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CHAPTER-I

INTRODUCTION

1.1 Background of the Study


The overall development of the nation depends upon the uplifting of the
national economy which in turn depends upon the nature of its infrastructure.
One of the basic elements in achieving self reliant growth of the economy for
sustaining desired level of economic development is an accelerated rate of
infrastructure development. Telecommunication has been identified as one of
the three basic infrastructures apart from Power and Roads, which is needed
for the socio -economic development. Investment in telecom sector has
multiplier effects. It is considered that every rupee invested in
telecommunication sector generates three fold effects in the nation's GDP.
Telecommunication is the pre-requisite for other dimension of development
and it plays an important role for other industries. Information and the
facilities for accessing, processing and disseminating it in electronic form have
become strategic resources as important as and, labors and capital. Thus telecom
has dual role as both a traded product and service and as a facilitator of trade in
other product and services. Moreover Telecommunication can have a
dramatic impact on achieving specific social and economic development
objectives.

In fact the development of telecommunication is not only vital for IT based


industry but it has wide effect on entire economy of the country. Realizing
the facts, Nepal Government has also recognized that the provision of world
class Telecommunication infrastructure is the key to rapid economic and
social development. For bringing telecommunication as the major
infrastructure of development, government has implemented national
communication policy (1992). Introduction of liberalized economic policy in
Nepal has gradually facilitated the private sector investment as a result
multinational companies also showed their presence. At this context, to speed
up the process of telecommunication development, The Telecommunication

1
Act; 1997 was brought into action which has created the competitive
atmosphere in telecom industry which resulted the private sector
investment in the telecommunication industry. As size and sector of
telecommunication grew up to IT,

Telemedicine, e-governance, e-commerce, e- education etc the government


brought the telecommunication policy; 2004 to address the entire
telecommunication sector.

At this point of time, there is various telecom based company which are
actively doing their business. The major telecommunication service providers
are Nepal Doorsanchar Company Limited, United Telecom Limited (UTL) and
Spice Nepal (P) Ltd. Other small Players are STM Sanchar (P) Ltd and
Global Plus. UTL is in the business of fixed basic telephone and limited
mobility mobile telephone of wireless technology whereas Spice Nepal has the
business of Mobile telephone. Both UTL and Spice Nepal have the focus in
urban area only. STM has got the license to perform the business of V-Sat
Telephone of 534 VDCs of eastern development region where as Global plus
has been establishing Tele-centers in various part of Mustang District.

Nepal Doorsanchar Company Limited is popularly known with its name as


Nepal Telecom as a trade mark. In Telephone service, Nepal Telecom is the
key market player as it holds about 64% of total no mobile phones and 89 % of
total no of Fixed Telephones.(NTA-MIS-2064, Jestha) It offers various
services like Basic telephone, Mobile telephone, Internet, email, ISDN,
Leased line etc. The primary objective incorporated by Nepal Telecom
is to provide reliable and affordable telecommunication services in
every nook and corner of the country. It has been expanding the services in
urban as well as rural area to fulfill the socio -economic development
objectives. Nepal Telecom is the member of International
Telecommunication Union (ITU). It has been able to provide its telephone

2
services with STD and ISD services in all the 75 districts of the country. It
has 221 Public Switch Telephone Network (PSTN) exchanges in 72 districts
and has covered 2727 VDC with Telephone service and exerting its best effort
to cover remaining VDC, where its Telephone service is not accessed.
Total Telephone line distribution till Ashadh 2064 BS is 1521224. The
installed capacity of PSTN telephone line is 649539 on the other hand the
organization is working hard to build the one million capacity of CDMA based
Fixed as well as mobile telephone and 3.5 million of GSM based Mobile
telephone within few years. The company has the telephone density of 5.76
per 100 people which one year ago was 4.4. Average revenue per line per
year it generates is Rs 4136. (MIS-2064; Jestha). There are 14411 internet users
and 3878 e-mail users subscribed from the company. There are 3424
International Telephone circuits in operation and domestic microwave
channels available are 4584E1. Similarly Optical SDH-E1 link are in the
figure of 1693 which are owed by the company. East west Optical Fiber link
is considered as information super high way and is expected to bring about IT
revolution in the country. Nepal Telecom has high contribution in the total
revenue of the nation which is about 4.2 % of total national revenue.
Considering the fact. The Company has got the felicitation of „Commercially

Important Person‟ (CIP) from the government. The major portion of the total
revenue of the company is from International Subscriber dialing. These days due
to fall in ISD tariff and illegal use of Voice over Internet Protocol, there is high
fluctuations in the trend of International revenue. Other services provided by
Nepal Telecom in various parts of the country are Telegram, Telex, PCC,
IVR, IN, HCD, V- SAT, ISDN, Inmersat etc which too have their own
importance in revenue generation and serving the people for their information
and communication needs. The quality of service it has produced is considered
to be of international class as the company uses the latest technology of the
reputed International brands. The tariff of service it offers is considered
to be of high rational as compared to the other Telecommunication
operators of the Asian region.
3
Though the company was registered in Magh 2060 BS in office of the
company registrar the company has got the formal inception in Baisakh 2061
BS after all the assets and liabilities of then Nepal Telecommunications
Corporation (NTC) were transferred to it by formal notice of the
government in gazette. Nepal Telecommunications Corporation was state
owned enterprise established in 2032 BS to provide telecommunication in
the nation. Before its establishment the telecommunication service were
managed and distributed by Telecommunication Development Board both as
an operator and authority, a government body under the ministry of
communication. The main reason behind the changing of status of „Nepal

Telecommunications Corporation‟, a state owned enterprise as a public utility

concern to "Nepal Doorsanchar Company Limited (Nepal Telecom)‟ as a


limited company is to transfer the government investment in the organization to
the private sector. This was happened according to the policy of economic
liberalization that the government has adopted. Nepal Telecom is just a
hypothetical company as its entire ownership is yet held by government in
the name of state owned entities. The change of organization status gave
it autonomy to some extent though there is still interference of government in
decision making process. The company is on the process of issuing share to the
public and expected to enjoy full autonomy after its share disbursement to private
sector.

The capital structure of Nepal Telecom consists of only equity capital and at
present Nepal Telecom has the authorized capital of Rs 25 Billion allocated to
250 million shares of each Rs100 Par. Issued and paid up capital is Rs 15 Billion.

The company at its top most level has a seven member Board of Director
(BOD). Chairman is secretary of Ministry of information and Communication;
Members are representatives from Ministry of information and
communication, Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Law, Justice and

4
Parliamentary affairs and Citizen Investment Trust. Other members are
Managing Director and representative from employees (Article of
memorandum-2). Senior Management Committee is the second in hierarchy
which is headed by Managing Director and constitutes senior executives of the
company. Managing Director performs as a Chief Executive Officer (CEO).
Under the Head Office there are 20 departments 4 directorates. The regional
directorates are performing as fully fledged Profit centers. Total approved Post in
NT are 6,984 but the total no of working manpower at present is 5,708 out of
which 880 are Officers and 4,828 are of Assistant level.( MIS-2064;Asadh).

Industrialization and Information revolution has brought the globalization


which is considered as the economic, technical and political integrations of
the people in world. This in reality made the world as a global village. At the
21‟st century people in one corner of the earth is affected by the activities in
another corner. Globalization made trade facilitation around the world. In this
context Nepal could not be alone without affiliating to the global Trade
forum of World Trade Organization (WTO), hence became the member of
World Trade Organization in 2004. Now Nepal is the member of other
regional economic blocks BIMSTEC and SAARC. To become successful in
present global environment of the business, organizations should be able to face
the global competition in quality and cost of the product. In this context Nepal
has adopted the liberalized economy and hence giving up the ownership of
state owned enterprises gradually by participating private sector in the
ownership. The Government is promoting the private sector by various means
which facilitated the investment of private sector, as a result there are various
players doing their business in Telecommunication Industry as well.

In this context Nepal Telecom is facing competition in its services and seems to
face stiff competition in future. Despite the competition rose, the demands of
NT services are high but the company is not able to meet the customers
demand due to various constraints like government intervention, slow
procurement procedure, management style, work culture, mismanagement of
resources etc.

5
Despite the various shortcomings the company plays vital role in
achievement of desired level of national development goal by fulfilling the
need of reliable dimension of infrastructure development.

Role of Nepal Telecom


 To fulfill the need of distance communication
 To add a reliable dimension of infrastructure development
 To introduce emerging technology of communication
 To enhance economic development of nation
 To minimize the digital divide by serving in rural area

1.2 Statement of the Problem

Nepal Telecom as a state owned enterprise has involved in providing the


cost effective and people friendly telecom services in the nation since long
time. The organization has enjoyed monopoly in the telecom market and got
policy privilege during long period. The scenario has completely changed after
recent entry of telecom operators in the market. As those companies are
involved in business of various telecom services the natural monopoly
enjoyed by Nepal telecom tends to be ended. In the emerging liberalized policy
that the government should not involve in the profit motive business except
the sensitive affairs and facilitating jobs, private and multinational
companies were established in the various part of the nation. Similarly the
public enterprises were made private by making them private company or
public limited company. In this scenario, Nepal Telecom a state owned
enterprise is going to issue it ‟s share to the public as a public limited company.
In this context the analysis of financial health of Nepal Telecom as a largest
business enterprise in Nepal would have great deal of importance to the various
stakeholders.

Nepal Telecom as a state owned enterprise; it is complicated to assess the


efficiency with its socio economic development goals but every organization
should have sound financial health to be efficient in the utilization and

6
management of the resources. Proper collection, utilization and management
of the fund are financial management. To make assurance of the strong
financial operation of the company, the empirical analysis called financial
performance analysis can have the great importance.

As most of the organization depends heavily upon the external and


internal information, industrialization without proper access of
telecommunication is difficult to imagine. Nepal is on the process of
industrialization and people have the demand of new and new technology and
telecommunication is now thought to be basic requirement in urban area
and important means of development in rural sector. In this context, there is
high demand of NT services and it does have a little market competition.
Despite the fact NT has not seen efficient to fulfill the demands.

The Balance sheet shows the huge amount of cash and bank balance lying
idle. Volume of sundry debtors seems to be very large. Various studies related
to the NT pointed out the problem of its outstanding debt collection and high
liquidity position. Further suggestion is that NT management should estimate
immediate required funds and either invest the entire excess fund in
marketable securities, or use that fund in refunding debt as the interest it pays
for loan for capital investment is less than the rate of earning in liquid fund.
Studies have shown that the return on total assets is not so good.

Thus the problem toward which this study is directed is assessment of


financial operation of Nepal Telecom. So, the present research tries to solve
the following research questions:-

 What are sources of long term financing on Nepal Telecom?


 If assets utilization in Nepal Telecom is efficient?
 What is the position of Nepal Telecom to meet the current obligations?
 Is the company providing fair rate of return?

7
Financial analysis may not provide exact answer to these questions but it
does indicate what can be expected in the future.

1.3 Objective of the Study


Objectives of the study are guidelines by which the study can be
conducted in a systematic manner. The main objective is to assess the
strengths and weakness of Nepal Telecom. The specific objectives are:
 To analyze the financial performance of Nepal Telecom through
financial analysis.
 To foresee the future trend of different financial ratios.
 To study the relation between sales with total cost, sales with GDP
and Investment with profit.
 To offer the Package of suggestions to improve the financial performance
of Nepal Telecom

1.4 Significance of the study


Analysis of financial performance is a crucial part of financial decision
making process of business enterprise. Poor financial management affects
adversely on liquidity, turnover and profitability. It is required to measure the
financial position of the enterprise periodically in order to ensure smooth
function of an enterprise. Financial analysis assists in identifying the
major strengths and weakness of a business enterprise. It indicates
whether a firm has enough funds to meet the obligation, a reasonable
accounts receivable collection period, an efficient inventory management
policy, sufficient plant property and equipment and adequate capital
structure, all of which are necessary if a firm is to achieve the goal of
maximizing shareholder's wealth. Financial analysis can also be used to assess a
firm's viability as an ongoing enterprise and to determine whether a satisfactory
return on investment is being earned for the risks taken.

Nepal Telecom is an enterprise of great national concern. It has to face


stiff competition in near future as private players are already entered and

8
there is open door to further enter. The government is going to participate to the
private sector in its ownership. So the concerned parties are looking over its
performance with keen interest. As a state owned enterprise it has the
obligation of socio economic development with its profitability concern. So
the insight over financial position of Nepal Telecom; leading
telecommunication service provider in the nation will be useful to provide
information to stakeholders and draw attention of concerned management
regarding what can be done for further strengthening the financial position.
Further it will be important for the following groups and individuals.

 Present and perspective customers


 Present and perspective investors
 Policy making authority
 Further researchers
 Government
 ICT based companies

1.5 Limitation of the study


There will be some limitations while undergoing this study. The main
limitations of the study will be:

 This study is based on the 5 years financial reports.


 Only the financial aspect and financial structure analysis shall be made
with bird eyes view, the other area such as Marketing, Human Resource,
Research and Development aspects are also the combined input to
measure the overall efficiency.
 Secondary data are collected from annual reports of the concerned
enterprises,
so the study suffers from all those limitations that are associated with
these reports.
 The study makes the analysis of financial performance of Nepal
Telecom; it may not be applicable to any other enterprise.
 There is time and budget limitation.

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1.6 Organization of the study

The study is divided in the following five chapters as prescribed by the


university.
Chapter I : Introduction
Chapter II : Review of Literature
Chapter III : Research Methodology
Chapter IV : Presentation and Analysis of Data
Chapter V : Summary, Conclusion and recommendations

First Chapter focuses on general background of the study. It deals with major
issues to be investigated along with general background of the study,
statement of problem, objective of study with organization of the study. This
chapter signifies the rational of this study.

Second chapter deals with conceptual consideration and review of related


literature which provide a framework with the help of which the study has
been accomplished. In this chapter major empirical works has been also
discussed.

Third Chapter is devoted to methodological approach employed in this


study. This chapter includes research design, nature and sources of data,
population and samples, method of analysis and definition of key terms.

The fourth chapter deals with the techniques used in analyzing the collected data
and its presentation in the descriptive and analytical manner. This chapter also
deals with the strengths, weakness, opportunities and challenges faced by Nepal
Telecom.

The fifth chapter consists of summary, conclusion, and recommendation of the


study.

10
CHAPTER-II
REVIEW OF LITERATURE

The review of literature basically highlights the existing literature and research
work related to the present research being conducted with the view of finding out
what had been already explained by the authors and researchers and how the
current research adds further benefits to the field of research. This review
of literature had been classified into three subgroups as follow.
 Theoretical review
 Review of related articles/journal/booklets
 Review of related dissertations

2.1 Theoretical review


Finance is concerned with those activities related to money. Previously finance
was limited for procurement of long term fund. Due to industrialization,
technological innovations and intense competition, there has been a vast change
in the philosophy of management. Likewise the discipline of financial
management has undergone an unprecedented change. "Financial
management is that managerial activity which is concerned with planning and
controlling of the firm's financial resources (Pandey; 2004:31).

Evaluation of financial performance is a study of overall financial position of


any organization. It is closely related to the decision making. In the modern
context, it gives vital support for the investment decisions, financing
decisions and dividend decisions. Financial performance analysis is undergone
with the help of periodically made financial statements of the firm.

2.1.1 Financial statements


The Financial Statements are the means of presentation of a firm's financial
condition and basically consist of two types of statements - The Balance
Sheet & Income Statement. These are prepared to report the overall

11
business activities as well as financial status of the firm for a specified
period to its stakeholders. These contain

Summary of information regarding financial affairs that is organized


systematically. The top management is responsible for preparing these
statements. “The basic objective of financial statements is to assist in
decision making. The analysis and interpretation of financial statements
depend on the nature and type of information available there in”. (Panday;
2004: 31)

Hence financial statement refers to any formal and original statement that
discloses the financial information related to any business concern during a
period. The income statements and balance sheet usually prepared at the end of
each financial year show the firm‟s position.

A) Balance Sheet
Balance sheet is one of the basic financial statements of an enterprise. It is also
called the fundamental accounting report. As the name suggests, the balance
sheet provide information about financial standing or a position of a firm at a
particular point of time usually end of the financial year. It can be
visualized as a snapshot of the financial status of a company (Khan and Jain;
1993:13).

Balance sheet summarizes the assets, liabilities and owner‟s equity of a


business at a moment of time, usually at the end of the financial year. Balance
sheet is a financial statement, which contains information regarding different
capital expenditures made on purchase of assets on particular date and
information regarding various sources of funds acquired by the business
concern to finance these assets and also the different sources of capital and
liabilities at that particular point of time.

B) Income Statement
Income statement is designed to portray the performance of the business

12
firm for specific period of time i.e. for a year or month or quarter. The business
revenues and expenses resulting from the accomplishment of the firms
operation are shown in the income statements. It is the “Scoreboard” of the
firm‟s performance during particular period of time. It shows the summary of
revenues, expenses and net income or loss of a firm for a particular period of
time. Income statement also serves as a true measure of the firm‟s profitability.
(Khan and Jain; 1993:15).

2.1.2 Financial Analysis


Financial analysis is the process of determining financial strengths and
weaknesses of a company by establishing strategic relationship between the
components of a balance sheet and profit and loss statement and other operative
data (Pandey; 1999:96)

In the word of Myer, '"Financial statement analysis is largely a study of


relationship among the various financial factors in a business as disclosed
by a single set of statements and a study of the trends of these factors as
shown in a series of statement.”(Myer; 1961:4)

Financial statement analysis involves the use of various financial statements.


These statements perform several things. First, the balance sheet summarizes
the assets, liabilities and owner's equity of a business at a moment in time,
usually the end of a year or a quarter. Next, the income statement summarizes
the revenues and expenses of the firm over a particular period of time, again
usually a year or quarter. While the balance sheet represents a snapshot of the
firm's financial position at a moment in time, the income statement depicts a
summary of the firm's profitability over time. From these two statements
certain derivate statements can be produced, such as statement of retained
earnings, a sources and uses of funds statements and a statement of cash flows
etc. (Van Horne; 1996:56)

"Financial analysis is the process of identifying the financial strengths


and weaknesses of the firm by properly establishing relationship between the
items of the balance sheet and profit and loss account. (Pandey; 2004:560).
13
Analyzing financial statements is a process of evaluating relationship
between component parts of financial statements to obtain a better
understanding of a firm's position and performance. (Metcalf; 1976:157)

In the words of Raymond P. Neveu, "Financial statement analysis allows


managers, investors and creditors as well as potential investors and creditors to
teach conclusion about the recent and current status of a corporation” The
checking of financial performance in a business deserves much attention
in carrying out the financial position. It also requires to retrospective
analysis for the purpose of evaluating the wisdom and efficiency of financial
planning. Analyzing of what has happened should be of great value in
improving the standards, techniques and procedures of financial control
involved in carrying out finance function.

The four basic statements contained in the annual report are the balance
sheet, the income statement the statement of the retained earnings and the
statement of cash flows. Investors use the information contained in
these statements to form expectations about the future levels of earnings and
dividends and about the risks of these expected values. Financial statement
analysis generally begins with the calculation of a set of a financial ratios
designed to reveal the relative strength and weakness of a company as
compared to other companies in the same industry, and to show whether the
firm's position has been improving or deteriorating over time. (Weston;
1996:306) Financial analysis is that sort of calculation which is done with
the help of annual report. And the annual report would contain the essentials for
such analysis. So the data retrieved from the annual report is indispensable for
the financial analysis.

It is both an analytical and judgmental process that helps answer questions that
have been properly posed. Therefore, it is means to end. Apart from the specific
analytical answer, the solutions to financial problems and issues depend
significantly on the views of the parties involved, the related importance of
the issue and on the nature and reliability of the information available. (Helfert;
1992:2)
14
Financial appraisal is a scientific evaluation of profitability and financial
strength of any business concern. Financial appraisal is the process of
scientifically making a proper, critical and comparative evaluation of the
profitability and financial health of a given concern through the application
of the techniques of financial statement analysis. A complete financial
analysis and interpretation of financial statement involves the assessment of
past business performance, an evaluation of the present condition of the
business and the predictions about the future potential for achieving expected or
desired results.(Jain;1996:36- 37)

The analysis and interpretation of financial statement depicts the actual position
of a firm regarding the objectives of that firm within a specified period of time.
"Financial appraisal is a process of synthesis and summarization of financial
and operative data with a view to get an insight into the operative activities of a
business enterprise. It is a technique of X-raying the financial position as well
as progress of a concern" as observed by Robert H. Wessel.

