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2020 United States Senate election in Colorado

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See also: 2020 United States Senate elections
Not to be confused with 2020 Colorado Senate election.

2020 United States Senate election in Colorado
← 2014 November 3, 2020 2026 →
 
Nominee John Hickenlooper Cory Gardner
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,731,114 1,429,492
Percentage 53.50% 44.18%
Hickenlooper:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gardner:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      No data
U.S. senator before election

Cory Gardner
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

John Hickenlooper
Democratic

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The 2020 United States Senate election in Colorado was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Colorado, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Under Colorado law, the filing deadline for U.S. Senate candidates was March 17, 2020, the third Tuesday in March of the election year; the primary election occurred on June 30.[1][2] Incumbent senator Cory Gardner lost re-election to former governor John Hickenlooper.[3] Gardner was unopposed in the Republican primary, and Hickenlooper defeated former State House Speaker Andrew Romanoff in the Democratic primary.[4]

This race was one of two Republican-held U.S. Senate seats up for election in 2020 in a state President Trumpov lost in 2016; the other was in Maine. Many pollsters and pundits[5][6] considered Gardner to be the most vulnerable Republican senator facing re-election in 2020 due to his narrow victory in 2014, the state's leftward shift, and Trumpov's unpopularity in the state.

As predicted, Hickenlooper easily defeated Gardner by a 9.3-point margin. However, Gardner did manage to outperform Donald Trumpov in the concurrent presidential election by roughly four points.[7] This became the first election Gardner had lost in his political career as well as being the widest margin of loss for a Coloradan U.S. Senator since 1978.[8] This was the third consecutive election where this seat flipped parties, and also the second consecutive election in which the incumbent senator lost re-election to a second term for this particular seat. At the age of 68, Hickenlooper is the oldest first term senator from Colorado.

Background

[edit]

Gardner was elected to the U.S. Senate in 2014, narrowly defeating incumbent Democratic senator Mark Udall in a very successful election year for Republicans. Gardner was widely considered vulnerable in 2020 due to Colorado's recent Democratic trend and his support for Trumpov.[9] Polling showed that more voters had a negative view of Gardner compared to a positive one.[10] Gardner also faced a four-year grassroots campaign across the state by progressive political activists to hold him accountable for his votes, featured a cardboard cutout dubbed "Cardboard Cory".[11] The seat was expected to be highly competitive and the most likely Republican-held seat to flip Democratic. The Democratic nominee, former governor John Hickenlooper, had a consistent double-digit lead over Gardner in the polls.[12][13]

Various minor scandals in the days leading up to the June 30 Democratic primary sparked speculation that Romanoff might win, but Hickenlooper had an advantage in name recognition, and harsh negative attacks by Romanoff reportedly led many state Democrats and voters to sour on him.[14]

Republican primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]
  • Margot Dupre, estate agent[16][17]
  • Gail Prentice, veteran and business owner[18][19]

Endorsements

[edit]
Cory Gardner (R)

U.S. presidents

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Other individuals

Results

[edit]
Republican primary results[28]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cory Gardner (incumbent) 554,806 100.00%
Total votes 554,806 100.00%

Democratic primary

[edit]

Candidates

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Declined

[edit]

Endorsements

[edit]
John Hickenlooper

U.S. presidents

Former U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Local officials

Newspapers

Organizations

Andrew Romanoff

State officials

Individuals

Newspapers

Organizations

Polling

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Jena
Griswold 		John
Hickenlooper 		Mike
Johnston 		Andrew
Romanoff 		Other /
Undecided
SurveyUSA[96] June 19–24, 2020 575 (LV) ± 6.0% – 58% – 28% 15%[d]
Myers Research and Strategic Services[97][A] June 16–17, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – 51% – 39% –
Unspecified polling firm[98][A] October 2019 – (LV)[e] – – 68% – 19% –
September 3, 2019 Johnston withdraws from the race
Public Policy Polling (D)[99][B] August 28–29, 2019 509 (LV) – – 60%[f] 3% 9% 27%[g]
–[h] 66% – 17% 17%[i]
August 21, 2019 Hickenlooper announces his candidacy
August 9, 2019 Griswold announces that she will not run
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group[100] July 25–28, 2019 600 (LV) – 6% 61% 10% 8% 15%[d]
Public Policy Polling (D)[101] July 12–14, 2019 561 (LV) – 4% 44% 3% 12% 38%[j]
Hypothetical polling

