1 s2.0 S2161831323000765 Main
1 s2.0 S2161831323000765 Main
1 s2.0 S2161831323000765 Main
ABSTRACT
The impact of gut microbiota–targeted interventions on the incidence, duration, and severity of respiratory tract infections (RTIs) in nonelderly
adults, and factors moderating any such effects, are unclear. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the effects of orally
ingested probiotics, prebiotics, and synbiotics compared with placebo on RTI incidence, duration, and severity in nonelderly adults, and to identify
potential sources of heterogeneity. Studies were identified by searching CENTRAL, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science up to December 2021.
English-language, peer-reviewed publications of randomized, placebo-controlled studies that tested an orally ingested probiotic, prebiotic, or
synbiotic intervention of any dose for ≥1 wk in adults aged 18–65 y were included. Results were synthesized using intention-to-treat and per-
protocol random-effects meta-analysis. Heterogeneity was explored by subgroup meta-analysis and meta-regression. Risk of bias was assessed
using the Cochrane risk-of-bias assessment tool for randomized trials version 2 (RoB2). Forty-two manuscripts reporting effects of probiotics (n = 38),
prebiotics (n = 2), synbiotics (n = 1) or multiple -biotic types (n = 1) were identified (n = 9179 subjects). Probiotics reduced the risk of experiencing
≥1 RTI (relative risk = 0.91; 95% CI: 0.84, 0.98; P = 0.01), and total days (rate ratio = 0.77; 95% CI: 0.71, 0.83; P < 0.001), duration (Hedges’ g = −0.23;
95% CI: −0.39, −0.08; P = 0.004), and severity (Hedges’ g = −0.16; 95% CI: −0.29, −0.03; P = 0.02) of RTIs. Effects were relatively consistent across
different strain combinations, doses, and durations, although reductions in RTI duration were larger with fermented dairy as the delivery matrix,
and beneficial effects of probiotics were not observed in physically active populations. Overall risk of bias was rated as “some concerns” for most
studies. In conclusion, orally ingested probiotics, relative to placebo, modestly reduce the incidence, duration, and severity of RTIs in nonelderly
adults. Physical activity and delivery matrix may moderate some of these effects. Whether prebiotic and synbiotic interventions confer similar
protection remains unclear due to few relevant studies. This trial was registered at https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/ as CRD42020220213. Adv
Nutr 2022;13:2277–2295.
Statement of Significance: This systematic review and meta-analysis extends previous meta-analyses relying primarily on studies of pediatric
populations by demonstrating that orally ingested probiotics also reduce the incidence, duration, and severity of respiratory tract infections
(RTIs) in nonelderly adult populations. Further, this analysis identifies physical activity level and probiotic delivery matrix as potential effect
moderators and highlights the need for research regarding effects of prebiotics and synbiotics on RTI incidence, duration, and severity in adult
populations.
Keywords: respiratory infection, respiratory illness, common cold, influenza, coronavirus, gut microbiome, fermentable fiber, dietary supplement
Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the American Society for Nutrition 2022. This work is written by (a) US Government employee(s) and is in the public domain in the US. Adv Nutr
2022;13:2277–2295; doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/advances/nmac086. 2277
complications, such as pneumonia, myocarditis, otitis media, clinical studies indicates that health benefits of these gut
and glomerulonephritis (2). RTIs are a leading cause for microbiota–targeted interventions may include modification
seeking outpatient medical care, generate a high number of local and systemic immune function (7–10). However,
of hospital admissions, increase medical costs, contribute immunomodulatory effects may vary according to the
to overwhelmed health care systems, and are responsible probiotic strains or prebiotic substrates used, have not been
for >2 million deaths annually (1, 3, 4). Despite this high observed in every population studied, and do not always
prevalence and disease burden, current therapies are limited result in observable effects on infection and illness in vivo
and often palliative rather than preventative, especially for (11).
