Global Restructuring and The Auto Industry
Global Restructuring and The Auto Industry
Global Restructuring and The Auto Industry
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It is a time of economic restructuring in the world’s of the ‘gas guzzlers’ which have been such an
car industry and the implication for individual entrenched feature of the US domestic market, but
nations and regions is profound. In the rapidly also creating a whole new breed of cars based on
expanding markets of Brazil, India and China, there alternative energy sources and leading-edge R&D.
is expansion of capacity with new plants being The worst economic impacts of the Credit Crunch
opened as local markets grow on the back of rising may now be over but there is little doubt that the
domestic incomes. The pattern in the traditional effects on the big car producers in the west have been
markets of the West is the reverse, with significant transformative as reflected in the mergers and
contraction and even plant closures by the tradi- restructuring that has taken place. It is also significant
tional volume producers. that some of the most famous and established top-of-
Data provided by the International Organization the-range brands in the industry like Jaguar are now
of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers (OICA)1 shows owned by companies based in emerging markets.
that total world auto production increased by some This editorial begins with a brief review of the
16% over the period 1997–2009 to 61.7 million changes that are now underway in the auto industry
vehicles. Vehicle production in the USA, Japan and the nature of their regional impacts. It then
and Europe represented 77% of global production moves to outline what leading researchers writing
in 1997 but this had declined to around 50% by in this Special Edition see as the likely shape of
2009 whilst production in China had risen from things to come and the possible impacts on people
3% of the total in 1997 to over 22% in 2009. Other and places around the globe.
evidence provided by OICA indicates that the
global turnover of the world auto industry was close
to 2 trillion euros in 2005 and that worldwide over A time of change
50 million people were in employment either di- Looking back over the 20th century, we may regard
rectly or indirectly as a result of the auto industry the auto industry as a metaphor for capitalist de-
(OICA, 2010). velopment. The 20th century was dominated by
Climate change and the need to reduce carbon the development and roll-out globally of mass pro-
emissions is having an impact, leading to the demise duction and consumption (described as the ‘first
Ó The Author 2010. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Cambridge Political Economy Society. All rights reserved.
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Bailey, de Ruyter, Michie and Tyler
revolution’ in auto production; Womack et al., omy and indeed society: post-Fordism was also
1990), with large factories and Taylorist regulation presented as a move from mass consumption to
of assembly-line speeds and techniques. That whole niche markets and more individualistic lifestyle
era—covering the first 80 years of the century, at choices.
least—was often referred to as the era of ‘Fordism’, Much of this ‘post-Fordist’ literature was rather
after Henry Ford’s first production-line factory superficial, not least in its parochial view that devel-
(Womack et al., 1990). opments in the industrialized economies typified
Many of the major developments in the economy a global development, whereas if anything the op-
took place in the auto industry. Ford’s factory used posite was the case—to the extent that the large
assembly-line technology to an unprecedented de- factories in Western Europe and North America
gree, and his $5 per day wage introduced/acknowl- were giving way to smaller scale facilities and ser-
edged the idea of a high wage, high-productivity vice provision, this was mirrored by the rise of mass
economy making sense at the micro level as high production in the less developed countries (Costello
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Global restructuring and the auto industry
across the world, including now from the BRICs Overall, what can be seen in the industry so far is
(Brazil, Russia, India and China). Hence the UK’s not so much globalization, as really regionalization
Jaguar Land Rover is now owned by the Indian within a global pattern, whereby the original equip-
manufacturing firm Tata, while Sweden’s Volvo ment manufacturers (OEMs) assemble and design
at the time of writing [August 2010] is being sold vehicles locally, close to the customer (witness ma-
to the Chinese company Geely. jor OEMs setting up design studios in China and
However, one needs to be cautious about some of India for example). A key question then centres on
the generalized claims made regarding ‘globalization’ whether the emergence of China and India as major
(see Sutcliffe and Glyn, 2003). Firstly, globalization producers and exporters will challenge this pattern,
was well established prior to Henry Ford’s original given the possibility of low labour costs and econ-
assembly-line-based factory—indeed, how else omies of scale overcoming transportation costs to
would such a factory have come to be established major markets. Whilst the OEMs currently prefer to
in North America, had it not been for the large-scale locate near the final market, they have shifted as-
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Bailey, de Ruyter, Michie and Tyler
‘lean manufacturing’ model manufacturers demand (GPNs) and global value chains (GVCs). Such
quality, cost and delivery performance and prefer to issues are explored in this issue by Pavlı́nek and
deal with fewer suppliers so as to reduce costs in Ženka (2010) in the case of auto suppliers in the
overseeing the value chain. The net effect is to pass Czech Republic (Czechia). They explore whether
some of these roles on to first-tier suppliers who act Czech regions hosting firms positioned at the
as ‘systems integrators’ and are forced to become bottom of the value chain were more threatened
‘world class’, leading to a wave of consolidation in than those hosting better-positioned firms during
the value chain. Those first-tier suppliers that sur- the crisis.
