Medtechmilestonemap 131210122256 Phpapp01
Medtechmilestonemap 131210122256 Phpapp01
Medtech start-ups from inception to exit: what are the key mile-
stones and what are the ACTUAL timelines and costs?
A data-driven approach to figuring out the new reality of medical
device venture capital investing.
BY REVITAL HIRSCH
Medical device venture capital investing has changed WHAT ARE WE ASSUMING?
significantly since the onset of the economic downturn. There seem to be five major assumptions hiding in a typical
Fundamental concepts and premises, such as capital ‘All I need...’ statement:
intensity, company stage at exit, the degree of difficulty in 1. The key milestones that a company will have to achieve to
obtaining regulatory approval and exit valuations, are bring its product to market.
undergoing major shifts.
2. The time it will take to achieve those milestones.
These shifts are likely to have a considerable effect on the
3. The stage of the company when it is acquired.
medical device venture capital ecosystem. This is what
4. The amount of capital the company will burn prior to
prompted the research that led to this article – a test of the
being acquired.
generally-accepted rules-of-thumb used daily by investors and
by those seeking funding vis-à-vis recent industry statistics. 5. The expectations regarding company valuation at exit.
These assumptions determine the potential investment
Every professional in the medical device venture capital multiple and return-on-investment that a venture capital fund
industry is familiar with the experience of having participated can expect from a portfolio company. They also influence the
in an introductory meeting with the founder of an early stage amount of reserves a fund earmarks for follow-on
medical device start-up. investments – a key component in a fund’s ability to continue
The founder defines the unmet clinical need, quantifies the supporting a company. But perhaps most importantly, these
vast addressable market and proudly displays what looks like assumptions create an anchor of initial expectations – a ruler
a piece of garden hose duct-taped to a few cables. While by which the fund determines the attractiveness of a
agreeing that the ‘prototype’ is a bit rough around the edges, proposed investment and measures a portfolio company’s
he is certain that – with a little imagination – you can surely performance throughout the lifetime of the investment.
see how his invention will revolutionize the medical device 1. THE MILESTONES
industry.
There is a core set of milestones that apply to the vast
All he needs is an investment of a few million dollars and two majority of medical device start-ups:
– no more than three – years to obtain regulatory approval.
Development Stage Milestones:
Then the company will be acquired for hundreds of millions of
dollars, providing you – the investor – with an extraordinary Market requirements document (MRD) is essentially the
return on your investment. premise on which a start-up is based. The document
describes the current state of the universe, highlighting
Granted, this is an exaggeration. But these widely-used ‘All I
not only what is there but also what is missing from it,
need…’ statements mask a host of underlying assumptions
setting the stage for formulating ‘the need’ that a start-up
that drill down to the very core of venture capital investing in
is responding to.
medical devices.
December 2013 1
The Medical Device Milestone Map
The MRD then outlines – in great detail – the product that Clinical unit. Following design validation (confirmation
will be developed. This includes product features, usability that the requirements for a specific intended use can be
requirements, cost targets and the clinical and economic fulfilled consistently) the company will have a clinical unit.
value propositions. This is the device with which the start-up will perform its
While technical in nature, the MRD is prepared from the pre-clinical, clinical and regulatory processes.
end-market perspective, which makes this an important For this finished product the company will prepare a
business document as well. device master record, which will later serve as a critical
Product requirements document (PRD) is the translation first step in the transfer-to-production process.
of the requirements outlined in the MRD into the Pre-clinical validation. The company will use the clinical
comprehensive set of technical specifications and unit in an animal model, testing for safety and for initial
performance thresholds required of the materials, efficacy (including comparison to predicate devices that
components, sub-assemblies and the finished product. have been cleared and are in use in medical practice).
An important section of the PRD is risk assessment, a Every development process incurs setbacks and delays:
process that includes: A component or sub-assembly may not perform according
− the identification of design, use and process risks; to specifications.
− an assessment of the risks’ frequency of occurrence Design constraints may limit the ability to incorporate the
and the severity of their outcomes; full set of features outlined in the MRD.
