Gold Investors Manual
Gold Investors Manual
Gold Investors Manual
GOLD
INVESTORS
MANUAL
Published by Stansberry Research
Edited by Chris Reilly and Sia Georgandis
Copyright 2015 by Stansberry Research. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be
reproduced, scanned, or distributed in any printed or electronic form without permission.
ABOUT STANSBERRY RESEARCH
Porter Stansberry
Matt takes a boots on the ground approach to his research. His work
has taken him to Papua New Guinea, Iraq, Hong Kong, Singapore, Haiti,
Turkey, Switzerland, and many other locations around the world. He has
built a huge Rolodex of the most influential people in the industry from
private financiers, leading geologists, and natural-resource analysts to
billionaire hedge-fund managers.
Doc has one of the best track records in the financial-newsletter business.
From 2010 to 2014, he closed 136 winning positions in a row for his
Retirement Trader subscribers.
He is also the author of four books: The Doctors Protocol Field Manual,
High Income Retirement, The Living Cure, and Dr. David Eifrigs Big
Book of Retirement Secrets.
Dan Ferris
Longtime Extreme Value readers have enjoyed a long list of double- and
triple-digit winners thanks to Dans diligent research, including Gateway
(124%), Blair Corp (111%), KHD Humboldt Wedag (249%), International
Royalty (248%), Portfolio Recovery Associates (104%), Alexander &
Baldwin (201%), and Encana (171%), among many others.
As a result of his work in Extreme Value, Dan has been featured several
times in Barrons, the Value Investing Letter, and financial radio
and TV programs around the country. He is also the author of World
Dominating Dividend Growers: Income Streams that Never Go Down.
Brian Hunt
GUEST CONTRIBUTORS
Van Simmons
Van Simmons is the president of David Hall Rare Coins, one of the
nations largest rare-coin dealers.
Tom Dyson
Jeff Clark
In BIG GOLD, Jeff takes a big-picture view of the gold and silver markets
and the implications of daily market moves on the underlying fundamentals.
He focuses on mid- to large-cap precious metals, ETFs, mutual funds,
and bullion. Jeff is known for helping readers make sense of the frequent
changes in the price of gold and silver, the direction of metals and mining
equities, and what place precious metals have in an investors portfolio.
Prior to joining Bonner & Partners, Amber studied investing and trading
for nearly a decade under acclaimed analysts like Dr. Steve Sjuggerud,
Dr. David Eifrig, Jeff Clark, and Dan Ferris. She was a founding editor of
DailyWealth Trader one of the worlds most popular daily advisories
and the executive editor of Stansberry Research.
John Doody
But for the past 40 years, John has been studying and analyzing gold
stocks. His opinion on these stocks is so respected, he has been profiled
by Barrons several times, quoted in The Financial Times, and is
frequently interviewed on CNBC. He counts several of the worlds best-
known gold funds and investment managers among his subscribers.
Doug Casey
Before we get started, wed like to offer special thanks to the guys at
Casey Research. They do some of the best natural-resource research you
can find anywhere... and theyre always plugged into whats happening
with gold.
In the following pages, youll find commentary from their own Jeff Clark,
senior editor of BIG GOLD. If youre interested in profiting off the move
in gold with high-quality precious-metals stocks, we highly recommend
you check out Jeffs work. To learn more, visit www.caseyresearch.com/
premium-publications/big-gold.
Wed also like to thank our friend Van Simmons... If youre looking to
preserve your wealth and even make a few hundred percent in gold coins,
Van Simmons is someone you need to know. And hes always glad to talk
with Stansberry Research readers to help them with the right collectible
investments.
Weve found that Vans coin advice is excellent... and his advice on most
other things is just as good. You can reach Van directly at (800) 759-7575
or (949) 567-1325, or e-mail him at info@davidhall.com.
Foreword i
Part I
What Everyone Should Know About Gold
Part II
The Best Ways to Buy and Own Gold
The Easiest Way to Protect Yourself From the Next Financial Disaster 91
Part III
How to Know When to Sell Your Gold
Part IV
Chinas Influence in the Gold Market
How and Why China Came to Dominate the Market for Gold 122
Less than six months later, the colonys leaders decided the first is-
sue of paper money had gone so well and had such a positive impact
on the local economy that they issued an additional 40,000 notes.
Once again, they promised the notes would be redeemed in gold or
silver and that no further notes would be put into circulation.
i
As this second, much larger wave of paper hit the market, mer-
chants began to significantly devalue the paper versus genuine
bullion, leaving the paper with only about 60% of its previous
purchasing power.
When the market began to reject the fiat paper as a fraud, the col-
ony moved to buttress its value by force a tactic copied later by
such illustrious leaders as Zimbabwes president Robert Mugabe.
The government decreed its paper was legal tender at par for
all debts and granted a 5% premium on the notes for all tax pay-
ments.
Such tactics worked... for a time. But as always happens when one
currency is artificially propped up over its intrinsic value, the bad
money forced out the good. Spanish silver coins, which had circu-
lated widely in the colonies, began to disappear. (The same thing
would later occur in the 1960s, as the U.S. dollar declined to well
below the value of a silver dollar.)
All this money sloshing around the world helped power one of the
greatest speculative manias in history the South Sea Bubble. It
also caused the price of precious metals to soar. The free market
price of silver, which had once stood at par with the notes, ended
up 10 times higher. In about 60 years, the Massachusetts colony
had turned its promise to repay in specie (gold and silver coins)
into a farce: Its notes were now worth 90% less than face value.
Given our exit from the gold standard roughly 40 years ago, the
constantly increasing money supplies in the United States, and the
ii
relative financial standing of our government (about $50 trillion in
debts and obligations) not to mention the private sectors im-
mense piles of bad debts (perhaps $1 trillion in subprime mort-
gages) a decline in the purchasing power of the dollar is a sure
thing. Higher precious-metals prices are a lock.
If you havent yet bought gold, I urge you to get started now. Today.
In the following pages, youll find the simplest, safest ways to own
and hold gold. There are no more excuses.
Good investing,
Porter Stansberry
iii
PART I
What Everyone Should
Know About Gold
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
For the past few thousand years, gold has seen a lot of competitors
try to become the ultimate form of real money. Folks have used
everything from cigarettes to butter, stones, livestock, salt, and
seashells to store their wealth and trade for goods.
But when crisis hits... when war breaks out... when bank runs grip
a nation... when its really time to just grab the money and run,
humans keep coming back to gold as the ultimate form of money.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
more than 2,000 years ago. The great investor Doug Casey is the
worlds best at reminding us why gold is still the ultimate form of
real money.
2
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Theyll listen to the folks on CNBC pick apart and analyze every
$30 move in the metal, just as a move in crude oil or stocks or
bonds would be analyzed. Theyll check the price quote every day...
to see how their investment in gold is performing.
Bought at the right price, a rental property will return all of your
original capital in the form of rent checks... and the rest is gravy.
Its been used for money for thousands of years because its easily
divisible, its easily transportable, it has intrinsic value, its du-
rable, and its form is consistent around the world. And as Doug
Casey reminds us, its a good form of money because governments
3
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The sooner the investor realizes that gold is money... and not a
conventional investment, the better off hell be. Its just a timeless
form of money. Thats it.
Hunt: Right. Since gold is real wealth that you can hold in your
hand, its also crisis insurance... or wealth insurance. Like reg-
ular insurance, you buy gold and hope you dont have to use it.
The U.S. dollar lost around 33% of its value between 2000 and
2012. This decline is because the world is waking up to the awful
situation America has borrowed and spent its way into.
During the same time, gold climbed from below $300 per ounce to
over $1,790 an ounce.
4
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The U.S. dollar fell by that amount because our chief central banker
basically told the world that hed print lots of money in order to allow
our current political regime to spend lots of money... and to bail out
every American who cant balance a checkbook or show up for work.
But heres where I differ from the average gold owner: Id love
to see gold fall down to $300 or $400 per ounce. Id love it if the
value of my crisis insurance would fall, rather than skyrocket... just
like I dont want my familys house to burn down... or why I dont
want someone to T-bone my car in an intersection.
Hunt: Absolutely not. They are just as ignorant about gold as the
5
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
They learned their trade during a period of rising stock prices and
falling gold prices, so they think gold is something right-wing nuts
stockpile alongside canned food in a bomb shelter. Its amazing
how a few decades of smooth sailing will make folks forget golds
importance as insurance against disasters.
Hunt: Just one more. It involves another myth about gold... The belief
that anyone knows where the heck its going over the coming years.
Every day, you hear some guru claiming gold is going to $2,000
or $4,000... or even $10,000. Those kinds of price projections
are just hot air. Nobody not Warren Buffett or Ben Bernanke or
George Soros knows how high gold will go in the coming years.
