Atharva Belhekar - Greenply Industries
Atharva Belhekar - Greenply Industries
Atharva Belhekar - Greenply Industries
Greenply generates 51% revenue from Own Manufacturing, 39% from Trading
and 9% from manufacturing partners. The company is developing a healthy mix
of manufacturing and trading portfolios to yield better ROE.
Brief View
The company has posted growth of 28% in top-line during Q2FY24 22 23 23 23 23 23
and expects to grow at a CAGR of 22%. The consolidated EBITDA D ec- Fe b- Apr- Jun- Aug- Oct-
Margin stands at 8.4% in Q2FY24, which has improved from the
previous quarter, however reduced by 200 bps on YoY basis. The Absolute Returns
plywood EBITDA margins for Q2 FY24 stood at 7.9%, which are down 1 Year : 24.16%
by 260 bps on a YoY basis.
Prices for Raw materials such as Timber, Resins have seen significant
2 Years : 64.75%
increase in the previous quarters, due to which price hikes have been 5 Years : 47.9%
taken by the company. The full impact of the same may be visible in
H2 of FY24. Considering above, company expects margin
improvements in H2 FY24. Shareholding Pattern (as of Sep 2023)
The stock currently trades at a P/E of 47.0x. EPS of the company has Promotors : 52.1%
decreased to 7.4 in FY23 from 7.7 in FY22 (consensus basis) the price
of stock is expected to reach xxx. FII : 2.1%
DII : 33.1%
Key Highlights and Outlook
Public : 12.7%
• Top-line growth of 18% on YoY basis was achieved for FY23 and growth of
28% on QoQ basis in Q2FY24. Company crossed Rs. 600cr in consolidated
Financial Summary
revenue, which is highest ever for Greenply. The consolidated sales for FY23 is
expected to approximately grow at a CAGR of 22% over FY22 and CAGR of In INR Crs FY23 FY24E FY25E
13% over FY2020.
• The recent expansion of plywood capacity at Sandila is now operating at 60% Net Revenue 1,845.6 2,319.4 2,627.0
capacity in Q4FY23. The plywood business revenue growth was 9.7% on a YoY, YoY Growth % 18.0% 25.7% 13.3%
majorly driven by 11% volume growth. However, the EBITDA margins has
EBITDA 148.4 247.1 302.4
dropped by 260 bps on a YoY basis to 7.9%, which includes a one-time
expense relating to entry tax of Rs. 3.3cr, which is non-recurring in nature. EBITDA Margin (%) 8.0% 10.6% 11.5%
The reason for subdued performance of the plywood business is due to PAT 91.4 110.7 149.2
escalation in raw material prices, especially Timber costs. The company YoY Growth % -3.00% 21.1% 34.8%
expects the prices of Timber to stabilize in H2 of FY24. ROE 16.0% 15.9% 18.3%
• The MDF business achieved cash positive performance in its first full quarter
EPS (In INR) 7.4 9.0 12.1
of operation, with EBITDA margin at 15.5% in Q2FY24. The company expects
to achieve 1 Lakh cbm sales volume for FY24. In a full year of operations of EV/EBITDA 15.99x 9.40x 7.20x
the MDF unit, the company expects to target 700 cr of sales or around 22%
Prepared by: Atharva Belhekar
Margin.
Guided by: Parth Verma (The Valuation School)
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
10.0% Inflation started going down and went below 5% in April 2023. But
15.20%
7.6%
6.80%
6.20%
6.3%
6.00%
6.1%
4.0%
In a nutshell, India's economy is doing well despite challenges, with
5.4%
4.00%
4.60%
4.60%
4.1%
4.4%
2.0% positive signs like growth, recognition from the IMF, and more
Q3F Y22 Q4F Y22 Q1F Y23 Q2F Y23 Q3F Y23 Q4F Y23 Q1F Y24 Q2F Y24 income for people. Looking ahead, the government's investments
and positive trends are expected to continue, but there are still some
Actual Projected challenges.
Source: IMF World Bank, RBI, Investing.com Source: IMF WEO, Company Analysis
The Asia Pacific real estate market is experiencing a dynamic growth 98.9
trajectory driven by rapid urbanization in emerging economies across
India, China, and Southeast Asian countries, creating an
unprecedented demand for residential and commercial properties. 41.3
50.8
Res identi al R eal Es tate Commercial Real Es tate Agri cu ltural Land
Equi ties Debt Securiti es Gold
Source: IMARC, Statista, CBRE, Source: savillis.com
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
15.5%
Trends such as co-living spaces, senior living communities, and
mixed-use developments are gaining popularity, reflecting changing
2030E
lifestyle preferences and demographics.
Sector- FII Inflow Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Total
Construction 1591 437 2224 607 -344 2988 2167 750 -2097 -2750 -898 4675
Building Materials -261 106 1423 452 1353 1851 467 386 -1293 397 797 5678
Realty -325 -71 104 -216 838 750 445 588 763 -496 1112 3492
Source: NSDL
If we analyse the FII capital inflow data for the CY23, we can see a
Exhibit 9: FII Inflow in Realty Sector steady capital inflow of INR 3492 crores in the Realty sector. The
1112 International Investors are eyeing opportunities in both residential
and commercial projects, contributing to the sectors growth.
838
750 763 The Real estate inventory stood at a record high in CY23, which
seems a good opportunity for its proxy industries. Realty inventory
588 has increased by 28 percent in the first half of the current financial
445 year, propelling the combined value of unsold homes of leading listed
companies to a record high of more than Rs 1 lakh crore. This amount
is equivalent to 33 months of sales. So, we can see this as an
opportunity and not a concern.
104
So, from above we can analyse that, in 2023, the real estate sector
has experienced significant growth, resulting in a high inventory of
-71 houses available for possession. This can act as tailwind and present
-216
an opportunity for industries involved in building materials, such as
-325
plywood. Companies like Greenply and Century Ply, which are leaders
in the market, are likely to see increased demand as people begin
-496 moving into their new homes. This growth is attributed to the surge
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov in housing construction, indicating a positive trend for companies in
the plywood segment.
Source: Analysis, NSDL Source: IBEF, Knight Frank Report
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
The global wood-based panels market size reached US$ 165.2 Billion
in 2022. Global Wood-panel industry is expected to reach US$ 236.8
Billion by 2028, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 6% during 2023- 2022A 2023P 2024P 2025P 2026P 2027P 2028P
2028.
Exhibit 11: Wood panel Global Share
Wood-based panels have diverse applications across various end-user 13.30%
industries. In construction, they are used for structural elements, 26.70%
flooring, roofing, and interior panelling. In furniture manufacturing,
they are the primary material for cabinets, shelves, and tabletops.
The automotive industry utilizes them in vehicle interiors. They are
also utilized in packaging, shipbuilding, retail fixtures, and other
1.40%
sectors requiring cost-effective, versatile, and sustainable panelling 1.50% 32.50%
solutions. 3.80%
1.90%
Growing investments in domestic and commercial development 6.80%
activities across major areas are likely to fuel demand for wood-based 12%
panels. Other growth drivers are Inexpensive commodity costs,
India China US Indonesia Australia
growing consumer spending. Increase in demand for commercial real
Philippines Germany Canada Others
estate.
Source: IMARC, Grandviewresearch.com Source: IMARC, Grandviewresearch.com
Exhibit 12: Indian Wood Panel Market Size (INR Billion) Indian Wood Panel Industry
753
India’s wood panel industry includes Plywood, MDF, particle board
664
and Laminates. This segment is estimated to be worth INR 40,000 cr
585 in FY23 and is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 13.5% from 2023-
515 2028.
454
400
Based on products, plywood accounts for the largest share in India of
54% to Rs. 250bn followed by laminates of 20% to Rs. 90 bn, MDF
11% to Rs. 50bn, Veneer 4% to Rs. 20 bn. India’s wood panel industry
is high fragmented and unorganised given the low entry to barriers,
30% is organised and 70% is unorganised. Recently, the industry is
moving towards organised sector with growth coming from segments
like MDF, Laminates and due to strict GST regulations.
