Chapter 7
Chapter 7
Chapter 7
Burning fossil fuels generates greenhouse gas emissions that act like
a blanket wrapped around the Earth, trapping the sun’s heat and
raising temperatures.
The main greenhouse gases that are causing climate change include
carbon dioxide and methane. These come from using gasoline for
driving a car or coal for heating a building, for example. Clearing
land and cutting down forests can also release carbon dioxide.
Agriculture, oil and gas operations are major sources of methane
emissions. Energy, industry, transport, buildings, agriculture and land
use are among the main sectors causing greenhouse gases.
Humans are responsible for Climate Change
Climate scientists have showed that humans are responsible for virtually
all global heating over the last 200 years. Human activities are causing
greenhouse gases that are warming the world faster than at any time in at
least the last two thousand years.
The average temperature of the Earth’s surface is now about 1.1°C
warmer than it was in the late 1800s (before the industrial revolution)
and warmer than at any time in the last 100,000 years. The last decade
(2011-2020) was the warmest on record, and each of the last four
decades has been warmer than any previous decade since 1850.
Many people think climate change mainly means warmer
temperatures. But temperature rise is only the beginning of
the story. Because the Earth is a system, where everything
is connected, changes in one area can influence changes in
all others.
Hotter temperatures
As greenhouse gas concentrations rise, so does the global
surface temperature. The last decade, 2011-2020, is the
warmest on record. Since the 1980s, each decade has
been warmer than the previous one. Nearly all land areas
are seeing more hot days and heat waves. Higher
temperatures increase heat-related illnesses and make
working outdoors more difficult. Wildfires start more
easily and spread more rapidly when conditions are
hotter. Temperatures in the Arctic have warmed at least
twice as fast as the global average.
Increased drought
1.Rising Temperatures
2.Melting Ice and Rising Sea Levels
3.Increased Frequency and Severity of Extreme
Weather Events
4.Ocean Acidification
5.Disruption of Ecosystems and Biodiversity
6.Water Scarcity and Droughts
7.Changes in Agriculture and Food Security
8.Human Health Impacts (Air Quality, Vector-
Borne Diseases, Heat-related Illnesses)
9.Extinction of plant and animals
https://www.nytimes.com/article/climate-change-global-
warming-faq.html
• Here are the key indicators of global climate change:
2.Regional Climate Models (RCMs): RCMs are similar to GCMs but focus on
smaller geographical regions (typically a few hundred kilometers) with higher spatial
resolution. They are often nested within larger GCMs to provide more detailed
information for specific regions.
3.Earth System Models (ESMs): ESMs are an extension of GCMs that include
additional components representing biogeochemical processes, such as carbon
cycling, vegetation dynamics, and interactions between the atmosphere and the
biosphere. ESMs aim to provide a more comprehensive representation of the Earth
system, including its interactions with the biosphere and human activities.
Earth System Models Include all physics.
Simulate (nearly) all components of the earth
system.
Hugely expensive - no ensembles.
Carry out ‘snapshots’ or short transients.
Complex General Circulation Models As ESMs, but do not simulate all components of
the earth system, usually atmos, ocean, (veg).
(GCMs).
Still too slow to carry out long transient simulations,
but can be used for ensembles.