Chapter
Chapter
INTRODUCTION
1
Act; 1997 was brought into action which has created the competitive
atmosphere in telecom industry which resulted the private sector
investment in the telecommunication industry. As size and sector of
telecommunication grew up to IT,
At this point of time, there is various telecom based company which are
actively doing their business. The major telecommunication service providers
are Nepal Doorsanchar Company Limited, United Telecom Limited (UTL) and
Spice Nepal (P) Ltd. Other small Players are STM Sanchar (P) Ltd and
Global Plus. UTL is in the business of fixed basic telephone and limited
mobility mobile telephone of wireless technology whereas Spice Nepal has the
business of Mobile telephone. Both UTL and Spice Nepal have the focus in
urban area only. STM has got the license to perform the business of V-Sat
Telephone of 534 VDCs of eastern development region where as Global plus
has been establishing Tele-centers in various part of Mustang District.
2
services with STD and ISD services in all the 75 districts of the country. It
has 221 Public Switch Telephone Network (PSTN) exchanges in 72 districts
and has covered 2727 VDC with Telephone service and exerting its best effort
to cover remaining VDC, where its Telephone service is not accessed.
Total Telephone line distribution till Ashadh 2064 BS is 1521224. The
installed capacity of PSTN telephone line is 649539 on the other hand the
organization is working hard to build the one million capacity of CDMA based
Fixed as well as mobile telephone and 3.5 million of GSM based Mobile
telephone within few years. The company has the telephone density of 5.76
per 100 people which one year ago was 4.4. Average revenue per line per
year it generates is Rs 4136. (MIS-2064; Jestha). There are 14411 internet users
and 3878 e-mail users subscribed from the company. There are 3424
International Telephone circuits in operation and domestic microwave
channels available are 4584E1. Similarly Optical SDH-E1 link are in the
figure of 1693 which are owed by the company. East west Optical Fiber link
is considered as information super high way and is expected to bring about IT
revolution in the country. Nepal Telecom has high contribution in the total
revenue of the nation which is about 4.2 % of total national revenue.
Considering the fact. The Company has got the felicitation of „Commercially
Important Person‟ (CIP) from the government. The major portion of the total
revenue of the company is from International Subscriber dialing. These days due
to fall in ISD tariff and illegal use of Voice over Internet Protocol, there is high
fluctuations in the trend of International revenue. Other services provided by
Nepal Telecom in various parts of the country are Telegram, Telex, PCC,
IVR, IN, HCD, V- SAT, ISDN, Inmersat etc which too have their own
importance in revenue generation and serving the people for their information
and communication needs. The quality of service it has produced is considered
to be of international class as the company uses the latest technology of the
reputed International brands. The tariff of service it offers is considered
to be of high rational as compared to the other Telecommunication
operators of the Asian region.
3
Though the company was registered in Magh 2060 BS in office of the
company registrar the company has got the formal inception in Baisakh 2061
BS after all the assets and liabilities of then Nepal Telecommunications
Corporation (NTC) were transferred to it by formal notice of the
government in gazette. Nepal Telecommunications Corporation was state
owned enterprise established in 2032 BS to provide telecommunication in
the nation. Before its establishment the telecommunication service were
managed and distributed by Telecommunication Development Board both as
an operator and authority, a government body under the ministry of
communication. The main reason behind the changing of status of „Nepal
The capital structure of Nepal Telecom consists of only equity capital and at
present Nepal Telecom has the authorized capital of Rs 25 Billion allocated to
250 million shares of each Rs100 Par. Issued and paid up capital is Rs 15 Billion.
The company at its top most level has a seven member Board of Director
(BOD). Chairman is secretary of Ministry of information and Communication;
Members are representatives from Ministry of information and
communication, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Law, Justice and
4
Parliamentary affairs and Citizen Investment Trust. Other members are
Managing Director and representative from employees (Article of
memorandum-2). Senior Management Committee is the second in hierarchy
which is headed by Managing Director and constitutes senior executives of the
company. Managing Director performs as a Chief Executive Officer (CEO).
Under the Head Office there are 20 departments 4 directorates. The regional
directorates are performing as fully fledged Profit centers. Total approved Post in
NT are 6,984 but the total no of working manpower at present is 5,708 out of
which 880 are Officers and 4,828 are of Assistant level.( MIS-2064;Asadh).
In this context Nepal Telecom is facing competition in its services and seems to
face stiff competition in future. Despite the competition rose, the demands of
NT services are high but the company is not able to meet the customers
demand due to various constraints like government intervention, slow
procurement procedure, management style, work culture, mismanagement of
resources etc.
5
Despite the various shortcomings the company plays vital role in
achievement of desired level of national development goal by fulfilling the
need of reliable dimension of infrastructure development.
6
management of the resources. Proper collection, utilization and management
of the fund are financial management. To make assurance of the strong
financial operation of the company, the empirical analysis called financial
performance analysis can have the great importance.
The Balance sheet shows the huge amount of cash and bank balance lying
idle. Volume of sundry debtors seems to be very large. Various studies related
to the NT pointed out the problem of its outstanding debt collection and high
liquidity position. Further suggestion is that NT management should estimate
immediate required funds and either invest the entire excess fund in
marketable securities, or use that fund in refunding debt as the interest it pays
for loan for capital investment is less than the rate of earning in liquid fund.
Studies have shown that the return on total assets is not so good.
7
Financial analysis may not provide exact answer to these questions but it
does indicate what can be expected in the future.
8
there is open door to further enter. The government is going to participate to the
private sector in its ownership. So the concerned parties are looking over its
performance with keen interest. As a state owned enterprise it has the
obligation of socio economic development with its profitability concern. So
the insight over financial position of Nepal Telecom; leading
telecommunication service provider in the nation will be useful to provide
information to stakeholders and draw attention of concerned management
regarding what can be done for further strengthening the financial position.
Further it will be important for the following groups and individuals.
9
1.6 Organization of the study
First Chapter focuses on general background of the study. It deals with major
issues to be investigated along with general background of the study,
statement of problem, objective of study with organization of the study. This
chapter signifies the rational of this study.
The fourth chapter deals with the techniques used in analyzing the collected data
and its presentation in the descriptive and analytical manner. This chapter also
deals with the strengths, weakness, opportunities and challenges faced by Nepal
Telecom.
10
CHAPTER-II
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
The review of literature basically highlights the existing literature and research
work related to the present research being conducted with the view of finding out
what had been already explained by the authors and researchers and how the
current research adds further benefits to the field of research. This review
of literature had been classified into three subgroups as follow.
Theoretical review
Review of related articles/journal/booklets
Review of related dissertations
11
business activities as well as financial status of the firm for a specified
period to its stakeholders. These contain
Hence financial statement refers to any formal and original statement that
discloses the financial information related to any business concern during a
period. The income statements and balance sheet usually prepared at the end of
each financial year show the firm‟s position.
A) Balance Sheet
Balance sheet is one of the basic financial statements of an enterprise. It is also
called the fundamental accounting report. As the name suggests, the balance
sheet provide information about financial standing or a position of a firm at a
particular point of time usually end of the financial year. It can be
visualized as a snapshot of the financial status of a company (Khan and Jain;
1993:13).
B) Income Statement
Income statement is designed to portray the performance of the business
12
firm for specific period of time i.e. for a year or month or quarter. The business
revenues and expenses resulting from the accomplishment of the firms
operation are shown in the income statements. It is the “Scoreboard” of the
firm‟s performance during particular period of time. It shows the summary of
revenues, expenses and net income or loss of a firm for a particular period of
time. Income statement also serves as a true measure of the firm‟s profitability.
(Khan and Jain; 1993:15).
The four basic statements contained in the annual report are the balance
sheet, the income statement the statement of the retained earnings and the
statement of cash flows. Investors use the information contained in
these statements to form expectations about the future levels of earnings and
dividends and about the risks of these expected values. Financial statement
analysis generally begins with the calculation of a set of a financial ratios
designed to reveal the relative strength and weakness of a company as
compared to other companies in the same industry, and to show whether the
firm's position has been improving or deteriorating over time. (Weston;
1996:306) Financial analysis is that sort of calculation which is done with
the help of annual report. And the annual report would contain the essentials for
such analysis. So the data retrieved from the annual report is indispensable for
the financial analysis.
It is both an analytical and judgmental process that helps answer questions that
have been properly posed. Therefore, it is means to end. Apart from the specific
analytical answer, the solutions to financial problems and issues depend
significantly on the views of the parties involved, the related importance of
the issue and on the nature and reliability of the information available. (Helfert;
1992:2)
14
Financial appraisal is a scientific evaluation of profitability and financial
strength of any business concern. Financial appraisal is the process of
scientifically making a proper, critical and comparative evaluation of the
profitability and financial health of a given concern through the application
of the techniques of financial statement analysis. A complete financial
analysis and interpretation of financial statement involves the assessment of
past business performance, an evaluation of the present condition of the
business and the predictions about the future potential for achieving expected or
desired results.(Jain;1996:36- 37)
The analysis and interpretation of financial statement depicts the actual position
of a firm regarding the objectives of that firm within a specified period of time.
"Financial appraisal is a process of synthesis and summarization of financial
and operative data with a view to get an insight into the operative activities of a
business enterprise. It is a technique of X-raying the financial position as well
as progress of a concern" as observed by Robert H. Wessel.
15
must be careful to distinguish between the cause of problem and symptom of it.
It is thus an attempt to direct the financial statements into their components on
the basis of purpose in the one hand and establish relationships between these
components and between individual components and totals of these items on
the other. Along with this, a study of various important factors over the past
several years is also undertaken to have clear understanding of changing
profitability and financial condition of the business organization.”(Hampton;
1998:99)
Thus, Jain says "Much can be learnt about business performance and
financial position through appraisal of financial statements, the appraisal
or analysis of financial statements spotlights the significant facts and
relationship concerning managerial performance, corporate efficiency,
financial strength and weakness and credit worthiness that would have
otherwise been buried in a maze of details.”(Jain; 1996:37)
16
2.1.4 Need of Financial Analysis/ Financial Statement Analysis
The need for the analysis of financial statement arises in order to address
the following questions. (Pradhan; 2000: 47-48)
How was the firm doing in the past? Was there any problem? If so, in what
Area?
How it is doing at present? Is it doing better compared to the
past performance, competitors and industry average? Is there any
problem at present? If so, in what areas?
What about the future? Is there any likely problem on the way in the
future? What will its position be in the future?
What corrective actions can be taken now to solve the problems and
improve the performance? How will the recommendation of any course of
actions or changes in the policy or practice help solve problems and
improve the company's position?
What are the expected results of recommendations? Are there any
improvements?
17
Top Management
Creditors
Shareholders
Economists
Labor Unions
A) Top Management
The responsibility of the top management is to evaluate:
Are the resources of the firm has been used effectively and efficiently? Is the
financial condition of the firm sound enough? On the basis of past facts, firms
can anticipate their future. Hence, top management can measure the
success or failure of a company's operations, determine the relative efficiency
of various departments, process and products appraise the individual's
performance and evaluate the system of internal audit.