the most common RTIs. Although vaccines are available to Interest in using prebiotics, synbiotics, and probiotics,
prevent certain types of RTIs, developing new vaccines can in particular, for reducing RTI burden (i.e., incidence,
be a lengthy and costly process that frequently results in duration, and severity) is reflected by a growing evidence
products with variable effectiveness (4, 5). Hence, identifying base summarized within several recent narrative reviews,
novel and cost-effective strategies for reducing the incidence, systematic reviews, and meta-analyses (11–21). The latter
duration, and severity of a broad-spectrum of RTIs is of have collectively reported that probiotics lower the odds
interest. or risk of experiencing RTIs by 11% to 47% (15, 16,
Interventions targeting the gut microbiota may provide 18), synbiotics reduce RTI incidence by 16% (13), and
one such strategy. This complex and dynamic community prebiotics reduce RTI incidence by 27% (12). However,
plays a critical role in several physiological functions, several knowledge gaps remain. First, the majority of studies
which includes protecting against pathogens and regulat- included in these meta-analyses involve pediatric popula-
ing host immune function (6). Approaches to modulating tions. To what extent findings are generalizable to adults
the composition and function of the gut microbiota, if and their more developed immune systems is unclear. Other
only transiently, include consumption of probiotics, pre- systematic reviews and meta-analyses have focused only on
biotics, and synbiotics. Probiotics are defined as live or- physically active and athletic populations (14, 19). Whether
ganisms that, when administered in adequate amounts, findings are applicable to less active adult populations is
confer a health benefit on the host and are found in unclear given that exercise itself modulates RTI risk (22). In
dietary supplements and some fermented food products addition, the effects of probiotics, prebiotics, and synbiotics
(7). Prebiotics are substrates that are selectively utilized on RTI risk may differ based on the product type and
by host microorganisms conferring a health benefit (8). duration of use. However, few meta-analyses have empirically
Established prebiotics include the fermentable saccharides tested those factors as potential sources of heterogeneity in
inulin, fructo-oligosaccharides, oligofructose, and galacto- study results. Finally, few meta-analyses have considered the
oligosaccharides. Other oligo- and polysaccharides are also duration and severity of RTI as outcomes, which are relevant
fermented by beneficial gut microbes. While those com- to understanding the full potential impact of probiotic,
pounds may not currently meet the definition of a prebiotic, prebiotic, and synbiotic interventions on disease burden.
microbial metabolism of those saccharides can result in This has recently been evidenced by the global experience
the production of the same health-promoting and immune- with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) wherein disease
modulating compounds produced during utilization of pre- severity ranges from no symptoms to terminal illness,
biotics (8). Synbiotics are a mixture of live microorganisms and symptom duration can last from days to months
and substrate(s) selectively utilized by host microorganisms (23).
that confer a health benefit on the host (9). Synbiotics The objective of this systematic review and meta-analysis
include combinations of probiotics and prebiotics that work was to address these gaps by determining the effects of
independently or live microbes and substrates selectively orally ingested probiotics, prebiotics, and synbiotics on the
utilized by those microbes. Evidence from preclinical and incidence, duration, and severity of RTIs in nonelderly adults.
Secondary objectives were to explore potential sources of
Supported in part by the US Army Medical Research and Development Command and heterogeneity in those effects resulting from the physical
appointment to the US Army Research Institute of Environmental Medicine administered by activity level of the population studied and dose, duration,
the Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education (to JLC, JTA, and SDS) through an type, and form of treatment.
interagency agreement between the US Department of Energy and the US Army Medical
Research and Development Command.
Author disclosures: The authors report no conflicts of interest. The sponsor had no role in the
study design, data analysis, or interpretation of results.
The opinions or assertions contained herein are the private views of the authors and are not to Methods
be construed as official or reflecting the views of the Army or the Department of Defense. Any The systematic review protocol was registered on the
citations of commercial organizations and trade names in this report do not constitute an
official Department of the Army endorsement or approval of the products or services of these
PROSPERO International Register of Systematic Reviews
organizations. Approved for public release; distribution is unlimited. (National Institute for Health Research, University of York,
Supplemental Figures 1–7 and Supplemental Tables 1–10 are available from the UK; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/) on 11 December
“Supplementary data” link in the online posting of the article and from the same link in the
online table of contents at https://academic.oup.com/advances/.
