DDP Boheco-I 2016-2025

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2016-2025 DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN

Prepared By: BOHECO I Technical Working Group

2016-2025 DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN Page


Table of Contents

CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION ...........................................................................................................................................1

1.1. MANDATE OF FRANCHISED ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE.........................................................................................................1

1.2. BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM..............................................................................................................................1

1.3. CONSUMER DEMAND AND ENERGY .............................................................................................................................3

1.4. UTILITY PERFORMANCE.............................................................................................................................................3

CHAPTER 2: DISTRIBUTION PLANNING PROCESS, METHODOLOGY AND CRITERIA ........................................................5

2.1. DATA GATHERING AND UPDATING ..............................................................................................................................5

2.2. FORECASTING .........................................................................................................................................................6

2.3. TECHNICAL PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT AND ANALYSIS ...................................................................................................6

2.4. ECONOMIC EVALUATION ...........................................................................................................................................7

2.5. FINANCIAL ANALYSIS AND RATE IMPACT ASSESSMENT......................................................................................................7

CHAPTER 3: BOHECO I FORECASTS .................................................................................................................................8

3.1. SYSTEM ENERGY FORECAST .......................................................................................................................................8

3.2. SYSTEM DEMAND FORECAST ......................................................................................................................................8

3.3. NJUMBER OF CUSTOMERS PER CUSTOMER TYPE FORECAST ...............................................................................................9

3.4. SUBSTATION CAPACITY ...........................................................................................................................................10

CHAPTER 4: TECHNICAL PERFORMANCE ASSESSMENT.................................................................................................11

4.1. DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM POWER QUALITY PERFORMANCE ................................................................................................11

4.2. PROTECTION AND SAFETY ........................................................................................................................................12

4.3. ASSESSMENT OF DUTIES AND ADEQUACY OF PROTECTIVE DEVICES....................................................................................13

4.4. DISTRIBUTION FEEDER RELIABILITY ............................................................................................................................15

4.5. DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM LOSS PERFORMANCE ................................................................................................................16

CHAPTER 5: SUBSTATION AND SUB-TRANSMISSION PROJECTS ...................................................................................19

5.1. 15-MVA BOLOD SUBSTATION .................................................................................................................................19

5.2. UPRATING OF CARMEN SUBSTATION (5-MVA—10-MVA)............................................................................................22

CHAPTER 6: PRIMARY DISTRIBUTION UPGRADING AND UPRATING PROJECT .............................................................26

6.1. RELOCATION OF 10-MVA DAMPAS SUBSTATION AND FEEDER-06 UPRATING & UPGRADING .................................................26

6.2. 13.2-KV PRIMARY LINE UPGRADING (POBLACION—DE LAPAZ, CORTES) ...........................................................................28

6.3. 13.2-KV PRIMARY DISTRIBUTION LINE UPGRADING (BALILIHAN—CORELLA) ......................................................................30

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page i


6.4. DISTRIBUTION LINE UPGRADING AT COVERAGE AREA ....................................................................................................31

CHAPTER 7: DEVELOPMENT OF SECONDARY DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM ..........................................................................33

CHAPTER 8: DISTRIBUTION FEEDER PROTECTION AND SAFETY ....................................................................................34

8.1. REPLACEMENT OF 69KV PROTECTION, CONTROL & TRANSFORMER MONITORING ...............................................................34

8.2. REPLACEMENT OF 15KV MAIN & SUB-FEEDER PROTECTION AND CONTROL .......................................................................34

8.3. INSTALLATION OF FEEDER RECLOSER BYPASS SWITCH.....................................................................................................34

CHAPTER 9: NON-NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS ...............................................................................................35

9.1. MAINTENANCE VEHICLE, SERVICE VEHICLE AND BOOM/BUCKET TRUCK .............................................................................35

9.2. SUBSTATION AUTOMATION & FIBER OPTIC COMMUNICATION NETWORK ..........................................................................35

9.3. POWER SYSTEM SIMULATOR SOFTWARE UPGRADING ....................................................................................................37

9.4. REPLACEMENT OF INSTRUMENT TRANSFORMERS, ELECTRIC REVENUE METER AND METERING PANELS FOR FEEDER METERING ......37

9.5. ENGINEERING SUB-OFFICE AND MOTORPOOL ..............................................................................................................37

9.6. LINE TENSIONER AND PULLER ENGINE ........................................................................................................................38

9.7. RELAY TESTER.......................................................................................................................................................38

9.8. DISTRIBUTION TRANSFORMER EFFICIENCY TESTER .........................................................................................................39

CHAPTER 10: OTHER NETWORK DEVELOPMENT PROJECTS ............................................................................................40

10.1. CONSUMER INITIATED PROJECTS ...............................................................................................................................40

CHAPTER 11: ANNEXES ...................................................................................................................................................46

Annex A Technical Simulation Flowchart ................................................................................................................46

Annex B BOHECO I Forecasting Methodology ........................................................................................................48

Annex C Predictive Reliability Assessment per Feeder ............................................................................................60

Annex D Economic Sizing of 13.2kV Primary Distribution Line ................................................................................61

Annex E Distribution Feeder Protection and Safety Development...........................................................................64

Annex F BOHECO I’s Policy No. 7-84: Consumer’s Furnished Line ...........................................................................95

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1-1 BOHECO I System Map ....................................................................................... 1

Figure 1-2: BOHECO I Sales per Customer Type ................................................................. 2

Figure 1-3: Customer Count per Customer Type ................................................................... 2

Figure 1-4 Historical Systems Loss Performance of BOHECO I in percent ........................... 4

Figure 2-1 Distribution Development Planning Flowchart ...................................................... 5

Figure 2-2 Methodology of Forecasting ................................................................................. 6

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Figure 3-1 BOHECO I System Energy Forecast .................................................................... 8

Figure 3-2 System Demand Forecast (kW) ........................................................................... 9

Figure 3-3 Forecasted No. of Customer per Type ................................................................. 9

Figure 4-1: 2012-2013 BOHECO I System Segregated Systems Loss ............................... 17

Figure 5-1: Panglao Substation Load Density Map .............................................................. 19

Figure 5-2: Proposed 15-MVA Tawala Substation ............................................................... 20

Figure 5-3: BOHECO I Load Density Map of a Rural Area ................................................. 23

Figure 6-1 Proposed Relocation of Dampas Substation ...................................................... 26

Figure 6-2 13.2-kV Primary Line Upgrading (Poblacion—De Lapaz, Cortes)....................... 28

Figure 6-3 Load Density Map at De Lapaz, Cortes .............................................................. 29

Figure 6-4 13.2-kV Primary Distribution Line Upgrading (Balilihan—Corella) ...................... 30

Figure 6-5 Proposed 5-MVA Corella Substation .................................................................. 31

Figure 6-6 Sample Fragmented Projects Located Barangay Tabalong, Dauis ..................... 32

Figure 9-1 BOHECO I Fiber Optic Cable Communication Backbone Line ........................... 36

Figure 9-2 Proposed Engineering Sub-Office, Bool District, Tagbilaran City........................ 38

Figure 10-1 “Base Scenario”: Before User Initiated Line Construction is inexistent. ............ 41

Figure 10-2 Where 1st User Initiated Line Construction extends from existing facility. ......... 41

Figure 10-3 Where 2nd User Initiated Line Construction extends from the last user. ............ 42

Figure 10-4 Where 3rd User Initiated Line Construction extends from the last user. ............ 43

Figure 10-5 Where existing and new House connection are tapped to existing multiple-user
initiated Line Construction. .................................................................................................. 43

Figure 11-1: BOHECO I System Energy Forecast ............................................................... 49

Figure 11-2: System Demand Forecast (kW) ...................................................................... 49

Figure 11-3: Historical, Forecasted, and Adjusted System Demand Forecast (kWh) ........... 49

Figure 11-4: BOHECO I System Demand Forecast ............................................................. 53

Figure 11-5 Forecasted Single-Phase Distribution Transformer Methodology ..................... 56

Figure 11-6 Cost Functions of 13.2kV Primary Distribution Line .......................................... 62

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page iii


LIST OF TABLES

Table 1-1 Historical Yearly Average No. Of Customers ......................................................... 3

Table 1-2: Historical Yearly Energy Consumptions (Megawatt-Hour) .................................... 3

Table 3-1 Substation Data – 2015 ....................................................................................... 10

Table 3-2 Forecasted Percent Loading Per Substation ....................................................... 10

Table 4-1 Forecasted Power Quality Performance of BOHECO I Distribution System ........ 11

Table 4-2 NGCP Fault Data per Substation ......................................................................... 12

Table 4-3: Fault Current Duties per Feeder of BOHECO I Distribution System ................... 13

Table 4-4 Distribution System Reliability Standards ............................................................ 15

Table 4-5 5-Year Historical System Reliability Performance ................................................ 16

Table 4-6 BOHECO I Reliability Performance Indices per substation for year 2015 ............ 16

Table 4-7 Forecasted Technical Systems Loss per Substation ........................................... 18

Table 5-1: 10-Year Percent Loading of Panglao Substation ................................................ 19

Table 5-2: Percent Loading of Tawala, Panglao & Dampas Substation ............................... 20

Table 5-3: Technical & Efficiency Performance of Tawala, Panglao .................................... 21

Table 5-4: Substation Capacity Expansion Pattern (Panglao Island) ................................... 21

Table 5-5: 20-Year Percent Loading of Carmen Substation ............................................... 22

Table 5-6 Percent Loading of Carmen & Dimiao Substation ................................................ 23

Table 5-7: Technical & Efficiency Performance of Carmen & Dimiao Substation ................. 24

Table 5-8: Substation Capacity Expansion Pattern (Rural Area) ......................................... 24

Table 6-1: 5-Year Voltage Profile of Dampas Substation .................................................... 27

Table 6-2 Economic Load Reach of 13.2-kV Primary Distribution Line ................................ 27

Table 6-3 Feeder-16 Technical Performance Assessment .................................................. 29

Table 6-4 2011-2015 Line Upgrading & Uprating Accomplishment ..................................... 31

Table 6-5 Upgrading [Tabalong, Dauis] ............................................................................... 32

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Table 7-1 Additional Equipment for Secondary Distribution Development ........................... 33

Table 9-1 No. of Vehicles Used in Operation and Maintenance and Auxiliary Service ......... 35

Table 10-1 Summary of User-Initiated Distribution Development Project ............................ 44

Table 11-1: System Energy Forecasting Criteria and Intercepts .......................................... 48

Table 11-2: System Energy Forecast Validity Test Parameters and Result ......................... 48

Table 11-3: Per Feeder Energy Forecast Mathematical Models .......................................... 50

Table 11-4: System Energy Forecast Validity Test Parameters and Result ......................... 50

Table 11-5: BOHECO I Energy Sales Forecast per Feeder (kWh) ...................................... 52

Table 11-6: BOHECO I Demand Forecast per Substation (kilowatts) .................................. 54

Table 11-7 : BOHECO I Demand Forecast per Feeder (kilowatts) ...................................... 55

Table 11-8 : Forecasted Annual Number of Distribution Transformers Requirement per kVA
............................................................................................................................................ 57

Table 11-9 : No. of Customer Mathematical Forecasting Model per Customer Type ........... 57

Table 11-10 : No. of Consumer Forecast per Type Validity Test Parameters and Result .... 58

Table 11-11 : Forecasted No. of Customer Add-Ons per Customer Type ........................... 59

Table 11-12 : Predictive Reliability Assessment per Feeder ................................................ 60

Table 11-13 : Average Economic Load Reach (13.2-kV Primary Distribution Line) ............. 63

Table 11-14 : Distribution Feeder Protection and Safety Development Project Cost ........... 64

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page v


Chapter 1: Introduction

1.1. Mandate of Franchised Electric Cooperative

To provide safe, reliable, dependable and least-cost electric service, and to help
enhance the economic condition of the people within its coverage area, Bohol I Electric
Cooperative was established on August 11, 1971 as a non-stock, non-profit, member-
owned electric cooperative. It aims to render the highest possible level of service to its
members-consumers throughout its coverage area.

1.2. BOHECO I Distribution System

Bohol I Electric Cooperative, Inc. (BOHECO I) is an electric distribution utility that


serves 26 out of 48 municipalities in the southwest portion of Bohol excluding its capital
city—Tagbilaran City. It covers 603 barangays in the mainland and 15 barangays in the
islands. Ten of these island-barangays are connected off-grid through the Small Power
Utility Group of the National Power Corporation (NPC-SPUG) while the remaining five
barangays of Cabilao Island in the municipality of Loon were recently connected to the
main grid through a 13.2-kV submarine cable.

Figure 1-1 BOHECO I System Map

Submarine Cable

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2025) | Page 1


Anchored in providing an electric service in accordance with service quality
performance standards, BOHECO I maintains nine (9) power substations: two (2) are
used for step-up from the power generation of Janopol Mini Hydro Electric Power Plant
and BOHECO I Sevilla Mini Hydro Plant, and seven (7) are utilized to serve the coverage
area. Also, additional substations will be commissioned by the first quarter of 2017; (1) 5-
MVA Sagasa Substation in Sagasa, Balilihan and (2) Privately owned 3-MVA Liwayway
Corp. Substation in Vilarcayo, Carmen.

In 2016, the 139, 269 consumers of


BOHECO I were served with a rated 55- Public Bldg & Street Lights
Industrial
5.81%
MVA total installed capacity which is 70% 21.03%

loaded with a peak demand of 34.455 MW,


a load factor of 67% and a power factor of
98%. BOHECO I operates and maintains
45.58-km 69-kV sub-transmission lines
and twenty-four (24) feeders that include
1,726.44 km of primary distribution lines
Commercial
and 1,844.16 km of secondary distribution 22.23% Residential
50.93%
lines.

