Microshots 2010
Microshots 2010
Microshots 2010
If you are involved in financial analysis at any level, or want to learn more about MS Excel and o
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MicroShots™ Business Analysis System is designed for the owner or professional to quickly analyze the
of any business. MicroShots are miniature chart snapshots of key financial analysis data. The MicroShots
fully automated and yields instant results.
Here is what you do:
1) Enter data in cells with Blue figures in the "Master Data Entry" worksheet.
2) Enter data in cells with Blue figures in the "Cash Flow Data Entry" worksheet.
3) Go to the "Quick Analysis 4 Periods" worksheet. Here you will find the Primary Financial Predictors th
determine the overall health of the business.
4) Next, go to the "Summary Analysis" worksheet. All of the key analysis worksheets feed information ba
this summary sheet for additional fast assessment.
5) Then, go to the "Financial Health Analysis" worksheet. This worksheet condenses everything into on
page.
6) Lastly, go to the automated "MicroShots" worksheet for some amazing fast analysis results.
Expenses
Fixed Expenses 1 2
Executive Salaries $190,000 $191,000
Advertising $50,000 $51,500
Auto & Truck Expenses $30,000 $30,900
Depreciation $5,000 $5,150
Employee Benefits $3,000 $3,090
Home Office Business Expenses $1,000 $1,030
Insurance $3,906 $3,754
Bank Charges $2,133 $2,197
Legal & Professional Services $1,000 $1,330
Meals & Entertainment $4,000 $4,120
Office Expense $6,000 $6,180
Retirement Plans $1,000 $1,030
Rent - Equipment $3,000 $3,090
Rent - Office Property $8,750 $9,110
Repairs $1,000 $1,030
Supplies $1,000 $1,030
Taxes - Business & Payroll $1,000 $1,030
Travel $6,230 $6,120
Utilities $11,974 $12,374
Other Expenses $0 $0
Total Fixed Expenses $329,993 $335,065
Variable Expenses 1 2
Office salaries $90,000 $102,700
Employee benefits $43,000 $46,875
Payroll taxes $18,000 $18,540
Sales and Marketing $14,000 $14,420
Telephone and telegraph $6,000 $6,180
Stationary and office supplies $2,110 $2,680
Bad debts $100 $103
Postage $5,557 $5,724
Contributions $0 $0
Add Item $0 $0
1 2
Operating expenses $508,760 $532,287
Interest $16,250 $16,738
Depreciation $32,500 $33,475
Amortization $1,250 $1,288
Other $0 $0
Total expenses $558,760 $583,787
Fixed Assets 1 2
Land $1,000,000 $1,030,000
Buildings $1,500,000 $1,555,000
Equipment $800,000 $824,000
Subtotal $3,300,000 $3,409,000
Less-accumulated depreciation $400,000 $412,000
Total Fixed Assets $2,900,000 $2,997,000
Intangible Assets 1 2
Cost $50,000 $51,500
Less-accumulated amortization $20,000 $20,600
Total Intangible Assets $30,000 $30,900
Current Liabilities 1 2
Accounts payable $600,000 $618,000
Notes payable $100,000 $103,000
Current portion of long-term debt $100,000 $103,000
Income taxes $30,000 $30,900
Accrued expenses $90,000 $92,700
Other current liabilities $16,000 $16,480
Total Current Liabilities $936,000 $964,080
Non-Current Liabilities 1 2
Long-term debt $601,200 $624,200
Deferred income $100,000 $103,000
Deferred income taxes $30,000 $30,900
Other long-term liabilities $50,000 $51,500
Stockholders' Equity 1 2
Capital stock issued $100,000 $100,000
Number of shares issued 100,000 100,000
Line Item 1 2
Current assets 1,212,200 1,550,530
Fixed assets 2,900,000 2,997,000
Total assets 4,112,200 4,547,530
Average total assets 3,689,100 3,906,765
Cash and cash equivalents 451,000 464,530
Inventory 400,000 612,000
Average inventory 400,000 506,000
Current liabilities 936,000 964,080
Total liabilities 1,717,200 1,773,680
Owners' equity 2,450,000 2,320,500
Number of common shares 100,000 100,000
Average number of common shares 100,000 100,000
Average owners' equity 2,000,000 1,935,250
Market price per share 96.52 96.52
Cash flow 90,360 289,233
Cash flow per share 0.90 2.89
Dividends paid 5,000 6,000
Retained Earnings 1,400,000 1,542,000
Total sales 2,010,000 2,560,000
Operating expenses 508,760 532,287
Operating income 1,501,240 2,027,713
Advertising expense 50,000 51,500
Marketing expense 45,000 45,000
Earnings before interest and taxes 686,240 1,075,763
Interest expense 16,250 16,738
Net income 480,368 753,034
Total loan 601,200 624,200
Value of collateral or property 65,000 65,000
Operating Data 1
Days sales in accounts receivable 30
Days materials cost in inventory 30
Days finished goods in inventory 45
Days materials cost in payables 60
Days payroll expense accrued 7
Days operating expense accrued 20
Expense Data
Direct labor $320,000
Other payroll $240,000
Payroll taxes $56,000
Insurance $28,000
Legal/accounting $40,000
Office overhead $60,000
Forecasted
1 2
Sales
Sales $2,000,000 $1,500,000
Cost of sales $945,000 $865,000
Expenses
Operating expenses $424,000 $318,000
Interest $16,250 $16,250
Depreciation $32,500 $33,958
Amortization $1,250 $1,250
Total expenses $474,000 $369,458
Dividends paid $0 $0
Cost of sales
Direct labor $320,000 $240,000
Materials $500,000 $500,000
Other costs $125,000 $125,000
Fixed Assets
Land $100,000 $112,500
Buildings $1,500,000 $1,450,000
Equipment $800,000 $875,000
Intangible Assets
Cost $50,000 $50,000
Less-accumulated amortization $20,000 $21,250
Total Intangible Assets $30,000 $28,750
Actual Forecast
LIABILITIES AND 0 1
STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
Current Liabilities
Accounts payable $600,000 $328,767
Notes payable $100,000 $50,000
Current portion of long-term debt $100,000 $100,000
Income taxes $30,000 $183,300
Accrued expenses $90,000 $83,288
Other current liabilities $16,000 $12,000
Total Current Liabilities $936,000 $757,355
Non-Current Liabilities
Long-term debt $600,000 $500,000
Deferred income $100,000 $90,000
Deferred income taxes $30,000 $27,000
Other long-term liabilities $50,000 $90,000
Stockholders' Equity
Capital stock issued $100,000 $100,000
Additional paid in capital $50,000 $50,000
Retained earnings $1,400,000 $1,890,700
Other $0 $0
$1,550,000 $2,040,700
$1,757,500 $2,289,987
3 4
$195,000 $195,000
$53,045 $54,636
$31,827 $32,782
$45,305 $50,464
$3,183 $3,278
