Road Map

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Statement A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited.

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Executive Summary
The Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD) and the Armed Services have made
extensive efforts to incorporate unmanned systems into their existing organization structures,
showing the integral importance that unmanned systems considerations represent. There is still
room for improved collaboration throughout the Department of Defense (DoD). Standardizing
the ongoing efforts, cooperating whenever possible, and consolidating the foundational policies
and technologies will enable the seamless teamwork that highlights future defense operations—
whether the teams are manned, unmanned, or combined.
The progress in unmanned systems technologies has highlighted the need to transition the
focus from specific domains to become domain agnostic. Advances in any domain are beneficial
across all domains. Future operations will rely heavily upon multi-domain capabilities that must
interface and integrate seamlessly into a Joint Force structure.
DoD, industry, and academia have advanced technologies, strategies, and standards that
challenge the evolution of unmanned systems and their integration into the DoD mission. These
major advancements, challenges, and trends can be consolidated into four critical themes, which
address foundational areas of interest that will continue to accelerate unmanned systems into the
future:

 Interoperability – Interoperability has historically been, and continues to be, a major


thrust in the integration and operation of unmanned systems. Manned and unmanned
systems have increasingly synergized their capabilities, focusing on the critical need to
use open and common architectures. A robust interoperable foundation provides the
very structure that will allow for future advances in warfighting.

 Autonomy – Advances in autonomy and robotics have the potential to revolutionize


warfighting concepts as a significant force multiplier. Autonomy will greatly increase
the efficiency and effectiveness of both manned and unmanned systems, providing a
strategic advantage for DoD.

 Network Security– Unmanned systems operations ordinarily rely on networked


connections and efficient spectrum access. Network vulnerabilities must be addressed to
prevent disruption or manipulation.

 Human-Machine Collaboration – If interoperability lays the foundation, then human-


machine collaboration is the ultimate objective. Teaming between human forces and
machines will enable revolutionary collaboration where machines will be valued as
critical teammates.
The supporting policy, requirements, and acquisition environments must continue to
evolve and advance to keep pace with the rapid technical and capability advancements of all
systems. To ensure our military advantage, emphasis should be placed on the evolution,
availability, and employment of unmanned technology. Alignment of DoD initiatives in
unmanned systems will influence the future makeup of the U.S. military.

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Table of Contents
1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................ 1
1.1 Purpose................................................................................................................................ 1
1.2 Themes and Enablers .......................................................................................................... 4
2 Interoperability....................................................................................................................... 6
2.1 Common/Open Architectures ............................................................................................. 6
2.2 Modularity and Parts Interchangeability ............................................................................. 7
2.3 Compliance/Test, Evaluation, Verification, and Validation ............................................... 9
2.4 Data Transport Integration ................................................................................................ 11
2.5 Data Rights........................................................................................................................ 16
3 Autonomy ............................................................................................................................ 17
3.1 Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning ................................................................... 18
3.2 Increased Efficiency and Effectiveness ............................................................................ 20
3.3 Trust .................................................................................................................................. 21
3.4 Weaponization .................................................................................................................. 22
4 Secure Network .................................................................................................................... 24
4.1 Cyber Operations .............................................................................................................. 24
4.2 Information Assurance ...................................................................................................... 26
4.3 Electromagnetic Spectrum and Electronic Warfare .......................................................... 27
5 Human-Machine Collaboration ........................................................................................... 29
5.1 Human-Machine Interfaces ............................................................................................... 29
5.2 Human-Machine Teaming ................................................................................................ 31
6 Summary ……………………………………………………………………………..........33
6.1 Challenges Summary ........................................................................................................ 33
6.2 Way Ahead Summary ....................................................................................................... 33
6.3 Key Technologies ............................................................................................................. 34

Appendix A FOUNDATIONAL DOCUMENTS AND REFERENCES ................................ 36


Appendix B JOINT CONCEPT FOR ROBOTICS AND AUTONOMOUS SYSTEMS ....... 38
Appendix C ACQUISITION INITIATIVES ........................................................................... 40
Appendix D OSD INITIATIVES ............................................................................................ 43
Appendix E ABBREVIATIONS ............................................................................................. 45

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List of Figures
Figure 1: DoD Organizations that Involve Unmanned Systems ..................................................... 2
Figure 2: ISR Data Transport Capabilities.................................................................................... 14

List of Tables
Table 1: DoD Unmanned Systems Funding FY2017 ($M) ............................................................ 3
Table 2: Comprehensive Roadmap for Interoperability ................................................................. 6
Table 3: Comprehensive Roadmap for Autonomy ....................................................................... 18
Table 4: Comprehensive Roadmap for Secure Networks ............................................................. 24
Table 5: Comprehensive Roadmap for Human-Machine Collaboration ...................................... 29

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

1 Introduction
1.1 Purpose
DoD maintains a vision for the continued expansion of unmanned systems into the Joint
Force structure, and identifies areas of interest and investment that will further expand the
potential integration of unmanned systems. The intent of this document is to provide
overarching strategic guidance that will align the Services’ unmanned systems goals and efforts
with the DoD strategic vision. This strategic guidance will focus on reducing duplicative efforts,
enabling collaboration, identifying challenges, and outlining major areas where DoD and
industry may collaborate to further expand the potential of unmanned systems. As DoD has
embraced the use of unmanned systems across nearly every operating environment, this strategy
will allow DoD to capitalize on the technology advancements and paradigm shift that unmanned
systems provide.
This strategic guidance, while
primarily directed toward a DoD
audience, serves a diverse stakeholder DoD Unmanned Systems Vision
community. By coalescing unmanned
challenges, it will influence military DoD envisions unmanned systems seamlessly
department investments in unmanned operating with manned systems to compress the
innovations and be the backbone for warfighters’ decision-making process, while
departmental unmanned systems reducing the risk to human life.
strategies. The strategy presents themes
that will guide requirements developers,
budget planners, program managers,
laboratories, Warfighters, and other key DoD stakeholders. In addition, the themes provide
insights that can guide the defense industry and academia, particularly independent research and
development (R&D) strategies, which provide a direct benefit to DoD and other federal
government agencies. This document also raises awareness of DoD’s vision among key
stakeholders outside of DoD, including advocacy groups and Congress.
DoD maintains an online interactive unmanned systems catalog to facilitate Service
collaboration. This database contains DoD unmanned systems specifications and project details,
and can generate comprehensive comparative data reports. The common access card-protected
Unmanned Systems Information Catalog can be accessed at https://ebiz.acq.osd.mil/USIC.
In recent years, DoD has integrated unmanned systems into the Joint Force structure,
Services, and DoD departments. The different organizations have all grown their respective
efforts in researching, acquiring, and supporting unmanned systems across all domains, albeit in
different ways according to the needs of each organization. A current snapshot of DoD
organizations that are currently involved with the research, acquisition, policy, support, or
operation of unmanned systems is found in Figure 1.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

Figure 1: DoD Organizations that Involve Unmanned Systems

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

DoD continues to invest in Research


& Development, Procurement, and
The Budget… continues to prioritize the
Operations and Maintenance of unmanned
systems across the Future Year Defense necessary long-term investments in early-stage
Programs. Table 11 summarizes fiscal year S&T at $12.5 billion to fund future technologies
(FY) 2017 funding requested in the Base and to reshape the battlespace, such as hypersonics,
Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO)
unmanned, and autonomous systems.
budgets as well as the FY2017 Request for
Additional Appropriations for all unmanned -White House FY2017 Budget
systems development, procurement and
associated military construction (MILCON).

Table 1: DoD Unmanned Systems Funding FY2017 ($M)

2017 ($M) Procurement RDT&E MILCON TOTAL


Air Force $955 $532 $31 $1,518
Navy $821 $725 $113 $1,659
Army $232 $212 $52 $496
SOCOM $32 $45 $5 $82
DARPA - $292 - $292
MDA - $105 - $105
OSD - $93 - $93

TOTALS $2,040 $2,004 $201 $4,245

The Joint Services developed the 2016 Joint Concept for Robotics and Autonomous
Systems (JCRAS) to describe future robotic and autonomous systems (RAS) employment,
guiding comprehensive development and future acquisition initiatives across the Joint Forces
(Refer to Appendix B). DoD has utilized alternative acquisition methodologies and strategies to
facilitate the flexible and efficient development, procurement, and maintenance of DoD
unmanned systems (Refer to Appendix C). In addition, OSD has directly supported several
initiatives to develop common architectures and strategies, which the Services and industry
should leverage and integrate into current and future development programs (Refer to Appendix
D).

1
https://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/omb/budget/fy2017/assets/budget.pdf

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

1.2 Themes and Enablers


DoD’s strategic guidance is structured around common themes and enablers that will
coalesce and advance the organizational efforts across DoD in pursuit of further expansion of
military capabilities with unmanned systems technologies. An integrated product team from
across DoD reviewed and analyzed over two dozen reference documents from all levels of DoD,
and researched the technology trends from industry and academia to establish the common
themes and enablers. (Refer to Appendix A)
The themes describe progress in advancing technologies that enable effective use of
unmanned systems, and highlight potential advancements that form the basis of DoD strategy.
Analysis of JCRAS, technology trends, and current initiatives resulted in the identification of a
number of overarching themes. These themes provide the foundation needed to measure
progress in technologies that advance the use and integration of unmanned systems and highlight
potential improvements across the Doctrine, Organization, Training, materiel, Leadership,
Personnel, Facilities + Policy (DOTmLPF-P) spectrum. Within each theme, a number of
technology or policy enablers are identified that detail the ongoing work, or challenges, that
require further effort, investment, and advancement to continue the paradigm shift that
unmanned systems offer. The themes and enablers identified below are further detailed in
sections 2 through 5 of this Roadmap.
The overarching themes that were identified are as follows:

 Interoperability

 Autonomy

 Secure Network

 Human-Machine Collaboration
The selection of these four themes is not meant to represent an all-encompassing view of
the future of DoD unmanned systems. Over the last decade, the advancement of unmanned
systems technology has exploded, and the extrapolated growth curve hints that by the time of the
publication of this document, some unidentified emerging technology or issue will likely emerge
to disrupt any path that a traditional strategy might lay out. Therefore, the intent is to lay a path
toward an agile and flexible technology and policy foundation in which unforeseen disruptive
technologies and operations can take root, and be seamlessly integrated into the current
advancements and efforts across DoD. The rapid advancement in technology development
requires DoD to be more agile in developing, standardizing, acquiring, deploying, lawfully
operating, and maintaining the technology.
For each of the themes, the specific enablers highlight and elevate the various issues,
challenges, opportunities, and ways ahead that may be present. The enablers for each theme are:

 Interoperability
o Common/Open Architectures
o Modularity and Parts Interchangeability

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

o Compliance/Test, Evaluation, Verification and Validation


o Data Strategies
o Data Rights

 Autonomy
o Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning
o Increased Efficiency and Effectiveness
o Trust
o Weaponization

 Secure Network
o Cyber Operations
o Information Assurance
o Electromagnetic Spectrum and Electronic Warfare

 Human-Machine Collaboration
o Human-Machine Interfaces
o Human-Machine Teaming

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

2 Interoperability
Future warfare will hinge on critical and efficient interactions between warfighting
systems. These interactions will depend on an interoperable technological foundation that
establishes and enables the data and communication networks and services across the
warfighting systems enterprise. This interoperable foundation will transmit timely information
between information gatherers, decision makers, planners, and warfighters.
A comprehensive approach to developing unmanned systems, guided by a common
vision for joint operations, will lead to greater fiscal efficiency and operational effectiveness.
This is especially important given the likelihood of increased investment in and the resulting
employment of unmanned systems as the Joint Forces embrace rapidly evolving technologies.
Interoperability will form the foundation of holistically integrated joint and coalition forces that
fully exploit unmanned system technology. In a force with a dynamic mix of manned and
unmanned systems, it is imperative that unmanned systems are able to communicate, share
information, and collaborate with one another and human counterparts across systems and
domains. In tomorrow’s operational environment, it will be imperative that forces and systems
can communicate among multiple command levels, across various units, share information and
tasking, and assist mission leads as events play out on the battlefield in real time.2 A summary of
the future path for the five key enablers for interoperability is shown in Table 2.