It consistently maintains a single Figure 1-2: BOHECO I Sales per Customer Type
digit system loss and diligently complies
with the standards of the Philippine
Public Bldg & Street Lights
Distribution Code where none of the Industrial
9.04%
0.03%
Commercial
customers served have voltages higher or
4.13%
lower than 10% of the nominal 230 Volts.
BOHECO I’s voltage unbalances in its
three-phase lines are less than 2.5%. Its
System Average Interruption Frequency
Index (SAIFI) is at 7.3 interruptions per
customer-year and its System Average
Residential
Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) is only 86.79%
13.7 hours per customer-year.
Figure 1-3: Customer Count per Customer Type
In that same year, BOHECO I had
a total energy sales of 170 GWh at an average system rate of 7.54 PhP/kWh.

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1.3. Consumer Demand and Energy

Bohol is one of the major tourist destinations in the country, thus making
tourism industry one of the major economic drivers in the franchised area of BOHECO I.
Statistical Data from year 2011 to 2015 show that the demand for power (kW) and
energy (kWh) were increasing as shown in the tables below.

Table 1-1 Historical Yearly Average No. Of Customers

Commercial Commercial Public Street BAPA &


Year Residential Industrials
Small Large Buildings Lights ECA
2010 63,790 5,063 363 2,453 7,342 28 36,055
2011 65,262 5,131 331 2,544 7,857 30 37,228
2012 67,018 5,219 329 2,633 8,242 29 38,694
2013 68,217 5,254 328 2,656 8,515 33 39,528
2014 68,341 5,128 328 2,547 8,702 34 40,167
2015 71,391 5,212 333 2,706 9,112 39 41,817
2016 75,777 5,419 337 2,934 9,522 46 43,271

Table 1-2: Historical Yearly Energy Consumptions (Megawatt-Hour)

Commercial Commercial Public Street BAPA &


Year Residential Industrials
Small Large Buildings Lights ECA
2010 45,639 12,458 20,612 5,799 1,094 12,951 9,655
2011 47,207 14,088 20,386 6,191 1,191 15,031 10,016
2012 49,966 15,394 22,020 6,557 1,309 15,531 10,328
2013 50,356 15,347 14,253 6,446 1,317 22,375 10,318
2014 53,297 15,652 14,371 6,691 1,404 23,125 11,460
2015 60,113 18,404 15,449 7,615 1,440 29,373 12,462
2016 71,913 21,614 16,361 8,424 1,502 35,932 14,694

1.4. Utility Performance

In the last five years, BOHECO I has maintained a single digit systems loss as
shown in Figure 1-4. BOHECO I is mandated to provide the least possible cost of power
to its customers, therefore it strives to maintain its efficiency at the highest optimal level.

BOHECO I’s efficiency performance for the past years has always been way
below the NEA’s thirteen percent (13.0%) established cap level of losses for electric
cooperatives (shown in Figure 1-4). The Electric Cooperative is committed to maintain a
single digit systems loss in the forthcoming years.

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Figure 1-4 Historical Systems Loss Performance of BOHECO I in percent

14.00%

12.00%

10.00%

8.00%

6.00%

4.00%

2.00%

0.00%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

System Loss Cap System Loss

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 4


Chapter 2: Distribution Planning Process, Methodology and Criteria

A comprehensive distribution system planning is essential in providing the


management with an economic perspective in the development of BOHECO I’s
distribution system. This will ensure adequate and reliable service at the least-cost
manner to its consumers.

The Distribution System Planning process consists of several steps which


includes: (1) data gathering and updating, (2) forecasting, (3) performance assessment
of the distribution system, (4) formulation of possible solutions/alternatives, (5) technical
evaluation of solutions/alternatives according to standard performance criteria, and (6)
economic evaluation or selection of the most suitable least-cost alternative solutions that
form part of the distribution development strategy, and (7) financial analysis and rate
impact assessment.

Figure 2-1 Distribution Development Planning Flowchart

1. Data Gathering and Updating


Demand, Sales, consumer, economic, demographic, fault, reliability, ERC DSL Segregation Data (Network & Load)

2. Forecasting
Demand, Sales and Consumers

3. Performance Assessment of Distribution System


Identify and Quantify Capacity, Safety, Power Quality, Reliability and Systems Loss problems.

4. Formulation of Alternatives
Generate Project Ideas (Solution to Problems)

5. Technical Evaluation
Short Circuit, Load Flow, Reliability and Systems Loss Analysis

6. Economic Evaluation
Least Cost, Net Present Value and Benefit/Cost Analysis

DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN

7. Financing and Rate Impact

2.1. Data Gathering and Updating

Historical data pertinent to the required forecasts and system performance


analysis are gathered regularly. Accurate historical data such as number of customers
per customer class, energy sales, hourly demand, outage data, etc… are needed in
forecasting future demand and system requirements, and performance evaluation.

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2.2. Forecasting

Electricity demand forecasting is a fundamental process for distribution


development planning. Forecasts allow us to prepare for future system requirements and
help us predict and evaluate future performance of the distribution system. The
forecasting methodology used depends on factors such as the type of and availability of
data such as historical energy and peak demand data, econometric data (population
GDP, DRDP, and the like), and municipal and development plans.

BOHECO I employs historical data and trend analysis using regression models to
predict future energy consumption and peak demand. We apply scientific and statistical
methods in validating our forecasting models using internationally accepted standards
and criteria. Figure 2-2 shows the flowchart describing our forecasting methodology and
the technical criteria used.

Figure 2-2 Methodology of Forecasting

Historical Data

Formulate Load
Forecasting Model
Trend Analysis
-Historical Demand
MAPE≤3.0%
R2 closer to 1.0
Test for Adjusted R2 closer to 1.0
Validity & P Value < 0.1
Accuracy t Statistics <-2, > 2

FORECAST

2.3. Technical Performance Assessment and Analysis

Technical simulation, performance evaluation and analysis of the distribution


system is performed to determine the current and future performance of the
distribution system against technical standards and criteria set forth by the Philippine
Distribution Code (PDC), Philippine Grid Code (PGC), and the Philippine Electrical

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 6


Code (PEC) and performance requirements stipulated by ERC. During this analysis we
are able to identify and problems or deficiency in the existing as well as future
distribution system. The required analyses include: (a) Capacity Analysis, (b) Power
Quality Analysis, (c) Safety Analysis, (d) Systems Loss Analysis, and (e) Reliability
Analysis. The same set of analyses are also performed to test the effectivity and
feasibility of proposed projects that are expected to provide solutions to the identified
problems. Projects that pass the technical criteria set by the PDC, PGC, and PEC are
identified as technically feasible projects that will be subjected to economic evaluation.

2.4. Economic Evaluation

Economic evaluation is performed on two or more technically feasible


alternatives/ solutions to an identified distribution system problem. The technically
feasible solution that is determined as the least-cost (lifetime cost) alternative will be
the one chosen to be implemented. Two forms of economic analyses are typically
done: the (a) Net Present Value, and (b) Benefit/Cost analysis. The NPV analysis is
used to evaluate mandatory projects when the system does not comply to the minimum
standards, while Benefit/Cost Ratio is used to evaluate non-mandatory projects such
as in Systems Loss Reduction and Reliability Improvement projects where the system
loss or reliability already complies with minimum required standards.

2.5. Financial Analysis and Rate Impact Assessment

Financial analysis is performed to simulate and evaluate the effect of proposed


project costs on the current and future expected cashflows and loan amortizations to
creditor banks and other financial institutions. When heavy negative cash flows are
expected, prioritization of projects may be done to minimize the impact on the DU’s
cashflow. Some non-mandatory projects and other projects of lesser priority may be
deferred. It is also important to determine whether the existing rates can still provide for
the expected capital expenditures. If rates are insufficient, a rate increase may be
proposed and submitted to the ERC for approval. Furthermore, some projects may be
deferred if the rate impact is too much for the consumers to handle. Financial Analysis
and Rate Impact Assessment, although not presented in this DDP, forms part of the
DUs submission to ERC for Capex Application of this DDP.

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Chapter 3: BOHECO I Forecasts

BOHECO I applied a combined approach where the forecasted system energy is


allocated based on the forecast of each of its feeders.

3.1. System Energy Forecast

The historical data used in forecasting the system energy were based on the
annual registered energy in the BOHECO I metering per feeder.

In accordance with the forecasting methodology presented in Section 1.6,


BOHECO I applied a combined approach where the forecasted system energy is
allocated based on the forecast of each feeders.

Figure 3-1 BOHECO I System Energy Forecast

350
Millions

YEAR Energy (kWh)


300
2015 149,010,061
250
2016 152,965,634
200
2017 161,282,582
Energy in kWh

150 2018 169,611,216


100 2019 177,914,416

50 2020 186,166,940

0
2025 226,234,169
2016

2020

2037
2015

2017
2018
2019

2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036

2038
2039
2040

2030 263,958,571

Year 2035 299,392,024


2040 332,766,219

The forecasted output (see Annex A) was used in evaluating the system’s
technical performance, loading and capacity for the next five years. The need for
systems capacity augmentation projects and capital-intensive projects were identified
through this. The detailed forecasted data per feeders are shown in Annex B-2.

3.2. System Demand Forecast

The forecasted system demand (kW) presented in Annex B-3 is an integral part in
system capacity analysis where it measures whether the installed capacity is sufficient to
cater to the projected requirement in each substation. Figure 3-2 below shows the 25-
year forecasted demand of BOHECO I. The detailed forecasted data per feeder are
shown in Annex B-3.

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Figure 3-2 System Demand Forecast (kW)

80 Year Demand (kW)


Thousands 70 2015 28,227
60 2016 32,278
Demand (kilo-Watts)

50 2017 34,023

40 2018 35,771

30 2019 37,513

20 2020 39,245

10 2025 47,653

0 2030 55,573
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2035 63,020
Year 2040 70,047

3.3. Njumber of Customers per Customer Type Forecast

The forecast of number of customers plays a vital role in the planning process
because this determines future revenue that will cover capital expenditure and operating
costs and additional expenses for meters and other equipment. Figure 3-3 below shows
the forecasted number of customers, add-ons per customer type with the total number of
customers in the base year 2015.

Figure 3-3 Forecasted No. of Customer per Type 239,581

300,000 300,000
229,034
218,977
209,411
200,334
191,746
183,647

250,000 250,000
176,037
168,914
162,278
156,126
150,459
145,271
140,559
136,317
No. of Customers

200,000 200,000

150,000 150,000

100,000 100,000

50,000 50,000

- -
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

RM BE CS CL PB ST IN

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3.4. Substation Capacity

With a total installed capacity of 55-MVA, BOHECO I has adequate capacity to


serve the maximum coincidental peak demand of 28.227 MW at a power factor of 98.98
percent as registered in the year 2015. The seven (7) substations are strategically
located in the load centers in every feeder system served.

Table 3-1 Substation Data – 2015

Rated Peak
Percent Power Load
Substation Capacity Demand
Loading Factor Factor
(MVA) (MW)
Maca-as 10 7.54 77% 98% 59.85%
Dampas 10 5.6 59% 95% 65.62%
Carmen 5 3.8 76% 100% 52.25%
Loay 10 5.0 50% 100% 54.68%
Maribojoc 5 3.3 70% 95% 55.12%
Panglao 10 5.9 60% 99% 63.07%
Catagbacan 5
Total 55 28.3 51% 100% 62.23%

According to the Electric Cooperative Distribution Utility Planning Manual (ECDUPM), it


is recommended to make plans for additional capacity when the percent loading of the
substation reaches seventy percent (70%).

Table 3-2 Forecasted Percent Loading Per Substation

Rated PERCENT LOADING PER YEAR


Power
Substation Capacity
Factor 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
(kVA)
Macaas 10,000 95% 63% 72% 61% 64% 67% 70% 84% 97% 109% 118%
Dampas 10,000 95% 53% 67% 70% 74% 56% 80% 96% 110% 123% 136%
Carmen 5,000 95% 78% 89% 95% 101% 106% 112% 141% 168% 194% 220%
Loay 10,000 95% 32% 37% 38% 40% 42% 44% 53% 62% 71% 79%
Maribojoc 5,000 95% 46% 53% 55% 57% 60% 62% 73% 83% 93% 102%
Panglao 10,000 95% 65% 68% 72% 76% 81% 85% 105% 125% 144% 162%
Catagbacan 5,000 95% 50% 52% 55% 58% 60% 73% 85% 95% 103%
Sagasa 5,000 95% 0% 29% 31% 32% 33% 40% 46% 52% 57%
Total 62,500 95% 48% 54% 57% 60% 60% 66% 80% 80% 80% 80%

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 10


Chapter 4: Technical Performance Assessment

4.1. Distribution System Power Quality Performance

Under Section 3.2.1 of the Philippine Distribution Code (PDC), power quality is
defined as the quality of the voltage, including its frequency and the resulting current,
which are measured in the Distribution System during normal conditions. Section 3.2.3.3
states that the nominal voltage of the system should not be less than 90% or 110%
above its nominal voltage.

BOHECO I has a nominal voltage level at the secondary distribution system of


230 volts. The regulated minimum and maximum threshold for this voltage level
according to the PDC is 207 Volts and 253 Volts, respectively.

To evaluate the power quality of the BOHECO I Distribution System, technical


assessment through load flow simulation was conducted to determine the loading
conditions of the lines in every node, transformers under certain conditions, electric
current flows, voltage drops and technical system losses.

