels of literacy and secondary
mobile-broadband subscriptions. There has been enrolment but relatively low tertiary enrolment.
little change in the indicator for fixed-broadband
Fixed-telephone Fixed-telephone
subscriptions subscriptions
1.0 1.0
Adult literacy Mobile-cellular Adult literacy Mobile-cellular
0.8 subscriptions 0.8 subscriptions
Tertiary
0.6 International Tertiary
0.6 International
enrolment 0.4 Internet bandwidth enrolment 0.4 Internet bandwidth
per Internet user per Internet user
0.2 0.2
Fixed-telephone Fixed-telephone
subscriptions subscriptions
1.0 Mobile-cellular 1.0
Mobile-cellular
Adult literacy subscriptions Adult literacy
0.8 0.8 subscriptions
Tertiary
0.6 International Tertiary
0.6 International
enrolment 0.4 Internet bandwidth enrolment 0.4 Internet bandwidth
per Internet user per Internet user
0.2 0.2
Fixed-telephone
subscriptions
1.0 Mobile-cellular
Adult literacy subscriptions
0.8
Tertiary
0.6 International
enrolment 0.4 Internet bandwidth
per Internet user
0.2
Secondary 0.0
Households with
enrolment computer
2010 2015
Source: ITU.
Saudi Arabia, however, shows a significant The spider map for the other Arab States country
improvement in tertiary enrolment. that is one of the most dynamic in the IDI, namely
Lebanon, also included in Chart 3.10, shares many
of these characteristics, albeit from a lower base
Lebanon has benefited from the construction of the India-Middle East-Western Europe (I-ME-
WE) 13000 km submarine cable that connects Mumbai (India) to Marseille (France), with a
branch of the cable reaching Lebanon.6 This project became operational in 2011 and mitigated
the shortage of international connectivity that had constrained the Internet market in Lebanon.
International Internet bandwidth per Internet user grew from 1.3 kbit/s/user in 2010 to 23.9
kbit/s/user in 2014.
Fixed-broadband subscriptions increased from 7.6 per 100 inhabitants in 2010 to 22.8 per
100 inhabitants in 2014, making Lebanon the Arab State with the highest fixed-broadband
penetration. This increase in fixed-broadband subscriptions followed the award to private cable
operators in 2014 of 43 new licences authorizing them to provide Internet services. This was an
important regulatory milestone, given the relevance of cable subscriptions in the country, and the
main driver for the fixed-broadband growth observed. Indeed, by the end of 2014 more than 50
per cent of all fixed-broadband subscriptions were through cable.
The rest of the fixed-broadband market is served by the State-owned incumbent Ogero, and by
private operators offering fixed-wireless and DSL services. Unlike the mobile-cellular and fixed-
telephone markets, which are State-owned monopolies, competition has been allowed in the
fixed-broadband market by mandating local loop unbundling (LLU) to the incumbent operator.7
Since LLU wholesale rates are regulated and the dominant operator is State-owned, the evolution
of the broadband market is significantly dependent on policy and regulatory decisions. For
instance, Decree 6297, issued in September 2011, cancelled low-speed broadband packages,
making the new entry-level package, at 1 Mbit/s, 70 per cent cheaper than the previous 1 Mbit/s
package. The decree also reduced HDSL package prices by 40 per cent and substantially lowered
the prices of international connectivity (by 92 per cent for 1024 kbit/s, and by 86 per cent for
2048 kbit/s) (TRA, Lebanon, 2011).
in 2010 when it was ranked 77th worldwide, as subscriptions in 2010, its performance on this
against 56th in 2015. As in most countries, there indicator having risen from 65.97 to 88.35 per cent
has been virtually no change in the skills sub- over the period since 2010, and it recorded similar
index outcomes for Lebanon over the five-year improvements in all of the other access indicators
period. However, this country has seen significant apart from fixed-telephone subscriptions which,
changes in both the access and use sub-indices, in line with experience worldwide, remained
the score in the former rising from 5.03 to 6.57 stagnant. However, Lebanon has seen a substantial
points (raising it from 75th to 66th position), and improvement in the number of Internet users (up
in the latter from 1.88 to 5.54 points (up from from 43.7 to 74.7 per cent) and fixed-broadband
75th to 43rd position). Unlike the GCC States, it subscriptions (almost trebling during the period).
had a relatively low score for mobile-cellular
Liberalization of the telecommunication market led to the entry of new mobile operators in
November 2011, spurring subscription growth.
New entrants in the mobile market including transnational operators Claro and Telefnica,
as well as two smaller mobile virtual-network operators launched highly competitive prepaid
mobile-cellular offers which attracted new customers who had previously not had a mobile
subscription. Although most growth was concentrated in the alternative operators (69 per cent
of net additions in the period 2010-2014), the incumbent operator also saw a significant rise in
subscriptions, which suggests that competition benefited all players in the market. As illustrated
in Chart Box 3.5, mobile-cellular penetration more than doubled from 67 per cent in IDI 2010 to
144 per cent in IDI 2015, while mobile-broadband penetration increased tenfold, reaching 87 per
cent by the end of 2014. Strong increases in investment were also recorded in 2012 and 2013,
and, although investment receded in 2014, it remained higher than its pre-2012 level.
The introduction of competition in the mobile market occurred in parallel with the take-off of
mobile-broadband services, thereby contributing to the significant increase in the percentage of
households with Internet access (up from 24 per cent in 2010 to 55 per cent in 2014). The growth
in the proportion of Internet users among the population was also significant, although less rapid
(up from 37 to 49 per cent in the period 2010 to 2014). This suggests that mobile broadband is
not only bringing new people online, but also making the Internet available at home for people
who had previously accessed it elsewhere. This hypothesis is reinforced by the data from ICT
household surveys, which show that one-third of households with Internet access in Costa Rica
relied on mobile-broadband access in 2012.
8'000'000
Alternative operators
7'000'000 ICE (incumbent)
Mobile-cellular subscriptions
6'000'000
5'000'000
4'000'000
3'000'000
2'000'000
1'000'000
0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: ITU, based on data from the Superintendencia de Telecomunicaciones, Costa Rica (2014).
The highest growth rate among IDI indicators in Brazil was that for mobile-broadband
subscriptions, the number of which rose by 137 million, while mobile-broadband penetration
increased from 10.6 per cent in IDI 2010 to 78.1 per cent in IDI 2014. This increase in mobile-
broadband uptake was made possible by upgrading the cellular-market base from 2G to 3G (see
Chart Box 3.6). The allocation of new spectrum to mobile broadband facilitated this transition,
as did coverage obligations. In the 3G auctions held in 2007 and 2010, the regulator ANATEL
attached coverage obligations to licences, resulting in 68 per cent of Brazilian municipalities (and
around 89 per cent of the population) now being covered by a 3G signal. Licences issued in the
LTE spectrum auction that took place in 2012 likewise stipulated that all cities with a population
above 500000 inhabitants should be covered by May 2014 (ANATEL, 2015), and all cities with
over 30000 inhabitants by 2017 (MiniCom, Brazil, 2014).
Fixed-broadband subscriptions have also increased significantly, with 9.1 million net additional
subscriptions driving fixed-broadband penetration from 7.2 per cent in IDI 2010 to 11.5 per cent
in IDI 2015. This increase has coincided with an almost 50 per cent reduction in the price of entry-
level broadband plans in 2010-2011, and with the first offers under the basic fixed-broadband
package defined in the Programa Nacional de Banda Larga (PNBL, the Brazilian Broadband Plan).8
Chart Box 3.6: Mobile-cellular subscriptions by technology and percentage of individuals owning
a mobile phone, Brazil, 2010-2014
140 140
Mobile-cellular subscriptions per 100 inhabitants
120 120
100 100
80 80
60 60
40 40
20 20
0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Subscriptions by technology
2G 3G LTE M2M % individuals owning a mobile phone
Source: ITU, based on data from ANATEL (2015) and CETICs Portal de Visualizao de Dados (http://data.cetic.br).
The increase in mobile- and fixed-broadband subscriptions discussed above is reflected in the
growth in the proportion of households with Internet access (up from 27.1 per cent in 2010 to 48
per cent in 2014, as against an average 12 percentage point increase worldwide). Alongside this
increase in the proportion of households connected to the Internet, there was also a notable rise
in the proportion of households with a computer (up from 34.9 per cent in 2010 to 51.9 per cent
in 2014, as against an average nine percentage point increase worldwide). The progress achieved
in these two indicators corresponds to one of the main objectives set by the PNBL in 2010,
namely to increase the number of households with a computer connected to the Internet.9
The growth in international Internet bandwidth has been particularly significant. New optical-fibre
links with China and Kazakhstan were completed in 2013. Developed by the operator Elcat, an
optical-fibre link was established between Nura (China) and Karamyk (Kyrgyzstan) with a capacity
of 2.5 Gbps, upgradeable to 40 Gbps. Another fibre connection was established between Bishkek
(Kyrgyzstan) and Chaldovar (Kazakhstan) with an initial capacity of 2.5 Gbps, upgradeable to 40
Gbps (UNESCAP, 2014). Additional projects throughout 2014 built fibre lines towards Tajikistan,
Uzbekistan and China (East Horizon, 2014). Measures such as these have helped to increase
competition and reduce prices while strengthening international connectivity.
Government efforts to unlock commercial broadband frequencies in 2012 have enabled greater
Internet access for rural areas in Kyrgyzstan, with rapid implementation in schools (East Horizon,
2014). Broadband and data services continue to attract increasing interest in the mobile market,
and are expected to undergo steady growth with adequate development.
The only exception to this growth in IDI indicators has been the level of fixed-telephone
subscriptions, which fell by 14.1 per cent between 2010 and 2015. Despite the evident growth
in the IDI, there still remains limited household Internet access in the country, many of whose
people continue to rely on public access points. It is estimated that some 50 per cent of users
access the Internet in cybercafs (East Horizon, 2014).
As in most other countries, there has been very As noted above, the average IDI performance in
little change in Ghanas performance against Africa is well below that in other regions. As a
the proxy indicators used in the skills sub-index result, while there are similarities with other high-
between 2010 and 2015. Improvements in performing developing countries, the experience
the access and use sub-indices are, however, of Africas most dynamic IDI performer, Ghana,
revealing, showing generally high levels of growth also shows significant variations from the pattern
over the period, although Ghanas performance revealed by those countries. Although ranked
remains substantially below that observed in the below 100th in the global rankings, Ghana is also
leading countries in other developing regions. the second highest-ranking country in mainland
Ghanas experience in stimulating ICT and sub-Saharan Africa, behind only South Africa
achieving this growth in its IDI ranking is explored among its regional peers. Its ratings are illustrated
further in Box 3.9. in Chart 3.13.
The mobile-broadband market in Thailand has faced rising demand for 3G services, as well as
demand for 4G from heavier data users (GSMA, 2015b). Thai providers have responded to this
by experimenting with trials and soft launches of LTE connections in densely-populated areas.
Although LTE spectrum has yet to be awarded, both AIS10 and True Corp11 offer limited LTE plans
using existing 3G spectrum. The future award of mobile spectrum in the 900MHz and 1800MHz
bands, which are suitable for LTE, should further drive the wireless-broadband market (GSMA,
2015b).
At the end of 2014, Thailands Government formally announced its adoption of a digital economy
policy framework. This includes the proposed establishment of a national broadband committee
and specific targets for connecting businesses and homes, including a broadband network
to every village and home over the next two to three years. It highlights the importance of
expanding the countrys infrastructure network, based on the roll-out of both mobile and fixed
broadband, and on public-private partnerships.12
Ghana has also experienced substantial growth in other access indicators, with the number of
Internet users having more than doubled and the proportion of households with Internet access
having increased more than fivefold. The improvement in international bandwidth that is evident
from Figure 2.23 is associated with the landing of additional submarine cable capacity along the
West African coast since 2010, this having also reduced the cost of Internet access, an important
factor in increasing usage. As in the other developing countries described above, Ghana has also
seen a very substantial increase in the level of penetration of mobile-broadband subscriptions,
likewise facilitated by the growth in international bandwidth per Internet user, albeit from very
low levels in 2010.
Ghanas Government has long identified ICTs as an important enabler for economic development,
establishing ICT policies and specific targets for access, affordability and use (Gyaase and Taki,
2014). Growth in ICTs in Ghana has been reinforced by strong government commitment to the
expansion of ICT services, including the identification of targets, through a National Telecom
Policy adopted in 2005, and liberalization of the market and increased competition since 2010
(Alliance for Affordable Internet, 2014).
2010 2015
Source: ITU.
Kyrgyzstan
Fixed-telephone
subscriptions
1.0 Mobile-cellular
Adult literacy subscriptions
0.8
0.6 International
Tertiary Internet bandwidth
enrolment 0.4 per Internet user
0.2
Secondary 0.0
Households with
enrolment computer
Households with
Active Internet
mobile-broadband
subscriptions Internet users
Fixed-broadband
subscriptions
Thailand
Fixed-telephone
subscriptions
1.0 Mobile-cellular
Adult literacy subscriptions
0.8
International
0.6
Tertiary Internet bandwidth
0.4 per Internet user
enrolment
0.2
Households with
Active Internet
mobile-broadband
subscriptions
Internet users
Fixed-broadband
subscriptions
2010 2015
Source: ITU.
40
35
Internet access
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Mexico Brazil Morocco South Africa Turkey Iran (I.R.) Bahrain Oman Colombia Singapore
Cost of the equipment is too high Privacy or security concerns
Cost of service is too high Internet service is not available in the area
Do not need the Internet Internet service is available but it does not
Lack of condence, knowledge or skills correspond to household needs
to use the Internet Cultural reasons
Note: Multiple answers regarding reasons for lack of Internet access are possible.
Source: ITU Yearbook of Statistics, 2014.
Internet access, which suggests that connecting countries should strive to achieve (see Box 5
the unconnected is more often an issue of prices, for further information on this target).
ICT skills and relevant content than of rolling out
infrastructure. Affordability indicators are also part of several
ICT indices, including the World Economic
Other stakeholders and international organizations Forums Networked Readiness Index (NRI),
have also highlighted the need to monitor and which takes into account the affordability of
address the affordability of ICT services in order prepaid mobile calls and fixed broadband
to ensure that more people, and in particular Internet access.
vulnerable groups at risk of being left behind
(including low-income population groups and GSMA, the industry association of mobile
women), are able to join the information society. operators, found that among women, cost
ICT prices are taken into consideration and form remained the greatest barrier to owning and
part of the following debates and initiatives: using a mobile phone.8
The importance of the affordability of ICT The Alliance for Affordable Internet (A4AI), a
services has also been recognized at the coalition of private sector, public sector and
highest international level, within the debate civil society organizations, has made affordable
on the post-2015 development agenda. access to both mobile and fixed-line Internet
Indeed, under Sustainable Development Goal in developing countries its main focus.
9, which is about promoting infrastructure,
industrialization and innovation, Target ITU collects and publishes price data for fixed-
9.c. calls for increased access to ICTs and telephone, mobile-cellular and fixed- and mobile-
affordable access to the Internet in least broadband services, and has adapted its price data
developed countries (LDCs). collection to ICT trends (Box 4.1).
To increase the level of broadband uptake This chapter will look first at the development of
and allow more people to benefit from fixed- and mobile-cellular prices over the period
the information society, the Broadband 20082014, in absolute and relative terms, in USD,
Commission for Digital Development has made international dollars (PPP$) and as a percentage
the affordability of broadband services a key of GNI p.c. (Box 4.2), for both developed
objective and identified a clear target that and developing countries. It will include the
In 2009, ITU published the first edition of the ICT Price Basket (IPB), the composite benchmarking
tool that combines fixed-telephone, mobile-cellular and fixed-broadband tariffs into one measure
and compares it across countries. IPB rankings are based on the relative price of these three
services as a percentage of gross national income per capita (GNI p.c.) and the latest IPB is
presented in Table 4.11 at the end of this chapter. The table includes end-of-2014 data for each
of the three price sets contained in the IPB, as well as the IPB ranking combining the three sub-
baskets expressed in terms of GNI p.c. The IPB remains relevant as a basic benchmarking tool that
allows countries to assess their relative affordability of ICT prices, evaluate progress over time and
identify challenges and shortcomings.
At the same time, recent ICT developments highlight major growth in mobile networks and
services, and a shift from voice to data, with important developments in fixed- and mobile-
broadband markets. Some countries in fact no longer offer fixed-telephone services, while
others provide them mainly as bundled services, making the collection of fixed-telephone prices
increasingly challenging. ITUs price data analysis has shifted accordingly, with greater emphasis
on the fixed- and mobile-broadband services.
Source: ITU.
presentation of the 2014 fixed- and mobile-cellular in-depth analysis of prices in the fixed- and mobile
sub-baskets and country rankings and show some broadband market over the same period, which
regional differences in the affordability of mobile- will highlight some pricing trends in the dynamic
cellular prices. This will be followed by a more mobile-broadband services segment.
In international dollars (PPP$), using purchasing power parity (PPP) conversion factors instead
of market exchange rates. The use of PPP exchange factors helps to screen out price and
exchange-rate distortions, thus providing a measure of the cost of a given service taking into
account purchasing power equivalences between countries.9
As a percentage of countries monthly GNI p.c. (Atlas method).10 Prices are expressed as
a percentage of GNI p.c. in order to show them in relation to the size of each countrys
economy, thus reflecting the affordability of each ICT service at a country level.
The methodological details of the IPB and the collection of mobile-broadband prices are available
in Annex 3 to this report. Annex 5 includes the statistical tables of prices used to compute the ICT
Price Basket.
Country rankings will be presented for the different 4.2 Fixed-telephone and mobile-
fixed- and mobile-broadband sub-baskets, with cellular prices
the latter including both prepaid and postpaid
packages and computer-based and handset-based
plans. The analysis of fixed-broadband prices will
Fixed-telephone prices
include a discussion on changes in broadband
speeds (offered for minimum broadband plans)
Although fixed-line penetration reached its highest
and developments in terms of the data volume
global level of 19.2 per cent in 2006 and has
included in broadband offers. It will also review
since been falling (to an estimated 14.4 per cent
the achievements of the Broadband Commissions
by the end of 2015), fixed telephony remains an
affordability target on fixedbroadband prices. A
important communication service in developed
regional analysis will be provided for both fixed-
countries and in (mainly) urban areas of the
and mobile-broadband services.
developing world. In addition, it is still a basic
service for mediumsized to large organizations
ITUs ICT price data collection and analysis over
(both public and private).
recent years has consistently pointed to falling
prices and more affordable ICT services. However,
The great majority of people in the developing
in 2015, in many of the worlds poorest countries,
countries, in particular those in rural and
services remain unaffordable. Broadband Internet
remote areas, do not have access to the fixed-
prices, in particular, remain high and unaffordable
telephone network. Fixed networks have been
in the great majority of LDCs, and policies must
overtaken by mobilecellular networks, in terms
be geared towards bringing down prices if more
both of geographical coverage and number of
people are to join the information society.
subscriptions.11 In a few countries, the mobile
network has entirely replaced the traditional
fixed-line network.12 This shift is confirmed by
the growth in mobile traffic, with mobile voice
call minutes largely outnumbering fixed voice
call minutes across developed and developing
countries. International voice call minutes remain
an exception, as more international calls continue
to be made over the fixed network, particularly
in developed countries. This is due to the often
20
As a % of GNI p.c.
15
10
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
25
20
15
USD
10
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
25
20
15
PPP$
10
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Note: * Data correspond to the GNI per capita (Atlas method) in 2013 or latest available year adjusted with the international inflation rates.
** Country not ranked because data on GNI p.c. are not available for the last five years.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. and PPP$ values are based on World Bank data.
30
25
As a % of GNI p.c.
20
15
10
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
35
30
25
USD
20
15
10
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
35
30
25
20
PPS$
15
10
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Note: Simple averages. Based on 140 economies for which data on mobile-cellular prices were available for 2008-2014.
Source: ITU.
Note: * Data correspond to the GNI per capita (Atlas method) in 2013 or latest available year adjusted with the international inflation rates.
** Country not ranked because data on GNI p.c. are not available for the last five years.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. and PPP$ values are based on World Bank data.
50
As a % of GNI p.c.
40
30
20 17.91
10
3.63 3.82 3.60 3.90
0 1.47
Africa Arab States Asia & Pacic CIS Europe The Americas
80
70
60
50
PPP$
40
30
27.45
25.93 24.36
20 19.89 19.47
14.63
10
0
Africa Arab States Asia & Pacic CIS Europe The Americas
90
80
70
60
50
USD
40
30
23.16
20 18.80
12.74 14.07 12.18
10
7.81
0
Africa Arab States Asia & Pacic CIS Europe The Americas
Ghanas mobile-cellular market has witnessed a decade of sustained growth. In 2012, the country
reached 100 per cent penetration and by 2014, penetration stood at 115 per cent, well above the
African average of 73 per cent.
