Commonwealth Games 2026 Business Case Redacted (2022)
Commonwealth Games 2026 Business Case Redacted (2022)
Commonwealth Games 2026 Business Case Redacted (2022)
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Contents
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3.4.6 Healthcare services ...................................................................................................................... 59
3.4.7 Anti-doping compliance................................................................................................................ 59
3.4.8 Information and Communications Technology ......................................................................... 60
3.4.9 Energy provision ........................................................................................................................... 60
4. Costs and benefits ........................................................................................................ 62
4.1 Financial analysis ........................................................................................................................ 64
4.1.1 Assumptions .................................................................................................................................. 64
4.1.2 Scenario analysis.......................................................................................................................... 65
4.1.3 Capital expenditure ...................................................................................................................... 65
4.1.4 Lifecycle costs ............................................................................................................................... 66
4.1.5 Operating costs (including overlay) and revenues ................................................................... 67
4.1.6 Financial analysis summary (real) .............................................................................................. 70
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Gender and the Commonwealth Games 2026 ....................................................................................... 132
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Business Case Revisions
A previous version of this Business Case was submitted on 28 January 2022.
Since then, there have been a number of developments:
• The State Government has undertaken further discussions with CGF. This has resulted in
changes to the proposal and operating budget
• Further work has taken place on the Games delivery model
• Further consultation with a selection of other State Government agencies has occurred
• Preliminary architect work on a selection of sporting venues has been undertaken.
Any revisions made to the previous version are highlighted throughout the Business Case. Each
section that has been revised contains an upfront summary box which describes the changes since
the previous version of the Business Case.
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1. Executive summary
Business Case Revisions
The Executive Summary has been revised based on the updates throughout the Business Case.
Summary
The Commonwealth Games (‘Games’) is an international, multi-sport event involving athletes from
the Commonwealth of Nations.1 This business case and supporting Cabinet Submission seeks
endorsement from the Victorian State Government for regional Victoria to host the 2026
Commonwealth Games (2026CG).
The successful hosting of the Games will bring significant economic stimulus and social benefits to
Victoria. Benefits achieved are not just for the 11-day period of the Games but start to flow to the
State well before the Games and continue through the post-Games period.2 Based on the
preliminary work done to date, the Games is estimated to drive total economic output of between
$2.6 billion and $3.1 billion (Net Present Value (NPV) direct and indirect) to the State of Victoria and
between $1.6 billion and $2.1 billion (NPV direct and indirect) to regional Victoria. This stimulates
significant regional employment.
In addition to significant economic impact, the Games are expected to generate a net socio-
economic return to Government. The hosting of the Games in regional Victoria delivers a Benefit
Cost Ratio (BCR) of between 0.7 and 1.6 (refer section 1.6 for a full list of the costs and benefits).
Further, there are a range of other benefits which have not been quantified but are discussed in
further detail in the report (including improved wellbeing, improved diversity and inclusiveness, and
sports diplomacy).
Endorsement of a funding envelope of between $2.7 billion and $3.2 billion ($ nominal over six
years) is required to progress negotiations with the Commonwealth Games Federation (CGF) in a
one-on-one negotiation which is expected to be completed by April 2022. This funding envelope
equates to $2.5 billion to $3.0 billion in 2022 real dollar terms.
These are early stage cost estimates (no consultation with venue operators and councils has been
able to be undertaken, similarly detailed site visits and design work has not been possible at this
early stage). Costs will further be developed and refined as the State moves through the bidding and
planning process.
1 Themembership of the Commonwealth comprises 72 nations with a population of approximately 2 billion people, equivalent to 30 per cent of
the world’s population.
2 Commonwealth Sport, available at: https://thecgf.com/news/new-report-reveals-commonwealth-games-consistently-provides-over-ps1-billion-
boost-host-cities, accessed: 04.01.2021
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legacy for the community. The 2026 Games will be the first Commonwealth Games held solely
outside a major capital city, providing a unique status to regional Victoria.
Rural and regional Victoria is home to 1.6 million people (1 in 4 Victorian residents) and over 147,000
businesses. Hosting the 2026 Commonwealth Games is a rare and exciting opportunity to
demonstrate to the world the natural beauty, vibrancy, culture and people of regional Victoria.
It also provides a unique opportunity to provide concentrated investment at a number of critical areas
facing the regions, accelerating the growth of regional Victoria. The Games will provide a significant
opportunity to drive interstate and international tourism to regional Victoria, boosting businesses,
creating jobs and helping the regional economy thrive. It will also deliver investment in much needed
regional social and affordable housing, enhance Victorian Government’s gender equity, inclusion,
health and economic priorities and reaffirm Victoria as a global leader while delivering significant
legacies to the community.
The Commonwealth Games Value Framework (2019) reports that all Games since 2002 have
recorded a positive benefit cost ratio, ranging from ranging from 1.3 (Gold Coast 2018) to 3.2
(Manchester 2002). In addition, the previous four Commonwealth Games have provided an average
economic boost of approximately $1.9 billion (AUD) to their host cities.
OFFICIAL: Sensitive
Objective Guiding Principles What this means in practice
To deliver a Deliver excellent athlete, • The planning for the Games will focus on user experience – from
world-class visitor and viewer athlete and visitor journeys through to viewer enjoyment. Decisions
Games experiences will be made in the context of global and historic benchmarks for
Games and similar scale events to ensure experiences meet or
exceed expectations
• Delivering exceptional athlete and visitor experiences will improve
the brand of Victoria as a major sporting region and set the path to
attract future major events to Victoria
• Delivering exceptional broadcast / viewer experiences will promote
Regional Victoria as a tourist destination globally, driving future
economic growth
Ensure community • Widespread community benefit will be ensured through carefully
participation and designed programming of arts, cultural and sporting events,
enrichment promoting more of what Regional Victoria has to offer and allowing
more Victorians to participate in the community
• This will enhance the social and emotional well-being of Victorians
through increased cultural understanding, collaborative participation
and shared experiences
• Sport participation programs will promote and support safe,
welcoming and inclusive grass roots to high performance sport
development
• Delivering sport participation programs in line with the sporting
events maximizes the number of residents to take up sport and
recreational activities. This builds healthier and stronger
communities
Activate volunteer • The Games is estimated to result in over 7,600 volunteer
participation opportunities
• Volunteering will focus on recruiting underrepresented groups to
provide a steppingstone to the workforce (e.g. youth, Indigenous
and immigrants).
• Providing volunteer opportunities helps build cohesion in the
community, brings local residents together towards a common goal,
and is linked with increased mental and physical health.
To drive Delivered by regional • The Games will be held across regional Victoria and will contribute
Regional Victoria to the region’s growth and resilience through driving tourism,
development growing employment and improving the liveability of the regions
• The Games will grow tourism (attract an estimated 330,000 visitors
to regional Victoria during the games), attract trade / investment and
increase employment in regional Victoria
Global promotion of • Marketing activities will be developed in line with Victoria’s brand
Victoria as a tourism and marketing strategies and directions, and together with local
destination organisations, showcasing key assets and places to the world
• The 2026 Games will showcase regional Victoria globally on TV and
through digital streams, which represents “free branding” for the
State that could attract future tourism and investment
• It is estimated that an additional 1 million visitors will visit regional
Victoria from 2022 to 2030 as a result of the Games
Invest in local capacity and • The planning and delivery of the Games is proposed to be
capability uplift predominantly led by a Victorian workforce with local resources
trained in event delivery to grow the skills in regional Victoria
• This will ensure the event responds to regional needs and retains
the capability to host sport, entertainment and cultural events into
the future
3
YWMCA, available at: https://www.ywca.org.au/news/media-release-new-figures-reveal-victorian-women-face-
growing-risk-of-homelessness/, accessed: 18.01.2022
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programs targeted at groups with relatively lower levels of physical
activity than the general population (including females, indigenous
and those living in socially disadvantaged communities)
• The Games will host an assumed 10 Para events, making it the
largest integrated Para Games sport programme in history (following
Birmingham’s inclusion of 8 Para events in the 2022 Games). This
will celebrate Para athlete achievements globally
• Planning and delivery for the Games will be done with community
sporting clubs and associations, and local governments, to build
capability and ensure benefits are maximised.
Deliver a carbon neutral • Spending to host the Commonwealth Games can improve
Games environmental conditions in the host city (and more widely) across
multiple dimensions, notable air quality, land, waste, water quality
and use, noise and light, biodiversity and climate change
• In some cases, the short term impacts before or during the Games
may be negative (e.g. as a result of construction), but offset by
longer term improvements in the legacy period
• The Games will contribute to the State’s objective to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions by 45-50 per cent by 2030, through
delivering carbon neutral games
• This will be achieved through renewable energy solutions, zero
emission transport options and the promotion of initiatives that
reduce emissions.
4 There is significant interest in hosting the Games in 2030 partly because of the 100th anniversary of the Commonwealth Games. Canada has
elected to focus on seeking to host the 100th anniversary Games, preferably in Hamilton where the first Empire Games were held.
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Figure 1: Timing for CGF selection process
Lifecycle costs of new facilities at Kardinia Park and Velodrome $18 $12
Less assumed Federal Government funding for capital expenditure ($165) ($173)
5
A delay in executing the HOA may impact the timeframes of the proceeding activities. This is not assumed to impact
the delivery model.
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Victoria Announced as Host of 2026 CG 14 April 2022
Inclusion / Exclusion of Track Cycling and Rowing Confirmed July 2022
Updated Business Case #1 October 2022
Final Sport Program Confirmed December 2022
Updated Business Case #2 Early-2023
Athlete Village and Major Venue Construction Commences Late-2023 / Early 2024
Athlete Village and Major Venue Construction Completion October 2025
Athlete Village and Competition Venue Overlay Bump-In October 2025 – February
2026
Test Events and Commissioning October 2025 – February
2026
2026 CG Hosted in Regional Victoria March 2026
Post-2026 CG Modification Works April 2026 – October
2027
Indirect output $227.0 $240.5 $501.5 $549.0 $878.0 $1,118.1 $1,606.6 $1,907.6
Total output $343.1 $363.6 $809.0 $885.8 $1,426.2 $1,816.1 $2,578.3 $3,065.5
Direct value add $36.2 $38.3 $139.0 $152.3 $257.9 $328.4 $433.1 $519.0
Indirect value add $100.9 $107.0 $240.1 $262.9 $422.1 $537.5 $763.2 $907.4
Total value add $137.1 $145.3 $379.1 $415.2 $680.0 $865.9 $1,196.2 $1,426.4
6
Jobs (FTE) relates to average annual jobs in each period.
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Indirect output $96.8 $220.6 $296.8 $326.9 $351.8 $457.0 $745.4 $1,004.5
Total output $179.0 $397.7 $628.2 $692.2 $755.1 $980.9 $1,562.2 $2,070.7
Direct value add $25.7 $54.3 $139.8 $154.1 $175.3 $227.8 $340.8 $436.2
Indirect value add $41.1 $90.9 $136.0 $149.9 $162.4 $210.9 $339.5 $451.7
Total value add $66.8 $145.1 $275.8 $304.0 $337.7 $438.7 $680.3 $887.9
6-year
Description 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 total Ongoing
Net output funding
sought ($ million) - 37.990 241.913 637.661 767.119 1,522.946 21.009 3,228.638 3.479
Worst Case
Net output funding
sought ($ million) - 36.996 209.649 456.984 593.530 1,363.862 19.740 2,680.762 2.319
Best Case
2. The opportunity
2.1 Background
2.1.1 Commonwealth Games
The Commonwealth Games (‘Games’) is an
international, multi-sport event involving
athletes from the Commonwealth of
Nations.7 The first official Games (called the
British Empire Games) were held in 1930 in
Hamilton, Canada. Since 1930, the Games
have taken place every four years, except in
1942 and 1946 (due to World War II). The
Games were renamed the ‘Commonwealth
Games’ in 1978.
Prior to 2022, the host nation was required to include at least 10 core sports on their program, with the
option to include up to seven additional sports if desired. However, this mandated minimum will
change after the 2022 Commonwealth Games with future host nations only required to include two
core sports (swimming and athletics).8 The CGF has now recommended that host nations aim for
approximately 15 sports at future Commonwealth Games.9 In Manchester (2002), the Games became
the first multi-sport event to include para sports events in a fully inclusive program. Host cities must
include four core para sports in their program and may also include up to three additional para sports.
The successful holding of the Commonwealth Games brings significant economic stimulus and social
benefits to a host region. The previous four Commonwealth Games have provided an average
7
The membership of the Commonwealth comprises 72 nations with a population of approximately 2 billion people,
equivalent to 30 per cent of the world’s population.
8
The Scotsman, available at: https://www.scotsman.com/sport/other-sport/commonwealth-games-radical-shake-up-
announced-as-hosts-given-greater-flexibility-for-events-3415251, accessed: 13.01.2022
9
ABC News, available at: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-10-12/more-flexible-commonwealth-games-to-help-cut-
costs-attract-hosts/100531196, accessed: 13.01.2022
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economic boost of approximately $1.9 billion to host cities. In addition to economic and employment
benefits, the Commonwealth Games also provides other key benefits such as increased community
sport participation and elite sport success, the regeneration and transformation of regions and
improved community pride and confidence. Benefits achieved are not just for the 12-day period of the
Games but start to flow to the State well before the Games and continue through the post-Games
period.10
Hosting the games has been demonstrated to lead to increases in tourism of up to 25 per cent in the
three years post hosting, as well as result in Commonwealth trade deals and investments of up to
$750 million in benefit to the host city. The Games also delivers significant increases in Gross
Domestic Product (GDP); Gold Coast 2018 demonstrated the biggest uplift of $2.3 billion, followed by
Manchester 2002 ($2.1 billion), Melbourne 2006 ($1.9 billion) and Glasgow 2014 ($1.5 billion).11
Commonwealth Games in Australia
Australia has hosted the Games five times: 1938
(Sydney), 1962 (Perth), 1982 (Brisbane), 2006
(Melbourne), and 2018 (Gold Coast).