Table 4-1 below shows the technical performance of BOHECO I Distribution


Feeder System in terms of power quality and system efficiency. It shows that the rest of
the feeders have passed the standard level except for Feeder-06 where the minimum
voltage starting in the year 2016 will be below the minimum threshold voltage. Network
development and correction shall address this deficiency of Feeder-20. A project related
to the known power quality problem of Feeder-06 is discussed in Section 5.1 where
alternative solutions are evaluated techno-economically.

Table 4-1 Forecasted Power Quality Performance of BOHECO I Distribution System

Power Quality Performance per Year


Substation Feeder
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
F01 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.93
F02 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.93
F03 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96
F12 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97
F04 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95
F05 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93
F06 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88
F07 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.94
F08 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.92

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F13 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95
F09 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.93
F10 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95
F11 0.96 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.94 0.94
F15 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96
F16 0.93 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.92 0.91
F17 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98
F18 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99
F18A 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97
F19 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 0.93
F20 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.90
F20A 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96
F21 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97
F22 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97
F23 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99
F24 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00
F25 0.95 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93
F26 0.98 0.98 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97

4.2. Protection and Safety

We conducted Short circuit calculations and analyses to determine whether


BOHECO I distribution system adheres to minimum safety and protection standards.
Calculations were performed for various types of fault: three-phase, single line to ground
fault, and double line to ground fault at every node of the entire distribution system. The
calculated fault current levels were used to select fuses, circuit breakers and protective
relays and to determine whether current protection equipment can detect minimum fault
levels and withstand maximum fault levels.

Shown in Table 4-2 below is the NGCP Fault Data used, together with our
distribution system’s line and transformer models, in the calculation of short circuit
currents in the distribution system.

Table 4-2 NGCP Fault Data per Substation

3-PH Fault 1LG Fault


MVA X / R Ratio MVA X / R Ratio
Tubigon 69 157.87 4.51 126.55 4.28

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Dampas 69 328.42 7.59 282.98 7.42
Carmen 69 114.13 3.58 81.89 4.01
Loay 69 179.27 4.89 152.42 4.56
Maribojoc 69 218.23 4.96 187.52 5.07
Panglao 69 199.94 5.35 170.42 4.92

4.3. Assessment of Duties and Adequacy of Protective Devices

Tables 4-4 and 4-5 below show the assessment of duties and adequacy of the
protective devices installed in BOHECO I Distribution Substation and Feeder system. A
10% safety margin for all installed protective device in the system was adopted in the
evaluation. These tables show that the installed protection equipment in each feeder
have sufficient margin of safety and that the setting of the down-line recloser before the
location of the minimum fault per feeder is sufficient enough to protect the system from
the said fault current. Single line diagrams of the representation of the minimum faults of
all feeders of the distribution system are shown in Annex F-1.

Aside from the prescribed safety assessment, we also conducted physical


inventory where we identified deteriorated protective devices whose mechanical and
physical conditions were found to be unsafe for the public.

Table 4-3: Fault Current Duties per Feeder of BOHECO I Distribution System

Margin of
Protections Maximum Remarks (10%
Safety 13.2KV
Substaion Feeder Name Short Ckt. Fault @ Zf = Margin of
Sec.
Rating (AIC) 0Ω (Amp) Safety)
Protection
Feeder-01 12,500 2,243 557% Safe
Feeder-02 12,500 3,376 370% Safe
Feeder-03 12,500 3,323 376% Safe
Feeder-12 12,500 4,327 289% Safe
Feeder-04 12,500 2,927 427% Safe
Feeder-05 12,500 2,927 427% Safe
Feeder-06 12,500 4,344 288% Safe
Feeder-07 12,500 2,023 618% Safe
Feeder-08 12,500 3,075 406% Safe
Feeder-13 12,500 2,038 613% Safe
Feeder-09 12,500 2,932 426% Safe
Feeder-10 12,500 3,421 365% Safe
Feeder-11 12,500 3,414 366% Safe

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 13


Maribojoc
Feeder-15 12,500 2,210 566% Safe
Feeder-16 12,500 1,718 728% Safe
Feeder-17 12,500 2,183 573% Safe
Feeder-18 12,500 3,415 366% Safe
Feeder-18A 12,500 3,439 363% Safe
Feeder-19 12,500 3,480 359% Safe
Feeder-20 12,500 3,505 357% Safe
Feeder-20A 12,500 3,456 362% Safe
Feeder-21 12,500 3,414 366% Safe
Feeder-22 12,500 2,001 625% Safe
Feeder-23 12,500 1,973 634% Safe

Feeder-24 12,500 1,899 658% Safe

Feeder-25 12,500 2,083 600% Safe

Feeder-26 12,500 2,123 589% Safe

Table 4-5: Feeder - Recloser Protection Setting data per Feeder

Next Down-Line
Feeder Minimum Fault
Recloser
Feeder Protection
Substation Pick-Up
Name Pick-Up Bus Fault
Current Location
Setting Location Current
Setting
F01-87-40-9-7K-
Feeder-01 176 35 147
13
Feeder-02 160 50 F02-101 142 F02-251-32B-19A
F03-55-71B-28-6-
Feeder-03 160 143
45C
Feeder-12 50 - - 177 F12-38-74
Feeder-04 300 25 F04-3-5 187 F04-3-82-10
Feeder-05 130 - - 154 F05-28-31-22
Feeder-06 130 25 F06-81 137 F06-237
Feeder-07 60 50 F07-191 130 F07-109-88-20
Feeder-08 75 50 F08-445 133 F08-537-152-36
F13-352-
Feeder-13 52 25 138 F13-352-57-47B-8
7
Feeder-09 96 30 F09-327 134 F09-411-74-6
Feeder-10 112 - - 175 F10-176-73-15
Feeder-11 40 35 F11-100 142 F11-175-95-3
Feeder-15 35 - - 125 F15-231-140-63R
Feeder-16 125 50 F16-510 163 F16-25-20-19-18-5
Feeder-17 72 - - 170 F17-333-35

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Feeder-18 60 - - 220 F18-57-15
Feeder-18A 191 F18A-12-58-24

Panglao Feeder-19 190 F19-134-8-38-9-4


Feeder-20A 216 F20A-3-145-3M
Feeder-20 60 - - 224 F20-116-29-9
Feeder-21 60 - - 194 F21-198
F22-296-25-5-9-
Feeder-22 60 - - 163
1B
Feeder-23 60 - - 188 F23-166-30-25
Feeder-24 60 - - 127 F24-231-71-81
Feeder-25 60 35 F02-120 140 F25-120-114-24H

Feeder-26 60 - - 155 F26-269-60

4.4. Distribution Feeder Reliability

Reliability performance criteria and targets are essential to strategic planning and
these are currently being developed at BOHECO I. After several reviews and public
consultations (pub-con) of the Distribution Management Committee (DMC) together with
other relevant sectors, an established level of performance in terms of reliability of
electric service—currently measured through SAIFI, MAIFI and SAIDI were released.
Table 4-6 below shows the minimum required levels of reliability as established by DMC.

Table 4-4 Distribution System Reliability Standards


STANDARD DETAIL UNIT LEVEL
System Average Interruption Frequency
interruption/customer-year 20
Index (SAIFI)
System Average Interruption Duration Index
hour/interruption-year 45
(SAIDI)
Momentary Average Interruption Frequency
interruption/customer-year 
Index (MAIFI)

4.4.1 Historical Reliability Performance

In the last few years, the ERC, through its technical armthe DMC, established a
cap of the reliability performance indices. The pro-consumer commitment of the
ERCDMC provides reliability goals for the electric cooperatives to attain.

Bounded with these imperatives, BOHECO I develop methodologies in order to


optimize its reliability performance. Table 4-7 below shows the five-year historical
reliability performance of BOHECO I Distribution System.

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Table 4-5 5-Year Historical System Reliability Performance

Year SAIFI SAIDI CAIDI MAIFI


2011 5.159 7.321 1.419 2.863
2012 5.135 8.423 1.64 14.945
2013 6.113 9.505 1.555 12.36
2014 5.138 8.303 1.616 14.26
2015 6.919 11.655 1.684 12.966

Table 4-6 BOHECO I Reliability Performance Indices per substation for year 2015

Substations Maca-as Dampas Carmen Loay Maribojoc Panglao System


Average No
45,496 22,421 16,023 16,277 21,650 12,836 134,703
Consumers
No Consumers
Interruption
963,226 259,301 311,936 371,418 682,214 90,587 2,678,682
Interruption
1,224 808.97 577.92 1485.5 760.8 111.18 4,969
Duration (Hours)
Cust-Hrs
Interruption
541,107 224,819 171,786 242,413 416,160 25,073 1,621,358
Average Energy
45,779 27,712 10,409 11,589 36,327 9,245 141,061
Not Sold (kWh)
Momentary
Consumer 13 7 13 14 22 5 13
Interruptions
SAIFI 7.736 4.725 6.041 8.401 9.629 2.507 6.919

SAIDI 11.542 9.806 10.125 14.271 18.798 1.833 11.655

SAIFI – System Average Interruption Frequency Index (interruptions/customer-year)


SAIDI – System Average Interruption Duration frequency Index (hours/customer-year)

The indices shown in Table 4-8 indicate that BOHECO I efficiently delivers electric
service which is above and beyond the minimum regulatory standards established by the
ERC’s DMC. Even with this very good level of reliability BOHECO I continues to improve
its services as it reaches the optimal level of reliability of service to the end-users. Power
system reliability improvement will be an attribute to power quality improvement related
projects.

4.5. Distribution System Loss Performance

Technical and non-technical losses incurred in the delivery of electrical power and
energy delivered to consumers is a cost that cannot be ignored. It is the responsibility of
the DU to reduce system loss as this is also paid for by the consumers. Also, losses

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 16


above the system loss cap cannot be recovered from consumers and will form part of the
DU’s losses which will affect its viability.

4.5.1 Assessment of Historical Systems Loss Performance

Based on the Philippine Distribution Code (PDC) article 9.1.1.1, System Loss
must be segregated into two (2) components: Technical loss and Non-Technical Loss.
The segregated systems loss will help identify areas in need of improvement and will
help the DU come up with an effective system loss reduction program. Figure 4-1 below
shows the segregated system loss by component of the BOHECO I Distribution System.

Figure 4-1: 2012-2013 BOHECO I System Segregated Systems Loss

4.51%
7.68% 43.45% S/S Power Transformer Loss
0.19%
Primary Distribution Line Loss
2.22%
Primary Service Drop Loss

Distribution Transformer Load Loss


14.00%
Distribution Transformer No-Load
Loss
Secondary Distribution Line Loss
0.01%
21.31% 6.64%

System loss is mainly due to primary distribution line loss and distribution
transformer no load loss. System loss management is an ongoing consideration in the
planning, design, operation, purchase, upgrading and replacement of networks’
distribution facilities and equipment.

4.5.2 Assessment of Future Systems Loss Performance

In the planning perspective, systems loss reduction could often be attributed to


many of the proposed projects. Therefore, systems loss reduction projects are not
directly analyzed but instead but form part of the economic evaluation of all projects. It is
noted in the benefits to be earned in any given project for any identified power quality
and capacity problems. Table 4-9 below shows the forecasted technical loss
performance of BOHECO I Distribution System per substation.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 17


Table 4-7 Forecasted Technical Systems Loss per Substation

SUBSTATION 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020


MACAAS 198.5 216.5 255.0 256.3 278.8 302.5
DAMPAS 228.6 247.0 296.5 319.3 341.8 366.1
CARMEN 152.4 170.2 192.0 215.4 239.8 266.0
LOAY 105.7 112.9 121.3 130.8 140.2 151.0
MARIBOJOC 67.0 71.7 76.7 82.0 87.5 93.2
PANGLAO 249.1 277.1 438.8 339.7 373.9 409.9
CATAGBACAN 87.4 92.7 101.4 108.4 127.7 123.6
SAGASA 63.8 68.3 73.6 79.1 84.7 90.6
TOTAL 1152.4 1256.5 1555.5 1531.0 1674.3 1802.9

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 18


Chapter 5: Substation and Sub-transmission Projects

5.1. 15-MVA Bolod Substation

5.1.1 Project Description and Justification

As forecasted, the Panglao Substation will be loaded at eighty percent (80%) by


the year 2018 (Table 5-1). Thus, additional capacity must be added to ease the
forecasted capacity problem of the Panglao Substation. The proposed Bolod Substation
should be at the load center, as evident from the load density map shown in Figure 5-1.
This substation project will require and 8 km 69-kV sub-transmission line as illustrated in
Figure 5-2.

Figure 5-1: Panglao Substation Load Density Map

Proposed
Proposed
Tawala
Bolod
Substation
Substation

Table 5-1: 10-Year Percent Loading of Panglao Substation

Rated Projected Year


Substation Capacity Demand/
(kW) Loading 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025
Demand (kW) 6,171 6,466 6,865 7,264 7,663 8,060 9,999
% Loading
69% 72% 76% 81% 85% 90% 111%
@90% PF
Demand (kW) 5,043 6,357 6,678 6,995 7,307 7,614 9,079
% Loading
56% 71% 74% 78% 81% 85% 101%
@90% PF

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 19


Figure 5-2: Proposed 15-MVA Tawala Substation

Proposed 15MVA
Bolod Substation
Bolod, Panglao

Capacity Analysis

The proposed Bolod substation will ease the loading of the Panglao, the Dampas
and the Loay Substations, as shown in Table 5-2, through optimal system
reconfiguration.