2020 (CRD42020220213) and was performed according to
Address correspondence to JPK (e-mail: james.p.karl.civ@health.mil). the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and
Abbreviations used: ITT, intention-to-treat; RoB2, Cochrane risk-of-bias assessment tool for Meta-Analyses (PRISMA).
randomized trials version 2; RTI, respiratory tract infection.
(Continued)
Coleman et al.
2002; Germany (33) PLA: 79 (NR), 42 ± 13 hypertrophic sinusitis PLA: starch suspension diluted in saline; liquid
Haywood et al., 2014; RCT, crossover 30 (0), 25 ± 4 Elite rugby athletes PRO: Lactobacillus gasseri (2.6 × 109 ), Bifidobacterium 4
New Zealand (38) bifidum (0.2 × 109 ), Bifidobacterium longum (0.2 ×
109 ); capsule
PLA: corn flour; capsule
Hor et al., 2018; RCT, parallel group PRO: 72 (51), 44 ± 15 Healthy adults PRO: Lactobacillus casei LCZ (1 × 109 ); powder 52
Malaysia (49) PLA: 65 (58), 45 ± 17 PLA: brown rice powder and maltodextrin; powder
Jespersen et al., 2015; RCT, parallel group PRO: 538 (NR), 32 ± NR Healthy adults PRO: Lactobacillus paracasei L. casei 431 (1 × 109 ); 6
Denmark (36) PLA: 528 (NR), 31 ± NR acidified beverage
PLA: acidified milk; beverage
Kalima et al., 2016; RCT, parallel group PRO: 121 (NR), NR Military PRO: Bifidobacterium animalis ssp. lactis BB12 12
Finland (50) PLA: 103 (NR), NR (16 × 109 ), Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG (4 × 1010 ); 21
PRO: 63 (NR), NR tablet
PLA: 73 (NR), NR PLA: xylitol, sorbitol, microfibrous cellulose,
magnesium stearate, and citrus flavor; tablet
Kekkonen et al., 2007; RCT, parallel group PRO: 61 (NR), 40 ± NR Healthy marathon PRO: Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG (1 to 4 × 1010 ); 12
Finland (31) PLA: 58 (NR), 40 ± NR runners beverage
PLA: milk-based fruit drink; beverage
Kumpu et al., 2015; RCT, parallel group PRO: 19 (63), 24 ± 11 Healthy adults PRO: Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG (1 × 109 ); beverage 6
United States (51); PLA: 20 (65), 22 ± 9 PLA: fruit juice; beverage
Tapiovaara et al.,
2016; Finland (52)
Langkamp-Henken et RCT, parallel group PRO1: 142 (60), 20 ± 1 Healthy university PRO1: Bifidobacterium bifidum R0071 (3 × 109 ); capsule 6
al., 2015; United PRO2: 148 (66), 20 ± 1 students under PRO2: Bifidobacterium longum ssp. infantis R0033
States (29) PRO3: 145 (62), 20 ± 1 academic stress (3 × 109 ); capsule
PLA: 147 (67), 20 ± 1 PRO3: Lactobacillus helveticus R0052 (3 × 109 ); capsule
PLA: magnesium stearate and potato starch; capsule
Meng et al., 2016; RCT, crossover 30 (63), 28 ± 1.2 Healthy adults PRO: Bifidobacterium animalis subsp. lactis BB-12 4
United States (37) (1 × 1010 ); fermented yogurt smoothie
PLA: yogurt; yogurt smoothie
Michael et al., 2020; RCT, parallel group PRO: 110 (60), 45 ± 10 Adults classified as PRO: Lactobacillus acidophilus CUL60 (NCIMB 30157), 26
Bulgaria (53) PLA: 110 (61), 47 ± 10 overweight or obese Lactobacillus acidophilus CUL21 (NCIMB 30156),
