Development of Project Risk Ma PDF
Development of Project Risk Ma PDF
Development of Project Risk Ma PDF
www.emeraldinsight.com/1463-5771.htm
Development
Development of Project Risk of Project Risk
Management framework based on Management
framework
Industry 4.0 technologies
Santosh B. Rane 1451
Department of Mechanical Engineering, Sardar Patel College of Engineering,
Received 16 March 2019
Mumbai, India Revised 2 July 2019
Prathamesh Ramkrishana Potdar Accepted 22 July 2019
Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to identify the risks involved in the construction project based on a
literature survey (LS), to develop a project risk management (PRM) framework based on Industry 4.0
technologies and to demonstrate the developed framework using Internet of Things (IoT) technology.
Design/methodology/approach – A comprehensive LS was carried out to know the different risks
involved in the construction project and developed a PRM framework based on Industry 4.0 technologies to
increase the effectiveness and efficiency of PRM. Heavy equipment and parameters were identified to
demonstrate the developed framework based on IoT technology of Industry 4.0.
Findings – This paper demonstrates Industry 4.0 in the various stages of PRM. LS has identified 21 risks for
a construction project. The demonstration of the PRM framework has identified the sudden breakdown of
equipment and uncertainty of equipment as one of the critical risks associated with heavy equipment
of construction project.
Research limitations/implications – The project complexity and features may add a few more risks
in PRM.
Practical implications – The PRM framework based on Industry 4.0 technologies will increase the success
rate of the project. It will enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of PRM.
Originality/value – The developed framework is helpful for the effective PRM of construction projects. The
demonstration of PRM framework using IoT technology provides a logical way to manage risk involved in
heavy equipment used in a construction project.
Keywords Internet of Things, Construction projects, Industry 4.0, Project risk management
Paper type Research paper
1. Introduction
The construction industry has a significant role in the fast-growing economy of the country
and emerged as one of the fastest-growing sectors of the market, as demand for housing and
commercial space has grown drastically. Consequently, the new construction is gaining
popularity over traditional construction to improve productivity and quality. The construction
industry also contributes heavily to increase greenhouse gas emission, which leads to
environmental issues and change in global climate (Wu et al., 2014; Zuo et al., 2015). The
construction industry of developed countries exploits almost 30–40 percent of natural
resources and consumes 50 percent of energy and 40 percent of materials (Bourdeau, 1999).
Comparatively, the same rate of consumption is expected in developing countries. The lack of
environmental consideration in the development and exploitation creates environmental Benchmarking: An International
issues, frequent change in climate and global warming, which impacts on human health. This Journal
Vol. 28 No. 5, 2021
situation of the environment has motivated the construction industry to focus on the efficient pp. 1451-1481
utilization of water, energy and resources. That helps to achieve sufficient waste management, © Emerald Publishing Limited
1463-5771
environmental quality, social health and sustainable site (Sahamir and Zakaria, 2014; DOI 10.1108/BIJ-03-2019-0123
BIJ Zhao et al., 2016). Ecology, landscaping, materials, waste reduction, water conservation and
28,5 energy conservation are identified as assessment categories for a new highway construction
(Huang and Yeh, 2008). A critical discourse analysis approach used to examine the resources
and constraints on environmental-communication practices in four construction projects of
Sweden (Gluch and Räisänen, 2009) analyzed the risks and their interactions in complex
building projects based on stakeholder-associated risk analysis method and developed a
1452 Social Network Analysis (SNA) (Yang and Zou, 2014), identified issues associated with the
overall sustainability strategies for the post-construction building based on useful information
management and aggregation of Building Performance Attribute Data (BPAD) within an
Asset Information Model (AIM) (Alwan and Gledson, 2015).