6
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
anything. And Im going to catch hell for saying this, but they ar-
ent worth anything because this time is different.
You cant value gold like a stock... where youd say Ill pay 10
times earnings for gold. You cant value it like a rental property
and say Ill pay eight times annual rent for gold.
The important thing for investors is to forget about the noise you
hear on the Internet and television, and just steadily accumulate
ounces of gold. Try to buy a little more each quarter or each year.
Hunt: My pleasure.
7
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
When gold falls more than $100 in one month, do you react like a
wealthy man or a poor man?
If you picked the right one, chances are good youll make money as a
long-term investor...
For many years, Ive urged people to own gold and silver. Ive
helped thousands of Retirement Millionaire readers make the right
precious-metal investments. But Im an unusual owner of gold and
silver.
You see, I think 99% of gold and silver owners are all wrong in the
way they view their holdings...
Most folks buy gold and silver and hope theyll make a fortune on
it. They listen to doom and gloom gurus who claim gold prices are
about to explode. Or while watching right-wing television shows,
they see commercials promise to make them rich in gold and silver.
Again, I own gold and silver... and I urge you to do the same. But I
take an unusual approach to my holdings. I hope I lose money on
them.
I look at gold and silver the way a homeowner looks at his insurance
policy. A homeowner buys insurance against disaster and hopes
disaster never comes. He hopes he never has to cash in his policy.
8
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
For many years, my job at Wall Street bank Goldman Sachs was to
develop and implement advanced hedging strategies for wealthy
clients and corporations. The goal with these strategies was to pro-
tect jobs, wealth, and profits from unforeseen events.
And they tend to load up on things like gold and silver. They
place way too much of their portfolio into precious-metal in-
vestments. And even worse, they base their decisions on their
emotions (usually fear). Dont do that... Instead, think rationally.
Think of gold and silver as insurance...
9
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
If you dont own these sorts of hedges yet, I encourage you to buy
some... just like a homeowner buys insurance... or just like youd
buckle your seatbelt before driving your car.
Take the wealthy investors approach, buy gold and silver... and
hope the time never comes for you to have to cash in the gains.
10
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
If you still dont own any gold, this interview is required read-
ing. And if you have family or friends who think gold is only for
fringe types, be sure to pass this along...
Doug Casey: Well, the truth is, theres nothing magical about
gold. Its just uniquely well-suited among the 92 naturally occur-
ring elements for use as money... in the same way aluminum is
good for airplanes or uranium is good for nuclear power.
Cows have been used for money. Thats where we get the word pe-
cuniary, from the Latin word for cow, pecu. Salt has been used for
money, thats where we get the word salary, from the Latin word
for salt. Sea shells and cigarettes have been used for money. And of
11
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
course, paper has often been used for money because its convenient
for governments and political purposes.
Third, its convenient, which is why other elements like copper or lead
arent good money... it takes too much of them to be of value. Can you
imagine carrying around hundreds of dollars worth of copper or lead
to make a purchase?
Fourth, gold is consistent. This is why you cant use real estate as
money. Every piece of real estate is different from another, whereas
one piece of gold is exactly like every other piece of gold.
Finally, and perhaps most importantly, gold has value in and of itself.
Paper has next to no intrinsic value of its own, which is why paper is
such terrible money.
For all these reasons, I suspect that within a generation and prob-
ably much sooner at this point gold will again be used as money in
day-to-day transactions.
12
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Not even the worst kings and emperors of Aristotles time who
routinely clipped and diluted their coins would have dreamed it
possible to pass off worthless paper, which can be created without
limit, as money. No one would have accepted paper money for
trade.
Yet, thats precisely what the United States started doing when
Richard Nixon removed what was left of the dollar gold standard
in 1971. Up until then, the U.S. Treasury promised foreigners it
would redeem $35 with an ounce of gold, so the dollar was, the-
oretically, a warehouse receipt for gold. Since 1971, its literally
become an IOU nothing. And weve been treated to a real time
case study in the dangers of paper money ever since.
13
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
So in the same way its always good to keep some savings in U.S.
dollars or whichever paper currency youre currently obligated
to use its always good to keep some savings in gold.
14
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
I cant go into all the nuances of every different asset... But you
can get to know a few of your options. And if youre interested in
betting on a higher gold price, theyre all worth knowing about...
Gold Producers
A few of the large U.S.-traded names here are Goldcorp (GG), Bar-
rick Gold (ABX), Newmont Mining (NEM), Yamana Gold (AUY),
and Agnico Eagle (AEM). These are all major holdings in the pop-
ular gold-mining fund GDX.
15
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The biggies typically have been around a long time and have fair-
ly stable businesses. They have a mix of assets around the world.
Their market caps are in the billions of dollars. This means they
are less volatile than smaller companies.
A big fall in the price of the commodity they produce can send
their shares lower. Likewise, shares might stall if increases in their
costs of production outpace increases in the price of the commodi-
ty they produce.
Gold Explorers
They burn cash, dilute their shareholders, and often shut their
doors within a few years. But occasionally, they turn out to be
10-baggers. That keeps speculators coming back for more.
And when folks get enthusiastic about gold stocks, theyll send
these junior gold stocks way up. From the start of 2010 to early
2011, GDX rose 40%. GDXJ a fund that holds a basket of small
and medium-sized gold stocks rose more than 70%.
These stocks fall harder, too. After the 2010-2011 rally stalled,
GDX fell about 65%. GDXJ fell 80%.
Bullion
On the other end of the risk spectrum is real, hold in your hand
gold bullion...
16
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
This can get costly if youre trading large quantities of gold... But
its actually one of the pros of bullion: Its dicult and expensive
to buy and sell. So youre less likely to buy it on impulse (when
prices are high) and sell it in despair (when prices are low).
But that makes it a liability for you. If you own physical gold, you
need to figure out a safe place to store it.
Collectibles
If youre looking for hold in your hand gold with a little more
upside potential, consider collectibles...
These are abundant enough that theres a liquid market for them...
but rare enough to have some collectible value. And his favorite is
the Saint-Gaudens, which were minted before 1933.
You can pay anywhere from 7% over the current gold price for
beat-up coins to twice the gold price for coins that are in excellent
condition. If folks get enthusiastic about collectibles, your upside
on these higher-quality coins could be hundreds of percent.
Of course, you run into the same storage problems as you do with
regular bullion... Plus, you want to make sure you know what
17
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Paper Gold
GLD and GTU both charge about 0.5% a year in fees. And your
broker will charge the regular commission for buying and selling
shares.
Royalty Companies
The two biggest names in this space are Royal Gold (RGLD) and
Franco-Nevada (FNV). These companies dont mine any gold of
their own. Instead, they finance lots of early-stage mining projects,
then earn royalties on mine production if things work out.
Rather than owning a company focused on one big strike, you own
a diversified and growing portfolio of claims on lots of different
mines. These companies dont have any of the operating risks and
expenses of gold mines... But they do give you leverage to the gold
price.
So theyre volatile... But over the long term, their results look a lot
better than the gold miners.
18
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Take a look at the chart below. You can see that gold miners (mea-
sured by the HUI index) have underperformed gold, while Royal
Gold has outperformed.
As with gold miners, it has been hard to get the timing right with
royalty stocks over the past two years. But if the gold price rises,
these stocks could soar.
If youre thinking about investing in gold, make sure you keep this
toolkit handy.
19
PART II
The Best Ways to Buy
and Own Gold
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
You often hear, You need to own gold! But how much is the right
amount?
You dont want to own too little gold and have the purchasing
power of all your savings shrink dramatically. You cant afford
that. But you dont want to be an end-of-the-world nutcase, either.
His big idea now is very simple. Gold pays no interest. And mon-
ey in the bank pays nearly no interest. You can print money. But
you cant print gold. If the Fed keeps interest rates low, the obvi-
ous outcome is that it will take more slips of paper (dollar bills) to
buy an ounce of gold.
21
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
22
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
What do you suppose is the biggest risk gold investors face? An-
other 2008-style selloff? Gold stocks never breaking out of their
funk? Maybe a depression that slams our standard of living?
Though those things are possible, I dont see that as your greatest
threat. Master speculator Doug Casey summed it up well:
Your biggest risk is not that gold or silver may fall in price.
Nor is it that gold stocks could take longer to catch fire than
we think. Not even the prospect of the Greater Depression.
No, your biggest risk is political.
I know many reading this are prudent investors. You own gold and
silver as solid protection against currency debasement, inflation,
and faltering economies. You set aside cash for emergencies. You
have strong exposure to gold stocks, both producers and juniors,
positioned ahead of what is likely the next-favored asset class. You
feel protected and poised to profit.
Yet, despite all this preparation, you remain exposed to one of the
biggest risks.
23
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
24
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
While I think the U.S. poses the greatest threat, a foreign govern-
ment could move to control certain assets as well. The risk varies
by country and is generally greater within the banking system than
with private vaulting facilities.
