Understanding Commodity Markets
Understanding Commodity Markets
COMMODITY
MARKETS
Learning Outcomes ............................................................................... 2
1. Physical Commodity Markets ............................................................ 2
1.1 Characteristics of Physical Commodity Markets .............................. 2
Definition of a Commodity ......................................................... 2
The Physical Market ................................................................ 3
Value Chain ............................................................................ 4
Key Features of Physical Commodity Markets in India ................... 5
Regulation .............................................................................. 7
Problems of the Physical Market ................................................ 9
Electronic Spot Exchange ......................................................... 9
1.2 Factors affecting Price, Demand and Supply of Commodities .......... 10
Factors Affecting the Price of Commodities ............................... 10
Factors Affecting the Demand of Commodities ........................... 11
Factors Affecting the Supply of Commodities ............................ 13
Law of Demand and Supply ..................................................... 15
Market Equilibrium ................................................................. 19
2. Need for an Organised Exchange ..................................................... 21
2.1 Cash Forward Transactions ....................................................... 21
2.2 The Need for and Benefits of an Organised Exchange ................... 23
2.3 Differences between Forwards and Futures ................................. 25
Summary ................................................................................... 28
Key Questions ................................................................................... 30
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Learning Outcomes
• Define commodities
• Know the working of the physical markets and value chain
• List key features of the physical markets
• Understand the regulations related to physical markets
• List the problems of the physical markets
• Describe the need and objectives of Electronic Spot Exchange
• Explain the factors affecting the price, demand and supply of
commodities
• Understand the effects of demand and supply on market price
• Understand the features and list the limitations of Cash
Forward transactions
• Understand the need for an Organised Exchange for Futures
Trading
• Know the difference between Forward and Futures
Organised commodity markets have existed in India for centuries. The more easily
understood markets are those that trade in agricultural commodities. For example,
grains such as wheat, paddy and maize; or oilseeds such as mustard, groundnut
and soybean. Other markets that trade in non-agricultural commodities include
markets for metals such as iron ore, and markets for energy products such as
crude oil and natural gas.
Definition of a Commodity
The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) defines a commodity as: “An article of
KEYWORDS
commerce or a product that can be used for commerce. In a narrow sense, products
traded on an authorised commodity exchange. Types of commodities include
agriculture products, metals, petroleum, foreign currency and financial instruments, to
name a few.”
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Goods or products have economic value. Producers produce goods and sell them
to processors who in turn process them into different goods or products to sell
them further. Sometimes, traders buy the goods, store and sell them later. In this
process, the goods or products pass through many hands before they reach the
end consumer.
For example, a farmer produces cotton and sells the produce to a yarn manufacturer.
The yarn manufacturer sells the finished yarn to a cloth manufacturer, who again
sells the finished cloth to a cloth merchant. Ultimately, consumers buy clothes for
their use from the cloth merchant. From cotton to cloth, all intermediary products
are commodities that are bought or held with the intention of sale. When the
commodity reaches the final consumer and is not held for further sale, it ceases to
be a commodity. It is important to note that the term “commodity” relates to the
intention of the person who produces or holds them for further sale.
The physical market is the traditional market and is usually referred to as the “cash
and carry market” or the “spot market”. In this market, the seller agrees to deliver
the commodity and the buyer agrees to make the payment “on the spot”. This
agreement between the buyer and the seller is termed as “spot contract”. Purchases
are settled in cash at mutually agreed prices. In other words, in the physical
market, trades are executed through party-to-party contracts. The advantage of
this market is that the buyer can select and buy the specific commodity required.
The farmer, who is the other party to the contract, faces price uncertainty from
the time wheat is sown till it is harvested. The farmer may get attractive prices for
the wheat in times of scarcity. However, when there is a very good yield and
consequently over supply of wheat, he would have to sell off his perishable harvest
at a low price. Thus, both sellers and buyers face price risk in the physical market.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Value Chain
A value chain comprises all activities and services undertaken along a commodity
chain - from the primary producer to the final consumer. As products move from
one stage of the value chain to another, value gets added. A typical value chain
includes producers, assemblers, traders, processors, distributors, retailers and of
course, consumers. Producers use inputs such as seeds, fertilisers, labour, and
implements to produce raw materials. Assemblers and traders purchase these
materials in bulk. Processors or manufacturers, then convert these raw materials
into finished goods. These goods are procured by distributors who are generally
wholesalers. From them, the goods reach consumers through retailers.
We can analyse the value chain by examining all activities and observing where
further value is added to the product and also by examining business needs. This
analysis of the value chain helps players at various stages of the chain to increase
their profitability.
Intermediaries
The major participants of this market are producers, traders and brokers, processors,
distributors, packagers, wholesalers and retailers. The relationship between various
participants and the structure of the market is illustrated below. Traders, brokers
and commission agents act as “intermediaries” connecting the other participants
and the various segments of the value chain.
MARKET YARD
Retailer
Example 1: The value chain for petrochemicals, starting from the refinery to the
end user is given below.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Example 2: The multi-layered value chain for castor seeds is shown below.
This illustration shows a value chain with different layers in the market structure
for castor seeds. The diagram clearly indicates that the value chain is long and
involves many intermediaries, commonly known as Arthiyas. These intermediaries
prevent efficient price discovery and price dissemination.
PRODUCER
GOVT PVT
AGENCY AGENCY STOCKIST
PROCESSOR
OIL
WHOLESALER
OTHER INDUSTRIAL
EXPORTERS CONSUMERS USERS
Setting up Mandis
Mandis can be set up only with the permission of the respective State Government.
Each state has a State Agriculture Marketing Board, which sets up Mandi Boards
downstream at the district level. Mandi Boards give permission to set up mandis.
After the mandi is set up, every mandi builds one or more yards with platforms.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Farmers sell their produce at these yards to licensed traders who in turn sell it to
the wholesale dealers.
Products
Every mandi trades in a set of primary commodities specific to the region and also
in a set of non-primary commodities. The farmers’ produce is first weighed and
certified by the Mandi Inspector in terms of type and quantity. Generally, once the
produce is certified and recorded at a particular mandi, sometimes for a fee, it has
free access to other mandis in the district. A farmer’s ability to access more than
one mandi to get the best price depends on various factors such as transportation
cost, packaging cost and the cost of storage during transportation.
Participants
Key market participants are farmers, licensed traders, brokers and wholesale dealers.
Traders and brokers are the intermediaries between the farmers, wholesale dealers
and mill owners. Only licensed traders are allowed to be the intermediaries.
Trading
There are two types of trading.
In the first type, the farmer approaches the trader for a price quote. When they
mutually agree on a price, the produce is considered to be sold to the trader.
The second type is an “outcry auction” for which there is a designated time at
each mandi. The auction is done in sequence, typically going from a lot with a fixed
grade to the next.
Price
There is no real-time price dissemination at mandis. A new price is set at each
auction. Prices are collected only at the time of clearing. There is also a wide gap
between the farm gate price and the consumer price at the retail end. This is
because the farmers sell the produce at low prices to the traders.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
In the physical market, contracts have to be settled with physical delivery of the
commodities. However, under unforeseen circumstances when either party cannot
give or take delivery of the commodities, the contract maybe settled otherwise by
mutual agreement.
Regulation
The physical market in India is regulated through the State Agricultural Marketing
Boards. As on 31st March 2007, agricultural production in the country was serviced
through, 27,131 rural primary/periodic agricultural markets of which 7465 functioned
under the ambit of regulation. The regulatory framework is provided by the Agricultural
Produce Marketing Acts [APMC Acts] of various States. Agricultural Produce Market
Committees [APMCs] are set up to implement the provisions of the Act for regulating
the marketing of agricultural produce for designated market areas within a state.
These APMCs are responsible for the development and maintenance of market
yards and for enhancing trading facilities.
Currently, in most states, the APMC Acts place restrictions on the farmer from
entering into direct marketing or contract with any processor/manufacturer/bulk
purchaser. The Act specifies that the produce must be channelised only through
the regulated market. Several states including Maharashtra, Punjab, Andhra Pradesh
and Rajasthan have recently amended their APMC acts along the lines of the Model
APMC Act, 2002 of the Central government. This model Act permits farmers to sell
their produce directly to buyers offering them the best price. Several State
governments have also enacted legislation to permit contract farming. The
Karnataka Government has taken the initiative in facilitating the establishment of
an “Integrated Produce Market” owned and managed by the National Diary
Development Board (NDDB) for marketing of fruits, vegetables and flowers in the
State.
commodity ( for the seller) or cash ( for the buyer) in order to complete a
transaction
APMC Act is a state act constituted by each state to establish and regulate
agricultural markets. The whole geographical area in the State is divided and
declared as a market area wherein the markets are managed by the Market
Committees constituted by the State Governments.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
While trade in agricultural commodities at the State level is regulated by the APMC
Acts, the Essential Commodities Act provides the legislative framework for regulation
at the Central level. The Essential Commodities Act, 1955 is a central act that
provides for the control of production, supply and distribution of, and trade and
commerce in commodities. The Central government determines the commodities
that are regulated by the Essential Commodities Act. These commodities are those
where “it is felt necessary or expedient by the Central Government to do so for
maintaining or increasing supplies of any essential commodity, or for securing their
equitable distribution and availability at fair prices.”
The Essential Commodities Act, 1955 was enacted to ensure easy availability
of essential commodities to the consumers and to protect them from exploitation
by unscrupulous traders.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
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Understanding Commodity Markets
The electronic exchange, with its high level of sophistication and connectivity with
local panchayats, has the potential to overcome the current problems of the
mandi trading system. This exchange provides real-time price information to farmers
thus, enabling them to take informed decisions.
Objectives
The objectives of setting up NCDEX Spot are to:
The demand and the supply of goods constitute two sides of the commodities
market. We shall understand how the confluence of demand and supply factors
determines the prices of goods. The price of a product is determined by changes in
these two sides.
Demand
Demand is the relationship between a commodity’s price and the quantity of that
product that consumers are willing to buy at that price. In economics, demand is a
function of its price, prices of related commodities, income level, tastes and
preferences, and other factors like population, weather conditions, and quality.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Qd = f (P, Pr I, T, O)
Where
Supply
Supply is the relationship between the price of a commodity and the amount of the
commodity that sellers of the commodity are willing to supply at that price at that
time. It refers to what producers offer for sale at that price. Like in the case of
demand, supply is also a function of its price and several other factors like production
technology, cost of production, prices of related commodities, weather and
seasonality, government policies, carry over stock etc.
Qs = f ( P, Te, C, Pr, W, G, S, O)
Where
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Understanding Commodity Markets
down and vice versa. This inverse relationship may not remain constant if there is
a change in the price of related commodities, change in income level and change in
tastes and preferences. This relationship is also called The Law of Demand and is
explained in detail, later in this Chapter.
When other factors remain constant, if the price of tea increases, its
demand will fall and the demand for coffee will increase. If the price of
coffee increases, its demand will fall and the demand for tea will increase.
Disposable Income
The ability to pay for a commodity is directly determined by the level of disposable
income of households. The exact relationship between income and demand depends
upon the nature of the commodity. Economists classify goods into inferior goods,
necessaries, comforts and luxuries.
Table 1.3 depicts the relationship between the disposable income and the demand
for goods, based on the nature of the goods.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Table 1.3: Relationship between the disposable income and the demand
for goods
Supply
Usually, the lesser the supply of a commodity, the higher is its demand.
This in turn leads to an increase in price of the commodity.
For instance, if the supply of a particular variety of wheat falls, its
demand increases as some merchants may want to hoard it. For this,
they may be also willing to pay a higher price.
Price
Other things remaining constant, the supply of a commodity varies directly with its
own price; that is, when prices go up, sellers are willing to supply more of the
commodity and vice versa. This relationship is called the Law of Supply and is
explained later in this module.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
profitability and induce producers to produce more of the commodity. Hence, there
will be an increase in its supply.