The companies are investing substantial economies in the construction and other
processing industries to own and operate heavy equipment fleets (Hildreth, 2018). In total,
36 percent of the construction project cost allocated for procurement of major construction
equipment, and it also has effects on project schedule owing to high delivery time uncertainty
(Yeo and Ning, 2006). The contractors have regularly faced problems related to high rate of
equipment breakdown and accidents in the operation phase of construction projects (Edwards
and Holt, 2002; Edwards and Nicholas, 2002). Cann et al. (2005) identified equipment exceeding
the health standards for the Vibration Dose Value included off-road dump trucks, wheel
loaders, scrapers, skid steer vehicles, backhoes, crawler loaders, bulldozers and ride-on power
trowels. The current problems and practices in heavy equipment management have been
investigated and identified practices for alleviating equipment management problems of
highway contractors in Thailand (Prasertrungruang and Hadikusumo, 2007). A time-activity
model was used to estimate surrogate values for replacement and maintenance exposure
assessment of heavy equipment (Boelter et al., 2007). Waters et al. (2008) identified the impact
of operating heavy equipment vehicles on lower back disorders of an operator. The main
characteristics of the heavy equipment supply chain identified in supporting the construction
sector is concerned with procurement and utilization cycles (Simatupang and Sridharan, 2016).
The effect of the data collection period length on the resulting period cost-based (PCB) models
has been investigated and recommendations have been developed regarding the minimum
period length (Hildreth, 2018). The survey shows that the environmental, technical, political,
operational and financial risks are involved in the construction projects, owing to which the
literature survey (LS) has been continued in project risk management (PRM) domain, and
some of them have been discussed in the LS section of the paper. The above LS gives insights
and issues related to the construction industry. Thus, this paper focused on to investigate the
risks involved in a construction project and to develop the PRM framework using Industry 4.0
technologies for increasing the success rate of the project.
2. Literature survey
In this section, the LS has been performed from period 2000 to 2019, in Risk in construction
projects, PRM framework and Industry 4.0 technologies. The first section of the survey
gives knowledge of PRM and identifies the risk involved in the construction project.
The next section provides a basic understanding of different PRM frameworks and Industry
4.0 technologies.
1 Operational R4: complex procedures to obtain approvals, R5: delay in project completion, R21:
risk poor communication among projects stakeholders, R14: loose control over
subcontractors, R20: unclear allocation of roles and responsibilities R9: high target
2 Technical risk R1: technical Issues, R3: lack of streamlined tools and processes, R7: lack of availability
of materials and equipment, R18: unskilled workers, R19: team performance
3 Environmental R6: environmental risk, R15: safety and health, R11: energy saving uncertainty
Table II. risk
Mapping of risk 4 Design risk R2: unclear design details and specifications
categories with 5 Financial risk R16: financial risk, R17: fluctuation in exchange rates, R10: import/export restrictions
identified risks 6 Political risk R8: new building policies change, R13: legal risk, R12: industry risk
1 Top management 3 15
2 Site managers 7 35
Table III. 3 Project managers 5 25
List of expert panel 4 Procurement managers 5 25
experts to give their preferences based on the scale (strong effect (10), moderate effect (7), Development
low effect (5) and no effect (3) (Potdar and Rane, 2018)). The response received from 20 of Project Risk
experts have been sorted and represented in Table II, which shows a particular scale has Management
received the highest response from experts, i.e. 12, 8 and 9 experts suggested strong effect
(10) and low effect (5) on business, cost-saving potential and customer satisfaction, framework
respectively, for first problem statement. The analysis identified a significant problem such
as project risk management, which has received the highest ranking, i.e. 8.5. In this research, 1457
the problem statement has been defined based on the significant problem and discussion
with experts as the development of a PRM framework based on Industry 4.0 technologies.
3. Research methodology
The research methodology flow chart has developed and shown in Figure 1. The
methodology starts with the selected domain, i.e. construction project followed by an LS and
discussion with experts. The literature identified reputed search engines such as science
direct, emerald insight, Taylor & Francis online. Similarly, the experts were selected from
different organizations having diverse experience. The discussion with an expert started
with the question of “what are the problems faced by the construction industry?”. In the
response, experts have suggested many problems and drivers, but in this research, the most
critical problems and key drivers are selected for further study based on experts’ judgment.