According to Man Mohan "The main function of financial analysis is the


pinpointing of the strengths and weakness of a business undertaking by
regrouping and analysis of figures contained in financial statements by
making comparison of various components and by examining their contents.
This can be used by financial managers as the basis to plan future financial
requirement by means of forecasting and budgeting procedures.”

"Financial statement analysis involves a comparison of firm‟s performance with


that of other firms in the same line of business which often is identified by
the firm's industry classification. Generally speaking, the analysis is used to
determine the firm's financial position in order to identify its current
strengths and weakness and to suggest actions that might enable the firm to
take advantage of the strengths and correct its weaknesses."(Weston; 1996:78)

"Financial analysis is used primarily to gain insight into operating and


financial problems confronting the firms with respect to these problems. We

15
must be careful to distinguish between the cause of problem and symptom of it.
It is thus an attempt to direct the financial statements into their components on
the basis of purpose in the one hand and establish relationships between these
components and between individual components and totals of these items on
the other. Along with this, a study of various important factors over the past
several years is also undertaken to have clear understanding of changing
profitability and financial condition of the business organization.”(Hampton;
1998:99)

Thus, Jain says "Much can be learnt about business performance and
financial position through appraisal of financial statements, the appraisal
or analysis of financial statements spotlights the significant facts and
relationship concerning managerial performance, corporate efficiency,
financial strength and weakness and credit worthiness that would have
otherwise been buried in a maze of details.”(Jain; 1996:37)

2.1.3 Objectives of Financial Analysis


Financial analysis enables us to explore various facts related to the past
performance of business and predicts about the future potentials for achieving
expected results. Major objectives of analysis of financial statement are to
assess various factors in relation to the business firm as presented below.
 The present and future earning capacity or profitability of the concern
 The operational efficiency of the concern as a whole, and of its various
parts or departments.
 The short-term and long-term solvency of the concern.
 The comparative study regarding to one firm with another firm.
 The possibility of developments in the future making future forecasts
and preparing budgets.
 The financial stability of business concern,
 The rea1meaning and significance of financial data, The long term
liquidity of its fund.

16
2.1.4 Need of Financial Analysis/ Financial Statement Analysis
The need for the analysis of financial statement arises in order to address
the following questions. (Pradhan; 2000: 47-48)
 How was the firm doing in the past? Was there any problem? If so, in what
Area?
 How it is doing at present? Is it doing better compared to the
past performance, competitors and industry average? Is there any
problem at present? If so, in what areas?
 What about the future? Is there any likely problem on the way in the
future? What will its position be in the future?
 What corrective actions can be taken now to solve the problems and
improve the performance? How will the recommendation of any course of
actions or changes in the policy or practice help solve problems and
improve the company's position?
 What are the expected results of recommendations? Are there any
improvements?

2.1.5 Significance of Financial Analysis


Significance of analysis lies on the objectives of financial analysis of any firm.
The facts discovered by the analysis are perceived differently by
different groups associated with the concern. The facts and the relationships
concerning managerial performance, corporate efficiency, financial strengths
and weaknesses and credit worthiness are interpreted on the basis of objectives in
the hand.

 Such analysis leads management of an enterprise to take crucial


decisions regarding operative policies, investment value of the
firm, internal financial control system and bargaining strategy for
funds from external sources. (Agrawal; 1993:582)
The parties that are benefited by the results or conclusion drawn
from the analysis of financial performance can be numerated as
(Srivastava;1993:58-59)

17
 Top Management
 Creditors
 Shareholders
 Economists
 Labor Unions

A) Top Management
The responsibility of the top management is to evaluate:
Are the resources of the firm has been used effectively and efficiently? Is the
financial condition of the firm sound enough? On the basis of past facts, firms
can anticipate their future. Hence, top management can measure the
success or failure of a company's operations, determine the relative efficiency
of various departments, process and products appraise the individual's
performance and evaluate the system of internal audit.

B) Creditors
The creditors can find out the financial strength and capacity of the borrower to

meet their claims. Trade creditors are interested in the firm‟s ability to meet their
claims over a short span of time. The suppliers of long term debt focus upon

the firm‟s long term solvency and survival. A lending bank through and
analysis of these statements can decide whether the borrower retains the
capacity of refunding the principal and paying interest in time or not.

C) Shareholders
The shareholders, who have invested their money in the firm' s shares are most
concerned about the firm's earning. They evaluate the efficiency of the
management and determine about the necessity for the change. In large
company the shareholder's interest is to decide whether to buy, sell or hold the
shares. They wish to buy the shares in case of sound performance of the firm
where as they simply intend to hold the shares in the condition of satisfactory

18
performance. But they are hurried to sell the shares in case of poor
performance.

D). Economists
To diagnose the prevailing status of business and economy, economists
analyze the financial statements (of any firm). The government agencies
analyze them for the purpose of price regulation; rate setting and similar other
purposes.

E). Labor Unions


Productivity is the synonym of well-motivated labors. Labor unions are
interested in rights and benefits of labor to enhance the moral of labors. For
further motivation they expect increase in wages, fringe benefits and so on.
These benefits are affected by the company's profitability condition. Therefore
the union assesses the financial condition of the firm to determine whether the
firm is in the situation or not to make such facilities available.

2.1.6 Process of Financial Analysis


Financial analysis basically financial statement analysis, is a technique of
answering various questions regarding the performance of a firm in the past,
present and the future on the basis of past performance. The analysis
recommends the steps to be taken by financial managers while undergoing the
assessment of financial position. The questions, that as elucidated above create
the need to follow certain steps such as first identification and analysis of
problem in order to come up with appropriate recommendations, and then to
project the expected results and examine them if there are improvements before
implementing such recommendations.

19
2.1.7 Types of Financial Analysis
In the words of Man Mohan “The nature of financial analysis differs according
to the purpose of the analyst. A distinction may be drawn between various types
of financial analysis either on the basis of material used for the same or
according to the modus operandi of the analysis”

A.) According to material used


1. External Analysis
It is made by those who do not have access to the detailed records of the
company. This group, which has to depend almost entirely on published
financial statements, includes investors, credit agencies and governmental
agencies regulating a business in a nominal way.

2. Internal Analysis
The internal analysis is accomplished by those who have access to the
books of accounts and all other information related to the business. While
conducting this analysis, the analyst is a part of the enterprise he is analyzing.
Analysis for managerial purpose is the internal type of analysis and is conducted
by executives and employee of the enterprise as well as governmental and court
agencies which may have major regulatory and other jurisdiction over the
business.

B. According to Modus Operandi Analysis


1. Horizontal Analysis
When financial statements for a number of years are reviewed and
analyzed, the analysis is called horizontal analysis. As it is based on data from
year to year, rather than on one date or period of times as a whole, this is
also known as dynamic analysis.

2. Vertical Analysis

It is frequently used for referring to ratios developed for one date or for
one accounting period. It is also called static analysis. Besides, the types of

20
financial analysis on the basis of material used and modus operandi, S.P Jain
and K.L. Narang have categorized on the basis of objective of the study.

C) According to Objective
1. Long Term Analysis
This is made in order to study the long term financial stability, solvency and
liquidity as well as profitability and earning capacity of a business concern.
For the long run success of a business concern, this analysis helps in the long
term financial planning.

2. Short Term-Analysis
This is made to determine the short-term solvency, stability and liquidity as well
as earning capacity of the business. This analysis is helpful for short term
financial planning.

2.1. 8 Techniques of Financial (Statement) Analysis


The fundament of the analytical technique is to simplify or reduce the data
under review to the understandable terms. There are various tools and
techniques of financial statement analysis, each of which is used according to
the purpose for which the analysis is carried out. The widely used techniques are
as follows:
a. Ratio Analysis
b. Du Pont System of Financial Statement Analysis
c. Common Size Analysis
d. Funds Flow Analysis
e. Cash Flow Analysis

a. Ratio Analysis:
Ratio analysis has been used as a major tool in the interpretation and
evaluation of financial analysis. The term ratio refers to the numerical
quantitative relationship between the two items/variables. A ratio is
calculated by dividing one item of the relationship with the other base. In
financial analysis, a ratio is used as a yardstick for the evaluation of financial
21
performance of the firm. "The analysis of financial ratio involves two types of
comparison. First, the present ratio may be compared with the past and
expected future ratios for the same company and second, the method of
comparison involves comparing the ratios of one firm with those of similar
firm or with industry averages at the same point, in time. Such comparison
gives insight into the financial performance of the firm." Ratio analysis is widely
in use. It may not give the entire picture of an enterprise. Ratios themselves
are not conclusion. They are only the means. The Ratios are calculated
from data available in the financial statement of an enterprise. The Ratio
completed from the available data are numerical, there should not be the
tendency to regard them as a precise portrayals of a firm true financial status.
For some firms, accounting data may closely approximate economic reality, for
others, it is necessary to go beyond the figures in order to obtain their
financial condition of performance.

Types of Ratios
Different Ratios can be calculated from the available data in the financial
statement. Broadly Ratios are classified in four groups. They are:
a) Liquidity ratios
b) Capital structure/leverage ratios
c) Activity ratios
d) Profitability ratios

a) Liquidity Ratio
Liquidity refers to the ability of enterprises to pay its current liabilities.
Liquidity implies the utilization of such funds of the firm which are idle or in
very little amount. A proper balance between the two contradictory
requirements i.e. liquidity and profitability are required for the efficient
financial management. The more current assets associated with high liquidity
and low profitability and vice versa. The less current Ratio and quick Ratio
are the most widely used ratios for the general purpose to measure the liquidity
position of an enterprise.

22
b) Capital structure/leverage ratios
The Capital Structure/Leverage Ratio is associated with the long -term solvency
of an enterprise. The long -term creditors would judge the soundness of a firm
on the basis of long term financial strength measured in terms its ability to
pay the interest regularly as well as repay the installment of principal due to
dates or in one lump sum at the time of maturity. Leverage Ratios show how
much of an enterprise's fund are financed by debt & equity. These Ratios also
show the prospects for future financing.

The Capital Structure Ratio indicates the soundness of capital structure


of an enterprise. It can be calculated on two ways. The first approach is to
examine what proportion of borrowed capital occupies the capital structure i.e.
calculated the Debt to Total Capital Ratio. The second approach is to examine
the number of times the interest earned covered by earnings and to calculate
the fixed charges covered by earnings.

c) Activity ratio
An Activity Ratio may be defined as the test of relationship between sales and
various types of Activity Ratios. Activity Ratios are employed to evaluate the
efficiencies with which the firm manages and utilizes its assets. These
Ratios are also called Turnover Ratios because they indicate the speed with
which the assets are being covered or turned over into sales. So Activity
Ratios presume that there exists an appropriate relationship between sales
and various assets. The more important Activity Ratios for general -urpose
analysis are Inventory Turnover Ratio, Total Assets Turnover Ratio, Fixed
Assets Turnover Ratio, Capital Employed Turnover Ratio etc.

d) Profitability Ratio
Profitability is very important aspect of management of any enterprise. It
shows the overall performance of an enterprise. The Profitability Ratios
are calculated to measure the operative effectiveness of an enterprise.
Besides management of the company, creditors and owners are interested in
the Profitability Ratios of the firm.

23
Profitability Ratios can be calculated on the basis of either sales or investment.
The important Profitability Ratios, calculated in relation to sales are Net
Profit Margin, Gross Profit Margin, and Operating Expenses Ratio etc.
Similarly, the important Profitability Ratios, calculated in relation to
investment are Return on Shareholders' Equity, Return on Capital Employed,
and Return on Fixed Assets etc. Together these Ratios indicate the firm's
efficiency of operation. (Panday, 1998:133).

b. Du Pont System of Financial Statement Analysis:


"The Du Pont system is designed to show how the profit margin on sales, the
assets turnover ratio and the use of debt interact to determine the rate of
return on equity.”(Weston & Copeland 1996:307)

The Du Pont system of financial statement analysis is developed by the


financial experts of the Du Pont Company by putting together the effects
of profitability, investment and the equity ratios. The approach is based on the
relationship among the three basic areas of the firm such as (i) cost controlling
area (ii) Assets management area and (iii) Financial leverage area. The
directed to address the concern of the shareholders; hence its main focus is
on the return on equity (ROE). The ROE is analyzed in terms of the factors
that directly affect the ROE. The factors such as costs, assets utilization and
leverage ratio are the grounds on which several test are made to see how the
ROE is affected by such factors. The following modified Du Pont Chart
presents the relationship among these factors and ROE.

24
FIGURE

Chart of Du pont system of Financial Analysis

ROE

Equity ROA
Multiplier

Equit Total
Total Assets Profit
y Assets
turnover Margin

Equit Debt
y Total Assets Sales Sales Net
Profit
Equit Total
Equit Equit Equit
y Assets
y y y Total Sales
Cost
Current Net Fixed
Assets Assets
Taxes Non Operatin
Operating g Cost
Cost

Account Inventories Cash & Machine Land &


Receivable Marketable equpment Building

25
For a business firm, the return on assets (ROA) is the rate of return on the total
investment that includes both equity and debt capital. The ROA does not reflect
the actual rate of return to equity holders. What reflects the return for stock
holders is the return on their money (i.e. ROE), which is generally higher than
the ROA. Thus ROA is an overall measure and reflects the overall performance
of the company. The Du

Pont system addresses the concerns of stockholder and focuses on ROE.


Du Pont equation defines ROE as a product of ROA and equity multiplier and
ROA as a product of profit margin and total assets turnover.
The Du Pont equation is as follows:
ROE= ROA x equity multiplier
= profit margin x total assets turnover x equity multiplier
= (Net profit/sales) x ( sales/total assets) x ( total assets/ equity)

c. Common Size Analysis


The common size analysis is another technique of analyzing the items of
financial statement on relative terms. Under this method, the percentage of
every item in the income statements and balance sheets is carried out for past
several years to determine the performance trend of each item during the period
under analysis. After analyzing the rising, falling or constant trend of
efficiency in the business operation one can make comparison with the
industry average or competitors.

The common size analysis is carried out for a period of one or more. The
income statement items are divided by sales and expressed as a percentage of
sales. The balance sheets items are divided by total assets and expressed as
percentage of total assets. These percentages for a company are compared with
the standard measures such as percentages calculated in the same manner
industry and the competitors.

Thus, the comparison shows the company's performance relative to


competitors as well as compared to it own past record.

26
d. Funds Flow Analysis

Funds flow analysis is the statement of changes in financial position of any


organization that determines only the sources and used of fund between two
dates of balance sheet. It is prepared to uncover the information that
financial statements fail to describe clearly. It describes the sources from
which funds were derived and used to which these funds were put.

The statement is prepared to summarize the changes in assets and liabilities


resulting from financial and investment transactions during the period as well
as those changes occurred due to the changes in owner‟s equity. It also
uncovers the way of using financial resources during the period by the firm.

Method of preparing funds flow statement depends essentially upon the sense in
which the term 'fund" is used. There are three concept of fund: cash concept,
total resources concept and working capital concept. According to cash
concept, the word fund is synonymous with cash. Total resources concept
refers total assets and resources as fund. The term' fund" represents only to
working capital on the stated last concept However, working capital
concept of fund has gained wide acceptance as compared to the other
concepts. Therefore any transaction that increases the amount of working capital
is taken as source of fund while conducting funds flow analysis. Any transaction
that decreases working capital is treated as application. But, any transaction
that affects current liabilities or current assets without resulting any changes
in working capital is not taken as sources or use.

e. Cash Flow Analysis


This statement is carried out to know clearly the various items of inflow outflow
of cash. It is different from funds flow analysis in the sense, the analysis relates
to the movement of cash rather than the inflow and outflow of working capital.

It deals the causes of changes in cash position for the period of two balance
sheets date in brief. At the time of preparing cash flow statement, only cash
receipt from debtors against credit deals are considered as the source of

27
cash. Similarly, cash purchases and cash payments to suppliers for credit
purpose are regarded as the uses of cash. The same holds true for expenses
and incomes outstanding and prepaid expenses are not to be considered under
this analysis.

2.1.8 Limitations of Financial Analysis

Financial performance analysis is of great significance for investor, creditor,


management, economist, and other parties having interest in business. It helps
management to evaluate its efficiency in past performance and takes decision
relating to the future. (Jain, 1989 -33) However, it is not free from drawbacks.
Its limitations are listed below.

(a) Historical nature of financial statements:


The basic nature of statements is historical. Past can never be a precise and
can never be perfectly helpful for the future forecast and planning.

(b) No subject for judgment:


Financial analysis is a tool to be used by experts, analysts etc. to evaluate
the financial performance of firm. That's why it may lead to faulty conclusion if
used by unskilled analyst.

(c) Reliability of figures:


Reliability of analysis depends on reliability of the figures of the financial
statements under scrutiny. The entire working of analysis will be vitiated by
manipulation in the income statement, window dressing in the balance sheet,
questionable procedures adopted by the accountant for the valuation of fixed
assets and such other facts.

(d) Single year analysis is not much valuable:


The analysis of these statements relating to single year only will have limited use
and value. From this, one cannot draw meaningful conclusion.

28
(e) Result may have different interpretation:
Different users may differently interpret the result derived from the analysis.
For example, a high current ratio may suit the banker but it may be the cause of
inefficiency of the management due to under-utilization of fund.

(t) Change in accounting methods:


Analysis will be effective if the figures derived from the financial statements are
comparable. Due to change in accounting methods the figures of current period
may have no comparable base, and then the whole exercise of analysis will
become futile.

(g) Pitfall in inter-firm comparison:


When different firms are adopting different procedures, records, objectives,
policies and different items under similar heading, comparison will be more
difficult. If done, it will not provide reliable basis to assess the performance,
efficiency, profitability and financial condition of the firm as compared to the
whole industry.

(h) Price level change reduces the validity of analysis:


The continuous and rapid changes in the value of money, in the present day,
economically also reduces the validity. Acquisition of assets at different level
of prices make comparison useless as no meaningful conclusion can be drawn
from a comparative analysis of such items relating to several accounting periods.

(i) Selection of appropriate tool :


There are different tools of analysis available to the analyst. The tools to
be used in a particular situation depend on skill, training, intelligence and
expertise of the analyst. If wrong tool is used, it may lead to wrong conclusion.
This may be harmful to the interest of business.

29
2.2 Review from Articles \ Journal
Acharya (1999), in his article „Present status of NTC and privatization‟,
suggested to utilize its fund rather that accept high interest bearing loans for
capital investment, since the rate of earning in liquid fund is less than the rate of
interest it pays for the loan.. In another article, again has suggested utilizing its
internal resources. He concluded, “It has become possible to maximize profit
utilizing internal resources with minimum cost. On the other hand, liquidity
position of the corporation is quite high as it keeps capacity to pay off whole
debt at once if the circumstances so required.”

Neupane (2006), "Increasing bad debt: matter of thinking‟ in his articles,


pointed out some facts about the bad debt and doubtful debt of Nepal Telecom
during 2055/56 BS to 2059/60 B S.

He found the amount of doubtful debt is in increasing trend and Bad debt is in
fluctuation trend. He concluded the following reasons;
 There is no clear cut strategies and vision to recover bad debt in time. There is
lack of inter office coordination to collect receivables.
 It has seen that there delay payment by government offices which has
enhanced others to make delay payment or remain unpaid.
 There is lack of motivation to employees as they feel recovery of bad debt is
a risky
job.
 In some cases, there is unauthorized use of telephone service and organization
has no effective control mechanism.

A study on the performance of PEs of Nepal was conducted by the Management


Consultant Company. In the study it was concluded that the assets
management, in general Current Assets Management in particular were weakest
point in Nepalese PEs.

