Probability Class 12 Notes - Chapter 13

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Probability Class 12 Notes - Chapter 13

The sample space of an experiment of tossing three coins is S = {TTT, HHH, TTH, HHT, THT,
HTH, HTT, THH}. Since the sample space comprises of 8 elements, therefore, the probability of
occurring each sample point is ⅛. Let A and B be the events of displaying 2 heads and 1st coin
showing tail respectively. Then, A = {HHT, HHH, THH, HTH} and B = {THT, THH, TTT,
TTH}. Therefore P(A) = P({HHT}) + P ({HHH}) + P ({THH}) + P ({HTH})  = ⅛ + ⅛ + ⅛ + ⅛
= ½. Similarly, P(B) = P({THT}) + P({THH}) + P ({TTT}) + P ({TTH}) = = ⅛ + ⅛ + ⅛ + ⅛ =
½. Also, A ∩ B = {THH} and P({THH}) = P(A ∩ B) = ⅛.
The sample point of B which is favorable to event A is THH. Thus, P(A) considering B as the
sample space (S) = ¼. This P(A) is known as the conditional probability of A provided B has
already occurred. The conditional probability of an event is denoted by P (A|B). Thus, from the
above case P(A|B) = ¼.
Or, P(A|B)=TotaleventsfavourabletoA∩BTotaleventsfavourabletoB
Now, dividing both numerator and denominator by total elementary events of the S (sample
space) we get:
P(A|B)=n(A∩B)nSn(B)nS=P(A∩B)P(F)
The above equation is valid only when P(A) ≠ 0. Hence, the conditional probability can be
described as:

 0 ≤ P (P|Q) ≤ 1
 P (P′|Q) = 1 – P (P|Q)
 P ((P ∪ Q)|R) = P (P|R) + P (Q|R) – P ((P ∩ Q)|R)
 P (P ∩ Q) = P (P) P (Q|P), P (P) ≠ 0
 P (P ∩ Q) = P (P) P (P|Q), P (Q) ≠ 0
If P and Q are independent, then

 P (P ∩ Q) = P (P) P (Q)
 P (P|Q) = P (P), P (Q) ≠ 0
 P (Q|P) = P (Q), P(P) ≠ 0

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