− a review of the steps taken to mitigate those risks.
The results of a pre-clinical trial may require varying
Companies developing medical devices the use of which degrees of product redesign.
exposes patients to potential safety concerns will also be
Yet development plans rarely factor sufficient delays into
required to carry out a clinical risk-benefit analysis.
their timelines or funding requirements.
Design reviews will take place throughout the product
Many companies these days are completing large financing
development process to evaluate the design against its
rounds that are broken down into milestone-based tranches.
requirements. In each review the design will be examined
This financing structure provides a start-up with the security
against different sets of criteria, including technical
of knowing it is sufficiently funded for the foreseeable future,
specifications, small- and large-scale manufacturing, risk
freeing management to focus its attention on developing the
assessment and usability.
product and building the company. But for this to succeed,
Design reviews will occur at different levels: components the company has to achieve its milestones within the
and sub-assemblies will be reviewed first as stand-alone timelines and budgets to which it has committed.
modules and then a second time as part of the fully-
Now, think of a 3-month delay in the development process at
integrated finished product.
a time when a start-up is burning $400k per month. The
Engineering prototype is the first tangible embodiment of company will be $1.2m short to reach the milestone that
the conceptual design. It is likely the product of several triggers the next cash infusion. Whether that milestone was
iterations of both the preliminary and detailed design part of a tranched financing round or whether it was
processes. supposed to trigger a new external financing round – there is
Design freeze. After the sub-assemblies and the now a $1.2m funding gap that needs to be filled.
engineering prototype have undergone verification Medical device start-ups literally cannot afford to assume
(confirmation that the design output meets the design (and create expectations for) a ‘hiccup-free’ development
input requirements) the company will lock down its process. They need to proactively plan for setbacks and
product design by declaring a design freeze. delays in sub-processes that entail a higher degree of risk.
The design freeze will trigger activation of design change Clinical & Regulatory Milestones:
controls, a set of procedures for the identification,
First in human is the first time an investigational device is
documentation, verification, validation and approval of
used on human subjects. Assuming the procedure’s safety
changes before their implementation.
and efficacy end-points are met, a few additional
Any changes made to function or features after a design procedures may be performed to create an initial base of
freeze is declared will apply to the next-generation device. clinical experience in the use of the product.
December 2013 2
Exhibit 1A
Market Requirements Document: Product Development and Prototyping Device Master Record:
Current state of the universe: Component, sub-assembly and finished
– Existing / under development products, product specifications
and their strengths & weaknesses Final bill of materials
– User groups and profiles Incoming material / component inspection
– Patient groups and profiles procedures
– Reimbursement Manufacturing / assembly procedures and
– Intellectual property schematics
The need In-process inspection and testing procedures
Proposed product: End product inspection and testing procedures
− Internal & external requirements (prioritized Packaging and labeling specifications and
for ‘must haves’ and ‘nice to haves’) procedures
− Features Finished product acceptance criteria
− Performance thresholds
− Constraints
− Form factors
− Bill of materials / cost targets
− Manufacturing and assembly
− Value proposition (clinical and economic)
ALL vis-à-vis: safety, quality, reliability, usability, Creation of Scientific Clinical Program Design
regulatory approvability and (marketability) Advisory Board of (assisted by SAB and
Key Opinion Leaders external regulatory counsel)
Pre-
Clinical
Dev.
December 2013
3
The Medical Device Milestone Map
Exhibit 1B
Patient Patient
Recruitment Follow-Up Data
IRB Investigators’ First-In- Collection CE Mark
Meeting Meeting Human Completed Filing
CE Mark
Clinical
IRB IRB Site Up 2 nd & 3 rd Recruitment Last Final CE Mark
Dev. Filing Approval Sites Up Completed Patient Clinical Approval
Out Report
Clinical and Regulatory Milestones
(Clinical
Validation)
Site Roll-Out
December 2013
The Medical Device Milestone Map
4
The Medical Device Milestone Map
Clinical validation is obtained after a device has been used subject to the strictest controls and requiring significant
successfully in a pilot trial in which all clinical end-points tiered clinical development that encompasses hundreds of
were achieved. The sample size of a pilot trial is usually patients and spans a prolonged period of time.
equal to the minimal number of patients necessary for the As with the development process, medtech start-ups should
results to hold statistical significance. expect delays in their clinical and regulatory processes:
CE Mark is the regulatory approval that enables a The FDA may designate a device to a PMA pathway,
company to sell its device in European countries. whereas the company was expecting a 510(k).