30
It was pointed out that financial performance of the PEs was poor and indicated
management of the resources. The report also pointed out that because of
the lack of operational objectives, application of the long run planning, use of
modern management tools. Capital budgeting and efforts towards cost control
had not seen made so far. The study thus pointed that there was poor current
assets management and management of resources in PEs of Nepal thereby
causing poor financial performance.

Shrestha, (2001) “Analysis of capital structure of selected enterprises”


pointed out that majority of corporations in our country had large amount of
government investment and they possess huge amount of assets. He also
pointed out that the existing assets were not fully utilized in many
corporations. As for example, according to him, it was found that there had been
large amount of construction materials remaining without use in NTC,
underutilized assets and holding of useless assets by NTC and so on. It‟s the
fund concept as effective system of conversion was what out corporate
managers must think to change their traditional view of funds as “cash to cash”
transaction

Upadhaya, (2007) in his article “Five years financial projection of Nepal


Telecom” published in 3 rd Anniversary Souvenir 2007. He highlights Nepal
Telecom have to invest on modern technology in time and optimum utilization
of the technology so as to guide for the high return on investment. Only
investing on modern technology may not be sufficient to get the required return
on investment its optimum utilization is must other wise the investment in
new technology cannot give the return. Investment in modern new technology
may turn riskier for the company. He had analyze past five year financial data
of NTC and tried to project the financial future of the company. He found
that the operating profit of NTC is slightly increasing this is due to decreasing
of operating expenses. Study shows that NTC is successful to manage cost
efficient. Return on assets is about 26% this means Company is able earn
26% profit in terms of total assets. He projects the future five years financial
performance of NTC by using regression analysis, judgmental approach.

31
According to his projection growth rate on return will remain around 4.69%.

Strategic plan of 7th phase of NTC-2002 based on the analysis of the period 1996-
2000, has drawn attention upon the investment environment of NTC as follow.
 Total income is increasing
 Liquidity is also increasing
 NTC has got sufficiently good fund for investment.
 There is high possibility of external funding to NTC as it has strong base
to pay the loans back on due time.

2.3 Review of Related Dissertations


There are few researches that have been made in the areas of financial
performance of NTC. Most of the researches have not been fully able to
explain the financial condition of this organization. Thus an attempt has been
made to review the available thesis, which is relevant to this study. Most
research works have been done in the areas of manufacturing. But there are few
in the areas of public utilities.

Adhikari (1995), on his unpublished thesis "An Evaluation of financial


Position of Nepal Telecommunications Corporation" the main objectives of the
study are: -

 To highlight the different aspects of NTC.


 To analyze, examine and interpret the financial position of NTC by
using various techniques.
 To give workable recommendation, if there are weaknesses
inherent in the corporation.

The Main Findings were

 Liquidity position

There is no serious liquidity problem in NTC. The current Ratio of NTC is 1.15
times. The current assets of NTC are greater than current liabilities in each
fiscal year. It shows the better liquidity position of NTC. But it does not mean
32
that there is not any liquidity problem in NTC. The current Ratio is affected by
the huge amount of sundry debtors. The coefficient of orrelation between
current assets and current liabilities is 0.99 04 and the probable rror of the
correlation is .0089. This means that both the variables are positively correlated
and the corporation has been following a uniform policy to finance current
assets and current liabilities.

 Utilization of Fixed Assets


NTC has invested the huge amount in purchasing the fixed assets but the
revenue generating ability is very low in comparison to investment, which is
only 0.04 times. This shows that there is no effective utilization of fixed assets
in generating revenue.

 Utilization of Total Assets


There is increasing trend in the size of total assets but it is not significant. The
total assets turnover ratio is very low. On an average, the total assets turnover
ratio is only 0.22times. Therefore, it can be said that the management of
NTC is not able to utilize the assets properly.

 Receivables Management
From the analysis of financial statement, we know that sundry debtors are the
most sensitive sector for the management of NTC. In an average, the collection
period is 132 days. Only in two fiscal years, the collection period is below the
average debt collection period and in other three years the collection period
is highly greater than the standard debt collection period. Because the
receivables are taking long period to be collected, there is very low debtor's
turnover ratio. Therefore, it can be inferred that the firm is not adopting
proper receivables management policy. When referred to NTC management, it
has set 90 days as standard collection period.

 Return on Total Assets

It is already mentioned that NTC has been operating under the profit position

33
over the five years study period. But return on total assets percentage shows
poor performance. On an average, NTC is able to earn only 3.88% rate of
return on total assets. This shows the very low profitability position. In the first
four fiscal years, it has not even been able to cover the average rate of return on
total assets. But it has shown some improvements in the last fiscal year of the
study period. In most of the fiscal years, the return is very low in relation to
total assets. It means return has not increased as increment in the investment of
assets.

Adhikari shows major issues and gaps as follows:


 There is no effective utilization of assets in NTC.
 NTC has been seriously facing the problem of outstanding debt collection.
In each fiscal year, the collection period is too long in comparison to the
allowed collection period.
 Profit earned by NTC is not sufficient to make it self-reliance in its activities.
 Increment of cost in each fiscal year is another important issue of NTC.
It is not adopting the cost control tools and techniques.
 NTC is not able to fulfill the requirement of funds from the successful
operation of the corporation's activities. It has been taking considerable
amount of loan to fulfill the requirement of funds.

Another hottest issue is that NTC is not conducted under the business principle.
The idea of privatization is coming into the telecommunication sectors boost.
But NTC is not in a position to meet the competition with the private sectors

Aryal (1999), has submitted the Thesis entitled “Working Capital Management
in Nepal Telecommunication Corporation”
Objectives of the study were;

 To appraise working capital of NTC with respect to cash, receivable


and inventory management.
 To know how far NTC is being able to utilize its current assets properly.
 To evaluate the credit policy of NTC and its effectiveness.

34
 To study the relationship between sales and different variables of working
capital.
 To shed light on creation and mobilization of fund in NTC.

The Major findings were.


 NTC kept its large portion of profit as retained earning. There are no
systematic techniques used for managing the cash in NTC.
 The fund collected from different sources is used mainly to purchase of
fixed assets. Large portion for purchase or current assets and in repayment
of current liabilities some amount is used in purchasing marketable securities.
 The size of current assets were increasing rapidly than the fixed assets.
Which indicates the conservative policy in current assets. Size of working
capital in NTC is far greater than the industry average.
 Cash and bank balance constitute the most important and largest element of
working capital in NTC. About 36%of current assets is held as cash during
the study period. The
 Growth trend of current assets is highly increasing than the total assets and
net sales. The increasing trend of receivable seems to be consistent with the
increase in net sales. But the size of cash has been increased in an
inconsistent manner, which is the main cause of rapid increase in current
assets.
 NTC kept excess amount of working capital. The volume of sales
seems to be increasing every year. But rate of growth in working capital
is higher than that of sales. Therefore, the turnover ratios are continuously
decreasing every year
There has been excess liquidity position in NTC. The relationship between
liquidity and profitability ratio does not follow any regular trend during that
period. There is no correlation between liquidity and profitability. This
condition does not meet the proposition that „Higher the liquidity lower the
profitability‟. Calculation of t -statistic shows that there is no significance
difference between liquidity and profitability in NTC.

35
 There is no comprehensive long/midterm planning or control system of
account receivable in the corporation. Larger amount is still due from many
a last years and the amount of doubtful debt covers a significant portion of the
account receivable.

The Recommendations were as follows.


 Optimize liquidity position
 Concentrate on collection of outstanding bills. As credit terms and
standard are too much liberal in NTC. NTC should make appropriate
decision regarding credit terms, credit standard and policy.
 Apply cash management techniques so as to invest excess fund
in marketable securities.
 It would be better to pay off long term loan by using internal fund as
NTC has large amount of internal fund lying idle on one hand and a
significant portion of total fund is provided by high interest bearing
loan on other.
 The financial position should be timely assessed through financial
experts in order to know the financial strengths and weakness.
 Long term and midterm planning and control system of account
receivable and cash budget should be prepared.

Neupane, D. K (2001) had make study on the topic "A Study on Profit
Planning in Nepal Telecommunications Corporation". The general
objective of the study was:

 To examine the present comprehensive profit planning system applied by


NTC.
The other specific objectives of the study were to highlight NTC to analyze
functional budgets adopted in the Corporation, to analyze Ratio Analysis and
variances of NTC, etc.

36
The Main findings were as follows:
 Budgets are prepared for the formalities. The corporation has no skilled
planners
 NTC has not adequately considered controllable and non - controllable
variables affecting the organization.
 Actual sales line trends are always below the budgeted sales lines. Net Profit
of NTC is in increasing trend.
 Huge amount of cash is remaining idle.
 There is no clear-cut criterion to separate cost into fixed and variable.
Turnover Ratio is not so good even it enjoys monopoly market.
 The Recommendations were as follows:
 NTC must restructure its capital structure.
 Long term objectives should be reformulated. Estimation of fund is needed.
 CVP relationship should be considered while formulating profit plan.
 There should be timely address of the weakness shown by the evaluation.
 A separate Profit Planning department must be established.

37
CHAPTER - III
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

Introduction
The basic objective of the study is to appraise the true picture of the financial
performance of Nepal Telecom and to recommend necessary suggestions for
the improvements. Financial analysis is the process of identifying the
financial strengths and weakness of the firm by properly establishing the
relationships between capital and assets of the organization. Financial
analysis plays an important role in finding the real picture of financial
performance of any organization. It provides an idea to the management
while adopting the financial policies.

The study requires an appropriate research methodology so as to achieve its


objectives. The purposeful methodology has been followed for the fulfillment of
the stated objectives. The methodology consists of research design, nature
and sources of data, data collection procedure, data processing, sample and
population and tabulation and analytical tools used.

A human nature is so curious and always wants to do something new and


different. For this, several questions raises in his mind and to get the answers,
he should gather information from different sources and analyze them to get
the result. The researcher for gaining the knowledge about method of goal
achievement, when we desire, is known as research methodology (Joshi;
2001:12-13). Research methodology is the way to solve systematically about the
research problem. (Kothati;1990:39)

3.1 Research Design

Research Design is the plan structure and strategy of investigation conceived so


as to obtain answer to research questions. The research is based on recent
historical data as well as primary source of information. The study will

38
explore the financial position of Nepal Telecom. The financial position refers
to the amount of resources i.e. assets and liabilities of the company on the
specific period and the results of their utilization. To conduct the study both
descriptive and analytical research approaches has been adopted. Descriptive
approach is utilized for conceptualization, problem identification, conclusion
and suggestion of the study whereas analytical approach will be followed for
the presentation and analysis of data. Thus the study is analytical as well as
exploratory in nature. The data have been analyzed on the basis of standard
financial formulas used in the book of financial management.

3.2 Population and sample


As the study concerns to the financial position of Nepal Telecom, the study
tries to draw conclusion by analyzing yearly financial statement of the
organization. Thus the entire fiscal years are considers as the population and the
five years from 2060/2065 are taken as sample.

3.3 Types and sources of data


The main source of data for the purpose of this study is the published financial
statements of Nepal Telecom. The study is thus mainly based on the
secondary data. However a good effort has been made to draw the vital
information by gathering and analyzing primary source of information. It
constitutes mostly the annual reports, which comprises balance sheet and
profit and loss account statement. Information has also been supplemented
from various publication of Nepal Telecom. All other available published
and unpublished material concerning the study as well as some journal abstracts
will also be used in the study. The data has been processed through editing,
coding and classification of the collected data. Present data have been analyzed
using various analytical as well as descriptive financial and statistical tools. The
reliability of the study and its findings depends upon the mainly on secondary
data

39
The major sources of data and information are as follows:
 Website of Nepal Telecom: http://www.ntc.net.np
 Annual Reports and other published documents of Nepal Telecom.
 Economic Survey F/Y 2064/065, Ministry of Finance, HMG/N
 Various Planning Documents, National Planning Commission HMG/N
Telephone inquiries
 Materials published in paper and magazines.
 Various Research Studies, Dissertations and articles related to the subject.

3.4 Data Collection Procedure


The main sources of data are secondary and they are collected directly from
official records and published statements. The researcher has consulted
concerned officials for data and information. Verification and clarification of
data has been done through discussion with the concerned authority.

3.5 Data processing


The balance sheet, income statements and the profit and loss accounts of the
company for 5 years create from 2060/061are collected for the convenience of
the study. Then all the raw data are processed and presented in tabular form
with the help of simple arithmetic rules. Entire raw data are converted into
approximate and condensed in the form of consolidated balance sheet and
income statement. Most of the data have been compiled in one form and
processed and interpreted as per the need of the study. The secondary
type of data is presented for the analytical purpose after the tabulation of data.
This type of data processing will help to present the clear situation of financial
position of Nepal Telecom.

3.6 Analytical Tools Used in the Study


Since the study is concentrated on Financial Performance of Nepal Telecom
some important financial as well as statistical tools and techniques are used for

40
the analysis. The major tool employed for the analysis of this study is the ratio
analysis that establishes the quantitative relationship of two variables of the
financial statements. Ratio Analysis is the basic tool used for the study and is
considered to be the powerful tool of financial analysis. Beside ratio analysis,
various other financial tools and statistical tools have been studied.

3.6.1 Ratio Analysis


Ratio Analysis Ratio analysis is a widely used tool of financial analysis. Ratio
analysis is a powerful and important tool of financial analysis, which helps in
identifying the health of the organization. In other words, Ratio analysis helps
the analyst make qualitative judgment on the firm's financial position as well as
performance.

It presents the actual situation of the organization. It provides guideline especially


in spotting trend towards better or poor performance. Since financial
efficiency is vital element to achieve the goal, the management should be
aware of the current financial position. If present condition can be assessed
correctly, then the management can predict the future position, and take
corrective actions to improve the financial position. So it is very important for
any organization to analyze its financial position with the help of ratio analysis.

Ratio analysis helps in identifying the strengths & weaknesses of the


organization. Through Ratio analysis, one can meaningfully summarize the
large quantities of financial data to make qualitative judgment about the
firm's financial performance as well as financial position. The financial
Ratio is simply the relationship between two figures taken mainly from the
financial statements of a business firm. Mathematically, Ratio refers to
the numerical or quantitative quotient between two variables. A Ratio is
calculated by dividing one item of the financial statement with other. The
primary purpose of Ratio is to point out areas of further investigation. Ratio
analysis is used as a major tool in interpreting and evaluating financial
statements.

41
Ratio analysis stands for the process of determining and presenting the
relationship of items and groups of items in the financial statement.
According to Van Horne, "to evaluate the financial condition and performance
of a firm, the financial analysis needs certain yardsticks. The yardstick frequency
used is a Ratio or index relating to pieces of financial data to each other."(Van
Horne, 1998:759)

3.6.1.2 Types of Ratio Used


Ratio may be classified in number of ways keeping in view of the particular
purpose. There are different views about classification of ratio analysis.
According to James C Van Horne,” Different types of ratios namely
liquidity ratio, leverage ratio , turnover ratio and profitability ratios are
used in analysis of the financial position of a company.” The study considers
only those ratios, which are essential for decision making of capital
structure. Following ratios are used to know the financial performance of Nepal
Telecom.

A) Liquidity Ratio
B) Turnover Ratio/Assets Management Ratio / Activity Ratio
C) Profitability Ratio
D) Leverage/ Solvency Ratio/ Debt Management Ratio

A. Liquidity Ratio
Generally, the first concern of the financial analysis is liquidity. It tests whether
the firm will be able to meet its maturing short-term obligations or not. The
preparation of cash budgets & funds flow statements is required for detailed
liquidity analysis of a company, but Liquidity Ratios provide a quick and easy
measure of liquidity as it shows the relationship between cash & other current
assets to current liabilities. Two commonly used liquidity Ratios are
presented here. This Ratio helps to analyze the financial capacity of NTC to
repay current liabilities and short - term loan.

42
I. Current Ratio
Commonly used to measure the short term solvency of the firm. It is a measure
of short - term financial liquidity that indicates the availability of the rupees of
current assets for each rupee of current liabilities. "The higher the Current
Ratio, the larger is the amount of rupees available per rupee of current
liability, the more is the firm's ability to meet current obligations and the
greater is the safety of funds of short - term creditors."(Khan, 3Ed: 4) . The
current assets normally include those assets that can be converted into cash
within a year; such assets are marketable securities, accounts receivable and
inventories. Current liabilities generally include those obligations maturing
within a year; such liabilities are accounts payable, short term notes payable,
current maturities of long term debt, accrued income taxes and other accrued
expenses etc. The Current Ratio is calculated by using this formula.

Current Ratio = Current asset/ Current Liabilities

II. Quick Ratio


The Quick Ratio is calculated by deducting inventories from current assets and
dividing the remainder by current liabilities. Generally, quick assets mean those
types of assets that can be converted into cash quickly without any loss in
value. So cash is considered the most liquid or quick asset and other quick
assets include sundry debtors, bills receivables, marketable securities etc.
Inventories are typically the least liquid of the firm's current assets and the assets
on which losses are most likely to occur in the event of liquidation. Therefore,
the measure of the firm's ability to pay off short term obligation without relying
on the sale of inventories is important.

Quick Ratio = (Current Assets - Inventory) / (Current Liabilities)


OR
Quick Raio = Quick Assets / Current Liabilities

B. Activity Ratios
"Activity Ratios are used to measure the speed with which various accounts
are converted into sales or cash."(Lawrence, 5th Ed;1997). Funds have been

43
invested in various assets fixed as well as current to generate sales and profits in
the firm. And these Ratios, also called Turnover Ratios, are employed to
evaluate the efficiency with which the firm manages and utilizes its assets. So it
involves a relationship between sales and various types of assets. A number of
Ratios are available for measuring the activity of the firm.

I. Inventory Turnover Ratio


Inventory Turnover Ratio indicates the efficiency of the firm in producing
and selling its product. It is the measurement of how quickly inventory turns
into sales. Generally, the higher the Inventory Turnover Ratio, the better is the
inventory management. Low Ratio is either the sign of slow moving / obsolete
inventory or the sign of excess inventory level than warranted by the production
& sales activities. A very high Ratio should also be carefully analyzed as it
may be the result of carrying too low level of inventory. Due to this situation,
the firm might suffer from the problem of frequent stock outs and frequent
replenishment in small volume which adversely affect the total cost of
maintaining the inventory (ordering and carrying costs). Thus neither too
high nor too low Ratio should be better for the company. It is calculated by
dividing, the cost of goods sold by average inventory.

Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods Sold / Average Inventory


In the absence of information on cost of goods sold, one can use the
following formula to find Inventory Turnover Ratio.

Inventory Turn Over Ratio = Sales / Inventor

Where, Average inventory is the closing balance of inventory.


We can also calculate the Average Age of Inventory dividing the number of
days in a year i.e. 360 by inventory turnover ratio. It shows the average length of
time, inventory is held by the firm.

Average Age of Inventory = 360 / Inventory Turnover Ratio

44
II. Debtors (Account Receivable) Turn Over Ratio
Many firms sell their goods both for cash and credit. And when goods are sold
for credit to the customers, debtors are created. Debtors Turnover Ratio
indicates how many times debtors are turned into cash each year. Generally
higher value of this Ratio indicates the management of credit is more efficient.
Debtors Turnover Ratio is calculated dividing credit sales by average debtors.
But in the absence of information about a firm's credit sales and opening &
closing balances of debtors one can calculate this Ratio dividing sales by
closing balance of debtors.

Debtors Turnover Ratio = Credit Sales / Average Debtors


OR
Debtors Turnover Ratio = Sales / Debtors

III. Average Collection Period (ACP)


The average number of days in which debtors remain outstanding is
called Average Collection Period. It can be computed as follows.

ACP = Debtors / Average Credit Sales Per Day


OR
ACP = Debtors*360 / Credit Sales

But in the absence of information about a firm's credit sales, the Ratio will be
calculated as follows:

ACP = Debtors/ Average Sales Per Day


Or
ACP = Debtors*360 / Sales

IV. Assets Turnover Ratios


Assets Turnover Ratio is simply the relationship between sales and
assets. Several Assets Turnover Ratios can be calculated. But only
four types of Assets Turnover Ratios are calculated in this research.
45
a). Total Assets Turnover Ratio
This Ratio shows the relative efficiency in utilizing its resources in order to
make output by the firm. It is calculated by dividing sales by total assets.