The LS and discussion with experts also help to confirm the problem statement and to
derive research objectives as discussed in section 3.1. Section 4 discusses the different
technologies of Industry 4.0-based strength, purpose and weakness approach to understand
insights of technologies and to explore the usage for PRM. The essential tools and
techniques for each stage of the PRM process have identified based on an understanding of
the process of PRM. The link has identified between PRM, tools & techniques and Industry
4.0 to develop PRM framework based on Industry 4.0. The developed framework
demonstrated heavy equipment of the construction industry (Section 5). The heavy
equipment has been selected based on the frequency of usage. The parameters have been
identified based on discussion with an expert to know the risk involved in heavy equipment.
The sensors and inbuild system (On-board diagnostics) of equipment used to collect the data
of selected parameters. In the next step, the data collection plan was developed to collect the
data and analyze the collected data by appropriate tools and techniques. Section 6 shows the
result, discussion and strategies for PRM; Section 7 represents conclusion, limitations and
future directions. In the next section, the PRM framework using Industry 4.0 technologies
for the construction project is discussed.
Is the
No solution
satisfactory?
Yes
Figure 1. Results and Discussions
Research methodology
flow chart
Conclusions
Acceptance Share
Risk audit, Reserve Expert judgment
Output
analysis, Meetings
Avoidance Document updates,
Reduction
Recommended
Actions and post- Project Risk Categories
Tools and Techniques review follow-up
Environmental
Process
Output/Result of Risk Drivers of Risk Management
Risk assessment, audit, Review various aspects
Management Process
reserve analysis Quality, relationship,
People etc. Physical Political
(Quality Manager,
Risk Review Delivery Manager, etc.)
Review Events
Inputs
Project Management
Preparation for review
Design Operational
Figure 2.
Tool and Techniques
(Quantitative and
plan Risk Register
Performance report
Financial Technical Project risk
Qualitative, etc.) management
Services (Training, framework based
Review, Support, etc.) on Industry 4.0
technologies
services with full end-user access for various users. AL is the top layer, where the actual
communication has initiated and reflected. It also provides the facility for data transfer,
processing and analysis. This layer has many responsibilities such as full network flow, data
flow over a network, error handling and recovery. AL provides the information on the current
project status, milestones and deviation of the project. This layer is the front end of the system
where the user can enter and retrieve the data based on the requirement.
PRM process starts with risk identification and ends at the stage of risk review. The
different risks are involved in the process of construction project management, which starts
from idea generation to completion or handover of construction to the client. In this process,
many people are involved from top management level till worker level to complete the
project; different tools and techniques are used to solve the different problems that arise at
the time of project execution and take services from clients in terms of training and support
to complete the project in a given period. In the idea generation phase of the project, big data,
simulation and system integration technologies of Industry 4.0, and brainstorming and
Delphi method are helpful in the combination for risk identification. The user has to select
the Industry 4.0 technologies to collect the data and choose the appropriate method based on
available data to identify the risk involved in the project. If the data are unavailable or
insufficient to take a decision, then the user has to select qualitative analysis for risk
analysis else to use quantitative analysis, which helps to identify the critical risk involved in
the project. In the next step of project risk management, the action plan has been developed
based on a comparison between current and historical data; if the data are similar to
historical data, the same actions can be implemented, else some new suggestions can be
derived based on experts suggestions. The suggestions are derived in a way to
accept/share/reduce/avoid the risks involved in the project. At the end of the process, the
risk review was performed to know the impact of risk on project management after
BIJ improvement; if results are positive, then update the document else revise the suggestions.
28,5 In the review stage of project risk management, the system integration, big data and
simulation technologies of Industry 4.0 are useful for decision making with justifications.
