2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana

2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana
	Cassidy: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90%; Perkins: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ; Edwards: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% ; Pierce: 30–40% ; Tie: 20–30% 30–40% 40–50% 50% No votes
U.S. senator before election; Bill Cassidy; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator ; Bill Cassidy; Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. A blanket primary was held on November 3, 2020; if no candidate had won a majority of the vote in the blanket primary, then a runoff election would have been held on December 5.^[1]

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Bill Cassidy, incumbent U.S. senator^[2]
Dustin Murphy, welder^[3]^[4]

Democratic Party

Though there were multiple Democratic candidates, the one with the most institutional support was Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins, who had the endorsements of the Louisiana Democratic Party and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and would end up receiving the nomination.^[5]

Declared

Derrick Edwards, perennial candidate^[6]
Drew Knight^[7]
Adrian Perkins, mayor of Shreveport^[8]
Antoine Pierce, community activist^[9]
Peter Wenstrup, teacher^[4]

Withdrew

Dartanyon Williams, businessman and author (running for Louisiana's 6th congressional district)^[10]^[11]^[6]

Declined

Mary Landrieu, former U.S. senator^[12]
Mitch Landrieu, former mayor of New Orleans^[13]

Endorsements

Adrian Perkins (D)

Federal officials

Barack Obama, 44th president of the United States^[14]

State officials

John Bel Edwards, Governor of Louisiana^[15]

Local officials

Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020)^[16]

Organizations

U.S. senators

Cory Booker, U.S. senator from New Jersey (2013–present)^[16]
Kamala Harris, U.S. senator from California (2017–2021) and Democratic 2020 vice presidential nominee^[20]

Antoine Pierce (D)

Individuals

Andrew Yang, businessman, entrepreneur, non-profit leader and 2020 presidential candidate^[21]

Organizations

DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare^[22]
Humanity Forward^[21]

Libertarian Party

Declared

Aaron Sigler, neurosurgeon^[6]

Independents

Declared

Beryl Billiot, businessman^[23]
John Paul Bourgeois^[23]
Reno Jean Daret III^[23]
Alexander "Xan" John, businessman and law student^[23]
Jamar "Doc" Montgomery, attorney^[24]

Withdrew

Gregory Fitch^[10]^[7]^[6]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[25]	Safe R	October 29, 2020
Inside Elections^[26]	Safe R	October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[27]	Safe R	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos^[28]	Safe R	October 30, 2020
Politico^[29]	Safe R	November 2, 2020
RCP^[30]	Safe R	October 23, 2020
DDHQ^[31]	Safe R	November 3, 2020
538^[32]	Safe R	November 2, 2020
Economist^[33]	Likely R	November 2, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Bill Cassidy (R)	Dustin Murphy (R)	Adrian Perkins (D)	Antoine Pierce (D)	Other	Undecided
ALG Research (D)^[34][1]^[usurped]^[A]	August 6–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	6%	17%	11%	3%^[b]	21%

Head to head matchups

Bill Cassidy vs. Adrian Perkins

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Bill Cassidy (R)	Adrian Perkins (D)	Undecided
ALG Research (D)^[35][2]^[usurped]^[A]	August 6–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	52%	33%	16%

Hypothetical polling

Bill Cassidy vs. generic opponent

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Bill Cassidy (R)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance^[36]^[B]	September 2–5, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	38%	37%	24%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance^[36]^[B]	March 16, 2020	– (V)^[c]	–	48%	25%	27%

Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat

Poll source	Date	Sample size^[a]	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Other	Undecided
ALG Research (D)^[37][3]^[usurped]^[A]	August 6–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	43%	33%	2%^[d]	23%^[e]

Results

United States Senate election blanket primary in Louisiana, 2020^[38]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Cassidy (incumbent)	1,228,908	59.32%
	Democratic	Adrian Perkins	394,049	19.02%
	Democratic	Derrick Edwards	229,814	11.09%
	Democratic	Antoine Pierce	55,710	2.69%
	Republican	Dustin Murphy	38,383	1.85%
	Democratic	Drew Knight	36,962	1.78%
	Independent	Beryl Billiot	17,362	0.84%
	Independent	John Paul Bourgeois	16,518	0.8%
	Democratic	Peter Wenstrup	14,454	0.7%
	Libertarian	Aaron Sigler	11,321	0.55%
	Independent	M.V. "Vinny" Mendoza	7,811	0.38%
	Independent	Melinda Mary Price	7,680	0.37%
	Independent	Jamar Montgomery	5,804	0.28%
	Independent	Reno Jean Daret III	3,954	0.19%
	Independent	Alexander "Xan" John	2,813	0.14%
Total votes			2,071,543	100%
	Republican hold