The Gold Coast Games in 2018 provided a
projected economic boost of $2.5 billion to the
State, which included a $1.8 billion boost to the
Gold Coast. These figures represent the Games’
contribution to Gross State Product, and it
includes the additional tourism expenditure,
events, and employment induced by the Games. It
should be noted that these figures likely
understate the Games total economic contribution
as they fail to capture key socio-economic benefits provided by the Games such as the community’s
improved mental and physical wellbeing, improved destination branding and diplomacy, and
increased social cohesion. The Games attracted more than 6,600 participants from 71 nations to the
Gold Coast for 11 days. It was supported by almost 15,000 dedicated volunteers, delivered events
across 22 sports, and broadcasted to a world-wide audience of 1.5 billion people. Australia brought
home 198 medals, the highest tally among all attending countries.12
The direct Games expenditure, tourism, construction and other commercial activity generated by the
Melbourne 2006 Games provided a projected $1.6 billion economic boost to the State. The higher-
than-expected economic return was largely due to the higher number of international tourists. More
than 100,000 tourists visited Victoria for the Games and spent an estimated $270 million. Following
the Games, the CGF declared the Melbourne Games the best ever, delivering improved world class
infrastructure, lasting legacies and a positive economic impact.13
For the 2006 Melbourne and 2018 Gold Coast Games, the State Governments were the key funder of
the Games, contributing between 75 per cent (Melbourne 2006) and 79 per cent (Gold Coast 2018) of
total public sector Games-related expenditure.14
2022 Commonwealth Games
Birmingham is scheduled to host the next Games from 28 July to 8 August 2022. The Games in
Birmingham is expected to bring short-term rapid economic growth. The Games is estimated to
generate approximately $1.4 billion to the local economy and generate around 4,500 jobs. Further,
10
Commonwealth Sport, available at: https://thecgf.com/news/new-report-reveals-commonwealth-games-consistently-
provides-over-ps1-billion-boost-host-cities, accessed: 04.01.2022
11
Commonwealth Sport, available at: https://thecgf.com/news/new-report-reveals-commonwealth-games-consistently-
provides-over-ps1-billion-boost-host-cities, accessed: 04.01.2022
12
T.D. Pham, S. Becken, M. Powell, Griffith University, The economic impacts of the Gold Coast 2018 Commonwealth
Games – 2018 Post-Games Report, November 2018
13
Sport and Recreation Victoria, available at: https://sport.vic.gov.au/our-work/events/commonwealth-games-legacy,
accessed 04.01.2022
14
PWC, The Commonwealth Games Federation, Commonwealth Games Value Framework, December 2019
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due to the driving effect of the event on national sports and fitness, it is expected to save the
Birmingham economy $14.3 billion in medical insurance funds over the next ten years. 15
Commonwealth Games Federation (CGF)
The CGF is the organisation responsible for the direction and control of the Commonwealth Games
and the Commonwealth Youth Games. The CGF is also responsible for delivering on the vision of
the Commonwealth Sports Movement, which is to build peaceful, sustainable, and prosperous
communities globally by inspiring Commonwealth Athletes to drive the impact and ambition of all
Commonwealth Citizens through Sport. Although the CGF is headquartered in the UK, it works
across 72 member nations and territories.
Discussions to date
Business Case Revisions
Revisions were made to the following Section given progress in negotiations.
In a normal bidding process, the CGF would prepare a list of its requirements and conditions in bid
documents for potential host cities and these would be put out to the market. Multiple cities/regions
would then prepare formal bid responses and the CGF would review these and make an
announcement of the preferred host city.
As the CGF would like to have a host city confirmed by the Birmingham Games (in July 2022) there is
a significantly restricted timeframe and a typical ‘bidding process’ will not be followed. Visit Victoria
met with the CGF in November 2021 to discuss the opportunity for regional Victoria to host the 2026
Games. In December 2021, Visit Victoria secured an exclusivity agreement with the CGF stating that
no other region could provide CGF with an offer to host the 2026 Games prior to 31 January 2022.
On 28 January 2022, Visit Victoria and DJPR submitted an initial version of this Business Case to the
State Government. The Business Case provided an assessment of the costs and benefits of the
Games to Victoria. This enabled the Government to determine whether they should proceed with
securing the Games. Following the Business Case submission, a pre-emptive offer which included a
MOU and draft HOA was submitted to the CGF.
In preparation for the final Host Contract between Victoria and CGF, there is now significant and
ongoing negotiation between the State of Victoria and CGF on the terms, responsibilities and rights of
Victoria in hosting the Games. These negotiations will continue until 14 April 2022 when the Host
Contract is executed. Material matters will be settled before submission of the Proposal.
Victoria is working from a strong negotiating position enabling us to tailor the hosting of the games
(including the sports program, locations, governance, accommodation and operation of the Games) to
15
University of Birmingham, The 2022 Birmingham Commonwealth Games and potential economic benefits, September
2021
16
There is significant interest in hosting the Games in 2030 partly because of the 100th anniversary of the
Commonwealth Games. Canada has elected to focus on seeking to host the 100th anniversary Games, preferably in
Hamilton where the first Empire Games were held.
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deliver the greatest value for money and benefits to Victoria. There is an opportunity for Victoria to
radically change the way host cities deliver the games and through this maximise the social and
economic benefits to Victoria and regional Victoria
If the State decides that it does not in fact want to host the 2026 Games, it can withdraw prior to the
provision of the Proposal to the CGF on the 15 March 2022.
• The number of compulsory sports has been reduced from 16 to two. Athletics and swimming
will be the only compulsory sports at the 2026 and 2030 Commonwealth Games as hosts are
afforded greater flexibility in choosing a suitable programme for their audience and budget
• An integrated Para sport programme must remain a key, focal part of the Games
• Future potential hosts would be encouraged to consider alternative Athlete Village solutions,
rather than being required to accommodate athletes in a new build environment or on a single
site
17
Sports Promedia, Commonwealth Games set to downsize after Birmingham 2022, available at:
https://www.sportspromedia.com/news/commonwealth-games-downsize-birmingham-2022-louise-martin-host/,
accessed: 04.02.2022
18
Commonwealth Sport, Transformation 2022 Refresh – Strategic Plan (2019-2022)
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• International Federations would be encouraged to propose new innovations and
sports/disciplines to drive growth and youth engagement
• The Federation will continue to prioritise sustainability, social purpose and legacy planning as
part of discussions with potential hosts
• Hosts would be encouraged to consider mass participation events as part of their health and
well-being programmes.
Hosting requirements / Regional Victoria 2026 Games (aligned with the 2026/2030 Strategic
Area trends – Pre 2022 Roadmap recommendations)
Sport program The host city must • The sports program proposed is tailored to meet the needs of
provide 16 compulsory the Australian audience whilst being of interest to major
sports19 broadcast markets
• The sports program will not include Indoor Cycling which has
featured in every Games since 1934, as Victoria does not have
an indoor cycling venue in regional Victoria and there is not a
need for one. However, it will include Road Cycling tour across
regional Victoria
• The sports program will not include Judo and Wrestling which
were previously considered compulsory sports.
• Netball Fast 5, Para Tennis and Golf (men’s, women’s and
teams) will be played at the Games for the first time
• Rowing will be held for the first time since 1986
Accommodation The host city must • The 2026 Games will place athlete accommodation in four
provide a centralised dispersed accommodation hubs in Geelong, Ballarat, Bendigo
athlete and Gippsland
accommodation • Following the games, 20 to 30 per cent of the accommodation
will be provided as affordable / social housing stock to assist
with the high demand of social housing
• The accommodation hubs will be within a reasonable distance
to their competition and training venues
Local skills Skilled migrants are • The planning and delivery of the Games is proposed to be
relocating from predominantly led by a Victorian workforce to ensure the event
overseas to the host responds to regional needs and retains the capability to host
city for two to three sport, entertainment and cultural events into the future
years before departing • Capability development will occur alongside Games planning to
for the next major ensure that jobs created result in ongoing employment –
event particularly for regional areas. This will help achieve legacy
social benefits (e.g. skills and employment).
19
Aquatics (including Para), Athletics (including Para), Badminton, Cycling (Road), Boxing, Gymnastics (Artistic),
Hockey (Men and Women), Judo, Lawn Bowls (including Para), Netball (Women), Rugby Sevens (Men & Women),
Squash, Table Tennis, Triathlon, Weightlifting, Powerlifting (Para), and Wrestling (Freestyle).
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2.3 Why should Government be involved?
2.3.1 The need for Government investment
Hosting the Games accelerates and otherwise enhances spending by Governments to support their
wider objectives. This has encouraged public investment in the Games over the past number of years,
with Governments contributing discretionary operating expenditures to meet their legacy objectives.
For previous Games, resources have been committed to ancillary initiatives such as business, cultural
and community sports programmes and events to enhance the attractiveness of the city to visitors
and sponsors and to boost the legacy benefits from volunteering and increased community sports
participation. This expenditure has been funded mainly by local government and the state/regional
government across the Games, often by re-directing or re-purposing of existing budgets.
In addition, the host cities have been able to accelerate or enhance capital investment in infrastructure
related projects to achieve wider objectives. Similar to discretionary operating expenditure, more often
these are funded from re-directing/re-purposing existing city/regional/federal budgets.
The 2026 Games provides a unique opportunity to accelerate multiple existing Victorian Government
policy objectives such as increasing access to accommodation, driving employment in regional areas,
improving participation in sport and increasing tourism. These are outlined further in Section 2.3.3.
Victoria’s economy has suffered significantly as a result of COVID-19 impacts, with business closures
and unemployment experienced across the State. These economic impacts along with heightened
uncertainty surrounding COVID-19 has also impacted the mental health and wellbeing of Victorians.
The State Government is focusing on a range of measures to combat these issues, targeting
government policies towards economic growth and improving the health and wellbeing of Victorians.
The size and scope of the Games 2026 provides a unique opportunity to target this investment at a
number of critical areas (including jobs, health and wellbeing, accommodation and tourism),
accelerating recovery across Victoria.
The Games is not just a celebration of athletic performance, a Commonwealth Games celebrates a
region and it various cultures and brings together communities. In addition to driving tourism, the
Games can bring together communities, reduce inequality and drive diversity and inclusion through
sport and culture.
The return on public sector investment to host the Commonwealth Games has ranged from 1.3 (Gold
Coast 2018) to 3.2 (Manchester 2002).20 This Business Case estimates that the 2026 Games will
result in a return on investment from between 0.7 to 1.6 to the State of Victoria.
The Business Case also estimated the economic impact of the 2026 Games on Victoria and regional
Victoria. It estimated that the 2026 Games would result in the following benefits to Victoria (from 2022
to 2030):
• $3.07 billion in additional Total Output (including $1.91 billion Indirect Output)
• $1.43 billion in additional Total Value-Add (including $907.4 million Indirect Value-Add)
• Support 560 FTEs before the Games, 3,879 FTEs during the Games and 3,064 FTEs after the
Games.
20
PWC and CGF, Commonwealth Games Value Framework, 2019
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Business Case Revisions
Revisions were made to the following Section given updates to the economic analysis and CBA.
The 2026 Games will be held across regional Victoria and will contribute to the region’s growth and
resilience to withstand future economic shocks. DJPR’s draft Regional Economic Development
Strategies for Barwon, Loddon Campaspe, Central Highlands and Gippsland, where the majority of
the sport program will be held, all identify improvements to the visitor economy playing a key role in
supporting the regions’ economic development.
Rural and regional Victoria is home to 1.6 million people, or 1 in 4, of Victoria’s residents and over
147,000 businesses. Prior to COVID-19, tourism was a key driving force for growth in regional
Victoria, attracting visitors from interstate and overseas, leading to significant investment in the
regions.21
Total tourism expenditure across Victoria was $12.8 billion in the year ending June 2021, representing
a significant decline of 50 per cent or a loss of $12.7 billion compared to the year ending June 2020,
due to the dual crises of bushfires and coronavirus (COVID-19).22 The events of 2020 and 2021 will
likely be felt for years to come, as the reluctancy to travel
remains. “Attracting and facilitating new
investment and business growth
As Melbourne is more dependent than the regions on the opportunities across regional and
international market and major events calendar, it is rural Victoria to increase jobs,
assumed that regional Victoria may recover more quickly strengthen local economies and
build thriving, vibrant and inclusive
than Melbourne because of its appeal to the domestic market.
communities is a strategic priority.”
However, regions with a high dependence on tourism will continue
to be affected if key products, services and events are not DJPR’s Strategic Plan
available.23
Across Australia, there is increased competition from other Australian destinations for visitor spend
with other states investing heavily to develop distinct brands. In order to compete with other states,
retain Victoria’s tourism brand and rebuild the regions, Victoria needs to continually invest Victoria’s
tourism offering. 24
The Games 2026 event will result in significant tourism growth to regional Victoria during the Games
and for years following the Games, aiding in the regions’ recovery.
It estimated that the 2026 Games would result in the following benefits to regional Victoria (from 2022
to 2030):
• $2.07 billion in additional Total Output (including $1.00 billion Indirect Output)
• $887.9 million in additional Total Value-Add (including $451.7 million Indirect Value-Add)
• Support 545 FTEs before the Games, 3,256 FTEs during the Games and 1,892 FTEs after the
Games.
21
Department of Environment, Land, Water and Planning, Population and Housing in Regional Victoria 2020, available
at: https://www.planning.vic.gov.au/ data/assets/pdf_file/0035/469178/Population-and-Housing-June-2020.pdf,
accessed: 13.01.2022
22
DJPR, Economic value of tourism, available at: https://djpr.vic.gov.au/what-we-do/events-and-tourism/visitor-
economy/economic-value-of-
tourism#:~:text=Total%20tourism%20expenditure%20in%20Victoria,devastating%20impact%20on%20the%20visitor,
accessed: 20.01.2022
23
DJPR, 2021 – 2025 Strategic Plan
24
DJPR, 2021 – 2025 Strategic Plan
Regional Victoria - Commonwealth Games 2026 Business Case Page 26
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Table 10: Summary of Policy Intent and Opportunity relevant to the Commonwealth Games
25
This strategy is currently being refreshed
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Gender Equality and Social • Across the gender equality and social • Victoria, through the delivery of the Games, has the opportunity to promote
Inclusion inclusion policies, access and gender and social inclusion through participation and advocacy opportunities
• Change Our Game participation is a key theme. All across the Game by embedding diversity and inclusion as a key principle of the
acknowledge the role of sport in Games
• Australia’s Disability Strategy providing safe spaces for marginalised
2021-2031 • As set out in Victoria’s LGBTIQ+ Strategy, sports settings are important
communities to connect, and as a community locations for building connection and inclusion, promoting LGBTIQ+
• Victoria’s LGBTIQ+ Strategy platform for social issues. inclusion and visibility, and celebrating individual contributions and community
(in consultation) strengths
• Hosting of the Games aligns to Policy Priority 3 of Australia’s Disability Strategy
where ‘People with disability are able to fully participate in social, recreational,
sporting, religious and cultural life’. The Games will be accessible to all and move
beyond physical accessibility providing easily accessible information about
community services, events and facilities, and providing low sensory spaces to
help support the inclusion of people with disabilities.
Social Procurement • Victoria’s social procurement framework • The Games procurement will target women led and Indigenous businesses as
• Victorian Social Procurement and local jobs first initiative aims to well as social enterprises
Framework promote sustainable Victorian regions, • The Games represent a significant direct and indirect opportunity for small to
and opportunities for marginalised and medium regional enterprises to supply a range of goods and services to the
• Local Jobs First Initiative disadvantaged Victorians. Games.