Table 5-2: Percent Loading of Tawala, Panglao & Dampas Substation

Substation Panglao Dampas Bolod Loay SS


Rated
10,000 10,000 15,000 10,000
Capacity
Demand % Demand % Demand % Demand %
Year
(kW) Loading (kW) Loading (kW) Loading (kW) Loading
2015 6,171 69% 5,043 56% 3,051 34%
2016 6,466 72% 6,357 71% 3,489 39%
2017 6,865 76% 6,678 74% 3,651 41%
2018 3,558 40% 4,336 48% 6,091 41% 5,091 51%
2019 3,770 42% 4,513 50% 6,364 42% 5,309 53%
2020 3,981 44% 4,686 52% 6,636 44% 5,527 55%
2025 5,020 56% 5,500 61% 7,967 53% 6,606 66%
2030 6,021 67% 6,245 69% 9,242 62% 7,651 77%
2035 6,988 78% 6,942 77% 10,470 70% 8,666 87%
2040 7,935 88% 7,611 85% 11,670 78% 9,664 97%
2045 8,877 99% 8,268 92% 12,861 86% 10,662 107%

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 20


Assessment of Technical Performance

The Tawala substation will not just augment the existing capacity of BOHECO I
but will also improve its system efficiency and uphold technical performance measured
by the quality of power delivery as shown in Table 5-3 below.

Table 5-3: Technical & Efficiency Performance of Tawala, Panglao

Bolod SS Panglao SS
Power Quality Systems Loss Power Quality Systems Loss
YEAR
Min. % Voltage Min. % Voltage
(kwhr) % (kwhr) %
Voltage Unbalance Voltage Unbalance
2018 0.9315 0.90% 63.91 1.08% 0.9614 1.28% 27 1.08%
2019 0.9296 0.96% 69.38 1.15% 0.959 1.34% 30.07 1.15%
2020 0.9231 1.02% 79.42 1.21% 0.9566 1.40% 33.36 1.21%
2025 0.9058 1.37% 104.23 1.40% 0.9469 1.64% 43.94 1.40%

5.1.2 Alternative Solutions to Panglao Substation Capacity Problem

The fundamental consideration to augment the existing capacity of the Panglao


substation is the capacity expansion pattern which will be determined through Substation
Capacity Analysis. The capacity analysis considered the connected load of Panglao
Island (Panglao and Dauis) which is within the twenty-kilometer (20 km) radius of
economic load reach of the 13.2-kV Distribution System. A detailed presentation of the
methodology is presented in Annex B.

Table 5-4: Substation Capacity Expansion Pattern (Panglao Island)

No. of
Substation
Substations Present Worth Ranking
Capacity Used
Added
5 MVA 5 3
129,262,932.78
10 MVA 3 2
103,935,853.96
15 MVA 2 1
95,051,629.10
25 MVA 2 4
142,522,204.10

Table 5-4 above indicates that an expansion with an increment of 15-MVA is the
most economical for Panglao Island which is categorized as a fast developing urbanized
area.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 21


5.1.3 Economic Evaluation of Alternative Solutions to Panglao Substation
Capacity Problem

The capacity expansion pattern analysis already includes economic substation


sizing analysis, thus it already represents the economic evaluation in the selection of
capacity to address the 30-year forecasted demand of Panglao Island.

5.2. Uprating of Carmen Substation (5-MVA—10-MVA)

5.2.1 Project Description and Justification

Based on the forecasts, the Carmen substation will be 84% loaded by the year
2018 as shown in Table 5-5. Because of this, an additional capacity must be added to
ease the projected capacity problem of Carmen Substation.

Table 5-5: 20-Year Percent Loading of Carmen Substation

Rated Projected Year


Substation Capacity Demand/
(kW) Loading 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 2030 2035

Demand
2,701 3,232 3,507 3,782 4,058 4,333 5,683 7,980 9,232
(kW)
%
60% 72% 78% 84% 90% 96% 126% 177% 205%
Loading

Figure 5-3 below shows the load density map of rural areas including the
municipalities of Carmen, Batuan, Bilar and Sagbayan which are currently being supplied
through the Carmen substation. It is then recommended that the substation be located at
the load center.

Capacity Analysis

Uprating the existing 5-MVA Carmen substation into 10-MVA will address the
capacity problem in the next fifteen (15) years. But this will cause the quality of power
delivered by one of its feeders (Feeder-08) to drop below ninety percent (90%) of its
nominal voltage of 230-Volts. As such, the existing 5-MVA substation will be installed at
Brgy. Luyo, Dimiao, Bohol as shown by Figure 5-3.

With the installation of the Dimiao substation on 2022, the 50-km kilometer over-
extended primary distribution line of Feeder-08 will be shortened at its economic load
reach of twenty-kilometer (20 km) radius for a 13.2-kV Distribution System.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 22


Figure 5-3: BOHECO I Load Density Map of a Rural Area

Table 5-6 Percent Loading of Carmen & Dimiao Substation

Substation Carmen Dimiao1


Rated Capacity 10,000 5,000
Year Demand (kW) % Loading Demand (kW) % Loading
2015 3,701 60%
2016 4,232 72%
2017 4,507 78%
2018 4,782 43%
2019 5,058 46%
2020 5,333 48%
2025 5,162 46% 2,021 36%
2030 6,131 55% 2,338 42%
2035 7,067 64% 2,638 47%
2040 7,985 72% 2,929 53%
2045 8,897 80% 3,215 58%

1
An indicative project for the year 2022, this will address projected capacity and power quality
problem of Carmen substation and Feeder-08 of Carmen substation respectively.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 23


Assessment of Technical Performance

Uprating of Carmen substation will not just augment the existing capacity of
BOHECO I but will also improve its system efficiency and uphold technical performance
measured by the quality of power delivery as shown in Table 5-7 below.

Table 5-7: Technical & Efficiency Performance of Carmen & Dimiao Substation

Carmen Substation (F08) DIMIAO Substation


YEAR Min % Voltage Loss % Min % Voltage Loss %
Voltage Unbalance (kWhr) Loss Voltage Unbalance (kWhr) Loss
2016 0.9726 0.86% 17.78 3.11% 0.9726 0.40% 6.24 0.66%
2017 0.9657 1.07% 22.29 3.46% 0.9710 0.49% 6.53 0.66%
2018 0.9603 1.18% 26.48 3.78% 0.9696 0.56% 6.93 0.68%
2019 0.9549 1.30% 30.98 4.10% 0.9682 0.62% 7.48 0.72%
2020 0.9496 1.41% 35.76 4.41% 0.9669 0.71% 7.73 0.72%

5.2.2 Alternative Solutions to Carmen Substation Capacity Problem

Although the same methodology is adopted in the formulation of alternative


solutions to the Carmen substation capacity problem, it differs in its primary
consideration; from a developing urbanized area in the previous chapter into a rural area
for this case.

Table 5-8: Substation Capacity Expansion Pattern (Rural Area)

No. of
Substation Present Worth of
Substations Ranking
Capacity Used Expansion
Added
5 MVA 3 2
86,214,841.92
10 MVA 2 1
78,206,139.37

Table 5-8 above indicates that a capacity expansion pattern with an increment of
10-MVA is the most economical for the rural areas under the coverage of BOHECO I
which are categorized as developing urbanized areas.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 24


5.2.3 Economic Evaluation of Alternative Solutions to Carmen Substation
Capacity Problem

As shown again in Table 5-8 above, the capacity expansion pattern analysis
includes its economic feasibility, thus it already represents the economic evaluation in
selecting either 5-MVA or 10-MVA to address the capacity problem of Carmen substation
in the next thirty (30) years.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 25


Chapter 6: Primary Distribution Upgrading and Uprating Project

6.1. Relocation of 10-MVA Dampas Substation and Feeder-06 Uprating &


Upgrading

6.1.1 Project Description and Justification

The proposal to uproot the Dampas substation from Dampas District in Tagbilaran
City and its relocation to Brgy. Guiwanon, Baclayon includes the construction of three-
phase 13.2-kV primary distribution lines that will connect the proposed new substation
location to the municipality of Corella as shown in Figure 6-1 below. In addition, uprating
of the two-phase Corella—Sikatuna Primary Distribution Backbone Line is associated
with this proposal.

Figure 6-1 Proposed Relocation of Dampas Substation

The primary distribution line of Feeder-06 shown in Figure 6-1 traverses the city of
Tagbilaran which is not part of BOHECO I’s franchised coverage area. Also, Right-Of-
Way procurement has been deemed difficult and expensive, thus making it problematic
to operate, maintain and develop the necessary facilities to ensure reliability and quality
of electric service. As per technical performance assessment of Feeder-06, the minimum
calculated quality of power is below ninety percent (90%) of its nominal voltage. An
improved power quality is foreseen with the implementation of the project as shown in
Table 6-1.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 26


Table 6-1: 5-Year Voltage Profile of Dampas Substation

Minimum Voltage per Year


Feeder
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Remarks
F04 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.95 0.95 w/o Project
F05 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.93 w/o Project
F06 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.88 w/o Project
0.940 0.938 0.933 0.935 0.930
Min Voltage
8 2 6 5 6
% Voltage
Unbalance 0.71% 0.74% 0.77% 0.75% 0.81%
Loss (kWhr) 48.42 52.97 58.96 60.95 67.39
% Loss 1.32% 1.38% 1.48% 1.46% 1.55%

6.1.2 Solution to Feeder-06 Power Quality Problem

6.1.2.1 Feeder-06 Uprating and ROW Procurement of Existing Line


Route

To address the imminent power quality problem of Feeder-06, ROW procurement


of its existing line route and uprating the existing primary distribution line from 2/0-AWG
to 4/0-AWG ACSR as shown in Table 6-2 must be conducted. It is also the most
economical conductor size for Feeder-06 with an initial load of 2.1 MW. Detailed
presentation of Line Sizing Economics is discussed in Annex D.

Table 6-2 Economic Load Reach of 13.2-kV Primary Distribution Line

Economic Load (kW) Max (Zeff,a; Voltage Drop Economic


Size
Phase Zeff,b; %/ Load
(AWG) Minimum Maximum Volts/km
Zeff,c) km Reach
1 4 0.0 45.6 1.323 8.8 0.12% 64.94
1 2 45.6 165.9 0.831 20.1 0.26% 28.44
3 4 165.9 335.3 1.323 21.6 0.28% 26.51
3 2 335.3 1,081.5 0.831 43.7 0.57% 13.09
3 2/0 1,081.5 1,767.6 0.415 35.6 0.47% 16.03
3 4/0 1,767.6 2,787.3 0.261 35.4 0.46% 16.17
3 336.4 2,787.3 4,644.9 0.166 37.5 0.49% 15.25
3 477 4,644.9 7,725.5 0.117 43.9 0.58% 13.01
Average Economic Load Reach 19.25

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 27


6.2. 13.2-kV Primary Line Upgrading (Poblacion—De Lapaz, Cortes)

6.2.1 Project Description and Justification

As a neighboring town of Tagbilaran City, the municipality of Cortes is currently


the alternative residential area of choice. As shown in Figure 6-2, a single-phase primary
distribution line from Poblacion to De Lapaz, Cortes supplied the area closest to the city.
Thus, with the density of load shown by the same figure, the voltage unbalance exceeds
the maximum allowable threshold of 2.5% as set by the PDC. Associated with this
project is an improvement of reliability since the existing backbone line (formerly owned
by NPC and acquired by BOHECO I) traverse private properties, therefore making it less
accessible during troubleshooting and preventive maintenance measures.

Figure 6-2 13.2-kV Primary Line Upgrading (Poblacion—De Lapaz, Cortes)

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 28


Figure 6-3 Load Density Map at De Lapaz, Cortes

The proposed project will form part of the existing backbone line of Feeder-16,
therefore, with an initial load of 1,600-kW, a 4/0-ACSR is the most economical size to be
used to address the voltage unbalance. Table 6-3 below shows the technical
performance assessment with the implementation of the project.

Table 6-3 Feeder-16 Technical Performance Assessment

% Voltage
YEAR Min Voltage Loss (kWhr) % Loss
Unbalance
2016 0.9155 0.61% 70.52 3.77%
2017 0.9121 0.62% 76.49 3.92%
2018 0.9082 0.68% 82.72 4.07%
2019 0.9045 0.74% 89.09 4.21%
2020 0.9008 0.80% 95.45 4.35%

6.2.2 Alternative Solution and Economic Evaluation of 13.2-kV Primary Line


Upgrading (Poblacion—De Lapaz, Cortes)

The coverage of the proposed project belongs to primary distribution lines


therefore the line sizing economics discussed in Annex D will represent the technically
and economically feasible solutions to resolve the projected voltage unbalance of
Feeder-16.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 29


6.3. 13.2-kV Primary Distribution Line Upgrading (Balilihan—Corella)

6.3.1 Project Description and Justification

Relative to the uprooting and relocation of the Dampas substation, part of the
existing Feeder-06, the primary distribution backbone line traversing Tagbilaran City will
be de-energized and retired. Consequently, its probability to be supplied through an
adjacent substation (presently Maribojoc SS) will be omitted, thus a reliable power
supply is at risk. Therefore, a tie-up primary distribution line from its strategically
adjoining substation will eliminate that risk.

Through line sizing economics, a 4/0-AWG ACSR is the most economical size for
an initial load of 1,600-kW (F06) with an economic load reach of 16.0-km. Figure 6-4
below shows the geographical presentation of the proposed project.

