Candlestick Patterns: Anton Kolhanov
Candlestick Patterns: Anton Kolhanov
Candlestick Patterns: Anton Kolhanov
ANTON KOLHANOV
Candlestick
Patterns
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How To Trade Candlestick Patterns ANTON KOLHANOV
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How To Trade Candlestick Patterns ANTON KOLHANOV
CONTENTS
Pages:
5. Candles
8. Footprint chart and candles
15. Candle models
15. Thinking candle
23. Survival candle
31. Disappointment candle
39. Destruction candle
43. Analyzing the market with candle models
48. Complex interaction of candles with other types of market analysis
48. Trend channel
50. Chart patterns
52. Support and resistance
54. Volume/order flow analysis. Footprint and volume profile
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COURSE SYNOPSIS
chart 1
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CANDLES
1
Candle is a tool that displays a range of price change over a specific time period: week, day, hour,
minute (it can be anything, depending on your choice).
Candle’s shadow shows the maximum and the minimum price of a range.
Opening price shows the price at the time candle was opened (for example, in a daily candle this
price is the opening price of the day, weekly – week, hourly – hour).
Closing price shows the price at the time candle was closed (day, week, hour respectively).
How this data can be used and why is it important?
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CONSIDER THIS GREEN CANDLE
Point 1: candle opening price;
Point 2: maximum;
Point 3: candle closing price.
Through these points you can see the path that the price made in 1 day (for a daily candle). The
upper shadow has a size of 50% of the candle’s body. This shadow was formed by the fact that
buyers pushed the price up from point 1, then they reached a peak price at point 2, and at point
2 the sellers intercepted the initiative and returned the price to point 3. That is, the distance
between points 2 and 3 = range of sellers, these are the prices at which sellers are gathering and
putting downward pressure on the price.
When we see the range of candle prices change, we know prices where buyers and sellers are
located, and accordingly we can use these prices as support/resistance as well as levels to open
deals after they break into one or another the side.
RED CANDLE
The day opened with buyers pushing the price up from point 1 towards the peak price at point 2,
after which the initiative was intercepted by the sellers and they continued to prevail over the
buyers almost until the minimum price of the day settled in point 3.
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3
Look at the red candle in this example. The higher the closing price was relative to the lower
shadow and 50% of price range (high–low), the stronger the buyers prevailed over the sellers.
In order to understand the nature of candle formation let’s examine examples using
footprint/volume profile chart tools – volume analysis of the market.
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v1
You can see the volume/amount of completed deals on each price next to the candle. Let’s take
a closer look.
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v2
Above the candle closing price, between points 3–4 you can see a large volume cluster, and a
small one between points 2–4. This suggests that between points 2–4 sellers have lost their
power and buyers intercepted the initiative.
At the same time, we see a large volume cluster between points 3–4 and the candle closed
below it (this is a daily candle), which means that sellers prevailed in the range of 3–4. The
closing price of a candle is a consensus between sellers and buyers – the balance price.
Large volume cluster constitutes the volume area (definition from volume analysis) and when
the price leaves this area, a trend begins because one of the parties prevails over the other and
establishes domination until a new volume area is formed or, more simply, until
correction/consolidation/sideways trend emerges.
Let’s examine the situation when the price leaves the volume area in greater detail, returning to
the previous chart
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v1
So, the candle formed a price range, in which the volume area with a cluster of sellers served as
resistance. The next day, green daily candle breaks the volume area, after which an uptrend
begins. In this trend, after a small correction, the market returns to the break price, which now
turns into support, and the uptrend continues from it after a rebound.
Consider one more example:
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v4
Follow the logic from point to point:
Point 1. At this price the candle was opened, and then it reached point 2;
Point 2. The minimum price of the day from which the market went upwards to point 3. Since
the previous candle was green, buyers continued to dominate from the day opening, trying to
keep moving the price up;
Point 3. The market made a sharp turn down from here towards point 4, and the sellers
prevailed during the price was moving;
Point 4. Because the closing price of the candle was below the largest volume range – sellers
prevailed between points 3-4. As a result, the price of point 4 is very close to point 2 and much
farther from point 3.
Volume range in the candle shadow between points 3-4 is the range of strong sellers, and it will
serve as resistance for all subsequent candles that are going to stay in this range.
Consider an example with subsequent candles interacting with this range of sellers:
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v3
Upon reaching candle shadow high, from where powerful sellers entered the game, the market
rebounded – this price acted as a strong resistance. As for candle low, it acted as support,
because the candle did not close below it, which means the sellers failed to overcome buyers in
the range of points 2-4 prices. This proves that powerful buyers were there. After the buyers’
support got broken downwards (candle low), a downtrend has started.
