2018 Index of Military Strength Space
2018 Index of Military Strength Space
2018 Index of Military Strength Space
2018
INDEX OF
U.S. MILITARY
STRENGTH
DAVIS INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL SECURITY AND FOREIGN POLICY
Edited by
Dakota L. Wood
information derived from reconnaissance a half-century old, having begun on October 4,
satellites (sometimes termed national techni- 1957, with the launch of Sputnik by the USSR.1
cal means, or NTM) has generally remained Moreover, because space activities and space-
highly classified. Rumors have long abounded derived information have long been closely held
regarding the capabilities of American recon- secrets, their full potential for military and civil-
naissance satellites, for example, but little of ian applications has yet to be explored. Though
their actual resolution (what they were able to information from space systems has been em-
see on the surface of the planet) was revealed ployed in the wars of the past quarter-century,
during the Cold War. The end of the Cold War no nations have yet engaged in combat in space.
and the subsequent use of satellite imagery in Both the political and technical ramifications of
1991 during the first Gulf War pulled back many such a conflict are still largely theoretical.
of the curtains that had obscured the capabili-
ties and nature of reconnaissance satellites as Key Characteristics of Space
programs were declassified and images were Given the growing importance of space
disseminated more broadly. in security affairs, it is important to recog-
Space-based capabilities have also evolved nize certain key characteristics of the outer
from being oriented primarily toward meet- space domain.
ing national security requirements to increas- Characteristic #1: Space is beyond
ingly being part of global commerce. Where Earth. The outer space region is generally
(physical space within the atmosphere above Almost as important, tracking current objects
the boundaries of a nation) is considered the in space and determining their orbits is criti-
equivalent of sovereign territory, the same cal to preventing collisions between satellites,
does not apply once one enters outer space. preventing collisions between orbiting objects
Instead, spacecraft of all nations are allowed and spacecraft that are being launched, and
to transit freely overhead and have no obliga- determining whether space objects orbits are
tion to curtail their activities in doing so. (Re- decaying to the point that those objects may
alistically, such activities as satellite commu- reenter the Earths atmosphere.
nications and weather forecasting would be To maintain SSA, the United States (like
virtually impossible if there were a patchwork other nations) employs a variety of means. A
of sovereignty governing outer space as there vital tool is a network of radars. Some are con-
is on Earth.) Ironically, this principle of open ventional radars, which can track individual
skies was established when the Soviet Union targets. Others are large phased-array radars,
orbited its Sputnik spacecraft. The Soviets ar- which can track multiple objects simultane-
gued that Sputnik did not pass over countries; ously and maintain surveillance over large vol-
instead, countries rotated underneath the umes of space. In addition, there are many tele-
spacecraft.2 scopes that allow imaging of satellites, which
Because it is beyond Earth, outer space is in turn allows analysts to determine the likely
also not affected by considerations of terrain. functions of a given satellite more precisely. All
There are no features in space (at least within of these are ground-based systems.
the EarthMoon system) that provide con- Since 2014, the United States has also de-
cealment or otherwise can mask spacecraft ployed a series of satellites that allow it to ex-
operations. Therefore, there is no real ability amine satellites from orbit. The Geosynchro-
for spacecraft to hide. nous Space Situational Awareness Program
Counterintuitively, this set of consider- (GSSAP) comprises a number of satellites de-
ations actually makes space situational aware- ployed in geosynchronous orbit.5 These carry
ness (SSA) a very complicated affair. Because electro-optical sensors that provide analysts
there is no place for satellites to hide, all with up-close pictures of objects in orbit.
ters per second on average, which translates Earths equator) is very expensive in terms of
to roughly 22,000 mph.7 Even grains of sand fuel and is usually avoided.
traveling at such speeds can have an abrasive Characteristic #3: Space is difficult to
effect, and larger objects can damage solar pan- reach. Not only does it take time to build a
els and instrument packages. satellite; it also takes time and a great deal of
In order to operate in such a hostile envi- infrastructure and related expense to launch
ronment, spacecraft must be manufactured it. Various capabilities are necessary to place
to very high tolerances. Many are practically an object into orbit. One must have a satellite
hand-made, which makes them very expensive. and a launch vehicle. That vehicle is launched
A commercial communications satellite costs from some kind of facility that has a launch
at least $200 million.8 Military communica- pad, a mission-control facility, and surveil-
tions satellites such as the Wideband Global lance equipment with which to monitor and
Satcom satellite cost upwards of $400 million control the launch. There is usually an assem-
each.9 Dedicated reconnaissance satellites (spy bly or mating facility for placing the satellite
satellites) can cost over $1 billion. Reported- payload on the rocket. Finally, other tracking
ly, the overall cost for four new U.S. GOES-R sites are necessary to ensure that the payload
weather satellites will be $11 billion.10 has reached the proper orbit, has separated
The steady increase in the cost of from the launching rocket, and is functioning
satellites is reflected in the American properly after it has entered orbit.