Figure 6-4 13.2-kV Primary Distribution Line Upgrading (Balilihan—Corella)

6.3.2 Alternative Solution of Balilihan—Corella Tie-Up Line

Installation of 5-MVA substation using the refurbished former power transformer of


the Loay substation will be an alternative solution to improve power supply reliability of
Feeder-06.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 30


Figure 6-5 Proposed 5-MVA Corella Substation

6.4. Distribution Line Upgrading at Coverage Area

6.4.1 Project Description and Justification

Community development and load growth are often associated with eventual
power quality problems. Therefore, upgrading of the existing distribution network is
essential to accommodate forecasted load growth and resolve power quality problems.
Since this entails direct connection to the distribution network, installation of Open and
Under-built Secondary line is needed.

The length of line for each type of project is based on a five-year historical
accomplishment of BOHECO I as shown in Table 6-4 below.

Table 6-4 2011-2015 Line Upgrading & Uprating Accomplishment

Three- Single Open Secondary


Year
Phase Phase Secondary Underbuilt
2011 4.42 1.50 10.80 8.99

2012 11.39 1.80 19.67 12.89

2013 4.18 0.39 14.52 10.51

2014 4.72 0.41 14.75 15.68

2015 4.05 0.82 12.77 14.38


Average 6.0 1.0 14.0 12.0

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 31


Figure 6-6 illustrates a line section sample identified of having low power quality. It
is, therefore, necessary to upgrade the existing distribution network to address the
deficiency, to improve power quality and reliability, and to augment capacity and boost
efficiency.

Figure 6-6 Sample Fragmented Projects Located Barangay Tabalong, Dauis


N

W E

LEG END

1 Ø PR IM AR Y LI NE

S E C ON D A RY LINE

P OLE

L IF T POLE

T RA NS FORMER
H OU S E C ONNECTION

R OAD

Pro po sed 1Ø PRIMARY


LINE EXTENSION

The sample project was identified through load flow analysis and validated thru
ocular inspection. The proposal is to rehabilitate and upgrade #6-AWG Duplex Wire that
were used as secondary lines, to #4 AWG Primary Line #2 AWG Secondary Line and
create a new transformer section. A summary of test results is shown in Table 6-5 below.

Table 6-5 Upgrading [Tabalong, Dauis]

Without Project With Project


Load
[kW] Minimum Loss Minimum
Loss [kW] Loss % Loss %
Voltage [%] [kW] Voltage [%]

22.08 0.66 2.99% 89.14% 0.304 1.38% 96.5%

As shown above, the system efficiency and power quality are improved through
rehabilitation and upgrading of over-extended secondary lines. In addition, uprating of
existing secondary distribution system, augments network capacity, improves reliability
and safety.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 32


Chapter 7: Development of Secondary Distribution System

As a franchised electric utility, BOHECO I is mandated to provide customers with


the necessary facilities and equipment for connections (new and old) which includes: (1)
an access to electric service voltage in its useful level—the nominal voltage level (230-
Volts)—through the distribution transformer; (2) an extension of facility up to thirty meters
from the existing standard facility—#6-AWG Duplex conductor; (3) revenue electric
meters for new service connections; and (4) revenue electric meters for existing
customers whose meters are identified to have reached its economic life. Table 7-1
below shows the summary of forecasted additional facilities and equipment required for
the secondary distribution development.

Table 7-1 Additional Equipment for Secondary Distribution Development

Description Unit 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020


Single Phase Distribution Transformer
15-kVA pcs 93 42 42 42 39
25-kVA pcs 69 30 30 30 30
37.5-kVA pcs 27 12 12 12 12
50-kVA pcs 18 9 9 9 9
75-kVA pcs 9 6 6 6 6
100-kVA pcs 9 6 6 6 6
167-kVA pcs 6 3 3 3 3
Service Entrance
Equipment
set 3,078 4,020 4,458 4,900 5,342
(#6-AWG Duplex &
Accessories)
Revenue kWh Meters
pcs 4,369 4,271 4,172 4,081 3,986
(Additional Customers)

Revenue kWh Meters


pcs 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600 2,600
(End of Economic Life)

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 33


Chapter 8: Distribution Feeder Protection and Safety

8.1. Replacement of 69kV Protection, Control & Transformer Monitoring

The 69kV Protection, Control & Transformer Monitoring equipment of the Carmen,
Maribojoc and Dampas Substations are proposed to be replaced. The existing
refurbished & oil-insulated three phase power circuit breakers in these substations were
determined to have already served their useful economic life, thus the need for
replacement.

8.2. Replacement of 15kV Main & Sub-Feeder Protection and Control

The existing feeder protection of the Maca-as, Carmen, Dampas, and Maribojoc
Substations are oil type refurbished circuit reclosers which were identified to have served
their useful economic life. These existing units had been in service for more than fifty
years. The breaker contacts are already deteriorated thereby a failure in its closing and
opening mechanism. This causes nuisance tripping and reclosing of the feeders.
Replacement of the said units thus require immediate attention. The Single Line
Diagrams of the proposed replacement are shown in Annex F-2.

8.3. Installation of Feeder Recloser Bypass Switch

The feeder recloser bypass switch are necessary equipment at the substation
feeders that will help minimize power interruption during feeder protection maintenance
works. The Single Line Diagrams of the proposed replacement are shown in Annex F-2.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 34


Chapter 9: Non-Network Development Projects

Non-network assets are logistics, tools, and equipment not directly used for the
delivery of power to consumers but are nonetheless essential in providing services and
systems that facilitate prompt response to the different needs of customers.

9.1. Maintenance Vehicle, Service Vehicle and Boom/Bucket Truck

An efficient logistics system is important in providing services to the consumers to


facilitate prompt response to the consumers’ varying needs. From maintenance to
Operations, from Engineering to Construction or other obligations, BOHECO I needs
vehicles in all of those activities. Tabulated in Table 9-1 are the existing vehicles that
BOHECO I uses to operate and maintain the distribution network and to deliver services
to its member-consumers.

Based on the historical data, a properly maintained vehicle used in daily activities
is projected to have a useful economic life of ten (10) years. Table 9-1 below shows the
total number of vehicles used in BOHECO I’s delivery of electric service and its projected
number of annual replacement.

Table 9-1 No. of Vehicles Used in Operation and Maintenance and Auxiliary Service

No. of Vehicle due


Description Type Usage Quantity for Replacement per
Year
Maintenance
LCV O&M 22 2
Vehicle
Service Vehicle AUV Service 10 1
Boom Truck 5 Tonners Construction 4
20
Boom Truck Construction 2
Tonners
Boom Truck Bucket Clearing 4

9.2. Substation Automation & Fiber Optic Communication Network

As BOHECO I ventures into innovative and reliability-centered key services,


automation systems are needed. There is a need to improve the integrity and capacity of
its IT and Communications Network to cater new business initiatives including: (1)
SCADA System; (2) the Integrated Billing System; (3) Bills payment through remittance
centers; and (4) security cameras and communication.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 35


Among these IT initiatives, the SCADA System requires the most stringent
communication and network reliability since it affects the availability of power supply and
the safety of distribution network. At present, the SCADA system depends on the IP-
Radio Communication Network of BOHECO I without the required redundancy or backup
system. Thus, it is recommended that another communication network be established,
specifically a fiber-optic cable network to serve as the new backbone of BOHECO I Data
and Communication Network Infrastructure. The existing IP-Radio Communication will
serve as its redundant backup communication system. Figure 9-1 below shows the
proposed fiber-optic communication backbone.

In 2017 and 2018, the Sagasa and the Tawala substations will be added to the
distribution network respectively. Together with the fiber optic network communications,
this will be implemented as the 3rd phase of BOHECO I SCADA system and substation
automation.

Figure 9-1 BOHECO I Fiber Optic Cable Communication Backbone Line

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 36


9.3. Power System Simulator Software Upgrading

Software maintenance is also essential for the timely upgrading and technical
support for existing technical simulation software programs that BOHECO I’s engineers
use. It is widely known that every year software programs are continuously being
upgraded to improve the quality and efficiency of these software tools. To cope with
these upgrades, BOHECO I has included the cost of software maintenance and support
in its capital expenditure program.

9.4. Replacement of Instrument Transformers, Electric Revenue Meter and


Metering Panels for Feeder Metering

In compliance with the implementation of the revised systems loss cap


wherein the technical loss will be reckoned from the feeder metering, BOHECO I
proposes to replace the existing dilapidated instrument transformers (CT & PT) and
the revenue meters installed in each feeder which are rated at an accuracy class of
1.0. It is recommended that the feeder revenue metering shall be at an accuracy
level of better than than 0.3. Although each feeder is designed for a 2.5MW
demand, it shall also have provisions to allow temporary load transfers without
overloading the instrument transformers. As such, each feeder’s current
transformer is rated at 5.0MW loading. In addition, since each feeder draws power
from the same bus, each revenue meter will be served by the same potential
transformer.

9.5. Engineering Sub-Office and Motorpool

At present, the aged engineering sub-office located in Bool District, Tagbilaran


City is due for rehabilitation. Instead of a simple restoration/rehabilitation, the building will
renovated to include a motorpool that will cater to preventive maintenance and repair of
utility vehicles under its coverage area. Strategically, this Engineering sub-office will be
equipped with a warehouse to facilitate release of fast-moving hardware materials for
line operation and maintenance.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 37


Figure 9-2 Proposed Engineering Sub-Office, Bool District, Tagbilaran City

9.6. Line Tensioner and puller Engine

Having the correct tension stringing equipment for the construction and
maintenance of electrical distribution lines helps ensure the project will go as planned
and meet deadlines as part of the EC’s prompt services to its member-consumers. It is
also important that distribution lines meet the tension stringing requirements based on
established standards.

9.7. Relay Tester

The multiple protection function of today’s protection relay systems requires a new
level of sophisticated hardware and software testing equipment to completely simulate
and analyze the operation of the unit in a "real life" situation. Periodic relay testing is, first
and foremost, preventive maintenance. Thus, procedures and records should be
designed with preventive maintenance as the guide. The tests themselves will reveal
failures which would have prevented the relay from performing when called upon to
operate. On the other hand, properly maintained records will reveal trends which could
lead to such failures

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 38


9.8. Distribution Transformer Efficiency Tester

With the widespread application of Distribution Transformer and the continuous


energization of large consumers, distribution transformer losses make up a considerable
portion of the total losses incurred in distribution systems. Even a minor improvement in
transformer efficiency could lead to significant energy savings.

Transformer loss reduction is therefore an optimization process that involves


physical, technological, and economical factors tempered by life-cycle performance
analysis. A Distribution Transformer Efficiency Tester will be crucial in studying the
performance of different brands, technologies, and sizes of DTs currently in use in the
distribution system, ideal usage and loading levels, and other factors that play an
important role in the reduction of transformer losses and system loss in general.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 39


Chapter 10: Other Network Development Projects

10.1. Consumer Initiated Projects

Project Description. BOHECO I consumer-initiated projects costs are entirely


shouldered by the applicant as detailed in BOHECO I’s Policy No 7-84 (Amended) as
shown in Annex G. In the process, whenever there is an applicant for large load or sole
user, the Planning & Design personnel will conduct an engineering survey and plan a
design suitable for the customer’s requirement. From the design, a Bill of Materials
(BOM) will be generated and will be charged solely to the consumer/applicant in need of
the service facility.

In case there will be additional users in that service facility, Policy No. 7-84 still
applies, since the policy has a provision for a multi-user sharing of the facility and the
cost.

Justification. The Distribution and Open Access Rules (DSOAR) which took effect
on February 17, 2006 has a provision for refund (Article 2.6.2 Refund) of amounts paid
for the extension of Distribution connection assets beyond the EC’s standard connection
facilities (Article 2.7.10 Non-Standard Connection) and for non-residential, it is treated as
Contribution In Aid of Construction (CIAC) which is shared (Article 2.7.10 Proportionate
Sharing of Line Extensions) with succeeding non-residential users.

BOHECO I treats both non-residential and residential payments as CIAC by its


Policy No. 7-84 which also has the provision for computing the sharing cost for
succeeding users of the same facility. Problems occur when the 1st user does not allow
succeeding users to use the facility, claiming to own the extended facility and not
honoring the policy for cost sharing. It mostly happens when the succeeding user/s
haven’t established a good relationship with the latter. An additional problem occurs
when BOHECO I as its sound judgment will not compute sharing cost to the preceding
user/s (i.e. small residential and small commercial) that exists after the completion of the
distribution line considered as CIAC and BOHECO I allowed them to use the same
extended facility treated as CIAC.

Geographic presentation below is a sample scenario of a user initiated extension


of line that will fit to the description of the problems stated above. This is located in Sitio
Riverside, Brgy. Songculan, Dauis where some small residential customers are already
connected to a #6 twisted conductor and as time passed, a large load applicant or a sole

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 40


user customer applying for service facility extension in the area that is subject to EC
Policy No. 7-84.

Figure 10-1 “Base Scenario”: Before User Initiated Line Construction is inexistent.

Figure 10-2 Where 1st User Initiated Line Construction extends from existing
facility.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 41


Figure 10-3 Where 2nd User Initiated Line Construction extends from the last user.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 42


Figure 10-4 Where 3rd User Initiated Line Construction extends from the last user.

Figure 10-5 Where existing and new House connection are tapped to existing multiple-
user initiated Line Construction.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 43


Another to be refunded is the line constructed by a developer for a housing
project. BOHECO I entered a Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) with Housing
developers and it was agreed that the EC will refund the cost of the project upon the
approval of ERC.

Below is the list of user-initiated projects where the costs are to be refunded by
the EC.