Ghana was an early adopter of deregulation, and competition goes back to the mid-1990s. It
was one of the first countries to offer mobile-cellular services in 1992.19 In 2015, this country
of 27 million people is serviced by no less than six mobile cellular operators, including five
GSM operators: South Africas MTN (Scancom), the United Kingdoms Vodafone, Luxembourgs
Millicom/Tigo, Nigerias Glo and Indias Bharti Airtel. MTN leads with a market share of 46 per
cent, followed by Vodafone (23 per cent), Tigo (14 per cent), Airtel (12 per cent) and Glo (5
per cent). Sudatel-owned Expresso, providing CDMA services, holds 0.4 per cent of the mobile
voice market.20 Operators offer a number of low-user adjusted pricing plans and special offers in
particular to attract Ghanas low-income user base.
Another driving force for competition was the introduction of mobile number portability (MNP) in
2011. MNP allows subscribers to switch between operators while keeping their existing number.
In February 2015, the independent regulator (NCA) announced that the milestone of 2 million
successful porting requests processed for Ghana consumers had been reached. The same
announcement highlighted the fact that 95 per cent of all porting requests were completed in
five minutes or less, and no customer was charged to port their number.21
The NCA has effectively managed interconnection between operators, spectrum allocation
and access to the international gateway.22 The Government has identified national ICT policies
setting out means for regulating telecommunication prices, and set a number of targets for
universal service and access and for quality of service, with provisions to monitor progress
towards the achievement of these targets.23 A 2014 review of 23 universal service funds (USFs)
in Africa commends Ghana for its transparency and use of best practice in the development and
administration of its fund (GSMA, 2014b).
Source: ITU.
market in 2011 turned the market inside out, Americas. Nevertheless, prices relative to GNI p.c.
from a predominantly postpaid to a dynamic levels are below 5 per cent in most countries in
prepaid-led mobile market (Superintendencia de the region, so that mobile-cellular services are
Telecomunicaciones, Costa Rica, 2014). On the already moderately affordable in most countries.
other hand, in the United States (prepaid-mobile Countries where mobile-cellular prices correspond
basket at USD 35.6 per month), fewer than 25 per to more than 5 per cent of GNI p.c. include
cent of total subscriptions are prepaid and most Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, Haiti and Nicaragua.
innovative offers are for all-bundled postpaid In these countries, policy and regulatory attention
family plans.24 In PPP terms, most countries in should be focused on achieving lower mobile-
the region have prices in the range PPP$ 15 cellular prices, particularly in Belize and Haiti,
PPP$ 35, and the average is the highest of all the countries with the lowest mobile-cellular
regions, which suggests that there is scope for penetration in the region.
further reductions in mobile-cellular prices in the
Note: Based on 165 economies for which 2013 data on fixed-broadband prices were available. *The high maximum value for Africa is due to a few
outliers, in particular the very high price for fixed broadband in the Central African Republic.
Source: ITU.
412.2 254.0
150
130
As a % of GNI p.c.
110
97.7
90
70
50
29.4
30
20.8
10 1.4
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
188.4 122.6
100
90
80
70
60 56.9
USD
50
40
32.5
30 30.4
25.8
20
10
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
415.8 291.9
250
200
150
PPP$
129.5
100
63.6
50 52.3
26.8
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Note: * Data correspond to the GNI per capita (Atlas method) in 2013 or latest available year adjusted with the international inflation rates.
** Country not ranked because data on GNI p.c. are not available for the last five years.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. and PPP$ values are based on World Bank data.
A key factor in the success of Romanias affordable and fast Internet access has been the countrys
Neighborhood Networks, a unique networking scheme that has been developed to overcome
limited broadband connectivity. Until Romtelecom, Romanias incumbent telecommunication
provider, launched DSL services relatively late (in 2005), small, low-cost local area networks
(LANs) run by small Internet service providers (ISPs) emerged to satisfy user demand and to
connect homes within a neighbourhood. Networks are often deployed using aerial fibre resulting
in very high connection speeds. As more people joined these networks, they expanded to cover
most urban spaces, and the large number of LANs has increased competition and brought
down prices. Consequently, and unlike many countries where the incumbent provider has wide
command over the market, broadband service providers in Romania remain diverse, with intra-
and inter-modal competition (Broadband Commission, 2012b). Also, by contrast with most
European countries, where the fixed-broadband market is dominated by DSL, most subscriptions
in Romania are based on FTTH/B technology.
While broadband services in Romania are fast and cheap, the country has a mediocre fixed-
broadband penetration rate (18.5 per cent in 2014, compared to the European average of 29
per cent). One important challenge that remains for Romania with regard to fixed broadband
connectivity concerns the rural areas. Neighbourhood Networks are concentrated in urban
areas, and many rural areas have little or no broadband coverage. The fixed telephone network
is also concentrated in urban areas, which hampers the deployment of rural DSL services.
Finally, very low population density and lower income levels in rural areas have made it more
difficult to attract investors. In response, Romania, in cooperation with the European Regional
Development Fund (ERDF) has initiated the Ro-NET Project, which is expected to cover 783 out of
2268 Romanian localities that lack fixed-broadband connectivity. The project is expected to help
reduce Romanias digital urban/rural divide and to bring the Internet closer to around 130000
households with 400000 inhabitants, 500 businesses and 2800 public institutions.27
Source: ITU.
In terms of the cap (the monthly data allowance and the cap for each region are provided in Charts
included in the basic fixed-broadband plan 4.8-4.11 below.
considered by ITU), there were also relatively few
changes between 2013 and 2014. In over two-
thirds (70 per cent) of countries, the basic entry- Regional fixed-broadband prices
level fixed-broadband basket in 2014 offered an
unlimited data allowance, compared to 65 per Regional comparisons can help identify the
cent of countries in 2013. A very limited number strengths, weaknesses and dynamics that
of countries saw a decrease in the cap, and in characterize ICT prices in different parts of the
about 20 countries, the cap increased. More world. At the same time, fixed-broadband prices
detailed information on the differences in speeds vary greatly not only between but also within
regions (Table 4.3). Major differences in terms of
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Note: Based on 144 economies for which 20082014 data on fixed-broadband prices were available.
Source: ITU.
average prices point to the limitations of regional None of the European countries offer fixed-
averages and the need to look at and understand broadband services at the minimum threshold of
intra-regional and country-level prices. 256 kbit/s (Chart 4.8). Only Poland offers a 512
kbit/s plan, and 1 Mbit/s plans are on offer in
Europe clearly remains the region with the most Turkey, Spain, Slovenia, Montenegro and Albania.
affordable prices in terms of GNI p.c. It is also All other countries offer plans of at least 2 Mbit/s
the region with the least pronounced differences and half of the European countries included in the
between countries. By 2014, the basic fixed- data collection offer speeds of 7 Mbit/s or higher.
broadband connection in Europe represented 1.3 Very high speeds of 100 Mbit/s are advertised
per cent of GNI p.c. High-speed Internet access is in Romania, Lithuania and Ireland. The most
most affordable for people in the United Kingdom, common entry-level fixed-broadband speed in the
Switzerland and Austria. In countries with the region is 5 Mbit/s.
least affordable service (Serbia, The Former
Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Montenegro Although Europe has one of the most developed
and Hungary), the average price of the plan telecommunication markets, with high access
represented between 2.2 and 3.5 per cent of GNI and usage levels and relatively low ICT prices,
p.c. In all other European countries, it represented the region does not have a particularly high
2 per cent or less of average GNI p.c. This makes percentage of countries with unlimited basic fixed-
Europe the only region in which all countries have broadband plans compared to the global average.
reached the Broadband Commission target of In Europe, two-thirds (66 per cent) of countries
offering basic fixed-broadband services for a price have entry-level fixed-broadband plans that are
below 5 per cent of GNI p.c. (see also Box 4.5). unlimited, compared to over 70 per cent globally.
At the same time, only three countries (Turkey,
Although Europe offers its citizens the most Albania and Montenegro) offer the minimum cap
affordable fixed-broadband prices, it does not of 1 Gigabit (GB).
have the cheapest fixed-broadband prices in terms
of USD or PPP$ (Chart 4.3). The fixed-broadband The CIS stands out for having the cheapest fixed-
basket costs on average USD 25.8, more than twice broadband services in terms of USD and PPP$.
as much as in the CIS but less than in the other There are relatively small price variations within
ITU regions. In terms of PPP-adjusted prices, the the region, and fixed-broadband services are
service costs on average PPP$ 26, slightly more relatively affordable in most countries. The regions
than in the CIS but less than in the Americas, Asia 2014 fixed-broadband basket average stands at
and the Pacific, the Arab States and Africa. 3.6 per cent of GNI p.c., more than twice as high
as Europes but much lower than any of the other
By early 2015, a total of 111 countries, including all of the worlds developed countries and 67
developing countries, had achieved that target (Chart Box 4.5, left). This result, which is based on
comparable fixed- and mobile-broadband prices for 160 economies worldwide, further highlights
the fact that mobile-broadband services tend to be cheaper. While 102 countries had achieved
the Commissions target in terms of fixed-broadband prices, 105 countries had achieved it in
terms of mobile-broadband prices. While currently only a limited number of countries have
achieved the broadband target thanks lower mobile-broadband prices, this is liable to change in
the near future. With mobile-broadband service prices continuing to fall, while in many countries
fixed-broadband service prices are seeing little change,29 mobile broadband is expected to help
more countries achieve the target.
The available data also show that the global average price of a basic fixed-broadband plan (52.3
PPP$) is 1.7 times higher than the average price of a comparable mobile-broadband plan (30
PPP$). In developing countries, the average monthly fixed-broadband price (74.5 PPP$) is three
times higher than in developed countries (PPP$ 22.5) (Chart Box 4.5, right).
Chart Box 4.5: Number of countries in 2014 that had achieved the Broadband Commission
target to make broadband affordable (left), and fixed- and mobile-broadband prices compared,
PPP$, 2014 (right)
30.1
Number of countries
Postpaid
computer-based 16.3
mobile broadband
43 (1GB) 35.3
1 52.3
Postpaid
35 32 xed-broadband 22.5
(1GB)
12 5 10 11 11 74.5
0-2 2-5 5-8 8-10 10-20 20-30 >30 0 20 40 60 80
2014 broadband prices as a % of GNI p.c. 2014 broadband prices in PPP$*
Note: + Either fixed broadband or mobile broadband. *Based on simple averages including data for 160 countries.
Source: ITU.
500 1000
400 800
300 600
200 400
100 187.5
91.2 200
38.5 25.8 31.4 39.5
37.4 11.1 62.1 43.1 24.7 26.1
0 0
Africa Arab Asia & CIS Europe Americas Africa Arab Asia & CIS Europe Americas
States Pacic States Pacic
Country value Regional average
Note: Each horizontal dash represents the price in one country in the region. The yellow marks signal the regional average.
Source: ITU.
Chart 4.8: Fixed-broadband prices as a percentage of GNI p.c., broadband speeds and caps in Europe,
2014
Unlimited
30 GB cap
1 GB cap
4.0 256 kbit/s
3.5 >256 kbits -1 Mbit/s
>1-5 Mbit/s
Unlimited
15 GB cap
>5-50 Mbit/s
Unlimited
As a % of GNI p.c.
3.0
2 GB cap
Unlimited
>50 Mbit/s
1 GB cap
300 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
2.5 N/A
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
5 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
1 GB cap
100 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
2.0
Unlimited
Unlimited
30 GB cap
5 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
2 GB cap
10 GB cap
Unlimited
1.5
2 GB cap
1.0
0.5
0.0
Belgium
Sweden
Finland
Ireland
Iceland
United Kingdom
Slovenia
Bulgaria
France
Slovakia
Bosnia and H
Luxembourg
Netherlands
Serbia
Poland
Israel
Lithuania
Malta
Portugal
Albania
TFYR Macedonia
Spain
Estonia
Croatia
Switzerland
Andorra
Romania
Austria
Denmark
Cyprus
Latvia
Greece
Czech Republic
Montenegro
Turkey
Italy
Germany
Hungary
Norway
Note: Broadband speeds and caps/month refer to the advertised speeds and the amount of data included in the entry-level fixed-broadband subscrip-
tion.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
regions. Average USD prices for fixed-broadband 2014 fixed-broadband subbaskets represent 5.5
services are particularly low in the CIS and stood and 10.7 per cent of GNI p.c., respectively. Apart
at USD 11.1 as at 2014, much lower than in any from this, the CIS region has managed to make
of the other regions. PPP-adjusted prices in the entry-level fixed-broadband services relatively
CIS stood at PPP$ 24.7, compared to PPP$ 26.1 in affordable. They are most affordable in the Russian
Europe and close to PPP$ 40 in the Americas and Federation, Kazakhstan and Ukraine, where the
in Asia and the Pacific (Chart 4.7). fixed-broadband basket represents 0.7, 1.1 and 1.1
per cent of GNI p.c., respectively (Chart 4.9).
In terms of GNI p.c., differences within the region
are relatively small, except for Moldova and Seven of the 11 CIS countries for which fixed-
Kyrgyzstan. Although the costs of fixed-broadband broadband prices are available offer unlimited
services in these two countries are not particularly data plans, and the Russian basket includes 100
high in terms of USD values, incomes remain GB of free data allowance. Only Turkmenistan and
relatively low and Moldovas and Kyrgyzstans
Unlimited
.
12 256 kbit/s
>256 kbits -1 Mbit/s
10 >1-5 Mbit/s
>5-50 Mbit/s
As a % of GNI p.c.
Unlimited
>50 Mbit/s
1.2 GB cap
Unlimited
8 N/A
1 GB cap
Unlimited
6
Unlimited
Unlimited
100 GB cap
10 GB cap
4 Unlimited
0
Kazakhstan
Uzbekistan
Azerbaijan
Kyrgyzstan
Russian Federation
Turkmenistan
Moldova
Armenia
Georgia
Ukraine
Belarus
Note: Broadband speeds and caps/month refer to the advertised speeds and the amount of data included in the entry-level fixed-broadband subscrip-
tion.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
Uzbekistan offer minimum data allowances of 1 fixed-broadband services, with prices in 2014
GB. representing 35.9 and 63.5 per cent of GNI p.c.
respectively (Chart 4.10).
The most common entry-level fixed-broadband
speed in the CIS region is 2 Mbit/s, and only The fixed-broadband basket costs on average USD
Uzbekistans basic fixed-broadband service is 31.4, or PPP$ 39.5, more than in Europe and the
limited to 256 kbit/s. Speeds are much higher (10 CIS region but less than in Asia and the Pacific,
Mbit/s or above) in Moldova, Russia and Georgia, the Arab States and Africa. While there are some
and in all three countries the basic connection important differences in USD values, the PPP-
speed increased markedly between 2013 and adjusted values show less variation, highlighting
2014. In Moldova, the speed increased from 20 the stark differences in GNI p.c. levels between
to 30 Mbit/s, while the service also became more countries within the region (Chart 4.7).
affordable.
The Americas region has the highest percentage of
In the Americas, the average price of the fixed- countries offering basic fixed-broadband services
broadband basket represents 7.4 per cent of with unlimited data caps: 33 out of 35 countries
GNI p.c., but that figure conceals large variations offer subscribers no limits on data for their basic
within the region. The region is home to countries monthly subscription. Caps are applied only in
where fixedbroadband services are among the Canada (40 GB) and Uruguay (5 GB).
worlds most affordable: in the United States,
Trinidad and Tobago and Canada, fixed-broadband While unlimited data plans in the region give
prices represent 1 per cent or less of GNI p.c., Internet users an advantage compared to other
and more than half the countries included in the regions, speeds are relatively limited. The most
data collection, among them Uruguay, Brazil, popular advertised speed is 1 Mbit/s and basic
Venezuela, Chile and Mexico, offer a service at plans in nine countries, including Cuba,30 Bolivia,
prices corresponding to less than 5 per cent of Honduras and Trinidad and Tobago, offer either
GNI p. c. Elsewhere in the region, on the other 256 kbit/s or 512 kbit/s connections. Only
hand, the service remains relatively unaffordable. Suriname, Barbados, Canada, Mexico and Chile
In the Central American countries of Honduras, offer basic fixed-broadband services with speeds
Belize and Nicaragua, the fixed-broadband basket of above 2 Mbit/s.
value stood at between 12 and 16 per cent of
GNI p.c. Cuba and Haiti had the least affordable
Unlimited
36 63
20 256 kbit/s
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
18
Unlimited
>256 kbits -1 Mbit/s
16 >1-5 Mbit/s
As a % of GNI p.c.
14 >5-50 Mbit/s
Unlimited
>50 Mbit/s
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
12
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
N/A
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
10
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
8 Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
40 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
5 GB cap
6
Unlimited
4
2
0
St. Lucia
Guatemala
Nicaragua
Canada
Venezuela
Costa Rica
Colombia
Peru
Guyana
Haiti
Trinidad & Tobago
Brazil
Panama
Dominican Rep.
Grenada
Cuba
Bahamas
Barbados
Chile
Honduras
Belize
St. Kitts and Nevis
Suriname
Mexico
El Salvador
Uruguay
Paraguay
United States
Ecuador
Note: Broadband speeds and caps/month refer to the advertised speeds and the amount of data included in the entry-level fixed-broadband subscrip-
tion.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
In the Arab States, the average relative and fixedbroadband services with unlimited data
absolute prices for fixed-broadband services volumes. Data caps are applied in Egypt (5 GB),
conceal wide variations within the region, in Bahrain (25 GB) and Lebanon (40 GB), but have
part due to the major differences that exist increased significantly since 2013 in all three
between the regions high-income oilexporting countries.
countries and the rest. Fixed-broadband services
in the region cost on average USD37.4, but the The most common entry-level fixed-broadband
PPPadjusted price is a high PPP$ 62.1 (Chart 4.7). speed in the region is 265 kbit/s, offered in
This reflects somewhat higher relative prices for Mauritania, Yemen, Djibouti, Iraq, Somalia and
the service but also the very high price in Iraq, Syria. Only in Egypt and Morocco are the basic
an outlier in the region, with some of the worlds fixed-broadband plans advertised at speeds of
highest fixed-broadband prices in both USD and above 2 Mbit/s.
PPP$. In terms of PPP$, Iraq has the highest prices
outside Africa. Asia and the Pacific is one of the most diverse
regions in the world by many criteria (income,
Fixed-broadband services have become very population, languages, and so on), and this
affordable in the wealthy Gulf Cooperation Council diversity is also reflected in the absolute and
(GCC) States of Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, Saudi relative prices paid by citizens for fixed-broadband
Arabia, Oman and the UAE, where the fixed- services. It is home to economies with the most
broadband basket represents less than 2 per cent affordable fixedbroadband services, including
of GNI p.c. With a fixed-broadband basket value of Macao (China), Japan, Hong Kong (China) and
1.7 per cent of GNI p.c., Tunisia has also brought Singapore, where the price of the fixedbroadband
down prices to a relatively affordable level. The basket represents less than 1 per cent of GNI p.c.
price of the service corresponds to less than 5 per Prices have become relatively affordable and lie
cent of GNI p.c. in Libya, Lebanon, Sudan, Egypt, below 5 per cent of GNI p.c. in about half the
Algeria and Morocco. In Iraq and Comoros, the countries in the region, including Indonesia, China,
service remains unaffordable, representing 34.5 Thailand and Pakistan. India and Bangladesh, both
and 71.3 per cent of the respective average GNI with a fixed-broadband basket value of 5.3, are
p.c. levels (Chart 4.11). very close to this target. Countries with the least
affordable basket include the regions LDCs, Lao
More than half of the Arab States, including Peoples Democratic Republic and Cambodia, and
Morocco, Tunisia, Oman and Algeria, offer basic many SIDS, where the high cost of international
Unlimited
71
40 256 kbit/s
Unlimited
35 >256 kbits -1 Mbit/s
>1-5 Mbit/s
As a % of GNI p.c.