Obtaining the CE Mark means that the company is
The company may incur delays in obtaining IDE approval.
compliant with the European medical device directive that
(See Sidebar: The Kips Bay Medical IDE timeline).
applies to its device.
The FDA may require a trial sample size that is larger than
510(k) clearance / DeNovo approval / PMA approval are
a company originally anticipated.
the regulatory routes that enable a medical device
A company may not roll-out sites or recruit patients to
company to commence commercial sales in the U.S.
participate in its clinical trial as quickly as planned.
510(k) clearance is the route in which the FDA applies the
The occurrence of a major adverse event may require
least amount of controls, making it the shortest and least
suspension of patient recruitment until the company can
demanding pathway.
show that the adverse event was not caused by its device.
The core principal underlying the 510(k) is proving that a
Medical device companies need to identify sub-processes in
device is substantially equivalent to a predicate device (or
their clinical and regulatory development plans that are at risk
multiple devices) that has been cleared previously.
to incur delays and build ‘cushions’ into their timelines and
PMA approval is the process intended for high-risk
fundraising plans.
devices. It is the most rigorous of the device pathways,
Founded in May 2007, Kips Bay Medical is developing the patient multi-center clinical trial conducted outside the U.S.
eSVS® Mesh, an extravascular knitted nitinol prosthesis The company encountered a delay of more than 2½ years in
designed to maintain the patency of autologous saphenous obtaining IDE approval (see timeline below). Even then, the
vein grafts in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass approval was conditional, requiring staged enrollment and
graft (CABG) surgery. allowing only a handful of patients to be implanted in the first
The device obtained CE Mark in May 2010 based upon the stage. During this 2½ year period the company’s operating
safety and effectiveness clinical data generated by a 90- cash burn totaled $15.1m, an average of $502k per month.
December 2013 5
The Medical Device Milestone Map
Exhibit 2
Time to First 510(k) Clearance* Time to First CE Mark* for ‘510(k)’ Companies
(excl. outliers of <1 year and >16 years) (excl. outliers of <1 year and >16 years)
N=491, of which are 92% are Class II devices N=288
6.4
5.9 6.0 5.9
5.8 5.8
5.4 5.7 5.7 5.6
5.4 5.3 5.2
5.9 5.3
5.1 4.9
4.9 4.6
Years
5.4
Years
4.5 5.3
Years
4.8 5.2 Average 5.1 5.1 5.1
4.4 4.8 Average
4.9 4.9
Median
Median 4.7
4.3
4.3
3.8 3.9
3.9
3.63.8
3.5
2007 2007
2008 2008
2009 2010
2009 2011
2010 2012
2011 20132012 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
6% 7%
7% 8% 9% 8% 10%
Percent of First 510(k) FDA Clearances
24% 21%
31% > 10 years, ≤ 13 years > 10 ye
20% 28%
32% > 7 years, ≤ 10 years > 7 yea
37% 33%
36% 41% 43%
> 4 years, ≤ 7 years 29% 25% 42% > 4 yea
53% 49%
> 1 year, ≤ 4 years > 1 year
55% 52% 51% 45%
35% 35% 33% 36% 39%
32% 31% 26%
19% 18%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
* Time to first regulatory approval is measured as time elapsed from company inception to the first 510(k) clearance and first CE Mark a company obtains.
