Reasoning
Reasoning
Foundations of Reasoning
Definition: Process of forming conclusions, judgments, or inferences from facts or
premises
Relationship to logic, critical thinking, and problem-solving
Types of reasoning:
o Deductive: General to specific
o Inductive: Specific to general
o Abductive: Best explanation inference
Cognitive basis of reasoning:
o Neural mechanisms
o Information processing models
o Working memory constraints
Historical perspectives on reasoning: Greek logical tradition to modern cognitive
science
Deductive Reasoning
Characteristics: Certainty, necessity, validity
Logical forms:
o Syllogisms (categorical, hypothetical, disjunctive)
o Conditional reasoning (if-then statements)
o Propositional logic applications
Necessary and sufficient conditions
Validity vs. soundness
Applications:
o Mathematics
o Formal systems
o Legal reasoning
Common deductive errors:
o Invalid logical structure
o Hidden premises
o Equivocation (shifting meanings)
Inductive Reasoning
Characteristics: Probability, strength, uncertainty
Types of inductive arguments:
o Generalization
o Causal reasoning
o Analogical reasoning
o Statistical reasoning
Strong vs. weak inductive arguments
Factors affecting strength:
o Sample size and quality
o Representativeness
o Background knowledge
o Alternative explanations
Scientific method as applied induction
Limitations and the problem of induction
Abductive Reasoning
Inference to the best explanation
Applications:
o Scientific hypothesis formation
o Medical diagnosis
o Detective work
o Everyday problem solving
Criteria for evaluating explanations:
o Explanatory power
o Simplicity/parsimony
o Coherence with existing knowledge
o Testability
Relationship to scientific discovery
Limitations and potential for error
Probabilistic Reasoning
Bayesian reasoning framework
Conditional probability and Bayes' theorem
Prior and posterior probabilities
Base rate fallacy and neglect
Conjunction fallacy
Risk assessment and decision-making
Expected value calculations
Heuristics influencing probabilistic judgments
Causal Reasoning
Correlation vs. causation distinction
Necessary and sufficient causes
Mill's methods for causal inference:
o Method of agreement
o Method of difference
o Joint method
o Method of residues
o Method of concomitant variation
Counterfactual analysis
Causal chains and networks
Common causal reasoning errors:
o Post hoc fallacy
o Ignoring confounding variables
o Reverse causation
o Common cause confusion
Analogical Reasoning
Structure and components:
o Source domain (familiar)
o Target domain (unfamiliar)
o Relevant similarities
o Mapping relations
Strength factors:
o Number of similarities
o Relevance of similarities
o Nature of differences
o Multiple source analogs
Creative applications:
o Problem-solving
o Scientific discovery
o Invention
Educational applications
Limitations and potential fallacies
Scientific Reasoning
Hypothesis formation and testing
Experimental design principles
Falsifiability (Popper)
Theory evaluation criteria:
o Explanatory power
o Predictive accuracy
o Simplicity
o Scope
o Consilience (unity of knowledge)
Scientific revolutions and paradigm shifts (Kuhn)
Research program methodology (Lakatos)
Scientific thinking vs. pseudoscience
Practical Reasoning
Means-end reasoning
Decision-making frameworks:
o Expected utility
o Risk analysis
o Multi-attribute evaluation
Moral and ethical reasoning
Practical syllogisms
Planning and problem-solving
Action-oriented inference
Implementation intention formation
Development of Reasoning
Piaget's cognitive developmental stages
Development of logical reasoning in children
Adolescent reasoning capabilities
Adult reasoning development
Age-related changes in reasoning
Educational approaches to reasoning development
Cultural influences on reasoning patterns