The supply of a commodity and price of its complementary product are directly
related. For example, car and petrol are complementary products. When the price
of the car increases, supply of cars will increase and supply of petrol will also
increase.
Government Policy
The government’s economic policies, such as the industrial policy, fiscal policy and
tariff policy influence supply. For example, high custom duties reduce the supply of
imported commodities and increase the supply of domestic commodities. An increase
in excise duties for any commodity will reduce its supply. Increase in the Minimum
Support Prices of agricultural commodities by the Government sends positive signals
to the farming community to increase the acreage under cultivation of the crops,
which increases the supply.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
The law of demand explains the functional relationship between the demand of a
commodity and its price. Similarly, the law of supply explains the functional
relationship between the supply of a commodity and its price.
A 20 700
B 40 500
C 60 350
D 80 200
E 100 100
Demand Curve
The demand curve is drawn by plotting the various price-quantity combinations
indicated in the demand schedule. Generally, the price per unit is measured along
the vertical axis (y-axis) while the quantity demanded per unit of time is measured
KEYWORDS
Law of demand: The law depicting the inverse relationship between demand
and price.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
along the horizontal axis (x-axis). The demand curve has a negative slope, sloping
downwards from left to right. This negative slope reflects the inverse relationship
between price and quantity demanded. The points on the demand curve represent
various price-quantity combinations.
Figure 1.3 depicts the demand curve for the above demand schedule.
E
100
D
80
Price (Rupees per kg)
C
60
B
40
A
20
Demand
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Quantity (Kgs: 000s)
Shift in Demand
The demand curve for a commodity is drawn on the assumption that the income of
the consumer, his tastes, the price level of related commodities, and other non
price factors remain unchanged. If there is a change in any of the factors, there
will be a ‘shift’ in the demand curve. Whenever there is any change in any of the
determinants of demand the demand curve shifts either right (upward) or left
(downward). A rightward shift indicates that more of the commodity is demanded
at each price level. For example, increase in income, or a fall in the price of
complementary product will lead to an increase in the quantity demanded and
cause an upward shift the demand curve. A downward (leftward) shift takes place
when less of the commodity is demanded due to fall in the price of substitute,
increase in the price of compliments, or a change in the taste or fashion against
the commodity. Figure 1.3(A) and 1.3(B) depicts the upward and downward shift
in demand respectively.
E
100
D
80
Price (Rupees per kg)
C
60
B
40
A
20
Demand
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Quantity (Kgs: 000s)
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Understanding Commodity Markets
E
100
D
80
Price (Rupees per kg)
C
60
B
40
A
20
Demand
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Quantity (Kgs: 000s)
Law of supply: The law of supply is that, other things remaining the same, the
quantity supplied will increase as the price increases.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Supply Curve
When the various price-quantity combinations of a supply schedule are plotted as
a graph, the supply curve is obtained. The supply curve has a positive slope, going
upwards from left to right, indicating the direct relationship between price and
quantity supplied.
Figure 1.4 depicts the supply curve for the above supply schedule.
e
100 d
Price (Rupees per kg)
80
c
60
b
40
a
20
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Quantity (Kgs: 000s)
Supply curve is a curve that depicts the relationship between price and quantity
supplied.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Market Equilibrium
The interaction of the forces of demand and supply determines the equilibrium
price and the quantity of a commodity. A market is said to be in equilibrium when
buyers and sellers buy and sell at the given price without trying to change the
quantity or the price. The equilibrium price of a commodity is the price at which
the quantity demanded equals the quantity supplied.
E e
Supply
100 D d
P rice (R upe e s pe r kg)
80
c C
60
b B
40
a
A
20 Demand
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
Figure 1.5 depicts the market equilibrium in potatoes. The chart indicates that
when the price of the potatoes is Rs. 60 per kg, both the quantity demanded as
well as the quantity supplied is 350,000 kg per month.
At prices above the equilibrium price, the quantity supplied will exceed the quantity
demanded, leading to a surplus of the commodity, which would drive the price
down. For example, as shown in the chart below, at a price of Rs. 80 per kg, the
quantity of potato supplied is 530,000 kg, while the quantity demanded is only
200,000 kg, leading to a surplus of 330,000 kg.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Sellers of potatoes would reduce prices to reduce the accumulated stock of unsold
potatoes. At lower prices, suppliers will supply lesser quantity of potatoes, while
buyers will demand more. This process will continue until the equilibrium price of
Rs. 60 per kg is reached, as indicated in Figure 1.6.
On the other hand, at prices below the equilibrium price, the quantity supplied to
the market will come down, while demand will increase, thus leading to a shortage
of the commodity. For example, at a price of Rs. 40 per kg, only 200,000 kg of
potatoes will be supplied in a month. At this price, 500,000 kg of potatoes will be
demanded, leading to a shortage of 300,000 kg. This is shown in Figure 1.7.
E e
Supply
100
D d
Price (Rupees per kg)
80
c C
60
b SHORTAGE B
40
(330 000)
a
20 A
Demand
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
The shortage will push up the price and more quantity of potatoes will get supplied
to the market till prices reach the equilibrium once more as indicated in Figure 1.8.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
E e
Supply
100
D d
Price (Rupees per kg)
80
c C
60
b B
40
a
20 A
Demand
0
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
At any particular point in time, the observed market price may or may not be the
equilibrium price. However, as explained earlier, the market forces will push the
market price towards equilibrium. This process may happen rapidly or slowly. It can
generally be stated that the market price reflects the equilibrium price fairly closely
in the absence of
Cash transactions in the physical market involve two types of contracts that
require:
The second type of contract that specifies delivery of a commodity to the buyer
at a future date is called a “cash forward contract”. For example, suppose a farmer
enters into a forward contract with a flourmill in December 2007 to deliver 15,000
tonnes of wheat during June 2008. While entering the contract, both partners
agree upon the quality, quantity, delivery time, location and price. At the time of
delivery, price adjustments are made depending on whether the stipulated factors
have been met or not.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Forward Contract
A forward contract is a bilateral agreement in which a buyer and seller agree upon
the delivery of a specified quality and quantity of an asset on a specified future
date at a pre-determined price. One of the parties to the forward contract assumes
a long position and agrees to buy the underlying asset on a certain specified future
date for a specified price. The other party assumes a short position and agrees to
sell the asset on the same date at the same specified price. In simple terms, long
and short positions indicate whether the party to the contract has a buy position
(long) or sell position (short). Other contract details like delivery date, delivery
price and quantity are negotiated bilaterally by the parties to the contract. Forward
contracts are customised contracts normally traded outside the exchanges.
• Forward contracts are over the counter (OTC) contracts. They are
bilateral contracts and hence are exposed to counter–party risk.
• Each contract is custom designed and hence unique in terms of contract
size, expiration date and the asset type and quality.
• Generally, only parties to the contract know the contract price.
• On the expiration date, the contract has to be settled by delivery of
the asset. If the party wishes to reverse the contract, it has to
compulsorily go to the same counter party, which often results in high
prices being charged.
1. Trading
2. Clearing
3. Settlement.
In a trading process, the buyer with the demand for the product interacts with the
seller supplying the product. The buyer and the seller negotiate and arrive at an
agreement regarding quantity, quality and price.
In the clearing process, the buyer and the seller decide on the quantum of goods
and the amount of cash that would be exchanged among them.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
In a forward transaction, cash does not change hands on the date of entering into
the contract. While the trading happens on the current day, clearing and settlement
happen at the end of the specified period. Hence, in a forward contract, the
trading, clearing and settlement do not happen simultaneously as in a spot contract.
While the cash forward transactions have the advantage of being customised,
they have the following limitations:
• The contracts are private and negotiated bilaterally between two parties.
Therefore, there are no exchange guarantees.
• The prices are not transparent as there is no reporting requirement.
• There are no regulations for establishing market stability and protection
of market players.
• Lack of standardisation leads to illiquidity in the absence of a secondary
market.
• The profit or loss is realised only on the maturity date.
• Settlement is only through actual delivery or offsetting by cash delivery.
Future contracts have evolved out of forward contracts. These contracts are
exchange-traded versions of forward contracts. These contracts are an agreement
to buy or sell a specified quantity of a commodity during a designated month in the
future, at a price agreed upon by the buyer and seller at the time of entering into
the contract. Future contracts contain standard specifications of the underlying
asset, its quality and quantity and the date and time of expiry of the contract. A
futures contract need not be settled through physical delivery. It can be closed by
entering into an equal and opposite contract.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Given below are the differences between forward and futures contracts in terms
of:
1. Characteristics
2. Price determination
3. Functions of the market
4. Advantages
5. Limitations.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
cont'd…
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Understanding Commodity Markets
Summary
Value chains incorporate all the activities and services undertaken along a commodity
chain - from the primary producer to the final consumer. Analysis of the value
chain by examining all activities and observing where we can add further value to
the product and also by examining the business needs help players in various
stages of the chain to increase profitability.
KEYWORDS
Closing Out is the opposite transaction effected to close out the original futures
position. A buy contract is closed out by a sale and a sale contract is closed out by a
buy.
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Understanding Commodity Markets
The major participants of the commodity market are producers, traders and brokers,
processors, distributors, packagers, wholesalers and retailers.
The demand and the supply of goods constitute the two sides of the commodities
market. The price of a product is determined by changes in these two sides.
Demand is the relationship between a commodity’s price and the quantity of that
product that consumers are willing to buy at that price. In economics, demand is a
function of its price, prices of related commodities, income level, tastes and
preferences, and other factors like population, weather conditions and quality. The
various factors that affect the demand of commodities include its price, the price
of related goods, demand for substitutes and complementary goods and disposable
income. Factors affecting supply include price, production techniques and cost of
inputs, prices of related goods, weather, seasonality, production cycle, government
policies and existence of carry over stocks.
The Law of Demand states that, other things remaining the same, when the price
of a commodity goes up, its demand comes down and vice versa. The Law of
Supply states that, the supply of a commodity varies directly with its price. The
equilibrium price is the point of intersection between the demand and supply curves.
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Key Questions
1. A bilateral agreement in which a buyer and seller agree upon the delivery
of a specified quality and quantity of a commodity on a specified future
date at a pre-determined price is known as:
A) Cash Contract
B) Forward Contract
C) Spot Contract
D) Bilateral Contract
A) Bazaar
B) Hyper Mart
C) Mandis
D) Super Markets
3. Chains that comprise all activities and services from primary producer to
final consumers are known as:
A) Trade Chains
B) Trade Cycles
C) Manufacturing Cycle
D) Value Chains
A) Market
B) Selling
C) Equilibrium
D) Supply
A) Arthiya
B) Broker
C) Shaukar
D) Munshi
30
Key Questions
A) Future Contracts
B) Forward Contracts
C) Rollover Contracts
D) Swaps
A) 7
B) 9
C) 10
D) 11
8. In case of substitute goods, the fall of demand for one product would
result in ______ in demand for the other.
A) No change
B) Decrease
C) Increase
9. In case of complementary goods, the fall of demand for one product would
result in ______ in demand for the other.
A) No change
B) Decrease
C) Increase
10. The __________ price of a commodity is the price where the quantity
demanded equals quantity supplied.