B) Creditors
The creditors can find out the financial strength and capacity of the borrower to
meet their claims. Trade creditors are interested in the firm‟s ability to meet their
claims over a short span of time. The suppliers of long term debt focus upon
the firm‟s long term solvency and survival. A lending bank through and
analysis of these statements can decide whether the borrower retains the
capacity of refunding the principal and paying interest in time or not.
C) Shareholders
The shareholders, who have invested their money in the firm' s shares are most
concerned about the firm's earning. They evaluate the efficiency of the
management and determine about the necessity for the change. In large
company the shareholder's interest is to decide whether to buy, sell or hold the
shares. They wish to buy the shares in case of sound performance of the firm
where as they simply intend to hold the shares in the condition of satisfactory
18
performance. But they are hurried to sell the shares in case of poor
performance.
D). Economists
To diagnose the prevailing status of business and economy, economists
analyze the financial statements (of any firm). The government agencies
analyze them for the purpose of price regulation; rate setting and similar other
purposes.
19
2.1.7 Types of Financial Analysis
In the words of Man Mohan “The nature of financial analysis differs according
to the purpose of the analyst. A distinction may be drawn between various types
of financial analysis either on the basis of material used for the same or
according to the modus operandi of the analysis”
2. Internal Analysis
The internal analysis is accomplished by those who have access to the
books of accounts and all other information related to the business. While
conducting this analysis, the analyst is a part of the enterprise he is analyzing.
Analysis for managerial purpose is the internal type of analysis and is conducted
by executives and employee of the enterprise as well as governmental and court
agencies which may have major regulatory and other jurisdiction over the
business.
2. Vertical Analysis
It is frequently used for referring to ratios developed for one date or for
one accounting period. It is also called static analysis. Besides, the types of
20
financial analysis on the basis of material used and modus operandi, S.P Jain
and K.L. Narang have categorized on the basis of objective of the study.
C) According to Objective
1. Long Term Analysis
This is made in order to study the long term financial stability, solvency and
liquidity as well as profitability and earning capacity of a business concern.
For the long run success of a business concern, this analysis helps in the long
term financial planning.
2. Short Term-Analysis
This is made to determine the short-term solvency, stability and liquidity as well
as earning capacity of the business. This analysis is helpful for short term
financial planning.
a. Ratio Analysis:
Ratio analysis has been used as a major tool in the interpretation and
evaluation of financial analysis. The term ratio refers to the numerical
quantitative relationship between the two items/variables. A ratio is
calculated by dividing one item of the relationship with the other base. In
financial analysis, a ratio is used as a yardstick for the evaluation of financial
21
performance of the firm. "The analysis of financial ratio involves two types of
comparison. First, the present ratio may be compared with the past and
expected future ratios for the same company and second, the method of
comparison involves comparing the ratios of one firm with those of similar
firm or with industry averages at the same point, in time. Such comparison
gives insight into the financial performance of the firm." Ratio analysis is widely
in use. It may not give the entire picture of an enterprise. Ratios themselves
are not conclusion. They are only the means. The Ratios are calculated
from data available in the financial statement of an enterprise. The Ratio
completed from the available data are numerical, there should not be the
tendency to regard them as a precise portrayals of a firm true financial status.
For some firms, accounting data may closely approximate economic reality, for
others, it is necessary to go beyond the figures in order to obtain their
financial condition of performance.
Types of Ratios
Different Ratios can be calculated from the available data in the financial
statement. Broadly Ratios are classified in four groups. They are:
a) Liquidity ratios
b) Capital structure/leverage ratios
c) Activity ratios
d) Profitability ratios
a) Liquidity Ratio
Liquidity refers to the ability of enterprises to pay its current liabilities.
Liquidity implies the utilization of such funds of the firm which are idle or in
very little amount. A proper balance between the two contradictory
requirements i.e. liquidity and profitability are required for the efficient
financial management. The more current assets associated with high liquidity
and low profitability and vice versa. The less current Ratio and quick Ratio
are the most widely used ratios for the general purpose to measure the liquidity
position of an enterprise.
22
b) Capital structure/leverage ratios
The Capital Structure/Leverage Ratio is associated with the long -term solvency
of an enterprise. The long -term creditors would judge the soundness of a firm
on the basis of long term financial strength measured in terms its ability to
pay the interest regularly as well as repay the installment of principal due to
dates or in one lump sum at the time of maturity. Leverage Ratios show how
much of an enterprise's fund are financed by debt & equity. These Ratios also
show the prospects for future financing.
c) Activity ratio
An Activity Ratio may be defined as the test of relationship between sales and
various types of Activity Ratios. Activity Ratios are employed to evaluate the
efficiencies with which the firm manages and utilizes its assets. These
Ratios are also called Turnover Ratios because they indicate the speed with
which the assets are being covered or turned over into sales. So Activity
Ratios presume that there exists an appropriate relationship between sales
and various assets. The more important Activity Ratios for general -urpose
analysis are Inventory Turnover Ratio, Total Assets Turnover Ratio, Fixed
Assets Turnover Ratio, Capital Employed Turnover Ratio etc.
d) Profitability Ratio
Profitability is very important aspect of management of any enterprise. It
shows the overall performance of an enterprise. The Profitability Ratios
are calculated to measure the operative effectiveness of an enterprise.
Besides management of the company, creditors and owners are interested in
the Profitability Ratios of the firm.
23
Profitability Ratios can be calculated on the basis of either sales or investment.
The important Profitability Ratios, calculated in relation to sales are Net
Profit Margin, Gross Profit Margin, and Operating Expenses Ratio etc.
Similarly, the important Profitability Ratios, calculated in relation to
investment are Return on Shareholders' Equity, Return on Capital Employed,
and Return on Fixed Assets etc. Together these Ratios indicate the firm's
efficiency of operation. (Panday, 1998:133).
24
FIGURE
ROE
Equity ROA
Multiplier
Equit Total
Total Assets Profit
y Assets
turnover Margin
Equit Debt
y Total Assets Sales Sales Net
Profit
Equit Total
Equit Equit Equit
y Assets
y y y Total Sales
Cost
Current Net Fixed
Assets Assets
Taxes Non Operatin
Operating g Cost
Cost
25
For a business firm, the return on assets (ROA) is the rate of return on the total
investment that includes both equity and debt capital. The ROA does not reflect
the actual rate of return to equity holders. What reflects the return for stock
holders is the return on their money (i.e. ROE), which is generally higher than
the ROA. Thus ROA is an overall measure and reflects the overall performance
of the company. The Du
The common size analysis is carried out for a period of one or more. The
income statement items are divided by sales and expressed as a percentage of
sales. The balance sheets items are divided by total assets and expressed as
percentage of total assets. These percentages for a company are compared with
the standard measures such as percentages calculated in the same manner
industry and the competitors.
26
d. Funds Flow Analysis
Method of preparing funds flow statement depends essentially upon the sense in
which the term 'fund" is used. There are three concept of fund: cash concept,
total resources concept and working capital concept. According to cash
concept, the word fund is synonymous with cash. Total resources concept
refers total assets and resources as fund. The term' fund" represents only to
working capital on the stated last concept However, working capital
concept of fund has gained wide acceptance as compared to the other
concepts. Therefore any transaction that increases the amount of working capital
is taken as source of fund while conducting funds flow analysis. Any transaction
that decreases working capital is treated as application. But, any transaction
that affects current liabilities or current assets without resulting any changes
in working capital is not taken as sources or use.
It deals the causes of changes in cash position for the period of two balance
sheets date in brief. At the time of preparing cash flow statement, only cash
receipt from debtors against credit deals are considered as the source of
27
cash. Similarly, cash purchases and cash payments to suppliers for credit
purpose are regarded as the uses of cash. The same holds true for expenses
and incomes outstanding and prepaid expenses are not to be considered under
this analysis.
28
(e) Result may have different interpretation:
Different users may differently interpret the result derived from the analysis.
For example, a high current ratio may suit the banker but it may be the cause of
inefficiency of the management due to under-utilization of fund.
29
2.2 Review from Articles \ Journal
Acharya (1999), in his article „Present status of NTC and privatization‟,
suggested to utilize its fund rather that accept high interest bearing loans for
capital investment, since the rate of earning in liquid fund is less than the rate of
interest it pays for the loan.. In another article, again has suggested utilizing its
internal resources. He concluded, “It has become possible to maximize profit
utilizing internal resources with minimum cost. On the other hand, liquidity
position of the corporation is quite high as it keeps capacity to pay off whole
debt at once if the circumstances so required.”
He found the amount of doubtful debt is in increasing trend and Bad debt is in
fluctuation trend. He concluded the following reasons;
There is no clear cut strategies and vision to recover bad debt in time. There is
lack of inter office coordination to collect receivables.
It has seen that there delay payment by government offices which has
enhanced others to make delay payment or remain unpaid.
There is lack of motivation to employees as they feel recovery of bad debt is
a risky
job.
In some cases, there is unauthorized use of telephone service and organization
has no effective control mechanism.
30
It was pointed out that financial performance of the PEs was poor and indicated
management of the resources. The report also pointed out that because of
the lack of operational objectives, application of the long run planning, use of
modern management tools. Capital budgeting and efforts towards cost control
had not seen made so far. The study thus pointed that there was poor current
assets management and management of resources in PEs of Nepal thereby
causing poor financial performance.
31
According to his projection growth rate on return will remain around 4.69%.
Strategic plan of 7th phase of NTC-2002 based on the analysis of the period 1996-
2000, has drawn attention upon the investment environment of NTC as follow.
Total income is increasing
Liquidity is also increasing
NTC has got sufficiently good fund for investment.
There is high possibility of external funding to NTC as it has strong base
to pay the loans back on due time.
Liquidity position
There is no serious liquidity problem in NTC. The current Ratio of NTC is 1.15
times. The current assets of NTC are greater than current liabilities in each
fiscal year. It shows the better liquidity position of NTC. But it does not mean
32
that there is not any liquidity problem in NTC. The current Ratio is affected by
the huge amount of sundry debtors. The coefficient of orrelation between
current assets and current liabilities is 0.99 04 and the probable rror of the
correlation is .0089. This means that both the variables are positively correlated
and the corporation has been following a uniform policy to finance current
assets and current liabilities.
Receivables Management
From the analysis of financial statement, we know that sundry debtors are the
most sensitive sector for the management of NTC. In an average, the collection
period is 132 days. Only in two fiscal years, the collection period is below the
average debt collection period and in other three years the collection period
is highly greater than the standard debt collection period. Because the
receivables are taking long period to be collected, there is very low debtor's
turnover ratio. Therefore, it can be inferred that the firm is not adopting
proper receivables management policy. When referred to NTC management, it
has set 90 days as standard collection period.
It is already mentioned that NTC has been operating under the profit position
33
over the five years study period. But return on total assets percentage shows
poor performance. On an average, NTC is able to earn only 3.88% rate of
return on total assets. This shows the very low profitability position. In the first
four fiscal years, it has not even been able to cover the average rate of return on
total assets. But it has shown some improvements in the last fiscal year of the
study period. In most of the fiscal years, the return is very low in relation to
total assets. It means return has not increased as increment in the investment of
assets.
Another hottest issue is that NTC is not conducted under the business principle.
The idea of privatization is coming into the telecommunication sectors boost.