Consider example with another candle shape, and let’s scan it with an x-ray through a footprint
chart:
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v6
We have a completely upward candle from the time of price opening until close – buyers
prevailed in the entire price range. Looking at the volume, we see 3 convex zones of the volume
area (VA), in which buyers and sellers were competing. When the market returns to the VA
zones, it rebounds from the bottom up – so these zones act as supports. Just by looking at one
green candle without volume, it is hard to tell exactly where support levels are located, but with
the footprint the picture becomes more clear. Even if we do not use the footprint in our charts,
we already know that somewhere in this very strong bullish candle there are ranges of powerful
buyers.
Now consider this candle in relation to subsequent ones:
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v7
First, this strong green candle of buyers completely absorbed the previous red candle of sellers
and it is very important to understand this as part of a comprehensive analysis of candles, which
we will discuss later.
Second, if we look at a lesser time frame, how the hourly candles behaved at the time of
reaching the VA zone where buyers are located, we see that most of them rebounded from this
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range with very long shadows. That is, we are seeing the same candle shape that we saw above,
which means that powerful buyers are contained in such candles, who begin to push the price up
when the market reaches VA price of powerful buyers relative to the daily candle.
In order to learn how to perform complex analysis of the market using candles, first it is
necessary to study known candle models.
CANDLE MODELS
I decided not to use the Japanese names of candles, as they are difficult to understand and
remember. Instead I came up with my own names, which simply and clearly reflect the essence
of each candle.
THINKING CANDLE
04
Thinking candle is a candle with a smaller body and shadows relative to previous candles. In the
range of this candle, the market goes into a consolidation/correction state, when it is waiting for
the trend to continue or reverse in the opposite direction. When the price range of this candle
gets broken, we get a signal of trend continuation or reversal.
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05
“Thinking” candle variations (uptrend):
06
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1. Upward candle;
2. Downward candle;
3. Candle with rather large shadows in respect to its small body. At the same time, these
shadows are very small relative to the body and the shadows of the previous candles.
Inverted model (downtrend):
07
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t1
t2
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t3
In this example, two thinking candles formed the price range, where its lower boundary acted as
support, and the upper one as resistance. When resistance got broken upwards, a downtrend
reversed and turned into an uptrend.
t4
Here we can see a larger cluster of candles, where the break of their lower range caused the
continuation of the downtrend.
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t5
t6
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t7
t8
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t9
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SURVIVAL CANDLE
Trend reversal model
Uptrend
010
Downtrend
011
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Survival candle – the market attempted to reverse the trend in the opposite direction and failed,
which resulted in a large shadow of the candle. The winners in the shadow’s range were buyers
(in the case of an uptrend) or sellers (downtrend), and the closing price was near the opening
price.
Basically, the market has managed to keep the current trend, but the candle behavior hints that
there was a very clear and powerful attempt to reverse the trend in the opposite direction. The
trend survived this time, but it’s not guaranteed that the next day (in subsequent candle) the
trend will be kept and not reversed.
If this type of candle is formed after the free movement at the market, it is more likely that the
trend will reverse, and this will happen if candle low gets broken downwards (at the time of
uptrend) or high gets broken upwards (at the time of downtrend).
012
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Downtrend
013
If during formation of this candle it pushes off another candle model by its shadow – this candle
will continue the trend.
Real life examples:
s1
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s2
s3
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s4
s5
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s6
s7
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s8
s9
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s10
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DISSAPOINTMENT CANDLE
Trend reversal model
Uptrend
014
Downtrend
015
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Disappointment candle is formed when the market no longer has the strength to continue the
trend or there is a sudden presence of powerful sellers (in the case of an uptrend), which
intercept the buyers' initiative, thereby disappointing buyers in attempts to continue the
uptrend. Previously dominant side of the market, which formed the trend, was disappointed in
the prospects for its further continuation.
016
Downtrend
017
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It is characterized by the formation of several disappointment candles, the shadows of which are
at about the same price level, and the trend continues its development after that level gets
broken.
Real-life examples:
d1
d2
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d3
d4
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d5
d6
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d7
d8
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d9
d10
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d11
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DESTRUCTION CANDLE
Uptrend and downtrend examples
018
Destruction – this candle destroys the previous trend by the fact that its body closes below the
body of the previous candle (in the case of an uptrend), thereby showing us that the number and
volume of red candle sellers are so large that they completely absorb the volume and strength of
green candle buyers.
When the green candle low price gets broken, we have a sell signal, and the price range of the
red candle body is the resistance zone.