On 28 January 2022, Visit Victoria and DJPR submitted an initial version of this Business Case to the
State Government. The Business Case provided an assessment of the costs and benefits of the
Games to Victoria. This enabled the Government to determine whether they should proceed with
securing the Games. Following the Business Case submission and Expenditure Review Committee
(ERC) approval, a pre-emptive offer which included a MOU and draft HOA was submitted to the CGF.
In preparation for the final Host Contract between Victoria and CGF, there is now significant and
ongoing negotiation between the State of Victoria and CGF on the terms, responsibilities and rights of
Victoria in hosting the Games. These negotiations will continue until 14 April 2022 when the Host
Contract is executed. Material matters will be settled before submission of the Proposal
If the State decides that it does not in fact want to host the 2026 Games, it can withdraw prior to the
provision of the Proposal to the CGF on the 15 March 2022.
Below is a summary of the key milestones and decision points to secure the 2026 Games in regional
Victoria.
The proposed timeframe and milestones are presented below.26
Table 11: timeframe and milestones
26
A delay in executing the HOA may impact the timeframes of the proceeding activities. This is not assumed to impact
the delivery model.
Regional Victoria - Commonwealth Games 2026 Business Case Page 32
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Inclusion / Exclusion of Track Cycling and Rowing Confirmed July 2022
Updated Business Case #1 October 2022
Final Sport Program Confirmed December 2022
Updated Business Case #2 Early-2023
Athlete Village and Major Venue Construction Commences Late-2023 / Early 2024
Athlete Village and Major Venue Construction Completion October 2025
Athlete Village and Competition Venue Overlay Bump-In October 2025 – February 2026
Test Events and Commissioning October 2025 – February 2026
2026 CG Hosted in Regional Victoria March 2026
Post-2026 CG Modification Works April 2026 – October 2027
3. Recommended solution
3.1 Base Case
Under the Base Case, it is assumed that regional Victoria does not proceed with the offer to host the
2026 Games. Under the Base Case the following would still occur:
• Existing committed regional sports
• Government’s Big Build – social housing investment
The Victorian Government’s Vision for a regional Victoria Games in 2026, is “a world-class
Commonwealth Games delivered in regional Victoria that leaves a valuable legacy for our
State”. This is proposed to be driven through the following Goals:
Delivering a ‘world-class games’ – Providing an exceptional experience for athletes, visitors,
viewers and volunteers through the inspirational and connecting power of sport
Driving regional development – The Games will be owned and delivered by regional Victoria,
building local capacity and showcasing our regions to the world
Creating a valuable legacy - The Games will enrich Victorians through lasting and financially
responsible investments in local infrastructure, sport, tourism, sustainability and social opportunity
across our communities.
The Framework for delivering the Vision and Goals was developed by DJPR, considering the
following factors:
• The current and future needs of Victorians and the regions
• The legacy outcomes and achievements from historic Commonwealth Games
• The key requirements of the CGF
• The Framework for delivering the Vision and Goals is outlined in Figure 4 below.
27
Department of Health London, A systematic review of the evidence base for developing a physical activity and health
legacy from the London 2012 Olympic and Paralympic games, 2009
29
YWMCA, available at: https://www.ywca.org.au/news/media-release-new-figures-reveal-victorian-women-face-
growing-risk-of-homelessness/, accessed: 18.01.2022
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C. Sporting participation and • The Games will act as a vehicle to increase participation
achievement in sport across Victoria, as evidenced through previous
Sport in Victoria – both community Commonwealth Games outcomes.
sport and our professional sporting • Sport participation programs will be delivered alongside
sector – will be measurably the Games to ensure maximum community engagement.
strengthened as a result of hosting This includes programs targeted at groups with relatively
the Games. lower levels of physical activity than the general
population (including females, indigenous and those
living in socially disadvantaged communities)
• The Games will host 10 Para events, making it the
largest integrated Para Games sport programme in
history (following Birmingham’s inclusion of eight Para
events in the 2022 Games). This will celebrate Para
athletes achievement globally
• Planning and delivery for the Games will be done with
community sporting clubs and associations, and local
governments, to build capability and ensure benefits are
maximised
D. Carbon Neutral Games • Spending to host the Commonwealth Games can
Hosting the 2026 Games will be improve environmental conditions in the host city (and
environmentally sustainable and more widely) across multiple dimensions, notable air
carbon neutral. quality, land, waste, water quality and use, noise and
light, biodiversity and climate change
• In some cases, the short term impacts before or during
the Games may be negative (e.g. as a result of
construction), but offset by longer term improvements in
the legacy period
• The Games will contribute to the State’s objective to
reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 45-50 per cent by
2030, through delivering carbon neutral games
• This will be achieved through renewable energy
solutions, zero emission transport options and the
promotion of initiatives that reduce emissions.
30
Note that most ‘sports’ have a number of disciplines. Each discipline is counted as a separate event. For example,
shooting is one sport with four events i.e. Full Bore, Small Bore, Pistol and Clay Target.
Regional Victoria - Commonwealth Games 2026 Business Case Page 40
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• A Closing Ceremony at the GHMBA (Geelong) - To celebrate Regional Victoria’s offerings to
the Games
• A Queen’s Baton Relay – To conclude the closing journey of the Queen’s Baton Relay. The
Relay will drive celebration, connection and excitement in communities from across the
Commonwealth during the build up to the Games.
The program of 23 sports includes three optional sports, i.e. Basketball 3x3 (including Para), Mountain
Biking and BMX Freestyle. The rationale for including these sports in the sports program is outlined in
the table below. These sports are yet to be confirmed with the CGF.
There have also been indications from the CGF that one of the optional sports will need to include
Track Cycling. As such, for the purposes of conservatism we have included the potential capital cost
for the development of a regional velodrome in our worst case scenario.
Table 15: Optional sports for inclusion
As noted, Netball Fast5, Golf (men’s, women’s and teams) and Para Tennis will be played for the first
time at the Games. Rowing will also be held for the first time since the 1986 Games. The rationale for
including these sports in the program is outlined in the table below.
31
IOC, available at: https://olympics.com/en/sports/3x3-basketball/, accessed: 18.01.2022
32
GHD Advisory, Mountain Biking in Australia, available at: https://assets.auscycling.org.au/s3fs-public/2021-03/mountain-
biking-in-australia-final-report-march-2021.pdf?sOhdYZLJUG1eZnmPE8yYmFQbbuOqrfm4=, accessed: 18.01.2022
33
UCI, available at: https://www.uci.org/article/record-television-audience-for-2018-uci-mountain-bike-world-championships-
presented-by-mercedes-benz/5wLEfYadlLeGc5MuIKAPIo, accessed: 18.01.2022
34
Sky News, available at: https://news.sky.com/story/the-buzz-for-bmx-and-how-a-golden-olympics-has-seen-participation-
soar-across-the-uk-12502009, accessed 18.01.2022
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Table 16: Additional sports
The final sport program list will be subject to consultation and agreement with the CGF and the
International Federations for each sport. However, feedback from the CGF indicates broad support for
the proposed Sports Program.
The proposed sport program is outlined in Table 17 below.
35
Wimbledon, available at: https://www.wimbledon.com/en_GB/news/articles/2015-07-
12/10_things_you_may_not_know_about_wheelchair_tennis.html, accessed: 17.01.2022
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Table 17: Proposed sport program
The Games will be held and delivered to the fullest extent possible by Victoria’s regional communities.
Geelong, Bendigo, Ballarat, Gippsland will host the majority of competition events as well as the
accommodation for the athletes and officials during the Games. Additional events and activity will be
dispersed throughout regional Victoria to ensure the entire region participates in and is showcased
during the Games. This includes:
• Regional targeted marketing activities – Marketing will align with regional tourism strategies,
directions and local organisations, showcasing key assets and places in regional Victoria to the
world
• Local resources – Resources in regional Victoria will be trained to deliver the event. This will
ensure that skills in major event delivery are retained in regional Victoria, growing the capability
to host major events in the future.
• Road Cycling Tour – A 5 day road cycling tour will provide an opportunity for spectators to
view areas of regional Victoria not showcased in other events
• Satellite regions – Rowing will take place near Shepparton on Lake Nagambie given the
quality of facilities available
• Supporting events – Additional supporting events will be held throughout regional Victoria in
the lead up to and during the Game
• Cultural and business program – regional Victoria will be showcased through an extensive
cultural and business program during the Games to highlight the offerings of the entire region.
The figure below provides a summary of the number of sports to be held in each region as well as the
number of athletes, officials, technical officials, broadcast, media, contractors and beds.
Figure 5: Distribution of sports
Number of
Number of technical officials, Total number
athletes and broadcast, media of beds to be
Region Sports officials’ and contractors provided
Ballarat • Athletics 1,818 437 2,652
• Boxing
• Cricket
• Cycling - Mountain Bike (optional
sport)
• BMX Freestyle (optional sport)
Bendigo • Lawn Bowls 1,373 342 2,110
• Netball
• Fast 5
• Shooting
• Tennis
• Cycling
• Squash
• Cricket36
• Basketball 3x3 (optional sport)
Gippsland • Rugby Sevens 1,024 703 2,020
• Badminton, Traralgon
• Cricket T20
• Table Tennis
Geelong • Aquatics swimming 3,090 672 4,320
• Aquatics diving
• Golf
• Shooting pistol / clay
• Table tennis
• Triathlon
• Powerlifting
• Weightlifting
• Hockey
• Triathlon
• Table Tennis
• Cricket T20
• Gymnastics
• Beach Volleyball
Shepparton • Rowing 119 0 0
36
Cricket will be a distributed sport, with finals played in Geelong.
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3.3.6 Capital investment and overlay
In order to successfully host the Games, the host city’s infrastructure must meet specific CGF
requirements. The CGF have requirements related to venues, accommodation and transport
infrastructure. As such, the quality of a city’s existing infrastructure will have a significant impact on
the cost associated with hosting the Games.
3.3.6.1 Venues
Victoria’s major venue network is recognised as one of the world’s best. It sets the benchmark for
operational standards and user needs. The network’s most powerful advantage is the diversity of
venue types and sizes which allows for close matching to the events that they are hosting.37
Given the range of infrastructure already available, where possible existing training and competition
venues will be made ‘Games ready’ with either temporary overlay or permanent upgrades. This will
minimise the upfront and ongoing costs to the State and venue operators, respectively. These
upgrades will help to improve the capacity of venues to host major events in the future.
New infrastructure will be required for gymnastics, diving and aquatics. The venues are proposed to
be located at Kardinia Park, Geelong. Kardinia Park Stadium Trust (KPST) is the likely venue
manager.38
A summary of the overlay, permanent upgrades and new infrastructure to be included at each
competition and training venue is provided in the attached Facilities Assessment Report.
Sports Architects, Populous Sports, were engaged to undertake further work on a selection of venues.
The scope of work included the development of block plans for Mars Stadium, Kardinia Park Stadium,
Stead Park, Bendigo Tennis Complex and Bendigo Lawn Bowls Club. In addition, high level renders
were developed for Kardinia Park and Mars Stadium. This additional work has resulted in some minor
updates to capital and overlay which are reflected in the updated budget numbers.
37
DJPR, Home Ground Advantage, Victoria’s Major Stadia Strategy,
38
KPST’s management will ensure that the venue management is aligned with the State’s sport and event policies
beyond the 2026 CG
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Facility Assessment methodology
DHW Ludus were appointed by DJPR and EY to undertake a Facility Assessment on the sites and facilities for
the 2026 Games.
The following high-level approach was undertaken:
• Reviewed international sport federation technical documents, with a focus on the field of play, broadcast
lighting, athlete amenity
• Reviewed CGF regulations to understand spectator capacity requirements by sport and make an
assessment of each venue’s capacity to meet the requirement (through either temporary or existing
seating)
• Desktop review of each selected venue to determine the capacity of the venue to:
• Meet international federation requirements (field of play, broadcast, athlete experience, etc.)
• Achieve spectator capacity (mainly via temporary overlay)
• Provide a presentable venue for an international event
• The Facilities Assessment identified both permanent and temporary overlay opportunities (with costs
associated with temporary overlay estimated by MI, and provided in a separate report prepared by MI)
• If it was identified that a facility / site could not reasonably host the relevant sport as part of the Games,
then alternate sites were identified and assessed (with approval provided by the Government to
commenced with the additional assessment).
The detailed methodology, information reviewed and facility by facility reporting is provided in DHW Ludus’ full
Facilities Assessment Report attached to this Business Case.
Table 19 below details the proposed venue for each event and whether temporary overlay, a
permanent upgrade or new infrastructure is required.
*The proposed Geelong Convention Centre is currently being considered for construction and is not part of this capital budget
A summary of the key investments is provided below
Lake Nagambie • Lake Nagambie could require significant works to the field of play, including dredging of the
(Rowing) course. It could also require upgrades to the finish tower, vehicle access along course bank
(where possible) and improvements to amenity such as changerooms and boat house
• This would improve the ability of Lake Nagambie to host future events
Latrobe City • Latrobe City Stadium could benefit from a refurbishment of the grandstands (including
Stadium (Rugby changerooms and clubrooms), minimal upgrades to lighting, and any necessary resurfacing
7’s) of pitches (including training pitches)
• This would improve the ability of Latrobe City Stadium to host future events and enhance
the facilities for community sport
Geelong Clay • Upgrade and redevelopment works are likely to be required across all shooting ranges
Target Club, including new pistol range (indoor) and small-bore ranges (including finals ranges),
Wellsford Rifle compliant skeet and trap ranges, target system upgrades and improvement of amenity such
Range, Little River as club rooms and changerooms
Shooting Range • This will improve the ability of the nominated shooting ranges to host future events and
(Shooting) enhance the facilities for community sport
Geelong Arena • Geelong Arena is likely to require a refurbishment of the venue and improvement of amenity
(Table Tennis) such as changerooms, lighting lux levels and technology, etc.
• This will improve the ability of Geelong Arena to host future events and enhance the
facilities for community sport
Fosterville Gold • The Tennis Centre could have minor refurbishment of the existing facilities on-site. This
Tennis Centre includes installation of compliant courts across the precinct (including any necessary
(Tennis) resurfacing) along with improvements to lighting.
3.3.6.2 Accommodation
Athlete and officials
39
Knowledge, impact, strategy - Impact of Affordable Housing on Families and Communities, 2014
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• Games Family offering - A
customised strategy for the movement
of all Games Family constituent
groups to and from hub locations will
be delivered
• Innovation - Innovation and new
transport technologies will be utilised
• Environmental impact – The
transport solution will be delivered
with minimal impact of the
environment, supporting a carbon
neutral Games.
