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Derivetive

The document discusses derivative markets and derivative securities such as futures contracts and options. It defines what derivatives are, describes different types of futures contracts for commodities, currencies, indexes, and how futures are used to hedge risk. It also compares futures to options and describes characteristics of standard options.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
40 views56 pages

Derivetive

The document discusses derivative markets and derivative securities such as futures contracts and options. It defines what derivatives are, describes different types of futures contracts for commodities, currencies, indexes, and how futures are used to hedge risk. It also compares futures to options and describes characteristics of standard options.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Derivative Securities

Derivative Markets

Derivative markets are a relatively new phenome-


non, but are one of the most rapidly growing asset
classes.
Currently, there are approximately 300 million de-
rivative contracts outstanding with a market value
of around $50 Trillion
While equity trading is centered in New York
(NYSE, NASDAQ), derivative markets are centered
in Chicago (CME, CBOT, CBOE)
What is a Derivative

A derivative is simply a contract which entitles the


holder to buy or sell a commodity at some future
date for a predetermined price.
Therefore, while a stock or a bond has intrinsic
value (a stock or a bond represents a claim to some
asset or income stream), a derivative has no intrin-
sic value. Its value is “derived” from the underlying
asset.
Futures Contracts

A futures contract is an obligation to buy/sell a specific


quantity of a specific commodity at a future date for a pre-
determined price.
The buyer of the future (long position) is required to
purchase the commodity
The seller of the future (short position) is required to de-
liver the commodity
For example, A July wheat future obligates the buyer to
purchase 5,000 bushels (FND 6/28, LTD 7/12) for a price of
293 cents/bushel between 6/28 – 7/12.
Futures Contract
4

3.5

3
Market Price
Contract Price
2.5

1.5
0 5 10 15 20 25 30

 In this example, the long position earns a profit of $.58 per bushel times
5,000 bushels equal $2,900. Note that the short position loses $2,900.
Types of Futures

Currencies Agriculture Metals & En- Financial


ergy
British Pound Lumber Copper Treasuries
Euro Milk Gold LIBOR
Japanese Yen Cocoa Silver Municipal Index
Canadian Dollar Coffee Platinum S&P 500
Mexican Peso Sugar Oil DJIA
Cotton Natural Gas Nikkei
Wheat
Cattle
Soybeans
Hedging Risk With Futures

Suppose you are a wheat farmer, your income is


strongly tied to the price of wheat
Specifically, you are concerned about falling wheat
prices
Therefore, you would like to take a short position in
wheat futures
Who will take the long position?

A flour producer would use wheat as an input to pro-


duction. Therefore a flour producer might be con-
cerned about rising wheat prices.
To hedge this risk, the flour producer would want to
take a long position in wheat futures
The dealers place orders with their pit traders, who strike a
deal.

Farmer Flour Producer


(Short Position) (Long Position)
Once the deal is made, the deal is sent to the clearing-
house, who will act as the middleman

Clearinghouse
(Long Position/Short Position)

Farmer Flour Producer


(Short Position) (Long Position)
Why is a middleman required?

Recall that, unlike stocks or bonds, derivatives have fu-


ture obligations attached to them. The clearinghouse
is just an efficient way to insure compliance with the
terms of the contract.
Settlement day

The wheat future requires delivery/purchase of


wheat upon expiration. This, however, rarely (if
ever) actually happens.
If the commodity is actually “delivered”, its simply
a question of identifying ownership.
The most common procedure would be a canceling
out of the contract by issuing an identical contract
of equal size, but opposite position at the current
spot price.
Upon settlement, the profit would be (F-S) for the
farmer, and (S-F) for the flour producer.
Hedging Interest Rate Risk

Suppose that you have purchased a 10 year T-Bond with a


face value of $100,000. What risks do you face? How can
you hedge that risk?
You bond price will fall if interest rates rise. Therefore, you
would want to take a short position in an interest rate fu-
ture.
What type of future should you sell?
Suppose you hedge with 13 Week T-Bill Futures

For every 1% rise in interest rates, you T-Bond


drops by approximately $7,500 in value (10 yr Trea-
suries have a duration of approximately 7.5)
If you take a short position in T-Bill futures (the
standard size is $1,000,000). For every 1% increase
in interest rates, you would earn $2,500 (90 day T-
Bills have a duration of .25). Therefore, you would
need to buy 3 contracts.
Further, this T-Bill hedge only protects you from
interest rate risk – not yield curve risk.
Note that your ratio of futures to forwards is 30:1.
This is no coincidence!
What should the futures price be?

