This document discusses the process of generating and screening project ideas. It begins by explaining that most project ideas involve combining existing technologies or offering variants of existing products/services. It then provides tips for stimulating idea flow, such as conducting SWOT analyses and clearly articulating organizational objectives. Next, it outlines factors to consider when monitoring the business environment, such as economic trends, government policies, technology changes, and competition. It also discusses conducting a corporate appraisal to realistically evaluate strengths and weaknesses. Finally, it describes Porter's model of industry forces that influence profit potential and provides sources for scouting project ideas, such as analyzing existing industries.
This document discusses the process of generating and screening project ideas. It begins by explaining that most project ideas involve combining existing technologies or offering variants of existing products/services. It then provides tips for stimulating idea flow, such as conducting SWOT analyses and clearly articulating organizational objectives. Next, it outlines factors to consider when monitoring the business environment, such as economic trends, government policies, technology changes, and competition. It also discusses conducting a corporate appraisal to realistically evaluate strengths and weaknesses. Finally, it describes Porter's model of industry forces that influence profit potential and provides sources for scouting project ideas, such as analyzing existing industries.
This document discusses the process of generating and screening project ideas. It begins by explaining that most project ideas involve combining existing technologies or offering variants of existing products/services. It then provides tips for stimulating idea flow, such as conducting SWOT analyses and clearly articulating organizational objectives. Next, it outlines factors to consider when monitoring the business environment, such as economic trends, government policies, technology changes, and competition. It also discusses conducting a corporate appraisal to realistically evaluate strengths and weaknesses. Finally, it describes Porter's model of industry forces that influence profit potential and provides sources for scouting project ideas, such as analyzing existing industries.
This document discusses the process of generating and screening project ideas. It begins by explaining that most project ideas involve combining existing technologies or offering variants of existing products/services. It then provides tips for stimulating idea flow, such as conducting SWOT analyses and clearly articulating organizational objectives. Next, it outlines factors to consider when monitoring the business environment, such as economic trends, government policies, technology changes, and competition. It also discusses conducting a corporate appraisal to realistically evaluate strengths and weaknesses. Finally, it describes Porter's model of industry forces that influence profit potential and provides sources for scouting project ideas, such as analyzing existing industries.
Q1. Generation of Ideas Barring truly new ideas which are based on significant technological breakthroughs, most of the project ideas involve combining existing fields of technology or offering variants of present products or services. The typical route may be described as follows: Someone with specialized technical knowledge or marketing expertise or some other competence feels that he can offer a product or service which can cater to a presently unmet need or serve a market where demand exceeds supply or effectively compete with similar products or services because of certain favorable features like better quality or lower prices. I. Stimulating the Flow of Ideas: Often firms adopt a somewhat casual and haphazard approach to the generation of project ideas. To stimulate the flow of ideas, the following are helpful: • SWOT Analysis: SWOT is an acronym for strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats. SWOT analysis represents a conscious, deliberate and systematic effort by an organization to identify opportunities that can be profitably exploited by it. Periodic SWOT analysis facilitates the generation of ideas. • Clear articulation of objectives: The operational objectives of an organization may be one or more of the following: • Cost reduction • Productivity improvement • Increase in capacity utilization • Improvement in contribution margin • Expansion into promising fields A clear articulation and prioritization of objectives help channel employees' efforts and stimulate them to think more imaginatively. • Fostering a conducive climate: To tap people's creativity and harness their entrepreneurial urges, a conducive organizational climate must be fostered. Ex: motivating employees through awards, incentives, and promotions to think and work more creatively. Q2. Monitoring The Environment The firm must systematically monitor the environment and assess its competitive abilities. For purposes of monitoring, the business environment may be divided into six broad sectors. The key sectors of the environment are as follows: 1. Economic Factor: i. State of economy ii. Overall rate of growth iii. Growth rate of primary, secondary and tertiary sectors iv. Cyclical fluctuations v. Inflation rate vi. Linkage with the world economy vii. Trade surplus/deficits viii. Balance of payment situation ix. Industrial policy 2. Government Factor i. Government programmes and projects ii. Tax frame work iii. Subsidies, incentives, and concessions iv. Import and export policies v. Financing norms vi. Lending condition of financial institutions and commercial banks 3. Technological Factor: i. Emergence of new technologies ii. Access to technical know-how, foreign as well as indigenous iii. Receptiveness on the part of the industry 4. Socio-demographic Sector: i. Population trends ii. Age shifts in the population iii. Income distribution iv. Educational profile v. Employment of women vi. Attitudes toward consumption and investment 5. Competition Sector: i. Number of firms in the industry and the market share of the top few (four or five) ii. Degree of homogeneity and differentiation among products iii. Entry barriers iv. Comparison with substitutes in terms of quality, price, appeal, and functional performance v. Marketing policies and practices 6. Supplier Sector: i. Availability and cost of raw materials and sub-assemblies ii. Availability and cost of energy iii. Availability and cost of money