In Industry 4.0 scenario, construction site were equipped with sensors, actuators,
computational systems with integrated advance and intelligent digital applications to connect
various objects present on site, which develops digital networks of objects in the local/global
1460 area network. The digital network composed of three layers, such as hardware, communication
and middleware or AL (Edirisinghe, 2018). The hardware layer of the digital network includes
sensors, tags, tablets, smartphones, embedded chips (Arduino Uno) and smart gadgets for
sensing the selected parameters and for communication. In communication layer, a wireless
local area network, a GPS, wide area network, IPs, Wi-Fi, Bluetooth and Zigbee technologies
needed for communication in the digital network (Edirisinghe, 2018). The middleware or AL of
digital network helps for storage, cloud computing, analysis, computation and visualization
according to the application requirements. Visualization method has invented, by integrating
real and virtual construction, job site objects in a dynamic AR scene in real time (Kamat and
Dong, 2017). A depth-sensing device and color camera were used for capturing an image of a
construction job site object, a common coordinate system helps for registering the location of
images. The CAD data and geographic information system combined to generate the AR scene
(Kamat and Dong, 2017). A conceptual model was proposed for automated data collection
technology to locate construction workers and developed labor-tracking applications, which
was used by sacks (Navon and Goldschmidt, 2003). A system was proposed to automatically
analyze workers activities task-by-task, which uses a combination of thoracic posture and
real-time location sensors data to analyze worker’s activities by encoding material handling,
and idle and travel in various zones, including the storage zone, work zone and rest zone
(Cheng et al., 2013). A labor consumption measurement system was developed based on GPS,
which helps to determine a current laborer status within the boundaries of a predefined
construction region ( Jiang et al., 2015). The above discussion helps to understand the process of
developed framework and method to generate a large amount of data for the construction
project. The next subsection discussed the different Industry 4.0 technologies with a suitable
example of a construction project.
4.7 Simulation
Strength: this technology provides a virtual environment for system analysis and
optimization, which can help to reduce the development time and cost of system/product.
Purpose: simulation technology has been mostly used for predicting and evaluating the
performance of complex and stochastic systems, which is having interactions analytically.
It is also useful for decision making in different scenarios, and for optimization of design and
operations of the system, which can help to manage some risk of the project.
How to use for risk management: the Simulation is a process that runs in a virtual
environment with the help of appropriate tools and techniques to gain the desired output.
Ganame and Chaudhari (2015) used Monte Carlo simulation for risk analysis of construction
building at the time of project scheduling. The quantitative analysis of construction project
schedule is shown in Table V. In the simulation phase, Monte Carlo simulation was used and
run for 10,000 iterations. The result shows that the minimum completion time of the project
is 264 days and maximum time 319 days. The simulation identified that 292 days are
required to complete the project by taking into account all uncertainties and risks. The
results clearly show that it is doubtful to complete the project within 282 days (0 percent).
Moreover, there is a 100 percent chance to complete the project in 294 days (Ganame and
Chaudhari, 2015). This way, the simulation helps to monitor and mitigate the risk associated
with construction projects. The simulation also identifies the risk related to a construction
project in the domain of design, scheduling, planning and manufacturing. The identified
risks for the construction project are technical issues, unclear design details and
specifications, and project scheduling.
Foundation 27 28 33 30
Plinth 33 34 52 43
Ground floor work 23 23 32 28
1st floor 49 55 70 60
2nd floor 47 53 75 61
3rd floor 48 54 87 68
4th floor 48 53 74 61
5th floor 49 55 77 63
6th floor 49 55 77 63
7th floor 71 81 119 95
Table V.
Above 7th floor 84 99 124 104
Quantitative analysis
of construction project Completion of the project 264 282 319 292
scheduling Source: Ganame and Chaudhari (2015)
Weakness: the simulation needs model validation, which can take a long time. Simulation Development
cannot give a guarantee of accurate results; it is a compromise between accuracy and time of of Project Risk
result gaining. Management
4.8 Autonomous robot
framework
Strength: this technology assists high flexibility and versatility for different operations, and
also ensures the safe environment to perform a complex and challenging operation. 1465
Purpose: autonomous robots are useful to perform work intelligently and accurately with
high safety, versatility and flexibility for a given period. It is also used to perform work of
critical areas where works are restricted or unable to deal with operations. This way, the
Autonomous robots are helpful to manage the risk of the project.
How to use for risk management: increase in construction projects leverages the use of
autonomous robots to serve the client and environment. The different robots are used on site to
perform various works such as a concrete distributor, concrete floor finishing robot and
attaching the ceramic tile with hybrid construction robot system (Elattar, 2008). The use of the
above-mentioned robots reduce the risk related to human health and safety, also they complete
the work efficiently with quality. The autonomous robots are also useful to identify risks such as
safety and health, unskilled workers, delay in the project, quality, environmental risk. Robotics
and automation systems can achieve the following benefits in the construction industry:
(1) Enhance the safety of workers and the public by developing and deploying
machines for dangerous jobs.
