CoreLogic-HVI-April-2025
CoreLogic-HVI-April-2025
Value Index
EMBARGOED: 0:01am, Tuesday 1st April
Rolling three-month change in dwelling values Change in dwelling values over key time periods
State capitals
Mar 22
Mar 24
Mar 25
Mar 21
Mar 23
-6% Combined
<at peak> 57.4% 86.5%
regionals
Mar 25
Mar 21
Mar 23
Mar 15
Mar 17
Mar 19
20% 20%
16% 16%
12% 12%
Adelaide, 8.2%
8% Perth, 8.2%
8% Perth, 6.0% Darwin, 6.2%
Adelaide, 4.8% Hobart, 5.7%
Hobart, 4.4%
4% Brisbane, 2.9% 4% Brisbane, 3.9%
Melbourne, 2.2%
Darwin, 2.0% Melbourne, 2.7%
Sydney, 2.5%
Sydney, 1.9% Canberra, 1.5%
0% Canberra, 1.6% 0%
-4% -4%
-8% -8%
Mar 23
Mar 20
Mar 22
Mar 24
Mar 25
Mar 21
Mar 20
Mar 21
Mar 23
Mar 24
Mar 22
Mar 25
In annual terms, rental growth is clearly slowing, easing from Regional NT 7.7%
a cyclical peak of 9.7% over the 12 months ending November Regional Tas 4.5%
2021 to 3.8% over the past 12 months- the slowest annual Regional WA 5.9%
change in rents since March 2021. Regional SA 4.7%
Regional Qld 4.5%
“Despite the slowdown in rental growth, the annual pace of
Regional Vic 4.3%
change remains slightly above the pre-COVID decade
Regional NSW 4.2%
average of 2.0%,” said Mr Lawless. “Nationally, rents have
risen 38.4% over the past five years, more than double the
Canberra 4.1%
15.4% rise seen in wages over the five years to December 24.”
Darwin 6.6%
Rental growth has slowed more sharply across the unit Hobart 4.4%
sector relative to houses, but the slowdown has been from Perth 4.3%
a higher base. Every capital city except the ACT is still Adelaide 3.7%
recording a higher rate of growth in unit rents compared Brisbane 3.7%
with house rents over the past 12 months. Melbourne 3.7%
Sydney 3.1%
“As overseas migration normalises and the average
household becomes larger, we should see a further
slowdown in rental growth,” Mr Lawless said. “However,
Gross rental yields, dwellings
considering the national vacancy rate, at 1.5%, remains less
than half the pre-COVID decade average of 3.3%, it’s hard to
5.5%
see rents retreating any time soon.”
With rental growth slowing but remaining positive and the 5.0%
change in home values flattening out, combined capital city Combined regionals
4.5% 4.42%
gross rental yields have risen to the highest level since 2019.
Over the past six months, gross yields have lifted by nine 4.0%
basis points, from 3.44% six months ago to 3.53% in March.
Gross yields across the combined regional markets are up 3.5% 3.53%
five basis points, from 4.37% in September ‘24 to 4.42% in
March ‘25. 3.0% Combined capitals
“Despite the rise, relative to holding costs such as high 2.5%
mortgage rates and a substantial increase in costs
associated with maintenance and repairs, the gross yield 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025
profile remains low,” Mr Lawless said.
With two months of growth in Australian home values now on the scorecard, it's looking more convincing that the positive
turn is more than a temporary recovery… but a material upswing in values remains unlikely.
On the upside, a gradual easing in monetary policy, cost of living relief, income growth, tight labour markets and improved
sentiment are all likely to support housing sector activity.
On the flipside, a variety of headwinds are likely to at least partially offset the tailwinds, keeping value growth contained.
The rate-cutting cycle is likely to be drawn out, housing remains unaffordable, population growth has reduced to more normal
levels and housing credit policies remain risk averse.
▪ Lower interest rates, but settings are unlikely to move into ▪ Housing affordability remains stretched with the national
stimulatory territory for some time yet. Factoring in a dwelling value to household income ratio on par with
reasonably bullish 75 basis point cut to the cash rate for record highs at 8.0 at the end of last year. Home loan
the remainder of the year (3.35% by year’s end) implies serviceability was also at a record high. Assuming a
that monetary policy settings will remain above the RBA’s household on the median income purchased the median
estimate of the neutral cash rate (of around 2.9%) value dwelling with a 20% deposit, they would be
throughout 2025. Until home loan serviceability improves dedicating 50.5% of their gross income on mortgage
more substantially, it’s hard to see housing markets moving repayments.
into a material growth trend.