Given our current rapacious climate, its likely that simply buying
gold wont be enough. I strongly suggest every investor diversify
their bullion storage outside their current political regime. The op-
tion may not be available someday, leaving you vulnerable without
a secondary source of bullion.
25
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Market Value
Investment Fees* Type
(USD)
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) 0.40% $31 billion Bullion
iShares COMEX Gold Trust (IAU) 0.25% $7 billion Bullion
Central Fund of Canada (CEF) 0.00% $3.4 billion Bullion
Sprott Physical Gold Trust ETV (PHYS) 0.35% $1.7 billion Bullion
ETFs Physical Swiss Gold Shares (SGOL) 0.39% $994.2 million Bullion
Central GoldTrust (GTU) 0.00% $886.2 million Bullion
ETFs Physical Prec Metals Basket Shares (GLTR) 0.60% $875 million Bullion
ETFs Asian Gold Trust ETF (AGOL) 0.39% $57 million Bullion
PowerShares DB Gold (DGL) 0.75% $146.8 million Futures
PowerShares DB Gold Double-Long ETN (DGP)** 0.75% $158.4 million Futures
ProShares Ultra Gold (UGL)** 0.95% $308 million Futures
RBS Gold Trendpilot ETN (TBAR) 1.00% $56.3 million Futures
UBS E-TRACS CMCI Gold TR ETN (UBG) 0.30% $13.2 million Futures
iPath DJ-UBS Prec Metals TR Sub-Index ETN (JJP) 0.75% $9.1 million Futures
iPath Pure Beta Precious Metals ETN (BLNG) 0.75% $1.8 million Futures
*Does not include brokerage fees **Designed to return twice the annual return of gold
But the differences start to show in the long run. From Decem-
ber 31, 2008 through December 31, 2014, the price of gold rose
about 36%. GLD rose about 32%, but DGL only rose about 23%.
26
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
What does this all add up to, be- You can find out how high
sides a lot of confusing choices? the premium is here: www.
Well, these funds are there to make centralfund.com/Nav%20
the banks money... not you. So if I Form.htm. Or you can call
were adding a precious-metal fund the Central Fund of Canada
to my own account, I would stick at (403) 228-5861.
27
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
to the big bullion funds. They track the spot price well and are
liquid enough to buy and sell easily.
28
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
You can buy the New York-based SPDR Gold Shares (GLD). GLD
is an exchange-traded fund that buys and owns gold bullion. By
owning shares in this trust fund, you own actual gold... and the
trust stores it for you. That solves the first problem: storage.
But simply investing in this fund doesnt fix the income problem.
The gold just sits in the trusts vaults, gathering dust. The trust
doesnt pay a dividend.
So in order to get some income from your pile of gold, you can
sell covered-call options on the shares. If youre not familiar with
trading options and find the idea uncomfortable, rest assured: this
call-option strategy is easy and safe. The upfront income this trade
generates makes it safer than simply buying shares in GLD.
Selling a call option simply gives someone else the right to buy
your GLD shares at a specific price (the strike price) before a
specific date (the expiration date). In exchange for that right, the
investor pays you money up front (called the premium).
29
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
You collect rent no matter what. And if the price goes up, you get
the gains up to a predetermined price. In other words, its a very,
very safe investment. Heres how it can work out:
If your GLD shares never trade for more than the strike price, you
keep the premium and the shares. You can continue to sell call
options against your shares.
If the share price exceeds the strike price on or before the expira-
tion date, your shares are automatically sold for you, you book any
profit up to the strike price, and you still keep the premium.
The best calls to sell have a strike price 5%-10% above the current
price and expire in six months or so. Those will give you plenty of
cash up front and still leave you some upside on your gold.
You can also follow this strategy with other gold funds, like the
iShares COMEX Gold Trust (IAU).
If you havent sold options before, you should talk to your broker
about the best way to take advantage of this opportunity. Please
dont rush out and do anything you dont understand.
But as I said, this trade is one of the safest, easiest ways to own
gold. Its a fantastic hedge against calamity and the collapse of
the dollar. Plus, with 10%-15% annual gains, you can earn more
income than the best dividend-paying stock in the marketplace.
30
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The IRS has a crazy view of gold ETFs... and it could cost
you a lot of the gains you plan on making in gold and silver.
You see, the IRS doesnt view gold as a normal financial asset like
a stock or a bond. The IRS views gold as a collectible. And the IRS
taxes the gains made in collectibles at a higher rate than conven-
tional assets.
If you buy a stock and hold it for over one year, and make a profit
on it, the tax rate on your gains is typically 15%. This greater-than-
one-year rate is called the long-term capital gains.
If you buy a stock, hold it for less than a year, and make a profit
on it, the gains you make will be taxed at your ordinary federal
income tax rate. This less-than-one-year rate is called short-term
capital gains. The higher your income, the higher your ordinary
income tax rate. Most Americans with investible assets (and a job)
are taxed in the 25%-35% range.
Collectibles like art, stamps, and gold coins are in a different boat.
The IRS assesses a tax rate of 28% on collectibles like these. And
despite a precious-metal ETFs stock-like attributes, it is backed by
gold bullion, so the IRS calls it a collectible. This means, even if youre
a buy and hold for the long term investor in a gold ETF, youll still
get hit with a tax rate of 28% versus the lesser 15% tax rate for normal
financial assets like stocks and bonds.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
I dont know about you, but the less I have to pass onto Uncle Sam
to finance bank bailouts, welfare handouts, wars, and other ridicu-
lous boondoggles, the better.
32
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
nies are sensitive to borrowing costs, fuel prices, and wild swings
in profit margins caused by the ever-changing gold price.
As with all tax-related questions, its best to consult with your own
advisor before taking any major action. But if you want a low-tax
way to get into gold and you dont mind a little volatility, consider
the gold-stock fund GDX.
33
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Meanwhile, the government has the ability to print all the money it
wants to. In short, your wealth in the bank is steadily eroding. Your
dollar is losing purchasing power year after year.
Frank and I go way back. I like him a lot, and I like his firm. His
team has taken good care of my readers over the years. (And in case
youre curious, I have no business relationship with EverBank, and
neither does my publisher, Stansberry Research.)
Yes.
But what if I need to convert my gold at the bank into cash to pay
for a big expense?
No problem.
Yes.
34
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
However you want. You can have gold with your name on it, so to
speak, which has a storage fee. Or we can hold it for you as unallo-
cated gold, where theres no storage fee.
Imagine your house needs a new roof, and you need to get the mon-
ey out of savings. If your savings are in gold coins in a safe deposit
box, you have a serious hassle...
You have to go to your bank and get your gold coins. Then you have
to find somebody to buy them from you at close to full price... Either
take them to a local dealer or mail them off to a reputable dealer.
Youre taking a bit of a risk, having them on you or putting them in
the mail. Then you have to wait on a check. Then you deposit that
check in your bank. Then let it clear. Then you can write a check for
a new roof. What a pain!
With your gold at EverBank, you tell them you need to convert your
gold to cash and move that cash to your checking account. Itll take
a day or two from when you say sell my gold. Then you can write
that check for the roof.
Now, if you hold your account in gold, its value is not guaranteed by
the FDIC. Your checking and savings accounts are, of course. But
if the price of gold goes down, the value of your gold account goes
down the FDIC isnt going to help you out there.
Thats why we sat down with Casey Researchs Jeff Clark to talk
about the best places to buy and store physical gold. As the editor
of Big Gold, Jeff is one of the most knowledgeable gold investors
in the world.
We think youll find his tips on buying and storing gold extremely
valuable over the coming years...
Jeff Clark: The average Joe may not be aware of it, but gold is very
mainstream these days... Meaning its easy to invest in, and there
are plenty of choices. You can buy GLD and the ETFs that have been
in the news over the last several years, which are reasonable op-
tions. But physical gold should be where your first dollar goes.
36
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
There are good rating services out there now, predominantly the
Professional Coin Grading Service (PCGS). But its a tricky area for
the novice, and you can lose money if you dont know what youre
doing. I only buy from Van Simmons of David Hall Rare Coins. I
trust him, and he actually helped create the standards for PCGS.
When youre shopping, keep in mind that you want a fairly com-
mon coin such as an Eagle, Maple Leaf, Krugerrand, or Philhar-
monic. You dont want an obscure coin and have someone ques-
tion if its real if you sell it someday. Other than that, youre just
looking for the best deal from a reputable dealer.
37
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The way to avoid paying too much is to shop around, and that only
takes a couple calls or clicks.
What you want to avoid are the large houses you see advertised
on TV or online. Youll occasionally see a low premium advertised
say 5%, or maybe even less. But quite frankly, thats usually an
enticement to get you in the door.