As a first pass, remember that no one should expect to make profits in


the market. Therefore, the future’s price should equal the expected fu-
ture spot price; F = E(S’)
However, it is also reasonable to believe that because futures are being
used to hedge risk, the buyers/sellers would be willing to pay a pre-
mium for that hedge.
In the wheat example, the farmer should be willing to pay a future price
below the future spot price (F<E(S)) while the flour producer should be
willing to pay a price higher that the future spot price (F>E(S))
Modern portfolio theory assumes that fluctuating commodity prices
represent a source of systematic risk to financial portfolios. Therefore,
because futures can alleviate this risk, they should sell at a discount.
Pricing Futures
To price a future its important to recognize that there
are several ways to generate a given cash flow. Any two
methods that generate the same cash flow should have
the same cost!
Currency Futures
Suppose that an October 2005 contract for Euros costs
$1.25 per Euro.
By going long on this contract, you can buy Euro in one
year for $1.25 apiece. How else can you acquire Euro in
one year at a fixed price with no money up front?
Borrow money today to buy a Euro denominated asset.
Currency Futures
Suppose that the
interest rate on ECB
bonds is 4%. How much 1
would an ECB bond with  .96 E
a face value of 1 Euro 1.04
cost?
Currency Futures
If the current exchange
rate is $1.20 per euro,
we can figure out what  1.20$ 
we need to borrow .96 E    $1.15
 E 
today to buy the bond.
Currency Futures
If we borrowed this
amount at a 6% annual
interest rate, what
would you owe $1.15(1.06)  $1.22
tomorrow
This gives us the same
Euro that we could by in
the futures market for
$1.25!
Currency Futures
The general condition F
e(1  i )
can be written as (1  i*)
follows: F  Futures Price ($/E)
e  Current exchange rate ($/E)
i  US interest rate
i*  Foreign interest rate
Index/Commodity Futures
Suppose an October S&P 500 index future was selling
for $1,150 (This future allows you to buy one share of
the index).
Alternatively, suppose that you borrowed money today
to buy a bond that would pay out enough to purchase a
share of the index with certainty next year.
Index/Commodity Futures
The expected payout to
this bond would be next
year’s index value. To
get the bond’s price, we
discount by an interest P'

rate that reflects the (1  iS &P )

bond’s risk (say, the


return to the S&P 500)
Index/Commodity Futures
Now, because we
borrowed this amount
today (at the T-Bill rate),
P ' (1  i )
we will owe our loan
amount plus interest
next year. (1  iS &P )
Index/Commodity Futures
For example, if the S&P
500 index was expected
to sell for $1,250 next $1,250(1.04)
year (the average return  $1,182
on the index is 10%) and
(1.10)
the T-Bill rate was 4%,
we could buy a share of
the index today for
$1,182
Index/Commodity Futures
Again, the general
relationship can be
written as follows. P ' (1  i )
F
The more variable (1  ix )
market ‘x’ is, the larger
the interest rate
associated with market
‘x’ and, hence, the
cheaper the future price
will be.
Options vs. Futures

Recall that a futures contract is an obligation to de-


liver or purchase a specific commodity as a predeter-
mined time & price
Options vs. Futures

Recall that a futures contract is an obligation to deliver or


purchase a specific commodity as a predetermined time &
price
An option contract gives the holder the option to buy or
sell a specific commodity at a predetermined time & price
Only the purchaser (long position) of the contract gets the
option. The seller (short position) has to obligation to
buy/sell if the option is exercised.
An option, however, does have an up front cost (the price of
the option)
“Vanilla” Options

Any option is defined by four characteristics: com-


modity, size, exercise (strike) price, and term.
A call option gives the holder the option to purchase a
commodity at the strike price
 A put option fives the holder the option to to sell a
commodity at the strike price
Variations on Exercising

A European option can only be exercised upon ex-


piration
An American option may be exercised at any time
up to the expiration date of the contract
A Bermuda (Mid Atlantic) option has several po-
tential exercise dates over the life of the contract
(monthly, quarterly, etc)
Variations on Payout

Average (Tokyo) option: the payout is equal to the


average commodity price over the contract’s life-
time minus the strike price
Look back options: The strike price is equal to the
minimum (call)/maximum (put) of the underlying
commodity
Ladder options: Gains are “locked in“ once the
commodity hits predetermined price levels
“Exotic” Options

One example of an “exotic” would be a barrier option.


In addition to a strike price, a barrier option has one (single
barrier option) or two (double barrier option) “trigger”
prices.
For knock out options, if a trigger is crossed, the option is
voided
For knock in options, the option is activated once the trig-
ger price has been hit
The direction of the price change also matters: “down and
in” “down and out” , “up and in” , “up and out”
Why use options?
Why use options?

Hedging: as with futures, options can be used to in-


sure against many different types of risk
Speculation: as with futures, an option is basically a
bet as to the direction/magnitude of a commodity
price.
A Protective Put

A protective put involves the purchase of a stock and a


put on that stock in equal quantities
The combined value of the stock/put will never be
lower than the strike price of the put.
A protective put is like buying insurance against price
declines.
Protective Put
60 40
40 30
20
20 10
0 0
1 8 15 22 29 36 43 50 1 8 15 22 29 36 43 50

On the right is the payout to buying a put with a strike price of
$30.
Protective Put
60
40
20
0

Combine the put with a share of the underlying


stock.
Covered Call

A covered call involves buying a stock and selling a call


in equal proportions.
The combination of the call/stock will never rise above
the strike price of the call.
This strategy might be used to collect income of a ris-
ing stock price without paying capital gains taxes
Covered Call
60 0
40 1 8 15 22 29 36 43 50
-10
20
0 -20
1 8 15 22 29 36 43 50 -30