30 >5-50 Mbit/s
>50 Mbit/s
Unlimited
25 N/A
9 GB cap
20
10 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
15
40 GB cap
5 GB cap
20 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
2 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
25 GBcap
10
5
0
Tunisia
Lebanon
Bahrain
Algeria
Iraq
Saudi Arabia
Sudan
Libya
Kuwait
Jordan
Yemen
Qatar
Oman
Mauritania
Egypt
United Arab Emirates
Comoros
Morocco
Note: Broadband speeds and caps/month refer to the advertised speeds and the amount of data included in the entry-level fixed-broadband subscrip-
tion.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
Internet bandwidth often keeps retail prices very including Indonesia and Lao Peoples Democratic
high. In the Solomon Islands and Kiribati, the price Republic, offer speeds of 512 kbit/s.
of a fixed-broadband connection represents more
than twice the average GNI p.c. In Afghanistan, Less than half the entry-level fixed-broadband
Papua New Guinea, and Vanuatu, prices also plans in Asia and the Pacific offer unlimited data
remain very high in terms of GNI p.c., and services download volumes. Most of the countries without
remain largely unaffordable (Chart 4.12). caps are high-income economies with developed
Internet markets, including Singapore, Hong
The Asia and the Pacific region has the second Kong (China), the Republic of Korea and Macao
highest average fixed-broadband prices in USD, at (China), but also include China, Cambodia and the
USD 38.5. This average hides important differences Philippines. Some SIDS, including Micronesia and
within the region, including some outliers (Kiribati Vanuatu, do not have caps but do have relatively
and Solomon Islands), where USD fixed-broadband low speeds (256 kbit/s). Japan (900 GB), New
prices are very high, at between USD 225 and 295. Zealand (80 GB) and Australia (50 GB) have entry-
In terms of PPPadjusted prices, the regional fixed- level fixed-broadband plans with relatively high
broadband basket stands at PPP$ 43.1, with similar caps compared to the most restricted caps applied
intraregional differences in prices (Chart 4.7). in Papua New Guinea, Viet Nam and India.
Fixed-broadband speeds in the Asia and the Pacific Africa has few countries with affordable entry-
region vary as much as prices. While the most level fixed-broadband plans and many where the
common entry-level fixed-broadband speed in the service remains beyond the reach of most people.
region is 2 Mbit/s, there are important differences Six African countries Seychelles, South Africa,
between countries. Hong Kong (China), Singapore Mauritius, Gabon, Cabo Verde and Botswana
and the Republic of Korea have basic broadband offer basic fixed-broadband plans at prices
plans offering speeds of 200 Mbit/s, 100 Mbit/s corresponding to 5 per cent or less of average
and 50 Mbit/s, respectively. Speeds in Japan, GNI p.c. In most countries, the price of the service
Australia, Thailand and Fiji exceed 6 Mbit/s. Four represents more than ten per cent of GNI p.c. In
developing economies (Micronesia, Bangladesh, almost half of the African LDCs,31 including Uganda,
the Islamic Republic of Iran and Vanuatu) offer the Rwanda and the Central African Republic, the price
minimum 256 kbit/s, and several other countries, actually exceeds average GNI p.c. levels. Very high
6 GB cap
Unlimited
18
Unlimited
1 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
12 GB cap
>256 kbits -1 Mbit/s
Unlimited
3 GB cap
Unlimited
>1-5 Mbit/s
Unlimited
16
>5-50 Mbit/s
7 GB cap
Unlimited
As a % of GNI p.c.
14 >50 Mbit/s
5 GB cap
Unlimited
12 N/A
1.5 GB cap
10
2 GB cap
5 GB cap
10 GB cap
4 GB cap
Unlimited
8
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
5 GB cap
2.5 GB cap
Unlimited
80 GB cap
Unlimited
6 1 GB cap
50 GB cap
900 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
2 GB cap
Unlimited
4
2
0
Macao, China
Brunei Darussalam
Malaysia
India
Bangladesh
Marshall Islands
Afghanistan
Japan
Iran (I.R.)
Australia
Singapore
Korea (Rep.)
Sri Lanka
New Zealand
Viet Nam
Mongolia
Maldives
Indonesia
China
Thailand
Pakistan
Bhutan
Fiji
Philippines
Tonga
Tuvalu
Nepal
Lao P.D.R.
Micronesia
Cambodia
Samoa
Vanuatu
Papua New Guinea
Kiribati
Solomon Islands
Hong Kong, China
Timor-Leste
Note: Broadband speeds and caps/month refer to the advertised speeds and the amount of data included in the entry-level fixed-broadband subscrip-
tion.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
Chart 4.13: Fixed-broadband prices as a percentage of GNI p.c., broadband speeds and caps, in Africa,
2014
111 168 214 601 831 2194
Unlimited
100
Unlimited
Unlimited
256 kbit/s
Unlimited
Unlimited
2 GB cap
80 >1-5 Mbit/s
As a % of GNI p.c.
>5-50 Mbit/s
70
Unlimited
>50 Mbit/s
Unlimited
Unlimited
Unlimited
N/A
Unlimited
60
Unlimited
10 GB cap
Unlimited
2 GB cap
50
12 GB cap
Unlimited
6 GB cap
40
20 GB cap
5 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
30
Unlimited
3.4 GB cap
2 GB cap
Unlimited
1 GB cap
Unlimited
Unlimited
1.5GB cap
2 GB cap
20
10
0
Central African Rep.
Kenya
Mali
South Africa
Gambia
Burundi
Uganda
Chad
Botswana
Namibia
South Sudan
Equatorial Guinea
Swaziland
Nigeria
Tanzania
Senegal
Zambia
Rwanda
Ghana
Guinea-Bissau
Eritrea
Angola
Ethiopia
Cameroon
Benin
Sierra Leone
Malawi
Congo (Rep.)
Seychelles
Mauritius
Cape Verde
Mozambique
Lesotho
Zimbabwe
Burkina Faso
Togo
Cte d'Ivoire
Madagascar
Niger
Note: Broadband speeds and caps/month refer to the advertised speeds and the amount of data included in the entry-level fixed-broadband subscrip-
tion.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
prices in the region go hand in hand with very low economies, will deter the great majority of citizens
fixed-broadband penetration levels (Chart 4.13). from subscribing to the service.
Africa is also the region with the highest prices Minimum broadband speed offers remain the most
in terms of USD as well as PPP$-adjusted prices popular for entry-level fixed-broadband plans in
(Chart 4.7). The high relative and absolute prices, Africa. Almost 30 per cent of African countries offer
particularly in a number of very low-income speeds of 256 kbit/s, and close to 20 per cent of
countries have 512 kbit/s plans. Advertised speeds
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2014 2012 2014 2012 2014 2012 2014 2012
Add-on package
Prepaid
Handset-based Pay as you go
Postpaid
Mobile Bundle
broadband
Source: ITU.
packages are automatically renewed at the end The variety of pricing schemes and the dynamism
of the validity period, making them very similar of the mobile-broadband market are reflected in
in practice to postpaid plans, except that the prices, which in this market are far more volatile
customer has no commitment period and can opt than for other telecommunication services. This
out without a penalty. is not only the result of changes in the monthly
data allowance (e.g. customers paying more in
For postpaid handset-based mobile-broadband exchange for larger data allowances), but also of
plans, the data consumption can be part of a frequent pricing scheme revision by operators.
monthly bundle including voice and SMS, and yet Indeed, mobile-broadband prices per MB
be cheaper than any other data-only offers.38 In fluctuated by more than 30 per cent during the
most cases, however, the cheapest option when period 2012-2014 in half of the countries for which
considering only the cost of Internet access is to data was available (Chart 4.15). By contrast, in only
take a data-only package that can be added to any one out of four countries did those prices vary by
regular postpaid plan, or to combine several such less than 10 per cent during the same period. This
data-only packages to reach the desired monthly illustrates the fact that stability is the exception
allowance.
% countries
25
20 20
15 15
10 10
5 5
0 0
<2 2-10 10-30 30-60 60-100 >100 <2 2-10 10-30 30-60 60-100 >100
25 % countries 25
20 20
15 15
10 10
5 5
0 0
<2 2-10 10-30 30-60 60-100 >100 <2 2-10 10-30 30-60 60-100 >100
rather the norm where mobile-broadband prices use, larger screen, more data consumption)
are concerned. than with handset-based mobile-broadband
services (individual use, smaller screen, less data
One of the main reasons for the frequent changes consumption), and, as a result, the uptake and
in mobile-broadband prices is the absence of clear pricing trends often differ.
market leaders in most countries. Unlike previous
telecommunication services, mobile broadband Mobile-broadband price trends need to be
started to grow strongly in a context of several analysed with caution, since the final price of each
consolidated mobile-cellular operators capable basket is highly sensitive to how well the pricing
of offering the service in each market. As a result, scheme of the dominant mobile-broadband
competition in mobile-broadband services has operator in each country fits the basket. As a
from the outset been strong, and leadership in result, year-to-year changes for a specific country
the mobile-cellular market has not always been may reflect changes in the data allowance of a
transferred (or at least not to the same extent) given package, or a change in the market leader
into the mobile-broadband market.39 and consequent application of a different pricing
scheme, rather than actual changes in the overall
The differing types of mobile-broadband service pricing levels. For these reasons, the analysis of
may, moreover, lead to sub-segmentation of mobile-broadband price trends presented in the
the market, so that, for instance, the operator following section is limited to general trends, since
with more handset-based subscriptions may be robust pricing-trend indications can be extracted
different from the one with more computer- only at an aggregated level.
based subscriptions.40 Indeed, computer-based
mobile-broadband services have more in
common with fixed-broadband services (shared
36.9
Prepaid 2013 26.0
26.9
computer-based 19.2
26.7
22.1
Prepaid 2013 17.7
19.5
handset-based 18.3
13.1
(500MB) 2014 13.7
15.5
14.2
23.0
Postpaid 2013 17.6
18.9
handset-based 18.0
(500MB) 14.2
2014 14.5
15.8
14.9
0 10 20 30 40
USD
50.8
Postpaid 2013 17.3
31.5
37.3
computer-based 37.9
(1GB) 2014 15.9
32.7
27.8
63.5
Prepaid 2013 29.3
40.5
45.0
computer-based 34.8
(1GB) 2014 22.1
35.8
31.8
39.2
Prepaid 2013 19.8
27.2
30.3
handset-based 25.0
(500MB) 2014 15.4
24.5
21.9
36.7
Postpaid 2013 19.0
26.2
29.1
handset-based 26.6
(500MB) 2014 16.4
25.7
23.0
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
PPP$
31.6
Postpaid 2013 1.0
8.9
12.2
computer-based 23.4
(1GB) 2014 0.9 9.8
7.2
37.6
Prepaid 2013 1.9
14.0
10.4
computer-based 21.5
(1GB) 2014 1.4
9.5
7.1
23.6
Prepaid 2013 1.1
9.1
6.7
handset-based 15.2
(500MB) 2014 0.8
6.5
4.8 LDCs
22.4
Developing
Postpaid 2013 0.9
6.5
8.8
Developed
handset-based 16.3 World
(500MB) 2014 0.8
6.9
5.1
0 10 20 30 40
% GNI p.c.
Note: Simple averages. Based on 119 economies for which 2013 and 2014 data on mobile-broadband prices were available for the four types of data
plan. The respective averages include: 22 LDCs, 84 developing countries and 35 developed countries.
Source: ITU.
The answer is: it depends. Data consumption varies considerably according to the type of Internet
activity. Sending a basic WhatsApp message may consume 20 kB, but streaming a high-quality
video may require 7000 kB per minute. Internet activities with low data consumption include
browsing webpages with low graphical content, posting a text message in a social network or
sharing a low-resolution image or a text file. Internet activities that are more data-hungry include
music, radio and video streaming, Skype audio and video calls, and exchanging high-quality
pictures or files with rich graphical content.
Figure Box 4.6 provides examples of what a user can do with a mobile-broadband plan with
either 500 MB or 1 GB per month.41 It shows that a 500 MB per month allowance enables only
modest use of data-hungry Internet applications, which in many cases are those with the greatest
development potential. The analysis also highlights the fact that data consumption depends not
only on the type of mobile application used, but also on the level of quality selected. In addition,
more information can be delivered to the smaller screen of a mobile phone than to a computer
screen, which, being considerably larger, requires more data if the user is to perceive a similar
image quality as on the mobile screen. In real terms, this is what 500 MB per month the smaller
of the packages for which ITU collects price data will allow for:
Streaming: Users can watch 140 minutes of standard quality Internet video (i.e. 4.5 minutes
per day per month) and listen to 190 minutes of radio streams (6.3 minutes per day).
A user preferring to stream high quality video and audio will find the said amounts reduced to
65 minutes (2.2 minutes per day) of radio and 60 minutes (2 minutes per day) of video.
M-learning: A student can watch 320 minutes of school courses (i.e. review materials of
two school subjects at Grade 4)42, at the rate of a little over ten minutes per day, and do the
corresponding tests from home. In addition, the students parents could watch two hours of
an e-learning course on child nutrition (about one-third of the total duration of the course).43
M-health: A doctor can carry out 70 minutes of remote visits (involving a video conversation
via Skype) per month (2 minutes per day) and send/receive five medical images to/from
medical specialists in a hospital located in another town.44
Apart from the monthly data allowance, other characteristics of the plan need to be considered
when determining which services are effectively enabled by mobile broadband. For instance,
streaming a video would require 500 kbit/s of download speed, which is more than the transfer
rates achieved by UMTS. A Skype call would need only 100 kbit/s upload/download speeds, but
would on the other hand require low latency (i.e. no transmission delay).45
All these factors need to be taken into consideration in the cost-benefit analysis and when
assessing the potential impact of mobile broadband on social and economic development.
Figure Box 4.3: Mobile-broadband data usage examples, 500 MB and 1 GB per month
Internet video (std-quality): 190 mins Remote video consultation: 150 mins
Radio Streaming (std-quality):230 mins 9 medical images (avg. radiography,
Skype video calls: 90 mins echography, scanner, MRI)
or 1 GB or
per month School m-learning courses: 480 mins
Internet video (High-quality): 120 mins
Radio Streaming (high-quality):130 mins Adult e-learning (large screen
std-resolution): 180 mins
Source: ITU.
In those countries where prices decreased, For instance, postpaid handset-based mobile-
price reductions were strong (most of them broadband plans with 500MB per month cost
corresponding to a price drop of over 30 per less than USD 30 in Cyprus, Denmark and Israel
cent in local currency). (Table 4.7), highlighting the fact that the prices
offered for postpaid plans in these countries are
Conversely, in those countries where prices far more competitive. In the United States, prepaid
rose, the increases were more moderate (in and postpaid mobile-broadband plans include
most cases below 30 per cent). This explains unlimited voice and text and are offered on LTE
the overall decrease in the average mobile- networks, thus allowing for higher speeds. These
broadband prices. differences are often linked to the different trends
in mobile-cellular markets: in most developed
These findings hold true for all types of mobile- countries, mobile plans are predominantly
broadband plan and provide a more nuanced postpaid and data services are contracted as
overview of the mobile-broadband price trends. A part of large bundles, whereas in the majority of
more detailed analysis requires the examination of developing countries prepaid is by far the most
country data, and is presented in the next section common mode of contracting mobile services and
on the basis of the 2014 mobile-broadband prices. all-inclusive bundles are the exception.
The analysis of the 2014 mobile-broadband prices The price of a computer-based mobile-broadband
shows that the cost of a prepaid handset-based plan with 1GB per month also varies widely
mobile-broadband plan with a 500MB monthly across countries: from USD 3 in Cambodia and Sri
data allowance ranged from less than USD 2 in Lanka to more than USD 50 in several developing
Pakistan and Bhutan to more than USD 40 in countries (Table 4.9 and Table 4.10). This is
several countries, including Denmark, Cyprus, particularly the case of prepaid computer-based
Israel and the United States (Table 4.8). This mobile-broadband plans, which cost more than
variation reflects differences in income and in the USD 50 in as many as 13 countries. These facts
mode of contracting mobile broadband, as well as tally with the finding that prepaid computer-based
the different characteristics of the services offered. plans tend to be introduced at a later stage in
Price10-30%
Price30-50%
Price 0-10%
Price10-30%
Price30-50%
Price 0-10%
Price50%
15 15
Price50%
10 10
5 5
% countries
% countries
0 0
5 5
54% of countries 55% of countries
10 no change in price 10 no change in price
Price 30-10%
Price 30-10%
Price50-30%
Price50-30%
Price50%
Price10-0%
Price10-0%
Price50%
15 15
Price30-50%
Price 0-10%
15 15
Price10-30%
Price30-50%
Price 0-10%
Price50%
Price50%
10 10
5 5
% countries
% countries
0 0
5 5
58% of countries 56% of countries
10 no change in price 10 no change in price
Price 30-10%
Price50-30%
Price50%
Price10-0%
Price 30-10%
Price50-30%
Price50%
Price10-0%
15 15
Note: Percentages are calculated on the basis of the total number of countries with price data for 2013 and 2014: 145 economies for postpaid hand-
set-based, 500MB; 153 economies for prepaid handset-based, 500MB; 149 economies for postpaid computer-based, 1GB; and 139 economies for
prepaid computer-based, 1GB.
Source: ITU.
mobile-broadband markets (Chart 4.14), and that based services tends also to have high prices for
price decreases therefore occur later than in other postpaid handset-based services, and vice versa.
mobile-broadband services.
The comparison of the prices for the different Regional mobile-broadband analysis
mobile-broadband plans shows that those
countries with low mobile-broadband prices The comparison of prices having regard to the
for a given service tend to have low mobile- purchasing power of local currencies makes it
broadband prices for the other services. Indeed, possible to highlight those countries that stand out
there is a strong link between the prepaid for having the lowest mobile-broadband prices in
and postpaid prices for handset-based mobile each region (Table 4.5). The following observations
broadband (correlation of 0.73 for PPP prices), as can be made based on the 2014 prices:
well as between prepaid and postpaid prices for
computer-based mobile broadband (correlation of The cheapest mobile-broadband prices in
0.76 for PPP prices). This means that, for instance, PPP$ are found in countries in Europe and in
a country with high prices for prepaid handset- Asia and the Pacific, for all mobile-broadband
services. Specific countries that stand out in offers some of the worlds least expensive
these regions and worldwide for having the handset-based mobile-broadband plans.
lowest mobile-broadband prices are Austria
The andaverage mobile-broadband
Lithuania, and Cambodia prices in the
and Sri Arab
Lanka, affordable.
The aggregate Indeed, the of
analysis average
pricescorresponds
in terms of
States region represent more than 5 per cent of
respectively. to
GNImore
p.c. than
(Table154.6)pershows
cent ofthat thethere
GNI p.c.
are for
large
GNI p.c. for all mobile-broadband services. The handset-based mobile broadband,
differences in affordability across and andwithin
about
fact Some
that the regionsinlow-income
countries the CIS andcountries
in the Africahave 30 per cent
regions. Theofresults
the GNI p.c. for
confirm Europe is
computer-based
that
similar mobile-broadband
region have remarkablyprices to those of the
low mobile-broadband mobile broadband.
the region with the Thismosthighlights
affordable the fact that
mobile-
high-income
prices, forcountries
examplemeans
Moldova thatforprices
both in terms mobile
broadbandbroadband is stilldifferences
prices, and not affordable
across in countries
most
of GNI p.c. inand
prepaid low-income
postpaid Arab States are mobile-
handset-based high and countries
in Europe of arethe Africa
small region,ofand
in terms GNIsuggests
p.c. Thisthatis
drivebroadband
the regions average up.
services, and Mozambique for current mobile-broadband usage for
largely explained by the high GNI p.c. levels in themost of
prepaid handset-based mobile-broadband Africas
region,49population
but also byisthe limited to cheaper
relatively plans
low mobile-
Africa region
The services. These stands out as theare
two countries region in of
examples in the market,
broadband withinlower
prices mostdata allowances
European or
countries.
which how mobile-broadband
competition can services are the least
drive mobile-broadband
prices down, even in a context in which The CIS region comes second in terms of the
Table 4.6: Average
investment mobile-broadband
is required to upgradeprices
networksand ranges
or bymost
region, as a percentage
affordable of GNI p.c.,prices,
mobile-broadband 2014 and
extend coverage.47,48
Region
Postpaid the average for all mobile-broadband
Prepaid Postpaid services Prepaid
handset-based 500MB handset-based 500MB computer-based 1GB computer-based 1GB
corresponds to less than 5 per cent of GNI
Min. Max. Average* Min. Max. Average* Min. Max. Average* Min. Max. Average*
Europe
There is no country
0.09
from
1.99
the Americas
0.81 0.14
that2.62
p.c., which
0.82 0.16
is 3.99
the affordability
0.90
target
0.16
set by the 1.56
17.46
CIS stands out for having
0.45 particularly
16.44 3.35 low mobile-
0.45 16.44 Broadband
3.70 0.57 Commission
16.44 4.83for Digital
0.57 Development
16.44 4.92
broadband prices
The Americas 0.85 as compared
32.80 4.55with0.59
those of
32.80 (Box 4.5).