A) Market
B) Selling
C) Equilibrium
D) Supply
ANSWER KEY
Qustion No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Answers B C D C A B D C B C
31
32
UNDERSTANDING
DERIVATIVES
Learning Outcomes ............................................................................. 34
1. Types of Derivatives ....................................................................... 34
1.1 OTC Derivatives ...................................................................... 35
Forwards ............................................................................. 36
Swaps ................................................................................. 36
Types of Swaps .................................................................... 37
1.2 Exchange–Traded Derivatives .................................................... 40
Futures ............................................................................... 40
Options ............................................................................... 42
Indices ................................................................................ 46
1.3 Other Derivatives .................................................................... 47
Credit Derivatives ................................................................. 47
Weather Derivatives .............................................................. 48
Energy Derivatives ................................................................ 49
Insurance Derivatives ............................................................ 50
Interest Rate Derivatives ....................................................... 50
2. Payoff for Derivative Positions ........................................................ 51
2.1 The Payoffs for Forwards ......................................................... 52
2.2 The Payoffs for Futures ........................................................... 53
2.3 The Payoff for Options ............................................................. 53
3. Commodity Derivatives vs. Financial Derivatives ............................ 58
3.1 Physical Settlement ................................................................. 58
3.2 Warehousing ........................................................................... 60
3.3 Quality of Underlying Assets ..................................................... 60
4. Derivative Market Participants ........................................................ 61
4.1 Various Market Participants and their Roles ................................. 61
4.2 Types of Traders ..................................................................... 64
Summary ................................................................................... 65
Key Questions ................................................................................... 68
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Understanding Derivatives
Learning Outcomes
1. Types of Derivatives
Derivatives
A derivative is a financial instrument whose value depends on or is “derived” from
the value of an underlying asset. This underlying asset could be a commodity,
foreign exchange, equity, interest rate or an index among others.
In India, the Securities Contract Regulation Act (SCRA) 1956 has included derivatives
as securities. Therefore, this law governs the trading of financial derivatives in our
country.
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Understanding Derivatives
• A contract that derives its value from the prices, or index of prices, of
underlying securities
1. Forwards
2. Futures
3. Swaps
4. Options
Derivatives traded on the OTC markets are simply called OTC derivatives and the
ones traded on exchange are exchange-traded derivatives.
OTC derivatives are bilateral contracts negotiated privately between two parties
and not traded on any exchange. It is a telephone and computer-linked network of
dealers who do not physically meet. The dealers perform the economic functions
of “market making” by offering two-way quotes to the participants. The brokered
OTC trading process may be automated and electronic, but it still remains bilateral
because only the two parties to the transaction get to know the quotes or details
of execution.
A key advantage of the OTC market is that the terms of a contract do not have to
be those that are specified by an exchange. Market participants are free to negotiate
any mutually attractive deal. However, the disadvantage is that there is usually
some credit risk, of the contract not being honoured. The major OTC derivatives
are forwards and swaps.
principals via a telephone and computer network rather than an exchange trading
floor. Unlike an exchange, there is no automatic disclosure of the price of deals to
other market participants, and the deals and traded instruments are not
standardized.
35
Understanding Derivatives
Forwards
As we have seen in the earlier unit, forwards are bilateral contracts in which the
buyer and seller agree upon the price and terms of delivery. These contracts are
highly customised and not traded on exchanges.
Assume, for example that on February 21, the treasurer of a corporation enters
into a long forward contract to buy 1 million MT of wheat in three months at an
exchange rate of Rs. 680/quintal. This obligates the corporation to pay Rs. 6.8
billion on May 20 for delivery of 1 million MT of wheat.
Swaps
The nature of the cash flows to be exchanged is defined in the contract. A swap is
thus an agreement entered into between two counterparties to exchange cash
flows at some point or points in the future. Therefore, a forward itself can be
thought of as a swap, where cash flows get exchanged on a single date in the
future.
For example, suppose that on 1st January a company enters into a six-month
forward contract to buy 100 kgs of silver at Rs.17,600 per kg. The company can
sell the silver in the market as soon as it receives the same on 30th June. Further
assume that on 30th June the spot rate for silver is “S”. The swap here is that, at
the end of 6 months, the company pays a fixed amount and receives a variable
KEYWORDS
36
Understanding Derivatives
Forwards are single period price-fixing contracts, which involve exchange of cash
flows on a single future date, whereas swaps are multi-period price fixing contracts,
where cash flow exchanges occur on several future dates.
Types of Swaps
Interest rate swaps are used to get a better interest rate for both parties. Consider
this example.
LIBOR: London Inter Bank Offer Rate (LIBOR) is a daily reference rate based on the
KEYWORDS
interest rate that the banks charge each other for unsecured funds in the London
wholesale money market (or interbank market).
37
Understanding Derivatives
• Suppose that X Ltd. wants to borrow at fixed rate of 6%. It has a good
credit rating in floating rate market but not in fixed rate market.
• Another company, Y Ltd. wants to borrow at floating rate, say at LIBOR.
It has good credit rating in floating rate market and not in fixed rate
market.
• It makes sense for them to borrow in the markets where they can get
better terms and then swap.
So X can issue a floating rate note on a $1 million principal, while Y can issue a
fixed rate bond at, say 6% on the same principal amount with the same maturity of
five years. On swapping the cash flows, X agrees to pay Y 6% for five years, while
Y agrees to pay X a six-month LIBOR on the same principal as shown in Figure 2.1.
The notional amount of the principal of $1 million is not transferred. Cash flows are
normally settled so that only the difference is paid by a counter party.
Currency Swaps
A currency swap refers to the exchange of a fixed amount of a currency per
annum for a fixed amount of another currency per annum. On maturity of the
swap, the principals are exchanged.
All three components of a typical swap are identifiable in a currency swap. The
exchange rate is agreed upon at the beginning itself. In a cross-currency swap, at
least one of the cash flows will be based on a floating rate. Currency swaps help to
hedge exposures in foreign currency.
Currency Swap refers to the exchange of a fixed amount of a currency per annum
KEYWORDS
for a fixed amount of another currency per annum. On maturity of the swap, the
principals are exchanged.
Equity Swap: A swap where payments on one or both sides are linked to the
performance of equities or an equity index.
38
Understanding Derivatives
Equity Swaps
In an equity swap, one set of payments is based on the returns of a stock or a
stock index, whereas the other counterparty’s payments are either a fixed amount
or based on a stock or a stock index. Equity swaps can sometimes give negative
returns.
Commodity Swaps
In a commodity swap, the cash flows exchanged depend on the value of the
underlying commodity. They are used to hedge against price risks. Like in any
other swap transaction, a bank or a financial institution arranges the commodity
swaps.
Commodity swaps are commonly used in the oil industry by heavy users such as
airlines. For example, an airline can agree to make a series of fixed payments to a
bank or an intermediary, say every six months for two years. In turn, it can receive
variable payments (based on market rate for oil) on the same days as shown in
Figure 2.2. The airline will buy oil it needs from the spot market and pay from the
variable amounts it receives from the bank. However, the actual outflow for the
airlines is fixed.
Pay Variable
Commodity swaps are also gaining popularity in the agricultural and energy sectors
where demand and supply of the underlying commodity are subject to high levels
of uncertainty. To remove the impact of high levels of volatility in commodity
swaps say in oil swaps, the variable payments are based on the average value of
an oil index over a period of time whereas in interest rate, currency, and equity
swaps, variable payments are based on the price/rate on a particular day.
KEYWORDS
Commodity Swaps: A swap where exchanged cash flows are dependent on the price
of an underlying commodity
39
Understanding Derivatives
Futures
Commodity Futures Contracts may be up to one year into the future. A futures
contract mandates physical delivery. But in most of the cases, it may be offset by
entering into another contract, which is exactly opposite in nature, at any time
before the maturity date.
Futures traded on the NCDEX include commodities like gold, silver, soy bean, rapeseed,
mustard seed, crude palm oil, rubber, pepper, jute, guar, chana and wheat. Maize
futures traded on NCDEX use 10 MTs as the unit of trading. Quotations are given in
Rs. per quintal. Quality is specified in terms of the percentage of damages, infections,
foreign matter allowed, moisture and test weight. Quantity variations of + or – 5%
is allowed. Nizamabad, Andhra Pradesh is the main delivery centre.
• Futures price
This refers to the price at which a futures contract trades in the futures
market.
40
Understanding Derivatives
• Contract cycle
This refers to the period over which the futures contract trades in the
exchange. In NCDEX, commodity futures contracts that expire every
one month, two months and three months are available. For example,
observe the future quotes for maize in Table 2.1
Table 2.1: Futures quote for maize on NCDEX
Closing Price
(Rs./Quintal)
as on 1 March, 2008
Spot 752.10
• Expiry Date
This refers to the last day on which the contract would be traded. After
this date, the contract ceases to exist. In NCDEX, this expiry date is
the 20th day of the delivery month. If this happens to be a holiday, a
Saturday, or a Sunday, the expiry date will be the immediately preceding
trading day, other than a Saturday.
• Delivery Unit
This refers to the amount of a commodity that has to be delivered
under a single contract. In NCDEX, for example, it is 10 MTs for maize,
55 bales for long staple cotton and 1 kg for gold.
• Basis
This refers to the difference between the futures price and the spot
price. For commodities, basis is calculated using the formula [Spot Price
- Future Price] while for financial assets, the formula [Futures Price -
Spot Price] is more commonly used. Normally, futures prices exceed
spot prices.
• Margin
This refers to the deposit money that needs to be paid to buy or sell
each contract. The margin required for a futures contract is better
described as a performance bond or “good faith” money. The margin
41
Understanding Derivatives
levels are set by the exchanges based on the price volatility of the
commodity and can be changed at any time. The margin requirements
for most futures contracts range from 2% to 15% of the value of the
ontract.
Options
An option is an agreement between two parties - one of whom is the buyer and
the other the seller. An option gives the holder or buyer of the option the right, but
not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a known fixed price (called the
exercise price) at a given point in the future. The seller in turn, has the obligation
(and not the right) to sell the asset to the buyer.
For assuming this obligation, the seller charges a premium called the “option premium”
from the buyer. Unlike forwards and futures, the holder of the option is not obliged
to exercise the contract. While no upfront costs are incurred in entering into a
forward or a future, an option requires the upfront payment of the option premium.
1. Call option: A call option is a contract that gives the buyer the right
(option) to buy the underlying asset by a certain date for a certain
price. He can choose not to exercise the option. The seller of the call
option has an obligation to sell the asset, if the option is exercised by
the buyer.
2. Put option: A put option is a contract that gives the holder the right
(option) to sell the underlying asset by a certain date for a certain
price. He can choose not to exercise the option. The seller of the put
option has an obligation to buy the asset, if the option is exercised.
There are several terms used in the context of options. They are:
• Buyer/Holder/Owner
This refers to the person who buys the option. As a result, he gets the
right (option) to buy or sell the underlying asset without the obligation
to do so.
KEYWORDS
Options are financial instruments that convey the right, but not the obligation, to
engage in a future transaction on some underlying security, or in a futures contract.
42
Understanding Derivatives
• Seller/Writer
This refers to the person who sells the option. As a result, he acquires
the obligation to buy or sell the underlying asset. He receives the option
premium for accepting the obligation.
• Long position
This refers to the buying of a security such as a stock, commodity or
currency, with the expectation that the asset will rise in value. In the
context of options, it refers to the buying of an options contract.
• Short position
This refers to the sale of a borrowed security, commodity or currency
with the expectation that the asset will fall in value. In the context of
options, it is the sale (also known as “writing”) of an options contract.
• American option
In this type of option, the buyer can exercise the right (buy/sell) at any
time until the expiry of the option contract.
• European option
In this type of option, the right can be exercised by the buyer only at
the end of the life of the option contract.
• Spot rate
This refers to the rate at which an underlying asset quotes in the spot
market.
• Exchange rate
This refers to the forward exchange rate that is to be used if the strike
price is expressed in a foreign currency.
• Exercise price
The price at which the option holder may buy or sell the underlying
security, as defined in the terms of contract. A “call” holder may exercise
to buy the underlying asset or the “put” holder may exercise to sell the
underlying asset.
43
Understanding Derivatives
• In–the-money option
This option is one that would give its holder a positive cash flow, if
exercised immediately. In a call option if the market price (spot price) is
above the exercise price, it is in-the-money.
In a put option, if the market price (spot price) is below the strike price,
it is in-the-money.
