Mindtree: Reference Model
Mindtree: Reference Model
Mindtree
Prepared By: Neerav Koli, Distance Learning , Mumbai
http://proschoolonline.com
Email ID : mumbai@proschoolonline.com
Mumbai
Mindtree is one of the young IT company of the country which has seen commendable success within a few span of time. A fin
model of such a company is in great demand in the investment market. This gave us the opportunity to guide our student to com
with a financial model on the company. These exercises help the student at IMS Proschool to hone their financial modeling skil
This model is being developed by a financial modeling student at IMS Proschool. This is provided as reference model and is fo
information purpose only. Keeping in view the objective of the reference model, the formulas and linkages of the model are kep
IMS Proschool provides certificate programs in Financial Modeling. The program grooms the candidates for entry level jobs in t
finance sector which require financial analysis and modeling skills. The program aims to impart the necessary skills required to
the role of a Financial Research Analyst. The program equips students with the practical skill sets required to perform financial
modeling and valuation through Excel.
For more details, please contact the address furnished below. You can also email us at the below mentioned e
mumbai@proschoolonline.com
Mindtree Ltd.
1 Company Overview
2 Summary
4 Balance Sheet
6 Geographic Revenue
7 Segment-wise Revenue
8 Cost Analysis
9 Debt Schedule
10 Fixed Asset
11 Valuation
12 Beta Calculation
13 Notes
Description
Geographic revenue breakup for the historical years as reported by the Company
Segment-wise revenue breakup for the historical years as reported by the Company
Cost Structure
Debt Schedule
DCF Valuation
USA 84,209
Europe 25,552
India 7,737 25,552
APAC / Rest of the World 12,101
Total 129,598 7,737
84,209 12,101
Revenue Forecast
20000000%
18000000%
16000000%
14000000%
12000000%
% y/y Growth
10000000%
Total Revenue
8000000%
6000000%
4000000%
2000000%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E
6000000%
4000000%
2000000%
0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E 2016E 2017E
Revenue Data
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015E
Total Revenue 129,598 133,358 138,077 145,127 155,286 166,156
% y/y Growth 3% 4% 5% 7% 7%
formerly is an international information technology (IT) consulting and implementation company. It delivers business solutions through global software
s in two units: production engineering (PE) services and IT services. PE services include research and development (R&D) services and software product
ovides full life cycle product engineering, professional services and sustained engineering services. IT Services offer consulting and implementation and post
ustomers in manufacturing, financial services, travel and leisure and other industries, in the areas of e-business, data warehousing and business intelligence,
t, enterprise resource planning (ERP) and maintenance and re-engineering of legacy mainframe applications.
hnologies, Data Warehousing /Business Intelligence, Supply Chain Management, ERP, Product Engineering, Product Assurance & Testing, Web Services.
IT Services 69,802
PE Services 59,796 46%
Total 129,598
,737
2,101
y/y Growth
tal Revenue
2016E 2017E
177,787 186,677
7% 5%
Financial Summary Of Mindtree
P&L
Revenue 73,384 123,747 129,598 133,358
Gross Profit 26,606 54,069 49,773 51,217
EBITDA 12,580 33,095 24,556 25,251
PBT 11,273 6,039 25,467 20,587
PAT 10,419 5,231 21,484 17,519
Cash Flow
Cash Flow from operations 9,063 17,980 23,017 23,730
Cash Flow from investing (15,003) (22,235) (10,045) (3,655)
Cash Flow from financing 3,739 2,256 (13,415) (1,106)
Balance Sheet
Share Capital 3,792 3,800 3,951 3,951
Share Application Money 5 0.03 - -
Reserves & Surplus 49,605 51,328 63,112 79,912
Total Debt 9,172 17,213 305 -
62,575 72,340 67,369 83,863
Margins
Gross Profit 36% 44% 38% 38%
EBITDA 17% 27% 19% 19%
EBIT 12% 22% 14% 15%
PBT 15% 5% 20% 15%
Net Profit 14% 4% 17% 13%
2011-12E 2012-13E
138,077 145,127
53,029 55,737
26,145 27,480
21,690 23,126
18,457 19,679
22,193 27,879
(3,821) (4,070)
(771) (771)
17,601 23,038
(4,872) (5,121)
17,321 22,758
3,951 3,951
- -
97,649 121,554
- -
101,601 125,505
26,975 26,692
1,543 1,543
12,725 12,725
2,136 2,136
58,222 82,410
101,601 125,506
38% 38%
19% 19%
15% 15%
16% 16%
13% 14%
47.05 50.17
45.35 48.35
246 305
Mindtree Ltd.