A transport strategy is being developed to deliver these objectives. The strategy incorporates
international best practice and CGF requirements. The key attributes of the Strategy are outlined in
the table below.
Table 22: Transport strategy initiatives
Initiatives Implementation
A multi-modal public • Public transport will be the dominant means of accessing Games events for
transport offering will be spectators, volunteers and staff. This will consist of rail and a dedicated bus network
provided • There will be no provision for private car access to major venues within the key
Games hubs. This will be clearly communicated via all channels prior to and during
the Games
• Public Transport will be supported by an extensive network of Park and Ride
facilities to service all attendees, with sites to be nominated in and around each of
the regional Games hubs.
Host City and Regional City • All major venues and facilities are located within each of the four proposed host city
clustering footprints and some central services to be provided in Melbourne. Travel times
between venues within each hub will be relatively short
• A robust strategy will be planned and delivered to efficiently and safely move all
constituent groups between regional hub cities as required
• Dedicated teams in Melbourne and in each regional host city will work with the
relevant authorities to plan operations
Customised strategies for • The Games Family will enjoy separate transport fleets dedicated to each constituent
each constituent group group. Their transport routes will be segregated from the public access to ensure
safety and reliability
• Spectators and the Games workforce will access events via an enhanced public
transport network.
Utilisation of existing and • Already planned investments in priority infrastructure on all regional routes prior to
planned core transport 2026 will ensure appropriate capacity
infrastructure, supplemented • Conversion of existing transit and general traffic lanes into Games lanes is proposed
by dedicated Games-only for some supporting corridors between Melbourne and each of the four hubs as
transport lanes necessary.
The Victorian Department of Transport (DoT) will be the lead agency for managing transport activities
before and during the Games. DoT will be responsible for:
• Coordinating Games Family, spectator and workforce transport solutions. This includes the
provision of access to all venues by public transit or dedicated Games transport (e.g. extended
services and transit routes)
• Coordinating of traffic management through the Traffic Management Centre
• Planning for park and ride lots to provide Games dedicated motor coaches to venues
• Planning for Games Family Transport priority lanes on key arterial roads to ensure timely transit
times. These will be determined in the detailed transport strategy
Appendix I provides further detail on the Transport Strategy and the Governance for delivery.
As outlined in Section 3.2, the Games will deliver a significant legacy for Victoria and regional Victoria
in particular. While the upgrade works to sporting and recreational facilities as well as athlete
accommodation will provide a legacy, a dedicated fund will be set up to support the ongoing legacy of
the Games this includes the following:
• $20 million legacy program to support sports participation in regional Victoria
• $10 million for capability building in the regions and support regional Victoria to attract and host
further major events post the Games
• $10 million for trade investment program to support and increase trade with Commonwealth
nations.
40
Homes Victoria, available at: https://www.vic.gov.au/regional-investment, accessed: 17.01.22
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3.4.4 Key sporting bodies
The National Sporting Organisations (NSOs) are the primary bodies for sport in Australia (e.g. Aus
Cycling, AFL, Golf Australia, Rugby Australia). Endorsement from the NSOs will be required to deliver
the Games as the event may disrupt scheduled programs, for example:
• Community sport programs may be delayed due to venues being unavailable
• Venues in Victoria that traditionally host annual major sporting events may be unavailable (e.g.
Kardinia Stadium for AFL games)
• Athletes may be conflicted with competition events overseas (e.g. PGA Masters Tournament).
• Effective coordination between key security stakeholders including the CGF, Australian
Government and agencies, Victorian Government agencies and security stakeholders, venues
and the private security sector
• Intelligence led, risk-based approach to planning
• Policing security arrangements within existing statutory and jurisdictional responsibilities
• Security arrangements in a friendly and discreet manner.
It is proposed that the delivery of security for the Games is managed under the integrated delivery
approach through the establishment of a Security Directorate (SD). The creation of the SD provides
the highest level of assurance for a safe and secure environment for the Games. Under this model,
the SD will undertake all Games security planning, working closely with all parties regarding
requirements.
The SD will also have ultimate responsibility for the identification, recruitment, training and
deployment of Games security personnel, recognising that the majority of these resources will be
drawn from existing agencies with law enforcement and emergency response mandates and
reputable contract security agencies.
The Security Strategy for the Games will be developed to set out the vision, mission, strategic goals
and objectives to enable the delivery of highly effective security operations. Appendix J provides
further detail on the Security Concept and Governance.
41
ICT system users will include transportation, security, accommodation, doping control, the CGF, IF, media,
broadcasters, workforce, spectators and other key clients
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2. Broadcast Technical Power: This is delivered utilising either dedicated twin-pack generators
as a primary means or through the provision of Uninterrupted Power Supply (UPS) equipment
connected to the main supply. The provision of technical power needs to be carefully
considered due to the critical services it supports
3. Event Continuation Power: Certain critical services will need to be supported by temporary
twin-pack generators and in some cases UPS devices (particularly technology equipment) to
provide continual power supply in the event of a loss of mains power.
Table 23 below outlines the types of power required for each area of the Games.
Table 23: ICT power
Appendix M provides further detail on the energy provision planning for the Games.
42
PWC and CGF, Commonwealth Games Value Framework, 2019
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Games Value Framework
The overarching premise of the Games Value Framework is that hosting the Commonwealth Games can deliver a positive
return on public investment and can reposition and transform a city. It is based on eight underlying statements which have
been developed through engagement with key stakeholders from previous host cities. These define the structure and scale
of:
• The financial costs of hosting the Games (e.g. Games-related operating expenditure and capital investments for Games
venues and village) and funding
• The resultant benefits, including their type, timing and spatial distribution.
These eight statements enable a prospective host city to assess the potential costs and benefits of hosting the Games.
They are used to structure, summarise and then interpret the available evidence of the costs and benefits of four of the last
five editions of the Games from Manchester 2002 to Gold Coast 2018.
Due to the time constraints experienced in developing this analysis, there is further work that should
occur to refine the analysis. The results presented in this section may change subject to further
research and consultation.
Further work may include:
• The quantification of other costs and benefits (e.g. increased congestion for local residents
during the Games)
• More certainty on funding from other sources, including Federal and Local Government
• Specific impacts (e.g. costs and benefits) to be achieved in certain regional areas.
4.1.1 Assumptions
The financial analysis is shown in:
• Real terms
• Net Present Value (NPV) terms, (discounted by a real discount rate of 7 per cent).44 The NPV
represents the discounted value of future cash flows. NPV is an accepted method of comparing
different cash flows that vary over time, as it takes into account the time value of money.
• Base date of escalation is 1 July 2022
The key overarching assumptions used in the analysis are presented below.
43
Rosenberger and Loomis, Benefits Transfer of Outdoor Recreation Use Value
44
7 per cent discount rate based on Department of Treasury and Finance (DTF) Technical Guidelines on Economic
Evaluation (2013). This is the real discount rate suggested for a “Category 2 Provision of goods and services in
traditional core service delivery areas of government (i.e., non-commercial investments), but those for which the
benefits attributed to the project are more easily translated to monetary terms. The use of a 4 per cent discount rate was
considered, however the analysis uses a 7 per cent discount rate to be conservative.
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Table 24: overarching assumptions
Item Assumption
Discount rate (real) 7 per cent
Base date for escalation 1 July 2022
Construction period 4 years
Operating revenue and expense period 5 years
Forecast end date 30 June 2042
The Games MI Associates were commissioned by DJPR and EY to develop the operating budget for
the 2026 Games. DHW Ludus was commissioned by DJPR and EY to estimate the preliminary capital
costs of the 2026 Games. This includes the construction of new facilities and permanent upgrades.
Overlay costs are included in the section below.
Given the confidential nature of the investment, a desktop assessment was undertaken. Consultation
was not possible with venue operators to assess the current state of venues. Further, detailed design
has not been undertaken on the permanent upgrades and new infrastructure required. Cost estimates
are based on:
• CGF venue and facility guidelines
• Information provided by DJPR related to previous capital works upgrades at the venues
• A detailed list of assumptions applied is outlined in the Facility Assessment Report attached to
this Business Case.
Total estimated capital costs from 2021-22 to 2026-27 are estimated at:
• Best case – $669.4 million ($real)
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• Worst case – $1,209.4 million ($real).
A breakdown of the estimates are provided in the tables below.
Table 26: Total capital costs (new infrastructure and permanent overlay) – 2021-22 to 2026-27 ($ real)
Games Fees
Broadcast Rights
(CGF)
Sponsorship
Licensing and
Merchandising
Funding and other
income
• Best Case – Updated as per the
Federal government
($2.0) $0.0 $0.0 $2.0 Melbourne 2006 budget (inflated to
funding
2022 dollars)
• Worst Case - Updated as per the
Local government
($65.0) $0.0 $15.0 $80.0 Melbourne 2006 budget (inflated to
funding
2022 dollars)
Total operating
revenue change
The Games MI Associates were commissioned by DJPR and EY to develop the operating budget for
the 2026 Games. Input was also provided by DHW Ludus on the estimated overlay costs. The
operating budget was developed based on an analysis of previous Commonwealth Games budgets
and the proposed sports program for the 2026 Games.
The operating budget was developed based on:
• The estimated budget has been built on a ‘top down’ basis and baselined from the Gold Coast
2018 Commonwealth Games.
• Time has not permitted a more robust ‘bottom up’ approach as key elements of Games
planning are not yet understood
• The estimated budget assumes that the baseline is a valid budget to deliver a recent
Commonwealth Games in Australia in a semi-regional context
• Adjustments have been made to the baseline where the proposed budget will be materially
different to the Gold Coast 2018 Games.
Detailed assumptions are provided in Appendix F – Operating Budget Assumptions.
Total estimated operating costs from 2021-22 to 2026-27 are estimated at:
• Best case –
• Worst case
Table 30: Operating expenditure – 2021-22 to 2026-27 ($ real)
Total estimated non-LOC costs from 2021-22 to 2026-27 are estimated at:
• Best case – $144.0 million ($real)
4.2 Benefits
4.2.1 Summary of benefits
The successful hosting of the Commonwealth Games brings significant economic stimulus and social
benefits to a host region. Benefits achieved are not just for the 11-day period of the Games but flow to
the State well before the Games start and continue post-Games for several years.
As per the Gold Coast games, the 2026 Games is estimated to result in significant economic, social
and environmental benefits to regional Victoria and Victoria. These benefits are assessed in detail in
the following sections through:
• Economic impact assessment – An economic impact assessment was conducted to estimate
the additional total (direct and indirect) output, value add and jobs (FTE) that will be created in
Victoria and regional Victoria as result of the Games
• Additional quantified benefits (included in the CBA) – A quantitative assessment was
undertaken on additional benefits not included in the economic impact analysis. These benefits
have been included in the CBA in Section 4.3
An economic impact assessment of the 2026 Games was conducted on the impact of the Games on
regional Victoria and Victoria’s economies. The economic impact assessment measures the amount
of new money that flows into Victoria and regional Victoria that can be directly attributed to the 2026
Games.
It estimated that the 2026 Games would result in the following benefits to Victoria (from 2022 to 2030):
• $3.07 billion in additional Total Output (including $1.91 billion Indirect Output)
• $1.43 billion in additional Total Value-Add (including $907.4 million Indirect Value-Add)
• Supporting 560 FTEs before the Games, 3,879 FTEs during the Games and 3,064 FTEs after
the Games.
It estimated that the 2026 Games would result in the following benefits to regional Victoria (from 2022
to 2030):
• $2.07 billion in additional Total Output (including $1.00 billion Indirect Output)
• $887.9 million in additional Total Value-Add (including $451.7 million Indirect Value-Add)
• Supporting 545 FTEs before the Games, 3,256 FTEs during the Games and 1,892 FTEs after
the Games.
A summary of results is outlined in the tables below.
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Table 35: Economic impact assessment results ($m NPV)
Indirect output $227.0 $240.5 $501.5 $549.0 $878.0 $1,118.1 $1,606.6 $1,907.6
Total output $343.1 $363.6 $809.0 $885.8 $1,426.2 $1,816.1 $2,578.3 $3,065.5
Direct value add $36.2 $38.3 $139.0 $152.3 $257.9 $328.4 $433.1 $519.0
Indirect value add $100.9 $107.0 $240.1 $262.9 $422.1 $537.5 $763.2 $907.4
Total value add $137.1 $145.3 $379.1 $415.2 $680.0 $865.9 $1,196.2 $1,426.4
Indirect output $96.8 $220.6 $296.8 $326.9 $351.8 $457.0 $745.4 $1,004.5
Total output $179.0 $397.7 $628.2 $692.2 $755.1 $980.9 $1,562.2 $2,070.7
Direct value add $25.7 $54.3 $139.8 $154.1 $175.3 $227.8 $340.8 $436.2
Indirect value add $41.1 $90.9 $136.0 $149.9 $162.4 $210.9 $339.5 $451.7
Total value add $66.8 $145.1 $275.8 $304.0 $337.7 $438.7 $680.3 $887.9
The detailed methodology and assumptions applied in the economic impact assessment are outlined
in Appendix G – Economic Impact and Cost Benefit Analyses Methodology and Assumptions.
45
Jobs (FTE) relates to average annual jobs in each period.
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Visitation
The first three benefits outlined below are derived from specific and extended stay visitors (i.e. those
that visit Victoria / Regional Victoria specifically, or extend their stay, for the Games) before, during
and after the Games. A summary of the estimated visitation applied in the benefit assumptions is
provided in the table below.
The visitation assumptions are based on historical ticket sales data, post-event impact reports and
Tourism Research Australia data. Further detail and the assumptions applied are outlined in Appendix
G – Economic Impact and Cost Benefit Analyses Methodology and Assumptions.
Table 38: Specific and extended stay visitation to Victoria
Specific and extended stay Pre-Games years Games year Post-Games years
visitors to Regional Victoria (2022-25) (2026) (2027-30) Total (2022-30)
Intrastate
Ticketed attendees - 163,625 - 163,625
Other attendees 16 10,485 - 10,501
Post event visitors - - 414,683 414,683
Total intrastate 16 174,110 414,683 588,809
Interstate
Ticketed attendees - 93,500 - 93,500
Other attendees 56 6,203 - 6,259
Post event visitors - - 194,078 194,078
Total interstate 56 99,703 194,078 293,837
International
Ticketed attendees - 41,800 - 41,800
Other attendees 720 13,289 - 14,009
Post event visitors - - 82,150 82,150
Total international 720 55,089 82,150 137,960
Total visitors 792 328,903 690,911 1,020,606
Note: Only the value-add component of the benefit ‘increased tourism expenditure (pre and during the games)’
is included in the CBA. Total output is excluded from the CBA as it includes the costs of inputs which can
overstate the impact of the event.