But NTC is not in a position to meet the competition with the private sectors
Aryal (1999), has submitted the Thesis entitled “Working Capital Management
in Nepal Telecommunication Corporation”
Objectives of the study were;
34
To study the relationship between sales and different variables of working
capital.
To shed light on creation and mobilization of fund in NTC.
35
There is no comprehensive long/midterm planning or control system of
account receivable in the corporation. Larger amount is still due from many
a last years and the amount of doubtful debt covers a significant portion of the
account receivable.
Neupane, D. K (2001) had make study on the topic "A Study on Profit
Planning in Nepal Telecommunications Corporation". The general
objective of the study was:
36
The Main findings were as follows:
Budgets are prepared for the formalities. The corporation has no skilled
planners
NTC has not adequately considered controllable and non - controllable
variables affecting the organization.
Actual sales line trends are always below the budgeted sales lines. Net Profit
of NTC is in increasing trend.
Huge amount of cash is remaining idle.
There is no clear-cut criterion to separate cost into fixed and variable.
Turnover Ratio is not so good even it enjoys monopoly market.
The Recommendations were as follows:
NTC must restructure its capital structure.
Long term objectives should be reformulated. Estimation of fund is needed.
CVP relationship should be considered while formulating profit plan.
There should be timely address of the weakness shown by the evaluation.
A separate Profit Planning department must be established.
37
CHAPTER - III
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Introduction
The basic objective of the study is to appraise the true picture of the financial
performance of Nepal Telecom and to recommend necessary suggestions for
the improvements. Financial analysis is the process of identifying the
financial strengths and weakness of the firm by properly establishing the
relationships between capital and assets of the organization. Financial
analysis plays an important role in finding the real picture of financial
performance of any organization. It provides an idea to the management
while adopting the financial policies.
38
explore the financial position of Nepal Telecom. The financial position refers
to the amount of resources i.e. assets and liabilities of the company on the
specific period and the results of their utilization. To conduct the study both
descriptive and analytical research approaches has been adopted. Descriptive
approach is utilized for conceptualization, problem identification, conclusion
and suggestion of the study whereas analytical approach will be followed for
the presentation and analysis of data. Thus the study is analytical as well as
exploratory in nature. The data have been analyzed on the basis of standard
financial formulas used in the book of financial management.
39
The major sources of data and information are as follows:
Website of Nepal Telecom: http://www.ntc.net.np
Annual Reports and other published documents of Nepal Telecom.
Economic Survey F/Y 2064/065, Ministry of Finance, HMG/N
Various Planning Documents, National Planning Commission HMG/N
Telephone inquiries
Materials published in paper and magazines.
Various Research Studies, Dissertations and articles related to the subject.
40
the analysis. The major tool employed for the analysis of this study is the ratio
analysis that establishes the quantitative relationship of two variables of the
financial statements. Ratio Analysis is the basic tool used for the study and is
considered to be the powerful tool of financial analysis. Beside ratio analysis,
various other financial tools and statistical tools have been studied.
41
Ratio analysis stands for the process of determining and presenting the
relationship of items and groups of items in the financial statement.
According to Van Horne, "to evaluate the financial condition and performance
of a firm, the financial analysis needs certain yardsticks. The yardstick frequency
used is a Ratio or index relating to pieces of financial data to each other."(Van
Horne, 1998:759)
A) Liquidity Ratio
B) Turnover Ratio/Assets Management Ratio / Activity Ratio
C) Profitability Ratio
D) Leverage/ Solvency Ratio/ Debt Management Ratio
A. Liquidity Ratio
Generally, the first concern of the financial analysis is liquidity. It tests whether
the firm will be able to meet its maturing short-term obligations or not. The
preparation of cash budgets & funds flow statements is required for detailed
liquidity analysis of a company, but Liquidity Ratios provide a quick and easy
measure of liquidity as it shows the relationship between cash & other current
assets to current liabilities. Two commonly used liquidity Ratios are
presented here. This Ratio helps to analyze the financial capacity of NTC to
repay current liabilities and short - term loan.
42
I. Current Ratio
Commonly used to measure the short term solvency of the firm. It is a measure
of short - term financial liquidity that indicates the availability of the rupees of
current assets for each rupee of current liabilities. "The higher the Current
Ratio, the larger is the amount of rupees available per rupee of current
liability, the more is the firm's ability to meet current obligations and the
greater is the safety of funds of short - term creditors."(Khan, 3Ed: 4) . The
current assets normally include those assets that can be converted into cash
within a year; such assets are marketable securities, accounts receivable and
inventories. Current liabilities generally include those obligations maturing
within a year; such liabilities are accounts payable, short term notes payable,
current maturities of long term debt, accrued income taxes and other accrued
expenses etc. The Current Ratio is calculated by using this formula.
B. Activity Ratios
"Activity Ratios are used to measure the speed with which various accounts
are converted into sales or cash."(Lawrence, 5th Ed;1997). Funds have been
43
invested in various assets fixed as well as current to generate sales and profits in
the firm. And these Ratios, also called Turnover Ratios, are employed to
evaluate the efficiency with which the firm manages and utilizes its assets. So it
involves a relationship between sales and various types of assets. A number of
Ratios are available for measuring the activity of the firm.
44
II. Debtors (Account Receivable) Turn Over Ratio
Many firms sell their goods both for cash and credit. And when goods are sold
for credit to the customers, debtors are created. Debtors Turnover Ratio
indicates how many times debtors are turned into cash each year. Generally
higher value of this Ratio indicates the management of credit is more efficient.
Debtors Turnover Ratio is calculated dividing credit sales by average debtors.
But in the absence of information about a firm's credit sales and opening &
closing balances of debtors one can calculate this Ratio dividing sales by
closing balance of debtors.
But in the absence of information about a firm's credit sales, the Ratio will be
calculated as follows:
46
Capital Employed Turnover Ratio = Sales / Total Capital Employed Where;
Total Capital Employed = Total Assets - Total Current Liabilities
C. Profitability Ratios :
Profitability Ratio is the main concern of the owners and the management of the
firm. The management of the firm always wants to know how efficient the
operation of the firm is. Likewise the owners of the company always expect a
reasonable return for their investment in the firm. For this reason, profitability
Ratio can be a good measurement of the operating efficiency and profitability of
the firm. By the help of the Profitability Ratios, one can make a quick and clear
view towards the firm's Profitability, Return on Assets, and Return on
Equity and Earnings per Share etc. In general, Profitability Ratios can be
determined by two different factors of the financial statements. One is related to
the income statement i.e. sales, expenses etc. and the other one is related to the
balance sheet i.e. the investments, capital etc.
47
Some Scholars does not consider interest charges as the expenses of the firm in
computing Net Profit Margin. To exclude the effect of financing charges on
profitability, they used the following alternative formula for computing Net Profit
Margin Ratio:
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Return on Shareholders' Equity.
48
IV. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
This is another type of ROI and a little different from ROA. Here, profit is
related to the capital employed which is equal to net fixed assets plus net
working capital or shareholders' equity plus long term debt. It is calculated as:
ROCE = (NPAT + Interest After Taxes) / Capital Employed
Where,
Capital Employed = Owner's Equity + Total Long Term Debt
from total assets. It is computed as net profit after taxes divided by shareholders‟
equity.
Return on Equity = Net Profit After Taxes (NPAT) / Net Worth (NW)
D. Leverage Ratios
Leverage Ratios measure the firm's ability to meet its long - term obligations.
These also indicate how much levered the firm is. In other words, from
Leverage Ratios, one can easily know, how much long - term debt is being
used in the company and whether the company will be able to pay the debt or
not when due. The Leverage Ratios are the main concern of long - term
outside creditors such as debenture holders, banks, and financial institutions etc.
"The short term creditors like bankers and suppliers of raw materials are more
concerned with the firm's current debt paying ability. On the other hand,
49
long term creditors, like debenture holders, financial institutions, etc. are
more concerned with the firm's long term financial strength."(Pandey, 7Ed:
211) So Leverage Ratios are calculated to judge the long-term financial position
of the firm. Some basic types of Leverage Ratios are:
I. Debt Ratio
The Ratio of total debt to total assets, generally called the Debt Ratio,
measures the percentage of funds provided by creditors. In other words, this
Ratio shows the proportion of interest bearing debt in the capital structure.
Debt Ratio is calculated by dividing the total debt by total assets (net). Total
debts include both current and long - term debts and total assets (net) include
net fixed assets plus current assets. In the outside creditors' view, low Debt
Ratios are preferred because the lower the Ratio, the greater the probability
against their losses in the event of liquidation while in the stockholders'
view, the reverse is preferred because the high leverage will increase the
probability of expected earnings. But there should be an appropriate mix of
debt & equity financing for better health of the company.
Comparison with past Ratios of the same company may be suitable to evaluate
performance over a period of time of a company. It is known as time series
analysis or trend analysis. Projected Ratios are future Ratios that are developed
from projected financial statements of the company. Comparison with future
51
Ratios helps to find whether the company's performance is accordance with
the long term planning or not. Comparison with competitors' Ratio is also
called cross-sectional analysis. The analyzer compares the company's
performance with its competitors' and finds the company's relative financial
position / performance. Industry Ratios are always useful to compare the
company's performance with whole the industry's as it is from the same
industry. "This sort of analysis, known as the industry analysis, helps to
ascertain the financial standing and capability of the firm vis -à-vis other firms in
the industry."(Pandey, 2006: 105)
Among various types of comparisons, this research mainly uses the past
Ratios for meaningful analysis of NT's financial performance.
Arithmetic Mean
Correlation Analysis
Regression Analysis
52
term, then their Arithmetic Mean (X bar) is given by:
X = (X1 + X2 + X3 + ........................................ .. Xn) / N
Where,
X = Mean, X1, X2, X3... Xⁿ are the given set of observations and
N = numbers of item observed.
COV ( XY )
r
VAR ( X ) VAR(Y )
N XY - X Y
r
[ N X ( X ) 2 ][ N Y 2 ( Y ) 2 ]
2
53
Where,
X=Value of variable X
Y = Value of variable Y
The value of the co-efficient of Correlation obtained by the above formula shall
always lie between +1 to -1. The following general rules are taken to interpret
the value of 'r'.
P.E.r 0.6745 1 r 2 n
54
Interpretation:
1. If the value of r is less than the Probable Error, there is no evidence of
Correlation, i.e. the value of r is not at all significant.
2. If the value of r is more than six times the Probable Error, the
existence of Correlation is practically certain, i.e., the value of r is
significant
A line of regression is the line, which gives the best estimate to the value of one
variable for any specified value of the other variable. Thus the line of regression
is the line of best fit.
55
The term best fit is interpreted in accordance with the principle of Least
Squares which consists in minimizing the sum of squares of the residuals or
the errors of estimates, i.e. deviation between the given observed values of
the variables and their corresponding estimated values as given by the line of
best fit. If we have two variables X and Y, we shall have two regression lines,
Minimizing squares of error parallel to y-axis gives the equation of the line of
regression equation of Y on X and minimizing the sum of squares of the errors
parallel to X- axis, gives the equation of the line of regression of X on Y.
Regression Equation of Y on X.
It is the line, which gives the best estimates for the values of Y for any specified
values of X.