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Replacement demand continues to be a dominant growth driver for
Source: IBEF, Mordor Intelligence report the industry. The key growth factors are Growing population,
development of furniture cluster, growth of real estate sector, Rapid
urbanisation, Growth in rural India, Shifting consumer preference
towards comfortable and aesthetic furniture, growth of premium
Exhibit 13: Sub categories of Wood Panel
furniture, Make in India initiatives.
The softwood segment is dominating the market with the largest Exhibit 15: Plywood Regional Share
revenue share of 38.6%. Soft plywood is constructed from softwoods
such as pine, redwood, cedar, and others. They are appropriate for
outside framing, roof sheathing, and subflooring. Other than
Softwood, the MR grade segment is witnessing significant CAGR
growth. Mr Grade is an internal grade plywood.
Asia Pacific is dominating the market with more than 47.2% market 47.2%
share. Rapid growth in the economy rates, expanding manufacturing 28.4%
sectors, inexpensive labour, and a global movement of goods and
manufacturing capacity from established countries to developing
nations in the region are driving the expansion of the Asia Pacific
plywood market.
Source: Spherical Insights, Market Research Future Source: Spherical Insights, Market Research Future
Exhibit 16: Indian Plywood Industry Size (INR Billion) Indian Plywood Industry
308
288 Plywood is a panel product manufactured by assembling thin layers
270 of wood veneers bonded together using strong adhesives. The
253
222
237 primary raw material required are timber and chemical resins. This
208 Industry is estimated at Rs. 208 bn in FY22 and is expected to reach
Rs. 306.5 bn by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 6.74%.
The Global MDF market size was valued at USD 39.7 Billion in the
year 2022 and is expected to reach USD 72.4 Billion by 2032
expanding at a CAGR of 6.9%. The global MDF consumption is
expected to grow from 113.09 million cubic meters in 2023 to 136.34 2023A 2024F 2025F 2026F 2027A 2028F
million cubic meters by 2028, at a CAGR of 3.81% during the forecast
period (2023-2028).
Exhibit 19: Global MDF Application Share (%)
The Asia-Pacific region dominated the MDF global market, holding a
share of more than 60%. China accounted for almost 40% of the the 6%
global share. Japanese construction industry is expected to be 5%
5% Furniture
blooming as the country will host the World Expo in 2025 in Osaka,
Japan, which may drive growth for Global MDF. Laminate Flooring
14%
51% Construction
Key companies profiled in the medium density fibreboard (MDF)
market report include Arauco and Constitution Pulp Inc., Century Packaging
Plyboards (India) Limited), Dare Panel Group Co., Ltd., Egger 19% Molding
Holzwerkstoffe GmbH, Greenpanel Industries Limited, Kastamonu
Other
Entegre, Korosten MDF manufacture, Kronospan Limited.
Source: alliedmarketresearch, Mordor Intelligence Source: alliedmarketresearch, Mordor Intelligence
Exhibit 20: Indian MDF Market Size (billion Rs) Indian MDF Industry
Global India India 2030E The growth drivers for MDF are Growth in real estate, increasing
demand for ready-made furniture, Reduction in furniture cycle time,
MDF Plywood Growth of online home décor platforms.
Source: Niveshaay, Annual reports FY23 Source: Niveshaay, Annual reports FY23, CARE Ratings
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Doors Flush doors are tailor-made to Water Resistant Commercial GreenClub- Lifetime warranty on manufacturing
suit the varying needs of the Dimensionally stable Residential defect.
consumers, be it for residential Borer proof and termite resistant Ecotec- tough and 5 yr warranty
or commercial purpose. These Negligible Emission
doors have provision for lock on IS:2202 (Part-1)
both sides and are available in
three varieties
Decorative Greenply veneers are made of Borer Proof & Termite Resistant Bedroom Royal Crown Regal- Made from burma teak,
Veeners exotic species specially Negligible emissions Living Room Deco Real-
handpicked from across the Exotic Natural Veneer Dining Room Leatherette- luxury veeners
globe such as America, Brazil, Preservative Treated Hotel Interiors Burma Teak Horizontal- horizintal grains.
Europe, and Africa adding the Conforms to IS:1328 Office Spaces Lacandon- Mix n match of medium tan veeners
inherent beauty of timber to Gym Symphony- A duet of perspectives
your furniture. Engineered Veeners- Blaze, light
each flitch of veneer has a Engineered Veeners- Median, Light and shade
distinct pattern, is durable, and Engineered Veeners- Twilight,
is also E1 compliant.
PVC Products Waterproof, fire retardant and Termite Proof Modular Kitchen Green Ndure- asthetic appeal and durability.
economical, Green Ndure Anti-Bacterial & Anti-Fungal Facades Green Ndure Rokoko Doors- Stylish finish
promises to make your living Waterproof Wall Panels Green Ndure Commando Doors-
space wholesome & appealing. Fire Retardant Wardrobe
Its ease of use & installation Lead-free makes it non-toxic and Doors
makes it a suitable choice for family-friendly Office Furniture
interior décor.
Speciality Designed for a variety of Dimensionally Stable Building Structures Shuttering Plywood- used in various construction-
Plywood requirements, Green Compreg Conforms to IS:4990 Rail Coach Furnishings specific applications for building structures, materials
serves several applications Balanced Construction Automobile Body Parts for rail coach furnishing, automobile body & platforms,
ranging from the automobiles Emission Level E1 General Engineering materials meant for general engineering, chemical
to construction-specific uses for Borer Proof & Termite Resistant
Chemical plants plants, power generation system etc.
building structures. Power Generation
System
MDF Greenply MDF is rendered with Autonomous process control interior purposes Interior MDF- perfect for a wide range of applications
cutting edge PROD-IQ NEO Zero defects Handicraft Items/Toys in dry interiors. distinctive woody to brownish colour.
TECH* which uses Artificial Excellent Sturdiness-to-lightness Cabinets, Wall Exterior MDF- perfect solution for highly humid
Intelligence to analyze ratio. Cladding, Wall environments where dimensional stability is non-
microfibers to deliver each Panelling, False negotiable. pink-to-reddish hue ensures easy
board with utmost precision. Ceiling, Wardrobes identification.
Machining, Carving, HDMR 710- Designed to be used in high humidity
Packaging, Laminate situations. grade can simply be identified by Green
substrates, Tabletops colour.
etc. Pre- Laminated MDF- high-quality pre-laminated MDF
boards. The high melamine-coated décor paper makes
these boards highly abrasive and resistant to stains,
cracks, and cigarettes.
Source: Company Website, Annual Report
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Procurement:
• The company has nurtured over over 12 million seedlings and transform more than 14,000 acres of land into thriving forests. The
entirety of company’s raw material base, from timber to fuel wood, is sourced from these agroforestry initiatives, helps in
safeguarding the natural resources and contributing to their vision of sustainable manufacturing.
• The manufacturing facilities are strategically located in close proximity to company’s plantations. This reduces the logistics delivery
time, further increasing manufacturing efficiency and cost-effectiveness. This integration ensures a seamless flow of raw materials,
which further enhances the operational capabilities of the company.
• Greenply distribute high-quality clonal plants to farmers to improve raw material productivity. A team of experts provides regular
advice to farmers, recommending land specific clones that maximise yield. The company also promotes intercropping, a practice that
optimises land use and increases crop yield.
Distribution
• Greenply has a pan-India distribution network with 2300 dealers spread across over 1100 cities and towns across 27 states servicing
through 56 branches prudently between urban and new age construction hubs. Greenply is also tapping into rural areas to increase its
presence.
• In addition to company’s strategic network design, they leverage advanced technology platforms to further enhance operational
efficiency. Company implemented QR code across its product portfolio. The QR code will enable to ensure end-to-end tracking of
every Greenply product through the entire supply chain- from manufacturing to the end consumer; to facilitate a more streamlined
logistic system, with time-bound and secure delivery processes.
Next, the mat goes through a pre-compressor to get it ready for the
big squeeze. It enters a continuous press, which is like a giant hot
press that squeezes and heats up the mat to make the fibres stick
together well. After this, the pressed MDF panel is cooled down, and
any extra bits are trimmed off with saws to get the right shape and
size. Source: SMIFS Research
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Below are the details and experience of the Management and Independent Directors:
Sr no. Name Designation Profiling Comments Political
Nexus
Found?