Note: Only the value-add component of the benefit ‘increased tourism expenditure (pre and during the games)’
is included in the CBA. Total output is excluded from the CBA as it includes the costs of inputs which can
overstate the impact of the event.
Note: Only the value-add component of the benefit ‘Increased tourism from future major events resulting from
the Games)’ is included in the CBA. Total output is excluded from the CBA as it includes the costs of inputs
which can overstate the impact of the event.
46
Commonwealth Sport, available at: https://thecgf.com/news/new-report-reveals-commonwealth-games-consistently-
provides-over-ps1-billion-boost-host-cities, accessed: 18.01.2022
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It was estimated that after the 2018 Gold Coast Commonwealth Games, the Gold Coast/Brisbane
region had induced investment of $41 million. This investment was generated from businesses
looking for an opportunity to relocate and set up offerings in the Gold Coast/Brisbane region.
Assumptions used to estimate the level of new investment were based on the post-event study for the
Gold Coast 2018 Games. Further detail is outlined in Appendix G – Economic Impact and Cost
Benefit Analyses Methodology and Assumptions.
Induced investment is estimated to result in additional total output of $268.9 million to Victoria and
$96.8 million to Regional Victoria.
Table 43: Estimated impact from induced investment ($m NPV)
Note: The value-add component of the benefit ‘Induced investment as a result of the Games’ is included in the
CBA. Total output is excluded from the CBA as it includes the costs of inputs which can overstate the impact of
the event.
47
The University of Melbourne, Project 30,000, available at:
https://msd.unimelb.edu.au/ data/assets/pdf_file/0004/2876008/Project-3000-Producing-Social-and-Affordable-
Housing-on-Government-Land.pdf, accessed: 19.01.2022
48
Victorian Government, Victoria’s social housing supply requirements to 2036, available at:
https://www.vic.gov.au/sites/default/files/2019-06/Victorias-social-housing-supply-requirements-to-2036.pdf, accessed:
19.01.2022
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youth foyers, university accommodation, medium density apartments, or common ground models).
This aligns strongly to the push in regional Victoria for youth foyers49 in particular.
Providing social and affordable housing can lead to the following benefits to Victorians:
• Reduced inequality – Increasing the social and affordable housing stock in Victoria helps
reduce inequality in Victorian communities
• Economic security - High housing costs can reduce the ability of families to budget for food,
health care, education and other critical expenses. Providing affordable housing increases the
amount that families can put toward other important household needs and savings for the future
• Improved health and wellbeing – Providing affordable and good quality homes in regional
centres can improve the health and wellbeing of vulnerable Victorians by providing them access
to services, health care, transport services and social and economic support
• Improved education - Housing instability can impact a children’s performance and success in
school and contribute to long-lasting achievement gaps. Quality affordable housing helps create
a stable environment for children, contributing to improved educational outcomes.50
The Games also represents an opportunity to invest in worker accommodation which may be used to
house workers over the longer term for regional economic development initiatives (road, rail and
energy projects), relieving localised pressure on regional housing markets.
The benefit created from additional social housing is derived from the:
• Number of athlete village apartments that will be used for social housing after the 2026 Games
• Value per annum of an additional bed in social housing
Further detail is outlined in Appendix G – Economic Impact and Cost Benefit Analyses Methodology
and Assumptions.
Table 46: Social housing impact – Key assumptions and impact
4.2.3.2 Avoided health costs and productivity costs from increased physical activity
Physical inactivity is a major contributing factor to the development of non-communicable diseases,
including diabetes, bowel cancer, dementia, coronary heart disease and stroke. A recent study by
AIHW indicated that physical inactivity contributed 2.6 per cent of the total disease burden in 2011,
increasing to 9 per cent when combined with the burden resulting from people being overweight and
obese. According to the most recent data available from the ABS 2015 and 2018 National Health
Surveys:51
49
Foyers provide a point in time service that enable young people in transition to develop and achieve educational and
employment pathways, exiting in a sustainable way from welfare and service dependence.
50
Knowledge, impact, strategy - Impact of Affordable Housing on Families and Communities, 2014
51
Australian Bureau of Statistics, National Health Survey, 2017-18
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Figure 10: Physical activity in Australia
Assuming those participation rates are about the same today, this implies that in 2021 around 3.4
million Victorians are not doing enough physical activity.
Consistent with health guidance, if Victorians are to reap the benefits of activity, the State requires
more people regularly being active for at least 150 minutes per week. For every 10,000 insufficiently
active people who become active and stay active, Victoria will avoid around 265 DALYs52, 65
incidences of disease and around 15 deaths from five major non-communicable diseases directly
attributable to insufficient physical activity.53
Increasing physical activity via sport is directly linked with reducing the prevalence and severity of
obesity and other health issues. Using sport as a key strategy to improve physical activity is supported
by evidence and recognised as one of the seven best investments for physical activity.54,55
Organised sport in particular is uniquely placed to support a response to physical inactivity levels
because it provides a focal point that encourages and supports participants of all ages to remain
consistently active during all life stages. Sport both increases the likelihood of meeting guidelines and
continuing them long term. This is because physical activity is as much a by-product of sports as it is
the focus. Sport at the participation level provides a fun and rewarding activity for people to get
involved in.
Hosting the Games will promote community sport participation in Victoria, before, during and after the
Games through:
• Games-related complementary events and programmes
(e.g. ‘come and try’ opportunities) that promote
sustained sport participation “10 per cent of Victorians took up
sports as a result of the Melbourne
• Inspiration to participate in sport from seeing high Games in 2006”
performance athletes in competition at the Games “Queensland experienced a 5 per
cent increase in adult sports
• Games-related capital investments providing new participation following the Gold Coast
venues for increased sport participation following the Games in 2018”
games. (CGF Value Framework)
52
Disability Adjusted Life Years
53
Marsden Jacob Associates, Active impacts – The economic impacts of active recreation in Victoria, 2018
54
Phillips, J.A. and D.R. Young, Past-year sports participation, current physical activity, and fitness in urban adolescent
girls. Journal of physical activity & health, 2009
55
International Society for Physical Activity and Health, Non communicable disease prevention: Investments that Work
for Physical Activity, 2011
56
Calculated based on: Australian Bureau of Statistics data (2017-18) stating that 16.1 per cent of 18 – 64 year olds in
Victoria are physically active and Australian Bureau of Statistics June 2021 population estimates for 18-64 year olds
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Cost of physical inactivity
The cost of physical inactivity in Australia is significant, experienced directly by the health system in
treating people with related illnesses, in communities through social distress and within the economy
through significant productivity loss.
In Victoria, it is estimated that making every Victorian physically active would deliver healthcare
system benefits worth $245 million. Furthermore, making every Victorian physically active would also
deliver workplace productivity benefits potentially worth $3.1 billion over the lifetime of the current
population, based on estimates of productivity lost due to people leaving work because of death or
disability. It would also provide home-based labour productivity benefits worth around $125 million.57
Hosting the 2026 Games is expected to increase participation in physical exercise, recreation and
sports. Increased physical activity levels provide benefits to all individuals, even those that were
physically active before the 2026 Games.
Studies have shown how hosting the Commonwealth Games is directly linked to increased sports
participation in the host region. The 2006 Melbourne Commonwealth Games led to a 10 per cent
increase in sports participation across Victoria, while the 2018 Gold Coast Commonwealth Games
increased sports participation by 5 per cent across Queensland.58
This benefit quantifies the health care costs avoided through increased participation physical activity.
The benefit created from increased participation in physical exercise is derived from the:
• Number of individuals that increase their level of physical activity because of the 2026 Games
• Avoided health related costs per hour of physical activity (adapted from a study on Victoria’s
nature-based outdoor economy59)
• Average additional hours spent by individuals undertaking physical exercise because of the
2026 Games
Further detail is outlined in Appendix G – Economic Impact and Cost Benefit Analyses Methodology
and Assumptions.
Table 47: Participation impact – Key assumptions and impact
57
Marsden Jacob Associates, Active impacts – The economic impacts of active recreation in Victoria, 2018
58
Commonwealth Games Federation, Commonwealth Games Value Framework
59
Marsden Jacob Associates, Victoria’s nature-based outdoor economy – Key estimates and recommendations, 2016
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will be required for ticketing given the demand to attend the games at the lower ticket prices
proposed.
To estimate the consumer surplus, assumptions were developed for the following components:
• Admission prices: Estimated average ticket price
• Spectator attendance: Total (local and intrastate) spectator attendance for each Games day
• Slope of the spectator demand curve: Estimate of the relationship between changes in price of
tickets and the quantity of tickets demanded.
Detailed spectator ticket pricing research undertaken by EY Sweeney for the 2015 Asian Cup was
used as a basis for the modelling assumptions. The output of this research was detailed ticket pricing
models for Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane for each game type (e.g. group, semi-final etc.). EY has
used these models as a basis to calculate the slope of a linear demand curve for the Games. As a
conservative approach, we have used a demand curve with greater elasticity (i.e. a small change in
ticket price generates a larger change in demand). Further detail is outlined in Appendix G –
Economic Impact and Cost Benefit Analyses Methodology and Assumptions.
Table 48: Consumer surplus – Key assumptions and impact
60
This study attempts to capture the incremental assessment by surveying control groups of representative residents of
other comparable cities. This study tacked the challenge of not only identifying which population serves as a reasonable
control group, but also how to exhaustively obtain all the benefits that an individual incurs independent of the Games.
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As an alternative measure of civic pride, and to test the approach outlined above, we utilised market
research undertaken by EY in 2019. In this research, Victorians were asked what they believed the
Victorian Government spends on major events per person. Those surveyed were then asked how
much they would be willing to spend to attract and/or retain major events in Victoria. The difference
between what people believed they were paying and how much more or less they would be willing to
pay was used as a monetary measure of willingness to pay and civic pride attributed to Victoria’s
major events calendar in the study. We benchmarked the civic pride per Victorian in this study to the
results achieved through the increase in subjective wellbeing approach outlined above.
Table 49: Civic pride – Key assumptions and impact
4.2.3.5 Volunteerism
For many volunteers, the Games will provide a unique experience and opportunity, especially for
many for whom this will be their first opportunity to volunteer. Moreover, it could lead to increased
interest in volunteering on an ongoing basis, although this enthusiasm may diminish over time. The
need for volunteerism can focus on recruiting underrepresented groups such as youth, Indigenous,
immigrants etc.
The value of volunteers is calculated as the value of the hours worked by each volunteer (the number
of volunteers per event type, hours worked and average daily rate of a paid worker).
Table 50: Volunteerism – Key assumptions and impact
4.2.4.2 Improved capacity of the State to host major events going forward
Victoria’s major events are recognised on a
global scale with Melbourne being declared
the “Ultimate Sports City.” The major events
calendar attracts approximately seven million
patrons every year and contributes
significantly to the state’s $21 billion visitor
economy.
These events and the venues that stage
them are fundamental to Melbourne being
recognised as the world’s most liveable city
for seven consecutive years from 2011 to
2017.65 Hosting major sporting events in
Victoria not only instils a sense of pride in
Victorians but is also gives athletes the
chance to compete at the highest level on
home soil.
63
EY, Australian Olympic Committee, Commonwealth Games Australia, Sport – Powering Australia’s Future (10 + 10)
(Confidential)
64
EY, Australian Olympic Committee, Commonwealth Games Australia, Sport – Powering Australia’s Future (10 + 10)
(Confidential)
65
DJPR, Home Ground Advantage, Victoria’s Major Stadia Strategy, 2018
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In order to continue to attract and host major events, Victoria must maintain high quality infrastructure
and improve the capability and availability of local skills to host such events.
A) Venues
“It is a priority to ensure venue facilities are appropriate to stage professional women’s sport.”
Victoria’s major venue network is recognised as one of the world’s best. It sets the benchmark for
operational standards and responds to user needs. The network’s most powerful advantage is the
diversity of venue types and sizes which allows for close matching with the events that they are
hosting.
Victoria also hosts some of the best regional venues in the country such as Kardinia Park in Geelong
and Eureka Stadium in Ballarat. These venues provide regional Victorians with access to national and
international events which contribute to local tourism, liveability and encourages community
participation.
However, Victoria’s major stadia and events network continues to experience pressure from a range
of different sources at a faster pace than ever, including evolving content needs, changing consumer
expectations, and higher standards set by interstate and international venues. This pressure means
venues have shorter lifespans and require ongoing improvements to maintain the quality of their
offering and ability to attract events.
The capital investment of the 2026 Games (including the new gymnastics and aquatic centre at
Kardinia Park), will enable venues in regional Victoria to keep pace with these changing demands to
attract major events and compete with major metropolitan stadia.
66
CGA, available at: https://commonwealthgames.com.au/commonwealth-sport-pride-network-launched/, accessed:
12.01.2022
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4.2.4.4 Improved sports diplomacy
“Sport is widely recognised as a universal language that can break down cultural barriers. It can help
Australia advance national interests, project Australia’s values and identity and serve as a bridge
between peoples. It speaks to who we are and what we stand for and amplifies Australia’s reputation
on the global stage“ – Sports Diplomacy 2030
Beyond Australia’s borders, major sporting events provide a platform in diplomacy matters. Australia
recognised this potential value in Sport Diplomacy 2030 (Australia’s Sport Diplomacy Strategy), with a
key focus of the plan being to “promote Australia as a host of choice for major international sporting
events and ensure that we leverage the wider economic opportunities.”
Implementing a successful sports diplomacy program as part of the Games can result in induced
exports and investment (as outlined in Section 4.2.2).
In line with objectives of the Strategy, the 2026 Games will provide opportunities to engage with
Commonwealth nations and grow trade partnerships in line with the key priorities. Specifically, the
Games aligns with the Strategy’s following initiatives:
1. Promoting Australia as a host of choice for major international sporting events and leverage
associated legacy opportunities
2. Targeting opportunities to strengthen diplomatic and economic relationships through sport
across the Indo-Pacific
3. Developing pathways for elite Pacific athletes and teams to participate in Australian and
international sporting competitions
4. Facilitating access for emerging Pacific athletes to participate in high performance training in
Australia
5. Leveraging Australia’s strong sporting brand to enhance its global reputation and to build
enduring relationship
6. Creating leadership pathways and increasing the participation of women and girls in sport
7. Harnessing the power of sport to promote gender equality, disability inclusion, social cohesion
and healthy lifestyles.
Sports Diplomacy 203067
Vision - “To strengthen Australian sport and opportunities for athletes globally and unlock
their full potential to support our national interests.”
The first phase of the strategy is to focus on:
Empowering Australian sport to represent globally
Building linkages with neighbours
Maximising trade, tourism and investment opportunities
Strengthening communities in the Indo-Pacific and beyond.
