Lecture 1

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TRADE AND

GLOBALIZATION. A
HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE
What is globalization • Larger is the country’s GDP, the greater is the
value of trade
• Economic globalization: Increasing • Important to notice that geographical proximity is
internationalization of markets for goods and important (transportation costs)
services, the means of production, financial o Regions close to national borders are
systems, competition, corporations, technology more likely to export
and industries. (Manual on Statistics of o Intra-country trade is larger than cross-
International Trade in Services) border trade
o Thus, globalization increases flows of
goods/services… between countries, A historical perspective
across national borders, longer distances
o Implies
▪ Global vs national markets
▪ Enabling more complex and
efficient production

Trade and globalization (how to measure globalization)

• Volume of world trade has been growing


exponentially over past two centuries →
importance of international trade has been
increasing
• Trade openness index = (exports + imports)/GDP
→ the higher the index, the larger the influence of National economy and globalization (economic
trade on domestic economic activities consequences of globalization: -gains from international
• The price gap: the difference between the trade, -trade, jobs and wages)
domestic price of exported product and its price • Clear statistical association between trade and
abroad economic growth.
o High price gap: world where trade is • Several channels
expensive and globalization is limited o Increasing competition in the domestic
o Low price gap: globalized world where markets drives away less efficient firms,
trade is cheap reallocating their resources to for more
• Augmentation of globalization can be explained efficient use
thanks to: o Global markets allow firms achieve
o Falling costs of transportation economies of scale, the same output can
o Reduction of trade protection be produced more efficiently
Patterns of Modern Global Trade (What do countries o Learning, innovation and international
trade? With who?) transfer of technologies enhance the
process of technical change driving long-
• In goods, growth is mostly driven by term growth
manufacturing export • Frankel and Romer in 1999 found an strong
o Agricultural products until the 80s then positive effect of trade on income
industrial production • Important to keep in mind that even though
o Trade in services has been rapidly trade can generate efficiency gains, not everyone
growing: benefit from those gains to the same degree (and
• Major trade groups some actually lose) Autor, Dorn and Hanson
o Triade (2013)
o South-South trade is gaining in • Note also that job losses in some regions
importance subsidize new jobs in other parts of countries
• Countries tend to trade with their neighbors Magyari (2017) Negative impact of liberalization
• Gravity model: (A facteur exogène) on poverty in India Topalova (2010)

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