• Out-of-the-money option
This option is one that would give its holder a negative cash flow, if
exercised immediately. In a call option if the market price (spot price) is
below the exercise price, it is out-of-the-money. In a put option, if the
market price (spot price) is above the strike price, it is out-of-the-
money.
• At–the–money option
This option is one which leads to nil or zero cash flow to its holder. This
would be the situation where the price of the underlying asset equals
the option’s exercise price.
• Intrinsic value
The option premium is the sum of two parts - intrinsic value and time
value. The amount by which an option is in-the-money is the intrinsic
value. An option will have intrinsic value if it is in-the-money option.
• Time value
This is the amount of money that buyers are willing to pay for an option
in the anticipation that, over time, a change in the underlying futures
price will cause the option to increase in value. The time value of an
option depends on the “length of time to expiration” of the option. The
option premium will decrease when the time to expire decreases. The
option with a longer “time to expire” has higher probability of moving ‘in-
the-money” than the option with less time to expire. The time value is
Intrinsic value for a call option is the difference between the underlying stock’s
price and the strike price. For put options, it is the difference between the strike price
KEYWORDS
and the underlying stock’s price. An option will have intrinsic value if it is in-the-
money option.
Time Value is the difference between the premium paid for an option and the
intrinsic value. As an option approaches expiration, the time value erodes, eventually
to zero. An option will have only time value if it is at-the-money or out-of-the-money.
44
Understanding Derivatives
the difference between the option premium and its intrinsic value. Other
things remaining the same, the greater the time left for expiration, the
greater is the option’s time value. At expiration, the option has no time
value. An option that is at-the-money or out-of-the-money has no
intrinsic value. It has only time value.
Example: In January, the spot price of corn is $4.00 per bushel. John buys from
Haneef a call option on 1st January at $ 4.50 per bushel for delivery on 30th
June the same year, and pays premium of $0.20 per bushel.Chandy buys from
Haneef a put option on 1st January at $ 4.30 per bushel, for delivery on 30th
June the same year and pays premium of $0.10.
T yp e Type
S. S.
D e s c rip tio n of T e rm D e s c rip tio n of T e rm
No. No.
o p tio n o p tio n
If M a rk e t
st st
P ric e o n 1 C a ll va lu e o n 1 O u t-o f-
S p o t p ric e
1 J a n u a ry and 9 M a rc h is C a ll th e -
$ 4 .0 0 P ut $ 4 .4 0 p e r m oney
bushel
If M a rk e t
st
B u ye r / va lu e o n 1 A t-th e -
2 John C a ll 10 C a ll
h o ld e r M a rc h is m oney
$ 4 .5 0
C a ll
3 H aneef and W rite r 11 C handy P ut B u ye r
P ut
E x e rc is e
E x e rc is e
4 $ 4 .5 0 C a ll p ric e /S trik e 12 $ 4 .3 0 P ut
p ric e
p ric e
5 $ 0 .2 0 C a ll P re m iu m 13 $ 0 .1 0 P ut P re m iu m
If M a rk e t
E x e rc is e
A n y tim e C a ll va lu e o n 1 s t O u t-o f-
d a te –
6 b e fo re and 14 M a rc h is P ut th e -
A m e ric a n
June 30 P ut $ 4 .6 0 p e r m oney
o p tio n
bushel
If M a rk e t
E x e rc is e
C al va lu e o n 1 s t
d a te – In -th e -
7 3 0 th J u n e and 15 M a rc h is P ut
E u ro p e a n m oney
P ut $ 4 .1 0 p e r
o p tio n
bushel
If M a rk e t If M a rk e t
va lu e o n 1 s t va lu e o n 1 s t
In -th e - A t-th e -
8 M a rc h is C a ll 16 M a rc h is P ut
m oney m oney
$ 4 .6 0 p e r $ 4 .3 0 p e r
bushel bushel
45
Understanding Derivatives
The underlying futures contract generally matures immediately after the expiration
of the option. On exercise of a call option, the holder acquires from the seller a
long position in the underlying futures contract. In addition, there is a cash amount
equal to the excess of the futures price over the exercise price. The opposite
happens in the case of a put option. In both the cases, the futures contracts are
closed out, as they have no value on maturity.
The advantage of futures options is that unlike the physical market, which could
be controlled by a few parties and hence possible to manipulate, the futures
market is more organised. It has a large number of participants along with speedy
assimilation of information. While these options have not yet been introduced in
Indian markets, commodity options are traded in international exchanges like CBOT
and LIFFE. In CBOT, all commodity options are American options and the final
Settlement price is the Daily Settlement Price of the underlying futures contract
on the expiration day.
Indices
46
Understanding Derivatives
Derivatives trading on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) commenced on June 12,
2000 with futures trading on S&P CNX Nifty Index. Subsequently the product base
has been increased to include trading in futures and options on S&P CNX Nifty
Index, futures and options on CNX IT index, Bank Nifty index and single securities
(118 stocks as stipulated by SEBI) and futures on interest rate. The interest rate
future contracts are available on Notional 91 day T-bill and Notional 10 year bonds
(6% coupon bearing and zero coupon bonds), while the index options are European
style and stock options are American style.
At any point of time, only three contract months are available for trading, with 1
month, 2 months and 3 months to expiry. These contracts expire on the last
Thursday of the expiry month and have a maximum of 3 month expiration cycle. A
new contract is introduced on the next trading day following the expiry of the near
month contract. All the derivatives contracts are presently cash settled.
The turnover in the derivatives segment has witnessed considerable growth since
inception. The total settlement value in the derivatives segment of the NSE is
estimated to be over Rs. 95,000 crore in the fiscal year 2007-08. NSE has
established itself as the country’s sole market leader in this segment in the country
with more than 99.5% market share
Credit Derivatives
A credit derivative is designed to assume or transfer credit risk from one party to
another in exchange for a fee.
Credit Risk: In simple words, credit risk is the risk that a borrower will default on his
obligations under a credit arrangement. Put simply, credit risk is the risk that a
KEYWORDS
borrower will not pay back the lender. The borrower may either default on interest
and/or principal payments. The reason for default can be bankruptcy, though the
actual default normally occurs well before becoming bankrupt. In either case, the
lender/investor stands to lose part or all of the investment. Sometimes credit risk is
also called default risk.
47
Understanding Derivatives
Weather Derivatives
“A” refers to the average of the day’s highest and lowest temperature at a specified
weather station. The temperature is measured in degrees Fahrenheit.
For example, if the maximum temperature during a day (12 p.m. to 12 p.m.) was 70
degrees Fahrenheit and the minimum temperature for the same period was 46
degrees Fahrenheit, A will be 58. The daily HDD = Max (0, 65-58) = 7 and the daily
CDD = Max (0, 58-65) = 0.
A typical weather derivative could be a forward or an option contract with the pay
off related to the cumulative HDD or CDD during a period. For example, in February
2007, an investment dealer sells a call option to a client. This could be on the
cumulative HDD during March 2007 at a particular weather station with a strike
price of 800 and a payment rate of $1,000 per degree per day. If the actual
cumulative HDD is found to be 900, the payoff is $100,000.
KEYWORDS
Heating Degree Days (HDD) The number of degrees that a day’s average
temperature is below 65 Fahrenheit (18o Celsius), the temperature below which
o
buildings need to be heated. The price of weather derivatives traded in the winter is
based on an index made up of monthly HDD values
Cooling Degree Days (CDD) The number of degrees that a day’s average
temperature is above 65o Fahrenheit, the temperature at which people will start to
use air conditioning to cool their buildings. The price of weather derivatives traded
in the summer are based on an index made up of monthly CDD values
48
Understanding Derivatives
Note: As weather derivatives are not yet introduced in Indian Exchanges, the
above example relates to USA.
Energy Derivatives
Energy derivatives are very active in the derivatives market, both in OTC and
exchange-traded derivatives. The underlying are mostly in crude oil, natural gas
and electricity.
Crude Oil
Crude oil is one of the important commodities in the world with very high levels of
demand. For many years, 10-year fixed-price supply contracts are popular in the
OTC markets. These are swaps where oil at a fixed price is exchanged for oil at
floating price. The highly volatile nature of oil prices has led to both OTC and
exchange-traded derivatives for managing price risk. During the 1970s, oil price
was highly volatile, which led oil producers to seek more sophisticated instruments
to manage price risk. During the 1980s, many products were developed. Products
like swaps, forward contracts and options are actively traded in the OTC markets.
Exchanges like New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) and the International
Petroleum Exchange (IPE) trade a large number of oil options and futures. The
futures can be settled either in cash or delivery.
Natural Gas
Globally, as well as in our country, the natural gas industry is witnessing deregulation
and private participation. Nowadays, the supplier of natural gas and the producer
of gas are not necessarily the same entity. Suppliers are faced with the problem of
meeting daily requirements of demand. And the seller of gas has to take responsibility
for the distribution of gas through pipelines.
Both OTC and exchange-traded contracts are available (NYMEX and IPE) for the
delivery of natural gas. Forward contracts, options and swaps are available in the
OTC market, where the contract specifies the quantity of gas, the rate, the
delivery period etc. In NYMEX, contracts for the delivery of 10,000 million British
Thermal units of natural gas are traded.
Electricity
The peculiarity of electricity as a commodity is that it cannot be stored easily. The
maximum capacity of all electricity producing stations in a region determines the
maximum electricity supply for that region. Generally, the demand for electricity is
higher in the summer months with the increased need for air-conditioning. Heat
waves, combined with the lack of ability to store electricity, cause spot prices of
electricity to become highly volatile for short intervals. This volatility, accompanied
by deregulation in the industry has led to the growth of a market in electricity
49
Understanding Derivatives
derivatives. In this market, both OTC and exchange-traded derivatives are available
and option contracts are normally exercised on a daily or on a monthly basis.
• Price risk
• Volume risk
While price risk is hedged by trading in energy derivatives, volume risk is taken
care of by weather derivatives.
Insurance Derivatives
Both insurance contracts and derivatives contracts are tools for risk management.
These contracts exhibit a lot of common features. The insurance industry has
been hedging its exposure to catastrophic risks through the process of reinsurance
over the years. Natural forces like earthquakes and hurricanes, among others are
the main causes.
In recent years, the industry feels that its reinsurance needs are more than what
could be provided by the traditional method. This has led to the development of a
new derivative in the OTC market called the CAT Bond or Catastrophe Bond. These
are issued by insurance subsidiaries and pay a high interest rate. In exchange for
this higher than normal interest rate, the holder of the bond agrees to provide an
excess cost reinsurance contract.
Interest rate derivatives are futures contracts based on fixed income securities or
instruments. These instruments, based on their time-period, can be categorized
into the following:
An interest rate derivative is a derivative where the underlying asset is the right
to pay or receive a (usually notional) amount of money at a given interest rate .
Interest rate options, futures, swaps , forward rate agreements are some of the
interest rate derivatives.
50
Understanding Derivatives
• Default risk: This is the risk of losing all or part of the principal amount
due to the borrower becoming bankrupt. The more the risk of default,
the higher is the interest rate charged by the lender. Government loans
and T-bills are default risk free and therefore, they carry the lowest
interest rates for any given maturity.
• Interest rate risk: This is the risk that the price or the market value of
a security will change as a result of changes in macroeconomic factors
like inflation rate, money supply, economic growth rate, RBI policy, etc.
For example, the news that future inflation would be higher than earlier
expectations will lead to the demand for a higher yield on all fixed
income securities. Yields on outstanding fixed-income securities are
adjusted through changes in the prices of these securities.
• Notional T-bills
• Notional 10 year bonds (coupon bearing)
• Notional 10 year bonds (non-coupon bearing)
Currency Derivatives
A currency derivative is a contract or financial agreement to exchange two currencies
at a predetermined rate or a contract or financial agreement whose value is derived
from the rate of exchange of the two currencies in the spot market. Firms exposed
to foreign exchange rate risk have turned both to the forex market and to currency
futures markets to manage exchange rate risks. In customized forex market
transactions, both parties negotiate and agree on the rate of exchange and other
terms in what is essentially a forward contract. Market participation is limited to
very large customers. On the other hand, currency futures contracts are, like all
futures contracts, standardized and remain open to anyone who needs a vehicle
to hedge currency risk. Futures also provide a formal clearing process in which
accounts are settled daily.