67
Sports Diplomacy 2030
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In order to determine the return on investment (ROI) by hosting the 2026 Games in regional Victoria,
a cost benefit analysis (CBA) has been undertaken.
A CBA is DTF’s preferred approach68 for undertaking an economic evaluation as it provides a robust
method for evaluating the costs and benefits (including both market and non-market impacts) of a
project or policy change in today's dollars to society as a whole.
The Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR) is the key outcome of a CBA. It represents the economic gain (benefit)
to Victoria of hosting the Games, versus the amount it costs Victoria to host the Games. A BCR of
greater than one (1.0), demonstrates that the benefits are greater than the costs. A BCR below 1.0
can be thought of as spending $1 to achieve less than $1 in benefits.
The CBA:
• Considers only the incremental changes compared to a defined ‘Status Quo’ or Base Case
scenario (i.e. not hosting the 2026 Games)69
• Explicitly considers opportunity costs. For example, it excludes funding that would have flowed
to the host city/region regardless of the investment to host the games (i.e. in the absence of the
2026 Games)
• Presents monetary values in net present value (“NPV”) terms, taking into consideration the
time-value of money.
68
Economic Evaluation for Business Cases Technical Guidelines, August 2013
69
Under the Base Case scenario, it is assumed there is no government investment and subsequently, Victoria does not
host the 2026 Games.
70
Economic Evaluation for Business Cases Technical Guidelines, August 2013
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Figure 13: CBA Framework
Value add from increased tourism from future major events $38 $47
Value add from induced exports $324 $377
Value add from induced business investment $90 $120
Social housing benefits $153 $153
Avoided health costs and reduced productivity costs from increased physical
$228 $352
activity
Consumer surplus $46 $97
Increased volunteerism $9 $9
Total benefits $1,390 $1,782
Benefit-cost Ratio 0.7 1.6
• Federal funding for the Gold Coast 2018 Games – The Federal Government provided $156
million in funding ($164 million in 2022 dollars) to support investment in Games related
infrastructure
• Federal funding for the Melbourne 2006 Games – The Federal Government provided $273
million in funding ($378 million in 2022 dollars) to support the opening and closing ceremony,
the volunteer program, the cultural program, the Queen’s Baton Relay, air fare subsidies for
athletes from developing countries and those with a disability, security and drug testing.
Based on advice from DJPR, we have assumed that the Federal Government will fund 50% of the
capital expenditure for venues in the Best Case, while the amount assumed in the Worst Case has
been agreed with DJPR.
Given the policy alignment of the Games across Government objectives, DJPR will seek to identify
other funding sources across Government departments and local councils that can be used to fund
components of the Games.
Alternate funding sources may include:
• Major Events Fund (DJPR / Visit Victoria) - The Major Events Fund supports the acquisition
of a number of cultural and sporting events for the State, strengthening Victoria’s world-class
events calendar, positioning Victoria as a leading major events destination. Funding could be
provided through the Major Events Fund to support Games’ infrastructure legacy
• Big Housing Build (Homes Victoria) – The Big Housing Build’s Strategic Partnership projects
offers opportunities to partner with industry, community housing providers, local government
and institutional investors. The Regional Investment category aims to extend Victoria’s big
housing build across the State, resulting in new housing developments in as almost all of the 79
local government areas. Funding from the Big Housing Build program could be used to help
fund the development of social and affordable housing through the athletes / officials
accommodation.
Based on advice from DJPR, we have assumed that 50% of the capital expenditure for venues will be
funded through existing State Government Sporting Infrastructure funding in the Best Case and 0%
with be funded through the program in the Worst Case. In addition, based on advice from DJPR we
have assumed that the cost of the Games Village Housing Program will be covered by a State
Government Housing Program in the Best Case and 0% will be covered by the program in the Worst
Case.
There may also be opportunities to leverage alternative government initiatives to deliver on the
broader objectives of the Games. This includes:
• Visitor Economy Recovery and Reform Plan (DJPR) – The Plan outlines a roadmap to
revitalise and grow Victorian tourism after the impacts of bushfires and the global pandemic.
This includes strategies to attract more international, interstate and intrastate visitors by making
the most of marketing expenditure, transforming Regional Tourism Boards and ensuring state-
wide collaboration. Funding allocated to the Plan’s objectives could be provided in the lead up
to and during the Games to deliver marketing of regional Victoria for the Games
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• Regional Events Fund (DJPR / Visit Victoria) – The Regional Events Fund provides funding
to host an event in regional Victoria. It aims to support the attraction, development, marketing
and growth of events whilst attracting visitors to regional Victoria. This includes funding of up to
$1 million to support the attraction of one-off or ongoing major events.71. Funding could be
allocated to non-competition events in the lead up to the Games in regional areas i.e. test
events and participation events
• Creative State 2025 (DJPR) – Creative State 2025 is the Victorian Government’s four-year
strategy to strengthen and grow the state’s creative industries, placing them at the heart of
Victoria’s recovery and future prosperity. The strategy aligns with the objectives of programs
related to the Games’ including objectives to create more and better job opportunities, provide
innovative creative products and provide accessible access to creative industries
• Local Sports Infrastructure Fund (DJPR / SRV) - The 2021-22 Local Sports Infrastructure
Fund is a state-wide competitive Victorian Government program that provides a range of grant
opportunities across five funding streams. This includes the provision of indoor stadiums /
aquatic facilities, female friendly facilities, community sports lighting, community facilities and
planning. Funding could be allocated to community facilities that will be utilised for training and
competition needs.72
Based on advice from DJPR, we have assumed that local government will contribute $100 million of
funding to the operating budget and capital expenditure in the Best case scenario and $30 million in
the worst case scenario.
For the purposes of the Business Case, all State funding requested will be appropriated from Output
Funding as any capital funding will be provided to non-State-owned assets.
Note, a transfer of funding from output funding to capital funding may occur for funding allocated to
the new aquatics, diving and gymnastics centres once ownership is transferred to Kardinia Park
Stadium Trust.
The output funding sought under the Worst Case and Best Case scenarios is outlined in the table
below.
The funding sought is a gross cost of the capital and operating expenditures required to deliver the
Games. This is considered to be a conservative estimate, as we have accounted for a larger number
of sports than is expected to feature. In addition, this gross cost will be offset by operating revenues
and funding received from other funding sources (e.g. Federal and Local Government and other State
Government programs).
71
Visit Victoria, Regional Events – available at: https://corporate.visitvictoria.com/events/regional-event, accessed
19.01.2022
72
SRV, available at: Local Sports Infrastructure Fund - Sport and Recreation Victoria, accessed 19.01.2022
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Table 54: Output funding sought (nominal $m) - Best Case scenario
6. Deliverability
6.1.1 Assessment and management of risks and sensitivities
A risk workshop was held on the 4th January 2021 with representatives from DJPR, Visit Victoria and
the Working group to identify the key risks and associated mitigation strategies of the project between
now and the delivery of the Games.
Key categories of risks included costs, benefits, health & safety, community, quality, resources, legal
and reputation. The risk assessment approach and summary risk matrix is outlined below.
The risk matrix used to assess and assign likelihood and consequence ratings, and ultimately the
overall risk ratings is shown below. A copy of the full risk register is provided in Appendix H – Risk
Register.
For the purposes A summary of the risks rated medium or higher after mitigation are provided below.
Cost Risk that the venues and precincts Two potential impacts - either 1. The HOA allows for negotiations of high-risk
proposed to host sports are non- 1. Penalties as per the HOA (to be venues – such as those where site visits and
compliant with the CGF and IF. This would determined) due to the need to make changes engagement with venue operators is necessary but
result in the need to improve the non- to the proposed venues has not yet been possible. Additionally, no penalties
compliant venue(s), or the relocation to an 2. Higher (or lower) capital and operating will be applicable until this has been completed.
alternative site. It is noted that significant costs compared with expectations due to the 2. Commence discussions with CGF, CGA, and IF
budgets have been allowed for the need to find an alternative venue (which as soon as possible to discuss non-negotiables
redevelopment of Kardinia Park (swimming, potentially could be in a different part of
High Risk 3. Use temporary overlay where possible to meet
Medium Risk
diving, gymnastics), Mars Stadium (GMHBA regional Victoria meaning that requirements
and alternative venues), Lake Nagambie accommodation and transport etc. would also
(rowing), Shepparton Sports Stadium be affected)
(squash), Geelong Arena (table tennis), and
Geelong Convention Centre (weightlifting and
powerlifting).
Cost Risk that venues will not have capacity to Two potential impacts - either 1. The HOA allows for negotiations of high-risk
host CG sporting events. The venues need 1. Penalties as per the HOA (to be venues – such as those where site visits and
to be large enough to provide required field of determined) due to the need to make changes engagement with venue operators is necessary but
play areas, areas for spectators, areas for to the venues proposed has not yet been possible. Additionally, no penalties
officials, athlete training and warm up zones, 2. Higher (or lower) capital and operating will be applicable until this has been completed.
press areas, along with other key areas. costs compared with expectations due to the High Risk 2. Commence discussions with CGF, CGA, and IF Medium Risk
Some of the proposed facilities meet the field need to find an alternative venue (which as soon as possible to discuss non-negotiables
of play requirements but are not suitable to potentially could be in a different part of 3. Use temporary overlay where possible to meet
host CG competitions. regional Victoria meaning that requirements
accommodation and transport etc. would also
be affected)
Cost Risk that public spaces and realms will Two potential impacts - either 1. Ongoing negotiation of high-risk public spaces
not be available. For example, roads for 1. Penalties as per the HOA (to be and realms – such as those where site visits and
cycling – road tour. determined) due to the need to make changes engagement with venue operators is necessary but
to the venues proposed has not yet been possible. Additionally, no penalties
2. Higher (or lower) capital and operating will be applicable until this has been completed.
costs compared with expectations due to the High Risk 2. Commence discussions with CGF, CGA, and IF Medium Risk
need to find an alternative venue (which as soon as possible to discuss non-negotiables
potentially could be in a different part of 3. Engage with councils were possible to secure
regional Victoria meaning that public spaces
accommodation and transport etc. would also 4. Use temporary overlay where possible
be affected)
Three potential impacts - either
Cost Risk that there is not enough 1. Accommodation for technical officials, core
accommodation (for spectators, officials, 1. Does not meet CGF requirements media, broadcast and contractors will be provided
and others) in the regional locations 2. Requires higher capital costs (would need as new builds as per the athlete and official
to build additional accommodation) accommodation
3. Limits the tourism benefits generated from High Risk 2. Understand the need for accommodation based Medium Risk
the Games on the sporting program and venues agreed upon 2.
Leverage hotels and temporary overlay for smaller
sites
3. Ongoing negotiation of accommodation
Cost Risk that upgrades to sporting facilities 1. Reduced value of money for Government 1. Consideration will be given to those facilities
(owned by other parties) cannot be from investment which need to be potentially taken over by the State
effectively maintained and fall into 2. Increased ongoing capital maintenance due to their larger and more significant operations
disrepair costs to Government (over and above those post the CG.
High Risk Medium Risk
budgeted)
2. The costings for the games will include any
ongoing operating and maintenance costs of these
facilities to the state.
Risk that there is insufficient time to Two potential impacts - either 1. Early engagement by the Government with the
Schedule
complete the delivery of capital projects 1. Facilities are not able to be tested within business case, along with Government buy-in for
(including the accelerated government the required timeframe High Risk early capital planning and decision making Medium Risk
decision making required) for testing pre- 2. Facilities are not delivered in time for the
Games and the Games itself. Games
Below is a summary of the key milestones to secure the 2026 CG in regional Victoria.73
Table 56: Key milestones
Task Due Date
CGA Board Decision to Endorse Victoria’s Proposal 10 March 2022
Proposal Submitted to CGF 15 March 2022
LOC and OCG Establishment March 2022
Athlete Village and Major Venue Project Establishment March 2022
CGF Board Decision on Host City 31 March 2022
Host Contract Executed 14 April 2022
Victoria Announced as Host of 2026 CG 14 April 2022
Inclusion / Exclusion of Track Cycling and Rowing Confirmed July 2022
Updated Business Case #1 October 2022
Final Sport Program Confirmed December 2022
Updated Business Case #2 Early-2023
Athlete Village and Major Venue Construction Commences Late-2023 / Early 2024
Athlete Village and Major Venue Construction Completion October 2025
Athlete Village and Competition Venue Overlay Bump-In October 2025 – February
2026
Test Events and Commissioning October 2025 – February
2026
2026 CG Hosted in Regional Victoria March 2026
Post-2026 CG Modification Works April 2026 – October
2027
73
A delay in executing the HOA may impact the timeframes of the proceeding activities. This is not assumed to impact
the delivery model.
Overall Governance of the Commonwealth Games, including making key decisions and overseeing
successful delivery of the Games, is being co-developed by the Victorian Government with the CGF,
Commonwealth Games Federation Partnerships (CGFP) and Commonwealth Games Australia
(CGA).
The current proposed governance structure is based on lessons from previous Games (including
Melbourne 2006 and Gold Coast 2018) and through ongoing negotiations with the CGF.
Based on work to date, there are seven key components to the proposed governance model for the
Games:
• Cabinet Taskforce/Committee and Minister: A new dedicated Cabinet Committee or
Taskforce and a Minister for the Commonwealth Games would be established to ensure clear
oversight and decision-making
• Inter-departmental Committee: To ensure whole-of-government coordination, a new IDC
would be created to support effective working of the Cabinet Committee and preparation
activities
• Strategy Group: A new group would bring together the most senior officials from Victoria,
relevant LGAs, the Commonwealth Games Federation, Commonwealth Games Australia and
other key partners as relevant
• Local Organising Committee: To deliver the Games, a new entity would be created and
staffed with experts from across Victoria. This would have a Board with representatives from
the Victorian Government and Commonwealth Games entities
• Working Groups: Cross-agency collaboration would be driven by Working Groups focused on
specific topics (e.g., Transport, Security, Budget etc)
• Office of Commonwealth Games, DJPR: A new Group in DJPR would be created to support
the Minister and ensure oversight, coordination and achievement of Games legacy objectives.
• CEO Forum: A new forum for CEO-level representatives of all major parties involved in delivery
of the Games would allow for discussion and resolution of risks and issues.
The diagram below outlines the proposed Global Governance structure for the Games. This structure
is to be finalised and agreed by CGF.
