0% found this document useful (0 votes)
172 views

Chapter 5: Some Discrete Probability Distributions: 5.2: Discrete Uniform Distribution

The document summarizes some key discrete probability distributions: 1. The discrete uniform distribution where each value has an equal probability of 1/k. The mean is (k+1)/2 and variance is (k^2-1)/12. 2. The binomial distribution which models the number of successes in n independent Bernoulli trials. It is defined by parameters n and p. The mean is np and variance is np(1-p). 3. The hypergeometric distribution models sampling without replacement from a finite population with two types of elements. It is used to find the probability of k successes in n draws.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
172 views

Chapter 5: Some Discrete Probability Distributions: 5.2: Discrete Uniform Distribution

The document summarizes some key discrete probability distributions: 1. The discrete uniform distribution where each value has an equal probability of 1/k. The mean is (k+1)/2 and variance is (k^2-1)/12. 2. The binomial distribution which models the number of successes in n independent Bernoulli trials. It is defined by parameters n and p. The mean is np and variance is np(1-p). 3. The hypergeometric distribution models sampling without replacement from a finite population with two types of elements. It is used to find the probability of k successes in n draws.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPT, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 21

Chapter 5: Some Discrete Probability Distributions:

5.2: Discrete Uniform Distribution:


If the discrete random variable X assumes the values x1, x2, , xk
with equal probabilities, then X has the discrete uniform
distribution given by: 1
; x x1 , x2 ,, xk
f ( x) P( X x) f ( x; k ) k
0 ; elsewhere
Note:
f(x)=f(x;k)=P(X=x)
k is called the parameter of the distribution.
Example 5.2:
Experiment: tossing a balanced die.
Sample space: S={1,2,3,4,5,6}
Each sample point of S occurs with the same probability
1/6.
Let X= the number observed when tossing a balanced die.
The probability distribution of X is:
1
; x 1, 2,, 6
f ( x) P( X x) f ( x;6) 6
0 ; elsewhere

Theorem 5.1:
If the discrete random variable X has a discrete uniform
distribution with parameter k, then the mean and the variance of
k
X are:
x i
E(X) i 1
k k

i
( x
i 1
) 2

Var(X) = 2 =
k
Example 5.3:
Find E(X) and Var(X) in Example 5.2.

Solution: k
xi
i 1 1 2 3 4 5 6
E(X) = = 3.5
k 6
k k
( xi ) ( xi 3.5)
2 2
i 1
Var(X) = 2 = i 1
k 6
(1 3.5) 2 (2 3.5) 2 (6 3.5) 2 35

6 12
5.3 Binomial Distribution:
Bernoulli Trial:
Bernoulli trial is an experiment with only two possible
outcomes.
The two possible outcomes are labeled:
success (s) and failure (f)
The probability of success is P(s)=p and the probability
of failure is P(f)= q = 1p.
Examples:
1. Tossing a coin (success=H, failure=T, and p=P(H))
2. Inspecting an item (success=defective, failure=non-
defective, and p=P(defective))
Bernoulli Process:
Bernoulli process is an experiment that must satisfy the
following properties:
1. The experiment consists of n repeated Bernoulli trials.
2. The probability of success, P(s)=p, remains constant from
trial to trial.
3. The repeated trials are independent; that is the outcome
of one trial has no effect on the outcome of any other trial

Binomial Random Variable:


Consider the random variable :
X = The number of successes in the n trials in a Bernoulli
process
The random variable X has a binomial distribution with
parameters n (number of trials) and p (probability of success),
and we write:
X ~ Binomial(n,p) or X~b(x;n,p)
The probability distribution of X is given by:
n x n x
p (1 p) ; x 0, 1, 2, , n
f ( x) P( X x) b( x; n, p) x
0 ;
otherwise
We can write the probability distribution of X as a table as
follows.
x f(x)=P(X=x)=b(x;n,p)
n 0
p 1 p n 0 1 p n
0
0
n 1
p 1 p n1
1
1
2 n 2
p 1 p n 2
2

n1 n n 1
p 1 p 1
n 1
n n
p 1 p 0 p n
n
n
Total 1.00
Example:
Suppose that 25% of the products of a manufacturing process
are defective. Three items are selected at random, inspected,
and classified as defective (D) or non-defective (N). Find the
probability distribution of the number of defective items.

Solution:
Experiment: selecting 3 items at random, inspected, and
classified as (D) or (N).
The sample space is
S={DDD,DDN,DND,DNN,NDD,NDN,NND,NNN}
Let X = the number of defective items in the sample
We need to find the probability distribution of X.
(1) First Solution: Outcome Probability X
NNN 3 3 3 27 0

