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STAT3904 Tutorial 5

The document outlines the tutorial for STAT3904 Corporate Finance for Actuarial Science at The University of Hong Kong, focusing on Mean-Variance Portfolio Theory. Key learning points include deriving the efficient frontier for varying numbers of risky assets and finding the tangency portfolio. It also provides detailed mathematical formulations and examples for constructing efficient portfolios using matrix notations.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
2 views9 pages

STAT3904 Tutorial 5

The document outlines the tutorial for STAT3904 Corporate Finance for Actuarial Science at The University of Hong Kong, focusing on Mean-Variance Portfolio Theory. Key learning points include deriving the efficient frontier for varying numbers of risky assets and finding the tangency portfolio. It also provides detailed mathematical formulations and examples for constructing efficient portfolios using matrix notations.

Uploaded by

Zoe Leung
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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You are on page 1/ 9

First Semester, 2024-2025

THE UNIVERSITY OF HONG KONG


DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS AND ACTUARIAL SCIENCE

STAT3904 CORPORATE FINANCE FOR ACTUARIAL SCIENCE

Tutorial 5: Mean-Variance Portfolio Theory (Part II)

1 Key Learning Points

In the test and examination, candidates are expected to:

LP1 Derive the equation of the efficient frontier

(a) when there are two risky assets by mixing (Tutorial 4);
(b) when there are n ≥ 3 risky assets by mixing the minimum variance portfolio and
another efficient portfolio.

LP2 Find the tangency portfolio.


LP3 Find the equation of the efficient frontier when a risk-free asset is introduced.

2 Review of Key Concepts

Matrix notations will become handy in the multi-asset case.

• Portfolio rate of return: RP = xT R, where R = (R1 , . . . , Rn )T is the vector of returns of


the n assets;
• Expected rate of return: µP = E xT R = xT E(R) = xT µ;


T
• Variance of rate of return: σP2 = Var xT R = Cov xT R, xT R = xT Cov(R, R) xT =
 

xT Σx.

2.1 Mixing the MVP and Another Portfolio


Problem How to find efficiently the efficient (minimum variance) portfolio with a pre-specified
expected rate of return µ0 , with µ0 ≥ µMVP ?
Think! Armed with the global minimum variance portfolio (MVP), denoted as P , and an-
other portfolio on the minimum variance set (MVS), denoted as Q, we can construct
the required efficient portfolio by applying two-fund theorem.
S&AS: STAT3904 Corporate Finance for Actuarial Science 2

Two-fund Theorem. Every portfolio on the MVS is a mixture of two given mini-
mum variance portfolios, which can be taken, for convenience, as P and Q.

Action! Step 1. Construct the global minimum variance portfolio P by normalizing Σ−1 1.
Step 2. Construct another portfolio Q on minimum variance set by normalizing
Σ−1 µ.
Step 3. Calculate µP = xTP µ and µQ = xTQ µ.
Step 4. Let α be the weight invested in P (so (1 − α) is the weight invested in
Q). Solve the mean equation αµP + (1 − α)µQ = µ0 for α.
Step 5. The composition of the required portfolio is given by

αxP + (1 − α)xQ .

• This method is more preferable than solving the constrained minimization problem minx σP2
subject to the constraints that xT µ = µ0 and xT 1 = 1 by the method of Lagrange mul-
tipliers. 1

• This method involves the inversion of the variance-covariance matrix Σ. Therefore, it


is advised to recall some commonly used matrix inversion formulas, especially for 2 × 2,
diagonal and block diagonal matrices.
 2 
σ1 ρσ1 σ2
Case 1 There are just two risky assets, i.e. n = 2. Inverting Σ = is easy
ρσ1 σ2 σ22
by the general formula
 −1  
a b 1 d −b
= .
c d ad − bc −c a

Case 2 n ≥ 3 and Σ is simply a diagonal matrix of the form


   
σ12 0 ··· 0 0 1/σ12 0 ··· 0 0
2
0
 σ2 · · · 0 0 
 0
 1/σ22 ··· 0 0 

Σ =  ... .. . . .. .. , with inverse Σ−1 =
 ..
. .. .. .. ..
.
   