Q3. Corporate Appraisal
A realistic appraisal of corporate strengths and weaknesses is essential for identifying profitable investment opportunities. The broad areas of corporate appraisal and the important aspects to be considered under them are as follows: 1. Marketing and Distribution • Market image • Product line • Market share • Distribution share • Customer loyalty • Marketing and distribution costs 2. Production and Operations • Condition and capacity of plant and machinery • Availability of raw materials, sub-assemblies and power • Degree of vertical integration • Locational advantage • Cost structure 3. Research and development (RND) • Research capabilities of the firm • Track record of new product developments • Laboratories and testing facilities • Coordination between research and operations 4. Corporate Resources and Personnel • Corporate image • Clout with governmental and regulatory agencies • Dynamism of top management • Competence and commitment of employees • State of industrial relations 5. Finance and Accounting • Financial leverage and borrowing capacity • Cost of capital • Tax situation • Relations with shareholders and creditors • Accounting and control system • Cash flows and liquidity
Q4. Profit Potential of Industries: Porter Model
Micheal Porter has argued that the profit potential of an industry depends on the combined strength of the following five basic competitive forces: 1. The Threat of New Entrants: New entrants add capacity, inflate costs, push prices down, and reduce profitability. The threat from new entrants is low if the entry barriers confer an advantage on existing firms and deter new entrants. Entry barriers are high when: ➢ The new entrants have to invest substantial resources to enter the industry ➢ Economics of scale are enjoyed by the industry ➢ Existing firms control the distribution channels, benefit from product differentiation in the form of brand image and customer loyalty, and enjoy a kind of proprietary experience curve. ➢ Switching costs- these are essentially one-time costs of switching from the products of one supplier to another- are high. ➢ The government policy limits or even prevents new entrants. 2. Rivalry Between Existing Firms: Firms in an industry compete on the basis of price, quality, promotion, service, warranties, and so on. Generally, a firm's attempts to improve its competitive position provoke retaliatory action from others. If the rivalry between the firms in an industry is strong, competitive moves and countermoves dampen the average profitability of the industry. The intensity of rivalry in an industry tends to be high when: ➢ The number of competitors in the industry is large. ➢ At least a few firms are relatively balanced and capable of engaging in a sustained competitive battle. ➢ The industry growth is sluggish, prodding firms to strive for a higher market share. ➢ The level of fixed cost is high, generating strong pressure for all firms to achieve higher capacity utilization levels. ➢ The industry confronts high industry barriers. 3. Pressure from Substitute Products: In a way, all firms in an industry face competition from industries producing substitute products. Performing the same function as the original product, substitute products may limit the profit potential of the industry by imposing a ceiling on the price that can be charged by the firms in the industry. The threat from substitute products is high when: ➢ The price-performance trade-off offered by the substitute products is attractive ➢ The switching cost for prospective buyers are minimal. ➢ The substitute products are being produced by industries earning superior profits. 4. Bargaining Power of Buyers: Buyers are a competitive force they can bargain for price cuts, ask for superior quality and better service and induce rivalry among competitors. If they are powerful, they can depress the profitability of the supplier industry. The bargaining power of a buyer group is high when: ➢ Its purchases are large relative to the sales of the seller ➢ Its switching costs are low ➢ It poses a strong threat of backwards integration. 5. Bargaining Power of Suppliers: Suppliers, like buyers, can exert a competitive force in an industry as they can raise prices lower quality, and curtail the range of free services that they provide. Powerful suppliers can hurt the profitability of the buyer industry. Suppliers have strong bargaining power when: ➢ Few suppliers dominate and the supplier group is more concentrated than the buyer group. ➢ There are hardly any viable substitutes for the products supplied. ➢ The switching costs for the buyers are high. ➢ Suppliers do present a real threat to forward integration
Q5. Scouting for Project Ideas
Good project ideas the key to success are indefinable. So, a wide variety of sources should be tapped to identify them. i. Analyze the Performance of Existing Industries: It is essential to study the existing industries in terms of their profitability and capacity utilization. This analysis of profitability and break-even levels of various industries indicates promising investment opportunities which are profitable and relatively risk-free. ii. Examine the Inputs and Outputs of Various Industries: An analysis of the inputs required for various industries may throw up project ideas. • Existing opportunities for procuring materials or supplies including transportation costs are to be considered. • Several firms produce internally some components/parts which can be supplied at a lower cost by a single manufacturer. • Similarly, a study of the outputs of the existing industries may reveal opportunities for adding value through further processing of main outputs, by-products, and waste products. iii. Review Imports and Exports: An analysis of import statistics for a period of five to seven years is helpful in understanding the trend of imports of various goods. An examination of statistics is useful in learning about the export possibilities of various products. iv. Study Plan Outlays and Governmental