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Article in The Annals of the University of Oradea Economic Sciences · May 2009
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Production risks, meaning weather and climate related risks, affecting agricultural activities could be
managed through agricultural insurance. First, the paper presents the specific production risk in
agriculture and the tools that are used to manage it in other countries. Next, the paper presents the
agricultural insurance scheme for catastrophic risks in Romania and, also, the principal agricultural
insurance policies offered by local insurers. The paper emphasizes the lack of some new products of
insurance, like index insurance products, which are desired for production risk protection.
Agriculture is a risky activity sector, therefore it can have large negative impacts on agricultural
income, on food security, and on the capacity of the sector to develop and invest in order to
compete on the market.
Agricultural enterprises face risks that can affect their profitability and viability:
- production or yield risk, for which the weather is responsible most of the time, but also
includes risks like plant and animal diseases. Yield risk is measured by yield variability.
However, yield variability for a given crop differs from region to region, being determinate by
the soil type, the climate and the production method. Weather risks are a major source of
uncertainty for farms. Climatic risks are more important for crops and sanitary risks are more
important for livestock, but none of them are exclusive;
- market risk, known also as price risk, which is referring to uncertainties about prices that
producers will receive for commodities or prices that they must pay for inputs;
- asset risk is referring to the potential loss or damage to physical buildings, equipment, vehicles,
and implements due to fire, theft, water damage, or accidents;
- institutional risk refers to policy changes which intervene with agricultural issues (referring to
taxes, environmental protection, employment rules, workplace conditions, price or income
supports, support payments, other subsidies, property confiscation) and that can have a negative
impact on farm revenue;
- operational risk, referring to uncertainties in scheduling or using equipment at critical times,
making or receiving shipments of critical inputs/outputs, and handling of labor disputes;
- financial risk, referring to rising costs of capital, exchange rate movements, insufficient
liquidity to meet liabilities, loss of equity, and the prospect of loans being called by lenders;
- personal risk refers to uncertainties and risks connected to health and personal relations such as
accidents, illness, death, and divorce.
One of the main risks is the production risk that arises because agriculture production closely
relies to natural resources, which are not controlled by farmers. Moreover, climate has indirect
impacts. Then, agriculture is a sector very dependent on climate.
There is also an important classification of risks which arises in agriculture:
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- systemic risks, which affect an entire area or a group of people in entirely;
- syncretic risks, which affect areas, sectors or individuals in a heterogeneous way, meaning that
a person or a certain geographical area is affected in a different way than the others.
So, risk management in agriculture is important, and likely to become more so in the future.
There are two main risk management strategies that are used by agricultural enterprises:
- on-farm strategies, which are based on growing products with low risk exposure or short
production cycles, diversification of the production programs, off-farm employment. These
reflect the concern to reduce the period of time within the risk can affect the incomes of the
farmer or to reduce dependence of farmers on agriculture as a source of income. These strategies
could be used only for syncretic risks, not in systemic ones.
- off farm strategies, which cover insurance, participation in mutual funds, future markets,
contracts. Off farm strategies could address both syncretic risks, and systemic risks. These
strategies are based on principle of risk sharing. As we can notice, insurance is just one tool for
risk management in agriculture. It can be noticed that in most of the countries, the systemic risk
is covered even partially by the state.
Agricultural insurance can be developed on a commercial basis or on a mutual basis.
The commercial insurance means that a specialized organization collects money as premiums and
assumes the responsibility to compensate the loss suffered by the insured from a risk covered by
insurance policy.
Mutual insurance schemes are a special case of insurance. The participants own mutual funds. In
the case of a member incurring a loss, the loss will be fully or partially compensated through the
collected money already available in the fund and an additional collection among participants.
When it comes to Romania’s situation, the agricultural insurance market presently covers 0.91%
from the total subscribed gross insurance policy. Also, the number of insurers involved in the
field of agricultural insurances is relatively low, only 10 companies from 42 insurers. In TOP 5 of
market share in 2008 are clasified F.A.T.A Asigurari (31.03%), ASIROM (18.56%), ALLIANZ-
TIRIAC (16.46%), OMNIASIG (11.02%) and ARDAF (9.63%)
As for the insurance of the crops, it covers an area of 4.3 million hectares for the 2007-2008
agricultural years, which represents approximately 45% of the plough land, or 30.5% of the
agricultural area.
The causes which determined this situation are divers and take the form of the landed propriety’s
disintegration, the large number of non-performing autonomous producers, the abandonment of
agricultural enterprises and of optimum agricultural food production facilities, the unfavorable
environment factors, which have caused in the last years significant financial losses for the
agricultural producers.
The agricultural insurance market needs fair products and a balance between the price of the
policy paid by the insured and the risk taken by the insurer, which has been growing in the last
years, especially for crops.