4.39 0.37 Taking
32.80 into account
4.88 that GNI
0.49 p.c. levels
32.80 in
6.24
Asia other
& Pacificregions, although
0.17 30.54 Uruguay4.39 can be singled
0.26 27.99 the CIS
4.28 0.35region are not 7.53
68.80 particularly
0.49 high (on average,
55.99 6.77
Arab States 0.23 37.81 5.15 0.30 37.81 5.22
out as the country with the least expensive lower0.23
than in56.71
all regions 7.93
except0.38 37.81
for Africa), this 6.07
Africa 1.43 58.60 15.77 1.43 58.60 15.20 0.82 172.86 30.33 1.43 172.86 29.50
mobile-broadband prices for several mobile- finding illustrates the fact that most CIS countries
Note: *Simple averages based on 149 countries for which price data for all mobile-broadband services were available.
broadband services. The same finding applies
Source: ITU.
enjoy affordable mobile-broadband prices.
to the Arab States, except for Sudan, which
36
126 Chapter 4. Monitoring
Measuring the price
the Information andReport
Society affordability of ICTs
The average mobile-broadband prices in the Arab of GNI p.c. in low-income Arab States are high and
States region represent more than 5 per cent of drive the regions average up.
GNI p.c. for all mobile-broadband services. The
fact that the regions low-income countries have The Africa region stands out as the region in
similar mobile-broadband prices to those of the which mobile-broadband services are the least
high-income countries means that prices in terms affordable. Indeed, the average corresponds to
Chapter 4
Table
Table 4.6: Averagemobile-broadband
4.6: Average mobile-broadband prices
prices and
and ranges
ranges by by region,
region, as aaspercentage
a percentage of GNI
of GNI p.c.,p.c.,
2014 2014
Average prices in the Americas region represent metered offers, which greatly limit the potential
less than 5 per cent of GNI p.c. for all mobile- impact of mobile broadband.
broadband services, except for prepaid computer-
based mobile broadband. However, the range of The high prices in terms of GNI p.c. in the Africa
prices within this region is rather wide, pointing to region are largely explained by the low GNI p.c.
36 large
Chapterdifferences
4. Monitoring in
themobile
price andbroadband
affordability ofaffordability.
ICTs levels. For instance, Mozambique stands out in
the region as having the lowest mobile-broadband
The Asia-Pacific region has average prices that prices in PPP$ (Table 4.5), but in terms of GNI
correspond to less than 5 per cent of GNI p.c. for p.c., prices in the country correspond to more
handset-based mobile-broadband services, but than 5 per cent of the GNI p.c. for each mobile-
prices are above that threshold for computer- broadband basket, on account of the low GNI
based mobile broadband. Moreover, there are p.c. (USD 609 per year). Nevertheless, it is worth
large differences in prices as a percentage of GNI mentioning that prepaid handset-based mobile
p.c. within the region, particularly for computer- broadband is the mobile-broadband service
based mobile-broadband services. These findings that may have more of an impact in developing
suggest that providing affordable mobile- countries, and that in Mozambique the cost of
broadband access with large data allowances is still this service represents 6.3 per cent of GNI p.c.,
an issue in several countries within the region. which is close to the Broadband Commissions
affordability target of 5 per cent. This is already an
The average mobile-broadband prices in the Arab encouraging achievement for an LDC.
States region represent more than 5 per cent of
GNI p.c. for all mobile-broadband services. The A detailed regional analysis of prepaid handset-
fact that the regions low-income countries have based mobile-broadband prices as a percentage
similar mobile-broadband prices to those of the of GNI p.c. provides additional insights into
high-income countries means that prices in terms the affordability of the mobile-broadband
of GNI p.c. in low-income Arab States are high and service, which holds the greatest potential for
drive the regions average up. development. The reason for selecting this basket
(out of the four mobile-broadband services) is
The Africa region stands out as the region in that handset-based subscriptions are much more
which mobile-broadband services are the least widespread than computer-based subscriptions,
affordable. Indeed, the average corresponds and most handset-based subscriptions in the world
to more than 15 per cent of the GNI p.c. for are prepaid. This suggests that the affordability of
handset-based mobile broadband, and about prepaid handset-based mobile-broadband services
30 per cent of the GNI p.c. for computer-based will be a key enabling factor if the mobile miracle
mobile broadband. This highlights the fact that (i.e. the mass uptake of regular mobile-cellular
mobile broadband is still not affordable in most services) is to be replicated in the broadband
countries of the Africa region, and suggests that arena. Based on a regional comparison, the
current mobile-broadband usage for most of following points can be highlighted:
Africas population is limited to cheaper plans in
the market, with lower data allowances or time-
Chart 4.18: Prepaid handset-based mobile-broadband prices (500MB per month) as a percentage of
GNIp.c. in the Africa region, 2014
0.5 GB cap
59 91
50
2 GB cap
2 GB cap
3 GB cap
45
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1.2 GB cap
1 GB cap
40
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
As a % of GNI p.c.
35
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
30
0.6 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
25
0.5 GB cap
1.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.8 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
20
1 GB cap
0.7 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
15
0.5 GB cap
1 GB cap
10
5
0
Namibia
Swaziland
Malawi
South Africa
Gabon
Angola
Ghana
Botswana
Nigeria
Kenya
Gambia
Tanzania
South Sudan
Guinea
Senegal
Congo (Rep.)
Zambia
Benin
Ethiopia
Mali
Seychelles
Sierra Leone
Cape Verde
Mozambique
Burkina Faso
Cte d'Ivoire
Togo
Zimbabwe
S. Tome & Principe
Rwanda
Niger
Uganda
Lesotho
Madagascar
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
20
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1 GB cap
As a % of GNI p.c.
15
3 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
10
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
2 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
2 GB cap
1 GB cap
1 GB cap
1 GB cap
3 GB cap
Oman
Yemen
Bahrain
Mauritania
Algeria
Sudan
Tunisia
Lebanon
Saudi Arabia
Jordan
Morocco
United Arab Emirates
Egypt
Qatar
Kuwait
Comoros
Libya
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
Chart 4.20: Prepaid handset-based mobile-broadband prices (500MB per month) as a percentage of
GNIp.c. in the Asia-Pacific region, 2014
0.7 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1.5 GB cap
20
0.5 GB cap
2 GB cap
15
As a % of GNI p.c.
0.7 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
4 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
10
0.5 GB cap
1 GB cap
0.6 GB cap
2 GB cap
0.6 GB cap
0.7 GB cap
0.7 GB cap
0.7 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.6 GB cap
1 GB cap
0.8 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
2 GB cap
0.8 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1 GB cap
1 GB cap
2 GB cap
1 GB cap
0
Mongolia
Micronesia
Samoa
Kiribati
Fiji
Afghanistan
Viet Nam
Nepal
Vanuatu
Bhutan
Thailand
Iran (I.R.)
India
Lao P.D.R.
Macao, China
Cambodia
Bangladesh
Sri Lanka
Malaysia
Hong Kong, China
Brunei Darussalam
Pakistan
New Zealand
Timor-Leste
Philippines
Indonesia
Maldives
Solomon Islands
Singapore
Note: Japan and the Republic of Korea are not included in the comparison because more than 95 per cent of mobile subscriptions in these countries
are postpaid, with prepaid prices therefore being of little relevance.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
penetration rates above 20 per cent). This in the high-income economies that top the
suggests that affordability of the service is ranking Singapore, Hong Kong (China) and
one of the main barriers to mobile-broadband Australia but also in several LDCs: Bhutan,
uptake in Comoros, Mauritania and Yemen. Cambodia (Box 4.7), Timor-Leste, Bangladesh
and Lao P.D.R. These countries are outstanding
examples of the fact that affordable mobile-
Asia and the Pacific:
broadband services are also possible in LDCs
and low-income countries. Other LDCs in Asia
In three out of four countries in the region,
and the Pacific with moderately affordable
prepaid handset-based mobile-broadband
prepaid handset-based mobile-broadband
prices represent less than 5 per cent of GNI
prices include Nepal and Afghanistan.
p.c. (Chart 4.20). This is the case not only
There are five operators offering mobile-broadband services to meet the demand of Cambodias
15.4 million inhabitants, and competition is strong, with no operator having more than 35 per
cent of the mobile-broadband market share.50 Metfone, the dominant operator in the mobile-
cellular market, has gained some momentum following its acquisition of Beeline Cambodia in
March 201551 and the extension of its 3G network, which covered 70 per cent of the country by
the beginning of 2015.52
The third operator in the mobile-broadband market, Smart, was the first, in January 2014, to
launch LTE services, and has since expanded its LTE network, achieving the milestone of LTE
deployment to all of Cambodias 25 provinces in June 2015.53 The smallest operator offering
mobile-broadband services in Cambodia, Excell, was acquired by the Singapore-based South East
Asia Telecom (SEATEL) Group in 2013. SEATEL has also been investing in the roll-out of an LTE
network, its objective being to shut down Excells 3G network and replace it with the new LTE
network by the end of June 2015.54
Data show that computer-based mobile-broadband plans are very affordable and correspond
to less than 2 per cent of the average households disposable income. Handset-based mobile-
broadband plans are somewhat less affordable if their costs are considered personal rather than
shared per household, although prices would still correspond to less than 5 per cent of median
disposable income in Cambodia. The differences in income between rural and urban areas make
mobile-broadband plans less affordable in rural areas, particularly for handset-based mobile-
broadband plans.
6 6
As a % of disposable income per capita
As a % of disposable income
5 5
per household
4 4
3 3
2 2
1 1
0 0
Cambodia Capital city Other urban Other rural Cambodia Capital city Other urban Other rural
In the majority of Pacific SIDS, the affordability mobile-broadband represents more than 5 per
of prepaid handset-based mobile-broadband cent of GNI p.c. Prices are the least affordable
services remains an issue. This is particularly in Tajikistan, which is also the CIS country
the case in Kiribati, Micronesia, Papua New included in the comparison with the lowest
Guinea, the Solomon Islands and Vanuatu, mobile-broadband penetration.
where the price of the service represents more
than 10 per cent of GNI p.c. Nevertheless, the
Europe:
example of Fiji, the SIDS in the region with
the highest mobile-broadband penetration
All European countries included in the
(over 40 per cent), shows that more affordable
comparison offer prepaid handset-based
prepaid handset-based mobile-broadband
mobile-broadband plans representing less
prices are possible, even in the challenging
than 3 per cent of GNI p.c. (Chart 4.22),
context of SIDS, and that they can lead to
making them very affordable. This finding
higher mobile-broadband uptake.
confirms that Europe is by far the region
with the most affordable mobile-broadband
Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS): services, even in the case of prepaid services,
which in many European countries are less
Prepaid handset-based mobile-broadband prices common than postpaid services.
are very affordable in the majority of CIS countries
(Chart 4.21). Eight out of the top ten countries with the
most affordable prepaid handset-based
The service represents less than 1 per cent of mobile-broadband prices worldwide are
GNI p.c. not only in the Russian Federation and in Europe. They include Norway, Sweden,
Kazakhstan, the two countries with the highest Iceland, Austria and Estonia, where the price
income, but also in Belarus and Azerbaijan, of the service corresponds to less than 0.2 per
which have lower income levels. cent of GNI p.c.
1 GB cap
20
As a % of GNI p.c.
0.5 GB cap
15
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
10
0.7 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.6 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
2.2 GB cap
1 GB cap
0
Russian Federation
Kazakhstan
Uzbekistan
Azerbaijan
Kyrgyzstan
Tajikistan
Turkmenistan
Moldova
Armenia
Georgia
Belarus
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
Chart 4.22: Prepaid handset-based mobile-broadband prices (500MB per month) as a percentage of
GNIp.c. in the Europe region, 2014
6 GB cap
3.0
0.6 GB cap
0.6 GB cap
1 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
2.5
0.5 GB cap
1 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
As a % of GNI p.c.
0.5 GB cap
1.4 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
2.0
0.5 GB cap
0.6 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1.2 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.7 GB cap
6 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1 GB cap
1.5
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
2 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1.0
1 GB cap
1 GB cap
1 GB cap
1 GB cap
0.5
0.0
TFYR Macedonia
Czech Republic
Montenegro
Netherlands
Lithuania
United Kingdom
Germany
Denmark
Romania
Belgium
Andorra
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Sweden
Norway
Albania
Finland
Iceland
Estonia
Greece
Austria
Croatia
Ireland
Poland
Cyprus
France
Turkey
Serbia
Latvia
Malta
Spain
Switzerland
Israel
Italy
Hungary
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
2 GB cap
7 GB cap
1 GB cap
12.0
2.7 GB cap
As a % of GNI p.c.
10.0
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1 GB cap
1 GB cap
1 GB cap
8.0
1 GB cap
1.2 GB cap
2 GB cap
1 GB cap
5 GB cap
0.8 GB cap
2 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1 GB cap
1 GB cap
0.7 GB cap
6.0
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
2 GB cap
2 GB cap
1 GB cap
2 GB cap
0.8 GB cap
0.5 GB cap
1 GB cap
1 GB cap
4.0
2.0
0.0
Dominican Rep.
Guatemala
El Salvador
Antigua & Barbuda
Venezuela
Costa Rica
Nicaragua
Honduras
Suriname
Colombia
Barbados
Paraguay
Grenada
Uruguay
St. Lucia
Ecuador
Panama
Jamaica
Canada
Mexico
Bolivia
Belize
Brazil
Chile
Haiti
Peru
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. values are based on World Bank data.
plans could greatly contribute to further expands both network coverage and the number
mobile-broadband uptake. Indeed, the of available roaming routes.57
Dominican Republic has a mobile-broadband
penetration that is only half the regional A comprehensive data set on international mobile
average, and GNI p.c. levels suggest that more roaming charges is hard to compile and would
affordable prices are possible. In Honduras, require inputs on a large number of dimensions:
the mobile-broadband market is at an earlier multiple roaming destinations, multiple operator
stage of development and could benefit tariffs, on-net calls, off-net calls, special bundles
greatly from more affordable prices. Lastly, and other relevant commercial offers. The lack of
mobile-broadband penetration is below 2 data hampers a global comprehensive analysis of
per cent in Nicaragua and almost 0 in Haiti, roaming price trends. However, data collected by
highlighting the fact that cheaper plans with regulators from a number of emerging regional
lower data allowances and longer validity initiatives allows estimates of average regional
periods are needed for mobile broadband to roaming prices per main destination.
take off in these countries.
Several regulatory initiatives have emerged in
recent years with a view to reducing roaming
4.5 International mobile roaming prices, better informing consumers and preventing
prices bill shock. As from 2007, the European Union,
together with Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway,
International mobile roaming has been on has been setting price limits for intra-EU roaming
regulatory radar screens for several years, tariffs with the aim of achieving a European
as roaming charges are often deemed to be single market in electronic communications. As
excessively high and lacking in transparency, with a result, European mobile roaming prices fell
consumers all too often suffering bill shock.56 significantly in the period 2007-2013, by over
Industry studies confirm that, depending on the 80 per cent for retail calls and SMS, and by over
home network of the roaming client and the 90 per cent for data roaming.58 Despite this,
visited country network, applicable roaming tariffs however, a 2014 survey commissioned by the
can vary by as much as a factor of five if not more European Commission showed that 47 per cent
(GSMA, 2012). Roaming fees also depend on the of Europeans travelling to other EU countries still
prices negotiated in inter-operator agreements. avoid using mobile Internet, with over 25 per cent
However, the addressable market of potential simply switching off their mobile phones for fear
roaming clients continues to grow as the industry of bill shock.59
Chart 4.24: International mobile roaming and domestic prices in Europe and the Gulf, 2014
Roaming and domestic prices in ITU mobile-cellular Roaming and domestic prices for 500 MB data
price-basket equivalents, 2014, averages for two transfer, 2014, averages for two regional groups
regional groups
350 350
306
300 300
250 250
200 200
USD
USD
150 150
100 82 81 100
52
50 21 21 50 25
13 16
0 0
Europe Gulf Europe Gulf
Mobile-cellular roaming price basket Mobile-broadband roaming 500MB
(regional average for rest of the world) (regional average for rest of the world)
Mobile-cellular roaming price basket Mobile-broadband roaming 500MB
(within the group capped prices) (within the group average)
ITU domestic prepaid mobile-cellular price basket ITU mobile-broadband handset 500 MB (domestic)
Note: Average regional prices were used for SMS in the calculation of the GCC-capped mobile-cellular roaming price basket. The mobile-cellular roam-
ing basket includes the cost of making calls and sending SMS texts while abroad. Data on the GCC regional averages for both the mobile-cellular
roaming price basket and the mobile-broadband roaming prices are not available.
Source: ITU, based on BEREC, GCC Roaming Working Group and ITU data.
Note: * Data correspond to the GNI per capita (Atlas method) in 2013 or latest available year adjusted with the international inflation rates.
** Country not ranked because data on GNI p.c. are not available for the last five years.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. and PPP$ values are based on World Bank data.
Note: * Data correspond to the GNI per capita (Atlas method) in 2013 or latest available year adjusted with the international inflation rates.
** Country not ranked because data on GNI p.c. are not available for the last five years.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. and PPP$ values are based on World Bank data.
Note: * Data correspond to the GNI per capita (Atlas method) in 2013 or latest available year adjusted with the international inflation rates.
** Country not ranked because data on GNI p.c. are not available for the last five years.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. and PPP$ values are based on World Bank data.
Note: * Data correspond to the GNI per capita (Atlas method) in 2013 or latest available year adjusted with the international inflation rates.
** Country not ranked because data on GNI p.c. are not available for the last five years.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. and PPP$ values are based on World Bank data.
Note: * Data correspond to the GNI per capita (Atlas method) in 2013 or latest available year adjusted with the international inflation rates.
Source: ITU. GNI p.c. and PPP$ values are based on World Bank data.
This chapter presents and analyses the various IoT represents a convergence of several factors
dynamics underlying the rise of IoT. The first that have facilitated its growth: growth of the
section describes IoT, how it is developing, Internet and development of Internet-linked radio
and its relation with ICTs. It then analyses how frequency identification (RFID), context-aware
telecommunication infrastructure is unlocking computing, wearables, and ubiquitous computing,
the potential of IoT and creating opportunities which each developed throughout the second half
for development, in forms such as new IoT of the twentieth century, as depicted in Figure
applications and big data generated by the myriad 5.1. The sampling of the IoT timeline provides
of connected devices. The following section an indication of how extensive the legacy of IoT
analyses, in more detail, the opportunities that actually is. The various IoT-related phenomena can
IoT brings to development, paying particular also be mapped against an historical backdrop,
attention to areas of high impact for developing particularly with respect to the evolution from
countries, such as health, climate change, disaster person-to-person to machine-to-machine
management, precision agriculture and the communications (Figure 5.2).
growth of megacities. The chapter concludes
by identifying some of the main challenges for Early Internet-based platforms such as the world
the development of IoT and by providing some wide web (WWW) have been primarily focused
recommendations on how national statistical on communications between individuals and
groups of people, which can be translated into
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person-to-person communications. IoT enables IoT represents a step forward in the connectivity
devices to conduct person-to-machine as well provided by M2M connections, because it offers
as machine-to-machine (M2M) communications the potential for integrating disparate systems
without human intervention (Chen, 2012). A and enabling new applications. Indeed, M2M
subtle but distinguishable characteristic of the communication capabilities are seen as an
M2M subdomain within IoT is worth noting: essential enabler of IoT, but represent only a
whereas M2M refers specifically to things (i.e. subset of its whole set of capabilities. From this
devices, machines, or anything that can send point of view, IoT can be construed as the arch
data) connecting to other things (e.g. remote connecting M2M vertical pillars2 (i.e. technology
computer) so as to form isolated systems of stacks), and for IoT to provide value that extends
sensors and islands of telemetry data, IoT also beyond M2M it must fulfill a function not already
encompasses things connecting with people and addressed by an individual M2M stack.
systems.
Although the production of devices with embedded IoT capabilities has become global, pricing of
the actual IoT communications remains local. For instance, if a truck with an embedded sensor
travels from one country to another which is, for instance, often the case in the European
Union the information sent by the sensor to the Internet will be subject to roaming charges.
Considering that roaming rates are significantly higher than regular mobile prices (see Section
4.5), this may limit the use of the IoT capabilities embedded in the truck. A similar situation will
arise if a person with an e-reader travels to a foreign country and wants to download a travel
guide from the Internet using the SIM card embedded in the e-reader.
The limitations that roaming charges place on the development of M2M have been extensively
discussed, as have the possible regulatory actions that could mitigate them (OECD, 2012). As the
industry advances from M2M to IoT and the need for affordable cross-border connectivity grows,
this issue will require more regulatory and policy attention.