1 Mr Rajesh Chairman cum Mr. Rajesh Mittal, the Managing Director of Greenply Mr. Rajesh Mittal seems well-suited to lead NO
Mittal M.D Industries Limited (GIL), is popularly known as the Greenply Industries Limited. With over 30
plywood manufacturing baron of India. Since 1984, years of experience and a focus on
he has been working towards spreading the expanding the company's presence
company’s wings in different pockets of India and nationally and internationally, he brings a
abroad including Myanmar and Gabon, Africa. He wealth of knowledge to his role as
received an undergraduate degree from Dibrugarh Managing Director. His educational
University. BCom and has 30 years of experience. background and proven track record
suggest he is qualified to navigate the
complexities of the plywood manufacturing
industry.
2 Mr Sanidhya Joint MD Mr. Sanidhya is a BCom graduate with 5 years of Mr. Sanidhya Mittal shows promise in his NO
Mittal experience. He is focused on strengthening branding. focus on branding for Greenply Industries
Sanidhya Mittal’s journey with Greenply Industries Limited. His decade-long tenure and diverse
Limited started in the year 2012. He is also on the board roles indicate a well-rounded
board of Dholka Plywood Industries Pvt Ltd., RS engagement in the industry.
Homcon Ltd., Mastermind Shoppers Pvt Ltd. and
Brijbhumi Merchants Pvt Ltd.
3 Mr Manoj Joint MD & With a strong educational background as a Chartered Mr Manoj, with a robust background brings NO
Tulsian CEO Accountant, Company Secretary, and Cost & Works stability and expertise to Greenply
Accountant, Manoj brings stability and expertise to Industries Ltd. He appears well-suited to
the company. He is also on the board of Kurukshetra handle the financial aspects of the business,
Expressway Pvt Ltd., Brij Bhoomi Expressway Pvt Ltd., adding valuable experience to the
Vindhyachal Expressway Pvt Ltd. and Wainganga company's leadership.
Expressway Pvt Ltd. and Joint Managing Director &
Chief Executive Officer at Greenply Industries Ltd. In
his past career he occupied the position of Chief
Financial Officer of V.I.P. Industries Ltd., Chief
Financial Officer for Gabriel India Ltd. and Chief
Financial Officer & Executive Director at JMC Projects
(India) Ltd.
4 Mr Sushil Independent Mr. Pal received a graduate degree and an Mr Pal's educational background and board NO
Kumar Pal Director undergraduate degree from the University of positions suggest a level of expertise.
Calcutta. Susil Kumar Pal is on the board of Greenply
Industries Ltd., Metsil Exports Pvt Ltd. and Hasimara
Industries Ltd.
5 Mr Vinod Independent Vinod Kumar Kothari is Member of The Institute of Vinod Kumar Kothari has extensive board NO
Kumar Director Chartered Accountants of India and Member of positions in 14 companies which reflects a
Kothari Institute of Company Secretaries of India and on the wealth of expertise. At 62 years old, his
board of 14 other companies. Age is 62 years experience and dual qualifications make
him well-equipped to navigate complex
business matters.
6 Ms Sonali Independent Sonali Bhagwati Dalal is President for Designplus Sonali Bhagwati Dalal's profile is highly NO
Bhagwati Director Architecture Pvt Ltd. She is also on the board of commendable. She brings a wealth of
Dalal Greenply Industries Ltd., Spazzio Projects & Interiors experience and leadership to the table. Her
Pvt Ltd. and Fade to Black Design & Media Pvt Ltd. membership in prestigious organizations
and Member of Conservation Society of Delhi and reflects a commitment to the industry and
Member of Delhi Urban Arts Commission. Ms. Dalal community. With an impressive 30-year
received an undergraduate degree from Centre for career she appears exceptionally well-
Environmental Planning & Technology University. In suited to handle business challenges.
her career spanning 30 years, she has been
acknowledged amongst the top 20 architects of India.
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
9 Mr. CFO Nitin is having domestic as well as significant Mr Nitin's impressive qualifications NO
Nitinkumar international experience of about eighteen years position him as an asset for handling
Dagdulal across diverse industries with organisations such as complex financial matters at Greenply. His
Kalan Varroc Group, Credit Suisse, RPG Group, Rabobank, track record suggests a professional well-
Kalpataru Group, and Tata Motors. Prior to joining suited to contribute to the company's
Greenply, Nitin was associated with Varroc, where he growth and success.
held the position of Head of Group Treasury, FP&A
and Investor Relations. In this last assignment, Nitin
has played a key role in transactions such as Initial
Public Offering (IPO) in 2018, Qualified Institutional
Placement (QIP) last year, various local and
international fund raise transactions and M&As. Nitin
is a Chartered Accountant with an all-India merit rank,
a CFA charter holder from The CFA Institute, USA and
a qualified Company Secretary.
10 Mr. Kaushal CS & VP- Legal Kaushal Kumar Agarwal is the Sr. VP of Legal, Mr Kaushal is likely well-suited to navigate NO
Kumar Compliance Officer & Company Sec. at Greenply the complexities of legal and regulatory
Agarwal Industries. frameworks, contributing to the overall
success and integrity of Greenply
Industries.
Commentary
1. The leadership team at Greenply come from different areas of expertise. This is a team where each person brings something unique to
the table, like wide range of expertise and backgrounds from manufacturing and finance to architecture and legal affairs. This mix of
skills and experiences will help them to take important decisions.
2. The team led by Mr. Rajesh Mittal demonstrates a forward-looking strategy. They’re not just focusing on today but also on tomorrow
and beyond. They are growing the company in different places and making smart decisions about money to ensure the company keeps
getting better.
3. Mr. Manoj being the Joint Managing Director and CEO as well as the Chairman of the Risk Management committee, plays a crucial part
in ensuring that Greenply is well-prepared to handle potential challenges.
4. People like Mr. Manoj and Mr. Nitin are experts in handling the company’s financials wisely. They’re like financial wizards, making sure
the company’s piggy bank stays healthy. They have been successful in smart money moves, like when the company went public in
2018.
5. Ms. Sonali Bhagwat Dalal, the design expert is adding a creative touch to Greenply’s projects. Her creative ideas and guidance make
sure Greenply’s work stands out.
Exhibit 25: Quarterly Promotor Holding Exhibit 26: Quarterly FII vs DII Holding
52.35% 36%
52.30% 31%
52.25% 26%
52.20% 21%
52.15% 16%
52.10% 11%
52.05% 6%
52.00% 1%
20 r-21 - 21 - 21 - 21 r-22 - 22 - 22 - 22 r-23 - 23 - 23 20 r-21 - 21 - 21 - 21 r-22 - 22 - 22 - 22 r-23 - 23 - 23
c- n p c n p c n p c- n p c n p c n p
De Ma Ju Se De Ma Ju Se De Ma Ju Se De Ma Ju Se De Ma Ju Se De Ma Ju Se
Source: Screener.in Source: Screener.in
FIIs DIIs
Quarterly shareholding pattern of the company
Particluar Dec-20 Mar-21 Jun-21 Sep-21 Dec-21 Mar-22 Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23
Promoters 52.20% 52.20% 52.22% 52.25% 52.25% 52.31% 52.29% 52.32% 52.32% 52.32% 52.14% 52.12%
FIIs 1.54% 1.99% 1.77% 2.68% 3.55% 3.58% 3.40% 3.18% 2.32% 2.16% 2.15% 2.07%
DIIs 26.27% 28.16% 31.51% 29.77% 31.25% 31.98% 33.41% 32.91% 32.94% 32.87% 32.41% 32.39%
Public 19.99% 17.65% 14.50% 15.30% 12.95% 12.14% 10.90% 11.57% 12.42% 12.65% 13.29% 13.41%
Exhibit 27: Shareholding Pattern (2017-2023) Exhibit 28: Top Shareholders of the company
Rajesh Mittal and Sanidhya Mittal on behalf of Mittal Business holdings trust 4.76%
51.03% 51.03% 51.03% 52.01% 52.20% 52.31% 52.32% HSBC Small Cap Fund 2.31%
Canara Robeco Mutual Fund A/C Canara Robeco Small Cap Fund 1.67%
Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
SBI Contra Fund 1.57%
Promoters FIIs DIIs Public
Source: Annual Report
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Basis our research we found that company’s remuneration policy for its executive and non- executive directors is higher than its peers.