4 4 4 64
NND 3 3 1 9 1

4 4 4 64
NDN 3 1 3 9 1

4 4 4 64
NDD 3 1 1 3 2

4 4 4 64
DNN 1 3 3 9 1

4 4 4 64
DND 1 3 1 3 2

4 4 4 64
DDN 1 1 3 3 2

4 4 4 64
DDD 1 1 1 1 3

4 4 4 64
The probability distribution
.of X is
x f(x)=P(X=x)
0 27
64
1 9 9 9 27

64 64 64 64
2 3 3 3 9

64 64 64 64
3 1
64
(2) Second Solution:
Bernoulli trial is the process of inspecting the item. The results
are success=D or failure=N, with probability of success
P(s)=25/100=1/4=0.25.
The experiments is a Bernoulli process with:
number of trials: n=3
Probability of success: p=1/4=0.25
X ~ Binomial(n,p)=Binomial(3,1/4)
The probability distribution of X is given by:
3 1 x 3 3 x
1 ( ) ( ) ; x 0, 1, 2, 3
f ( x) P( X x) b( x;3, ) x 4 4
4
0 ; otherwise
1 3 1 0 3 3 27 The probability
f (0) P( X 0) b(0;3, ) ( ) ( ) distribution of X is
4 0 4 4 64
x f(x)=P(X=x)
1 3 1 2 3 1 9
f (2) P( X 2) b(2;3, ) ( ) ( ) =b(x;3,1/4)
4 2 4 4 64 0 27/64
1 3 1 3 3 0 1 1 27/64
f (3) P( X 3) b(3;3, ) ( ) ( ) 2 9/64
4 3 4 4 64
3 1/64
Theorem 5.2:
The mean and the variance of the binomial distribution b(x;n,p)
are:
=np
2 = n p (1 p)
Example:
In the previous example, find the expected value (mean) and
the variance of the number of defective items.

Solution:
X = number of defective items
We need to find E(X)= and Var(X)=2
We found that X ~ Binomial(n,p)=Binomial(3,1/4)
.n=3 and p=1/4
The expected number of defective items is
E(X)= = n p = (3) (1/4) = 3/4 = 0.75
The variance of the number of defective items is
Var(X)=2 = n p (1 p) = (3) (1/4) (3/4) = 9/16 = 0.5625
Example:
In the previous example, find the following probabilities:
(1) The probability of getting at least two defective items.
(2) The probability of getting at most two defective items.

Solution:
X ~ Binomial(3,1/4)
3 1 x 3 3 x
1 ( ) ( ) for x 0, 1, 2, 3
f ( x) P( X x) b( x;3, ) x 4 4
4
0 otherwise

x .f(x)=P(X=x)=b(x;3,1/4)
0 27/64
1 27/64
2 9/64
3 1/64
(1) The probability of getting at least two defective items:
9 1 10
P(X2)=P(X=2)+P(X=3)= f(2)+f(3)=
64 64 64
(2) The probability of getting at most two defective item:
P(X2) = P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2)
27 27 9 63
= f(0)+f(1)+f(2) =
64 64 64 64

or 1 63
P(X2)= 1P(X>2) = 1P(X=3) = 1 f(3) = 1
64 64

Example 5.4: Reading assignment


Example 5.5: Reading assignment
Example 5.6: Reading assignment
5.4 Hypergeometric Distribution :

Suppose there is a population with 2 types of elements:


1-st Type = success
2-nd Type = failure
N= population size
K= number of elements of the 1-st type
N K = number of elements of the 2-nd type
We select a sample of n elements at random from the
population
Let X = number of elements of 1-st type (number of
successes) in the sample
We need to find the probability distribution of X.
There are to two methods of selection:
1. selection with replacement
2. selection without replacement
(1) If we select the elements of the sample at random and
with replacement, then K
X ~ Binomial(n,p); where p
N
(2) Now, suppose we select the elements of the sample at
random and without replacement. When the selection is made
without replacement, the random variable X has a hyper
geometric distribution with parameters N, n, and K. and we write
X~h(x;N,n,K).
f ( x) P( X x) h( x; N , n, K )
K N K

x n x ; x 0, 1, 2,, n
N

n
0 ; otherwise

Note that the values of X must satisfy:


0xK and 0nx NK

0xK and nN+K x n

Example 5.8: Reading assignment


Example 5.9:
Lots of 40 components each are called acceptable if they
contain no more than 3 defectives. The procedure for sampling
the lot is to select 5 components at random (without
replacement) and to reject the lot if a defective is found. What is
the probability that exactly one defective is found in the sample if
there are 3 defectives in the entire lot.
Solution:
Let X= number of defectives in the sample
N=40, K=3, and n=5
X has a hypergeometric distribution with parameters N=40,
n=5, and K=3.
X~h(x;N,n,K)=h(x;40,5,3).
The probability distribution of X is given by:
3 37

x 5 x ; x 0, 1, 2,,5
f ( x) P( X x) h( x;40,5,3) 40

5
0 ; otherwise

But the values of X must satisfy:


0xK and nN+K x n 0x3 and 42 x 5
Therefore, the probability distribution of X is given by:
3 37

x 5 x ; x 0, 1, 2,3
f ( x) P( X x) h( x;40,5,3) 40

5
0 ; otherwise

Now, the probability that exactly one defective is found in the


sample is 3 37 3 37

1 5 1 1 4 0.3011
.f(1)=P(X=1)=h(1;40,5,3)=
40 40

5 5

You might also like

pFad - Phonifier reborn

Pfad - The Proxy pFad of © 2024 Garber Painting. All rights reserved.

Note: This service is not intended for secure transactions such as banking, social media, email, or purchasing. Use at your own risk. We assume no liability whatsoever for broken pages.


Alternative Proxies:

Alternative Proxy

pFad Proxy

pFad v3 Proxy

pFad v4 Proxy