InterPlanetary Network
LTE Advanced
Cellular 4G / LTE
3G - GPS / GPRS
2G / GSM / EDGE, CDMA, EVDO
WEIGHTLESS
WIMAX
LICENSE-FREE SPECTRUM
DASH 7
TM
WiFi
BLUETOOTH
UWB NFC
Z-WAVE
ZIGBEE
6LoWPAN
NFC
ANT
RFID WAN
Wide Area Network - 802.20
POWERLINE
ETHERNET MAN
PRINTED Metropolitan Area Network -802.16
LAN
Local Area Network - 802.11
IPv4 IPv6 UDP DTLS RPL Telnet MQTT DDS CoAP XMPP HTTP SOCKETS REST API
PAN
Personal Area Network - 802.15
the number of steps taken, etc., are capable 2005). As people opt in to allow their wireless
of collecting data, they rely upon additional personal area networks to communicate with
communication gateways (e.g. smartphone, WSNs, communication can occur directly between
laptop) to transmit these data to a cloud-based WSNs rather than through the traditional Internet.
application (Desai, 2014). Indeed, many wearables
do not have their own Internet connection and Apart from WSNs, there is another potential
must wait until they are in range of Bluetooth technological disruption on the horizon.
connectivity or similar connective networks. Semiconductor companies are advancing system
In essence, devices can be classified as either: on chip (SOC) (Wolf, 2008) paradigms tailored for
(1) having their own Internet connection with IoT. Intel, Broadcom and ARM have all developed
capability of accessing the Internet at any time; or SOC for the IoT market. In essence, connected
(2) dependent upon a network with connection to devices are becoming smarter with higher-
the Internet. IoT encompasses both (Want, 2015). performance embedded processors as well as
increased memory and random access memory
The development of IoT fosters the creation of (RAM) as the per unit cost of SOC and storage
wireless sensor networks (WSNs, Box 5.2), and continue to drop and components become
this may lead to the development of alternative more miniaturized (Itoh, 2013). While SOC is not
network architectures. Today, in the usual something that has just been developed, the
network configuration, mobile data pass through advent of programmable SOC (PSoC) marks a
the carriers gateway to connect to the Internet new era of longevity and extensibility. This has
(Pitoura, 2012), and most mobile devices are particular potential to change the IoT paradigm.
thus connected to the Internet (Dinh, 2013).
Researchers have been exploring communication To articulate this point, during the fourth quarter
approaches that could potentially bypass the of 2014 a new PSoC for IoT was unveiled at the
Internet entirely by facilitating peer-to-peer Electronica international trade show in Munich,
communication between WSN clusters so as to Germany (Bahou, 2014a). This unveiling was
form a new Internet comprised of WSNs (Xu, particularly interesting, as it moved beyond the
typical trending of decreasing size, cost and energy The importance of IoT and its potential to become
consumption and presented a PSoC that was not a disruptive technology has been recognized by
only scalable, but also extensible. In other words, several administrations and organizations. For
the PSoC was future-proofed, enabling firmware- instance, in 2008, the United States National
based changes at any point in the design cycle, Intelligence Council identified IoT as one of the
including after deployment. It also showcased the six primary disruptive civil technologies that will
possibilities of single-chip Bluetooth low energy most significantly impact national power through
(BLE) PSoC for IoT: home automation, healthcare 2025 (NIC, 2008). This particular assessment of IoT
equipment, sports and fitness monitors and other, is well captured in a 2009 speech by the Chinese
wearable smart devices. Premier, who presented the equation: Internet +
Internet of Things = Wisdom of the Earth.4 Similarly,
Similarly, a BLE programmable radio-on-chip Cisco asserts that IoT is the next evolution of the
presents a viable method for wireless human Internet, and this transformation occurred during
interface devices, remote controls and other the 2008-2009 time period when the number of
applications requiring wireless connectivity objects connected to the Internet surpassed the
(Bahou, 2014b). As research progresses into number of people online worldwide (Evans, 2011).
developing increasingly compact PSoC designs The United Kingdom Government, in its 2015
that can harvest energy as well as sense and budget, made quite the statement by allocating
communicate a variety of data wirelessly, the GBP 40 million to IoT research (Gibbs, 2015).
limits of IoT capabilities will continue to extend
(Klinefelter, 2015).
Figure 5.4: Sectors in which IoT can play an enabling role for development
Figure 5.5: Evolution from the Internet of Things to the Internet of Everything
Evolutionary Trajectory
People to
Machines
Internet of
Everything
Internet of ubiquitous
connectivity of
People to Things people, devices, data,
People unied and processes
communication
between devices
Information &
Communication
Technology
variety of independent
devices and capabilities
Source: ITU.
Table 5.1: Summary of statistics on global data generated and stored in electronic format
Data generated
Data increase in electrical utilities due 680 million smart meters will be installed globally Bloomberg (2015)
to IoT-enabled smart grid: by 2017. This will lead to 280 petabytes (PB) of data
per year.
Statistics Source
The volume of data stored in electronic format has been doubling almost Gantz (2011)
every 18 months.
2014 2.5 billion GB per day; 1.7 megabytes (MB) per minute per capita Gantz (2011)
Size of IoT
Number of connected devices 8 billion devices or 6.58 devices per person online Cisco (2015b)
today:
Number of connected devices Nearly 26 billion devices will be connected as part of IoT by Gartner (2013)
by 2020: 2020 (and this figure excludes smart phones, tablets and PCs,
which would account for another separate 7.3 billion devices)
The number of devices is already approaching 200 billion (IDC) Turner (2014)
IoT annual growth of market worth by USD 3.9-11.1 trillion, 40% generated in developing McKinsey (2015)
2025: countries
IoT contribution to GDP over the next 20 USD 15 trillion Press (2014)
years:
IoT by sector: 50% of IoT activity is centred around manufacturing, IDC (2011)
transportation, smart city and consumer applications
Note: data volumes are expressed in multiples of bytes: kilobyte (1024), megabyte (10242), gigabyte (10243), terabyte (10244), petabyte (10245),
exabyte (10246) and zettabyte (10247).
The number of connected devices multiple factors accelerating the data surge
(Press, 2014), including:
Big data are being created by billions of devices
around the world, as shown in Table 5.1. It is (1) Increased affordability: technological
estimated that from 26 to 100 billion devices progress, such as high-volume manufacturing
(Gartner, 2013) (Trappeniers, 2013) (ABI, 2013) will techniques, and the increase of the size
be connected as part of IoT by 2020. These devices of the market of devices with embedded
will include the traditional dumb devices (e.g. communication technology allow for
toaster, light bulb, refrigerator, faucet), which will economies of scale; the 70 per cent annual
be made smart with real-time sensors equipped growth in sensor sales since 2002 (Gartner,
with communication capabilities. 2013) is leading to a situation in which ever-
more capable sensors are becoming more
In addition to these devices, many additional, affordable.
hitherto unconnected consumer devices and
industrial machines could be connected to (2) Increased connectivity, access to cloud
the Internet, and this number (particularly in computing (Zhang, 2010) and more affordable
the realm of sensors) is burgeoning. There are high-speed wireless data networks extend the
The deep web is that part of WWW that is not readily available to the general public and cannot
be indexed by traditional search engines. By way of background information, web crawlers collect
and index metadata (e.g. page title, URL, keywords, etc.) from every site on the surface web,
which constitute far less content than that of the actual site. Pages on the deep web function in
the same way as any surface website, but are built in such a way that their presence is not readily
discoverable by a web crawler for any of several reasons. First, search engines typically ignore
pages whose URLs consist of lengthy sequences of parameters, equal signs and question marks
in order to avoid duplication of indexed sites. Second, web crawlers cannot access sites with
form-controlled entry (i.e. page content only gets displayed when an actual person applies a set
of actions and databases generate pages on demand, such as flight information, hotel availability,
job listings, etc.) or sites with password-protected access, including virtual private networks
(VPNs). In addition, sites with timed access (i.e. free content becomes inaccessible after a certain
number of page views, and is moved to a new URL requiring a password) and robots exclusion
(i.e. a file in the main directory of a site tells search robots which files and directories should not
be indexed) are inaccessible to web crawlers. Finally, there are hidden pages that no sequence of
hyperlink clicks could navigate to, and therefore are only accessible to individuals who know of
their existence.11
Initial research on the size of the deep web found that it was approximately 500 times greater
than the surface web (i.e. the deep web contained nearly 550 billion individual documents
compared with about one billion on the surface web (Bergman, 2001)), and sixty of the largest
deep web sites collectively contained about 750 TB of information sufficient by themselves to
exceed the size of the surface web forty times over (Bergman, 2001). Subsequent research on
the deep web has been carried out applying surveying techniques, such as random sampling of
IP addresses or hosts, to estimate the size of the deep web. The results have revealed additional
deep web data sources suggesting that the deep web might be larger than initially thought (B. He
et al., 2007; Madhavan et al., 2007; Shestakov, 2011). Although research on the quantification of
the deep web is ongoing, it has been established that the deep web has as much as an order of
magnitude more content than that of the surface web (He, Yeye, et al., 2013) and that the deep
web is the largest-growing category of new information on the Internet (B. He et al., 2007).
or intranets have generated vast amounts of 5.3 The opportunities of IoT for
data, these repositories are not accessible on development
the public Internet. In light of the vast amount of
personal data that can be collected by wearables IoT offers new opportunities for development by
as well as home networking devices, maintaining providing a new data source that can contribute to
isolated intranets of things separate from the the understanding, analysis and tackling of existing
public Internet is a vital consideration in terms development issues. As a consequence, the debate
of understanding how much data are being on IoT has become part of the larger debate on
segregated due to desired privacy and securing the the data revolution and the possibilities that new
privacy of sensitive data (Roman, 2011). ICT developments (including the growth of IoT)
Figure 5.6: Typhoid incidence and human mobility from highly infected areas in Uganda during the
January-May 2015 typhoid outbreak
Todays array of sensors offered by the IoT Small island developing States (SIDS) are
paradigm also hold great promise for monitoring particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate
the effects of climate change, as IoT can leverage change, often owing to their remote locations and
data from everything ranging from common limited resources. This requires increasing self-
devices e.g. smartphones to take pictures, air reliance to anticipate the drastic effects to local
quality monitors for detecting certain particulates, economies, trade and tourism, food production
etc. to large-scale devices e.g. surveillance and the health of the population, all due to
systems observing vegetative health, weather- and rising sea levels, dramatic changes in weather
climate-monitoring devices, energy-managing patterns and global warming. It is important to
In early 2015, Nest partnered with SolarCity, a United States-based photovoltaic (PV) system
company, to provide a limited number of free thermostats to customers. Unlike a smart meter,
the thermostat will have more finely-tuned user data as more IoT-powered devices are connected
to it, thereby allowingit to heat or cool each room individually, or having a trigger to initiate the
change, for example starting a car at work. With many smart devices attached, it will be possible
to establish precise energy-usage profiles and respond to peak demand by limiting the activities
of other smart home devices (Baraniuk, 2015; Tilley, 2015).
With regard to inclement weather, sudden cloud cover would interrupt PV energy production and
create a surge in demand for power from the grid. To prevent this potential generation rejection
and circumvent a potential brownout or blackout, Nest could potentially communicate with
household smart devices to reduce, pause or stop heavy power-consuming activities.
Previously, SolarCity, which also uses Zigbee in their PV array installations, created the
MySolarCity App that captured generation and usage data in order to mitigate the issues that
prevent solar energy from being more freely integrated into the grid. Where previously an audit
conducted in the home as part of the installation process would have to manually add and
account for energy usage of home electronics and heating, ventilating, and air conditioning, the
Nest acts as an extensible hub within the IoT realm (Korosec 2015).
The case of MH370 lends credibility to the argument that we have greater knowledge of the
surface of Mars and the Earths Moon than we do of the topography of our own planets deep
oceans (Smith, 2014). Although ocean data acquisition systems (e.g. data buoys) have been in
use for decades and have played a critical role in facilitating our knowledge of complex climatic
phenomena, such as El Nio and El Nio Southern Oscillation (ENSO) (McPhaden, 1998), the
advent of IoT represents an opportunity to significantly increase the value of data buoys and
scientific understanding of the ocean. This potential is illustrated by the deployment, by the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), of the Chesapeake Bay Interpretive
Buoy System, which collects and relays a variety of sea-state data in real-time for a host of
applications, ranging from public education and weather monitoring to fisheries management
and environmental protection (Wilson, 2011).
With the development of self-sustaining power sources such as microbial fuel cells (Tender, 2008)
(a bio-electrochemical device that harnesses the power of respiring microbes to convert organic
substrates directly into electrical energy) and wave energy harvesting (Hangil, 2014), it will be
increasing affordable to deploy large fleets of drifting and moored buoys that improve our ability
to monitor the ocean, understand its role in climate change, and prepare for potential disaster
events emanating from the ocean. Another initiative to collect data from the oceans is the ITU/
WMO/UNESCO-IOC Joint Task Force that investigates the use of submarine telecommunication
cables for ocean and climate monitoring and disaster warning.14
In contrast, Shanghais development as a smart city is conceptualized around the five Is of:
(1) Information Infrastructure focusing on broadband access and wireless connectivity;(2, 3)
Information Perception and Intelligent Applications focusing on governance and livelihood issues;
(4) New Generation of Information Technology Industry focusing on urban self-sensing, self-
adaptation and self-optimization; and (5) Information Security Assurance (Lin, 2015).
The rise of IoT offers developing nations the potential to segue from stressed megacities to
smarter cities by converging various IoT-centric lines of effort towards the overarching strategic
goal of a smart city paradigm. These IoT-centric efforts might relate to precision agriculture for
the production of food, monitoring for water quantity as well as water quality, and observing for
indicators that might impact the normal operations of the electric grid and other elements of
critical infrastructure.
Lack of adequate infrastructure and cyber In expanding access to the Internet, there needs
vulnerabilities remain a challenge for IoT to be a careful counterpoising between reach,
performance and cost. As Internet connectivity
As highlighted in the previous section, there is increases and a variety of actors endeavour to
great potential for IoT to help address some of the expand global Internet accessibility, the underlying
worlds most pressing development challenges. At ICT infrastructure remains somewhat brittle in
the same time, the deployment of IoT applications key technological areas.17 The cost of expanding
and their effectiveness depend on the availability, fixed infrastructure to remote and isolated areas is
quality and safety of the underlying network. often prohibitively expensive. Mobile broadband
Although some of the IoT applications can be used can contribute to covering the gap, and satellite
over low-bandwidth networks (see Box 5.8), many broadband (Boxes 5.9 and 5.10) is the technology
monitoring efforts require significant amounts most commonly employed in making broadband
of bandwidth. Moreover, even IoT applications access universal. Taking account of the progress
requiring low bandwidth may demand a high- made in satellite technology, some of the past
capacity infrastructure if they are to be deployed restrictions on the use of satellite connectivity
in dense areas where other IoT/ICT applications for IoT deployments have disappeared, although
are running concurrently. There is therefore a risk cost and performance requirements still need
that countries and communities that do not have to be carefully considered in each specific IoT
access to high-capacity ICT infrastructure are left implementation. Mobile infrastructure provides
behind IoT. an intermediate solution between the cost and
capacity of fixed broadband and those of satellite-
At the same time, the quantity and quality of broadband networks. However, mobile networks
networks differ markedly between countries, ultimately depend on good fixed connectivity
cities and regions and in particular between urban in the backhaul and backbone of the network
and rural areas. Internet connectivity is not yet if the capacity requirements increase. In an IoT
available to all parts of the world and there are scenario, more capacity will be required either
increasing efforts to bring Internet connectivity because there are more IoT applications running
to currently unconnected and remote areas. concurrently on the network or because the IoT
Although urban centres are home to 54 per cent applications are upgraded and become more
of the global population and are, appropriately, bandwidth-hungry.
a major focus of infrastructure improvement and
Box 5.10: Low Earth orbit (LEO) and medium Earth orbit (MEO) satellites
A low Earth orbit (LEO) is an orbit around the Earth at an altitude of between 150 and 2 000 km A
medium Earth orbit (MEO), also known as an intermediate circular orbit (ICO), is an orbit around
the Earth at an altitude of between 2 000 and 36 000 km. These lower orbits (as compared to
geostationary orbits) may cause LEO satellites to be visible from Earth for only an hour or less
before they go over the horizon and out of range. Unlike GEO satellites, LEO satellites do not
appear at a fixed position in the sky. In order for the ground-based antennas that communicate
with these satellites to be as simple as possible, a constellation of LEO satellites is required, with
relaying and passing-off of information from one satellite to another so as to hand over the fixed-
position terrestrial signal.
However, IoT opportunities are not equally Lastly, ICT infrastructure underpins the
distributed between and within countries, connectivity and data processing capacity required
and in order to unlock the potential of IoT as a for IoT. Although wireless coverage is almost
development enabler, several challenges remain universal through satellite and mobile networks,
to be addressed, both within and outside the ICT the actual ICT connectivity required for unlocking
sector. the full potential of IoT may be more demanding.
Indeed, some IoT applications may run with low-
IoT brings together and requires the cooperation speed, low-capacity connectivity, but others will
of various stakeholders in the ICT sector: require high-capacity broadband connections.
from consumer electronics manufacturers Even in a scenario with IoT applications requiring
to telecommunication service providers and low capacity, the simultaneous use of numerous
application developers. In addition, for IoT to fulfil devices may make a high-capacity backhaul or
the high expectations created, other stakeholders backbone connection necessary. In addition, the
outside the ICT sector need to be engaged, processing of big data generated by IoT will require
including car manufacturers, utilities, home- bandwidth. This applies even more in areas with
appliance manufacturers, public administrations limited IT infrastructure, where the storing and
and many others. Bringing together all these analytical capabilities will be in the cloud and rely
stakeholders adds considerable complexity to the on high-capacity transmissions. Fixed-broadband
development of IoT, but it is a requirement to connectivity is the most suited to meet these
ensure interoperability, which is regarded as the requirements, along with sufficient international
key to unlocking as much as 40 to 60 per cent of Internet bandwidth and backbone capacity. Data
IoTs potential value (McKinsey, 2015). This is a presented in Chapter 2 show that fixed-broadband
paramount challenge to be addressed in ITU and uptake in the developing world remains very
other forums.19 limited and that there is a scarcity of international
connectivity in many developing countries. This
Most of the value derived from IoT comes from holds particularly true for the least connected
the generation, processing and analysis of new countries (LCCs) and suggests that LCCs do not
data and use of the insights extracted therefrom have the necessary ICT infrastructure for IoT,
for specific decisions in each domain in which despite being those countries that could benefit
IoT can be applied. The value of IoT is therefore the most from its potential for development. This
closely linked to the exploitation of big data, and calls for additional policy and regulatory action
thus the challenges in terms of data management to close the fixed ICT infrastructure gap in the
are similar to those of other big data applications. developing world and avoid many developing
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Annex 1
methodology
This annex outlines the methodology used to cellular network). In the case of VoIP, it refers
compute the IDI, and provides more details on to subscriptions that offer the ability to place
various steps involved, such as the indicators and receive calls at any time and do not require
included in the index and their definition, the a computer. VoIP is also known as voice-over-
imputation of missing data, the normalization broadband (VoB), and includes subscriptions
procedure, the weights applied to the indicators through fixed-wireless, DSL, cable, fibre-optic and
and sub-indices, and the results of the sensitivity other fixed-broadband platforms that provide fixed
analysis. telephony using IP.
Annex 1
dongles) devices. It covers actual subscribers, not represents a potential for further intellectual
potential subscribers, even though the latter may growth and contribution to economic-socio-
have broadband-enabled handsets. cultural development of society.6
Annex 1
Weights Weights
(indicators) (subindices)
ICT access 0.40
Fixed-telephone subscriptions per 100 inhabitants 0.20
Mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions per 100 inhabitants 0.20
International Internet bandwidth per Internet user 0.20
Percentage of households with a computer 0.20
Percentage of households with Internet access 0.20
ICT use 0.40
Percentage of individuals using the Internet 0.33
Fixed-broadband Internet subscriptions per 100 inhabitants 0.33
Active mobile-broadband subscriptions per 100 inhabitants 0.33
ICT skills 0.20
Adult literacy rate 0.33
Secondary gross enrolment ratio 0.33
Tertiary gross enrolment ratio 0.33
Source: ITU.
5. Calculating the IDI index value was calculated by taking the simple
average (using equal weighting) of the normalized
Sub-indices were computed by summing the indicator values.
weighted values of the indicators included in the
respective subgroup. For computation of the final index, the ICT
access and ICT use sub-indices were each given
ICT access is measured by fixed-telephone a 40 per cent weighting, and the skills sub-index
subscriptions per 100 inhabitants, mobile- (because it is based on proxy indicators) a 20 per
cellular subscriptions per 100 inhabitants, cent weighting. The final index value was then
international Internet bandwidth per Internet computed by summing the weighted sub-indices.
user, percentage of households with a Annex Box 1.2 illustrates the process of computing
computer and percentage of households with the IDI for the Republic of Korea (which tops the
Internet access. IDI 2015).