Where,
Y= Dependent variable
X= Independent variable
a = Intercept of the line
b = Slope of the Line (It measures the average change in the value of Y as
a result of one unit change in value of X). It is also called regression coefficient
of Y on X. In other words, it measures the rate of relationship.
By calculating the equation no (ii) and (iii), we get the value of 'a' and 'b' and
substituting these value in equation (i), we get required estimated regression
equation of Y on X.
56
3.7 Methods of Presentation and Analysis
Simple methods of analysis have been used, data presentation and analysis has
been divided into small sub - topics. Every result has been tabulated and clear
interpretation of it has been given simultaneously. Detail of calculations has
been presented in appendices at the end of the report. Tables, and have been
used to make report clear and easily understandable. Summary, conclusion
and recommendation have been presented at the last chapter of the report.
57
CHAPTER - IV
PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF DATA
4.1. Introduction
This chapter highlights the financial position of Nepal Telecom. The tools
used for the purpose of analysis have been discussed in detail in research
methodology. Some financial and statistical tools have been used to evaluate
the financial position of NT. The financial tool include ratio analysis between
various variables whereas the statistical tools include Correlation and
regression analysis between the variables. The major variable like assets,
liabilities, sales, debt, and equity are taken for the analysis. Moreover the
variables affecting to the financial performance are also considered in the study.
The analysis is made through the data presentation and various financial ratios
reflecting the relationship among variables affecting financial performance.
58
Ratio Analysis
Ratio Analysis will help us to analyze the financial position and financial
performance of Nepal Telecom. The rationale of Ratio Analysis lies in the
fact that it makes related information comparable. A single figure by itself
has no meaning but when expressed in terms of a related figure, it yields
significant inferences. Following are some of the ratios that will help us to
analysis the financial position of Nepal Telecom.
59
Table 4.1
Calculation of current ratio and its straight line trend equation
(in thousand)
Year Fiscal Current Current Current Straight
Order Year Assets Liabilities Ratio Line Trend
1 2062/63 20213762 12629715 1.60 1.486
2 2063/64 20598352 14722678 1.40 1.498
3 2064/65 22526522 15665380 1.44 1.510
4 2065/66 23519754 15675154 1.5 1.522
5 2066/67 24180638 15014439 1.61 1.534
Average current ratio 151
Source: Appendix -I
Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 1.4540+0.0120(x) straight line trend
value
When X=6, Ŷ =1.546, i.e. Expected Current Ratio for next year (year=6)
Where,
Y= estimate of the Current Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1
The table 4.1 shows that the average Current Ratio is 1.51 times during the study
period. The Ratio 1.51 on an average indicates that the Organization has
current assets of Rs 1.51 for each rupee of current liabilities. As current
liabilities are paid by the current assets, it seems that NTC will be able to pay
its current liabilities at the time of requirement. It ranges between a
highest of 1.61 times in F/Y 2066/67 B.S and a lowest of 1.4 times in F/Y
2062/63. The overall Ratio trend does not show any clear direction. While
comparing with the average, one finds that in F/Y 2062/63 to 2066/67 B.S
the Ratio is higher than the average and for F/Y 2062/63, 2063/64 the Ratio
is lower than the average. If we see the actual trend, we can find its Current
Ratio is not so volatile over time.
The fitted Trend Line shows that the liquidity position of the Organization
would remain sound in future.
60
4.2.1.2 Quick Ratio/ Acid Test Ratio
One defect of Current Ratio is that it fails to convey any information on the
composition of the current assets of a firm. Quick Ratio is a measure of liquidity
designed to overcome the defect of Current Ratio. The term quick refers to
current assets which can be converted into cash immediately or at a short
notice without diminution of value. The current assets excluded from this
category are inventory and prepaid expenses. So, while calculating Quick Ratio
for NTC, inventory is deducted from total current assets and divided by total
current liabilities. Quick Ratio is supposed to be around 1:1 but this standard
also should be defined by the nature of the organization.
Quick ratio = Quick assets/Current liabilities (or) Quick Assets = Current
Assets-Inventory
Table 4.2
Calculation of quick ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Current Inventory Quick Current Quick Straight
Order Year Assets Assets Liabilities Ratio Line Trend
1 2062/63 20213763 255250 19958513 12629715 1.58 1.508
The table 4.2 shows that the average Quick Ratio is 1.45 times during the study
period. The Ratio of 1.45, on an average, indicates that the Organization has
quick assets of Rs 1.45 for each rupee of current liabilities. As average
61
Current Ratio is 1.45 throughout the study period, we can see a little
difference between these two Ratios. It means that the least liquid
item among the current assets, the inventory, has occupied a very nominal
place as part of the total current assets of NTC. In this respect, NTC can be
said to have a good liquidity position to fulfill its current obligations when they
become due.
The table shows that the Ratio ranges between a highest of 1.58 times in F/Y
2062/63 B.S and a lowest of 1.38 times in F/Y 2066/67 and 2063/64 B.S. The
overall Ratio Trend does not show any clear direction but in most recent
years it seems decreasing slowly. While comparing with the average, one
finds that in F/Y 2062/63 to 2065/66B.S the Ratio is higher than the average and
in F/Y 2063/64 and 2066/67 B.S the Ratio is lower than the average. If we see
the actual trend, we can find that the Quick Ratio is not so volatile over time.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a lung
run negative growth rate of 0.0300 times per year for this Ratio. Based on the
fitted Trend Line, it can be expected that the liquidity position of the
Organization could remain sound in future.
62
4.2.2.1 Inventory Turnover Ratio (ITR)
The Inventory Turnover Ratio (ITR) is the relation between the sales and the
inventory of a firm. It indicates the efficiency with which the firm is able to
use its inventory to generate sales revenues. Generally, the higher a firm's
Inventory Turnover, the more efficient its inventory management is supposed
to be. The Inventory Turnover is calculated by dividing sales by closing
inventory. This Ratio of NTC for the period of five years along with its
Straight Line Trend is calculated.
Inventory Turnover Ratio = Sales/Inventory
Table 4.3
Calculation of inventory turnover ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs.in thousand)
The table 4.3 show that the average of the Inventory Turnover Ratio of NTC for
the past five year was 34.96 times. The average Ratio of 34.96 indicates that
each rupee of inventory is generating sales of Rs. 34.96. It ranges between a
63
highest of 42.62 times in F/Y 2065/66 B.S and a lowest of 27.70 times in
F/Y2063/64 B.S. The overall Ratio Trend shows an upward direction
particularly in the most recent years. If we see the actual trend, we can find that
the Inventory Turnover Ratio is slightly volatile over time. But for the last
years, the Ratio is increasing continuously. And since a high Ratio is good
from the view point of inventory utilization, the increasing Ratio seems
favorable for NTC.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run positive growth rate of 3.0440 times per year for this Ratio. Based on the
fitted Trend Line, it can be expected that the inventory utilization level of NTC
should improve in coming years.
64
From the tables show that the Average Age of Inventory of NTC for the study
period is 10 days. The average value of 10 indicates that an item of
inventory purchased by the firm remains in the go down for 10 days before
being released for sale or service to its customers (i.e. a typical item of
inventory in the store is replaced every 10th day. The Average Age between
a highest of 13 days in F/Y 2063/64 B.S and a lowest of 8 days in F/Y
2064/65 B.S. The overall value trend shows a downward direction particularly
in the most recent years.. If we see the actual trend, we can find that the
Average Age of Inventory is showing decreasing tendency over time,
particularly for the last four years. And since a lower value is good from the
view point of inventory utilization, the decreasing value is a good indication for
NTC.
The Debtors Turnover Ratio (DTR) is the relation between the sales and the
receivables of a firm. The analysis of Debtors Turnover Ratio supplements
the information regarding the liquidity of one item of current assets of the firm.
It indicates the efficiency with which the firm is able to turn its credit sales into
cash. Generally, the higher a firm's Debtors Turnover, the more efficient its
credit management is supposed to be and vice versa. The Debtors Turnover
is calculated by dividing sales by closing sundry debtors. This Ratio of NTC
for the period of five years along with its Straight Line Trend is calculated.
65
Debtors Turnover Ratio= Sales / Debtors
Table 4.5
Calculation of Debtors Turnover Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Operating Debtors Debtors Straight
Order Year Sales Turnover Line Trend
When X=6, Ŷ = 4.964 {i.e. Expected DTR for next year (year=6)}
The table 4.5 shows that the average DTR of NTC for the past five year was 3.67
times. The average Ratio of 3.67 indicates that each rupee of investment in
receivables is generating sales of Rs. 3.67. It ranges between a highest of 4.82
times in F/Y 2066/67B.S and a lowest of 3.04 times in F/Y 2063/64 B.S. The
overall trend of the Ratio does not show any specific direction. The Ratio
seems to be mildly volatile over time but it has shown marked
improvements over the most recent years of the study period which, if
maintained, can be a very good sign for the credit collection of the NTC. While
comparing with the average, one finds that from F/Y 2066/67, 2065/66, and
2064/65 the Ratio is higher than the average and for F/Y2062/63 to 2063/64B.S
the Ratio is lower than the average.
66
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run positive growth rate of 0.4060 times per year for this Ratio. Based on the
fitted Trend Line, it can be expected that the receivable management of NTC
should improve in coming years.
Table 4.6
Calculation of Average Collection Period
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Order Fiscal Year Debtors Operating ACP (Days)
Sales
1 2062/63 2668942 8309936 116
2 2063/64 2825943 8584144 119
3 2064/65 3099495 10413655 107
4 2065/66 3455511 13967318 89
5 2066/67 3482610 16788359 75
5-Yearly Average 101
Source: Appendix -I I
The table 4.6 shows that the Average Collection Period of NTC over the five
years of study period is 101 days. The average value of 101 indicates that an
invoice of credit receivable remains outstanding for 101 days before being
collected from the customers (i.e. a typical debtor of NTC pays his/her dues
101 days after the purchase of goods/consumption of service). The ACP
ranges between a highest of 119 days in F/Y 2063/64 and a lowest of 75 days in
F/Y 2066/67. While comparing with the average, one finds that from F/Y
67
2062/63, 2063/64 and 2064/65, the values are higher than the average and
for F/ Y 2065/66 and2066/67; the values are lower than the average. The
actual value trends show a humped curve for the overall period of five years. If
we take a close look at the actual trend, we can
find that the Average Collection Period is showing decreasing tendency
over later half periods of the study periods. And since a lower value is
good from the view point of collection efficiency, the decreasing value may
be a good indication for NTC in coming years.
0.266
2 2063/64 9194297 35432582 0.26 0.265
3 2064/65 11058914 39104959 0.26 0.264
4 2065/66 14751623 43529299 0.27 0.263
5 2066/67 17889310 49371223 0.26 0.262
Average of Total Assets Turnover 0.26
Source: Appendix -I I
68
Where,
Total Assets = Current Assets + Total fixed Assets
Total fixed Assets =Net fixed assets + capital work in progress+ Investments)
Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.2670-.0010 (X)
When X=6, Ŷ = 0.261{i.e. Expected TAT Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where, = estimate of the Total Assets Turnover Ratio
= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1
From the table 4.7 shows that the average of the TATR Ratio of NTC for past
five year was 0.26 times which is lower than the general standard average of at
least 1.00 times for this line of business that each rupee of investment in assets is
generating sales of Rs. 0.26 The overall Ratio Trend shows a random movement
of the Ratio over the five year period. Though the Inventory Turnover Ratio is
mildly volatile over time, but for the last 3 -4 years, the Ratio is decreasing
continuously which should be the real cause of concern for the NTC. Unless the
firm generates sufficient volume the further investment in assets will not be
justified.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows
a long run negligible negative growth rate of -0.0010 times per year for this
Ratio. If this Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be
expected that the total assets utilization level of NTC should remain at least
constant in coming years. Continuous expansion of its assets over the recent
years followed by marginal increase in sales has primarily caused TATR to
remain stable. If the firm cannot utilize this expanded capacity in the near
future, the firm may have to make savings its assets investment or else it would
face inactive TATR Ratio.