On the right is a the payout from selling a call with a strike
price of $30.
Covered Call
40
30
20
10
0
15

22

29

36

43

50
1

Combine the call with the stock


Straddle

A straddle involves buying a put and a call on a stock


(with equal strike prices) in equal proportions
A straddle benefits from both price increases and de-
creases, but might be quite costly
Strips and straps involve different proportions of
puts/calls
Straddle
40 30
30 20
20
10 10
0 0

On the right is a the payout from buying a call with a strike
price of $30. On the Left is the payout from buying a put with
the same strike price.
Straddle
40
30
20
10
0
1 8 15 22 29 36 43 50

Combine the two to get a straddle. Note that a straddle benefits


from both price increases and decreases, but is quite expensive.
Collar

A collar involves the simultaneous purchase of a


call and sale of a call at different strike prices
The combined value of the two calls will be
bounded above and below. Further, the cost of the
purchased call is offset by the revenues from the
written call
A swap is essentially a collar with a zero spread
Straddle
0 30
-5 20
-10 10
-15 0
-20

On the right is a the payout from buying a call with a strike
price of $30. On the Left is the payout from selling a call with a
strike price of $35.
Straddle
6
4
2
0
15

22

29

36

43

50
1

 The collar is very cheap because you use the proceeds from the sale of one
derivative to buy the other.
Put/Call Parity

Recall the protective put constructed earlier (1 stock, 1 put)


This payout can be replicated by purchasing a call option
and a Treasury in equal proportions
Because these two portfolios have the same payout, they
must have equal cost. This defines a relationship between
call prices and put prices
The put/call parity condition is written as
C + X/(1+rf)^T = S + P
Option Pricing

There is no guarantee that an option will actually be exer-


cised. This greatly complicates the pricing of these con-
tracts.
Conceptually, we know call option prices should have the
following characteristics:
 Positively related to the commodity price
 Negatively related to the strike price
 Positively related to the variance of the underlying commodity
 Positively related to the term
 Negatively related to the real interest rate
Binomial Pricing
Binomial pricing involves constructing a lattice for
possible movements of the underlying asset’s price.
At each point on the tree, it is possible to replicate the
return from a call option with a combination of stock
and a bond.
If two assets have the same returns, they should have
the same price!
Example
Suppose a share of stock is currently selling for $20. It
has an equal chance of increasing to $25 or falling to
$15 tomorrow.
There is a risk free bond selling for $1 today. If the in-
terest rate is 6%, the bond will be worth $1.06 tomor-
row.
Consider a call option with a strike price of $20.
Example
There are two states of the world State 1: $25X + $1.06Y
tomorrow: State 2: $15X + $1.06Y
State 1: State 2
S = $25 S = $15 $25X + $1.06Y = $5
C = $5 C = $0 $15X + $1.06Y = $0
B = $1.06 B = $1.06
Solving for X and Y, we get
Suppose we buy X shares of the X = .5 (1/2 Share of Stock)
stock today and Y shares of the Y = -7.08 (Borrow $7.08)
bond. What is our payout
tomorrow?
The Cost of .5 Shares today (net of
borrowing $7.08) is
We need to choose a combination
of X and Y to replicate the call .5($20) - $7.08 = $2.92
payout This is the value of the call!!
Black/Scholes (1973)

The key bit of logic behind the Black/Scholes option pric-


ing framework is that it is always possible to construct a
portfolio of call options and the underlying commodity in
such a way as to eliminate all risk
Recall that a risk free portfolio should pay the risk free rate
of return to eliminate any potential arbitrage opportunities.
This no arbitrage condition results in a relationship be-
tween the call price and the underlying fundamentals
The biggest limitation to the Black/Scholes framework is
that it can only be used to price European options
Black/Scholes (1973)
Pricing American Options

The problem with pricing American options is that they are


“path dependant”
For example, suppose that a call option on IBM stock is pur-
chased with a strike price of $85. The current Price of IBM stock
is $85. What will that option be worth in a month?
IBM stock traded at a constant $85 for the entire month and then
jumped to $90. In this case, the option would be worth around
$5.
However, if IBM stock rose to $150 and then dropped to $90, the
option would probably have already been exercised.
Therefore, its not just the stock price that matters. It also matters
how it got there.
Swaps

A swap is simply a contract in which one payment stream is


traded (swapped) for another
The most common swap is a variable/fixed rate interest
swap in which interest rate payments on a variable rate loan
are traded for interest rate payments on a fixed rate loan
Swaps can also be created for currencies, commodities,
stocks, etc.
Recall, that a swap is basically a zero spread collar. There-
fore, the same principles used for pricing options are used
for pricing swaps.
Other option combinations

The underlying commodities themselves can be deriv-


ative securities.
You can buy options on futures (i.e., the option to enter
into a futures contract)
Options on swaps are known as swaptions
Options on options are known as compound options

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