So if you buy from them, some day youre likely to hear, You
know, my friend, we have a great deal right now on this rare coin.
Let me tell you about it...
Of course, you can go to your local shop, too. But at times, my local
shops are more expensive than the other places we just talked
about, even after shipping. One of my local guys could charge a 9%
premium. I may like him, but thats unacceptable in an environ-
ment where premiums have come way down.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Clark: You can certainly pay with cash. In that scenario, youll be
going to your local coin shop.
Clark: The easiest way to store gold is in a safe deposit box at the
bank. But you can only get to the gold when the bank is open, and
youre not insured if the bank gets robbed. If you do decide to use
a safe deposit box, make sure you use a local bank. You want to be
able to get it in an emergency.
If you get a safe, put it somewhere you can place something over it,
like a refrigerator, because you dont want it visible to strangers or easy
to find if youre robbed. And for obvious reasons, you should install it
yourself. Some of the kits make it easier than you might expect.
Clark: This got its name from people burying their gold at night so
their neighbors wouldnt see them digging. If you bury your gold in
the daylight, find another reason to dig like fixing a pipe or remov-
ing a stump.
The advantage to burying your gold is that you dont have to worry
about it getting stolen or losing it if your house burns down. But make
sure you store it in something airtight and waterproof, like a hikers
water bottle or a bit of PVC pipe with capped ends.
Find somewhere on your property that youll remember but that isnt
easy to guess if someone learns youve buried something valuable.
39
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Clark: You should definitely let one person know the details
someone you trust. They need to be able to access the gold if you
get hurt or die. If you use a safe deposit box, put that persons
name on the registration. And make sure to tell him or her where
you put the key.
But dont tell more than one person. And most of the time, your
kids arent going to be a good choice. Kids talk, and you definitely
want to keep quiet about your gold...
Clark: My pleasure.
40
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Van is a legend when it comes to gold and gold coins and hes
one of my good friends.
Van is a mentor of mine. I give him a call and ask him his opin-
ion when Im considering buying an alternative investment (even
beyond gold and coins). Having collected and bought and sold so
many different things over decades, his experience is priceless.
Whats the best way for the typical American to own gold?
41
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
coins. The most widely traded gold coin is the U.S. Gold Eagle,
Van said. If youre new to gold, and you want to physically own
gold bullion, the U.S. Gold Eagles are the way to go.
(Its easy to buy Gold Eagles. Ill show you where and how at the end
of this essay.)
Well, you can own those you mentioned... But when a customer
sells a Krugerrand or a Maple Leaf, a dealer has to fill out a 1099
Form about who bought and sold and mail it to the government. We
dont have to do that for Gold Eagles.
All things being equal... the less reporting requirements, the better.
(You can also hold these coins in IRA accounts.)
How much should people hold in gold bullion like Gold Eagles ver-
sus stocks or rare coins?
Once again, its your call... You can put it in a safety deposit box, in
a home safe, or bury it in the backyard. One thing, I do not recom-
mend having a dealer store or hold it for you.
In sum, if you want to get started owning gold bullion, the best
starting point is U.S. Gold Eagles.
Dont worry if youve never bought gold before. If you buy from one
of the dealers above, its as easy as ordering a book on Amazon and
having it show up on your doorstep!
43
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The three buckets Van holds gold in are: gold bullion, rare
coins, and gold stocks. You choose the mix thats right for you,
based on how much risk you want to take and how much you want
to juice your portfolio to take advantage of a big move in gold.
For your rare coins bucket, you need expertise. In the last major
bull market in gold, coin prices soared. The entire market (as mea-
sured by the PCGS 3000 Index) rose 1,195% from 1976 to 1980.
We havent seen anything like that this time around. You can learn
all you want from books and doing your own research (which you
should do). But Van is my go to guy.
I always say, You and I cant call Warren Buffett about stocks, or
Bill Gross about bonds... but we can call Van about gold and gold
coins. Hes accessible. You can reach him through www.davidhall.
com, e-mail info@davidhall.com. Dana Samuelson and his team at
American Gold Exchange (www.amergold.com) also do a nice job.
At the end of the day, I think youll do great relying on Van and
Dana. Theyve proven to be trustworthy, they know their stuff, and
their prices are reasonable.
44
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
If youre just starting out in gold, or if youd like to add more mon-
ey to your gold position, Van laid out your path...
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
You have many choices when it comes to buying gold bullion. You
can buy gold jewelry. You can buy gold bars. They sell them in
one-ounce, 10-ounce, or even 400-ounce bars. Or you can buy gold
coins. There are thousands to choose from from ancient Roman
coins to coins issued by the U.S. Mint this year.
When I buy gold bullion, I need to know I can trade my gold any-
where in the world, whenever I want. I need to know Ill get full
value for my gold when I sell it. And I dont want the government
knowing about my transactions.
The $20 Saint gold coin meets these three requirements better
than any other gold bullion investment I know.
The U.S. Mint produced 70 million of these $20 gold coins be-
tween 1907 and 1933. The proper name for this coin is a $20
Double Eagle gold coin. But coin experts call them $20 Saints
because Augustus Saint Gaudens designed them.
For the last 100 years, collectors have spread the $20 Saint all
over the world. There are hundreds of thousands of these coins in
North America, Asia, South America, and Europe. Everyone recog-
nizes them. Everyone will trade them with you at a fair price.
46
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
To give you some history, in the late 19th century people used gold
coins as currency. They bought steamboat tickets with them. They
purchased houses with them. They even paid bills with them.
The vast majority of the gold coins from this era that exist today
are in junk condition, like most of the coins in your pocket. Few
uncirculated gold coins exist from this era.
By the early 20th century, people used paper money for day-to-day
transactions. Gold coins became a savings instrument. Savers kept
these coins in sock drawers, safety deposit boxes, and bank vaults.
47
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
For example, during the 1960s when gold was trading at $32 per
ounce, BU $20 Saints sold for almost $65 per coin... a 100% pre-
mium over gold.
With the run-up in gold prices in recent years, investors are buying
up modern gold bullion coins like the American Buffalo and Eagle,
and even one-ounce gold bars. And so inventories of these BU
vintage gold bullion coins have built up. The premiums have fallen
to all-time lows.
48
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
When you buy a gold futures contract on the COMEX, you agree
to buy gold at a particular price on a particular date.
So if you dont have the capital to cover 100 ounces of gold, try
a couple of the other sources of cheap gold listed in this book. If
you do have the capital, heres how it works...
These brokers may ask you to prove a minimum net worth and
a minimum income. If you can put down enough cash for 100
ounces of gold, you should clear these requirements no problem.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
You wont pay any markup on the gold, but you will pay a com-
mission ranging between $30 and $80. (These rates are paid
per contract, so thats not even one-tenth of one percent.)
50
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
51
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
You see, the government really wants to know if you have mon-
ey in a foreign bank account. When you mail in your taxes, you
have to report if you have one. The fear is that by reporting those
accounts, youve made it easy for the government to confiscate the
money someday, even if its held overseas.
But (and you might get a laugh out of this one) the government
doesnt count gold as money.
This loophole has been around for a long time. But to me, the
idea of shipping a bunch of gold bullion overseas doesnt seem
practical. Where would you store it in a garage or a bank some-
where?
52
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
You can buy Perth Mint Certificates. Its the easiest, most practical
way to hold gold overseas.
Buy a certificate, receive it in the mail, and boom! You now own
gold offshore.
You are in full compliance with U.S. law. But at the same time, by
holding gold offshore, you have made it more dicult for the gov-
ernment to reach into your account and take your wealth.
53
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Did you know the president confiscated all the gold of American
citizens in 1933?
It was the height of the Great Depression. And the U.S. government
desperately needed to shore up its financial position. So in a dra-
matic move, it took everyones gold.
Could it happen again? Well, put it this way: Who could have imag-
ined it would happen the first time around?
Every day on the radio, I hear ads about buying gold as a store of
wealth. But folks who held gold as a store of wealth in the Great
Depression had that wealth confiscated by the government.
I brought up the subject over lunch one day with my longtime friend
Michael Checkan. Michaels business is called Asset Strategies Inter-
national. He finds legal ways to protect and diversify your wealth.
Michael told me about a neat little idea he came up with.
I thought the idea was worth sharing with you... When the U.S.
government confiscated gold back in 1933, Michael told me, you
were allowed to keep your gold jewelry. The president didnt ask for
Grandmas wedding ring.
54
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
For example, if you wanted to, you could carry 100 24-karat gold
necklaces each piece weighing one to five ounces out of the
country, and you wouldnt run afoul of the currency laws. And then
you could convert them to money at most gold dealers in the world.
Its like legal gold smuggling.
Now, I dont recommend doing this on any scale. First off, youd
look like Mr. T. going through customs. And secondly, its just not
cost-effective... Most 24-karat jewelry is handmade and costs a
premium over the price of gold. But a gold dealer will only pay you a
discount to the gold price.