Figure 16: Proposed Global Governance Structure
Commonwealth Games Commonwealth Games Commonwealth Games 2026 Office of the Commonwealth CEO Coordination Forum
Strategy Group Cabinet Taskforce LOC Games (OCG)
Purpose Guidance and oversight of Discuss and agree strategic Translate strategy into Commissions and coordinates Forum for key stakeholders to
strategic direction of the and funding decisions related to operations to deliver world- relevant entities with input from coordinate, discuss and resolve
Games, ensuring a world-class the Games. Ensure cross- class games within expected the LOC to assist in Games operational and tactical risks
event and lasting impact and Government alignment of timelines, budget and quality delivery. Provide policy and and issues. Provide advice to
legacy. strategy and ensure the Games expectations. budgetary oversight. LOC and OCG where
meet Government’s objectives. appropriate
Chair / Victorian Minister for CEO, Local Organising
Premier of Victoria Chair of the LOC Board CEO / Deputy Secretary
Leader Commonwealth Games Committee
• Chair, Commonwealth Games • Treasurer of Victoria • Chair, Visit Victoria • As a Group within DJPR, the Membership will include
Federation (CGF) • Minister for Tourism, Support • Representatives from: OCG will be run in accordance representation from each partner
• Chair, Commonwealth Games and Major Events with departmental policy. and key delivery agency.
• Victorian Government
Australia (CGA) • Minister for Regional • CGF
• Chair, Commonwealth Games Development As such, no board will be stood up At a minimum the forum will
2026 Local Organising • CGA for the OCG and instead the Group comprise of senior responsible
• Minister for Transport
Committee Infrastructure • Commonwealth Games will report through the Secretary to officers of each agency, including:
• Mayors of relevant LGAs (City Federation Partnerships the Minister for the Commonwealth • DJPR (Office of Comm
Could also include: Games and the Major Events and
of Greater Geelong, City of • Athlete representative Games)
Ballarat, City of Greater • Minister for Community Sport Commonwealth Games Cabinet
• Independent member(s) Committee • CGF
Bendigo, Latrobe City Council) • Minister for Housing
• Potentially Federal • CGA
• Minister for Sport, Federal • Minister for Police Government representative
Government • CGF-P
• Minister for Emergency
Services • CEO, Office of the
(Specific members and number Commonwealth Games
TBD) • CEOS of relevant LGAs
This would also be supported by a
newly convened IDC, with • Central agencies
representatives from all agencies • Other relevant Vic Gov entities
supporting Ministerial members (Visit Vic, VicPol etc)
Meeting
At least twice yearly At least six times yearly At least monthly N/A At least six times yearly
Frequency
Secretariat The secretariat support for these forums (including the proposed IDC) will be provided and managed by the Office of the Commonwealth Games.
• Sports and Operations: Including managing staff and volunteers, international sporting
engagement, local sporting club and association engagement, health and medical management
• Venues and Services: Including sports venues, athlete villages, security and transport
• Commercial: Including transactions, legal, ticketing, merchandising and licensing.
• Corporate and Finance: including finance, budget and human resources
• Partnerships: Including with the CGF, local government, Commonwealth government and with
industry/non-profits
• Communications and Marketing: Including external communications, media/broadcasting and
ceremonies.
It would be led by a Board and work with partners across government and industry to prepare for and
deliver the Games. DJPR will work closely with central agencies, CGF and CGA to determine the
appropriate legal form and Board composition for the entity, with consideration of the following
requirements:
• A balance between public and commercial objectives
• Capability to navigate and make decisions around large-scale and complex operational,
infrastructure, commercial and legal issues
• Rapid establishment to support planning and implementation within the Games' shortened
timeframes.
The entity will coordinate with key delivery partners including the CGF, CGA, Federal Government,
State agencies and local government to ensure other core functions including transport, security,
infrastructure and legacy programs are delivered in alignment with the Games' strategic objectives.
The model of the LOC is to be established. It make take either of the following forms:
• A statutory entity
• A company under the Corporations Act
• A State Body under the State Owned Enterprises Act (such as a State Business Corporation).
The next steps in finalising the LOC structure are as follows:
• Determine the preferred form and process for establishment through further legal advice as well
as consultation with DPC/DTF
• Ongoing negotiation with the CGF will confirm their requirements to ensure the entity meets
their needs.
Interim Governance
Until the LOC is established and operational, Games preparation will need to continue at a fast pace.
Therefore, interim governance will involve creation of a dedicated unit within DJPR. Relevant
functions and resources would be spun out from this unit once the LOC is established, leaving a core
group to ensure policy advice, cross-government coordination and a focus on achieving legacy goals.
Timelines and Costs
It is anticipated that, depending on the final legal form of the entity, it could be established within 6 to
12 months. Costs for the interim governance would be sought from ERC as part of the Games bidding
funding request. Costs for the end-state governance would be requested separately, together with
seeking government approval for that structure, once it is determined.
Further detail on the proposed Governance model, roles and responsibilities are outlined in Appendix
N.
Stakeholders Relevance to the project Potential interest and views on the project
Commonwealth Games peak bodies
Commonwealth CGF is the governing body for the CGF are seeking to announce the host for the
Games Federation Commonwealth Games and is responsible 2026 Games at the Birmingham Games, the
(CGF) for the direction and control of the games host city for 2026 has not been confirmed.
as well as selecting the host cities
CGF and CGA have signed a MOU to undertake
an exclusive evaluation and due diligence
process for Victoria to host the 2026 CG
Commonwealth CGA is responsible for administering, CGF and CGA have signed a MOU to undertake
Games Australia controlling, and coordinating the an exclusive evaluation and due diligence
(CGA) participation of the Australian sports process for Victoria to host the 2026 CG
programs, their athletes, and officials in the
Commonwealth Games
Commonwealth CGFP is a joint venture between the CGF CGFP will likely be supportive with their focus on
Games Federation and SPORTFIVE which seek to identify generating commercial incomes for the Games
Partnerships (CGFP) sustainable and long-term commercial through corporate partnerships, TV rights,
partnerships that also benefit the delivery licensing and merchandise.
of the Games.
Government bodies
Federal Government Federal Government have an important to It is assumed that federal government would be
play from visas, border control and largely supportive as they are already aware of
diplomacy perspective the process from the recent 2018 Gold Coast
Games.
Victorian State Key Victorian Government departments DFFH (Fairer Victoria in particular) will have an
Departments and and bodies in particular, Department of interest from an equitable games perspective;
other bodies Fairness, Families and Housing (DFFH), VicPol from a policing and operational
Victoria Police (VicPol), Department of requirements perspective, DoT from rail
Transport (DoT) and Visit Victoria will be network/public transport perspective; Visit
consulted. Victoria from enhancing tourism in the state. It is
assumed that these department and bodies will
be willing to cooperate.
Geelong City Council Geelong Council oversees the City of Geelong has for a long time sought further
Greater Geelong in the Barwon region in investment in sports to meet local demand and
the Southwestern Victoria Region. Several is home to several sporting venues who will
proposed venues including Kardinia Park, benefit from this. It will also provide great job
Geelong Clay Target Club, Wellsford Rifle opportunities and training opportunities to
Range, Little River Shooting Range and residents of Geelong. Given the benefit the
Geelong Arena, Eastern Beach, Geelong Games will provide to the area, it is assumed
Convention and Exhibition Centre, GMHBA that the Council will be willing to cooperate and
Stadium are situated within the Geelong work closely with the State to deliver the event
City Council
Ballarat City Council Ballarat City Council oversees the City of The Ballarat community has a long history in
Ballarat in the Central Highlands in the sports, and it is home to Ballarat Regional
Southwestern Victoria Region. A number of Soccer Facility, which has hosted both
proposed venues including MARS Stadium, international and national teams in the past.
Minerdome, Eastern Oval are located Ballarat City Council also developed an Active
within the council. Ballart action plan which aims to support the
Council with future planning, management, and
priorities for a range of sustainable sports in the
region. The plan aligns with the state
government’s Active Victoria plan. The Council
is supportive of this as it would lead to significant
benefits to the regional economy through
generating employment and stimulating
economic growth
Sporting bodies
Regional RDV operates in partnership with regional It is assumed that RDV will be supportive of the
Development businesses and communities, and all tiers Games as some potential benefits include
Victoria (RDV) of government to deliver the Government’s increased community participation, housing
regional development agenda and instigate access, more than 147,000 regional businesses
positive change for regional and rural who can benefit from the Games by supplying or
Victorians through tourism spend
Sport and Recreation Sport and Recreation Victoria are SRV will work with key stakeholders in playing
Victoria dedicated to supporting Victoria’s sport and an integral role in the development and
recreation sector and inspiring Victorians to implementation of sporting infrastructure
get active investment. In partnership with Visit Victoria,
they are also the lead on the 2026 CG
negotiation and candidature
The National The National Sporting Organisations Endorsement from the NSOs will be required to
Sporting (NSOs) are the primary bodies for sport in deliver the Games as the timing of the game
Organisations Australia (e.g. Aus Cycling, AFL, Golf may either disrupt or support broader plans for
(NSOs) Australia, Rugby Australia). NSOs to support their athletes in preparation for
both world/title events and the Brisbane
Olympics
Venue owners
Venue owners Venue owners are committed to improving Consultations have not yet been conducted with
access to facilities and meet the growing the venue owners to confirm the availability.
demand from the community However, renovation of the existing facilities will
increase longevity and ensure these can
continue to function for another 30 years. Given
the increased demand in the regional centres, it
becomes imperative to maintain and grow these
facilities as some face end-of-cycle costs.
Several sites have been identified where only
temporary overlay infrastructure is required.
Given the benefit the Games will provide to the
sporting venues, it is assumed that venue
owners will be willing to cooperate and work
closely with the State to deliver the event
6.6 MOU
Included in Appendix A.
Bendigo Region The Bendigo Region Destination Management Plan (DMP) The DMP’s first Strategic Development Objective is ‘Primary Destination Development’
Destination Management provides a strategic approach to growing tourism in the Bendigo with the goal to ‘develop the primary destinations to support a diverse visitor economy
Plan Region. The key outcomes of the DMP include: and projected visitor growth’. Of the primary destinations included in the Plan, Bendigo is
• A set of Strategic Objectives which respond to the key issues the major regional centre and primary visitor and accommodation hub. This aligns to
and opportunities identified Bendigo hosting 7 sports for the 2026 Commonwealth Games.
The Games will assist in the progression of the initiatives included in the DMP including
• 16 Priority Project
developing the night time economy and building the accommodation base to cater for
• Suite of destination development opportunities major events.
• A range of initiatives to strengthen governance and
collaboration across the region.
Gippsland Destination The Gippsland Destination Management Plan (DMP) identifies Strategic Priority 4 of the DMP is to ‘Invest in diverse and exciting regional events’. This
Management Plan the unique offerings that lie within the region that can be directly aligns with the delivery of the Games in Gippsland. The DMP includes actions to
leveraged to support tourism and facilitate economic growth and develop a Gippsland regional events strategy that focuses on things like leisure and
employment to 2030. sport. Hosting 3 of the Games sports in Morwell will assist the Gippsland DMP in the
Its strategic priorities are: development and delivery of this regional events strategy.
• Collaborative and effective leadership and governance Hosting the Games in Morwell will also assist in other Strategic Priorities of the DMP
across industry and community including strengthening Gippsland’s appeal as a destination through brand awareness
and investing in place-making to support the visitor economy both for the Games and
• Strengthen Gippsland’s appeal as a destination through
beyond.
brand awareness and coordinated marketing
• Develop Gippsland’s experiences that encourage new and
existing markets to visit, stay and spend
• Invest in diverse and exciting regional events
• Invest in place-making to support the visitor economy
• Revitalise visitor servicing across the region
• Create industry partnerships to foster and grow the
Gippsland visitor economy.
Regional Development
Department of Jobs, The DJPR Strategic Plan outlines how the department will further The DJPR Strategic Plan includes the departments overarching strategies and priorities.
Precincts and Regions accelerate Victoria’s economic recovery and growth, ensuring it These strategies and priorities align with a regional Victoria Commonwealth Games and
(DPJR) Strategic Plan benefits all Victorians by: are as follows:
2021-2025 • Creating more jobs for more people Tourism, Sport and Major Events DJPR priorities include to:
• Building thriving places and regions • Support industries, sectors and businesses facing challenges to recover, grow, adapt
• Supporting inclusive communities. or transition
It reflects the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and outlines • Grow and maintain Victoria’s position as a state of choice for international investment,
how DJPR’s strategic priorities will help communities and talent, visitors and students
businesses adapt, build resilience and recover. Hosting the Games aligns to these DJPR priorities in reviving the major events calendar
with this world-class event and strengthening the state’s position as a global events
destination. Investment in the Games would also rebuild demand for Victoria to become
the top-choice for tourists as the industry recovers from the impacts of COVID-19.
Regional Development DJPR priorities include to:
• Create opportunities for Victorians to build their skills and find safe, secure and fair
employment
• Support Victoria’s regions and suburbs to have the infrastructure, services and
workforce they need to thrive
• Ensure there are opportunities for all Victorians to benefit from a resilient and growing
economy
Hosting the Games regionally would result in sustained economic benefit to Victoria,
driving ongoing tourism, trade / investment and employment. Skills development will
occur alongside the Games planning to ensure that jobs created result in ongoing
employment – particularly for regional areas. Additionally, four athlete villages in Ballarat,
Bendigo, Geelong and Gippsland will be constructed and existing facilities will be made
‘games ready’.
Community Sport DJPR priorities include to:
Commonwealth Building The $1.38 billion Building Better Regions Fund (BBRF) supports The Games represents an opportunity to further benefit from investments made by the
Better Regions Fund the Australian Government's commitment to create jobs, drive Building Better Regions Fund including the $10 million investment into the expansion of
economic growth and build stronger regional communities into the Ballarat Sports & Events Centre which added six new sports courts including a show
the future. The fund invests in projects located in, or benefiting court seating 3,000 spectators. In hosting the Games the recommended solution will
eligible areas outside the major capital cities. leverage existing funding and financing wherever possible, such as existing housing or
tourism funds and investments made by the Federal Government through the Building
Better Regions Fund.
Trade & Investment
Regional Housing
City of Ballarat Health and The City of Ballarat Health and Wellbeing Plan 2021-2031 sets The following areas for action included within the Plan align with the legacy of the Games
Wellbeing Plan 2021-2031 the health priorities for the Ballarat community, outlines and the goal to increase public participation in sport:
strategies to prevent or reduce public health issues and • A healthy, connected and inclusive community
supports the community to achieve optimum health and
• Increasing active living
wellbeing.
