Time Frames: by @cryptocred
Time Frames: by @cryptocred
Time Frames: by @cryptocred
By @CryptoCred
Outline
Disclaimer
General Remarks
Managing Expectations
Entry Triggers
Trade Management
Conclusion
Disclaimer
Neither this presentation, nor anything on my Twitter, Telegram, or any other medium/mode of
communication, including private correspondence, constitute financial advice.
● Multi-time frame analysis is essential when building a coherent and actionable view of a
market
○ Regardless of time frame
● Plethora of trading maxims impliedly rely on time frame analysis without offering much
guidance
● Important skill for traders of all styles and time frame preferences
● Positively affects all the different stages of a trade
● Recommended reading: article on directional bias (link in description)
Managing Expectations
● Trying to answer the question: what can be reasonably expected from price at a level on
a given time frame?
● Basic principles
○ High time frame (“HTF”) trends are longer and harder to reverse
○ Bigger moves more likely to originate from HTF levels (or intraday levels formed at/within HTF
levels)
○ Price can take more time to resolve at HTF levels
● Examples:
○ Price breaking market structure/making a higher high on H1 in a weekly downtrend
○ Price reaching weekly support vs price reaching M15 support
○ Price consolidating at H1 support for 12H vs price consolidating at W1 support for 12H
Time Frame Selection
● Commonly stated that a trader should select a couple of time frames based on their
trading style e.g. M5 and M15 for scalping, D1 and W1 for swing trading, and so on
○ Broadly reasonable but not a reason to ignore other time frames
● Even for LTF traders, mapping HTF levels is useful
○ Being aware where price is coming from, where HTF FTA is that may not be visible on LTF, etc.
● Don’t need to ‘choose’ per se
○ Ascertaining trend/deriving directional bias
○ Delineating levels
○ Engaging the market/entry triggers
○ Managing the trade
○ The above do not have to be uniform when with regard to time frames
● Further explanation to follow
Trend Precedence/Market Structure
● Traders are encouraged to ascertain what ‘the trend’ is and to trade with it
○ Not hugely helpful as there is often more than one trend at play on a given instrument,
depending on the time frame
○ E.g. strong up day in the context of a larger downtrend may have offered a LTF uptrend
● Better question: what is the dominant trend and what intraday conditions would allow
for positioning in tandem with the trend?
● General principles:
○ Dominant trend is most reliably derived from HTF charts (Monthly/Weekly/Daily)
○ If a dominant trend is present on HTF then persuasive signs of reversal must also form on HTF
■ I.e. not buying every green H1 candle in a weekly downtrend
○ HTF trends last longer than LTF trends (self-evident but easily forgotten)
○ LTF moves against dominant trend are counter-trend trading (fading) opportunities until proven
otherwise
■ HTF bearish = broken support likely to turn resistance* + selling rallies
■ HTF bullish = broken resistance likely to turn support* + buying dips
Refining & Contextualising Levels I
● Common stumbling point: drawing every single level on a chart from a multitude of time
frames
○ Level-to-level trading becomes impossible
● Refining:
○ Delineate HTF level (silly as it may sound, use a thick line and different colour)
■ Simplest way: lowest candle close preceding rally (support)/highest candle close
preceding a decline (resistance)
○ Find LTF levels in reasonable proximity to the zone
○ Can elect to keep the refined LTF level, keep only HTF level, make a zone/box, and so on →
guide/filter
● Less room for error if your analytical process starts from HTF and gradually moves to LTF
if/when required
○ Personally: if no daily time frame logic present in the setup, either in terms of bias or structure,
I’m not involved
Refining & Contextualising Levels II
● Much like fading a dominant trend, it would also be unwise to fade a move from/coming
off HTF structure with nearby LTF structure
○ When HTF levels do their job, the moves that follow are significant and visible on HTF charts i.e.
they are big (pip value, % increase, and so on)
○ Therefore, if a HTF structure is going to do its job then a nearby LTF structure is unlikely to
hold/reverse price
○ Example: price reaches and reacts to W1 and D1 support, Fading Freddy steps in to smack it
down with an M15 resistance level 5 ticks away → arse = done
● How does context help?
○ Set better targets → If this HTF level does its job, where’s the next HTF level?
○ Avoid low probability fades → Should I be stepping in front of W1 support with M15 resistance?
○ Further refines level selection → Is this level likely to do anything given the nearby structures?
● Personally
○ Determine FTA from time frame of the setup and entry structure unless D1 bias (in which case
FTA ascertained on D1 time frame as well)
Entry Triggers
● Context is king
○ Context > structure
○ The same level can be a terrible fade or an A+ fade depending on the wider circumstances
● Building a multi-time frame picture of the market > drawing levels and punting
○ This allows you to form biases and expectations based on your reads, as opposed to ‘we’ll see
when it gets there’ complacency
● Quick checklist:
○ What is the dominant trend (if any)?
○ Have I mapped my HTF (and LTF) levels?
○ Am I aware what type of level/structure price is coming from?
○ Given the above, is my fade or continuation entry reasonable?
○ If yes, what are my entry criteria/parameters for engagement?
○ How do I now manage the position?
● Endless room for further study
● TechnicalRoundup.com
● Detailed, multi-time frame technical analysis of Bitcoin and Altcoin major pairs