22,000 miles
no clear demarcation among them, but space 1,200 iles
experts in general talk about three main or-
m
bital bands.
Low Earth Orbit (LEO). This is the part
of outer space that begins at about 100 miles Low Earth Orbit
1001,200 miles
above the Earth and extends to 1,200 miles. A Various types of satellites
variety of satellites populate this band, includ- populate this band. Because
ing various types of reconnaissance and Earth it is closer to Earth, a satellite
observation satellites, some weather satel- here can see smaller objects
than can a comparably
lites, and various scientific satellites. Because equipped satellite at
it is closer to Earth, a satellite in LEO can see a higher altitude.
smaller objects than a comparably equipped
satellite at a higher altitude can.
However, satellites in LEO have a more lim-
ited field of view. They are essentially viewing
a ribbon of the Earths surface as they orbit SOURCE: Heritage Foundation research.
of longitude on the Earths surface, although Because the Molniya orbit also has a period
it may drift north or south in terms of its foot- of 12 hours, the high-altitude portion of the or-
print on Earth. If a satellite is located at the bit will occur over the same area of Earth twice
GEO belt at the Earths equator, however, it each day. Moreover, due to the momentum of
will stay over the same location on the ground the satellite, most of the time when it is mov-
and is said to be geostationary. ing more slowly will be near the top of its orbit.
Theoretically, satellites in a geostationary For most satellites in a Molniya orbit, the top of
orbit can keep constant watch over one-third the orbit will be in the Northern Hemisphere,
of the Earths surface. Consequently, this or- maximizing the opportunity to observe areas
bital band is considered extremely valuable; of interest in the high northern latitudes.
GEO slots above the equator are occupied by
weather satellites, communications satellites, Major Satellite Missions
and missile early warning satellites. According to the United Nations Office for
In addition to these three orbital bands, Outer Space Affairs (UNOOSA), more than
there are several other types of orbits that are 7,600 registered objects (a subset of the more
militarily useful. than 23,000 that are tracked) are currently in
Polar and Sun-Synchronous Orbits. orbit around the Earth.16 Of these, only about
Some satellites are launched into low Earth or- 1,460 are operational satellites.17 These satel-
bits that are at a very high inclination relative lites are engaged in a number of mission areas.
Lagrange Points 4
Intelligence, Surveillance, and Recon- SIGINT satellites can provide insight into the
naissance (ISR) Satellites. Satellites tasked types of equipment (such as radars) being de-
with monitoring developments in other coun- ployed by countries of interest, with the infor-
tries have been a mainstay of space capabilities mation collected revealing the wavelengths
since the dawn of the space age. Both the United the equipment houses and what types of units
States and the Soviet Union sought to develop (such as anti-aircraft batteries and anti-ship
spy satellites capable of seeing into the other missile forces) are being deployed.
sides hinterlands. These satellites were initially Most ISR satellites operate in LEO.
equipped with cameras that dropped film, but Earth Observation and Weather Satel-
those cameras were later replaced with systems lites. Not all information collection is neces-
that could beam their images back directly to sarily focused on other countries military and
Earth-based stations. Electro-optical satellites political forces and behavior. Understanding
are unable to see through fog and clouds, so the local environment can also be important.
some satellites carry radars to overcome the Earth observation satellites such as the
effects of obscuring by clouds; these can often Landsat series have been collecting informa-
produce very high resolution images. tion about the land and seas for decades. The
Imaging satellites of various sorts have been resulting data are invaluable for creating maps,
supplemented by satellites that can monitor as well as for understanding, for example, land
various types of activities in the electromag- use and seasonal changes in ground cover like
netic spectrum. Some listen to radio traffic, tree foliage and grasses. For both ISR and Earth
collecting communications intelligence (CO- observation, data from space sensors are com-
MINT). Others are able to detect and record bined with information gathered from aircraft
electronic signals, collecting electronic intelli- and terrestrial sources to give a comprehensive,
gence (ELINT). COMINT and ELINT together layered understanding of any spot or vertical
are referred to as signals intelligence (SIGINT). column above the ground on the planet.
connect users on the ground is often limited
by the horizon. Comsats essentially serve as
relays for the transmission of these signals; a
transmitter sends a signal to the communica-
12 tions satellite in orbit, which then transfers
the signal to a ground station that may be well
beyond the horizon of the original transmit-
SOURCE: Heritage Foundation research.