Table 10-1 Summary of User-Initiated Distribution Development Project

No
Project Description Location Cost 1st User
.
3Ø Primary Line Cambaquiz, Cabilao Cabilao Beach Club c/o
1 234,854.37
Construction Is., Loon Regin Peñaranda

3Ø Primary Line Pantudlan, Cabilao Polaris c/o Maria Victoria


2 364,875.75
Construction Is., Loon Baumann

1Ø Primary Line Brgy. Tangnan,


3 155,013.89 SMCT c/o Marilou Lumapas
Construction Panglao

3Ø Primary Line Brgy. Montaña,


4 416,038.91 CalichanResources
Construction Baclayon

3Ø Primary Line Brgy. Montaña, LABB Const. c/o Rodrigo


5 251,168.4
Construction Baclayon Labunog

3Ø Primary Line Brgy. Montaña,


6 327,520.13 7H Const. c/o Gerosa Ay-ad
Construction Baclayon

1Ø Primary Line Brgy. Libaong,


7 192,046.13 Carmencita Nickles
Construction Panglao

1Ø Primary Line Brgy. Candajec,


8 552,284.89 ADNAMA c/o Danilo Teves
Construction Clarin

1Ø Primary Line Brgy. Bil-isan,


9 273,313.13 Jomer Guiritan
Construction Panglao

3Ø Primary Line 1,696,457.0 Chatue De Paz c/o Fortunato


10 Brgy. Totolan, Dauis
Construction 0 Lim

3Ø Primary Line Brgy. Sambog, South Balibago c/o Robert


11 197,056.08
Construction Corella Umali Jr.

3Ø Primary Line Brgy. Katipunan,


12 162,470.85 Pilmon c/o Bryan Rejas
Construction Carmen

1Ø Primary Line Brgy. Tawala,


13 92,361.64 Mary Ann Malabon
Construction Panglao

1Ø Primary Line Brgy. Hinawanan,


14 195,826.76 Mark Franklin C. Abraham II
Construction Loay

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 44


1Ø Primary Line Brgy. Cambuac Norte BCCAP c/o Annabelle N.
15 115,269.74
Construction Sikatuna Paler

3Ø Primary Line Brgy. Guiwanon, 1,139,594.1 Colorado Homes, c/o Marlon


16
Construction Baclayon 2 Dioquino

3Ø Primary Line 1,877,787.5 Royal Palm II c/o Christopher


17 Brgy. Dao, Dauis
Construction 6 John Palacio

1Ø Primary Line Brgy. Cambacay, 119,140.13


18 Delfino Redempta
Construction Batuan 1

1Ø Primary Line
19 Brgy. Totlan, Dauis 122,099.71 Ryan Sigue
Construction

1Ø Primary Line Brgy. Ubojan, MAHALO c/o Erwin Van


20 96,261.83
Construction Sandinga Is., Loon Doorne
8,581,441.0
TOTAL IN PHP
0

To minimize the impact on BOHECO I’s cash flow, the total amount of PhP
8,581,441.00 will be equally distributed in three years (CY 2018-2020).

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 45


Chapter 11: ANNEXES

Flowcharts, Methodologies and Detailed Results

Annex A Technical Simulation Flowchart

A-1 Unbalanced Load Analysis Flowchart

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 46


A-2 Short Circuit Calculation Procedure

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 47


Annex B BOHECO I Forecasting Methodology

In accordance with the forecasting methodology presented, BOHECO I applied a


combined approach where the forecasted system energy is allocated based on the
forecast of each feeders.

B-1 System Energy Demand Forecast

Equation 1: System Energy Mathematical Model.

𝑬𝒏𝒆𝒓𝒈𝒚𝒔𝒚𝒔𝒕𝒆𝒎 = 𝒂(𝒕)−𝟏 + 𝒃(𝐥𝐧 𝒕)𝟏 + 𝒄(𝒍𝒏𝒕)𝟐 + 𝒅

Table below shows the parameters/criteria being considered.

Table 11-1: System Energy Forecasting Criteria and Intercepts

Intercepts P Value t Statistic

Coefficient Value < 0.1 < -2, >2

a (215,022,902.92) (3.204473) 0.049163

b (190,873,621.42) (3.435959) 0.041358

c 65,342,660.14 4.754762 0.017657

d 323,554,830.64 4.850179 0.016727

Table 11-2: System Energy Forecast Validity Test Parameters and Result

Test Parameters MAPE r2 r2adj Growth Rate

Actual 0.676% 0.9965 0.99295 7.65%

Requisite ≤ 3% >0.99 >0.99 Reasonable

The historical data used in forecasting the system energy were based on the
annual registered energy in the BOHECO I metering per feeder.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 48


500 YEAR Energy (kWh)
450
2016 170,426,641
400
2017 182,313,132
350
300 2018 195,732,208
Energy in MWh

250 2019 208,989,911


200 2020 222,026,215
150
2021 234,808,438
100
50 2026 294,632,660
0 2031 348,101,881
2020

2027

2034

2041
2016
2017
2018
2019

2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026

2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033

2035
2036
2037
2038
2039
2040
2036 396,290,003
Figure 11-1: BOHECO I System Energy Forecast
2041 440,169,752

100 Year Demand (kW)


90 2016 32,473
80 2017 35,167
70
Demand (Mega-Watts)

2018 37,861
60
2019 40,531
50
40 2020 43,165
30 2021 45,756
20 2026 57,969
10 2031 68,990
0 2036 78,991
2016

2023

2039
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022

2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035
2036
2037
2038

2040
2041

2041 88,146

Figure 11-2: System Demand Forecast (kW)

Forecast Historical

500
450
ENERGY ( GIGA-WATT-HOUR)

400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 2036 2038 2040

Figure 11-3: Historical, Forecasted, and Adjusted System Demand Forecast (kWh)

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 49


B-2 Per Feeder Energy Forecast

The forecasted energy of its feeder is adjusted with the system energy as
shown in Equation below.

Equation 2:
𝑛
𝐹𝑒𝑒𝑑𝑒𝑟 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦𝑖
𝐹𝑒𝑒𝑑𝑒𝑟 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦𝑖𝑠𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑒𝑑 = 𝐹𝑒𝑒𝑑𝑒𝑟 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦𝑖 × ∑
𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑑 𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟𝐹𝑒𝑒𝑑𝑒𝑟=𝑖 × 8760
𝑖=1

Table 11-3: Per Feeder Energy Forecast Mathematical Models

Feeder Forecast Mathematical Model Feeder Forecast Mathematical Model


F01 a(lnt)3 + b(lnt)2 + c(lnt)1 + d F13 a(lnt)3 + b
F02 a(lnt)3 + b F15 a(lnt)3 + b
F03 a(lnt)2 + b F16 a(lnt)3 + b(lnt)1 + c
F04 a(lnt)3 + b(lnt)1 + c F17 a(lnt)3 + b(lnt)2 + c(lnt)1 + d
F05 a(lnt)3 + b F19 a(lnt)-1 + b(lnt)1 + c(lnt)3 + d
F06 a(lnt)2 + b F20 a(lnt)-1 + b(lnt)1 + c(lnt)2 + d
F07 a(lnt)3 + b F21 a(lnt)3 + b(lnt)1 + c
F08 a(lnt)3 + b(lnt)1 + c F22 a(lnt)-1 + b(lnt)1 + c(lnt)2 + d
F09 a(lnt)3 + b(lnt)2 + c(lnt)1 + d F23 a(lnt)3 + b
F10 a(lnt)3 + b F24 a(lnt)-1 + b(lnt)1 + c(lnt)3 + d
F11 a(lnt)-1 + b(lnt)1 + c(lnt)2 + d
F12 a(lnt)3 + b

Table 11-4: System Energy Forecast Validity Test Parameters and Result

Test Parameter and Criteria


Feeder
MAPE r2 r2adj Growth Rate

F01 0.011% 0.999998 0.999997 4.99%

F02 0.749% 0.985830 0.982996 3.75%

F03 1.333% 0.979383 0.975260 5.73%

F04 0.230% 0.999337 0.999006 5.61%

F05 2.701% 0.965219 0.958263 7.84%

F06 2.792% 0.968112 0.961735 9.13%

F07 2.368% 0.940955 0.929146 5.58%

F08 2.154% 0.980517 0.970775 10.93%

F09 0.243% 0.999372 0.998745 5.67%

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 50


F10 1.002% 0.940068 0.928082 2.70%

F11 0.471% 0.994039 0.988077 3.93%

F12 1.599% 0.974523 0.969427 5.36%

F13 2.988% 0.965466 0.958559 9.52%

F15 0.558% 0.986598 0.983918 2.84%

F16 0.647% 0.998204 0.997305 8.99%

F17 0.009% 0.999995 0.999990 2.61%

F19 2.134% 0.970452 0.940905 8.41%

F20 0.223% 0.999779 0.999559 10.43%

F21 2.250% 0.994807 0.992211 18.29%

F22 2.534% 0.963363 0.926726 6.40%

F23 2.237% 0.925210 0.910252 2.24%

F24 2.007% 0.952115 0.904230 4.84%

Requisite < 5% Closer to 1 Closer to 1 Reasonable

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 51


Table 11-5: BOHECO I Energy Sales Forecast per Feeder (kWh)

Year 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031

F01 12,499,824 13,152,398 13,775,232 14,369,233 14,936,023 15,477,484 15,995,531 16,492,001 16,968,601 17,426,894 17,868,298 18,294,094 18,705,434 19,103,357 19,488,799

F02 9,839,241 10,465,413 11,080,890 11,683,456 12,272,117 12,846,578 13,406,946 13,953,553 14,486,855 15,007,370 15,515,639 16,012,207 16,497,604 16,972,344 17,436,917

F03 769,356 814,184 856,638 896,812 934,847 970,897 1,005,117 1,037,655 1,068,647 1,098,220 1,126,485 1,153,546 1,179,496 1,204,416 1,228,383

F04 8,954,429 9,466,447 9,959,113 10,432,560 10,887,539 11,325,070 11,746,265 12,152,235 12,544,041 12,922,675 13,289,053 13,644,013 13,988,319 14,322,666 14,647,690

F05 9,954,192 10,914,592 11,873,048 12,824,150 13,764,431 14,691,704 15,604,633 16,502,454 17,384,799 18,251,569 19,102,849 19,938,848 20,759,862 21,566,241 22,358,369

F06 12,429,184 13,342,957 14,214,060 15,043,689 15,833,914 16,587,166 17,305,964 17,992,772 18,649,921 19,279,580 19,883,748 20,464,253 21,022,762 21,560,794 22,079,733

F07 5,330,976 5,755,916 6,177,389 6,593,361 7,002,650 7,404,602 7,798,895 8,185,422 8,564,212 8,935,382 9,299,104 9,655,584 10,005,047 10,347,725 10,683,856

F08 8,529,985 9,231,398 9,916,440 10,583,907 11,233,471 11,865,311 12,479,897 13,077,852 13,659,877 14,226,702 14,779,053 15,317,637 15,843,135 16,356,192 16,857,417

F09 6,083,468 6,678,085 7,284,206 7,896,595 8,511,519 9,126,287 9,738,937 10,348,037 10,952,543 11,551,696 12,144,954 12,731,935 13,312,382 13,886,131 14,453,092

F10 6,143,746 6,470,276 6,788,378 7,097,292 7,396,883 7,687,341 7,969,016 8,242,332 8,507,737 8,765,678 9,016,585 9,260,863 9,498,894 9,731,029 9,957,598

F11 5,613,451 6,009,419 6,399,854 6,782,616 7,156,564 7,521,160 7,876,232 8,221,834 8,558,158 8,885,475 9,204,101 9,514,377 9,816,648 10,111,259 10,398,546

F12 8,588,894 9,258,325 9,921,756 10,576,061 11,219,447 11,850,949 12,470,116 13,076,825 13,671,163 14,253,347 14,823,676 15,382,497 15,930,183 16,467,118 16,993,688

F13 5,088,356 5,470,108 5,834,215 6,181,156 6,511,770 6,827,050 7,128,027 7,415,712 7,691,066 7,954,982 8,208,285 8,451,731 8,686,009 8,911,748 9,129,521

F15 2,330,847 2,428,118 2,519,077 2,604,074 2,683,571 2,758,054 2,827,987 2,893,803 2,955,891 3,014,601 3,070,241 3,123,088 3,173,386 3,221,352 3,267,177

F16 8,621,336 9,366,593 10,101,672 10,823,939 11,531,974 12,225,112 12,903,157 13,566,208 14,214,548 14,848,569 15,468,726 16,075,508 16,669,416 17,250,951 17,820,603

F17 1,170,439 1,221,775 1,270,889 1,317,809 1,362,644 1,405,530 1,446,613 1,486,035 1,523,928 1,560,416 1,595,607 1,629,602 1,662,490 1,694,352 1,725,259

F19 9,486,588 10,836,882 12,256,986 13,727,599 15,234,030 16,764,990 18,311,742 19,867,481 21,426,888 22,985,793 24,540,920 26,089,693 27,630,095 29,160,548 30,679,825

F20 39,442,004 41,331,735 43,141,334 44,870,144 46,520,842 48,097,628 49,605,265 51,048,593 52,432,278 53,760,695 55,037,888 56,267,557 57,453,074 58,597,505 59,703,635

F21 3,547,366 3,708,041 3,862,012 4,009,324 4,150,272 4,285,255 4,414,700 4,539,028 4,658,637 4,773,892 4,885,127 4,992,642 5,096,711 5,197,578 5,295,465

F22 6,514,908 7,475,845 8,473,825 9,494,562 10,527,726 11,565,781 12,603,202 13,635,928 14,660,983 15,676,197 16,680,003 17,671,293 18,649,303 19,613,535 20,563,693

F23 2,489,767 2,801,255 3,114,192 3,426,534 3,736,877 4,044,263 4,348,042 4,647,784 4,943,215 5,234,176 5,520,585 5,802,422 6,079,708 6,352,494 6,620,850

F24 864,133 1,005,843 1,158,276 1,318,825 1,485,475 1,656,653 1,831,122 2,007,902 2,186,216 2,365,440 2,545,077 2,724,725 2,904,064 3,082,833 3,260,824

F25 4,312,994 4,564,297 4,802,293 5,027,510 5,240,732 5,442,828 5,634,665 5,817,072 5,990,816 6,156,598 6,315,054 6,466,758 6,612,229 6,751,933 6,886,290

F26 3,707,644 3,962,305 4,208,137 4,445,008 4,673,118 4,892,830 5,104,585 5,308,847 5,506,075 5,696,713 5,881,177 6,059,857 6,233,112 6,401,275 6,564,651

Total 182,313,132 195,732,208 208,989,911 222,026,215 234,808,438 247,320,522 259,556,654 271,517,365 283,207,097 294,632,660 305,802,236 316,724,731 327,409,361 337,865,375 348,101,881

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2025) | Page 52


B-3 System Demand Forecast (kW)

The forecasted system demand (in kW) was derived in a global approach as shown in
Equation 3. It is the quotient of the forecasted energy to the product of the Load Factor and
the total number of hours in a year, which is 8,760 Hrs.