Table 2: Comprehensive Roadmap for Interoperability

2.1 Common/Open Architectures


Common architecture standards for command, control, and communications are critical to
ensure synergy between systems and across domains, and facilitate the development of
successful and achievable objectives. The objective is not one standard or service for all
systems, rather, the use of common standards or services in the mission space or operating

2
Joint Concept for Robotic and Autonomous Systems (JCRAS), 19 October 2016

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domain. Common architectures shall include multiple common viewpoints, such as the
Operational, Systems, Services and Data and Information viewpoints of the DoD Architecture
Framework (DoDAF).3 The Data and Information Viewpoints shall include common data
models formulated in common languages that enable effective communications among
interoperable systems and their modules. A foundation of commonality creates future
opportunities for interoperability as new mission needs arise. Both requirements and materiel
developers must advocate for and help create architectures for control systems and data links.
Furthermore, while difficult to standardize and implement, open architectures foster innovation.
Open design will allow potential control and integration of multiple platforms simultaneously,
including across operational domains. Additionally, these architectures will allow for component
upgrades to be interchangeable amongst platforms.4

2.1.1 Challenges
There are many challenges for achieving common/open architectures including, but not
limited to, the Services and Combatant Commands collaborating to create a common set of
requirements. Many other challenges exist such as different domains concurring on having
appropriate tests of compliance for unmanned systems. A prudent course of action for DoD is to
leverage and enhance commercially available technologies and seek consensus on a system of
interchangeable architectures that can span multiple domains and multiple Services’
requirements.

2.1.2 Way Ahead


In the near-term, the priorities of DoD and the Services will focus on the implementation
of common/open architectures and DoD standards for all systems. Efforts should be made to
examine all platforms, across the entire life cycle, and develop a strategic and economical plan
for implementing secure common/open architectures. DoD near and midterm focus will span
across the missions, domains, and Services to achieve the necessary requirements for these
unmanned systems. Initial focus should be on C2 and common architectures that improve
interoperability.
In the mid- and far-term, DoD will implement open architectures on all new unmanned
systems platforms, then federate as a single authoritative source managed for conformance and
currency.5 The DoD-wide baseline architectures shall be established, well defined, and
adaptable to all systems, with seamless interoperability between all manned and unmanned
systems enabling robust and agile teaming, with the understanding that advances in autonomous
systems technology will challenge our traditional C2 methodologies.

2.2 Modularity and Parts Interchangeability


Modularity and interchangeability in software, firmware and hardware parts are important
for unmanned systems. These features reduce the difficulties associated with having multiple

3
http://dodcio.defense.gov/Library/DoD-Architecture-Framework/
4
Joint Concept for Robotic and Autonomous Systems (JCRAS), 19 October 2016
5
Ibid.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

systems to manage and support in the field. Modularity is also vital for unmanned systems to
facilitate updating of hardware as newer missions and requirements become available.
Specifically, to air systems, certified modular subsystems can streamline airworthiness
certifications and realize time and cost savings.
The basis for interoperability and modularity in unmanned systems is to have common
messages, or messages using common languages (e.g., Extensible Markup Language (XML)
vocabularies of the National Information Exchange Model (NIEM)6 and Web Ontology
Language (OWL)) flowing between subsystems (controllers, robots, cameras, manipulator arms,
sensors, etc.). This is enabled by standardizing the software and hardware interfaces, such as
utilizing interoperability profiles (IOP)7. Unmanned Systems Interoperability Profiles (USIP)8
help drive the implementation of approved DoD and/or joint interoperability priorities at the
Service level and may even require a new Service IOP or revision to an existing IOP. The
purpose of a USIP is to define profiles of standards sufficient to guarantee interoperability in
support of a specific mission capability. A USIP may reference DoD standards, Intelligence
Community standards, Service-specific IOPs, and commercial standards to achieve capability-
based interoperability. USIP initiatives provide architectural basis and standards foundation for
development of future interoperable systems.9

2.2.1 Challenges
DoD has not effectively emphasized modularity in past systems that have been acquired.
Therefore, DoD labs are trying to retrofit parts interchangeability into legacy systems. As most
of these systems have limited data rights, retrofitting introduces extreme levels of complexity
into these projects. DoD has spent extensive time and energy attempting to define standard
interfaces. However, current standard interfaces are not uniform across all domains and
Services. Ideally several simple standards would be developed that are flexible enough to handle
most, if not all, anticipated future capabilities and would streamline the implementation process.

2.2.2 Way Ahead


In the near-term, DoD will continue to focus on retrofitting parts for interchangeability
and modularity into legacy systems. DoD is preparing for part interchangeability and modularity
in new efforts and should ensure rapid acquisitions adhere to the standards as well. Therefore,
the Department must continue to unite the Services and the programs to implement efforts of
common standards across Services for changeability and modularity. The Services should utilize
current common ground control stations, USIPs, software, and common interfaces to improve
modularity and parts interchangeability.
In the mid- to far-term, optimized acquisition and the continued shift of functionality
from hardware to software will decrease costs and enable rapid upgrades and configuration
changes. Acquisition contracts shall incorporate DoD rights for reuse of software and hardware
designs, as well as data rights wherever feasible. Innovative development processes (such as the

6
https://www.niem.gov/.
7
http://www.dtic.mil/ndia/2013/groundrobot/Iavecchia.pdf
8
Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS) Memorandum 14667-07, 13 September 2007
9
Joint Concept for Robotic and Autonomous Systems (JCRAS) Baseline Assessment Report, Version 2, Dec 2016

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

use of additive manufacturing), as well as designing modularity into systems, will enhance
shared capabilities and safeguard against system-wide vulnerabilities.10

2.3 Compliance/Test, Evaluation, Verification, and Validation


The roles and capabilities of unmanned systems are being expanded in keeping with the
desire to use autonomy to improve performance through increased operational speed, reduced
cognitive load, and increased performance in denied environments. The test, evaluation,
verification, and validation (TEVV) of these autonomous systems is a critical element in building
the high assurance of autonomy. OUSD(R&E) has established a Community of Interest (COI) to
address autonomy. The TEVV working group is a sub-group of the Autonomy COI. The TEVV
working group published a Technology Investment Strategy in 2015 outlining strategic research
goals across DoD for the next four years. The strategy contains five major goals:
1) Methods and tools assisting in requirements development and analysis

2) Evidence-based design and implementation

3) Cumulative evidence through research, development, test, and engineering (RDT&E),


developmental testing (DT), and operational testing (OT)

4) Run-time behavior prediction and recovery

5) Assurance arguments for autonomous systems


Compliance/Test, Evaluation, Verification and Validation focuses on precise, structured
standards and tools to automate requirements evaluation for testability, traceability, and de-
confliction. Improved tools and methods to help the systems engineering community better
articulate, formalize, and validate autonomous requirements are paramount to the success of
systems V&V. This allows systems engineers to be assured that requirements are explicit and
that assumptions are clearly defined. Equal vigor must address not only functional requirements
of an autonomous system, but also equivalent models of the environment with which it will
interact. This will allow for the creation of accurate and effective simulations to perform testing.
Fielding of future unmanned and autonomous capabilities will require close coordination
with The Office of the Director, of Operational Testing and Evaluation (DOT&E), to ensure their
realistic testing of mission-dependent capabilities, Concept of Operations (CONOPS)-related
functions, scenario-dependent outcomes, and end-to-end or system-of-systems interactions or
effects. Research and development programs will require a clear transition plan that
encompasses modeling and simulation, developmental testing, and operational testing in realistic
environments.11

10
Ibid.
11
Director, Operational Test and Evaluation (DOT&E) Test and Evaluation Master Plan (TEMP) Guidebook,
Version 3.1, Jan 2017

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2.3.1 Challenges
For the most demanding adaptive and non-deterministic systems, a new approach to
traditional TEVV will be needed. For these types of highly complex autonomous systems, an
alternate method leveraging a run-time architecture that can constrain the system to a set of
allowable, predictable, and recoverable behaviors should be integrated early into the
development process. Emergent behaviors from large-scale deployment of interacting
autonomous systems poses a difficult challenge. The analysis and test burden would thereby, be
shifted to a simpler, more deterministic run-time assurance mechanism. The effort for new
approaches to TEVV endeavors to provide a structured argument, supported by evidence,
justifying that a system is acceptably safe and secure not only through offline tests, but also
through reliance on real-time monitoring, prediction, and fail-safe recovery. Within this
paradigm, formal design approaches (such as those advocated in the previous goals) might
provide the offline design considerations and formalisms necessary for articulating the allowable
and certifiable behaviors of the advanced, uncertified system and for validating the design of a
run-time constraint, as well as prediction and recovery methods.
An assurance case can be defined as a structured argument, supported by evidence,
intended to justify that a system is acceptably safe and secure. A defensible argument of
acceptable risk is required as part of the regulatory process, with a certificate of assurance being
granted only when the regulator is satisfied by the argument presented. The previously
mentioned TEVV approaches can collectively provide a body of evidence to be presented to a
certification board, and ultimately the milestone decision authority, to determine an acceptable
level of safety, security, performance, and risk for a specific platform. It will not be possible that
any single method for V&V will be adequate for all future autonomous systems. Therefore, not
only do multiple new TEVV methods need to be employed to enable the fielding of autonomous
systems, but a new research area needs to be investigated to formally articulate and verify that
the assurance argument itself is valid. This structured argument-based approach must be
developed in coordination with and as an integral part of the Test and Evaluation Plan (TEP) and
the Test and Evaluation Master Plan (TEMP), providing a claim of how the V&V activities will
attempt to quantify risks and mitigation strategies to inform risk-acceptance decisions.
Additionally, standard autonomy argument templates can be developed to enable the reuse of
explicit arguments of risk, performance, and safety that are closely tied to autonomy
requirements and TEVV best practices. The templates will provide an acceptable collection of
evidence for an autonomous system.
The Autonomy Community of Interest TEVV Working Group within OUASD(R&E) has
identified four current challenges to autonomy TEVV and six gaps in the current V&V processes
when applied to systems that have higher levels of autonomy. To remedy these current
shortcomings the working group outlined five goals aimed at modernizing the TEVV of
autonomous systems. These goals are intended to align DoD Research and Development
programs and allow them to overcome the unique challenges posed by performing TEVV
practices on advanced autonomous systems.12
The integration into the National Airspace System (NAS) of unmanned aircraft systems
(UAS) with autonomous capabilities will be a major challenge in the TEVV of these systems.

12
Technology Investment Strategy 2015-2018, DoD R&E Autonomy COI TEVV Working Group, May 2015

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As UASs become more prevalent, complex, and autonomous, their integration and maintenance
of Safety of Flight must be addressed through close coordination between all government
stakeholders to ensure they can safely operate in the United States. Additionally, the growing
use of Electromagnetic Spectrum (EMS) by commercial entities is restricting access to DoD, and
this may potentially impact the TEVV of fully autonomous system, which will rely on EMS
access to a greater degree than other weapons systems. Both challenges will require DoD to
coordinate with other government agencies to ensure that the TEVV of UASs with autonomous
capabilities can be conducted in a safe, effective, and comprehensive manner within the United
States.