During FY23 the company incurred managerial remuneration of INR 15.9 Crores as against INR 13.53 crores in FY22. There was a 28% hike in
Joint MD & CEO Mr. Manoj Tulsian’s remuneration which stood at INR 6.7 crores. The reason for the hike in Managing Director’s
remuneration is due to increase in perquisites because of exercise of 1,43,000 stock options under the Greenply ESOP plan 2020. The details
are as under:
Name Designation Ratio of remuneration to median Remuneration Remuneration Growth in Sales Growth Net Profit Growth
remuneration of employees FY23 FY22 remuneration YoY (%) YoY (%)
Mr. Rajesh Mittal Chairman cum M.D 285.63x 6.05 5.96 1.5% 18.3% -4.21%
Mr. Sanidhya Mittal Joint M.D 111.40x 3.15 2.37 32.9% 18.3% -4.21%
Mr. Manoj Tulsian Joint M.D and CEO 320.95x 6.7 5.2 28.8% 18.3% -4.21%
Total 717.98x 15.9 13.53 63.3% 18.3% -4.21%
Median ratio of Managing Director’s remuneration with median employee salary is 320.95x, whereas the median of the same for the peers
stood at 153.47x. The remuneration of M.D as a percentage of Profit Before Tax (PBT) for FY23 is 6.04%, whereas the median of the same for
the peers is 3.78%. However, there is a decrease in median remuneration of employees in FY23 by 1.99%. In FY23, the total managerial
remuneration of INR 15.9 cr exceeds the prescribed 11% limit of the Net Profit (INR 10 cr) as per the Companies Act, 2013. However, the Board
of Directors has approved it. The number of employees on the rolls of the company are 2596. If we compare with our direct competitor,
"Century Plyboards”, Greenply’s M.D has a very high remuneration as a % of PBT. The details are as under:
Comparison of Peer’s Remuneration:
Company Name Name of Executive Designation Ratio to median Remuneration PBT Remuneration.
remuneration of employees (in Crores) (in Crores) ( % of PBT)
Greenply Industries Ltd Mr Manoj Tulsian Joint MD and CEO 320.95x 6.70 111 6.04%
Greenpanel Industries Mr Shobhan Mittal MD and CEO 230.49x 9.18 351 2.61%
Century Plyboards limited Mr Prem Kumar Bhajanka MD 160.93x 4.86 512 0.95%
Greenlam Industries Mr Saurabh Mittal MD and CEO 186.24x 8.19 164 5.00%
Sheela Foam Limited Mr Rahul Gautam MD 146.00x 4.25 273 1.56%
Kajaria Ceramics Mr Ashok Kajaria Chairman & MD 92.00x 5.67 462 1.23%
Duroply Mr Sudeep Chitlangia MD 13.71x 0.72 8 9.05%
We have observed variation in revenue growth of the company and growth in managerial remuneration. The revenue grew at 9% CAGR over
the last 3 years, whereas the managerial remuneration grew at 44% CAGR over the last 3 years. The details are as under:
Particulars Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Revenue Growth 0.57% -17.96% 34.16% 18.11%
Net Profit Growth -41.25% 29.79% 55.74% -4.21%
Growth in Managerial Remuneration -6.29% 47.39% 71.27% 17.52%
71.27%
55.74%
47.39%
29.79% 34.16%
18.11% 17.52%
0.57%
-6.29% -4.21%
-17.96%
-41.25%
The efficiency of the Board can be analyzed by their contribution in various important meetings held in FY23. The details are as under:
No. of Board Meetings
Name of Directors Category of Diretorship Held Attended Attendance at Last AGM
Mr. Rajesh Mittal Promotor & Exec. 6 6 Yes
Mr. Manoj Tulsian Non- Promotor & Exec. 6 5 Yes
Mr. Sanidhya Mittal Promotor & Exec. 6 6 Yes
Mr. Susil Kumar Pal Non-Exec. 6 6 Yes
Mr. Vinod Kumar Kothari Non-Exec. 6 4 Yes
Ms. Sonali Bhagwati Dalal Non-Exec. 6 5 Yes
Mr. Uppendra Nath Challu Non-Exec. 6 6 Yes
Ms. Vinita Bajoria Non-Exec. 6 6 Yes
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Particulars (INR Crores) FY23Q2 FY23Q3 FY23Q4 FY24Q1 FY24Q2 FY24Q3E FY24Q4E
Net Revenue 494.75 428.19 469.16 476.14 607.73 577.37 604.76
Change (QoQ %) -13.5% 9.6% 1.5% 27.6% -5.0% 4.7%
Total Expenditure 445.86 395.63 421.59 446.32 556.45 534.73 561.918
EBITDA 48.89 32.55 47.57 29.82 51.28 42.64 42.84
Change (QoQ %) -33.4% 46.1% -37.3% 72.0% -16.9% 0.5%
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.9% 7.6% 10.1% 6.3% 8.4% 7.4% 7.1%
Depreciation 8.88 9.64 10.32 13.32 16.17 17.14 18.97
Finance cost 7.33 6.21 7.6 12.97 17.75 18.65 21.412
Other Income 1.43 3.07 9.29 1.4 3.65 4.60 4.876
Profit Before Tax 34.1 29.4 38.95 4.93 21.01 11.44 7.334
Tax 9.15 -8.83 11.25 3.78 6.97 7.20 5.49
Effective tax rate (%) 26.82% -30.04% 28.89% 76.71% 33.17% 62.95% 74.89%
Net Profit 23.59 36.04 11.07 0.82 13.91 4.24 1.84
Change (QoQ %)
52.8% -69.3% -92.6% 1596.3% -69.53% -56.6%
Net Profit Margins (%) 4.8% 8.4% 2.4% 0.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3%
EPS 1.92 2.93 0.9 0.07 1.13 0.06 0.386
Yearly Snapshot
Particulars (INR Crores) FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24E FY25E
Net Revenue 1,416.50 1,422.50 1,173.70 1,572.70 1,861.20 2294.60 2620.80
Change (QoQ %)
0.4% -17.5% 34.0% 18.3% 23.3% 14.2%
Operating Expenses 1269.2 1264.8 1050.3 1412.5 1,676.70 2035.30 2299.4
EBITDA 143.00 155.60 115.10 150.30 168.90 259.30 321.4
Change (QoQ %)
8.8% -26.0% 30.6% 12.4% 53.5% 23.9%
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.1% 10.9% 9.8% 9.6% 9.1% 11.3% 12.3%
Depreciation 22.4 25.7 23.1 25.8 36.5 63.40 69.2
Finance cost 18.6 20.8 16.6 11.9 26.2 53.10 40.9
Other Income 4.4 2 8.4 9.9 15.6 6.70 7.2
Profit Before Tax 106.2 111.2 83.7 122.4 121.7 149.50 218.5
Tax 30.16 24.58 21.01 29.62 21.05 34.50 50.90
Effective tax rate (%) 28.40% 22.10% 25.10% 24.20% 17.30% 23.08% 23.30%
Net Profit 79.70 47.3 60.9 94.7 91.4 115.00 167.60
Change (QoQ %)
-40.7% 28.8% 55.5% -3.5% 25.82% 45.7%
Net Profit Margins (%) 5.6% 3.3% 5.2% 6.0% 4.9% 5.0% 6.4%
EPS 6.5 3.9 5 7.7 7.4 9.0 14.0
revenue of 600 cr, 27% growth in Q2FY24. On YoY basis company 1,861.20 20.0%
2,000.00 1,422.50
1,572.70
achieved 18% revenue growth. The company achieved cash positive 1,173.70 0.0%
performance from the MDF segment. Examining the Plywood 1,000.00
segment, it experienced a growth rate of 9.7%. However, this falls -20.0%
short of the double-digit growth initially indicated by the 0.00 -40.0%
management. The company intends to increase the Top-line margin Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24E Mar-25E
by use of Operating leverage and Price hikes. Revenue Revenue Gr owth
Peer Analysis Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Greenply revenue growth 19.85% 8.30% -29.32% 5.04% 1.34% -45.32% 54.82% 0.57% -17.96% 34.16% 18.11%
Peers Median revenue Growth (%) 11.90% 14.04% 17.80% 3.34% 10.79% 6.31% 9.04% -5.01% -8.07% 33.23% 20.48%
Peers average revenue growth (%) 1.12% 9.12% 15.95% 1.11% 10.07% 7.65% 8.76% -4.20% -7.20% 26.95% 32.29%
plant failed to produce the required products. Further, the company -60.00%