The Health and Wellbeing Plan 2021-2031 has six priority • Improving mental wellbeing
areas:
• Tackling climate and its impact on health
• Preventing all forms of violence
• Increasing healthy eating
• Increasing active living
• Improving mental wellbeing
• Reducing harm from smoking, gambling, alcohol and other
drugs
Living Well Latrobe Health Living Well Latrobe is Latrobe City Council’s Municipal Public The Active Living action included within the Plan aligns to the legacy of the Games and
and Wellbeing Plan 2017- Health and Wellbeing Plan (MPHWP) 2017-2021, adopted on the goal to increase public participation in sport with the objective to:
2021 23 October 2017.Focus areas
• Get the community moving—grow existing active living initiatives, foster new ones and
• Social and Community Connectedness work with the community to create new and exciting physical activity opportunities
• Active Living • Grow participation in physical activity —women, Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander
• Health and Wellbeing community, LGBTI, multicultural community, people with a disability, senior
• Safe at Home
• Safe in the Community
Victoria’s LGBTIQ+ Strategy Victoria’s LGBTIQ+ Strategy (currently in consultation) has As set out in Victoria’s LGBTIQ+ Strategy, sports settings are important community
(in consultation) identified equitable and accessible service systems (including locations for building connection and inclusion, promoting LGBTIQ+ inclusion and
access to community facilities) as a key direction area for the visibility, and celebrating individual contributions and community strengths.
strategy and acknowledged the role of sports in fostering Sport plays a key role in promoting LGBTIQ+ mental and physical health and wellbeing.
LGBTQI+ communities and supporting strong physical and The ability to share diverse stories and histories from LGBTIQ+ communities with
mental health. mainstream audiences helps to counteract negative community beliefs and attitudes, and
place importance on LGBTIQ+ lived experience
Through the delivery of the Games, Victoria has the opportunity to promote inclusion
through participation and advocacy opportunities across the Game by embedding
diversity and inclusion as a key principle of the games.
Social Procurement
Victorian Social The Victorian Government introduced Victoria’s Social The Games procurement will target women led and Indigenous businesses as well as
Procurement Framework Procurement Framework (SPF) in April 2018. Victoria’s SPF social enterprises.
enables departments and agencies to deliver greater benefits
from their procurement spend. Social procurement is when
organisations use their buying power to generate social value
above and beyond the value of the goods, services, or
construction being procured.
Victoria’s social procurement framework aims to promote:
• Opportunities for Victorian Aboriginal People
• Opportunities for Victorians with a disability
• Women’s equality and safety
• Opportunities for disadvantaged Victorians
• Sustainable social enterprise
• Sustainable Victorian regions
74
Inquiry into Women and Girls in Sport and Active Recreation, 2015
75
https://www.nielsen.com/us/en/insights/article/2021/the-olympics-is-the-biggest-platform-for-gender-equality-in-global-
sports/
76
65 per cent Female vs 35 per cent Male attendees at the CG2018 Games, GC2018 Visitor Study Evaluation Report,
Office of the Commonwealth Games, Queensland Government
77
Coche, R. & Tuggle, C. A. (2016). The women’s Olympics?: A gender analysis of NBC’s coverage of the London
2012 Summer Games. Electronic News, 10(2), 121-138.
Barriers that may inhibit individuals from accessing the Commonwealth Games:
Barriers exist for a multitude of complex reasons and difficulties that exist within society, and result in
imbalances in sport, in participation numbers and in the backgrounds of those persons who
participate. Barriers to the Commonwealth Games include:
• Physical barriers (e.g. spaces not all can access or not all can have a similar experience in
which are potentially harmful for those of certain genders or cultural backgrounds)
• Economic barriers (e.g. the Games is not accessible for volunteers, athletes or spectators
without financial means)
• Social barriers (e.g. Athletes, Volunteers and Spectators do not feel part of a community and
are not accepted based on their gender, age, background, nationality, religion and the Game is
not an accepting space for celebrating diversity and difference)
To overcome these barriers one of the core pillars of the Commonwealth Games is equality, in all
aspects of the Commonwealth Games. This includes the need to provide safe and accessible spaces
for all athletes, volunteers and spectators across their entire Games experience.
78
https://www.clearinghouseforsport.gov.au/kb/volunteers-in-sport/statistics
• We have assumed that the Federal Government will fund 50% of the capital expenditure for
venues in the Best Case, while the amount assumed in the Worst Case has been agreed with
DJPR
• In the Best Case, we have assumed that the other 50% of the capital expenditure for venues
will be funded through existing State Government Sporting Infrastructure funding and that the
cost of the Games Village Housing Program will be covered by a State Government Housing
Program
• In the Worst Case, we have assumed that $40 million of the capital expenditure for venues will
be funded through existing State Government Sporting Infrastructure funding and 20% of the
cost of the Games Village Housing Program will be covered by a State Government Housing
Program
• We have assumed that local government will contribute $100 million of funding to the operating
budget and capital expenditure in the Best Case scenario and $30 million in the Worst Case
scenario.
Item Assumption
Operating revenue
Broadcast rights Commercial arrangements agreed with the CGF.
Sponsorship Commercial arrangements agreed with the CGF.
Ticketing Based on the assumed sport competition schedule in a ‘bottom up’ build.
Licensing and merchandising Commercial arrangements agreed with the CGF.
Victorian Government grants
Assumed to be the amount to balance the budget – “Cost to Victorian Government”.
funding
Australian Government grants Assumed to be $0 in the worst case and $2 million in the best case (based on advice from
funding DJPR).
Local Government grants Assumed to be $15 in the worst case and $80 million in the best case (based on advice from
funding DJPR).
Interest and others Assumed to be the baseline with a nominal increase of 5% to allow for minor variations.
Other government contributions for infrastructure and facilities (capital contributions)
Victorian Government grants Assumed to be cost of public domain improvements and other minor upgrades, with the rest
funding covered by alternative sources – “Cost to Victorian Government”.
Australian Government grants Assumed to be $40 million in the worst case and 50% of the capital expenditure required for
funding venues in the best case (based on advice from DJPR).
Local Government grants Assumed to be $15 in the worst case and $20 million in the best case (based on advice from
funding DJPR).
Capital investment
Sports facilities upgrades and Infrastructure and facilities expenditure is the contribution by the Victorian Government to
legacy develop infrastructure and facilities related to the Games that both enabled hosting of the
event and provided an enduring legacy for the State. This excludes venue and village
operating expenses, which have been reported as Games operations expenses. The budget
estimate is a ‘bottom up’ based on the DHW report on venue infrastructure and discussions
with DJPR.
Games village housing The Games Villages are assumed to be delivered under a development agreement as social
program and low cost housing and only the net expenses incurred by the Government are reported.
This should include estimated costs to cover the transition of the sites post- Games to their
final purpose (housing).
Assumed that 0% of funding will be provided through the program in the worst case and the
full cost of the program will be covered by the program in the best case (based on advice from
DJPR).
Public Domain Improvements Assumed to be minor capital works to deliver a range of long lasting benefits to the
community as well as ensuring the best possible experience for visitors during the Games.
Assumed to be baseline plus 5%
Other Includes program wide management and communication expenses associated with the
Commonwealth Games infrastructure program. Costs are central and not attributable to
individual infrastructure projects. Assumed to be baseline plus 5%
Operating expenses
Ceremonies and Queen’s Ceremonies includes all direct and indirect expenses on the opening and closing ceremonies,
Baton Relay medal ceremonies, flag handover ceremony and the Queen’s Baton Relay. Security expenses
in relation to these events are classified as security.
An increase for minor variations in scope from the Gold Coast 2018 program has been
applied.
Arts and Culture Includes all expenses relating to a yet to be defined Games arts and culture program and
those relating to live sites.
Increases for variations in scope from the Gold Coast 2018 program have been applied to
ensure sufficient budget to take Games experience to non-host regions
Games Legacy Benefits Expenses incurred in realising the long-term benefits of hosting the Games including:
• Sport Participation $20M
• Uplift Regional Event Fund $2.5M per year for 4 years ($10M)
• Sport Diplomacy & Trade $10M.
Corporate and Administration Includes the cost of governance, finance, legal, procurement, risk management, office
accommodation, training and uniform expenses for employees and volunteers, and
environmental/ sustainability expenses.
An increase for minor variations in scope from the Gold Coast 2018 program has been
applied.
Workforce This expense includes direct and indirect workforce (and on-costs) for all operational areas.
The workforce is estimated to have a higher workforce cost given the geographic split of the
regions, but also potentially a reduced core team under a 'revised CGF Planning Model’ i.e.
this Games will initially have a central Games HQ and core staff but will eventually require a
very distributed staffing model and this will require a larger Games workforce and additional
relocation and accommodation costs.
Cost informed by a ‘bottom-up’ build completed by MI.
City operations City operations includes non-business-as-usual expenses incurred by host and event cities
associated with hosting the Games. They include but are not limited to, additional city
services, community safety and ensuring that event cities are presented suitably for a large
international sporting event. City operations costs assumed to be higher given the higher
number of Games hubs/cities.
The expenditure captured in this component is generated from tourists that include:
• Ticketed attendees (i.e. spectators)
• Athletes
• Team officials
• Non-ticketed sport attendees (i.e. those that attended non-ticketed events such as cycling)
• Volunteers
• Media
• Commonwealth Games workforce
• Contractors
• Technical officials
• Games Family
• Sponsors
• Trade delegates (for the Trade Program)
Outlined below are the key assumptions for each visitor type.
Table 60: Increased tourism expenditure (pre and during the Games) - key assumptions
8. Direct expenditure from event tourism - Other attendees - Commonwealth Games Workforce
8a. Commonwealth Games Workforce
Size of Commonwealth Games workforce provided by MI, based on analysis of
Commonwealth Games workforce 538 538
attendances from previous Games.
8b. Origin
Local (Regional Victoria) 40% 40%
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 50% 50%
EY estimates based on analysis of attendance data from Gold Coast 2018 Games.
Interstate 8% 8%
International 2% 2%
8c. Specific & extended stay attendance
Local (Regional Victoria) 0% 0%
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 100% 100% All workforce members are assumed to visit Victoria / Regional Victoria specifically for
Interstate 100% 100% the Games.
International 100% 100%
8d. Average length of stay - Regional Victoria
Local (Regional Victoria) 0.0 0.0
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 20.0 20.0 EY estimates based on the likely roles of the workforce members. It is likely that most
members of the workforce will stay longer than the duration of the Games for
Interstate 30.0 30.0 organisational purposes.
International 30.0 30.0
8e. Average length of stay - Melbourne
Local (Regional Victoria) 0.0 0.0
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 2.0 2.0 In addition to staying in Regional Victoria, we have assumed that workforce members
Interstate 2.0 2.0 also stay for a short period in Melbourne (i.e. as part of the transit journey).
International 2.0 2.0
8f. Average daily spend
Local (Regional Victoria) $0 $0
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) $50 $50 EY estimates based on analysis of attendance data from Gold Coast 2018 Games, with
increases applied due to the Gold Coast Study also including attendees that did not pay
Interstate $50 $50 for accommodation.
International $50 $50
9. Direct expenditure from event tourism - Other attendees - Contractors
9a. Number of contractors
Number of trade delegates 2,000 2,000 EY estimate based on analysis of attendance data from Gold Coast 2018 Games.
13b. Origin
Local (Regional Victoria) 25% 25%
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 40% 40%
EY estimate based on analysis of attendance data from Gold Coast 2018 Games.
Interstate 15% 15%
International 20% 20%
13c. Specific & extended stay attendance
Local (Regional Victoria) 0% 0%
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 100% 100% All trade delegates are assumed to visit Victoria / Regional Victoria specifically for the
Interstate 100% 100% Games.
International 100% 100%
13d. Average length of stay - Regional Victoria
Local (Regional Victoria) 0.0 0.0
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 5.0 5.0 As a conservative measure, we have assumed that most trade delegates will not
Interstate 7.0 7.0 remain in Regional Victoria for the full duration of the Games.
International 10.0 10.0
13e. Average length of stay - Melbourne
Local (Regional Victoria) 0.0 0.0
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 2.0 2.0 In addition to staying in Regional Victoria, we have assumed that trade delegates also
stay for a short period in Melbourne (i.e. as part of the transit journey).
Interstate 2.0 2.0
Induced tourism
EY estimate based on expected 50% uplift ($2.5 million increase) of Regional Events
Number of new events due to new/redeveloped facilities 20 25
Fund. Based on historical data, the Regional Events Fund has supported approximately
15c. Origin
Local (Regional Victoria) 38% 38%
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 50% 50% EY estimate based on analysis of post-event studies of various regional, state and
Interstate 10% 10% national sporting events (collected from an internal EY database).
International 3% 3%
15d. Specific & extended stay attendance
Local (Regional Victoria) 0% 0%
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 100% 100%
All visitors are assumed to visit Victoria / Regional Victoria specifically for the Games.
Interstate 100% 100%
International 100% 100%
15e. Average length of stay - Regional Victoria
Local (Regional Victoria) 0.0 0.0
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 4.0 4.0 EY estimate based on analysis of post-event studies of various regional, state and
Interstate 4.0 4.0 national sporting events (collected from an internal EY database).
International 6.0 6.0
15f. Average length of stay - Melbourne
Local (Regional Victoria) 0.0 0.0
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) 0.0 0.0 In addition to staying in Regional Victoria, we have assumed that interstate and
international visitors also stay for a short period in Melbourne (i.e. as part of the transit
Interstate 2.0 2.0 journey).
International 2.0 2.0
15g. Average daily spend
Local (Regional Victoria) $0 $0
Rest of Victoria (Melbourne) $150 $150 EY estimate based on analysis of post-event studies of various regional, state and
Interstate $150 $150 national sporting events (collected from an internal EY database).
International $150 $150
Induced exports
Average expected value of export sales resulting from Trade EY estimate based on analysis of Melbourne 2006 Games post-event study (increased
$600,000 $700,000
Program per domestic delegate sales of approximately $515,000 per domestic delegate), inflated to 2022 dollars.
Induced investment
Victorian Government Sport Infrastructure Funding 80% 80% EY estimate based on consideration of the likely location of businesses engaged in the
design and construction process.
State Government Housing Program 80% 80%
Event operations
Total operating revenue $249,265,178 $329,854,437 EY estimate based on information provided by MI.
19b. Proportion of operating revenue that would not have entered region if not for Games - Victoria
EY estimate based on consideration of the nature of operating revenue
Average proportion across all revenue line items 55% 55%
generated.
19c. Proportion of operating expenditure injected directly into region - Victoria
EY estimate based on consideration of the likely location of businesses engaged
Average proportion across all expenditure line items 69% 69%
in the operations process.
19d. Proportion of operating revenue that would not have entered region if not for Games - Regional Victoria
Assumed number of beds per 1 and 2 bedroom units 2.8 2.8 EY estimate based on information provided by DJPR.
Avoided health costs and productivity costs from increased physical activity
Table 67: Avoided health costs and productivity costs from increased physical activity - key assumptions
Consumer surplus
Civic pride
Volunteerism
Prepared
by: Date:
Approved
by: Date:
Secretary: Date: