Marques 2018
Marques 2018
Marques 2018
A R T IC LE I N F O ABS TRA CT
Keywords: In the context of fatigue evaluation of riveted railway bridges, cross-girder to main beam con-
Riveted railway bridge nections are frequently critical details. Secondary effects, such as out-of-plane bending and dy-
Fatigue assessment namic amplifications due to the proximity to loading paths which in the case of old bridges were
Finite element models not taken into account in the original design, may lead to severe increase of fatigue damage.
Local models
The fatigue assessment of old riveted railway bridges has been addressed in the last years by
Fracture mechanics
developing local models of critical riveted joints that are linked to global models. This local-
Random loading
global modelling approach aims at evaluating local secondary stresses. Former fatigue prob-
abilistic analyses of riveted joints have been focused on resistance variability rather than on
loading/stresses (actions) variability.
In this paper a probabilistic procedure to include the variability of loading in the fatigue
analysis of complex riveted joints of railway bridges is proposed assuming loading as a random
variable. Local finite element models were developed and later coupled with the global model in
order to obtain the real stresses associated to real trains crossing the bridge. To reduce compu-
tational time, the results obtained from these local models were inputted in a Linear Fracture
Mechanics model, supported by Paris fatigue crack propagation law. Monte Carlo simulation
technique was applied to calculate the fatigue reliability of an old riveted railway bridge, con-
sidering traffic records from previous studies on the bridge.
1. Introduction
In the context of fatigue evaluation and for riveted railway bridges, cross-girder to main beam connections are, in general, the
critical details [1, 2]. Secondary effects as is the case of out of plane bending and dynamic amplifications due to their proximity to the
loading paths that were, in the case of old bridges, not taken into account in the design may lead to severe increase of the fatigue
damage. Furthermore, the variability of the loading is not so often included in the analysis.
In the context of fatigue assessment of old riveted railway bridges, several authors have developed local models of critical riveted
joints that were included in global models in order to evaluate local secondary stresses [3–6]. However, the complete stress history
was not included in the analysis.
Refined fatigue assessment of old riveted bridges using complex finite element models is very difficult due to the large amount of
stress cycles required to calculate fatigue damage, since it is a case of typical variable amplitude stress [7]. Former fatigue
⁎
Corresponding author.
E-mail address: dec11014@fe.up.pt (F. Marques).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engfailanal.2018.07.016
Received 30 January 2018; Received in revised form 5 June 2018; Accepted 20 July 2018
Available online 27 July 2018
1350-6307/ © 2018 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
F. Marques et al. Engineering Failure Analysis 94 (2018) 121–144
probabilistic analyses of riveted joints rarely accounts for the stress range variability.
Historically, the economic development has been always associated with the construction of railway lines, with subsequent
increase of traffic, vehicle axle loads and speed. Therefore, old railway metallic bridges, in many cases with more than one hundred
years, have been pushed over the years to carry out heavier vehicles and endure higher velocities than allowed by the original design.
In addition, the cumulated degradation due to corrosion and fatigue, contributes to an increased concern about their safety.
This paper proposes a procedure to include the variability of loading into a probabilistic methodology aiming the fatigue analysis.
The loading is assumed as a random variable. Since the shape function of Paris law depends on the loading, this aspect must be taken
into account in the proposed procedure. Furthermore, local finite element models using volume elements and contact elements are
developed and later coupled with the global model in order to obtain the real stresses associated with trains crossing the bridge. To
reduce computational time, the results obtained from these local models are used in a Linear Fracture Mechanics model. In particular,
several shape functions are obtained from these numerical studies and later included in the Paris law [8]. Monte Carlo simulation
technique is used to calculate the fatigue reliability for an old riveted railway bridge. Results obtained from previous studies on the
traffic evaluation of this bridge are included in the model [9]. The stress data obtained from a long term monitoring campaign is used
to calculate the load function which allows the random generation of each train crossing on the bridge. The statistical characteristics
of the random variables related to the material are obtained from an experimental study developed in other research work [9].
Advanced local Finite Element Models (FEM) models are developed in APDL (ANSYS Parametric Design Language) programming
language available in Ansys software in order to allow the parameterization of the characteristics of the critical riveted connections.
The contact between rivets and steel plates are included in these models using numerical algorithms that allow the simulation of
friction contact between several structural elements. Since it is extremely complex to simulate in this local model all the stress
histories related to each real train, the numerical model is used to calculate two shape functions corresponding to two characteristic
trains with the highest and lowest axle loads. The real shape function (corresponding to all the real trains) has to be related to, or has
to be a combination of the previous referred shape functions. Therefore, a genetic algorithm is implemented in order to find the shape
function which minimizes the fatigue life.
The study presented in this paper is supported by a case study which is the Portuguese riveted railway Trezói bridge. The Trezói
Bridge (see Fig. 1) is located in the international “Beira Alta” railway line that links Portugal to Spain, at the km 62, north of
Mortágua, in the village of Trezói. The bridge was constructed as part of a project to replace existing bridges in the “Beira Alta”
railway line, carried out during the decade of 1950’s, and was opened to traffic in August 1956. The project was funded by the
Marshall Plan, and the conception, manufacture and mounting, together with 6 other bridges of larger span of the same line, was of
the responsibility of the German House Fried Krupp.
This steel riveted bridge has three spans; their lengths are 48 m for the central span and 39 m for the other two spans. The total
length of the bridge is 126 m. Two inverted Warren truss girders that forms the metallic deck of the bridge are 5.68 m height. The
girder panels are 6.50 m wide in the central span and 6.00 m in the end spans. Two trapezoidal shape trusses acting as columns and
two granite masonry abutments transmit the loads supported by the structure to the foundations. The bridge has a constant width of
4.40 m throughout its length. Fig. 2 illustrates the general geometry of the bridge.
The cross girders, as well as the stringers resting on them, were built using “I-shaped” sections. The cross girders are 71 cm height
and are connected to the lateral vertical elements with riveted plates as shown in Fig. 2. The chords and diagonals of the truss girders
are formed by double “U-shape” sections.
The bearing supports of the superstructure are metallic and allow free rotations in the structure plane. At the east support, the
longitudinal displacements are constrained, while at the west support deformations caused by longitudinal horizontal forces (thermal
actions, braking forces, etc.) are allowed.
The stringers are symmetrically placed with respect to the rails which is a fortunate conception option since non-symmetrical rails
normally induce higher secondary stresses in the web of the stringers.
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Fig. 2. Elevation, plan view and cross section of the Trezói bridge.
Fatigue analysis of railway bridges has to take into account several phenomena in order to correctly identify the critical elements.
For example, local vibrations may have a significant influence in the fatigue damage [2]. In this context, for the bridge analysed in
this work, a previous study was conducted in order to evaluate the global and local dynamic behaviour. This study is described in
detail in [9]. However, for the sake of completeness, this analysis is briefly summarized in this section.
Fig. 3. FEM model detail using beam and shell elements – local view above the main columns [9].
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Fig. 4. Fatigue damage index for all structural elements for a real traffic scenario [9].
Numerical studies were conducted based on FE models to evaluate the dynamic behaviour of the bridge using a discretisation of
the structure with 3D beam elements, truss elements and shell elements [9] (see Fig. 3). Trains crossing the bridge at a wide range of
velocities were simulated and the resulting nominal stresses on members were used to evaluate the fatigue damage index, based on
Miner's rule [10]. Furthermore, a monitoring campaign using strain gauges was implemented in order to validate the numerical
models and to obtain real stresses due to the crossing of trains.
Both numerical and experimental studies allowed to conclude that the cross-girders were the critical elements in terms of fatigue
behaviour as can be seen in Fig. 4, where the damage for each structural element of the bridge can be observed. These calculations
were made using the class 71 S-N curve from the EN1993-1-9 standard [11].
4. Fatigue analysis methodology based on fracture mechanics and local modelling of critical connections
The residual fatigue life of the Trezói bridge is estimated in this paper using an alternative procedure to the SeN approach
referred in previous section and applied in previous works [9]. Fracture Mechanics and the methodology proposed by Massareli et al.
[12] were implemented using routines developed in Matlab. The Paris Law (Eq. (1)) and the Monte Carlo simulation method are
central in this methodology. The statistical properties of material characteristics (C and m), stress ranges (Δσ), and initial and critical
crack lengths (aini and acrit) are taken into account to calculate fatigue lives. The crack length variation, Δa, per cycle and the stress
intensity factor variation per cycle, ΔK, can be calculated using Eqs. (2) and (3). Combining these two equations into Eq. (4) and
summing up all Δa within a stress block b, Eq. (5) is obtained. In this context, a stress block is associated with a loading event which
corresponds to the crossing of a single train or to the crossing of a group of several trains. Eq. (5) is valid as long as the crack length
remains constant during this loading event (stress block). This assumption is, in general, valid for high cycle fatigue, which is the
common situation in bridges [12]. In Eq. (5), b stands for the block loading and n represents the number of cycles in the block.
da
= C (ΔK )m
dN (1)
Δa = C (ΔK )m (2)
ΔK = Y (a)Δσ πa (3)
Δa = C [Y (a)Δσ πa ]m (4)
n n
⎡ ⎤
[Δa]b = ⎢∑ Δai ⎥ = C [Y (a) πa ]m |b ∑ Δσi m
⎣ i=1 ⎦b i=1 (5)
In order to obtain the stress range included in this equation it is necessary to implement a cycle counting algorithm. The Rainflow
algorithm [13] was implemented in a routine developed in Matlab. Hence, for each stress history corresponding to each real train, this
algorithm is used to calculate the damage stress function. The number of blocks to failure Bf is related to h[BN(w)] by:
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acrit da ⎡ 1 ⎤
Bf = ∫a ini C (Y (a) πa )m ⎢ h [BN (w )] ⎥ (7)
⎣ ⎦
Due to the nonlinearity of the stress intensity factor, a closed form integration is difficult to obtain. However, for this model, the
crack growth per block loading could be approximated by Eq. (8):
aj + 1 = aj + C (Y (aj ) πaj )mhj [BN (w )] (8)
th
Based on the assumption that C and m are constants, the crack length at the end of the j loading block, can be calculated using
Eq. (8) where the stress function (hj) can be associated, for example, to the previous train crossing (increment j). In this equation, aj is
the crack length at increment j and Y(aj) is the value of the shape function for aj.
In the proposed procedure, the materials parameters and the stress function itself are considered random variables. Consequently,
the Monte Carlo simulation method can be implemented in this case. If h(BN(w)), C and m are random variables, the crack length for
simulation i, can be obtained from.
The calculations of crack length are stopped when the crack length leads to a maximum stress intensity factor, corresponding to
the material toughness Kc, as presented by Eq. (10):
2
1 ⎛ KC ⎞
acrit =
π ⎜ Y ⋅f y ⎟ (10)
⎝ ⎠
The critical crack size depends on the applied stress, increasing the critical crack size with decreasing applied stress. Since the
applied stress is considered a random variable, is not possible to specify a constant/deterministic critical crack size. The integration of
the crack growth law considering loading blocks composed of cycles with variable amplitude loading, does not allow the estab-
lishment of unique critical crack size for each block increment, since the critical crack size would depend on the maximum stress
present in the block, which is also a random variable. Also, due to the possibility of occurring high stresses at the rivet holes vicinity
(stress concentration), it was assumed the critical crack size defined by a maximum stress corresponding to the material yield stress,
fy. In previous equation, Kc and fy properties are assumed random variables. Since the characteristics of the cracks hidden by the rivet
heads are not fully controlled, this equation based on the yield stress aims to obtain conservative results, and preferably considering
critical, those cracks growing beyond the rivet heads and detectable by inspections.
Fig. 5 presents the workflow that summarizes the methodology implemented in this paper to assess the fatigue behaviour of the
Trezói bridge riveted joint. The workflow was automated by means of routines developed in Matlab.
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For each simulation i, the following random variables are generated: the initial crack length ainitial(i), the material properties C(i)
and m(i) and the fracture toughness Kc(i). For each simulation i, the damage stress function is randomly generated j times and the
crack length aj+1 is replaced in aj until the crack length is equal to the critical length (acrit(i)).
For each simulation i, the number of loading blocks to failure (h(j)) j is recorded. Therefore, depending on the information used to
calculate the damage stress function, j may be the total number of trains to failure (if the stress spectra used is related to each train), j
may also be the total number of days to failure (if daily stresses were used) or the total number of months to failure (if monthly
records are used).
As proposed in [12], to reduce the computational demands of the single block iteration, the model makes the following as-
sumptions:
1. The crack size will remain reasonably constant over a period of consecutive, multiple blocks, so that there is no significant
increase in the Ci (Y (aj ) πaj )m (i) term of Eq. (9) during this period.
2. The cumulative effect of multiple random values of the damage stress function can be approximated by a single normally dis-
tributed random value by employing the central limit theorem (CLT) of probability.
In this work, a sensitive analysis on the validity of the 2nd assumption is presented in Section 4.4.3. It was concluded in that
section that the monthly stress block function is sufficient to accurately calculate the crack growth. Furthermore, given the relatively
large fatigue propagation lifetimes of most structural cracks, this assumption seems fairly reasonable.
The random variables simulated in this fatigue damage assessment procedure are the stress block function, the fatigue crack
propagation constants C and m, the initial crack length ai and the fracture toughness KC (which dictates the critical crack length).
Laboratory tests were conducted by Ribeiro et al. [14] in order to measure the fatigue crack growth rates and to calculate the
Fig. 6. Fatigue crack propagation tests: a) location of the original bracing removed from the bridge; b) optical system for crack growth measure-
ments and CT specimens after testing [14].
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Fig. 7. Fatigue crack propagation data from various Portuguese bridge materials [14, 16].
material constants C and m in accordance with ASTM E647 standard [15]. For that purpose, a bracing was removed from the bridge
and replaced by a bolted one in order to test the real material from the bridge as can be observed in Fig. 6a). Eight Compact Tension
(CT) specimens were obtained from that structural element as can be observed in Fig. 6b). The results from these tests are compared
with results from other old metallic bridges in Portugal and are presented in Fig. 7.
It was concluded that the Trezói bridge has similar material characteristics to the other three bridges analysed. Applying a linear
regression to the log-log experimental data from Trezói bridge, resulted the following expression for the fatigue crack propagation
rates:
da
= 4.5273 × 10−15ΔK 3.575
dN (11)
The previous results are not sufficient to estimate the statistical properties of the parameters of the Paris relation representing the
material of the Trezói bridge [17]. For simulation purpose, the mean value for C was assumed equal to 4.5273 × 10−15 [da/dN in
mm/cycle and ΔK in N.mm−1.5] and for m the mean value was assumed equal to 3.575. A Gaussian distribution was assumed and the
corresponding standard deviations were obtained from a similar study performed in the USA [18], where a significant number of
roadway bridges were studied. Concerning the crack size, also assumed as a random variable, several criteria have been proposed in
the literature. Its magnitude is normally within the range of 0.1 mm to 1.0 mm, the value of 0.5 mm being a very common proposal
[19] [20] [21]. The initial crack length (ai) and standard deviation values were also obtained from reference [18].
The mean value of the fracture toughness (KC) was also obtained from the laboratory tests developed in [22] where Charpy tests
were conducted in 16 specimens obtained from the original material of Trezói bridge. In order to calculate the fracture toughness, KC,
from the experimental Charpy V-Notch energy (CVN), Eq. (12) proposed by Barsom and Rolfe was used:
2
⎛ K C ⎞ = 5 ⎛CVN − σced ⎞
⎜ ⎟
Fig. 8. Results from the Charpy notch test of the material of Trezói bridge.
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These results were used to calculate the distribution of the critical crack length using the Eq. (10). As can be observed, the critical
crack length is dependent on the shape function Y, which is dependent on the length of the crack. Therefore, in order to calculate acrit,
several iterations are made using a routine developed in Matlab.
Furthermore, the characterization of the shape function depends on the geometry of the structural detail and loading spectra.
Several shape functions were investigated in Section 4.3 in order to conclude about their influence on acrit and on the fatigue life.
These results are presented in Sections 4.4.2 and 4.4.5, respectively.
In this work, the standard deviation of the initial and critical crack size were also obtained from [18]. In Fig. 9, the histograms of
the initial and critical crack length (using the shape function defined in Section 4.3) calculated with a reference shape function (see
Section 4.3.8) are presented and the corresponding mean and standard deviation are presented in Table 1.
The damage stress function statistical properties were estimated using a long term monitoring campaign described in references
[9] [23], where strain gauges were used to measure strains in the cross-girders in the period between November 2011 and December
2014.
In Fig. 10, the histogram of this random variable is presented. The value of h(w) was calculated for each real train measured over
the time period previously referred. Due to the complex histogram obtained, a non-parametric distribution was fitted to the results.