$1,061 $1,093
$4,010 $3,994
$2,263 $2,331
$1,670 $2,020
$4,244 $4,371
$6,365 $6,556
$1,061 $1,093
$3,183 $3,278
$9,544 $9,929
$1,061 $1,093
$1,061 $1,093
$1,061 $1,093
$6,010 $5,900
$14,186 $16,974
$0 $0
$385,138 $396,977
3 4
$112,368 $118,647
$47,970 $51,249
$19,096 $19,669
$14,853 $15,298
$6,365 $6,556
$3,005 $3,493
$106 $109
$5,895 $6,072
$0 $0
$0 $0
3 4
$594,797 $618,071
$17,240 $17,757
$34,479 $35,514
$1,326 $1,366
$0 $0
$647,842 $672,707
$1,109,658 $1,617,279
3 4
$10,609 $10,927
$21,218 $31,855
$31,827 $42,782
$1,141,485 $1,660,061
$342,445 $498,018
$799,039 $1,162,043
$994,039 $1,357,043
$1,141,486 $1,660,062
1,141 1,660
3 4
$1,106,090 $1,109,273
$1,591,350 $1,739,091
$948,720 $874,182
$3,646,160 $3,722,545
$424,360 $437,091
$3,221,800 $3,285,454
3 4
$53,045 $54,636
$21,218 $21,855
$31,827 $32,782
$26,523 $27,318
$5,467,899 $6,172,246
3 4
$636,540 $640,563
$106,090 $109,273
$106,090 $109,273
$31,827 $32,782
$95,481 $98,345
$16,974 $17,484
$993,002 $1,007,719
3 4
$645,630 $668,308
$106,090 $109,273
$31,827 $32,782
$53,045 $54,636
$1,829,594 $1,872,718
3 4
$100,000 $100,000
100,000 100,000
$5,467,899 $6,172,246
$0 $0
3 4 Summary
2,187,750 2,826,692 $2,826,692
3,221,800 3,285,454 $3,285,454
5,409,550 6,112,146 $6,112,146
4,337,775 4,689,073 $4,689,073
478,466 492,820 $492,820
824,360 937,091 $937,091
612,180 668,545 $668,545
993,002 1,007,719 $1,007,719
1,829,594 1,872,718 $1,872,718
3,638,305 4,299,528 $4,299,528
100,000 100,000 100,000
100,000 100,000 100,000
2,594,153 2,924,764 $2,924,764
96.52 96.52 $96.52
614,196 1,267,364 $2,261,153
6.14 12.67 $22.61
7,000 8,000 $26,000
1,685,260 1,729,818 $1,729,818
2,721,800 3,285,454 $10,577,254
594,797 618,071 $2,253,915
2,127,003 2,667,383 $8,323,339
53,045 54,636 $209,181
45,000 45,000 $180,000
1,141,485 1,660,061 $4,563,549
17,240 17,757 $67,984
799,039 1,162,043 $3,194,484
645,630 668,308 $668,308
65,000 65,000 $65,000
Forecasted Total
3 4 4 Periods
$0 $50,000 $50,000
Forecast
2 3 4
Forecast
2 3 4
Expense Data
Direct labor as % of sales 16.00% of sales $320,000
Other payroll as % of sales 12.00% of sales $240,000
Payroll taxes as % of payroll 10.00% of payroll $56,000
Insurance as % of payroll 5.00% of payroll $28,000
Legal/accounting as % of sales 2.00% of sales $40,000
Office overhead as % of sales 3.00% of sales $60,000
Forecasted
1 2
Cash from operations
Net earnings (loss) $490,700 $227,879
Add-depreciation and amortization $33,750 $35,208
Investment transactions
Increases (decreases)
Land $12,500 $12,500
Buildings and improvements ($50,000) $0
Equipment $75,000 $0
Intangible assets $0 $0
Financing transactions
Increases (decreases)
Short term notes payable ($50,000) $0
Long term debt ($100,000) $0
Deferred income ($10,000) $0
Deferred income taxes ($3,000) $0
Other long-term liabilities $40,000 ($50,000)
Capital stock and paid in capital $0 $0
$0 $0 ($50,000)
$0 $0 ($100,000)
$0 $0 ($10,000)
$0 $0 ($3,000)
$0 $0 ($10,000)
$0 $0 $0
$0 $0 ($173,000)
Current
1 2 3
Cash from operations 1 2 3
Net earnings (loss) $490,700 $227,879 $170,059
Add-depreciation and amortization $33,750 $35,208 $35,208
Investment transactions
Increases (decreases)
Land $12,500 $12,500 $12,500
Buildings and improvements ($50,000) $0 $0
Equipment $75,000 $0 $0
Intangible assets $0 $0 $0
Financing transactions
Increases (decreases)
Short term notes payable ($50,000) $0 $0
Long term debt ($100,000) $0 $0
Deferred income ($10,000) $0 $0
Deferred income taxes ($3,000) $0 $0
Other long-term liabilities $40,000 ($50,000) $0
Capital stock and paid in capital $0 $0 $0
Z Score: Non-Manufacturing 1
6.56 x (working capital / total assets) 0.4348
3.26 x (retained earn / total assets) 1.0952
6.72 x (EBIT / total assets) 1.1066
1.05 x (market value equity / total liabilities) 1.4981
Z Score 4.13
Springate Analysis 1
Working Capital 276,200
Net Profit before interest and Taxes 656,240
Total Assets 4,167,200
Net Profit before Taxes 686,240
Current Liabilities 936,000
Sales 1,960,000
Constant 0.23883
Average Inventories/Sales -0.035
Average Receivables/Average Inventories -1.651
Cash+Marketable Securities/Total Assets -1.193
Quick Assets/Current Liabilities 3.673
Income from CO/(Total Assets-Current Liab) 0.099
Long-Term Debt/(Total Assets-Current Liab) -0.809
Sales/(Net Working Capital+Fixed Assets) 0.058
Sum of Coefficients * Ratios 0.381
Probability of Bankruptcy 40.58%
1
Fulmer H-Factor Analysis 1
Retained Earnings/Total Assets 0.3360
Sales/Total Assets 0.4703
EBIT/Equity 0.2801
Cash Flow/Total Debt 0.0526
Total Debt/Total Assets 0.4121
Current Liabilities/Total Assets 0.2246
Log Tangible Total Assets 6.5185
Working Capital/Total Debt 0.1608
Log EBIT/Interest 1.6256
H-Factor
1.86
0.10
0.02
0.07
-0.05
0.52
3.75
0.17
1.45
Sum 7.89
2 3 4 TREND
0.0913 0.1567 0.2113
0.2837 0.2611 0.2374
0.7259 0.6486 0.8356
0.0549 0.0835 0.0964
0.5419 0.4840 0.5183
1.70 1.63 1.90 2.03 Warning - Trend Below 2.90
Overall Trend is OK
2 3 4 TREND
0.8356 1.4334 1.9332
1.0918 1.0048 0.9136
1.5701 1.4029 1.8074
1.3737 2.0880 2.4107
4.87 5.93 7.06 7.96 OK
Overall Trend is OK
2 3 4 TREND
586,450 1,194,748 1,818,973
1,044,863 1,109,658 1,617,279
4,604,180 5,467,899 6,172,246
1,075,763 1,141,485 1,660,061
964,080 993,002 1,007,719
2,500,000 2,651,800 3,205,454
Income Ratios
Profitability Ratios
Activity Ratios
Month Month
Cash from operations 1 2
Investment transactions
Increases (decreases)
Land $12,500 $12,500
Buildings and improvements ($50,000) $0
Equipment $75,000 $0
Intangible assets $0 $0
Financing transactions
Increases (decreases)
Short term notes payable ($50,000) $0
Long term debt ($100,000) $0
Deferred income ($10,000) $0
Deferred income taxes ($3,000) $0
Other long-term liabilities $40,000 ($50,000)
Capital invested $0 $0
$871,315 $1,382,454
$2,721,800 $3,285,454
365 365
$7,457 $9,001
116.85 153.58
3.12 2.38 1.07 Trend is Downward
-8.1%
Comments
-3.01 Under-staffed
Income Statement
Expenses
Fixed Expenses 1 2 3
Executive Salaries $190,000 $191,000 $195,000
Advertising $50,000 $51,500 $53,045
Auto & Truck Expenses $30,000 $30,900 $31,827
