Thursday, November 14, 2024

Time of Issue: 2230 hours IST

(NIGHT)
ALL INDIA WEATHER SUMMARY AND FORECAST BULLETIN
Significant Weather Features:
Weather Systems:
❖ A cyclonic circulation lies over south Tamil Nadu & neighbourhood in lower tropospheric levels.
❖ A Western Disturbance seen as a cyclonic circulation over north Afghanistan and adjoining Pakistan in lower tropospheric levels
with a trough aloft in middle tropospheric westerlies runs roughly along Long. 65°E to the north of Lat. 30°N.
❖ Jet Stream Winds of the order upto 120 knots at 12.6 km above mean sea level are prevailing over Northwest India.

Forecast & Warnings (upto 7 days):

✓ Light to moderate rainfall at a few places accompanied with isolated thunderstorm and lightning very likely over Tamil Nadu,
Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe, Coastal Andhra Pradesh during 14th-18th November, 2024.
✓ Isolated heavy rainfall very likely over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal & Kerala & Mahe during 14th-15th; Coastal Andhra
Pradesh on 14th; South Interior Karnataka on 14th & 15th November, 2024.
✓ Dense to very dense fog conditions very likely to prevail in night/early morning hours in isolated pockets of Punjab, Haryana till 16th
morning hours and Dense fog for subsequent for 1 day & Uttar Pradesh till 15th morning hours and Dense fog for subsequent for 2
days, West Rajasthan till 17th morning hours; Dense fog conditions very likely to prevail in night/early morning hours in isolated
pockets over Himachal Pradesh till 19th morning hours; Uttarakhand, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Bihar and Jharkhand till
17th November, 2024.

Forecast of temperature:
❖ Gradual fall in minimum temperatures by 2-3°C very likely over northwest India during next 5 days.
❖ No significant change in minimum temperatures over central India during next 5 days.
❖ Gradual fall in minimum temperatures by 2-4°C very likely over East India during next 5 days.

Weather forecast over Delhi/NCR during 14th Nov. to 17th Nov. 2024
Past Weather:

There has been a slight fall in maximum and minimum temperatures over Delhi/NCR during past 24hr. The Maximum and
Minimum temperature over Delhi is in the range of 26-28°C and 11-17°C respectively. The maximum temperature was below
normal by 1 – 3°C over the region and the minimum temperature was above normal by 1 -3°C over most places. Mainly smog
condition with predominant surface wind from northwest direction with wind speed reaching 04–10 kmph prevailed during
past 24hr. Moderate fog reported at Palam airport. Palam airport recorded lowest visibility 300 m at 0700 to 0830 hours IST
which improved thereafter becoming 500m at 1000 hours IST. Safdarjung airport recorded lowest visibility 400m at 0700 hours
to 0800 IST which deteriorated thereafter becoming 250m at 1000 hours IST. The mainly smog condition with wind speed less
than 08 kmph variable direction prevailed over the region in the forenoon today.

Weather Forecast:

14.11.2024: Mainly clear sky. The predominant surface wind is likely to be northwest with wind speed upto 04 - 12 kmph till evening. It
would decrease thereafter becoming less than 08 kmph from variable direction during night. Smog/mist/shallow to moderate fog is likely
in the evening/night.

15.11.2024: Mainly clear sky. The predominant surface wind is likely to be from northwest direction with speed less than 08 kmph during
morning hours. Smog/moderate to dense fog at few places in the morning. The wind speed will increase thereafter becoming less than 12
kmph from northwest direction during afternoon. It will decrease thereafter becoming less than 08 kmph from variable direction during
evening and night. Smog/ shallow to moderate fog is likely in the evening/night.

16.11.2024: Mainly clear sky. The predominant surface wind is likely to be from northwest direction with speed less than 10 kmph during
morning hours. Smog/moderate to dense fog at few places in the morning. The wind speed will gradually increase becoming 10-16 kmph
from northwest direction during afternoon. It will decrease thereafter becoming less than 06 kmph from variable direction during evening
and night. Smog/ shallow to moderate fog is likely in the evening/night.

