2024-11-01 Kaplan Poll Write Up

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National Polling

Likely Voters (671 Reponses)


Created on 01 November 2024
Sample size: 671
Sample target: Likely voters
Margin of error: 3.8%
Dates: 10/31/2024
https://kaplanstrategies.com/

Contact: Doug Kaplan, +1 407-242-1870


1) Do you have a very favorable, somewhat 2) Do you have a very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very
unfavorable view of Donald Trump? unfavorable view of Kamala Harris?

Very Favorable 36% Very Favorable 32%

Somewhat Favorable 9% Somewhat Favorable 13%

Somewhat
Unfavorable 4% Somewhat
Unfavorable 9%

Very Unfavorable 50%


Very Unfavorable 46%

0% 20% 40% 60%


0% 10%20%30%40%50%

3) Do you have a very favorable, somewhat 4) Do you have a very favorable, somewhat
favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very
unfavorable view of J.D. Vance? unfavorable view of Tim Walz?

Very Favorable 36% Very Favorable 31%

Somewhat Favorable 10%


Somewhat Favorable 16%

Somewhat
Unfavorable 10%
Somewhat Unfavorable 11%

Very Unfavorable 44%


Very Unfavorable 42%
0% 10%20%30%40%50%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

NATIONAL POLLING 11/1/2024 1


5) If the 2024 Presidential Election were 6) Thinking about the Congressional election
held today and these were the candidates, district, do you plan to vote for the Republican
for whom would you vote? or Democratic candidate?

Republican Donald
Trump 48% Republican 45%

Democrat Kamala
Harris 47% Democrat 44%

Uncertain 5% Uncertain 11%

0% 20% 40% 60% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

7) What is your party affiliation? 8) Are you registered to vote?

Republican 31%

Independent/Another
Party 37% Yes 100%

Democrat 32%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


0% 50% 100% 150%

NATIONAL POLLING 11/1/2024 2


9) What is your political ideology? 10) Are you or is a member of your immediate
family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish
speaking background?
Very Conservative 17%

Somewhat
Conservative 23%
Yes 13%
Moderate 33%

Somewhat Liberal 17%

Very Liberal 9% No 87%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

11) What race do you identify yourself as? 12) Which of the following best represents
your religious affiliation?

White/Caucasian 70%
Other/No Affiliation 33%

Hispanic 13% Protestant/other non-


denominational Christian 32%

African-American 10%
Catholic 19%

Evangelical Christian 14%


Other 4%
Jewish 2%
Asian 3%
Muslim 1%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

NATIONAL POLLING 11/1/2024 3


13) What is the highest level of education 14) How old are you?
have you completed?

Some High School. No 65 or older 29%


Diploma 3%

High School Graduate 27% 50-64 29%

Some College 30%


30-49 28%
Bachelor's Degree 25%

18-29 14%
Post Graduate 15%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%


0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

15) What is your gender? 16) Thinking about the 2024 Presidential
Election, how likely are you to vote in that
election?

Male 48% Already Voted 47%

Very Likely 41%

Female 52%
Likely 10%

0% 20% 40% 60% Somewhat Likely 2%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

NATIONAL POLLING 11/1/2024 4


NATIONAL POLLING 11/1/2024 5
Contents
1) Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very
unfavorable view of Donald Trump? .......................................................................................... 1
2) Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very
unfavorable view of Kamala Harris? .......................................................................................... 1
3) Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very
unfavorable view of J.D. Vance? ............................................................................................... 1
4) Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very
unfavorable view of Tim Walz? ................................................................................................. 1
5) If the 2024 Presidential Election were held today and these were the candidates, for whom
would you vote? ........................................................................................................................ 2
6) Thinking about the Congressional election district, do you plan to vote for the Republican or
Democratic candidate?.............................................................................................................. 2
7) What is your party affiliation? ................................................................................................ 2
8) Are you registered to vote? ................................................................................................... 2
9) What is your political ideology? ............................................................................................. 3
10) Are you or is a member of your immediate family from a Latino, Hispanic or Spanish
speaking background? .............................................................................................................. 3
11) What race do you identify yourself as? ............................................................................... 3
12) Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? ........................................ 3
13) What is the highest level of education have you completed? ............................................. 4
14) How old are you? ................................................................................................................ 4
15) What is your gender? .......................................................................................................... 4
16) Thinking about the 2024 Presidential Election, how likely are you to vote in that election? 4

NATIONAL POLLING 11/1/2024 6

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