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3
expects the company to grow at a CAGR of 22%. ar
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Inventory
Exhibit 32: Greenply vs Peers Inventory days
The company’s Growth in revenue and Growth in Inventory are
positively correlated, while a marginal decline in Inventory days can 157
be witnessed in FY23 (99 days in FY21 to 93 days in FY23). The 147
Average inventory as % of Revenue for FY23 stood at 13.7%, which is
below the company median of 15%. This indicates, the inventory is 125
125
equivalent to 13.7% of its total revenue. By comparing Greenply's
114
Inventory Days of 93 to the median Inventory Days of 114 among its
peers, it can be concluded that Greenply maintains a more efficient 99
inventory management approach by keeping a lower inventory level. 93 93
The decrease in inventory levels can be attributed to the industry's 81
77
increased focus on discipline, and the company's adoption of a new
working style in recent years. As a result, the company experiences
no working capital pressure. Furthermore, the broader industry is
witnessing a trend where more players are emphasizing effective
working capital management. Even with an increase in raw material Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
costs, the company has sustained its Inventory as a percentage of
COGS at 25.6%, aligning closely with the company's median of 26%. Greenply Inventory days Peers Inventory days
Source: Company Analysis
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Cash Flows
Exhibit 36: Greenply v/s Industry Median
The company’s Cash Flow from Operations (CFO) for the FY23 is Rs 62
250% cr, which has declined by 32% from FY22. Greenply's CFO/EBITDA
ratio stands at 41.9%, notably lower when compared with the
198.3%
200% 176.6% industry median CFO/EBITDA ratio of 71.4%. This represents a decline
from the previous year and exhibits considerable volatility over the
150% years. The persistently low CFO/EBITDA ratio indicates that the
company faces challenges in consistently converting its earnings into
100% cash flows. We can see two spikes in the ratio, where it went above
100%. In March 2021, the ratio reached 198% because the trade
receivables declined significantly by 45%. This led to a highly effective
50%
conversion of earnings into cash flow for that particular year. And
Why did the Receivables drop in FY21? It was due to company’s
0%
introduction of new set of policies.
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3
-1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -2 A favourable CFO/EBITDA ratio for B2B companies is around 60%,
ar ar ar ar ar ar ar ar ar ar ar ar
M M M M M M M M M M M M whereas B2C companies find a 70% ratio favourable. Additionally, a
higher CFO/EBITDA ratio signifies a robust Return on Invested Capital
Greenply CFO/EBITDA Industry Median CFO/EBITDA
(ROIC), which is not in case of Greenply.
Source: Company Analysis
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
ROE- Dupont Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Net Profit 117.6 124.2 128.3 123.2 118.2 74.7 47.7 63.3 94.7 91.4
Revenue 2225.2 1568.5 1657.3 1671.7 1715.4 1416.5 1422.5 1173.7 1572.7 1861.2
Net Profit Margin (A) 5.28% 7.92% 7.74% 7.37% 6.89% 5.27% 3.35% 5.39% 6.02% 4.91% 5.71% 6.02%
Revenue 2225.2 1568.5 1657.3 1671.7 1715.4 1416.5 1422.5 1173.7 1572.7 1861.2
Average Total Asset 1696.05 1484.67 1174.69 1387.34 1928.51 1679.83 1014.45 930.23 1030.13 1414.91
Asset turnover Ratio
(B) 1.31 1.06 1.41 1.20 0.89 0.84 1.40 1.26 1.53 1.32 1.29 1.22
Average Total Asset 1696.05 1484.67 1174.685 1387.335 1928.505 1679.83 1014.45 930.225 1030.13 1414.91
Average Shareholder
Equity 528.86 535.03 550.32 693.49 825.08 606.36 356.57 407.08 480.42 570.88
Equity Multiplier (C) 3.21 2.77 2.13 2.00 2.34 2.77 2.85 2.29 2.14 2.48 2.41 2.50
ROE (A*B*C) 22.24% 23.21% 23.31% 17.77% 14.33% 12.32% 13.38% 15.55% 19.71% 16.01% 16.89% 17.78%
Peer Analysis Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Greenply 22.24% 23.21% 23.31% 17.77% 14.33% 12.32% 13.38% 15.55% 19.71% 16.01%
Century PlyBoards 21.50% 38.56% 32.14% 26.99% 19.51% 15.28% 11.47% 15.07% 20.10% 20.06%
DuroPly -28.57% 0.00% -42.86% -4.08% -6.41% 1.30% -5.56% -2.86% -9.52% 5.62%
Rushil Décor 4.05% -1.35% 8.75% 20.00% 18.13% 6.80% 10.09% 5.30% 8.01% 21.49%
Kajaria Ceramics 25.99% 24.97% 24.28% 21.62% 16.95% 14.54% 14.82% 16.53% 18.05% 14.87%
Peers Median 12.78% 12.49% 16.52% 20.81% 17.54% 10.67% 10.78% 10.19% 13.03% 17.47%
Peers Average 5.74% 15.55% 5.58% 16.13% 12.05% 9.48% 7.71% 8.51% 9.16% 15.51%
Exhibit 36: ROE Dupont Analysis The Return on Equity (ROE) of the company has decreased from
19.71% in FY22 to 16.01% in FY23. The ROE is also below the
Company’s median ROE of 16.9%.
The likely cause for the decrease in Return on Equity (ROE) is the
decline in net profit margins. The company's net profit has decreased
due to various factors, including rising raw material costs, particularly
in Timber, ongoing challenges in the Gabon business stemming from
political issues and demand-side challenges, reduced margins in the
Plywood segment due to a slowdown in demand for premium
products, challenges in the company's trading platform, and capacity
5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 enhancement issues at the Bareilly plant.
r-1 ar-1 ar-1 ar-1 ar-1 ar-2 ar-2 ar-2 ar-2
Ma M M M M M M M M
Further reason for decrease in ROE can be due to increase in the
NP Margin ROE Asset T/O Equity Multiplier Equity Multiplier, it has increased to 2.48x in FY23 from 2.14X in FY22.
The increase in leverage is attributed to a 260% rise in long-term
Exhibit 37: Greenply vs Peers ROE borrowings, escalating from Rs. 143 crore in FY22 to Rs. 515 crore in
FY23. The company secured additional debt to fund the
25% commissioning of the MDF facility in Gujarat, perform maintenance
capital expenditures for other facilities, and establish a Joint Venture
20% for the furniture hardware business in Sandila.
As per the management guidance, the company is within its overall
15%
peak debt level of 750 cr and will continue to maintain the same for
H2 FY24. The repayment schedule of the following debt will take
10%
place in FY24.
5%
Comparing Greenply's FY23 ROE of 16.01% to the median ROE of its
0% peers at 17.47%, it indicates that Greenply has a slightly lower Return
Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 on Equity. However, in a broader context, it aligns consistently with
the industry median.