▪ Population growth is normalising, reducing overall
▪ Cost of living relief should support household balance housing demand. Population growth in the September
sheets, although the variables may change following the quarter was back to 0.4%, on par with the pre-COVID
May 3rd federal election. Alongside real growth in decade average. The slowdown has been driven by a
household disposable incomes, which the RBA forecasts at sharp drop in overseas migration following its peak in the
2.5% over the 2025 calendar year, prospective borrowers first quarter of 2023. As of September 2024, quarterly net
may find it easier to save for a deposit with National overseas migration numbers have reduced by -46%.
accounts data showing a consistent pick up in the
household saving ratio. ▪ Credit conditions remain cautious with mortgage
originations on high debt-to-income ratios, high loan-to-
▪ Labour markets are holding tight, with a national income-ratios and high loan-to-valuation ratios all holding
unemployment rate of 4.1% and a strong trend in jobs low based on the most recent December quarter update
growth. However, some speed wobbles emerged in the from APRA.
February labour force data, with a weak jobs growth
outcome and a drop in the participation rate which is ▪ New housing supply is likely to remain constrained amid
something to watch for any evidence of a weaker trend high costs, a scarcity of skilled trades and compressed
emerging. profit margins. Even though population growth is easing,
the cumulative undersupply of housing will take some time
▪ Measures of consumer sentiment have been rising, to address. Housing construction costs are still rising from
fuelled by improvements in inflation outcomes, cost of an already high base, creating ongoing feasibility
living relief and growing certainty that interest rates will challenges for builders and developers and the
come down further. Consumer sentiment and housing competition for trades with the infrastructure sector is likely
activity have historically shown a strong relationship, so the to persist for several years at least. Low supply is another
improvement in sentiment should help support sales factor that could support further value growth.
turnover.
CoreLogic Home Value Index tables
Capitals Rest of state regions Aggregate indices
All Dwellings
Month 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.2% -0.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.9% na 0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
Quarter 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 2.8% -0.1% 0.9% 0.4% 1.9% 3.4% 2.7% 1.5% na 0.5% 1.4% 0.7%
YTD 0.4% 0.3% 0.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 2.8% -0.1% 0.9% 0.4% 1.9% 3.4% 2.7% 1.5% na 0.5% 1.4% 0.7%
Annual 0.9% -2.6% 8.6% 11.0% 11.9% -0.2% 2.6% -0.5% 2.7% -1.6% 9.0% 12.6% 14.7% 3.7% na 2.8% 5.3% 3.4%
Total return 3.9% 1.1% 12.7% 15.0% 16.7% 4.0% 9.2% 3.6% 6.8% 2.6% 13.9% 19.3% 21.6% 8.2% na 6.5% 9.9% 7.2%
Gross yield 3.1% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% 4.3% 4.4% 6.6% 4.1% 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 4.7% 5.9% 4.5% na 3.5% 4.4% 3.7%
Median value $1,190,616 $781,318 $899,824 $827,675 $806,205 $657,059 $519,287 $854,398 $757,172 $574,298 $708,633 $467,841 $560,611 $525,823 na $900,629 $666,830 $820,331
Houses
Month 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.2% -0.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5%
Quarter 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.3% 3.0% -0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.4% 1.7% 0.5% 1.3% 0.7%
YTD 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.3% 3.0% -0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.4% 1.7% 0.5% 1.3% 0.7%
Annual 1.2% -2.5% 7.5% 10.6% 11.3% 0.2% 4.4% -0.2% 2.6% -1.6% 9.2% 12.5% 14.7% 4.0% -2.1% 3.2% 5.3% 3.7%
Total return 3.8% 0.7% 11.2% 14.3% 16.0% 4.4% 10.8% 3.7% 6.7% 2.6% 14.1% 19.1% 21.5% 8.4% 5.1% 6.5% 9.8% 7.3%
Gross yield 2.7% 3.2% 3.5% 3.5% 4.2% 4.3% 6.0% 3.8% 4.1% 4.2% 4.4% 4.7% 5.8% 4.4% 7.3% 3.2% 4.4% 3.5%
Median value $1,473,393 $929,070 $981,474 $878,621 $839,295 $699,148 $603,669 $969,819 $783,899 $604,282 $714,280 $479,413 $579,344 $547,731 $428,864 $1,014,019 $681,467 $885,361
Units
Month -0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% -0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% -0.3% 1.7% na 0.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Quarter -0.1% -0.2% 2.1% 0.9% 2.3% 0.2% 2.2% 0.5% 1.8% -1.0% 1.9% 5.7% 1.3% 2.5% na 0.3% 1.6% 0.5%
YTD -0.1% -0.2% 2.1% 0.9% 2.3% 0.2% 2.2% 0.5% 1.8% -1.0% 1.9% 5.7% 1.3% 2.5% na 0.3% 1.6% 0.5%
Annual 0.1% -2.8% 14.1% 13.9% 16.4% -2.5% -1.0% -1.6% 3.1% -1.9% 8.1% 15.7% 13.2% 1.0% na 1.7% 5.5% 2.4%
Total return 4.0% 2.0% 19.4% 19.2% 23.1% 2.0% 6.5% 3.3% 7.6% 3.2% 13.4% 22.8% 23.9% 6.3% na 6.3% 10.6% 7.1%
Gross yield 4.1% 4.8% 4.5% 4.7% 5.7% 5.0% 7.8% 5.2% 4.4% 5.0% 4.7% 4.7% 8.2% 5.2% na 4.5% 4.7% 4.6%
Median value $851,934 $608,614 $694,577 $595,104 $599,135 $526,914 $366,774 $590,818 $629,401 $406,361 $691,147 $332,636 $374,245 $410,014 na $690,160 $586,483 $673,491
