How To Avoid The Top 10 Mistakes New Option Traders Make
How To Avoid The Top 10 Mistakes New Option Traders Make
In more than fifteen years in the securities industry, I’ve led more than
1,000 seminars on option trading. During that time, I’ve seen new
options investors make the same mistakes over and over – mistakes
which can easily be avoided.
In this article I’ve analyzed ten of the most common option trading
mistakes. Options are by nature a more complex investment than simply
buying and selling stocks. For example, when you buy options, not only
do you have to be right about the direction of the move, you also have to
be right about the timing.
Also, options tend to be less liquid than stocks. So trading them may
involve larger spreads between the bid and ask prices, which will
increase your costs. Finally, the value of an option is made of many
variables, including the price of the underlying stock or index, its
volatility, its dividends (if any), changing interest rates, and as with any
market, supply and demand.
Option trading is not something you want to do if you just fell off the
turnip truck. But when used properly, options allow investors to gain
better control over the risks and rewards depending on their forecast for
the stock. No matter if your forecast is bullish, bearish or neutral there’s
an option strategy that can be profitable if your outlook is correct.
Sincerely,
Brian Overby
Senior Options Analyst
TRADEKING
However, buying OTM calls outright is one of the hardest ways to make
money consistently in the options world. If you limit yourself to this
strategy, you may find yourself losing money consistently and not
learning very much in the process. Consider jump-starting your options
education by learning a few other strategies, and improve your potential
to earn solid returns as you build your knowledge.
Each day that passes when the underlying stock doesn’t move, your
option is like an ice cube sitting in the sun. Just like the puddle that’s
growing, your option's time value is evaporating until expiration. This is
especially true if your first purchase is a near-term, way out-of-the-
money option (a popular choice with new options traders because
they’re usually quite cheap).
Not surprisingly, though, these options are cheap for a reason. When
you buy an OTM “cheap” option, they don’t automatically increase just
because the stock moves in the right direction. The price is relative to
the probability of the stock actually reaching (and going beyond) the
strike price. If the move is close to expiration and it’s not enough to
reach the strike, the probability of the stock continuing the move in the
now shortened timeframe is low. Therefore, the price of the option will
reflect that probability.
For taking on this obligation, you earn cash from the sale of your OTM
call. This strategy can earn you some income on stocks when you’re
bullish, but you wouldn't mind selling the stock if the price goes up prior
to expiration.
Although selling the call option does not produce capital risk, it does limit
your upside, therefore creating opportunity risk. In other words, you do
risk having to sell the stock upon assignment if the market rises and your
call is exercised. But since you own the stock (in other words you are
“covered”), that’s usually a profitable scenario for you because the stock
price has increased to the strike price of the call.
If the market remains flat, you collect the premium for selling the call and
retain your long stock position. On the other hand, if the stock goes
down and you want out, just buy back the option, closing out the short
position, and sell the stock to close the long position. Keep in mind you
may have a loss in the stock when the position is closed.
There are two caveats to keep in mind with spread trading. First,
because these strategies involve multiple option trades, they incur
multiple commissions. Make sure your profit and loss calculations
include all commissions as well as other factors like the bid / ask spread.
Second, as with any new strategy, you need to know your risks before
committing any capital. Here's where you can learn more about long call
spreads andlong put spreads.
Mistake 3: Not having a definite exit plan prior to
expiration
You’ve heard it a million times before. In trading options, just like stocks,
it’s critical to control your emotions. This doesn’t mean swallowing your
every fear in a super-human way. It’s much simpler than that: have a
plan to work, and work your plan.
Planning your exit isn’t just about minimizing loss on the downside. You
should have an exit plan, period – even when things are going your way.
You need to choose in advance your upside exit point and your
downside exit point, as well as your timeframes for each exit.
What if you get out too early and leave some upside on the table?
This is the classic trader’s worry. Here’s the best counterargument I can
think of: What if you make a profit more consistently, reduce your
incidence of losses, and sleep better at night? Trading with a plan helps
you establish more successful patterns of trading and keeps your
worries more in check.
The temptation to violate this advice will probably be strong from time to
time. Don’t do it. You must make your plan and then stick with it. Far too
many traders set up a plan and then, as soon as the trade is placed,
toss the plan to follow their emotions.
Mistake 4: Compromising your risk tolerance to
make up for past losses by “doubling up”
I’ve heard many option traders say they would never do something:
“…never buy really out-of-the-money options!”, “…never sell in-the-
money options!” It’s funny how these absolutes seem silly – until you find
yourself in a trade that’s moved against you.