Guidelines: A very valuable source of information to estimate the scope for further investment is the guidelines to industries published annually by the department of industrial development. This publication provides information about the structure and location, production performance, licensed and installed capacity, exports, and future scope of various industries. v. Suggestions of Financial Institutions and Developmental Agencies: In a bid to promote the development of industries in their respective states, state financial corporations, state industrial development corporations, and prepare feasibility reports, and offer suggestions to potential entrepreneurs. The suggestions of these agencies are helpful in identifying promising projects. vi. Investigate Local Materials and Resources: A search for project ideas may begin with an investigation into local resources and skills. Various ways of adding value to locally available materials may be examined. Similarly, the skills of local artisans may suggest products that may be profitably produced and marketed. vii. Analyze Economic and Social Trends: Changing economic conditions and consumer preferences provide new business opportunities. Hence, the demand for time-saving products like prepared food items, ovens, and powered vehicles has been increasing. Another change that can be seen is the increasing desire for leisure and recreational activities. This has caused growth in the market for recreational products and services. viii. Draw Clues from Consumption Abroad: Entrepreneurs willing to take higher risks may identify projects for the manufacture of products or supply of services which are new to the country but extensively used abroad. Automatic vending machines, entertainment parks, pre-fabricated houses, and fast-food restaurants are examples of projects belonging to this category. ix. Explore the Possibility of Reviving Sick Units: A significant proportion of sick units can be nursed back to health by sound management, infusion of further capital, and provision of complementary inputs. x. Identify Unfulfilled Psychological Needs: For well-established, multi- brand product groups like bathing soaps, detergents, cosmetics, and toothpaste, the question to be asked is not whether there is an opportunity to manufacture something to satisfy an actual physical need but whether there are certain psychological needs of consumers which are presently unfulfilled. To find out whether such an opportunity exists, the technique of spectrum analysis is useful. xi. Attend Trade Fairs: National and international trade fairs provide an excellent opportunity to get to know about new products and developments. xii. Stimulating Creativity for Generating New Product Ideas: New product ideas may be generated by thinking along the following lines: modification, rearrangement, reversal, magnification, reduction, substitution, adaptation, and combination.
Q6. Preliminary Screening
By using the suggestions made in the preceding section, it is possible to develop a long list of project ideas. Some kind of preliminary screening is required to eliminate ideas which prima facie are not promising. For this purpose, the following aspects may be considered for preliminary screening. i. Compatibility With the Promoter: The idea must be compatible with the interest, personality, and resources of the entrepreneur. A real opportunity has three characteristics: i) It fits the personality of the entrepreneur - it squares with his abilities, training and proclivities, ii) it is accessible to him, iii) It offers him the prospect of rapid growth and high return on the invested capital. ii. Consistency With Governmental Priorities: The project idea must be feasible to the national goals and governmental regulatory framework. The question to be raised in this context are: ➢ Is this consistent with national goals and priorities? ➢ Are there any environmental effects contrary to governmental regulations? ➢ Can the foreign exchange requirements of the project be easily accommodated? ➢ Will there be any difficulty in obtaining the license for the project? iii. Availability Of Inputs: The resources and inputs required for the project must be reasonably assured. To assess this, the following questions need to be answered: ➢ Are the capital requirements of the project within manageable limits? ➢ Can the technical know-how required for the project be obtained? ➢ Are the raw materials required for the project available domestically at a reasonable cost? If the raw materials have to be imported, or will there be a problem? It may be noted that Indian business has been traditionally faced with i) shortages of certain inputs like power, foreign exchange, and important raw materials, and ii) fluctuating supplies of agricultural raw materials like cotton, jute and oil seeds. Of course, in recent times the situation has improved in some ways i) power generation has increased significantly, ii) foreign exchange is now available more easily, and iii) supplies of certain basic industrial raw materials have been augmented substantially. iv. Adequacy Of the Market: The size of the present market must offer the prospect of adequate sales volume. Further, there should be potential for growth and a reasonable return on investment. To judge the adequacy of the market the following factors have to be examined. • Total present domestic market • Competitors and their market shares • Export markets • Sales and distribution system • Projected increase in consumption • Barriers to the entry of new units • Economic, social, and demographic trends favorable to increased consumption v. Reasonableness Of Cost: The cost structure of the proposed project must enable it to realize an acceptable profit with a competitive price. The following should be examined in this regard. • Costs of material inputs • Labor costs • Factory overheads • General administration expenses • Selling and distribution costs • Service costs • Economies of scale vi. Acceptability Of Risk Level: The desirability of a project is critically dependent on the risk characterizing it and the following factors should be considered: • Vulnerability to business cycles • Technological changes • Competition from substitutes • Competition from imports • Governmental control over price and distribution