PMP Formulas and Calculations
PMP Formulas and Calculations
Complete Guide
When I speak to Project Management
Professional (PMP) students, there's
often one thing on their mind: How are
they going to learn all the PMP
formulas?
Contents
1.What Formula Question Types are on the PMP Exam? (https://www.project-
management-prepcast.com/pmp-formulas#h1-what-formula-question-types-are-on-
the-pmp-exam)
2.Formula Question Example (https://www.project-management-prepcast.com/pmp-
formulas#h2-formula-question-example)
3.The Earned Value Formulas (https://www.project-management-
prepcast.com/pmp-formulas#h3-the-earned-value-formulas)
4.The Earned Value Calculation (https://www.project-management-
prepcast.com/pmp-formulas#h4-the-earned-value-calculation)
You must know the formulas well enough to be able to write them out on your "brain dump"
quickly and correctly before the exam. Read time management and brain dump tips from
students... (/kunena/pmp-exam-discussion/4008-time-management-on-the-exams)
For the PMP Exam you must know how to correctly answer questions with formulas about
Earned Value, PERT, communication, procurement, probability, network diagrams, project
selection, depreciation and some mathematical basics. You also have to know a lot of
value and acronyms.
Apply a formula: These are straightforward questions where you are given values and
are expected to apply the correct formula.
Apply two formulas: In these questions you get a set of values and asked to calculate
a result. At first these look as if you can simply apply one formula. But as you are
applying this first formula you suddenly realize that one value is missing. This missing
value must then first be calculated via a second formula.
Invert a formula: These questions test your ability to take a basic formula and invert
it. For instance instead of asking 4+6=? the question would be 4+?=10 and it is
your job to invert the formula and calculate 10-4=6.
Result interpretation: In these types of questions you are given a result and asked
What does this result mean for the project?.
Find the correct formula: For these types of questions you are given a scenario and
various formulas as options. Your task is to select the formula which best applies to
the given scenario.
Use a formula based on keywords: There is more than one way to calculate earned
value results. Which formula to use depends on the progression (or health) of your
project. These are scenario based questions that contain certain keywords. You must
recognize these keywords and apply the correct formula
So you can easily see that being "mathematically ready" for your PMP Exam means more
than simply knowing your Earned Value formulas. Yes, you'll definitely see at least one EV
question on your exam but that's simply not all there is.
Know Earned Value formulas and they're application inside out. I probably had at least 10
EV questions on my exam and knowing the formulas meant that I could answer these with
confidence, and move on quickly. Read more... (https://www.project-management-
prepcast.com/kunena/pmp-exam-lessons-learned/4003-study-tips-after-passing-the-pmp-
exam#5347)
Warwick Kowalczyk, PMP
Many PMP aspirants find the concepts behind Earned Value Management (EVM) hard to
understand and the formula even harder, so that's where we are going to start.
Earned Value (EV). The measure of work performed expressed in terms of the budget authorized
for that work.
PMBOK Guide
The thing that complicates it for many people is the question: "What on earth is value?"
For the Earned Value calculations you just have to remember that value equals money.
The total value of a project (in EVM terms) is equal to the budget of the project. As you
work through the project you spend the budget in order to achieve the project's objectives,
which in turn deliver business value. You can assess how much value you have 'earned'
(read: 'achieved') by knowing how far through the project you are and how much you have
spent.
The earned value management formulas are simply the calculations that give you the data
to work out the EV position on your project. There are 12 earned value calculations in
total.
The Earned Value Management formulas give us the information we need to determine
that, and we'll get further into how we can calculate cost and schedule performance a little
later.
The formula:
EV = % complete * BAC
Let's assume the following situation: Our smartwatch app project is going to take six
months and cost $60,000. We're two months in and we've spent $20,000. Our project
sponsor wants to know if it's going "OK".
Generally when sponsors ask a question like that, then they want to know if you are
burning through the budget too quickly and if you are going to hit the end date which they
have published to the Board. The EVM formulas can tell you exactly that.
The project team has completed 120 mandays of work so far during the two months that
the project has been live. Overall the project required 360 mandays of work to complete.
We can see that (120/360) shows that they are a third of the way through the project. As a
percentage, 33.33% of the work has been completed. That's the % complete figure.
The Budget at Completion is the total amount budgeted for the project, in this case
$60,000.
Plug those figures into the formula and we get 33% * $60,000 = $20,000 . The
earned value of the project is $20,000.
There is no formula for PV. It's simply the approved budget for a task. You can use PV for
the budget of a phase, stage or work package. It's normally measured over a particular
time period.
