Consumption
Consumption
Consumption
World consumption of coffee is projected to increase by 0.4 percent annually from 6.7 million tonnes (111
million bags) in 1998 - 2000 to 6.9 million tonnes (117 million bags) in 2010.
Coffee consumption in developing countries is projected to grow from 1.7 million tonnes (29 million bags)
in 1998 - 2000 to 1.9 million tonnes (32 million bags) in 2010, at an annual rate of 1.3 percent, while their
share in the world market is expected to increase from 26 percent in the base period to 28 percent in
2010. The projected higher growth rate for developing countries compared to developed countries is due
mainly to higher income and population growth in developing countries, with increased coffee
consumption continuing to be concentrated in the major coffee producing countries.
Developed countries, including countries in transition, are likely to continue to account for the larger,
though slightly declining, share of world coffee consumption. In the base period their share of
consumption was 74 percent, nearly 5 million tonnes (83 million bags), compared with 72 percent
projected for 2010. Coffee consumption in developed countries is projected to grow by 0.1 percent
annually to 5.0 million tonnes (83 million bags) by 2010. In Europe, demand for coffee is projected to
increase by 0.4 percent per year to 3.1 million tonnes (51 million bags) by 2010. The European
Community (EC) is projected to account for 2.2 million tonnes (36 million bags), or 68 percent of total
consumption in Europe. Demand is expected to rise slightly in the EC, but growth in consumption in the
rest of Europe, excluding the former Soviet Union/CIS, is expected to show a slight decline. Growth in the
former Soviet Union/CIS is expected to be more or less the same as in the base period. In North America
demand is projected to decrease by 1.0 percent per year, mainly reflecting income and population growth
in the region.
Trade
In 2010, global coffee net-exports is projected to reach 5.5 million tonnes (92 million bags). Latin America
and the Caribbean, with an export of 2.9 million tonnes (48 million bags), is expected to continue to be the
leading exporting region, although there will be a decline in the net-exports of 0.5 percent annually. By
contrast, in Africa there will be a net export increase at a rate of 1.6 percent annually, reaching 1.0 million
tonnes (17 million bags) and accounting for a 18 percent share of global exports. In Asia, export
availabilities are expected to grow to 1.5 million tonnes (24 million bags) in 2010, accounting for 27
percent of world coffee exports. Export availabilities from Oceania are estimated to increase by 7.3
percent, reaching 150 000 tonnes (2.5 million bags), about 3.0 percent of global export availabilities.
World coffee imports are expected to increase by 0.2 percent annually during the projection period to
reach 5.5 million tonnes (92 million bags) by 2010. This compares with average imports of 5.4 million
tonnes (90 million bags) in 1998 - 2000. Imports by developing countries are projected to reach 421 000
tonnes (7 million bags) in 2010, accounting for less than 8 percent of the world's total and similar to their
share in 1998 - 2000. Reflecting the slower growth of consumption, import requirements of the developed
countries are projected to grow at an annual rate of 0.1 percent, reaching 5.1 million tonnes (85 million
bags) by 2010 and accounting for 92 percent of the global total. Import demand by North America is
projected to decline moderately to 1.54 million tonnes (26 million bags) by 2010. Imports into Europe are
projected to decrease marginally to 2.96 million tonnes (49 million bags) by 2010. Imports to Japan are
projected to grow at 1.6 percent annually reaching 460 000 tonnes (7.7 million bags). Growth in import
demand by the former Soviet Union/CIS, where consumption in soluble form has grown but no processing
firm has been established in the area, is expected to remain low at less than one percent per annum
during the projection period.
http://www.fao.org/docrep/006/y5143e/y5143e0v.htm