As described in [24], a kernel density estimator of a unknown probability density function f of a given n values of x can be obtained
from:
n n
1 1 x − xi
fh (x ) =
n
∑ Kh (x − xi) = nh
∑K⎛ h ⎠
⎞
i=1 i=1 ⎝ (13)
where xi are the data values, h is the bandwidth and K is the kernel.
To choose the optimal parameters for this case, a sensitive analysis was made. Since the kernel bandwidth controls the smoothness
of the probability density function, a significant influence on the results was expected. As can be observed in Fig. 11a), the blue curve
corresponding to a bandwidth of 2.08796E6 is “undersmoothed” since it contains too many variations arising, for example, within the
range of h(w) = [1.5E7; 3.0E7]; the conclusion obtained is that this bandwidth is too small. The curves corresponding to bandwidths
6.08796E6 and 7.99923E6 are “oversmoothed” since using these bandwidths the estimator does not capture much of the underlying
data values. This is particularly true for the same range referred previously. Therefore, a bandwidth of 4.087796E6 was chosen since
it appears to capture the variability of the data without introducing discrepancies.
In Fig. 11b) the influence of the kernel can be observed. It was concluded that, in this case, the change in the kernel function has a
small influence in the results.
In Fig. 12, a comparison is made between original and randomly generated values of h(B(w)). An additional numerical restriction
was introduced in order to avoid obtaining negative values. As can be observed, there is a good agreement between the results, hence
increasing the confidence in the probability density function adopted for this variable.
Table 1
Statistical characteristics of initial and critical crack length.
Random variable Mean Standard deviation Probability distribution
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Fig. 11. Sensitive analysis for the parameters used in the non-parametric density function estimation of loading function: a) bandwidth variation; b)
kernel function.
4.3. Shape function evaluation using a local numerical model of a critical detail
4.3.1. Introduction
For the case of simple geometries, the shape function Y(a) may be obtained from literature (for example, see reference [25]).
However, due to the complexity of the riveted joints being studied, this would imply an inaccurate solution if one of the analytical
expressions in [25] were chosen for the analysis. To avoid this difficulty, the estimation of the shape function can be made using finite
element models where the crack is simulated and the stress intensity factors are calculated numerically for each crack length. In this
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context, local numerical models were developed in order to calculate the shape function associated to the complex geometry of the
riveted connection between the cross-girder and the remaining structural elements.
As presented in Section 4.1, the stress intensity factor can be obtained using Eq. (3) and the shape function Y(a) can be obtained
using Eq. (13):
K
Y=
σ πa (14)
The stress intensity factor, as the shape function, depends on the loading, the crack shape, the fracture mode and the geometry of
the solid. In this section, several shape functions were investigated in order to evaluate their influence on the fatigue life.
The ideal approach to this problem would be to simulate the crack growth using a local FEM model [26, 27] and the real variable
amplitude loading from the entire period of the long term monitoring campaign. However, such approach is impracticable due to the
computational resources it requires since a large amount of data is involved and due to the complexity of the local model, which
implies a non-linear analysis due to the contact algorithm used and due to the necessity to calculate the stress intensity factors for
each crack increment [28].
In this section, a simplified approach is proposed to avoid this problem. Two shape functions are calculated for the two extreme
trains in terms of axle loads [9, 23]. Then, a genetic algorithm is used to minimize the fatigue life by changing the parameters of the
shape function built using as basis the previous two calculated and several other shape functions obtained from literature. This
procedure allows finding the worst case scenario within the two boundaries obtained by the two trains previously referred.
Fig. 13. Local view of the cross-girders at the extremity support: a) global view; b) top view of rivets at the top flange.
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115,791 nodes.
Linear elastic material properties were assumed with a Young modulus of 198.49 GPa and a Poisson coefficient of 0.3, in ac-
cordance with the tests developed in [32–35].
