Africa: The Next Decade
Africa: The Next Decade
Africa: The Next Decade
Arthur Gerstenfeld
Raphael J. Njoroge
www.businessbooksusa.com
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Africa: The Next Decade
6
Arthur Gerstenfeld, Ph.D.
Professor of Management and Industrial Engineering,
Department of Management, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, MA, U.S.A.
Dr. Arthur Gerstenfeld received his Ph.D. from MIT and is Professor
of Management and Industrial Engineering at Worcester Polytechnic
Institute, Worcester, MA. He has been the Director of several grants
concerned with Africa. His original exposure to Africa was twenty years
ago when he visited South Africa as part of a proposal to install a new
type of air traffic control training system. Dr. Gerstenfeld is the patent
holder for those systems. Since then he has been to Africa more than
fifteen times and will be returning again in October, 2005. He has pub-
lished several articles about Africa with Prof. Raphael J. Njoroge and is
active in the Corporate Council on Africa. He is Co-Director of the WPI-
Namibia Project Center. As co-faculty advisor with Prof. Vernon-
Gerstenfeld in Namibia in 2004 Dr. Gerstenfeld co-directed projects in
water management, energy efficient housing, and aquaculture.
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Africa: The Next Decade
AFRICA TODAY
Madeira
Algiers Tunis
(Portuguese)
Tangier
Constantine
Rabat Oran TUNISIA
Casablanca
MOROCCO Ghardaia
Marrakech Tripoli Banghazi Alexandria
Canary islands
(Spanish) Cairo
Size 11,709,908 sq miles/30,328,662 sq. km Island nations Six, with Equatorial Guinea part landbased
Second largest continent after Asia Madagascar is world’s 4th largest island
Distance North-South 5,000 miles/8,000 km Population At 800 million 13% of world total
East-West 4,700 miles/7,560 km Speak more than 1,000 languages
Mountains Highest: Mt. Kilimanjaro 19,340 ft/5,895 m Density Average of 26 people per sq. km
Ranks sixteenth worldwide Well below Asia’s 116 and Europe’s 102
Lakes Lake Victoria is world’s 3rd largest Resources 8.2 % of world’s oil, 7.7% of its natural gas
Lake Tanganyika is 7th largest 11% to 45% of world’s strategic minerals
Rivers Longest: Nile is 4,180 miles/6,690 km Economy Average 4% growth in output from 1994-1998
World’s longest river Per capita income $315—one-third Asia’s
Countries 53 countries of which 15 landlocked Investment Return on US investment in 1997 was 25.3%
Largest: Sudan, Algeria & DR of Congo Exceeded 16.2% in Asia and 12.3% worldwide
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Contents
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS 11
FOREWORD 13
PREFACE 15
CHAPTER 1
RESPONSIBILITY OF AFRICA: GOOD GOVERNANCE 19
CHAPTER 2
ECONOMIC INTEGRATION OFAFRICA 44
CHAPTER 3
AFRICAN GROWTH AND OPPORTUNITY ACT 65
CHAPTER 4
LEADERSHIP IN HIGHER EDUCATION 87
CHAPTER 5
BUSINESS AND INTERNATIONAL EDUCATION 103
CHAPTER 6
HIV/AIDS IN AFRICA 121
CHAPTER 7
WATER CRISIS IN AFRICA 135
CHAPTER 8
FUNDING FOR GROWTH 153
CHAPTER 9
AFRICA 2015 167
BIBLIOGRAPHY 181
INDEX 189
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Foreword
The next ten years on the continent of Africa are critical. The year
2015 will hopefully mark a transition in Africa to political responsibility,
prosperity, and health. This is essential for Africa and the rest of the
world. Drs. Arthur Gerstenfeld and Raphael Njoroge have written a
provocative book about the transformation needed for Africa to reach
its potential in the next decade.
The authors took a leap of faith several years ago when they applied
for a grant under the U.S. Department of Education’s Business and
International Education Program for research into water resources,
aquaculture, and other related areas in Namibia by undergraduate
students from the Worcester Polytechnic Institute. This grant not only
helped strengthen relationships between WPI administrators, faculty
and students and their Namibian counterparts. It also led to a series of
high-level conferences at WPI with African dignitaries including
Namibian Secretary of Education Nahas Angula and the WPI’s
participation in the Corporate Conference on Africa Summit Conference.
Two subsequent grants are focusing on partnering U.S. and African
educators with industries on both sides of the Atlantic.
The Business and International Education (BIE) program currently
funds programs at some 60 institutions. The program began 1958, when
the U.S. Congress realized that the nation’s defense, security, and welfare
were inseparably linked to education. Since 1983 it has provided
funding to universities, four-year colleges, and community systems to
educate and prepare the citizenry for the global marketplace. In my
position at the U.S. Department of Education, I have had the good fortune
to work intimately with institutions of higher education throughout the
U. S. and world to improve the teaching of international business
teaching and implement programs to increase collaboration among
businesses worldwide. I am proud to have been associated with the
authors of this book in their outstanding programs.