Profit & Loss Account
(Rs. In Lacs, except per share data) Audited Audited Audited
2007-08 A 2008-09 A 2009-10 A 2010-11 E 2011-12 E
Selling, General & Administrative expenses (13,875) (20,168) (24,978) (25,703) (26,612)
Provision for bad & doubtful debts (151) (806) (239) (263) (273)
Operating profit before interest and depreciation 12,580 33,095 24,556 25,251 26,145
Provision for taxation including FBT (1,290) (1,386) (3,796) (3,069) (3,233)
Deferred tax (charge)/credit 436 681 (288) - -
MAT Credit Entitlement/(reverse) - 33 101 - -
Share of profits of associates 274 - - -
Minority interest (410) - - -
Interest Cover 21 20 92
Effective Tax rate 11% 11% 15% 15% 15%
Financial Leverage 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.3
2012-13 E
145,127
(89,390)
55,737
(27,971)
(287)
27,480
-
(5,404)
22,075
-
1,051
23,126
(3,447)
-
-
-
-
19,679
50.17
48.35
392
407
38%
19%
15%
16%
14%
15%
1.2
Mindtree Ltd.
Balance Sheet
(All Figs in Lacs) Standalone Consolidated Consolidated
Audited Audited Audited
Sources Of Funds 2007-08 A 2008-09 A 2009-10 A 2010-11 E 2011-12 E
Shareholders Funds
Share Capital ( Face Value of Rs. 10 Each) 3,792 3,800 3,951 3,951 3,951
Share Application Money 5 0.03 - - -
Reserves & Surplus 49,605 51,328 63,112 79,912 97,649
53,403 55,127 67,064 83,863 101,601
Loan Funds
Secured Loans 9,172 13,757 - - -
Unsecured Loans - 180 305 - -
Total Shareholders Funds & Liabilities 62,575 72,340 67,369 83,863 101,601
Application Of Funds
Fixed Asset
Gross Block 34,744 49,409 51,334 56,040 60,912
Less Accumulated Depreciation (11,176) (21,096) (25,212) (30,896) (36,402)
Net Block 23,568 28,313 26,122 25,143 24,510
Capital Work In Progress 2,329 1,304 2,466 2,466 2,466
25,897 29,616 28,587 27,609 26,975
Liquidity Ratio
Current Ratio 2.4 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.9
Capital Structure Ratio
Debt Equity Ratio(Times) 0.17 0.25 0.005 0.000 0.000
Debt to Total Funds(%) 15% 20% 0.45% 0% 0%
% of Revenues
Loans and Advances 14% 11% 16% 14% 14%
% of Cost of revenue
Current Liabilities 24% 41% 26% 30% 30%
2012-13 E
3,951
-
121,554
125,505
-
-
125,505
66,033
(41,806)
24,227
2,466
26,692
1,543
12,725
2,136
31,112
63,641
19,781
114,534
27,224
4,900
32,124
82,410
125,506
(0)
15.68%
305
78
3.6
0.000
0%
14%
30%
Mindtree Ltd.