17.11.2024: Mainly clear sky. The predominant surface wind is likely to be from northwest direction with wind speed less than 04 kmph
during morning hours. Smog/ moderate to dense fog at few places in the morning. The wind speed will increase thereafter becoming 10 -
12 kmph from northwest direction during afternoon. It will gradually decrease becoming less than 08 kmph from northwest directions
during evening and night. Smog/ shallow to moderate fog is likely in the evening/night.
* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
 Main Weather Observations:

❖ Rainfall distribution (from 0830 hours IST to 2030 hours IST of today) at isolated places over
Konkan & Goa, Coastal & North Interior Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe, Coastal Andhra Pradesh &
Yanam and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal.

❖ Significant amount of rainfall (from 0830 hours IST to 2030 hours IST of today) (in cm): Tamil
Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal: Coimbatore & Atiramapattinam-2 each.

❖ Heavy rainfall recorded (from 0830 hours IST to 2030 hours IST of today): NIL

❖ Fog Observed (at 1730 hours IST of today): Moderate fog reported in isolated pockets of
Punjab.

❖ Visibility Recorded (at 1730 hours IST of today) (<500 meters): Punjab: Amritsar-250.
❖ Minimum Temperature Departures (as on 14-11-2024): Minimum temperatures are markedly
above normal (5.1°C or more) at isolated places over Punjab; appreciably above normal (3.1°C
to 5.0°C) at isolated places over Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi, Gujarat state,
Bihar, Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, Rayalaseema, Telangana, Marathwada, Tamil Nadu,
Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe, Gangetic West Bengal; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at
many places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam; at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh,
Interior Karnataka, Assam & Meghalaya. Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura. These are below
normal (-1.6°C to -3.0°C) at isolated places over Vidarbha and near normal over rest parts of the
country. Today, the lowest minimum temperature of 11.2°C is reported at Ridge (Delhi) over
the plains of the country. (Fig.4)

❖ Maximum Temperature Departures (as on 14-11-2024): Maximum temperatures are

appreciably above normal (3.1°C to 5.0°C) at isolated places over East Rajasthan and Assam &
Meghalaya ; above normal (1.6°C to 3.0°C) at many places over Konkan & Goa; at a few places over
East Uttar Pradesh, East Madhya Pradesh, West Rajasthan, Vidarbha and Kerala & Mahe; at isolated
places over Jammu-Kashmir-Ladakh-Gilgit-Baltistan-Muzaffarabad, West Madhya Pradesh,
Saurashtra & Kutch, West Bengal & Sikkim, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram &
Tripura, Telangana, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal. These
are appreciably below normal (-3.1°C to -5.0°C) at isolated places over Punjab; below normal (-
1.6°C to -3.0°C) at isolated places over Haryana-Chandigarh and West Uttar Pradesh and near
normal over rest parts of the country. Today, the highest maximum temperature of 37.2°C is
reported at Karwar (Coastal Karnataka) over the country. (Fig. 2)

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
 Meteorological Analysis (Based on 1730 hours IST)

❖ The cyclonic circulation over south Tamilnadu & neighbourhood at 0.9 km above
mean sea level persists.

❖ The cyclonic circulation over Lakshadweep and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea
extending upto 3.1 km above mean sea level persists.

❖ The Western Disturbance as a cyclonic circulation over north Afghanistan and

adjoining Pakistan at 3.1 Km above mean sea level with a trough aloft in middle
tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along
Long. 65°E to the north of Lat. 30°N persists.

❖ Jet Stream Winds of the order upto 120 knots at 12.6 km above mean sea level
are prevailing over Northwest India.

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
Weather Forecast & Warnings for next 7 days (Upto 0830 hours IST of 21st November, 2024)

14 November (Day 1):

❖ Heavy rainfall (≥ 7 cm) very likely at isolated places over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala &
Mahe, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and South Interior Karnataka.

❖ Very dense fog conditions very likely in many pockets of Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi; in a few
pockets of West Uttar Pradesh; at isolated pockets of East Uttar Pradesh, West Rajasthan; Dense fog
conditions in isolated pockets of Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim,
Bihar, Jharkhand; Shallow to Moderate fog conditions in isolated pockets of Gangetic West Bengal in the
morning hours.

❖ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning very likely at isolated places over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry &
Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe.