With this idea, you can keep your significant other happy while
youre confident you own something with real value. And in the ex-
treme case, if we see another 1933 again, your gold should be safe.
55
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
To get the facts on this story, we sat down with Van Simmons. Van
is the president of David Hall Rare Coins and co-founder of the
highly-respected Professional Coin Grading Service (PCGS), which
revolutionized the rare-coin market.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
As for the counterfeit bars, its usually a case of real gold bars
being drilled out and refilled with tungsten. Coins and ingots
things like rounds, small bars, and non-denominated coins minted
by private companies are smaller, so theyre typically tungsten
with some type of gold plating.
The fact is, its not even against the law in China to counterfeit
American coins, so there are many companies over there in that
business.
Dealers trade in these coins all day long and are very familiar with
them... so any potential counterfeits wouldnt stay in circulation
long. Like I said, Ive been trading them for decades and havent
encountered them.
We see these coins at PCGS every so often. But its usually a case
where someone will call us and say they have some rare date
coin thats worth a great deal of money... when the reality is they
bought it off eBay or someplace similar, paid cash for it, and its
counterfeit.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
dont look quite right if you know what youre looking for... And
its pretty easy for a professional to spot them as counterfeit.
They were popular in the past, but once coins like the Krugerrand,
Maple Leaf, and the U.S. Eagle began trading in the U.S. in the late
1970s and 1980s, these coins have dominated the bullion market.
These are what everyone trades... theyre super-liquid... and the
premiums are reasonable compared to most ingots. So its simply
not worth the risk to buy ingots to try to save a little money.
I talk to people all day long who have sought out really good
deals and end up hurting themselves. Its a clich, but its partic-
ularly true in the rare-coin market: If a deal sounds too good to be
true, it probably is.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
But in any case, they can call up a local coin dealer and most would
be happy to take a look.
Of course, any readers with specific concerns about rare coins can
also contact us at David Hall Rare Coins, and wed be happy to help.
Simmons: My pleasure.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
For all the gold thats ever been mined, you could buy every acre
of farmland in the U.S. and 10 companies the size of ExxonMobil...
and still have $1 trillion left over.
In a way, hes right. Most of the gold in the world just sits around
collecting dust. Very little of it is used for industrial purposes.
With the high price an ounce, industrial gold users will likely use
as little of the stuff as possible.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Im not saying gold and silver are cheap, though relative to dol-
lars, I believe they are cheap. Im saying the worlds most well-
known, well-liked, and widely held standard of value (the U.S.
dollar) is a poor standard of value. In fact, its a phony standard
of value.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The only reason most value investors dont like gold is that War-
ren Buffett doesnt like gold.
Believe me, Im only human. Ive fallen under the spell of a big-
name money manager a time or two.
62
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
A COMMON-SENSE GUIDE TO
BUYING AND SELLING GOLD
By Stansberry Research
Editors note: The content youre about to read veers from our
normal format. Many of the key, timeless ideas on gold that weve
published over the years have been featured in The Stansberry
Digest, our excellent e-letter for paid subscribers. Weve compiled
some of our favorite excerpts below
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
I collect wine, not gold coins. And I can tell you the price of the wine
I collect has absolutely nothing to do with the price of grape juice.
Prices for fine, collectible wines have soared in the last eight years,
simply because drinking wine has become very popular recently.
In the past, the same thing has happened in the rare coin market
most recently in the late 1980s. Coin manias can be extraordinary...
The prices for certain coins can become completely unhinged.
On the other hand, coin collectors can make money whether the
price of gold goes up or down. Gold-coin collecting is a good hedge
against inflation. Its a non-correlated asset (meaning it doesnt
follow the value of the stock market). From time to time, rare gold
coins will make you a tremendous amount of money and theyve
done pretty well since 2003 when we began recommending them.
But rare-coin investing is a completely different art than simply
buying gold.
Just got off the phone with Van Simmons (an executive
with David Hall Rare Coins). He said there is a shortage of
both Silver Eagle coins and 100-ounce bars. He cant get
them. He said that, for the first time in his career, a supplier
that guaranteed delivery simply couldnt make good on the
promise. He also told me that platinum eagles are in serious
short supply. I guess that means someone out there is buy-
ing up the physical metal in a big way.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The U.S. Mint has run out of one-ounce American Eagle gold coins.
And its been rationing Silver Eagles because of the high demand.
The U.S. mint sold 60,000 one-ounce gold coins this month, up
from 47,000 in July and 13,000 in June. When gold fell from the
$900s to the $700s, small buyers didnt sell the way they usually
do. They bought.
If youre nervous about whether or not its real gold, ask a jeweler.
If you dont have a local gold dealer, call the folks we know: David
Hall (www.davidhall.com), Camino Coin (www.caminocompany.
com), or Asset Strategies International (www.assetstrategies.com).
But heres my question for you. Do you really think the govern-
ment is going to let you access that box in the event of a real
currency crisis? No way. No way in hell. Theyll make owning gold
illegal overnight. And theyll instruct the banks to open every box
and seize all of the gold.
Think itll never happen? It already did. The best way to own gold
bullion is to keep it someplace safe, where no one will know any-
thing about it.
Everywhere you turn today, you see another talking head discuss-
ing currency wars when countries around the world race to
devalue their currency. And you see countless headlines asking if
golds run is over.
When central banks are buying gold, the price of gold will rise.
Only when central banks stop buying, for whatever reason, will the
price of gold go back down.
Interestingly, the best time to buy gold is when central banks are
selling. And I mean the ideal time to buy gold is when central
banks are selling.
But today, central banks are buying... And they have been buying
for the last five or six years. So gold is going up. If you have the
luxury of owning plenty of real property and having plenty of gold,
you just wait and enjoy the ride. Because you know that whatever
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
In the long run, all paper-currency regimes fail. And at some point
in the future, gold will become the basis of international trade. We
cant know when that will be. But when it happens, the price of
gold will go much higher than it is today.
My advice has been the same for many years... If you dont own
any gold, please buy some. Its expensive, but its necessary insur-
ance against todays fiscal policies. If youre trying to speculate in
gold, you want to do it in a contrarian way... And you want to be
contrarian to central banks.
As I (Porter) have said in the past, asset valuation is a tricky thing. Its
not always easy to know the real value of something...
That goes double when it comes to valuing gold. Its only true utility is
as a universally recognized asset that isnt anyone elses liability. While
gold is a value touchstone, its intrinsic value is very dicult to judge.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
So if you buy gold, even at the wrong price, you will be rewarded even-
tually. Thats because gold is ethically, morally, and traditionally and
for sound physical reasons the best form of money ever created.
Of course, how much you will be rewarded depends upon the moral
and economic failings of the paper money systems gold competes with.
I would judge those failings to be approximately total.
By the time my children are having children, lets say 25 years from
now, I would expect the paper dollar to be nearly worthless. Because
you measure the price of gold in paper dollars, you would then expect
the price of gold to be nearly infinite. Thats only measuring these
things in terms of nominal prices, which are meaningless in the real
world.
So if you look at the value of gold and not the price, I think youll have a
much better sense of whats happening. The value of gold has remained
almost completely unchanged over thousands and thousands of years.
And this latest bull market in gold has not changed the metals funda-
mental value.
None of the latest market gyrations has changed my view of the intrin-
sic utility of gold. I dont expect the true value of gold to change much at
all over time. I expect that its relationship with other paper currencies
will change dramatically in golds favor. And I expect that will happen
soon.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Last month, the greatest investor on Earth attacked one of the finan-
cial worlds sacred cows... and an army of bloggers and self-appointed
pundits flooded the Internet with condemnation.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Less than a day after Buffetts critical comments, the Internet lit
up with rebuttals. Gold lovers (sometimes labeled gold bugs)
called Buffett a moron, a government shill, and a senile old man.
But in this months issue, Im going to show you that Buffett has
a good point. What Im about to say might anger you... You may
even consider canceling your subscription. But hear me out. Reg-
ular readers of Retirement Millionaire know I like to focus on the
facts, not the hype.
Knowing the facts about gold will make a huge difference in your
wealth over the coming decade... And if you own gold, it will help
you understand when its time to hold and when you should diver-
sify into other investments
First is scarcity. The world has only a finite amount, and you cant
create any more. Further, all the gold ever mined about 170,000
metric tons would fit onto a football field piled to about 6.5 feet
high. (At todays prices, the pile of gold is worth roughly $10 tril-
lion or so.)
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Gold does none of that. So you have no way to know its value other
than the price today...
The other myth that leads people to gold is the belief that the precious
metal can hedge you from inflation. (This is the idea that as the price of
everyday goods we buy rises, the price of gold will increase in lockstep.)