All seasoned options traders have been there. Facing this scenario,
you’re often tempted to break all kinds of personal rules, simply to keep
on trading the same option you started with. Wouldn’t it be nicer if the
entire market was wrong, not you?
Be wary, though: What makes sense for stocks might not fly in the
options world.
Close the trade, cut your losses, or find a different opportunity that
makes sense now. Options offer great possibilities for leverage on
relatively low capital, but they can blow up just as quickly as any position
if you dig yourself deeper. Take a small loss when it offers you a chance
of avoiding a catastrophe later.
Stock markets are generally more liquid than their related options
markets for a simple reason: Stock traders are all trading just one stock,
but the option traders may have dozens of option contracts to choose
from. Stock traders will flock to just one form of IBM stock, for example,
but options traders for IBM have perhaps six different expirations and a
plethora of strike prices to choose from. More choices by definition
means the options market will probably not be as liquid as the stock
market.
It’s never a good idea to establish your position at a 10% loss right off
the bat, just by choosing an illiquid option with a wide bid-ask spread.
How can you trade more informed?
Trading illiquid options drives up the cost of doing business, and option
trading costs are already higher, on a percentage basis, than for stocks.
Don’t burden yourself.
Here’s a popular rule-of-thumb: If you are trading options, make sure the
open interest is at least equal to 40 times the number of contacts you
want to trade. For example, to trade a 10-lot your acceptable liquidity
should be 10 x 40, or an open interest of at least 400 contracts. (“Open
interest” is the number of outstanding option contracts of a particular
strike price and expiration date that have been bought or sold to open a
position. Any opening transactions increase open interest, while closing
transactions decrease it. Open interest is calculated at the end of each
business day.)
Trade liquid options and save yourself added cost and stress. There are
plenty of liquid opportunities out there.
Far too often, traders will wait too long to buy back the options they’ve
sold. There are a million reasons why: You don’t want to pay the
commission; you’re betting the contract will expire worthless; you’re
hoping to eke just a little more profit out of the trade.
For example, what if you sold a $1.00 option and it’s now worth 20
cents? You wouldn’t sell a 20-cent option to begin with, because it just
wouldn’t be worth it. Similarly, you shouldn’t think it’s worth it to squeeze
the last few cents out of this trade.
Here's a good rule of thumb: if you can keep 80% or more of your initial
gain from the sale of the option, you should consider buying it back
immediately. Otherwise, it's a virtual certainty: one of these days, a short
option will bite you back because you waited too long.
Earnings season usually makes options contracts pricier, for both puts
and calls. Again, think of it in real-world terms. Options can work like
protection contracts; they can be used to hedge the risk on other
positions. For example, if you live in Florida, when will it be most
expensive to buy homeowner’s insurance? Definitely when the
weatherman predicts a hurricane is coming your way.
For example, what if you’re running a long call spread and the higher-
strike short option is assigned? Beginning traders might panic and
exercise the lower-strike long option in order to deliver the stock. But
that’s probably not the best decision. It’s usually better to sell the long
option on the open market, capture the remaining time premium along
with the option’s inherent value, and use the proceeds toward
purchasing the stock. Then you can deliver the stock to the option holder
at the higher strike price.
Exercising a call means the trader has to be willing to spend cash now to
buy the stock, versus later in the game. Usually it’s human nature to wait
and spend that cash later. However, if a stock is rising less skilled
traders might pull the trigger early, failing to realize they’re leaving some
time premium on the table. That’s why early assignment can be
unpredictable.
What’s the moral of the story? Trading options that are based on indices
can partially shield you from the huge moves that single news items can
create for individual stocks. Consider neutral trades on big indices, and
you can minimize the uncertain impact of market news.
How can you trade more informed?
Consider trading strategies that will be profitable if the market stays still,
such as short spreads (also called “credit spreads”) on indices. Sudden
stock moves based on news tend to be quick and dramatic, and often
the stock will then trade at a new plateau for a while. Index moves are
different: less dramatic, and less likely impacted by a single
development in the media.
Like a long spread, a short spread is also made up of two positions with
different strike prices. But in this case the more expensive option is sold
and the cheaper option is bought. Again, both legs have the same
underlying security, same expiration date, same number of contracts
and both are either both puts or both calls. The effects of time decay are
somewhat reduced since one option is bought while the other is sold.
Lastly, remember spreads involve more than one option trade, and
therefore incur more than one commission. Bear this in mind when
making your trading decisions.