2.3.2 Way Ahead


The development of effective methods to record, aggregate, and reuse test and evaluation
(T&E) results remains an elusive and technically challenging problem. It is important that the
V&V tools and techniques used early in the process to define requirements and develop systems
support the transition of autonomous systems to the DT and OT communities. DoD shall
improve the transition from DT to OT to assist with defining the TEP. A more well-defined TEP
will increase the focus and effectiveness of testing implementation for unmanned systems. T&E
methods are required to record, aggregate, leverage, and reuse modeling and simulation (M&S)
and T&E results throughout the systems engineering process, spanning requirements to model-
based designs, and live virtual construction experimentation to open-range testing. These
methods need to become standards that are implemented across all future programs.
Additionally, statistics-based design of experiments (DOE) will need methods containing
mathematical constructs capable of designing affordable test matrices for non-deterministic
autonomous software.

2.4 Data Transport Integration


It is anticipated that the sensor mixes, collection rates, and amount of data produced by
unmanned systems will continue to exponentially increase. This creates a data strategy challenge
and provides opportunities in pre-processing, processing, and analytics to fuse the time-sensitive
data to provide the Warfighter with timely decision-quality information, enabling technical
advantage on the battlefield. The data strategies need to include the architecture, analytics,
storage, management, and modeling components of the unmanned system, and integrate with the
existing and future intelligence production centers. The data variety will create a challenge and
opportunity in the employment of the strategy to manage, process, and analyze. The data
strategies need to provide meaning and context to the Warfighter, transforming the
overwhelming amount of data into information that the Warfighter can use to make decisions.
Data variety will include on-board sensor systems, off-board sensors, and C2 data providing both
situational awareness and contextual information to understand intent and provide time-sensitive
decision-quality results. Government ownership of the technical baseline and aligning data to
standard formats that enable collaboration across unmanned systems is advancing. Open
architecture standards are enabling advanced data analytics. Commercial industry practices are
driving plug and play architectures, allowing for agile operations in acquiring advanced data
analytics.

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Future operating environments are expected to be both contested and congested. This
will create new challenges and opportunities for unmanned systems and the data strategies that
they employ. With the anticipation of contested and congested environments, data processing
and analytics closer to the leading edge are vitally important. Whether the unmanned system is
airborne, ground based, or sea based, communication is critical to the employed data strategies.
Unmanned systems must be able to operate in automatic or autonomous control affecting the
employed data strategies, thereby automatically analyzing data and developing decision-level
results. Unmanned systems with greater levels of autonomy would be capable of containing vast
amounts of sensitive data. It will be crucial to ensure that these sensitive data sets are properly
secured to ensure their safety from adversaries, should the system be comprised either through
physical capture or cyberattack.
Over the past decade, usage of manned and unmanned intelligence, surveillance, and
reconnaissance (ISR) capabilities proliferated exponentially to address collection requirements in
support of globally dispersed operations. The Services and other DoD organizations developed
and resourced capabilities to support urgent Combatant Command (CCMD) requirements using
both major acquisition programs of record and quick reaction capabilities. In the absence of an
overarching strategy to field these systems, the resulting data transport capabilities were Service
and platform specific, with little integration across platforms. This led to significant gaps in
coverage, inconsistent and often inadequate delivery of data to required consumers, and delays in
meeting urgent warfighter requirements.
ISR data transport supports globally dispersed strategic, operational, and tactical
consumers at the time and place and with the quantity and quality they need. Timely and assured
delivery of ISR data is required to enable fused intelligence and active mission data that
warfighters can act upon during globally integrated operations in support of counterterrorism,
theater campaign plans, and contingency operations.
As illustrated in recent counterterrorism operations, all ISR platforms, to include our
smaller tactical UAS (e.g., Scan Eagle) and ground/maritime unmanned platforms, have potential
strategic and operational impacts requiring near real-time delivery of video and other sensor data
to theater operations centers and rear area headquarters to support urgent targeting and force
protection decisions.

2.4.1 Challenges
Establishing effective executive oversight to cut across CCMD/Service/Agency
boundaries and drive joint synchronized infrastructure capabilities is critical to resolving current
data transport issues. With a reliance on using rapidly changing commercial off-the-shelf
capabilities to meet data transport requirements, defining interoperability standards is no longer
sufficient to ensuring DoD-wide integration. Military standards and commercial standards are
not bound by the same requirements. The Department’s focus must shift towards building
universal transport capabilities that potentially leverage multiple vendor products to support
common data transport requirements. Teaming efforts that cut across CCMD/Service/Agency
boundaries to build universal gateway and relay capabilities have the potential for dramatically
improving mission performance while also reducing the overall cost of transport infrastructure.
U.S. Special Operations Command provides a useful illustration of this. They teamed with the
USAF to modify their remotely piloted aircraft (RPA) gateway in the Pacific to support manned

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aircraft operating in theater. Building a new satellite gateway to support these platforms would
have cost much more for the initial installation, as well as millions more for the annual
operations and maintenance.
There are many challenges impeding success in advancing DoD data strategies with
unmanned systems. In many cases, the government does not own the technical baseline of a
system. This places ownership of the data strategies on a single contractor and impedes our
ability to advance data analytics. Government ownership of the data strategy allows for
innovation and informed decision making in using data strategies and analytics.
Maintaining antiquated IT equipment leads to cost growth and inferior capability. The
commercial sector is often driving advancements in data strategies and open system
architectures. Staying current with commercial sector data strategies is critical to being agile in
advancing data analytics, controlling cost growth, and sustainment.
Trust in data analytics is often a barrier to data strategies. Manual analysis of raw data is
impractical and impossible given the volume, variety, and veracity of the data. Contested
environments make this even more challenging by forcing the data strategies to be more
automated in support of decision making. Analysts need to be able to trust unmanned systems
data analytics and strategies to process, store, fuse, analyze, and report information.

2.4.2 Way Ahead


Unmanned systems need the ability to collect and automatically process data and
autonomously adjust the data strategies based on mission, environment, and situation. The
platform will be required to perform these tasks onboard, in real time, and determine the mission
critical information required to be transmitted to the operator. Autonomous data strategy
adaptation is the ability of a system to automatically make decisions in real-time around its data
processing, storage, fusion, analysis, and reporting activities, and will ensure that decision-
quality information is produced. Technologies like deep neural networks and neuromorphic
computing will advance to allow the strategies to learn, think and employ capabilities that adapt
to situational changes. Often these strategies will need to be employed in real-time with the
understanding of mission goals and constraints. The future envisions the data strategy to be
agile, responsive, adaptive, and protected.
In the near-term, the Department must establish common standards for access to ISR data
repositories and federated delivery capabilities. Figure 2 highlights some key transport capability
blocks required to provide assured and responsive delivery of data to dispersed consumers.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

Figure 2: ISR Data Transport Capabilities

Over the next three years the Joint Information Environment (JIE) Executive Committee
(EXCOM) will identify core requirements for each of these capability blocks, document them via
the joint requirements process, and recommend appropriate material/non-material capability
development efforts. Although developed for airborne ISR (AISR), the same blocks are
applicable for all domain platforms as the transport infrastructure is platform agnostic.

 Block 1 (Dissemination) will build common interface points for DoD and coalition/
mission partner sensor data leveraging the DoD Information Systems Network (DISN)
for global delivery. By FY21, the department will have a programmed capability to
ingest and distribute sensor/video data in near real-time to limited high-resolution and
multiple low-resolution consumers on US classified and coalition releasable networks.

 Block 2 (Tactical Relay) provides line of sight (LOS)-only sensor platform (e.g., small
UAS) connectivity to the DISN for global distribution, as well as supporting beyond line
of sight (BLOS) sensor platforms that have insufficient connectivity to strategic gateways
with DISN access. By FY22, a defined and programmed tactical capability(s) will be
readily available to support a limited number of sensor platforms.

 Block 3 (Satellite Gateways) builds universal gateways to support multiple platform


types (e.g., manned and unmanned aircraft) and multiple sensor types (e.g., full-motion
video, signals intelligence) in all CCMD areas of operation, providing connectivity
within established theater contingency timelines. Wherever possible, block 3 will
leverage existing DoD strategic gateways to maximize performance and minimize
resources required to provide this capability. By FY23, a system of universal gateways

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

will be available to support global distribution of sensor data interconnected via the
DISN.

 Block 4 (Network Operations (NETOPs)) establishes common situational awareness


and visibility of both space, aerial, and terrestrial network components from end to end.
By FY24, the Department will integrate the current disparate NETOPs activities and
establish a common operating picture for sensor data transport capabilities.

 Block 5 (Platforms) will focus on life-cycle upgrades to existing platforms in FY19-23,


leveraging state-of-the-art multi-band satellite capabilities to access both commercial and
military satellite systems, while improving survivability in an anti-access environment.
By FY24, both LOS and BLOS platform radio capabilities will employ National Security
Agency (NSA)-approved encryption to prevent hostile intercept/tampering and assure
delivery of C2 and sensor traffic.
By the mid-2020s, the Department will address operations in less permissive
environments, to include adding anti-jam and low probability of intercept/detection capabilities.
These capabilities will be integrated into the end-to-end architecture, and ensure that state-of-the-
art cyber defense detection and prevention systems are employed.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

2.5 Data Rights


DoD procurement of proprietary systems is fiscally inefficient and restricts the fielding of
common robotic platforms with customized payloads for various DoD end users. Commercial-
off-the-shelf (COTS) systems that lack open hardware and software interfaces create an
unfavorable business model for the acquisition of unmanned systems.
Secured data rights allows for long term sustainment, modernization, and competition
planning without being dependent or beholden to the owners of the data. DoD should seek to
negotiate the appropriate data rights as determined by the program offices to support the entire
life cycle of the system prior to entering into all unmanned systems contracts and agreements.

2.5.1 Challenges
DoD had acquired numerous legacy and COTS systems over the years to meet urgent
needs/requirements. Due to the urgency to obtain these systems, the data rights and technical
baselines received are often limited. Therefore, DoD is constrained in making the necessary
updates to controllers and software that keep pace with the changing operational environments of
these unmanned systems. Even in programs that are routine, and where DoD does its due
diligence in contracting for data rights and technical baselines, they are not always granted by the
contractor. To date, DoD has not been consistently successful in asserting its rights to the data
necessary to perform the required work in house (updates, modifications, etc.), or in negotiating
to get additional rights after the fact. These additional data rights are often prohibitively
expensive, resulting in DoD contracting with the data rights owner for upgrades, modifications,
or updates. This activity incurs a cost which compounds as continuous updates are required.

2.5.2 Way Ahead


In the near-term, DoD needs to consider the cost benefit of acquiring the data rights to
existing systems when it is most beneficial and efficient. DoD must consider adjusting data
rights policy when considering contracting price and effort. In addition, program offices must
increase vigilance in obtaining and defending contracted data rights focusing on improving a
capability’s performance or decreasing cost. The government must develop a strategy for
information ownership, by either using a framework or by determining a cost-effective approach
for procuring critical data rights.
In the mid- to far-term, DoD should have well established data rights policies in place to
secure the necessary critical system information to ensure maximum mission support and
flexibility. Having modularity and common architectures built into a project will provide added
levels of security against using company-specific proprietary systems that make updates to these
systems unachievable. However, it will be important to identify and focus on the areas where the
government can own the frameworks and define their inputs and outputs to facilitate future
capability insertions.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

3 Autonomy
U.S. military strategy in the modern era has focused on maintaining technological
superiority over our adversaries. However, the ability of DoD to maintain a strategic advantage
over its adversaries through developments in science and technology (S&T) is being challenged
by globalization and the information revolution. Ongoing advancements in autonomy offer DoD
the ability to maintain its technical superiority in a variety of areas, including unmanned systems.
Due to the revolutionary potential of the technology, DoD must continue to pursue innovations
in autonomy that enhance the integration of unmanned systems into the future Joint Force
structure.
Autonomy is defined as the “We are in a period of incredible technological flux.
ability of an entity to independently
develop and select among different Advances in autonomy and in artificial intelligence
courses of action to achieve goals based and autonomous control systems and advanced
on the entity’s knowledge and computing and big data, and learning machines and
understanding of the world, itself, and intuitive graphic visualization tools, metamaterials,
the situation. Autonomous systems are
governed by broad rules that allow the miniaturization -- they’re leading us to a time of
system to deviate from the baseline. great human-machine collaboration…”
This is in contrast to automated
systems, which are governed by -Former DARPA Director (2012-2017) Arati Prabhakar
prescriptive rules that allow for no
deviations. While early robots
generally only exhibited automated capabilities, advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and
machine learning (ML) technology allow systems with greater levels of autonomous capabilities
to be developed.13 The future of unmanned systems will stretch across the broad spectrum of
autonomy, from remote controlled and automated systems to near fully autonomous, as needed
to support the mission. A summary of the future path for the four key enablers for autonomy is
shown in Table 3.

