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ADX: The Trend Strength Indicator


by Candy Schaap

Trading in the direction of a strong trend reduces risk and increases profit potential. The
average directional index (ADX) is used to determine when price is trending strongly. In many
cases, it is the ultimate trend indicator. After all, the trend may be your friend, but it sure
helps to know who your friends are. In this article in this article, we'll examine the value of
ADX as a trend strength indicator.

Introduction to ADX
ADX is used to quantify trend strength. ADX calculations are based on a moving average of
price range expansion over a given period of time. The default setting is 14 bars, although
other time periods can be used. ADX can be used on any trading vehicle such as stocks,
mutual funds, exchange-traded funds and futures. (For background reading, see Exploring
Oscillators and Indicators: Average Directional Index and Discerning Movement With The
Average Directional Index - ADX.)

ADX is plotted as a single line with values ranging from a low of zero to a high of 100. ADX is
non-directional; it registers trend strength whether price is trending up or down. The indicator
is usually plotted in the same window as the two directional movement indicator (DMI) lines,
from which ADX is derived (Figure 1).

For the remainder of this article, ADX will be shown separately on the charts for educational
purposes.

Figure 1: ADX is nondirectional and quantifies trend strength by rising in both uptrends and
downtrends.

When the +DMI is above the -DMI, prices are moving up, and ADX measures the strength of
the uptrend. When the -DMI is above the +DMI, prices are moving down, and ADX measures
the strength of the downtrend.

Figure 1 is an example of an uptrend reversing to a downtrend. Notice how ADX rose during
the uptrend, when +DMI was above -DMI. When price reversed, the -DMI crossed above the
+DMI, and ADX rose again to measure the strength of the uptrend.
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Quantifying Trend Strength


ADX values help traders to identify the strongest and most profitable trends to trade. The
values are also important for distinguishing between trending and non-trending conditions.

Many traders will use ADX readings above 25 to suggest that the trend's strength is strong
enough for trend trading strategies.Conversely, when ADX is below 25, many will avoid trend
trading strategies.

ADX Value Trend Strength


0-25 Absent or Weak Trend
25-50 Strong Trend
50-75 Very Strong Trend
75-100 Extremely Strong Trend
Figure 2: ADX Values and Trend
Strength

Low ADX is a usually a sign of accumulation or distribution. When ADX is below 25 for more
than 30 bars, price enters range conditions and price patterns are often easier to identify. Price
then moves up and down between resistance and support to find selling and buying interest,
respectively. From low ADX conditions, price will eventually break out into a trend. In Figure 3,
price moves from a low ADX price channel to an uptrend with strong ADX.

Figure 3: When ADX is below 25, price enters a range. When ADX rises above 25, price tends
to trend.
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Figure 4: Periods of low ADX lead to price patterns. This chart shows a cup and handle
formation that starts an uptrend when ADX rises above 25.

The direction of the ADX line is important for reading trend strength. When the ADX line is
rising, trend strength is increasing and price moves in the direction of the trend. When the line
is falling, trend strength is decreasing, and price enters a period of retracement or
consolidation. (For more on this topic, check out Retracement Or Reversal: Know The
Difference.)

A common misperception is that a falling ADX line means the trend is reversing. A falling ADX
line only means the trend strength is weakening, but it usually does not mean the trend is
reversing unless there has been a price climax. As long as ADX is above 25, it is best to think
of a falling ADX line as simply less strong (Figure 5).

Figure 5: When ADX is below 25, the trend is weak. When ADX is above 25 and rising, the
trend is strong. When ADX is above 25 and falling, the trend is less strong.
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Trend Momentum

The series of ADX peaks are also a visual representation of overall trend momentum. ADX
clearly indicates when the trend is gaining or losing momentum. Momentum is the velocity of
price. A series of higher ADX peaks means trend momentum is increasing. A series of lower
ADX peaks means trend momentum is decreasing.

Any ADX peak above 25 is considered strong, even if it is a lower peak. In an uptrend, price
can still rise on decreasing ADX momentum because overhead supply is eaten up as the trend
progresses (Figure 6).

Knowing when trend momentum is increasing gives the trader confidence to let profits run
instead of exiting before the trend has ended. However, a series of lower ADX peaks is a
warning to watch price and manage risk. The best trading decisions are made on objective
signals, not emotion.

Figure 6: ADX peaks are above 25 but getting smaller. The trend is losing momentum but the
uptrend remains intact.

ADX can also show momentum divergence. When price makes a higher high and ADX makes a
lower high, there is negative divergence, or nonconfirmation. In general, divergence is not a
signal for a reversal, but rather a warning that trend momentum is changing. It may be
appropriate to tighten the stop-loss or take partial profits. (For related reading, check out
Divergences, Momentum And Rate Of Change.)
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Any time the trend changes character, it is time to assess and/or manage risk. Divergence can
lead to trend continuation, consolidation, correction or reversal (Figure 7).

Figure 7: Price makes a higher high while ADX makes a lower high. In this case, the negative
divergence lead to a trend reversal.

Strategic Use of ADX


Price is the single most important signal on a chart. Read price first, and then read ADX in the
context of what price is doing. When any indicator is used, it should add something that price
alone cannot easily tell us. For example, the best trends rise out of periods of price range
consolidation. Breakouts from a range occur when there is a disagreement between the buyers
and sellers on price, which tips the balance of supply and demand. Whether it is more supply
than demand, or more demand than supply, it is the difference that creates price momentum.

Breakouts are not hard to spot, but they often fail to progress or end up being a trap. But ADX
tells you when breakouts are valid by showing when ADX is strong enough for price to trend
after the breakout. When ADX rises from below 25 to above 25, price is strong enough to
continue in the direction of the breakout.

Conversely, it is often hard to see when price moves from trend to range conditions. ADX
shows when the trend has weakened and is entering a period of range consolidation. Range
conditions exist when ADX drops from above 25 to below 25. In a range, the trend is sideways
and there is general price agreement between the buyers and sellers. ADX will meander
sideways under 25 until the balance of supply and demand changes again. (For more see,
Trading Trend Or Range?)

ADX gives great strategy signals when combined with price. First, use ADX to determine
whether prices are trending or non-trending, and then choose the appropriate trading strategy
for the condition. In trending conditions, entries are made on pullbacks and taken in the
direction of the trend. In range conditions, trend trading strategies are not appropriate.
However, trades can be made on reversals at support (long) and resistance (short).
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Conclusion: Finding Friendly Trends


The best profits come from trading the strongest trends and avoiding range conditions. ADX
not only identifies trending conditions, it helps the trader find the strongest trends to trade.
The ability to quantify trend strength is a major edge for traders.

ADX also identifies range conditions, so a trader won't get stuck trying to trend trade in
sideways price action. In addition, it shows when price has broken out of a range with
sufficient strength to use trend trading strategies. ADX also alerts the trader to changes in
trend momentum, so risk management can be addressed. If you want the trend to be your
friend, you'd better not let ADX become a stranger.
by Candy Schaap, (Contact Author | Biography)

Candy Schaap and husband, Dr. Charles B. Schaap, are a trading team. He is the author of
"ADXcellence - Power Trend Strategies" (2006) and "Invest With Succes"(2008). Candy started
her career hedging futures for a large corporation and has 25 years of trading experience in
futures, options, stocks and bonds. She does consulting, lecturing and writes financial articles.
She publishes the ADXcellence Trade Letter and mentors the TraderDoc "Loot Camp".

See:
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/07/adx-trend-indicator.asp

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