KOREA (REP.)
Indicators 2014
ICT access Ideal value*
a &
b D 120
c ///
d W 100
e W/ 100
ICT use
f W/ 100
&/ 38.8
h 100
ICT skills
100 99.0
^ 100
d 100
Normalized values Formula Weight
ICT access
& 0.20 0.99
D 0.20
/// 0.20
W 0.20
W/ 0.20 0.98
ICT use
W/ 0.33 0.88
&/ 0.33
0.33 1.00
ICT skills
0.33 0.99
^ 0.33
d 0.33 0.98
Sub-indices Formula Weight
ICT access sub-index (L) y1+y2+y3+y4+y5 0.40 0.90
y1 & 0.20
y2 D 0.19
y3 ///
W
W/ 0.20
ICT use sub-index (M) y6+y7+y8 0.40 0.84
W/ 0.29
&/ 0.22
y8 0.33
ICT skills sub-index (N) y9+y10+y11 0.20 0.98
y9 0.33
y10 ^ 0.32
y11 d 0.33
IDI ICT Development Index ((L*.40)+(M*.40)+(N*.20))*10 8.93
Note: *The ideal value for indicators a, b, c and g was computed by adding two standard deviations to the mean value of the indicator.
**To diminish the effect of the large number of outliers at the high end of the value scale, the data were first transformed to a logarithmic (log) scale.
The ideal value of 962216 bit/s per Internet user is equivalent to 5.98 if transformed to a log scale.
Source: ITU.
Annex 1
affects the IDI value. A number of tests were the high group (see Chapter 2) can change
carried out to examine the robustness of the depending on the methodology used. Caution
IDI results (rather than the actual values). The should therefore be exercised in drawing
tests computed the possible index values and conclusions based on these countries rankings.
country rankings for different combinations of the However, the relative position of countries
processes mentioned above. Results show that, included in the low group is in no way affected
while the computed index values change, the by the methods or techniques used, and the
message remains the same. The IDI was found countries in this group ranked low in all index
to be extremely robust with regard to different computations using different methodologies. This
methodologies, with the exception of certain confirms the results conveyed by the IDI.
countries including in particular those in the
high group.
Annex 2
ICT Development Index 1
Summary
Since 2009, the International Telecommunication The IDI is intended for a broad audience of
Union (ITU) has been publishing its annual ICT governments, UN agencies, financial institutions
Development Index (IDI), which benchmarks and private-sector analysts worldwide. Its aim is
countries performance with regard to ICT to identify strengths and weaknesses in each of
infrastructure, use and skills. The JRC analysis, the countries under review and encourage policy
conducted at ITUs invitation, suggests that the choices that will advance ICT development. In
conceptualized three-level structure of the 2015 this respect, assessment of the conceptual and
IDI is statistically sound in terms of coherence and statistical coherence of the IDI and of the impact
balance, with the overall index as well as the three of modelling choices on a countrys performance
sub-indices on ICT access, use and skills being are fundamental. It adds to the transparency and
driven by all the underlying components. The IDI reliability of the IDI and the building of confidence
has a very high statistical reliability of 0.96 and in the narratives supported by the measure.
captures the single latent phenomenon underlying For this reason, the Econometrics and Applied
the three main dimensions of the IDI conceptual Statistics Unit of the European Commissions Joint
framework. Research Centre (JRC) in Ispra, Italy, was invited by
ITU to conduct a thorough statistical assessment
Country rankings are also robust with respect to of the IDI.2
methodological changes in the data normalization
method, weighting and aggregation rule (a shift
of less than 3 positions with respect to the Conceptual and statistical coherence in the IDI
simulated median in 96 per cent of the 167
countries). In the seventh (2015) release of its IDI, ITU, a
specialized agency of the United Nations, seeks,
The added value of the IDI lies in its ability to by means of a selected set of 11 indicators,
summarize different aspects of ICT development to summarize complex and versatile concepts
in a more efficient and parsimonious manner underlying ICT development across 167 countries
than is possible with a selection of 11 indicators worldwide. This raises practical challenges when
taken separately. In fact, for between 26 and it comes to combining these concepts into a
52 per cent of the 167 countries included this single number per country. Indeed, extending
year, the IDI ranking and any of the three sub- what is argued for models in general, stringent
index rankings (access, use and skills) differ by transparency criteria must be adopted when
ten positions or more. This is a desired outcome composite indicators are used as a basis for policy
because it evidences the added value of the IDI assessment3.
as a benchmarking tool, inasmuch as it helps to
highlight aspects of ICT development that do The analysis of the conceptual and statistical
not emerge directly by looking into ICT access, coherence of the IDI can be synthesized into five
ICT use and ICT skills separately. At the same main steps:
time, this result also points to the value of taking
due account of the individual ICT dimensions 1. Consideration of the IDI conceptual framework
and indicators on their own merit. In so doing, with respect to existing literature.
country-specific strengths and bottlenecks in ICT
development can be identified and used as an 2. Data-quality checks, including possible
input for evidence-based policy-making. reporting errors, missing data, outliers.
Annex 2
Without log With log
Fixed-telephone subscriptions per 100 inhabitants 0.68 0.65
Mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions per 100 inhabitants 0.29 0.54
Percentage of households with a computer 0.63 0.76
Percentage of households with Internet access at home 0.63 0.74
Average bivariate correlation 0.56 0.67
Note: Numbers represent the Pearson correlation coefficient (excluding outliers) between the international Internet bandwidth per Internet user
indicator (with/without log transformation) and any of the four indicators in the ICT access dimension.
Source: Saisana and Domnguez-Torreiro, European Commission, Joint Research Centre; IDI 2015.
Annex Table 2.2: Statistical coherence in the 2015 IDI Principal components analysis and reliability
analysis
ICT Development Index Variance c-alpha when excluding one component
c-alpha
(& sub-indices) explained #1 #2 #3 #4 #5
ICT Development Index 91.7 0.95 0.89 0.92 0.97
(3 sub-indices)
ICT access sub-index 78.2 0.91 0.89 0.92 0.91 0.86 0.86
(5 indicators)
ICT use sub-index 85.9 0.90 0.79 0.88 0.91
(3 indicators)
ICT skills sub-index 81.0 0.86 0.71 0.85 0.83
(3 indicators)
Note: Variance explained shows the amount of total variance explained by the first principal component across the three ICT sub-indices, or the
indicators in the case of the ICT sub-indices. c-alpha (or Cronbach-alpha) is a measure of statistical reliability (values greater than 0.7 are recom-
mended for good reliability).
Source: Saisana and Domnguez-Torreiro, European Commission, Joint Research Centre; IDI 2015.
are more correlated to their own ICT dimension and use should have equal importance in the IDI
than to any other and that all coefficients are and twice as much importance as the sub-index
greater than 0.75 (see Annex Table 2.3). This on ICT skills. The lower weight assigned to ICT
outcome suggests that the indicators have been skills is justified by the developers on the grounds
allocated to the most relevant ICT dimension. that it is based on proxy variables. Hence, ICT
access and ICT use are given weights of 0.4 each,
Thus far, the results show that the grouping of the and ICT skills a weight of 0.2. At the same time,
eleven indicators into three ICT sub-indices and within each ICT sub-index, all underlying indicators
to an overall index is statistically coherent at each are given equal weights and considered to be of
aggregation level. similar importance.
aTheprecise
tests definition
reported on of importance
in this assessment that is the against
outcome0.75-0.93),
whereby the despite theirICT
two key equal weights
sub-indices
expected
focused on reduction
identifying in variance
whether of thethe IDIcomposite
2015 is within
access theand ICT useaccess.
are of equal importance, and are
indicator
statisticallythat would be obtained
well-balanced if a variableand
in its sub-indices, more important than ICT skills.
could be fixed; within
in its indicators (b) it can be sub-index.
each used regardless Thereof The Si values for households with a computer
the
are several approaches for such testing, such (c)
degree of correlation between variables; as and
At thehouseholds
sub-index with level,Internet
the resultsaccessareat home are
similarly
iteliminating
is model free,one in that it can
indicator at abe timeapplied also in
and comparing very high (0.93),
reassuring: suggesting
all indicators areaimportant
relative dominance
in
non-linear
the resulting aggregations;
ranking withand the(d) it is not
original invasive,
ranking, of those two
classifying indicators
countries in the
within eachvariation of the
dimension,
in
or that
usingnoa changes
simple (e.g. are Pearson
made toor the composite
Spearman ICT accesssome
although scores. This canare
indicators be slightly
explained moreby the
indicator or to thecoefficient.
rank) correlation correlationAstructure of the
more appropriate undesirably
important than highothers.
correlation
Within (0.98)
the ICTbetween
accessthese
indicators
measure, aptly (as is named
the casemainwheneffect eliminating one
(henceforth two indicators,
sub-index, which
all five has persisted
indicators over thewith
are important, last Si
indicator at a time).
Si), also known as correlation
7
ratio or first order five
valuesyears, withthan
greater a similar correlation
0.5. However, having
the Si for been
mobile-
sensitivity measure5 , has been applied here. found
cellularintelephone
2010, 2012 and 2013. On
subscriptions statistical
is significantly
The results of this
suitability analysis appear
of Pearsons correlationin Annex
ratio as a grounds,
smaller than these thatindicators would
of the other need to (0.54
indicators be as
Table
measure 2.4.ofExamining
the importance the Sis of forvariables
the threeinICT an index assigned half the weight
against 0.75-0.93), despite of their
the other
equalindicators
weights
dimensions,
is argued to be wefourfold,
see that inasmuch
the IDI is perfectly
as (a) it offers in orderthe
within to ICT
reduce their undue impact on the
access.
balanced with respect
a precise definition to ICT accessthat
of importance andisICTtheuse variation of ICT access scores and on the overall
(S = 0.96),
expected
i
while
reduction ICT skills
in is
variance slightly
of theless important
composite IDI.
The However,
Si values for owing to the changing
households pattern of
with a computer
(0.83).
indicator This
thatsuggests
would that the weighting
be obtained scheme
if a variable ICT
andhousehold
householdsaccess (use of smartphones
with Internet access at home to are
chosen by the development team
could be fixed; (b) it can be used regardless of has indeed access the Internet) and increase
very high (0.93), suggesting a relative dominance in the number
led
the to the desired
degree outcome
of correlation whereby
between the two (c)
variables; key of countries
those twocollecting
indicatorsthe datavariation
in the from official
of the
ICT
it is sub-indices
model free,inaccess that itand canuse are ofalso
be applied equalin surveys,
ICT access it is possible
scores. Thisthat
cansuch a correlation
be explained may
by the
importance, and are moreand
non-linear aggregations; important
(d) it is notthan ICT
invasive, cease to exist
undesirably over
high the coming
correlation years.
(0.98) The JRCthese
between
skills.
in that no changes are made to the composite recommendation
two indicators, which for next years release
has persisted over of
thethe
lastIDI
indicator or to the correlation structure of the is toyears,
five reassess/revisit
with a similar the correlation
weights assigned havingtobeenthese
At the sub-index
indicators (as is the level,
case thewhenresults are similarly
eliminating one two
found indicators.
in 2010, 2012 and 2013. On statistical
reassuring:
indicator atall indicators are important in
a time). 6
grounds, these indicators would need to be
classifying countries within each dimension, Within
assigned thehalfICTtheuseweight
sub-index,
of theallother
threeindicators
indicators
although
The results someof thisindicators
analysisare slightly
appear more Table
in Annex are important,
in order to reduce as reflected
their undue in their
impact equal
on weights,
the
important
2.4. Examining thanthe others. Within
Sis for the three the ICT ICTaccess
dimensions, although
variation of theICTindicator on individuals
access scores and on the using the
overall
sub-index,
we see thatallthe fiveIDIindicators
is perfectly arebalanced
important, withwith Si Internet
IDI. However,is slightly
owing more
to theimportant
changingthan the of
pattern
respectgreater
values to ICT access
than 0.5. andHowever,
ICT use (Sthe i
= 0.96),
S i
for while
mobile- ICT household
other access (use of smartphones
two, on fixed-broadband subscriptions to and
ICT skillstelephone
cellular is slightly less importantis(0.83).
subscriptions This
significantly access the Internet)subscriptions
mobile-broadband and increase(0.91 in theasnumber
against
suggeststhan
smaller thatthat the weighting
of the other scheme
indicatorschosen by as
(0.54 the of countriesSimilarly,
0.82-0.84). collectingwithin
the datathe from official
ICT skills sub-
development team has indeed led to the desired surveys,
index, allitthree
is possible that are
indicators suchimportant,
a correlation withmaythe
Annex 2
IDI sub-index Importance (Si) within the IDI Weights
/d
/d
/d
IDI indicators Importance (Si) within an IDI sub-index Weights
&
D
///
W
W/
W/
&
^
d
Note: Numbers represent the kernel estimates of the Pearson correlation ratio, as in Paruolo et al., 2013. (*) Sub-factors that make a much lower/
higher contribution to the variance of the relevant dimension scores than the equal weighting expectation are marked with an asterisk.
Source: Saisana and Domnguez-Torreiro, European Commission, Joint Research Centre; IDI 2015.
adult literacy rate being slightly less important this year, the IDI ranking and any of the three
than the other two indicators, relating to the sub-index rankings on access, use and skills
secondary and tertiary gross enrolment ratio (0.75 differ by ten positions or more. This is a desired
as against 0.81-0.86). outcome because it evidences the added value
of the IDI as a benchmarking tool, inasmuch as it
In short, the weights assigned by the developers to helps to highlight aspects of ICT development that
the IDI components coincide, in most cases, with do not emerge directly by looking into ICT access,
the importance of the IDI components. ICT use and ICT skills separately. At the same
time, this result also points to the value of taking
due account of the individual ICT dimensions
Added value of the IDI vis--vis the three ICT and indicators on their own merit. In so doing,
dimensions country-specific strengths and bottlenecks in ICT
development can be identified and used as an
A very high statistical reliability may be the result input for evidence-based policy-making.
of redundancy of information in an index. The
analysis discussed below reveals that this is not the
case in the 2015 IDI. Instead, the high statistical Impact of modelling assumptions on the IDI
reliability (c-alpha = 0.95) of the IDI is a sign of a ranking
statistically sound composite indicator that brings
in additional information on the monitoring of The IDI and its underlying sub-indices are the
ICT development in countries around the world. outcome of choices with respect to, among other
This is shown in Annex Table 2.5, which presents, things: the framework (driven by theoretical
for all pairwise comparisons between the IDI models and expert opinion), the indicators
and the three sub-indices, the Spearman rank included, the normalization of the indicators,
correlation coefficients (above the diagonal) and the weights assigned to the indicators and to the
the percentage of countries that shift ten positions sub-indices, and the aggregation method. Some
or more (below the diagonal). In fact, for between of these choices are based on expert opinion
26 and 52 per cent of the 167 countries included or on common practice, driven by statistical
Note: Numbers above the diagonal: Spearman rank correlation coefficients; numbers below the diagonal: percentage of countries (out of 167) that
shift +10 positions or more between the rankings.
Source: Saisana and Domnguez-Torreiro, European Commission, Joint Research Centre; IDI 2015.
analysis or the need for ease of communication. meaningful robustness checks (25 per cent of the
The aim of the uncertainty analysis is to assess reference value and a roughly three-to-one ratio
the extent to which and for which countries of the highest to the lowest weight). At the same
in particular these choices might affect time, it reflects the ITU teams rationale that the
country classification. We have dealt with these ICT skills sub-index should be given less weight
uncertainties simultaneously in order to assess than the ICT access and ICT use sub-indices.
their joint influence and fully acknowledge their
implications8. The data are considered to be The next type of uncertainty considered relates
error-free since the ITU team already undertook to use of the arithmetic average in the calculation
a double-check control of possible errors and of the index from the three ICT dimensions, a
corrected them during this phase. formula that received statistical support from
principal component analysis and reliability item
The robustness assessment of the IDI was based analysis. However, decision-theory practitioners
on a combination of a Monte Carlo experiment have challenged the use of simple arithmetic
and a multi-modelling approach. This type of averages because of their fully compensatory
assessment aims to respond to any criticism that nature, in which a comparative high advantage on
the country scores associated with aggregate a few indicators can compensate a comparative
measures are generally not calculated under disadvantage on many indicators10. In order to
conditions of certainty, even though they are account for this criticism, the geometric average
frequently presented as such9. The Monte Carlo was considered as an alternative. The geometric
simulation was played on the weights for the average is a partially compensatory approach that
three sub-indices and comprised 1000 runs, rewards countries with similar performance in
each corresponding to a different set of weights, the three ICT dimensions or motivates countries
randomly sampled from uniform continuous to improve in those ICT dimensions in which
distributions in the range 15-25 per cent for the they perform poorly, and not just in any ICT
ICT skills sub-index, and 30-50 per cent for the dimension11.
ICT access and ICT use sub-indices. The sampled
weights were then rescaled to unity sum (Annex Combined with the 1000 simulations per model to
Table 2.6). This choice of the range for the weights account for the uncertainty in the weights across
variation ensures a wide enough interval to have
Reference Alternative
I. Uncertainty in the aggregation function at the Arithmetic average Geometric average
sub-index level
II. Uncertainty intervals for the three sub-index Reference value for Distribution for
weights the weight uncertainty analysis
Annex 2
simulations. enough, hence robust to changes in the weights
and aggregation formula less than six positions
The results of the uncertainty analysis for the IDI in 75 per cent of the cases for the overall IDI.
are provided in Annex Figure 2.1, which shows These results suggest that for the vast majority of
median ranks and 90 per cent intervals computed the countries, the IDI ranks allow for meaningful
across the 2000 Monte Carlo simulations. inferences to be drawn.
Countries are ordered from the highest to the
lowest levels of ICT development according to Nevertheless, three countries have relatively wide
their reference rank in the IDI (black line), the intervals (more than 15 positions): Ukraine and
dot being the simulated median rank. Error bars Gabon (21 positions) and Grenada (16 positions).
represent, for each country, the 90 per cent These relatively wide intervals are due to the
interval across all simulations. compensation effect among the ICT sub-indices,
which is evidenced by the use of the geometric
Taking the simulated median rank as being average. These cases have been flagged herein as
representative of the simulations, then the fact part of the uncertainty analysis, in order to bring
that the IDI ranks are close to the median ranks more transparency to the entire process and to
suggests that the IDI ranking is a suitable summary help appreciate the IDI results with respect to the
measure of ICT development. Country ranks in the choices made during the development phase. To
IDI are very close to the median rank: 90 per cent this end, Annex Table 2.7 reports the index ranks
of the countries shift by less than 3 positions together with the simulated intervals (90 per cent
with respect to the simulated median. For the vast of the 2000 scenarios simulating uncertainties in
majority of countries, these modest shifts can be the weights and the aggregation formula for the
taken as an indication that country classification three ICT dimensions).
based on IDI depends mainly on the indicators
used and not on the methodological judgments
made during the weighting and aggregation
phases.
Annex Figure 2.1: Uncertainty analysis of the IDI (ranks vs median rank, 90 per cent intervals)
1
11 Median rank
21 IDI rank
31
41
51
ICT Development Index
61
71
81
Ukraine
91
101 Grenada
111
121
131
141
Gabon
151
161
171
Countries
Note: Countries are ordered from high to low levels of ICT development. Median ranks and intervals are calculated over 2000 simulated scenarios
combining random weights for the three ICT dimensions (25per cent above/below the reference value), and geometric versus arithmetic average at
the dimension level. Countries with wide intervals (more than 15 positions) are flagged.
Source: Saisana and Domnguez-Torreiro, European Commission, Joint Research Centre; IDI 2015.
Note: Countries are presented in alphabetical order. 90 per cent intervals are calculated over 2000 simulated scenarios combining random weights for
the three ICT dimensions (25 per cent above/below the reference value), and geometric versus arithmetic average at the dimension level.
Source: Saisana and Domnguez-Torreiro, European Commission, Joint Research Centre; IDI 2015.
Annex 2
index level is the main driver of the variation in stringent transparency and replicability criteria
country ranks. Following best practices in the and that the statistical priorities used in the
relevant literature and choosing the average IDI make it a credible and legitimate tool for
absolute shift in rank as our robustness metric12, improved policy-making.
we found that the aggregation function choice
accounts for 95 per cent of the sample variance, The JRC analysis suggests that the conceptualized
while the dimensions weights choice accounts for three-level structure of ITUs 2015 IDI calculated
only 5 per cent. This result suggests that, should through 11 indicators related to ICT access, use
the methodological choices behind IDI 2015 and skills for 167 countries is statistically sound,
stimulate further discussion, then this should focus coherent and balanced. Indeed, within each ICT
more on the aggregation formula for the three ICT dimension a single latent factor is identified and
dimensions and much less on their weights. all indicators are important in determining the
variation of the respective dimension scores.