Lactobacillus plantarum CUL66 (NCIMB 30280)
Bifidobacterium bifidum CUL20 (NCIMB 30153) and
Bifidobacterium animalis subsp. lactis CUL34 (NCIMB
30172) (5 × 1010 ); capsule
PLA: microcrystalline cellulose; capsule
Michalickova et al., RCT, parallel group PRO: 20 (25), 23 ± 3 Elite athletes PRO: Lactobacillus helveticus (2 × 1010 ); capsule 14
2016; Serbia (54) PLA: 19 (26), 23 ± 3 PLA: Maltodextrin capsule
(Continued)
TABLE 1 (Continued)
(Continued)
2285
Study Name Statistics for each study RTI/Total Risk ratio and 95% CI
Risk Lower Upper Z- p-
Probiotic Placebo
Ratio limit limit Value Value
Ahrén 2021 (51) 0.95 0.81 1.11 -0.62 0.53 178 / 448 188 / 450
Altadill 2021 (52) 1.03 0.72 1.48 0.18 0.86 31 / 62 30 / 62
Berggren 2011 (54) 0.84 0.68 1.03 -1.67 0.09 76 / 159 91 / 159
de Vrese 2005 (34) 1.05 0.92 1.19 0.67 0.51 158 / 238 153 / 241
Gleeson 2011 (56) 0.90 0.60 1.35 -0.50 0.62 21 / 42 23 / 42
Gleeson 2012 (57) 1.00 0.58 1.72 0.00 1.00 15 / 33 15 / 33
Gleeson 2016 (58) 1.18 0.88 1.57 1.10 0.27 60 / 137 49 / 131
Guillemard 2010 (35) 0.89 0.76 1.06 -1.32 0.19 169 / 500 189 / 500
Habermann 2001 (32) 0.57 0.28 1.15 -1.57 0.12 12 / 500 21 / 500
Habermann 2002 (33) 0.61 0.35 1.06 -1.75 0.08 15 / 78 25 / 79
Jespersen 2015 (36) 1.01 0.91 1.12 0.17 0.87 315 / 548 314 / 551
Kekkonen 2007 (31) 1.25 0.84 1.86 1.09 0.28 32 / 70 26 / 71
Kumpu 2015 (61) 0.78 0.56 1.07 -1.53 0.13 14 / 20 18 / 20
Langkamp-Henken 2015 [R0052] (29) 0.80 0.51 1.25 -0.97 0.33 43 / 146 18 / 49
Langkamp-Henken 2015 [R0071] (29) 0.65 0.41 1.04 -1.78 0.07 34 / 142 18 / 49
Langkamp-Henken 2015 [R0033] (29) 0.78 0.51 1.20 -1.11 0.27 45 / 148 19 / 49
Michalickova 2016 (64) 1.09 0.64 1.86 0.32 0.75 12 / 20 11 / 20
Nishishira 2016 (65) 1.00 0.21 4.84 0.00 1.00 3 / 100 3 / 100
Pumpa 2019 (66) 0.14 0.01 2.45 -1.34 0.18 0 / 10 3 / 10
Rizzardini 2012 [BB12] (67) 0.19 0.01 3.92 -1.07 0.28 0 / 54 2 / 52
Rizzardini 2012 [431] (67) 0.32 0.03 2.95 -1.01 0.31 1 / 59 3 / 56
Schroder 2015 (68) 1.07 0.83 1.39 0.51 0.61 61 / 121 57 / 121
Smith 2013 (70) 1.11 0.87 1.43 0.86 0.39 63 / 114 58 / 117
Strasser 2016 (71) 0.43 0.19 0.96 -2.06 0.04 5 / 17 11 / 16
Sugimura 2015 (72) 0.50 0.21 1.20 -1.55 0.12 7 / 106 14 / 107
Tiollier 2007 (73) 0.81 0.46 1.42 -0.73 0.47 11 / 24 13 / 23
Turner 2017 (74) 0.93 0.72 1.19 -0.58 0.56 51 / 95 55 / 95
Vaisberg 2019 (75) 0.25 0.03 2.10 -1.28 0.20 1 / 28 4 / 28
West 2014 [Bl-04] (30) 0.82 0.59 1.14 -1.18 0.24 59 / 161 33 / 74
West 2014 [NCFM, Bi-07] (30) 0.77 0.56 1.07 -1.55 0.12 55 / 155 34 / 74
Zhang 2018 (77) 0.44 0.27 0.72 -3.29 0.00 16 / 68 36 / 68
0.91 0.84 0.98 -2.56 0.01
FIGURE 2 Forest plot for the effects of orally ingested probiotics versus placebo on the risk of experiencing 1 or more respiratory tract
infections in nonelderly adults. Intention-to-treat random effects meta-analysis using DerSimonian and Laird inverse variance method.