Total Assets Turnover Ratio = Sales / Total Assets

b). Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio


Fixed Assets Turnover measures the relative efficiency of utilizing fixed or
earning assets to generate sales by the firm. And it is calculated simply
dividing sales by net fixed assets of the firm.

Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio = Sales / Net Fixed Assets

V. Working Capital Turnover Ratio


A firm may like to relate net working capital to sales to judge the efficiency of
net current assets employed by the firm. It may computed net Working
Capital Turnover Ratio by dividing sales by net working capital.
Mathematically,
Working Capital Turnover = Sales / Net Working Capital
This Ratio indicates the amount of sales generated by each rupee of current
assets that is financed by permanent fund.

VI. Capital Employed Turnover Ratio


Capital Employed Turnover indicates the amount of sales generated by
each unit of permanent capital employed in the business. It can be taken as
refined estimated for Total Assets Turnover. It is also called Net Assets
Turnover. It excludes the amount of current liabilities from total assets to
arrive at the amount of capital employed. Fund financed by current liabilities
is not considered as a part of true capital because it is argued that current
liability financing frequently changes its size. Mathematically,

46
Capital Employed Turnover Ratio = Sales / Total Capital Employed Where;
Total Capital Employed = Total Assets - Total Current Liabilities

C. Profitability Ratios :
Profitability Ratio is the main concern of the owners and the management of the
firm. The management of the firm always wants to know how efficient the
operation of the firm is. Likewise the owners of the company always expect a
reasonable return for their investment in the firm. For this reason, profitability
Ratio can be a good measurement of the operating efficiency and profitability of
the firm. By the help of the Profitability Ratios, one can make a quick and clear
view towards the firm's Profitability, Return on Assets, and Return on
Equity and Earnings per Share etc. In general, Profitability Ratios can be
determined by two different factors of the financial statements. One is related to
the income statement i.e. sales, expenses etc. and the other one is related to the
balance sheet i.e. the investments, capital etc.

Profitability Ratios Related To sales:


These Ratios explain how much profit earned or how much expenses
occurred by the company on each rupee of its sales. The following
Profitability Ratios related to income statement are presented here.

I. Net Profit Margin :


Net profit is the residue of revenue over total costs. The costs include
operating & selling expenses, interests, and taxes. The Net Profit Margin
Ratio measures the relationship between Net Profit and sales of the firm. It
indicates the ability of the management in running the business efficiently in
terms of revenue generation, costs of producing goods & services, operating &
selling expenses, costs of borrowed capital and making a reasonable return for
its owners. It is computed by dividing net profit after tax by sales.

Net Profit Margin = Net Profit After Tax (NPAT) / Sales

47
Some Scholars does not consider interest charges as the expenses of the firm in
computing Net Profit Margin. To exclude the effect of financing charges on
profitability, they used the following alternative formula for computing Net Profit
Margin Ratio:

Net Profit Margin = (NPAT + Interest After Taxes) / Sales

II. Operating Expenses Ratio


The Operating Expenses Ratio explains the changes in Operating Profit Margin.
This Ratio is computed by dividing operating expenses by sales. Operating
expenses consists of cost of goods sold, selling expenses and general and
administrative expenses excluding interests.

Operating Expenses Ratio = Operating Expenses / Sales

Profitability Ratios Related To Investments:


Another computation of Profitability Ratios is related to investments. It is called
Return on Investment (ROI). But there are different concepts of investments
in financial literature: assets, capital employed and shareholders' equity. Based
on these, the ROI also categorized in different categories:

 Return on Assets
 Return on Capital Employed
 Return on Shareholders' Equity.

III. Return on Assets (ROA)


Here, the Profitability Ratio is measured in terms of the relationship between net
profits and the assets of the firm. Different approaches are applied to define
Net profit and assets for calculating ROA. But we will apply net profit after tax
(NPAT) plus interest and total closing assets for this study. It is computed as:

Return on Assets = (NPAT + Interest After Taxes)/Total Assets

48
IV. Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
This is another type of ROI and a little different from ROA. Here, profit is
related to the capital employed which is equal to net fixed assets plus net
working capital or shareholders' equity plus long term debt. It is calculated as:
ROCE = (NPAT + Interest After Taxes) / Capital Employed
Where,
Capital Employed = Owner's Equity + Total Long Term Debt

V. Return on Equity (ROE)


Common or ordinary shareholders are entitled to the residual profits. "While
the ROCE expresses the profitability of a firm in relation to the funds
supplied by the creditors and owners taken together, the Return on

Shareholders' Equity measures exclusively the return on the owners‟

fund."(Khan, 3Ed: 4). A Return on Shareholders‟ Equity is calculated to see the

profitability of owners' investment. The shareholders‟ equity or net worth will


include paid - up share capital, share premium and reserves and surplus less
accumulated losses. Net worth can also be found by subtracting total liabilities

from total assets. It is computed as net profit after taxes divided by shareholders‟
equity.

Return on Equity = Net Profit After Taxes (NPAT) / Net Worth (NW)

D. Leverage Ratios
Leverage Ratios measure the firm's ability to meet its long - term obligations.
These also indicate how much levered the firm is. In other words, from
Leverage Ratios, one can easily know, how much long - term debt is being
used in the company and whether the company will be able to pay the debt or
not when due. The Leverage Ratios are the main concern of long - term
outside creditors such as debenture holders, banks, and financial institutions etc.
"The short term creditors like bankers and suppliers of raw materials are more
concerned with the firm's current debt paying ability. On the other hand,

49
long term creditors, like debenture holders, financial institutions, etc. are
more concerned with the firm's long term financial strength."(Pandey, 7Ed:
211) So Leverage Ratios are calculated to judge the long-term financial position
of the firm. Some basic types of Leverage Ratios are:

I. Debt Ratio
The Ratio of total debt to total assets, generally called the Debt Ratio,
measures the percentage of funds provided by creditors. In other words, this
Ratio shows the proportion of interest bearing debt in the capital structure.
Debt Ratio is calculated by dividing the total debt by total assets (net). Total
debts include both current and long - term debts and total assets (net) include
net fixed assets plus current assets. In the outside creditors' view, low Debt
Ratios are preferred because the lower the Ratio, the greater the probability
against their losses in the event of liquidation while in the stockholders'
view, the reverse is preferred because the high leverage will increase the
probability of expected earnings. But there should be an appropriate mix of
debt & equity financing for better health of the company.

Debt Ratio = Total Debt/ Total Assets

II. Debt Equity Ratio


Debt Equity Ratio reflects the relative portion of creditors' and shareholders'
claims upon the total assets of the company. It can be computed by dividing total
debt by net worth.

Debt Equity Ratio = Total Debt / Net Worth

III. Long -Term Debt Ratio


Long - Term Debt Ratio explains the leverage in terms of long - term
capitalization and it is calculated dividing long - term debt by capital employed.
Capital employed consists of long term debt plus net worth.
Long -Term Debt Ratio = Long -Term Debt/ Capital Employed
50
Where;
Capital Employed = Long -Term Debt + Net Worth

IV. Interest Coverage Ratio:


It is also known as 'Time-Interest-Earned Ratio'. This Ratio measures the
debt servicing capacity of a firm insofar as fixed interest on long term debt is
concerned. Higher Ratio is preferable both from the view point of lenders as
well as from the view point of the owners. This Ratio, as the name suggests,
shows how many times the interest charges are covered by the EBIT out of
which they will be paid. In other words, it indicates the extent to which a fall in
EBIT is tolerable in the sense that the ability of the firm to service its interest
payments would not be affected. It is determined by dividing by dividing
the operating profits or earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) by fixed
interest charges on debts.

Interest Coverage Ratio = EBIT / Interest

3.6.1.3 Comparison of Standards


"The Ratio analysis involves comparison for a useful interpretation of
the financial statements."(Pandey, 2005: 104) A Ratio itself could not help
much to the analyzer unless he/she makes comparison of it with some
standards. There are many types of standards available for comparisons. The
important ones are:
a. Past Ratios
b. Projected Ratios
c. Competitors' Ratios
d. Industry Ratios

Comparison with past Ratios of the same company may be suitable to evaluate
performance over a period of time of a company. It is known as time series
analysis or trend analysis. Projected Ratios are future Ratios that are developed
from projected financial statements of the company. Comparison with future

51
Ratios helps to find whether the company's performance is accordance with
the long term planning or not. Comparison with competitors' Ratio is also
called cross-sectional analysis. The analyzer compares the company's
performance with its competitors' and finds the company's relative financial
position / performance. Industry Ratios are always useful to compare the
company's performance with whole the industry's as it is from the same
industry. "This sort of analysis, known as the industry analysis, helps to
ascertain the financial standing and capability of the firm vis -à-vis other firms in
the industry."(Pandey, 2006: 105)

Among various types of comparisons, this research mainly uses the past
Ratios for meaningful analysis of NT's financial performance.

3.6.2 Statistical Analysis


Facts and figures about any phenomenon whether it relates to population,
production, sales, profit or any other matters are called 'statistics'. In this sense,
the term statistics is considered synonymous with figure. To the layman, the
term statistics usually carries only the nebulous and too often distasteful
connections of figures. "The word statistics refer either to quantitative
information or to a method of dealing with quantitative information." (Gupta,
1983:1). This Research applies the following statistical tools for the
required financial analysis.

 Arithmetic Mean
 Correlation Analysis
 Regression Analysis

3.6.2.1 Arithmetic Mean


The Arithmetic Mean is the most popular and commonly used measures of
central tendency, which represents the entire data by a single value. The
Arithmetic Mean of values of variable in a given set of observation is the
summation of all the values of the variables divided by the number of
observations. In general, X1, X2, X3... ..., Xⁿ are given observations up to Nth

52
term, then their Arithmetic Mean (X bar) is given by:
X = (X1 + X2 + X3 + ........................................ .. Xn) / N

Where,
X = Mean, X1, X2, X3... Xⁿ are the given set of observations and
N = numbers of item observed.

3.6.2.2 CORRELATION ANALYSIS


Correlation Analysis is the statistical tool generally used to describe the degree
to which one variable is related with another. The relationship is generally
assumed to be a linear one. This analysis is also used in conjunction with
Regression Analysis to measure how well the regression line explains the
variations of the independent variable. It enables one to determine to the
degree and direction of association between two variables.

For measuring Correlation, it is essential that the two phenomena should


have cause and effect relationship. In absence of such relationship, one
should not talk of Correlation between them. But the Correlation in itself
does not tell about the nature of the cause and effect of relationship between
the variables. It is explained by Regression analysis.

There are several mathematical methods of measuring Correlation. The method


developed by Carl Pearson, popularly known as Pearson's co-efficient of
Correlation, is most widely used in practice. Carl Pearson's co-efficient of
correlation measures the degree of association between two variables, say
variable X and variable Y, and is denoted by the symbol 'r'. The formula for
computing Pearsonian correlation 'r' is:

COV ( XY )
r
VAR ( X ) VAR(Y )

N  XY -  X  Y
r
[ N  X  ( X ) 2 ][ N  Y 2  ( Y ) 2 ]
2

53
Where,
X=Value of variable X
Y = Value of variable Y

The value of the co-efficient of Correlation obtained by the above formula shall
always lie between +1 to -1. The following general rules are taken to interpret
the value of 'r'.

A. If 'r' = +1, it means that there is perfect positive relationship


between the two variables.
B. If 'r' = -1, it means that there is perfect negative relationship
between the two variables.
C. If 'r' = 0, it means that there is no relationship between the two
variables i.e. the variables in question are independent.
D. The closer the value of 'r' to =+1 or -1, the closer the relationship
between the two variables; and the closer the value of 'r' to 0, the less
close is the relationship.
The correct interpretation of 'r' depends on the size of the sample, among the
other things. Smaller the size of sample, less reliable is the result. So we
need to test the statistical significance of 'r' before confidently inferring from it.

Probable Error: The Probable Error of the co-efficient of Correlation helps in


interpreting its value. With the help of Probable Error, it is possible to
determine the reliability of the value of coefficient in so far as it depends on
the conditions of random sampling. The Probable Error of the coefficient of
Correlation is obtained as follows:


P.E.r  0.6745  1  r 2 n 

Where r is coefficient of Correlation and n is the number of pairs of items.

54
Interpretation:
1. If the value of r is less than the Probable Error, there is no evidence of
Correlation, i.e. the value of r is not at all significant.
2. If the value of r is more than six times the Probable Error, the
existence of Correlation is practically certain, i.e., the value of r is
significant

3.6.2.3 Regression Analysis


Regression analysis is used to estimate the likely value of one variable from the
known value of the other variable i. e. in regression analysis we establish a
kind of average irreversible functional relationship between the two variables.
The cause and effect relationship is clearly indicated through regression analysis
than by correlation. In other words, regression analysis is a mathematical
measure of the average relationship between two or more variables in terms
of original units of data. There are two types of variables in regression analysis
viz. dependent variable and independent variable, the variable whose-value is
influenced or is predicted is called dependent variable whereas the variable
which influences the value or is used for prediction is called independent
variable. The dependent variable is also known as regressed or explained
variable while the independent variable is called as regress or predictor or
explanatory variable.

3.6.2.4 Lines of Regression


If there exists a relationship between two variables, the points in the scatter
diagram wi1l more or less concentrate around a cure, called the curve of
regression. If the curve is a straight line, it is called the line of regression and
relationship between the variables is said to be linear regression.

A line of regression is the line, which gives the best estimate to the value of one
variable for any specified value of the other variable. Thus the line of regression
is the line of best fit.

55
The term best fit is interpreted in accordance with the principle of Least
Squares which consists in minimizing the sum of squares of the residuals or
the errors of estimates, i.e. deviation between the given observed values of
the variables and their corresponding estimated values as given by the line of
best fit. If we have two variables X and Y, we shall have two regression lines,
Minimizing squares of error parallel to y-axis gives the equation of the line of
regression equation of Y on X and minimizing the sum of squares of the errors
parallel to X- axis, gives the equation of the line of regression of X on Y.

Regression Equation of Y on X.

It is the line, which gives the best estimates for the values of Y for any specified
values of X.

Regression equation of Y on X is given by

Y= a + b × X ... ........................................ ... (I)

Where,
Y= Dependent variable
X= Independent variable
a = Intercept of the line
b = Slope of the Line (It measures the average change in the value of Y as
a result of one unit change in value of X). It is also called regression coefficient
of Y on X. In other words, it measures the rate of relationship.

The value of the constants a and b can be determined by solving following


equation.
Y = n a + b ΣX ... ................................................... .. (ii)
ΣXY = a ΣX + b ΣX ... ............................................ .(iii)

By calculating the equation no (ii) and (iii), we get the value of 'a' and 'b' and
substituting these value in equation (i), we get required estimated regression
equation of Y on X.

56
3.7 Methods of Presentation and Analysis
Simple methods of analysis have been used, data presentation and analysis has
been divided into small sub - topics. Every result has been tabulated and clear
interpretation of it has been given simultaneously. Detail of calculations has
been presented in appendices at the end of the report. Tables, and have been
used to make report clear and easily understandable. Summary, conclusion
and recommendation have been presented at the last chapter of the report.

57
CHAPTER - IV
PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF DATA

4.1. Introduction
This chapter highlights the financial position of Nepal Telecom. The tools
used for the purpose of analysis have been discussed in detail in research
methodology. Some financial and statistical tools have been used to evaluate
the financial position of NT. The financial tool include ratio analysis between
various variables whereas the statistical tools include Correlation and
regression analysis between the variables. The major variable like assets,
liabilities, sales, debt, and equity are taken for the analysis. Moreover the
variables affecting to the financial performance are also considered in the study.
The analysis is made through the data presentation and various financial ratios
reflecting the relationship among variables affecting financial performance.

4.2. Financial Analysis


The main objective of this study is to examine the financial
position/performance of NTC. To meet this objective, it is essential to
present, analyze and interpret data contained in annual reports of NTC.
The annual reports include balance sheet and Income statement along
with their supporting schedules. Analysis and interpretation of data is an
attempt to find - out the implications and the significance of past
activities/decisions in the light of present position and future prospect
and to make suggestion for future action. In this study, the data are
presented, analyzed and interpreted on the basis of research questions.
The analysis part begins with a brief overview of financial
position/performance indicators of the firm.
The different types of tools and techniques that have been used to analyze
the data are as follows:
 Ratio Analysis
 Trend Analysis
 Correlation/Regression Analysis

58
Ratio Analysis
Ratio Analysis will help us to analyze the financial position and financial
performance of Nepal Telecom. The rationale of Ratio Analysis lies in the
fact that it makes related information comparable. A single figure by itself
has no meaning but when expressed in terms of a related figure, it yields
significant inferences. Following are some of the ratios that will help us to
analysis the financial position of Nepal Telecom.

4.2.1 Liquidity Ratio:


Liquidity ratios are used to judge an organizations ability to meet its short -term
obligation. These ratios are comparison of short -term obligation with the
resources available and are measured by current ratio and quick ratio. The
liquidity ratio reflects the short -term financial strength of a firm.

4.2.1.1 Current Ratio (CR)


The relationship between current assets and current liabilities is expressed by
Current Ratio . Current Ratio is supposed to be around 2:1 but this standard
should not be used rigidly. A higher Ratio here would imply that the company
maintains a sound liquidity position from the short-term lenders' viewpoint and
from the Corporation's own viewpoint. But a very high Ratio would indicate
that a high amount of idle fund being invested in current assets or higher
proportion of financing the current assets by dearer permanent sources.

Current Ratio (CR) = Current Assets / Current Liabilities

59
Table 4.1
Calculation of current ratio and its straight line trend equation
(in thousand)
Year Fiscal Current Current Current Straight
Order Year Assets Liabilities Ratio Line Trend
1 2062/63 20213762 12629715 1.60 1.486
2 2063/64 20598352 14722678 1.40 1.498
3 2064/65 22526522 15665380 1.44 1.510
4 2065/66 23519754 15675154 1.5 1.522
5 2066/67 24180638 15014439 1.61 1.534
Average current ratio 151
Source: Appendix -I

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 1.4540+0.0120(x) straight line trend
value

When X=6, Ŷ =1.546, i.e. Expected Current Ratio for next year (year=6)

Where,
Y= estimate of the Current Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

The table 4.1 shows that the average Current Ratio is 1.51 times during the study
period. The Ratio 1.51 on an average indicates that the Organization has
current assets of Rs 1.51 for each rupee of current liabilities. As current
liabilities are paid by the current assets, it seems that NTC will be able to pay
its current liabilities at the time of requirement. It ranges between a
highest of 1.61 times in F/Y 2066/67 B.S and a lowest of 1.4 times in F/Y
2062/63. The overall Ratio trend does not show any clear direction. While
comparing with the average, one finds that in F/Y 2062/63 to 2066/67 B.S
the Ratio is higher than the average and for F/Y 2062/63, 2063/64 the Ratio
is lower than the average. If we see the actual trend, we can find its Current
Ratio is not so volatile over time.

The fitted Trend Line shows that the liquidity position of the Organization
would remain sound in future.