As a general remark, the robustness of an index
should not be interpreted as an indication of the Country rankings in the overall IDI are also fairly
index quality. It is instead a consequence of the robust to methodological changes in the data
index dimensionality. In other words, robustness normalization method, weighting and aggregation
is to some extent the flip side of redundancy: a rule (a shift of less than 3 positions in 96 per
very high correlation between variables will lead cent of the cases). Consequently, benchmarking
to an index ranking that is practically unaffected inferences can be drawn for most countries in the
by the methodological choices, so the index will IDI, while some caution may be needed for three
be both robust and redundant. Similarly, a low countries. It is to be noted that perfect robustness
correlation among variables would imply that would have been undesirable as this would have
the methodological choices are very important in implied that the IDI components are perfectly
determining country rankings, and thus the index correlated and hence redundant, which is not the
is unlikely to be robust to those choices. case. In fact, one way in which the IDI 2015 helps
to highlight other aspects of ICT development is by
The results herein have revealed that country pinpointing the differences in rankings that emerge
classification based on the IDI depends mainly on from a comparison between the IDI and each of
the indicators used and not on the methodological the three dimensions, namely ICT access, ICT use
judgments made, thus allowing for meaningful and ICT skills. For between 26 and 52 per cent of
inferences to be drawn. In fact, 90 per cent of the countries, the IDI ranking and any of the three
the countries shift by less than 3 positions with sub-index rankings differ by ten positions or more.
respect to the simulated median. At the same
time, the IDI ranking has been found to have an The main refinement suggested by the present
added value as a benchmarking tool, highlighting analysis relates to the highly correlated indicators
aspects of ICT development that do not emerge within the ICT access sub-index percentage of
directly by looking at the three underlying sub- households with a computer and percentage of
indices. For between 26 and 52 per cent of the households with Internet access at home. On
167 countries included this year, the IDI ranking statistical grounds, these indicators would need to
and any of the three sub-index rankings (access, be assigned half the weight of the other indicators
use and skills) differ by ten positions or more. in order to reduce their undue impact on the
Consequently, the IDI 2015 is robust without being variation of ICT access scores and on the overall
redundant. IDI. However, owing to the changing pattern of ICT
household access (use of smartphones to access
the Internet) and the increase in the number of
Conclusions countries collecting the data from official surveys,
it is possible that such correlation will cease to
ITU invited JRC to delve into the statistical exist over the coming years. Accordingly, the
properties of the 2015 IDI in order to assess the methodology used for these indicators should be
transparency and reliability of the results and revisited/reassessed in future releases of the IDI.
enable academics and policy-makers to derive
more accurate and meaningful conclusions. ITUs
Annex 2
1
This was prepared by Michaela Saisana and Marcos Dominguez-Torreiro, from European Commission, Joint Research
Centre (JRC), Econometrics and Applied Statistics Unit, based in Italy.
2
The JRC analysis was based on the recommendations of the OECD/EC JRC (2008) Handbook on Composite Indicators,
and on more recent academic research from JRC. The JRC auditing studies of composite indicators are available at
https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/coin.
3
Saltelli and Funtowisz (2014).
4
Skewness greater than 2 and kurtosis greater than 3.5; Groeneveld and Meeden (1984) set the criteria for absolute
skewness above 1 and kurtosis above 3.5. The skewness criterion was relaxed to above 2 to account for the small
sample (167 countries).
5
Nunnally (1978).
6
Saltelli et al. (2008).
7
Paruolo et al. (2013).
8
Saisana et al. (2005).
9
Saisana et al. (2011).
10
Munda (2008).
11
In the geometric average, indicators are multiplied as opposed to summed in the arithmetic average. Indicator weights
appear as exponents in the multiplication.
12
Saisana et al. (2005).
Annex 3
Price data collection and sources value calculated from the sum of the price of each
sub-basket (in USD) as a percentage of a countrys
The price data presented in this report were monthly GNI p.c., divided by three. The collection
collected in the fourth quarter of 2014. The of price data from ITU Member States and the
data were collected through the ITU ICT Price methodology applied for the IPB was agreed upon
Basket questionnaire, which was sent to the by the ITU Expert Group on Telecommunication/
administrations and statistical contacts of all 193 ICT Indicators (EGTI)1 and endorsed by the eighth
ITU Member States in October 2014. Through World Telecommunication/ICT Indicators meeting
the questionnaire, contacts were requested to held in November 2010 in Geneva, Switzerland.
provide 2014 data for fixed-telephone, mobile-
cellular, fixed-broadband and mobile-broadband
prices; the 2012 and 2013 prices were included The fixed-telephone sub-basket
for reference, where available. For those countries
that did not reply, prices were collected directly The fixed-telephone sub-basket refers to the
from operators websites and/or through direct monthly price charged for subscribing to the
correspondence. Prices were collected from public switched telephone network (PSTN),
the operator with the largest market share, plus the cost of 30 three-minute local calls to
as measured by the number of subscriptions. the same (fixed) network (15 peak and 15 off-
Insofar as, for many countries, it is not clear peak calls). It is calculated as a percentage of a
which Internet service provider (ISP) has the countrys average monthly GNI p.c., and is also
dominant market share, preference was given presented in USD and PPP$.
to prices offered by the (former) incumbent
telecommunication operator. In some cases, The fixed-telephone sub-basket does not take
especially when prices were not clearly advertised into consideration the one-time connection
or were described only in the local language, charge. This choice has been made in order to
and when operators did not respond to queries, improve comparability with the other sub-baskets,
alternative operators were chosen. All prices which include only recurring monthly charges.
were converted into USD using the IMFs average If the monthly subscription includes free calls/
annual rate of exchange for 2014, and into PPP$ minutes, then these are taken into consideration
using World Bank conversion factors for 2013. and deducted from the total cost of the fixed-
Prices are also presented as a percentage of telephone sub-basket.
countries monthly GNI per capita (p.c) using GNI
p.c. values from the World Bank (Atlas method) The cost of a three-minute local call refers to
for 2013 or the latest available year adjusted with the cost of a three-minute call within the same
the international inflation rates. Prices for 2008, exchange area (local call) using the subscribers
2009, 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013, which are also equipment (i.e. not from a public telephone). It
shown and used in this chapter, were collected thus refers to the amount the subscriber must
in previous years (always during the second half pay for a three-minute call and not the average
of the respective year), in national currencies, price for each three-minute interval. For example,
and converted using the average annual rates of some operators charge a one-time connection
exchange. fee for every call or a different price for the first
minute of a call. In such cases, the actual amount
for the first three minutes of a call is calculated.
The ICT Price Basket Many operators indicate whether advertised prices
include taxes or not. If they are not included,
The ICT Price Basket (IPB) is a composite basket taxes are added to the prices, so as to improve the
that includes three price sets, referred to as comparability between countries.2 The sub-basket
sub-baskets: the fixed-telephone, mobile-cellular does not take into consideration the price of a
and fixed-broadband sub-baskets. The IPB is the telephone set (see Annex Box 3.1).
2. Prices are collected in the currency in which they are advertised, including taxes.
3. Only residential, single-user prices are collected. Where prices vary between different regions
of the country, those applying to the largest city (in terms of population) are used. If that
information is not available, prices applying to the capital city are reported.
4. From all fixed-telephone plans meeting the above criteria, the cheapest postpaid plan on the
basis of 30 local calls (15 peak and 15 off-peak) of three minutes each is selected. If there is a
price distinction between residential and business tariffs, the residential tariff is used.
5. In cases where operators propose different commitment periods, the 12-month plan (or the
one closest to this commitment period) is used.
6. The same price plan is used for collecting all the data specified. For example, if Plan A is
selected for the fixed-telephone service, according to the above criteria, the elements in Plan
A apply to the monthly subscription and to the price per minute (peak and off-peak).
7. Prices are collected for a regular (non-promotional) plan and do not include promotional
offers, limited or restricted discounts (for example, only to students, or to pre-existing
customers, etc.), or plans where calls can only be made during a limited number of (or on
specific) days during the month.
8. Local calls refer to those made on the same fixed network (on-net) within the same exchange
area.
9. Peak is the busiest time of the day, normally corresponding to weekday working hours. If
there are different peak prices, the most expensive one during the daytime will be selected.
10. Where there are different off-peak prices, the one that is cheapest before midnight is used.
Where the cheapest daytime price is applied during the weekend, then this is used. If the
only off-peak period is after midnight (valid during the night), then this is not used. Instead,
the peak rate is used.
11. Where no distinction is made between peak and off-peak prices, then the same price is used
for the peak and off-peak indicators.
12. For plans that include a certain number of minutes, the price advertised per additional
minute is used to calculate the price of a three-minute local call (i.e. the price per minute is
not calculated based on the number of minutes included in the monthly subscription).
13. Where the price per minute is not available and charging is effected per unit of a certain
number of minutes, the price per three minutes is calculated and a note indicating the unit
price and number of minutes included in the unit is added. For example, if the price is given
per unit of two minutes, then the price for three minutes will be two times the price per unit.
14. With convergence, operators are increasingly providing multiple (bundled) services, such as
voice telephony, Internet access and television reception, over their networks. They often
bundle these offers into a single subscription. This can present a challenge for data collection,
since it may not be possible to isolate the prices for a given service. It is preferable to use
prices for a specific service; but if this is not possible, then the additional services that are
included in the price are specified in a note.
Source: ITU.
access to broadband, dial-up Internet access still sub-basket take account of calls to voicemail
remains the only Internet access available to some (which in the OECD basket represent fourper cent
people in developing countries. Since the IPB does of all calls) or non-recurring charges, such as the
not include dial-up (but only broadband) Internet one-time charge for a SIM card. The basket gives
prices, and since dial-up Internet access requires the price of a standard basket of mobile monthly
users to subscribe to a fixed-telephone line, the usage in USD determined by OECD for 30 outgoing
fixed-telephone sub-basket can be considered calls per month in predetermined ratios, plus
as an indication for the price of dial-up Internet 100 SMS messages.4 The cost of national SMS is
access. the charge to the consumer for sending a single
SMS text message. Both on-net and off-net SMS
prices are taken into account. The basket considers
The mobile-cellular sub-basket on-net and off-net calls as well as calls to a fixed
telephone5 and, since the price of a call often
The mobile-cellular sub-basket refers to the price depends on the time of day or week it is made,
of a standard basket of mobile monthly usage for peak, off-peak and weekend periods are also taken
30 outgoing calls per month (on-net/off-net to into consideration. The call distribution is outlined
a fixed line and for peak and off-peak times) in in Annex Table 3.1.
predetermined ratios, plus 100 SMS messages3.
It is calculated as a percentage of a countrys Prepaid prices were chosen because they are often
average monthly GNI p.c. and is also presented the only payment method available to low-income
in USD and PPP$. The mobile-cellular sub-basket users, who might not have a regular income and
is based on prepaid prices, although postpaid will thus not qualify for a postpaid subscription.
prices are used for countries where prepaid Rather than reflecting the cheapest option
subscriptions make up less than twoper cent of available, the mobile-cellular sub-basket therefore
all mobile-cellular subscriptions. corresponds to a basic, representative (low-usage)
package available to all customers. In countries
The mobile-cellular sub-basket is largely based where no prepaid offers are available, the
on, but does not entirely follow, the 2009 monthly fixed cost (minus the free minutes of calls
methodology of the OECD low-user basket, which included, if applicable) of a postpaid subscription is
is the entry-level basket with the smallest number added to the basket. To make prices comparable, a
of calls included (OECD, 2010b). Unlike the 2009 number of rules are applied (see AnnexBox 3.2).
OECD methodology, which is based on the prices
of the two largest mobile operators, the ITU
mobile sub-basket uses only the largest mobile
operators prices. Nor does the ITU mobile-cellular
The fixed-broadband sub-basket relative terms (i.e. in terms of the price per Mbit/s)
(see AnnexBox3.3).
The fixed-broadband sub-basket refers to the
price of a monthly subscription to an entry-
level fixed-broadband plan. It is calculated as Mobile-broadband prices
a percentage of a countrys average monthly
GNI p.c., and is also presented in USD and PPP$. In 2012, for the first time, ITU collected mobile-
For comparability reasons, the fixed-broadband broadband prices through its annual ICT Price
sub-basket is based on a monthly data usage Basket Questionnaire.6 The collection of mobile-
of (a minimum of) 1 GB. For plans that limit the broadband price data from ITU Member States
monthly amount of data transferred by including was agreed upon by EGTI7 in 2012, and revised
data volume caps below 1 GB, the cost for the by it in 2013 in light of the lessons learned from
additional bytes is added to the sub-basket. The the first data collection exercise. The revised
minimum speed of a broadband connection is methodology was endorsed by the eleventh World
256 kbit/s. Telecommunication/ICT Indicators Symposium held
in December 2013 in Mexico City, and was applied
Where several offers are available, preference is in the 2014 data collection.
given to the cheapest available connection that
offers a speed of at least 256 kbit/s and 1GB of To capture the price of different data packages,
data volume. Where providers set a limit of less covering prepaid and postpaid services, and
than 1GB on the amount of data that can be supported by different devices (handset and
transferred within a month, then the price per computer), mobile-broadband prices were
additional byte is added to the monthly price in collected for two different data thresholds, based
order to calculate the cost of 1GB of data per on a set of rules (see AnnexBox 3.4).
month. Preference is given to the most widely
used fixed (wired)-broadband technology (DSL, For plans that were limited in terms of validity
fibre, cable, etc.). The sub-basket does not (less than 30 days), the price of the additional days
include the installation charges, modem prices or was calculated and added to the base package in
telephone-line rentals that are often required for order to obtain the final price. Two possibilities
a DSL service. The price represents the broadband exist, depending on the operator, for extending
entry plan in terms of the minimum speed of 256 a plan that is limited in terms of data allowance
kbit/s, but does not take into account special offers (or validity). The customer either (i) continues to
that are limited in time or to specific geographic use the service and pays an excess usage charge
areas. The plan does not necessarily represent the for additional data,8 or (ii) purchases an additional
fastest or most cost-effective connection since the (add-on) package. Thus, for some countries,
price for a higher-speed plan is often cheaper in
2. Prices are collected in the currency in which they are advertised, including taxes.
3. Prices refer to prepaid plans. Where the operator offers different packages with a certain
number of calls and/or SMS messages included, the cheapest one on the basis of 30 calls
and 100 SMS is selected. In countries where prepaid subscriptions account for less than two
per cent of the total subscription base, postpaid prices can be used. In this case, the monthly
subscription fee, plus any free minutes, will be taken into consideration for the calculation of
the mobile-cellular sub-basket.
4. Where per-minute prices are advertised only in internal units rather than in national currency,
the price of the top-up/refill charge is used to convert internal units into national currency.
Where there are different refill prices, then the cheapest/smallest refill card is used. Where
different refill charges exist depending on the validity period, the validity period for 30 days
(or closest to 30 days) is used.
5. Prices refer to a regular (non-promotional) plan and exclude special or promotional offers,
limited discounts or options such as special prices to certain numbers, or plans where calls
can be made only during a limited number of (or on specific) days during the month.
6. Where subscribers can choose favourite numbers (for family, friends, etc.) with a special
price, this special price will not be taken into consideration, irrespective of the quantity of
numbers involved.
7. Prices refer to outgoing local calls. Where different rates apply for local and national calls,
the local rate is used. Where charges apply to incoming calls, these are not taken into
consideration.
8. Where prices vary between minutes (first minute = price A, second minute = price B, third
minute = price C), the sum of the different prices is divided by the number of different prices
(for example: price per minute = (A+B+C)/3).
9. Where prices vary beyond three minutes, the average price per minute is calculated based on
the first three minutes.
10. Where there is a connection cost per call, this is taken into consideration in the formula for
the mobile-cellular sub-basket, based on 30 calls.
11. Where there are different off-peak prices, the one that is the cheapest before midnight is
used. If the only off-peak period is after midnight, then this is not used. Instead, the peak
price is used.
12. Where there are different peak prices, the most expensive one during the daytime is used.
13. Where there are different weekend prices, the price that applies on Sundays during the
daytime is used (or the equivalent day in countries where weekends are not on Sundays).
Where peak and off-peak SMS prices exist, the average of both is used for on-net and off-net
SMS.
14. Where there is no weekend price, the average peak and off-peak price that is valid during the
week is used.
15. Where calls are charged for by call or by the hour (and not by the minute), the mobile-cellular
sub-basket formula is calculated on the basis of 30 calls or 50.9 minutes. Similarly, where calls
are charged by call or by number of minutes for a specific network/time of the day, this is
taken into account for that particular network/time of the day.
16. Where monthly, recurring charges exist, they are added to the sub-basket.
Source: ITU.
2. Prices are collected in the currency in which they are advertised, including taxes.
3. Only residential, single-user prices are collected. Where prices vary between different regions
of the country, those applying to the largest city (in terms of population) are used. If that
information is not available, prices applying to the capital city are reported.
4. From all fixed-broadband plans meeting the above criteria, the cheapest one on the basis of
a 1GB monthly usage and an advertised download speed of at least 256 kbit/s is selected.
Where there is a price distinction between residential and business tariffs, the residential
tariff is used.
5. Where the plan selected has no limit for the monthly data usage, the cap is unlimited.
6. In cases where operators propose different commitment periods, the 12-month plan (or
the one closest to this commitment period) is used. Where the plan selected requires a
longer commitment (i.e. over 12 months), it is indicated in a note relating to the monthly
subscription. Furthermore, where there are different prices (for example, a discounted price
for the first year, and a higher price as from the 13th month), the price after the discount
period is selected (e.g. the price as from the 13th month). The discounted price charged
during the initial period is indicated in a note relating to the monthly subscription charge. The
reason for this is that the initial price paid is considered a limited/discounted price, while the
other one is the regular price.
7. Prices are collected for the fixed-broadband technology with the greatest number of
subscriptions in the country (DSL, fibre, cable, etc.).
8. The same price plans are used for collecting all the data specified. For example, if Plan A is
selected for the fixed-broadband service, according to the above criteria, the elements in
Plan A apply to the monthly subscription, price of the excess charge, volume of data that can
be downloaded, etc.
9. Prices are collected for regular (non-promotional) plans and do not include promotional
offers or limited or restricted discounts (for example, only to students, or to pre-existing
customers, etc.).
10. With convergence, operators are increasingly providing multiple (bundled) services such as
voice telephony, Internet access and television reception over their networks. They often
bundle these offers into a single subscription. This can present a challenge for price-data
collection, since it may not be possible to isolate the prices for a given service. Prices for a
specific service (i.e. unbundled) are used; if this is not possible, then the additional services
that are included in the price plan are specified in a note.
11. The cost of a fixed-telephone line is excluded if it can also be used for other services.
Source: ITU.
2. Prices are collected in the currency in which they are advertised, including taxes.
3. Only residential, single-user prices are collected. Where prices vary between different
regions of the country, those applying to the largest city (in terms of population) or to the
capital city are used.
5. Mobile-broadband prices are collected from the operator with the largest market share,
measured by the number of mobile-broadband subscriptions. Where this information is not
available, mobile-broadband prices are collected from the mobile-cellular operator with
the largest market share (measured by the number of mobile-cellular subscriptions) in the
country.
6. Different operators may be chosen for different mobile-broadband services where: a) there
are differing market leaders for specific segments (postpaid, prepaid, computer-based,
handset-based); b) there is no offer available for a specific sub-basket .
7. Prices are collected for prepaid and postpaid services, for both handset and computer-based
plans.
9. Price data are collected for the cheapest plan, with a data volume allowance of at least:
12. The selected plan is not necessarily the one with the cap closest to 500 MB or 1 GB, but the
one that is cheapest while including a minimum of 500 MB/1 GB. This means, for example,
that if an operator offers a 300 MB and an 800 MB plan, the 800 MB plan or twice the 300
MB plan (if the package can be purchased twice for a monthly capacity of 600 MB) is selected
for the 500MB sub-sub-basket. The cheapest option is selected.
13. Data volumes refer to both upload and download data volumes. Plans with prices linked to
hours of use and not to data volumes are not considered.
14. The validity period considered for the basket is 30 days or four weeks. If a plan with a validity
of 15 days is selected, it will be taken twice to cover the whole period. Likewise, if a plan with
a validity of one day or one week is selected, it will be taken as many times as necessary to
cover a period of four weeks. The cheapest plan on the basis of a validity period of 30 days
(or four weeks) is selected.
15. Preference is given to packages (including a certain data volume). Pay-as-you-go offers are
used when they are the cheapest option for a given basket or the only option available.
Where operators charge different pay-as-you-go rates depending on the time of the day
(peak/off-peak), then the average of both is recorded. Where the off-peak rate is after
midnight, it is not taken into account.