13
Defense Science Board: Summer Study on Autonomy June 2016

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

Table 3: Comprehensive Roadmap for Autonomy

3.1 Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning


ML is a rapidly growing field within AI that has massive potential to advance unmanned
systems in a variety of areas, including: C2, navigation, perception (sensor intelligence and
sensor fusion), obstacle detection and avoidance, swarm behavior and tactics, and human
interaction.14 Deep learning, a promising form of artificial neural networks, can leverage the
many cores of graphical processing units (GPUs), conventional CPUs and custom neuromorphic
chips to learn patterns and models in data. AI and ML will allow the development of systems
that are capable of learning and making high-quality decisions autonomously. This ability to
learn will directly result in the development of unmanned systems with greater levels of
autonomy, which will impart expanded and improved functionality. Furthermore, autonomous
unmanned systems will vastly enhance battlespace awareness maximizing the utility of AI/ML-
enabled decision aids that will revolutionize battlespace management and C2.15

3.1.1 Challenges
While significant advances are being made in AI, there are several challenges to the full
adaptation of these technologies in unmanned systems. Although safety, reliability, and trust of
AI-based systems remain areas of active research, AI must overcome crucial perception and trust
issues to become accepted. Policy and legal restrictions (including international) must also
evolve. M&S and TEVV must revolutionize to accommodate AI/ML capabilities. Unmanned
systems also have unique technical requirements with regards to size, weight, and power (SWaP)
restrictions. Additionally, many of the current AI data processing platforms run computations in
cloud environments, which may not be suitable for unmanned systems operating in
communications-denied environments. However, this challenge may be mitigated in the future

14
http://www.defense.gov/News-Article-View/Article/716156/work-robot-warship-demonstrates-advances-in-
autonomy-human-machine-collaboration
15
TRADOC Pamphlet 525-3-1 USA Operating Concept 2020-2040

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

as industry leaders develop cloud solutions that may be embedded in unmanned systems.
Improved TEVV and demonstration of
ultimate human control over autonomous
unmanned systems must be determined to “I don’t ever expect the human element to be
build trust with artificial intelligence and completely absent; there will always be a
machine learning solutions. command element in there. But there’s more,
Data quality is another issue that much more, we can do. In the end, what do
must be addressed to integrate AI/ML into you want? You want actionable knowledge…
unmanned systems. Quality data is the and you want to get that as fast as possible.”
foundation of automated analysis and
subsequently decisions that are made in -Navy Rear Adm. Robert Girrier
support of operations. Quality is not just
impacted at the point of origin/collection,
but more so when it is transformed into various interpretable forms by the system. DoD must
establish and adhere to enterprise data standards, and conduct deliberate enterprise assessments
of data quality. This quality data is needed to enable increased automation to support on-board
tactical processing, swarm technology, time-dominant decisions, and eventually full autonomy.

3.1.2 Way Ahead


In the near-term, DoD should strengthen connections to the private sector so that as
AI/ML solutions mature, DoD is able to procure the most promising solutions and use them in
unmanned systems. Many AI/ML solutions rely on large, integrated cloud technologies for data
storage, processing, and dissemination. As a result, DoD should seek to heavily exploit cloud
technologies and allow them to be adapted for use in AI/ML solutions. To accomplish this, data
collection, standardization, and sharing needs to be addressed throughout and across the services.
DoD must also continue to lead the national and international discussions concerning AI
perception, policy, and laws.
In the mid-term, AI/ML solutions will likely have matured in M&S, TEVV, and SWaP
usage to the point where it is possible to embed them into unmanned systems. As AI/ML
advances, DoD should invest in augmented reality and virtual reality interfaces that allow for
enhanced interaction between unmanned systems and human operators. DoD will also need to
continue to embrace and encourage industry development and sustainment of AI/ML open
architectures, and enhance partnerships with industry and academia to reap the benefits.
Concerns that intelligent machines may pose a danger to the human shall be addressed through
improved TEVV and demonstration of ultimate human control over autonomous unmanned
systems.
In the far-term, advances in deep AI will allow for the development of applications that
give human operators control and persistent sensing from unmanned systems. Advances in AI
and computing will enable machine systems (including unmanned systems) with human-like
intelligence, both in terms of learning and decision making.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

3.2 Increased Efficiency and Effectiveness


Increased autonomy will enable unmanned systems to perform a greater range of tasks,
which will directly increase operational capability.16 Greater autonomy will also remove the need
for constant input from human operators. This will allow for higher-level control or supervision
of multiple unmanned assets simultaneously, and will increase effectiveness by reducing the
operator’s cognitive load, allowing operators to make command decisions and perform other
high-level tasks.17 Machine-to-machine interactions between autonomous systems will promote
efficiencies, especially in complex environments, by enabling self-organization, division of
tasking, and the coordination of activities. The ability of autonomous systems to ingest, process,
and analyze large complex data sets and communicate valuable data trends or correlations to
humans through data visualization will have benefits for both humans and autonomous systems.
This type of human-machine interaction will allow humans to make more informed and better
decision as well as enhance the learning process of autonomous systems by providing them
frequent system feedback. Finally, elevated levels of autonomy will increase the decision speeds
of unmanned systems and allow them to perform tasks that require decision cycles faster than
human reaction time, greatly increasing their operational capabilities in a variety of mission
areas, such as missile defense.18 Technological advancements that increase the efficiency and
effectiveness of unmanned systems will be crucial to the development of a military of the future.

3.2.1 Challenges
The increased efficiency and effectiveness that will be realized by increased autonomy
are currently limited by legal and policy constraints, trust issues, and technical challenges.
Increased autonomy will allow unmanned systems to perform tasks that previously could only be
performed by humans. The most contentious of these tasks will involve the use of lethal force.
Technologies underpinning unmanned systems would make it possible to develop and deploy
autonomous systems that could independently select and attack targets with lethal force.19
The deployment of unmanned systems in a greater range of operational scenarios and
with greater frequency will also fundamentally change military training requirements, personnel
management, and force structure. As autonomous systems become more advanced it will be
critical to investigate, understand, and document their interaction with humans. Operators and
commanders will need a high degree of understanding of how these systems operate and how
they will respond in various operating environments and when faced with particular operational
challenges. The challenges posed by human-machine teaming will be overcome by effective
training of the human operators and team-members as well as the development of the machines
involved to enhance understanding of common team objectives, their separate roles, and the
ways in which they are co-dependent. Lessons learned during the development and operation of
human-machine teams can then be applied in the subsequent development and operation of more
autonomous systems, as appropriate.

16
http://www.defense.gov/News-Article-View/Article/716156/work-robot-warship-demonstrates-advances-in-
autonomy-human-machine-collaboration
17
The US Army: Robotic and Autonomous Systems Strategy
18
Defense Science Board: Summer Study on Autonomy June 2016
19
United States Air Force RPA Vector: Vision and Enabling Concepts 2013-2038

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

3.2.2 Way Ahead


The expansion of capabilities in unmanned systems over the coming decades will largely
be dependent on the ability to effectively team humans and autonomous systems in the force
structure. In the near-term, advances need to be made that increase operational safety and
efficiency, such as in-air collision avoidance and automated safety features for ground vehicles.
In the mid-term, autonomy algorithms, improved sensors, and computer processing will
improve teaming of humans and machines, evolving from task level support to operational
support, and will allow machines to directly assist humans in a variety of operations. For
example, elevated levels of autonomy in unmanned systems will allow for leader-follower
capabilities, where trailing semi-autonomous vehicles follow a designated lead vehicle in
logistics convoy operations. Similarly, autonomous “robotic wingmen” may accompany piloted
aircraft, crewed ground fighting vehicles, and crewed surface and underwater vessels.
Finally, in the far-term, humans will form integrated teams with nearly fully autonomous
unmanned systems, capable of carrying out operations in contested environments. This could
include heterogeneous swarms of UAS directly supporting soldiers on the ground through ISR or
aerial strikes.

3.3 Trust
Trust is complex and multi-dimensional.20 As a result, trust of autonomous systems must
be established by the continual assessment of key indicators of behavior and function, beginning
in the development stage and continuing throughout all stages of a system’s life cycle. Extensive
assurance helps to promote trust not only for the operator and commander, but also for designers,
testers, policy and lawmakers, and the public as a whole. Furthermore, autonomous systems must
exhibit run-time transparency, and be capable of explaining decisions and actions, as well as
communicating goals and plans in a concise and usable format to human operators. Establishing
trust with operators in this manner will ensure that human authority remains at the center of
mission approval for autonomous systems and ensures effective human-machine teaming.
Without an adequate level of trust between operators/commanders and autonomous unmanned
systems, to function properly with a high degree of consistency, these systems will not be used in
any mission set.

3.3.1 Challenges
A lack of trust by the Warfighters, and the wider public, is a major roadblock in DoD’s
continued development and use of autonomous unmanned systems. This lack of trust is
highlighted by international efforts at the United Nations (UN) to consider policies that would
prohibit the deployment of autonomous systems with lethal capabilities. Additionally, there are
technological shortcomings in the current abilities of AI regarding ethical thinking that may limit
the public’s trust of autonomous unmanned systems developed for military capabilities.
Situational ethical reasoning is currently not coherently implementable by AI in the range of
scenarios that military forces may encounter. Given this limitation, it is paramount to ensure that

20
“Trust in Automation” Vol. 28, Issue 1 (January/February 2013)

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

human authority, accountability, and the ability to maintain C2 are preserved as increasing
numbers of unmanned systems become more widely deployed.

3.3.2 Way Ahead


DoD will continue to update the existing military framework of operation orders
(OPORDs) and cooperative tasking to include tasking guidance and validation for unmanned
systems. Additionally, analysis of military missions can identify what ethical requirements will
require the input of a human decision maker. This type of thinking should be applied to the use
of proposed/planned autonomous unmanned systems. An initial manned/unmanned teaming
(MUM-T) campaign-of-learning could explore several elements of human-machine integration
to establish foundations for trust.
Success in this area will provide commanders, policymakers, lawmakers, the public, and
other applicable stakeholders with confidence in the ethical framework. Human-directed tactical
tasking of unmanned systems and the overall performance of these systems can and will be
shown to meet all ethical requirements for the rules of engagement (ROE) and the Law of Armed
Conflict (LOAC).

3.4 Weaponization
In considering the specific use of weaponized systems, Department of Defense Directive
(DoDD) 3000.09, Autonomy in Weapon Systems, signed in November 2012, established policies
and assigned responsibilities to shape the development and use of autonomous functions in
weapon systems, including manned and unmanned platforms. It mandates that autonomous and
semi-autonomous weapon systems be designed to allow commanders and operators to exercise
appropriate levels of human judgment over the use of force. DoDD 3000.09 also requires that
persons who authorize the use of, direct the use of, or operate autonomous and semi-autonomous
weapon systems must do so with appropriate care and in accordance with the law of war,
applicable treaties, weapon system safety rules, and applicable ROE. DoDD 3000.09 underwent
a mandatory periodical update with administrative changes (Change 1, May 8, 2017), but a more
substantive update was expected to be completed in late 2017. That substantive update, when
released, is expected to involve clarifications of definitions and processes rather than a shift in
the overall thrust of the policy.
DoD does not currently have an autonomous weapon system that can search for, identify,
track, select, and engage targets independent of a human operator’s input. These tasks currently
rely heavily on a human operator using remote operation, also referred to as “tele-operation.” In
the future weaponization will be a crucial capability in mission sets where the unmanned system
is directly supporting forces engaging in hazardous tasks.