60
4.2.1.2 Quick Ratio/ Acid Test Ratio
One defect of Current Ratio is that it fails to convey any information on the
composition of the current assets of a firm. Quick Ratio is a measure of liquidity
designed to overcome the defect of Current Ratio. The term quick refers to
current assets which can be converted into cash immediately or at a short
notice without diminution of value. The current assets excluded from this
category are inventory and prepaid expenses. So, while calculating Quick Ratio
for NTC, inventory is deducted from total current assets and divided by total
current liabilities. Quick Ratio is supposed to be around 1:1 but this standard
also should be defined by the nature of the organization.
Quick ratio = Quick assets/Current liabilities (or) Quick Assets = Current
Assets-Inventory
Table 4.2
Calculation of quick ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Current Inventory Quick Current Quick Straight
Order Year Assets Assets Liabilities Ratio Line Trend
1 2062/63 20213763 255250 19958513 12629715 1.58 1.508

2 2063/64 20598352 309857 20288495 14722678 1.38 1.458

3 2064/65 22526522 329315 21097207 15665380 1.42 1.448

4 2065/66 23519754 327684 23192070 15675154 1.48 1.418

5 2066/67 24180638 416424 23764104 15014439 1.38 1.388

Average Quick Ratio 1.45


Source: Appendix -I

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 1.5380-0.0300(X)


When X=6, Ŷ = 1.358i.e. Expected Quick Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where, Y= estimate of the Quick Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

The table 4.2 shows that the average Quick Ratio is 1.45 times during the study
period. The Ratio of 1.45, on an average, indicates that the Organization has
quick assets of Rs 1.45 for each rupee of current liabilities. As average

61
Current Ratio is 1.45 throughout the study period, we can see a little
difference between these two Ratios. It means that the least liquid
item among the current assets, the inventory, has occupied a very nominal
place as part of the total current assets of NTC. In this respect, NTC can be
said to have a good liquidity position to fulfill its current obligations when they
become due.

The table shows that the Ratio ranges between a highest of 1.58 times in F/Y
2062/63 B.S and a lowest of 1.38 times in F/Y 2066/67 and 2063/64 B.S. The
overall Ratio Trend does not show any clear direction but in most recent
years it seems decreasing slowly. While comparing with the average, one
finds that in F/Y 2062/63 to 2065/66B.S the Ratio is higher than the average and
in F/Y 2063/64 and 2066/67 B.S the Ratio is lower than the average. If we see
the actual trend, we can find that the Quick Ratio is not so volatile over time.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a lung
run negative growth rate of 0.0300 times per year for this Ratio. Based on the
fitted Trend Line, it can be expected that the liquidity position of the
Organization could remain sound in future.

4.2.2 Turnover Ratio / Activity Ratio


Funds of creditors and owners are invested in various assets to generate sales
and profits. The better the management of assets, the larger will be the amount
of sale. Activity Ratios are employed to evaluate the efficiency with which the
firm manages and utilizes its assets. These Ratios are also called Turnover
Ratios because they indicate the speed with which assets are being converted
or turned over into sales. So, it involves a relationship between sales and assets
reflecting whether assets are managed well. Several Activity Ratios can be
calculated to judge the effectiveness of assets utilization.

62
4.2.2.1 Inventory Turnover Ratio (ITR)
The Inventory Turnover Ratio (ITR) is the relation between the sales and the
inventory of a firm. It indicates the efficiency with which the firm is able to
use its inventory to generate sales revenues. Generally, the higher a firm's
Inventory Turnover, the more efficient its inventory management is supposed
to be. The Inventory Turnover is calculated by dividing sales by closing
inventory. This Ratio of NTC for the period of five years along with its
Straight Line Trend is calculated.
Inventory Turnover Ratio = Sales/Inventory

Table 4.3
Calculation of inventory turnover ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs.in thousand)

Year Fiscal Operating Inventory Inventory Straight


Order Year Sales Turnover Line Trend
1 2062/63 8309936 255250 32.56 28.876
2 2063/64 8584144 309857 27.70 31.920
3 2064/65 10413655 329315 31.62 34.964
4 2065/66 13967318 327684 42.62 38.008
5 2066/67 16788359 416424 40.32 41.052
Average Inventory Turnover Ratio 34.96
Source: Appendix -I

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 25.8320+3.0440 (X)


When X=6, Ŷ = 44.096{i.e. Expected ITR for next year (year=6)}
Where, Y= estimate of the Inventory Turnover Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

The table 4.3 show that the average of the Inventory Turnover Ratio of NTC for
the past five year was 34.96 times. The average Ratio of 34.96 indicates that
each rupee of inventory is generating sales of Rs. 34.96. It ranges between a

63
highest of 42.62 times in F/Y 2065/66 B.S and a lowest of 27.70 times in
F/Y2063/64 B.S. The overall Ratio Trend shows an upward direction
particularly in the most recent years. If we see the actual trend, we can find that
the Inventory Turnover Ratio is slightly volatile over time. But for the last
years, the Ratio is increasing continuously. And since a high Ratio is good
from the view point of inventory utilization, the increasing Ratio seems
favorable for NTC.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run positive growth rate of 3.0440 times per year for this Ratio. Based on the
fitted Trend Line, it can be expected that the inventory utilization level of NTC
should improve in coming years.

4.2.2.2 Average Age of Inventory


Average Age of Inventory is just an alternate method of expressing the
efficiency of the inventory management. Lesser the time the inventory remains
in the go down, better would be the inventory management. The Average Age of
Inventory is calculated by dividing 360 by Inventory Turnover Ratio.

Average age of inventory = 360 / inventory turnover ratio


Table 4.4
Calculation of Average Age of Inventory (days)

Fiscal Year Inventory Turnover Average Age of


Inventory
2062/63 32.56 11
2063/64 27.70 13
2064/65 31.62 11
2065/66 42.62 8
2066/67 40.32 9
Average 10
Source: Appendix -I

64
From the tables show that the Average Age of Inventory of NTC for the study
period is 10 days. The average value of 10 indicates that an item of
inventory purchased by the firm remains in the go down for 10 days before
being released for sale or service to its customers (i.e. a typical item of
inventory in the store is replaced every 10th day. The Average Age between
a highest of 13 days in F/Y 2063/64 B.S and a lowest of 8 days in F/Y
2064/65 B.S. The overall value trend shows a downward direction particularly
in the most recent years.. If we see the actual trend, we can find that the
Average Age of Inventory is showing decreasing tendency over time,
particularly for the last four years. And since a lower value is good from the
view point of inventory utilization, the decreasing value is a good indication for
NTC.

4.2.2.3 Debtors Turnover Ratio ( DTR)

The Debtors Turnover Ratio (DTR) is the relation between the sales and the
receivables of a firm. The analysis of Debtors Turnover Ratio supplements
the information regarding the liquidity of one item of current assets of the firm.
It indicates the efficiency with which the firm is able to turn its credit sales into
cash. Generally, the higher a firm's Debtors Turnover, the more efficient its
credit management is supposed to be and vice versa. The Debtors Turnover
is calculated by dividing sales by closing sundry debtors. This Ratio of NTC
for the period of five years along with its Straight Line Trend is calculated.

65
Debtors Turnover Ratio= Sales / Debtors

Table 4.5
Calculation of Debtors Turnover Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Operating Debtors Debtors Straight
Order Year Sales Turnover Line Trend

1 2062/63 8309936 2668942 3.11 2.934


2 2063/64 8584144 2825943 3.04 3.340
3 2064/65 10413655 3099495 3.36 3.746
4 2065/66 13967318 3455511 4.04 4.152
5 2066/67 16788359 3482610 4.82 4.558
Average Debtors Turnover Ratio 3.67
Source: Appendix -I I

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ =2.5280+0.4060 (X)

When X=6, Ŷ = 4.964 {i.e. Expected DTR for next year (year=6)}

Where, Y= estimate of the Debtors Turnover Ratio


X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

The table 4.5 shows that the average DTR of NTC for the past five year was 3.67
times. The average Ratio of 3.67 indicates that each rupee of investment in
receivables is generating sales of Rs. 3.67. It ranges between a highest of 4.82
times in F/Y 2066/67B.S and a lowest of 3.04 times in F/Y 2063/64 B.S. The
overall trend of the Ratio does not show any specific direction. The Ratio
seems to be mildly volatile over time but it has shown marked
improvements over the most recent years of the study period which, if
maintained, can be a very good sign for the credit collection of the NTC. While
comparing with the average, one finds that from F/Y 2066/67, 2065/66, and
2064/65 the Ratio is higher than the average and for F/Y2062/63 to 2063/64B.S
the Ratio is lower than the average.

66
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run positive growth rate of 0.4060 times per year for this Ratio. Based on the
fitted Trend Line, it can be expected that the receivable management of NTC
should improve in coming years.

4.2.2.4 Average Collection Period (ACP)


The average number of days through which debtors remains outstanding is
called Average Collection Period. Average Collection Period is just an
alternate method of expressing the turnover efficiency of the receivables. Lesser
the time the receivables remains due, better it is supposed to be. The Average
Collection Period is calculated by dividing 360 by Debtors Turnover Ratio.

Average Collection Period(ACP) = Debtors*360 /Sales

Table 4.6
Calculation of Average Collection Period
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Order Fiscal Year Debtors Operating ACP (Days)
Sales
1 2062/63 2668942 8309936 116
2 2063/64 2825943 8584144 119
3 2064/65 3099495 10413655 107
4 2065/66 3455511 13967318 89
5 2066/67 3482610 16788359 75
5-Yearly Average 101
Source: Appendix -I I

The table 4.6 shows that the Average Collection Period of NTC over the five
years of study period is 101 days. The average value of 101 indicates that an
invoice of credit receivable remains outstanding for 101 days before being
collected from the customers (i.e. a typical debtor of NTC pays his/her dues
101 days after the purchase of goods/consumption of service). The ACP
ranges between a highest of 119 days in F/Y 2063/64 and a lowest of 75 days in
F/Y 2066/67. While comparing with the average, one finds that from F/Y

67
2062/63, 2063/64 and 2064/65, the values are higher than the average and
for F/ Y 2065/66 and2066/67; the values are lower than the average. The
actual value trends show a humped curve for the overall period of five years. If
we take a close look at the actual trend, we can
find that the Average Collection Period is showing decreasing tendency
over later half periods of the study periods. And since a lower value is
good from the view point of collection efficiency, the decreasing value may
be a good indication for NTC in coming years.

4.2.2.5 Total Assets Turnover Ratio


The Total Assets Turnover (TATR) is the relation between the sales and the total
assets of a firm. It indicates the efficiency with which the firm is able to use
all its assets to generate sales revenues. Generally, the higher a firm's Total
Assets Turnover, the more efficiently its assets said to be. The Total Assets
Turnover is calculated by dividing sales by total assets. This Ratio of NTC for
the period of five years along with its graphic trend is shown in the following
table.

Total Assets Turnover Ratio (TATR)= Sales / Total assets


Table 4.7
Calculation of Total Assets Turnover Ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Total Sales Total TA Straight
Order Year Assets Turnover Line
Trend
1 2062/63 8852727 33080441 0.27

0.266
2 2063/64 9194297 35432582 0.26 0.265
3 2064/65 11058914 39104959 0.26 0.264
4 2065/66 14751623 43529299 0.27 0.263
5 2066/67 17889310 49371223 0.26 0.262
Average of Total Assets Turnover 0.26
Source: Appendix -I I

68
Where,
Total Assets = Current Assets + Total fixed Assets
Total fixed Assets =Net fixed assets + capital work in progress+ Investments)
Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.2670-.0010 (X)

When X=6, Ŷ = 0.261{i.e. Expected TAT Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where, = estimate of the Total Assets Turnover Ratio
= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

From the table 4.7 shows that the average of the TATR Ratio of NTC for past
five year was 0.26 times which is lower than the general standard average of at
least 1.00 times for this line of business that each rupee of investment in assets is
generating sales of Rs. 0.26 The overall Ratio Trend shows a random movement
of the Ratio over the five year period. Though the Inventory Turnover Ratio is
mildly volatile over time, but for the last 3 -4 years, the Ratio is decreasing
continuously which should be the real cause of concern for the NTC. Unless the
firm generates sufficient volume the further investment in assets will not be
justified.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows
a long run negligible negative growth rate of -0.0010 times per year for this
Ratio. If this Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be
expected that the total assets utilization level of NTC should remain at least
constant in coming years. Continuous expansion of its assets over the recent
years followed by marginal increase in sales has primarily caused TATR to
remain stable. If the firm cannot utilize this expanded capacity in the near
future, the firm may have to make savings its assets investment or else it would
face inactive TATR Ratio.

69
4.2.2.6 Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio (FATR)
The Fixed Asset Turnover measures the efficiency with which the firm has
been using its fixed (earning) assets to generate sales. This Ratio shows the
relationship between sales and net fixed assets of a firm. Generally, higher
turnover is preferred because it reflects greater efficiency in the utilization of
fixed assets.

The Fixed Asset Turnover is calculated by dividing the firm's sales by its net
fixed assets. This Ratio of NTC along with its graphical trend for the period
of five year is shown as follows:

Fixed assets turnover ratio (FATR) = Sales / net fixed assets

Table 4.8
Calculation of fixed assets turnover ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Fiscal Operating Net Fixed FA Straight
Order Year Sales Assets Turnover Line Trend
1 2062/63 8309936 8094882 1.03 0.944
2 2063/64 8584144 9040917 0.95 1.026
3 2064/65 10413655 10088426 1.03 1.108
4 2065/66 13967318 11361042 1.23 1.190
5 2066/67 16788359 10197703 1.30
Average of Fixed Assets Turnover 1.11
Source: Appendix -I I

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.8620+0.0820 (X)


When X=6, Ŷ = 1.354{i.e. Expected FAT for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Fixed Assets Turnover Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

From the table 4.8, it is clear that the Fixed Assets Turnover of NTC is in
increasing trend. It ranges from a minimum of 0.95 times in F/Y 2063/64 B.S

70
to a maximum of 1.30 times in F/Y 2066/67 . While comparing with the
average, one finds that in initial 3 years, the Ratios are below the average and
for later three years, the Ratios are above the average. The average Ratio is 1.11
times which indicates that each rupee of investment in fixed assets is generating
sales of 111 paisa., the good aspect is that it is showing a clear upward trend in
5years of the study period. It can be safely termed that the company‟s efficiency
in using its fixed assets is good and it is going toward the right direction in the
most recent years.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a
sizeable long run positive growth rate of 0.0820 times per year for this Ratio. If
this Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected
that the fixed assets utilization level of NTC should improve, at least in coming
years. NTC should try to increase its current level of fixed assets utilization in the
near future.

4.2.2.7 Working Capital Turnover Ratio (WCT)


The Working Capital Turnover (WCT) Ratio measures the efficiency with
which the firm has been using its net current assets (revolving assets) to generate
sales. This Ratio showsthe relation between sales and net current assets of a firm.
Generally, higher turnover is preferred because it reflects greater efficiency in
the utilization of net current assets. Working capital here means only that part of
current assets which is financed by the long term sources. The Working
Capital Turnover is calculated by dividing the firm's sales by its net
working capital. This Ratio of NTC along with its graphical trend for the period
of five year is shown as follows:

71
Working Capital Turnover Ratio(WCT) = Sales / Net working capital
Table 4.9
Calculation of Working Capital Turnover ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)

Year Fiscal Operating CA Total Net WC Straight


Order Year Sales CL WC Turnover Line
Trend
1 2062/63 8309936 20213762 12629715 7584047 1.10 1.182

2 2063/64 8584144 20598352 14722678 5875675 1.46 1.360

3 2064/65 10413655 22526522 15665380 6861142 1.52 1.538

4 2065/66 13967318 23519754 15675154 7844600 1.78 1.716

5 2066/67 16788359 24180638 15014439 9166199 1.83 1.894

Average of Working Capital (WC) Turnover 1.538

Source: Appendix -I II
Where,

Total Current liabilities= Current liabilities + provision


Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ =1.0040+0.1780(X)
When X=6, Ŷ =2.072{i.e. Expected WCT for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Working Capital Turnover Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2061/62 = 1

Table 4.9 shows that the average of the WCT Ratio of NTC for past five year
was 1.538 times and this is lower than the general standard average of at least
2.00 times for this line of business. The ratio seems to be increasing as it
ranges from 1.83 in 2066/67 B.S to 1.1 in 2062/63 B.S. The average Ratio of
1.538 indicates that each rupee of investment in working capital is generating
sales of Rs. 1.538. The overall Ratio Trend shows a upward movement of the
Ratio over the five year period.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long

72
run sizeable growth rate of 0.1780 times per year for this ratio. If this ratio is
to move as per the fitted trend Line in future, it can be expected that the total
assets utilization level of the company would be to the level of satisfactory in
the near future.. If the firm cannot utilize added investment in working
capital in the near future, the firm may have to make savings its working
capital investment or else it would face further decline in WTC Ratio.

4.2.2.8 Capital Employed Turnover Ratio (CET)

Funds of owners and creditors are invested in various assets to generate sales, so
the invested capital must be compared & analyzed with sales in order to
examine the efficiency of the company's management in generating revenues
from available capital. The Sales to Capital Employed Ratio, also called Capital
Employed Turnover, have been computed to know how efficiently the long
term capital is employed in generation of revenues. Higher Ratio is
desirable from the viewpoint of owners as well as creditors. The Ratio shows the
future sales promotion condition by appropriate use of long term debt and
capital. This Ratio is computed by dividing sales by capital employed. This
Ratio for NTC for the period of five year is shown in the following table:

73
Capital Employed Turnover Ratio (CET) = Sales/Total Capital Employed

Capital Employed Turnover Ratio (CET)= Total of Net Worth + Long


Term Liabilities
Table 4.10
Calculation of Capital Employed Turnover Ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Total Capital CE Straight
Order Year Sales Employed Turnover Line Trend
1 2062/63 8852727 20450725 0.43 0.426
2 2063/64 9194297 20707904 0.44 0.451
3 2064/65 11058914 23549578 0.47 0.476
4 2065/66 14751623 27854145 0.53 0.501
5 2066/67 17889310 35343894 0.51 0.526
Average of Working Capital (WC) Turnover 0.476
Source: Appendix -I II

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.4010+0.0250 (X)

When X=6, Ŷ =0.55 {i.e. Expected CET for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Capital Employed Turnover Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2061/62 = 1

From the table shows that the average of the CET Ratio of NTC for past five
years was 0.476 times, which is lower than the general standard average of at
least 1.00 times for this line of business. Barring a sudden upward swing, the
ratio seems to be steadily increasing over the 5-year period. The Ratio ranges
from the lowest of 0.43 in F/Y 2062/63 B.S to the highest of 0.53 in 2065/66
B.S. The average Ratio of 0.476 indicates that each rupee of investment in
permanent capital is generating sales of just 47.60 paisa. The overall Ratio
Trend shows a positive movement of the Ratio over the five year period. While
comparing with the average, one finds that in F/Y 2062/63, 2063/64 B.S; the

74
Ratio is lower than the average and for F/Y 2064/65, 2065/66 and 2066/67 B.S;
the Ratio is higher than the average.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run positive growth rate of 0.0250 times per year for this Ratio. If this Ratio is
to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that the
volume generated by the permanent capital of the company should increase in
coming years.

4.2.3 Leverage Ratios


The short - term creditors like bankers and suppliers of raw materials are more
concerned with the firm's current debt paying ability. On the other hand,
long term creditors, like debenture holders, financial institutions, etc. are
more concerned with the firm's long term financial strength. In fact, a firm
should have a strong short as well as long term financial position. To judge the
long term financial position of the firm, financial leverage, or Capital Structure
Ratios are calculated. These Ratios indicate mix of the funds provided by
owners and lenders. As a general rule, there should be an appropriate mix of
debt and owners equity in financing the firm's assets.

4.2.3.1 Total Debt Ratio (TDR)


The relationship between creditors' funds and total assets is known as proprietary
Ratio. This Ratio measures the proportion of total assets financed by owners'
funds. This Ratio intends to show the long-term financial composition/strength of
the company. Higher Ratio means high financial risk and lower Ratio means
not -proper utilization of leverage benefit. So, an average position between
the two extremes is favourable .It is calculated by dividing total liabilities by
total assets. The Total Debt Ratio along with its Straight Line Trend of NTC for
the past five year period is shown in the following table.