16. Even if the plan is advertised as unlimited, the fine print often specifies that there are limits
in the data volumes, applied either by throttling (limiting the speed) or by cutting the service.
18. Preference is given to the cheapest available package even if it is bundled with other services
(e.g. voice services). If the plan chosen includes other services besides mobile-broadband
access, these are specified in a note.
19. Prices refer to a regular (non-promotional) plan and exclude promotional offers and limited
discounts or special user groups (for example, pre-existing clients). Special prices that apply to
a certain type of device (iPhone/Blackberry, iPad) are excluded. Allowances during the night
are not included.
Source: ITU.
Annex 3
prices of the base package plus an excess usage offers that include the minimum amount of data
charge (e.g. a base package including 400MB plus for each respective mobile-broadband plan.
the price for 100MB of excess usage for a monthly The guiding idea is to base each plan on what
usage of 500MB), or a multiplication of the base customers would and could purchase given the
package price (e.g. twice the price of a 250MB data allowance and validity of each respective
plan for a monthly usage of 500MB). plan.
Annex 4
compute the IDI
5 Angola 1.4 1.3 48.1 63.5 614 4250 7.1 9.9 5.7 8.6
6 Antigua & 41.6
35.6
192.6 120.0
29269 120321
48.9
56.1
40.0
52.0
Barbuda
7 Argentina 24.6 22.6 2
141.4 158.7 3
31373 48065 47.0 1
62.1 34.0 52.0
8 Armenia 20.0
18.9
130.4 115.9
14236 44534
20.0
51.5
13.6
46.6
9 Australia 47.4 1
38.9 3
100.4 131.2 41110 75069 81.1 85.6 74.1 86.9
10 Austria 40.4 2
38.3 4
145.7 151.9
39584 79636
76.2
83.7
72.9
81.0
11 Azerbaijan 16.6 3
18.9 100.1 110.9 9083 32219 30.3 51.7 37.4 54.6
12 Bahrain 18.2
21.2
125.2 173.3
14528 49054
87.0 2
94.6
74.0 1
81.0
15 Belarus 43.6 48.5 108.9 122.5 22199 142536 40.8 59.9 31.2 2
57.1
16 Belgium 42.4
42.1
111.1 1
114.3
109676 263915
76.7
83.8
72.7
82.8
17 Belize 9.8 4
6.7 62.9 2
50.7 9193 41829 27.1 1
31.0 13.6 3
21.0
18 Benin 1.4
1.8
74.4 101.7
2090 2839
2.0
4.8
1.2
3.5
21 Bosnia and 26.0 22.2 80.9 91.3 18612 43003 33.7 45.0 23.0 50.0
Herzegovina
22 Botswana 7.0 5
8.3
120.0 167.3
6559 16437
9.2
14.8
6.1
12.1
Darussalam
25 Bulgaria 29.3 25.3 2
138.0 137.7 4
68091 138277 35.1 57.9 33.1 56.7
26 Burkina Faso 0.9
0.7
36.7 71.7
2148 2860
2.1
4.6
2.0
8.3
27 Cambodia 2.5 6
2.8 56.7 155.1 27625 9374 4.3 10.6 1.6 7.0
28 Cameroon 2.6
4.6
41.9 75.7
363 1796
7.2
9.6
1.9
6.5
29 Canada 53.9 7
46.6 75.7 83.0 54738 129244 82.7 87.6 78.4 4
86.6
30 Cape Verde 14.8
11.6
76.3 121.8
3179 12330
20.4
32.2
7.1
24.8
31 Chad 0.4 0.2 24.5 39.8 96 733 1.1 2.9 0.9 2.7
32 Chile 20.2
19.2
115.8 133.3
19099 73102
46.8
60.3
35.0
53.9
33 China 21.6 17.9 63.2 92.3 2356 4995 35.4 46.7 23.7 47.4
34 Colombia 15.5
14.7 6
95.8 113.1 5
10212 34989
26.1
44.5
19.3
38.0
35 Congo (Dem. 0.1 0.0 19.0 53.5 246 384 0.7 1.9 0.6 2.0
Rep.)
36 Congo (Rep.) 0.3
0.4
90.4 108.1
117 185
3.5
4.9
0.7
1.9
41 Cyprus 37.4 28.4 93.7 96.3 51638 75055 60.5 74.0 53.7 68.6
42 Czech Republic 22.4
17.6 2
122.6 130.0 3
68842 116806
64.1
78.5
60.5
78.0
43 Denmark 47.1 8
33.3 115.7 6
126.0 142137 341706 88.0 95.0 86.1 93.1
44 Djibouti 2.2
2.5
19.9 32.4
15439 8955
13.0
18.0
3.5
7.1
Rep.
47 Ecuador 13.9 15.3 9
98.5 103.9 7
7950 48329 27.0 38.0 11.5 32.0
48 Egypt 12.3
7.6
90.5 114.3
5370 9302
31.3
45.1
25.3
36.8
Guinea
51 Eritrea 0.9 1.0 3.2 6.4 857 1391 0.8 2.3 0.7 1.5
52 Estonia 37.1
31.7
127.3 9
160.7
23903 28665
69.2
82.5
67.8
82.9
53 Ethiopia 1.0 0.8 7.9 31.6 5102 5002 1.4 2.8 1.1 2.9
54 Fiji 15.1 11
8.4
81.1 10
98.8 9
7553 13946
26.8
36.7
18.8
29.0
57 Gabon 2.0 1.0 103.5 210.4 6888 19657 7.6 12.5 6.0 9.7
58 Gambia 2.9
2.9
88.0 119.6
1093 10928
5.7
8.3
3.8
8.5
59 Georgia 25.3 12
25.4 90.6 12
124.9 21177 70966 18.2 45.8 16.6 41.0
60 Germany 63.7
56.9 10
106.5 13
120.4
73449 145990
85.7
90.6
82.5
89.5
63 Grenada 27.1 26.9 116.5 126.5 123838 251661 35.0 39.4 28.0 32.6
64 Guatemala 10.4
10.8 11
126.0 106.6 11
3984 8073
14.2
20.9
4.7
15.0
65 Guinea-Bissau 0.3 0.3 42.7 63.5 2573 2674 1.9 2.5 1.3 1.9
66 Guyana 19.1
19.9
71.3 70.5
6126 9994
17.5
26.9
15.7
24.2
67 Honduras 8.8 6.4 124.7 93.5 5916 21765 12.9 21.6 6.8 19.6
68 Hong Kong, 61.9
61.1
195.7 239.3
777030 3345122
77.9
83.7
76.4
82.4
China
69 Hungary 29.7 30.3 119.9 118.1 9985 37027 66.4 76.8 60.5 75.1
70 Iceland 60.9
51.5
107.2 111.1
297960 519869
93.0
98.1
92.0
96.5
73 Iran (I.R.) 34.7 39.0 72.6 87.8 2264 6056 35.2 52.5 1
21.4 44.7 1
74 Ireland 46.5 13
43.2 13
105.2 104.3
64090 160971
76.5
84.0
71.7
82.2
77 Jamaica 9.6 9.1 116.1 102.9 10546 14210 22.7 32.5 14.0 25.7
78 Japan 51.5
50.1 14
96.8 16
120.2 15
15730 1
48637
83.4 5
83.3
81.3 6
97.5
79 Jordan 7.5 5.0 102.6 147.8 7405 7874 46.7 51.1 21.6 60.0
80 Kazakhstan 25.5
26.1
121.9 168.6
9306 51489
46.0
64.7
44.0
58.8
81 Kenya 0.9 0.4 61.0 73.8 3529 25200 6.5 12.3 6.3 16.9
82 Korea (Rep.) 58.9
59.5
104.8 115.5
11812 43358
81.8
78.3
96.8
98.5
83 Kuwait 17.4 14.2 133.0 218.4 43553 50096 59.5 87.8 49.9 75.4
84 Kyrgyzstan 9.2
7.9
98.9 134.5
1426 8166
6.1
17.6
3.6
12.0
87 Lebanon 19.3 15
19.4 66.0 17
88.3 1318 23992 61.5 81.0 50.7 68.4
88 Lesotho 1.9
2.4
49.2 101.9
335 2410
5.0
6.9
2.5
6.5
89 Liberia 0.1 16
0.2 39.7 73.4 604 6306 1.1 2.2 0.9 2.5
90 Lithuania 24.6
19.5
159.4 147.0
49203 125454
59.2
68.1
60.6
66.0
91 Luxembourg 53.6 17
49.6 143.1 148.4 2521959 6887708 90.2 96.3 90.3 95.6
92 Macao, China 31.5 18
26.7 16
209.9 322.6
32196 2
88921
83.0
81.1
75.5
84.3
93 Madagascar 0.7 1.1 36.6 38.2 728 267 1.4 4.5 1.3 4.7
94 Malawi 1.0
0.4 17
20.8 30.5 3
2034 4237
2.8
5.2
5.0
6.2
95 Malaysia 16.3 14.6 119.7 148.8 11495 27173 61.8 66.5 55.6 7
65.5
96 Maldives 8.7
6.1
151.8 189.4
33447 69077
55.5
65.9
23.5
44.5
97 Mali 0.8 1.0 53.2 149.0 2771 1879 4.7 8.2 1.2 6.7
98 Malta 58.3
53.6
107.3 127.0
464099 1178759
73.1
82.2
70.4
80.7
99 Mauritania 2.0 19
1.3 18
76.9 18
94.2 17
1939 1454 3.0 4.4 1.6 6.2
100 Mauritius 31.5
29.8
96.8 132.2
9723 32990
37.7
51.3
29.0
47.5
103 Monaco 116.5 133.0 63.5 88.5 47044 227447 69.6 73.5 67.1 74.7
104 Mongolia 7.1
7.9
92.5 105.1 19
62121 89976
22.3
35.8
7.7
29.0
105 Montenegro 27.5 26.5 188.7 163.0 30104 77016 38.0 54.7 35.9 56.6
106 Morocco 11.8
7.4 5
101.1 131.7 1
4558 10768
34.2 6
52.5
25.5 9
50.4
107 Mozambique 0.4 0.3 30.1 69.7 1281 7755 4.9 7.3 2.4 6.2
108 Myanmar 0.9
1.0
1.1 49.5
7702 28668
1.3
3.4
1.0
3.0
109 Namibia 7.2 7.8 89.5 113.8 1701 8162 11.5 16.5 7.0 17.3
110 Nepal 3.1 20
3.0 19
34.3 82.5 20
1879 3109
4.2
8.2
2.1
5.6
119 Paraguay 5.6 5.4 91.7 105.6 8295 12624 19.3 31.9 3
13.8 24.6 3
121 Philippines 3.6 3.1 89.0 111.2 10702 27688 13.6 20.5 9.5 26.9
122 Poland 20.1 23
13.2
122.9 156.4
37806 90356
69.0
77.7
63.4
74.8
Federation
127 Rwanda 0.4 0.4 32.7 64.0 1895 8517 1.3 3.4 1.3 3.8
128 Samoa 4.3
6.1
48.4 55.5
3840 6676
13.0
21.1
10.0
21.9
135 Slovenia 44.3 37.1 103.3 112.1 55634 121137 70.5 79.8 68.1 76.8
136 Solomon 1.6
1.3
21.9 65.8
3799 4277
3.8
6.1
2.9
5.6
Islands
137 South Africa 9.4 8.1 97.9 149.7 202453 149542 18.3 28.1 10.1 37.3
138 South Sudan 0.0
0.0 25
14.4 30
24.5 29
4 27
4.0
10.0
3.0
9.6
141 St. Kitts and 37.8 34.9 152.8 139.8 81863 139540 64.0 66.5 56.5 62.8
Nevis
142 St. Lucia 21.1
17.9 27
111.7 102.6 31
52075 128157
38.6 8
38.0
26.5 3
38.9
143 St. Vincent 19.9 21.9 120.6 105.2 71281 148285 55.1 68.9 40.3 58.5
and the
Grenadines
144 Sudan 1.3
1.1
41.5 72.2
1829 2499
9.0
16.6
15.0
32.2
149 Tanzania 0.4 0.3 46.7 62.8 2652 6081 2.6 3.8 2.1 4.1
Macedonia
151 Thailand 10.3 8.5 108.0 144.4 12791 46826 22.8 10
33.9 5
11.4 33.8
152 Togo 1.0 27
0.9
41.3 31
69.0
7337 6523
2.1
3.2
1.0
3.3
Tobago
155 Tunisia 12.1 8.5 104.5 128.5 13086 25972 19.1 33.1 6
11.4 28.8 5
Emirates
160 United 53.8
52.4
123.6 123.6
132685 429830
82.6
90.8
79.6
89.9
Kingdom
161 United States 47.9 40.1 91.3 98.4 40206 70970 75.5 81.5 71.1 79.6
162 Uruguay 28.5
31.7
131.6 33
160.8 33
24115 5
60807
53.4
67.4
33.5
57.4
163 Vanuatu 3.0 2.2 71.9 60.4 2804 2471 8.7 22.0 5.4 28.8
164 Venezuela 24.4
25.3 2
96.0 99.0 3
6450 14398
19.4
43.7
14.3
34.2
165 Viet Nam 16.1 6.0 125.3 147.1 4925 20749 14.2 20.5 12.5 13
18.6
166 Zambia 0.9
0.8
41.2 67.3
378 4223
3.7 1
6.6
3.1
6.9
1 Afghanistan 4.0
6.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.2
10 Austria 75.2 1
81.0 1
24.4 27.5 32.9 2
67.2
11 Azerbaijan 46.0 2
61.0
5.2
19.8
5.0
46.8
32 Chile 45.0 9
72.4 10.4 14.1 8.4 50.5 6
33 China 34.3
49.3
9.3
14.4
3.5
41.8
34 Colombia 36.5 4
52.6 4
5.7 10.3 7
2.4 7
45.1 7
40 Cuba 15.9 11
30.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
41 Cyprus 53.0 7
69.3 1
17.6
21.1
29.5
42.1
43 Denmark 88.7 7
96.0 1
38.1
41.4 9
63.9
115.8
48 Egypt 21.6 12
31.7 3
1.9 3.7 17.0 43.5
49 El Salvador 15.9 13
29.7
2.8 9
5.0
2.3
34.4
52 Estonia 74.1 14
84.2 1
26.8 27.4 24.8 117.0
53 Ethiopia 0.8
2.9
0.0
0.5
0.1
7.5
56 France 77.3 7
83.8 1
33.7 40.2 36.2 10
66.2
57 Gabon 7.2
9.8
0.3
0.6
0.0
0.0
60 Germany 82.0 7
86.2 1
31.5 35.8 25.5 63.6
61 Ghana 7.8 15
18.9
0.2
0.3
6.9
59.8
62 Greece 44.4 7
63.2 1
20.3 28.4 25.1 41.0
63 Grenada 27.0
37.4
13.8
17.9
0.0
1.2
65 Guinea-Bissau 2.5
3.3
0.1
0.1 11
0.0
0.0
70 Iceland 93.4 14
98.2 1
34.3 35.9 45.6 85.3
71 India 7.5
18.0
0.9 11
1.2 13
0.0
5.5 10
72 Indonesia 10.9 16
17.1 4
0.9 1.2 18.6 34.7
73 Iran (I.R.) 15.9 12
39.4 5
1.3
9.5
0.0
10.7 11
74 Ireland 69.9 7
79.7 1
22.8 26.9 49.2 81.0 12
75 Israel 67.5 17
71.5
23.7
26.2 14
32.3
52.2 13
76 Italy 53.7 7
62.0 1
21.6 23.5 4
37.8 70.9 2
77 Jamaica 27.7 18
40.5
4.3
5.4
1.5
33.1
78 Japan 78.2 12
90.6 26.8 29.3 4
87.6 12
121.4 14
79 Jordan 27.2 4
44.0
4.5
4.7
0.1
19.1
80 Kazakhstan 31.6 19
54.9 5.5 12.9 23.2 59.8
81 Kenya 14.0
43.4
0.0 12
0.2
0.2
9.1
86 Latvia 68.4 7
75.8 1
20.8 24.7 29.7 71.7
87 Lebanon 43.7 21
74.7
7.6
22.8
0.0 14
53.5
90 Lithuania 62.1 22
72.1 1
22.1 31.5 9.1 58.6
91 Luxembourg 90.6 7
94.7 1
33.2
33.3
50.0
111.3
93 Madagascar 1.7
3.7
0.0
0.1
0.0
6.1
96 Maldives 26.5 23
49.3 4.8 5.6 6.4 16
48.9 17
97 Mali 2.0
7.0
0.1
0.0
0.5
11.3
98 Malta 63.0 7
73.2 1
29.6 35.2 19.4 49.7
99 Mauritania 4.0
10.7
0.2
0.2
0.5 17
14.4
Grenadines
144 Sudan 16.7 24.6 0.0 0.1 3.1 27.2
145 Suriname 31.6
40.1
2.9
8.5
0.0
71.6
Access indicators
Annex 4
prompted operators to return several numbers, either inactive ones or with low consumption. 13) December 2014. Including
fixed wireless local loop (WLL) subscriptions. 14) Estimate. 15) Dec.2014 including PHS and data cards, undividable. 16) There
are Ref.no from 4 main operators, LTC, BEELINE, UNITEL, and ETL. 17) Active subscribers. 18) September. Preliminary. 19) End
of 2013 year mobile active subscriptions 2877584. 20) Source: January 2015 Management Information System Report. 21)
Q3 data. Excl. M2M and dedicated mobile broadband. 22) Estimate of subscriptions active in last 90 days. 23) Estimate. Incl.
inactive. 24) End June. 25) Figures are as off 31st December, 2014 based on data received from Cellular Mobile Operators. 26)
From this year excl. data-only subscriptions. 27) Excl. 495 811 M2M subscriptions. 28) Includes active (in the last 6 months)
prepaid accounts. 29) This is the total number of subscriptions from four operators. 30) Q4 (consolidated end-2014 data not
yet available). 31) Reduction due to change in accounting method for prepaid subs by major provider. 32) Q3. 33) Incl. data
dedicated subscriptions.
Use indicators
Annex 4
1) Source: ARPT. 2) December. 3) Preliminary. Counting plans that allow mobile-broadband access and are using LTE, WCDMA
and CDMA2000 enabled devices. 4) Preliminary. 5) Il est difficile de distinguer les utilisateurs de la 2G de 3G et 4G. 6) 3G
and other more advanced mobile connections of at least 256 Kbit/s. 7) Source: Colombia TIC. 8) Does not incl. prepaid
smartphones. 9) Speeds equal or greater than 1 Mbit/s. 10) December 2014. These are the subscriptions with the minimum
download speed of 512 kbps. This is as per the revised definition of Broadband (>= 512 kbps) in India. 11) In 2014, 3G and
4G licenses were awarded to the two largest mobile operators (Hamrahe Avval and IranCell). 12) Users who have made a
transaction in the last 90 days via a handset, dongle/USB modem or other mobile Internet device, whereby they accessed
advanced data services such as web/Internet content, online multiplayer gaming content, VoD or other equivalent data
services (excluding SMS and MMS). 13) Estimate. 14) Dec.2014. Including standard and dedicated mobile broadband Wimax.
15) There are Ref.no from 4 main operators, LTC, BEELINE, UNITEL, and ETL. 16) 3G subscriptions (prepaid+postpaid) provided
instead, as all 3G subscriptions provide download speeds of at least 256 kbits/s when enabled. Users may disable/enable
their mobile-broadband functionality via USSD code, via service hotline or in person. The number of 3G subscribers who have
disabled their mobile-broadband functionality is not collected. Internet usage statistics of individual users are not collected
either. 17) Equal to dedicated mobile-broadband subs as CAM does not report on standard mobile-broadband pay-as-you-go
subsriptions.18) Lignes ayant ralis des connections data sur les 3 derniers mois. 19) Source: January 2015 Management
Information System Report. 20) Q3. 21) Estimate. 22) June. Subscriptions generating >0.5MB/month + data-only subscriptions
+ add-on data packages. 23) Figures are as off 31st December, 2014 based on data received from Broadband and cellular
mobile operators. 24) June. Only USB/dongles/datacards. 25) Includes active subs (in the last 6 months), by 3G and higher
technologies. 26) Q4 (consolidated end-2014 data not yet available). 27) Value for last year was 59701. 28) Q3. 29) Estimate.
Incl. M2M subscriptions. 30) 2014 data is an estimate as of June 30, 2014. 31) Incl. subscriptions with potential access. 32)
Blackberry and other mobile broadband subscriptions.
ISBN 978-92-61-15791-3
www.itu.int
SAP id
2015
39879
9 789261 157913
Printed in Switzerland
Geneva, 2015
Photo credits: Shutterstock