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Fundamental Understanding

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Fundamental Understanding

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3.

Probability, 2UG 2011 HSC 15 MC


STD 1: Statistical Analysis (Std 1), S2 Relative Frequency
 RAP Data - Bottom 6%: School result (79%) was equal to state average (79%)
and Probability (Y11)
Fundamental Understanding (Std 1) An unbiased coin is tossed 10 times.
A tail is obtained on each of the first 9 tosses.
Teacher: Kirtana Hariharan
Exam Equivalent Time: 19.5 minutes (based on HSC allocation of 1.5 What is the probability that a tail is obtained on the 10th toss?
minutes approx. per mark)
(A)

Questions
(B)
1. Probability, 2UG 2004 HSC 1 MC
(C)
Which fraction is equal to a probability of ?

(A) (D)

(B)
4. Probability, 2UG 2006 HSC 1 MC
(C)
The probability of an event occurring is

(D) Which statement best describes the probability of this event occurring?
(A) The event is likely to occur.
(B) The event is certain to occur.
2. Probability, 2UG 2009 HSC 1 MC
(C) The event is unlikely to occur.
 RAP Data - Bottom 14%: School result (91%) was 3% above state average (88%)
(D) The event has an even chance of occurring.
A newspaper states: ‘It will most probably rain tomorrow.’
Which of the following best represents the probability of an event that will most probably 5. Probability, 2UG 2018 HSC 9 MC
occur?
An experiment has three distinct outcomes, A, B and C. Outcome A occurs 50% of the time.
(A) Outcome B occurs 23% of the time.
What is the expected number of times outcome C would occur if the experiment is conducted
(B)
500 times?
(C)
A. 115
(D)
B. 135
C. 250
D. 365
6. Probability, 2UG 2011 HSC 2 MC 8. Probability, 2UG 2005 HSC 23a
Which of the following could be the probability of an event occurring? There are tickets sold in a raffle. Justine sold all tickets to five of her friends. The
number of tickets she sold to each friend is shown in the table.
(A)

(B)

(C)
(D)

7. Probability, 2UG 2005 HSC 3 MC


Four radio stations reported the probability of rain as shown in the table.

(i) Justine claims that each of her friends is equally likely to win first prize.
Give a reason why Justine’s statement is NOT correct. (1 mark)
(ii) What is the probability that first prize is NOT won by Khalid or Herman? (2 marks)

9. Probability, 2UG 2007 HSC 25a

Give an example of an event that has a probability of exactly . (1 mark)

Which radio station reported the highest probability of rain?


10. Probability, 2UG 2013 HSC 26c
(A)
 Part i: RAP Data - Bottom 2%: School result (4%) was -7% below state average (11%)
(B)
(C) The probability that Michael will score more than 100 points in a game of bowling is .
(D)
(i) A commentator states that the probability that Michael will score less than 100 points in
a game of bowling is .
Is the commentator correct? Give a reason for your answer. (1 mark)

(ii) Michael plays two games of bowling. What is the probability that he scores more than
points in the first game and then again in the second game? (1 mark)

Copyright © 2004-18 The State of New South Wales (Board of Studies, Teaching and Educational Standards NSW)
Worked Solutions 6. Probability, 2UG 2011 HSC 2 MC

1. Probability, 2UG 2004 HSC 1 MC

7. Probability, 2UG 2005 HSC 3 MC

2. Probability, 2UG 2009 HSC 1 MC

8. Probability, 2UG 2005 HSC 23a


3. Probability, 2UG 2011 HSC 15 MC (i)

4. Probability, 2UG 2006 HSC 1 MC (ii)

5. Probability, 2UG 2018 HSC 9 MC

9. Probability, 2UG 2007 HSC 25a


10. Probability, 2UG 2013 HSC 26c
(i)
♦♦♦ Mean mark 11%

♦ Mean mark 34%


(ii)

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