Payoff: A payoff is the profit or loss that is likely to be faced by the market
KEYWORDS
participants with changes in the price of the underlying asset. Payoff diagrams are
used to graphically represent these, with the price of the underlying being plotted on
the X axis and the Profit or Loss on the Y axis.
51
Understanding Derivatives
change in the price of an underlying asset. Usually, the profit or loss is graphically
represented by payoff diagrams. In the payoff diagram, the price of the underlying
asset is plotted on the X-axis and profit or loss on the Y-axis.
Usually, forward contracts have linear payoffs. The buyer of a forward contract
makes a profit if the price of the underlying asset increases and vice versa.
St – K
where,
Profit from a
Long Forward Position
Profit
Price of underlying
K-delivery price
at maturity, St
The payoff from a short position in a forward contract for one unit of an asset is
calculated using the formula:
K – St
52
Understanding Derivatives
Profit from a
Short Forward Position
t Profit
Price of underlying
O at maturity
K
Like forward contracts, futures contracts also have a linear payoff, leading to
unlimited profits or losses for buyers and sellers. The linearity ensures the same
magnitude of profits or losses for a given upward or downward movement of the
underlying asset.
In contrast to the linear nature of payoffs from forwards and futures, option
payoffs are non-linear. The non-linearity arises from the fact that in options, the
holder’s (buyer’s) losses are limited, whereas gains are potentially unlimited. In
forwards and futures, both the losses and the gains are unlimited. The writer
(seller) of an option gets the premium, making his profits limited to the option
premium, and losses potentially unlimited. The payoffs of the option buyer and the
option seller are exactly opposite in nature. Additionally, options entail an upfront
cost in the form of the option premium, unlike forwards and futures.
Figure 2.5 shows the payoff from buying a 2-month call option on Essar Oil stock
at an exercise price of Rs. 60 and an option premium of Rs. 5.
53
Understanding Derivatives
Profit
30
(Rs)
20
10 Terminal
30 40 50 60 Stock Price (Rs)
0
-5 70 80 90
Let us consider the example of an investor who buys 100 call options on Essar Oil
stock. At an option premium of Rs. 5, his initial investment will be Rs. 500. If the
stock price on the exercise date is above Rs. 60, he will choose to exercise the
option.
Let us assume that the stock price on the exercise date is Rs. 70. The holder can
buy 100 shares of Essar Oil at Rs. 60 per share and sell it immediately for Rs. 70 per
share, thereby gaining Rs. 10 per share or Rs. 1,000 in total (ignoring transaction
costs).
Considering the option premium, the holder makes a net gain of Rs. 500. If the
stock price (St) on expiration is lesser than Rs. 60, he will choose not to exercise
the option. The option premium of Rs. 500 paid upfront then becomes his loss.
Suppose the price on the exercise date is Rs. 63, the holder exercises the option
but makes a loss of Rs. 200. Overall, this is better than a loss of Rs. 500 if the
option is not exercised, as can be seen from a summary of the payoff given in
Table 2.2.
(Price in Rs.)
Type of Exercise Premium Spot Price Profit / loss
Call Price (St)on including
(K) exercise date premium paid
Long call 60 5 70 500
60 -500
63 -200
54
Understanding Derivatives
seller’s profit or loss is exactly the reverse of that of the buyer. If on expiration,
the spot price exceeds the exercise price, the buyer will choose to exercise the
option. The seller has to oblige, and in the process will incur a loss.
The higher the spot price (St), the greater is the loss made by the seller. If on
expiration, the spot price is less than the exercise price, the buyer will choose to
let the contract expire. In this case, the premium retained by the seller becomes
his profit.
Figure 2.6 gives the payoff for writing a call option on Essar Oil at an option price
of Rs. 5 and a strike price of Rs. 60.
Profit (Rs)
5 70 80 90
0
30 40 50 60 Terminal
-10 Stock Price(Rs)
-20
-30
As may be seen, the payoff is exactly the reverse of that of the option buyer.
Let us assume the seller has written 100 call options on Essar Oil. If on expiration,
the strike price is Rs. 70, he loses Rs. 1000 but gets a premium of Rs. 500, making
a net loss of Rs. 500. If the strike price is lesser than Rs. 60, the buyer will not
exercise the option. The entire Rs. 500 is then a profit for the seller, as can be
seen from a summary in Table 2.3
(Price in Rs.)
Type of Exercise Premium Spot Price (St) on Profit / loss
Option Price exercise date (Including
(K) premium
paid)
Short call 60 5 70 - 500
60 500
63 200
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Understanding Derivatives
If on the expiry date, the spot price (St) of the asset is less than the exercise price
(K) of the option, the buyer will choose to exercise it and make a profit. The profit
will be to the extent that the exercise price is higher than the spot price. If on the
expiry date, the spot price (St) of the asset is more than the exercise price (K) of
the option, the buyer will choose to let the option expire. In this case, his loss will
be the option premium that he has to pay to the writer of the option.
Figure 2.7 gives the payoff from buying a put option on Petronet LNG’s stock at an
exercise price of Rs. 90 and an option premium of Rs. 7.
Profit(Rs)
30
20
10 Terminal
Stock Price(Rs)
0
-7
Let us consider the example of an investor who buys 100 put options on Petronet
LNG’s stock. At an option premium of Rs. 7, his initial investment will be Rs. 700. If
the spot price on the exercise date is lesser than Rs. 90, he will choose to exercise
the option. This is because he will get a lower price if he sells in the spot market.
Let us assume the spot price on the exercise date is Rs. 70. The investor’s net
return works out to
Rs. 1,300 [100*(Rs. 90 - Rs. 70) minus the premium of Rs. 700]. The higher the
exercise price over the spot price, the more he gains. If on expiration date, the
exercise price is lower than the spot price, he will choose not to exercise the
option. But he still has to pay the premium of Rs. 700. All this is summarised in
Table 2.4.
56
Understanding Derivatives
(Price in Rs.)
Type Exercise Premium Spot Price Profit / loss
of Price (St) on (Including premium
Option (K) exercise paid)
date
Long 90 7 70 1300
Put
90 -700
80 300
-10
-20
-30
When the spot price is higher than the exercise price of Rs. 90, the buyer will not
exercise the option. The seller can retain the premium of Rs. 7 per put. However, if
the opposite happens and the buyer exercises the option, then, the seller is
obliged to execute the contract at the higher exercise price. But, his losses will be
offset to the extent of premium amount he has received from the buyer. This is
summarised in Table 2.5.
(Price in Rs.)
Type of Exercise Premiu Spot Price (St) Profit / loss
Option Price (K) m on exercise (Including
date premium paid)
57
Understanding Derivatives
Derivatives as a risk management tool were first used in commodity markets. Later,
it was found that they can be used as a hedging mechanism for financial assets in
the financial markets as well. Regardless of the underlying asset, the basic concepts
of a derivative contract remain the same. However, a few differences between the
nature of commodities and the financial assets have led to some differences in
market practices. These differences are mainly in terms of:
1. Physical settlement
2. Warehousing
3. Quality of underlying assets
The notice of delivery helps the seller and the buyer make preparations to give or
take delivery. This also allows the seller to completely verify the delivery. A delivery
notice must be supported by a warehouse receipt, which is a documentary evidence
58
Understanding Derivatives
for the quantity and quality of the commodity being delivered. In the case of
exchanges that have laboratories for quality verification, the seller must produce a
laboratory verification report along with the delivery notice.
Assignment
On receipt of the seller’s delivery notice, the clearing house identifies the buyer to
whom the notice can be assigned. Different exchanges do this in different ways.
For example, the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) and the Chicago Mercantile
Exchange (CME) display the delivery notice, letting interested buyers bid to take
delivery, while Indian exchanges like NCDEX assign the delivery notices on a random
basis. Sellers who have given the delivery notice and buyers who have been
assigned a delivery have the option to square off their positions. They can do so
at any time before the market closes on the last day of the delivery notice period.
After the close of trading on the last day, exchanges then assign the delivery
intentions to parties with open long positions, either on a first in first out basis or
on a random basis.
Some exchanges give buyers an option to decide on the delivery location. The
delivery is settled at the delivery order rate, which is decided on a daily basis by
the clearing house. The delivery rate can be based on:
i) The spot rate (calculated on the basis of the prevailing prices in the
most active spot market) for the underlying, adjusted for discount or
premium for quality and freight cost. These are published by the clearing
house before the introduction of the contract.
ii) The closing rate of the previous day.
Delivery
After the process of assignment, the exchange or clearing house issues a delivery
order to buyers. It also informs the identity of the buyer to the respective
warehouse. The buyer in turn has to deposit a certain percentage of the value of
the contract in the clearing house. This is the margin against the warehouse
receipt. The exchange stipulates the period within which the buyer must take
physical delivery. The period could be as much as a month for some commodities.
Once the buyer or the authorised representative takes physical delivery against
the delivery order, the seller or the authorised representative gives the invoice to
its clearing member. The seller’s clearing member then couriers the same to the
buyer’s clearing member. Once the clearing house receives the proof of physical
delivery, the invoice amount is credited to the seller’s amount.
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Understanding Derivatives
In India, a seller has to give a notice of delivery, failing which the positions are
cash settled on the date of expiry of the contract. The settlement price on that
day is set equal to the closing spot price of the commodity. Cash settlement takes
place for the price difference as in equity future contracts. For example, a trader
buys futures on a stock at Rs. 100. On the contract expiration day, the stock
closes at Rs.110. The trader then does not have to buy the underlying stock. But,
he still gets the difference of Rs. 10 in cash.
3.2 Warehousing
60
Understanding Derivatives
Summary
The major differences between commodity derivatives and financial derivatives are
summarised in the following table:
Hedgers
Hedgers are people or companies who wish to protect themselves or “hedge”
against adverse price movements using futures. Hedgers do this by buying and
selling futures contracts to offset the risks of changing prices in the spot market.
They participate in the derivative market, hoping that they can transfer their
price risk. In commodity markets, hedgers could be producers (such as farmers),
processors, or consumers.
61
Understanding Derivatives
entering into a “short” soybean futures position. Let us assume that the spot
price of soybean in April is Rs. 9,400 per MT while the futures price at that time is
Rs. 9,900 per MT. At harvest time in September, the soybean spot prices reduce
to Rs. 7,900 per MT while the futures price falls to Rs. 8,400 per MT. He offsets his
futures position by buying back soybean futures contract at Rs. 8,400 per MT and
gaining Rs. 1,500 per MT. He will also sell his produce in the market at Rs. 7,900
per MT. So, his total return is Rs. 9,400 per MT, which is equal to the spot price in
April. This way, the farmer was able to protect himself against price risk even
when the price of soybean fell.
Table 2.7 depicts the total return per MT received by the farmer at harvest time in
September when he has sold future contract at sowing time in April. In April, the
farmer sells the futures contract at Rs. 9,900 per MT.
Table 2.7: Total return to farmer by selling future contract
Speculators
Speculation refers to buying or selling something, anticipating future price changes.
Market participants engaged in such buying or selling are called speculators. While
the objective of hedgers is to avoid risks, speculators are more willing to accept
risks. For example, speculators buy futures at a time when its price is low and sell
it later when the price is higher.
62
Understanding Derivatives
Speculators provide the much-needed liquidity to markets and are an integral part
of the growing futures markets. Speculators do not belong to the industry in
which they trade. As a result, they prefer speculating using forwards or futures in
which transactions can be initiated with a small investment, unlike in the cash
market. Speculators are rarely interested in giving or taking delivery.
Apart from forwards and futures, speculators sometimes use options owing to
their unlimited upside potential.