This makes some intuitive sense. But in reality, it doesnt work that
way... The next chart shows that over 17 years (1987-2004) of rising
inflation, gold prices went nowhere...
Over my investing lifetime, the only great time to own gold has been
when real returns on fixed-income securities turned negative. So for
example, imagine investing in a five-year U.S. Treasury note paying
interest twice a year. When inflation has been more than interest
rates on these U.S. Treasurys, gold has been a great asset to own.
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Heres a chart showing that. When the real return on a five-year U.S.
Treasury note (the interest rate minus the consumer price index)
dips and stays in the negative return area, gold thrives.
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For example, if violence broke out in the streets and the paper cur-
rency of the U.S. government was worthless, youd need to barter
with gold or silver coins to get what you wanted. (I dont believe
this is likely... but you should always have an emergency plan.)
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This chart of MCD, gold, and the S&P 500 shows how a great blue-
chip company protects you as well as gold can during tough times.
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In sum... Dont fall for the gold hype. Gold is a good chaos hedge,
but its not an asset you want to place a large chunk of your wealth
in. Go ahead and own gold for some disaster insurance. But
avoid fanciful marketing claims of rare collectible coins that
were struck last year. Store your physical gold on your own prop-
erty, not with a government-controlled institution.
If youre truly interested in an all-weather asset to place a
large chunk of your portfolio into, go with the worlds best divi-
dend-paying companies... like Coca-Cola, McDonalds, and John-
son & Johnson.
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These days, everybody loves to read and talk about the next
financial crisis.
Ill tell you what in a moment. But first, lets talk about Howard Marks...
Marks is one of the greatest investors of our time. His book, The
Most Important Thing, is one of the best investment books ever
written. His shareholder letters are must-reads.
Klarman believes low interest rates and easy credit have distort-
ed market prices. If the Federal Reserve wasnt printing money
and buying bonds with it every month, Klarman says, None of
us know what the level of stock prices would be, what the level of
corporate earnings would be, or, of course, where interest rates
would be.
This clearly implies that interest rates should rise much higher in
the near future.
He said the cool thing about gold is that its a good hedge to own
should the solvency of the United States be called into question.
If gold goes to $3,000, $5,000, or $10,000 an ounce, he called
buying call options on gold the most interesting hedge.
You dont buy insurance to make money. You buy it to keep from
losing money.
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When you buy insurance, you hope you never have to use it. Thats
how many professional investors see gold today.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
In the second type, the royalty company will help finance mine
construction which is much more expensive than funding an
exploration program and receive a royalty payment called a
stream. A stream is a commitment for either a certain number
of ounces of metals per year or a certain percentage of ounces
produced on an annual basis from the mine.
Streams are often the preferred financing methods for the mining
companies. If they borrow the money from a bank, they might
have to hedge the production... or the bank might want more
security of other mining assets, and so forth. If they sell more
shares to finance the mine, it dilutes and irritates existing
stockholders. So its generally an easier financing mechanism
for the miners, and its a nice stream of income that the royalty
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
You also have a degree of transparency and clarity you dont get
with mining stocks. Royalty pipelines are typically pretty visible,
particularly over a three- or four-year time frame. And once a royal-
ty company has put the money in, it doesnt have any further risk.
If there are capital cost overruns and that can be a big problem
for mines because they often cost more to build than what was
planned for theyre not the royalty companys problem. Its
already struck its deal. It might take another bite of it, but that
would be a new deal. Its not something that it would have to pay
any portion of. The miner is responsible for all overruns in the
construction budget.
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Usually, they pay out about 20% of their royalty income as a div-
idend, which gives you great current income and visible growth
from the royalty pipeline.
Royal Gold had the original idea of exploring to grow its own
properties, and then finding majors to develop them, while re-
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Doody: The most important thing to know is that the big ones
trade in the market at different multiples than the smaller ones.
The big companies tend to trade around 20 times royalties per
share.
Ideally, you want to buy the big ones when theyre trading
around 15 times royalty income, and sell them when theyre
trading over 25 times income. And you want to buy the small
ones when theyre trading around five times royalty income, and
sell them when theyre trading over 10 times income. But, rather
than trading in and out based on the multiple, it can be better to
just buy and hold based on their pipeline of growth.
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Doody: Ill just add that its common for several of the 10 recom-
mendations in our current Top 10 portfolio to be royalty com-
panies. That should tell you something about how much we like
these stocks.
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Gold rises in times of fear... the old saying goes. And it is true. But
how exactly do you measure fear? Its tough, because fear is not
rational.
Most gold writers push the fear buttons... The world is going to
hell in a hand-basket youd better own some gold, they say.
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this case, both pay no interest. And in this case, a rational investor
would choose gold. The gold is still the same lump of metal, but a
government could print money and make the paper money worth-
less. It cant print gold.
Money flows where its treated best. If there are high interest rates,
gold does poorly, as money flows where its treated well. If interest
rates are low or zero, money flows toward gold. Gold cant com-
pete with high interest rates. But it is extremely competitive with
zero-percent interest.
But wait, you say. How did gold run from $100 to $800 in the
late 1970s?
If youre just looking at the current interest rate, youre not getting
the whole picture. You have to consider inflation as well, to get
to the real interest rate. For example, banks might pay you 1%
interest. But inflation may be 2%. So the real interest rate the
interest rate AFTER inflation would actually be -1%. And that
explains it all...
Back in 1979, short-term interest rates were 8%, but inflation was
13%. That means your real return was negative 5% a year on
your cash. Gold went from $100 to $800 in no time.
Then, at the end of the decade, Fed Chairman Paul Volker drove
short-term interest rates through the roof. By 1981, short-term
interest rates were 15%, and inflation was back into the single dig-
its. That means investors got an outstanding real return on their
money... and gold tanked, back into the $300-plus range by 1982.
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Back in the 1970s, the real return on cash (the return after in-
flation) was negative. So money flowed out of cash and into gold.
Today, for the first time since the late 1970s, were seeing the same
thing. The real return on cash is negative.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
You wake up in the morning, turn on the news, and get a sick feel-
ing in your stomach...
The stock market is crashing again. Another big Wall Street bank
has failed. Your 401(k) has lost another 25%. Its bleeding value
every week.
Could it happen again? Could another crisis cause the value of the
U.S. dollar to collapse? Could the stock market suffer another epic
decline?
The good news is that its very easy to buy insurance against finan-
cial disasters like these. I personally own this insurance. Many of
the smartest, wealthiest people I know own it, too. It could mean
the difference between a comfortable, early retirement... and just
barely getting by.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Its the same with investment insurance. You can buy investment
insurance and hope to never have to use it.
Thats it.
However, the doom and gloom gurus bring up some good points.
They arent crazy. There are some big risks to our financial system.
The U.S. government is spending way too much money on wars,
Obamacare, welfare, and other programs. Europe and Chinas
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The good news is that you dont have to buy a huge amount of gold
to have a good insurance policy. You can place just 5% of your
portfolio into gold.
But what if the financial disaster strikes? Ive heard some top
financial analysts say gold could climb to $7,000 an ounce in the
financial-disaster scenario.
Lets say a financial disaster sends the value of your stocks and
bonds down 50%. That would be a massive decline. Throughout
history, only the worst, most severe bear markets sent stocks down
this much.
This epic financial disaster would cut your $95,000 stock and bond
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
position by 50%, leaving you with $47,500. But lets say this disaster
also causes gold to rise to $7,000 an ounce. In February 2015, gold
went for $1,265 per ounce. A rise to $7,000 would produce a more-
than-fivefold increase in the value of your gold. It would cause the
value of your $5,000 gold stake to rise to about $28,455.
But what if you think the chances of financial disaster are higher
than unlikely? What if youre more worried than the average
Joe?
As you can see, the larger your gold-insurance policy, the better
you do in the financial-disaster scenario. But if the financial disas-
ter doesnt strike, you wont benefit as much because you hold less
money in stocks and bonds, which do well if the economy carries
on. And keep in mind... it would take a serious financial disaster to
send stocks down by 50% and gold to $7,000.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
You buy gold and hope to never have to use it. Youll do fine if
things carry on. Youll do fine if the crap hits the fan.
And the peace of mind you get from owning gold insurance is
worth even more than the money it could save you.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Louis James: If one of the reasons to own gold is that its real
its not paper, its not simultaneously someone elses liability
why own gold stocks?
Casey: Its just impossible. For one thing, they cannot grow con-
sistently because their assets are always depleting. Nor can they
predict what their rate of exploration success is going to be.
But that can be a good thing. For example, many of the best spec-
ulations have a political element to them. Governments are con-
stantly creating distortions in the market, causing misallocations
of capital. Whenever possible, the speculator tries to find out what
these distortions are because their consequences are predictable.