Greenply Peers Median
Source: Company Analysis
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
ROCE- Dupont Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
EBIT 209 162 189.5 194.2 180.9 120.5 129.9 92 124.4 132.4
Revenue 2225.2 1568.5 1657.3 1671.7 1715.4 1416.5 1422.5 1173.7 1572.7 1861.2
EBIT Margin (A) 9.39% 10.33% 11.43% 11.62% 10.55% 8.51% 9.13% 7.84% 7.91% 7.11% 9.26% 9.38%
Revenue 2225.2 1568.5 1657.3 1671.7 1715.4 1416.5 1422.5 1173.7 1572.7 1861.2
Avg Capital Employed 1245.86 1075.025 851.32 1051.485 1404.08 1087.36 621.065 648.075 736.42 1073.38
Capital Turnover Ratio
(B) 1.79 1.46 1.95 1.59 1.22 1.30 2.29 1.81 2.14 1.73 1.76 1.73
ROCE (A*B) 16.78% 15.07% 22.26% 18.47% 12.88% 11.08% 20.92% 14.20% 16.89% 12.33% 15.92% 16.09%
Peer Analysis Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Greenply 16.78% 15.07% 22.26% 18.47% 12.88% 11.08% 20.92% 14.20% 16.89% 12.33%
Century PlyBoards 15.00% 25.00% 26.00% 23.00% 18.00% 17.00% 14.00% 20.00% 30.00% 27.00%
DuroPly -5.00% 8.00% -2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 7.00% 3.00% -2.00% 3.00% 11.00%
Rushil Décor 11.00% 12.00% 16.00% 22.00% 21.00% 10.00% 6.00% 5.00% 8.00% 17.00%
Kajaria Ceramics 32.00% 34.00% 34.00% 31.00% 25.00% 23.00% 18.00% 21.00% 24.00% 20.00%
Peers Median 13.00% 18.50% 21.00% 22.50% 19.50% 13.50% 10.00% 12.50% 16.00% 18.50%
Peers Average 13.25% 19.75% 18.50% 19.50% 16.50% 14.25% 10.25% 11.00% 16.25% 18.75%
Exhibit 38: ROCE Dupont Analysis The Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) is a critical financial metric
that reflects the efficiency with which a company utilizes its capital to
generate profits. In the case of Greenply, the ROCE experienced a
notable decrease from a peak of 20.92% in FY20 to 12.33% in FY23.
This decline is substantial, especially when considering that the
current ROCE falls below the company's own median ROCE of 15.92%.
The reason for drop in ROCE is due to drop in EBIT margins (EBIT
margin fell from 7.9% to 7.11%), mainly due to increase in raw
material prices. To solve this issue, Greenply plans to increase the
product prices and pass the price hikes onto the customers. The
company further intends to pursue volume growth through
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r-2
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r-2
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r-2
3 increasing capital expenditure. The increase in capex has resulted in
Ma Ma Ma Ma Ma Ma Ma Ma Ma increase in average capital employed, without an immediate rise in
ROCE EBIT Margin Capital T/O profits, which contributed to the decline in ROCE. It may take some
time for the new investments to start generating returns. In the short
term, increased capex may lead to a decline in ROCE, but if the
investments contribute to increased profitability and efficiency over
Exhibit 39: Greenply vs Peers ROCE time, ROCE may improve.
24% The ROCE has been declining since FY20 and the company is
22% increasing its sales by using additional capital, but still experiencing
20% decline in margins, which may indicate a potential quality issue in the
18% use of capital.
16%
14% Comparing Greenply's ROCE of 12.33% to the industry peers' median
12% of 18.5% suggests that Greenply's capital utilization is less efficient
than that of its peers. Lower ROCE compared to peers may indicate
10%
areas for improvement in terms of operational efficiency.
8%
4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3
-1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -2 Despite these challenges, the management remains optimistic. They
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margins to rebound to double digits in the second half of FY24.
Greenply Peers Median
Source: Company Analysis
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
ROA- Dupont Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Net Profit 117.6 124.2 128.3 123.2 118.2 74.7 47.7 63.3 94.7 91.4
Revenue 2225.2 1568.5 1657.3 1671.7 1715.4 1416.5 1422.5 1173.7 1572.7 1861.2
Net Profit Margin
(A) 5.28% 7.92% 7.74% 7.37% 6.89% 5.27% 3.35% 5.39% 6.02% 4.91% 5.71% 6.02%
Revenue 2225.2 1568.5 1657.3 1671.7 1715.4 1416.5 1422.5 1173.7 1572.7 1861.2
Average Total Assets 1696.05 1484.67 1174.685 1387.335 1928.505 1679.83 1014.45 930.225 1030.13 1414.91
Asset Turnover ratio
(B) 1.31 1.06 1.41 1.20 0.89 0.84 1.40 1.26 1.53 1.32 1.29 1.22
ROA (A* B) 6.93% 8.37% 10.92% 8.88% 6.13% 4.45% 4.70% 6.80% 9.19% 6.46% 6.87% 7.28%
Peer Analysis Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Greenply 6.93% 8.37% 10.92% 8.88% 6.13% 4.45% 4.70% 6.80% 9.19% 6.46%
Century PlyBoards 6.15% 14.06% 14.47% 12.18% 9.63% 8.23% 7.53% 10.55% 14.04% 14.14%
DuroPly -4.92% 0.00% -5.22% -1.21% -2.51% 0.49% -1.87% -0.96% -2.93% 2.22%
Rushil Décor 1.01% -0.38% 2.65% 8.45% 8.22% 2.42% 2.93% 1.73% 2.59% 7.82%
Kajaria Ceramics 11.14% 11.87% 12.30% 12.45% 10.70% 9.65% 10.42% 12.24% 12.83% 10.40%
Peers Median 3.58% 5.94% 7.48% 10.32% 8.93% 5.33% 5.23% 6.14% 7.71% 9.11%
Peers Average 3.35% 6.39% 6.05% 7.97% 6.51% 5.20% 4.75% 5.89% 6.63% 8.65%
Exhibit 40: ROA Dupont Analysis The Return on Asset (ROA) ratio is a critical indicator of a company's
efficiency in generating profits in relation to its total assets. In
Greenply's financial performance, there has been a noticeable
decline in ROA from 9.19% in FY22 to 6.46% in FY23. A Dupont
analysis reveals that this reduction is primarily due to a decline in the
Net Profit Margin, reflecting that the company is earning less profit
for every unit of revenue generated. This indicates decrease in pricing
power of the company.
2.00%
0.00%
4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3
-1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 -2 -2 -2 -2
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ROIC- Dupont Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
NOPAT 160.721 142.56 143.262 133.6096 124.4592 84.7115 101.322 69.552 94.2952 109.4948
Revenue 2225.2 1568.5 1657.3 1671.7 1715.4 1416.5 1422.5 1173.7 1572.7 1861.2
NOPAT Margin (A) 7.22% 9.09% 8.64% 7.99% 7.26% 5.98% 7.12% 5.93% 6.00% 5.88% 7.17% 7.11%
Revenue 2225.2 1568.5 1657.3 1671.7 1715.4 1416.5 1422.5 1173.7 1572.7 1861.2
Invested Capital 1318.84 810.19 849.32 1140.27 1556.14 564.67 646.53 511.66 775.06 1308.64
Capital Turnover
ratio (B) 1.69 1.94 1.95 1.47 1.10 2.51 2.20 2.29 2.03 1.42 1.94 1.86
ROIC (A) * (B) 12.19% 17.60% 16.87% 11.72% 8.00% 15.00% 15.67% 13.59% 12.17% 8.37% 12.89% 13.12%
Peer Analysis Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Greenply 12.19% 17.60% 16.87% 11.72% 8.00% 15.00% 15.67% 13.59% 12.17% 8.37%
Century PlyBoards 15.00% 22.00% 22.00% 17.00% 14.00% 12.00% 11.00% 15.00% 21.00% 20.00%
DuroPly -4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 5.00% 2.00% 6.00% 7.00% 2.00% 5.00% 7.00%
Rushil Décor 5.00% -2.00% 7.00% 15.00% 14.00% 5.00% 6.00% 4.00% 5.00% 12.00%
Kajaria Ceramics 22.00% 21.00% 21.00% 21.00% 17.00% 17.00% 16.00% 20.00% 21.00% 17.00%
Peers Median 10.00% 11.50% 14.00% 16.00% 14.00% 9.00% 9.00% 9.50% 13.00% 14.50%
Peers Average 9.50% 10.75% 12.50% 14.50% 11.75% 10.00% 10.00% 10.25% 13.00% 14.00%
Exhibit 42: ROIC Dupont Analysis The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is an Important metric that
assesses a company's ability to generate returns from the capital
invested in its operations. In the case of Greenply, there has been a
decrease in ROIC from 12.17% in FY22 to 8.37% in FY23. A closer
examination using Dupont analysis indicates that the likely reason for
this decline is a reduction in the Net Operating Profit After Tax
(NOPAT) Margin.