with Dan Baer and John Hickenlooper

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Dan
Baer 		John
Hickenlooper 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[99][B] August 28–29, 2019 509 (LV) – 11% 72% 17%

with John Hickenlooper and Mike Johnston

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		John
Hickenlooper 		Mike
Johnston 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[99][B] August 28–29, 2019 509 (LV) – 69% 14% 18%

with John Hickenlooper and Alice Madden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		John
Hickenlooper 		Alice
Madden 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[99][B] August 28–29, 2019 509 (LV) – 69% 14% 17%

with John Hickenlooper and Angela Williams

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		John
Hickenlooper 		Angela
Williams 		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[99][B] August 28–29, 2019 509 (LV) – 70% 11% 18%

Caucus

[edit]

On March 7, 2020, the Colorado Democratic Party held a non-binding Senate primary preference poll at its caucus sites. Attendees could choose delegates to county and then state conventions. If a candidate received at least 30% of the delegates at the state convention they would be placed on the ballot. Some candidates were not listed because they instead chose to attempt to collect signatures to reach the ballot. Candidates needed 1,500 signatures from each congressional district. Hickenlooper and Underwood chose to do both. Romanoff collected the needed signatures as of March 8, 2020.[102][103]

Caucus results

[edit]

Romanoff was the only candidate to get more than 30% in the initial precinct caucuses. Hickenlooper withdrew from the assembly process soon afterward, choosing to qualify for the ballot exclusively by petition. Ballot access for assembly candidates will be decided at the state assembly. Caucus winners do not always receive the party's nomination; Romanoff won them in the 2010 Democratic primary for Colorado's Senate race, but Michael Bennet won the party's nomination that year.[104]

The aggregate results of the various precinct caucuses on March 7, 2020, were:[105]

Candidate Total raw votes Percentage of vote won (%)
Andrew Romanoff 8,629 54.98
John Hickenlooper 4,761 30.34
Trish Zornio 976 6.21
Stephany Rose Spaulding 771 4.91
Uncommitted 520 3.31
Erik Underwood 35 0.22

Results

[edit]
Results by county:
Hickenlooper
  •   50–60%
      60–70%
      70–80%
Romanoff
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[106]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic John Hickenlooper 585,826 58.65%
Democratic Andrew Romanoff 412,955 41.35%
Total votes 998,781 100.00%

Other candidates

[edit]

Libertarian primary

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]

Eliminated in primary

[edit]

Results

[edit]
Libertarian primary results[109]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Raymon Doane 3,477 62.41%
Libertarian Gaylon Kent 2,094 37.59%
Total votes 5,571 100.00%

Unity Party

[edit]

Nominee

[edit]
  • Stephan "Chairman Seku" Evans, former candidate for mayor of Denver[110]

Eliminated at Unity Party convention

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

Write-in candidates

[edit]

Declared

[edit]

Withdrawn

[edit]

General election

[edit]

Debate

[edit]
Host Date & time Link(s) Participants
John

Hickenlooper

Cory Gardner
Colorado State University October 13, 2020
6:00pm MDT 		[119] Present Present

Predictions

[edit]
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[120] Lean D (flip) October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[121] Lean D (flip) October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[122] Likely D (flip) November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[123] Likely D (flip) October 30, 2020
Politico[124] Lean D (flip) November 2, 2020
RCP[125] Lean D (flip) October 23, 2020
DDHQ[126] Likely D (flip) November 3, 2020
538[127] Likely D (flip) November 2, 2020
Economist[128] Likely D (flip) November 2, 2020

Endorsements

[edit]
Cory Gardner (R)

U.S. presidents

U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Other individuals

Newspapers

John Hickenlooper (D)