An important aspect is that at world-wide level, the insurance rate for crops represents
approximately 4-5% from the sum insured, based on the area and on the risks undertaken in the
insurance, according to the catalogues settled for the insurance conditions, which were written on
the basis of technical and economical studies and of the statistics in the last 50 years.
But on the Romanian agricultural insurance market, because of the unfair and even
unprofessional competition, 1–1.5% rate quotation are being practiced, which actually don’t
cover the acquisition and administration expenses paid by the insurer. This leads to a situation
where for a damage rate of over 70% substantial losses are recorded for the insurance companies
which offer agricultural insurance contracts.
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Table no. 1
Market share for Agricultural insurance in Romania118
119 this value was increased to 50% in year 2006-2007 and starting with august 2007 was eliminated.
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compensated expenses are: seed, chemical fertilizers, pesticides, mechanical and manual jobs,
irrigations.
Establishing the damage percent for the affected crops is done by proportioning the production
expressed in physical units, destroyed by natural disasters, with the production expressed in
physical units, written on the insurance policy signed with the (re)insurance companies.
In order to set the expenses level for the affected crops and plantations, the producer must prove
these jobs have been done.
Another legislative norm is the Government Emergency Decree no. 157/2002, which changes the
law regarding leasing, according to which the insurance of leased agricultural goods becomes
mandatory. According to this regulation, the sides of the leasing contract have the obligation to
include in this contract the insurance clause for leased goods in order to recover the damages
caused by natural disasters. Although the regulation doesn’t stipulate a sanction for not obeying
it, the risk of not complying is undertook by the tenant farmer, together with the obligation to
cover the possible damages caused by a natural calamity.
The coherent functioning of these legislations in our country hasn’t been possible because of the
following reasons: the tendency to underestimate the risk by the potential insurance policies
buyers, or the development by the potential insured of a behavior specific to “charitable hazard”,
defined by the tendency of the person who is facing a risk to not turn to insurances or other ways
to finance the risk, as a result of the belief he/she will receive help through emergency
government programs. It’s important to underline that if a big part of the people involved in
agricultural activities run subsistence agriculture, the development of such behavior has been
stimulated by the public authorities themselves, who, under the pressure of the population or
because of political reasons, have supported both the insured citizens and the uninsured citizens
after a natural calamity occurred.
The insurance method for crops that is massively subsidized by governments is expensive and
arguable. Romania must avoid the introduction of traditional insurance charts for crops, which
need large financial resources and (in a world with limited fiscal resources) obtain resources from
risk management instruments which will be more efficient and better adjusted to the structural
features of agriculture and its population.
The insurance products based on climate indexes have attractive characteristics:
- The insurance mechanisms based on indexes allow the risk’s stratifying and facilitates the
risks’ transfers, including the CAT risks (losses with less probable important consequences)
through market instruments.
- These policies eliminate many of the problems existent in traditional crops insurance (high
correlated risks, asymmetric information and big transaction costs), making them more viable and
less dependent on the public subsidies.
- Compensations are paid on the basis of a variable’s recording at the weather stations. The basic
variable mustn’t be the production itself, but one of its basic indicators, like: precipitations – the
most important climate indicator for agriculture, temperature; winds – especially in areas with an
arid climate/semi-arid and light soils; vegetation indexes (satellite recordings); minimum
requirements of solarization; powerful storms (hurricanes).
For example, the parametric insurance product based on climate indicators, through which the
maize crops can be insured, will protect the three growing phases, and the index reflects the
dependency that the maize production has for precipitations, from sowing to maturity.
The market of the insurances based on climate factors can support and complete the
governmental measures to stimulate agricultural insurances.
In some markets the insurance industry has developed new innovative forms of risk transfer thus
allowing an increase in the financial capacity of the market. Alternatives to transferring the risk to
reinsurers or to the state, as insurer of last resort, include ‘catastrophe bonds’ (cat bonds). Cat
bonds are securities that (re)insurance companies use to transfer natural catastrophe insurance risk
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to institutional investors in the form of bonds. As such, they help the (re)insurer to spread the peak
exposures caused by extreme natural catastrophes by transferring the risk to the capital market.
Conclusions
Climate change is a global challenge. Addressing it will require an inclusive and coordinated
approach across a wide range of policy areas. All members of society need to take responsibility
as complacency is limiting the necessary risk reduction measures.
Insurers have expertise in the identification and analysis of risk, developing sustainable financial
solutions and encouraging risk-reducing behavior by both individuals and businesses. The
reinsurance industry wishes to play a full and proactive part in the climate change debate since it
shares a common purpose with politicians and other stakeholders to limit the economic
consequences of climate change.
References:
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for presentation at the 101st EAAE Seminar “Management of Climate Risks in Agriculture”,
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