69
4.2.2.6 Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio (FATR)
The Fixed Asset Turnover measures the efficiency with which the firm has
been using its fixed (earning) assets to generate sales. This Ratio shows the
relationship between sales and net fixed assets of a firm. Generally, higher
turnover is preferred because it reflects greater efficiency in the utilization of
fixed assets.
The Fixed Asset Turnover is calculated by dividing the firm's sales by its net
fixed assets. This Ratio of NTC along with its graphical trend for the period
of five year is shown as follows:
Table 4.8
Calculation of fixed assets turnover ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Fiscal Operating Net Fixed FA Straight
Order Year Sales Assets Turnover Line Trend
1 2062/63 8309936 8094882 1.03 0.944
2 2063/64 8584144 9040917 0.95 1.026
3 2064/65 10413655 10088426 1.03 1.108
4 2065/66 13967318 11361042 1.23 1.190
5 2066/67 16788359 10197703 1.30
Average of Fixed Assets Turnover 1.11
Source: Appendix -I I
From the table 4.8, it is clear that the Fixed Assets Turnover of NTC is in
increasing trend. It ranges from a minimum of 0.95 times in F/Y 2063/64 B.S
70
to a maximum of 1.30 times in F/Y 2066/67 . While comparing with the
average, one finds that in initial 3 years, the Ratios are below the average and
for later three years, the Ratios are above the average. The average Ratio is 1.11
times which indicates that each rupee of investment in fixed assets is generating
sales of 111 paisa., the good aspect is that it is showing a clear upward trend in
5years of the study period. It can be safely termed that the company‟s efficiency
in using its fixed assets is good and it is going toward the right direction in the
most recent years.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a
sizeable long run positive growth rate of 0.0820 times per year for this Ratio. If
this Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected
that the fixed assets utilization level of NTC should improve, at least in coming
years. NTC should try to increase its current level of fixed assets utilization in the
near future.
71
Working Capital Turnover Ratio(WCT) = Sales / Net working capital
Table 4.9
Calculation of Working Capital Turnover ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Source: Appendix -I II
Where,
Table 4.9 shows that the average of the WCT Ratio of NTC for past five year
was 1.538 times and this is lower than the general standard average of at least
2.00 times for this line of business. The ratio seems to be increasing as it
ranges from 1.83 in 2066/67 B.S to 1.1 in 2062/63 B.S. The average Ratio of
1.538 indicates that each rupee of investment in working capital is generating
sales of Rs. 1.538. The overall Ratio Trend shows a upward movement of the
Ratio over the five year period.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
72
run sizeable growth rate of 0.1780 times per year for this ratio. If this ratio is
to move as per the fitted trend Line in future, it can be expected that the total
assets utilization level of the company would be to the level of satisfactory in
the near future.. If the firm cannot utilize added investment in working
capital in the near future, the firm may have to make savings its working
capital investment or else it would face further decline in WTC Ratio.
Funds of owners and creditors are invested in various assets to generate sales, so
the invested capital must be compared & analyzed with sales in order to
examine the efficiency of the company's management in generating revenues
from available capital. The Sales to Capital Employed Ratio, also called Capital
Employed Turnover, have been computed to know how efficiently the long
term capital is employed in generation of revenues. Higher Ratio is
desirable from the viewpoint of owners as well as creditors. The Ratio shows the
future sales promotion condition by appropriate use of long term debt and
capital. This Ratio is computed by dividing sales by capital employed. This
Ratio for NTC for the period of five year is shown in the following table:
73
Capital Employed Turnover Ratio (CET) = Sales/Total Capital Employed
When X=6, Ŷ =0.55 {i.e. Expected CET for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Capital Employed Turnover Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2061/62 = 1
From the table shows that the average of the CET Ratio of NTC for past five
years was 0.476 times, which is lower than the general standard average of at
least 1.00 times for this line of business. Barring a sudden upward swing, the
ratio seems to be steadily increasing over the 5-year period. The Ratio ranges
from the lowest of 0.43 in F/Y 2062/63 B.S to the highest of 0.53 in 2065/66
B.S. The average Ratio of 0.476 indicates that each rupee of investment in
permanent capital is generating sales of just 47.60 paisa. The overall Ratio
Trend shows a positive movement of the Ratio over the five year period. While
comparing with the average, one finds that in F/Y 2062/63, 2063/64 B.S; the
74
Ratio is lower than the average and for F/Y 2064/65, 2065/66 and 2066/67 B.S;
the Ratio is higher than the average.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run positive growth rate of 0.0250 times per year for this Ratio. If this Ratio is
to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that the
volume generated by the permanent capital of the company should increase in
coming years.
75
Total Debt Ratio = Total debt / Total assets
Table 4.11
Calculation of Total Debt Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Fiscal Year Total Debt Total Total Debt Straight
Order Assets Ratio Line
Trend
1 2062/63 12640965 33080441 0.38 0.410
2 2063/64 14746917 35432582 0.42 0.397
3 2064/65 15665379 39104959 0.40 0.378
4 2065/66 16866833 43529299 0.39. 0.359
5 2066/67 15014439 49371223 0.30 0.340
Average of Total Debt Ratio 0.378
Source: Appendix -I II
Where,
Total Debt= Long Term Liabilities + Current Liabilities and provision
Total Assets= Current Assets+ Fixed Assets+ Investments+ Capital Work in
Progress
When X=6, Ŷ =0.549{i.e. Expected CET Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Total Debt Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1
From the table, Total Debt to Total Asset Ratio of NTC from F/Y 2062/63 to
F/Y 2066/67 B.S is presented. In five years study of the period seems
fluctuated .first two year is increasing ,three year 2064/65,2065/66and
2066/67 is decreasing The average ratio for the five t-year period indicates that
the creditors have contributed just around 39% of the fund requirement of the
76
business. It seems that in recent years the Corporation, recognizing the risk and
utilizing the surplus profit, has increased the debt. The Straight line trend fitted
on the basis of least square method shows a long run growth rate of 0.0190
times per year for this Ratio. If this ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend
Line in future, the debt would increase so fast that most of the benefits of
leverage can be recognized.
Ratio shows the position of total debt relative to the owner‟s capital. This
relationship between total debt and net worth shows the outsiders' liabilities as a
percentage of owners‟ capital. There is no exact standard norm of this Ratio, but
in common practice this Ratio will be good for industries of this sort if it is
below 1.5:1. This Ratio is calculated by dividing total debt by net worth. The
table given below shows the Debt Equity Ratio of NTC for five years period
with the Trend Line in accompanying graph.
Where,
Net worth = Total of equity capital + Reserve and surplus - Deferred expenditure
Table 4.12
Calculation of Debt Equity Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
77
Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.7540--0.0480 (X)
When X=6, Ŷ = 0.7534{i.e. Expected Debt-Equity Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Debt-Equity Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1
The from the table shows that the Total Debt to Net worth Ratio of NTC is
increasing year by year. This increase indicates that the organization
deliberately wants to increase its financial leverage/risk and shows the
management's attitude to content with lever up the capital structure of the
organization.. The Ratio ranges from a higher of 0.71 in F/Y 2063/64 B.S to a
lower of 0.42 in F/Y 2066/67 B.S. The average is 0.61 which means that for
each rupee of equity holder's money, the debt holder's have contributed 61
paisa to finance the firm's operation. This Ratio is lower than average in F/Y
2066/2067 and higher than the average in the first four years of the study
period. The average of this Ratio over the study period is clearly much lower
than the general industry norm of 1.5:1.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run sizeable positive growth rate of 0.0638 times per year for this Ratio. If this
Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected
that the debt financing level of the company would almost two third the
equity financing of the Organization in the coming year. Continuous addition
in debt over the study periods followed by marginal increase in total debt in
the same periods has primarily caused D-E Ratio to nosedive over the study
period.
78
employed includes the total explicit cost bearing debt (long term) and
shareholders' equity. This Ratio is computed by dividing LTD by CE. The table
given below shows the LTD to CE Ratio of NTC for five years of study
period. And the figure shows the Trend Line for this Ratio.
Long Term Debt to capital employed ratio = Long Term Debt / Capital Employed
Table 4.13
Calculation of Long - term debt to capital employed ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Order Fiscal Year Long Term Capital LTD to CE Straight
Debit Employed Ratio Line Trend
1 2061/62 11249 20450725 0.0006 0.004
2 2062/63 24238 20707904 0.0012 0.007
3 2063/64 0 23549578 0 0.010
4 2064/65 1191680 27854145 0.0428 0.013
5 2066/67 0 35343894 0 0.016
Average of Long Term Debt Ratio 0.0089
Source: Appendix -I V
When X=6, Ŷ = 0.019 i.e. Expected LTD to CE Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the LTD to CE Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2061/62= 1
The table 4.13 shows the fluctuating pattern of ratios over time. The average
Ratio of 0.0089 implies that out of total capitalization; negligible amount is
financed by permanent debt sources and remaining four-fifth by equity fund.
This may imply a good margin of safety to the company lenders point of view.
But, from the view point of the owners, the reduction in this Ratio position
signifies that the company is not properly utilizing the benefits of the
leverage for magnifying the return to the stockholders.
79
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run growth rate of 0.019 times per year for this Ratio.
Table 4.14
Calculation of Interest Coverage Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Order Fiscal Year Interest EBIT IC Ratio Straight
Exp. Line Trend
1 2062/63 89942 4640610 51.60 63.202
2 2063/64 57732 4979261 86.25 79.600
3 2064/65 65045 6908772 106.22 95.998
4 2065/66 67142 7950464 118.41 112.396
5 2066/067 93307 10964763 117.51 128.794
Average of Total Debt Ratio 96
Source: Appendix -I V
From the table shows the Interest Coverage Ratio of NTC over the study
periods. It seems that the Organization has excellent and all time increasing
80
Coverage Ratios over the period i.e. the debt servicing capacity of NTC
seems quite favorable. But this is a good performance in disguise because
we can see that the organization is reducing its use of long term debt over the
years so fast that the fixed interest burden of the organization becomes almost
negligible in the most recent year. The average Interest Coverage Ratio is 96
times which implies that NTC has been able to cover the interest expenses by
a good margin of safety. In other words, the Organization seems to be able to
earn good operating profit to meet its fixed obligations.
During the study period, the Ratio ranges from a minimum of 51.60 times in F/Y
2061/62 to a maximum of 117.51 times in F/Y 2065/66. In last two years,
there has been remarkable improvement in Coverage Ratio but this all is more
because of declining interest expenses rather than excellent operating profits.