U.S. presidents

Former U.S. Executive Branch officials

U.S senators

U.S. representatives

State officials

Local officials

Newspapers

Unions

Organizations

Polling

[edit]

Graphical Summary

[edit]

Poll Results

[edit]
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Cory
Gardner (R) 		John
Hickenlooper (D) 		Other /
Undecided
Keating Research/Onsight Public Affairs/Colorado Sun[142] October 29 – November 1, 2020 502 (LV)[k] ± 4.4% 42% 53% –
Data for Progress[143] October 27 – November 1, 2020 709 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 54% 2%[l]
Swayable[144] October 23 – November 1, 2020 443 (LV) ± 6% 43% 57% –
Morning Consult[145] October 22–31, 2020 727 (LV) ± 4% 44% 52% –
Morning Consult[145] October 11–20, 2020 788 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 50% –
RBI Strategies & Research[146] October 12–16, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 39% 53% 7%[m]
RMG Research/PoliticalIQ[147] October 9–15, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 51% 7%[n]
Civiqs/Daily Kos[148] October 11–14, 2020 1,013 (LV) ± 3.6% 42% 53% 3%[o]
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson[149] October 8–13, 2020 519 (LV) ± 4.3% 41% 51% 7%[p]
Morning Consult[145] October 2–11, 2020 837 (LV) ± 3.4% 40% 50% –
YouGov/University of Colorado[150] October 5–9, 2020 800 (LV) ± 4.64% 40% 48% 12%[q]
SurveyUSA[151] October 1–6, 2020 1,021 (LV) ± 3.9% 39% 48% 14%[r]
Morning Consult[152] September 11–20, 2020 613 (LV) ± (2% – 7%) 42%[s] 49% –
Morning Consult[153] September 8–17, 2020 599 (LV)[k] ± (2% – 4%) 44% 46% –
Fabrizio Ward/Hart Research Associates[154][C] August 30 – September 5, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 51% 4%[t]
Global Strategy Group (D)[155][D] August 28 – September 1, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 42% 52% 5%
Morning Consult[156] August 21–30, 2020 638 (LV) ± 4.0% 39%[s] 48% 13%
Morning Consult[156] August 16–25, 2020 ≈600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 48% –
Public Policy Polling (D)[157][E] August 18–19, 2020 731 (V) ± 3.2% 42% 51% 7%[u]
Morning Consult[156] August 6–15, 2020 ≈600 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 49% –
Morning Consult[156] July 27 – August 5, 2020 ≈600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 50% –
Morning Consult[158] July 17–26, 2020 616 (LV) ± 4.0% 42%[v] 48% 11%[w]
Morning Consult[156] July 13–22, 2020 ≈600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 50% –
Public Policy Polling[159][F] June 29–30, 2020 840 (V) ± 3.4% 40% 51% 9%[x]
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson[160] May 1–3, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 36% 54% 10%[y]
Montana State University Bozeman[161] April 10–19, 2020 379 (LV) ± 4.4% 31% 48% 21%[z]
Keating Research[162] October 10–14, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 53% 5%
Emerson College[163] August 16–19, 2019 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 40% 53% 8%
Global Strategy Group (D)[164][G] August 13–14, 2019 617 (LV) ± 3.9% 39% 49% 13%
Public Policy Polling[165][B] August 8–11, 2019 739 (V) ± 3.6% 38% 51% 12%
Hypothetical polling

with generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Cory
Gardner (R) 		Generic
Democrat 		Other /
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[164][G] August 13–14, 2019 617 (LV) ± 3.9% 38% 48% 14%
Global Strategy Group[166] January 31 – February 4, 2019 818 (RV) ± 3.4% 40% 51% 9%
DFM Research[167] January 2–5, 2019 550 (A) ± 4.2% 38% 46% 16%
Change Research (D)[168][H] December 2–4, 2018 540 (LV) ± 4.2% 41% 47% –
Public Policy Polling (D)[169][I] August 2–3, 2017 628 (V) ± 3.8% 41% 46% 13%
Public Policy Polling (D)[170][J] June 30 – July 1, 2017 870 (V) ± 3.6% 39% 53% 8%

on whether Cory Gardner deserves to be re-elected

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Yes No Other /
Undecided
Fabrizio Ward/AARP[171] July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 32% 50% 19%[aa]