3.4.1 Challenges
In the realms of public and international diplomacy, concerned states, non-governmental
organizations (NGOs), and experts in AI have urged an immediate and intensive effort to
formulate and secure an international treaty restricting the development, deployment, and use of
weapon systems that can autonomously locate, select, and attack human targets. In response to

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

similar expressions of concern from some High Contracting Parties to the Geneva Conventions
on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW), the UN Office in Geneva hosted informal experts’
meetings on lethal autonomous weapon systems (LAWS) in 2014, 2015, and 2016. The CCW
established a Group of Governmental Experts (GGE) which met to discuss LAWS in a more
formalized setting in 2017. A second meeting is foreseen for 27 to 31 August 2018.21 If such
restrictions on autonomous weapon systems were to come into existence, and if the U.S. were to
follow it, the ban would severely limit the ability to develop and use lethal autonomous weapon
systems.

3.4.2 Way Ahead


In the near-term various departmental and interagency working groups will continue to
address the variety of diplomatic, policy, legal, and implementation issues relating to LAWS. To
inform departmental efforts in those working groups, structure future force development efforts,
and inform the update to DoDD 3000.09, the Deputy Secretary of Defense and Vice Chairman of
the Joint Chiefs of Staff commissioned a 90-day assessment of LAWS and AI. Additionally, the
2018-2022 Defense Planning Guidance (DPG) included direction on autonomous weapons
development and future departmental-level force planning guidance is likely to contain guidance
on the topic.
In the mid- to far-term there will be rapid growth in the development of highly
autonomous unmanned systems with the potential to be armed. These advances will come as AI
enables increasingly complex machine response capabilities. These systems will be deployed
alongside Warfighters and focus on mission tasks where there is a high probability of injury or
death. Unmanned Systems with integrated AI, acting as a wingman or teammate, with lethal
armament could perform the vast majority of the actions associated with target identification,
tracking, threat prioritization, and post-attack assessment while tracking the position and
ensuring the safety of blue-force assets –minimizing the risk to its human teammates. This level
of automation will alleviate the human operator of task level activities associated with the
engagement of a target, allowing the operator to focus on the identified threat and the decision to
engage.

21
2018 Group of Governmental Experts on Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems (LAWS).
https://www.unog.ch/80256EE600585943/(httpPages)/7C335E71DFCB29D1C1258243003E8724?OpenDocument

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

4 Secure Network
In today’s environment where many of an organization’s mission-critical functions are
dependent upon information technology (IT), the ability to manage this technology and to assure
confidentiality, integrity,
reliability, scalability, and
availability of information “Soon, all wars will have a cyber component. There will be
is essential. As a result of traditional wars with cyber aspects. And there will be stand-
DoD’s increasing reliance
alone cyber conflicts. But the future is less about massed
on IT, the security of
information systems is more armies and more about the combination of IT, unmanned
of a focal point for systems and surgical special forces. In all of these areas, we
commanders at all levels. are unprepared and under-investing.”
This problem is especially
apparent in unmanned - Senators Joni Ernst (R-IA) and Ben Sasse (R-NE)
systems, which by their
very nature have an elevated
reliance on information systems to function safely, effectively, and consistently. As unmanned
systems continue to become more autonomous and integral to the overall DoD military strategy,
the availability, reliability, and scalability of the network becomes increasingly critical with the
addition of autonomy in the battlespace. A summary of the future path for the three key enablers
for secure networks is shown in Table 4.

Table 4: Comprehensive Roadmap for Secure Networks

4.1 Cyber Operations


Across the federal government, cyber is a point of emphasis22. This is especially true in DoD
where nearly every new advanced weapon system relies heavily on a network of information
systems. Unmanned systems may be at an even greater risk of cyberattack than traditional
systems, due to their autonomy and potential operations in communication and/or Global

22
http://www.ernst.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/columns?ID=F039F811-2D93-48D3-96B6-FD1DC166A620

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

Positioning System (GPS)-denied environments. This risk is further exacerbated due to the
lethal capabilities that some of these systems possess. As a result, cyber expertise and
technology must be fully integrated from the onset in the development of unmanned systems
architectures.23 These systems must also be designed with flexibility and the ability to add
updates as new cyberattack vectors are identified and new capabilities are incorporated.24 For
unmanned systems to effectively operate, they must maintain integrity, availability, and the
confidentiality of sensitive information. If adversaries are able to exploit cyber vulnerabilities in
an unmanned system to corrupt any one of these three objectives, the result could be a variety of
critical failures, including loss of C2.25

4.1.1 Challenges
The challenge of incorporating security measures into unmanned systems is similar to
that of manned systems, however there are C2 requirements which are unique to unmanned
systems and expand their overall requirement for security. The added complexity of these
systems and the new technologies they often employ increases the opportunity for adversaries to
discover and exploit zero-day vulnerabilities, which may rapidly and severely compromise
unmanned systems in new or unexpected ways. This system complexity along with the wide
range of capabilities that these systems will be expected to perform will increase the number of
attack surfaces for adversaries to exploit.26
Additionally, it will be challenging to ensure that the underlying architectures of
unmanned systems consistently remain in a properly patched and configured state to eliminate
any known cyber vulnerabilities. Cyber is made more challenging by the rapid advancement in
the capabilities and design of unmanned systems, which makes fully testing the security of each
new iteration extremely difficult. The network needs to be able to handle adding new systems
without that affecting the security, availability, throughput, or reliability.

4.1.2 Way Ahead


In the near-term, DoD should move beyond boundary protection. This level of protection
alone has been shown to be inadequate at protecting from the full range of cyber threats that may
impact an information system. DoD should begin developing and implementing defense-in-
depth for unmanned systems to combat cyber threats from the insider, supply chain, or Trojan
horses latent in software. Due to unmanned systems’ frequent use and reliance on sensors, a
database that captures potential or known cybersecurity vulnerabilities of the various sensors
should be developed. This will ensure that vulnerabilities are identified as early as possible in
development and that steps to mitigate these vulnerabilities can be taken.
In the mid- to far-term, DoD should transition from a cyber defense that focuses on
robustness (i.e., resisting an attack) and instead focus on resilience (i.e., recovering from an
attack and/or maintaining as much mission performance as possible while operating through an
attack). The resilience approach is favorable over robustness in unmanned systems, due to the
complexity that autonomy brings and the requirement for these systems to operate in

23
The US Army: Robotic and Autonomous Systems Strategy
24
Defense Science Board: Summer Study on Autonomy June 2016
25
Ibid.
26
Ibid.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

communication-denied environments, making network-centric approaches unviable.


Additionally, allowing unmanned systems to defend themselves autonomously using resilience
measures could allow for near-instant responses to cyberattacks.27
The 2015 DoD Cyber Strategy lists specific goals and objectives in detail for cyberspace
missions. Advancements toward these goals and objectives will directly impact the effectiveness
and availability of unmanned systems.28

4.2 Information Assurance


Information assurance applies to and touches on all mission sets currently identified for
unmanned systems. Unmanned systems have the potential to operate and store some level of
sensitive data, which will require the use of secure architectures. Mission sets that handle
extremely sensitive information (such as ISR) may even require the use of elevated or additional
information assurance solutions to ensure that data is kept fully intact and confidential.

4.2.1 Challenges
The largest challenge facing information assurance in unmanned systems is the lack of
high assurance solutions developed specifically for unmanned systems. To remedy this problem,
end-users must develop a close and trusted relationship with approving authorities, such as the
NSA. These types of relationships will allow all stakeholders to ensure the effective and
efficient development of high assurance solutions that are not only sufficiently secure, but also
designed to perform in the unique operating environments of unmanned systems. Additionally,
special considerations should be given to unmanned systems that have the ability to store
sensitive information.

4.2.2 Way Ahead


Currently, there are no high assurance security solutions designed specifically for use in
unmanned systems. The dual-use solutions that are currently employed result in an ineffective
use of funding and an end product that is insufficiently secure. In the near-term, DoD should
seek to develop and approve a trusted suite of high assurance security solutions that are designed
for a specific category of unmanned systems. Additionally, DoD must continue to develop and
strengthen ties with commercial companies that develop and provide information security
products and services. Over the next several years these companies will likely play an ever
increasingly important role in developing information assurance technologies and solutions for
unmanned systems.
In the mid- to far-term, as DoD continues to develop more unmanned systems and use
more network capacity to collaborate, it will be essential to develop and evolve policies,
procedures, and techniques to secure all aspects of this information infrastructure. Not only will

27
Defense Science Board: Summer Study on Autonomy June 2016
28
Department of Defense, Cyber Strategy, 2015

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

information within the boundary need to be secured, but information that leaves the boundary
must also be secured.
At this stage DoD should work to develop a suite of information assurance technologies
approved specifically for use in unmanned systems within their operational environments. This
will require sustainment of this suite of technologies to ensure their continued effectiveness in
unmanned systems.

4.3 Electromagnetic Spectrum and Electronic Warfare


Sufficient EMS access is crucial to DoD’s ability to conduct modern military operations.
Unmanned systems are particularly dependent on the EMS to ensure effective and consistent
communication with operators. This is highlighted in the DoD Electromagnetic Spectrum
Strategy which states, “The growth in the complexity of modern military systems has similarly
led to an increase in spectrum requirements. Some examples include: the increased reliance on
unmanned vehicles to collect ISR information and relay communications.” 29 EMS superiority
during conflict is something that can no longer be guaranteed or assumed. Our adversaries
continue to invest in the development of electronic warfare (EW) assets in an attempt to deny
access to critical portions of the EMS. Additionally, all Services at all levels have paid
insufficient attention to EW, a fact that was highlighted in 2014 by the Defense Science Board.
This combination has eroded DoD’s dominance in the area of EW.30 Due to unmanned systems’
heavy reliance on spectrum access and susceptibility to forms of electronic attack, unmanned
systems must be hardened with robust electronic protection capabilities, and be spectrally
efficient, flexible, and adaptable while operating in contested environments. If denied access to
EMS, through electronic attack or lack of available spectrum bandwidth, unmanned systems may
not be able to communicate with their operators, resulting in the loss of key operational
capabilities.

4.3.1 Challenges
The dependence of unmanned systems on EMS is a vulnerability that our adversaries
may seek to exploit, particularly as unmanned systems become a more important part of U.S.
military operations. For example, non-kinetic attacks may be capable of disabling subsystems or
interfering with spectrum access to inhibit communication. If this threat is not accounted for and
unmanned systems are left vulnerable to electronic attack, these systems may be a liability if
deployed against “pacing competitors” (also referred to as “near-peer adversaries”).31
In recent years, demand for spectrum from commercial entities in the global wireless
broadband industry has increased significantly. This is largely due to the increased use of
wireless devices and the associated data-intensive applications that these devices operate. The
trend of diminishing spectrum is likely to persist as the rise in mobile network traffic outpaces
usage efficiency gains over the coming years.32 As the amount of available spectrum decreases

29
Department of Defense, Electromagnetic Spectrum Strategy, 2013
30
Department of Defense, Electronic Warfare Strategy, 2017
31
Ibid.
32
Department of Defense, Electromagnetic Spectrum Strategy, 2013

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

due to greater demands from DoD, commercial entities, and hobbyist, DoD must develop
strategies and technologies that allow it to become both efficient and flexible in its use of
available spectrum for unmanned systems. Additionally, DoD has several ongoing efforts to
engage the commercial market, including the Defense Innovation Unit Experimental (DIUx) and
the Strategic Capabilities Office (SCO), with the goal of ensuring spectrum access for
commercial and defense purposes.