As Tom Friedman’s said in his groundbreaking book, The Lexus and
the Olive Tree, it is the “software” of the country that will lead to economic
prosperity. The “software” is a well-educated work force that is globally
competent. The American Council on Education defined “globally
competent” as a broad term that ranges from the in-depth knowledge
required for interpreting information affecting national security, to the
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Africa: The Next Decade
skills and understanding that foster improved relations with all regions
of the world. It involves, among other things, foreign language
proficiency and the ability to function effectively in other cultural
environments and value systems, whether conducting business,
implementing international development projects, or carrying our
diplomatic missions.
Having been awarded several grants under our program, Drs.
Gerstenfeld and Njoroge have the in-depth knowledge and passion to
write a book on the transformation of the African continent. While not
ignoring the immense problems that Africa faces, this is a hopeful book
that looks at the bright prospects facing the African continent as long as
political and economic responsibility and prosperity, health and
education are vigorously pursued.
Drs. Gerstenfeld and Njoroge are zealous about the role of education
in the transformation of the political and economic landscape. They
have experienced this on a first-hand basis by teaching and observing
students and faculties around the world. These gentlemen are agents
for change and are actively engaged in Africa to revolutionize the face
of education. Their book addresses the need to envision a global
community where education is an important step towards promoting
stability and prosperity for all.
Africa: The Next Decade is bound to stimulate interest in Africa and
inspire readers to want to get involved in its transformation. It shows
us all how a relatively small sum of money in the hands of a few
committed people can do much to improve the lives of many. As
Margaret Mead said “Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful
committed citizens can change the world, indeed it’s the only thing that
ever has.”
Sarah T. Beaton
Chief, International Studies Program
International Education Programs Service
U.S. Department of Education
The views expressed within this foreword are solely of the individual and are not necessarily those
of the U.S. Department of Education, nor do they express U.S. Department of Education policy.
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Chapter 1
RESPONSIBILITY
OF AFRICA:
GOOD GOVERNANCE
Introduction
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Africa: The Next Decade
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The Responsibility of Africa: Good Governance
African leaders at the formation of the African Union. From left to right: South African
President Thabo Mbeki, UN Secretary General Kofi Annan, Mozambican President Joaquim
Chissano, Togo President Gnassingbé Eyadema, and Libyan leader Muammar Qaddafi.
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Africa: The Next Decade
22
The Responsibility of Africa: Good Governance
• Sixth, coordinating and harmonizing the policies between the existing and
future Regional Economic Communities for the gradual attainment of the ob
jectives of the African Union.
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Africa: The Next Decade
24
The Responsibility of Africa: Good Governance
25
Chapter 2
ECONOMIC
INTEGRATION
OF AFRICA
Introduction
45
Africa: The Next Decade
46
Economic Integration of Africa
TUNISIA
MOROCCO
ALGERIA
LIBYA
WESTERN EGYPT
SAHARA
CAPE
VERDE
MAURITANIA
MALI NIGER
SENEGAL CHAD ERITREA
GAMBIA
BURKINA FASO DJIBOUTI
GUINEA GUINEA BENIN SUDAN
BISSAU SOMALIA
SIERRA TOGO
GHANA NIGERIA CENTRAL
LEONE ETHIOPIA
CÔTE AFRICAN REPUBLIC
LIBERIA D'IVOIRE CAMEROON
EQUATORIAL GUINEA
UGANDA KENYA
CONGO
SÃO TOMÉ GABON DEM. REP. RWANDA
& PRÍNCIPE OF CONGO
BURUNDI TANZANIA
SEYCHELLES
COMOROS
ANGOLA
ZAMBIA MALAWI
MADAGASCAR
NAMIBIA ZIMBABWE MAURITIUS
SADC Member States
BOTSWANA MOZAMBIQUE
SWAZILAND
SOUTH LESOTHO
AFRICA
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Africa: The Next Decade
(SADC) in the Southern Region.4 The Abuja Treaty has set modalities
for establishing the AEC; they consist of six stages of variable duration
over a transition period not exceeding thirty four years from the date of
entry into force of the Treaty.
The six stages are as follows: first, the strengthening of existing
Regional Economic Communities (RECs) and establishing new ones
in regions where they do not exist (5 years); second, at the level of
REC, establishing tariff and non-tariff barriers, strengthening of
sectoral integration particularly in the fields of trade, agriculture,
money, finance, transport, communications, industry, energy as well
as coordination and harmonization of the activities of RECs (8 years);
third, at the level of each REC, the establishment of Free Trade Area
and a Customs Union (10 years); fourth, coordination and
harmonization of tariff and non-tariff barriers among various RECs
with a view to establishing a Continental Customs Union (2 years);
fifth, establishment of an African Common Market (ACM) (4 years);
sixth, consolidation and strengthening of the structure of ACM,
including free movement of peoples and factors of production,
creation of a single domestic market and Pan African Economic and
Monetary Union, African Central Bank and African Currency as well
as establishment of a Pan African Parliament (5 years).5
African leaders offer several rationales for seeking regional
cooperation and integration.6
First is the firm belief that there is strength in numbers. In order to
effectively compete within an increasingly competitive international
economic system, dominated by economic superpowers such as the
United States and Japan as well as powerful regional economic entities
(e.g. European Union), African countries must band and pool their
respective resources.