. . . . . . . .
2 2
   
0 0 · · · σn−1 0  0 0 ··· 1/σn−1 0 
0 0 ··· 0 σn2 0 0 ··· 0 1/σn2

Case 3 n ≥ 3 and Σ is a block matrix of the form


   −1 
Σ1 0 −1 Σ1 0
Σ= , with inverse Σ = .
0 Σ2 0 Σ−1
2
1
(For those who are interested) The explicit solution of the minimum variance portfolio for a fixed expected
rate of return µ0 is given by
bΣ−1 1 − aΣ−1 µ + µ0 (cΣ−1 µ − aΣ−1 1)
x= ,
bc − a2
µT Σ−1 µ
where a = µT Σ−1 1, b = µT Σ−1 µ and c = 1T Σ−1 1. If µ0 = µT Σ−1 1
, then

µT Σ−1 µ T −1
 
x∝ · 1 Σ 1 − µ Σ 1 Σ−1 µ ∝ Σ−1 µ
T −1
µT Σ−1 1
whose expected rate of return equals µ0 .
S&AS: STAT3904 Corporate Finance for Actuarial Science 3

 
5 0 0
Example. The inverse of Σ = 0 18 −18 is
0 −18 144

5−1
   
02×1 1/5 0 0
−1
Σ−1 = 

18 −18 = 0 4/63 1/126 .
01×2
−18 144 0 1/126 1/126

Exercise 1. (Proof of the Two-Fund Theorem) Let x = (x1 , . . . , xn )T and y = (y1 , . . . , yn )T


be two minimum variance portfolios. Show that βx + (1 − β)y, β ∈ R is also a minimum
variance portfolio.

Proof. Let the expected rates of return of x and y be µx and µy respectively. Then x (resp.
y) solves the constrained minimization problem
1 T
minw w Σw
2
s.t. wT 1 = 1,
w T µ = µx (resp. µy ).

Using the method of Lagrangian multiplier, x and y satisfy the first-order conditions
y y
 
 Σx − λx1 1 − λx2 µ = 0,  Σy − λ1 1 − λ2 µ = 0,
T
x 1 = 1, and yT 1 = 1,
xT µ = µx , yT µ = µy .
 

Multiplying the first set of equations by β and the second set by 1 − β and summing them
up, we have
 x y x y
 Σ(βx + (1 − β)y) − (βλ1 + (1 − β)λ1 ) 1 − (βλ2 + (1 − β)λ2 ) µ = 0,
(βx + (1 − β)y)T 1 = 1,
(βx + (1 − β)y)T µ = βµx + (1 − β)µy .

This shows that the portfolio βx + (1 − β)y solves the following optimization problem:
1 T
minw w Σw
2
s.t. wT 1 = 1,
wT µ = βµx + (1 − β)µy ,

which implies that βx + (1 − β)y is also a minimum variance portfolio.


S&AS: STAT3904 Corporate Finance for Actuarial Science 4

2.2 Tangency Portfolio


• How to Find the Tangency Portfolio?
Similar to the MVP, the tangency portfolio (a.k.a. the efficient portfolio of risky assets)
can be obtained by normalizing
 
µ1 − rf
 µ2 − rf 
Σ−1 (µ − rf 1) = Σ−1  ..  ,
 
 . 
µn − rf

where µ is the vector of the expected rates of return and rf is the risk-free rate.
µ∗ − rf
• The tangency portfolio M is the feasible portfolio which maximizes the slope
σ∗
among all pairs (σ ∗ , µ∗ ) in the feasible region constructed by the risky assets. After
finding the tangency portfolio xM , hence its expected rate of return µM and standard
deviation σM , we can plug these two values in the following equation to get the equation
of the efficient frontier.
µM − rf
Equation of the Efficient Frontier: µ = rf + σ, σ ≥ 0. (1)
σM

3 Problems

Attempt ALL FOUR questions. Marks for past paper questions are shown in square brackets.

1. Qualitative Inferences: Changes in Expected Return STAT2807


In a market with 3904 risky assets, every entry of the inverse of the variance-covariance 10-11
matrix is positive. A student has calculated the mean and variance of the global minimum Test
variance portfolio to be µ∗ and (σ ∗ )2 respectively, and the corresponding point has been (Slightly
marked on the σ-µ plane. Adapted)

Later on, the student found that µ2 , the expected return of asset 2, was wrongly copied
as 18% from the question paper, where the true value should be 10%. How should the
position (on the σ-µ plane) of the point representing the global minimum variance portfolio
be adjusted?
[Total: 6 marks]

Solution. Since every entry of Σ−1 is positive and x∗ is the normalization of the solution to
Σx = (1, . . . , 1)T , we have x∗i > 0 for all i = 1, 2, . . . , 3904. Moreover, x∗ depends only on
Σ, but not on µ = (µ1 , . . . , µ3904 )T . Our conclusions are:

• There is no change in x∗ , and hence no change in σP .