4.3.2 Way Ahead


To ensure that DoD is able to effectively operate unmanned systems in an
EMS-constrained environment, it must strive to make spectrum operations more efficient,
flexible, adaptable, and agile. This includes being capable of maneuvering operations to less
dense, denied, or exploitable parts of the EMS to enhance resilience, decrease chance of
interception, and allow for sustained operations. To counter electronic attack, unmanned
systems must be designed and built to be hardened with robust electronic protection capabilities.
Additionally, DoD must remain informed and responsive to on-going spectrum regulatory and
policy changes across the globe. This will assure that DoD is able to adapt spectrum-dependent
operations to maximize efficiency and effectiveness.33, 34
Both the 2013 DoD Electromagnetic Spectrum Strategy and the 2017 DoD Electronic
Warfare Strategy list specific goals and objectives in detail toward addressing EMS and EW
issues. Advancements toward these goals and objectives will directly enhance the effectiveness
and availability of unmanned systems.

33
Department of Defense, Electromagnetic Spectrum Strategy, 2013
34
Department of Defense, Electronic Warfare Strategy, 2017

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

5 Human-Machine Collaboration
Human-machine collaboration is essential to meeting the unmanned systems
community’s vision of an “integrated manned/unmanned force that strengthens the U.S as the
world’s preeminent land, sea, and air power.”35 Military operations of the future will require
collaboration between unmanned systems and humans (i.e., airman, marine, sailor, soldier, or
civilian). A summary of the future path for the three key enablers for human-machine
collaboration is shown in Table 5.

Table 5: Comprehensive Roadmap for Human-Machine Collaboration

5.1 Human-Machine Interfaces


Human-machine interfaces (HMIs) are the mechanisms by which humans operate and
gather information from unmanned systems. The extent to which HMIs are intuitive and
efficient directly impacts mission success. HMIs have historically been domain and/or vehicle
specific, resulting in the Department to have acquired multiple stand-alone non-integrated
systems. Design and implementation have focused on
an individual unmanned system control rather than on
task or mission objectives. “The way we will go after human-
machine collaboration is allowing
Improved HMIs are needed that facilitate the
retrieval of “actionable” information, generate shared the machine to help humans
awareness of human and machine state/intent, enable make better decisions faster.”
flexible human-machine collaborative decision
making, and facilitate coordination between -The Honorable Robert O. Work
heterogeneous members for teaming applications. The
effectiveness of unmanned systems C2 HMIs is also
dependent upon the extent to which human systems integration (HSI) methods consider the
interface in the context of the total human-unmanned vehicle system, including its missions,
operating environment, and support requirements.36

35
JGRE presentation to the 2012 National Defense Industrial Association (NDIA) Ground Robotics Capabilities
Conference and Exhibition, March 2012
36
Cooke, N.J., Rowe, L.J., Bennett, W. (Eds). Remotely Piloted Aircraft: A Human Systems Integration
Perspective, Wiley, October 2016.

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In the future, it is desirable to have each operator control multiple unmanned systems,
thus shifting the human’s role from operator towards mission manager. To ensure agility, the
HMIs must support a range of control options whereby the human can be either “off the loop”
with no control over an autonomous system, “on the loop” supervising the unmanned systems, or
“in the loop” exercising commands to control a particular vehicle’s path or payload.37,38 HMIs
enabling multi-vehicle control would be able to support new capabilities such as heterogeneous
unmanned systems cooperating to provide a wide area search; inspecting a target from multiple
perspectives; tracking moving targets; and relaying communications to mitigate “lost link”
situations. Additionally, new HMIs are necessary to support future warfare teaming concepts
(e.g., swarms and “loyal tactical wingman”) in terms of managing the increased available
information and more complex control transfer and coordination requirements.

5.1.1 Challenges
The operation of unmanned systems is inherently challenging due to the loss of direct
sensory information.39 The operator must rely on limited control information from displays
accessed during demanding, multi-tasking missions. A new challenge is shifting the design
perspective for HMIs so that it employs a
mission- and team-centered approach whereby
the human and machine collaborate in decision While Hollywood may show us futuristic
making and flexibly interact to share tasking robot armies, the truth is in unmanned
that meets dynamic mission objectives with
multi-domain resources. HSI principles need to systems initially will be to augment our
be addressed, especially human factors40 that current capabilities. And so, this manned-
drive the HMI content, layout, and interaction unmanned interface is the one that will be
metaphor. Organizational changes are required the hallmark of this new era of warfighting.
to promote effective designs and training for
the likely operator pools. Changes will result in We don’t plan to take the human out of the
control approaches that are common and loop, but we do think it’s time to redefine
compatible across the Services as much as where the human fits into that loop.
possible. The HMIs need to provide display
and control functionality for specific unmanned - The Honorable Ray Mabus
systems types and missions. Ideally, the HMIs
should have an application-agnostic look and
feel as much as possible despite the variety of unmanned system control approaches (from fixed-
based command centers to mobile individual Warfighters).41 Envisioned collaborative multi-
domain missions will also require cooperation across traditional program offices and updated
warfare tactics, techniques, plans, and procedures. Furthermore, approaches to test and validate
new designs for HMIs are required that enable researchers to systematically manipulate machine
reliability and competency boundaries. Complex scenarios that include both normal and non-

37
United States Air Force RPA Vector: Vision and Enabling Concepts 2013-2038, 17 Feb 2014. 86-87.
38
Autonomous Horizons: System Autonomy in the Air force – a Path to the Future. Volume 1: Human-Autonomy
Teaming. USAF Office of the Chief Scientist, AF/ST-TR-15-01, June 2015.
39
Ibid.
40
Uninhabited Military Vehicles (UMVs): Human Factors Issues in Augmenting the Force, RTO-TR-HFM-078,
July 2007.
41
Ibid.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

routine situations (e.g., degraded communications) should also be employed. These features will
help evaluate how human trust can be appropriately calibrated to the reliability and functionality
of the system in various circumstances. Advancements in testing are needed to help ensure that
any complexity associated with the interaction of human and machine team members does not
lower operator situation awareness, slow decision making, or increase cognitive workload.
Finally, HMI must support cooperative and resilient human-machine collaboration.42

5.1.2 Way Ahead


Future HMI must enable new levels of human-machine collaboration and combat
teaming. That teaming should pair human’s pattern recognition and judgment capabilities with
recent machine advances in AI and autonomy. Therefore, HMI must allow strategic and tactical
synchronized operations using air, ground, and maritime unmanned systems.
Near-term goals include: operator supervisory control of multiple unmanned systems;
explicit cues that make autonomous behavior more transparent and support a shared mental
model, trust, and teaming; HMI to dynamically establish human/autonomy roles in task
completion through information grounded in the mission; improved automated decision support;
and multi-modal control including voice-commands.
Mid-term goals include: mechanisms for machines to conduct predictive algorithm-in-
the-loop queries to support human-autonomy dialog when compensating for control time lags
and exploring mission-level consequences;43 HMIs for the operator to interact with machine
autonomy processing for more complex “what if” scenarios; improved cooperative mission
management between human and machine team partners, with HMIs that support decision and
task sharing/coordination; cues that critique, remind, and direct attention based on autonomic
scenario/operator monitoring; HMIs for improved information dissemination and transfer of
control/handoffs; and rapid resynchronization of information, knowledge, and plans between
autonomous remote platforms and central C2 after periods without communications.
Long-term goals include: mechanisms for machines and autonomy to infer human intent
for mission-based planning and actions; machine driven task planning and execution with human
oversight and override provisions; natural language processing/understanding; HMIs that harness
the affordances of advancements in computational techniques (e.g., deep-learning machines) and
battlespace technologies (e.g., semi-autonomous weapons).44,45

5.2 Human-Machine Teaming


Human-machine teaming is the synchronized employment of soldiers, airmen, marines,
sailors, and civilians, working with manned and unmanned systems to create improved lethality,
survivability, and situational awareness. The goal of human-machine teaming is to produce

42
Autonomous Horizons: System autonomy in the Air force – a Path to the Future. Volume 1: Human-Autonomy
Teaming. USAF Office of the Chief Scientist, AF/ST-TR-15-01, June 2015.
43
Ibid.
44
Ibid.
45
Martinage, R. Toward a New Offset Strategy: Exploiting U.S. Long-Term Advantages to Restore U.S. Global
Power Projection Capability. Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, 2014.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

synergy and overmatch with asymmetric advantages by combining the inherent strengths of the
Warfighter with manned and unmanned systems.46

5.2.1 Challenges
One of the major challenges associated with human-machine teaming is achieving the
right balance of the appropriate team members to the missions. Optimization of the tasks as well
as utilizing the current state of technology requires a delicate balance. Keeping apprised of the
commercial market in conjunction with maintaining an understanding of technological
advancements will help to guide DoD efforts.

5.2.2 Way Ahead


The human-machine teaming mission is focused on finding the most efficient balance
between the Warfighter, manned systems, and unmanned systems. The initial plan is to build
upon current possible missions to add more automation into unmanned systems, eventually
allowing one operator for many systems. In the near-term, human-machine teaming will consist
of tasks such as lightening the load that Warfighters carry in special ground missions, increasing
the number of airborne payloads with UAS wingmen, reducing the number of human sorties
required, and completing certain maintenance tasks on ships and submarines.
In the mid- and far-term, human-machine teaming will increase capabilities within DoD.
Further technology advancements in advanced sensors, deep machine learning, and the ability for
the operator to trust the machine will evolve the human-machine teaming dynamic. As
technology advances, robots will evolve from tools into full teammates that are integrated with
our soldiers, airmen, marines, and sailors. DoD will rely upon unmanned systems more and
more to assist in certain tasks (not fully defined as of yet) which, in turn, will allow Warfighters
to focus on tasks requiring human interactions.

46
The U.S. Army Robotic and Autonomous Systems Strategy 16 May 2016.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

6 Summary
6.1 Challenges Summary
Some of the challenges across the themes and enablers include:

 Lack of common requirements

 Need for evolved TEVV standards

 Need for more collaboration across the Services

 Lack of foresight in design flexibility and securing data rights

 SWaP restrictions

 Legal and policy constraints

 Lack of understanding human-machine interactions

 Lack of trust

 Lack of agile acquisition

 C2 complexity

 Vulnerable networks

 Difficult, cumbersome, lagging software upgrades

 Lack of high information assurance solutions

 Need for evolved spectrum strategy

 Lack of refined sensitive HMIs

 Maintaining antiquated equipment

 Affordability of future platforms and networks

6.2 Way Ahead Summary


This document attempts to lay out a foundational path to advance the supporting and
warfighting capabilities of unmanned systems well into the future. A number of the specific
non-technical areas of advancement include:

 Flexible agile acquisition

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

 Architecture requirements

 Autonomous system requirements

 Architecture/modularity design policy

 New approach to TEVV for autonomous systems

 New approach to securing data rights

 Strengthen connections to private sector advancements

 Ethical requirements for increased trust

 Weaponized autonomous system policy

 Information assurance policy, procedures, techniques

 Human-machine tactics, techniques, procedures (TTP)

6.3 Key Technologies


Some of the key technologies identified or referred to in this document include:

 Robotics advancements

 Prioritized common/open architectures

 Common data repositories

 Autonomous modeling and simulation advancements

 Machine learning advancements

 Artificial Intelligence advancements

 SWaP/miniaturization advancements

 Swarming capabilities

 Augmented Reality

 Virtual Reality

 Sensor advancements

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

 Collision avoidance

 Leader-follower

 GPS-denied solutions

 Cyber resilience and robustness

 Information assurance solutions

 Increased network and spectrum capacity

 Human-machine interface advancements

 Autonomous data strategy adaptation

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

Appendix A FOUNDATIONAL DOCUMENTS AND REFERENCES


This document leverages previous versions and strategic guidance produced by the
individual military departments and agencies and focuses on the common themes and challenges
that each Armed Service faces in pursuing further expansion of military capabilities with
unmanned systems technology. The following list of documents formed the foundation of this
document.