Equation 3: System Demand Forecasting Mathematical Model:

𝑛
𝐹𝑒𝑒𝑑𝑒𝑟 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦𝑖
𝑫𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒅𝑠𝑦𝑠𝑡𝑒𝑚 = ∑
𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑑 𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟𝐹𝑒𝑒𝑑𝑒𝑟=𝑖 × 8760
𝑖=1

Where; i=Feeder No. (i.e., F01, F02, etc…); n=total number of feeders

Forecast Historical

100000

90000

80000

70000
DEMAND (KILO-WATTS)

60000

50000

40000

30000

20000

10000

0
2014

2021

2029

2036
2010
2011
2012
2013

2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020

2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028

2030
2031
2032
2033
2034
2035

2037
2038
2039
2040
2041

Figure 11-4: BOHECO I System Demand Forecast

The forecasted output was used in evaluating the system’s technical performance,
loading and capacity for the next five years. Through this, the need for systems capacity
augmentation projects and capital-intensive projects were identified.

The forecasted demand per substation was derived through the same process. It is
the sum of the individual forecasted demand per feeder obtained through Equation 4. The
Detailed forecasted data per feeders are shown in Annex “B”.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2025) | Page 53


Equation 4: Mathematical Model for Substation Demand forecast:

𝑛
𝐹𝑒𝑒𝑑𝑒𝑟 𝐸𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑔𝑦 𝐹𝑜𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑎𝑠𝑡𝑖
𝑫𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒅𝑠𝑢𝑏𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 = ∑
𝐹𝑒𝑒𝑑𝑒𝑟 𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑑 𝐹𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑖 × 8760
𝑖=1

Where:
n = no. of feeders in a substation
L.F. = load factor of a given feeder
i = feeders number (i.e. F01, F02, F03, etc…)

A constant load factor is considered in Equation 4 throughout the next thirty (30)
years. It is presumed to be constant based on its historical trend for the past years. Table
below shows the forecasted demand per substation including the off-grid customers and
industrial customer directly tapped to the 69-kV grid, the PSIC.

Table 11-6: BOHECO I Demand Forecast per Substation (kilowatts)


SYSTE
Catag
Macaa Damp Mari- Pangla Sagas Islan M
Year Carmen Loay -
s as bojoc o a d (TOTAL
bacan
)
2017 6,409 6,694 4,304 3,607 3,266 7,951 970 1,967 300 35,167

2018 6,812 7,184 4,647 3,882 3,500 8,634 1,110 2,091 331 37,861

2019 7,206 7,660 4,982 4,158 3,730 9,331 1,255 2,210 362 40,531

2020 7,589 8,121 5,307 4,432 3,954 10,035 1,404 2,324 393 43,165

2021 7,961 8,567 5,624 4,702 4,172 10,743 1,554 2,432 423 45,756

2022 8,323 9,000 5,932 4,970 4,384 11,450 1,705 2,536 453 48,298

2023 8,674 9,419 6,230 5,233 4,590 12,154 1,857 2,635 482 50,791

2024 9,015 9,824 6,521 5,493 4,791 12,853 2,007 2,730 511 53,234

10,21
2025 9,347 6,803 5,748 4,986 13,547 2,157 2,822 540 55,626
8
10,59
2026 9,669 7,078 5,998 5,177 14,234 2,305 2,909 568 57,969
9
10,97
2027 9,984 7,345 6,244 5,362 14,913 2,452 2,994 595 60,264
0
11,33
2028 10,290 7,605 6,486 5,543 15,585 2,598 3,075 622 62,512
0
11,68
2029 10,588 7,859 6,724 5,720 16,249 2,742 3,153 648 64,714
0
12,02
2030 10,879 8,106 6,958 5,892 16,904 2,883 3,229 674 66,873
1
12,35
2031 11,163 8,347 7,187 6,061 17,551 3,023 3,303 699 68,990
4

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 54


Table 11-7 : BOHECO I Demand Forecast per Feeder (kilowatts)

LOAD
Year 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
FACTOR

F01 0.652379 2,345 2,467 2,584 2,696 2,802 2,904 3,001 3,094 3,183 3,269

F02 0.595859 2,235 2,377 2,517 2,654 2,788 2,918 3,045 3,170 3,291 3,409

F03 0.498428 188 199 209 219 228 237 245 253 261 268

F04 0.659991 2,654 2,806 2,952 3,092 3,227 3,357 3,481 3,602 3,718 3,830

F05 0.627835 1,778 1,949 2,121 2,290 2,458 2,624 2,787 2,947 3,105 3,260

F06 0.70573 2,262 2,429 2,587 2,738 2,882 3,019 3,150 3,275 3,395 3,509

F07 0.260724 1,304 1,408 1,511 1,613 1,713 1,811 1,908 2,002 2,095 2,186

F08 0.610147 1,929 2,088 2,243 2,394 2,541 2,684 2,823 2,958 3,089 3,218

F09 0.634874 1,413 1,551 1,692 1,835 1,977 2,120 2,263 2,404 2,544 2,684

F10 0.480465 1,011 1,065 1,118 1,168 1,218 1,266 1,312 1,357 1,401 1,443

F11 0.52456 1,182 1,266 1,348 1,429 1,507 1,584 1,659 1,732 1,802 1,871

F12 0.604634 1,641 1,769 1,896 2,021 2,144 2,264 2,383 2,498 2,612 2,723

F13 0.551439 1,071 1,151 1,228 1,301 1,370 1,437 1,500 1,561 1,619 1,674

F15 0.647221 566 590 612 633 652 670 687 703 718 733

F16 0.571453 2,171 2,359 2,544 2,726 2,905 3,079 3,250 3,417 3,580 3,740

F17 0.571453 528 551 573 595 615 634 653 670 688 704

F19 0.571453 3,212 3,670 4,151 4,649 5,159 5,677 6,201 6,728 7,256 7,784

F20 0.684517 4,258 4,462 4,657 4,844 5,022 5,192 5,355 5,511 5,660 5,804

F21 0.838506 480 502 523 543 562 580 598 615 631 646

F22 0.571453 635 729 826 926 1,027 1,128 1,229 1,330 1,430 1,529

F23 0.571453 220 248 276 303 331 358 385 411 437 463

F24 0.571453 114 133 153 175 197 219 243 266 290 313

F25 0.498428 1,052 1,113 1,171 1,226 1,278 1,327 1,374 1,418 1,461 1,501

F26 0.571453 915 978 1,039 1,098 1,154 1,209 1,261 1,312 1,361 1,408

Total 0.676530 35,167 37,861 40,531 43,165 45,756 48,298 50,791 53,234 55,626 57,969

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2025) | Page 55


B-4 No. of Distribution Transformer Forecast

The forecasted number of Single-Phase Distribution Transformer is derived in the


methodology as shown in Figure 11-6 below.

Figure 11-5 Forecasted Single-Phase Distribution Transformer Methodology

• Calculate the Contribution Factor per kVA Rating (Eq. 5)


1.

• Calculate the Yearly Increment of System Demand (Eq. 6)


2.

• MulItiply the Contribution Factor per kVA Rating to the Increment of


3. System Demand and 60% Loading (Eq. 7)

• Divide the Product by the Rated kVA (15kVA, 25kVA, 37.5kVA, 50kVA,
4. 75kVA, 100kVA & 167kVA)

• Round-Up the Quotient to a Multiple of 3


5.

Equation 5: Distribution Transformer Contribution Factor per Rated kVA

𝑁𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑈𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑠 × 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑘𝑉𝐴


𝐶𝑓𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑘𝑉𝐴 =
∑𝑗𝑖=15𝑘𝑉𝐴 𝑁𝑜. 𝑜𝑓 𝑈𝑛𝑖𝑡𝑠 × 𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑘𝑉𝐴

Where:

j=Rated kVA, (15kVA, 25kVA, 37.5kVA, 50kVA, 75kVA, 100kVA, 167kVA)

Equation 6: Yearly Increment of System Demand

∆ 𝑫𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒅𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑙𝑦 = 𝑫𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒅𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟 − 𝑫𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒅𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑜𝑢𝑠 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟

Equation 7: Allocated Demand per kVA Rating

𝐶𝑓𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑘𝑉𝐴 × ∆𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑙𝑦


𝐴𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑐𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝐷𝑒𝑚𝑎𝑛𝑑 (𝑘𝑊)𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑘𝑉𝐴 =
0.60 (% 𝑙𝑜𝑎𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑔)

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2025) | Page 56


Table 11-8 : Forecasted Annual Number of Distribution Transformers Requirement per kVA

kVA Rating, Single Phase Distribution Transformers


Year
15 25 37.5 50 75 100 167
2017 57 42 21 12 6 6 3
2018 57 42 21 12 6 6 3
2019 57 42 21 12 6 6 3
2020 54 42 21 12 6 6 3
2021 54 39 21 12 6 6 3
2022 54 39 21 12 6 6 3
2023 51 39 18 12 6 6 3
2024 51 39 18 12 6 6 3
2025 51 39 18 12 6 6 3
2026 48 36 18 12 6 6 3

B-5 BOHECO I Customer Forecast

The number of customers forecast played a vital role in the planning process because
this entails additional revenue and expenses in which the viability of the electric utility will be
measured. Through all available input data, the following mathematical models represents
the historical trend of each customer type that passes all the forecasting parameters and
criteria being set.

Table 11-9 : No. of Customer Mathematical Forecasting Model per Customer Type

Type of Customer Forecast Mathematical Model

Residential Mainland (RM) a(lnt)3 + b

BAPA & ECA (BE) a(lnt)2 + b

Commercial Small (CS) a(lnt)3 + b

Commercial Large (CL) a(lnt)3 + b

Public Building (PB) a(lnt)3 + b(lnt)1 + c

Street Lights (ST) a(lnt)3 + b

Island (INDL) a(lnt)3 + b

Industrial (INDL) a(lnt)2 + b

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 57


a b c
Consumer
Coefficient P Value t Statistic Coefficient P Value t Statistic Coefficient P Value t Statistic
Type
Value < 0.1 < -2, >2 Value < 0.1 < -2, >2 Value < 0.1 < -2, >2
RM 1,351.29 13.555428 0.000039 65,258.01 162.411084 0.000000
BE 1,720.40 19.220860 0.000007 36,868.69 179.808117 0.000000
CS 30.37 7.479580 0.000675 5,176.30 316.249550 0.000000
CL 1.93 8.209906 0.000436 327.47 345.908551 0.000000
PB 32.67 3.808867 0.018959 79.08 2.256147 0.087051 2,518.83 105.956539 0.000000
ST 232.19 13.146322 0.000045 7,929.69 111.388187 0.000000
IS 88.61 13.744223 0.000037 1,499.53 101.534211 0.000000
INDL 2.06 11.235864 0.000098 28.79 39.003297 0.000000

Table 11-10 : No. of Consumer Forecast per Type Validity Test Parameters and Result

Test Parameters MAPE (%) r2 r2adj Growth Rate (%)


RM 0.740% 0.973509882 0.968211858 2.40%
BE 0.561% 0.986646778 0.983976133 2.75%
CS 0.354% 0.917957626 0.901549151 0.71%
CL 0.331% 0.93094166 0.917129992 0.71%
PB 0.614% 0.979936218 0.969904327 2.46%
ST 0.992% 0.971882594 0.966259112 3.32%
IS 0.943% 0.974213999 0.969056799 3.42%
INDL 2.689% 0.961903208 0.95428385 7.33%
Requisite < 3% >0.99 >0.99 Reasonable

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 58


Table 11-11 : Forecasted No. of Customer Add-Ons per Customer Type

Year RM BE CS CL PB SL IN Island Total

2017 78,106 44,707 5,498 348 3,004 10,108 47 1,883 143,701

2018 80,958 45,950 5,593 354 3,091 10,571 51 1,927 148,494

2019 83,826 47,155 5,688 360 3,178 11,037 54 1,969 153,267

2020 86,690 48,322 5,782 366 3,264 11,503 57 2,009 157,992

2021 89,538 49,450 5,875 372 3,349 11,966 60 2,047 162,657

2022 92,362 50,541 5,967 378 3,433 12,426 64 2,082 167,252

2023 95,157 51,595 6,057 383 3,515 12,883 67 2,117 171,773

2024 97,920 52,616 6,145 389 3,596 13,334 70 2,149 176,218

2025 100,649 53,603 6,232 394 3,675 13,781 73 2,181 180,587

2026 103,343 54,561 6,316 400 3,753 14,222 76 2,211 184,881

2027 106,001 55,489 6,400 405 3,829 14,658 78 2,240 189,100

2028 108,624 56,389 6,481 410 3,904 15,089 81 2,268 193,248

2029 111,212 57,264 6,561 415 3,978 15,515 84 2,295 197,324

2030 113,766 58,115 6,639 420 4,051 15,935 87 2,321 201,333

2031 116,285 58,942 6,715 425 4,122 16,350 90 2,346 205,276

Table 11-11 shows the forecasted number of customer add-ons per customer type
with the total number of customers in the base year 2016.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2025) | Page 59