Depreciation $5,000 $5,150 $45,305
Employee Benefits $3,000 $3,090 $3,183
Home Office Business Expenses $1,000 $1,030 $1,061
Insurance $3,906 $3,754 $4,010
Bank Charges $2,133 $2,197 $2,263
Legal & Professional Services $1,000 $1,330 $1,670
Meals & Entertainment $4,000 $4,120 $4,244
Office Expense $6,000 $6,180 $6,365
Retirement Plans $1,000 $1,030 $1,061
Rent - Equipment $3,000 $3,090 $3,183
Rent - Office Property $8,750 $9,110 $9,544
Repairs $1,000 $1,030 $1,061
Supplies $1,000 $1,030 $1,061
Taxes - Business & Payroll $1,000 $1,030 $1,061
Travel $6,230 $6,120 $6,010
Utilities $11,974 $12,374 $14,186
Other Expenses $0 $0 $0
Total Fixed Expenses $329,993 $335,065 $385,138
1 2 3
Operating expenses $508,760 $532,287 $594,797
Interest $16,250 $16,738 $17,240
Depreciation $32,500 $33,475 $34,479
Amortization $1,250 $1,288 $1,326
Other $0 $0 $0
Total expenses $558,760 $583,787 $647,842
1 2 3
Income before tax $686,240 $1,075,763 $1,141,485
Fixed Assets 1 2 3
Land $1,000,000 $1,030,000 $1,106,090
Buildings $1,500,000 $1,555,000 $1,591,350
Equipment $800,000 $824,000 $948,720
Subtotal $3,300,000 $3,409,000 $3,646,160
Less-accumulated depreciation $400,000 $412,000 $424,360
Total Fixed Assets $2,900,000 $2,997,000 $3,221,800
Intangible Assets 1 2 3
Cost $50,000 $51,500 $53,045
Less-accumulated amortization $20,000 $20,600 $21,218
Total Intangible Assets $30,000 $30,900 $31,827
Current Liabilities 1 2 3
Accounts payable $600,000 $618,000 $636,540
Notes payable $100,000 $103,000 $106,090
Current portion of long-term debt $100,000 $103,000 $106,090
Income taxes $30,000 $30,900 $31,827
Accrued expenses $90,000 $92,700 $95,481
Other current liabilities $16,000 $16,480 $16,974
Total Current Liabilities $936,000 $964,080 $993,002
Non-Current Liabilities 1 2 3
Long-term debt $601,200 $624,200 $645,630
Deferred income $100,000 $103,000 $106,090
Deferred income taxes $30,000 $30,900 $31,827
Other long-term liabilities $50,000 $51,500 $53,045
Sub-total $781,200 $809,600 $836,592
Total Liabilities $1,717,200 $1,773,680 $1,829,594
Stockholders' Equity 1 2 3
Capital stock issued $100,000 $100,000 $100,000
Additional paid in capital $950,000 $678,500 $1,853,045
Retained earnings $1,400,000 $1,542,000 $1,685,260
Total Stockholders' Equity $2,450,000 $2,320,500 $3,638,305
Prepared by
Use this worksheet with the Financial Summary sheet to flag problem areas that are magified over time.
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$195,000 $197,500 $199,400 $201,300 $203,200 $205,100 $207,000
$54,636 $56,159 $57,704 $59,250 $60,795 $62,340 $63,886
$32,782 $33,695 $34,623 $35,550 $36,477 $37,404 $38,332
$50,464 $70,616 $88,270 $105,925 $123,580 $141,234 $158,889
$3,278 $3,370 $3,462 $3,555 $3,648 $3,740 $3,833
$1,093 $1,123 $1,154 $1,185 $1,216 $1,247 $1,278
$3,994 $4,046 $4,098 $4,150 $4,202 $4,254 $4,306
$2,331 $2,396 $2,462 $2,528 $2,594 $2,659 $2,725
$2,020 $2,355 $2,695 $3,035 $3,375 $3,715 $4,055
$4,371 $4,493 $4,616 $4,740 $4,864 $4,987 $5,111
$6,556 $6,739 $6,925 $7,110 $7,295 $7,481 $7,666
$1,093 $1,123 $1,154 $1,185 $1,216 $1,247 $1,278
$3,278 $3,370 $3,462 $3,555 $3,648 $3,740 $3,833
$9,929 $10,326 $10,723 $11,120 $11,517 $11,914 $12,311
$1,093 $1,123 $1,154 $1,185 $1,216 $1,247 $1,278
$1,093 $1,123 $1,154 $1,185 $1,216 $1,247 $1,278
$1,093 $1,123 $1,154 $1,185 $1,216 $1,247 $1,278
$5,900 $5,790 $5,680 $5,570 $5,460 $5,350 $5,240
$16,974 $18,080 $19,761 $21,442 $23,124 $24,805 $26,486
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$396,977 $424,549 $449,651 $474,754 $499,856 $524,959 $550,061
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$618,071 $661,089 $700,134 $739,178 $778,222 $817,267 $856,311
$17,757 $18,252 $18,754 $19,256 $19,758 $20,261 $20,763
$35,514 $36,503 $37,508 $38,512 $39,517 $40,521 $41,526
$1,366 $1,404 $1,443 $1,481 $1,520 $1,559 $1,597
$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0
$672,707 $717,248 $757,838 $798,428 $839,018 $879,607 $920,197
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$10,927 $11,232 $11,541 $11,850 $12,159 $12,468 $12,777
$31,855 $32,464 $36,082 $39,700 $43,318 $46,936 $50,554
$42,782 $43,695 $47,623 $51,550 $55,477 $59,404 $63,332
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$1,660,061 $1,887,683 $2,186,402 $2,485,120 $2,783,839 $3,082,557 $3,381,276
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$1,109,273 $1,162,318 $1,202,709 $1,243,099 $1,283,490 $1,323,881 $1,364,272
$1,739,091 $1,784,766 $1,860,128 $1,935,490 $2,010,852 $2,086,214 $2,161,576
$874,182 $948,542 $983,268 $1,017,995 $1,052,721 $1,087,448 $1,122,174
$3,722,545 $3,895,625 $4,046,104 $4,196,584 $4,347,063 $4,497,543 $4,648,022
$437,091 $449,271 $461,634 $473,997 $486,361 $498,724 $511,087
$3,285,454 $3,446,354 $3,584,470 $3,722,586 $3,860,703 $3,998,819 $4,136,935
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$54,636 $56,159 $57,704 $59,250 $60,795 $62,340 $63,886
$21,855 $22,464 $23,082 $23,700 $24,318 $24,936 $25,554
$32,782 $33,695 $34,623 $35,550 $36,477 $37,404 $38,332
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$668,308 $690,523 $712,799 $735,074 $757,350 $779,625 $801,901
$109,273 $112,318 $115,409 $118,499 $121,590 $124,681 $127,772
$32,782 $33,695 $34,623 $35,550 $36,477 $37,404 $38,332
$54,636 $56,159 $57,704 $59,250 $60,795 $62,340 $63,886
$864,999 $892,695 $920,534 $948,373 $976,212 $1,004,051 $1,031,890
$1,872,718 $1,928,916 $1,981,162 $2,033,409 $2,085,656 $2,137,903 $2,190,150
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
$100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000 $100,000
$2,469,710 $2,921,233 $3,494,600 $4,067,968 $4,641,335 $5,214,703 $5,788,070
$1,729,818 $1,872,448 $1,985,719 $2,098,990 $2,212,262 $2,325,533 $2,438,805
$4,299,528 $4,893,680 $5,580,319 $6,266,958 $6,953,597 $7,640,236 $8,326,875
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
3.51 3.83 4.20 4.57 4.93 5.30 5.67
1.88 2.01 2.16 2.31 2.47 2.62 2.77
7.02 7.92 8.91 9.89 10.88 11.86 12.85
mmary sheet to flag problem areas that are magified over time.
Month Month
11 12
$6,034,251 $6,433,067
($150,000) ($160,000)
$5,884,251 $6,273,067
$692,838 $726,956
$454,313 $469,767
$163,578 $167,442
$1,310,729 $1,364,164
$4,573,522 $4,908,903
11 12
$208,900 $210,800
$65,431 $66,977
$39,259 $40,186
$176,543 $194,198
$3,926 $4,019
$1,309 $1,340
$4,358 $4,410
$2,791 $2,857
$4,395 $4,735
$5,235 $5,358
$7,852 $8,037
$1,309 $1,340
$3,926 $4,019
$12,708 $13,105
$1,309 $1,340
$1,309 $1,340
$1,309 $1,340
$5,130 $5,020
$28,167 $29,848
$0 $0
$575,163 $600,266
11 12
$895,355 $934,400
$21,265 $21,767
$42,530 $43,535
$1,636 $1,674
$0 $0
$960,787 $1,001,376
$3,612,735 $3,907,526
11 12
$13,086 $13,395
$54,173 $57,791
$67,259 $71,186
11 12
$3,679,994 $3,978,712
$1,103,998 $1,193,614
$2,575,996 $2,785,099
$2,784,896 $2,995,899
11 12
$1,404,663 $1,445,053
$2,236,938 $2,312,301
$1,156,900 $1,191,627
$4,798,501 $4,948,981
$523,450 $535,813
$4,275,051 $4,413,167
11 12
$65,431 $66,977
$26,173 $26,791
$39,259 $40,186
$32,716 $33,488
$10,949,910 $11,637,795
11 12
$824,176 $846,451
$130,863 $133,953
$39,259 $40,186
$65,431 $66,977
$1,059,729 $1,087,567
$2,242,397 $2,294,644
11 12
$100,000 $100,000
$6,361,438 $6,934,805
$2,552,076 $2,665,347
$9,013,513 $9,700,152
$11,255,910 $11,994,795
11 12
6.04 6.40
2.92 3.07
13.84 14.82
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 2
Net Sales Cost of Goods Sold Gross Profit (Margin) Current Assets
G&A Total Operating Expenses EBIT* Total Assets
Net Income After Ownership** Total Liabilities
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Sales Revenue Cost of Sales Gross Profit Fixed Expenses Other Expenses Income Before Tax Income Taxes
Expenses
Fixed Expenses
Executive Salaries $190,000 9.69% $191,000 7.64% $195,000
Advertising $50,000 2.55% $51,500 2.06% $53,045
Auto & Truck Expenses $30,000 1.53% $30,900 1.24% $31,827
Depreciation $5,000 0.26% $5,150 0.21% $45,305
Employee Benefits $3,000 0.15% $3,090 0.12% $3,183
Home Office Business Expenses $1,000 0.05% $1,030 0.04% $1,061
Insurance $3,906 0.20% $3,754 0.15% $4,010
Bank Charges $2,133 0.11% $2,197 0.09% $2,263
Legal & Professional Services $1,000 0.05% $1,330 0.05% $1,670
Meals & Entertainment $4,000 0.20% $4,120 0.16% $4,244
Office Expense $6,000 0.31% $6,180 0.25% $6,365
Retirement Plans $1,000 0.05% $1,030 0.04% $1,061
Rent - Equipment $3,000 0.15% $3,090 0.12% $3,183
Sales Revenue Cost of Sales Gross Profit Fixed Expenses Other Expenses Income Before Tax Income Taxes
Sales Revenue Cost of Sales Gross Profit Fixed Expenses Other Expenses Income Before Tax Income Taxes
Variable Expenses
Office salaries $90,000 4.59% $102,700 4.11% $112,368
Employee benefits $43,000 2.19% $46,875 1.88% $47,970
Payroll taxes $18,000 0.92% $18,540 0.74% $19,096
Sales and Marketing $14,000 0.71% $14,420 0.58% $14,853
Telephone and telegraph $6,000 0.31% $6,180 0.25% $6,365
Stationary and office supplies $2,110 0.11% $2,680 0.11% $3,005
Bad debts $100 0.01% $103 0.00% $106
Postage $5,557 0.28% $5,724 0.23% $5,895
Contributions $0 0.00% $0 0.00% $0
Add Item $0 0.00% $0 0.00% $0
Add Item $0 0.00% $0 0.00% $0
Add Item $0 0.00% $0 0.00% $0
Add Item $0 0.00% $0 0.00% $0
Add Item $0 0.00% $0 0.00% $0
Sales Revenue Cost of Sales Gross Profit Fixed Expenses Other Expenses Income Before Tax Income Taxes
Expenses Other Expenses Income Before Tax Income Taxes Net Income (Loss)
Month Month
3 4
% $ %
102.64% $3,285,454 100.00%
-2.64% ($80,000) -2.43%
100.00% $3,205,454 97.57%
16.26% $432,513 13.49%
12.46% $346,364 10.81%
5.00% $136,591 4.26%
33.72% $915,467 28.56%
66.28% $2,289,987 71.44%
Month Month
3 4
0.36% $9,929 0.31%
0.04% $1,093 0.03%
0.04% $1,093 0.03%
0.04% $1,093 0.03%
0.23% $5,900 0.18%
0.53% $16,974 0.53%
0.00% $0 0.00%
14.52% $396,977 12.38%
Month Month
3 4
Month Month
3 4
Total Current Assets Total Fixed Assets Total Assets Total Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Total Stockholders' Equity To
Total Current Assets Total Fixed Assets Total Assets Total Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Total Stockholders' Equity To
Current Liabilities
Accounts payable $600,000 14.40% $618,000 15.09% $636,540
Notes payable $100,000 2.40% $103,000 2.52% $106,090
Current portion of long-term debt $100,000 2.40% $103,000 2.52% $106,090
Income taxes $30,000 0.72% $30,900 0.75% $31,827
Accrued expenses $90,000 2.16% $92,700 2.26% $95,481
Other current liabilities $16,000 0.38% $16,480 0.40% $16,974
Total Current Liabilities $936,000 22.46% $964,080 23.55% $993,002
Non-Current Liabilities
Long-term debt $601,200 14.43% $624,200 15.25% $645,630
Deferred income $100,000 2.40% $103,000 2.52% $106,090
Deferred income taxes $30,000 0.72% $30,900 0.75% $31,827
Other long-term liabilities $50,000 1.20% $51,500 1.26% $53,045
Total Liabilities $1,717,200 41.21% $1,773,680 43.32% $1,829,594
Stockholders' Equity
Capital stock issued $100,000 2.40% $100,000 2.44% $100,000
Number of shares issued $100,000 2.40% $100,000 2.44% $100,000
Additional paid in capital $950,000 22.80% $678,500 16.57% $1,853,045
Retained earnings $1,400,000 33.60% $1,542,000 37.66% $1,685,260
Total Stockholders' Equity $2,450,000 58.79% $2,320,500 56.68% $3,638,305
Current Liabilities Total Liabilities Total Stockholders' Equity Total Liabilities and Equity
Month Month
3 4
% $ %
Month Month
3 4
Bankruptcy prediction models are more generally known as measures of financial distress. The best-known, and mos
used, multiple discriminant analysis method is the one proposed by Edward Altman, Professor of Finance at the Stern Sc
Business, New York University, The Z-Score Analysis or Zeta Model. Despite the positive results of his study, Altman’s mode
key weakness: it assumed variables in the sample data to be normally distributed. "If all variables are not normally distribu
methods employed may result in selection of an inappropriate set of predictors". Chistine Zavgren developed a mod
corrected for this problem. Her model used logit analysis to predict bankruptcy. Due to its use of logit analysis, her m
considered "more robust". Further, logit analysis actually provides a probability (in terms of a percentage) of bankruptcy. A
probability calculated might be considered a measure of the effectiveness of management, i.e. effective management will n
a company to the verge of bankruptcy.
Application of the logit model requires four steps. First, a series of seven financial ratios are calculated. Second, each
multiplied by a coefficient unique to that ratio. This coefficient can be either positive or negative. Third, the resulting valu
summed together (y). Finally, the probability of bankruptcy for a firm is calculated as the inverse of (1 + ey) where "e" is the
natural logarithms."Explanatory variables with a negative coefficient increase the probability of bankruptcy because they red
toward zero, with the result that the bankruptcy probability function approaches 1/1, or 100 percent. Likewise, indep
variables with a positive coefficient decrease the probability of bankruptcy".
Logit Analysis
Month Month Month Month
1 2 3 4
Constant 0.23883 0.23883 0.23883 0.23883
Inventories/Sales -0.022 -0.026 -0.034 -0.032
Receivables/Inventory -1.385 -1.191 -1.673 -2.335
Cash+Marketable Securities/Total Assets -1.193 -1.112 -0.964 -0.880
Quick Assets/Current Liabilities 2.663 2.982 4.211 5.754
Income from CO/(Total Assets-Current Liab) 0.099 0.140 0.121 0.152
Long-Term Debt/(Total Assets-Current Liab) -0.809 -0.746 -0.628 -0.563
Sales/(Net Working Capital+Fixed Assets) 0.068 0.077 0.066 0.069
Sum of Coefficients * Ratios -0.340 0.362 1.338 2.404
. First, a series of seven financial ratios are calculated. Second, each ratio is
is coefficient can be either positive or negative. Third, the resulting values are
nkruptcy for a firm is calculated as the inverse of (1 + ey) where "e" is the base of
egative coefficient increase the probability of bankruptcy because they reduce ey
y probability function approaches 1/1, or 100 percent. Likewise, independent
robability of bankruptcy".
There is no single best method for determining a business's worth since each business sale is unique.
The wisest approach is to compute a company’s value using several techniques and then choose the one that makes
sense.
The deal must be financially feasible for both parties. The seller must be satisfied with the price received for the
Frequently, the entrepreneur feels like he is selling his baby. So, he does not want to leave a dime on the table. But,
cannot pay an excessively high price that would require heavy borrowing and would strain cash flows from the outset.
The buyer and the seller should have access to business records.
Valuations should be based on facts, not fiction.
No surprise is the best surprise. Both parties should deal with one another honestly and in good faith.
The primary reason buyers purchase existing businesses is to get their future earning potential. The second most comm
is to get an established asset base. It is much easier to buy assets than to build them. Evaluation methods should t
characteristics into consideration. However, too many business sellers and buyers depend on rules of thumb that i
unique features of small companies. For example, cable TV franchises are valued at 11 times cash flow; advertising ag
75 percent of gross income; day care centers at $500 to $1,000 per child enrolled; motels at $12,300 to $14,600 per r
garbage pickup routes at two and one half times gross income. The problem is that such one size fits-all approaches sel
well because no two businesses are alike.
The best rule of thumb to use in valuing businesses is "Don't use rules of thumb to value businesses.” If you rely on th
too much, you can be led astray. On average, businesses sell for one third less than the accepted industry rule of thumb
There are three techniques and several variations for determining the value of a business:
1 The balance sheet technique.
2 The earnings approach.
3 The market (or price/earnings) approach .
The first step is to determine which assets are included in the sale. In most cases, the owner has some personal asset
not want to sell. Remember that net worth on a financial statement will likely differ significantly from actual net worth in th
In manufacturing, wholesale, and retail businesses, inventory usually is the largest single asset involved in the sale.
physical inventory count is the best way to determine accurately the quantity of goods to be transferred. The sale ma
three types of inventory, each having its own method of valuation: raw materials, work in-process, and finished goods. T
and the seller must arrive at a method for evaluating the inventory First-in-first-out (FIFO), last-in-first out (LIFO), and
costing are three frequently used techniques, but the most common methods use the cost of last purchase and the rep
value of the inventory. Before accepting any inventory value, the buyer should evaluate the condition of the goods.
One young couple purchased a lumber yard without examining the inventory completely. After completing the s
discovered that most of the lumber in a warehouse they had neglected to inspect was warped and was of little value a
material. The bargain price they paid for the business turned out not to be the good deal they had expected. To a
problems, some buyers insist on having a knowledgeable representative on an inventory team that counts the inve
checks its condition. Nearly every sale involves merchandise that cannot be sold; but, by taking this precaution, a buyer
the chance of being stuck with worthless inventory.
Fixed assets transferred in a sale might include land, buildings, equipment, and fixtures. Business owners frequently
estate and buildings at prices well below their actual market value. Equipment and fixtures, depending on their con
usefulness, may increase or decrease the true value of the business. Appraisals of these assets on insurance policies a
guidelines for establishing market value.
Business evaluations based on balance sheet method suffer one major drawback: they do not consider the futur
potential of the business. These techniques value assets at current prices and do not consider them as tools for creat
profits. The next method for computing the value of a business is based on its expected future earnings.
Earnings Approach.
The buyer of an existing business is essentially purchasing its future income. The earnings approach is more refined b
considers the future income potential of the business.
There are three versions of the earnings approach.
Variation 1: Excess Earnings Method. This method combines both the value of the firm's existing assets (over its liabi
an estimate of its future earnings potential to determine a business's selling price. One advantage of this technique is th
an estimate of goodwill. Goodwill is an intangible asset that often creates problems in a business sale. In fact, the mos
method of valuing a business is to compute its tangible net worth and then to add an often arbitrary adjustment for go
essence, goodwill is the difference between an established, successful business and one that has yet to prove itself. I
on the company’s reputation and its ability to attract customers. A buyer should not accept blindly the seller's arbitrary a
for goodwill because it is likely to be inflated.
The excess earnings method provides a more consistent and realistic approach for determining the value of goodwill. It
goodwill by the amount of profit the business earns above the average firm in the same industry. It also assumes that the
entitled to a reasonable return on the firm's adjusted tangible net worth..
There are three principal components in the rate of return used to value a business: (1) the basic, risk free return, (2) a
premium, and (3) the risk allowance for investing in the particular business. The basic, risk free return and the inflation
are reflected in investments like U. S. Treasury bonds. To determine the appropriate rate of return for investing in a bus
buyer must add to this base rate a factor reflecting the risk involved in purchasing the company. The greater the risk,
the rate of return. A normal-risk business typically indicates a 25 percent rate of return.
Step 4: Compute extra earning power. A company’s extra earning power is the difference between forecasted earning
and total opportunity costs (step 2). Most small businesses that are for sale do not have extra earning power (i.e
earnings). They show marginal or no profits.
Step 5: Estimate the value of intangibles. The owner can use the extra earning power of the business to estimate the v
intangible assets- that is, goodwill. Multiplying the extra earning power by a years of profit figure yields an estima
intangible assets’ value. The years of profit figure for a normal risk business ranges from three to four. A very high-risk
may have a years of profit figure of 1, while a well-established firm might use a figure of 7.
Step 6: Determine the value of the business. To determine the value of the business, the buyer simply adds the adjuste
net worth (step 1) and the value of the intangibles (step 5).
Both the buyer and seller should consider the tax implications of transferring goodwill. The amount the seller receives fo
is taxed as ordinary income. The buyer cannot count this amount as a deduction because goodwill is a capital asset th
be depreciated or amortized for tax purposes. Instead, the buyer would prefer to pay the seller for signing a coven
compete because its value is fully tax deductible.
The success of this approach depends on the accuracy of the buyer's estimates of net earnings and risk. But, it do
systematic method for assigning a value to goodwill.