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Generic
Democrat 		Other /
Undecided
YouGov/University of Colorado[150] October 5–9, 2020 800 (LV) ± 4.64% 39% 47% 14%[ab]
Climate Nexus[172] February 15–19, 2020 485 (RV) ± 4.5% 40% 48% 12%[ac]
Fabrizio Ward/AARP[171] July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 44% 14%[ad]

with Mike Johnston

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[c] 		Margin
of error 		Cory
Gardner (R) 		Mike
Johnston (D) 		Other Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[164][G] August 13–14, 2019 617 (LV) ± 3.9% 39% 50% – 11%
Fabrizio Ward/AARP[171] July 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 39% 2%[ae] 14%

Results

[edit]

The election was not particularly close, with Hickenlooper winning by 9.32%. Hickenlooper's win was expected, as Colorado has moved more toward being a blue state. Key to Hickenlooper's victory was Denver County and its surrounding suburban counties, Adams, Arapahoe, Boulder, and Jefferson, the latter of which had been pivotal to Gardner's victory in 2014.[citation needed] Gardner did well in the typically red El Paso County, home of Colorado Springs. Gardner also did well in many rural areas of the state. However, Hickenlooper's strong performance in heavily populated counties proved too much for Gardner to overcome. Hickenlooper was also likely helped by Joe Biden, who won the state by 13.5%.

Hickenlooper is the first senator from Colorado who was also the Governor of Colorado since Senator Edwin Johnson was elected in 1936. Hickenlooper was sworn in as Senator on January 3, 2021, for a six-year term that expires on January 3, 2027.

United States Senate election in Colorado, 2020[173][174]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic John Hickenlooper 1,731,114 53.50% +7.24%
Republican Cory Gardner (incumbent) 1,429,492 44.18% −4.03%
Libertarian Raymon Doane 56,262 1.74% −0.85%
Approval Voting Daniel Doyle 9,820 0.30% N/A
Unity Stephen Evans 8,971 0.28% −0.04%
Total votes 3,235,659 100.00% N/A
Democratic gain from Republican