75
Total Debt Ratio = Total debt / Total assets

Total Debt = Current liabilities + Long term debt

Table 4.11
Calculation of Total Debt Ratio and its straight line trend equation

(Rs. in thousand)
Year Fiscal Year Total Debt Total Total Debt Straight
Order Assets Ratio Line
Trend
1 2062/63 12640965 33080441 0.38 0.410
2 2063/64 14746917 35432582 0.42 0.397
3 2064/65 15665379 39104959 0.40 0.378
4 2065/66 16866833 43529299 0.39. 0.359
5 2066/67 15014439 49371223 0.30 0.340
Average of Total Debt Ratio 0.378

Source: Appendix -I II

Where,
Total Debt= Long Term Liabilities + Current Liabilities and provision
Total Assets= Current Assets+ Fixed Assets+ Investments+ Capital Work in
Progress

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ =0.4350+0.0190(X)

When X=6, Ŷ =0.549{i.e. Expected CET Ratio for next year (year=6)}

Where,
Y= estimate of the Total Debt Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

From the table, Total Debt to Total Asset Ratio of NTC from F/Y 2062/63 to
F/Y 2066/67 B.S is presented. In five years study of the period seems
fluctuated .first two year is increasing ,three year 2064/65,2065/66and
2066/67 is decreasing The average ratio for the five t-year period indicates that
the creditors have contributed just around 39% of the fund requirement of the

76
business. It seems that in recent years the Corporation, recognizing the risk and
utilizing the surplus profit, has increased the debt. The Straight line trend fitted
on the basis of least square method shows a long run growth rate of 0.0190
times per year for this Ratio. If this ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend
Line in future, the debt would increase so fast that most of the benefits of
leverage can be recognized.

4.2.3.2 Debt Equity Ratio (DE)


Debt to Equity Ratio is another type of measure of financial structure. This

Ratio shows the position of total debt relative to the owner‟s capital. This
relationship between total debt and net worth shows the outsiders' liabilities as a

percentage of owners‟ capital. There is no exact standard norm of this Ratio, but
in common practice this Ratio will be good for industries of this sort if it is
below 1.5:1. This Ratio is calculated by dividing total debt by net worth. The
table given below shows the Debt Equity Ratio of NTC for five years period
with the Trend Line in accompanying graph.

Debt Equity Ratio(DE) = Total Debt / Net Worth

Where,
Net worth = Total of equity capital + Reserve and surplus - Deferred expenditure

Table 4.12
Calculation of Debt Equity Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)

Year Fiscal Total Debt Net worth Debt Straight


Order Year Equity Line
Ratio Trend
1 2061/62 12640965 20439476 0.62 0.706
2 2062/63 14746917 20683665 0.71 0.658
3 2063/64 15665379 23549578 0.67 0.610
4 2064/65 16866833 26662465 0.63 0.562
5 2066/67 15014439 35343894 0.42 0.514
Average of Debt Equity Ratio 0.61
Source: Appendix -I II

77
Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.7540--0.0480 (X)

When X=6, Ŷ = 0.7534{i.e. Expected Debt-Equity Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Debt-Equity Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

The from the table shows that the Total Debt to Net worth Ratio of NTC is
increasing year by year. This increase indicates that the organization
deliberately wants to increase its financial leverage/risk and shows the
management's attitude to content with lever up the capital structure of the
organization.. The Ratio ranges from a higher of 0.71 in F/Y 2063/64 B.S to a
lower of 0.42 in F/Y 2066/67 B.S. The average is 0.61 which means that for
each rupee of equity holder's money, the debt holder's have contributed 61
paisa to finance the firm's operation. This Ratio is lower than average in F/Y
2066/2067 and higher than the average in the first four years of the study
period. The average of this Ratio over the study period is clearly much lower
than the general industry norm of 1.5:1.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run sizeable positive growth rate of 0.0638 times per year for this Ratio. If this
Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected
that the debt financing level of the company would almost two third the
equity financing of the Organization in the coming year. Continuous addition
in debt over the study periods followed by marginal increase in total debt in
the same periods has primarily caused D-E Ratio to nosedive over the study
period.

4.2.3.3 Long Term Debt to Capital employed ratio (LTD TO CE)


The relationship between creditors' funds and firm's capital can also be expressed
in terms of another Leverage Ratio, known as LTD to CE Ratio. Here, the just
the long term creditors' funds are measured relative with the total capitalization
of the firm and not merely with the NW. The total capitalization or capital

78
employed includes the total explicit cost bearing debt (long term) and
shareholders' equity. This Ratio is computed by dividing LTD by CE. The table
given below shows the LTD to CE Ratio of NTC for five years of study
period. And the figure shows the Trend Line for this Ratio.

Long Term Debt to capital employed ratio = Long Term Debt / Capital Employed

Table 4.13
Calculation of Long - term debt to capital employed ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Order Fiscal Year Long Term Capital LTD to CE Straight
Debit Employed Ratio Line Trend
1 2061/62 11249 20450725 0.0006 0.004
2 2062/63 24238 20707904 0.0012 0.007
3 2063/64 0 23549578 0 0.010
4 2064/65 1191680 27854145 0.0428 0.013
5 2066/67 0 35343894 0 0.016
Average of Long Term Debt Ratio 0.0089
Source: Appendix -I V

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.0011+0.0030 (X)

When X=6, Ŷ = 0.019 i.e. Expected LTD to CE Ratio for next year (year=6)}

Where,
Y= estimate of the LTD to CE Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2061/62= 1

The table 4.13 shows the fluctuating pattern of ratios over time. The average
Ratio of 0.0089 implies that out of total capitalization; negligible amount is
financed by permanent debt sources and remaining four-fifth by equity fund.
This may imply a good margin of safety to the company lenders point of view.
But, from the view point of the owners, the reduction in this Ratio position
signifies that the company is not properly utilizing the benefits of the
leverage for magnifying the return to the stockholders.

79
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run growth rate of 0.019 times per year for this Ratio.

4.2.3.4 Interest Coverage Ratio(IC):


Interest Coverage (IC) Ratio is one of the most important Coverage Ratio
used to test the firm's debt- servicing capacity. This Ratio is computed by
dividing EBIT by interest expenses. This Ratio, as the name implies shows
how many times the interest charges are covered by EBIT. A higher IC
Ratio is desirable, but too high indicates that firm is traditional in using
debt and firm is not using enough creditors‟ securities to the best
advantage of shareholders. A lower IC Ratio indicates excessive use
of debt or inefficient/weak operational profit. This Ratio for NTC for the
period of F/Y2061/62to 2065/66 is calculated as follows.

Interest Coverage Ratio = EBIT / Interest

Table 4.14
Calculation of Interest Coverage Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Order Fiscal Year Interest EBIT IC Ratio Straight
Exp. Line Trend
1 2062/63 89942 4640610 51.60 63.202
2 2063/64 57732 4979261 86.25 79.600
3 2064/65 65045 6908772 106.22 95.998
4 2065/66 67142 7950464 118.41 112.396
5 2066/067 93307 10964763 117.51 128.794
Average of Total Debt Ratio 96
Source: Appendix -I V

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is Ŷ = 46.8040+163980(X)

When X=6, Ŷ = 145.192{i.e. Expected IC Ratio for next year (year=6)}


Where,
Y= estimate of the Interest Coverage Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2061/62 = 1

From the table shows the Interest Coverage Ratio of NTC over the study
periods. It seems that the Organization has excellent and all time increasing

80
Coverage Ratios over the period i.e. the debt servicing capacity of NTC
seems quite favorable. But this is a good performance in disguise because
we can see that the organization is reducing its use of long term debt over the
years so fast that the fixed interest burden of the organization becomes almost
negligible in the most recent year. The average Interest Coverage Ratio is 96
times which implies that NTC has been able to cover the interest expenses by
a good margin of safety. In other words, the Organization seems to be able to
earn good operating profit to meet its fixed obligations.

During the study period, the Ratio ranges from a minimum of 51.60 times in F/Y
2061/62 to a maximum of 117.51 times in F/Y 2065/66. In last two years,
there has been remarkable improvement in Coverage Ratio but this all is more
because of declining interest expenses rather than excellent operating profits.
So, the performance of the firm in terms of Interest Coverage Ratio should be
judged carefully in this case.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run sizeable positive growth rate of 16.3980 times per year for this Ratio. If this
Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that
the debt servicing ability of the firm would not be any cause of concern in
coming years. Continuous sharp reduction in long term debts over the study
periods followed steady increase in operating income over the same periods
has primarily caused Interest Coverage Ratio to increase fast over the study
period.

4.2.4 Profitability Ratio

A company should earn profits to survive over a long period of time. Therefore,
profits are essential for a company. But, then, it does not mean that
every action initiated by management of a company should be aimed at
maximizing profits. The social consequence of the actions does also matter.
So, maximum profit consistent with social responsibility should be the long
run objective. It is unfortunate that the word 'profit' is looked upon as a term of

81
abuse since some firms always want to maximize profits at the cost of
employees, customers and society. Except such infrequent cases, it is a fact that
sufficient profits must be earned to sustain the operation of the business, to be
able to obtain funds from investors for expansion and growth and to contribute
towards the social overheads for the welfare of the society.

Profit is the difference between revenues and expenses over a period of time.
Profit is the ultimate 'output' of a company, and it will have no future if it fails to
make sufficient profits. Therefore, the financial manager should continuously
evaluate the efficiency of the company in terms of profits. The profitability Ratio
is calculated to measure the operating efficiency of the company. Creditors and
owners both are interested in the profitability of the firm. If company is
making profits regularly, creditors will also be assured of getting their dues on
time.

4.2.4.1 Net Profit Margin (NPM)

The Net Profit Margin measures the relationship between profit and sales
and indicates management's efficiency in manufacturing, administering and
selling the product. This Ratio is the overall measure of the firm's ability to turn
each rupee sales into net profit. A high Net Profit Margin would ensure
adequate return to the owners as well as enable the firm to withstand
adverse economic conditions. A low Net Profit Margin has the opposite
implications. However, a firm with low Net Profit Margin can earn a high rate
of return on investment if it has a higher Inventory Turnover. The Net Profit
Margin is measured by dividing profit after taxes by sales.

82
Net Profit Margin = Net Profit after Tax / Sales
Table 4.15
Calculation of net profit margin ratio and its straight line trend equation using net
profit after tax as profit
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Order Fiscal Year NPAT Total Sales NP Margin Straight
Line Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 8852727 0.37 0.346

2 2063/64 3542461 194297 0.39 0.393

3 2064/65 4936647 11058914 0.45 0.440

4 2065/66 5652688 14751623 0.38 0.487

5 2066/67 10871456 17889310 0.61 0.534

Average of Net Profit Margin Ratio 0.44


Source: Appendix -I V

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is Ŷ = 0.2990+0.0470(X)


When X=6, Ŷ = 0.58 {i.e. Expected NPM for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Net Profit Margin Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2061/62 = 1

The table shows that the average of the NPM Ratio of NTC for past five year
was 44%. The Ratio seems to be stable barring over the study period. The
average Ratio of 0.44 times indicates that each rupee sales is contributing 44
paisa for rewarding the owners. The overall Ratio Trend shows a small swing
in positive direction of the Ratio within the range of 34.60% to 53.40%
over the five year period. The computations show that the Net Profit Margin
upon sales is favorable. With the low Turnover Ratio, further improvement in
NPM is sure to have a positive result on the equity holders' return.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows
growth rate of 0.0470 per year for this Ratio. If this Ratio is to move as per the
fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that the profit margin level of the

83
company in coming years should remain at stable to the firm currently earning.
Continuous increase in the cost composition of the Organization due to
civil war during the period is perhaps showing its effect on the
profitability of the organization.

4.2.4.2 Modified Net Profit Margin (MNP)

Depending on the concept of profit employed by the company, Net Profit


Margin Ratio can be calculated differently. The company's capital structure, non
- operating income and non -operating expenses etc. are some factors that affect
the earnings by its operation. So among different factors, capital structure is an
important factor which can bring important variation in this ratio and can make
comparison distorted. Because the conventional measure of net profit margin
computed above is affected by the firms financing policy. So, for a true
comparison free of biases of the leverage ratio variation, profit should also
include the financing charges. Thus, the revised net profit margin can be
computed in the following way:

Net Profit Margin = (NPAT + Interest after tax) /Sales

Table 4.16
Calculation of net profit margin ratio and its straight line trend equation using
earnings after tax + interests after tax as profit
(Rs. in thousands)
Y. F Year NPAT Int. NPAT+I Total Sales NP M Straight
O AT nt.AT Line
Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 8852727 0.382 0.345
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 9194297 0.392 0.400
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 11058914 0.452 0.445
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 14751623 0.388 0.491
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 17889310 0.613 0.537
Average of Net Profit Margin Ratio 0.445
Source: Appendix -I V

84
Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ =0.3080+0.0458 (X)
When X=6, Ŷ = 0.583{i.e. Expected Modified NPM Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Modified NPM Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

If we eliminate the effect of financing charges from the Net Profit Margin, the
Trend Line ranges between a highest of 61.30% in F/Y 2066/67 to 38.20% in
F/Y 2062/63 B.S. Besides these, the Modified Net Profit Margin Ratio has
similar strengths and weaknesses as general Net Profit Margin Ratio calculated
above.

4.2.4.3 Operating Expenses Ratio (OE)

Operating expenses constitute service/product costs, administrative costs and


selling costs. The Operating Expenses Ratio indicates the average aggregate
variation in expense. In general, higher Operating Expenses Ratio means
inefficiency due to higher operating cost relative to Sales. A lower Operating
Expenses Ratio is favorable since it will leave a higher amount of operating
income to meet interest, taxes, bonus, dividend and plough back of profit in
the firm. It is measured by dividing operating expenses by sales.
Operating Expenses Ratio(OE) = Operating Expenses / Sales

Table 4.17
Calculation of operating expenses ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)

Year Fiscal Year Opt Exp. Total Opt. Straight


Order Sales Expenses Line Trend
Ratio
1 2062/63 426214430 5928648 0.416 0.4242
2 2063/64 2891309 6555992 0.441 0.4288
3 2064/65 3258571 7669283 0.425 0.4334
4 2065/66 3991863 8855034 0.451 0.438
5 2066/67 3990361 9194297 0.434 0.4426
Average of Operating Expenses Ratio 0.4334
Source: Appendix -I V

85
Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.4196+.0046 (X)
When X=6, Ŷ = 0.4472 {i.e. Expected OE Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Operating Expense Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

From the table shows that the average OE Ratio of NTC for past five years is
43.34% which is lower than the general standard average of around 50% for
this line of business. . The Ratio seems to be stable but slightly in increasing
trend as it ranges from a lower of 41.6% in F/Y 2062/63 to 45.10%in F/Y
2065/66 B.S. The average Ratio of 43.34 indicates that the firm incurs a cost
of 43.34paisa for each rupee of sales it generates. Barring F/Y 2062/63, the Ratio
is increasing on year to year basis.. Though the operating expense Ratio is
relatively stable over time, but for the last 3-4 years, the Ratio is increasing
continuously which should be the real cause of concern for the NTC. Unless
the firm takes measures to tame the operating expenses, the situation may go
out of control.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run positive growth rate of 00.46% per year for this Ratio. If this Ratio is to
move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that the cost of
operation of NTC should increase slowly but surely. Continuous increase in
input prices due to inflation and the security situation not accompanied by the
equal sales increase has brought this position.

4.2.4.4 Return on Assets Ratio (ROI)

Here the profitability is measured in terms of profit and the assets. The ROA is
also called return on investment (ROI). The conventional approach of calculating
ROA/ ROI is to divide NPAT by investment/assets. Assets represent pool of
funds supplied by shareholders and lenders, while NPAT represents residue
income of the owners. Therefore, it is conceptually unsound to use NPAT in the

86
calculation of ROA. Secondly, NPAT is affected by the capital structure. It is
therefore more appropriate to use the following formula to compute the
ROA/ROI.

Return on Assets = (NPAT + Interests after tax) / Total assets

NPAT = Net profit after tax

Table 4.18
Calculation of Return on Assets ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal NPAT Interest NPAT Total ROA Straight
Order Year AT Plus Assets Line
Interest Trend
AT
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 33080441 0.10 0.082
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 35432582 0.10 0.109
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 39104959 0.13 0.136
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 43529299 0.13 0.163
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 49371223 0.22 0.190
Average of Return on Assets 0.14
Source: Appendix -I V

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.0550+0.0270 (X)

When X=6, Ŷ =0.22{i.e. Expected ROA Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the Return on Assets Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

From the table shows that the average ROA of NTC for the study period is 14%
The Ratio seems to be a almost stable as it ranges from 22% in F/Y 2066/67
to 10% in F/Y 2062/63 and 2063/64 B.S. But the real problem is that the
actual trend of this Ratio is showing upward movement particularly in the
most recent years. The average Ratio of 14% indicates that each 100
rupees of investment in assets is generating a profit of Rs. 14 The actual Trend
Line is positive direction.

87
The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run is going to positive growth rate 0.027 %per year for this Ratio. If this
Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that
the total assets return level of the company should further progress in coming
years.

4.2.4.5 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)

The relationship between the after tax return earned by both equity holder and
lender and the capital they provided indicates the efficiency of management
for capital utilization. The Ratio is similar to the ROA expect in one respect.
Here the profits are related to capital employed. The funds employed in net
assets or the funds financed by permanent sources are known as capital
employed. This Ratio shows the effectiveness of management in generating profit
by the utilization of available capital. Higher the Ratio, the more efficient is the
use of capital employed. It is calculated as follows:

ROCE = (NPAT + after tax Interests on long-term debt) / Capital Employed

Table 4.19
Calculation of Return on Capital Employed ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Fiscal NPAT Interest NPAT Capital ROAC Straight
Order Year AT Plus Employed E Line
Interest Trend
AT
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 20450725 0.17 0.150
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 20707904 0.17 0.182
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 23549578 0.21 0.214
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 27854145 0.21 0.246
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 35343894 0.31 0.278
Average of Return on Capital Employed 0.21
Source: Appendix - V

88
Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.1180+0.0320 (X)
When X=6, Ŷ = 0.310 i.e. Expected ROCE Ratio for next year (year=6)}
Where,
Y= estimate of the ROCE Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

The above figures show that the average ROCE of NTC for the study period is
21% As is the case with ROA, this is good if we compare this return with the
cost of debt. But the past trend of this Ratio does not show any clear
downward trend as it is the case with ROA. Therefore, it can be safely said
that the return to the long term stakeholders are better than the return earned
by its assets assuming that cost of the short -term sources are negligible.

The average Ratio of 21% indicates that each rupee of long term fund
employed by the Organization is generating after tax profit of 21 paisa.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows
a long run negligible positive growth rate 0.0320or 3.2 % per year for this Ratio.
If this Ratio is to move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected
that the return level of the long term capital employed by the company should
increase slightly in coming years.

4.2.4.6 Return on Equity (ROE)

The Return on Shareholders' Equity (ROSE) {or simply Return on Equity


(ROE)} indicates how well the company's management is able to provide return
to its owners. The return on common stock is not fixed. The residue of the
earnings, on which the stockholders have claim, may be distributed to them
or retained in the business. Nevertheless, the net profit after taxes represents
their return. The shareholders' equity includes the total of equity capital,
reserve & surplus minus deferred expenditure. ROE is regarded as an
important measure because it reflects the productivity of shareholders' capitals

89
well as the operational efficiency of management. We use the following formula
to calculate ROE.
Return on Equity (ROE) = Net profit after tax (NPAT) / Net worth

Table 4.20

Calculation of return on equity ratio and its straight line trend equation

(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Year NPAT NET ROE Straight
Order WORTH Line
Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 20439476 0.161 0.145
2 2063/64 3542461 20683665 0.171 0.179
3 2064/65 4936647 23549578 0.210 0.212
4 2065/66 5652688 26662465 0.212 0.246
5 2066/67 10871456 35343894 0.308 0.279
Average of Return on Equity (ROE) Ratio 0.212
Source: Appendix - V

Straight Line Trend of the Ratio is: Ŷ = 0.1119+0.0335 (X)

When X=6, Ŷ = 0.313{i.e. Expected ROE Ratio for next year (year=6)}

Where,
Y= estimate of the Return on Equity Ratio
X= measure of time when base year 2062/63 = 1

From the table shows the ROE of NTC for past 5 years. The average Ratio for
the 5 -year period is around 21.2% which indicates that the equity holders of
NTC earned 21.2 paisa of return on their investment of Re. 1.00 over the last 5
years, on average. It is obvious from the table that after the initial 2 years of the
study period the average ROE for the final of the 3 years has been satisfactory
movement toward positive. NTC has to take measures to make the Ratio more
stable in future which should increase the confidence of the owners.