December 2013 6
The Medical Device Milestone Map
evidence – one that can usually be leveraged later on to Fiscal Year (Receipt Cohort)
support the U.S. regulatory process. Source: FDA’s Medical Device Program 2013: Looking Back and Looking
Ahead, May 2013
December 2013 7
The Medical Device Milestone Map
3. COMPANY STAGE AT EXIT The $10m-$25m range is where medtech start-ups historically
FDA clearance has been perceived as the primary milestone sought funding from public markets. However VC funds are
to trigger an acquisition. To this day, many business plans end increasingly supporting companies into and beyond this
with the regulatory approval milestone – disregarding the revenue bracket, as evidenced by an increase in large
time, infrastructure and funding required to carry out even a financing rounds performed by commercial stage start-ups
limited commercial launch. looking to expand their commercial efforts:
The data do not support such an assertion: less than 1 in 6 In October 2013, LensAR raised $87m to support
medtech acquisitions and only 1 in 3 medtech start-up continued commercialization of its laser cataract surgery
acquisitions are performed while a company is still pre- system throughout the major medical markets worldwide.
revenue. (See Exhibit 6). In July 2013, Tria Beauty raised $45.5m in equity and a
Exhibit 6 structured debt facility to launch multiple new devices,
expand distribution and accelerate its growth.
Company Revenues at Exit: All MedTech Acquisitions
Following a $150m equity round in 2011, Valeritas closed a
(For Deals >$10m Taking Place since Jan 1, 2000. N=711)
$100m structured debt financing in June 2013 to support
30%
Normalized for Unknowns the commercialization of its V-Go® insulin delivery device.
Percent of M&A Deals
24% Actual 26% This extended period of venture-backed ownership and the
increase in total amount invested may require adjustments
18%
from start-ups and venture capital funds alike:
12%
13% Medical device start-ups should extend their business and
11% 11% 11% 11% 11% fundraising plans to include initial commercialization
6%
6% efforts. This will result in a more realistic set of
0% expectations and create a better alignment of interests
Pre-Rev. <$10m $10m- $25m- $50m- $100m- >$250m Un- between companies and their investors.
$25m $50m $100m $250m known
Venture capital funds may need to adjust their business
Revenues at Acquisition
Company Revenues at Exit: MedTech Start-Up Acquisitions model by:
(For Deals >$10m Taking Place since Jan 1, 2000. N=312) − Investing in fewer companies per size of fund and
50%
allocating greater reserves per company for follow-on
Normalized for Unknowns investments. For example, a $250m fund that had
47%
40% Actual originally targeted a portfolio of 20 start-ups may
Percent of M&A Deals
December 2013 8
The Medical Device Milestone Map
December 2013 9
The Medical Device Milestone Map
As long as the cash burn is within the approved budget and Companies that exit sooner or those that are developing
enables the company to achieve its goals – all is well. It is medical devices lower in complexity and in risk profile are
when the cash burn does not yield the expected outcomes likely to need less funding. However, more and more start-
that assumptions and plans need to be reevaluated. ups are breaking the $100m threshold in their cumulative
The average and median time-to-exit for medical device start- venture capital fundraising. (See Sidebar: The $100m Club).
ups is 8.8 years and 8.2 years, respectively. By this time, a Medical device companies requiring such large amounts of
medical device company may have burned between $45m and capital will need to build funding syndicates. These syndicates
$65m. (See Exhibit 8). can range from three to six or more venture capital funds.
There are at least 45 active (yet-to-be-exited) medical device start-ups that have raised more than $100m in venture capital.
Some examples are detailed in the following table:
These companies, which have developed devices that target all the major medical fields, have been active for more than 10
years, have raised an average of $130m each and have had U.S. and European regulatory clearances for numerous years.
The vast majority, if not all, of these start-ups have commenced commercial operations – in the U.S. as well as abroad.