The clamping force induced by the rivets was simulated using a negative temperature variation in order to result a reduction of
the length of the rivet shank. A thermal expansion coefficient of 10−5 was imposed in the longitudinal/axial direction of the rivets,
and null expansion in the other perpendicular directions, in order to correctly simulate the clamping in only one direction (ortho-
tropic thermal properties). Wilson and Thomas [32] proposed a clamping stress equal to 80% of the yield stress. As referred pre-
viously, Ribeiro et al. [14] conducted laboratory tests which included tension tests leading to an average yield stress of 410 MPa and
an average rupture stress of 464 MPa. Taking into account these results, the clamping stress would be within the range of 313 MPa to
322 MPa.
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Fig. 15. Local FEM mesh: a) global view; b) local view of the rivets and crack location (one component removed to allow the crack view).
clamping stress on rivets and a friction coefficient of μ = 0.3. It is possible to observe that there is a separation between the gusset
plate and the upper flange of the cross-girders in some specific instant due to important distortional effects. For the cross girder, the
maximum stress concentration factor is observed at the location of the first row of rivets as can be observed in Fig. 18b).
The stress concentration factor was calculated at the top plate (horizontal gusset) connecting the top flange of the cross-girder and
the upper structural elements at the location of the first row of rivets as presented in top of the Fig. 19. In this figure, the influence of
the clamping stress on the stress concentration factor can be observed. It is possible to conclude that the SCF decreases with in-
creasing clamping stress and stabilizes towards a value approximately equal to 1.0. This may indicate that for these clamping forces,
the steel plates and the rivet behave as a single solid.
In Fig. 20, the effects of clamping stress on the stress concentration factor as a function of position to the side of the plate. In this
figure, x stands for the position where the SCF is calculated and th is the distance between the hole of the rivet to the side of the plate.
Observing these results, it is possible to conclude that the SCF decreases slightly faster as the clamping stress increases. This may be
related to the decreasing contact forces between the shaft of the rivet and the connecting plates. These contact forces are localized
and may be the main source of stress concentration.
In Fig. 21, the effect of the friction coefficient variation on the stress concentration factor can be observed for a clamping stress
σclamp = 300 MPa. It is possible to conclude that the SCF decreases with increasing friction coefficient since load transfer by friction
between the adjoining plates increases.
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Fig. 16. Geometry of the local model and location of the multipoint constraints used to apply the displacements and rotations.
Fig. 17. Correspondence between local and global finite element models.
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Fig. 18. Von Mises stress field resulted from the local model superimposed to the magnified deformation: a) in the rivets and in the upper part of the
model; b) in the top flange of the cross-girder.
mixed-mode loading conditions. Assuming at least in plane deformation, two combined deformation modes are present: mixed
(I + II) fatigue crack propagation [40]. In this case, the Paris relation may be applied using an equivalent stress intensity factor as
proposed in [41–43]:
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Fig. 21. Effect of friction coefficient on SCF on un-cracked model (σclamp = 300 MPa).
K eq = KI
3 cos ( ) + cos ( ) + K
θ
2
θ
2
−3 sin ( ) − 3 sin ( )
θ
2
3θ
2
II
4 4 (15)
where KI is the stress intensity factor for mode I and KII is the stress intensity factor for mode II.
The shape functions obtained for two trains (see references [9, 23]) are presented in Fig. 23. The two trains selected in this study
and presented in references [9, 23], having the following characteristics:
- Train 1: locomotive 4700 with 15 freight wagons carrying cement, sand and wood (maximum load per axle equal to 32 ton, total
load equal to 1590 ton, speed equal to 87.5 km/h, and sampling frequency equal to 100 Hz);
- Train 2: locomotive UTE 2240 with 3 carriages (maximum load per axle equal to 13.4 ton, total load equal to 155 ton, speed equal
to 90.4 km/h, and sampling frequency equal to 100 Hz).
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Fig. 22. Von Mises stresses in a partial view of the model: a) complete crack path; b) and c) intermediate crack configurations.
Fig. 23. Shape functions calculated from the local finite element model for two extreme trains.
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Fig. 24. 3D Finite Element model of a riveted joint: a) overview of the mesh; b) stress concentrations due to an axial load in the absence of a crack; c)
final stage of the numerical crack growth simulation [17, 22].
Fig. 25. 3D Finite Element model of a riveted joint with corner elliptical crack: a) partial view of the mesh; b) intermediate crack increments c)
shape of the crack [17] [22].
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element model [42, 43]. Therefore, a genetic algorithm was implemented in order to minimize the fatigue life changing the shape
function parameters. The seven parameters of the equations fitted to these results were randomly generated and their influence was
analysed in Section 4.4.
Fig. 27. Fatigue life predictions: a) results for 100,000 simulations using Monte Carlo; b) histogram of fatigue lives.
