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Prob

8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
13000

D prob fixed cost


2000 0.2 variable cost
2500 0.25 salvage
3000 0.3
3500 0.15
4000 0.1
3000
Q 2000
marginal profit
marginal cost

D
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Prob
0.11
0.11
0.28
0.23
0.17
0.1

>>

Q 12000

2500
100
100
80 Q
0
order quantity is higher than 3000
prob cost revenue
0.2 302500 460000
0.25 302500 500000
0.3 302500 540000
0.15 302500 540000
0.1 302500 540000
total profit
fixed cost 100000
variable cost 80
selling price 125
salvage value 20

marginal profit 45
marginal cost 60
order quantity is lower than 13000

Distributor
purchase price 120
cost sharing 0.25
selling price 180

Tìm lượng hàng làm ra tối ưu nhất


3000 3000

profit expected profit


157500 31500
197500 49375
237500 71250
237500 35625
237500 23750
1067500 211500
khi mà chưa có cơ chế chia sẻ rủi ro

D prob cost revenue


8000 0.11 1060000 1080000
10000 0.11 1060000 1290000
12000 0.28 1060000 1500000
14000 0.23 1060000 1500000
16000 0.17 1060000 1500000
18000 0.1 1060000 1500000
total exp profit
profit expected profit
20000 2200
230000 25300
440000 123200
440000 101200
440000 74800
440000 44000
370700
Prob fixed cost 100000
8000 0.11 variable cost 80
10000 0.11 selling price 125
12000 0.28 salvage value 20
14000 0.23
16000 0.17
18000 0.1 marginal profit 45
13000 marginal cost 60

manufacturer
D prob
8000 0.11
10000 0.11
12000 0.28
14000 0.23
16000 0.17
18000 0.1
Retailer
D prob
8000 0.11
10000 0.11
12000 0.28
14000 0.23
16000 0.17
18000 0.1
khi có ơ ché chia sẻ rủi ro
Retailer
Wholesale price 100
Selling price 125
sharing cost 0.15

Q 14000

cost revenue profit expected profit


1052000 920000 -132000 -14520
1052000 1080000 28000 3080
1052000 1240000 188000 52640
1052000 1400000 348000 80040
1052000 1400000 348000 59160
1052000 1400000 348000 34800

cost revenue profit expected profit


802100 1000000 20000 2200
1002100 1250000 230000 25300
1202100 1500000 440000 123200
1402100 1750000 440000 101200
1602100 1750000 440000 74800
1802100 1750000 440000 44000
tỉ lệ % chịu thiệt cùng khi sản xuất ra

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