Annex C Predictive Reliability Assessment per Feeder

Table 11-12 : Predictive Reliability Assessment per Feeder

SAIFI SAIDI
Feeder
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

F01 8.54 8.06 8.06 8.06 8.06 8.06 10.80 7.53 7.53 7.53 7.53 7.53

F02 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 2.51 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56 5.56

F03 11.71 9.74 9.74 9.74 9.74 9.74 20.75 20.06 20.06 20.06 20.06 20.06

F04 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 8.63 8.63 8.63 8.63 8.63 8.63

F05 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 1.77 5.97 5.97 5.97 5.97 5.97 5.97

F06 7.49 7.49 7.49 6.68 6.68 6.68 21.40 21.40 21.40 6.84 6.84 6.84

F07 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 5.01 5.01 5.01 5.01 5.01 5.01

F08 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 5.15 5.15 5.15 5.15 5.15 5.15

F09 10.68 10.68 10.68 10.68 10.68 10.68 18.85 18.85 18.85 18.85 18.85 18.85

F10 5.14 5.14 5.14 5.14 5.14 5.14 7.62 7.62 7.62 7.62 7.62 7.62

F11 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 10.40 10.40 10.40 10.40 10.40 10.40

F12 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 9.38 6.68 6.68 6.68 6.68 6.68 6.68

F13 7.64 7.64 7.64 7.64 7.64 7.64 8.94 8.94 8.94 8.94 8.94 8.94

F15 8.64 8.64 8.64 8.64 8.64 8.64 10.32 10.32 10.32 10.32 10.32 10.32

F16 7.44 7.44 7.44 7.44 7.44 7.44 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29

F17 12.43 9.04 9.04 9.04 9.04 9.04 33.07 20.81 20.81 20.81 20.81 20.81

F18 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 4.92 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87 3.87

F18A 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.83 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05 4.05

F19 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.23 3.23 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76 1.76

F20 1.06 1.06 1.06 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.33 0.33 0.33 0.08 0.08 0.08

F20A 8.29 8.29 8.29 8.29 8.29 8.29 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90 7.90

F21 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.74

F22 14.34 14.34 14.34 14.34 14.34 39.96 39.96 39.96 39.96 39.96

F23 8.61 8.61 8.61 8.61 8.61 10.86 10.86 10.86 10.86 10.86

F24 9.75 9.75 9.75 9.75 9.75 19.28 19.28 19.28 19.28 19.28

F25 12.42 12.42 12.42 12.42 22.13 22.13 22.13 22.13

F26 10.35 10.35 10.35 10.35 17.32 17.32 17.32 17.32

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 60


Annex D Economic Sizing of 13.2kV Primary Distribution Line

In a well-designed distribution system, the sizes of lines and transformer will be


proportional to loading. Since a distribution line is used throughout its life cycle, line sizing
economics methodology considers the: (1) initial costs (investment cost of primary
distribution line); (2) initial load & load growth; (3) continuing lifetime costs (cost of losses);
(4) increases in power cost; (5) annual fixed cost; and (6) net present value of the cost of
money spent.

The load was expressed as the current annual peak load on the distribution line
considered and assumed to grow over its thirty-year life cycle. The cost of power was
assumed to stay constant and a thirty-year present worth factor was developed for the cost
of losses and for the annual fixed cost Equation 11.7 shows the total cost function of line.

Equation 8: Total Cost Function of Primary Distribution Line

𝑪𝒕𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍 = 𝒌𝟏 + 𝒌𝟐 ∗ 𝒌𝑾𝟐𝒑𝒆𝒂𝒌

Equation 9: Fixed Cost Function of Primary Distribution Line

𝒌𝟏 = (𝑪𝒂𝒄𝒒 + 𝑪𝒊𝒏𝒔𝒕 ) + (𝑪𝑶&𝑴 × 𝑷𝑾𝑭𝑶&𝑴)

Equation 10: Variable Cost Function of Primary Distribution Line

𝟏 𝒓𝟏
𝒌𝟐 = [ ] × [(𝟖𝟕𝟔𝟎 ∗ 𝑳𝑺𝑭 ∗ 𝑪𝑬𝑪 ∗ 𝑷𝑾𝑭𝑬𝑪 ) + (𝑹𝑭 ∗ 𝑪𝑫𝑪 ∗ 𝑷𝑾𝑭𝑫𝑪 )]
𝟏𝟎𝟎𝟎 𝒏𝑷𝑭𝟐 𝒌𝑽𝟐𝑳𝑵

Where:
Ctotal = Total Cost of Line
kW peak = Peak demand of the line in its first year (kW)
kVLN = Line-to-Neutral voltage (kV)
Cacq = Acquisition Cost
Cinst = Installation Cost
CO&M = Operation and Maintenance Cost
CEC = Energy charge (PhP/kWh)
CDC = Demand charge (PhP/kWh)
PWFO&M = Present worth factor (O&M Charge Component)
PWFDC = Present worth factor (Demand Charge Component)
PWFEC = Present worth factor (Energy Charge Component)
LSF = System Loss Factor
RF = Peak loss responsibility factor
PF = power factor of the load
r1 = Effective resistance of the line (ohms/km)
n = number of phases present

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 61


Figure 11-6 shows the curves derived from Equation 11.7, the total cost function of
primary distribution line, which excludes the redundant line types.

Figure 11-6 Cost Functions of 13.2kV Primary Distribution Line

Cost Function of 13.2-kV Primary Distribution Line


7,000.00

6,000.00

5,000.00
Demand (kilo-Watts)

4,000.00

3,000.00

2,000.00

1,000.00

0.00
0.0 1,000.0 2,000.0 3,000.0 4,000.0 5,000.0
Average Cost per kilometer

4-1Ø 2-1Ø 4-3Ø 2-3Ø 2/0-3Ø 4/0-3Ø 336.4-3Ø 477-3Ø

D-1 Economic Load Reach

Load Reach is defined as the source-to-load distance that a feeder system can move
power before encountering the applicable voltage drop limit. Economic load reach is the load
reach if the feeder system is loaded at the maximum load within their economic loading
range.

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 62


Equation 11: Economic Load Reach of Conductor

[%𝑉𝐷𝑐𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑎 ]
𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑑 𝑅𝑒𝑎𝑐ℎ =
[%𝑉𝐷(𝑎𝑡 𝑚𝑎𝑥𝑖𝑚𝑢𝑚 𝑒𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑐 𝑙𝑜𝑎𝑑) ]⁄
𝑘𝑚

Above equation shows that the load reach of a given conductor is affected by its
voltage level. When you double the voltage, it doubles the load reach because load current
is halved, which effectively halves the voltage drop (assuming similar impedance), and
doubles the distance before the voltage drop limit is reached. In this viewpoint, it is practical
to go for high voltage distribution line, however, it has higher fixed costs. Therefore, it is
economical to use an appropriate voltage level but in the case of BOHECO I, the voltage
has been chosen at 13,200 Volts line-to-line.

This study uses a voltage criterion of 7.5% per unit drop for the primary distribution
line at ninety (90%) percent power factor.

Table 11-13 : Average Economic Load Reach (13.2-kV Primary Distribution Line)

Economic Load (kW) Voltage Drop Economic


Size Max (Zeff,a;
Phase Load
(AWG) Zeff,b; Zeff,c)
Minimum Maximum Volts/km % / km Reach

1 4 0.0 45.6 1.323 8.8 0.12% 64.94

1 2 45.6 165.9 0.831 20.1 0.26% 28.44

3 4 165.9 335.3 1.323 21.6 0.28% 26.51

3 2 335.3 1,081.5 0.831 43.7 0.57% 13.09

3 2/0 1,081.5 1,767.6 0.415 35.6 0.47% 16.03

3 4/0 1,767.6 2,787.3 0.261 35.4 0.46% 16.17

3 336.4 2,787.3 4,644.9 0.166 37.5 0.49% 15.25

3 477 4,644.9 7,725.5 0.117 43.9 0.58% 13.01

Average Economic Load Reach 19.25

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 63


Annex E Distribution Feeder Protection and Safety Development

Table 11-14 : Distribution Feeder Protection and Safety Development Project Cost

Commissioning
Count Project Description Project Cost
Year

Replacement of 69-kV Power Circuit Breaker of Dampas 2018-2019 5,000,000.00


1
and Maribojoc Substations with Protection Control Panel

Installation of 69-kV Motor Operated Disconnect Switch


2 2019 600,000.00
of Maribojoc Substation

Replacement of 15 kV Circuit Breaker of Maca-as,


3 2018-2020 30,000,000.00
Dampas, Carmen, Loay and Maribojoc Substations

Replacement of 15 kV Motor Operated Disconnect


4 Switch of Maca-as, Dampas, Carmen, Loay and 2018-2020 7,000,000.00
Maribojoc Substations

Replacement of 15 kV Bypass Fuse Switch of Maca-as,


5 2018-2019 2,900,000.00
Dampas and Carmen Substations

Total Amount in PhP 45,500,000

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 64


E-1 Per Feeder Single Line Diagram

FEEDER-01
P:\Planning\AutoCAD\Logo_BOHECO.png

Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2025) | Page 65


FEEDER-02
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 66


FEEDER-03
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 67


FEEDER-04
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 68


FEEDER-05
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 69


FEEDER-06 P:\Planning\AutoCAD\Logo_BOHECO.png

Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 70


FEEDER-07
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 71


FEEDER-08
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 72


FEEDER-09
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 73


FEEDER-10
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 74


FEEDER-11
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 75


FEEDER-12
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 76


FEEDER-13
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 77


FEEDER-15 P:\Planning\AutoCAD\Logo_BOHECO.png

Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 78


FEEDER-16 P:\Planning\AutoCAD\bohecologo.jpg

Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 79


FEEDER-17 P:\Planning\AutoCAD\bohecologo.jpg

Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 80


FEEDER-18 P:\Planning\AutoCAD\Logo_BOHECO.png

Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 81


P:\Planning\AutoCAD\Logo_BOHECO.png

FEEDER-18A
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 82


FEEDER-19 P:\Planning\AutoCAD\Logo_BOHECO.png

Planning/Design Division

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FEEDER-20 P:\Planning\AutoCAD\bohecologo.jpg

Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 84


FEEDER-20A P:\Planning\AutoCAD\bohecologo.jpg

Planning/Design Division

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FEEDER-21 P:\Planning\AutoCAD\bohecologo.jpg

Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 86


FEEDER-22 P:\Planning\AutoCAD\Logo_BOHECO.png

Planning/Design Division

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FEEDER-23 P:\Planning\AutoCAD\Logo_BOHECO.png

Planning/Design Division

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FEEDER-24 P:\Planning\AutoCAD\Logo_BOHECO.png

Planning/Design Division

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FEEDER-25
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 90


FEEDER-26
Planning/Design Division

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 91


E-2 Single Line Diagrams: Replacement of 15kV Main & Sub-Feeder Protection &
Control

PROPOSED:
CARMEN SUBSTATION
69 KV

EXISTING:

69 KV

15 KV Circuit
Breaker

Recloser Bypass
Switch with Fuse

15 KV Circuit
Breaker

Group Operated
Disconnect Switch
Feeder 07 Feeder 08 Feeder 13

Feeder 07 Feeder 08 Feeder 13

PROPOSED:
DAMPAS SUBSTATION
69 KV

EXISTING:

69 KV Live Tank SF6


69 KV Circuit Breaker Control
and Monitoring Panel

15 KV Circuit
Breaker

15 KV Recloser Bypass
Switch with Fuse

15 KV Circuit
Breaker

Group Operated
Disconnect Switch
Feeder 04 Feeder 05 Feeder 06

Feeder 04 Feeder 05 Feeder 06

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2025) | Page 92


PROPOSED:
LOAY SUBSTATION
69 KV

69 KV Disconnect
EXISTING: Switch

69 KV

15 KV Circuit
Breaker

15 KV Recloser Bypass
Switch with Fuse

15 KV Circuit
Breaker

Group Operated
Disconnect Switch
Feeder 09 Feeder 10 Feeder 11

Feeder 09 Feeder 10 Feeder 11

PROPOSED:
MACAAS SUBSTATION
69 KV

EXISTING:

69 KV

15 KV Circuit
Breaker

Recloser Bypass
Switch with Fuse

15 KV Circuit
Breaker

Group Operated
Disconnect Switch
Feeder 01 Feeder 02 Feeder 03 Feeder 12

Feeder 01 Feeder 02 Feeder 03 Feeder 12

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 93


PROPOSED:
MARIBOJOC SUBSTATION
69 KV

EXISTING: 69 KV Disconnect
Switch

Breaker Control and


69 KV Transformer
Monitoring Panel

15 KV Circuit
Breaker

15 KV Recloser Bypass
Switch with Fuse

15 KV Circuit
Breaker

Group Operated
Disconnect Switch
Feeder 15 Feeder 16 Feeder 17

Feeder 15 Feeder 16 Feeder 17

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 94


Annex F BOHECO I’s Policy No. 7-84: Consumer’s Furnished Line

BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 95


BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 96
BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 97
BOHECO I DISTRIBUTION DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2016-2020) | Page 98

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