Exhibit 46: EBITDA Growth at 4% CAGR Exhibit 47: Peers EBITDA Comparison– Lowest growth
12.0% 650%
170.00 10.9%
9.6% 10.0% 550%
160.00 10.1%
9.8% 9.1%
150.00 8.0% 450%
140.00
6.0% 350%
130.00
4.0% 250%
120.00
2.0% 150%
110.00
143.00 155.60 115.10 150.30 168.90
100.00 0.0% 50%
Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Exhibit 48: Net Capex – Capacity Utilization (In Crores) Exhibit 49: FCFF – Deteriorating (In Crores)
210.32
412.37
13.89 2.08
229.29
84.11 -137.29
55.92
17.68
-350.37
Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Exhibit 50: Net worth & Net Debt, Net Debt / Equity Exhibit 51: Expenditure as % of Sales
400 60%
57%
300 47% 40% 60% 59% 59% 60% 61%
200
20%
100
335 250 378 279 436 203 538 309 644 696
0 0%
Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Networth Debt Debt/Equity Material Cos t Manu factur ing C ost Employee Cos t Other Cos t
Source: Company Analysis
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Peers Median Ratios Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Sales Growth 14.05% 17.87% 3.31% 10.81% 6.31% 9.06% -5.01% -8.06% 33.24% 20.47%
Expenses Growth 14.15% 15.17% 3.92% 8.27% 11.15% 13.87% -0.63% -8.55% 37.75% 22.65%
EBITDA Growth 16.19% 23.69% 30.42% 7.99% 6.07% -2.76% -8.20% 21.33% 18.83% -3.10%
EBIT Growth 18.72% 34.55% 32.11% 10.84% -10.14% -1.32% -11.23% 26.77% 23.64% -6.39%
Net Profit Growth 8.62% 53.57% 27.57% 13.53% -9.84% 0.00% 10.92% 23.71% 23.95% -7.31%
Gross Margin 38.5% 41.0% 43.0% 49.5% 48.5% 48.0% 47.5% 51.0% 48.5% 44.0%
Operating Margin 10.0% 12.0% 16.0% 18.0% 17.0% 16.0% 13.0% 14.0% 16.0% 17.0%
Net Margin 4.7% 8.5% 9.8% 10.0% 8.2% 6.5% 9.1% 9.9% 10.3% 7.9%
Commentary
• The topline ratios of the company such as Revenue growth, Gross margin, EBIT growth are maintained above the median of the company.
Greenply has positive and healthy EBITDA and EBIT growth if compared with its peers. However, the company lags in terms of Sales growth,
Operating Margin and Net Margin by comparing to its peers.
• In FY23, the bottom-line ratios such as Pat, NP Margin, OP Margin have declined below the company median, due to subdued conditions,
but are performing better than its peers.
Efficiency Ratios Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Median Mean
Debtor Turnover 6.2x 5.0x 5.6x 5.3x 3.1x 4.8x 4.3x 4.2x 8.2x 8.9x 5.1x 5.6x
Inventory Days 126 80 58 69 151 77 81 99 93 93 87 93
Debtor Days 59 73 65 69 117 76 85 86 44 41 71 72
Inventory Turnover 2.9x 4.6x 6.3x 5.3x 2.4x 4.7x 4.5x 3.7x 3.9x 3.9x 4.2x 4.2x
Total Asset Turnover 61.3% 69.9% 70.1% 88.8% 249.4% 76.7% 67.2% 78.2% 73.9% 91.1% 75.3% 92.7%
Sales/Cap Employed 1.67 1.92 1.87 1.37 1.08 2.42 2.17 1.84 1.89 1.42 2 2
Peers Median Ratios Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Debtor Turnover 8.5x 8.7x 8.7x 8.9x 8.1x 8.7x 9.5x 7.6x 9.2x 9.8x
Inventory Days 120 143 153 146 146 147 157 125 125 114
Debtor Days 45 44 42 42 49 43 39 49 40 38
Inventory Turnover 3.1x 2.6x 2.4x 2.5x 2.5x 2.5x 2.3x 2.9x 2.9x 3.2x
Total Asset Turnover 1.53 1.60 1.49 1.25 1.22 1.26 1.22 1.14 1.23 1.33
Sales/Cap Employed 2.51 2.67 2.34 1.91 1.72 1.78 1.65 1.44 1.60 1.67
Commentary
• In FY23, Debtors turnover of Greenply is above the company median as well as it is in line with its Peers median Debtors turnover ratio,
reflecting efficient collection tactics. Greenply’s Inventory turnover ratio is also performing better than the industry median of the same.
• However, when examining the Sales/Capital Employed ratio, Greenply demonstrates a lower ratio in comparison to the median ratio of its
peers. This discrepancy indicates a potential area for improvement in capital utilization and sales generation efficiency.
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Peers Median Ratios Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Debt/Equity 1.44 1.30 0.93 0.73 0.51 0.37 0.20 0.11 0.25 0.23
Debt/Assets 0.39 0.36 0.35 0.30 0.24 0.20 0.13 0.07 0.15 0.14
Debt/EBITDA 2.50 2.34 1.23 1.78 0.65 1.09 0.71 0.38 0.74 0.40
Debt/Capital 0.58 0.57 0.48 0.42 0.33 0.25 0.16 0.10 0.19 0.19
CFO/Debt 0.15 0.30 0.64 0.55 0.80 1.05 1.38 2.45 0.84 1.05
Debt Burden -0.02 0.065 0.18 0.05 0.13 0.39 0.83 1.805 0.07 0.28
Interest Coverage 1.8x 3.6x 4.0x 6.9x 9.3x 9.0x 10.7x 20.5x 18.6x 25.0x
Operating Leverage 2.84 2.11 1.14 5.81 1.60 -4.95 -0.16 3.30 -0.59
Financial Leverage 3.71 3.13 2.76 2.50 2.18 1.92 1.67 1.55 1.61 1.59
Commentary
• Greenply's elevated leverage ratios (Debt/Equity, Debt/EBITDA, Debt/Capital, Financial Leverage) surpass its peers, suggesting higher
financial risk. Additionally, its Interest Coverage ratio is significantly below the industry median, indicating potential challenges in meeting
debt obligations. The company can cover its interest expenses only for 4 yr. appx with its earnings as compared to Industry median of 25 yr.
Valuation Ratios Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Median Mean
Price/Earnings 6.2 15.4 14.1 22.8 28.3 20.1 20.4 34.1 24.29 18.68 20.25 20.43
Price/Book 1.24 3.93 2.93 3.69 3.58 4.80 2.54 4.78 4.29 2.64 3.64 3.44
Price/CashFlow 32.00 85.00 78.00 110.00 226.00 133.00 135.00 74.00 204 224 121.50 130.10
Price/Sales 0.33 1.22 1.09 1.71 3.44 1.14 0.68 1.79 1.48 0.92 1.18 1.38
Enterprise Value 725.00 1911.00 1800.00 2852.00 3140.00 1608.00 959.00 2082.00 2,308 1,699 1855.50 1908.40
EV/EBITDA 2.67 9.06 7.41 11.55 49.06 11.01 6.15 18.11 15.39 11.48 11.25 14.19
Peers Median Ratios Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23
Price/Earnings 5.0 17.1 11.1 33.5 41.6 43.7 19.7 38.0 44.6 37.6
Price/Book 1.21 8.82 4.44 8.05 7.63 5.40 2.64 6.48 8.54 5.77
Price/CashFlow 40.00 185.50 28.50 317.00 399.00 321.00 291.00 129.50 331.00 412.50
Price/Sales 0.25 1.50 1.22 3.25 3.46 2.51 1.48 3.59 4.61 3.13
Enterprise Value 317.50 2565.00 1892.50 5678.50 7342.00 5403.00 3912.00 8248.50 15417.50 10079.00
EV/EBITDA 1.98 9.21 12.97 23.40 20.83 18.04 10.63 23.43 27.02 23.12
Commentary
• Greenply's P/E (Price-to-Earnings) and P/B (Price-to-Book) ratios are lower than the industry median. This suggests that the market values
Greenply's earnings and book value at a relatively lower level compared to the industry average, which may possibly indicate that
investors expect either lower growth prospects or higher risk associated with Greenply in comparison to the broader industry.