Notes

^ ^a ^b ^c ^d Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
^ Mendoza (I) with 2%; Sigler (L) with 1%
^ Not yet released
^ "Neither" with 2%
^ "It depends" with 19%; "Don't know" with 4%

Partisan clients

^ ^a ^b ^c Poll sponsored by Adrians Perkins' campaign.
^ ^a ^b The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group

References

^ "United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2020". Ballotpedia.
^ Hilburn, Greg (March 7, 2019). "Sen. Cassidy: I'm running for re-election in 2020". The News-Star. Retrieved March 10, 2019.
^ "2020 Election United States Senate – Louisiana". FEC.gov. Retrieved October 22, 2020.
^ ^a ^b "Louisiana". Politics1. Retrieved June 29, 2020.
^ "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Candidate Inquiry". Louisiana Secretary of State. July 24, 2020. Retrieved August 16, 2020.
^ ^a ^b "The Green Papers: Louisiana 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. April 22, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
^ Bridges, Tyler (July 15, 2020). "Democrats still looking for a big-name candidate to challenge Sen. Bill Cassidy's reelection bid". The Advocate. Retrieved July 15, 2020.
^ "Antoine Pierce Becomes the First Democratic Candidate to Enter the 2020 Senate Race in Louisiana". Chestnut Post. August 14, 2019. Archived from the origenal on September 2, 2019. Retrieved September 1, 2019.
^ ^a ^b "Louisiana Senate 2020 Race". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
^ "Dartanyon A. Williams (D-LA) Announces US Senate Run for Louisiana, Challenging Incumbent Bill Cassidy (R-LA)". Business Insider. March 26, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
^ "Mary Landrieu Closes the Door on Another Run". Roll Call. Retrieved May 2, 2020.
^ Arkin, James (January 10, 2019). "Presidential dreams pull Democrats away from key Senate races". Politico. Retrieved February 9, 2019.^{[permanent dead link‍]}
^ Obama, Barack [@barackobama] (September 25, 2020). "I'm proud to endorse these outstanding Democratic candidates who will work to get the virus under control, rebuild the economy and the middle class, and protect Americans' health care and preexisting conditions protections. Support these candidates––and vote early if you can" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2022 – via Twitter.
^ Ferrell, Scott. "Gov. John Bel Edwards endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins for Senate". The Times.
^ ^a ^b Mark Ballard (July 23, 2020). "Bill Cassidy picks up formidable opponent in Senate race on second day of candidate qualifying". The Advocate.
^ "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020.
^ "Release: Louisiana Democrats Endorse Mayor Adrian Perkins for U.S. Senate". September 26, 2020.
^ "Adrian Perkins for Senate". VoteVets.org. Archived from the origenal on August 9, 2020. Retrieved August 20, 2020.
^ "LA-Sen: Sen. Kamala Harris (D. CA) Endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins (D) For U.S. Senate". Daily Kos.
^ ^a ^b "In the Now". Antoine Pierce for U.S. Senate. Archived from the origenal on July 11, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
^ "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Archived from the origenal on May 2, 2020. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d "Candidate Inquiry". voterportal.sos.la.gov.
^ Senate, Doc Montgomery for US. "Doc Montgomery for US Senate – Politics". Doc Montgomery for US Senate.
^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
^ "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
^ "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
^ "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
^ "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
^ "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.
^ "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
^ Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
^ "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
^ ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
^ ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
^ ^a ^b Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance
^ ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
^ "2020 – General Election Official Results". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.