Top 10 Capital city SA3’s with highest 12-month value growth - Dwellings
6 Mount Druitt Blacktown $885,883 7.0% 6 South Perth South East $984,681 13.2%
Bringelly - Green
7 South West $1,113,035 6.8% 7 Kalamunda South East $824,507 13.0%
Valley
8 Campbelltown Outer South West $904,976 6.5% 8 Stirling North West $875,538 12.9%
Outer West and Belmont - Victoria
9 Penrith $971,814 4.9% 9 South East $760,827 12.4%
Blue Mountains Park
Outer West and
10 Richmond - Windsor $882,560 4.3% 10 Perth City Inner $773,759 12.2%
Blue Mountains
Greater Melbourne Greater Hobart
Tullamarine -
1 North West $680,326 1.7% 1 Brighton Hobart $526,670 3.2%
Broadmeadows
2 Casey - North South East $825,517 1.0% 2 Hobart - North East Hobart $699,704 1.8%
3 Casey - South South East $760,114 0.6% 3 Hobart - North West Hobart $544,416 0.7%
Hobart - South and
4 Dandenong South East $736,607 0.5% 4 Hobart $761,473 0.2%
West
5 Hobsons Bay West $862,128 0.3% 5 Sorell - Dodges Ferry Hobart $617,152 -0.4%
6 Cardinia South East $729,348 -0.1% 6 Hobart Inner Hobart $830,794 -3.2%
Melton - Bacchus
7
Marsh
West $631,102 -0.3% Greater Darwin
8 Whitehorse - West Inner East $1,203,416 -0.4% 1 Palmerston Darwin $515,294 6.4%
9 Keilor North West $956,237 -0.4% 2 Darwin Suburbs Darwin $508,630 4.2%
Mornington
10 Frankston $746,774 -0.5% 3 Darwin City Darwin $471,462 -2.5%
Peninsula
Greater Brisbane ACT
1 Beenleigh Logan - Beaudesert $746,844 13.8% 1 Molonglo ACT $766,328 2.0%
4 Browns Plains Logan - Beaudesert $782,579 11.4% 4 South Canberra ACT $1,057,935 -0.5%
5 Ipswich Inner Ipswich $704,242 11.4% 5 Weston Creek ACT $925,926 -1.2%
Moreton Bay -
6 Strathpine $776,619 11.2% 6 North Canberra ACT $741,848 -1.5%
South
Springfield -
7 Ipswich $759,831 11.2% 7 Woden Valley ACT $960,921 -2.2%
Redbank
Moreton Bay -
8 Caboolture $755,905 11.0% 8 Gungahlin ACT $890,112 -2.7%
North
9 Brisbane Inner Brisbane Inner City $807,899 11.0%
Loganlea -
10 Logan - Beaudesert $812,280 11.0%
Carbrook
Greater Adelaide Data source: CoreLogic
About the data
1 Playford North $614,868 14.6%
Median values refers to the middle of valuations observed in
2 Gawler - Two Wells North $692,821 14.5%
the region
3 Salisbury North $693,587 13.0%
Growth rates are based on changes in the CoreLogic Home
4 Mitcham South $1,154,252 13.0%
Value index, which take into account value changes across the
5 Holdfast Bay South $1,088,079 12.0%
market
6 Port Adelaide - East North $843,906 11.9%
Only metrics with a minimum of 20 sales observations and a
7 Port Adelaide - West West $807,157 11.9%
low standard error on the median valuation have been
8 Onkaparinga South $784,397 11.6% included.
9 Tea Tree Gully North $803,518 11.5% Data is at March 2025
10 Charles Sturt West $938,918 11.4%
CoreLogic Home Value Index
Media enquiries: media@corelogic.com
media@corelogic.com
7 Albury Murray $559,203 6.0% 7 West Pilbara Outback (North) $580,275 9.8%
8 Lithgow - Mudgee Central West $594,386 5.8% 8 Gascoyne Outback (South) $425,083 9.5%
New England and
9 Inverell - Tenterfield $354,737 5.4% 9 Manjimup Bunbury $523,218 7.3%
North West
New England and
10 Armidale $475,656 5.3% 10 Goldfields Outback (South) $336,022 6.5%
North West
Regional SA
Barossa - Yorke -
1 Yorke Peninsula $476,947 17.2%
Mid North
2 Murray and Mallee South East $442,834 15.7%
Barossa - Yorke -
3 Barossa $689,871 13.9%
Mid North
Fleurieu - Kangaroo
4 South East $734,672 12.8%
Island
5 Limestone Coast South East $448,116 9.2%
Eyre Peninsula and
6 Outback $352,049 8.8%
South West
2.2%
0.90%
1.8%
0.43%
0.16%
0.16%
0.17%
0.15%
0.09%
0.04%
0.04%
0.02%
0.11%
0.01%
1.0%
0.8%
0.8%
0.7%
0.6%
0.5%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.1%
-0.07%
-0.09%
-0.25%
-0.25%
-0.35%
-0.42%
0.0%
-0.1%
Rest of WA
Rest of Qld
Melbourne
Adelaide
Rest of Tas.
Perth
Hobart
Darwin
Rest of SA
Rest of NT
Combined capitlas
ACT
Australia
Sydney
Brisbane
Rest of NSW
Rest of Vic.
Combined regionals
Rest of Qld
Rest of WA
Melbourne
Adelaide
Perth
Hobart
Rest of NT
Combined capitlas
Darwin
Sydney
ACT
Rest of SA
Australia
Brisbane
Rest of NSW