So, the performance of the firm in terms of Interest Coverage Ratio should be
judged carefully in this case.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run sizeable positive growth rate of 16.3980 times per year for this Ratio. If this
Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that
the debt servicing ability of the firm would not be any cause of concern in
coming years. Continuous sharp reduction in long term debts over the study
periods followed steady increase in operating income over the same periods
has primarily caused Interest Coverage Ratio to increase fast over the study
period.
A company should earn profits to survive over a long period of time. Therefore,
profits are essential for a company. But, then, it does not mean that
every action initiated by management of a company should be aimed at
maximizing profits. The social consequence of the actions does also matter.
So, maximum profit consistent with social responsibility should be the long
run objective. It is unfortunate that the word 'profit' is looked upon as a term of
81
abuse since some firms always want to maximize profits at the cost of
employees, customers and society. Except such infrequent cases, it is a fact that
sufficient profits must be earned to sustain the operation of the business, to be
able to obtain funds from investors for expansion and growth and to contribute
towards the social overheads for the welfare of the society.
Profit is the difference between revenues and expenses over a period of time.
Profit is the ultimate 'output' of a company, and it will have no future if it fails to
make sufficient profits. Therefore, the financial manager should continuously
evaluate the efficiency of the company in terms of profits. The profitability Ratio
is calculated to measure the operating efficiency of the company. Creditors and
owners both are interested in the profitability of the firm. If company is
making profits regularly, creditors will also be assured of getting their dues on
time.
The Net Profit Margin measures the relationship between profit and sales
and indicates management's efficiency in manufacturing, administering and
selling the product. This Ratio is the overall measure of the firm's ability to turn
each rupee sales into net profit. A high Net Profit Margin would ensure
adequate return to the owners as well as enable the firm to withstand
adverse economic conditions. A low Net Profit Margin has the opposite
implications. However, a firm with low Net Profit Margin can earn a high rate
of return on investment if it has a higher Inventory Turnover. The Net Profit
Margin is measured by dividing profit after taxes by sales.
82
Net Profit Margin = Net Profit after Tax / Sales
Table 4.15
Calculation of net profit margin ratio and its straight line trend equation using net
profit after tax as profit
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Order Fiscal Year NPAT Total Sales NP Margin Straight
Line Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 8852727 0.37 0.346
The table shows that the average of the NPM Ratio of NTC for past five year
was 44%. The Ratio seems to be stable barring over the study period. The
average Ratio of 0.44 times indicates that each rupee sales is contributing 44
paisa for rewarding the owners. The overall Ratio Trend shows a small swing
in positive direction of the Ratio within the range of 34.60% to 53.40%
over the five year period. The computations show that the Net Profit Margin
upon sales is favorable. With the low Turnover Ratio, further improvement in
NPM is sure to have a positive result on the equity holders' return.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows
growth rate of 0.0470 per year for this Ratio. If this Ratio is to move as per the
fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that the profit margin level of the
83
company in coming years should remain at stable to the firm currently earning.
Continuous increase in the cost composition of the Organization due to
civil war during the period is perhaps showing its effect on the
profitability of the organization.
Table 4.16
Calculation of net profit margin ratio and its straight line trend equation using
earnings after tax + interests after tax as profit
(Rs. in thousands)
Y. F Year NPAT Int. NPAT+I Total Sales NP M Straight
O AT nt.AT Line
Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 8852727 0.382 0.345
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 9194297 0.392 0.400
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 11058914 0.452 0.445
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 14751623 0.388 0.491
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 17889310 0.613 0.537
Average of Net Profit Margin Ratio 0.445
Source: Appendix -I V
84
Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ =0.3080+0.0458 (X)
When X=6, Ŷ = 0.583{i.e. Expected Modified NPM Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Modified NPM Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1
If we eliminate the effect of financing charges from the Net Profit Margin, the
Trend Line ranges between a highest of 61.30% in F/Y 2066/67 to 38.20% in
F/Y 2062/63 B.S. Besides these, the Modified Net Profit Margin Ratio has
similar strengths and weaknesses as general Net Profit Margin Ratio calculated
above.
Table 4.17
Calculation of operating expenses ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
85
Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.4196+.0046 (X)
When X=6, Ŷ = 0.4472 {i.e. Expected OE Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Operating Expense Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1
From the table shows that the average OE Ratio of NTC for past five years is
43.34% which is lower than the general standard average of around 50% for
this line of business. . The Ratio seems to be stable but slightly in increasing
trend as it ranges from a lower of 41.6% in F/Y 2062/63 to 45.10%in F/Y
2065/66 B.S. The average Ratio of 43.34 indicates that the firm incurs a cost
of 43.34paisa for each rupee of sales it generates. Barring F/Y 2062/63, the Ratio
is increasing on year to year basis.. Though the operating expense Ratio is
relatively stable over time, but for the last 3-4 years, the Ratio is increasing
continuously which should be the real cause of concern for the NTC. Unless
the firm takes measures to tame the operating expenses, the situation may go
out of control.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run positive growth rate of 00.46% per year for this Ratio. If this Ratio is to
move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that the cost of
operation of NTC should increase slowly but surely. Continuous increase in
input prices due to inflation and the security situation not accompanied by the
equal sales increase has brought this position.
Here the profitability is measured in terms of profit and the assets. The ROA is
also called return on investment (ROI). The conventional approach of calculating
ROA/ ROI is to divide NPAT by investment/assets. Assets represent pool of
funds supplied by shareholders and lenders, while NPAT represents residue
income of the owners. Therefore, it is conceptually unsound to use NPAT in the
86
calculation of ROA. Secondly, NPAT is affected by the capital structure. It is
therefore more appropriate to use the following formula to compute the
ROA/ROI.
Table 4.18
Calculation of Return on Assets ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal NPAT Interest NPAT Total ROA Straight
Order Year AT Plus Assets Line
Interest Trend
AT
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 33080441 0.10 0.082
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 35432582 0.10 0.109
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 39104959 0.13 0.136
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 43529299 0.13 0.163
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 49371223 0.22 0.190
Average of Return on Assets 0.14
Source: Appendix -I V
When X=6, Ŷ =0.22{i.e. Expected ROA Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Return on Assets Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1
From the table shows that the average ROA of NTC for the study period is 14%
The Ratio seems to be a almost stable as it ranges from 22% in F/Y 2066/67
to 10% in F/Y 2062/63 and 2063/64 B.S. But the real problem is that the
actual trend of this Ratio is showing upward movement particularly in the
most recent years. The average Ratio of 14% indicates that each 100
rupees of investment in assets is generating a profit of Rs. 14 The actual Trend
Line is positive direction.
87
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run is going to positive growth rate 0.027 %per year for this Ratio. If this
Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that
the total assets return level of the company should further progress in coming
years.
The relationship between the after tax return earned by both equity holder and
lender and the capital they provided indicates the efficiency of management
for capital utilization. The Ratio is similar to the ROA expect in one respect.
Here the profits are related to capital employed. The funds employed in net
assets or the funds financed by permanent sources are known as capital
employed. This Ratio shows the effectiveness of management in generating profit
by the utilization of available capital. Higher the Ratio, the more efficient is the
use of capital employed. It is calculated as follows:
Table 4.19
Calculation of Return on Capital Employed ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Fiscal NPAT Interest NPAT Capital ROAC Straight
Order Year AT Plus Employed E Line
Interest Trend
AT
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 20450725 0.17 0.150
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 20707904 0.17 0.182
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 23549578 0.21 0.214
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 27854145 0.21 0.246
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 35343894 0.31 0.278
Average of Return on Capital Employed 0.21
Source: Appendix - V
88
Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.1180+0.0320 (X)
When X=6, Ŷ = 0.310 i.e. Expected ROCE Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the ROCE Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1
The above figures show that the average ROCE of NTC for the study period is
21% As is the case with ROA, this is good if we compare this return with the
cost of debt. But the past trend of this Ratio does not show any clear
downward trend as it is the case with ROA. Therefore, it can be safely said
that the return to the long term stakeholders are better than the return earned
by its assets assuming that cost of the short -term sources are negligible.
The average Ratio of 21% indicates that each rupee of long term fund
employed by the Organization is generating after tax profit of 21 paisa.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows
a long run negligible positive growth rate 0.0320or 3.2 % per year for this Ratio.
If this Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected
that the return level of the long term capital employed by the company should
increase slightly in coming years.
89
well as the operational efficiency of management. We use the following formula
to calculate ROE.
Return on Equity (ROE) = Net profit after tax (NPAT) / Net worth
Table 4.20
Calculation of return on equity ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Year NPAT NET ROE Straight
Order WORTH Line
Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 20439476 0.161 0.145
2 2063/64 3542461 20683665 0.171 0.179
3 2064/65 4936647 23549578 0.210 0.212
4 2065/66 5652688 26662465 0.212 0.246
5 2066/67 10871456 35343894 0.308 0.279
Average of Return on Equity (ROE) Ratio 0.212
Source: Appendix - V
When X=6, Ŷ = 0.313{i.e. Expected ROE Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Return on Equity Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1
From the table shows the ROE of NTC for past 5 years. The average Ratio for
the 5 -year period is around 21.2% which indicates that the equity holders of
NTC earned 21.2 paisa of return on their investment of Re. 1.00 over the last 5
years, on average. It is obvious from the table that after the initial 2 years of the
study period the average ROE for the final of the 3 years has been satisfactory
movement toward positive. NTC has to take measures to make the Ratio more
stable in future which should increase the confidence of the owners.
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run positive growth rate of3.35% per year for this Ratio. If this Ratio is to
move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that the equity
90
holders' return would further go slightly upward from its current level.
The relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Sales Revenue
is measured and tested by Karl Pearson's Co-efficient of Correlation. A positive
Correlation here would imply that the company maintains a stable growth in
its revenue with the growth in the economy as a whole. Insignificant or
negative value would point out the weakness of management to expand and
grow the Organization in the tune of the economic growth. The Regression
Equation would develop a function using which we can predict what the likely
Sales Revenue will be in the coming years with a given GDP estimates.
91
Table 4.21
Computation of Correlation & Regression Co-efficient from the variables GDP and
Sales Revenue
(in ten millions of Rs.)
r= 0.97604
PE= 0.014282723
Source: Appendix - V
Summary of Computations
r = 0.97604
PE = 0.014282723
|r| > PE
|r| > 6 x PE & |r| >0.5
The value of r is found to be 0.98 (see appendix:1) which means that there
exists a high degree of positive Correlation between GDP and Sales
Volume i.e. the two variables increase/decrease strongly in the same
direction. The value of r is far greater than 6 times the probable error, which
means that there is clear evidence of significant association between these two
variables. The computed value of r indicates a cause and effect relationship.
Ŷ = -5165.61+0.1238* (X)
The value of b is found to be 0.1238 (see appendix:2), which means that 1 unit
change in GDP would result in 0.1238 unit change in the Sales Revenue of
92
NTC. Given the forecast of GDP of the country for future by the economists, we
can use the above developed equation to estimate what the revenues of the
NTC would likely to be in the coming years and plan accordingly for future
sales.