They result in trends you can bet on. Its like the government is
guaranteeing your success because you can almost always count
on the government to do the wrong thing.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The good news is that, for that very same reason, these stocks are
extremely volatile. That makes it possible, from time to time, to get
not just doubles or triples, but 10-baggers, 20-baggers, and even
100-to-1 shots in these mining stocks.
That kind of upside makes up for the fact that these stocks are
lousy investments and that you will lose money on most of them,
if you hold them long enough. Most are best described as burning
matches.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
For thousands of years, people have been looking for gold in the
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most obscure and bizarre places all over the world. Thats because
of the 92 naturally occurring elements in the periodic table, gold
was probably the first metal that man discovered and made use of.
The reason for that is simple: Gold is the most inert of the metals.
Casey: Right. You can find it in its pure form, and it doesnt
degrade and it doesnt rust. In fact, of all the elements, gold is not
only the most inert, its also the most ductile and the most mal-
leable. Other than silver, its the best conductor of both heat and
electricity, and the most reflective. In todays world, that makes it
a high-tech metal. New uses are found for it weekly. It has many
uses besides its primary one as money and its secondary use as
jewelry. But it was probably also mans first metal.
But for that same reason, all the high-grade, easy-to-find gold
deposits have already been found. There have to be a few left to be
discovered. But by and large, were going to larger-volume, low-
er-grade, no-see-um-type deposits at this point. Gold mining is
no longer a business in which, like in the movie The Treasure of
the Sierra Madre, you can get a couple of guys, some picks and
mules, and go out and find the mother lode. Unfortunately, now,
its usually a large-scale, industrial earth-moving operation next to
a chemical plant.
Thats the good news. The bad news is that these things fluctuate
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
down even more dramatically than they fluctuate up. They are
burning matches that can actually go to zero. And when they go
down, they usually drop at least twice as fast as they went up.
James: Thats true, but as bad as a total loss is, you can only lose
100%. But theres no such limit to the upside. A 100% gain is only
a double, and we do much better than that for subscribers numer-
ous times per year.
Casey: Yes. You buy gold, the metal, because youre prudent.
Its for safety, liquidity, insurance. The gold stocks, even though
they explore for or mine gold, are at the polar opposite of the
investment spectrum. You buy those for extreme volatility and
the chance it creates for spectacular gains. Its rather paradoxical,
actually.
James: You buy gold for safety and gold stocks specifically to
profit from their un-safety.
Casey: Exactly. They really are total opposites, even though its
the same commodity in question. Its odd. But then, life is often
stranger than fiction.
Casey: You know, I first started looking at gold stocks back in the
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
early 1970s. In those days, South African stocks were the blue chips
of the mining industry. As a country, South Africa mined about 60%
of all the gold mined in the world, and costs were very low.
Gold was controlled at $35 per ounce until Nixon closed the gold
window in 1971. But some of the South Africans were able to mine
it for $20 an ounce or less. They were paying huge dividends.
Gold had run up from $35 to $200 in early 1974, then corrected
down to $100 by 1976. It had come off 50%. But at the same time
that gold was bottoming around $100, they had some serious riots
in Soweto. So the gold stocks got a double hit: falling gold prices
and fear of revolution in South Africa.
Three names that I remember from those days were Leslie, Brack-
en, Grootvlei. I owned a lot of shares in them. If you bought Leslie
for $0.80 a share, youd expect, based on previous dividends, to
get about $0.60 a share in that year.
Casey: Thats the big question, isnt it? Well, the last major bottom
in this sector was from 1998 to 2002. Many of these junior mining
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Casey: Yes. But nobody wanted to hear about it at that time. Gold
was low, and there was a bubble in Internet stocks. Why would
anyone want to get involved in a dead-duck, 19th century, choo-
choo train industry like gold mining? It had been completely dis-
credited by the long bear market, but that made it the ideal time to
buy them, of course. That was deep in the Stealth Phase.
Over the next six to eight years, these stocks took off, moving us
into the Wall of Worry Phase. But the stocks didnt fly the way they
did in past bull markets. I think thats mostly because they were so
depleted of capital, they were selling lots of shares. So their market
capitalizations the aggregate value given them by the market
were increasing. But their share prices werent. Not as much.
Then the last fall hit, and nobody wanted anything speculative.
These most volatile of stocks showed their nature and plunged
through the floor in the general flight to safety. That made the
last fall the second best time to buy mining shares this cycle, and
I know you recommended some pretty aggressive buying last fall,
near the bottom.
Now, many of these shares the better ones at least have recov-
ered substantially. And some have even surpassed pre-crash highs.
Again, the Wall of Worry Phase is characterized by large fluctua-
tions that separate the wolves from the sheep (and the sheep from
their cash).
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Where does that leave us? Well, as you know, I think gold is going
to go much, much higher. And that is going to direct a lot of atten-
tion toward these gold stocks. When people get gold fever, they are
not just driven by greed, theyre usually driven by fear as well. So
you get both of the most powerful market motivators working for
you at once. Its a rare class of securities that can benefit from fear
and greed at once.
Where? I cant say for certain, but I say the odds are extremely
high that as gold goes up... a lot of this funny money is going to be
directed into these gold stocks, which are not just a microcap area
of the market but a nanocap area of the market.
Ive said it before, and Ill say it again: When the public gets the bit
in its teeth and wants to buy gold stocks, its going to be like trying
to siphon the contents of the Hoover Dam through a garden hose.
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fluctuations... If you buy these and hold for the Mania Phase, you
should come out very well. But you cant blink and get stampeded
out of your positions when the market fluctuates sharply.
I should stress that Im not saying this is the perfect time to buy.
Were not at a market bottom, as we were in 2001, nor an inter-
im bottom, like last November. And I cant say I know the Mania
Phase is just around the corner. But I think this is a very reason-
able time to be buying these stocks. And its absolutely a good time
to start educating yourself about them. Theres just such a good
chance a massive bubble is going to be ignited in this area.
Why is that? Because most of the time, were wrong when we pick
areas to speculate in, certainly in areas where you cant apply
Graham-Dodd-type logic. But if youre wrong on nine out of 10 of
them and it would be hard to do that badly then you at least
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
So it looks very risky (and falling in love with any single stock is
very risky). But its actually an intelligent way to diversify your risk
and stack the odds of profiting on volatility in your favor.
If you can find only two or three, what do you do with the rest of
your money? Well, at this point, I would put a lot of it into gold, in
one form or another, while keeping your powder dry as you look
for the next opportunity.
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PART III
How to Know When to
Sell Your Gold
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Heres what theyre saying: Gold is way too popular now... Its
near the end of its bull market. The recommended action to
take is to cash in your gold profits and move on to something
different.
I can tell you that taking this advice is a big mistake. Anyone who
believes gold is too popular with the mainstream public simply
doesnt know who the mainstream public is... and they dont un-
derstand how bull markets end.
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Ask 100 people on the street if they own gold. See what they say.
Dont ask folks who read newsletter writers like Doug Casey or
Porter Stansberry. Dont ask folks who you regularly talk invest-
ments with. Ask a group of randomly chosen members of the
public if they know why gold is real money. Ask them why gold
climbed from $650 to over $1,700 in five years.
Hes going to have no idea what you are talking about. Hes heard
about gold on the news a few times, but he cant tell you why gold
is rising, who is buying it, or why it is the best form of money
mankind has ever found.
When a bull market gets too popular, it looks like tech stocks did
back in 1999. This was when everybody and his brother bragged
at the oce Christmas party about making a fortune in Cisco or
Microsoft. It was when schoolteachers, personal trainers, and cab
drivers suddenly became tech stock experts.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
I cant say that about gold... not after talking with friends who do
not invest... not after talking with the people sitting next to me
on the plane. The public still has no idea what bullion really
is... or how the governments reckless tax and spend behavior is
clobbering our currency.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The massive new supply floods the mar- in gold jewelry valued at
ket and causes the gold price to collapse. $350 and only received
The intense dishoarding in January $66.07 from Cash 4
1980, for example, was one reason
golds bubble popped. Gold fell $250 in Gold.
the final days of January and then kept
falling for the next two decades. Instead of mailing
your jewelry off, your
Heres the thing: Gold fever has re- best bet is to shop your
turned to America. A few commercials
on TV are offering cash for gold... gold around to a few
local jewelry stores and
Pawnshops are doing well. But so far, it compare their offers.
seems people are still more interested in
accumulating gold. You probably wont get
face value... but youll
Until you see lines around the block at do much better than you
coin shops and New York Times articles
about dentists earning thousands of dol- will with Cash 4 Gold.
lars from used gold fillings, you should
assume were still in the bull market.
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PART IV
Chinas Influence in the
Gold Market
T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
I know this will all sound crazy to most folks, he wrote. But
most folks dont understand gold or why it represents real, time-
less wealth. The Chinese do.