Rest of Vic.
Combined regionals
Feb 25 vintage Mar 25 vintage
Disclaimers
In compiling this publication, RP Data Pty Ltd trading as CoreLogic Asia Pacific (ABN 67 087 759 171) (“CoreLogic”) has relied upon information supplied by a
number of external sources. CoreLogic does not warrant its accuracy or completeness and to the full extent allowed by law excludes liability in contract, tort
or otherwise, for any loss or damage sustained by subscribers, or by any other person or body corporate arising from or in connection with the supply or use
of the whole or any part of the information in this publication through any cause whatsoever and limits any liability it may have to the amount paid to
CoreLogic for the supply of such information.
Tasmanian Data
New South Wales Data This product incorporates data that is copyright owned by the Crown in
Contains property sales information provided under licence from the Right of Tasmania. The data has been used in the product with the
Valuer General New South Wales. RP Data Pty Ltd trading as CoreLogic permission of the Crown in Right of Tasmania. The Crown in Right of
Asia Pacific is authorised as a Property Sales Information provider by the Tasmania and its employees and agents:
Valuer General New South Wales. a) give no warranty regarding the data's accuracy, completeness,
currency or suitability for any particular purpose; and
b) do not accept liability howsoever arising, including but not limited
Victorian Data to negligence for any loss resulting from the use of or reliance
The State of Victoria owns the copyright in the Property Sales Data and upon the data.
reproduction of that data in any way without the consent of the State of Base data from the LIST © State of Tasmania
Victoria will constitute a breach of the Copyright Act 1968 (Cth). The http://www.thelist.tas.gov.au
State of Victoria does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of the
Property Sales Data and any person using or relying upon such
information does so on the basis that the State of Victoria accepts no
responsibility or liability whatsoever for any errors, faults, defects or
omissions in the information supplied.
Methodology
The CoreLogic Hedonic Home Value Index (HVI) is calculated using a hedonic regression
methodology that addresses the issue of compositional bias associated with median
price and other measures. In simple terms, the index is calculated using recent sales data
combined with information about the attributes of individual properties such as the
number of bedrooms and bathrooms, land area and geographical context of the
dwelling. By separating each property into its various formational and locational
attributes, observed sales values for each property can be distinguished between those
attributed to the property’s attributes and those resulting from changes in the underlying
residential property market. Additionally, by understanding the value associated with
each attribute of a given property, this methodology can be used to estimate the value of
dwellings with known characteristics for which there is no recent sales price by observing
the characteristics and sales prices of other dwellings which have recently transacted. It
then follows that changes in the market value of the entire residential property stock can
be accurately tracked through time. The detailed methodological information can be
found at:
www.corelogic.com.au/research/rp-data-corelogic-home-value-index-methodology/
CoreLogic is able to produce a consistently accurate and robust Hedonic Index due to its
extensive property related database, which includes transaction data for every home sale
within every state and territory. CoreLogic augments this data with recent sales advice
from real estate industry professionals, listings information and attribute data collected
from a variety of sources.
* The median value is the middle estimated value of all residential properties derived
through the hedonic regression methodology that underlies the CoreLogic Hedonic
Home Value Index.