The Straight Line Trend fitted on the basis of least square method shows a long
run positive growth rate of3.35% per year for this Ratio. If this Ratio is to
move as per the fitted Trend Line in future, it can be expected that the equity

90
holders' return would further go slightly upward from its current level.

4.3 Statistical Analysis


4.3.1 Correlation and Regression Analysis

Correlation Analysis intends to measure the relationship between two


variables. This analysis describes not only the magnitude of relationship but
also its direction. Regression Analysis intends to use the relationship
between the known variables and the unknown variables to estimate and
predict the values of unknown one. Correlation & Regression analysis of
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Sales Revenue; Investment (Total Asset) and
Profit ; Sales Revenue and Cost; Investment (Total Asset) and Sales Revenue are
presented in this study.

4.3.1.1 Correlation & Regression analysis of Gross Domestic


Product (GDP) and Sales Revenue

The relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Sales Revenue
is measured and tested by Karl Pearson's Co-efficient of Correlation. A positive
Correlation here would imply that the company maintains a stable growth in
its revenue with the growth in the economy as a whole. Insignificant or
negative value would point out the weakness of management to expand and
grow the Organization in the tune of the economic growth. The Regression
Equation would develop a function using which we can predict what the likely
Sales Revenue will be in the coming years with a given GDP estimates.

91
Table 4.21
Computation of Correlation & Regression Co-efficient from the variables GDP and
Sales Revenue
(in ten millions of Rs.)

Fiscal Year GDP Rs (X) Sales Rs (Y) X2 Y2 XY


2062/63 48100.4 885.27 2313648480 783702.9729 42581841.11
2063/64 49773.9 919.43 2477441121 845351.5249 45763616.88
2064/65 51448.5 1105.89 2646948152 1222992.692 56896381.67
2065/66 53168.2 1475.16 2826857491 2176097.026 78431601.91
2066/67 56012.4 1788.93 3137388954 3200270.545 100202262.7
Total 258503.4 6174.68 13402284199 8228414.76 323875704.3

r= 0.97604
PE= 0.014282723
Source: Appendix - V

Summary of Computations
r = 0.97604
PE = 0.014282723
|r| > PE
|r| > 6 x PE & |r| >0.5

The value of r is found to be 0.98 (see appendix:1) which means that there
exists a high degree of positive Correlation between GDP and Sales
Volume i.e. the two variables increase/decrease strongly in the same
direction. The value of r is far greater than 6 times the probable error, which
means that there is clear evidence of significant association between these two
variables. The computed value of r indicates a cause and effect relationship.

The regression co-efficient is -5165.61. The regression equation of Sales (Y) on


GDP (X) is given by

Ŷ = -5165.61+0.1238* (X)

The value of b is found to be 0.1238 (see appendix:2), which means that 1 unit
change in GDP would result in 0.1238 unit change in the Sales Revenue of

92
NTC. Given the forecast of GDP of the country for future by the economists, we
can use the above developed equation to estimate what the revenues of the
NTC would likely to be in the coming years and plan accordingly for future
sales.

4.3.1.1 Correlation & Regression Analysis of Investments (Total


Assets) and Profit

The relationship between Investment and Profit is measured and tested by


Karl Pearson's Co-efficient of Correlation. A positive Correlation here would
imply that the Corporation maintains a stable growth (or decline) in its Profit
in line with its Investment increase (or decrease). Insignificant or negative value
would point out the weakness of management to keep the Profit in line with the
Investments i.e. it points to the fact that the Corporation's expansion may not be
giving desirable results. The Regression Equation would develop a function
using which we can predict what the size of profit would be in the coming
years with a planned additional investment in Assets.

Table 4.22
Computation of Correlation & Regression co - efficient from the variables
investments and profit
(Ten million)
Fiscal Year Investments (X) Profit (Y) X2 Y2 XY
2062/63 391.0290728 329.0117 152903.7358 108248.6987 128653.14
2063/64 333.8733695 354.2461 111471.4269 125490.2994 118273.339
2064/65 415.6948417 493.6647 172802.2014 243704.836 205213.8693
2065/66 488.3855717 565.2688 238520.4666 319528.8163 276069.1261
2066/67 837.01821 1087.1456 700599.4839 1181885.556 909960.6641
Total 2466.001066 2829.3369 1376297.315 1978858.206 1638170.139
r= 0.98707

PE= 0.007751949
Source: Appendix - V

93
Summary of Computations
r = 0.98707
PE = 0.007751949
|r| > PE
|r| > 6 x PE & |r| >0.5

The value of r is found to be 0.99(see appendix:3), which implies that there


exists a high degree of positive Correlation between Total Investments and
Total Profit. This means the two variables move in the same direction; i.e. if
Total Investment increases then Total Profit also increase and vice-versa. The
value of r is greater than 6 times the probable error and higher than +0.5;
means that there is significant degree of positive Correlation between the
variables i.e. the value of r is significant. Hence, the relationship between Total
Investments and Total Profit is that of a cause and effect one.

The regression co-efficient is -182.766 The regression equation of Profits


(Y) on Investments (X) is given by

Ŷ = -182.766+ 1.5165* (X)

The value of b is found to be 1.5165(see appendix:4), which means that, on


average, 1 unit change in Total Investment (Asset) would result in 1.5165 unit
change in the Net Profit of NTC. Given the capital budget plan of the NTC
for coming years, we can use the above Equation to estimate what the profit of
the NTC would likely to be in the coming years.

4.3.1.2 Correlation & Regression Analysis of sales revenue and Total


Cost

The relationship between Sales Revenue and Cost is measured and tested by
Karl Pearson's Co-efficient of Correlation. A positive Correlation here would
imply that most of the Costs of NTC are of variable nature. A low positive
Correlation would imply that the average Cost would go down as the
volume expands. A negative Correlation, which is highly unlikely, would
point out that Cost of NTC decreases with the increase in Sales Volume and
vice versa. The Regression Equation would develop a function, with the help

94
of which, we can predict what the amount of Cost would be in the coming years
with various predicted Sales Levels.

Table 4.23
Computation of Correlation & Regression co - efficient from the variables sales
revenue and total cost
(In million of Rs.)
Fiscal Total Sales Revenue Total Costs
Year (X) (Y) X2 Y2 XY
2062/63 885.2727 430.2059609 783707.7534 185077.1688 380849.5926
2063/64 919.4297 427.2768204 845350.9732 182565.4813 392850.9988
2064/65 1105.8914 421.5188007 1222995.789 177678.0993 466154.0166
2065/66 1475.1623 676.8301882 2176103.811 458099.1037 998434.3771
2066/67 1788.931 701.7854136 3200274.123 492502.7667 1255445.682
Total 6174.6871 2657.617184 8228432.449 1495922.62 3493734.667

r= 0.94451
PE= 0.032550199
Source: Appendix - V

SUMMARY OF COMPUTATIONS
r = 0.994495910
PE = 0.00331
|r| > PE
|r| > 6 x PE & |r| >0.5

The value of r is found to be 0.99(see appendix:5), which implies that there


exists a high degree of positive Correlation between Sales Revenue and
Cost. This means the two variables move in the same direction; i.e. if
Sales Revenue increases then Cost also increases, and vice-versa. The value
of r is greater than 6 times the probable error and higher than +0.5; means that
there is significant degree of positive Correlation between the variables i.e.
the value of r is significant. Hence, the relationship between Total Costs and
Total Sales Revenue is that of a cause and affect one.

The regression co-efficient is 7185.10. Hence the regression equation of


Costs (Y) on Sales (X) is given by,

Ŷ= 7185.10+ 0.09679 *(X)


The value of b is found to be 0.09679 (see appendix:6), which means that, on

95
average, 1 rupee change in Volume (Sales) would result in 9.68 paisa change in
the Total Cost of NTC. Given

4.4 Major Findings


The Sales forecasts of the NTC for coming years, we can use the above
Equation to estimate what the Costs of the NTC would likely to be in the
coming years.

4.4.1 Ratio Analysis

Ratio is said to tell more than what is told alone by absolute values
comprising the Ratio. Indexing of two items tell more than the items tell
together. All Ratios computed in chapter four try to measure the financial
position and/or performance of NTC, the core subject matter of this study. The
analysis becomes irrelevant if the corrective actions based on the
suggestion do not make difference.

4.4.1.1 Liquidity Position

This research has used two short-term liquidity indicator Ratios. On the basis of
these Ratios, one should say that the overall short -term solvency position of
NTC is satisfactory. Perhaps, because of the service nature of its operation,
NTC has maintained low level of inventory compared with other current
assets components. Hence, the difference between Current Ratio and Quick
Ratio is negligible. Though both these ratios decreasing beyond 2:1. The
nominal negative growth rate shown by the Straight Line Trend is not fair so the
actual trend should not be let to increase this way for long time. Payment
of short term dues and obtaining short term loans under favorable terms and
conditions should not be of problem to the NTC in coming years.

4.4.1.2 Turn over position

This research has used 7 Turnover Ratios to judge the efficiency of the
component/aggregate of the resources used by the firm in generating volume.

96
The Average Age of Inventory and the Average Collection Period are simply
mirror images of Inventory Turnover and Debtor Turnover Ratios.
Conclusions are solely based on historical Straight Line Trend, Actual Trend
and historical average. The resources we consider about, current assets have
the poorest performance. Though inventory seems to have good utilization rate
compared to other current assets, it is because of the inventory's small size
NTC carries. So NTC should be concerned about its current assets investment
in future. As the increase in sales is not accompanied proportionally by the rate
of increase in working capital. So There seems to be laxity in management in
efficiently mobilizing the working capital. Fixed Assets Turnover/utilization
seems to be improving over time. But it is still far below 1.00 mark which
should make management not to be complacent. The performance of current
assets in terms of volume generation was so poor over time that the
improvement in performance of fixed assets could not compensate it. That's
why the Total Assets Turnover is poor and fluctuating. So, overall, the asset
utilization
position of NTC is termed poor as well as deteriorating over the five years of
study period. NTC should pay constant/close attention on the desirability of the
current size of its current assets investment. If the company can improve asset
utilization, it can charge cheaper rates for its service which would be vital in
coming days because of the competition from the private sector permitted by
the government under its liberalization and open market policy. Its utilization
trend needs to be improved if the Organization has to obtain better return on its
resources. We see that, on average, it takes five months to collect a typical
account from a customer.

4.4.1.3 Long term Solvency Position

This research has, in effect, used 3 Leverage Ratios to judge the extent to
which NTC has been financed with debt and bear fixed obligations. TD to
TA and TD to TE Ratios are essentially the same measure. It seems that NTC
has kept the policy of increasing its debt financing proportion gradually over
the study period. Overall, debt financing proportion increase from
approximately slightly increase of the total assets. The amount of long -term

97
debt used by NTC has decreasing. Capital employed now only consists of equity.

4.4.1.4 Profitability Position

This research has used 6 Profitability Ratios to judge the overall effectiveness
of the firm. The first three Ratios use sales as a base to measure performance,
while the other three use investment/capital as a base to measure performance.
The profitability position shown by the first type of Ratios seems good. The
profit margin are good, operating costs proportion are minimum. But the trends
are not satisfactory enough. The cause may be the destruction of infrastructure
during the civil war and internal problems of the concern. Operating Expenses
Ratio Trend is maintaining its stage up and Modified Net Profit Margin. It
means that operating expenses as well as other expenses are slowly going up
on average over the study period. To reverse this trend, the Organization needs to
put stringent cost control measures in place. The profitability of assets/capital is
also poor. With so huge investment, the average return on assets can safely be
termed as poor. Because of the cheaper debt source, the return to equity holder
could be magnified on average over the study period. Because the
Organization is reducing sharply its long term debt financing (interest bearing)
sources, the shareholders of the Organization can expect to receive lower rate of
return in future on their investments. The after tax return on total assets is also
going in downward trend according to least square method. One of the main
reasons that is said to have adverse effect on its profitability during the most
recent years is the insurgency, which has destructed many of its key structures
all over the country and has resulted in drastic decline in operational profit.
This argument is not totally valid. The Organization has not seem the
provisions of to buy enough insurance to cover destroyed assets Competition is
also going to be a major factor for the downturn of the Organization, if NTC
does not get alert on time and take careful and
measured actions. The way it behaved to its customers under monopoly is
certainly not going to work under competitive market. Secondly, given the
competitors mainly concentrated around big cities, the Organization
subsidizing its rural operation through urban profit is going to face
competition with such a severe constraint.

98
Solvency position, short-term as well as long -term, is good and the direction of
the Ratios which indicate these positions is positive particularly from the
viewpoint of the lenders. But when it comes to resource employment position,
it can be safely said that the turnovers generated by the assets are not
satisfactory. Utilization of working capital in particular is very poor.
Profitability on the operational front seems fairly good but with such low
turnover, this cannot be termed excellent. Moreover, the negative trend of profit
on operation makes the situation even more disappointing. The low rate of
profit on assets/capital accompanied by negative growth rate on these Ratios
shows that asset returns are poor on aggregate. Investments decisions are weak,
operational efficiency are weak, only financial position / management is good.
But even the financial management from the viewpoint of the equity holder
can be termed unsatisfactory because of the reducing leverage benefits to the
Share holders. So, on all fronts, NTC need to have a fresh re- look so that it
can run smoothly in coming days of the 1st century.

4.4.2 Regression and Correlation Analysis

Regression and Correlation Analysis are used to see the relationship between
the variables that does not point to the past position and performance but to the
future prospect based on which planning for better performance can be
done. We computed Correlations and Regression Equations between three
pairs of variables. Correlations between all the pairs of variables are highly
positive as per our anticipation. Because the Correlations are highly positive
and significant, one can safely use the Regression Equations to forecast the value
of dependent variables based on the anticipated value of independent variable.

GDP and sales indicate the relationship of volume with that of the expansion
of economy. The higher degree of Correlation between GDP and sales
points out to the fact that the volume of NTC is going to be up as the nation
become more and more affluent. This rate of change in volume as shown by the
Regression Coefficient 'b' is approximately 1.4 paisa per rupee of GDP
99
increased. With such a low turnover position, if the company can achieve the
increased sales without investing much on assets, the overall profitability
position should improve.

The relation between the Investment and profit indicates the profitability on
investment. High and significant Correlation between investment and
profit points to the fact that additional investment, on aggregate; by rupee 1
will lead to increase in profit by just 10 paisa. So, a typical investment project,
NTC is expected to initiate, can expect to earn around 10% Return on Investment,
approximately equal to the 5 years average ROI.

The relationship between sales and investment indicates turnover. The sales and
investment are highly positively correlated means that an increase in
investment would definitely increase sales. But as indicated by the Regression
Coefficient 'b' on average, 1 rupee change in Volume (Sales) would result in
9.68 paisa change in the Total Cost of NTC. Next time when NTC considers
further investment, the company should see that whether the turnover or volume
generated by the investment is sufficient or not.

On sum, the Correlation and Regression Analysis backs the same conclusion we
drew under Ratio Analysis. Profitability on investment is around 10%, which we
already termed poor in Ratio Analysis. As of the relation between sales and
investment, The company should see that whether the turnover or volume
generated by the investment is sufficient or not. The most encouraging
position of the firm as shown by the relationship between GDP and sales is that
the size of firm's sales volume runs parallel with economic (GDP) growth.

100
CHAPTER V
SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS

5.1 Summary

Telecommunication is an inevitable infrastructure of development to all


countries. It is considered as prerequisite for the other dimension of
development. In Nepal the need of telecommunication services are primarily
fulfilled by Nepal Telecom.

Introduction of liberalized economic policy in Nepal gradually facilitated the


private sector investment as a result multinational companies also showed
their presence. Further more public enterprises started to be privatized. Such
trend couldn't also remain intact without influencing Nepal
Telecommunications Corporation. Hence Nepal Telecommunications
Corporation has been changed to Nepal Dorsanchar Company limited in 2061
BS under the company act. It's popularly known commercial name is “Nepal
Telecom”. Although Nepal Telecom has been recently established under the
company act and its 100% ownership has been held by Nepal Government by
receiving the entire investment from government.

As financial health is the key indicator of the success and failure of the
organization. Different financial indicator show to what extent would the
organization is capable to meet the expectations of various stakeholders of the
company. In the light of this main issue of the study has focused to evaluate the
financial performance of Nepal Telecom on the basis of latest available
information. Financial Analysis and planning function is not a decision-
making in itself rather it is an ancillary service, which helps in planning
for those two decisions and evaluating the outcome of those two decisions and
recommending necessary rectifying measures.

To make the study significant, ratio analysis and trend analysis, income and
expense analysis, correlation and regression analysis have been carried out

101
regarding the major variables of NTC. Before the analysis of such financial and
statistical tools the details of the same has been explained in the chapter namely
literature review and for the mathematical calculations research methodology has
been carried out. On basis of the analysis we will conclude our findings and try to
provide some relevant recommendations to the management of NTC so that they
can apply those recommendations if they deem appropriate.

Nepal Telecom as a state owned enterprise has involved in providing the cost
effective and people friendly telecom services in the nation since long time. The
organization has enjoyed monopoly in the telecom market and got policy
privilege during long period. Even thought, with the upcoming of private
sectors telecom, Nepal Telecom has been able to maintain its profit growth.
Nepal Telecom is financially performing well. It has able to use its assets in an
effective manner providing a huge return to the government.

5.2 Conclusion
Nepal Telecom has better performance than other state owned enterprise of
Nepal, in the sense that it is such a state owned enterprise, which is operating
under the net profit margin since the establishment of NTC. Financial
statement of the company shows that the Gross Revenue as well as Net Profit
has increased to a tune of higher rate. The overall short -term solvency
position of NTC is satisfactory. Perhaps, because of the service nature of
its operation, NTC has maintained low level of inventory compared with other
current assets components.

There seems to be negligence in management in efficiently mobilizing the


working capital. Fixed Assets Turnover/utilization seems to be improving over
time. But it is still far below 1.00 which should make management not to be
complacent. The performance of current assets in terms of volume
generation was so poor over time that the improvement in performance of
fixed assets could not compensate it. That's why the Total Assets Turnover is
poor and fluctuating.

102
So, overall, the asset utilization position of NTC is termed poor as well as
deteriorating over the five years of study period. NTC should pay constant/close
attention on the desirability of the current size of its current assets investment. If
the company can improve asset utilization, it can charge cheaper rates for its
service which would be vital in coming days because of the competition from the
private sector permitted by the government under its liberalization and open
market policy.

Solvency position, short-term as well as long -term, is good and the direction of
the Ratios which indicate these positions is positive particularly from the
viewpoint of the lenders. But

When it comes to resource employment position, it can be safely said that


the turnovers generated by the assets are not satisfactory.

Utilization of working capital in particular is very poor. Profitability on the


operational front seems fairly good but with such low turnover, this cannot be
termed excellent. Moreover, the negative trend of profit on operation makes the
situation even more disappointing. The low rate of profit on assets/capital
accompanied by negative growth rate on these Ratios shows that asset returns
are poor on aggregate.

The relation between the Investment and profit indicates the profitability on
investment. High and significant Correlation between investment and
profit points to the fact that additional investment, on aggregate; by rupee 1
will lead to increase in profit by just 10 paisa. So, a typical investment project,
NTC is expected to initiate, can expect to earn around 10% Return on Investment,
approximately equal to the 5 years average ROI.

Overall the company is able to perform well. The general faith of people on the
government telecom will drive the profit of the business in upward trend.
Because of its low price of calls, and effective reach it will prove to be

103
one of the best earning company for the government. If the management is
managed properly, this company should and will provide a huge return to the
government and its shareholders (once the company go public).

5.3 Recommendations

The following recommendations are in order NTCs management on improving


its financial position and performance addressed by this study.