Second, African countries desire to promote self-sustaining economic
development and particularly the industrialization of the African
continent. Cognizant of, and struggling with, the reality that many of
their countries are economically impoverished and lack the tools for the
creation of advanced industries, African leaders believe that they can
build upon the individual strengths of their neighbors to forge integrated
and self-sustaining economies.
Third, regional economic schemes are perceived as the best means
for creating self-reliant development, thereby reducing and eventually
ridding the African continent of the ties of dependency inherited from
the colonial era.7 For instance, African leaders are concerned that
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Leadership in Higher Education
MOROCCO TUNISIA
Indiana State U.
ALGERIA
LIBYA
WESTERN EGYPT
SAHARA
Montana State U.
CAPE MAURITANIA MALI
VERDE NIGER
SENEGAL CHAD ERITREA
GAMBIA BURKINA
FASO Cornell U.
GUINEA GUINEA Ohio U. SUDAN
BISSAU BENIN
TOGO NIGERIA SOMALIA
SIERRA ETHIOPIA
LEONE GHANA CENTRAL
CÔTE
LIBERIA D'IVOIRE CAMEROON AFRICAN REPUBLIC Univ. of Illinois
EQUATORIAL GUINEA
CONGO
UGANDA KENYA Tufts University
SÃO TOMÉ GABON DEM. REP. RWANDA School of Medicine
& PRÍNCIPE OF CONGO
BURUNDI SEYCHELLES
TANZANIA
Ohio State U.
COMOROS
ANGOLA MALAWI
Indiana State U.
ZAMBIA
MADAGASCAR
NAMIBIA ZIMBABWE
Worcester Polytechnic MAURITIUS
BOTSWANA MOZAMBIQUE
Institute
SWAZILAND
LESOTHO
Boston Univ.
SOUTH
Spellman College AFRICA Oregon State U.
Board, helps formulate ALO programs and plans. The agreement with
USAID supports association efforts to promote campus-led international
development programs in keeping with the goals and interests of U.S.
higher education, USAID, and institutions in cooperating countries.
With regard to Africa ALO has promoted a variety of partnerships,
and here we describe eight such partnerships through ALO.9
First, the partnership between The Ohio State University and
Sokoine University of Agriculture in Tanzania is developing a
practical agribusiness management program through links between
the educational partners and the private agribusiness sector.
Second, the Texas A&M University, Corpus Christi-Lamar
University/Insituto Technologico de Saltillo U.S.-Mexico Training,
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HIV/AIDS in Africa
TUNISIA
MOROCCO
ALGERIA
LIBYA
WESTERN EGYPT
SAHARA
CAPE
VERDE
MAURITANIA
MALI NIGER
SENEGAL <2% HIV/AIDS CHAD ERITREA
THE GAMBIA
BURKINA FASO DJIBOUTI
GUINEA GUINEA BENIN SUDAN
BISSAU SOMALIA
SIERRA TOGO
GHANA NIGERIA CENTRAL
LEONE ETHIOPIA
CÔTE AFRICAN REPUBLIC
LIBERIA D'IVOIRE CAMEROON
<5% HIV/AIDS
EQUATORIAL GUINEA UGANDA
CONGO KENYA
SÃO TOMÉ GABON DEM. REP. RWANDA
& PRÍNCIPE OF CONGO
BURUNDI TANZANIA
SEYCHELLES
COMOROS
ANGOLA
ZAMBIA
MALAWI
BOTSWANA MADAGASCAR
ZIMBABWE MAURITIUS
NAMIBIA
SWAZILAND
LESOTHO
The main point is the political openness and commitment regarding the
disease. Other countries in Africa, including South Africa have not been
open with the people and that denial has cost many lives.
A report presented at the 12th Conference on Retroviruses in February
2005 claims that the decline in Uganda’s HIV prevalence rate was due
to the deaths of infected individuals.9 In other words, according to this
report, condom use may have played a role in Uganda’s falling HIV
rate, but abstinence and faithfulness did not. If this report turns out to
be correct, that throws into doubt the long-held “ABC” approach favored
by many in the health community.
We believe that the three prong approach being used by Uganda is
the right approach even if one cannot show which part of the formula is
helping the most. After all, it is hard to argue against abstinence, and
one-partner relationships but failing that, condom use should be
encouraged strongly and be made available to the entire population. It
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