Epidemilogy Measurment Methods
Epidemilogy Measurment Methods
Epidemilogy Measurment Methods
epidemiology
Measurements used in epidemiology
• Measurement of mortality
• Measurement of morbidity
• Measurement of disability
• Measurement of natality
• Measurement of disease attributes
• Measurement of health care services
• Measurement of the risk factors
• Measurement of demographic variables
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TOOLS OF MEASUREMENT
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Tools of measurement
• Proportion
• Rate
• Ratio
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Proportion
• Usually expressed as a percentage %
– Numerator (which is part of denominator)
– Denominator
– Multiplier
– No time factor
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Proportion – ‘real’ example
• What proportion of the population is
suffering from diabetes?
6
Rate
Contains
• Numerator (which is part of denominator)
• Denominator
• Multiplier
• Time period
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Rate – example
𝑁𝑜.𝑜𝑓 𝑑𝑒𝑎𝑡ℎ𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑛𝑒 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
• Death rate = X 1000
𝑇𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑝𝑜𝑝𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑎𝑡 𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟
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Ratio
Contains
• Numerator (not part of denominator)
• Denominator
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Ratio – example
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Ratio – example
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Ratio – example
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MEASUREMENT OF MORBIDITY
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Incidence
Occurrence of new cases
•
Prevalence
Existence of all new & old cases.
Prevalence:-how many people in
a population currently have the
disease (Photograph)
Incidence:-
how many people are
diagnosed each year (Film)
Cure rate
Incidence
Occurrence of new cases
•
Prevalence
Existence of all new & old cases.
Prevalence:-how many people in
a population currently have the
disease (Photograph)
Incidence:-
how many people are
diagnosed each year (Film)
Cure rate
New cases
• The rate at which acute
disease is spreading --
Attack rate used during epidemics
& expressed in %.
•Prevalence at a given
Period period of time.
prevalence •Period will be 1year.
Prolongation
of life
Incidence without
increases. cure.
Longer
duration of
disease
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Shorter duration of diseases.
Improved cure rate.
Incidence decreases.
Emigration of new cases.
Under reporting of cases.
Improved cure rate.
Short duration of
disease.
Incidence decreases
Measurement of morbidity
• Incidence
– Occurrence of new cases
• Prevalence
– Existence of new and old cases
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Incidence
No. of 𝐍𝐄𝐖 cases of a disease
in a particular time period
= Total population at risk during X 1000
the same time period
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Incidence – example
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Special incidence rates
• Attack rate
• Secondary attack rate
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Uses of incidence rate
• For taking action to control disease
• More suited for acute or infectious conditions
• For research
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Example of use of incidence
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Points to remember about incidence
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Prevalence
No.of 𝐎𝐋𝐃 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐍𝐄𝐖 cases of a disease
in a particular time point/period
= Total population at risk during X 1000
the same time period
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Types of prevalence
• Point prevalence
• Period prevalence
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Point prevalence – example
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Period prevalence – example
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Prevalence increases
• Longer duration of disease
• Prolongation of life with treatment
• Increase in incidence
• Immigration of new cases
• Better reporting of cases
• Emigration of healthy people
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Prevalence decreases
• Shorter duration of diseases
• Improved cure rate
• Decrease in incidence
• Emigration of new cases
• Under reporting of cases
• Immigration of healthy people
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Uses of prevalence
• Magnitude of disease problems
• Identify potential high-risk populations
• Administrative and planning purposes, e.g.,
hospital beds, manpower needs, rehabilitation
facilities
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Example of use of prevalence
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Example of use of prevalence
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Points to remember about prevalence
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Relation between incidence &
prevalence
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Relation between incidence &
prevalence
• Prevalence = Incidence X duration
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MEASUREMENT OF MORTALITY
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Crude Death Rate.
Specific death rate.
Case fatality rate.
Proportional mortality rate.
Survival rate.
Standardized death rate.
Number of deaths from all causes, per 1000
estimated mid year population in one year in
a given place.
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No. of deaths in Madurai in 2018
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CDR in Madurai in 2018
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Cause Specific death rate like
disease death rate, Road accident…
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No. of deaths in Madurai in 2018
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Cause of death – cholera
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Cholera specific death rate in Madurai
in 2018
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Proportion or % of deaths due to particular
cause out of total deaths.
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No. of deaths in Madurai in 2015
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Total deaths
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Cause of death – cholera
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Proportional mortality rate of cholera
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CDR
Total population (MYP)
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Cholera deaths PMR
Percentage of particular cases dying
during particular disease epidemic.
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No. of people died due to cholera
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Total no. of cholera cases
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Percentage of the treated patients remaining
alive at the end of 5 years treatment.
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What is standardization?
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Direct standardization
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Crude rates
Madurai Population Deaths Death rate
per 1000
0-64 53,500 446 8.3
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Age specific rates
Madurai Population Deaths Death rate
per 1000
0-24 21,500 123 5.7
25-64 32,000 323 10.0
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Standard population
Standard Population
0-24 156,000
25-64 45,000
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Standardization for Madurai
Standard Population Madurai Expected
rates deaths
0-24 156,000 5.7 889
25-64 45,000 10.0 450
Total 201,000 1,339
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Indirect standardization
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Standardized mortality ratio
Age National death rate
per 1000
25-34 3
35-44 5
45-54 8
55-64 25
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Standardized mortality ratio
Age Doctor Observed
population deaths
25-34 300 *
35-44 400 *
45-54 200 *
55-64 100 *
Total 1000 9.0
84
Standardized mortality ratio
Observed deaths
SMR = X 100
Expected deaths
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Summary
• Incidence and prevalence are finer
measurements of health as compared to
death rates
• They help us to measure the effectiveness of
disease control measures
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Take home messages
• Proportion, rate and ratio – basic tools
• CDR is a simple measure of death/health
• Standardization is needed for comparability
• Incidence reflects new cases only
• Prevalence reflects new and old cases
• Incidence and prevalence are related
• Mortality measures are important, morbidity
measures give a better idea of health
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Review 1
• It was reported that the incidence of dengue
was increasing every year in Madurai. This
could mean all EXCEPT,
a) Incidence of DM is increasing
b) Reporting of diabetes has increased
c) Diabetic patients are surviving longer due to
better treatment
d) Public awareness on diabetes has increased
e) None of the above
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Review 3
• Examples of a disease with high incidence but
low prevalence include (multiple options)
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Review 4
• Examples of a disease with low incidence but
high prevalence include (multiple options)
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Review 5
• A new diabetes control programme was
introduced in Madurai. After 1 year, the
incidence and prevalence of Diabetes
increased. This means
a) Simple measure
b) Influenced by the age composition
c) Not comparable between countries
d) All of the above
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Review 7
• Proportional mortality is useful for all EXCEPT
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Review 8
• Standardized rates can be calculated for
a) Age
b) Sex
c) Race
d) Literacy rate
e) All the above
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Review 9
• Standardized mortality ratio requires all
EXCEPT
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Review 10
• A patient with Atherosclerotic heart disease for 7
years developed Acute myocardial infarction last
week and died today as a result of myocardial
rupture. What is the immediate cause of death?
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Review 11
• Mid year population is not the denominator
for (multiple options)
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