EXECUTIVE/DOD LEVEL
National Security Strategy, 2015
Department of Defense Strategic Management Plan FY2012-FY2013, 2011
Quadrennial Defense Review, 2014 (DoD)
Better Buying Power 3.0, 2015 (A&S)
Joint Concept on Robotics and Autonomous Systems, 2016 (JCRAS) Defense Science Board
Summer Study on Autonomy, 2015 (A&S)
DSB Summer Study on Strategic Surprise, 2015 (A&S)
The DoD Cyber Strategy, 2015 (DoD)
Technology Investment Strategy 2015-2018, DoD R&E Autonomy COI TEVV Working Group,
May 2015 (R&E)

SERVICE LEVEL
THE ARMY VISION - Strategic Advantage in a Complex World, 2015 (USA)
Army Materiel Command 2014-2024 Strategic Plan, 2013 (AMC)
U.S. Army Operating Concept 2020-2040, 2014 (TRADOC)
Research, Development, and Engineering Command Strategic Plan, 2014 (RDECOM)
Army Research Laboratory Technical Strategy 2015-2035, 2014 (ARL)
Army RAS Strategy, 2017 (USA)
AUTONOMOUS HORIZONS – System Autonomy in the Air Force – A Path to the Future, Vol
I, 2015 (USAF OCS)
America’s Air Force: A Call to the Future, 2014 (USAF)
USAF Strategic Master Plan, 2015 (USAF)
AF Future Operating Concept, 2015 (USAF)
U.S. Air Force RPA Vector, 2014 (USAF)

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

Small UAS Flight Plan: 2016-2036, 2016 (USAF)


Autonomy S&T Strategy, 2013 (AFRL)
Naval S&T Strategy, 2015 (ONR)
CNO Navigation Plan 2015-2019, 2015 (CNO)
Future Naval Capabilities Guidebook, 2017 (ONR)

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Appendix B JOINT CONCEPT FOR ROBOTICS AND AUTONOMOUS


SYSTEMS
The JCRAS is the joint vision for future robotic and autonomous systems (RAS)
employment in 2035 to guide comprehensive development across the Joint Forces. Currently,
commercial technology in diverse disciplines is developing at an accelerating rate. Advances in
RAS technologies give the Joint Forces a tremendous opportunity to enhance capabilities and
maintain operational advantage in an increasingly lethal and sophisticated operating
environment.
Because RAS technology will significantly advance in the next two decades, this concept
offers broad themes rather than an attempt to predict specific military applications. The central
idea of JCRAS is to integrate RAS into joint operations across all functions by 2035 to increase
the Joint Force Commander’s options. The Joint Concept provides precepts as an aim point for
systematic RAS development. Emerging capabilities, such as human-RAS teaming and
autonomy, offer the Joint Forces potential solutions to the challenges of the future operating
environment described in the Joint Operating Environment 2035.47 As current capabilities are
enhanced and new ones introduced, the Joint Forces must develop innovative concepts that allow
them to combine emerging RAS technologies and existing systems to create decisive operational
effects.
Advances in RAS technology over the next 20 years will produce military capabilities
that can provide the Joint Forces with significant advantages in the future operating environment.
Global commercial interests will drive RAS advancements, changing how the U.S, partner
nations, allies, and potential adversaries employ RAS. A broad range of technologies from
multiple disciplines is developing fast, resulting in advanced commercial applications such as
driverless cars, advanced cancer diagnosis, and complex stock market trading. As RAS
technologies are integrated into military applications, Joint Forces capabilities will expand
exponentially. Some advantages include:

 Ability to learn. Future RAS will learn through interaction with the environment,
humans, and by accessing networked resources.

 Greater situational awareness. Future RAS will enhance awareness by collecting,


processing, and prioritizing information from advanced sensor networks, transforming
data into knowledge for the Warfighter. This will enable more effective operations in a
complex, congested battlespace.

 Enable higher performance. Unlike manned and optionally manned systems, RAS
have no human physiological limitations (e.g., fatigue). This allows for extended ranges
and loiter times, persistent surveillance, and novel combinations of sensors and payloads
on single platforms.

47
Joint Operating Environment 2035: The Joint Force in a Contested and Disordered World, 14 July 2016

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

 Improve efficiency and effectiveness. More capable RAS will be able to perform more
joint tasks across the range of military operations, such as intra-theater airlift, mine
operations, countering weapons of mass destruction, supply, and sustainment, while
improving the efficiency and effectiveness of the force.

 Provide greater flexibility. Future RAS systems will be rapidly reconfigurable by


exchanging modular hardware and/or by downloading new software that confers new
capabilities. Future RAS multi-mission functionality will enable the Joint Forces to
quickly adapt to meet varied or changing mission requirements.

 Increase tempo by operating at machine speed. RAS “think” at ever-increasing


machine speeds. RAS can fuse data from networked ISR sensors, maneuver to an
advantageous location, and act more quickly than adversary humans and RAS. Advanced
data analytics, real-time processing, and alternate decision-making frameworks will
enable commanders to decide and act faster than adversaries.

 Provide potential to generate mass. The current Joint Force manned inventory is based
on relatively small numbers of highly capable, sophisticated, and expensive weaponry
that cannot quickly be regenerated. RAS offers the opportunity to employ large
quantities of inexpensive systems to generate mass.

 Enable distributed and dispersed operations. Adversary technologies will target U.S.
forces with greater precision and range, placing legacy forces at increased risk. Using
RAS for distributed and/or dispersed operations will enhance capability in the future
operating environment.
Achieving the vision of the JCRAS will require a comprehensive and innovative joint
effort that includes robust experimentation, war gaming, modeling and simulation (M&S), and
the continuous evolution of DOTmLPF-P. Developing RAS technologies and understanding
potential Joint Force employment in the near-term is critical to maintaining decisive military
advantage in the future.
While RAS technology will not change the fundamental nature of war, an advantage will
belong to those who best adapt technology to create effective operational approaches. To protect
U.S. national interests, it is imperative to aggressively pursue and integrate future technologies in
a holistic manner, engage in rigorous experimentation to create innovative operational
approaches, and (while not the focus of the JCRAS) develop means to defend against adversary
RAS employment.
Technology development is an essential element of JCRAS, but only as the means for
Joint Warfighters to conduct operations – fundamentally human endeavors – more efficiently and
effectively. The JCRAS was developed with representation from the Military Services, CCMD,
Joint Staff, OSD, and multinational partners. Key members of industry and academia provided
input as well. The JCRAS will be an initial foundation for developing future capabilities to
ensure the Joint Force maintains its competitive advantage to operate effectively and decisively
through 2035 and beyond.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

Appendix C ACQUISITION INITIATIVES


As unmanned systems have proven their worth on the battlefield, DoD has allocated an
increasing percentage of its budget to developing and acquiring these systems. DoD is
investigating ways to improve acquisition agility through implementation of alternative
acquisition methods. The emergence of initiatives such as the DoD Third Offset Strategy, more
and more unmanned systems technology will need to be inserted into operational and
organizational constructs based on doctrine, training, and exercises to allow the Joint Force to
operate with such technologies to achieve an advantage. Significant investments in T&E,
training, and infrastructure are needed to support the expansion of unmanned systems. A key
question is how the military can work with the industrial base in new ways to simplify and
streamline the acquisition process to facilitate rapid development and procurement of core
technologies at a speed that keeps pace with industry. With the transition from a handful of
innovative experimental systems to normalized program developments, unmanned systems are
influenced by many acquisition initiatives and positioned to drive new rapid prototyping and
fielding initiatives.
Unmanned systems will introduce novel life cycle, maintenance, and disposal challenges.
Groundbreaking unmanned systems technologies will require investments across the acquisition
life cycle, from materiel solution analysis to technology development, through engineering and
manufacturing development into production and deployment, and finally through operation and
sustainment to disposal. Requirements for unmanned systems will have to be developed that
provide confidence in systems that interact in human-machine teams, and can learn over time.
Similarly, test and evaluation/validation and verification (TEVV) methods must be able to
handle teaming and learning issues to facilitate assured trust in human-machine teaming.
Processes and procedures for requirements analysis, agile systems engineering, TEVV,
and maintenance must evolve to incorporate these new technologies. Ontologies are needed for
inter-operation, especially on human-machine interaction requirements to avoid operators and
unmanned systems being developed and tested in isolation. Open systems, such as Robot
Operating System (ROS) and Maritime Open Architecture Autonomy (MOAA), and open
standards such as Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS) Control Segment (UCS) Architecture, Joint
Architecture for Unmanned Systems (JAUS), Future Airborne Capability Environment (FACE)
and NATO Standardization Agreement (STANAG) 4586, must continue to evolve and become
pervasive in the acquisition of unmanned systems to ensure the interoperability required to
harness potentially game changing impact. Novel TEVV methods are needed to expand the
assurances of dynamic/cyber physical systems and to assure and quantify trust in manned-
unmanned teaming between human and machine. Sustainment guidance for unmanned systems
acquisition will benefit from system development requirements that incorporate enablers such as
condition-based maintenance (CBM) and prognostic and diagnostic data collection systems.
In addition to the far-reaching efforts of Better Buying Power (BBP) 3.0 (see next
section), current activities across DoD and the Services signify an emerging environment
favoring successful expansion of the acquisition of unmanned systems technologies for the future
fighting force. The Commercial Technologies for Maintenance Activities (CTMA) program is
an Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Logistics and Materiel Readiness
(OASD(L&MR)) partnership between industry, academia, and government that fosters and funds

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

collaborative sustainment technology. The CBM+ Action Group, led by OASD(L&MR),


promotes autonomous sustainment capabilities and policies across DoD weapon systems. The
Air Force Research Lab (AFRL) is engaged in formal modeling of requirements through the
verification and validation (V&V) of the Complex and Autonomous Systems program. The
Army G-8 is working to establish prototyping efforts to permit program managers to develop
technologies based upon approved Initial Capabilities Documents (ICDs). OUSD(R&E) is
formulating a time-phased investment strategy and modernization plan for testing autonomy
driven by a formal study of test capability gaps, resources and methodologies within the major
range and test facilities base and support facilities. The Test and Resource Management Center
(TRMC) is seeking to develop test technologies for autonomous and unmanned systems
technologies through a Broad Agency Announcement (BAA). This list of activities represents
only a cross-section of efforts to innovate acquisition to keep pace with emerging unmanned
systems technology.