Data extracted for Jespersen et al. (36) and Guillemard et al. (35) reflect the incidence of upper respiratory tract infections. Lower and
upper limits are 95% CIs. Individual study effect estimates (squares; sized by study weight) and pooled effects (diamond) are plotted.
Heterogeneity from the fixed-effects model: I2 = 33.4, P = 0.04. RTI, number of individuals experiencing ≥1 respiratory tract infection;
Total, number randomized.
SUB-GROUP
Number of
0.94 0.91 0.78 0.75 -0.17 -0.13
Single
[0.86, 1.02] [0.85, 0.99] [0.70, 0.87] [0.67, 0.84] [-0.35, 0.00] [-0.32, 0.06]
0.87 0.87 0.73 0.72 -0.38 -0.20
Multiple
[0.76, 1.01] [0.77, 1.00] [0.63, 0.84] [0.62, 0.83] [-0.76, 0.00] [-0.41, 0.00]
FIGURE 3 Summary of subgroup meta-analyses and meta-regressions for effects of orally ingested probiotics on incidence, duration,
and severity of RTIs in nonelderly adults. Subgroup results are presented as effect size [95% CI]. Meta-regression results are presented as β
[95% CI]. Results shaded in green are statistically significant (P < 0.05) and those in yellow are not statistically significant (P ≥ 0.05). Black
shading indicates insufficient data for analysis. Subgroups were analyzed using random-effects meta-analysis using the DerSimonian and
Laird inverse variance method. Meta-regression used the DerSimonian and Laird inverse variance method. See Supplemental Tables 5–10
for P values and measures of heterogeneity. Bifido., Bifidobacterium; ITT, intention-to-treat analysis; Lacto., Lactobacillus; PP, per-protocol
analysis; RTI, respiratory tract infection.
Altadill 2021 (52) 0.86 0.71 1.05 -1.51 0.13 183 / 14 213 / 14
Berggren 2011 (54) 0.73 0.67 0.8 -6.92 0.00 849 / 37 1161 / 37
de Vrese 2005 (34) 0.83 0.76 0.89 -4.74 0.00 1106 / 77 1362 / 78
Gleeson 2011 (56) 0.67 0.59 0.76 -6.44 0.00 426 / 13 637 / 13
Gleeson 2016 (58) 1.14 1.00 1.30 1.98 0.05 494 / 53 414 / 50
Hor 2018 (59) 0.74 0.71 0.78 -12.6 0.00 3142 / 75 4228 / 75
Jespersen 2015 (36) 0.83 0.79 0.86 -8.65 0.00 3800 / 63 4618 / 63
Kekkonen 2007 (31) 1.45 1.22 1.72 4.28 0.00 323 / 16 226 / 16
Langkamp-Henken 2015 [R0052] (29) 1.01 0.77 1.31 0.05 0.96 222 / 17 74 / 6
Langkamp-Henken 2015 [R0071] (29) 0.55 0.41 0.74 -4.03 0.00 118 / 16 74 / 6
Langkamp-Henken 2015 [R0033] (29) 0.62 0.47 0.82 -3.3 0.00 139 / 17 74 / 6
Schroder 2015 (68) 0.74 0.68 0.81 -6.47 0.00 820 / 30 1105 / 30
Smith 2013 (70) 0.84 0.75 0.94 -3.10 0.00 564 / 26 690 / 27
Tiollier 2007 (73) 0.90 0.71 1.14 -0.85 0.39 132 / 2 140 / 2
West 2011 (76) 1.04 0.89 1.21 0.48 0.63 321 / 12 331 / 13
West 2014 [Bl-04] (30) 0.63 0.56 0.71 -7.54 0.00 643 / 66 470 / 31
West 2014 [NCFM, Bi-07] (30) 0.79 0.70 0.88 -4.08 0.00 770 / 64 470 / 31
FIGURE 4 Forest plot for the effects of orally ingested probiotics versus placebo on the total days of illness due to RTIs in nonelderly
adults. Intention-to-treat random-effects meta-analysis using DerSimonian and Laird inverse variance method. Lower and upper limits are
the 95% CIs. Individual study effect estimates (squares; sized by study weight) and pooled effects (diamond) are plotted. Heterogeneity
from the fixed-effects model: I2 = 91.4, P < 0.001. RTI, total days of respiratory tract infection; Total, total person years of
exposure.