Variation 2: Capitalized Earnings Approach. Another earnings approach capitalizes expected net profits to determine th
a business. The buyer should prepare his own pro forma income statement and should ask the seller to prepare one al
five year weighted average of past sales (with the greatest weights assigned to the most recent years) to estimate sal
upcoming year.
Once again, the buyer must evaluate the risk involved in purchasing the business to determine the appropriate rate of
the investment. The greater the risk involved, the higher the return the buyer requires. Risk determination is always s
subjective, but it is necessary for proper evaluation. The capitalized earnings approach divides estimated net earni
subtracting the owner's reasonable salary) by the rate of return that reflects the risk level. For example, the capitali
(assuming a reasonable salary of $25,000) would be:
Clearly, firms with lower risk factors are more valuable. Most normal risk businesses use a rate of return factor rangin
percent to 33 percent. The lowest risk factor most buyers would accept for any business ranges from 15 to 20 percent.
Market Approach.
The market (or price/earnings) approach uses the price/earnings ratios of similar businesses to establish the value of a
The buyer must use businesses whose stocks are publicly traded to get a meaningful comparison. A company's price
ratio (or P/E ratio) is the price of one share of its common stock in the market divided by its earnings per share (after
preferred stock dividends). To get a representative P/E ratio, the buyer should average the P/Es of as many similar busi
possible. To compute the company's value, the buyer multiplies the average price/earnings ratio by the private c
estimated earnings.
The biggest advantage of the market approach is its simplicity. But, this method suffers from several disadvantages, inc
following:
Necessary comparisons between publicly traded and privately owned companies. The stock of privately owned com
illiquid, and, therefore, the PIE ratio used is often subjective and lower than that of publicly held companies.
Unrepresentative earnings estimates. The private company's net earnings may not realistically reflect its true earning po
minimize taxes, owners usually attempt to keep profits low and rely on fringe benefits to make up the difference.
determining an acceptable price for the business. Business valuation is partly an art
e company's tangible assets usually poses no major problem, but assigning a price
ways creates controversy. The seller expects goodwill to reflect the hard work and
The buyer, however, is willing to pay extra only for those intangible assets that
e buyer and the seller arrive at a fair price? There are few universal rules in
arties should observe the following guidelines.
h parties. The seller must be satisfied with the price received for the business.
elling his baby. So, he does not want to leave a dime on the table. But, the buyer
d require heavy borrowing and would strain cash flows from the outset.
business records.
.
ould deal with one another honestly and in good faith.
usinesses is to get their future earning potential. The second most common reason
h easier to buy assets than to build them. Evaluation methods should take these
oo many business sellers and buyers depend on rules of thumb that ignore the
ple, cable TV franchises are valued at 11 times cash flow; advertising agencies at
at $500 to $1,000 per child enrolled; motels at $12,300 to $14,600 per room; and
s gross income. The problem is that such one size fits-all approaches seldom work
esses is "Don't use rules of thumb to value businesses.” If you rely on these rules
businesses sell for one third less than the accepted industry rule of thumb.
included in the sale. In most cases, the owner has some personal assets he does
financial statement will likely differ significantly from actual net worth in the market.
sses, inventory usually is the largest single asset involved in the sale. Taking a
termine accurately the quantity of goods to be transferred. The sale may include
method of valuation: raw materials, work in-process, and finished goods. The buyer
aluating the inventory First-in-first-out (FIFO), last-in-first out (LIFO), and average
but the most common methods use the cost of last purchase and the replacement
entory value, the buyer should evaluate the condition of the goods.
d without examining the inventory completely. After completing the sale, they
ouse they had neglected to inspect was warped and was of little value as building
business turned out not to be the good deal they had expected. To avoid such
owledgeable representative on an inventory team that counts the inventory and
merchandise that cannot be sold; but, by taking this precaution, a buyer minimizes
ory.
de land, buildings, equipment, and fixtures. Business owners frequently carry real
r actual market value. Equipment and fixtures, depending on their condition and
value of the business. Appraisals of these assets on insurance policies are helpful
et method suffer one major drawback: they do not consider the future earning
alue assets at current prices and do not consider them as tools for creating future
e of a business is based on its expected future earnings.
y purchasing its future income. The earnings approach is more refined because it
iness.
ach.
ethod combines both the value of the firm's existing assets (over its liabilities) and
etermine a business's selling price. One advantage of this technique is that it offers
ble asset that often creates problems in a business sale. In fact, the most common
s tangible net worth and then to add an often arbitrary adjustment for goodwill. In
n established, successful business and one that has yet to prove itself. It is based
ttract customers. A buyer should not accept blindly the seller's arbitrary adjustment
consistent and realistic approach for determining the value of goodwill. It measures
arns above the average firm in the same industry. It also assumes that the owner is
usted tangible net worth..
te of return used to value a business: (1) the basic, risk free return, (2) an inflation
ng in the particular business. The basic, risk free return and the inflation premium
bonds. To determine the appropriate rate of return for investing in a business, the
cting the risk involved in purchasing the company. The greater the risk, the higher
lly indicates a 25 percent rate of return.
pany’s extra earning power is the difference between forecasted earnings (step 3)
mall businesses that are for sale do not have extra earning power (i.e., excess
owner can use the extra earning power of the business to estimate the value of its
g the extra earning power by a years of profit figure yields an estimate of the
ure for a normal risk business ranges from three to four. A very high-risk business
ell-established firm might use a figure of 7.
o determine the value of the business, the buyer simply adds the adjusted tangible
es (step 5).
ax implications of transferring goodwill. The amount the seller receives for goodwill
count this amount as a deduction because goodwill is a capital asset that cannot
. Instead, the buyer would prefer to pay the seller for signing a covenant not to
e.
e accuracy of the buyer's estimates of net earnings and risk. But, it does offer a
dwill.
nother earnings approach capitalizes expected net profits to determine the value of
pro forma income statement and should ask the seller to prepare one also. Use a
the greatest weights assigned to the most recent years) to estimate sales for the
valuable. Most normal risk businesses use a rate of return factor ranging from 25
ost buyers would accept for any business ranges from 15 to 20 percent.
e years.
ar income by 1/rate of return.
ive years using the present value factor for the sixth year.
at it values a business solely on the basis of its future earning potential, but its
e earnings and on choosing a realistic present value rate. The discounted cash flow
g service businesses (whose asset bases are often small) and for companies
is its simplicity. But, this method suffers from several disadvantages, including the
ate company's net earnings may not realistically reflect its true earning potential. To
profits low and rely on fringe benefits to make up the difference.
mpany to determine its value. If a prospective buyer is using an after-tax P/E ratio
ax earnings from the private company.
useful as a general guideline to establishing a company's value.
ng the value of a small business? Simply stated, there is no single best method.
a science. Using these techniques, a range of values will emerge. Buyers should
hen use their best judgment to determine their offering price.
Earnings Approach
Variation 1 - Excess Earnings Method
Step 1 Adjusted tangible net worth equals
equals
Step 2 Opportunity Costs equals
Step 3 Estimated net earnings equals
Step 4 Extra earning power=estimated net earnings-opportunity cost =
equals
Step 5 Value of intangibles=extra earning power X years of profit figure =
equals
Step 6 Value of business tangible net worth + value of intangibles =
equals
Value = --------------------------------------------------------------
Value =
Year Pessimistic
5 $1,281,737
6 $1,484,567
7 $1,687,397
8 $1,890,226
9 $2,093,056
= $2,164,983
= $8,659,931
Step 4 Discount income stream beyond four years (using fifth year present value
Present value of income stream =
equals
Market Approach
Summary of Approaches
Balance Sheet Technique
Adjusted Balance Sheet Technique
Earnings Approach Variation 1
Variation 2
Variation 3
Market Approach
Average
Median
$12,000,000
$10,000,000
$8,000,000
$6,000,000
$4,000,000
© Copyright, 2009, JaxWorks, All Rights Reserved.