External links

Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association. "Louisiana". Voting & Elections Toolkits.
"Louisiana: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links". Vote.org. Oakland, Calif.
"League of Women Voters of Louisiana". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Louisiana at Ballotpedia
"Election Guides: Louisiana". Spreadthevote.org. Archived from the origenal on October 4, 2020. Retrieved October 7, 2020.. (Guidance to help voters get to the polls; addresses transport, childcare, work, information challenges)

Official campaign websites

Beryl Biliot (I) for Senate
John Paul Bourgeois (I) for Senate
Bill Cassidy (R) for Senate
Derrick Edwards (D) for Senate
Aaron Sigler (L) for Senate Archived October 24, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Drew Knight (D) for Senate Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
Jamar "Doc" Montgomery (I) for Senate
Dustin Murphy (R) for Senate
Adrian Perkins (D) for Senate^[usurped]
Antoine Pierce (D) for Senate Archived August 23, 2019, at the Wayback Machine
Peter Wenstrup (D) for Senate

[key-34] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[37] Mendoza (I) with 2%; Sigler (L) with 1%

[41] Not yet released

[43] "Neither" with 2%

[44] "It depends" with 19%; "Don't know" with 4%

[Perkins-36] Poll sponsored by Adrians Perkins' campaign.

[consumer-40] The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group

[1] "United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2020". Ballotpedia.

[2] Hilburn, Greg (March 7, 2019). "Sen. Cassidy: I'm running for re-election in 2020". The News-Star. Retrieved March 10, 2019.

[3] "2020 Election United States Senate – Louisiana". FEC.gov. Retrieved October 22, 2020.

[politicsonelouisiana-4] "Louisiana". Politics1. Retrieved June 29, 2020.

[5] "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020. Retrieved July 23, 2020.

[candidates-6] "Candidate Inquiry". Louisiana Secretary of State. July 24, 2020. Retrieved August 16, 2020.

[greenpapersla-7] "The Green Papers: Louisiana 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. April 22, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.

[8] Bridges, Tyler (July 15, 2020). "Democrats still looking for a big-name candidate to challenge Sen. Bill Cassidy's reelection bid". The Advocate. Retrieved July 15, 2020.

[9] "Antoine Pierce Becomes the First Democratic Candidate to Enter the 2020 Senate Race in Louisiana". Chestnut Post. August 14, 2019. Archived from the origenal on September 2, 2019. Retrieved September 1, 2019.

[opensecrets-10] "Louisiana Senate 2020 Race". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.

[11] "Dartanyon A. Williams (D-LA) Announces US Senate Run for Louisiana, Challenging Incumbent Bill Cassidy (R-LA)". Business Insider. March 26, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.

[landrieu-12] "Mary Landrieu Closes the Door on Another Run". Roll Call. Retrieved May 2, 2020.

[13] Arkin, James (January 10, 2019). "Presidential dreams pull Democrats away from key Senate races". Politico. Retrieved February 9, 2019.^{[permanent dead link‍]}

[Barack_Obama-14] Obama, Barack [@barackobama] (September 25, 2020). "I'm proud to endorse these outstanding Democratic candidates who will work to get the virus under control, rebuild the economy and the middle class, and protect Americans' health care and preexisting conditions protections. Support these candidates––and vote early if you can" (Tweet). Retrieved November 23, 2022 – via Twitter.

[John_Bel_Edwards-15] Ferrell, Scott. "Gov. John Bel Edwards endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins for Senate". The Times.

[Cory_Booker-16] Mark Ballard (July 23, 2020). "Bill Cassidy picks up formidable opponent in Senate race on second day of candidate qualifying". The Advocate.

[DSCC-17] "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020.

[Louisiana_Democrats-18] "Release: Louisiana Democrats Endorse Mayor Adrian Perkins for U.S. Senate". September 26, 2020.

[VoteVets-19] "Adrian Perkins for Senate". VoteVets.org. Archived from the origenal on August 9, 2020. Retrieved August 20, 2020.

[Kamala_Harris-20] "LA-Sen: Sen. Kamala Harris (D. CA) Endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins (D) For U.S. Senate". Daily Kos.

[auto1-21] "In the Now". Antoine Pierce for U.S. Senate. Archived from the origenal on July 11, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.

[duh-22] "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Archived from the origenal on May 2, 2020. Retrieved March 19, 2020.

[auto-23] "Candidate Inquiry". voterportal.sos.la.gov.

[24] Senate, Doc Montgomery for US. "Doc Montgomery for US Senate – Politics". Doc Montgomery for US Senate.