not find any effect of xylo-oligosaccharides on the incidence of RTIs (rate ratio = 0.64; 95% CI: 0.52, 0.79; P < 0.002;
of RTI. fixed-effects I2 = 0, P = 0.64) and total days of illness (rate
ratio = 0.64; 95% CI: 0.52, 0.78; P < 0.001; fixed-effects
I2 = 82.3, P = 0.003).
Effects of orally ingested synbiotics on incidence,
duration, and severity of RTIs
Only 2 studies providing 5 comparisons of orally ingested Risk of bias
synbiotic versus placebo comparisons were identified in the The overall risk of bias for a majority of the included studies
search (Table 2). Meta-analysis was conducted using the total was rated as “some concerns” (Figure 7 and Supplemental
number of RTIs and total days of illness with RTI reported Figure 7). That overall rating was frequently due to not
for the 4 synbiotic interventions studied by Pregliasco et al. enough information being provided to determine if results
(70). The synbiotic interventions reduced the total number were analyzed in accordance with a prespecified analysis plan
of RTIs (rate ratio = 0.66; 95% CI: 0.53, 0.80; P < 0.001; (domain 5).
fixed-effects I2 = 0, P = 0.57) and the total days of illness
(rate ratio = 0.65; 95% CI: 0.55, 0.78; P < 0.001; fixed- Discussion
effects I2 = 78.1, P = 0.01) in ITT analyses. Results were This systematic review identified 39 studies conducted in
similar in the per-protocol analysis for both total number nonelderly adults that assessed effects of at least 1 orally
FIGURE 5 Forest plot for the effects of orally ingested probiotics versus placebo on the duration of respiratory tract infection episodes in
nonelderly adults. Per-protocol random-effects meta-analysis using DerSimonian and Laird inverse variance method. Lower and upper
limits are the 95% CIs. Individual study effect estimates (squares; sized by study weight) and pooled effects (diamond) are plotted.
Heterogeneity from the fixed-effects model: I2 = 79.4, P < 0.001.