ter. Theoretically, a constellation of three
heritage.org comsats at GEO would be sufficient to provide
global coverage. In reality, the availability of
transponders (which are the actual relays)
Of particular security importance among limits the ability of any given satellite to pro-
the Earth observation satellites are weather vide coverage.
satellites. The ability to forecast weather ac- Modern communications satellites are
curately can have a decisive impact on military an important link in the movement of voice
operations. Amphibious operations, for ex- communications, television signals, and data
ample, can be badly disrupted by storms. Sim- (including Internet traffic). With the growing
ilarly, the ability to undertake air operations, popularity of satellite television and its poten-
whether launched from an aircraft carrier tial for entertainment and distance learning,
footprint for satellites operating at that alti- stellations are in MEO, although Chinas system
tude, more are needed to provide global cover- also includes a component that is based in GEO.
age; the Iridium constellation comprises some
66 satellites. Tracking, Telemetry, and Control
Position, Navigation, and Timing Satel- In order to ensure that the various satel-
lites. Beginning in the 1980s, the United States lites are operating properly, a satellite opera-
started to deploy satellites to provide position, tor needs a tracking, telemetry, and control
navigation, and timing information. (TT&C) network. This network enables the
operator to control the satellites functions.
Position provides information about ones
location and orientation: Where am I? Tracking refers to the ability to locate a
satellite and monitor its orbital condition
Navigation provides information linking and situation. This includes the satellites
ones location to a desired destination: distance and velocity.
How do I reach my intended location?
Telemetry is comprised of messages from
Timing provides precise, accurate time the satellite that provide the operator
information.19 with information about how well the
satellite is operating. It is typically broken
The position and navigation functions are down into information about each of the
outgrowths of the timing element. Timing satellites subsystems. Telemetry data are
functions on the GPS constellation are pos- distinct from payload data (the missions
sible due to the highly accurate atomic clocks that the satellite is performing). The for-
that are integrated into each satellite. mer is about the ability of the satellite to
Each PNT satellite provides a unique signal perform its mission.
indicating which satellite it is and what its or-
bital parameters are. A receiver (for example, a Control refers to the ability of the operator
Garmin receiver in a vehicle) decodes the signal to adjust the satellites operations. This
ly operate in an expeditionary mode, far from is as neutralized as a functioning satellite that
our own shores. By contrast, an Iran, a China, a is intercepted and destroyed by a co-orbital or
North Korea, even a Russia is usually operating ground-based anti-satellite system.
far closer to its home territory. Consequently, In future conflicts, both the outer space
these states can employ a variety of non-space and information space domains will be central
means, ranging from manned and unmanned battlefields, and operations there will have as
aerial vehicles to radar networks, and even much impact as traditional activities in the air,
human observers on land and sea to provide a on land, and at sea have had.
10. Eric Berger, Americas New, Super Expensive Weather Satellite Launches Saturday, Ars Technica, November 18, 2016, https://
arstechnica.com/science/2016/11/americas-new-super-expensive-weather-satellite-launches-saturday/ (accessed June 5, 2017).
11. George Leopold, DARPA Seeks to Bring Satellite Costs Back Down to Earth, Defense Systems, December 13, 2013, https://
defensesystems.com/articles/2013/12/13/darpa-space-access.aspx (accessed May 26, 2017).
12. Rich Smith, How Much Does It Cost to Launch a Satellite? The Motley Fool, June 24, 2016, https://www.fool.com/
investing/2016/06/24/how-much-does-it-cost-to-launch-a-satellite.aspx (accessed May 26, 2017).
13. Information in this section is drawn from National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Earth Observatory, Three Classes of
Orbit, https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Features/OrbitsCatalog/page2.php (accessed June 5, 2017).
14. James E. Oberg, Space Power Theory (Colorado Springs: U.S. Air Force Academy, 1999), p. 39, http://www.au.af.mil/au/awc/
space/books/oberg/ (accessed June 5, 2017).
15. Ibid.
16. United Nations, Office of Outer Space Affairs, Online Index of Objects Launched Into Outer Space, http://www.unoosa.org/oosa/
osoindex/search-ng.jspx?lf_id (accessed June 5, 2017).
17. Union of Concerned Scientists, UCS Satellite Database, November 15, 1974December 31, 2016, http://www.ucsusa.org/nuclear-
weapons/space-weapons/satellite-database#.WTWkRk0kv_8 (accessed June 5, 2017).
18. Peter B. de Selding, The List: 2014 Top Fixed Satellite Service Operators, Space News, July 13, 2015, http://spacenews.com/the-
list-2014-top-fixed-satellite-service-operators/ (accessed June 5, 2017).
19. U.S. Department of Transportation, Positioning, Navigation and Timing (PNT) & Spectrum Management, https://www.rita.dot.
gov/pnt/about (accessed June 5, 2017).