$2,000,000
$12,000,000
$10,000,000
$8,000,000
$4,000,000
$2,000,000
$0
Balance Sheet Technique Adjusted Balance Sheet Earnings Approach M
Technique
net earnings
--------------------------------------------------------------------
rate of return
$1,325,783
---------------------------------------------------------------------
0.25
$5,303,132
X 4.00
Discount income stream beyond four years (using fifth year present value factor)
$8,659,931 X 0.1854
$1,605,205
+ $1,605,205
SALES VOLUME REQUIRED, AT CURRENT PAYROLL LEVEL, TO PRODUCE PROFITS SALES VOLUME REQUIRED, AT CURRENT
EQUAL TO THE PREVIOUS YEAR PROFITS-------- $3,666,922 EQUAL TO THE PREVIOUS YEAR PROFITS
SALES DEFICIENCY = SALES REQUIRED MINUS CURRENT VOLUME SALES DEFICIENCY = SALES REQUIRED M
SALES DEFICIENCY IS--------------- ($266,954) SALES DEFICIENCY IS---------------
GROSS PAYROLL BURDEN IS------ ($25,485) OR -8.1% GROSS PAYROLL BURDEN IS------
THE NUMBER OF NEEDED EMPLOYEES ON THE PAYROLL . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . -3.01 THE NUMBER OF EXCESS EMPLOYEES ON
Month
1
Sales
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)
Taxes on EBIT
EBIAT
EBIAT
Less change in invested capital
Free cash flow
Terminal value
Total
PV factor
PV of cash flow and terminal value
Cumulative PV
Enterprise value $11,089,274
Plus marketable securities $100,000
Less short-term debt ($936,000)
Less long-term debt ($601,200)
Equity value $9,652,074
Divide by number of shares outstanding 100,000
$1,450,530 $2,087,750
$964,080 $993,002
$486,450 $1,094,748
$3,409,000 $3,646,160
$412,000 $424,360
$2,997,000 $3,221,800
Where X.sub.4 = Market Value of Equity/Book Value of Debt. This ratio adds a market
dimension. Academic studies of stock markets suggest that security price changes may
foreshadow upcoming problems.
Data Needed:(Linked From The "Master Data Entry" and Other Worksheets)
• Earnings before taxes
• Total assets
• Net Sales
• Market Value of Equity
• Total Liabilities
• Working Capital
• Retained Earnings
The Expert
Edward I. Altman, Professor and Vice-Director of New York University's Salomon Center,
Leonard N. Stern School of Business.
Dr. Altman is known as the founding father of using statistical techniques to predict company failure.
He developed the Z-Score analysis almost 30 years ago, and is the author of several books, including
The Z-Score Bankruptcy Model: Past, Present, and Future (New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1977),
and Corporate Financial Distress and Bankruptcy, 2nd edition (New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1993).
The Analysis
The original data sample consisted of 66 firms, half of which had filed for bankruptcy under Chapter 7.
All businesses in the database were manufacturers, and small firms with assets of less than $1 million
were eliminated.
These ratios are then multiplied by a predetermined weight factor, and the results are added together.
The final number--the Z-score--yields a number between -4 and +8. Financially-sound companies show
Z-scores above 2.99, while those scoring below 1.81 are in fiscal danger, maybe even heading toward
bankruptcy. Scores that fall between these ends indicate potential trouble. In Altman's initial study
of 66 bankrupt companies, Z-scores for 95 % of these companies pointed to trouble or imminent
bankruptcy.
x Weight x Weighted
Ratio Formula Factor Ratio
Return on Total Assets Earnings Before Interest and Taxes Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
Sales to Total Assets Net Sales Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
Equity to Debt Market Value of Equity Varies by Varies by
Total Liabilities Category Category
Working Capital to Total Assets Working Capital Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
Retained Earnings to Total Asset Retained Earnings Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
4.00
3.51
3.50
3.04
3.00 2.70
2.40
2.50
2.00
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.00 Periods
3.51
3.04
2.70
Periods
Data Needed:(Linked From The "Master Data Entry" and Other Worksheets)
• Earnings before taxes
• Total assets
• Net Sales
• Market Value of Equity
• Total Liabilities
• Working Capital
• Retained Earnings
The Expert
Edward I. Altman, Professor and Vice-Director of New York University's Salomon Center,
Leonard N. Stern School of Business.
Dr. Altman is known as the founding father of using statistical techniques to predict company failure.
He developed the Z-Score analysis almost 30 years ago, and is the author of several books, including
The Z-Score Bankruptcy Model: Past, Present, and Future (New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1977),
and Corporate Financial Distress and Bankruptcy, 2nd edition (New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1993).
The Analysis
The original data sample consisted of 66 firms, half of which had filed for bankruptcy under Chapter 7.
All businesses in the database were manufacturers, and small firms with assets of less than $1 million
were eliminated.
These ratios are then multiplied by a predetermined weight factor, and the results are added together.
The final number--the Z-score--yields a number between -4 and +8. Financially-sound companies show
Z-scores above 2.99, while those scoring below 1.81 are in fiscal danger, maybe even heading toward
bankruptcy. Scores that fall between these ends indicate potential trouble. In Altman's initial study
of 66 bankrupt companies, Z-scores for 95 % of these companies pointed to trouble or imminent
bankruptcy.
x Weight x Weighted
Ratio Formula Factor Ratio
Return on Total Assets Earnings Before Interest and Taxes Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
Sales to Total Assets Net Sales Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
Equity to Debt Market Value of Equity Varies by Varies by
Total Liabilities Category Category
Working Capital to Total Assets Working Capital Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
Retained Earnings to Total Asset Retained Earnings Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
2.00 1.88
1.80 1.68
1.62
1.60
1.35
1.40
1.20
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.40
0.20
0.00 Periods
1.88
1.68
1.62
Periods
Data Needed:(Linked From The "Master Data Entry" and Other Worksheets)
• Earnings before taxes
• Total assets
• Net Sales
• Market Value of Equity
• Total Liabilities
• Working Capital
• Retained Earnings
The Expert
Edward I. Altman, Professor and Vice-Director of New York University's Salomon Center,
Leonard N. Stern School of Business.
Dr. Altman is known as the founding father of using statistical techniques to predict company failure.
He developed the Z-Score analysis almost 30 years ago, and is the author of several books, including
The Z-Score Bankruptcy Model: Past, Present, and Future (New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1977),
and Corporate Financial Distress and Bankruptcy, 2nd edition (New York: John Wiley & Sons, 1993).
The Analysis
The original data sample consisted of 66 firms, half of which had filed for bankruptcy under Chapter 7.
All businesses in the database were manufacturers, and small firms with assets of less than $1 million
were eliminated.
These ratios are then multiplied by a predetermined weight factor, and the results are added together.