December 2013 10
The Medical Device Milestone Map
A funding syndicate will afford a medtech start-up access to a purchasing? And how will the decision effect its
larger pool of money. In parallel, each of the syndicate positioning in the market?
participants will have a sense of security from sharing the risk Financial. The accumulated (and future) losses of a start-
and from knowing that there are enough resources in up and the goodwill or intangible assets associated with
aggregate to support the company until it is acquired. the acquisition may provide the acquirer with quantifiable
However, there can be drawbacks to funding syndicates: an tax benefits.
earlier vintage fund that is under pressure to begin realizing When gearing up for an exit process, medical device start-ups
its investments, or a fund that has depleted its reserves and is usually focus on preparing extensive documentation and
unable to make additional investments, may lobby for an quantitative models to best support the company-internal
earlier exit at a lower valuation while a fellow investor may and business environment related factors.
want to continue funding the company and hold out for that
Paying greater attention t0- and addressing the acquirer-
higher exit valuation.
specific considerations will sharpen and enhance the value
A medical device company funded by a syndicate of investors proposition underlying the proposed acquisition, potentially
needs to be aware of these potential conflicts of interest and yielding a higher exit valuation.
must actively manage them when they arise.
The exit valuation ‘sweet spot’ in medical device venture
5. EXIT VALUATIONS capital investing is the $150m-$350m range. But this range
Valuation of a pre-revenue or early-revenue company is more accounts for only 17% of all medtech start-up acquisitions (22%
art than science. However, the qualitative factors influencing normalized for ‘unknowns’). (See Exhibit 9).
the valuation are fairly clear: As with time-to-exit, entrepreneurs pitching to potential
Factors specific to the target company include investors visions of high exit valuations need to have
uniqueness of the device and its underlying technology, convincing supporting data why their company is going to
the extent of the product’s disruption to current medical exit in the top deciles of all medical device start-ups.
practice, strength of the intellectual property protecting Exhibit 9
the device and the clinical body of evidence supporting MedTech Start-Up Exit Valuation ($m)
the safety and efficacy of the device.
(For Deals >$10m Taking Place since Jan 1, 2000. N=312)
External factors encompass the addressable market size
40%
and its growth prospects, reimbursement coverage and Normalized
the landscape of competitive products – those currently in Actual
Percent of M&A Deals
Also, the potential acquirer faces the ‘build vs. buy’ However, the culmination of a venture capital fund’s
dilemma: how much effort, time and money will it take performance is measured at the portfolio level rather than
for the acquirer to internally develop the device it is per company.
December 2013 11
The Medical Device Milestone Map
Each portfolio will have a small number of investments that Start-ups basing their ‘all I need…’ statements on information
yield exceptional returns, some that yield mediocre outcomes generated by the type of data-driven approach presented in
and some investments that are written down in their entirety. this article will be taken more seriously by potential investors.
This is the very nature of the venture capital industry. Venture capital funds can apply this methodology as a
CONCLUSIONS decision-supporting tool in their due-diligence process, in
setting the terms for initial as well as follow-on investments,
It seems that many of the rules-of-thumb commonly applied
in allocating reserves among portfolio companies and in
to medical device venture capital investing in the past are no
building investment multiple and ROI models.
longer accurate:
This type of analysis enables venture capital funds and
Regulatory approval is not necessarily the ‘holy grail’ of
medtech start-ups to frame their expectations more
milestones. The majority (⅔) of start-ups are acquired
objectively and realistically – a process that is likely to result in
post-commercialization as opposed to pre-revenue.
an improved alignment between funds and their portfolio
Only a minority (¼) of medtech start-up acquisitions will
companies throughout the lifetime of the investment.
take place within six years of a start-up’s inception.
Many medtech start-ups will need more than $25m to
reach exit – some will require double that amount and a Revital Hirsch is an Associate at SCP Vitalife Partners, a life
‘select’ few will raise more than $100m in venture capital sciences dedicated venture capital firm.
prior to exit. www.linkedin.com/in/revitalhirsch/
Not every company will be acquired for $250m (or more). The author is grateful to Roger Carolin, Gerri Henwood,
Indeed, between 40% and 55% of start-up acquisitions are Gil Kaminski and Ofri Vaisman for their insightful contributions
in the double-digit millions of dollars. to this article.
December 2013 12