For many years now, its been clear that China would soon be pull-
ing the strings in the U.S. financial system.
I know big numbers dont mean much to most people, but keep in
mind... this tab is now hundreds of billions of dollars more than
what the U.S. government collects in ALL income taxes (both cor-
porate and individual) each year. Its basically a sum we can never,
ever hope to repay at least, not by normal means.
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Of course, the Chinese arent stupid. They realize we are both trapped.
China has recently put into place a covert plan to get back as much
of its money as possible by extracting colossal sums from
both the United States government and ordinary citizens,
like you and me.
Lucky for us, we know whats going to happen. And we even have
a pretty good idea of how it will all unfold. How do we know so
much? Well, this isnt the first time the U.S. has tried to stiff its
foreign creditors.
Most Americans probably dont remember this, but our last big
currency war took place in the 1960s. Back then, French President
Charles de Gaulle denounced the U.S. government policy of print-
ing overvalued U.S. dollars to pay for its trade deficits... which
allowed U.S. companies to buy European assets with dollars that
were artificially held up in value by a gold peg that was nothing
more than an accounting fiction. So de Gaulle took action...
And France was not the only nation to do this... Spain soon re-
deemed $60 million of U.S. dollar reserves for gold, and many
other nations followed suit. By March 1968, gold was flowing out
of the United States at an alarming rate.
By 1950, U.S. depositories held more gold than had ever been
assembled in one place in world history (roughly 702 million
ounces). But to manipulate our currency, the U.S. government was
willing to give away more than half of the countrys gold.
Its estimated that during the 1950s and early 1970s, we essentially
gave away about two-thirds of our nations gold reserves... around
400 million ounces... all because the U.S. government was trying
to defend the U.S. dollar at a fixed rate of $35 per ounce of gold.
In short, we gave away 400 million ounces of gold and got $14
billion in exchange. Today, that same gold would be worth $620
billion... a 4,330% difference.
Incredibly stupid, wouldnt you agree? This blunder cost the U.S.
much of its gold hoard.
When the history books are finally written, this chapter will go
down as one of our nations most incompetent political blunders.
Of course, as is typical with politicians, they managed to make a
bad situation even worse...
The root cause of the weakness in the U.S. dollar was easy to
understand. Americans were consuming far more than they were
producing. You could see this by looking at our governments
annual deficits, which were larger than ever and growing... thanks
to the gigantic new welfare programs and the Vietnam police ac-
tion. You could also see this by looking at our trade deficit, which
continued to get bigger and bigger, forecasting a dramatic drop
(eventually) in the value of the U.S. dollar.
This new currency war with China will wreak absolute havoc on
the lives of millions of ordinary Americans, much sooner than
most people think. Its critical over the next few years for you to
understand exactly what the Chinese are doing, why they are doing
it, and the near-certain outcome.
In my next installment, Ill explain the rest of the story... and what
it means for you as an investor.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
For more than 30 years, since the start of the countrys Reform
Era in 1978, China has been selling (exporting) more goods than
it has imported.
Theres nothing fair about this. The Chinese people do all the
work, and the Chinese government keeps all of the money. But
thats the way it goes.
At first, the dollar inflow was small because trade between the two
countries was tiny. In 1980, for example, Chinas foreign currency
reserves stood at approximately $2.5 billion. But since then, the
amount of foreign currency reserves held by the Chinese gov-
ernment has gone up nearly every year... and now stands at $3.2
TRILLION. Thats a 127,900% increase. Its simply astonishing to
look at the chart of the increase in currency reserves...
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
And for the past few years, SAFE has had one big problem:
What to do with so much money?
And while the Chinese would love to diversify and ditch a sig-
nificant portion of their U.S. dollar holdings, they are essential-
ly stuck.
You see, if the Chinese start selling large amounts of their U.S.
government bonds, it would push the value of those bonds (and
their remaining holdings) way down. It would be like owning 10
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
The Chinese got burned big time by the U.S. equities markets and
received a lot of heat back home. They are not eager to return to
the U.S. stock market in a meaningful way. So Chinas U.S. dollar
reserves just keep piling up in various forms of fixed income U.S.
Treasury bonds, Fannie and Freddie mortgage bonds, and other
forms of debt backed by the U.S. government. These investments
are considered totally safe except that theyre subject to the risk
of inflation.
If the Chinese wont buy stocks and the only real risk to their ex-
isting portfolio is inflation, what do you think they will do to hedge
that risk?
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
In fact, not only has China become the worlds leading importer of
gold, it was already the worlds leading producer... by far. Accord-
ing to the most recent figures from the World Gold Council, China
produces nearly 50% more gold (about 300 tons per year) than the
second-place country... Australia. And guess what? Every single
ounce produced in China whether its dug out of the ground
by the government or a foreign company must, by law, be sold
directly back to the government.
The West wasnt kind to China back then. The country was re-
peatedly looted and humiliated by Russia, Japan, Britain, and the
United States. But today, it is a different story...
I know this will all sound crazy to most folks. But most folks
dont understand gold, or why it represents real, timeless
wealth. The Chinese do. And in my next essay, Ill provide more
evidence of how they are carrying out the largest gold accumu-
lation plan of all time.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
But my job isnt to fit in with the mindless journalism that pass-
es for the mainstream press these days. And it isnt to impress
the U.S. government. My job is to study the numbers and report
on the most important financial developments that will affect my
readers.
If you doubt this is what the Chinese are doing, I suggest you
take a look at a cable that was leaked on the nonprofit website
Wikileaks last year.
This cable was prepared by the U.S. Embassy in Beijing and was
sent back to ocials in Washington, D.C. The embassy was com-
menting on a recent report by Chinas National Foreign Exchanges
Administration. The cable quoted the Chinese administration as
follows...
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
A century ago, China used silver to back its currency. Today, it has
chosen gold... And it is basically buying up the worlds gold supply.
China is essentially attempting to corner the gold market.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
When you are buying this much gold, its almost impossible to
keep the entire thing a secret. Thats why many stories of Chinas
secret purchases have been mentioned in the mainstream press.
For example, CNN Money interviewed Boris Schlossberg, director
of currency research at Global Forex Trading, reported...
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
This is why the Mining Journal said last November that it expects
China to amass some 5,000 tons of gold over the next five years.
I would not be surprised if it amasses twice that amount. As CNN
explained, The thing to remember here is that if China is going to
continue to purchase massive amounts of gold, the last thing they
want to do is make this information public, until they really have
to. The less they say, the cheaper the price theyll have to pay.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
And these are only the deals the government WANTS to make
public.
For example, CNGGC has many aliases, including its 40% stake
in China Gold Intl. Resources and may have more than 300
secretive investment stakes in various gold mining companies
around the globe. With a tremendous amount of digging in re-
cent months, weve been able to locate the Chinese governments
significant equity stakes in dozens of junior gold mining stocks.
The point is, when you look at the gold China already has in
reserve... and look at what it controls thats still in the ground...
the Chinese might already have more gold than any oth-
er nation on Earth.
Its the next step in Chinas hidden currency war against the
United States.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Over the last 10 years, the price of gold has moved up or down
by more than 5% on only 10 occasions. The same volatility has
occurred in silver 80 times. It has happened in oil 137 times.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
To control the market for gold, the Chinese must not only accumu-
late massive gold reserves (which its doing), it must establish the
worlds leading exchange and regulate it honestly.
Locals can buy gold bars, which come in four sizes, at ANY Chinese
bank in the country. If you dont think thats unusual, try buying
gold at ANY bank in the United States and watch the funny look
you get from the teller.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
Why would the Chinese government set off a frenzy for gold?
But all of these facts are just hints about whats to come. The real
story wont be unveiled until June. Thats when China will open
something called the Pan Asia Gold Exchange (PAGE). This is a
direct competitor to the London Metals Exchange and the COMEX
in New York.
The way things work, the futures market in London fixes the
spot price of gold each morning and afternoon, based on trading in
London and on Americas COMEX market.
But both of these markets back gold contracts with only 10% of the
actual metal. The new China PAGE market is expected to have a
much larger gold backing and could change the way gold is traded.
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
For several years, weve been warning about the loss of world
reserve currency status for the U.S. dollar. We have worried about
our currency because we understood the propensity of govern-
ments to steal from their citizens through inflation.
Once they are ready to make the yuan freely convertible, they will
have created tremendous demand for their bonds and bills by
making their currency the worlds most reliable... and the only one
backed with gold.
The impact on the dollar could be catastrophic... And every day the
dollar falls, Chinas gold stockpile will grow more valuable (and
more powerful). You can protect you and your family from this po-
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T H E S TA N S B E R R Y R E S E A R C H G O L D I N V E S T O R S M A N U A L
tential collapse with a handful of very simple steps... the first one
being to own plenty of gold.
131
APPENDIX
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