• However, the decrease in µ2 results in a decrease in µP (Note: the fact that x∗2 > 0
guarantees this).
S&AS: STAT3904 Corporate Finance for Actuarial Science 5

2. Mean Variance Portfolio, multiple-asset case STAT2807


Assume that there are only three risky stocks with rates of return R1 , R2 and R3 respectively. 09-10
The variance-covariance matrix and the expected rates of return are Exam

     
0.2 0 0 µ1 0.3
Σ=  0 0.5 0  and  µ2 = 0.4 .
 
0 0 0.4 µ3 0.4

(a) Find the global minimum-variance portfolio. What are the variance and expected rate
of return of this portfolio? [4 marks]
(b) Find another efficient portfolio. What is the covariance between the return of the
portfolio in (a) and the return of this portfolio? [9 marks]
(c) For any portfolio on the efficient frontier with standard deviation and expected rate of
return σ and µ respectively, find the relationship between σ and µ. [6 marks]

[Total: 19 marks]

Solutions. (a) By normalizing


  1    
1 0.2
0 0 1 5
−1   1
Σ 1 =0 0.5
0   1 =
  2 ,
1
1 0 0 0.4
1 2.5

we can get the composition of the global minimum-variance portfolio:


 ∗   10 
x1 19
x∗ = x∗2  =  19
4
.

x3 5
19

As a result, the mean and variance of the rate of return of the minimum-variance
portfolio are
33
µP = (x∗ )T µ = = 0.347368,
95
 2  2  2
2 T ∗ 10 4 5 2
σP = x Σx = × 0.2 + × 0.5 + × 0.4 = = 0.105263.
19 19 19 19

(b) Normalizing   1    
µ1 0.2
0 0 0.3 1.5
−1   1
Σ µ2 =  0 0.5
0   0.4 = 0.8 ,
 
1
µ3 0 0 0.4
0.4 1
we obtain a portfolio lying on the minimum variance set:
 ∗   15 
y1 33
y ∗ = y2∗  =  33
8
.

y3 10
33
S&AS: STAT3904 Corporate Finance for Actuarial Science 6

The mean and variance of the rate of return of such a portfolio are
39 13
µ = (y ∗ )T µ = and σ 2 = (y ∗ )T Σy ∗ = .
110 121
As µ > µP , this portfolio is efficient. By the result in Question 3 of Tutorial 4, the
covariance between the return of the global minimum-variance portfolio in (a) and the
portfolio thus constructed is
10 15 4 8 5 10 2
(x∗ )T Σy ∗ = × 0.2 × + × 0.5 × + × 0.4 × = = 0.105263.
19 33 19 33 19 33 19

(c) By the two-fund theorem, any efficient portfolio can be constructed as a linear combi-
nation of two given efficient portfolios, which we take as those in (a) and (b). In this
two-asset market, the mean vector and variance-covariance matrix are
 33  2 2 
95 19 19
39 and 2 13 .
110 19 121

Mixing the two portfolios, we have


33 39
µ = α+ (1 − α)
95 110
2 2 13 2
σ2 = α + (1 − α)2 + 2α(1 − α) .
19 121 19
We can eliminate α to obtain
 2  2
2 2 247 418 13 247 418
σ = − µ + 1− − µ
19 5 3 121 5 3
  
4 247 418 247 418
+ − µ 1− − µ
19 5 3 5 3
26 88 380 2
= − µ+ µ
5 3 9
 2
2 380 33
= + µ− ,
19 9 95
33
with µ ⩾ 95
.

3. Mean Variance Portfolio, multiple-asset case STAT2807


There are 4 assets with rates of return r1 , r2 , r3 and r4 , respectively. The variance-covariance 06-07
matrix and the expected rates of return are Exam

     
1 0 0 0 µ1 0.5
0 2 0 0 µ2  0.7
Σ= 0 0 3 0 , µ = µ3  = 0.9 .
    

0 0 0 4 µ4 1.0

(a) Find the minimum-variance portfolio. [10 marks]


S&AS: STAT3904 Corporate Finance for Actuarial Science 7

(b) Find another efficient portfolio by setting µ = 1, where µ is the portfolio return rate.
[2 marks]
(c) If the risk-free rate is rf = 0.3, find the efficient portfolio of risky assets. [5 marks]

[Total: 17 marks]

Solution. (a) Normalizing


 −1       
1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1
0 2 0 0 1 0 1/2 0 0  1 1/2
   =   =  ,
0 0 3 0 1 0 0 1/3 0  1 1/3
0 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 1/4 1 1/4
 T
∗ 12 6 4 3
we find that the minimum-variance portfolio is x = , , , .
25 25 25 25
(b) The normalization of
 −1     
1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.5 0.5
0 2 0 0
 µ = 0 1/2 0 0  0.7 = 0.35 ,
    