Suppose, in February, a physical trader buys a quintal of wheat for Rs. 1,200 per
quintal, anticipating that the price will rise to Rs. 1,450 per quintal in May. Compare
the trader with a speculator who has decided to buy wheat futures in NCDEX at
the futures price of Rs. 1,300 per quintal. The contract is available by paying an
initial margin of 10%, which is Rs. 130 whereas the investment of the physical
trader is Rs. 1,200.
Let us assume that in May, the price of a quintal of wheat is Rs. 1,450 per quintal.
The physical trader sells his wheat for Rs. 1,450 and makes a profit of Rs. 250.
This means, a return of 20.8% on an investment of Rs. 1,200. The speculator
offsets his open long position by selling his futures position at Rs. 1,450 and
makes a profit of Rs. 150. This means a return of a whopping 115%, considering
his initial investment of just Rs. 130.
Table 2.8 depicts the rate of return received by the speculator vis-à-vis the
physical trader.
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Understanding Derivatives
However, if markets move in the wrong direction, the physical trader can sell the
wheat and get some return. It is not so with the speculator who faces the risk of
running into huge losses.
Arbitragers
In simple terms, arbitrage is the process of buying something at a place where its
price is low and selling it in a place where its price is high. The same asset can
thus be bought and sold simultaneously in two or more markets to take advantage
of the price difference. Market participants looking to capitalise on arbitrage
opportunities are called arbitragers. Such opportunities are not easy to spot.
The spot price of 10 gm of gold in Delhi is Rs. 9,560. The futures contract in
NCDEX is being traded at Rs. 9,624 per 10 gm. The arbitrager buys 1 Kg of gold in
the cash market. Simultaneously, he takes a short position in the futures market.
On the expiry of the futures contract he opts to physically deliver the gold and
gains Rs. 64 per gm.
Within the category of traders (hedgers, speculators and arbitragers), there are
several types of market participants - proprietary traders, market makers, scalpers,
day traders and position traders.
Proprietary Traders
Proprietary traders are employees who work for investment firms, commercial
banks and trading houses. These traders have different trading objectives. Some
traders engage in speculative trading activity and profit when the market moves
in their direction. Others manage risk by hedging or spreading between different
markets to insulate their business from the risk of price fluctuation.
Market Makers
Market makers give liquidity to the market by a constant bid to buy and an offer
to sell. They often profit from the ‘spread’ or the small difference between the bid
and ask prices. The profit of market makers is calculated using the simple formula:
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Understanding Derivatives
Profit = (Average offer price – Average bid price) * Number of units traded
Scalpers
Scalpers trade in and out of the market several times during a day, hoping to
make a small profit from a large volume of trades. They generally attempt to buy
at the bid price and sell at the ask price and offset their trades within seconds of
making the original trade. Usually, scalpers do not make any predictions on the
future direction of the market.
Day Traders
Day traders, like scalpers, trade actively. However, day traders engage in fewer
trades than scalpers and take trading decisions based on predictions of the future
direction of the market.
Position Traders
Position traders typically take one trading position and hold on to that position.
Minor fluctuations in the market do not concern them much, as these traders are
more focussed on long-term trends and market forces.
Summary
Forwards are bilateral contracts in which the buyer and seller agree upon the
price and terms of delivery.
Scalpers are floor traders, who trade for small, short-term profits during the course
of a trading session, rarely carrying a position overnight.
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Understanding Derivatives
A futures contract is an agreement between two parties to buy or sell the underlying
asset at a future date at today’s future price.
An option is an agreement between two parties - one of whom is the buyer and
the other the seller. An option gives the holder or buyer of the option the right,
but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset at a known fixed price (called the
exercise price) at a given point in the future. The seller in turn, has the obligation
(and not the right) to sell the asset to the buyer. There are two kinds of options:
Call option and put option.
A credit derivative is designed to assume or transfer credit risk from one party to
another in exchange for a fee.
In a long forward contract, the party that buys the contract is considered to
assume a long position in the market with the expectation that the price of the
commodity will go up. At the time of maturity of the contract, if the delivery price
is lower than the spot price, the buyer makes a profit and vice versa.
In a short forward contract, the party who sells the contract is considered to
assume a short position in the market with the expectation that the price will go
down. At the time of maturity of the contract, if the delivery price is higher than
the spot price, the seller makes a profit and vice versa.
Like forward contracts, futures contracts also have a linear payoff, leading to
unlimited profits or losses for buyer and sellers. The linearity ensures the same
magnitude of profits or losses for a given upward or downward movement of the
underlying asset. Forwards and futures have the same payoff characteristics.
Option payoffs are non-linear, unlike the payoffs from forwards and futures, which
is linear in nature. The non-linearity arises from the fact that the holder’s (buyer’s)
losses are limited, while gains are potentially unlimited.
The writer (seller) of an option gets the premium, making his profits limited to the
option premium, and losses potentially unlimited. The payoffs of the option buyer
and the option seller are exactly opposite in nature. Additionally, options entail an
66
Understanding Derivatives
upfront cost in the form of the option premium unlike forwards and futures.
a
The buyer of a call option makes a profit to the extent of the spot price over the
exercise price on the expiry date. The payoff on a short call option, to the seller,
is just the opposite.
The buyer of a put option makes a profit to the extent that the exercise price is
greater than the spot price on expiration. The payoff on a short put option, to the
seller, is just the opposite.
67
Key Questions
a
1. For a person who has gone short on a futures contract, if at the time of
maturity of the contract, the delivery price is less than the spot price,
A) He makes a loss to the extent the delivery price is lesser than the
spot price
B) He makes a profit
C) He cannot make a loss as it is a futures contract
D) He need not physically deliver
A) Energy derivatives
B) Weather derivatives
C) Insurance derivatives
D) None of the above
A) Hedgers
B) Speculators
C) Arbitragers
D) Jobbers
A) Hedgers
B) Speculators
C) Arbitragers
D) Market makers
5. A R&T agent:
68
Key Questions
7. An order given for trade specifying a certain maximum price, beyond which
the order (buy or sell) is not to be executed is a:
A) Day Order
B) Limit Order
C) Stop Loss Order
D) Fill Order
A) Rs. -70
B) Rs.115
C) Rs. -115
D) None of the above
10. A trading member went short on 3000 trading units of cotton futures at
Rs. 6020 per quintal. Subsequently he purchased 2500 units at Rs. 6000
per quintal. What is the outstanding position on which he would be
margined?
Qustion No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Answers A C B C A B B D C D
69
70
GLOBAL
COMMODITY
EXCHANGES
Learning Outcomes ............................................................................. 72
1. Global Commodity Exchanges ......................................................... 72
1.1 Evolution of Global Exchanges ................................................... 72
1.2 Commodity Exchanges Outside India .......................................... 74
1.3 Commodity Exchanges in Developing Economies ........................... 75
1.4 Major Commodities Traded in Global Exchanges ............................ 77
2. Indian Commodity Exchanges ......................................................... 79
2.1 Evolution of Indian Commodity Exchanges ................................... 79
2.2 The Structure of Indian Commodity Exchanges ............................ 80
2.3 Major Commodity Exchanges of India .......................................... 83
2.4 Commodities Traded on Indian Commodity Exchanges ................... 88
2.5 Commodities Traded on the NCDEX ............................................ 88
2.6 Regulatory Framework .............................................................. 89
3. Functions and Roles of an Exchange ................................................ 95
3.1 Functions of an Exchange ........................................................ 95
Price Discovery ..................................................................... 96
Price Dissemination ................................................................ 97
Risk Management ................................................................. 100
Market Surveillance .............................................................. 102
Clearing and Settlement ........................................................ 102
3.2 The Roles of an Exchange ....................................................... 103
Standardisation ................................................................... 103
Guarantor of all Trades ......................................................... 104
Anonymous Auction Platform ................................................. 105
Neutrality ........................................................................... 105
Risk Transfer Platform ........................................................... 105
Provider of Long-Term Price Signals ........................................ 106
Market Linkages and Infrastructure ......................................... 106
Summary ................................................................................. 110
Key Questions ................................................................................. 110
71
Global Commodity Exchanges
Learning Outcomes
Several of the commodity exchanges that are functioning today originated in the
late 19th century. The evolution of the exchanges was fuelled by the needs of
businessmen and farmers. The need was to make the process of buying and selling
commodities easier by bringing the buyers and sellers together.
The development of modern futures trading began in the US in the early 1800s.
This development was tied closely to the development of commerce in Chicago,
which started developing as a grain terminal. At that time, supply and demand
imbalances were normal. There was a glut of commodities at harvest time in some
years and severe shortages during the years of crop failure. Difficulties in
transportation and lack of proper storage facilities aggravated the problem of
imbalance in demand and supply.
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Global Commodity Exchanges
The uncertain market conditions led farmers and merchants to contract for forward
delivery. Some of the first forward contracts were in corn. To reduce the price risk
of storing corn in winter, these merchants went to Chicago in spring and entered
into forward contracts with processors for the delivery of grain. The grain was
received from the farmers in late fall or early winter.
The earliest recorded forward contract was on March 13, 1851. As the grain trade
expanded, a group of 82 merchants gathered over a flour store in Chicago to form
the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). CBOT started the “to arrive” forward contract,
which permitted farmers to lock in the price and deliver the grain much later. The
exchange’s early years saw the dominance of forward contracts. However, certain
drawbacks of forwards such as lack of standardisation and non-fulfilment of
commitments made CBOT take steps in 1865 to formalise grain trading.
By the mid 19th century, futures markets had developed into effective mechanisms
for managing counterparty and price risks. The clearinghouse of the exchange
guaranteed the performance of contracts and started collecting margins to ensure
contract performance. Trading practices were further formalised as contracts started
getting more refined and rules of conduct and procedures for clearing and settlement
were established.
Trading became more efficient with the entry of speculators who provided liquidity
and helped minimise price fluctuations.
New exchanges were formed in the late 19th and early 20th centuries as trading
started in non-agricultural commodities such as precious metals and processed
products, among others. Financial innovations in the post-Bretton Woods period
led to trading in financial futures, the most successful contract in the futures
industry. Financial derivatives became important due to the rise in uncertainty in
the post-1970s period, when US announced an end to the Bretton Woods System
of fixed exchange rates. This led to the introduction of currency derivatives followed
by other innovations including stock index futures.
Commodities’ trading in some developing economies also has a long history. The
Buenos Aires Grain Exchange in Argentina (founded in 1854) is one of the oldest in
the world. In India, futures trading was introduced in 1875. Though developing
countries saw the early use of commodity risk-management instruments, increased
government intervention and policies impeded the development of futures markets.
Failure of government-led price-stabilisation schemes and the adoption of
liberalisation and globalisation policies since the 1980s has led to the resurgence of
commodity markets in these countries.
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Global Commodity Exchanges
In recent years, there has been an onset of a new phase in the evolution of
commodity exchanges, driven by technology. Established traditional exchanges in
the developed and the developing economies are increasingly using Information
Technology (IT) to put in place more user friendly, modern and cost effective
electronic trading platforms.
Commodity markets across the world are experiencing exponential growth driven
by a positive growth rate and a rebounding global economy. A list of global commodity
exchanges is presented in Table 3.1. The oldest among them are the Chicago
Board of Trade (CBOT) and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME).
74
Global Commodity Exchanges
Africa
Africa’s most active and important commodity exchange is the South African Futures
Exchange (SAFEX). Launched in 1987, SAFEX traded only in financial and gold
futures for a long time. However, the creation of the Agricultural Markets Division
(known as the Agricultural Derivatives Division since 2002) led to the introduction
of a range of agricultural futures contracts. Trade was liberalised in these commodities
including white and yellow maize, bread milling wheat and sunflower seeds.
Maize contracts are traded on new exchanges in Zambia and Zimbabwe. With the
gradual liberation of State-controlled agricultural marketing, the Zimbabwe Agricultural
Commodity Exchange (ZIMACE) was established in 1994.
