Economic Analysis: Summary Table
Economic Analysis: Summary Table
Economic Analysis: Summary Table
Summary Table
Wednesday, August 14, 2019
Key Assumptions:
Public Sector Discount Rate 2011 8.00%
Appraisal period (years) 30 years
0 1 2
Year 2012 2013 2014
Discount factor (mid-year) 0.96225 0.89097 0.82497
Discount factor (start of year) 1.00000 0.92593 0.85734
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
3 4 5 6 7 8
$ 0.382 $ 0.354 $ 0.327 $ 0.303 $ 0.281 $ 0.260
-$ 0.382 -$ 0.354 -$ 0.327 -$ 0.303 -$ 0.281 -$ 0.260
$ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
9 10 11 12 13 14
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
0.48136 0.44571 0.41269 0.38212 0.35382 0.32761
0.50025 0.46319 0.42888 0.39711 0.36770 0.34046
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
9 10 11 12 13 14
$ 0.241 $ 0.223 $ 0.206 $ 0.191 $ 0.177 $ 0.164
-$ 0.241 -$ 0.223 -$ 0.206 -$ 0.191 -$ 0.177 -$ 0.164
$ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
15 16 17 18 19 20
2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
0.30334 0.28087 0.26007 0.24080 0.22297 0.20645
0.31524 0.29189 0.27027 0.25025 0.23171 0.21455
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
15 16 17 18 19 20
$ 0.152 $ 0.140 $ 0.130 $ 0.120 $ 0.111 $ 0.103
-$ 0.152 -$ 0.140 -$ 0.130 -$ 0.120 -$ 0.111 -$ 0.103
$ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
21 22 23 24 25 26
2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038
0.19116 0.17700 0.16389 0.15175 0.14051 0.13010
0.19866 0.18394 0.17032 0.15770 0.14602 0.13520
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
21 22 23 24 25 26
$ 0.096 $ 0.088 $ 0.082 $ 0.076 $ 0.070 $ 0.065
-$ 0.096 -$ 0.088 -$ 0.082 -$ 0.076 -$ 0.070 -$ 0.065
$ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ -
27 28 29 1000 1000 1000
2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044
0.12046 0.11154 0.10328 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
0.12519 0.11591 0.10733 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0.400
$0.200
$-
-$0.200
-$0.400
Present Value of Benefits ($million)
Key Assumptions:
Public Sector Discount Rate 2011 8.00%
Appraisal period (years) 30 years
0 1 2
Year 2012 2013 2014
Discount factor (mid-year) 0.96225 0.89097 0.82497
Discount factor (start of year) 1.00000 0.92593 0.85734
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
3 4 5 6 7 8
$ 0.497 $ 0.460 $ 0.426 $ 0.394 $ 0.365 $ 0.338
-$ 0.382 -$ 0.354 -$ 0.327 -$ 0.303 -$ 0.281 -$ 0.260
-$ 1.484 -$ 1.378 -$ 1.279 -$ 1.188 -$ 1.104 -$ 1.026
9 10 11 12 13 14
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
0.48136 0.44571 0.41269 0.38212 0.35382 0.32761
0.50025 0.46319 0.42888 0.39711 0.36770 0.34046
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
9 10 11 12 13 14
$ 0.313 $ 0.290 $ 0.268 $ 0.248 $ 0.230 $ 0.213
-$ 0.241 -$ 0.223 -$ 0.206 -$ 0.191 -$ 0.177 -$ 0.164
-$ 0.954 -$ 0.887 -$ 0.825 -$ 0.768 -$ 0.715 -$ 0.666
15 16 17 18 19 20
2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
0.30334 0.28087 0.26007 0.24080 0.22297 0.20645
0.31524 0.29189 0.27027 0.25025 0.23171 0.21455
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
15 16 17 18 19 20
$ 0.197 $ 0.183 $ 0.169 $ 0.157 $ 0.145 $ 0.134
-$ 0.152 -$ 0.140 -$ 0.130 -$ 0.120 -$ 0.111 -$ 0.103
-$ 0.620 -$ 0.578 -$ 0.539 -$ 0.503 -$ 0.470 -$ 0.439
21 22 23 24 25 26
2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038
0.19116 0.17700 0.16389 0.15175 0.14051 0.13010
0.19866 0.18394 0.17032 0.15770 0.14602 0.13520
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
21 22 23 24 25 26
$ 0.124 $ 0.115 $ 0.107 $ 0.099 $ 0.091 $ 0.085
-$ 0.096 -$ 0.088 -$ 0.082 -$ 0.076 -$ 0.070 -$ 0.065
-$ 0.410 -$ 0.383 -$ 0.359 -$ 0.336 -$ 0.315 -$ 0.295
27 28 29 1000 1000 1000
2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044
0.12046 0.11154 0.10328 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
0.12519 0.11591 0.10733 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$245,085 -$245,085 -$245,085 -$245,085 -$245,085 -$245,085
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$245,085 -$245,085 -$245,085 -$245,085 -$245,085 -$245,085
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$245,085 -$245,085 -$245,085 -$245,085 -$245,085
$0.500
$-
-$0.500
-$1.000
-$1.500
-$2.000
Key Assumptions:
Public Sector Discount Rate 2011 8.00%
Appraisal period (years) 30 years
0 1 2
Year 2012 2013 2014
Discount factor (mid-year) 0.96225 0.89097 0.82497
Discount factor (start of year) 1.00000 0.92593 0.85734
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
3 4 5 6 7 8
$ 2.674 $ 2.475 $ 2.292 $ 2.122 $ 1.965 $ 1.820
-$ 0.382 -$ 0.354 -$ 0.327 -$ 0.303 -$ 0.281 -$ 0.260