Table 4.22
Computation of Correlation & Regression co - efficient from the variables
investments and profit
(Ten million)
Fiscal Year Investments (X) Profit (Y) X2 Y2 XY
2062/63 391.0290728 329.0117 152903.7358 108248.6987 128653.14
2063/64 333.8733695 354.2461 111471.4269 125490.2994 118273.339
2064/65 415.6948417 493.6647 172802.2014 243704.836 205213.8693
2065/66 488.3855717 565.2688 238520.4666 319528.8163 276069.1261
2066/67 837.01821 1087.1456 700599.4839 1181885.556 909960.6641
Total 2466.001066 2829.3369 1376297.315 1978858.206 1638170.139
r= 0.98707
PE= 0.007751949
Source: Appendix - V
93
Summary of Computations
r = 0.98707
PE = 0.007751949
|r| > PE
|r| > 6 x PE & |r| >0.5
The relationship between Sales Revenue and Cost is measured and tested by
Karl Pearson's Co-efficient of Correlation. A positive Correlation here would
imply that most of the Costs of NTC are of variable nature. A low positive
Correlation would imply that the average Cost would go down as the
volume expands. A negative Correlation, which is highly unlikely, would
point out that Cost of NTC decreases with the increase in Sales Volume and
vice versa. The Regression Equation would develop a function, with the help
94
of which, we can predict what the amount of Cost would be in the coming years
with various predicted Sales Levels.
Table 4.23
Computation of Correlation & Regression co - efficient from the variables sales
revenue and total cost
(In million of Rs.)
Fiscal Total Sales Revenue Total Costs
Year (X) (Y) X2 Y2 XY
2062/63 885.2727 430.2059609 783707.7534 185077.1688 380849.5926
2063/64 919.4297 427.2768204 845350.9732 182565.4813 392850.9988
2064/65 1105.8914 421.5188007 1222995.789 177678.0993 466154.0166
2065/66 1475.1623 676.8301882 2176103.811 458099.1037 998434.3771
2066/67 1788.931 701.7854136 3200274.123 492502.7667 1255445.682
Total 6174.6871 2657.617184 8228432.449 1495922.62 3493734.667
r= 0.94451
PE= 0.032550199
Source: Appendix - V
SUMMARY OF COMPUTATIONS
r = 0.994495910
PE = 0.00331
|r| > PE
|r| > 6 x PE & |r| >0.5
95
average, 1 rupee change in Volume (Sales) would result in 9.68 paisa change in
the Total Cost of NTC. Given
Ratio is said to tell more than what is told alone by absolute values
comprising the Ratio. Indexing of two items tell more than the items tell
together. All Ratios computed in chapter four try to measure the financial
position and/or performance of NTC, the core subject matter of this study. The
analysis becomes irrelevant if the corrective actions based on the
suggestion do not make difference.
This research has used two short-term liquidity indicator Ratios. On the basis of
these Ratios, one should say that the overall short -term solvency position of
NTC is satisfactory. Perhaps, because of the service nature of its operation,
NTC has maintained low level of inventory compared with other current
assets components. Hence, the difference between Current Ratio and Quick
Ratio is negligible. Though both these ratios decreasing beyond 2:1. The
nominal negative growth rate shown by the Straight Line Trend is not fair so the
actual trend should not be let to increase this way for long time. Payment
of short term dues and obtaining short term loans under favorable terms and
conditions should not be of problem to the NTC in coming years.
This research has used 7 Turnover Ratios to judge the efficiency of the
component/aggregate of the resources used by the firm in generating volume.
96
The Average Age of Inventory and the Average Collection Period are simply
mirror images of Inventory Turnover and Debtor Turnover Ratios.
Conclusions are solely based on historical Straight Line Trend, Actual Trend
and historical average. The resources we consider about, current assets have
the poorest performance. Though inventory seems to have good utilization rate
compared to other current assets, it is because of the inventory's small size
NTC carries. So NTC should be concerned about its current assets investment
in future. As the increase in sales is not accompanied proportionally by the rate
of increase in working capital. So There seems to be laxity in management in
efficiently mobilizing the working capital. Fixed Assets Turnover/utilization
seems to be improving over time. But it is still far below 1.00 mark which
should make management not to be complacent. The performance of current
assets in terms of volume generation was so poor over time that the
improvement in performance of fixed assets could not compensate it. That's
why the Total Assets Turnover is poor and fluctuating. So, overall, the asset
utilization
position of NTC is termed poor as well as deteriorating over the five years of
study period. NTC should pay constant/close attention on the desirability of the
current size of its current assets investment. If the company can improve asset
utilization, it can charge cheaper rates for its service which would be vital in
coming days because of the competition from the private sector permitted by
the government under its liberalization and open market policy. Its utilization
trend needs to be improved if the Organization has to obtain better return on its
resources. We see that, on average, it takes five months to collect a typical
account from a customer.
This research has, in effect, used 3 Leverage Ratios to judge the extent to
which NTC has been financed with debt and bear fixed obligations. TD to
TA and TD to TE Ratios are essentially the same measure. It seems that NTC
has kept the policy of increasing its debt financing proportion gradually over
the study period. Overall, debt financing proportion increase from
approximately slightly increase of the total assets. The amount of long -term
97
debt used by NTC has decreasing. Capital employed now only consists of equity.
This research has used 6 Profitability Ratios to judge the overall effectiveness
of the firm. The first three Ratios use sales as a base to measure performance,
while the other three use investment/capital as a base to measure performance.
The profitability position shown by the first type of Ratios seems good. The
profit margin are good, operating costs proportion are minimum. But the trends
are not satisfactory enough. The cause may be the destruction of infrastructure
during the civil war and internal problems of the concern. Operating Expenses
Ratio Trend is maintaining its stage up and Modified Net Profit Margin. It
means that operating expenses as well as other expenses are slowly going up
on average over the study period. To reverse this trend, the Organization needs to
put stringent cost control measures in place. The profitability of assets/capital is
also poor. With so huge investment, the average return on assets can safely be
termed as poor. Because of the cheaper debt source, the return to equity holder
could be magnified on average over the study period. Because the
Organization is reducing sharply its long term debt financing (interest bearing)
sources, the shareholders of the Organization can expect to receive lower rate of
return in future on their investments. The after tax return on total assets is also
going in downward trend according to least square method. One of the main
reasons that is said to have adverse effect on its profitability during the most
recent years is the insurgency, which has destructed many of its key structures
all over the country and has resulted in drastic decline in operational profit.
This argument is not totally valid. The Organization has not seem the
provisions of to buy enough insurance to cover destroyed assets Competition is
also going to be a major factor for the downturn of the Organization, if NTC
does not get alert on time and take careful and
measured actions. The way it behaved to its customers under monopoly is
certainly not going to work under competitive market. Secondly, given the
competitors mainly concentrated around big cities, the Organization
subsidizing its rural operation through urban profit is going to face
competition with such a severe constraint.
98
Solvency position, short-term as well as long -term, is good and the direction of
the Ratios which indicate these positions is positive particularly from the
viewpoint of the lenders. But when it comes to resource employment position,
it can be safely said that the turnovers generated by the assets are not
satisfactory. Utilization of working capital in particular is very poor.
Profitability on the operational front seems fairly good but with such low
turnover, this cannot be termed excellent. Moreover, the negative trend of profit
on operation makes the situation even more disappointing. The low rate of
profit on assets/capital accompanied by negative growth rate on these Ratios
shows that asset returns are poor on aggregate. Investments decisions are weak,
operational efficiency are weak, only financial position / management is good.
But even the financial management from the viewpoint of the equity holder
can be termed unsatisfactory because of the reducing leverage benefits to the
Share holders. So, on all fronts, NTC need to have a fresh re- look so that it
can run smoothly in coming days of the 1st century.
Regression and Correlation Analysis are used to see the relationship between
the variables that does not point to the past position and performance but to the
future prospect based on which planning for better performance can be
done. We computed Correlations and Regression Equations between three
pairs of variables. Correlations between all the pairs of variables are highly
positive as per our anticipation. Because the Correlations are highly positive
and significant, one can safely use the Regression Equations to forecast the value
of dependent variables based on the anticipated value of independent variable.
GDP and sales indicate the relationship of volume with that of the expansion
of economy. The higher degree of Correlation between GDP and sales
points out to the fact that the volume of NTC is going to be up as the nation
become more and more affluent. This rate of change in volume as shown by the
Regression Coefficient 'b' is approximately 1.4 paisa per rupee of GDP
99
increased. With such a low turnover position, if the company can achieve the
increased sales without investing much on assets, the overall profitability
position should improve.
The relation between the Investment and profit indicates the profitability on
investment. High and significant Correlation between investment and
profit points to the fact that additional investment, on aggregate; by rupee 1
will lead to increase in profit by just 10 paisa. So, a typical investment project,
NTC is expected to initiate, can expect to earn around 10% Return on Investment,
approximately equal to the 5 years average ROI.
The relationship between sales and investment indicates turnover. The sales and
investment are highly positively correlated means that an increase in
investment would definitely increase sales. But as indicated by the Regression
Coefficient 'b' on average, 1 rupee change in Volume (Sales) would result in
9.68 paisa change in the Total Cost of NTC. Next time when NTC considers
further investment, the company should see that whether the turnover or volume
generated by the investment is sufficient or not.
On sum, the Correlation and Regression Analysis backs the same conclusion we
drew under Ratio Analysis. Profitability on investment is around 10%, which we
already termed poor in Ratio Analysis. As of the relation between sales and
investment, The company should see that whether the turnover or volume
generated by the investment is sufficient or not. The most encouraging
position of the firm as shown by the relationship between GDP and sales is that
the size of firm's sales volume runs parallel with economic (GDP) growth.
100
CHAPTER V
SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
5.1 Summary
As financial health is the key indicator of the success and failure of the
organization. Different financial indicator show to what extent would the
organization is capable to meet the expectations of various stakeholders of the
company. In the light of this main issue of the study has focused to evaluate the
financial performance of Nepal Telecom on the basis of latest available
information. Financial Analysis and planning function is not a decision-
making in itself rather it is an ancillary service, which helps in planning
for those two decisions and evaluating the outcome of those two decisions and
recommending necessary rectifying measures.
To make the study significant, ratio analysis and trend analysis, income and
expense analysis, correlation and regression analysis have been carried out
101
regarding the major variables of NTC. Before the analysis of such financial and
statistical tools the details of the same has been explained in the chapter namely
literature review and for the mathematical calculations research methodology has
been carried out. On basis of the analysis we will conclude our findings and try to
provide some relevant recommendations to the management of NTC so that they
can apply those recommendations if they deem appropriate.
Nepal Telecom as a state owned enterprise has involved in providing the cost
effective and people friendly telecom services in the nation since long time. The
organization has enjoyed monopoly in the telecom market and got policy
privilege during long period. Even thought, with the upcoming of private
sectors telecom, Nepal Telecom has been able to maintain its profit growth.
Nepal Telecom is financially performing well. It has able to use its assets in an
effective manner providing a huge return to the government.
5.2 Conclusion
Nepal Telecom has better performance than other state owned enterprise of
Nepal, in the sense that it is such a state owned enterprise, which is operating
under the net profit margin since the establishment of NTC. Financial
statement of the company shows that the Gross Revenue as well as Net Profit
has increased to a tune of higher rate. The overall short -term solvency
position of NTC is satisfactory. Perhaps, because of the service nature of
its operation, NTC has maintained low level of inventory compared with other
current assets components.