• The company has lower Price/Cash Flows, Price/Sales, and EV/EBITDA ratios, indicating a lower valuation compared to industry
benchmarks. This suggests that the investors value the company's cash flows, sales, and Enterprise value by EBITDA at a lower level,
reflecting a cautious assessment of its financial performance or growth potential. Such lower valuation means that the investors find
Greenply a bit riskier to invest than other companies in the industry.
• However, on the other side, it could present an opportunity for value investors who believe that the market is undervaluing Greenply's
sales and cash flows, possibly due to temporary factors or market sentiment.
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
ROIIC 70.8% -1.4% -1.3% 10.5% -1.8% -1.2% 4.4% -33.0% -11.6% 11.9% -0.6%
Cumulative Net Income 57 177 294.6 418.8 547.1 670.3 788.5 863.2 910.9 974.2 1068.9 1160.3
Incremental Capital Deployed 89 176.84 -508.65 39.13 290.95 415.87 -991.47 81.86 -134.87 263.4 533.58
Reinvestment Rate 50.3% 60.0% -121.5% 7.2% 43.4% 52.7% -114.9% 9.0% -13.8% 24.6% 46.0%
Intrinsic Compounding rate 35.6% -0.8% 1.6% 0.7% -0.8% -0.6% -5.0% -3.0% 1.6% 2.9% -0.3%
ROIIC Profiling - Mar-12 to Mar- 23 • Over the 12-year period , the company achieved a ROIIC of 13.46%, which
suggests a reasonable efficiency in generating returns on capital reinvested.
Cumulative Net Income 1160.3 However, reinvestment rate of 22% raises concern as low level of capital is
Incremental Capital deployed 255.64 being efficiently reinvested in the company.
• The Intrinsic compounding rate of 3% suggest that company’s ability to
Reinvestment Rate 22.03% grow its intrinsic value is restricted. It can be due to lower ROIIC and lower
reinvestment rate. This says that Greenply may face challenges in deploying
capital to generate high returns.
ROIIC 13.46% • The 10yr stock price CAGR of 9.6% suggest reasonable long-term
appreciation, while 5yr CAGR of -11.4% indicate concerns about recent
Intrinsic Compounding rate 3.0% performance.
• The low Reinvestment rate may indicate limited growth opportunities,
capital constraints, or challenges in identifying projects with good returns.
Stock Price (10 Year CAGR) 9.26% The lower ROIIC than ROCE suggest that the company may face difficulties
Stock Price (5 Year CAGR) -11.40% in generating higher returns on the capital it reinvests.
Forensic Analysis
Key Findings:
The company's practice of providing incentives to dealers through various schemes is a key audit matter, as highlighted by the auditors. Due
to various schemes and a large variety of contractual terms across dealers, the computation of these incentives involves judgement. The
amount of such incentives is also significant.
The financial statements of four subsidiaries, including one step-down subsidiary, representing significant total assets, revenues, and net
cash outflows, have not been audited by the company's auditors. The financial statements of these subsidiaries and JV reflect total assets
(before consolidation adjustments) of Rs. 54,723.48 lakhs as of 31 March 2023, total revenues (before consolidation adjustments) of Rs.
32,598.07 lakhs and net cash outflows (before consolidation adjustments) amounting to Rs. 2,982.16 lakhs for the year ended on that date.
Additionally, the consolidated financial statements include the Group's share of net loss in two joint ventures, which also remains unaudited.
This lack of audit scrutiny raises transparency concerns regarding the financial health and performance of these entities.
The company has reported a total managerial remuneration of INR 15.9 crores in FY23, exceeding the prescribed 11% limit of the net profit
as per Section 197 of the Companies Act, 2013. Further as per the act, the remuneration payable to anyone managing director or wholetime
director or manager shall not exceed 5% of the net profits of the company and if there are more than one such director remuneration shall
not exceed 10% of the net profits to all such directors and manager taken together.
Notably, the remuneration of Mr. Rajesh Mittal and Mr. Manoj Tulsian, totalling Rs. 12.75 crores, surpasses the allowable limit of Rs. 9.1
crores (10% of net profit).
Amount in crores
Comparable Company
Valuation
Greenply 238.5 12.37 2950.25 725.15 3687.50 1981.22 141.95 61.84 1.86x 25.98x 47.71x
Greenpanel Industry 419.4 12.26 5141.84 -195.56 5015.13 1646.49 303.13 184.72 3.05x 16.54x 27.84x
Century Plyboard 798.4 22.22 17740.45 205.24 18176.85 3737.03 569.98 381.2 4.86x 31.89x 46.54x
Rushil Decor 386 2.65 1022.90 302.44 1326.79 821.66 112.58 46.54 1.61x 11.79x 21.98x
Archidply Industry 103.26 1.99 205.49 110.93 316.10 429.64 23.49 10.07 0.74x 13.46x 20.41x
Greenlam Industry 540.25 12.76 6893.59 933.12 7813.94 2156.19 268.77 145.9 3.62x 29.07x 47.25x
Kajaria Ceramics 1297.75 15.93 20673.16 -225.36 20319.37 4481.8 657.63 404.28 4.53x 30.90x 51.14x
Implied Enterprise
Value 6034.70 3687.50 2152.79
Net Debt 725.15 725.15 725.15
Implied Market Value 5309.55 2962.35 2877.94
Shares Outstanding 12.37 12.37 12.37
Commentary
• To establish a benchmark, the median values of these ratios from the peer group was used. This approach will provide a balanced
comparison.
• The EV/Revenue ratio indicates that Greenply is undervalued relative to its peers. The implied value per share derived from this category
suggests that the market is not fully rewarding the company's revenue generation potential.
• The analysis using the EV/EBITDA ratio also depicts that Greenply is undervalued compared to its industry peers. The implied value per
share suggests that the investors may not be fully recognizing the company's EBITDA generation capabilities.
• On the other hand, the P/E ratio implies that Greenply is overvalued when compared to the median of its peers. The higher P/E ratio
suggests that the investors have priced Greenply at higher levels as compared to its peers in case of earnings growth.
Greenply Industries Ltd. appears to present an attractive opportunity, considering its undervaluation in terms of revenue and EBITDA
metrics. However, the overvaluation indicated by the P/E ratio suggests a cautious approach.
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Dec-22 Jan-23 Feb-23 Mar-23 Apr-23 May-23 Jun-23 Jul-23 Aug-23 Sep-23 Oct-23 Nov-23
1 Greenply 236 2917 -8.9 55.0 757 2.5 7.2% 11.6% 14.1% 0.42
2 Century Plyboards 794 17641 2.4 46.3 483 25.4 15.3% 27.1% 22.8% 0.75
3 Greenpanel 382 4683 0.1 25.4 182 12.1 18.4% 27.2% 23.6% 0.81
4 Rushil Décor 375 995 1.1 21.4 308 3.1 13.7% 16.9% 23.9% 0.77
5 Kajaria Ceramics 1353 21544 6.0 53.8 168 22.3 14.7% 19.7% 15.8% 0.50
Source: Screener.in
Academic Research Project- Not a Recommendation
Disclaimer: This is an academic project and is not meant for commercial usage.
This information/ document does not constitute an offer to sell or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an
official confirmation of any transaction. The information contained herein is obtained from publicly available data or other sources believed
to be reliable and the Author has not independently verified the accuracy and completeness of the said data and hence it should not be
relied upon as such.
Author is not SEBI registered investment analyst. This document is prepared as a part of academic project.
Investments in securities market are subject to market risk, read all the related documents, carefully before investing. The securities
quoted are for illustration only and are not recommendatory. Registration granted by SEBI, and certification from NISM is no way
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