Cash Flow Statement
(All Figs in Lacs)
Net cash provided by / (used in) operating activities 9,063 17,980 23,017
Dividends paid (including distribution tax) % of Share Capital 23% 24% 12%
2010-11 E 2011-12 E 2012-13 E
- - -
25,302 26,196 27,531
- - -
- - -
(30)
- - -
(305) - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
(771) (771) (771)
- - 0
4,033 23,002 40,603
23,002 40,603 63,641
4
Amount In Rs.
31,202 36,380 33,806
Q2 Sep-08 Q3 Dec-08 Q4 Mar-09
USA 19,894 24,097 23,178
Europe 6,403 7,232 5,360
India 1,664 2,425.95 2,697
APAC/ ROW 3,241.7 2,625.76 2,571
Total 31,202 36,380 33,806
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 % Wise Contribution to total Sales
Q2 Sep-08 Q3 Dec-08 Q4 Mar-09
USA 64% 66% 69%
Europe 21% 20% 16%
India 5% 7% 8%
APAC/ ROW 10% 7% 8%
Total 100% 100% 100%
Q1 Jun-09 Q2 Sep-09 Q3 Dec-09 Q4 Mar-10
2008-09 A 2009-10 A 2010-11 E
92,121 96,514
28,918 30,629
6,654 6,085
10,384 11,900
138,077 145,127
5% 5%
6% 6%
-7% -7%
-6% 15%
4% 5%
67% 67%
21% 21%
5% 4%
8% 8%
100% 100%
Mindtree Ltd.
Segment Wise Revenue
(All Figs in Lacs)
Minority interest
Share of P&L in Associate - 232 -
Minority interest - (410) -
Total Minority Interest - (178) -
As % of Closing Investment
Interest on deposits 3.70% 1.44% 1%
Dividend from investments 7% 3.45% 3%
2010-11 E 2011-12 E 2012-13 E
- - -
- -
- -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
0% 0% 0%
Provision for bad & doubtful debts 151 806 239 263
As % of Revenues
Provision for bad & doubtful debts 0.21% 0.65% 0.18% 0.20%
2011-12 E 2012-13 E
85,047 89,390
26,612 27,971
111,660 117,361
273 287
111,932 117,648
62% 62%
19% 19%
81% 81%
0.20% 0.20%
Mindtree Ltd.
Debt Schedule
(Rs. In Lakhs )
Debt Schedule
Secured Loans
From Banks -
Term Loans 8,848 5,157 - -
Other Loans - 8,600 - -
Finance lease obligation 324 -
Total Secured Loans 9,172 13,757 - - - -
Unsecured Loans -
Council for Scientific and Industrial Research - 180 305 305 - -
-
Total Unsecured Loan - 180 305 305 - -
Notes
4 Depreciation = Assuming Company buys new fixed asset half-way through the year, so I have ta
for new fixed assets(capex) purchased in C Y.
CY Depreciation = Half Dep of New Capex + Full Depreciation from Net Block Of PY
2009-10 A 2010-11 E 2011-12 E 2012-13 E
Block Of PY
Mindtree Ltd.