-$ 20.410 -$ 18.288 -$ 16.324 -$ 14.504 -$ 12.820 -$ 11.260
9 10 11 12 13 14
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
0.48136 0.44571 0.41269 0.38212 0.35382 0.32761
0.50025 0.46319 0.42888 0.39711 0.36770 0.34046
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
9 10 11 12 13 14
$ 1.685 $ 1.560 $ 1.444 $ 1.337 $ 1.238 $ 1.147
-$ 0.241 -$ 0.223 -$ 0.206 -$ 0.191 -$ 0.177 -$ 0.164
-$ 9.816 -$ 8.479 -$ 7.241 -$ 6.095 -$ 5.033 -$ 4.050
15 16 17 18 19 20
2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
0.30334 0.28087 0.26007 0.24080 0.22297 0.20645
0.31524 0.29189 0.27027 0.25025 0.23171 0.21455
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
15 16 17 18 19 20
$ 1.062 $ 0.983 $ 0.910 $ 0.843 $ 0.780 $ 0.723
-$ 0.152 -$ 0.140 -$ 0.130 -$ 0.120 -$ 0.111 -$ 0.103
-$ 3.140 -$ 2.298 -$ 1.518 -$ 0.795 -$ 0.126 $ 0.493
21 22 23 24 25 26
2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038
0.19116 0.17700 0.16389 0.15175 0.14051 0.13010
0.19866 0.18394 0.17032 0.15770 0.14602 0.13520
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
21 22 23 24 25 26
$ 0.669 $ 0.619 $ 0.574 $ 0.531 $ 0.492 $ 0.455
-$ 0.096 -$ 0.088 -$ 0.082 -$ 0.076 -$ 0.070 -$ 0.065
$ 1.067 $ 1.598 $ 2.089 $ 2.544 $ 2.966 $ 3.356
27 28 29 1000 1000 1000
2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044
0.12046 0.11154 0.10328 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
0.12519 0.11591 0.10733 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$4,362,077 $4,362,077 $4,362,077 $4,362,077 $4,362,077 $4,362,077
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$4,362,077 $4,362,077 $4,362,077 $4,362,077 $4,362,077 $4,362,077
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$4,362,077 $4,362,077 $4,362,077 $4,362,077 $4,362,077
$5.000
$-
-$5.000
-$10.000
-$15.000
-$20.000
Key Assumptions:
Public Sector Discount Rate 2011 8.00%
Appraisal period (years) 30 years
0 1 2
Year 2012 2013 2014
Discount factor (mid-year) 0.96225 0.89097 0.82497
Discount factor (start of year) 1.00000 0.92593 0.85734
$0 $0 $0 -$5,000,000 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$5,500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
3 4 5 6 7 8
$ 3.285 $ 3.041 $ 2.816 $ 2.607 $ 2.414 $ 2.235
-$ 0.382 -$ 0.354 -$ 0.327 -$ 3.454 -$ 0.281 -$ 0.260
-$ 19.139 -$ 16.451 -$ 13.963 -$ 14.809 -$ 12.676 -$ 10.700
9 10 11 12 13 14
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
0.48136 0.44571 0.41269 0.38212 0.35382 0.32761
0.50025 0.46319 0.42888 0.39711 0.36770 0.34046
$0 $0 -$5,000,000 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$5,500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
9 10 11 12 13 14
$ 2.070 $ 1.917 $ 1.775 $ 1.643 $ 1.521 $ 1.409
-$ 0.241 -$ 0.223 -$ 2.351 -$ 0.191 -$ 0.177 -$ 0.164
-$ 8.871 -$ 7.177 -$ 7.754 -$ 6.301 -$ 4.957 -$ 3.712
15 16 17 18 19 20
2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032
0.30334 0.28087 0.26007 0.24080 0.22297 0.20645
0.31524 0.29189 0.27027 0.25025 0.23171 0.21455
$0 -$5,000,000 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$5,500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000
15 16 17 18 19 20
$ 1.304 $ 1.208 $ 1.118 $ 1.035 $ 0.959 $ 0.888
-$ 0.152 -$ 1.600 -$ 0.130 -$ 0.120 -$ 0.111 -$ 0.103
-$ 2.559 -$ 2.951 -$ 1.963 -$ 1.048 -$ 0.201 $ 0.584
21 22 23 24 25 26
2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038
0.19116 0.17700 0.16389 0.15175 0.14051 0.13010
0.19866 0.18394 0.17032 0.15770 0.14602 0.13520
-$5,000,000 $0 $0 $0 $0 -$5,000,000
-$5,500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 -$5,500,000
21 22 23 24 25 26
$ 0.822 $ 0.761 $ 0.705 $ 0.653 $ 0.604 $ 0.559
-$ 1.089 -$ 0.088 -$ 0.082 -$ 0.076 -$ 0.070 -$ 0.741
$ 0.317 $ 0.989 $ 1.612 $ 2.189 $ 2.723 $ 2.541
27 28 29 1000 1000 1000
2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044
0.12046 0.11154 0.10328 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
0.12519 0.11591 0.10733 0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
-$500,000 -$500,000 -$500,000 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$3,815,042 $3,815,042 $3,815,042 $3,815,042 $3,815,042 $3,815,042
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$3,815,042 $3,815,042 $3,815,042 $3,815,042 $3,815,042 $3,815,042
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$3,815,042 $3,815,042 $3,815,042 $3,815,042 $3,815,042
$5.000
$-
-$5.000
-$10.000
-$15.000
-$20.000
Option 1 Option 2
<description> <description>
Score Score
Criteria (out of Weighted (out of
Criteria Weight 10) Score 10)
<description> 50.0% 3 1.50 5
<description> 25.0% 5 1.25 9
<description> 15.0% 4 0.60 6
<description> 10.0% 4 0.40 3