(2) Leverage the quality with higher accuracy.
(3) Increase productivity and reduced cost.
Weakness: autonomous robots required a high initial cost for complex operations and
structure. It is economical only for mass or massive construction and useful for managing a
few risks of the project.
R1 Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y
R2 Y Y N N Y N Y N
1466 R3 N Y N N Y N Y N
R4 N N Y N Y N N N
R5 N Y Y Y Y N Y Y
R6 Y Y Y Y Y N Y N
R7 N Y Y Y Y N Y N
R8 N Y Y Y Y N Y Y
R9 Y Y Y Y Y Y Y Y
R10 N Y Y N Y N N N
R11 Y Y Y Y Y N N Y
R12 Y Y Y Y Y N Y N
R13 N Y Y N Y N N N
R14 N Y Y Y Y N N N
R15 Y Y Y Y Y N Y Y
R16 N Y Y Y Y N N N
R17 N Y Y N Y N Y N
Table VI. R18 Y Y Y Y Y N N N
Risk mapping with R19 N Y Y Y Y N Y N
Industry 4.0 R20 N Y N Y Y N N N
technologies R21 N Y Y Y Y N N N
have suggested few parameters (vibration, noise and fuel consumption (Potdar and Rane,
2018)) for real-time risk management of heavy equipment and only considered particular
risks that can be monitored using selected parameters. The detailed IoT process has shown
in Figure 3 with the PRM process for heavy equipment.
The IoT process starts with the equipment layer and ends at the application layer. The
equipment layer helps to identify the different equipment associated in the construction
project, and the sensor layer of the framework supports to monitor the selected parameters
of equipment. The IoT framework is also integrated with the PRM process to monitor the
risk associated with the construction project. The detailed PRM process discussed below
and also demonstrated the IoT framework.
Management
Table VII.
Parameters help to
Risk category Risk code Risks associated with heavy equipment identify risk
Physical risk P-1 Sudden break down of equipment Vibration and noise
P-2 Critical damage to the equipment component Vibration and noise
Financial risk F-1 Delay in a project owing to equipment break down Vibration and noise
F-2 Increase in maintenance cost Vibration and noise
Operational risk O-1 Fuel theft Fuel consumption
O-2 Increase in vibration level of equipment Vibration and noise
Environmental risk E-1 Increase in CO2 emission Fuel consumption
Table VIII. E-2 Increase in noise level Vibration and noise
Risk associated with Technical risk T-1 Uncertainty in equipment Vibration and noise
heavy equipment T-2 Unavailability of equipment Vibration and noise
Weight of Risk
F-1
0.5 Weights
0.45
T-1 O-1
0.4
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
P-1 0.15 P-2
0.1
0.05
0
E-1 F-2
140
130
Noise level dB
120
Lower limit
110 Noise level
Upper limit
100
90
80
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31
Figure 6.
Noise level monitoring
Number of observations
BIJ risks throughout the design and development process of a project to minimize the likelihood
28,5 of risk hazards. The effective PRM can be achieved based on understanding the risks
related to the project and their interactions with Industry 4.0 technologies, which helps to
integrate Industry 4.0 technologies with PRM for real-time risk management. In the
demonstration stage of the developed framework, IoT technology has been implemented to
manage risk associated with heavy equipment of the construction industry. The suggested
1472 parameters by experts help to monitor equipment health and performance, which also
supports to monitor different risk associated with equipment. In risk identification stage, ten
risks have been identified for heavy equipment in five categories of project risks. The AHP
method has identified top five risks involved in heavy equipment that are as follows: first,
uncertainty in equipment, second, sudden break down of equipment, third, increase in CO2
emission, fourth, increase in noise level and fifth, increase in vibration level of equipment, in
the prioritization stage of project risk management. Uncertainty in equipment and sudden
break down of equipment identified as the critical risks based on computed weights by
AHP method. The action plan has been developed to leverage the usage of Industry 4.0
technologies for PRM. In the monitoring stage, the real-time data have been compared with
the upper and lower limit of selected parameters to monitor the risk involved in the project.