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ds1
When the price gets back to the price range of the destruction green candle body, it receives
support from buyers contained within this body.
ds2
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ds3
In this example, two zones of resistance/support are formed by the red and the green
destruction candles. While the market was staying within these zones, it went up and down from
one level to another until it went beyond this range boundaries, after which the uptrend has
started.
ds4
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ds5
ds6
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c1
c2
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c3
c4
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c5
c6
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c7
c8
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c9
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as1
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Learn how to trade with trend channels in lesson “Trend channel, line, waves” available here:
https://kolhanov.com/trading-training-course/trend-channel-and-line/
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CHART PATTERNS
as2
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On the daily chart (above), we see the “double bottom” pattern, and there are 3 disappointment
candles in its left and right shoulders. The first candle, at point 1, created support at the price of
47.10. When the market returned to it and bounced off, it again formed a disappointment
candle at point 2. This candle formed a trading range indicated by red vertical lines.
On the lower H4 graph at point 2 we can also see the formation of a disappointment candle,
which confirms a rebound from support at 47.10, but the market did not go above the range of
the daily candle, as it rested against resistance there.
At point 3 we can see the formation of a disappointment candle again on the daily chart, but at
the same time on H4 we have a destruction candle, which confirmed the rebound from the
support of 47.10 long before the daily candle completed its formation. Thus, at points 2 and 3,
we found proof that the daily “double bottom” reversal pattern has finished forming its right
shoulder, which helped us to predict the break of this pattern upwards with the potential for
market upside to level 52.
BUY 1
Upon rebound from support 47.10 after H4 destruction candle was closed.
BUY 2
After going beyond destruction candle range.
BUY 3
After going beyond the red disappointment candle’s resistance price range at the daily chart.
BUY 4
Upon the daily “double bottom” pattern got broken upwards.
So, by means of candle analysis, we were able to determine the end point of the “double
bottom” pattern in advance and open a lot more deals along the trend than just one deal upon
the pattern break.
However, candles alone are not enough for it to work. Without proper knowledge on pattern
shapes and conditions that should be observed for their correct drawing that avoids false breaks,
you are left in the dark – in a sense that you don’t know which exact pattern the market is
trading in, and at what points it is right to open additional deals. As such, you won’t be able to
devise a trading strategy like the one shown in this example. Learn how to trade chart patterns in
this lesson by clicking the link:
https://kolhanov.com/trading-training-course/chart-patterns/
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as3
On the weekly chart (above), we have strong levels of resistance and support. At point 1, the
market rebounded from resistance 53.20 (trend reversal on the lesser time frame) with the
lowering target set at support level 44.20.
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To confirm the trend reversal from the resistance, see which candle patterns could be formed at
the daily chart (below). We see that a model of thinking candles cluster was formed (point 1),
where after the break of their lower boundary in the form of local support, the market
confirmed a rebound from the resistance of 53.20 and began to develop a downtrend with the
lowering target set at support level 44.20 towards point 2.
When support (point 2) was reached, we could close the deal either exactly at it, at a price of
44.20, or wait for a signal confirming the end of the downtrend. Such a signal was found in the
formation of a disappointment candle, where the break of its trading range (local resistance)
confirmed the completion of the downtrend, after which we could close the sell deal.
At the same time, this disappointment candle became a signal of an uptrend starting, and its
trading range became the level of support, where at the same time a key support is located at
the price of 44.20. We could buy either from 44.20, or upon the break of the disappointment
candle trading range (local resistance) upwards, anticipating further development of an uptrend.
Candle models only point at a fraction of the possible levels of support/resistance. There is a
separate system for more precise detection of these levels, including the possibility of strategic
market forecasting and trading by support/resistance levels, which you can explore by clicking
the link:
https://kolhanov.com/trading-training-course/support-and-resistance-levels/
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VOLUME ANALYSIS
FOOTPRINT/VOLUME PROFILE
as4
The most accurate tool for determining the price where buyers and sellers are located is the
volume. Volume allows you to look inside the candle (footprint style), even a minute candle or
10-second one. By means of volume analysis, you can expand the chart over several time frames
and determine the trend reversal point with a surgical precision up to one tick, thereby
minimizing the risk/profit ratio, opening a deal with the maximum lot, maximizing the profit and
minimizing the loss.
If you use only candles disregarding volume, the stop loss can be 50 ticks and more (depending
on the time frame), and if volume is included it can be reduced to 5-10 ticks.
Example of trading by volume analysis with delta:
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as5
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We have a pair of two-minute “before and after” charts including volume profile + delta. At point
1, a large green delta formed, showing the area of limit orders cluster made by sellers – a strong
resistance, from which we assume the market to revere.
At point two (chart below), we see a maximum growth of the red delta, which shows a very high
activity of market sellers, who, with the volume of their transactions, seized the initiative from
buyers – sell confirmation zone. As the market goes below the red delta, we have a sell signal.
To conclude, using volume analysis, a trader can determine the point of entering the market with
the utmost precision, and you can learn how to do it by clicking the link:
https://kolhanov.com/trading-training-course/order-flow-volume-analysis/
Visit my website to find more tutorials as well as free forecasts for all markets:
https://kolhanov.com/
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