 Though the average cost of producing and selling services to the


customers of this Organization is satisfactory, the increasing trend of cost
should be a cause of concern. With such a low Turnover Ratio of the
Organization's assets, the management should be careful not to let the
Profit Margin go down. This can be achieved either by increasing
price charged to the customer or by reducing cost. Given the competition
that is forthcoming in the recent years, the Organization should
concentrate itself seriously on second alternative (i.e. reducing cost).

 It seems that the Organization is losing the benefit of the leverage


over time, particularly in the most recent years. A profitable company
like NTC should not hesitate to use the cheaper debt source to
magnify the Return of Equity. So, the management should consider
using long-term debt when financing new expansion projects in the
future.

 NT being a service oriented firm does not need s higher liquidity


position. Thus company should stabiles its current ratio near 1:1. Large
amount of fund tied up in current assets may bypass the opportunity
cost so it is better to invest such excess amount in fixed assets to increase
its capacity.

104
 Average collection period of NTC is very poor. On average, it takes
more than 4 months to collect a typical account, so the collection effort
needed to be intensified by providing attractive packages to the
customers, providing more authority and accountability to the
concerned officers so that ACP can be reduced to more manageable
level.

 It seems that the working capital is not managed properly in


generating sales volume. The excess investment in working capital is
not properly utilized. So NTC can think of reducing its current assets
components by using cash to expand its equipment capacity or reducing
operating expenses.

 Though Fixed Assets Turnover is increasing over time, it is still far


below 1.00 times barrier. So, NTC management should be careful in
future not to undertake capital intensive investment projects if they fail
to generate sufficient volume. And the Fixed assets Turnover could be
increased to some extent if the company runs in installed capacity of the
equipment as far as possible.

 Given the high risk perception on most part of the countryside


where the key communication towers and related structures are situated,
NTC should buy enough insurance for all of these structures. So that it
does not suffer from huge losses even if the facilities/structures are
destroyed. The past experience of the management of not buying enough
insurance for those valuable structures should have taught a good lesson to
them.

 The investment appraisal criteria should be overhauled to make it more


scientific so that it weighs all relevant factors before making further
investment decision so that the project do not provided lesser return than
cost of capital.

105
 Set up pro-forma balance sheet and income statements to use these as
a general guideline to determine the size/proportion of investment and
financing items of balance sheet and operational items of the
income statement, so that a standardization and rationalization in
operation, financing and investment can be made.

The Organization should impart professional management on its top


hierarchy. Given the tough competition emanating from the private sector,
the Organization should resist unnecessary political interferences in
managing its day to day operations. It should seek freedom to decide on its
own under the broad guidelines given by the government.

106
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Web Sites
http://www.cbs.gov.np
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http://www.nrb.org.np
http://www.ntc.net.np

109
APPENDIX -I

𝑁 ∑ 𝑋𝑌 − ∑ 𝑋 ∑ 𝑌
𝑟=
√[𝑁 ∑ 𝑋 2 − (∑ 𝑋)2 ] [𝑁 ∑ 𝑌2 − (∑ 𝑌)2 ]

5 × 323875704.3 − 258503.4 × 6174.68


𝑟=
√5 × 134022841999 − (258503.4)2 × √5 × 8228414.76 − (6174.68)2

𝑟 = 0.97604

Calculation of probable error,

0.6745(1 − 𝑟 2 )
𝑃𝐸 =
√𝑁

0.6745 [1 − (0.97604)2 ]
𝑃𝐸 =
√5

𝑃𝐸 = 0.014282723

110
APPENDIX –II

Regression co-efficient of GDP and Sales:

NXY  ZY
b
N X 2  ( X ) 2

5  3238757043  258503.4  6174.68


b
5  13402284199  (258503.4) 2

b = 0.1238

Y X
a b
N N

6174.68 258503.4
a  1.1238 
5 5

a = - 5165.61

Hence the regression equation of Sales (Y) on GDP (X) is given by

Ŷ = -5165.61+ 0.1238*(X)

111
APPENDIX –III

Co-efficient of Correlation of Investment and Profit:

𝑁 ∑ 𝑋𝑌 − ∑ 𝑋 ∑ 𝑌
𝑟=
√[𝑁 ∑ 𝑋 2 − (∑ 𝑋)2 ] [𝑁 ∑ 𝑌2 − (∑ 𝑌)2 ]

5 × 1638170.139 − 2466.001066 × 2829.3369


𝑟=
[√5 × 1376297.315 − (2466.001066)2 × √5 × 1978858.206 − (2829.3369)2 ]

6174.68 258503.4
ra=0.98707  1.1238 
5 5

Calculation of Probable error,

0.6745(1 − 𝑟 2 )
𝑃𝐸 =
√𝑁

0.6745 [1 − (0.98707)2 ]
𝑃𝐸 =
√5

𝑃𝐸 = 0.007751949

112
APPENDIX -IV

Regression co-efficient of Investment and Profit:

NXY  ZY
b
N X 2  ( X ) 2

5  1638170.139  2466.001066  2829.3369


b
5  1376297.315  (2466.001066) 2

b = 1.5165

Y X
a b
N N

2829 . 2466.001066
.
a  1.5165 
5 5

𝑎 = 182.0766

113
APPENDIX –V

Co-efficient of Correlation of Sales Revenue and Total Cost:

𝑁 ∑ 𝑋𝑌 − ∑ 𝑋 ∑ 𝑌
𝑟=
√[𝑁 ∑ 𝑋 2 − (∑ 𝑋)2 ] [𝑁 ∑ 𝑌2 − (∑ 𝑌)2 ]

5 × 3493734.667 − 6174.6871 × 2657.617184


𝑟=
[√5 × 8228432.449 − (6174.6871)2 × √5 × 149522.62 − (2657.617184)2 ]

𝑟 = 0.94451

Calculation of Probable error,

0.6745(1 − 𝑟 2 )
𝑃𝐸 =
√𝑁

0.6745 [1 − (0.0.94451)2 ]
𝑃𝐸 =
√5

𝑃𝐸 = 0.032550199

114
APPENDIX –VI

Regression co-efficient of sales revenue and total coast

NXY  ZY
b
N X 2  ( X ) 2

5  3493734.667  6174.6871 2657.617184


b
5  8228432.449  (6174.6871) 2

b = 0.3511

Y X
a b
N N

2657.617184 6174.6871
a  0.3511 
5 5

𝑎 = 97.9323

115
Appendix
DISCRIPTION OF PARTICULARS AS PER FINANCIAL STATEM

TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS TOTAL OF CURRENT ASSETS AND LOANS &


ADVANCE
TOTAL FIXED ASSETS (NET) TOTAL OF FIXED ASSETS (NET), CAPITAL
WORK - IN -
TOTAL ASSETS TOTAL CURRENT ASSETS PLUS TOTAL FIXED
ASSETS
TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES TOTAL OF CURRENT LIABILITIES AND
PROVISIONS

TOTAL LONG - TERM LIABILITIES TOTAL OF LOANS FROM GOVT. OF NEPAL


TOTAL NET WORTH AGAINST…

TOTAL CAPITAL EMPLOYED TOTAL OF EQUITY CAPITAL, RESERVE &


SURPLUS MI

TOTAL OPERATING REVENUE TOTAL OF CURRENT LIABILITIES AND


(SALES) TOTAL REVENUE PROVISIONS
TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSES TOTAL OF EXPENDITURE MINUS INTEREST
ON LOAN,
EMPLOYEE BONUS AND INCENTIVE AS PER INCOME STATEMENT
PACKAGE

EBIT NET PROFIT BEFORE TAX PLUS INTEREST ON


LONG -

INTEREST ON LONG - TERM DEBTS TOTAL OF INTEREST ON LOAN AS PER


INCOME STATE

CURRENT YEAR'S INTEREST EXPENSES


AVERAGE INTEREST RATE DIVIDED BY P BALANCE

NET PROFIT BEFORE TAX


TAXES AS PER INCOME STATEMENT
NET PROFIT AFTER TAX AS PER INCOME STATEMENT

AVERAGE TAX RATE AS PER BALANCE SHEET

AFTER TAX INTEREST TAXES DIVIDED BY NET PROFIT BEFORE TAX


INTEREST EXPENSES (1 - AVERAGE TAX
RATE)

TOTAL COST TOTAL REVENUE MINUS NET PROFIT AFTER


TAX

116
Appendix –I

Calculation of current ratio and its straight line trend equation


(in thousand)
Year Fiscal Current Current Current Straight
Order Year Assets Liabilities Ratio Line Trend
1 2062/63 20213762 12629715 1.60 1.486
2 2063/64 20598352 14722678 1.40 1.498
3 2064/65 22526522 15665380 1.44 1.510
4 2065/66 23519754 15675154 1.5 1.522
5 2066/67 24180638 15014439 1.61 1.534
Average current ratio 151
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

Calculation of quick ratio and its straight line trend equation


(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Current Inventory Quick Current Quick Straight
Order Year Assets Assets Liabilities Ratio Line Trend
1 2062/63 20213763 255250 19958513 12629715 1.58 1.508

2 2063/64 20598352 309857 20288495 14722678 1.38 1.458

3 2064/65 22526522 329315 21097207 15665380 1.42 1.448

4 2065/66 23519754 327684 23192070 15675154 1.48 1.418

5 2066/67 24180638 416424 23764104 15014439 1.38 1.388

Average Quick Ratio 1.45


Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

117
Calculation of inventory turnover ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs.in thousand)

Year Fiscal Operating Inventory Inventory Straight


Order Year Sales Turnover Line Trend
1 2062/63 8309936 255250 32.56 28.876
2 2063/64 8584144 309857 27.70 31.920
3 2064/65 10413655 329315 31.62 34.964
4 2065/66 13967318 327684 42.62 38.008
5 2066/67 16788359 416424 40.32 41.052
Average Inventory Turnover Ratio 34.96
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

Calculation of Average Age of Inventory (days)

Fiscal Year Inventory Turnover Average Age of


Inventory
2062/63 32.56 11
2063/64 27.70 13
2064/65 31.62 11
2065/66 42.62 8
2066/67 40.32 9
Average 10

Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

118
Appendix –II

Calculation of Debtors Turnover Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Operating Debtors Debtors Straight
Order Year Sales Turnover Line Trend

1 2062/63 8309936 2668942 3.11 2.934


2 2063/64 8584144 2825943 3.04 3.340
3 2064/65 10413655 3099495 3.36 3.746
4 2065/66 13967318 3455511 4.04 4.152
5 2066/67 16788359 3482610 4.82 4.558
Average Debtors Turnover Ratio 3.67
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

Calculation of Average Collection Period


(Rs. in thousand)
Year Order Fiscal Year Debtors Operating ACP (Days)
Sales
1 2062/63 2668942 8309936 116
2 2063/64 2825943 8584144 119
3 2064/65 3099495 10413655 107
4 2065/66 3455511 13967318 89
5 2066/67 3482610 16788359 75
5-Yearly Average 101
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

119
Calculation of Total Assets Turnover Ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Total Sales Total TA Straight
Order Year Assets Turnover Line
Trend
1 2062/63 8852727 33080441 0.27

0.266
2 2063/64 9194297 35432582 0.26 0.265
3 2064/65 11058914 39104959 0.26 0.264
4 2065/66 14751623 43529299 0.27 0.263
5 2066/67 17889310 49371223 0.26 0.262

Average of Total Assets Turnover 0.26


Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

Calculation of fixed assets turnover ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Fiscal Operating Net Fixed FA Straight
Order Year Sales Assets Turnover Line Trend
1 2062/63 8309936 8094882 1.03 0.944
2 2063/64 8584144 9040917 0.95 1.026
3 2064/65 10413655 10088426 1.03 1.108
4 2065/66 13967318 11361042 1.23 1.190
5 2066/67 16788359 10197703 1.30
Average of Fixed Assets Turnover 1.11
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

120
Appendix –III

Calculation of Working Capital Turnover ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)

Year Fiscal Operating CA Total Net


WC Straight
Order Year Sales CL WC
Turnover Line
Trend
1 2062/63 8309936 20213762 12629715 7584047 1.10 1.182

2 2063/64 8584144 20598352 14722678 5875675 1.46 1.360

3 2064/65 10413655 22526522 15665380 6861142 1.52 1.538

4 2065/66 13967318 23519754 15675154 7844600 1.78 1.716

5 2066/67 16788359 24180638 15014439 9166199 1.83 1.894

Average of Working Capital (WC) Turnover 1.538

Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

Calculation of Capital Employed Turnover Ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Total Capital CE Straight
Order Year Sales Employed Turnover Line Trend
1 2062/63 8852727 20450725 0.43 0.426
2 2063/64 9194297 20707904 0.44 0.451
3 2064/65 11058914 23549578 0.47 0.476
4 2065/66 14751623 27854145 0.53 0.501
5 2066/67 17889310 35343894 0.51 0.526
Average of Working Capital (WC) Turnover 0.476
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal telecom

121
Calculation of Total Debt Ratio and its straight line trend equation

(Rs. in thousand)
Year Fiscal Year Total Debt Total Total Debt Straight
Order Assets Ratio Line
Trend
1 2062/63 12640965 33080441 0.38 0.410
2 2063/64 14746917 35432582 0.42 0.397
3 2064/65 15665379 39104959 0.40 0.378
4 2065/66 16866833 43529299 0.39. 0.359
5 2066/67 15014439 49371223 0.30 0.340
Average of Total Debt Ratio 0.378

Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

Calculation of Debt Equity Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)

Year Fiscal Total Debt Net worth Debt Straight


Order Year Equity Line
Ratio Trend
1 2061/62 12640965 20439476 0.62 0.706
2 2062/63 14746917 20683665 0.71 0.658
3 2063/64 15665379 23549578 0.67 0.610
4 2064/65 16866833 26662465 0.63 0.562
5 2066/67 15014439 35343894 0.42 0.514
Average of Debt Equity Ratio 0.61
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

122
Appendix –IV

Calculation of Long - term debt to capital employed ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Order Fiscal Year Long Term Capital LTD to CE Straight
Debit Employed Ratio Line Trend
1 2061/62 11249 20450725 0.0006 0.004
2 2062/63 24238 20707904 0.0012 0.007
3 2063/64 0 23549578 0 0.010
4 2064/65 1191680 27854145 0.0428 0.013
5 2066/67 0 35343894 0 0.016
Average of Long Term Debt Ratio 0.0089
Source: Annual Reports of NTC

Calculation of Interest Coverage Ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)
Year Order Fiscal Year Interest EBIT IC Ratio Straight
Exp. Line Trend
1 2062/63 89942 4640610 51.60 63.202
2 2063/64 57732 4979261 86.25 79.600
3 2064/65 65045 6908772 106.22 95.998
4 2065/66 67142 7950464 118.41 112.396
5 2066/067 93307 10964763 117.51 128.794
Average of Total Debt Ratio 96
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

123
Calculation of net profit margin ratio and its straight line trend equation using net
profit after tax as profit
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Order Fiscal Year NPAT Total Sales NP Margin Straight
Line Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 8852727 0.37 0.346

2 2063/64 3542461 194297 0.39 0.393

3 2064/65 4936647 11058914 0.45 0.440

4 2065/66 5652688 14751623 0.38 0.487

5 2066/67 10871456 17889310 0.61 0.534

Average of Net Profit Margin Ratio 0.44

Source: Annual Reports of NTC

Calculation of net profit margin ratio and its straight line trend equation using
earnings after tax + interests after tax as profit
(Rs. in thousands)
Y. F Year NPAT Int. NPAT+I Total Sales NP M Straight
O AT nt.AT Line
Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 8852727 0.382 0.345
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 9194297 0.392 0.400
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 11058914 0.452 0.445
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 14751623 0.388 0.491
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 17889310 0.613 0.537
Average of Net Profit Margin Ratio 0.445
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

124
Calculation of operating expenses ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousand)

Year Fiscal Year Opt Exp. Total Opt. Straight


Order Sales Expenses Line Trend
Ratio
1 2062/63 426214430 5928648 0.416 0.4242
2 2063/64 2891309 6555992 0.441 0.4288
3 2064/65 3258571 7669283 0.425 0.4334
4 2065/66 3991863 8855034 0.451 0.438
5 2066/67 3990361 9194297 0.434 0.4426
Average of Operating Expenses Ratio 0.4334
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

Calculation of Return on Assets ratio and its straight line trend equation
(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal NPAT Interest NPAT Total ROA Straight
Order Year AT Plus Assets Line
Interest Trend
AT
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 33080441 0.10 0.082
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 35432582 0.10 0.109
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 39104959 0.13 0.136
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 43529299 0.13 0.163
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 49371223 0.22 0.190
Average of Return on Assets 0.14
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

125
Appendix –V

Calculation of Return on Capital Employed ratio and its straight line trend
equation
(Rs. in thousand)
.
Year Fiscal NPAT Interest NPAT Capital ROAC Straight
Order Year AT Plus Employed E Line
Interest Trend
AT
1 2062/63 3290117 89942 3380059 20450725 0.17 0.150
2 2063/64 3542461 57732 3600193 20707904 0.17 0.182
3 2064/65 4936647 65045 5001692 23549578 0.21 0.214
4 2065/66 5652688 67142 5719830 27854145 0.21 0.246
5 2066/67 10871456 93307 10964763 35343894 0.31 0.278
Average of Return on Capital Employed 0.21
Source: Annual Reports of Nepal Telecom

Calculation of return on equity ratio and its straight line trend equation

(Rs. in thousands)
Year Fiscal Year NPAT NET ROE Straight
Order WORTH Line
Trend
1 2062/63 3290117 20439476 0.161 0.145
2 2063/64 3542461 20683665 0.171 0.179
3 2064/65 4936647 23549578 0.210 0.212
4 2065/66 5652688 26662465 0.212 0.246
5 2066/67 10871456 35343894 0.308 0.279
Average of Return on Equity (ROE) Ratio 0.212
Source: Annual Reports of NTC

126
Computation of Correlation & Regression Co-efficient from the variables GDP and
Sales Revenue
(in ten millions of Rs.)

Fiscal Year GDP Rs (X) Sales Rs (Y) X2 Y2 XY


2062/63 48100.4 885.27 2313648480 783702.9729 42581841.11
2063/64 49773.9 919.43 2477441121 845351.5249 45763616.88
2064/65 51448.5 1105.89 2646948152 1222992.692 56896381.67
2065/66 53168.2 1475.16 2826857491 2176097.026 78431601.91
2066/67 56012.4 1788.93 3137388954 3200270.545 100202262.7
Total 258503.4 6174.68 13402284199 8228414.76 323875704.3

r= 0.97604
PE= 0.014282723
Source : Annual Reports of NTC and Economic Survey 064/065 B.S.

Computation of Correlation & Regression co - efficient from the variables


investments and profit
(Ten million)
Fiscal Year Investments (X) Profit (Y) X2 Y2 XY
2062/63 391.0290728 329.0117 152903.7358 108248.6987 128653.14
2063/64 333.8733695 354.2461 111471.4269 125490.2994 118273.339
2064/65 415.6948417 493.6647 172802.2014 243704.836 205213.8693
2065/66 488.3855717 565.2688 238520.4666 319528.8163 276069.1261
2066/67 837.01821 1087.1456 700599.4839 1181885.556 909960.6641
Total 2466.001066 2829.3369 1376297.315 1978858.206 1638170.139
r= 0.98707

PE= 0.007751949
Source : Annual Reports of NTC

127
Computation of Correlation & Regression co - efficient from the variables sales
revenue and total cost
(In million of Rs.)
Fiscal Total Sales Revenue Total Costs
Year (X) (Y) X2 Y2 XY
2062/63 885.2727 430.2059609 783707.7534 185077.1688 380849.5926
2063/64 919.4297 427.2768204 845350.9732 182565.4813 392850.9988
2064/65 1105.8914 421.5188007 1222995.789 177678.0993 466154.0166
2065/66 1475.1623 676.8301882 2176103.811 458099.1037 998434.3771
2066/67 1788.931 701.7854136 3200274.123 492502.7667 1255445.682
Total 6174.6871 2657.617184 8228432.449 1495922.62 3493734.667

r= 0.94451
PE= 0.032550199
Data Source : Audited Financial Reports of NTC

128

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