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critical crack lengths. In Fig. 28, the cumulative distribution function of the fatigue life is presented. Using this information it is
possible to calculate the corresponding failure probability associated with a certain fatigue life or the reliability index. This kind of
information is extremely useful in the decision processes that the railway administration have to make in order to choose a repair
intervention or a substitution of the bridge.
Fig. 29. Comparison of CDF of fatigue life: a) different simulation scenarios; b) relative errors.
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Table 2
Minima and maxima of parameters of the shape function Y(a).
Parameter Minimum Maximum
c1 −1.93E-04 −4.82E-05
c2 2.30E-03 4.45E-03
c3 −4.20E-02 −4.00E-02
c4 1.15E-01 3.74E-01
c5 −1.65E+00 −8.48E-01
c6 7.85E-01 2.92E+00
c7 2.01E+00 3.03E+00
In Fig. 29a, a comparison of de CDF of the fatigue life is made and in Fig. 29b) the relative error using as reference the results for
100,000 simulations.
Observing these results, a small difference is observed between the simulation scenarios for the case of higher fatigue lives.
However, for smaller fatigue lives the maximum difference is approximately 9% for 2500 simulations. Taking these results into
consideration, the chosen scenario for future studies is 10,000 simulations since the maximum relative error for this case is 2.54%.
Fig. 30. Critical crack length: a) shape function 4; b) shape function 2; c) shape function 3; d) shape function 1.
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fatigue life. Lower crack lengths and their corresponding shape functions correspond to lower fatigue lives. However it is not possible
to conclude in advance which is the shape function leading to lowest fatigue lives. This is due to the non-linearity of the shape
functions, non-linear relation with the critical crack length and with the Paris law [8].
Fig. 32. Number of train crossings in the loading block vs. fatigue life.
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Fig. 33. Histograms of fatigue life taking into account several traffic growth rates.
is unrealistic, because it is known that, normally, there is traffic growth associated with the number of trains in service. Based on the
histograms calculated, it is possible to evaluate the failure probability in correspondence with the value of the fatigue life by cal-
culating the cumulative distribution functions. In Fig. 34, the results of the simulations for the annual traffic growth equal to 0%,
0.5%, 1% and 2% are shown.
As can be observed, there is an important influence of annual traffic growth on the value of fatigue life. For example, a probability
of failure of 50% corresponds to fatigue lives of approximately 60 years and 40 years respectively for 0% and 2% annual traffic
growth.
Fig. 34. Cumulative distribution function of fatigue life taking into account several traffic growth rates.
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Fig. 35. Minimization of the fatigue life by changing the shape function parameters: a) Fitness value (fatigue life) vs. generation number; b) average
distance between individuals vs. generation number.
Fig. 36. Critical shape function y100 for the evaluation of fatigue life compared with intermediate shape functions.
5. Conclusions
In this paper, in order to provide more reliable alternative tools than the conventional blind and over conservative SeN ap-
proaches, Fracture Mechanics concepts were implemented. Several Matlab routines were developed to implement a methodology
based on integration of Paris law together with the concept of random block loading and Monte Carlo sampling technique. Several
influencing parameters were considered random variables besides the stress ranges, such as the crack initiation size, the critical crack
size, the geometric shape functions used to compute the stress intensity factors for propagating cracks.
Several numerical sensitivity analyses were performed. The first sensitivity analysis allowed to conclude that, in this case, 10,000
sampling simulations are enough to estimate the fatigue life with good accuracy. Furthermore, the annual traffic growth has a very
important influence on the results of the fatigue life. Therefore, special attention must be given to the definition of this variable. In
this context, a traffic growth of 1% per year was adopted as proposed in literature. It is also essential to choose an adequate shape
function to calculate the fatigue life. This was demonstrated by a sensitivity analysis on the critical crack length.
Since it is impractical to calculate local cracked models with non-linear behaviour loaded with the real stress spectra from
measurements obtained from the long term monitoring campaign, a new approach was proposed to implement local fatigue analysis.
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Several shape functions were calculated based on the local numerical model developed and were compared with the shape functions
obtained from literature. Due to the non-linear nature of the problem, a genetic algorithm was implemented in order to minimize the
fatigue life by changing the shape function parameters. Adopting this approach, it is possible to obtain a critical shape function for
fatigue evaluation. Since the resulting function is a combination of real, calculated ones, it is also a realistic shape function.
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