DCF Valuation
(All Figs in Lacs)
Projection Year 1 2 3 4 5
Discount Factor 0.86 0.74 0.64 0.55 0.47
Present Value of FCF 13,744 13,913 9,617 13,033 12,119
Tax Rate (Tax Expense/EBIT) -21% -16% -16% -16% -16% -16%
PV of Terminal Value
WACC PV of FCF 105,602 2% 3% 3%
10.0% 104,473 10.0% 92,943 99,770 107,573
11.0% 100,717 11.0% 76,846 81,885 87,553
16.3% 83,921 12.2% 62,204 65,827 69,843
13.0% 93,788 13.0% 54,504 57,463 60,718
14.0% 90,590 14.0% 46,562 48,895 51,441
Recommendation
Mindtree is likely to clock EPS of 45.35 in FY2012 E. By assigning average PE pf IT Industry.i.e.12, we recommend a hold position with target price of Rs.544
WACC Calculation
WACC 16.27%
177,787 186,677
33,664 35,347
27,043 28,395
(4,223) (4,434)
31,266 32,829
6,620 6,951
3,795 3,795
34,091 35,986
(6,274) (6,587)
27,818 29,398
407 407
6
0.40
11,260 -
7% 5%
7% 5%
7% 5%
7% 5%
19% 19%
15% 15%
4% 4%
4% 4%
-16% -16%
Intrinsic Value
Equity Value 183,015
Diluted Shares 407
Intrinsic Value
5 5.5 6
684 725 767
673 715 756
624 665 706
653 694 736
644 685 726
Beta or β
Input In Blue
1 3 0.95 4 -2
2 2 12 3 9
3 -5 1 -4 -2
4 -4 1 -2 -2
5 0 4 1 1
6 -4 -3 -3 -6
7 -2 0 -1 -3
8 11 7 12 4
9 -9 0 -8 -3
10 -16 -6 -15 -9
11 7 3 9 0
12 8 6 9 3
Stk R Mkt R
n 12 -1.023 2.595
Mindtree Sensex
Date Close Return Date
01-Oct-10 525 2.54% 01-Oct-10 20,261
01-Sep-10 512 1.75% 01-Sep-10 20,069
02-Aug-10 503 -5.35% 02-Aug-10 17,971
01-Jul-10 531 -3.50% 01-Jul-10 17,868
01-Jun-10 551 0.00% 01-Jun-10 17,701
03-May-10 551 -4.24% 03-May-10 16,945
01-Apr-10 575 -2.33% 01-Apr-10 17,559
02-Mar-10 589 10.58% 02-Mar-10 17,528
01-Feb-10 533 -8.73% 01-Feb-10 16,430
04-Jan-10 583 -16.10% 04-Jan-10 16,358
01-Dec-09 695 7.48% 01-Dec-09 17,465
03-Nov-09 647 7.67% 03-Nov-09 16,926
22-Oct-09 601 0.54% 22-Oct-09 15,896
22-Sep-09 598 #DIV/0! 22-Sep-09 16,886
Covsm 1.16 β
σ2m
-6 3
26 88
7 3
4 3
1 2
18 31
3 7
51 19
20 7
130 74
3 0
30 12
288 248
288 26
11
248 23
11
Sensex
0.95%
12%
1%
1%
4%
-3%
0%
7%
0%
-6%
3%
6%
-6%
#DIV/0!
Profit & Loss A/c
1) Figures for FY 2007-08 are standalone including Audited Balance Sheet
2) For Q1 of 2008-09, I have taken standalone results, and from Q2 all figures are Consolidated, including Audited Bal
3) I have adjusted Share Count(Basic & Diluted) wherever necessary to align with reported EPS by the company, as al
Balance Sheet(BS)
4) 2007-08 figures are standalone, as I have taken standalone figures in Profit & Loss A/c
5) For 2008-09 Figs. For 3M,6M,9M and 12M I have taken standalone figs for Balance Sheet, as Consolidated Figs. we
Audited BS is Consolidated.
6) 2009-10 BS is Consolidated
Geographic Revenue
8) I have done some small calculation, for converting USD* wise Geographic revenue into Rs. wise Geographic revenu
as Compnay did not reported consolidated figs. Geographic wise in Rs. terms.( Q1 figs. Are standalone, as consolid
by the Company. I took the Consolidated figs. From the fact sheet of respective quarters, and applied the USD regi
to that respective quarters.(calculation is below the Geographic revenues break-up figures)
* Despite taking exchange rates for calculation, I was not getting the accurate figs
Segment Revenue
9) Upto Q1 of 2008-09, all figs. are standalone, after that all figs. are consolidated
From FY 09-10, Segment R & D Services and AztecSoft Business is grouped under PE Services.
Hence, while calculating YoY & QoQ growth in % for 2009-10, I have grouped R&D Serv. and Aztec under PE Service
Projection Assumptions
g it into periods/quarters