Better Buying Power


BBP is the implementation of best practices to strengthen DoD’s buying power, improve
industry productivity, and provide an affordable, value-added military capability to the
Warfighter. BBP encompasses a set of fundamental acquisition principles to achieve greater
efficiencies through affordability, cost control, elimination of unproductive processes and
bureaucracy, and promotion of competition. BBP initiatives also incentivize productivity and
innovation in industry and government, and improve tradecraft in the acquisition of services.
In 2015, BBP 3.0 core initiatives focused on: ensuring program affordability, mandating
“should cost” savings opportunities, incentives to industry, an emphasis on competition, reducing
bureaucracy, improving acquisition of contracted services, and building professionalism. BBP
3.0 provides focus on the concern that the nation’s technological superiority is at risk. R&D
efforts supporting the acquisition cycle span S&T, component development, technology
demonstration, early prototyping, full-scale development, and technology insertion into field
products for the Warfighter. The R&D base is vast, spanning government labs, academia, non-
profit research institutions, defense industry, and increasingly, the non-defense commercial
sector and international entities. BBP 3.0 initiatives are designed to improve the professionalism
of the acquisition workforce to enhance the ability of DoD to identify and vast sources of
innovation and technology effectively.48

Other Transaction Agreements


Other Transaction Agreements (OTA) are playing an important role in the future of DoD
acquisition, especially in an area of rapidly changing technology such as Unmanned Systems. In
accordance with provisions of 10 USC 2371b, Section 815 of the 2016 National Defense
Authorization Act (NDAA), Public Law 114-92, DoD is provided authority to enter into
transactions other than contracts, grants, or cooperative agreements for prototype projects.
Under this authority, DoD can make awards for prototype projects that are directly relevant to
enhancing the mission effectiveness of military personnel and the supporting platforms, systems,
components, or materials proposed to be acquired or developed by DoD, or the improvement of
platforms, systems, components, or materials in use by the armed forces. Within the inherent

48
bbp.dau.mil

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

flexibility of the Section 815 authority, the government, industry, and academia are enabled to
form a partnership quickly and effectively to provide innovative technology solutions to the
Warfighter. The Section 815 OTA statute allows these projects to go from prototype to
production, in some instances, based on the competitive nature of OTAs and their projects, thus
allowing a new avenue from the traditional Federal Acquisition Regulation (FAR)-based
contracting. This new prototype-to-production language represents a “game changer” for
unmanned systems, providing a mechanism that has the potential to adapt the program to the
current state of technology.49

Defense Innovation Unit Experimental


DIUx began in 2015. With outposts in California’s “Silicon Valley,” Boston, MA, and
Austin, TX, DIUx serves as a bridge between those in the military executing some of the nation’s
toughest security challenges and companies operating at the cutting edge of technology. DIUx
represents an experimental approach by DoD seeking new paths to identify, contract, and
prototype novel innovations through sources not traditionally available to DoD. The ultimate
goal of DIUx is to accelerate technology into the hands of the Warfighters.
Seeking innovative approaches to accelerate acquisition, DIUx leverages OTAs granted
by Congress. DIUx established the new Commercial Solutions Opening (CSO), a contracting
mechanism that enables DIUx to do business with companies that traditionally are not engaged
with DoD. The CSO mirrors the commercial contracting practices these companies normally
use, enabling DIUx to work with companies to design projects together, and negotiate payment
milestones, terms and conditions, and intellectual property rights within 60 days. The services
can leverage DIUx and OTA’s to investigate capabilities that have the potential to solve
technical challenges, using agile acquisition approaches that promote innovation.

49
DoD Other Transactions Guide for Prototype Projects, January 2017

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Appendix D OSD INITIATIVES


OSD has supported initiatives defining common language/messaging architectures for
Unmanned Air and Ground systems and a common secure communication architecture. The
following initiatives provide a framework that can assist the services and industry on future
development efforts:
Small Unmanned Systems Autonomy Architecture: The small unmanned system autonomy
architecture, commonly referred to as “Government off-the-shelf (GOTS) GUTS” establishes a
hardware and software baseline for small unmanned systems. The architecture provides a common
and interoperable small UAS that can be designed to meet service requirements.
Joint Architecture for Unmanned Systems (JAUS): The JAUS (previously Joint Architecture
for Unmanned Ground Systems) messaging architecture enables communication with and control
of unmanned systems across the entire unmanned system domain. JAUS provides a common
language enabling internal and external command, control, and communications of unmanned
systems.

UAS Control Segment (UCS) Architecture: The UCS Architecture is a Service Oriented
Architecture (SOA) based on a common data model, service interface descriptions are expressed
in UML model (and other formats), and its platform-independent specification can be
transformed by users into platform-specific implementations. The UCS Architecture is
extensible and describes a multitude of application software services to support current
capabilities of the DoD unmanned systems portfolio.

Joint Communications Architecture for Unmanned Systems (JCAUS): The objective of the
JCAUS program is to create a flexible communication framework for unmanned systems that
improves interoperability, security, and industry competition for the DoD acquisition programs.
JCAUS is based on modular open system architecture principals, and enforces open standards at
key interfaces to meet program objectives throughout the life cycles of the communication
systems. JCAUS provides built-in flexibility that grants the Services the ability to create
communication systems specific to their missions, without sacrificing constrains relevant to
cross-program interoperability and/or industry competition.

UAS Ground Control Station Human-Machine Interface Development and


Standardization Guide: The UAS Ground Control Station Human-Machine Interface
Development and Standardization Guide provides UAS acquisition professionals, and
specifically human factors engineers, a means to foster human-machine interface standardization
in the design and development of UAS operating ground control stations across the Services.
The premise behind the creation and development of this Guide is to reduce UAS acquisition and
life-cycle costs by promoting strategies that increase design and development commonality and
increase reuse of proven technologies and methodologies across the Services.

Open Business Model (OBM): The OBM for Unmanned Aircraft Ground Control Stations
provides acquisition professionals within the UAS community the knowledge and a framework
to enable business decisions that will result in cost effective acquisitions for the Government.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

The OBM offers a reasoned approach by which traditional stove-piped UAS acquisitions can be
broken apart and made open to allow all for greater participation and competition by industry.
The OBM is an approach for doing business in a transparent way that leverages the collaborative
innovation of participants from across the enterprise, thereby permitting shared risk, increased
competition, maximized asset reuse, and reduced total ownership costs.

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

Appendix E ABBREVIATIONS
Acronym Definition
ACC Air Combat Command
AFCEC Air Force Civil Engineer Center
AFIMSC Air Force Installation and Mission Support Center
AFLCMC Air Force Life Cycle Management Center
AFMC Air Force Materiel Command
AFRL Air Force Research Laboratory
AI Artificial Intelligence
AISR Airborne Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance
AMC Army Materiel Command
AMRDEC Army Aviation and Missile Research Development and Engineering Center
ARL Army Research Laboratory
ARCIC Army Capabilities Integration Center
ARDEC Army Armament Research, Development and Engineering Center
ASA(ALT) Assistant Secretary of the Army for Acquisition, Logistics and Technology
ASD(A) Assistant Secretary of Defense for Acquisition
ASD(HDGS) Assistant Secretary of Defense for Homeland Defense & Global Security
ASD(ISA) Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
ASD(L&MR) Assistant Secretary of Defense for Logistics and Materiel Readiness
Assistant Secretary of Defense for Nuclear, Chemical, and Biological
ASD(NCB)
Defense Programs
Assistant Secretary of Defense for Special Operations and Low Intensity
ASD(SO/LIC)
Conflict
ASD(SPC) Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy, Plans, and Capabilities
ASN(RDA) Assistant Secretary of the Navy for Research, Development and Acquisition
ATEC Army Test and Evaluation Command
BAA Broad Agency Announcement
BBP Better Buying Power
BLOS Beyond Line of Sight
C2 Command and Control
CBM Condition-Based Maintenance
CCMD Combatant Command
CCW Certain Conventional Weapons
Army Communications-Electronics Research, Development and Engineering
CERDEC
Center
CIO DoD Chief Information Officer
CNMOC Commander, Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command
CNO Chief of Naval Operations
COI Community of Interest
CONOPS Concept of Operations
COTS Commercial-Off-The-Shelf
CSO Commercial Solutions Opening
CTMA Commercial Technologies for Maintenance Activities
DARPA Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

Acronym Definition
DASD Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense
DASN Deputy Assistant Secretary of the Navy
DIA Defense Intelligence Agency
DISN DoD Information Systems Network
DIUx Defense Innovation Unit Experimental
DoDAF DoD Architecture Framework
DoD Department of Defense
DoDD Department of Defense Directive
DOE Design of Experiments
DOT&E Director, Operational Test and Evaluation
Doctrine, Organization, Training, materiel, Leadership, Personnel, Facilities
DOTmLPF-P
+ Policy
DPG Defense Planning Guide
DSS Defense Security Service
DT Development Testing
DTRA Defense Threat Reduction Agency
EMS Electromagnetic Spectrum
EW Electronic Warfare
EXCOM Executive Committee
FACE Future Airborne Capability Environment
FAR Federal Acquisition Regulation
FORSCOM Army Forces Command
FY Fiscal Year
GGE Group of Governmental Experts
GPS Global Positioning System
GPU Graphical Processing Unit
HMI Human-Machine Interface
HQDA Headquarters, Department of the Army
HSI Human Systems Integration
ICD Initial Capabilities Document
IOP Interoperability Profile
ISR Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance
IT Information Technology
JAUS Joint Architecture for Unmanned Systems
JCAUS Joint Communications Architecture for Unmanned Systems
JCRAS Joint Concept for Robotic and Autonomous Systems
JGRE Joint Ground Robotics Enterprise
JIDO Joint Improvised-Threat Defeat Organization
JIE Joint Information Environment
JRAS Joint Staff Robotic and Autonomous Systems
LAWS Lethal Autonomous Weapon System
LOAC Law of Armed Conflict
LOS Line of Sight
M&S Modeling and Simulation
MAJCOM Air Force Major Command

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

Acronym Definition
MCCDC Marine Corps Combat Development Command
MCSC Marine Corps Systems Command
MCWL Marine Corps Warfighting Laboratory
MDA Missile Defense Agency
ML Machine Learning
MOAA Maritime Open Architecture Autonomy
MUM-T Manned/Unmanned-Teaming
NATO North Atlantic Treaty Organization
NAVAIR Naval Air Systems Command
NAVSEA Naval Sea Systems Command
NETOPs Network Operations
NGA National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency
NGO Non-Governmental Organization
NIEM National Information Exchange Model
NRO National Reconnaissance Office
NSA National Security Agency
OASD(A) Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Acquisition
Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Logistics and Materiel
OASD(L&MR)
Readiness
OASD(R&E) Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering
OUSD(R&E) Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering
OBM Open Business Model
OCO Overseas Contingency Operations
ONR Office of Naval Research
OPNAV Chief of Naval Operations
OPORDS Operation Orders
OSD Office of the Secretary of Defense
OTA Other Transaction Agreements
OWL Web Ontology Language
PED Processing, Exploitation and Dissemination
PEO Program Executive Officer
R&D Research and Development
R&E Research and Engineering
RAS Robotic and Autonomous System
RDECOM Army Research, Development, and Engineering Command
RDT&E Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation
ROE Rules of Engagement
ROS Robot Operating System
RPA Remotely Piloted Aircraft
S&T Science and Technology
SAF/AQ Assistant Secretary of the Air Force for Acquisition
SATCOM Satellite Communications
SCO DoD Strategic Capabilities Office
SOA Service Oriented Architecture
SPAWAR Space and Naval Warfare Systems Command

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Unmanned Systems Integrated Roadmap FY2017-2042

Acronym Definition
STANAG Standardization Agreement (NATO)
SWaP Size, Weight, and Power
SYSCOM Navy Systems Command
T&E Test and Evaluation
Army Tank-Automotive and Armaments Command Life Cycle Management
TACOM
Command
TARDEC Army Tank Automotive Research, Development and Engineering Center
TEMP Test and Evaluation Master Plan
TEP Test and Evaluation Plan
TEVV Test and Evaluation/Validation and Verification
TRADOC Army Training and Doctrine Command
TTP Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures
UAS Unmanned Aircraft System
UCS UAS Control Segment
UMV Uninhabited Military Vehicle
UN United Nations
USAASC United States Army Acquisition Support Center
USACAC U.S. Army Combined Arms Center
USACE U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
USAF U.S. Air Force
USAFRICOM U.S. African Command
USARCYBER U.S. Army Cyber Command
USC U.S. Code
USCENTCOM U.S. Central Command
USD(A&S) Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment
USD(I) Under Secretary of Defense for Intelligence
USD(P) Under Secretary of Defense for Policy
USD(R&E) Under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering
USEUCOM U.S. European Command
USIP Unmanned System Interoperability Profile
USMA United States Military Academy
USNORTHCOM U.S. Northern Command
USPACOM U.S. Pacific Command
USSOCOM U.S. Special Operations Command
USSOUTHCOM U.S. Southern Command
USSTRATCOM U.S. Strategic Command
USTRANSCOM U.S. Transportation Command
V&V Verification and Validation
XML Extensible Markup Language

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Statement A. Approved for public release: distribution unlimited.

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