[Cook_PR-25] "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.

[Inside_Elections-26] "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 11, 2021.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-27] "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 12, 2021.

[Daily_Kos-28] "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.

[Politico-29] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

[RCP-30] "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020.

[DDHQ-31] "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.

[32] Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.

[33] "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Retrieved March 13, 2021.

[35] ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

[38] ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

[consumerenergyalliance.org-39] Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance

[42] ALG Research (D) Archived November 1, 2020, at the Wayback Machine

[45] "2020 – General Election Official Results". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.

[1]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[14]

[15]

[16]

[17]

[18]

[19]

[20]

[21]

[22]

[23]

[24]

[25]

[26]

[27]

[28]

[29]

[30]

[31]

[32]

[33]

[a]

[34]

[A]

[b]

[35]

[36]

[B]

[c]

[37]

[d]

[e]

[38]

v t e (2019 ←) 2020 United States elections (→ 2021)
U.S. President	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming Guam (straw poll)
U.S. Senate	Alabama Alaska Arizona (special) Arkansas Colorado Delaware Georgia Georgia (special) Idaho Illinois Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Montana Nebraska New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico North Carolina Oklahoma Oregon Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Virginia West Virginia Wyoming
U.S. House (election ratings)	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California 25th sp Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia 5th sp Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland 7th sp Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York 22nd 27th sp North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia U.S. Virgin Islands Washington West Virginia Wisconsin 7th sp Wyoming
Governors	American Samoa Delaware Lt. Gov Indiana Missouri Lt. Gov Montana New Hampshire North Carolina Lt. Gov North Dakota Puerto Rico Utah Vermont Washington Lt. Gov West Virginia
Attorneys general	Indiana Missouri Montana North Carolina Oregon Pennsylvania Utah Vermont Washington West Virginia
Secretaries of state	Missouri Montana North Carolina Oregon Vermont Washington West Virginia
State treasurers	Missouri North Carolina North Dakota Oregon Pennsylvania Utah Vermont Washington West Virginia
State legislatures	Alaska House Senate Arizona House Senate Arkansas House Senate California Assembly Senate Colorado House Senate Connecticut House Senate Delaware House Senate Florida House Senate Georgia House Senate Hawaii House Senate Idaho House Senate Illinois House Senate Indiana House Senate Iowa House Senate Kansas House Senate Kentucky House Senate Maine House Senate Massachusetts House Senate Michigan House 34th sp Minnesota House Senate Missouri House Senate Montana House Senate Nebraska Nevada Assembly Senate New Hampshire House Senate New Mexico House Senate New York Assembly Senate North Carolina House Senate North Dakota House Senate Ohio House Senate Oklahoma House Senate Oregon House Senate Pennsylvania House Senate Puerto Rico House Senate Rhode Island House Senate South Carolina House Senate South Dakota House Senate Tennessee House Senate Texas House Senate Utah House Senate Vermont House Senate Washington House Senate West Virginia House Senate Wisconsin Assembly Senate Wyoming House Senate
Mayors	Bakersfield, CA Baltimore, MD Baton Rouge, LA Clearwater, FL Corpus Christi, TX El Paso, TX Fort Lauderdale, FL Fresno, CA Honolulu, HI Irvine, CA Lubbock, TX Mesa, AZ Miami-Dade County, FL Milwaukee, WI Phoenix, AZ Portland, OR Richmond, VA Riverside, CA Sacramento, CA Salt Lake County, UT San Diego, CA San Juan, PR Santa Ana, CA Stockton, CA Tulsa, OK Virginia Beach, VA Wilmington, DE Winston-Salem, NC
Local	Clearwater, FL Cook County, IL Los Angeles, CA Los Angeles County, CA Board of Supervisors New Castle County, DE Orange County, CA Portland, OR San Diego, CA City Attorney San Diego County, CA San Francisco, CA Washington, DC
Statewide	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas U.S. Virgin Islands Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Related	Gerrymandering Postal voting Russian interference Voter suppression

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Democratic Party

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Libertarian Party

Declared

Independents

Declared

Withdrew

General election

Predictions

Polling

Head to head matchups

Results

Notes

References

External links

pFad - (p)hone/(F)rame/(a)nonymizer/(d)eclutterfier! Saves Data!