vive in turn wield greater power over lower tier Despite heavy job losses in the Czech auto in-
suppliers. dustry during the downturn, they find that most auto
As a result of such trends, first-tier suppliers have firms shed workers because of downsizing rather
taken on greater R&D roles and, increasingly re- than closures, suggesting relatively strong local
sponsibility through ‘modularization’ for the supply embeddedness. They also challenge the assertion
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Global restructuring and the auto industry
development, in contrast with what was expected un- Excess capacity and a flawed business
der the ‘life cycle’ model of industry development. model?
Rather, the ‘crisis of cost recovery’ facing automakers
A further outcome of such trends has been the
has intensified over time. In today’s prices, the cost of
build-up of excess assembly capacity worldwide,
bringing a genuinely new model can be of the order
with 25% under-utilization in Western Europe, for
of $1 billion (Bailey et al., 2008). As a result, large-
example (even before the current financial crisis
scale production over different models and brands
unfolded). This overcapacity of the auto industry
using a platform sharing approach is seen as vital
is related to a deep-seated inability to match supply
to generate the cash for future model development
and demand in terms of actually linking production
and is set to be pushed further by the big players.
to orders from consumers. Whilst some manufac-
The net effect has been a step change in the un-
turers have belatedly begun ‘build-to-order’ pro-
derlying economics of the automotive industry; in
grammes, the business model of many automakers
earlier times economies of scale were linked to in-
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Bailey, de Ruyter, Michie and Tyler
In this sense, the financial crisis can be seen as The continued production of gas-guzzling sports
laying bare a range of pre-existing vulnerabilities in utility vehicles in the USA up to the 2009 global
the auto industry. Indeed, even before the global recession, for example, was little short of immoral.
financial crisis unfolded, the Big Three North A vital question is whether the election of a Presi-
American OEMs ran up total net losses of over dent, in Barack Obama, with a more responsible
$100 billion between 2005 and 2008, exhausting approach to the environment than his predecessor,
their equity base and questioning their viability, George W. Bush, will result in a more ecologically
as Stanford (2010) details in this issue. In addition, sustainable transport system and auto industry in
the Big Three’s efforts at generating profits before the USA—with increased reliance on public trans-
the crisis through ‘financialization’ strategies—in port and less polluting makes of car.
effect ‘auto banks’ financing sales, leasing and Indeed, any analysis of trends in the auto industry
derivatives operations (Freyssenet and Jetin, needs to stress that the industry faces a major—but
2009)—exposed them to an additional set of risks long-run—transition to new fuels, driven by both
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Global restructuring and the auto industry
cultural and infrastructural dimensions of consumer polluting (or otherwise) the cars produced will be.
demand, which can limit the effectiveness of low- Other important issues are how much commuting
carbon transport measures, while highlighting the will be undertaken and to what extent urban devel-
impact of current global and sector-specific eco- opment will take more sustainable forms, thus re-
nomic conditions as critical drivers of change ducing the amount of CO2-producing commuting
within the automotive sector. that is undertaken.
A knock-on effect of the need to green the in-
dustry is that the pressures of cost recovery are in-
tensifying as OEMs invest in new technologies.
New consumption patterns?
This has led to a wave of joint ventures and alli- Hence, alongside the importance of demand side
ances (for example Renault–Nissan–Daimler) as issues such as consumer perceptions and willingness
firms look to share costs and expertise. Longer to pay in greening the industry, other key challenges
term, further mergers and acquisitions are likely. arise on the demand side going forward. These in-
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Bailey, de Ruyter, Michie and Tyler
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