❖ Squally weather with wind speed 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph over parts of southwest Bay of Bengal,
along and off Sri Lanka coast, along and off Tamil Nadu, south Andhra Pradesh coasts, gulf of Mannar and
adjoining Comorin area.

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
15 November (Day 2):

❖ Heavy rainfall (≥ 7 cm) very likely at isolated places over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala &
Mahe and South Interior Karnataka.

❖ Very dense fog conditions very likely in a few pockets of Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi; at isolated
pockets over West Rajasthan; Dense fog conditions very likely in isolated pockets of Himachal Pradesh,
Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Bihar, Jharkhand in the morning hours.

❖ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning very likely at isolated places over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry &
Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe.

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
16 November (Day 3):

❖ Heavy rainfall (≥ 7 cm) very likely at isolated places over Kerala & Mahe.

❖ Very dense fog conditions very likely in isolated pockets over Punjab, Haryana-Chandigarh-Delhi,
West Rajasthan; Dense fog conditions very likely in isolated pockets of Himachal Pradesh,
Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Bihar, Jharkhand in the morning
hours.

❖ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning very likely at isolated places over Tamil Nadu,
Puducherry & Karaikal and Kerala & Mahe.

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
 17 November (Day 4):

❖ Dense fog conditions likely in isolated pockets of Himachal Pradesh in the morning hours.

❖ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning very likely at isolated places over Tamil Nadu,
Puducherry & Karaikal, Kerala & Mahe.

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
 18 November (Day 5):

❖ Dense fog conditions likely in isolated pockets of Himachal Pradesh in the morning hours.

❖ Thunderstorm accompanied with lightning very likely at isolated places over Kerala & Mahe.

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
19 November (Day 6):

❖ No Warning

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
 –

20 November (Day 7):

❖ No Warning

Weather Outlook for subsequent 3 days (During 21st November – 23rd November, 2024)

❖ Isolated to Scattered light rainfall likely over some parts of western Himalayan region and south
peninsular India.
❖ Mainly dry weather will prevail over rest parts of country.

• Action may be taken based on ORANGE AND RED COLOUR warnings.

• Vulnerable regions likely urban and hilly areas action may be initiated for heavy rainfall
warning.
• As the lead period increases forecast accuracy decreases.

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
Agromet advisories for Heavy Rainfall likely over various parts of the country:
✓ Make arrangements to drain out excess water from the standing crop fields in Tamilnadu, Kerala, South
Interior Karnataka and Andhra Pradesh.
✓ Keep the harvested produce at safer places.
✓ Provide mechanical support to horticultural crops and staking to vegetables.

Impact expected due to dense to very dense fog in the late night /morning hours.
❖ Transport and Aviation:
• May affect some airports, highways and railway routes in the areas of met- sub-division.
• Difficult driving conditions with slower journey times.
• Unless taken precautionary measures, it may lead to some road traffic collisions.
❖ Power Sector:
• Chances of Tripping of Power lines in the very dense fog routes.
❖ Human Health:
• Lung related health impacts: Dense fog contains particulate matter and other pollutants and in case
exposed it gets lodged in the lungs, clogging them and decreasing their functional capacity which
increases episodes of wheezing, coughing and shortness of breath.
• Impact on people having asthma bronchitis: Long time exposure to dense fog may cause respiratory
problem for people having asthma bronchitis and other lung related health problems.
• Eye Irritation: Dense fog contains pollutions of various types and these Pollutants in the air if exposed
may tend to irritate the membranes of the eye causing various infections leading to redness or swelling
of the eye.

Action suggested:
❖ Transport and Aviation:
• Be careful while driving or outing through any transport.
• Use fog lights during driving.
• Be in touch with airlines, railways and state transport for schedule of your journey.
❖ Power Sector:
• To keep ready Maintenance Team
• Human Health: To avoid outing until unless emergency and to cover the face.

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
 Fig. 1: Maximum Temperatures Fig. 2: Departure of Maximum Temperatures

Fig. 3: Minimum Temperatures Fig. 4: Departure of Minimum Temperatures

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
 Fig. 5: Accumulated Rainfall (mm) during past 24 hours

* Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
 * Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)
 * Red colour warning does not mean "Red Alert", Red colour warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day.
For more details, kindly visit https://mausam.imd.gov.in or contact: 011-2434-4599
(Service to the Nation since 1875)