ingested probiotic intervention on the incidence, duration, what have been reported in recent meta-analyses on the topic,
or severity of RTIs, but far fewer studies assessing effects which have ranged from an 11% to 47% reduction in the
of orally ingested prebiotics or synbiotics on the same risk or odds of experiencing at least 1 RTI (15, 16, 18) and
outcomes and in the same population. The main finding a 0.8- to 2.7-d reduction in the duration of individual RTI
was that orally ingested probiotic interventions, relative episodes (15, 16, 20). Discrepancies in effect sizes are likely
to matched placebo, modestly reduced the incidence, du- attributable to differences in the inclusion and exclusion
ration, and severity of RTIs in nonelderly adults. Meta- criteria used for each systematic review. Specifically, Wang et
regression indicated that those benefits did not signifi- al. (18) included only studies conducted in children, Hao et
cantly differ by the number of strains, genus, or dose al. (15) and Li et al. (16) focused on upper-RTI rather than
of probiotic administered, or the duration of treatment. all RTIs while including few studies conducted in nonelderly
However, the physical activity level of the population studied adult populations, and King et al. (20) restricted their review
and whether fermented dairy products were used as the to only studies using Lactobacillus or Bifidobacterium while
delivery matrix did influence effects of probiotic interven- including studies in children and non-RTI outcomes. Find-
tions on the total days of illness due to RTI. Whether ings from this meta-analysis therefore extend that evidence
orally ingested prebiotic and synbiotic interventions confer base by revealing that orally ingested probiotic interventions
similar protection against RTIs in nonelderly adults remains provide modest reductions in the incidence, duration, and
unclear. severity of RTIs across a large selection of studies using dif-
The finding that probiotics reduced RTI burden is ferent probiotic types and conducted within nonelderly adult
consistent with recent meta-analyses (15, 16, 18, 20). Herein, populations.
that reduction was attributable to both a slight 9% decrease in Statistical heterogeneity across probiotic studies was
the risk of experiencing 1 or more RTI (Figure 2) and a small moderate to considerable for overall analyses and ranged
(Hedges’ g = –0.23; Figure 5) ∼1 d/RTI episode reduction from none to considerable for subgroup analyses, with
in the mean duration of individual RTI episodes, resulting in greater heterogeneity seen with RTI duration and severity
a 23% lower daily rate of RTI illness during the intervention than incidence. The number of studies included in this
period (Figure 4). These effect sizes are at the lower end of analysis provided an opportunity to examine population-
FIGURE 6 Forest plot for the effects of orally ingested probiotics versus placebo on the severity of respiratory tract infections in
nonelderly adults. Per-protocol random-effects meta-analysis using DerSimonian and Laird inverse variance method. Lower and upper
limits are the 95% CIs. Individual study effect estimates (squares; sized by study weight) and pooled effects (diamond) are plotted.
Heterogeneity from the fixed-effects model: I2 = 65.1, P < 0.001.
and intervention-related factors that may contribute to that may be less effective, for reducing RTI incidence, duration,
heterogeneity. Notably, subgroup analyses suggested that, in and severity in physically active populations (Figure 3).
aggregate, orally ingested probiotics may not be effective, or Those findings are generally consistent with results of a
recent meta-analysis that reported that probiotics did not
reduce RTI incidence or duration, but did reduce RTI
Arising from the severity, in physically active adults (14). Findings also
randomization process
align with recent systematic reviews that have described
Due to deviations from
intended interventions inconsistent effects of orally ingested probiotics on markers
Due to missing
of immune function and measures of RTI burden in athletes,
outcome data inconsistencies that may be attributable to differences in
In measurement the intervention strains and training loads of the study
of the outcome populations (19, 71). Reasons why probiotics may be less
In selection effective for reducing RTI burden, or have less consistent
of the reported result
effects, in physically active populations are unclear. However,
Overall risk of bias exercise with adequate rest and recovery may favorably
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% modulate the gut microbiota and support immune function
(72, 73). Physically active adults generally also have other
Low risk Some concerns High risk
lifestyle behaviors that may reduce RTI risk such as high-
quality diets (74). Possibly, probiotics do not provide any
FIGURE 7 Risk-of-bias assessment for all studies identified in the additional immune benefit in this context. On the other hand,
systematic review. Phrases not in bold font are sources of bias. high levels of exercise without adequate rest and recovery
Assessed using the Cochrane risk-of-bias assessment tool version may compromise immune function and increase RTI risk,
2.0. Plot produced using robvis (McGuinness LA, Higgins JPT. although this is controversial (72). Given the relatively small
Risk-of-bias VISualization (robvis): An R package and Shiny web app number of studies, the range of population physical activity
for visualizing risk-of-bias assessments. Res Syn Meth 2020;1–7;
levels (e.g., recreationally active to elite athletes in training),
https://mcguinlu.shinyapps.io/robvis/).
and the variety of different interventions studied, more