Project Schedule Management: Prepared by Shwetang Panchal Sigma Institute of Management Studies

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PROJECT SCHEDULE MANAGEMENT

Prepared by Shwetang Panchal Sigma Institute of Management Studies Chapter 5: Scheduling


the Project

PERT AND CPM NETWORKS


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Chapter 5: Scheduling

History

Late 1950s

Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)


U.S. Navy, Booz-Allen Hamilton, and Lockeheed Aircraft Probabilistic activity durations Dupont De Nemours Inc. Deterministic activity durations

Critical Path Method (CPM)


Chapter 5: Scheduling

The Language of PERT/CPM

Activity

task or set of tasks use resources state resulting from completion of one or more activities consume no resources or time predecessor activities must be completed
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Event

The Language of PERT/CPM continued

Milestones

events that mark significant progress diagram of nodes and arcs used to illustrate technological relationships series of connected activities between two events
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Network

Path

The Language of PERT/CPM concluded

Critical Path

set of activities on a path that if delayed will delay completion of project time required to complete all activities on the critical path

Critical Time

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Building the Network


AOA Network AON Network

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Table 5-2 A Sample Set of Project Activities and Precedences

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Stage 1 of a Sample AON network

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Figure 5-7 Stage 2 of a Sample AON Network

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Figure 5-3 A Completed Sample AON Network

Chapter 5: Scheduling

Figure 5-4 Stage 1 of a Sample AOA Network

Chapter 5: Scheduling

Figure 5-5 Stage 2 of a Sample AOA Network

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Figure 5-6a A Completed Sample AOA Network

Chapter 5: Scheduling

Figure 5-6b A Completed Sample AOA Network Showing the Use of a Dummy Task

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Table 5-2 A Sample Problem for Finding the Critical Path and Critical Time

Chapter 5: Scheduling the Project

Figure 5-7 Stage 1 of a Sample Network

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Figure 5-8 A Complete Network

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Figure 5-9 Information Contents in an AON Node

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Figure 5-10 The Critical Path and Time for Sample Project

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Calculating Activity Slack

LST - EST = LFT - EFT = Slack

Slack or Float

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Figure 5-11 An MSP Version of PERT/CPM Network

Chapter 5: Scheduling

Figure 5-12 A Modified Version of MSP Network

Chapter 5: Scheduling

PROJECT UNCERTAINTY AND RISK MANAGEMENT


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Chapter 5: Scheduling

Calculating Probabilistic Activity Times

Three Time Estimates


pessimistic (a) most likely (m) optimistic (b)

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Figure 5-13 The Statistical Distribution of all Possible Times for an Activity

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Activity Expected Time and Variance

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95 Percent Level

Task will be a or lower 5 percent of the time Task will be b or greater 5 percent of the time

Chapter 5: Scheduling

90 Percent Level

Task will be a or lower 10 percent of the time Task will be b or greater 10 percent of the time

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Task will be between a and b 95 percent of the time

95 Percent Level (Alternative Interpretation)

Chapter 5: Scheduling

Task will be between a and b 90 percent of the time

90 Percent Level (Alternative Interpretation)

Chapter 5: Scheduling

Figure 5-14 An AON Network

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Figure 5-15 An MSP Version of a Sample Problem Network

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Figure 5-16 A Pert/CPM Network for the Day Care Project

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Figure 5-17 An MSP Calendar for the Day Care Project, 4/16/00 to 5/27/00

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The Probability of Completing the Project on Time

=NORMDIST(D,,,TRUE)

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Figure 5-18 The Statistical Distribution of Completion Times of the Path a-b-dg-h

Chapter 5: Scheduling

Selecting Risk and Finding D

NORMINV(probability,,,TR UE)

Chapter 5: Scheduling

SIMULATION
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Chapter 5: Scheduling

Traditional Statistics Versus Simulation

Similarities

must enumerate alternate paths simulation does not require assumption of path independence

Differences

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Figure 5-20 The Distribution of Project Completion Times

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THE GANNT CHART


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Chapter 5: Scheduling

Figure 5-21 A Gantt Chart of a Sample Project

Chapter 5: Scheduling

Figure 5-22 A Gantt Chart of Sample Project Showing Critical Path, Path Connections, Slack, EST, LST, EFT, and LFT

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Figure 5-23 A Gantt Chart of a Day Care Project Showing Expected Durations, Critical Path, Milestone, and Resource Requirements

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Figure 5-24 A Progress Report on a Day Care Project Showing Actual Progress Versus Baseline

Chapter 5: Scheduling

EXTENSIONS TO PERT/CPM
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Chapter 5: Scheduling

Precedence Diagramming

Finish-to-start linkage Start-to-start linkage Finish-to-finish linkage Start-to-finish linkage

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Figure 5-25 Precedence Diagramming Conventions

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Other Methods

Graphical Evaluation and Review Technique (GERT)

combines flowgraphs, probabilistic networks, and decision trees allows loops back to earlier events and probabilistic branching

Chapter 5: Scheduling

QUESTIONS ? IF ANY ?
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Chapter 5: Scheduling

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