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A Project Consists of 9 Activities Whose Precedence Relationships and Their Estimates Are Shown in Table

The document describes a project with 9 activities and provides the optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic time estimates for completing each activity. It asks to: 1) Calculate the expected duration and variance of each activity 2) Draw the project network 3) Identify the critical path and expected project completion time 4) Calculate the probability of completing the project within 35 months

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Samar Pratap
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42 views

A Project Consists of 9 Activities Whose Precedence Relationships and Their Estimates Are Shown in Table

The document describes a project with 9 activities and provides the optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic time estimates for completing each activity. It asks to: 1) Calculate the expected duration and variance of each activity 2) Draw the project network 3) Identify the critical path and expected project completion time 4) Calculate the probability of completing the project within 35 months

Uploaded by

Samar Pratap
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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PERT (Program Evaluation and Review Technique)

A project consists of 9 activities whose precedence relationships and their


estimates are shown in Table

Activity Time estimates (months)


Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic
1-2 3 6 15
1-6 2 5 14
2-3 6 12 30
2-4 2 5 8
3-5 5 11 17
4-5 3 6 15
6-7 3 9 27
5-8 1 4 25
7-8 4 19 22

(a) Find the expected duration and variance of each activity


(b) Draw a project network
(c) Find the critical path and corresponding expected project completion time
(d) What is the probability of completing the project on or before 35 months?
Expected
Activity Time estimates (months) duration Variance
Optimistic Most likely Pessimistic (Months)
1-2 3 6 15 7 4
1-6 2 5 14 6 4
2-3 6 12 30 14 16
2-4 2 5 8 5 1
3-5 5 11 17 11 4
4-5 3 6 15 7 4
6-7 3 9 27 11 16
5-8 1 4 25 7 16
7-8 4 19 22 17 9

Ciriticcal Path 1-2-3-5-8


Expected duration of project
39 months
total variance for critical activities 40
Standard Dev 6.324555320337
Z -0.632455532
Required probability 0.263544628433
14
2 3

5
7
5
7

1 4

6
11
6 7 17
5

17

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