0 0 3 0 0 0 1/3 0  0.9  0.3 
0 0 0 4 0 0 0 1/4 1.0 0.25
 T
5 1 3 5
which is x = , , , , is a portfolio on the minimum variance set. By the
14 4 14 28
two-fund theorem, the efficient portfolio with expected rate of return µ = 1 can be
expressed as a mixture of this portfolio and the minimum-variance portfolio in (a).
The expected rates of return of this portfolio and the minimum-variance portfolio are
respectively
12 6 4 3
(0.5) + (0.7) + (0.9) + (1) = 0.672
25 25 25 25
and
5 1 3 5
(0.5) + (0.7) + (0.9) + (1) = 0.725.
14 4 14 28
Solving 0.672α + 0.725(1 − α) = 1 yields α = −275/53, which means the composition
 T
∗ 104 16 184 179
of the required portfolio is αx + (1 − α)x = − , , , .
371 53 371 371
(c) Normalizing
 −1     
1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0.2 0.2
0 2 0 0
 (µ − rf 1) = 0 1/2 0 0 
 0.4 =  0.2  ,
    

0 0 3 0 0 0 1/3 0  0.6  0.2 
0 0 0 4 0 0 0 1/4 0.7 0.175
we find the composition of the tangency portfolio as
 T
8 8 8 7
x= , , , .
31 31 31 31
S&AS: STAT3904 Corporate Finance for Actuarial Science 8

4. A Question from SOA: Given the Full Distributions of Returns SOA


An investment house has provided an investor with the following: Course 6
Spring
2005 Q10
Scenario Probability Fund A Return Fund B Return
(Adapted)
1 0.5 25% 20%
2 0.3 10% −20%
3 0.2 −30% 25%

The annual T-bill return is 3% per annum.

(a) Calculate the correlation coefficient between Fund A and Fund B using the given sce-
narios.
(b) Determine the tangency portfolio, Portfolio M . Calculate the expected return and
standard deviation of Portfolio M .
(c) Calculate the slope of the efficient frontier supported by T-bills and Portfolio M .
(d) Another investment house has developed a portfolio, Portfolio Q, using Fund A and
Fund B. The expected return of Portfolio Q is 10% and the standard deviation is 12%.
Should the investor invest in Portfolio Q rather than Portfolio M ? Why or why not?

Solution. Instead of giving you µ and Σ, this question provides even the full distributions of
the returns of the two assets, modelled as discrete random variables.

(a) For A:
• E[RA ] = 0.5(25%) + 0.3(10%) + 0.2(−30%) = 9.5%
• E[RA
2
] = 0.5(25%)2 + 0.3(10%)2 + 0.2(−30%)2 = 522.5%2
• Var(RA ) = 522.5 − 9.52 = 432.25%2
Similarly, for B:
• E[RB ] = 0.5(20%) + 0.3(−20%) + 0.2(25%) = 9%
• E[RB
2
] = 0.5(20%)2 + 0.3(−20%)2 + 0.2(25%)2 = 445%2
• Var(RB ) = 445 − 92 = 364%2
Finally we need the covariance:

Cov(RA , RB ) = E[RA RB ] − E[RA ]E[RB ]


= 0.5(25%)(20%) + 0.3(10%)(−20%) + 0.2(−30%)(25%) − (9.5%)(9%)
= −45.5%2 .

The correlation coefficient between Fund A and Fund B is


Cov(RA , RB ) −45.5
p =p = −0.1147 .
Var(RA )Var(RB ) (432.25)(364)
 2 2

432.25% −45.5%
(b) We are given µ = (9.5%, 9%)T and Σ = . Normalizing
−45.5%2 364%2
    
−1 364%2 45.5%2 6.5% 2639
Σ (µ − rf 1) = = ,
45.5%2 432.25%2 6% 2889.25
S&AS: STAT3904 Corporate Finance for Actuarial Science 9

 T
116 127
we obtain the composition of the tangency portfolio M : , . Its expected
243 243
return and standard deviation are
116 127
µM = (9.5%) + (9%) = 9.2387%
243 243
and
s 2  2   
116 127 116 127
σM = (432.25%2 ) + (364%2 ) +2 (−45.5%2 ) = 13.2372% .
243 243 243 243

µM − rf 9.2387% − 3%
(c) The required slope is = = 0.4713 .
σM 13.2372%
(d) Since Portfolio Q has a higher rate of return but a lower standard deviation, it is more
efficient than Portfolio M and should be invested instead.

********** END OF TUTORIAL 5 **********

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