Industry 4.0 has few barriers for implementation, such as sensor technology, process
digitization, data analysis, fog computing, infrastructure standardization, semantic
interoperability, smart devices development, cyber-physical systems (CPS) modeling and
modeling integration, CPS standards and specifications, automation system virtualization,
collaboration and coordination, design challenges, interfacing and network, compatibility,
investment cost, smart services, product technology improvement, eco-efficiency of
technological processes, global standards and data sharing protocols and security (Rajput
and Singh, 2019). These barriers develop some challenges to implement Industry 4.0 in the
construction industry, which has discussed below in section 6.1, and few strategies are
proposed for PRM based on Industry 4.0 technologies.
Financial challenges: Industry 4.0 technologies are still growing and facing financial
challenges for implementation beyond laboratory experiments (Khoury and Kamat, 2009).
The technology adoption in the industry involves a huge cost of equipment, which acts as a
barrier for technology adoption (Wu et al., 2010).
Technology standardization: Technology standardization is an essential need in
construction industry to implement Industry 4.0 technologies, such as the standardization of
RFIDs and tags are highlighted as a need in construction industry. Goodrum et al. (2006) and
Erdogan et al. (2010) emphasized the requirement of standardization of regulations and
policies for adoption of Industry 4.0 technologies. In the market, there are various suppliers
and service providers of hardware and software with different specifications and
capabilities owing to which it is challenging to develop standardization of technology for the
adoption of Industry 4.0 technologies in practice.
Technology limitations: The main technological layers of the future smart construction site
are sensor/hardware, communication and application/software. However, hardware and
sensors are the most essential part of smart construction, but limited battery life, sensitivity,
low reliability, accuracy and computation power present challenges, for example Yi et al.
(2016) used smart bracelet for heart rate monitoring, but malfunction during site testing and
( Jiang et al., 2015) reported accuracy of hardware/sensors depends on external systems.
7. Conclusion
The construction industries are aligning towards the smart city, and Industry 4.0
technologies have the potential to encash the opportunities for PRM of smart city and digital
world. This paper aims to represent the general scenario of PRM using Industry 4.0
technologies and identify 21 risks of the construction project based on a comprehensive LS.
The strength and weakness approach gives useful insights into Industry 4.0 technologies
and understands its applicability. The demonstration of a developed framework was more
straightforward and effective by using IoT technology for PRM of heavy equipment used in
a construction project.
In the monitoring stage, the identified parameters have to monitor on a real-time basis for
risk management. The risk identification should be made in the initial phase of the project,
which can help the organization to develop strategies for PRM. The risk management team
has to define risks clearly and proactively address risks consistently throughout the project.
PRM practitioners must adopt suitable technology of Industry 4.0 to reduce the adverse
effect of risk management efforts. If industry experts give attention to identified challenges,
then the issue related to data sharing across the system/process would be error-free with
minimum human involvement. Adoption of the developed framework makes PRM more
efficient as all the departments are integrated, and data are readily available on the cloud.
Integrated Industry 4.0–PRM framework helps construction industry experts to monitor
labor activities, equipment and raw material status and safety to complete the project in
stipulated time. The usage of developed strategies can leverage PRM in the context of
Industry 4.0.
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Further reading
Grisham, T. (2009), “The Delphi technique: a method for testing complex and multifaceted topics”,
International Journal of Managing Projects in Business, Vol. 2 No. 1, pp. 112-130.
Nunnally, J.C., Bernstein, I.H. and Berge, J.M.T. (1967), Psychometric Theory, McGraw-Hill, New York, NY.
Rikkonen, P., Aakkula, J. and Kaivo-Oja, J. (2006), “How can future long-term changes in finish
agriculture and agricultural policy be faced? Defining strategic agendas on the basis of a Delphi
study”, European Planning Studies, Vol. 14 No. 2, pp. 147-167.
Sepasgozar, S.M.E. and Loosemore, M. (2017), “The role of customers and vendors in modern
construction equipment technology diffusion”, Engineering, Construction and Architectural
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