Asia
• China: China’s first commodity exchange was established in 1990 and
by the year 1993, the number of exchanges grew to 40! The main
commodities traded were agricultural staples such as wheat, corn and
soybean. However, in late 1994, more than half the number of exchanges
were closed down or reconverted into wholesale markets. Only 15
restructured exchanges received formal government approval.
• In the beginning of 1999, the China Securities Regulatory Committee
began a nationwide consolidation process of the exchanges. The
75
Global Commodity Exchanges
Latin America
76
Global Commodity Exchanges
77
Global Commodity Exchanges
78
Global Commodity Exchanges
Futures trading in raw jute and other jute goods began at Kolkata with the setting
up of the Calcutta Hessian Exchange Ltd. in 1919. However, organised futures
trading in raw jute started only in 1927 with the establishment of the East Indian
Jute Association Ltd. These two associations merged in 1945 to form the East
India Jute and Hessian Ltd. to conduct organised trading in both raw jute and jute
goods.
Futures trading in bullion began in Mumbai in 1920 and was later introduced at
Rajkot, Jaipur, Jamnagar, Kanpur, Delhi and Kolkata.
The Second World War proved detrimental to futures trading, as the then Union
Government prohibited it. After independence, stock exchanges and futures markets
were brought under the Union List in the Constitution of India. The responsibility
for the regulation of commodity futures markets hence came under the Central
Government.
In December 1952, the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act (FCRA) was enacted.
This Act continues to regulate forward contracts in commodities in the country.
The Forward Markets Commission (FMC) was set up in 1953 and functions under
the Ministry of Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution. In due course,
several exchanges and registered associations were set up to trade in a range of
commodities. However, during the 1960s, most of these exchanges and associations
became inactive because trading in futures and forwards of commodities was
either suspended or totally prohibited.
79
Global Commodity Exchanges
80
Global Commodity Exchanges
There are 24 recognised commodity futures exchanges in India, under the purview
of the Forward Markets Commission (FMC). The country’s commodity futures
exchanges are divided into two types:
• National exchanges
• Regional exchanges
The leading regional exchange is the National Bond of Trade (NBOT), located at
Indore.
FMC
Commodity Exchanges
National Regional
exchanges exchanges
20 Other Regional
NCDEX NMCE MCX NBOT Exchanges
81
Global Commodity Exchanges
The national level exchanges follow the best practices and offer better and more
transparent services in comparison to the regional exchanges. A brief comparison
of the two types of exchanges is presented in Table 3.3.
National Regional
Compulsory online trading Online trading not compulsory
Transparent trading Opaque trading
Exchanges to be de- De-mutualisation not mandatory
mutualised
Exchange recognised on Recognition given for fixed period after which it could be
permanent basis given for re-regulation
Multi commodity exchange Generally, these are single commodity exchanges.
Exchanges have to apply for trading each commodity.
Certain commodities like wheat, rice, and gold are not
permitted
Professionally run Driven by interest groups
Large expanding volumes Low volumes in niche markets
The market share of leading Indian commodity exchanges for FY 2006-07 is presented
in Figure 3.3
M arket Share
3% 2%
32%
NCDEX
MCX
NMCE
NBOT
63%
Table 3.4 shows the turnover on commodity futures markets for the years 2004-
05, 2005-06 and 2006-07.
82
Global Commodity Exchanges
While the market share in the total traded volume of NCDEX is 32% in over-all
terms it is over 80% in respect of agricultural commodities.
Multi Commodity Exchange, Copper, Lead, Nickel, Sponge Iron, Steel Long
cont'd…
84
Global Commodity Exchanges
The Forward Market Commission (FMC) has reported that the total value of
trade that took place across all registered exchanges touched Rs. 21.55 lakh
85
Global Commodity Exchanges
crore during 2005-06 from Rs. 5.71 lakh crore during 2004-05, a growth of 277%.
The total turnover of all the 24 national and regional bourses stood at Rs 36.76
lakh crore during 2006-07.
Let us take a brief look at the three major commodity exchanges in India.
Promoter shareholders:
Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC)
National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development (NABARD)
National Stock Exchange of India Limited (NSE)
Other shareholders
Canara Bank
CRISIL Ltd.
Goldman Sachs
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE)
Indian Farmers Fertiliser Cooperative Limited (IFFCO)
Punjab National Bank (PNB)
NCDEX is the only commodity exchange in the country that is promoted by national-
level institutions. This unique parentage enables the exchange to offer a bouquet
of benefits, which are currently lacking in the commodity markets. NCDEX is a
public limited company incorporated on April 23, 2003 under the Companies Act,
1956. It obtained its Certificate for Commencement of Business on May 9, 2003
and commenced operations on December 15, 2003. A snapshot of the exchange
and volume trends is presented in Table 3.6 and Table 3.7, respectively.
86
Global Commodity Exchanges
Number Remarks
Products 55 40 agro, 4 bullion, 3 energy, 5 metals, 3 polymers
Members 850 Spread across India
Terminals 17,000
Delivery Centers 660 All over the country
Depository 65
Participants
Clearing Banks 12
Weather Stations 223 By associate company NCMSL
The Bombay Stock Exchange has recently taken 26 per cent equity in NMCE. The
exchange commenced trading in November 2002 with 24 commodities. Now, the
exchange trades in several more commodities including cash crops, food grains,
plantations, spices, oil seeds, metals and bullion.
87
Global Commodity Exchanges
Products traded include gold, silver, oil and oil seeds, spices, metals, fibre, pulses,
cereals, energy, plantations and petrochemicals.
About 60 commodities are traded on MCX of which three to four commodities, viz.
gold, energy and base metals alone account for more than 80% of the total trade
volume. As most of the commodities on the MCX are also traded in international
markets, prices on the MCX largely reflect international trends.
The Government of India alone has the power to decide the commodities in which
futures trading can be allowed. Commodities have been defined by the Forward
Contracts (Regulation) Act 1952 as “Every kind of movable property other than
actionable claims, money and securities”. Indices and weather derivatives have so
far not been considered as commodities in the Indian context. Broadly, the
commodities tradable may be classified into eight categories.
NCDEX gives priority to commodities that are most relevant to India, and where
the price discovery process takes place domestically. The products chosen are
based on certain economic criteria as indicated below:
88
Global Commodity Exchanges
• Price volatility
• Share in GDP
• Correlation with global markets
• Share in external trade
• Government intervention
• Warehousing facilities
• Traders distribution
• Geographical spread
• Number of varieties
The NCDEX market share in key agricultural commodities is given in Table 3.8
Fiber
Medium Staple Cotton 100%
Kapas 50%
In India, the spot market and the forward markets are not governed by the same
regulatory system. As we have seen in Module 1, the spot markets are generally
controlled by the State governments through the APMC acts.
The responsibility for regulation of forward and futures contracts rests with the
Central government, as the subject “Stock Exchanges and Futures Markets” is in
the Union List. The Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952 presently regulates
forward contracts in commodities.
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Global Commodity Exchanges
Forward Markets
Spot Market Commission (FMC)
Futures Market/
Commodity Exchange
FCRA, 1952: The Forward Contract (Regulation) Act, 1952, a Central Act, governs
commodity derivatives trading in India. The Act defines various forms of contract.
90
Global Commodity Exchanges
Functions of FMC
Till the recent amendments to the Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act 1952, the
FMC: The Forward Markets Commission is a statutory body set up under Forward
KEYWORDS
Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952 and functions under the administrative control of the
Ministry of Consumer Affairs, Food and Public Distribution. The Commission regulates
forward markets in commodities through the recognised associations, recommends to
the Government the grant/withdrawal of recognition to the associations organising
forward trading in commodities and makes recommendations for the general
improvement of the functioning of forward markets in the country.
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Global Commodity Exchanges
1. The Commission shall, in the performance of its functions, have all the
powers of a civil court under the Code of Civil Procedure, 1908, (5 of
1908) while trying a suit in respect of the following matters:
2. The Commission shall have the power to require any person, subject to
any privilege which maybe claimed by that person, under law for the
time being in force to furnish information on such points or matters as in
the opinion of the commission maybe useful for or relevant to any
matter under the consideration of the commission. Any person so required
shall be deemed to be legally bound to furnish such information within
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Global Commodity Exchanges
the meaning of Section 176 of the Indian Penal code, 1860 (45 of
1860). The commission shall be deemed to be a civil court. When any
offence described in Sections. 175, 178, 179, 180 or Sec. 228 of the
Indian Penal code, 1860 (45 of 1860), is committed in the view or
presence of the commission, the commission may, after recording the
facts constituting the offence and the statement of the accused as
provided for in the Code of Criminal Procedure, 1898 (5 of 1898), forward
the case to a magistrate having jurisdiction to try the same. The
magistrate to whom any such case is forwarded shall proceed to hear
the complaint against the accused as if the case had been forwarded
to him under Section 482 of the said code.
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• Increasing the maximum number of members of FMC from four to nine out of
which three to be whole-time members and a Chairman.
The role of FMC in the commodities markets is similar to the role of SEBI in stock
markets. The major area of difference is that, while the SEBI is required to conduct
research relating to stock exchanges and securities markets and disseminate these
findings, the FMC is prohibited from disseminating research information, which has
implications for market outlook. The FMC is required to collect and publish information
on supply, demand and prices of commodities.
The Finance Ministry has amended two main clauses in the Securities Contracts
(Regulation) Rules, 1957, which would substantially widen participation in commodity
futures market. Through a notification issued in August 2003, the Central
Government has amended rule 8 (1) (f) of the SCRA Rules, 1957 that permits
KEYWORDS
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Global Commodity Exchanges
The need to manage a variety of risks in agriculture led to the evolution and
establishment of commodity exchanges across a large number of countries. The
various risks are mainly associated with the following:
• Production
• Storage
• Processing
• Trading
• Safeguarding against counterparty risks.
Derivative exchanges lower the transaction costs and offer the market participants,
a platform with different risk preferences to exchange risks. Additionally, exchanges
serve as an inexpensive, efficient and transparent mechanism for price discovery
and dissemination of price information.
Participation in these exchanges is not limited to those who are directly involved in
the physical market. In fact, other participants like speculators impart the much-
needed liquidity to these markets.
• Price discovery
• Price dissemination
• Risk management
• Market surveillance
• Clearing and settlement.
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Price Discovery
In a futures contract, the price is predetermined. The buyer and the seller know
how much they should give and expect on a future date, respectively. As contracts
in futures are standardised according to quantity, quality and location, buyers and
sellers can bargain only on price. This price is determined through a process called
price discovery.
Price discovery is the process of arriving at the price at which the buyer buys and
a seller sells a futures contract on a specific expiration date. In an active futures
market, the process of price discovery starts from the moment the market opens
and continues until it closes. The prices are discovered competitively. Futures
prices are therefore considered superior than administered prices or prices that are
determined privately. Additionally, a handful of buyers and sellers cannot control
the market (including prices) as the futures market is characterised by low
transaction costs and frequent trading, encouraged by wider participation.
Phase 1
In this phase, buyers and sellers evaluate the demand and supply conditions to
decide a general price band, around which specific transaction prices fluctuate.
The prices depend on a number of factors like geographic market location, time
horizon of the price assessment to be made, grading accuracy of the commodity,
and information availability among others.
Phase 2
In this phase, buyers and sellers determine the value and price of a specific lot of
the commodity traded. The actual price could be arrived through private negotiation
(forwards), auction or trading. Figure 3.6 illustrates the process of price discovery
and determination at NCDEX for a gold October month futures contract.
