Table-3.1-Chapter 3

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Table 3.

1 Bio-Hydrogen, Bio-Methane, and Sulfur Market Study

Bio-Hydrogen Bio-Methane Sulfur


YEAR
Demand (MT) Supply (MT) Demand (MT) Supply (MT) Demand Supply
Historical Global Local Global Local Global Local Global Local Local Local
2010 63,450,300 303,650 52,903,876 190,000 2,168,058,000 2,879,569 2,156,888,000 2,339,281 49,800 48,200
2011 67,190,873 315,870 55,548,902 191,250 2,173,642,000 2,952,300 2,206,888,000 2,361,478 53,100 50,700
2012 70,534,098 338,600 58,123,097 203,650 2,244,290,000 2,984,641 2,229,036,000 2,372,300 57,000 52,500
2013 78,012,904 339,620 63,905,835 216,700 2,481,926,000 3,024,292 2,314,408,000 2,402,300 61,500 57,900
2014 81,500,129 340,750 64,828,928 230,200 2,495,324,000 3,193,101 2,316,050,000 2,455,620 66,400 58,400
2015 89,936,548 350,500 68,890,046 239,350 2,513,918,000 3,226,612 2,380,746,000 2,549,281 72,700 68,100
2016 97,372,966 405,600 73,095,704 242,860 2,572,768,000 3,346,242 2,453,548,000 2,601,478 76,800 68,600
2017 103,093,850 415,650 78,452,728 260,970 2,658,564,000 3,389,339 2,520,764,000 2,654,784 82,300 73,200
Projected
2018 112,231,255 438,381 82,621,098 275,178 2,765,699,367 3,520,283 2,585,899,133 2,730,456 98,607 84,517
2019 121,125,170 465,600 87,584,644 290,391 2,859,479,409 3,631,646 2,660,545,024 2,807,743 104,565 88,597
2020 130,630,939 495,152 92,827,090 306,646 2,958,316,800 3,750,039 2,739,994,400 2,890,478 110,709 92,740
2021 140,748,563 527,036 98,348,436 323,944 3,062,211,539 3,875,465 2,824,247,261 2,978,659 117,038 96,945
2022 151,478,041 561,254 104,148,682 342,285 3,171,163,627 4,007,922 2,913,303,606 3,072,287 123,551 101,212
2023 162,819,374 597,804 110,227,827 361,669 3,285,173,064 4,147,411 3,007,163,436 3,171,361 130,249 105,541
2024 174,772,562 636,687 116,585,872 382,095 3,404,239,848 4,293,932 3,105,826,752 3,275,881 137,132 109,932
2025 187,337,604 677,903 123,222,818 403,564 3,528,363,982 4,447,484 3,209,293,552 3,385,849 144,200 114,385
2026 200,514,501 721,451 130,138,663 426,076 3,657,545,464 4,608,068 3,317,563,836 3,501,263 151,453 118,901
2027 214,303,253 767,333 137,333,408 449,631 3,791,784,294 4,775,684 3,430,637,606 3,622,123 158,890 123,478
2028 228,703,859 815,547 144,807,053 474,228 3,931,080,473 4,950,331 3,548,514,861 3,748,430 166,513 128,118
2029 243,716,319 866,094 152,559,597 499,868 4,075,434,000 5,132,010 3,671,195,600 3,880,183 174,320 132,820
2030 259,340,635 918,974 160,591,042 526,551 4,224,844,876 5,320,721 3,798,679,824 4,017,383 182,312 137,584
2031 275,576,805 974,186 168,901,387 554,276 4,379,313,100 5,516,463 3,930,967,533 4,160,030 190,489 142,410
2032 292,424,829 1,031,732 177,490,631 583,044 4,538,838,673 5,719,237 4,068,058,727 4,308,123 198,851 147,298
2033 309,884,708 1,091,610 186,358,775 612,855 4,703,421,594 5,929,043 4,209,953,406 4,461,663 207,398 152,248
2034 327,956,442 1,153,821 195,505,819 643,709 4,873,061,864 6,145,880 4,356,651,570 4,620,649 216,129 157,261
2035 346,640,031 1,218,365 204,931,763 675,605 5,047,759,482 6,369,749 4,508,153,218 4,785,082 225,045 162,335
2036 365,935,474 1,285,242 214,636,607 708,544 5,227,514,448 6,600,650 4,664,458,352 4,954,962 234,147 167,472
2037 385,842,771 1,354,451 224,620,351 742,526 5,412,326,764 6,838,583 4,825,566,970 5,130,288 243,433 172,671
2038 406,361,923 1,425,993 234,882,995 777,551 5,602,196,427 7,083,547 4,991,479,073 5,311,060 252,904 177,932
2039 427,492,930 1,499,868 245,424,538 813,618 5,797,123,439 7,335,543 5,162,194,661 5,497,279 262,559 183,255
2040 449,235,792 1,576,076 256,244,982 850,728 5,997,107,800 7,594,570 5,337,713,733 5,688,945 272,400 188,640
2041 471,590,508 1,654,617 267,344,325 888,881 6,202,149,509 7,860,629 5,518,036,291 5,886,057 282,425 194,087
2042 494,557,078 1,735,490 278,722,568 928,076 6,412,248,567 8,133,720 5,703,162,333 6,088,616 292,636 199,597
2043 518,135,504 1,818,697 290,379,711 968,314 6,627,404,973 8,413,843 5,893,091,861 6,296,622 303,031 205,168
Standard Deviation
ASL 5,617,654 18,538 72,098,821 8,229 69,607,307 51,509 38,350,405 37,447 1662.62 1883.61
AG 2,099,685 17,714 1,456,472 7,461 71,193,270 49,917 36,149,250 35,330 1345.53 2226.19
SSL 1,675,689 13,188 1,033,671 5,279 56,021,122 36,050 21,541,288 26,389 872.71 1662.04
SP 917,885 10,104 812,468 3,676 52,922,138 25,434 12,627,811 17,458 557.31 1646.65
Market Share Global Local Global Local Local
TAP 11,147.1 MT 11,147.1 MT 56,894.4 MT 56,894.4 MT 1351.249152 MT
GAP 52,591,547 MT 236,135 MT 278,009,627 MT 976,051 MT 24,708 MT
% MS 0.02% 4.72% 0.02% 5.83% 5.47%

Sources: UN Comtrade 2018, Sulfur Information Services,2018, and Philippine Statistics Authority 2018 (Historical Data of Hydrogen, Methane, and Sulfur)
- Lowest Standard Deviation - % Market Share
ASL - Arithmetic Straight-Line AG- Arithmetic Geometric SSL- Statistical Straight-Line SP- Statistical Parabolic

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