102
So, overall, the asset utilization position of NTC is termed poor as well as
deteriorating over the five years of study period. NTC should pay constant/close
attention on the desirability of the current size of its current assets investment. If
the company can improve asset utilization, it can charge cheaper rates for its
service which would be vital in coming days because of the competition from the
private sector permitted by the government under its liberalization and open
market policy.
Solvency position, short-term as well as long -term, is good and the direction of
the Ratios which indicate these positions is positive particularly from the
viewpoint of the lenders. But
The relation between the Investment and profit indicates the profitability on
investment. High and significant Correlation between investment and
profit points to the fact that additional investment, on aggregate; by rupee 1
will lead to increase in profit by just 10 paisa. So, a typical investment project,
NTC is expected to initiate, can expect to earn around 10% Return on Investment,
approximately equal to the 5 years average ROI.
Overall the company is able to perform well. The general faith of people on the
government telecom will drive the profit of the business in upward trend.
Because of its low price of calls, and effective reach it will prove to be
103
one of the best earning company for the government. If the management is
managed properly, this company should and will provide a huge return to the
government and its shareholders (once the company go public).
5.3 Recommendations
104
Average collection period of NTC is very poor. On average, it takes
more than 4 months to collect a typical account, so the collection effort
needed to be intensified by providing attractive packages to the
customers, providing more authority and accountability to the
concerned officers so that ACP can be reduced to more manageable
level.
105
Set up pro-forma balance sheet and income statements to use these as
a general guideline to determine the size/proportion of investment and
financing items of balance sheet and operational items of the
income statement, so that a standardization and rationalization in
operation, financing and investment can be made.
106
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Jain, S.P and Narang K.L (1989). Financial and Management Accountancy.
NewDelhi: Kalyani Publishers Pvt. Ltd.
107
Pandey, I. M (1999).Financial Management. New Delhi: Vikash Publishing House Pvt .
Ltd
Van Horne, J. C (1955). Financial Management and Policy. New Delhi: Prentice
Hall of India Pvt. Ltd.
Van Horne, J. C. (2000). Financial Management and Policy. New Delhi: Prentice
Hall of India.
Wolf, H. K. & Pant, P. R. (2000). Social Science Research and Thesis Writing.
Kathmandu: Buddha Academic Enterprises.
108
Journals / Articles/ Reports
Modigliani, F and Miller, M.H (1958). The cost of capital, corporation France and
Theory of the Investment. American Economy Review. New York.
Web Sites
http://www.cbs.gov.np
http://www.edunepal.com.np http://www.investopedia.com http://www.nepse.org.np
http://www.nrb.org.np
http://www.ntc.net.np
109
APPENDIX -I
𝑁 ∑ 𝑋𝑌 − ∑ 𝑋 ∑ 𝑌
𝑟=
√[𝑁 ∑ 𝑋 2 − (∑ 𝑋)2 ] [𝑁 ∑ 𝑌2 − (∑ 𝑌)2 ]
𝑟 = 0.97604
0.6745(1 − 𝑟 2 )
𝑃𝐸 =
√𝑁
0.6745 [1 − (0.97604)2 ]
𝑃𝐸 =
√5
𝑃𝐸 = 0.014282723
110
APPENDIX –II
NXY ZY
b
N X 2 ( X ) 2
b = 0.1238
Y X
a b
N N
6174.68 258503.4
a 1.1238
5 5
a = - 5165.61
Ŷ = -5165.61+ 0.1238*(X)
111
APPENDIX –III
𝑁 ∑ 𝑋𝑌 − ∑ 𝑋 ∑ 𝑌
𝑟=
√[𝑁 ∑ 𝑋 2 − (∑ 𝑋)2 ] [𝑁 ∑ 𝑌2 − (∑ 𝑌)2 ]
6174.68 258503.4
ra=0.98707 1.1238
5 5
0.6745(1 − 𝑟 2 )
𝑃𝐸 =
√𝑁
0.6745 [1 − (0.98707)2 ]
𝑃𝐸 =
√5
𝑃𝐸 = 0.007751949
112
APPENDIX -IV
NXY ZY
b
N X 2 ( X ) 2
b = 1.5165
Y X
a b
N N
2829 . 2466.001066
.
a 1.5165
5 5
𝑎 = 182.0766
113
APPENDIX –V
𝑁 ∑ 𝑋𝑌 − ∑ 𝑋 ∑ 𝑌
𝑟=
√[𝑁 ∑ 𝑋 2 − (∑ 𝑋)2 ] [𝑁 ∑ 𝑌2 − (∑ 𝑌)2 ]
𝑟 = 0.94451
0.6745(1 − 𝑟 2 )
𝑃𝐸 =
√𝑁
0.6745 [1 − (0.0.94451)2 ]
𝑃𝐸 =
√5
𝑃𝐸 = 0.032550199
114
APPENDIX –VI
NXY ZY
b
N X 2 ( X ) 2
b = 0.3511
Y X
a b
N N
2657.617184 6174.6871
a 0.3511
5 5
𝑎 = 97.9323
115
Appendix
DISCRIPTION OF PARTICULARS AS PER FINANCIAL STATEM
116
Appendix –I
117
Calculation of inventory turnover ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs.in thousand)
118
Appendix –II
Calculation of Debtors Turnover Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Operating Debtors Debtors Straight
Order Year Sales Turnover Line Trend
119
Calculation of Total Assets Turnover Ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Total Sales Total TA Straight
Order Year Assets Turnover Line
Trend
1 2062/63 8852727 33080441 0.27
0.266
2 2063/64 9194297 35432582 0.26 0.265
3 2064/65 11058914 39104959 0.26 0.264
4 2065/66 14751623 43529299 0.27 0.263
5 2066/67 17889310 49371223 0.26 0.262
Calculation of fixed assets turnover ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Fiscal Operating Net Fixed FA Straight
Order Year Sales Assets Turnover Line Trend
1 2062/63 8309936 8094882 1.03 0.944
2 2063/64 8584144 9040917 0.95 1.026
3 2064/65 10413655 10088426 1.03 1.108
4 2065/66 13967318 11361042 1.23 1.190
5 2066/67 16788359 10197703 1.30
Average of Fixed Assets Turnover 1.11
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom
120
Appendix –III
Calculation of Working Capital Turnover ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Calculation of Capital Employed Turnover Ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Total Capital CE Straight
Order Year Sales Employed Turnover Line Trend
1 2062/63 8852727 20450725 0.43 0.426
2 2063/64 9194297 20707904 0.44 0.451
3 2064/65 11058914 23549578 0.47 0.476
4 2065/66 14751623 27854145 0.53 0.501
5 2066/67 17889310 35343894 0.51 0.526
Average of Working Capital (WC) Turnover 0.476
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal telecom
121
Calculation of Total Debt Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Fiscal Year Total Debt Total Total Debt Straight
Order Assets Ratio Line
Trend
1 2062/63 12640965 33080441 0.38 0.410
2 2063/64 14746917 35432582 0.42 0.397
3 2064/65 15665379 39104959 0.40 0.378
4 2065/66 16866833 43529299 0.39. 0.359
5 2066/67 15014439 49371223 0.30 0.340
Average of Total Debt Ratio 0.378
Calculation of Debt Equity Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
122
Appendix –IV
Calculation of Long - term debt to capital employed ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Order Fiscal Year Long Term Capital LTD to CE Straight
Debit Employed Ratio Line Trend
1 2061/62 11249 20450725 0.0006 0.004
2 2062/63 24238 20707904 0.0012 0.007
3 2063/64 0 23549578 0 0.010
4 2064/65 1191680 27854145 0.0428 0.013
5 2066/67 0 35343894 0 0.016
Average of Long Term Debt Ratio 0.0089
Source: Annual Reports of NTC
Calculation of Interest Coverage Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Order Fiscal Year Interest EBIT IC Ratio Straight
Exp. Line Trend
1 2062/63 89942 4640610 51.60 63.202
2 2063/64 57732 4979261 86.25 79.600
3 2064/65 65045 6908772 106.22 95.998
4 2065/66 67142 7950464 118.41 112.396
5 2066/067 93307 10964763 117.51 128.794
Average of Total Debt Ratio 96
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom
123
Calculation of net profit margin ratio and its straight line trend equation using net
profit after tax as profit
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Order Fiscal Year NPAT Total Sales NP Margin Straight
Line Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 8852727 0.37 0.346
Calculation of net profit margin ratio and its straight line trend equation using
earnings after tax + interests after tax as profit
(Rs. in thousands)
Y. F Year NPAT Int. NPAT+I Total Sales NP M Straight
O AT nt.AT Line
Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 8852727 0.382 0.345
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 9194297 0.392 0.400
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 11058914 0.452 0.445
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 14751623 0.388 0.491
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 17889310 0.613 0.537
Average of Net Profit Margin Ratio 0.445
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom
124
Calculation of operating expenses ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Calculation of Return on Assets ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal NPAT Interest NPAT Total ROA Straight
Order Year AT Plus Assets Line
Interest Trend
AT
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 33080441 0.10 0.082
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 35432582 0.10 0.109
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 39104959 0.13 0.136
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 43529299 0.13 0.163
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 49371223 0.22 0.190
Average of Return on Assets 0.14
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom
125
Appendix –V
Calculation of Return on Capital Employed ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousand)
.
Year Fiscal NPAT Interest NPAT Capital ROAC Straight
Order Year AT Plus Employed E Line
Interest Trend
AT
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 20450725 0.17 0.150
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 20707904 0.17 0.182
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 23549578 0.21 0.214
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 27854145 0.21 0.246
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 35343894 0.31 0.278
Average of Return on Capital Employed 0.21
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom
Calculation of return on equity ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Year NPAT NET ROE Straight
Order WORTH Line
Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 20439476 0.161 0.145
2 2063/64 3542461 20683665 0.171 0.179
3 2064/65 4936647 23549578 0.210 0.212
4 2065/66 5652688 26662465 0.212 0.246
5 2066/67 10871456 35343894 0.308 0.279
Average of Return on Equity (ROE) Ratio 0.212
Source: Annual Reports of NTC
126
Computation of Correlation & Regression Co-efficient from the variables GDP and
Sales Revenue
(in ten millions of Rs.)
r= 0.97604
PE= 0.014282723
Source : Annual Reports of NTC and Economic Survey 064/065 B.S.
PE= 0.007751949
Source : Annual Reports of NTC
127
Computation of Correlation & Regression co - efficient from the variables sales
revenue and total cost
(In million of Rs.)
Fiscal Total Sales Revenue Total Costs
Year (X) (Y) X2 Y2 XY
2062/63 885.2727 430.2059609 783707.7534 185077.1688 380849.5926
2063/64 919.4297 427.2768204 845350.9732 182565.4813 392850.9988
2064/65 1105.8914 421.5188007 1222995.789 177678.0993 466154.0166
2065/66 1475.1623 676.8301882 2176103.811 458099.1037 998434.3771
2066/67 1788.931 701.7854136 3200274.123 492502.7667 1255445.682
Total 6174.6871 2657.617184 8228432.449 1495922.62 3493734.667
r= 0.94451
PE= 0.032550199
Data Source : Audited Financial Reports of NTC
128