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On the left-hand side of the diagram, you can see buyers with their quoted price
and quantity on the exchange. On the right, you can see sellers with their quoted
price and quantity on the exchange. You can also see that a buyer is ready to buy
2 kg of gold at a price of 9,457 Rs/10gms; and a seller is ready to sell 1 kg of gold
at a price of 9,458 Rs/10gms. The trade will take place the moment both the buyer
and seller arrive at a common price for the commodity. Note that last trade took
place at Rs. 9,458. This price must have emerged from the negotiation and
agreement between some buyer and seller on a certain price quote for that particular
time period.
Price Dissemination
In active futures markets, free flow of information is vital. Futures exchanges act
as a focal point for collection and dissemination of statistics on supplies,
transportation, storage, purchases, exports, imports, currency values, interest
rates and other pertinent information. Any significant change in this data is
immediately reflected in the trading pits or on the trading screen. Traders use this
new information and adjust their bids and offers accordingly. Based on such free
flow of information, the market determines the best estimate of current and future
prices. This way, the market gives an accurate picture of the supply and demand
scenario for an underlying commodity.
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Global Commodity Exchanges
The key input underlying derivative markets is reliable spot price information. Spot
prices serve as inputs to generate trading strategies and payoffs on settlement.
However, many spot markets are not transparent and spot prices cannot be regularly
observed. In India, the fragmented state of spot markets further compounds the
problem. Exchanges use polling of price data by using a panel of dealers and
various other sources to get reliable spot prices. Dealers can form cartels and
attempt to manipulate spot prices. The polling process has to get round the
problem of such manipulation as much as possible. The spot price polling process
and polling centres used are given later in Figure 3.6 and Table 3.9.
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Traders
Trading terminals
Mill owners
Statistical Near real-time
Polled prices cleansing of nationwide prices
Refiner raw data
Info-vendor terminals
Commission
agents
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Global Commodity Exchanges
Risk Management
1. Price risk
2. Credit risk
An earlier section has illustrated how traders, hedgers and speculators use various
derivative products to cover potential losses and make gains, if possible, through
the market mechanism.
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4. Price bands: Exchanges impose daily price fluctuation limits called price
bands on all commodities. This is to reduce extreme volatility and prevent
a handful of players from controlling the market.
by NCDEX under a license obtained from CME. The objective of SPAN is to identify the
overall risk in a portfolio of all futures contracts for each member. Its over-riding
objective is to determine the largest loss that a portfolio might reasonably be
expected to suffer from one day to the next based on 99% VaR methodology.
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and the members are covered through two separate funds viz. the
Members Margin Fund and the Investor Protection Fund.
Market Surveillance
Exchanges use online surveillance to monitor prices, volume and volatility of trades
done. Real-time surveillance is required on margining requirements, position
monitoring and exposure limits of members. Off-line surveillance is used for specific
investigations, cases requiring disciplinary action etc. Some exchanges use this
surveillance for margining requirements and position monitoring as well.
A good market monitoring and surveillance system has the following features:
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trades, computing gains or losses of members for the day, collecting losses from
losing members and paying out to members who have made gains.
• Standardisation
• Guarantor of all trades
• Provider of an anonymous auction platform
• Neutrality
• Risk transfer platform
• Provider of long-term price signals
• Market linkages and infrastructure.
Standardisation
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Contracts: Soybean
Trading system NCDEX Trading System
Trading hours Monday to Friday 10:00 am to 5:00 pm
Unit of trading 10 MT
Quotation or Base Value Rs. per Quintal
Tick size Re. 0.05
Delivery unit Table 3.3:
100Standard
Quintal (= Contract
10 MT) Specifications
If the price hits the revised price band (4%) again during the
day, trade will only be allowed within the revised price band.
No trade / order shall be permitted during the day beyond the
revised limit of (+ / -) 4%
Positions limits Member level (all contract months): 60,000 MT or 15% of
market open interest, whichever is higher
Client level (all contract months): 20,000 MT
Quality specification Moisture: 10% Max
Sand/Silica: 2% Max
Damaged: 2% Max
Green Seed: 7% Max
Delivery centre Indore
Futures contract orders are first received by brokers. They could be either members
or non-members of a clearinghouse. Non-members can make transactions only
through members for a fee. Member brokers report the net position - long or short
- to the clearinghouse. The clearinghouse balances its position with an equal
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number of long or short contracts. Therefore, the clearinghouse becomes the legal
counterparty to every contract made, regardless of its origin.
The clearinghouse also plays the role of guarantor of members’ financial obligation
in case they default. It acts as a legal counterparty to buyers and sellers through
the process of novation - minimising the counterparty risk. OTC markets do not
have any clearinghouses, making them more prone to counter party risk.
Exchanges provide an anonymous auction platform, where bids and offers coming
from geographically dispersed locations converge. This creates competitive conditions
for trading. Prices are determined through an open and continuous auction on the
exchange, either through the open outcry system or through the electronic platform.
While each trader knows who the other trader is, customers remain anonymous.
The public yet anonymous auction ensures ready availability of a widely accepted
reference price through price discovery.
Neutrality
Exchanges maintain absolute neutrality toward market movements and price changes.
Their rules apply to both sides of a transaction. The exchange is just a neutral
repository of information on market statistics. The exchange itself does not trade,
but only provides a trading platform for members. It does not take positions in the
market, nor does it advise members on what positions to take. It provides a
mechanism whereby members, on behalf of their clients or themselves, trade in a
safe, efficient and orderly manner.
One of the primary roles an exchange performs is to act as a platform that transfers
risk. The risk is transferred from risk-averse persons to those who feel they are
better at managing risks. This mechanism of risk transfer helps farmers, producers,
manufacturers and purchasers to focus on their core activities of cropping,
production and procurement. The risk is transferred from the hedgers to the
speculators and arbitragers who want to take various kinds of risks in the hope of
making profits.
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Global Commodity Exchanges
Futures prices signal prices that are likely to prevail at particular times in the
future. Farmers can decide on the cropping pattern based on futures prices.
Agricultural financiers can prevent their loans from becoming non-performing assets.
They watch futures prices and sell futures contracts at the right time for the value
of credit exposure. Thus, commodity producers, merchants, stockists, processors,
importers and exporters can protect themselves from adverse price movements.
They watch the price signals in futures contracts and take appropriate actions.
Trading Link
Terrestrial Wireless
NCDEX terminals are connected through VSAT, leased lines and the Internet. The
network helps in the discovery of realistic commodity prices to buyers and sellers
in real time. The exchange provides trading services through leased lines, VSAT
and Internet. Fifty per cent of the trading is through leased lines and Internet and
the rest through VSAT.
Summary
The need to manage a variety of risks in agriculture led to the evolution and
establishment of commodity exchanges across a large number of countries. Derivative
exchanges lower transaction costs and offer a platform to market participants
with different risk preferences to exchange risks. The major functions of an exchange
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Global Commodity Exchanges
Price discovery is the process of arriving at the price at which the buyer buys and
a seller sells a futures contract on a specific expiration date. In active futures
markets, free flow of information is vital. In commodity exchanges, price
dissemination occurs through ticker bands, print, audio and visual media. The key
objective of an exchange is to organise trading in such a way that risk of default
(counter party credit risk) is almost eliminated. To achieve this, exchanges adopt
various measures such as capital adequacy for its members, margin requirements,
marking to market, setting price bands etc.
Exchanges use market surveillance to instil market confidence and increase liquidity
and turnover. Clearing and settlement is another important function for which
clearinghouses are used. A clearinghouse is a system by which exchanges guarantee
faithful compliance of all trade commitments undertaken on the trading floor or
electronically over electronic trading systems.
• standardisation
• guarantor of all trades
• provider of an anonymous auction platform
• neutrality
• risk transfer platform
• provider of long-term price signals
• market linkages
• infrastructure.
The contracts designed by specific exchanges are standardised and cannot be
modified by participants. The clearinghouse becomes the legal counterparty to
every contract made, regardless of its origin. Exchanges provide an anonymous
auction platform, where bids and offers coming from geographically dispersed
locations converge. Exchanges maintain absolute neutrality toward market
movements and price changes. Their rules apply to both sides of a transaction.
One of the primary roles an exchange performs is to act as a platform that transfers
risk. Exchanges act as providers of long-term price signals.
The development of modern futures trading began in the US in the early 1800s.
The earliest recorded forward contract was on March 13, 1851. As the grain trade
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Global Commodity Exchanges
Commodities’ trading in some developing economies also has a long history. The
Buenos Aires Grain Exchange in Argentina (founded in 1854) is one of the oldest in
the world. In India, futures trading was introduced in 1875. Africa’s most active
and important commodity exchange is the South African Futures Exchange (SAFEX).
China’s ûrst commodity exchange was established in 1990, followed soon after by
the setting up of as many as 40 exchanges. Subsequent consolidation has resulted
in three commodity exchanges - Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE), Zheng Zhou
Commodity Exchange and the Shanghai Futures Exchange. The Bursa Malaysia
Derivatives Exchange (MDEX) was established in 1980. The Taiwan Futures Exchange
(TAIFEX) was established in 1998. The Jakarta Futures Exchange (JFX) was launched
in 1999. The merger of two well–established exchanges in Singapore - the Stock
Exchange of Singapore (SES) and Singapore International Monetary Exchange
(SIMEX) led to the formation of the Singapore Exchange (SGX) in 1999. Thailand’s
Agricultural Futures Exchange of Thailand (AFET) was launched much later in
2004. Latin America’s largest commodity exchange is the Brazil based Bolsa de
Mercadorias & Futuros (BM&F). Argentina’s futures market Mercado a Termino de
Buenos Aires (MATba), founded in 1909 ranks 51st among the largest exchanges in
the world. Mercado Mexicano de Derivados (Mexder) – the futures exchange of
Mexico’s commodities market was established recently in 1998.
Futures trading in bullion began in Mumbai in 1920 and later in Rajkot, Jaipur,
Jamnagar, Kanpur, Delhi and Kolkata. In December 1952, the Forward Contracts
(Regulation) Act (FCRA) was enacted that currently regulates forward contracts
in commodities in the country. The Forward Markets Commission (FMC) was set up
in 1953 under the Ministry of Consumer Affairs and Public Distribution. In due
course, several exchanges and registered associations were set up to trade in a
range of commodities. During the 1970s however, most of these became inactive
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Global Commodity Exchanges
as trading in futures and forwards of commodities for which they were registered
was either suspended or totally prohibited.
The Government issued notifications on April 1, 2003 and permitted futures trading
in commodities. The country’s commodity futures exchanges are divided into two
types: National exchanges and Regional exchanges. The three exchanges operating
at the national level are: National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange of India
Ltd. (NCDEX), Mumbai, National Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. (NMCE),
Ahmedabad, and Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), Mumbai. The leading regional
exchange is the National Bond of Trade (NBOT), located at Indore.
The commodities tradable may be classified into vegetable oil seeds, oils and
meals, pulses, spices, metals, energy products, vegetables, fibres etc.
In India, the spot market and the forward markets are not governed by the same
regulatory system. The spot markets are controlled by the State governments and
regional agricultural produce marketing committees (APMC).
The responsibility for regulation of forward and futures contracts rests with the
Central government, as the subject “Stock Exchanges and Futures Markets” is in
the Union List. The Forward Contracts (Regulation) Act, 1952 (FCRA Act) presently
regulates forward contracts in commodities. The Forward Markets Commission (FMC)
regulates commodity futures trading in India. The FCRA Act has been amended
through an Ordinance recently which has given FMC statutory status. Options
trading and trading in other derivatives have also been permitted under the amended
Act.
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Key Questions
a
1. Professional Clearing Members:
A) NCDEX
B) NBOT
C) NMCE
D) MCX
A) 11days
B) 14 days
C) One month
D) No date is specified
4. “Novation”:
A) Consumption asset
B) Investment asset
C) Speculation asset
D) Fixed asset
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Key Questions
A) Market Order
B) Day Order
C) Fill Order
D) Good till Cancelled Order
A) Spot price
B) Cost of carry
C) Time to expiration
D) All the above
ANSWER KEY
Qustion No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Answers A B A B C A C A C D
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