Schedule Variance (SV). A measure of schedule performance on the project, expressed as the
difference between earned value and planned value.
PMBOK Guide
One argument that I often get from my students is something along the lines of "I don't
see how SV is possible! I mean we are using numbers from the budget and you expect me
to believe that they help predict how I'm doing on the schedule??" It's not an unreasonable
argument. But it is indeed possible. For now I'm going to ask you to take a leap of faith (I
did when I originally came across SV) and I'll explain how it all works. Let us begin with
the formula:
The formula:
SV = EV - PV
Earlier we showed you that we have completed 120 mandays of work on a project that
requires 360 mandays of work; so the project is 33.33% complete. Further, we have just
finished the 2nd month in the project and while the total project duration is 6 months;
therefore consumed 33.33% of the time.
But wait a minute, what if the project was front-loaded? A front-loaded project requires
more resources and work at the front of the project in comparison to the end. In this
project we planned to complete 66.67% of the work in the first two months and very few
resources are involved in the last three months of the project. Although we have
consumed 33.33% of the time and the project is 33.33% complete, this is not good since
we should have completed 66.67% of the project according to our plan.
The EV of our fantastic new app development project is $20,000, as we saw earlier.
However, the Planed Value (PV) is $40,000 (66.67% of $60,000). In other words this
means according to our plan we should have completed $40,000 worth of work. Using
those numbers in the schedule variance formula we get
$20,000 - $40,000 = -$20,000 .
These are really simplified figures to help you understand the math more easily and you
can clearly see that this is bad news. Now we are starting to dig into the numbers we can
see that the project is running behind.
The CV formula is also used to work out if the project is ahead, on, or behind budget.
The formula:
CV = EV AC
If we take the figures from our smartwatch project we can see what this means to the
example. The EV is $20,000 and the actual cost of the work done so far the money we
have spent already is $20,000. Putting these in the formula gives us:
$20,000 - $20,000 = $0 . Perfect! We are exactly on budget! (For the purposes
of this example, anyway...)
So what do we know about the project so far? It's not over budget or under budget, but it is
running behind. We thought we would have completed more activities as per the plan by
now so this is an early warning sign that the timescales for the project might slip.
It's important to consider the context behind the numbers. Our company has never
delivered this kind of smartwatch app before, so we're learning as we go. Maybe that's
why we aren't making the progress we expected. Maybe one of the big mobile platforms
has taken longer than expected to get back to us about how to get our product in their
store. There could be lots of reasons that explain the numbers, so when you're reporting
the project's status to the sponsor, don't just rely on the numbers to tell the story.
A useful piece of information to help paint the whole picture is the Cost Performance
Index (CPI) calculation. This is an alternative way of looking at the cost performance of a
project and is often preferable to CV because the answer you get is a ratio. Ratios are self-
explanatory and don't need further information to highlight how far off track performance
is.
The formula:
CPI = EV / AC
If the number is less than 1 then that's bad news. You are getting less than $1 of value for
the project for every $1 spent. This normally happens when you are spending your budget
in ways you hadn't expected, such as dealing with unforeseen risks or your initial
estimates were just too tight.
(/free/pmp-exam/free-pmp-questions/723-free-pmp-exam-sample-question-4)
Click to watch the video... (/free/pmp-exam/free-pmp-questions/723-free-pmp-
exam-sample-question-4)
There is EAC approach (a thorough bottom-up re-estimate of remaining work) to use if the
original project estimates are now thought to be invalid, but this one is the one that is
most likely to turn up in the PMP exam.
For this project we decide to re-estimate the costs of the remaining works (ETC). We use
bottom-up estimation and find out that we need further $50,000 to complete the rest of
the project. Since we have already spent $20,000 on the project already, the new Estimate
at Completion (EAC) becomes $70,000.
Cost-wise, it's still not that bad. Our project sponsor can now be confident that we're going
to hit the new budget target, i.e. EAC, that we have determined for the project. However,
remember SV? That didn't look so good. She asks us to dig into that a bit further.
The formula:
SPI = EV / PV
The SPI calculation, when applied to our app project, shows this:
Now you know that there is a CPI and an SPI. But what exactly is the difference?
Find the answer here... (/free/pmp-exam/tips/597-what-is-the-difference-between-
cost-performance-index-and-schedule-performance-index)
The formula:
VAC = BAC - EAC
That tells us there will be a negative variance of $10,000 by the time this smartwatch app
is developed. Our sponsor is going to want to know about that too.