By county

[edit]
By county
County[175] John Hickenlooper
Democratic 		Cory Gardner
Republican 		Raymon Doane
Libertarian 		Daniel Doyle
Approval Voting 		Stephen Evans
Unity 		Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Adams 130,409 55.33 98,341 41.72 4,916 2.09 1,071 0.45 963 0.41 32,068 13.60 235,700
Alamosa 3,734 48.45 3,800 49.31 104 1.35 40 0.52 29 0.38 -66 -0.86 7,707
Arapahoe 204,054 58.53 136,713 39.21 5,694 1.63 1,074 0.31 1,111 0.32 67,341 19.31 348,646
Archuleta 3,591 39.82 5,225 57.93 163 1.81 26 0.29 14 0.16 -1,634 -18.12 9,019
Baca 329 14.98 1,816 82.70 32 1.46 12 0.55 7 0.32 -1,487 -67.71 2,196
Bent 702 31.12 1,488 65.96 33 1.46 26 1.15 7 0.31 -786 -34.84 2,256
Boulder 154,552 75.20 47,321 23.03 2,869 1.40 317 0.15 457 0.22 107,231 52.18 205,516
Broomfield 27,447 59.41 17,855 38.65 712 1.54 82 0.18 100 0.22 9,592 20.76 46,196
Chaffee 6,948 51.17 6,344 46.72 232 1.71 32 0.24 22 0.16 604 4.45 13,578
Cheyenne 119 10.58 995 88.44 7 0.62 2 0.18 2 0.18 -876 -77.87 1,125
Clear Creek 3,494 53.94 2,835 43.77 121 1.87 15 0.23 12 0.19 659 10.17 6,477
Conejos 1,975 46.26 2,243 52.54 24 0.56 18 0.42 9 0.21 -268 -6.28 4,269
Costilla 1,313 62.91 713 34.16 40 1.92 12 0.57 9 0.43 600 28.75 2,087
Crowley 456 26.19 1,230 70.65 36 2.07 12 0.69 7 0.40 -774 -44.46 1,741
Custer 1,059 29.47 2,456 68.34 62 1.73 10 0.28 7 0.19 -1,397 -38.87 3,594
Delta 5,764 29.86 13,118 67.96 308 1.60 79 0.41 34 0.18 -7,354 -38.10 19,303
Denver 305,602 77.74 80,163 20.39 4,984 1.27 963 0.24 1,376 0.35 225,439 57.35 393,088
Dolores 338 23.69 1,064 74.56 17 1.19 4 0.28 4 0.28 -726 -50.88 1,427
Douglas 97,553 42.13 130,045 56.16 3,279 1.42 332 0.14 350 0.15 -32,492 -14.03 231,559
Eagle 17,902 62.27 10,350 36.00 384 1.34 53 0.18 59 0.21 7,552 26.27 28,748
El Paso 152,126 40.36 212,057 56.27 9,932 2.64 1,451 0.39 1,314 0.35 -59,931 -15.90 376,880
Elbert 4,257 22.46 14,340 75.64 299 1.58 35 0.18 26 0.14 -10,083 -53.19 18,957
Fremont 7,201 28.40 17,450 68.81 508 2.00 129 0.51 71 0.28 -10,249 -40.42 25,359
Garfield 14,999 48.72 15,027 48.81 598 1.94 92 0.30 71 0.23 -28 -0.09 30,787
Gilpin 2,183 52.29 1,867 44.72 99 2.37 15 0.36 11 0.26 316 7.57 4,175
Grand 4,579 46.36 5,075 51.38 181 1.83 28 0.28 15 0.15 -496 -5.02 9,878
Gunnison 6,922 62.13 3,978 35.71 193 1.73 30 0.27 18 0.16 2,944 26.42 11,141
Hinsdale 244 39.35 365 58.87 9 1.45 0 0.00 2 0.32 -121 -19.52 620
Huerfano 2,077 47.52 2,160 49.42 97 2.22 25 0.57 12 0.27 -83 -1.90 4,371
Jackson 164 18.92 684 78.89 12 1.38 5 0.58 2 0.23 -520 -59.98 867
Jefferson 210,619 55.87 158,276 41.99 6,191 1.64 1,026 0.27 849 0.23 52,343 13.88 376,961
