Chương 20. Toàn Cầu Hóa
Chương 20. Toàn Cầu Hóa
Chương 20. Toàn Cầu Hóa
Globalization
Few economic stories have caught the public attention and imagination more
in recent years than the phenomenon called globalization. Globalization
appears to involve inexorable, worldwide forces that are producing funda-
mental changes in the way people live. Proponents point out the advantages
of globalization and the positive impacts it can have on the welfare of people
in diverse circumstances around the world. Critics stress the economic and
social threats to which many people will be exposed as globalization rolls
onward in apparently ever strengthening waves.
Our subject in this chapter will be the environmental implications of global-
ization. We will first look at the kinds of changes that globalization entails, then
discuss a number of ways in which globalization and environmental issues ap-
pear to be closely interwoven.
Dimensions of Globalization
First let us be clear about what globalization actually is. Globalization has a
number of dimensions:
Increasing trade among nations: Over the last 60 years, the annual growth
rate of total economic activity in the world has been about 3.5 percent; the
annual growth rate in total global exports has been about 6.2 percent. In
other words, international trade has grown about twice as fast as overall
economic growth. Economies are becoming increasingly interconnected
through trade.
A part of the trend is interconnectedness of financial markets; money and
other financial assets can be, and are, moved about the world very rapidly.
The flows are large, and they can be volatile, moving into and out of a
country so fast that they can destabilize economies, especially those that are
relatively small by international standards.
Globalization also involves movements of people: Every year millions
of people in the world move from one country to another (and there is
404
Chapter 20 Globalization 405
One could argue effectively that in cases like this it is not the trade that
leads to environmental costs, but the lack of effective pollution-control tech-
nology and institutions by the trading countries. If there is sufficient control
over detrimental externalities in the affected countries, added trade will not
create added environmental costs. This essentially means that it is a ques-
tion of the political economy of the environmental policy within exporting
countries.
$ S'
S
I'
0
q1 q2 q0
Quantity of a good
1
WTO is the successor to the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), which came into
being in the 1940s as an international effort to foster an increase in world trade.
Chapter 20 Globalization 409
argument. But anecdotes do not make trends, and the trends are clearly in the
other direction. Most integrated economies grow faster, and the higher incomes
and wealth this produces lead societies to pursue more stringent standards, not
weaker ones.
Studies have been done to assess the correlation across countries between
their income levels and the stringency of their air pollution–control regula-
tions. 2 That correlation is clearly positive—higher incomes are associated with
higher standards, not lower ones. Many other studies have found corroborating
evidence: the race-to-the-bottom hypothesis, as a generalized phenomenon, is
false. If the diagnosis is wrong, so is the implied prescription: that countries
should either restrict trade, or all agree to adopt the same set of environmental
standards governing their industries.
But let us not be overly glib about this relationship. Environmental pol-
lution from industrial firms are externalities, impacts that take place away
from perpetrators, downstream or downwind. Getting polluters to do
something about these effects doesn’t just happen automatically as a coun-
try’s economy grows. It requires also the development of legal structures
and the growth of politically active groups who will raise the necessary
questions and work for their resolution. These laws and groups are more
likely to materialize in situations where the economic welfare of people is
improving.
2
Dasgupta S, A. Mody, S. Roy, and D. Wheeler, Environmental Regulation and Development: A Cross
Country Empirical Analysis, World Bank Policy Research Department Working Paper No. 1448,
March 1995.
412 Section Six Global Environmental Issues
that the growth of Maquiladora firms has led to more pollution in the border
area, but whether it is more or less in proportion to non-Maquiladora industry
in Mexico is still an open question. The other unanswered question is whether
NAFTA had indeed led to higher Maquiladora growth, or whether the latter
was caused by other non-NAFTA events.
Montreal Protocol
As part of the international effort to reduce ozone-depleting chemicals, the Mon-
treal Protocol prohibits exports of controlled substances (basically CFCs) from any
signatory nation to any state not a party to the protocol. Furthermore, signatory
countries may not import any controlled substance from any nonsignatory state.