There are several ways to calculate ETC in project management but this is the simplest
and easiest to use in straightforward situations. It's also the one from the PMBOK
Guide.
The formula:
ETC = EAC - AC
Our app development project is pretty straightforward so the calculation looks like:
What if my situation isn't straightforward? There are 4 other ways to define and calculate
ETC. They are all covered in detail in study guides like The PMP Exam Formula Study
Guide (/pmp-exam/the-pm-formulas).
You can work out TCPI against your BAC or EAC. We know that the smartphone project
has already had the budget re-estimated once so it's best to use the latest figures. We're
going to use the EAC to work it out.
The formula:
TCPI = (BAC - EV) / (EAC - AC)
TCPI on our development project is 0.8. In order to get the intuition behind TCPI, let's
break the formula in two parts. The first part, BAC EV, indicates how much project work
is remaining, i.e., how much value remains that need to be achieved. The second part, EAC
AC, indicates the money available to finish the project. Hence, the TCPI gives you the
ratio of work that needs to be completed and the money available to complete the project.
The smartwatch app project started off looking quite good but we had to re-estimate the
budget and we uncovered that we aren't getting through the tasks as quickly as we need
to. In fact, the amount of work to do is unlikely to get done in time if we only apply the
same amount of effort as we are now.
Thanks to the PMP cost management formulas we know a lot more about our project now.
Phew! We made it through all the earned value management formulas. Here's a table that
summarizes all of that.
Earned Value Calculations Summary Table
If you're creating a PMP formula sheet for your exam revision, there are a few more
calculations that you'll want to include.
Section 2 - Answers and Explanations: In this section we repeat the question and then give
you the answer, explanation and a reference where you can read up on the topic.
1 of 8
The formula:
= (Pessimistic - Optimistic) / 6
The is the sign that represents standard deviation and is read as "sigma".
There's a task on the smartwatch app project to build the notification tools, so that when
something new happens the user gets an alert. Given that we haven't done this task before
we want a good understanding of the risk and we've used subject matter experts from an
agency to help estimate the work.
(12 5) / 6 = 1.16
The larger the standard deviation, the greater the risk. The risk level on this task seems OK
but we can always take it to our sponsor for a second opinion.
The formula:
Beta =
(Pessimistic + (4 * Most Likely) + Optimistic) / 6
Let's see what the weighted average is for the task to build the notification module of our
smartwatch app. First, we need another piece of data: the most likely duration for the task,
which our lead developer tells us is 8 hours. That gives us:
The formula:
n * (n-1) / 2
In the formula, 'n' stands for the number of people. On our project, the communication
channel math looks like this:
6 * (6-1) / 2 = 15
Another great way to practice is to do sample exam questions. This free batch of sample
PMP math questions will help you see where you need to build your skills.
The following two articles will introduce you to a couple of important concepts and
tools for the exam:
What PMP Formulas Should I Study for the PMP Certification Exam and How?
A short review. (/free/pmp-exam/tips/345-what-pmp-formulas-should-i-study-
for-the-pmp-certification-exam-and-how)
The Project Management Tool That Will Help You Pass The PMP Exam
This is the tool that you will be using during the PMP exam to calcluate
formulas... (https://www.project-management-prepcast.com/free/pmp-
exam/tips/319-the-project-management-tool-that-will-help-you-pass-the-pmp-
exam)
Mastering these formulas is more than simply knowing them! You have to know how to
apply them to a given question scenario and you may even have to apply TWO formulas.
You may have to invert a formula, you might be asked to interpret a formula (CPI = 0.8
means?), or you may be asked to determine which formula is most appropriate in a given
scenario based on certain keywords in the question.
Being able to do this takes time and practice. Don't expect miracles over night. Here is my
recommended approach:
First of all, study the right formulas (/pmformulas). There are unfortunately still some
websites out there that list incorrect or outdated PMP exam formulas!
Review the EVM formulas that are listed in the PMBOK Guide every other day for two
weeks. Pause for one week, then do it again. The more you repeat, the more they will
sink in.
Make sure that you know all the Earned Value formulas in and out. PMI simply loves
Earned Value!
Answer at least one formula-based question on every day that you are studying for the
exam. Since most people take about 3 months for their preparation that means you
will answer about 90 formula-based questions.
Knowing and understanding all the formulas and their variations, concepts, keywords,
value and acronyms may seem daunting at first. But if you plan on taking just one small
step forward every day and practice, practice, practice, then you'll soon find that the
calculations start to come naturally.
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