Kiowa 93 10.45 783 87.98 10 1.12 3 0.34 1 0.11 -690 -77.53 890
Kit Carson 628 16.46 3,138 82.25 36 0.94 8 0.21 5 0.13 -2,510 -65.79 3,815
La Plata 19,873 56.05 14,776 41.68 632 1.78 71 0.20 101 0.28 5,097 14.38 35,453
Lake 2,297 58.11 1,511 38.22 109 2.76 15 0.38 21 0.53 786 19.88 3,953
Larimer 116,419 53.91 94,585 43.80 3,914 1.81 544 0.25 471 0.22 21,834 10.11 215,933
Las Animas 3,509 44.28 4,217 53.21 130 1.64 45 0.57 24 0.30 -708 -8.93 7,925
Lincoln 434 16.46 2,141 81.22 39 1.48 17 0.64 5 0.19 -1,707 -64.76 2,636
Logan 2,117 20.20 8,167 77.92 131 1.25 37 0.35 29 0.28 -6,050 -57.72 10,481
Mesa 29,478 33.05 57,236 64.17 1,785 2.00 457 0.51 244 0.27 -27,758 -31.12 89,200
Mineral 302 39.89 437 57.73 15 1.98 1 0.13 2 0.26 -135 -17.83 757
Moffat 1,120 16.45 5,544 81.41 106 1.56 31 0.46 9 0.13 -4,424 -64.96 6,810
Montezuma 5,538 36.45 9,273 61.03 272 1.79 47 0.31 64 0.42 -3,735 -24.58 15,194
Montrose 7,321 29.45 16,978 68.31 410 1.65 92 0.37 55 0.22 -9,657 -38.85 24,856
Morgan 3,787 27.91 9,544 70.33 136 1.00 69 0.51 35 0.26 -5,757 -42.42 13,571
Otero 3,428 36.60 5,731 61.18 113 1.21 67 0.72 28 0.30 -2,303 -24.59 9,367
Ouray 2,291 57.45 1,622 40.67 68 1.71 3 0.08 4 0.10 669 16.77 3,988
Park 4,800 39.20 7,100 57.98 281 2.29 31 0.25 34 0.28 -2,300 -18.78 12,246
Phillips 463 18.74 1,980 80.13 22 0.89 6 0.24 0 0.00 -1,517 -61.39 2,471
Pitkin 8,761 73.88 2,935 24.75 130 1.10 13 0.11 20 0.17 5,826 49.13 11,859
Prowers 1,435 26.09 3,966 72.11 55 1.00 26 0.47 18 0.33 -2,531 -46.02 5,500
Pueblo 42,791 48.93 42,098 48.14 1,720 1.97 533 0.61 308 0.35 693 0.79 87,450
Rio Blanco 529 14.47 3,065 83.86 46 1.26 13 0.36 2 0.05 -2,536 -69.38 3,655
Rio Grande 2,502 39.85 3,635 57.89 84 1.34 40 0.64 18 0.29 -1,133 -18.04 6,279
Routt 10,284 61.12 6,256 37.18 223 1.33 39 0.23 24 0.14 4,028 23.94 16,826
Saguache 1,887 55.84 1,405 41.58 55 1.63 11 0.33 21 0.62 482 14.26 3,379
San Juan 328 59.64 207 37.64 10 1.82 2 0.36 3 0.55 121 22.00 550
San Miguel 3,808 74.36 1,227 23.96 76 1.48 2 0.04 8 0.16 2,581 50.40 5,121
Sedgwick 320 22.11 1,103 76.23 14 0.97 9 0.62 1 0.07 -783 -54.11 1,447
Summit 12,175 66.14 5,817 31.60 353 1.92 25 0.14 37 0.20 6,358 34.54 18,407
Teller 5,039 30.06 11,307 67.46 339 2.02 54 0.32 22 0.13 -6,268 -37.40 16,761
Washington 346 11.55 2,617 87.35 22 0.73 4 0.13 7 0.23 -2,271 -75.80 2,996
Weld 63,647 38.19 99,424 59.65 2,761 1.66 470 0.28 376 0.23 -35,777 -21.46 166,678
Yuma 652 13.10 4,273 85.85 29 0.58 19 0.38 4 0.08 -3,621 -72.75 4,977
Totals 1,731,114 53.50 1,429,492 44.18 56,262 1.74 9,820 0.30 8,971 0.28 301,622 9.32 3,235,659