The purpose of these trade regulations is to ensure that production of CFCs and
other ozone-depleting chemicals does not simply migrate to nonsigning countries.
D0
$ S1
D1
S0
p1
p0
p2
0
q1 q0
Quantity of trade in an endangered species
Chapter 20 Globalization 417
export demand conditions for a species of wildlife. The supply function is based
on the costs of hunting, transporting, processing, recordkeeping, and so on, nec-
essary to bring the wildlife to the point of export. It is an aggregate supply func-
tion made up of the supply function of the various countries in which that species
grows. The demand function shows the quantities that the export market will
take at alternative prices. The intersection of the two functions shows the market
price and quantity of this type of wildlife that will be traded in a year’s time.
Two types of trade constraints could be used to reduce the quantity of this spe-
cies moving in international trade: export controls and import controls. Each will
reduce the quantity traded, but they will have very different impacts on price.
Export controls work by essentially making exporting more costly, which has the
effect in Figure 20.2 of shifting the supply function upward from supply curve S0
to supply curve S1. The result of this is a reduction in quantity traded, in this case
to q1. The amount that quantity falls depends on the extent to which the supply
curve shifts up and also on the slope of the demand function; the steeper this
slope, the less will quantity contract. But this approach to trade reduction also
leads to an increase in price, from the original price p0 to p1. This price increase
could have several impacts, depending essentially on property rights. Imagine a
case where the endangered species is subject to private ownership, either by indi-
viduals or by small, well-defined groups. Perhaps the habitat of the species is un-
der private ownership, for example. The higher price for the species now becomes
a signal for its owners to be more concerned about its safety and welfare because,
in this circumstance, efforts at conservation will have a direct market payoff.
The added price will have the opposite effect, however, when property
rights in the endangered species are ill-defined or completely absent, which
is the usual case. Most of the habitats for the world’s endangered species are
common property, in the sense that either everybody has the right to enter and
harvest the animal or plant, or that, as in public parks, authorities are unable
to keep people from taking the species “illegally.” We saw, in Chapter 4, the
problem to which common-property resources are prone: because other users
cannot be kept out, nobody has an incentive to conserve the resource. It’s either
use it or lose it to some other harvester. The increased price for the endangered
species in this case will work against conservation. It will encourage higher
rates of extraction, higher rates of poaching on common-property habitats, and
thus higher pressure on the endangered species.
Controlling imports, however, drives the price downward. Import controls
have the effect of reducing the demand for the imported species. In Figure 20.2
this leads to a backward shift in demand, from D0 to D1. This has been
drawn so as to give the same quantity reduction as before. But in this case the
price drops to p2. The effect of this price decrease is to decrease the incentives
discussed in the previous paragraphs. In particular, where endangered species
are subject to common-property exploitation, the lower price would lead to
reduced pressure to harvest and less rapid population decline. Something of
this sort has happened recently as a result of an international ban on ivory im-
ports. The ban has led to a substantial drop in the world price of ivory, which
has reduced the pressure of poachers on the elephant in many parts of Africa.
418 Section Six Global Environmental Issues
Summary
Globalization is the increased integration of national economies around the
world, involving greater international flows of goods and services, financial as-
sets, and people. It may also lead to significant institutional change and altered
power relations. There are important questions about the interaction of trade and
the natural environment. If national environmental regulations are unchanged,
increased trade will lead to greater environmental damages. This has led in
many cases to calls for trade restrictions to protect environmental values. Trade
also opens up the opportunities for strategic behavior among countries, such as
the potential “race-to-the-bottom” and the “pollution-haven” phenomena. In the
context of potential climate change, increased trade may increase the carbon foot-
print of the global economy. The contemporary efforts to foster regional trade
agreements have led to conflicts over their possible environmental impacts, and
some established environmental agreements incorporate trade limits.