The final number--the Z-score--yields a number between -4 and +8. Financially-sound companies show
Z-scores above 2.99, while those scoring below 1.81 are in fiscal danger, maybe even heading toward
bankruptcy. Scores that fall between these ends indicate potential trouble. In Altman's initial study
of 66 bankrupt companies, Z-scores for 95 % of these companies pointed to trouble or imminent
bankruptcy.
x Weight x Weighted
Ratio Formula Factor Ratio
Return on Total Assets Earnings Before Interest and Taxes Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
Sales to Total Assets Net Sales Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
Equity to Debt Market Value of Equity Varies by Varies by
Total Liabilities Category Category
Working Capital to Total Assets Working Capital Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
Retained Earnings to Total Asset Retained Earnings Varies by Varies by
Total Assets Category Category
8.00
7.02
7.00
5.89
6.00
4.83
5.00
4.09
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
0.00 Periods
Z-Score Nonmanufacturing
7.02
5.89
4.83
Periods
Z-Score Nonmanufacturing
ROI measures
Cost of capital 15%
Net present value $2,223,632
Return on investment 66%
Payback (in years) 1.24
Return on investment
250%
200%
150%
100%
50%
0%
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
125,000 125,000
500,000 500,000
100,000 100,000
300,000 300,000
75,000 75,000
75,000 75,000
$2,175,000 $2,425,000
90% 95%
$1,957,500 $2,303,750
Year 2 Year 3
$1,832,500 $2,178,750
1,396,250 3,575,000
Year 2 Year 3
$94,518 $82,190
1,480,151 1,514,753
1,385,633 1,432,563
791,068 2,223,632
Year 2 Year 3
$0 $0
0 0
100,000 100,000
25,000 25,000
0 0
$125,000 $125,000
143% 215%
Return on investment
Year 2 Year 3
HEADCOUNT SUMMARY Q1 Q2 Q3
Executive
Owner 1.00 1.00 1.00
Chief financial officer 1.00 1.00 1.00
Open
Total 2.00 2.00 2.00
Finance
Financial Analyst 1.00 1.00 1.00
Credit Analyst 1.00 1.00 1.00
Open
Total 2.00 2.00 2.00
Human Resources
Director 1.00 1.00 1.00
Open
Open
Total 1.00 1.00 1.00
Information Technology
Director 1.00 1.00 1.00
Open
Total 1.00 1.00 1.00
Accounting
Controller 1.00 1.00 1.00
Open
Total 1.00 1.00 1.00
Sales
Sales Manager 1.00 1.00 1.00
Sales Representatives 2.00 2.00 2.00
Open
Total 3.00 3.00 3.00
HEADCOUNT SUMMARY Q1 Q2 Q3
Operations
Director 1.00 1.00 1.00
Open
Total 1.00 1.00 1.00
Marketing
Director 1.00 1.00 1.00
Open
Total 1.00 1.00 1.00
Total number
Department % of total
of employees
Executive 8 18.2%
Finance 8 18.2%
Human Resources 4 9.1%
Information Technology 4 9.1%
Accounting 4 9.1%
Sales 12 27.3%
Operations 4 9.1%
Marketing 0 0.0%
$100,000
50,000
0
$150,000
$30,000
25,000
0
$55,000
$40,000
0
0
$40,000
$40,000
0
$40,000
$30,000
0
$30,000
$40,000
118,000
0
$158,000
$30,000
0
$30,000
$35,000
0
$35,000
$538,000
Total compensation
$230,000
77,050.00
52,000.00
52,000.00
39,000.00
229,100.00
40,500.00
45,500.00
$765,150
HEADCOUNT SUMMARY Q1 Q2 Q3
Executive
Chief executive officer 1.00 1.00 1.00
Chief financial officer 1.00 1.00 1.00
Chief operating officer 1.00 1.00 1.00
Chief information officer 1.00 1.00 1.00
President 1.00 1.00 1.00
Finance
Vice president 1.00 1.00 1.00
Financial planning director 1.00 1.00 1.00
Financial analyst 2.00 2.00 2.00
Credit analyst 1.00 1.00 1.00
Advisor 1.00 1.00 1.00
Human Resources
Vice president 1.00 1.00 1.00
Director 1.00 1.00 1.00
Senior human resource representative 2.00 2.00 2.00
Benefits coordinator 1.00 1.00 1.00
Compensation manager 2.00 2.00 2.00
Human resource generalist 2.00 2.00 2.00
Payroll 1.00 1.00 1.00
Trainer
Recruiter
Information Technology
Vice president 1.00 1.00 1.00
Director 1.00 1.00 1.00
Systems engineer 2.00 2.00 2.00
Systems analyst 1.00 1.00 1.00
Technician 1.00 1.00 2.00
Support 2.00 2.00 2.00
Architect 1.00 1.00 1.00
Programmer 1.00 1.00 1.00
Accounting
Vice president 1.00 1.00 1.00
HEADCOUNT SUMMARY Q1 Q2 Q3
Controller 1.00 1.00 1.00
Accounting manager 1.00 1.00 1.00
Accounts receivable 1.00 1.00 1.00
Accounts payable 1.00 1.00 1.00
Treasury 1.00 1.00 1.00
General accountant 1.00 1.00 1.00
Sales
Vice president 1.00 1.00 1.00
Regional director 2.00 2.00 2.00
Business development 1.00 1.00 1.00
Direct sales representative 4.00 4.00 4.00
Inside sales 1.00 1.00 1.00
Sales operations 1.00 1.00 1.00
Channel sales representative 1.00 1.00 1.00
HEADCOUNT SUMMARY Q1 Q2 Q3
Operations
Vice president 1.00 1.00 1.00
Director 1.00 1.00 1.00
Manager 1.00 1.00 1.00
Floor manager 5.00 5.00 5.00
Assistant 1.00 1.00 1.00
Marketing
Vice president 1.00 1.00 1.00
Director 1.00 1.00 1.00
Product manager 1.00 1.00 1.00
Market research 1.00 1.00 1.00
Market analyst 1.00 1.00 1.00
Product manager 1.00 1.00 1.00
Merchandiser 1.00 1.00 1.00
Assistant 1.00 1.00 1.00
Total number
Department % of total
of employees
Executive 20 7.9%
Finance 24 9.4%
Human Resources 40 15.7%
Information Technology 42 16.5%
HEADCOUNT SUMMARY Q1 Q2 Q3
Accounting 28 11.0%
Sales 44 17.3%
Operations 36 14.2%
Marketing 20 7.9%
$300,000
250,000
225,000
225,000
240,000
0
$1,240,000
$200,000
125,000
200,000
70,000
85,000
0
$680,000
$140,000
100,000
160,000
75,000
150,000
145,000
65,000
0
0
0
$835,000
$140,000
110,000
180,000
90,000
120,000
150,000
80,000
80,000
0
$950,000
$130,000
$120,000
200,000
90,000
360,000
75,000
75,000
80,000
0
$1,000,000
$150,000
100,000
85,000
325,000
45,000
0
$705,000
$135,000
105,000
90,000
75,000
75,000
90,000
70,000
50,000
0
$690,000
$6,640,000
Total compensation
$1,936,000
968,000.00
1,085,500.00
1,235,000.00
702,000.00
1,650,000.00
951,750.00
897,000.00
$9,425,250
MicroShots™ is a registered trademarks of Jaxworks and affiliated companies. All other brands or products are tradema
holders and should be treated as such.
IN NO EVENT SHALL JAXWORKS BE LIABLE FOR ANY SPECIAL, INDIRECT OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES OR
RESULTING FROM LOSS OF USE, DATA OR PROFITS, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, NEGLIGENCE
OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE USE OR PERFORMANCE OF SOFTWARE, DOCUMENTS, PROVISION O
INFORMATION AVAILABLE FROM THIS PROGRAM.
tice.
works and affiliated companies. All other brands or products are trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective
WARNING
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this software. Your use of this software indicates your full acceptance of
this license agreement and warranty.
LICENSE AGREEMENT
======================================
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are owned by JaxWorks.
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(INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, DAMAGES FOR LOSS OF BUSINESS PROFITS, BUSINESS
INTERRUPTION OR LOSS OF BUSINESS INFORMATION) ARISING OUT OF THE USE OF OR
INABILITY TO USE THE SOFTWARE, EVEN IF JAXWORKS HAS BEEN ADVISED OF THE
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