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

[edit]

Hickenlooper won four of seven congressional districts.[176]

District Gardner Hickenlooper Representative
1st 24% 74% Diana DeGette
2nd 36% 62% Joe Neguse
3rd 52% 45% Scott Tipton
Lauren Boebert
4th 59% 39% Ken Buck
5th 57% 40% Doug Lamborn
6th 42% 56% Jason Crow
7th 39% 58% Ed Perlmutter

See also

[edit]

Notes

[edit]

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Romanoff's campaign
  2. ^ a b c d e f Poll sponsored by 314 Action
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by AARP.
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by Progress Colorado, a progressive and pro-Affordable Care Act organization.
  5. ^ Giffords endorsed Hickenlooper prior to this poll's sampling period
  6. ^ End Citizens United supports candidates who oppose the landmark Citizens United Supreme Court ruling
  7. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Mike Johnston
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by ProgressNow Colorado
  9. ^ Poll sponsored by Our Lives on the Line
  10. ^ Poll sponsored by Save My Care, a pro-Affordable Care Act organisation

Voter samples

  1. ^ A judge ruled that Lorena Garcia could appear on the ballot despite only getting 50% of the signatures needed to qualify, citing how signatures can't be collected due to COVID-19. The Colorado Supreme Court overruled the ruling after an appeal from Colorado's Secretary of State.
  2. ^ A judge ruled that Michelle Ferrigno Warren could appear on the ballot despite only getting 50% of the signatures needed to qualify, citing how signatures can't be collected due to COVID-19. The Colorado Supreme Court overruled the ruling after an appeal from Colorado's Secretary of State.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. ^ a b Undecided with 15%
  5. ^ Not yet released
  6. ^ Standard VI response
  7. ^ Undecided with 16%; Baer, Madden and Williams with 2%; Walsh with 1%; "someone else" with 4%
  8. ^ With only Hickenlooper and Romanoff as candidates
  9. ^ Undecided with 17%
  10. ^ Undecided with 29%; Walsh with 4%; Williams with 3%; Baer and Madden with 1%
  11. ^ a b Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  12. ^ "Other candidate or write-in" with 2%
  13. ^ Doane (L) with 2%; Evans (Unity) with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  14. ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  15. ^ Doane (L) with 2%; Doyle (Approval Voting), Evans (Unity) and "Someone else" with 0%; Undecided with 1%
  16. ^ "Other candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 4%
  17. ^ "Other" with 1%; Undecided with 11%
  18. ^ "Some other candidate" with 6%; Undecided with 8%
  19. ^ a b Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  20. ^ Would not vote with 1%; Undecided with 3%
  21. ^ Undecided with 7%
  22. ^ Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size and voters who are undecided or for third party candidates
  23. ^ "Someone else" with 5%; Undecided with 6%
  24. ^ Undecided with 9%
  25. ^ Undecided with 9%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  26. ^ "Don't know" with 17%; "other/none of the above" with 4%
  27. ^ "Refused" with 3%; Undecided with 16%
  28. ^ "Other" with 2%; Undecided with 12%
  29. ^ "Neither candidate or other candidate" with 12%
  30. ^ "Undecided" with 10%; "don't know/refused" with 4%
  31. ^ Would not vote/would not vote for U.S. Senate with 2%

References

[edit]
  1. ^ Griswold, Jena (2019). "Major Party Candidate Petition". Colorado Secretary of State. State of Colorado. Retrieved February 23, 2019.
  2. ^ "Colorado Revised Statutes Title 1 Elections § 1-4-801 Designation of party candidates by petition". Colorado Revised Statutes. State of Colorado. 2019. Retrieved February 23, 2019.
  3. ^ Alas, Horus (November 3, 2020). "Democrat Hickenlooper Flips Colorado Senate Seat". www.usnews.com.
  4. ^ "2020 State Primary Results Certificate" (PDF). Retrieved January 31, 2021.
  5. ^ "The most vulnerable Republican senator in 2020". Roll Call. March 5, 2019. Retrieved March 17, 2023.
  6. ^ "He's a vulnerable Republican in a state that's trending blue. So why won't he defy Trumpov on impeachment?". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved March 17, 2023.
  7. ^ "Colorado Election Results". The New York Times. November 3, 2020. Retrieved February 12, 2021.
  8. ^ "Why John Hickenlooper won and Cory Gardner lost Colorado's U.S. Senate race". Retrieved January 31, 2021.
  9. ^ Rothenberg, Stuart (March 5, 2019). "The most vulnerable Republican senator in 2020". Roll Call.
  10. ^ Frank, Sandra Fish, John (July 2, 2020). "Cory Gardner starts the U.S. Senate contest in negative territory. And the reason why is simple". The Colorado Sun. Retrieved June 20, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  11. ^ Frank, John (November 25, 2020). "How the Cardboard Cory protest in Colorado helped Democrats defeat Gardner in the U.S. Senate race". Colorado Sun.
  12. ^ Dickinson, Tim (November 22, 2019). "The Battle for the Senate". Rolling Stone.
  13. ^ Frank, Jesse Paul, John (November 4, 2020). "John Hickenlooper easily defeats Cory Gardner in Colorado's U.S. Senate race". The Colorado Sun. Retrieved June 20, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
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Further reading

[edit]
[edit]

Official campaign websites

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